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Stock Market Investing - TV18 BROADCAST LTD
Stock Market Investing - TV18 BROADCAST LTD
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CONTENTS
Introduction
1 Investing - The What’s and Why’s
2 About Financial Planning
3 Managing Investment Risk
4 Investing in Equity - A must
5 Equity Investing: Know before you go
6 1-2-3 of Equity Investing
7 Invest -in Multiple Ways
8 The Process of Investing in IPOS/OFS
9 Secondary Market - The Nuances
10 The Investing Process
11 Studying Investment Opportunities
12 Selecting Equity
13 Sound Investment Strategies
14 Investing in Equity - Is it Expensive?
15 Invest Online
16 Keeping Track of Announcements
17 Don’t Ignore your Investments!
18 Calculating your Profits!
19 Tax on your Equity Investments
20 Get your Complaints Resolved
Conclusion
Introduction
There are many who will caution you that investing in stocks is not
everybody’s cup of tea. However, that’s not true. Over the long run, stocks
are known to deliver the highest returns compared to other conventional
financial investment products. What’s more, with an adequately diversified
portfolio of stocks, the longer you stay invested, the lower will be the
volatility that your portfolio experiences. Further, it is widely held that
India is slated for strong economic growth due to its demographic dividend
and current level of progress; the only way to participate in and benefit
from this growth is to invest in well-chosen stocks. In a nutshell, a well-
selected, adequately diversified portfolio of Indian stocks, if held over the
long run, is the surest and best way to ensure that your wealth grows. And
why should increasing one’s wealth not be everybody’s cup of tea?!
So now that you are convinced that with a little effort, it is possible for you
to be a successful stock investor, where do you begin? Right here. With this
book! It literally tells you ‘Everything you wanted to know about stock
market investing’. Starting at level zero, the book gradually takes you
through concepts and strategies that are directly and indirectly related to
investing in stocks. Finally, it leaves you with classic investing rules that
prepare you for your journey into the world of stock investing. So sit back
with that cup of tea, or whatever other beverage suits your fancy, and take
your first step into the world of stock investing by turning to Chapter 1…
Chapter 1
No social security
Until a few years ago, it was common for people to stay in the same job all
their working lives. But today, every sector has an ocean of job
opportunities to offer. Unlike in a cushy government job, where one gets the
benefit of a pension that has a dearness allowance built in (which grows
with inflation), most people work in the private sector, without any
guaranteed job security. Thus, the only way to secure old age is to invest
now, when one is young and capable of earning.
Nuclear family
Investment addresses the acute concern of the ‘sandwich’ generation who
looks after their aged parents and takes care of their children’s needs today,
but can’t depend upon their children to look after them in their old age. It’s
quintessential that they make the most of their earning years and invest for
their future needs. If that sounds intimidating, take heart. All you need to
get started is a primer on investing. That’s precisely what this book is
about!
Inflation
Wherever there’s talk of money, there is always talk of inflation. You have
heard of it too, but do you really know what it means? Inflation is the rate at
which the cost of goods and services rises. Simply put, as inflation goes up,
your purchasing power decreases. Due to inflation, over time, the value of
your money reduces. The following table demonstrates how the value of Rs
10,000 decreases at different levels of inflation, over a period of time.
[Note: In case you want to know how these figures have been arrived at, the
formula for calculating the amount is Rs 10,000/ (1+inflation rate) Number
of years]. You can see that with higher inflation and over longer time
periods, the value of your Rs 10,000 is continuously going down!
Inflation percent per annum
Years 2 3 4 4.5 5 6
5 9,057 8,626 8,219 8,024 7,835 7,472
10 8,203 7,440 6,755 6,439 6,139 5,583
15 7,430 6,418 5,552 5,167 4,810 4,172
20 6,729 5,536 4,563 4,146 3,768 3,118
25 6,095 4,776 3,751 3,327 2,953 2,330
30 5,520 4,119 3,083 2,670 2,313 1,741
The table above clearly indicates that over the years, you have to spend
more in order to maintain your standard of living. What about other
expenses like retirement and planning for your children’s higher education?
Well, obviously, those will cost much more too. A management course that
costs Rs 15 lakh today will cost around Rs 41 lakh (at 7 per cent inflation),
15 years later when your child is ready for it!
In order to meet that expense after 15 years, you will have to block more
than Rs 11 lakh today in a fixed deposit @ 9 per cent. If you take into
account taxation, this figure will be even higher. (This is because you will
have to pay off the tax every year on your fixed deposit interest income and
re-invest only the balance). This is clearly not enough in the long run,
especially for salaried individuals. The following table shows the
comparative cost of certain life goals now, and the expected cost after 15
and 20 years, assuming an inflation rate of 7 per cent.
Expenditure Heads @ Current Price 15 years hence 20 years hence
House Rs 30 lakh Rs 82.77 lakh Rs 1.16 crore
Children’seducation Rs 15 lakh Rs 41.38 lakh Rs 58.04 lakh
Children’s marriage Rs 2 lakh Rs 5.51 lakh Rs 7.73 lakh
Post retirement needs Rs 20 lakh Rs 55.18 lakh Rs 77.39 lakh
Can you beat inflation? Certainly, but putting your money in a fixed deposit
is not the way to go about it. To fight inflation, the key is to invest in an
investment option which gives you a higher rate of return than inflation, and
ultimately leaves you with a surplus to meet your goals. If not, you will find
that the value of your investment has actually reduced! Shocked? Let’s see
why this happens. An investment that offers a return of 10 per cent per
annum sounds quite good. But are you really going to earn so much? The
answer is ‘No’. You have to factor in inflation to find out your actual
earnings. This is called the “real return”.
In addition, if you take into account the tax implications, the real return
might be even lower. Hence, assuming that the stated return is 10 per cent at
an inflation rate of 7 per cent, translating into a real rate of 3 per cent, a 30
per cent tax on 10 per cent interest income would knock off 3 per cent,
which is the real return.
That doesn’t sound as good, does it? So the next time you have money to
invest-
- Invest smartly. Choose only those investments which deliver a ‘real
return’.
- You might consider investments such as equities, real estate, and
commodities which historically have given real returns.
The chief principle here is that investment is all about making your hard
earned money earn more money for you! Simply put, it is the practice of
making your money work for you, while you work for more money.
· Inflows
One look at your bank statements will show you that the credits into your
account come from one or more of the following sources:
1. Salary
2. Business and
3. Investment
income (interest, dividends, etc.)
· Outflows Now let’s look at where your hard earned money vanishes
each month:
1. Expenses
a) Essentials (house rent, electricity, telephone, gas payments, food,
and clothing)
b) Non-essentials (the new flat screen television, the designer bag or
perfume, the latest mobile or other forms of consumption
expenditure)
c) Taxes, over which most salaried people have little control; and
2. Investments (money spent in obtaining insurance, stocks, bonds,
mutual funds, fixed deposits, etc.), which, if at all, unfortunately comes
last in the order of priority for most people. After this little exercise,
you hopefully know where your earnings come from and where they
go.
Example of a Cash Flow Statement
Transaction In (Credit) Out (Debit)
Regular Income
Salary for June Rs. 40,000.00 (+)
Income from Investments
Dividend from Mutual Fund Rs. 20,000.00 (+)
Essential Expenditure
Children’s Fees Rs. 2,500.00 (-)
Fuel for car Rs. 3,000.00 (-)
Insurance Premium Rs. 5,500.00 (-)
Non-essentials and taxes
Entertainment Rs. 4,500.00 (-)
Car Loan Repayment Rs.12,000 (-)
Taxes Rs. 4,500.00 (-)
Total Savings Rs.10,000 (+)
Invest FIRST!
Now, examine your outflows in order of priority. Do you invest first or do
you wait until all your expenses are met and then, if only there is some
money left, you invest it? If you invest first, you are playing SMART! If
you spend first and then invest the left over money (if any), you are playing
UNSMART!
Your Inflow Your Outflows
Earnings Investments
Investment income Expenses
Profits from investments Losses from investments
Rent income
The “Smart Cash flow” above illustrates that your investments must come
first in the order of priority, barring any financial emergency. That way,
you’re sure of saving a particular amount each month; in addition, it may
also encourage you to limit your spends within your means.
If you opt for the cumulative option, you will receive additional interest of
Rs 7,866 which is 5.5% higher than interest on non-cumulative option!
Investment avenues such as equities and mutual funds often have a much
higher rate of return than fixed deposits. For example, equity markets
(represented by the Sensex, which is explained later in this book) have
given a return of 16.75% per annum over the last 38 years. Re-investing at
these attractive rates helps you build up your wealth and reach your
financial goals much faster. The following example demonstrates how
reinvestment over a longer time period can boost your income. Anita and
Sunita are 25 years old. Anita invests Rs 10,000 @ 7 per cent today and
goes on re-investing her investment income at the same rate. Ten years
later, Sunita decided she would like to do the same. When they turn 60, they
decide to see how much money they have earned. Anita’s Rs 10,000 grows
to Rs 1,06,765.81, while Sunita’s Rs 10,000 grows to only Rs 54,274.32!
How can the difference be so vast considering that both invested the same
amount of money at the same rate of return? The answer is - time. Anita
begins 10 years earlier and thus earns more investment income, which is
reinvested, and consequently helps her investment grow exponentially.
Further, the longer you reinvest your investment income, the higher your
original investment grows, and the faster you reach your financial goals.
That means, if you plan to save for your retirement, the earlier you begin
the lesser you will have to invest to build a bigger nest egg.
What exactly is the power of compounding and how can a regular person
use it to his or her advantage? Well, to begin with, it goes hand in hand with
the concept of reinvestment. Every time you reinvest your income from
interest/dividends on investments, your capital or principal that is invested
goes up. The next time you earn interest/dividends, it is on this enhanced
capital, and is therefore higher than what you would have received if you
chose not to reinvest. Over a period of time, these small extra amounts can
add up to a tidy sum. Albert Einstein once called compounding the greatest
mathematical discovery ever!
Thus, after 10 years, the investment which was compounded monthly grew
by almost Rs1,000 more, than the investment which was compounded
annually.
If the above figures are converted into percentage gains per annum with
respect to annual compounding, you will see that as the frequency of
compounding increases, the interest rate correspondingly increases.
Compoinding Monthly Quarterly Semi-Annually Annunally
(In Rs.) (In Rs.) (In Rs.)
1 years 10,938 10,930 10,920 10,900
5 years 15,656 15,605 15,529 15,386
10 years 24,513 24,351 24,117 23,673
• A cash flow statement is essential to understand how much you can and
how much you should invest.
• Inflation reduces your purchasing power. As inflation rises, you get less
out of your money. Hence, to maintain your standard your living, you
have to spend more and more every year.
• Little drops do make an ocean. To save for your retirement, the earlier
you start, even with investing little amounts of money frequently, you
can build a sizeable nest egg and buy that snug retirement home.
• Compounding frequently earns you a little more every time, which adds
up in the long run. The shorter the compounding frequency, the earlier
your income is re-invested.
• The triad of investing early, reinvesting and the compounding effect can
beat inflation.
4. I will opt for the cumulative fixed deposit option for my bank deposits
(and not the simple interest option); thereby I will use the power of
compounding.
Axioms
1. Rule of 72: If you want to know how many years it will take to double
your money, you can use the Rule of 72. Let’s say you can invest your
money at 8% return on investment. Now simply divide 72 by 8. The
result is 9. In other words, it will take you 9 years to double your
money at 8% return on investment.
3. It’s all about RISK and RETURN: The higher the risk, the higher
the return. This is true for investments. If you are not willing to take a
risk with your money, chances of earning good returns are negligible.
However, that doesn’t mean you take rash risks; you need to assess the
risk and decide how you can deal with it before making the investment.
Now that we know the basics of investing, let’s take a look at financial
planning. Financial planning is the step-by-step process of developing a
personal roadmap for your financial well being. The inputs to the process of
financial planning are:
The output of the financial planning process is a personal financial plan that
tells you how to invest your money to achieve your goals, keeping in mind
your risk appetite, inflation, real returns and taxes. In short, financial
planning is the process of systematically planning your finances towards
achieving your financial life goals.
Who doesn’t nurture dreams of owning a bigger house or car, exploring the
world, giving their children the best possible education, a blissful
retirement, and so on? Basically, these dreams are life goals. And one surely
needs money to achieve them. Consider this example.
Mr. and Mrs. Bhanot, aged 35 and 32 respectively, have a three year old
daughter. Both work in private sector companies. Mr Bhanot plans to retire
when he’s 50. From their current one-bedroom rented suburban Mumbai
apartment, the Bhanots hope to move to their own two-bedroom apartment
costing around Rs 1 crore within the next five years. They own a small car,
for which they have availed of a loan. Mr Bhanot reckons that he will need
Rs 45 lakh for his daughter’s higher education 15 years later. He also wants
to build a corpus of Rs 75 lakh for his retirement.
The goals are charted out, alright. But what’s important is to distinguish the
short-term goals from the long-term goals.
As a general rule, any life goal that needs to be met within five years can be
considered as short-term. Beyond that, any other goal can be classified as
long-term. By this classification, the Bhanots’ goals can be classified as
follows:
Using a similar yardstick, you may classify your own life goals. Each of
your goals, whether short-term or long-term, needs financing. Carefully
planning your finances in order to have the right amount at your disposal at
the right time is what financial planning is about.
You may wonder why you need to undertake financial planning. You may
believe that you will do just fine without financial planning. But this results
in a strong possibility of being unable to fulfil life goals. For example,
people today realize the importance of living life to the fullest.
Consequently, many opt for early retirement from full time jobs, as
compared to a few decades ago, when most people worked until the
maximum retirement age of 58-60 years.
The average person can, today, expect to live a healthy life well into his or
her seventies or eighties, which means that retirement life is almost as long
as working life. Financially, it implies that savings (after taking into account
inflation) should be enough, not just to maintain the same lifestyle for
almost 25-30 years, with no new income, but also to take care of medical
expenses, which are usually higher the older a person gets. Planning for all
this is a tall order for anyone. That’s why it’s critical for everyone to plan
their finances from an early age.
Now that you are convinced about the importance and use of financial
planning, clearly you may wonder where to begin. You could either appoint
a financial planner to develop a financial plan for you or do it yourself.
When you actually get down to it, financial planning consists of a series of
steps.
Sit down with all the earning members of your family and gather all
financial information (about your sources of income, debts, assets,
liabilities, etc.). Now make a financial statement with appropriate heads
-Income, Expenses, Assets and Liabilities. You will now get a clear
picture of your current financial situation.
• Step 2: Identify your goals
Ask each member to list what they think are current and future family
goals. Prioritize each goal and put a time period against each, i.e. when
you will need the finances to achieve that goal. Quantify each goal by
putting a financial value to each one. This exercise allows you to clearly
distinguish between your short-term and long-term goals, and how
much money you need for each.
Once you know where you stand financially, i.e. your present assets and
liabilities and your potential to save, and where you want to be in terms
of the financial goals that you want to achieve, a simple calculation
gives you an idea of the shortfall. You begin to see clearly the sum of
funds you need for specific goals with respect to the time factor.
This is important because it paves the way for you to identify the right
investments that will generate the necessary income within the time
required to cover the shortfall so that you can achieve your goals.
Financial Statement
Sources of Assets Liabilities Sources of expenditure
Income
Salary Residential Deposit for house Interest payable on depositfor house let
house let out out
Rent from house Furniture & Car Loan Monthly instalment on Car Loan
let out articles
Share of profit House let out Loan taken for Interest on loan taken for investment
from firm investment in Mf
Dividend from Investment House repairs and maintenance
mutual fund made in firm
Interest on Fd Car Recurring expenditure (food, clothes,
electricity, entertainment, etc.)
Mutual fund Education expenditure
investment
Fixed Deposit Insurance premium
Taxes
Once you have a bird’s eye view of your financial gaps, you need to
review various investment options such as stocks, equity mutual funds,
debt instruments such as PPF, bonds, fixed deposits, debt funds, etc. and
identify which instrument or a combination thereof best suits your
needs. The time frame for your investment must correspond with the
time period of your goals.
Financial planning will help you place a monetary value to all your
goals and identify the investment plan that you can follow to achieve
the goals.
It’s now time to put things into action. Gather necessary documents,
open necessary bank, demat, trading accounts, liaise with brokers and
get started! Most importantly, start investing and stick to your plan.
You may have created your financial plan and implemented it. However,
financial planning is not a one-time activity. A successful plan needs
serious commitment and periodic review (once in six months, or at a
major event such as birth, death, inheritance). You should be prepared to
make minor or major revisions to your current financial situation, goals
and investment time frame, based on a review of the performance of
your investments.
If you are not inclined or not comfortable developing your own plan,
you can always consult professional financial planners, who will take
you through the whole process. As financial planning is supposed to see
you through your life, the process is continuously reviewed and fine
tuned to account for changes in your life and in the financial
environment.
1. Start now. Even if you are in your mid thirties or forties, it’s better to
start now than dawdle for another five years. Every day counts.
6. Be hands-on. It’s your money and no one else will do your work for
you.
How do you evaluate the quality and effectiveness of your financial plan?
Well, here’s a checklist you can use.
If you noticed, changes need to be made with time, in your financial plan.
These are often a result of the dynamics of the financial environment.
• A personal financial plan helps you achieve your goals, keeping in mind
your risk appetite, inflation, real returns and taxes.
• Divide your goals into long-term and short-term goals, where short-
term goals fall within the next 5 years.
• A financial plan ensures peace of mind since you are prepared for most
eventualities.
• You can create a financial plan through a series of simple steps or take
the help of a certified financial planner.
• The first step is to understand your cash flows, both inflows and
outflows.
• The most essential step of any financial plan is seeing it through, i.e.
commitment to the plan.
4. I will assess our financial goals after a family discussion and plan to
fulfil them.
Axioms
Risk & Return Tradeoff: The higher the risk involved the greater the
return, and vice versa. This axiom holds true for all investment classes. So,
if you were to trade in the stock market for the short term, the risk is
definitely higher as against investing in bank deposits for a year.
Commensurately, while you earn a fixed interest rate for being invested
with a bank deposit, there is a likelihood of making a significantly higher
profit in the share market.
Now that you are aware about financial planning and its importance, let’s
understand the concept of risk in investing.
Investment risk is the possibility of either not getting the expected returns
on your investment or losing the money invested. Like life, all investments
carry some amount of risk, some more others less. Therefore, the key to
successful investing is to identify the probable risks that an investment
carries and match it with your risk bearing capacity and return expectation.
Risk and return are inextricably linked.
The visual shows some of the most likely avenues of investment, the return
possibility of each as well as the associated level of risk. This is known as
the risk-return trade-off. While building a portfolio of investments to meet
your financial plan, the investments have to be matched with your risk
personality. Investor risk can be further classified into two facets: risk-
taking capacity and risk tolerance.
Risk-taking capacity:
Investment objectives:
Defining your primary objective behind investing is most important. It
could be creating wealth to meet financial goals or protecting savings from
eroding due to inflation. Objectives determine expectations. Expectations
are determined largely by age. For instance, older people most often invest
with the objective of protecting their life savings from eroding due to
inflation. Given this limited expectation, they have a low risk-taking
capacity.
Age:
Creating wealth requires both, time and money. The longer you stay
invested, the higher are the chances of earning good returns, and lower the
risk of losing your money. Young people have time on their side and
therefore, generally, a higher risk-taking capacity. Of course, other than
choice, risk appetite also depends on circumstances and upbringing.
For example, a newly married couple planning to buy their own house
cannot afford to lose their savings and hence may be averse to investing in
high risk investments.
Investment horizon:
The longer you can afford to wait for your investment to yield you desired
returns, the more open you will be to taking risk. On the other hand, if
money is needed in the near future, a low-risk investment will be preferred.
In fact, experts recommend that as financial goals become due for
fulfilment, switch your money to lower-risk investments, even if it means
earning lower returns for a short while. Practically, this makes perfect
sense; you don’t want to risk your money just when you need it!
Risk tolerance:
There is a subtle but important difference between risk tolerance and risk-
taking capacity. Risk tolerance lies in your mind as an investor and tells you
how much risk you WANT to take whereas risk-taking capacity is the
amount of risk you SHOULD take keeping in mind the factors discussed
above.
Generally, a panic reaction on every stock market dip reveals a low risk
tolerance. On the other hand, if you stay as cool as a cucumber and make
the best of every crash, then your risk tolerance is high. You need to know
your risk tolerance before investing because risk-taking capacity and risk
tolerance determine your investment strategy, which requires some self
discovery and general financial planning.
For example, an older person may be wealthy and therefore may have a
higher risk-taking capacity; however, due to a previous bad experience in
the stock market, he may be less tolerant towards equities.
Now that we have discussed risk from the perspective of the investor, let us
look at investment risk. This is necessary because different investments
themselves carry different levels of risk.
The only way you can mitigate (reduce) this risk is by selecting the right
stocks and staying invested for longer periods of time.
• Debt instruments
These investments are mainly lending in nature and returns are more in the
nature of “fixed” earnings, which often fail to outrun inflation. Hence, these
investments have never led to wealth creation but, are more towards wealth
preservation.
Save more, i.e., spend less today and invest more to help you bridge
the gap.
What the graph above simply conveys is that if you had invested Rs. 100 in
equities in April 1979, 38 years later in January 2018, this Rs 100 would be
worth Rs. 35,965.02. Your Rs. 100 has grown at an annual compounded rate
of 16.75 per cent during this period.
Compare that with the next best performer (gold), in which Rs.100 invested
in April 1979 would have grown to only Rs 3,167.75 in January 2018.
Hence, in the long run, returns from equities far outperform all other
investment classes. Allocation towards high return generating investments
such as equities and equity mutual funds is thus imperative.
Life has its ups and downs, circumstances change, and so does your risk
profile. Perhaps you were young and single when you began investing, and
had a high tolerance for risk. Two years later, you may be married, and the
parent of a baby. Suddenly, you may not be able to stomach that high a level
of risk. On the other hand, you may have come into an inheritance, and
suddenly find yourself endowed with funds, and therefore more willing to
take risks.
By now, you are hopefully prepared to enter the exciting world of investing;
of making your money work for you, and not the other way round.
Happy investing!
• The trick is to understand what risk your investment entails and match it
to your risk-bearing capacity.
• Always remember that risks and returns enjoy a direct relationship; the
higher the risk, the higher the returns.
• Time plays an important factor in creating money. If you start early, you
can expect good returns.
• If you can afford to wait for your investments to mature, you can afford
to take higher risks.
• If you have a considerable corpus, you have more capital for investing,
which also affects your risk taking perspective.
• Understanding your risk tolerance is core to your investment
philosophy. If, during a short, sudden downturn, you panic and sell out,
it indicates a low risk tolerance.
• Invariably, those with a higher risk tolerance tend to wait out any
downturn, and emerge successful.
• Equity and related instruments have higher risks, and hence offer higher
returns.
• Debt-related and gilt instruments enjoy lower risks. They are typically
used to preserve wealth.
• A smart portfolio must comprise both debt and equity; equity creates
wealth, while debt preserves it.
How much risk I want to take? Let me check a readymade financial planner
to find out. I can visit
http://www.moneycontrol.com/planning_desk/riskanalyser_plan.php
Axioms
2. It pays if you start early while investing: If you are young, financial
dependence is least on you. You are capable of taking more risks and
can invest for a longer duration which can reap good benefits in the
long run.
3. Diversify and fructify: It is very risky to invest all your money into
any one sector. Say for example, you are very confident about the
pharma sector going forward; however, you should not park all your
money into the pharma sector. You can have higher a weightage of
your portfolio invested in the pharma sector and diversify the rest.
4. Track your portfolio: It is not advisable to invest and forget about it.
You need to periodically check the status of your portfolio; shuffle it if
required. If you have given your portfolio to an expert to manage it
then you should also check the statements, documents in a scheduled
manner.
5. Returns and risks go hand in hand: In other words, higher your risks
more are the chances for you gaining better returns. However, check
your liabilities and also do not borrow to invest in the stock market.
1CAGR is the year over year growth rate of an investment over a specified
period of time, assuming that interest earned on the investment in the
interim is reinvested at the same rate.
Chapter 4
A dilemma you are most likely to face in the process of choosing the right
bunch of investment products is how much to invest in specific
investments. There is a plethora of investment products that you can choose
from. The most common ones are:
1. Bank Fixed Deposits (Fds)
2. Company Deposits
When you invest in Bank or Company FDs, Insurance policies, Post Office
Schemes, PPF, etc. you are in effect lending your money to the Bank or
Company or Insurer or Post Office. You will be compensated in the form of
interest, which is determined by the borrower. Other than the interest due to
you, you do not participate in the profits of any of these borrowers. Thus, if
you have invested your money in a company FD and the said company
makes huge profits, you still only receive the interest fixed at the time of
investment, and do not reap the benefits of the company’s exponential
profits.
Resultantly, these differing relationships between the investor (you) and the
investment, either as a lender or pure investor, will carry different levels of
risks. Your risk as a lender would be restricted to preservation of your
original investment and getting the agreed to (fixed) return on the same,
irrespective of the ups and downs of the borrower. Your risk as a pure
investor is dependent on the growth and profits of the company you have
invested in or the rise in the prices of the asset (gold/silver etc.).
Equities and financial markets have been generically discussed so far, but
what really constitutes these concepts and what are the other building
blocks of the eco-system they belong to? Let’s briefly discuss this and how
do they all connect to each other.
Equity:
Equity shares refer to what a company issues to its owners which denote
their ownership of the company (business). These can be purchased either
via an Initial Public Offer, i.e., when the company raises money and offers
to the public at large a share of ownership in the company or via secondary
markets, i.e., when you buy shares from a previous holder in a marketplace.
Stock Market:
This is an electronic platform where investors come together to buy and sell
their equity shares. Like any other market, this is where the price of an
equity share gets decided upon on an on-going basis, depending on the
demand and supply and prevailing emotions of all the buyers and sellers.
The two largest markets for equities in India are the National Stock
Exchange (NSE) and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).
A stock index represents the change in the weighted value of a set of stocks
which constitute the index. For example, if an index is assigned an arbitrary
base value of 100 on a given date based on the weighted value of a certain
number of stocks assigned to it, from this date onwards changes in the
individual values of these stocks will have a collective impact on the index
value. Some of the prominent indices in India are: SENSEX (30 stocks),
NIFTY (50 stocks), BSE 200 (200 stocks), etc. The stocks that comprise the
index represent leading companies from a cross-section of industries that
are large contributors to India’s economic growth.
The two leading indices that need special mention are the Nifty 50 and the
BSE Sensex.
NIFTY 50: Nifty is the stock market index of the National Stock Exchange.
It comprises the stocks of 50 of the largest Indian companies with well
dispersed shareholding from about 13 sectors in India. It was introduced in
1995 keeping in mind that it would be used for modern applications such as
index funds and index derivatives, besides reflecting the stock market
behaviour.
COMPANIES FORMING THE CNX NIFTY INDEX AND THEIR WEIGHTAGES (AS ON
31-1-2018)
Sr. No Security Name Weightage %
1 HDFC Bank 9.48
2 RIL 7.61
3 HDFC 7.13
4 ITC 5.75
5 Infosys 5.57
6 ICICI Bank 5.28
7 L&T 4.07
8 TCS 3.67
9 Kotak Mahindra Bank 3.43
10 Maruti Suzuki 2.93
11 State Bank of India 2.68
12 Axis Bank 2.38
13 Hindustan Unilever 2.32
14 IndusInd Bank 2.09
15 Mahindra & Mahindra 1.72
16 Tata Motors 1.7
17 Sun Pharma 1.53
18 YES Bank 1.52
19 Bharti Airtel 1.4
20 Vedanta 1.4
21 HCL Tech 1.3
22 ONGC 1.3
23 Asian Paints 1.22
24 NTPC 1.22
25 Hero MotoCorp 1.14
26 Tata Steel 1.08
27 Bajaj Auto 1.05
28 Ibulls Housing 1.04
29 Ultratech Cement 1.04
30 Power Grid 1.04
31 Bajaj Finance 0.96
32 Indian Oil 0.96
33 Coal India 0.95
34 Tech Mahindra 0.94
35 BPCL 0.93
36 Eicher Motors 0.92
37 Wipro 0.91
38 Hindalco 0.87
39 Zee 0.79
40 Adani Ports 0.76
41 Cipla 0.75
42 HPCL 0.74
43 GAIL 0.73
44 Bharti Infratel 0.66
45 Dr Reddys Labs 0.64
46 UPL 0.63
47 Lupin 0.47
48 Ambuja Cements 0.45
49 Bosch 0.44
50 Aurobindo 0.42
S&P BSE SENSEX: The Bombay Stock Exchange is the oldest stock
market of India. “SENSEX” stands for sensitive index. It was created in
1978-79 with a base value of 100. It comprises thirty stocks of leading
Indian companies and is well diversified with representation from almost all
the sectors of the economy like banking, information technology, cement,
autos, manufacturing, capital goods, etc. The SENSEX is revised from time
to time to incorporate companies belonging to emerging sectors of the
economy. The movement in the SENSEX values on working days is
computed on a real time basis.
COMPANIES FORMING THE S&P BSE SENSEX AND THEIR WEIGHTAGES (AS ON
31-1-2018)
Sr. No. Company Weight in Index (%)
1 HDFC Bank 11.41
2 RIL 8.85
3 HDFC 8.61
4 ITC 6.96
5 Infosys 6.74
6 ICICI Bank 6.38
7 Larsen & Toubro 4.93
8 Tata Consultancy Services 4.43
9 Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. 4.15
10 Maruti Suzuki 3.55
11 SBI 3.24
12 Axis Bank 2.87
13 Hindustan Unilever 2.82
14 IndusInd Bank 2.53
15 Tata Motors 2.09
16 Sun Pharma 1.84
17 YES Bank 1.83
18 Bharti Airtel 1.68
19 ONGC 1.58
20 NTPC 1.48
21 Asian Paints 1.48
22 Hero MotoCorp 1.38
23 Tata Steel 1.3
24 Bajaj Auto 1.28
25 Power Grid 1.25
26 Coal India 1.16
27 Wipro 1.1
28 Mahindra & Mahindra 1.04
29 Adani Ports 0.95
30 Dr Reddys Labs 0.78
31 Tata Motors DVR 0.32
Other than broad based indices like the BSE SENSEX and NIFTY, there are
several sectoral indices which represent a specific industry sector. All
stocks in a sectoral index belong to that sector only. For example, an index
like the NSE Bank Nifty comprises of banking stocks, NSE CNX IT is
made up of IT stocks, etc. Sectoral indices are very useful in tracking the
movement and performance of a particular sector.
Indices fluctuate and some of the factors that affect them are:
Sometimes, an index like the CNX NIFTY 50 may go up, but a sectoral
index may show an opposite trend. This is primarily because of news
related to that sector. For instance, post budget in the year 2007, the cement
sector went in for a sharp correction because pricing restrictions were
imposed on cement companies in the budget.
Quantum of trading:
The size and volume of the stock traded (captured by the market
capitalization of a stock) also impacts its performance. The market
capitalization or market cap of a stock is simply equal to the share price on
a particular day into the number of shares outstanding (i.e., shares that have
been authorized, issued and purchased by investors) of a publicly traded
company.
Market sentiment:
And more…
There are several other factors, apart from those mentioned above, which
have an impact on an index. Government policies, currency movements,
global factors, etc. can all cause a serious impact. Due to larger foreign
participation, Indian markets are no longer insulated from global risks. Any
change in the international environment can affect the movement in the
stock market.
CNX NIFTY
02-Apr-01 1,138.1
01-Apr-02 1,139.0
01-Apr-03 984.3
01-Apr-04 1,819.7
01-Apr-05 2,067.7
03-Apr-06 3,473.3
02-Apr-07 3,633.6
01-Apr-08 4,739.6
01-Apr-09 3,060.4
01-Apr-10 5,290.5
01-Apr-11 5,826.1
02-Apr-12 5,317.9
01-Apr-13 5,704.4
01-Apr-14 6,721.1
01-Apr-15 8,586.3
01-Apr-16 7,713.1
03-Apr-17 9,237.9
31-Jan-18 11,027.7
BSE SENSEX
31-Mar-80 129.0
31-Mar-81 173.0
31-Mar-82 218.0
31-Mar-83 212.0
31-Mar-84 245.0
31-Mar-85 354.0
31-Mar-86 574.0
31-Mar-87 510.0
31-Mar-88 398.0
31-Mar-89 714.0
31-Mar-90 781.0
31-Mar-91 1,168.0
31-Mar-92 4,285.0
31-Mar-93 2,281.0
31-Mar-94 3,779.0
31-Mar-95 3,261.0
31-Mar-96 3,367.0
31-Mar-97 3,361.0
31-Mar-98 3,893.0
31-Mar-99 3,740.0
31-Mar-00 5,001.0
31-Mar-01 3,604.0
31-Mar-02 3,469.0
31-Mar-03 3,049.0
31-Mar-04 5,528.0
31-Mar-05 6,492.0
31-Mar-06 11,279.0
31-Mar-07 13,072.0
31-Mar-08 15,644.0
31-Mar-09 9,700.0
31-Mar-10 17,528.0
31-Mar-11 19,445.0
31-Mar-12 17,404.0
31-Mar-13 18,835.0
31-Mar-14 22,386.3
31-Mar-15 27,957.5
31-Mar-16 25,341.9
31-Mar-17 29,620.5
31-Jan-18 35,965.0
Equity markets have given a return of 16.75% over the last 38 years (Rs
100 invested on 1st April, 1979 would have become Rs 35,965 by the 31st
of January, 2018). Mind you, this 16.75% is compounded returns (i.e. your
yearly returns are reinvested at the same rate) for 38 years. Similarly, Rs
100 invested in the Nifty on 31st March, 2001 would have become Rs
987.34 (13.69% return) in a period of just 17 years. This is serious wealth
creation over a long time period!
This merely goes to show that it is rewarding to stay invested in equities for
the longer term. The stock market simply reflects the long-term growth of
Indian and international businesses and that when you buy into it, you’re
purchasing a piece of that future growth. The following factors justify this:
3. Equities are the only investment assets that are exempt from any taxes
(if held for over one year), which means that you get to keep all the
returns generated. All other investments, excluding PPF and life
insurance, are taxed for the gains made. This reduces the net return
from investment in assets like NSC, bank deposits, etc.
Good question. Though over shorter periods, the market may move for a
hundred different ultimately less consequential reasons, over the long-term,
the market reflects the growth of business. So the first question is, over a
prolonged period - say, as long as a human lifetime - will business always
grow?
For that you first need to understand what grows business? A large number
of factors, primarily things like population growth, addressing human needs
and desires, advances in science and technology, environmental conditions,
governmental stability, etc. So the question changes to, do we foresee any
reason(s) that would lead to half a century of stagnation or decline?
Sure you can create possibilities in which that would happen, but most of
these possibilities involve acts of God or catastrophic events (nuclear war,
lethal airborne viruses, alien invasion, etc.). What then? In each of those
situations, you’ll have a lot more to worry about than the returns of your
investment portfolio. Each of these could bring about the effective end of
our civilization as we know it.
Thus, you can safely assume that so long as our civilization is still around,
you’ll continue to see long-term growth in business and consequently rise in
the markets.
The most important lesson that you as an investor in equities need to learn
is that equity investment is very rewarding provided a prudent approach is
adopted. This includes investment with a long-term horizon in a selection of
good companies which have a past record of performance.
Now that it is clear why equities are a must, let us move to understand the
basics of equity.
SUMMARY
• Equity markets have given a return of 16.75% over the past 38 years.
• The two largest markets for equities in India are the National Stock
Exchange (NSE) and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).
• The two leading stock market indices are the S&P BSE Sensex and
CNX Nifty 50.
• Bulls have an optimistic view of the market and buy into the market,
while bears look at the downside and sell out.
• Equity markets give fantastic long-term returns because when you buy
equity, you have direct participation in its profits.
2. I know that equity market returns in the long run have outperformed
other asset class investments.
5. I will restrain myself from ‘Fear and Greed’ while investing in the
stock markets.
Axioms
3. Book Profits/ Losses: It is widely said that don’t marry your stocks.
Yes, book profits or losses whenever possible and rework on your
portfolio again with latest updation /situation in the market.
When entering into the equity markets as an investor, it would really help to
know the basics of the same at the tips of your fingers. Here’s a snapshot of
what benefits equity investments offer, and the risks that unfortunately
come along with it.
Why should you purchase shares of a company? What are the benefits that
accrue to you as a shareholder? Apart from the right to vote and decide the
future course of action that a company takes, the real benefit that you, as a
shareholder have is in the form of participation that you get in the profits
made by the company. At the same time, your liability is limited only to the
face value of the shares held by you. The benefits distributed by the
company to its shareholders can be:1) Monetary Benefits and 2) Non
Monetary Benefits.
• Monetary Benefits:
• Non-Monetary Benefits:
In case the bonus ratio was 1:2, i.e., for every 2 shares held the
company issues 1 bonus share, you would have received 100 (200/2 =
100) bonus shares. The ex-bonus price would then be Rs 26.67 (Rs 40
x 2 = Rs 80/3 = Rs 26.67).
b) Rights Issue: A company may need more money to expand and for
that it may need to issue more equity shares. A rights issue involves
issuing of additional shares to the existing shareholders of the
company. A company wishing to issue additional shares should first
offer them to its existing shareholders so that it allows the existing
shareholders to maintain the same degree of control of the company.
Thus you can maintain your participation in the company’s profits.
Equity investing - the risks
Diversification
This can be best understood by the age old saying, “Don’t put all your eggs
in one basket!” When you hold shares in a single company, you run the risk
of a large magnitude. As your portfolio expands to include shares of more
companies, the company specific risk reduces. The benefits of creating a
well diversified portfolio can be gauged from the fact that as you add more
shares to your portfolio, the importance (weightage) of each company’s
share gets reduced.
Hence, any adverse event related to any one company would not expose
your whole portfolio to that risk. The same logic can be extended to a sector
or an industry. In fact, diversifying across sectors and industries reaps the
real benefits of diversification. Sector specific risks get minimised when
shares of other sectors are added to the portfolio. This is because a
recession or a downtrend is not usually seen in all sectors together at the
same time.
Getting started
Having analysed all aspects of risk and return associated with equity
investment, you are now ready to take the plunge! This requires certain
formalities, which are explained in the next chapter.
SUMMARY
• If you hold 100 shares of a company, which has issued 10,000 shares,
you own 1% of the company.
• Interest rate and inflation risks are systemic risks and cannot be
mitigated. However, because equity market investors accept these risks
when investing, they are rewarded far beyond other investment vehicles.
Axioms:
4. Don’t put all your eggs in one nest: It is suicidal to have all your
investments made in one particular sector. Say for example if you
invest heavily in stocks in the IT sector which is primarily export
oriented and the rupee appreciates drastically, all the IT stocks would
plunge sharply giving your portfolio major losses.
5. It is your money; take time to review your portfolio: Although you
have hired good experts, you yourself should review your investments
periodically; say in a monthly, quarterly or yearly basis.
Chapter 6
Now that you are all geared up to start investing in equity, you have two
options - you can start by investing in equities either by buying (subscribing
to) shares sold by the company (Initial Public Offer) or by buying them from
another investor on the stock exchange. This chapter talks about the
formalities that you must complete before you begin investing in equity.
To buy shares on the stock market, you start by first opening an account with a
stock broker. Only a stock broker is allowed to buy or sell on your behalf on
the stock exchange. Brokers have to be registered with the Securities and
Exchange Board of India (SEBI), which is a regulatory body policing all
brokers in India.
This is broadly reflected in the past record and the credibility that he
enjoys in the market. Several broking outfits are also promoted by reputed
institutions.
• Research:
• Broking rates:
You can buy or sell shares, either by phone, placing your order through the
broker’s website or mobile site, or by making personal visits.
In case you personally intimate the broker about a trade that you would
like to undertake, over the phone or during a personal visit, the broker will
execute it with the help of your alpha numeric trading code.
• Service Quality:
c) Bank account details (cancelled cheque for direct debits and credits)
d) Photographs
Before the depository system was introduced in India, securities were held by
investors in the form of physical certificates. Buying or selling them entailed
receiving them or handing them to the broker as the case may be. Securities
can now be held in electronic form, which has been made possible by the
process of dematerialisation (demat) after the introduction of the depository
system in India.
You can use this demat account for the purpose of holding and transferring
securities in electronic form. In case you are buying or selling shares, a buy
transaction results in a credit entry while a sell transaction leads to a debit
entry.
A large number of DPs spread across the country are registered with two
depositories in India, which are NSDL (National Securities Depository
Limited) and CDSL (Central Depository Services (India) Limited). You must
decide on the right choice before you open a demat account.
There are several types of DPs operating in the market. They can be broadly
classified as follows:
a) Banks such as PSU Banks, Private sector Banks, Foreign Banks, etc.
b) Custodians
c) Brokers
a) Services: Some DPs provide some value added services. You need to
check your requirements and then select a DP who is in a position to offer
you the specific service you may need.
b) Cost: With effect from 1st April 2007, SEBI has made it mandatory for
DPs to display the charges that they levy on investors on the websites of
their respective depositories. This can help you to make a comparative
analysis of the charges of different DPs vis-a-vis the services rendered by
them. Some standard charges are as follows:
1) Annual
Maintenance Charges
2) Charges for debit from demat account
3) Demat and remat charges
4) Charges for pledge of securities
DPs are now not allowed to levy charges (other than documentation and
statutory charges) for opening accounts, crediting demat accounts and custody
charges. Further, some broker DPs don’t charge separately for demat accounts.
However, they club these charges along with brokerage. You must therefore
clarify with broker DPs regarding the charges.
c) Accessibility: Since you get only two working days after trade (T+2) to
transfer shares from your account to the broker’s account in case of a
sale, you must check whether the DP is easily accessible or not. You can
also avail of the internet-based facility for transfer of shares, provided
your DP has subscribed for such a facility. This means that you need not
visit the DP’s office personally to submit the delivery instruction slip for
transferring shares from your account to the broker’s account. You may
keep this factor in mind while selecting the DP.
Some brokers and banks offer a ‘Three-In-One’ demat account, where you
open demat, broking and bank accounts with the same entity, in case of a bank
DP. Elsewhere, if the DP is a broker, an existing bank account can be used for
the purpose of a ‘Three-In-One’ account. This ensures easy transfer of funds.
However, in some cases the brokers insist on opening a bank account with a
particular bank as they often have tie-ups with that bank. E-trading platforms
are also available in most cases where ‘Three-in-One account’ facilities are
available.
You can approach any DP of your choice and fill up an account opening form.
At the time of opening an account, you have to sign an agreement with the DP,
which details your rights and duties and those of your DP as well.
You have to submit the following along with the prescribed account opening
form. In case you want to open an account jointly with other person(s), the
following should be submitted for all the account holders:
• Passport
• Voter ID Card
• Driving license
b) Statutory/Regulatory Authorities,
• Passport
• Voter ID Card
• Driving license
• Bank passbook
b) Statutory/Regulatory Authorities,
Note: It’s now mandatory to link Aadhaar number with your demat account.
You can submit a cancelled cheque which captures your MICR number and the
details of your bank account. Proper bank account details must be provided in
a demat account as benefits like dividend and interest may directly get credited
to the bank account. Also, when you make an application for an IPO, you may
receive a direct credit of the refund amount in your bank account to the extent
of shares not allotted.
You must remember to take all original documents to the DP for verification.
Your DP will carry out an “in-person verification” of account holder(s) at the
time of opening your account. You should remember to obtain a copy of the
agreement and schedule of charges for your future reference.
You can nominate one person for your demat account. While a minor can be a
nominee, the guardian will sign on behalf of the nominee and in addition to the
name and photograph of the nominee, the name, address and the photograph of
the guardian must be submitted to the DP.
In order to appoint a nominee, the nomination form duly filled-in should be
submitted to the DP either at the time of account opening or later. The account
holder, nominee and two witnesses must sign this form and the name, address
and photograph of the nominee must be submitted. If nomination was not
made at the time of account opening, it can be made subsequently by
submitting the nomination form. What’s more, you can change the nomination
anytime by simply filling up the nomination form once again and submitting it
to the DP.
Once you are through with this paper work, you are now ready to start
investing!
Stock markets are open from 9:15 a.m. to 3:30 p.m. on all working days.
Before the markets open, there is a pre-open session of trading activity. This
session is typically conducted between 9.0 am to 9:15 am. Stock exchanges
don’t work on Saturdays, Sundays and notified holidays.
SUMMARY
• A strong research unit and quality of earlier market predictions are a good
indicator of choosing a broking house.
• In share markets, time is money. How soon a broking house transacts your
requests can decide whether you make or lose money on the market.
• SEBI has mandated that DPs display the charges that they levy on
investors on their websites.
• DPs are not allowed to levy charges (other than documentation and
statutory charges) for opening accounts, crediting demat accounts and
custody charges.
• Some brokers and banks offer a ‘Three In One’ demat account, where you
open demat, broking and bank accounts with the same entity, especially in
case of a bank DR E-trading platforms are also available in most cases
where ‘Three in One account’ facilities are available.
• You must provide proper bank account details for a demat account, as
benefits like dividend and interest may directly be credited into the bank
account.
4. I know DPs cannot levy any charges for opening accounts, crediting
demat accounts, etc
Axioms
3. Check whether your broker can give you good research as well - It is
not about the brokerage fees always. You also should be able to get good
advice on various stocks. So go for a broker who not only offers you
competitive prices but also provides you good researched stocks.
5. Listen to the world, but take your own decisions - You will get advice
on stock market investing from various sources and at times, you can get
confused as well. Take advice but the final decision should be yours.
Chapter 7
Now that we have understood buying/selling shares on the stock market, let’s
understand investing in shares through various other channels/forms. They can
be through Initial Public Offering (commonly known as IPO), divestment by
public sector divestment (known as PSU divestment), applying for rights issue,
bonus or in Merger and Acquisitions. Let’s understand them one by one:
As the name suggests, initial public offer (IPO) is a company which is a first
time entrant into the stock markets offering shares to the public.
However, the promoters’ capital and the borrowings from banks and financial
institutions may not be sufficient for setting up or running the business over a
long term. So, companies invite the public to contribute towards the equity and
issue shares to individual investors.
As opposed to the Secondary Market, where you buy/sell shares on the stock
market, the Primary Market is where you buy (sales will happen in the
Secondary Market on the stock exchange) the shares which are issued by the
company the first (Initial) time. Hence, when you buy shares in the Primary
Market (IP0), the money which you pay goes to the company for its business
growth while, when you buy shares in the Secondary Market (on stock
exchange), the money which you pay goes to someone who currently owns
those shares.
Buying at Face Value:
The nominal value of the share is called the Face Value or Par Value. It is the
original cost shown on the share certificate and the extent to which the
shareholder is liable to the company. In the case of equity shares, the value is
generally quite small; for instance Rs 2, Rs 5, Rs 10, etc.
Buying at a premium:
When shares are offered at more than the Face Value, then it is said that the
issue is at a premium. The premium is the amount charged over the Face
Value. For example, if X Ltd. issues shares having a face value of Rs 10 at a
total price of Rs 20 per share, the difference between the issue price (Rs 20)
and the face value (Rs 10) is the share premium that the company is charging
you. Normally a company charges a premium if it has already accumulated
some past profits.
When a company launches an IPO inviting the public to apply for its shares, it
has to appoint various parties (intermediaries) that will enable it to
successfully complete the issue process. The various intermediaries involved
are:
• Bankers to the Issue: Bankers to the issue carry out all the activities of
ensuring that the funds are collected and transferred to the escrow
accounts.
Issue price is the price at which shares are issued by the company. This
includes the face value plus share premium, if any. Shares issued via an IPO
can be priced by two methods.
Firstly, the issuing company, in consultation with the Lead Merchant Banker,
arrives at a fixed price at which it offers the shares to the public. For example,
X Ltd. could decide to issue its shares at a price of Rs 20 per share.
Otherwise, the company and the Lead Merchant Banker could fix a minimum
(floor) and maximum (cap) price for the issue. This range is called the price
band. Investors are free to bid at any price within this range. The final price at
which all shares are issued to the applicants is determined by market forces
according to the demand for the issuing company’s shares. This is called the
Book Building Process.
For example, X Ltd. could decide to issue 3000 shares in a price band of Rs 20
(floor) and Rs 24 (cap) and invite investors to bid for the shares within this
band. Five bidders bid within this price band as per details below:
Bid Qty Bod Price(Rs.) Cumulative Qty Subscription
500 24 500 16.67%
1000 23 1500 50.00%
1500 22 3000 100.00%
2000 21 5000 166.67%
2500 20 7500 250.00%
The price discovery (cut off price at which the company decides the issue
price) is a function of demand at various prices. The highest price at which the
company is able to issue the desired number of shares is the price at which the
book cuts off (price at which 100% of the issue can be safely subscribed), i.e.,
Rs 22 in the above example. The company along with its BRLM will finalize
the issue price at Rs 22 or below. All bids at or above this price are valid bids
and considered for allotment.
In the case of a book building IPO, the offer must be open for a minimum of
three days and a maximum of seven days, i.e., applicants are allowed three to
seven days within which they should show their interest by applying for the
shares within this price band.
Sometimes, the company may retain the right to issue additional shares, over
and above the originally proposed issue. This over-allotment option, which
cannot exceed 15% of the originally proposed issue, is popularly known as the
“greenshoe” option. This is normally done if the demand for shares proves
much higher than expected. Continuing from the above example, X Ltd. can
decide to have a greenshoe option of 15% on its 3000 shares issue. In this
case, it can allot 3450 shares (15% over 3000 shares). A greenshoe option can
provide additional price stability to a share issue, since the company has the
ability to increase the supply of shares and smoothen out price fluctuations if
the demand surges too high.
The company also has the option to either call for the full amount of the issue
price or part of the amount at the time of inviting applications. In case it calls
for the full amount, no further amount is required from successful applicants,
and in case lesser shares are allotted to successful applicants, the excess
amount received is refunded. For example, if you had bid for 500 shares of X
Ltd. at Rs 22 per share, you would have paid Rs 11,000 to the company.
Assume that the final issue price was Rs 22 and you were allotted 100 shares
(since the issue was oversubscribed). The company will then refund you Rs
8,800 (Rs 11,000 less Rs 2,200).
Similarly, if the company calls only for a partial amount, say 50% of the issue
price, at the time of seeking applications. In this case, you would have made a
payment for Rs 5,500 (500 x Rs 11) while applying. You would then be
refunded Rs 3,300 (Rs 5,500 less Rs 2,200).
Investing in the primary market has its own benefits and drawbacks.
Some of the key benefits are:
• The investor does not have to pay any kind of brokerage or transaction fees
or any tax such as goods and service tax, stamp duty and STT (Securities
Transaction Tax).
• There is no need to time the market as all investors will get the shares at
the same price.
i) Money required for allotment of shares is taken from the bank account
only when the applicant’s application is selected for allotment.
ii) Since the money remains in the applicants’ accounts till share allotment,
they don’t have to worry about forgoing interest for that period.
iii) There is no need to worry about loss or delay of funds since the money is
directly credited by the bank into the applicants’ accounts.
Conclusion:
IPOs in recent times have lost shine due to dis-appropriate pricing and
promoters shying away due to very volatile markets. SEBI, however, has made
many amendments to safeguard the retail investors’ interest. They not only get
discount on the IPO price band,
Today, PSU Divestments or Offer for Sale have become the flavour for
investors. SEBI has directed private companies to have a public holding of
25% and PSUs to have a 10% public holding.
History: PSU divestment started with the new economic policy initiated in
1991. The need for private participation was urgently felt to improve the
falling return on investment ratio, quality of management, under-utilization of
capacities, problems related to poor planning and execution skills and above
all, to create autonomy in taking much needed business decisions. Many of the
PSUs then were becoming a drag on the overall economy and thus, to increase
the resources of the government and reduce fiscal deficit, PSU divestments
began.
IPO (Initial Public Offering) will be listed for unlisted companies. FPO
(Follow on Public Offer) will be for already listed companies.
In the current fiscal, the government has embarked on garnering Rs 40,000
crore through FPOs in PSUs like Coal India, Indian Oil, Bhel amongst others.
Divestment Process
• You need to compulsorily have a demat/trading account and permanent
account number (PAN) to participate in a divestment/Offer for Sale (OFS).
• The sellers are required to deposit the offered shares with the exchange
before 11.00 a.m. on the day.
• Once the OFS starts, you can participate in the process yourself using your
online trading account by placing your bids under the OFS section of your
broking website.
• Investors, who do not have an online trading account, can place their bids
by directing the dealer of their broking company to do it on their behalf.
You can modify or cancel your bids during the offer timings except in the
last 60 minutes i.e. till 2:30 p.m.
• The exchange will announce the indicative price only during the last 60
minutes of the OFS. Indicative price is the volume weighted average price
of all the valid/confirmed bids. For example, let’s say there are a total of
1,000 shares in an offer for sale with Rs 200 as the floor price. If the
investors bid for 200 shares at Rs 210 and 800 shares at Rs 200, the
indicative price for the offer would be [(200*210)+(800*200)]/1000 = Rs
202.
• Once the bidding gets over, the allotment price is fixed and allocation is
done. The successful bidders will be allotted shares directly into their
demat account on T+1 basis the very next day.
• While IP0s/FPOs remain open for 3-4 days, OFS gets over in a single
trading day as the markets gets closed for trading at 3:30 p.m.
• Though it is not mandatory to disclose the floor price before the issue
opens, the promoters usually disclose it prior to the share sale in almost all
of the issues. Alternatively, the promoters can submit the floor price in a
sealed envelope to the exchange which will be disclosed post closure of the
offer. In case the floor price is not disclosed to the public, the investors can
place their bids at any price they want.
Indicated below are the advantages for an investor for investing in a PSU
divestment:
1. Most PSUs are cash rich companies and pay rich dividends.
2. PSUs generally have good assets and almost have monopoly in the
businesses they operate in.
However, investors should be cautious and check the pricing of the offer since
some of these PSUs are trading at high valuations. Discounts do help attract
retail investors, but pricing is one of the foremost aspects that would help
attract retail investors.
A number of the issues recently have been offered at 5-10% discount to the
offer price. Hindustan Copper OFS in November 2012 gave a steep discount of
42% to the prevailing market price. Even then, the issue had to be bailed out
by the likes of Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) and public sector banks, led
by State Bank of India (SBI). The company was trading over 40 times its one-
year forward price-earnings (P/E), which was significantly high compared to
other companies in the metal and mining space.
Disadvantages:
While there are advantages of investing in PSUs, there are some disadvantages
too:
1. Many of the PSUs are still held by the government and complete
autonomy in terms of its operations is still not given. For instance, HPCL,
BPCL carry huge subsidy burden offered by the government on fuel.
2. Some of the PSUs are trading at high valuations and retail investors
should be aware of their future prospects before investing.
3. PSUs like MTNL, BSNL face intense competition in their respective area
of operations because of lack of efficiency and aggressiveness.
Conclusion:
PSU Divestment is a very good resource generating tool for the government to
curtail fiscal deficit and give autonomy to the companies. The government can
divest its stake either through fresh issue or follow on issue. Retail investors
can participate in the divestment program by subscribing to the issue and in
most cases they are given a discount in order to save their interests. However,
pricing remains the key factor and one should always check with experts the
prospects of the company before investing.
Advantages
• Rich dividends
• Monopolies in business they operate in
• Shares offered at good discounts to market pric
As far as the IPO is concerned, the total share issue is normally divided into
three parts for three categories of investors. These are:
2. Non-Institutional Investors.
3. Retail Investors.
Under this quota, financial institutions such as banks, mutual funds, insurance
companies, Foreign Institutional Investors, etc. are permitted to bid for the
shares. A maximum of 50 per cent of the issue can be reserved for investors
falling under the QIB category. Out of this 50 per cent, 5 per cent can be
reserved for mutual funds.
Non-Institutional Investors:
Retail Investors:
Under this quota, only individuals, both residents and NRIs, along with HUFs
are allowed to bid.
Apart from these two routes of investing, there are also some other ways of
investing directly in the companies:
1. Rights issue:
A company can come out with a rights issue in order to reward its
investors and give them a chance to subscribe to more shares in the
company. The capital of the company increases. For example, 1:4 rights
issue means an existing investor can buy one extra share for every four
shares already held by him/her. Usually the price at which the new shares
are issued by way of rights issue is less than the prevailing market price of
the stock, i.e. the shares are offered at a discount. Ideally, such an issue
occurs when a company needs funds for corporate expansion or a large
takeover.
2. Bonus Issue
Who doesn’t like a bonus? Bonus shares are always welcome and are
generally given by companies with strong fundamentals.
Conclusion:
• In the primary market, you buy the shares that are issued by the company
the first time.
• In the secondary market, you sell the shares on the stock exchange.
• When you buy shares in the primary market through an IPO, the company
uses the money for its business growth.
• The value that the company assigns to the share is called the face value or
par value. When shares are offered at more than the face value, the issue is
at a premium.
• Primary market issues are of four types: Initial Public Offer, Offer for Sale,
Follow on Offer, Rights Issue and Preferential Issue.
• The company issues shares at the issue price. However, the final price is
arrived at through the book building process, which is determined by
market forces according to the demand for the issuing company’s shares.
• For a book building IPO, the offer must be open for at least three days and
a maximum of seven days and can be extendable by another 3 days.
• In case demand for shares is higher than expected, the company can issue
additional shares, called the greenshoe option. This over-allotment option
cannot exceed 15% of the originally proposed issue.
• One of the key benefits of investing in the primary markets is that the
scope for price manipulation is smaller.
2. I will find out if there is any discount to the retail investors; if yes, then I
will go ahead and invest in a good company.
3. I will find out the reason as in why the company is giving out its shares.
4. Even while applying for a rights issue or a bonus issue, I will check the
valuations of the company.
Axioms
1. Research the stock: The rule remains the same while investing in an IPO
or an OFS or a rights issue as well. Know the company, its management
and the growth prospects of the company. Here, you also should be aware
of the reason why the company is raising money.
2. Know the price you are paying for the stock: Generally, these issues
are highly priced. So check whether the price is high; if yes, the reason for
the same needs to be known as in whether the company has any
monopoly in its area of business. If no, then you can buy the stock at
lower levels when it gets listed on the bourses.
5. Exit on listing if you are not a long term investor - If you do not want
to stay invested for a longer period and just want to gain on listing, then it
is better to exit on the listing day of the stock. Do not worry; market
volatility would give you many opportunities to enter the same stock
again!
Chapter 8
Now that you know the pros and cons of investing in IPOs and OFS, here’s
how you can actually go about the process of investing in the same.
The background of the promoters and the company is the first aspect that
you need to study. Check the professional background of the promoters,
their qualifications and experience in managing the company you propose
to invest in, their track record in managing any other companies, if any, etc.
A company promoted by experienced promoters would lend a higher level
of comfort when you are investing in it.
In case the company is newly promoted, i.e., there is no past track record,
there would not be any past performance of the company to evaluate. Then
you will have to limit your company evaluation to the prospects of the
industry it falls within, the competitive advantage (USP) that the company
would have vis-à-vis other players and the size of the opportunity the
company has before it.
In case the company is already in business, a study of the past track record
of the company as regards growth in sales and profits would help you in
understanding the company better.
You may think that it’s not your concern to dig into the ‘whys’ and `what
for’ of an IPO you are investing in. But the following explanation will tell
you that it is just as important as the background check. You need to
understand why the company is raising money via an IPO. Money could be
raised for several purposes including setting up or expansion of a project,
business growth, acquisition of a competitor or complementing business,
repayment of debt, etc.
Though you may not be fully conversant with the ins and outs of the
business the company is in, or will be engaging in, you need to understand
how, after raising the funds, the company will be able to enhance its value.
This is best measured in terms of increasing its sales, profits or profitability
(profits as a per cent of sales).
Promoters’ stake
The promoters’ stake in the company should be closely watched too. A low
promoter stake indicates a lesser commitment by the promoters. A higher
promoter stake indicates that the promoters are committing/ risking more as
they believe more in the business and the company.
Share price
Thus, to value the share price correctly, you must understand the method
which best suits a particular company and then apply that valuation method
to judge the fair value. If the issue price exceeds the fair value, then you
should avoid the issue.
Let us take a look at a couple of methods for valuing a company’s shares.
Price Earnings (PIE) Ratio: This is the most popular method for valuing
shares and most companies in the manufacturing and services sector tend to
be valued so. This valuation method is based on the concept that a share
price is some number of times a company’s profit per share.
The PIE ratio is calculated by dividing the proposed price of the issue by
the earnings per share (EPS) of the company to arrive at a multiple. The
EPS is calculated by dividing the profits (earnings) of the company by the
total number of shares that the company has issued. The higher the
multiple, the more expensive the company (or its share) is valued at. The
company’s P/E ratio should be compared with that of other companies in
the same industry, to gauge its standing. Market leaders enjoy higher PIE
ratios than their peer group.
Suppose X Ltd. already has a share capital of 3000 shares (face value Rs 10
each) and proposes to issue 3000 new shares via an IPO at Rs 20 (face
value Rs 10 and share premium Rs 10). Money raised from this IPO would
be towards expansion of its business and post-expansion, X Ltd.’s total
profits are estimated at Rs 20,000. Its EPS (Earnings Per Share) will then be
Rs 3.33 per share (Rs 20,000 divided by 6000 shares). Hence, its P/E ratio
will be 6 (Rs 20 divided by Rs 3.33). Now, if other companies in the same
industry are quoted in the stock market in the band of 7x to 10x profits, the
issue by X Ltd. at 6x can be considered reasonably priced.
Issue Price to Book Value (P/BV): This valuation method is used mostly in
valuing real estate and banking companies and is based on the concept that
a share price is closer to the company’s book value (BV). Book Value is the
number arrived at when you divide the company’s net assets (all assets less
liabilities) by the total number of shares that the company has issued. You
then divide the company’s issue price by this number (BV per share). The
lower this number, the more reasonable the price of the share. The
company’s Price to Book ratio should be compared with that of other
companies in the same industry, to see its standing.
Suppose X Ltd.’s total assets are Rs 210,000 and liabilities are Rs 30,000,
i.e., net assets are Rs 180,000 (Rs 210,000 less Rs 30,000). It has issued
(including the current IPO of 3000 shares at Rs 20 per share) 6000 shares
having a face value of Rs 10 each. Its book value will be Rs 30 (Rs 180,000
divided by 6000 shares). Its price to book value will be 0.50 (Rs 20 divided
by Rs 30).
Sales/Turnover
Operating Margins
Operating profit margin is the ratio of the operating profit to the total sales
of the company. Operating profit is the difference between operating costs
and turnover. Better the operating margin, healthier is the company. X Ltd.
had an operating margin of 25% in Year 1 (Rs 25,000 divided by Rs
100,000) but the margin is steadily decreasing (23% in Year 2 and 21.8% in
Year 3) with increasing turnover. This means that to grow faster than the
industry (see Turnover above), X Ltd. is partly sacrificing its operating
margins, i.e., possibly selling goods at a lower price to sell more than its
competitors.
Net Profit Margin
Total Net Profit divided by Turnover gives you the Net Profit Margin. Net
Profit margin normally moves in tandem with Operating margins except
when the company’s interest and depreciation costs changes significantly
either ways. These are the two main expense heads (and taxes) that are
reduced from operating profits to arrive at Net Profit. A company with
increasing turnover, increasing operating margins and increasing net profit
margins means that the company is becoming operationally stronger and
also paying less interest cost to support growth.
Cost of debt
Cost of debt gives a fair idea of the company’s operation. Good companies
often get cheaper funding than others. They have the negotiating power, as
their credit rating is often good due to a track record of consistent and
timely payments. Credit rating, hence, throws light on the financial health
of the company. X Ltd. has borrowed Rs 20,000 throughout Years 1-3 and
is paying an interest cost of 10%, i.e., Rs 2,000 every year on its borrowing.
IPO Rating
The Process of Assessing IPOs
• Check the promoters’ reputation and company’s background
• Find out why the ocmpany is having the IPO
• Find out the promoters’ stake
• Assess the share offer prive
• Do financial analysis
• Find out IPO rating
Studying each and every public issue may not be possible. Hence, financial
experts such as brokers, consultants, etc. usually rate the IPOs and take
decisions on behalf of their clients - the investors. However, such
individuals may have vested interests in recommending the issue. Hence, a
neutral agency having expertise in judging IPOs could grade issues in order
to provide a fair view to potential investors.
Once you are convinced that an IPO is worth investing into, the next step is
applying for the issue by following these simple steps:
Application form
Application forms are available with any share broker, bank, depository
participant, etc. You need to have a demat account, since physical shares are
no longer allotted. Information asked in the form must be duly filled or else
the application is liable to get rejected. The following information must be
filled:
• Number of shares applied and in case of a book built issue, the bid price
• Bank details
You must then submit the form either from where you got it or with any of
the collecting bankers mentioned in the application form. It’s as simple as
that. You must now wait for the allotment or the refund order.
Steps to Allotment
The bidders who bid at a lower price than the issue price fixed by the
BRLM are not eligible for allotment. Therefore, only those who apply at or
above the issue price have chances of getting allotment.
Presently we follow the T+6 day system for the listing of shares, meaning
from the closing day of an issue, the shares must get listed within 6 business
days.
Now that you have understood the investing process through the primary
market, let’s venture into investing through the secondary market!
To invest in the secondary market, you need to procure the services of a
broker.
SUMMARY
• Use valuation techniques like PE ratio and Issue price to Book Value
ratio to gauge if the issue price exceeds the fair value, in which case you
should avoid the issue.
• The Issue price to Book Value method is used mostly in valuing real
estate and banking companies. Book Value is the value when you divide
the company’s net assets (all assets less liabilities) by the total number
of shares that the company has issued.
• In case over-subscription is very high and the company cannot allot the
minimum number of shares to a shareholder, the company can resort to
a “lottery” system to decide allotment.
• The shares must be listed on the stock exchange within 6 working days
from the closure of an issue.
2. I would read the risks involved in the business of the company and also
do due diligence of the promoters’ background.
3. I would take expert opinion, if required, to assess the fair price of the
company using valuation methods.
4. Depending upon the listing price and its movement on the listing day, I
would decide whether to hold the shares or sell them on that day itself.
Axioms:
5. Take expert advice when to exit the stock: On the listing date, if the
stock price moves up continuously or if it falls to below the floor price,
you should be prepared for your next move. Take expert advice
whether you should book profits or stay invested.
Chapter 9
Now that you know about what to look out for in companies when
investing, the nature of stock exchanges, choosing a broker and choosing a
depository participant, let’s take a look at the process of investing in
equities and debt instruments in the secondary market. Parties to
transactions:
Retail investors are individual investors with limited access to funds. These
are small value investors who park their surplus funds in equities to earn
returns.
Mutual funds pool in money of several investors and invest in various asset
classes including equities. These funds are managed by professional fund
managers who for a fee manage your investments along with those of
others. Returns generated by them are distributed among the investors in
proportion to the investments made by individual investors. As businesses
are becoming increasingly complex to value and markets are becoming
increasingly volatile, this investment mode has gained a lot of popularity
across the world. It is ideal for investors who lack the skill and acumen to
pick up good stocks. Not only that, it also offers investors a variety of
schemes to choose from.
You can now see at one glance the process of investing - that is purchasing
and selling shares - in the secondary market.
In case you choose to purchase shares on the stock market, the process will
be:
• The Broker issues you a contract note detailing the value of shares
purchased, plus his brokerage cost plus incidental charges.
• Make payment to the Broker.
• The Broker collects your shares via a settlement process and makes
payment on your behalf.
• The Broker issues you a contract note detailing the value of shares sold,
his brokerage cost plus incidental charges.
• Transfer shares from your depository account to your broker’s pool
account.
• The Broker delivers your shares via a settlement process and collects
payment on your behalf.
Price:
Circuit Filters:
Volume:
The term volume refers to the total number of shares traded during the day.
Volumes can be calculated for particular scrip or even for all the scrips
traded on the stock exchange.
Debt instruments:
In secondary markets, like equity shares, certain debt instruments (bonds)
are also quoted. The stock exchanges, viz. BSE and NSE, have a separate
segment called the Debt Segment where these debt instruments are traded.
Bonds:
These are issued at a discount to the face value and at the time of
redemption the bond holder is reimbursed with the face value of the bond.
The difference between the issue price and redemption value is the
investor’s gain (return). For example, X Ltd. could issue bonds having a
face value and redemption value (value at which the company will pay back
the investor) of Rs 100. If these bonds are issued for Rs 80 and are
redeemed after three years, the difference between the redemption value
and face value of Rs 20 will be the investor’s return. As these bonds don’t
pay any periodic coupon (interest) rate, they are known as zero coupon
bonds.
Convertible Bond:
These bonds offer the investor the option to convert bonds into equity
shares at a fixed conversion price. For example, X Ltd. could issue
convertible bonds of face value Rs 100 giving the option to the investor for
converting it into five equity shares at a price of Rs 20 per share three years
from allotment of the bonds.
• Mutual funds pool together the money of several investors and invest in
various asset classes including equities. Professional fund managers
manage them.
• The forces of demand and supply govern the price of a share. You can
constantly monitor share prices on a trading screen.
• To protect the interest of investors and guard them against major losses
due to volatile price movements, shares are subjected to an upper and a
lower circuit. There are various slabs like 5%,10% and 20% circuits.
• Bonds are like any fixed income investment; they carry an interest rate
and are redeemable after a specified period.
• T-bills or Treasury bills are short-term (less than one year) securities
issued by the Government.
1. Since I do not have ample time for tracking investments, I would put
some money into mutual funds.
2. Apart from equities, I would also explore the options for bonds,
government securities and other debt instruments.
Axioms
1. Risk and rewards go hand in hand: Unless you take risk, there is no
lucrative opportunity for returns. However, if you don’t see risk in an
investment, don’t buy it.
3. Flls drive the market - It is widely known fact that Hs who have huge
corpus drive the market direction. It would be useful to also be aware
of their market participation and seek this opportunity to shuffle your
portfolio.
4. Circuit filters are not a major help: Upper and lower circuit limits work
for a particular trading day. If the outlook for a particular stock has
suddenly turned negative, it would start getting selling pressure and
might face lower circuit limits almost everyday. Retail investors may
not get an opportunity to transact within these.
Chapter 10
Now that you know what secondary markets are, let’s see how you can go
about investing in them.
The Accounts:
• Broking Account
• Demat Account
• Bank Account
You will need to have a demat account so that shares purchased/sold by you
can be credited/debited to this account. Refer to Chapter 6 for this. Many
brokers also act as depository participants (DPs) with NSDL and/or CDSL.
It means that you can maintain your demat account with your broker. You
may give your broker a specific power of attorney to operate your demat
account on your behalf, if you so desire. The broker will then automatically
debit your demat account to the extent of shares sold and effect delivery of
shares from there. In the absence of such power of attorney, you will have
to fill up, sign and submit the share delivery instruction slip each time
shares are sold. Alternatively, in case you do not want to maintain your
demat account with the broker, you can opt for Banks and SEBI approved
financial institutions or any of the DPs registered with a depository to
maintain a demat account. You would incur some nominal charges for
maintaining a demat account.
You will also need a bank account for making payments towards purchase
of securities and receiving payments pursuant to sale of securities. Certain
brokers link these three accounts (broking/ demat/bank) enabling you to
conveniently buy and sell shares on their trading website, removing the
need to physically write or receive cheques or delivery instruction slips.
The broker earns his income out of commission that he charges every time
you buy or sell shares. Over the years, brokerage rates have come down
gradually. Most brokers charge a commission on the transaction value in
delivery based transactions, i.e., where you will take or give delivery of
shares and not buy/sell and square up within the same day. In case you
buy/sell and square up on the same day (popularly known as intra-day
trading) then brokerage charges are generally lower. Brokers charge
different brokerage rate to different customers based on the volume of
business they generate from customers.
Once you have opened these accounts you are ready for trading.
Money for the margin:
You must maintain some margin money with the broker depending on the
volume and the size of transactions you are likely to execute. The broker
gives you an exposure on the basis of such margin money. Say for instance
you maintain Rs 25,000 as margin money with the broker and he offers an
exposure of four times the margin money. This would mean that you can
place an order for purchasing shares worth Rs 100,000. Once the order gets
executed you would have to pay the full amount of Rs 100,000 plus
brokerage and other taxes so as to maintain the margin of Rs 25,000 with
your broker.
We will now take you through the investment process to make you
conversant with it.
Buy/Sell instruction:
• Decide which company you want to invest into, the number of shares
you want to buy and the price at which you want to buy these shares.
• Place the order for the same by instructing the broker to purchase the
shares on the above terms.
• The broker will feed your order in his trading terminal through which
he can access the automated system which will match the orders
between a buyer and a seller.
NEAT (NSE) and BOLT (BSE) are widely used operating systems for
trading of shares.
The above illustration will give you some idea of what the trading screen
looks like. The headings in the illustration are indicative and not exhaustive.
There are also “Market Orders” where shares are purchased or sold at the
currently prevailing market price. If you instruct the broker to buy 100
shares of a company at “market price” then as per the table ‘Matching
orders’, you would get the shares at Rs 1699 which is the best sell offer.
Matching Orders
Scrip Pre Last Last traded Best buy Best by Bes sell Sell Volume
Name Close traded quantity quantity bid offer quantity Traded
price
Company 1,688.05 1695.00 175 100 1697.25 1699.00 125 4,87,565
A
Company 901.00 905.00 35 50 903.00 904.50 150 3,98,252
N
Company 1101.45 1090.00 400 200 1089.50 1090.00 45 2,45,846
C
But had you wanted to buy at Rs 1694 then the order would have stayed
pending until it found a buyer at that price. Similarly, if there’s a seller who
wants to sell the company’s shares at Rs 1701 then his order too would stay
pending until it found a buyer at that price. Apart from what is displayed in
the table, there is also other information like open price, day’s high price,
day’s low price, etc. An investor can see the 5 best buy offers and 5 best sell
offers on the trading terminal. This screen is known as the Order Book.
As seen in the table ‘Order Book’, the best buy bid is of Rs 1697.25 per
share. Once the buyers at that price get their shares, the next best price that
is Rs 1697.15 per share would appear on the trading screen as the best bid
for Company A. This price would find place in the table ‘Matching Orders’
in the best buy bid column against Company A. The case would be vice
versa for selling shares.
An order fed in the computer holds validity for the entire trading day. In
limit orders you can modify the price and quantity for your order as long as
it’s not executed. Alternatively, you can altogether cancel your order.
Delivery:
Once the order for buying shares is executed, you are obligated to take
delivery of the shares and pay for the same. Similarly, the seller who has
sold the shares is obligated to deliver the shares and collect payment for the
same. This process is known as the “clearing and settlement” process and is
handled by the respective brokers via the Clearing Corporation/Clearing
House (CC/CH) of stock exchanges (National Securities Clearing
Corporation Ltd. (NSCCL) in case of NSE and BOl Shareholding Ltd.
(BOISL) in case of BSE). These are taken care of in pay-in and pay-out of
funds and securities.
Making payment:
When you purchase shares, the buying broker collects the money from you
and transfers it to a separate bank account (along with money from his other
clients who have done purchases). The CC/ CH matches the respective
buying brokers’ accounts and sends electronic instructions to the clearing
banks to debit the buying brokers’ accounts to the extent of their payment
obligations. The banks process these instructions and debit bank accounts of
the buying brokers and credit accounts of the CC/CH. Simultaneously, the
CC/CH will carry out a similar exercise for the shares to be credited to the
buying broker’s account, i.e., shares purchased by the buying broker on
your and other clients’ behalf.
Receiving payment:
This is the reverse of Pay-in. When you sell your shares, you are entitled to
the sale proceeds and obligated to deliver your shares. The broker in this
case will collect the shares sold for you and transfer these to his “delivery
pool” account (along with shares of other clients who have sold shares
through him). The CC/CH matches the respective selling brokers’ accounts
and sends electronic instructions to the clearing banks to credit selling
brokers’ bank accounts to the extent of their receipt entitlements. The banks
process these instructions and credit accounts of the selling brokers and
debit accounts of the CC/CH. Simultaneously, the CC/CH will carry out a
similar exercise for the shares to be debited to the selling broker’s pool
account, i.e., shares sold by the broker on your and other clients’ behalf.
Instruct to sell:
Every time you sell shares you need to fill up the delivery instruction slip
and hand it over to the DP. A delivery instruction slip would contain the
following details:
• International Securities Identification Number (ISIN): - It is a unique
code assigned to a security of a company. No two securities would have
the same ISIN number.
• Clearing Member (CM) Name: - This will bear your broker’s name
since he acts as a clearing member for you.
• CM-BP ID: - This is the id assigned by NSDL to the clearing member.
You need to put in your broker’s CM-BP id in the assigned column.
You have the option of giving your broker a specific Power of Attorney
(POA) to automatically debit your demat account to the extent of shares
sold by you. In this case, your broker will fill the required slips for
transferring the shares from your demat account. It is advisable to give POA
only to a person in whom you have full faith and trust. Once you have given
the delivery instruction slip to your DP, your DP executes the instruction
and on the execution date prescribed by you, the shares move to the
broker’s pool account. Indian markets follow a T+2 settlement cycle, i.e.,
the pay-in and pay-out of funds and shares are completed on the second
working day from the date of trading. So if you buy shares on Monday, you
need to pay the broker latest by Tuesday morning (so that his account can
be debited by CC/CH on Wednesday morning) and you should receive the
shares in your demat account within one working day after the pay-out.
Similarly, if you sell shares on Monday, you need to submit the delivery slip
of such shares latest by 4 p.m. on Tuesday and you should receive a cheque
from the broker within one working day after the pay-out, i.e., by Thursday
in our example.
Once this process is completed, the settlement is fully completed, i.e., you
have made payment of the shares you purchased and have got the shares
credited to your demat account or conversely in case of a sale delivered the
shares and got the money credited to your bank account.
Selling first:
Normally as an investor, you would only sell what you have already
invested in. Our stock markets allow you to also short sell, i.e., sell shares
even though you don’t own them. You would do this if you expect the price
of a share to fall and want to profit from it without owning the shares.
As this would imply that you would not be able to give delivery of the
shares that you’ve sold, as you don’t own them, you will have to buy them
back (on the same day) at a lower price. When you buy back the shares, the
transaction gets squared up with a “sell” followed by a “buy” and you are
not required to give delivery of shares. You would gain out of such a
transaction if you have been able to square up at a profit (buy at a lower
price). If you are unable to buy at a lower price (the share instead of falling
as expected, rises instead) you will make a loss from this transaction. For
example, you expect prices of X Ltd. to drop and short sell 100 shares of X
Ltd. at Rs 30 per share on Tuesday at 11 a.m. You will have to buy back
100 shares of X Ltd. before market closes at 3:30 p.m. on Tuesday. In case
you are able to buy the same below Rs 30, you profit from the transaction,
otherwise you are exposed to a loss to the extent of difference between your
buy price and Rs 30.
If you have short sold the shares in the cash segment, then as explained
above, you have to square up the sale by purchasing them the very same
day. However, in the Futures segment, it is possible to carry forward your
short positions over the next day or in that case, till the date of expiry of the
futures contracts (refer to the section on Derivatives Investing in Chapter
9).
• The NSE and BSE are the major stock exchanges. Of these, NSE has
higher volume and value of shares traded than the BSE. The NSE is also
a better market for derivatives.
• Brokers use NEAT (NSE) and BOLT (BSE) operating systems for
trading shares.
• Market orders are when shares are purchased or sold at the currently
prevailing market price.
• An order fed in the computer is valid for the entire trading day. For
Limit orders, you can modify the price and quantity for your order until
it is executed.
• The respective brokers handle the clearing and settlement process via
the Clearing Corporation/Clearing House (CC/CH) of stock exchanges.
For NSE the clearing house is National Securities Clearing Corporation
Ltd (NSCCL) and in case of BSE, it is BOI Shareholding Ltd. (BOISL).
• Pay-in and Pay-out are handled by the broker and the CC/CH.
• Indian Markets follow a T+2 settlement cycle i.e. the pay in and pay out
of funds and shares are completed on the second working day from the
date of trading.
• Short selling is when you sell shares even though you don’t own them,
and is permitted in Indian stock markets. This is done when you expect
the price of a share to fall and want to profit from it without owning the
shares. You have to square off your positions by the end of the day.
Short selling can be tricky and only seasoned investors should attempt
this.
Axioms
4. Smart broker would execute orders swiftly: Stock prices can have a
free fall or quick jump in certain situations and only a smart broker can
maximize your gains and minimize your losses. Be sure you have your
account with a smart broker!
5. Don’t get emotional about a stock: If you have made heavy losses in
a particular stock, don’t swear to yourself that you’ll make profits in
the same stock. Just chill out! Similarly, you should know to book your
profits and losses.
Chapter 11
Now that you are conversant with the investing process, we will look into
how to select companies that would prove to be good investment avenues.
The two most used tools to select companies and prices at which you should
buy them are Fundamental analysis and Technical Analysis.
Broadly, you can go about selecting the company either by a “top down”
approach or a “bottom up” approach.
“Top Down” means that you first study the state of the economy, the
industries that will benefit the most from the current state of the economy,
and then the companies that provide the best value within these industries.
“Bottom Up” focuses more at the company level while the industry and
economy are given less importance.
Whichever approach you use, what do you look out for in a company? After
you have evaluated the promoters’ and company’s background, the
industry’s prospects and the company’s capability to capitalize on the
opportunities, what is important is to understand and interpret financial
statements of companies. It involves analysis of revenues, expenses, assets,
liabilities, cash flows, etc. of previous years and then trying to estimate the
future performance of a company. There also is comparative analysis of
companies belonging to the same sector.
All this analysis helps to determine what price is fair for the company’s
share. The share price of a company would be overvalued or undervalued if
it is not trading around the fair price level. An undervalued share is one
whose current trading price is below its fair value and such a share provides
an opportunity to buy. An overvalued share trades above the fair value and
hence there is a bright chance that it might correct down to come close to its
fair value. Fair value, however, is relative and ambiguous. Different
analysts might arrive at different fair values for the same company as their
assessment about the company and estimations about the future prospects
vary.
Thus, to value the share price correctly, you must understand the method
which best suits a particular company and then apply that valuation method
to judge the fair value. If the market price (or issue price in case of an !PO)
exceeds the fair value, then you should avoid the share.
This is the most popular method of valuing shares and most companies in
the manufacturing and services sector tend to be valued accordingly. This
valuation method is based on the concept that a share price is some number
of times a company’s profit per share.
The PIE Ratio is calculated by dividing the proposed price of the issue by
the earnings per share (EPS) of the company to arrive at a multiple. The
EPS is calculated by dividing the profits (earnings) of the company by the
total number of shares that the company has issued. The higher the
multiple, the more expensive the company (or its share) is valued at. The
company’s P/E Ratio should be compared with that of other companies in
the same industry, to see its standing. Market leaders enjoy higher P/E
ratios than their peer group.
But this is assuming that the earnings stay constant at Rs 20 per share. In
case of a growing company, earnings tend to grow over the previous year’s
earnings. Assume X Ltd.’s earnings are expected to grow at a rate of 25 per
cent over the next few years. (Year 1= 20, Year 2 = 201.25 = 25, Year 3 =
25x1.25 = 31.25, Year 4 = 31.25x1.25 = 39). In such a case, you will be
able to recover the Rs 100 you paid for the share much earlier, say in
approximately three and a half years and hence the “forward” P/E multiple
will drop from 5 to approximately 3.5
This valuation method is used mostly in valuing real estate and banking
companies and is based on the concept that a share price is closer to the
company’s book value (BV). Book Value is the number arrived at when you
divide the company’s net assets (all assets less liabilities) by the total
number of shares that the company has issued. You then divide the
company’s issue price by this number (BV per share). The lower this
number is, the more reasonable the price of the share would be. The
company’s Price to Book Ratio should be compared with that of other
companies in the same industry, to see its standing.
Suppose X Ltd.’s total assets are Rs 210,000 and liabilities are Rs 30,000,
i.e., net assets are Rs 180,000 (Rs 210,000 less Rs 30,000). It has issued
6000 shares having face value of Rs 10 each. Its book value will be Rs 30
(Rs 180,000 divided by 6000 shares).
Whether you have adopted the PIE or the P/BV approach to arrive at a
share valuation, you would then have to compare it to other companies
within the same industry to gauge whether the company you are evaluating
is expensive or undervalued compared to its peers.
Assume X Ltd. has the following financials for the last three years:
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Tuner Over 1000000 115000 138000
Costs 750000 88500 07970
Operating Profit 25000 26500 30030
Opeating Margins 25.0% 23.0% 21.8%
Interest 2000 2000 2000
Profit Before Taxes 23000 245000 28030
Taxes 6900 7350 8409
Net Profit 16100 17150 19621
Net Profit Margins 16.1% 14.9% 14.2%
Share Capital 30000 30000 30000
Reserves 16100 33250 52871
Net Worth 46100 63250 82871
Book Value (Rs.) 15.4 21.1 27.6
Loans 20000 20000 20000
Return on Net Worth 34.9% 27.1% 23.7%
Debt Equity ratio 0.43 0.32 0.24
Sales:
Operating profit margin is the ratio of the operating profit to the total sales
of the company. Operating profit is the difference between operating costs
and turnover. The operating margin reflects the operational efficiency of a
company. It reflects how efficiently a company is utilizing its resources like
labour, raw materials, etc. Better the operating margin, healthier is the
company. X Ltd. had an operating margin of 25% in Year 1 (Rs 25,000
divided by Rs 100,000) but the margin is steadily decreasing (23% in Year
2 and 21.8% in Year 3) with increasing turnover. This means that to grow
faster than the industry (see Turnover above), X Ltd. is partly sacrificing its
operating margins, i.e., possibly selling goods at a lower price to sell more
than its competitors.
Total Net Profit divided by Turnover gives you the Net Profit Margin. Net
Profit Margin normally moves in tandem with Operating Margins except
when the company’s interest and depreciation costs change significantly
either ways. These are the two main expense heads (and taxes) that are
reduced from operating profits to arrive at Net Profit. A company with
increasing turnover, increasing operating margins and increasing net profit
margins indicates that the company is becoming operationally stronger and
also paying less interest cost to support growth.
Cost of debt gives a fair idea of the company’s operation. Good companies
often get cheaper funding than others. They have the negotiating power, as
their credit rating is often good due to a track record of consistent and
timely payments. Credit rating, hence, throws light on the financial health
of the company. X Ltd. has borrowed Rs 20,000 throughout Years 1-3 and
is paying an interest cost of 10%, i.e., Rs 2,000 every year on its borrowing.
RONW:
This is arrived at by dividing the company’s Net Profit by the company’s
total Net Worth. This shows how well the company is utilizing its
shareholders funds. The higher the ratio, the more efficiently the company
is using its shareholders funds.
This is arrived at by dividing the company’s debt by its net worth. The ratio
reflects how much of the total capital of the company is funded by
borrowed funds (debt) and how much by owned funds (equity). The lower
the ratio, the healthier the company and this would mean that it will be able
to face business downturns better as it would not be obligated to service
(pay interest and repay principal) much debt.
There are several other ratios that enable investors to make out various
aspects about the company. You can always check for quarter-on-quarter
and year-on-year earnings growth of companies to see how fast it is
growing.
The following are some of the other criteria that you can look into while
evaluating a company on the fundamentals:
• Checkout the products and services a company is dealing in. What is the
future outlook? Is the market for its products/ services growing? Is the
company positioned to service higher demand?
• Does the company hold remunerative patents and copyrights? For what
period are they valid? This holds a lot of relevance for pharma
companies
It is often said that in stock market you go with the trend. So what is trend?
A trend is nothing but the direction of price movement. However, you need
to keep in mind that prices never move in a straight line, rather they always
move in a zigzag way making highs and lows in a particular time span.
Now when you follow those high and low points they represent a trend. A
trend can be up ward, downward or side ways. This is one of the important
aspects of technical analysis, as the trend can guide you to buy, sell a stock
or just stay on the sideline. In terms of time frame, a trend can be long term,
intermediate and short term. Also, a long term would consist of many short
and intermediate term trends. Now when you join the top points of the
highs or the bottom points of the lows you have a trend line.
Every time the share price comes around the support level, buyers would
come in to buy the stock. As a result of increased buyer interest and strong
demand for the share at the support level, the price will start moving
upward. If there is any bad news about the company or any internal or
external development that would affect the company adversely then the
support is broken and the price might fall sharply. In the case of resistance,
the opposite holds true.
Every time the share price reaches the upper end of the price range, i.e., the
resistance level, investors start selling the stock. The resistance would be
broken if there is increased demand for the stock. The demand might come
on the back of positive news, impressive earnings or any other factor like
the company getting a new business contract. When a support level is
broken, it would become the resistance level of the new price range and
when a resistance is broken it becomes the support level of the new price
range. Let’s take the example of the Company X. It is trading at a price of
Rs 205.00. It has a support at Rs 195.50 and a resistance at Rs 209.00. If the
209.00 mark is crossed convincingly then 209.00 would become the new
support level of the share. If the share price goes below 195 then the level
would become the new resistance level for the stock. Every time a support
or a resistance is broken with high volumes of shares traded then it’s a
strong confirmation that the share has moved in a new price range.
When the prices move in a particular trend and after pausing for some time,
continue to move in the same earlier direction, it’s known as continuation
trend. There are some particular patterns, which are known as continuation
patterns. Triangles and flags are two major formations of continuation
patterns.
Triangles: The price moves in such a way that the trend lines form a shape
of a triangle. There can be three types of triangles:
a) Symmetric- In this pattern, two trend lines converge as the upper one
moves down and the lower one goes up.
b) Ascending- Here, the lower trend line moves up and crosses the flat or
horizontal upper line.
c) Descending- This is just the opposite of the ascending line, as here, the
upper line moves down and crosses the flat or horizontal lower line.
If it’s an uptrend or down trend, then there is a high chance that after
breaking out of this triangular pattern, prices would continue to move in the
earlier direction. In case of an uptrend, the upper trend line provides
resistance and lower trend line provides support. In case of a downtrend,
this becomes just the opposite.
The patterns that indicate the end of the current trend and starting of a new
trend are known reversal patterns. There can be top reversal, which signifies
end of an up-move and a bottom reversal, which indicates end of a
downtrend. Needless to say that for any reversal pattern to take place, there
has to be a prior trend. Volume plays an important role in reversal patterns.
Normally reversal patterns happen after breaking out of a trend line on
either side. Normally, the volatility remains higher when a top is made in an
uptrend than during a bottom formation in a downward trend.
When the price crosses the ‘neckline’, it normally signifies that a reversal is
already on the way and the opposite movement normally equals to the
distance between the tip of the ‘head’ and the ‘neckline’ of the ‘head- and-
shoulder’. When this pattern is formed in case of a downward trend, it is
called inverse head-and-shoulder.
Double and triple bottoms and tops: When in an uptrend, prices make the
same highs or when in a downtrend, prices hit the lowest points a couple of
times, they are known as double top or double bottom respectively. When
such high or low points are hit three times, they are termed as triple top or
bottom. These patterns essentially indicate that despite market forces, the
prices are not able to cross those respective support or resistances and thus,
there is a high possibility of a trend reversal.
Gap analysis:
c) Exhaustion gap - This can happen after the other two gaps already
had been there and instead of going up or coming in a new trend,
prices falter. This can cause significant move in the opposite direction
and can trap traders.
Candlestick technique:
Candle stick patterns are easier to understand visually and can be used
extensively in technical analysis.
Doji: When there is extremely choppy price movement with prices closing
very near to the opening positions, these types of candle sticks are formed.
They also represents indecision but normally used as an indication of a
reversal.
Bearish engulfing pattern: This is just the opposite of the bullish pattern.
Here, the price opens higher than the previous closing and closes below the
previous open. It’s definitely a bearish signal.
Evening star: This is just the opposite of the morning star and signals a
bearish trend to start.
Hammer: These are candlesticks with long lower shadows with smaller
real body at the top. This type of formation at the bottom of a downward
trend is called hammer. A pattern with long upper shadow and smaller real
body at the bottom is known as inverted hammer and they are normally
formed at the top of an upward trend. You can understand that these give
you reversal signals.
There are other patterns also and they are helpful in understanding the price
direction and future trend of a stock. However, all these patterns and
indicators need to be supported by good liquidity, which implies large
participation. Thus, trading volume plays an important role in technical
analysis.
At the base level, technical analysis starts with analysis of share price charts
whereas fundamental analysis revolves around study of company’s financial
statements.
A company may not be fundamentally sound but it may yet make for a
good trading buy if its price is hovering around the support level. So it can
be said that technical analysis is used for a trade and fundamental analysis
is used to make an investment decision. To conclude, the approaches do not
substitute each other but if judiciously used can complement each other.
• Fundamental analysis and Technical Analysis are the two popular tools
used for picking stocks.
• The two methods used to start off on cherry-picking a company are the
‘top-down’ approach or the ‘bottom-up’ approach.
• You must hunt out undervalued shares, where its current trading price is
below its fair value, since these appreciate considerably over the long
term.
• The two common valuation ratios are the Price Earnings (P/E) ratio and
Issue price to Book Value (P/BV) ratio.
• With regard to which is the better method of analysis, you cannot use
one or the other. They have to be used together.
1. I will utilize both fundamental and technical tools to pick the right
stock.
2. While following technical calls, I would also strictly follow the support
and resistance levels.
5. I would also look at the credit rating given to the company by the
rating agencies.
Axioms
SELECTING EQUITY
Chapter 12
SELECTING EQUITY
Going by this approach, companies are always first identified with respect
to the dynamics of the economy and by tracking economic trends to
forecast the future. There are two types of factors which impact a share’s
price. While certain factors are common to all companies, there are a few
that are specific to an industry or a company. For example, when interest
rates change, it affects all sectors of an economy; however when the
government brings in price measures related to the cement industry, only
the cement industry gets affected. Hence, there are factors working at the
macro (economy/industry) level and micro (company) level.
Apart from pure economic factors, there are certain other factors which
have gained ground in recent years. For example, an eye on geo-political
developments also holds significance today, as terrorism and war do impact
world economies. For example, the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Centre
in US had repercussions across the world’s stock markets and it took a
fairly long period of time for markets to bounce back.
Assessing Sectors
The PIE ratio is the most widely used measure of valuing shares. A high
P/E ratio per se does not mean that a share is expensive. The company
could be growing at a much faster rate than its peers and hence deserves a
higher P/E. Let’s understand this via an example for Companies X and Y.
As per the table above, both companies have the same EPS of Rs 10 but
Company Y is traded at Rs 130 as against Rs 100 for Company X. On the
face of it, Y looks more expensive than X. However, when you account for
the growth in their respective earnings, Y at 50% as against X at 10%, the
outcome dramatically changes. Company X’s one year forward (next year)
WE moves down from 10 to 9.1 while Company Y’s one year forward WE
drops from 13 to 8.7, i.e.; lower than X.
For Company X, PEG is 1 (10 divided by 10) and for Company Y it is 0.26
(13 divided by 50). Lower the PEG, less expensive the share. Hence, don’t
look at a WE Ratio on a stand-alone basis. Consider this in terms of growth
in the company’s earnings and in relation to its peers. This analysis will
help in determining whether the company’s share is undervalued or
overvalued.
Investors using this approach are typically value investors hunting for a
good bargain. They look at under-researched companies that have the
potential to unlock long-term value and concentrate on the hidden value.
The maxim is that if a stock has strong fundamentals, then it would perform
well in all circumstances. If the situation turns out to be positive, then it can
perform well beyond expectations. However, it should not be forgotten that
stocks are selected to generate returns in all kinds of situations and not only
in the most optimistic situation.
Conclusion
There is no single style that works for everyone or at all times. In practice, a
blend of the top down and bottom up approach would work to your
advantage.
Further, while every style has its advantages, there are also limitations to
each. In the top down approach, by emphasizing too much on economic
conditions and market movement, changes not as per your expectations may
have a larger impact on your portfolio. Likewise, in the bottom up
approach, in the process of focusing on individual companies, industries
and sectors with a promising outlook may be left out. Hence, you must
avoid such pitfalls by taking a balanced view of the micro and macro
variables that influence the investing process.
SUMMARY
• The macro approach starts with macroeconomic factors like the state of
the economy. It then moves to the state of the industry and then to the
company.
• Try to look for sectors that have immense potential down the line. For
instance, in a growing economy, the infrastructure sector holds promise.
3. Beware; typically retail investors enter the markets when Flls or HNIs
are ready to exit the markets.
5. I will ensure that the price I pay to buy the stock is lesser than the
stock’s intrinsic value.
Axioms:
The stock market in India has seen several ups and downs in the last few
years. How does one manage investment within this kind of volatility? How
do you build wealth in spite of these large, and sometimes scary, market
movements? There are several approaches (strategies) you can adopt while
investing. Some of these are discussed below:
Value investing simply means investing into shares that are available at a
price below their true value. True value is value emerging from one or a
combination of assets, earnings, dividends, definite prospects and factors of
management. Fundamentals of value investing: Value investing is based on
the following premises:
A share is not simply a piece of paper that can be sold at a higher price
on some future date. Shares represent more than just the right to
receive future dividends from the business. Economically, each share is
an undivided interest in all corporate assets and ought to be valued as
such.
The truth is - stock markets are inefficient. This means that there is
always the possibility of making a profit in the market. If the markets
were efficient, the shares would be already priced at their intrinsic
value and hence, there would be no deviation between the intrinsic and
market price. This concept of efficient market believes that a stock is
always properly priced and an investor will not be able to generate
returns from investing in the market.
5) Margin of safety
Margin of safety is the difference between the share price and its
intrinsic value. This difference (buffer) absorbs any mistake any
investor might make in his calculations. This margin of safety may be
provided by a firm’s working capital position, past earnings
performance, land assets, economic goodwill, and a combination of
some or all of the above.
Thus the concept of value investing is centred on the fact that you as an
investor can benefit from any deviation in the value of a stock from its
intrinsic value. You need to understand the intrinsic value first before
making your investment. Implementation of value investing in real life
requires that you should look at the financial performance of the company.
Refer to earlier chapters on Fundamental Analysis to analyze financial
performance. Comparison of the company with its peers is also necessary in
case of value investing to understand its relative valuation vis-à-vis its
peers.
One of the basic premise on which the growth investing strategy is based is
that companies which have high growth potential can fetch better returns in
future. To identify the high growth potential of a company, some parameters
which are used are as follows:
2) Future Growth:
2) Stay objective:
Contrarian investing is very much like value investing except, that the
focus is specifically towards sectors and shares that are not currently
fancied by markets. Often this form of investing is made when a sector
or share has been beaten down in the markets due to some reason.
The problem with volatile equity markets is that you are never sure whether
you are buying at the bottom and selling at the top. Buying low and selling
high, i.e., timing the markets has rarely been successful for most investors.
Emotions often play a significant part in deciding buy and sell levels,
sometimes with disastrous results on returns and capital.
You decide that you would like to invest Rs 1 lakh in the stock markets
every year and would like to increase your exposure in the market every
year by Rs 1 lakh. The important word here is ‘exposure’ and not
investment. Now if by the end of Year 1 your investment value increases by
50%, i.e., your exposure to equity markets is now worth Rs 1.5 lakh. As
your investment by start of Year 2 already stands at Rs 1.5 lakh, you invest
only Rs 50,000 in the market in Year 2 to take your total market exposure to
Rs 2 lakh, while investing the balance in debt. By Year 3, assume the
market crashes and your investment value comes down by 50%, i.e.,
becomes Rs 1 lakh. As per your Value Averaging strategy, the value of your
investment should have been be Rs 3 lakh, i.e., you are short by Rs 2 lakh,
which is what should be invested (from your new savings and pulling
money out of debt). By Year 4, the market has zoomed up and has doubled,
i.e. your investment value of Rs 3 lakh now stands at Rs 6 lakh! What is
needed as per your plan is only Rs 4 lakh, i.e. instead of investing further in
the market at this point, sell off Rs 2 lakh and invest this in debt. And so on
and so forth.
In effect, instead of you deciding as to when to enter or exit the markets, the
market depending on its prevailing level is making this decision for you. If
the market is high (overheated), it triggers off a divestment out of the
market and similarly if its low (undervalued), it triggers off an investment
in the market.
This wraps up the various investment strategies that can be deployed in the
markets. A combination of these strategies would prove most beneficial as
you would then be able to develop a portfolio of shares that have been
identified from different strategies. Such a portfolio of shares is expected to
generate out performance returns with diversified risk.
Investing Strategies
Value Investing Growth Investing Contrarin Investing Value Averaging
• A share • Using the P/E • Inves inn value • Any time the maker
represents ratio to assess stock ignored by
ownershop grwoth stocks the market
• A share has • Assessing the • Stay objective • Take advantage of market
interisic future growth volatility
value
• Stock • Assess long • Control the value of your
markets are growth holding to eh level you are
not efficient confortable with
• Be
committed to
your
investment
• Have a
margin of
safety
SUMMARY
• Although the Sensex has grown phenomenally, it has not been a smooth
journey. Numerous corrections have shaken investor confidence.
• Picking an investment strategy suited to you will ensure that you sit
through market volatility and wait for your stocks to deliver value.
• There is no place for sentiment in value investing. One must look at the
stock market with a clear, unprejudiced eye.
• Growth investors don’t look for short-term profits. The very premise of
growth investing is to invest in stocks that have high growth potential,
which could fructify in the long-term.
• Contrarian investors go one way while the rest of the market takes the
exact opposite way.
• Few can time the market i.e. buying at the lowest dip and selling at the
highest peak.
• Value averaging aims to do away with the human element of timing the
market.
1. I won’t panic when the markets are volatile and there are negative
returns in my portfolio.
4. Instead of buying all the shares at one price, I will slowly and
gradually accumulate them.
5. I will have a well diversified portfolio of stocks and spread the risk
across.
Axioms:
4. Buy on dips and sell at peaks - Not possible for experts also: It is
very difficult to time the market even for the experts. To take care you
do not get caught at the wrong side, average the stock at different
levels.
Further, it must be borne in mind that these are transaction charges and are
levied when you buy or sell; they don’t include taxes which you have to pay
when you earn a profit. Hence, even in the event of losses, you will have to
pay these charges which effectively increase your losses.
Brokerage:
Your broker charges a commission based fee for all transactions of purchase
as well as sale of shares. Increased competition has drastically reduced
brokerage fees over the years. Typically, retail customers incur a brokerage
of 0.25 per cent to 0.50 per cent of the transaction value. Hence, if you ask
your broker to purchase 100 shares of a company @ Rs 1700/share and
your brokerage charge is 0.50 per cent, then the brokerage cost will be Rs
8.50 per share (0.50 per cent of Rs 1700) and your cost of shares would
increase from Rs 1700 to Rs 1708.5 per share (other charges explained
below are not considered).
Brokerage rates could be lower if you do not buy and sell for delivery and
square off the transaction on the same day (intra-day). For instance, if you
buy 100 shares of a company and sell them on the same day itself, then you
may incur a brokerage of 0.03 per cent to 0.05 per cent. Continuing the
above example of 100 shares of the company bought at Rs 1700 per share
and assuming intra-day brokerage of 0.05 per cent, the brokerage at the
time of purchase could be Rs 0.85 per share (0.05 per cent of Rs 1700).
Similarly, 0.05% could be payable on the sale price when you sell the
shares on the same day.
Demat Account:
Turnover Tax:
At present, the turnover tax on cash market transactions is 0.0037 per cent
of the transaction value.
Stamp Duty:
Stamp duty on broker contract notes is levied at 0.01 per cent of the
transaction value. It is levied on purchase as well as sale transactions.
Capital Gains:
Gains from shares held for more than one year and on which STT is paid on
sale are considered long-term capital gains and subject to 10 per cent tax
rate. Gains from shares held for less than one year and on which STT is
paid on sale are considered short-term capital gains and taxed @ 15 per cent
(plus surcharge and education cess)
SUMMARY
• High-volume traders and high networth individuals may get lower rates.
• If gains accrue from shares held for less than a year and you pay STT
on the sale, the gains are considered short-term capital gains and taxed
at a 15% rate (plus surcharge and education cess).
Your action points
1. I will select a broker not only because of lower brokerage, but a broker
who can also provide me good research.
3. I know I can buy and sell without taking delivery and square off the
position on the same day as well.
Axioms
1. Know the cost and your returns: While investing in the stock
market, understand the costs involved. You should know that you have
to pay brokerage and taxes on your investments. What is left is your
return!
INVEST ONLINE
Chapter 15
INVEST ONLINE
Investing online enables you to operate your share trading account through
the internet from anywhere in the world. It does away with the hassles of
contacting your broker on the phone to place orders, as you could punch in
the order yourself. This is the single biggest convenience that is making
online option popular in India, like other countries.
Many brokers prefer clients opting for online investing and are promoting it
over the conventional method as it saves costs, which they would otherwise
incur on running a conventional outlet, like rent for space, salaries,
electricity charges, etc. Among investors too, particularly the young tech
savvy lot, online investing is gaining popularity, as it offers flexibility.
You need to feed in the type of order, i.e., whether it’s a limit order or a
market order. A market order gets executed immediately at the prevailing
market price. Other orders follow the exchange’s rule of price time priority.
Price time priority means that the highest bid (buy) price and the lowest
offer (sell) price for a stock gets priority. If there is more than one order at
the same price level, then the one punched in earlier would get priority.
From the time you feed in the order till its execution, each process is carried
out electronically.
After the order is executed
If your purchase order for shares has got executed, then the broker will
debit your bank account with the required funds for the transaction. As per
SEBI directions, your broker is required to transfer the shares from its pool
account to your demat account within one working day after the pay-out
day.
In case of selling of shares, if your order for selling shares gets executed,
your broker will debit your demat account with the required shares. Your
broker is required to transfer funds to your bank account within one
working day after the pay-out day. The lag is because of the T+2 settlement
cycle that is followed in Indian capital markets.
If you’ve bought and sold shares the same day, then the differential amount
would be adjusted in your account.
Like in the case of conventional trading, all transactions carried out will be
supported with contract notes from the broker.
Online security:
In the light of growing cyber crime and internet fraud, you may be a little
hesitant to adopt online trading. To address such anxiety, technology has
come to our aid to make the internet transactions secured and provide
necessary confidence to you about the system. The major concern that you
may have is “Am I doing the transaction on the authentic website?” and the
second major concern could be “Will someone be able to trap my
transaction and make changes in it?” These concerns are addressed by
having Secured Socket Layer (SSL) implementation. Reputed and trusted
third party agencies, after doing due-diligence, issue an electronic
certificate providing the reference to the URL (website). You can verify this
on your browser and if it confirms, you can safely assume that you are
transacting on an authentic site. Further, this also facilitates strong
encryption of data being transmitted between your browser and website.
This ensures that no one can trap and modify the transaction. However, you
must be vigilant of your computer system at all times. If the same is weak it
may so happen that certain programs are installed on your system without
your knowledge and with malicious intentions. These could pose a threat to
your data. You also need to ensure that the credentials such as Password and
PIN are complex enough so as to make it difficult for anyone to guess or
crack them, but at the same time logical so as to ensure that you remember
them. Please do not write such details on paper because this could be easily
lost and someone can get hold of your credentials making it easy for them
to access and transact on behalf of you.
However, it remains your prerogative to ensure that no one apart from you
gets to know your password and PIN. It is advisable to keep changing the
password and PIN at regular intervals to ensure safety. Some software
automatically logs you off from the site if there is no activity for 30
minutes. Further, if you suspect a leakage of any information, you must
immediately inform the broker. The broker can issue a fresh password and
PIN.
If you are a regular trader and tired of the cumbersome paper work of
regularly issuing cheques, filling up demat account delivery slips every time
you sell shares, then online trading is a much more convenient alternative.
You can feed in all the shares of your interest in a single window on the
trading screen and track the movement on a real time basis, without having
to call up your broker from time to time to inquire rates of several shares.
Most software applications have news tickers which enable you to react
briskly and timely to news developments.
You can access your trading account from anywhere in the world with a
computer and an internet connection, which otherwise would be a quite
cumbersome by the conventional offline method.
Every time shares are sold, the system initiates delivery. It does away with
the chance of delivery not being met due to negligence or lack of
communication between the broker and client.
There are pros and cons to everything and online trading too is not spared
of some minor problems. However, the reason why these are
“impediments” and not “disadvantages” is that these are not fundamental
problems, but are issues which arise in operation and can be overcome.
Infrastructure! glitches:
Good speed broadband services in India are quite expensive. Connectivity
is often disturbed by interruptions and disconnection. For running online
trading software optimally, you need to have reliable broadband
connectivity, at a decent speed, as the software flashes share prices on real
time basis. An inefficient service would result in delayed rates. This defeats
the very purpose of the system, as your trades are then based on incorrect
information.
Adapting to technology:
A certain section of non tech savvy investors might resist the online trading
platform or would not be comfortable with the system. If you are one of
those, then you would require adequate training before using such a system
as it may lead to mistakes in entering orders, which could prove costly if
amounts involved are huge.
As aforesaid, these are only minor issues and it is evident that the pros far
outweigh the cons and online trading seems to be the way forward for
transacting in stocks.
SUMMARY
• Even with the most advanced security measures, it is essential that you
follow basic guidelines like not disclosing your password and PIN to
anyone.
2. By using the online investing facility, I will not need to depend on any
broker to transact on my behalf.
Axioms
3. Take all safety measures while using the online medium - You can
transact online safely by taking security certificate for the URL from
third party agencies. In addition, there are cyber cells that can come to
your rescue. However, remember, prevention of fraud is better then
follow up!
4. If you are young and tech savvy - Go the internet way: Online
investing is very convenient for the young generation who also have
constant access to internet. These young people can start investing
early and also make use of the latest technological forays rather than
investing in a traditional manner.
5. Good broadband connection a must for online investing - Share
prices are updated dynamically when you are transacting online. If any
delays in the updation of these prices due to bad connection, then the
very purpose of transacting online would get defeated.
Chapter 16
Now that you are certain about how to go about investing in equity, here’s
an insight to the background of these investments and other shares related
transactions, between you, the investor and the company.
The Issuer collates the entitlements of the beneficial owners who are to be
given securities in dematerialized form. Based on the entitlement details
uploaded by the Issuer, credits are effected to the accounts of the beneficial
owners on the execution date mentioned by the Issuer. If the account
number of the beneficial owner to which the Issuer intends to give credit
does not match with those maintained at the depository, the Issuer obtains
the correct account number from the beneficial owner in order to give credit
of securities in electronic form or the Issuer may have to distribute the
securities in physical form.
Automation
Dates to remember:
• Announcement date
• Ex-Date
This is the date from which securities are traded on the stock exchange
without right to the buyer for the corporate benefits.
• Record date
This is the cut-off date for determining the list of the shareholders who
are entitled for the corporate action.
If X Ltd. had not declared any dividends in the last four years your profit
would be Rs 25 (Rs 75 less Rs 50) i.e. 50%.
Split!
A stock split, as the name suggests, means splitting the existing stock
(share) into smaller units of the stock. The smaller units have a lower face
value as compared to the existing stock. Unlike a bonus, the stock split does
not change or affect the equity of the company but reduces the price of the
share by the same proportion. Theoretically, the market capitalization would
also remain the same. The main reason a company would split its stock is to
increase the number of shares in the market and create more liquidity.
For example:
Suppose you hold 20 shares of X Ltd., which declares a stock split in 5:1
ratio.
Theoretically, the share price should fall in proportion to the increase in the
number of shares. However, the reduced share price and increased number
of shares in the market will attract more interest, as more investors, who
were otherwise not in a position to purchase a higher priced stock, will be
attracted to buy.
Reverse Split!
Consolidating stocks with lesser face value to a higher face value is known
as reverse stock split.
The strategy of reverse stock split is undertaken with the motive of making
the stock look worthy an investment in comparison to other stocks in the
peer group. This may work for newer companies having lesser investment
interest over the initial years of their listing, owing to lacklustre business
performance, but with a turnaround business plan in place. The stock may
gain momentum and become an attractive investment post reverse stock
split. Buy it back!
Once a company buybacks its shares, it reduces its outstanding capital (as a
company cannot hold its own shares under the Companies Act. Bought
back shares must be immediately cancelled by the company), reducing the
number of shares and making the stock less liquid (reduced supply). As the
company’s earnings will now be distributed over a lesser number of shares,
it will result in an increase in EPS and improve the overall financial health
of the company, i.e., ratios like return on assets (ROA) and return on equity
(ROE) improve as the company’s equity has shrunk.
Blue chip companies like Bajaj Auto and Reliance Industries had
announced massive buybacks in the past. But, for a fast growing economy
like India, a company will have enough avenues to invest in the form of
investments in R&D, acquisitions, expansion of business to name a few of
them.
Holding on to the shares or selling it off in the buyback offer - in case you
expect the stock price to increase even beyond the buyback price in the near
future then it is best that you do not tender your shares.
Selling in the buyback offer or selling in the secondary market – this is
relevant because on buyback of shares you would not enjoy the lower
capital gains taxes (15 per cent for short term gains and 10% long term only
if above Rs 1 lakh) which you can avail of if you sell your shares on the
stock exchange. Your capital gains taxes could be higher nullifying the
benefit of any higher price the company may offer vis-à-vis the market
price.
Restrictions on Buybacks
• Buyback is restricted to 25 per cent of the total paid-up capital and free
reserves.
• No further stocks should be issued over the next six months, except
bonus stocks and conversion of warrants.
Rights issues arise when a company offers to its existing shareholders the
right to buy new shares normally at a discount to the existing market price.
Rights are granted to existing shareholders in proportion to their existing
holdings. For example, X Ltd. having a capital of Rs 40 crore and traded at
Rs 50 per share announces a rights issue of 3:4 at a price of Rs 40 per share.
This means for every 400 shares of X Ltd. that you hold you now have the
right to subscribe (buy) 300 shares at a price of Rs 40 per share.
Rights are exercisable for a limited period of time, known as the
subscription period. Rights may also be renounced in favour of someone
else for a price. The post rights issue price is accordingly adjusted.
Total post rights value = A + B = 32,000 (C) Total post rights number of
shares = 400 +300 = 700 (D)
In effect, in case you choose not to subscribe to the Rights Issue, you can
instead choose to renounce it and the theoretical price for the same would
be Rs 45.7 per share, i.e., a premium of Rs 5.7 to the Rights Issue price of
Rs 40 per share.
After delisting, if you still hold the securities, you can return them to the
promoter, within a period of six months from the date of delisting and, the
promoter will buy them at the same final price that is paid to the other
shareholders.
• A stock split does not change or affect the equity of the company;
however, it reduces the price of the share by the same proportion.
• A reverse stock split makes the stock look like a good investment
compared to other stocks in the peer group; reverse stock splits rarely
take place in India.
• In a share buy back, the price is usually higher than the prevailing
market price; buyback is restricted to 25% of the total paid-up capital
and free reserves.
2. Dividends are my profits which are in addition to the rise in stock price
(over my purchase cost).
Axioms
4. Issue of Bonus shares reduces the earnings per share: Bonus shares
increases the equity and thus dilutes earnings per share (EPS). EPS is
calculated by PAT / number of equity shares. Though investors get free
shares as bonus from the company, share price can fall since EPS
would fall.
Investing in equity is not just a one-time affair. It should not stop at tracking
the stock market, selecting stocks and investing in them. It must go beyond
that. Investing in shares is probably only half the job. Once you have
carefully chosen your stocks, you must monitor your investment portfolio
rigorously. In fact, not only does it involve tracking developments related to
the stocks that you have purchased, but also tracking the industries to which
they belong, their competitors, events that impact the capital markets and
the economy at large and overall global developments too.
Once you have carefully chosen your stocks, you must monitor your
investment portfolio rigorously.
Therefore, equity does not allow you the luxury of sleeping over your
investment just as would be possible in case of fixed income securities.
Besides, as Indian markets no longer work in isolation, you also need to be
well aware of global issues which affect the future prosperity of your
investment. For instance, the phenomena of mergers and acquisitions in
global telecom, steel and non-ferrous metal industries are also impacting
Indian companies. In the same vein, if there is a credit crisis that has struck
the US market, Indian equity is likely to feel tremors and that will also
impact the value of the stocks that you hold.
You can maintain an excel sheet in which you could key in your
investments and update it on a periodic basis, say monthly or weekly.
Portfolio trackers
Further, you can also divide your portfolio into long-term and short-term
holdings. The long-term portfolio would require lesser micro management.
Short-term stocks however, would require more rigorous and regular
monitoring of share prices and developments related to the company and
industry.
Reading accounts
Here’s a look at a prototype of company accounts and the numbers and
ratios that you should pay attention to while tracking the financial
performance of a company.
Profit & loss Account for the year ended
31 March 2017
Rs.
in Crores
Sales 5,852
Sales return -1,365
Net sales 4,487
Cost of sales 4,121
Gross profit 366
Net operating expenses
- amortisation of intangible assets -1
- Depreciation -304
Group operating profit 61
Share of results of joint ventures and associates 63
Profit from operations 124
Investment income 26
Finance costs -25
Profit before taxation 125
Taxation -34
Net Profit (profit for year attributable to equity shareholders) 91
Growth in turnover is one of key criteria that can help you to gauge a
company’s health as it can be compared with that of its peers and the
industry to find out where the company stands. Sometimes, a company is
diversified and has a presence in more than one segment of business. A
segmental revenue break up, in the case of such multidivisional companies
will give you an insight into which segment is driving the growth for the
company. Segmental revenues also help you to track the appropriate
industries in which the company has a presence. For instance, in a
diversified company, if cement constitutes a major portion of the revenue,
its fortunes can be ascertained by tracking the cement industry.
Considering net sales (gross sales minus returns, damaged goods, excise)
for analysis gives a more accurate picture. In the above illustration, the
sales figure is Rs 5,852 crore. The figure of sales returned is Rs 1,365 crore.
Once the returned sales are deducted from the overall sales, you have a net
sales figure of Rs 4,487 crore. When you calculate the growth of this figure
over the corresponding figure for the previous year, it gives you an idea
about how the company’s revenue is increasing.
Net Profit
Also known as the bottom-line, net profit growth is the real growth driver
as ultimately what matters is profit. A company may display growth in
turnover and yet not show net profit growth due to various reasons
including a corresponding increase in costs. Profit depends on various
factors like market share enjoyed by the company, pricing power, cost
efficiency, competitive landscape, industry dynamics and so on and hence,
reflects the overall efficiency and market standing of a company. The net
profit in the illustration is Rs 91 crore and can be found in the profit and
loss account.
Operating profit
The operating profit depicts the true strength of the company’s business
model as it shows how much money is earned from core business
operations. It excludes profits made from investments, etc. It is also known
as EBIT (Earnings before Interest and Taxes). The operating profit can be
found in the profit and loss account (Rs 61 crore).
The operating profit margin (OPM) indicates how the company is fairing
within the overall industry in terms of pricing power. It also reveals whether
a company is efficiently managing its operations. Companies with a very
low OPM or a negative OPM perform poorly due to various internal and
external factors.
Changes in OPM over a period of time are a good indicator of its future
prospects. While expansion in OPM is good sign, a decline reflects
deterioration in business fundamentals requiring immediate attention.
The operating profit margin can be calculated from the above example as
operating profit (Rs 61 crore) divided by the total revenue (Rs 4,487 crore)
and then multiplying it by 100 which is 1.36% (i.e. 61/4487 *100 =
1.359%).
Net profit margin (NPM) is a key pointer towards the overall profitability of
the business. It excludes any extraordinary items such as loss or profit on
the sale of assets, etc. which are non-recurring in nature. In short, net profit
before extra ordinary items should be considered while calculating NPM.
The NPM can be calculated from the above example by dividing the net
profit (Rs 91 crore) by the total revenue (Rs 4,487 crore) and then
multiplying it by 100 which is 2.03% (i.e., 91/4487 *100 = 2.03%).
ROCE indicates how efficiently the company utilizes its capital. Capital
employed refers to fixed assets plus current assets minus current liabilities.
ROCE is calculated as follows:
EBIT
––––––––––––––-
ROE is also known as Return On Net Worth (RONW). This ratio reveals
the returns generated by the core equity capital provided by the
shareholders. A comparison of ROE with competitors reveals which is the
better managed company.
Among the various versions of ROE, the one excluding preference share
capital is the popular one. The formula is as follows:
––––––––––––––––––––––-
Going back to our example, it is ROE = (91-0) / 691 * 100 = 13.17% Just
like ROACE, ROE can also be calculated by taking the average of equity
capital at the beginning and end of the financial year.
Average number of outstanding equity shares From our example above, the
EPS = (91-0)/10 = 9.1
In fact a diluted EPS reveals the true picture as it takes into account
convertible instruments while calculating outstanding shares. EPS is the key
component of the PIE Ratio. Thus, the way in which the EPS is calculated
can change valuations drastically.
The P/E Ratio is a valuation tool, which is popularly used to compare how
expensive a stock is in terms of its earnings. It shows how much the market
is willing to pay for every rupee of earning since it is calculated as:
–––––––––
EPS
––––––––––––––––––-
The EPS variable used in the calculation of the P/E Ratio will determine
what you can read from this ratio. There are basically two broad types of
EPS that can be used - historic or projected. In the case of historic EPS, the
past earnings are considered and in the case of projected EPS, the estimated
future earnings are used.
In the case of a historic EPS, the P/E Ratio which is based on the trailing 12
months or last four quarters provides a more accurate picture than the P/E
Ratios based on year end EPS. Naturally, this will give you a more accurate
picture of how the earnings have faired throughout the year.
Where the projected EPS is used to arrive at the P/E Ratio, make sure that
the estimated EPS has been calculated using reliable data and methodology.
The D/E Ratio simply shows how a company is financing its activities.
––––––––––-
The DIE Ratio in the above example is Debt of Rs 591 crore, divided by
equity of Rs 387 crore = 591/387 =1.52
A D/E Ratio of more than 1:1 means that a company is using a larger
proportion of borrowed funds to run its business. As a rule of thumb, it is
risky to invest in companies with high D/Es. This is because during
business slowdowns, when interest rates are high, the company’s
profitability margins are likely to be hit hard by interest costs. So, naturally,
in a rising interest rate scenario, high D/E companies would witness decline
in profitability. Further, a high D/E Ratio could mean that one year you as a
shareholder could make sizeable profits and the next year you may receive
a pittance by way of dividend. It will all depend upon the extent to which
the returns generated are higher than the cost of borrowing.
It is calculated as follows:
–––––––––
You can also calculate the PSR by dividing total market capitalization by
net sales.
PSR is used to value a stock compared to its peers or its own historic
performance. You should use ‘trailing’ 12 months’ net sales for calculating
this ratio. PSR varies substantially across industries and hence, should be
used to compare companies within the industry to draw meaningful
conclusions. However sales may not reveal the whole picture as even with
large sales the company could be in the red.
Beta
Beta is a financial tool used to measure the volatility of a stock (how much
its price moves) in comparison to a benchmark index (say Sensex or Nifty).
This ratio is difficult to calculate as it is rather statistical. However, it is
usually available on market related websites, equity database packages and
research reports. What you do need to know is that if the beta for a stock is
less than 1, it indicates that the price of the stock is less volatile than the
overall market. On the other hand, if it is more than 1, this stock is more
volatile than the market. So, for instance, if the beta of the stock is 1.25, this
indicates that the stock is 25 per cent more volatile than the index, which in
turn means that it carries a 25 per cent higher risk than the market. And, if
the beta value of a stock is 0.75, it indicates that the stock is 25 per cent less
volatile or carries a risk that is 25 per cent lower than that of the index.
Beneath all this, you must also be aware that the benchmark index, which is
used to represent the market, is assigned a beta value of 1. This is because
its volatility is benchmarked to itself.
There is no ideal level of beta. Knowing the beta value of a stock simply
helps you to gauge whether it is suitable for you or not.
If you are risk averse and are looking out for a steady investment, you may
prefer stocks with a beta of around 1 or less. On the other hand, if you have
a healthy appetite for risk, you may be ready to invest in a stock with a
higher beta value.
However, simply knowing the beta value of a stock does help you to decide
whether you are being adequately compensated for the risk that you are
taking. The risk quotient of a stock is directly related to its returns and the
higher the beta, the higher should be the return on the stock and vice versa.
The expected risk premium on any stock can be termed as “beta times the
market risk”, which is the reward for taking on a higher degree of risk. For
example, if the stock market provides a return of 12 per cent and the beta of
the stock is 1.25, then the risk premium of the stock is 15 per cent
(i.e.,12*1.25). More simply, for the additional risk (1.25 times the index
risk) that you are exposed to, you must be rewarded with a return of 1.25
times the market return.
You must keep in mind that the beta value of a stock is highly dependent
upon the time period during which it is measured. So, for instance, if you
choose to measure the beta of a stock when it is undergoing a transition, its
past risk profile may not accurately reflect its future risk structure. Any
change in business strategy of the company, foray into new lines of business
and a change in industry dynamics do not get captured in the beta of the
stock. So, ensure that you read the beta of a stock along with other
parameters as well.
Making estimates
More importantly, while going through results, the extraordinary items and
other income should be excluded as they are not recurring. A strict focus on
operational performance of the core business gives a fair idea about the
share and its prospects.
Stock markets discount the future. The past is immaterial for the market and
what really matters is future growth which is dependent on certain factors
that drive business growth. You need to keep yourself abreast with recent
developments related to the company and industry.
This has two components. The first is development or news and second is
its impact on the company’s fundamentals. Research reports on the
company and industry would be great facilitators in forming opinions about
any development.
Round up
Economic trends
• GDP growth forecasts provided by various authorities or agencies like
RBI,
• Inflation
• Interest rates
2. Further, I will assess the balance sheet strength by checking the net
debt position, inventory, receivable and payables of the company.
4. I will compare the company’s sales growth with its peers in the
industry for knowing its position in the industry.
5. I will also check the macro environment indicators like inflation, GDP
growth, interest rates in the country.
Axioms
4. Sales growth may slow down with higher base - For large
corporations, only looking at the sales growth or the CAGR
(compounded growth) may not be correct because they have a large
base of sales. For example, comparing the sales growth of Infosys (a
large cap stock) with some a mid cap IT company would not be
correct. You need to compare companies of similar sizes.
As far as equity is concerned, you must go a step further and calculate the
effective post tax return that you receive. This is the post tax return on your
investment after you have accounted for all the expenses that you have had
to incur in order to invest, maintain your position, and disinvest in the
shares.
Calculating your returns in a systematic manner can give you a true picture
of your returns. Here’s a step-by-step approach to calculating the effective
returns on your equity*.
When you purchase your shares, you must make a note of the cost of the
shares and the number of shares that you have purchased. You must add to
this amount the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) that is paid on these
shares. If you have taken delivery of the shares, you will have to pay STT
of 0.10 per cent on the overall value of your transaction. So, for instance, if
you purchase 10 shares worth Rs 10,000 and you have to pay Rs 10 on the
transaction. Over and above that, you will have to add the brokerage (along
with the GST thereon) that you pay on the transaction. Suppose you have
paid brokerage of Rs 50 inclusive of GST, your total acquisition cost would
be Rs 10,060 (i.e., 10,000 as the cost of the shares + 10 as STT + 50 as
brokerage). This brings the purchase cost per share to Rs 1,006.
YOUR PURCHASE COST
Name of Numer of Price per Total STT Brokerage on Total
the scrip Shares share (Rs.) Investment applicable transaction (Rs.) oulog
purchsed (Rs.) (Rs.) (Rs.
XYZ 10 1,000 10,000 10 50 10,060
Limited
Once you purchase the shares, they will be transferred to your depository
account by your broker. No charges are applicable while receiving credit of
shares to a depository account. However, you may have to pay periodical
maintenance charges, for holding a depository account. The periodical
maintenance charges may be levied by your DP on a yearly basis or any
other frequency as agreed by you while opening the demat account.
Alongside the costs, while holding on to shares, you may receive dividend
when you are a shareholder in the books of the company. Dividends are tax
free in the hands of the investor and accordingly, you must consider the
whole amount as part of your returns. So, assuming company XYZ declares
a 20 per cent dividend, you will receive Rs 2 per share that you own. This
will amount to a total of Rs 20 on the 10 shares that you hold.
When you finally sell your shares, you must keep a track of the price which
you receive for your shares and the number of shares that you have finally
sold. If the price that you receive is higher than your purchase price, you
have made a capital gain (profit), if it is less, then you have made a capital
loss.
Now, if you have kept your shares for over a year, they are considered as
long-term capital assets and you are required to pay tax at the rate of 10%
on the capital gains made (excluding applicable surcharge and cess). If you
have kept the shares for a period of less than one year, these are considered
as short-term capital assets and a short-term capital gains tax of 15% (plus
10% or 15% surcharge as applicable and 4% health and education cess.) is
to be paid on the gains that you have made from the sale transaction.
Over and above this, you must take into account the STT that you have to
pay on the transaction, i.e., 0.10 per cent of the value of the transaction.
So, if you decide to sell off the shares that you purchased in ‘Step 1’ within
one year from the date of purchase, at the rate of Rs 1,500 per share, your
overall sale transaction would fetch you Rs 15,000. On this transaction, you
will have to pay STT of Rs 15.00 (i.e. 0.10 per cent of Rs 15,000). Over and
above that, you will have to pay short term capital gains tax at the rate of
17.16 per cent on Rs 5,000, assuming 10% surcharge and 4% cess, (Sale
price of Rs 15,000 - cost price of Rs 10,000). This will amount to Rs 858.
So overall, although you have received Rs 15,000 for the sale of your
shares, the net amount that you receive is Rs 14,052 (15,000 - 15 - 858 -
75).
In case you have held your shares for over a year before selling them,
assuming the same selling price, the net amount that you receive is Rs
14,338 (15,000 – 15 – 75 – 572), with tax being calculated as 11.44% (10
per cent long term capital gains tax + 10 surcharge, if applicable + 4% per
cent education cess) of Rs. 5,000.
Sales Number Value of STT Short term capital gains tax Brokerage Net amount
Price of share sale (Rs.) (Assuming you have kept the on received afte
per sold transaction shares for less than one year transaction taxes and
share (Rs) (Rs.) (Rs.) brokerage (Rs.
(Rs.)
1,500 10 15,000 15 858 75 14,052
Now, to actually find out how much return you have received on the capital
that you have invested in the shares, you must add any dividends to the net
amount that you receive, after taxes and brokerage is paid, and deduct from
it the total outgo, including your investment, STT and brokerage.
This amount must be calculated as a percentage of your total outgo, not just
your investment in the shares. Getting back to the example, it works out to a
return of 39.9 per cent [(4,012/10,060)*100].
Accounting for corporate actions
Corporate actions such as stock-splits and bonus issues increase the number
of shares in the overall market and make the stock more affordable, which
in turn improves liquidity. The market soon discounts these actions and the
value of your overall holdings is likely to remain more or less the same.
Now, if you have shares of company XYZ which has declared a 1:1 bonus,
the number of shares in your holding statement will double once the stock
goes ex-bonus. Hence, if you hold 100 shares, your revised number of
shares will be 200. Then take the latest ex-bonus price and calculate the
revised value of your holdings. In all likelihood, the price of the shares will
come down to nearly half the pre bonus price.
In the case of rights issues too, you need to update the number of shares that
you hold post the rights issue.
It is only when you sell your holdings that you will actually be able to
consider the returns that you have received from these actions, in terms of
capital gains, if any.
Annualized returns
Sometimes, you may arrive at the overall returns that you have received
from your investment in equity over a period of a couple of years. For
example, if you receive an overall return of 100 per cent for having invested
in company ABC Ltd. for the last three years, it is prudent to calculate the
annualized return which would be 100 /3 = 33.33 per cent in this example.
You can also apply this principle in cases where the holding period is less
than one year.
For instance, if you earn a 1.25 per cent return in one month’s time, your
annualized return would be 1.25 x 12 = 15 per cent. However, the catch
here is that there is no certainty that you would earn a 15 per cent return for
the whole year. In this scenario the annualized return is just an estimate and
the result could vary drastically. Generally, the annualized returns do not
take the effect of compounding into consideration.
Other aspects
Ideally, you should also add the cash component of your portfolio, i.e. the
idle cash which has not been invested, to your overall base of funds to
arrive at an accurate return on your investments. For instance, if you have
an overall portfolio of Rs 10 lakh, out of which Rs 1 lakh is lying idle in
cash. Now, suppose the returns are Rs 2 lakh, your returns in terms of
percentage would not be 22.22 per cent (i.e., Rs 2 lakh/ Rs 9 lakh), but 20
per cent (Rs 2 lakh/ Rs 10 lakh) as your portfolio consists of Rs 1 lakh in
cash as well.
FIFO
• The returns can come from dividends, sale proceeds post tax (different
if held for less than a year or more than a year) or even stock splits.
• If you sell your shares after holding them for less than a year, these are
short-term capital assets and you pay short-term capital gains tax of
15% plus 10% surcharge plus 3% education cess on the proceeds.
• Equity rewards those who play for the long term. Your returns will be
more if you sell after a year or more.
• Consider the cash component and account for sale and purchase when
tabulating returns.
2. I understand that dividends earned are additional profits made over and
above my returns.
3. I know that I have to pay brokerage and STT when I transact in equity.
Axioms
All these actions have some direct or indirect impact on the value of the
stocks held by the shareholders. They also have varying tax implications,
which can often be substantial and hence, must be adequately understood.
At the time when you buy or sell shares, you will have to pay a transaction
tax. However, this depends on the type of transaction that you undertake.
On the other hand, if you purchase shares and take delivery, you have to
pay an STT of 0.05 per cent of the value of your transaction, both when you
buy and when you sell the shares.
Dividend Income
For example, if you hold 100 shares of stock X, which has a face value of
Rs 10, and the company declares an annual dividend at the rate of 30 per
cent, you will receive a total of Rs 300 by way of dividend from the
company. This amount is completely tax free where you are concerned.
Whatever tax has to be paid on it has already been deducted before it has
been sent to you.
However, this tax free status of dividends does not apply to dividends from
foreign companies. These are taxable in the hands of the shareholder.
Capital gains
When you sell off your shares, there are two aspects that are taken into
account for tax purposes. These are:
2. How long have you held on to the shares from the date of purchase?
The answer to the first question will reveal whether you have made a capital
gain or a capital loss.
The answer to the second question will tell whether you have made a
long¬term or short-term capital gain/ loss. If you have held your shares for
more than one year, they are considered as long-term capital assets and
those held for less than one year are considered as short-term capital assets.
1 Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG) - If the shares are sold within one
year from the date of purchase for a profit, this profit is called a STCG.
The gain is taxed at the rate of 15 per cent and further increased by the
applicable surcharge, if any, and 4 per cent education cess, for resident
individuals.
3 Short-Term Capital Loss (STCL) - If the shares are sold within one
year from the date of purchase at a loss, this loss is called a STCL.
4 Long-Term Capital Loss (LTCL) - If the shares are sold beyond one
year from the date of purchase at a loss, this loss is considered as a
LTCL.
Just like any other listed security, gains arising from the sale of bonus
shares held for more than one year from the date of allotment shall attract
LTCG tax of 10%. Similarly, when bonus shares are sold prior to
completion of one year from the date of allotment, short term capital gains
tax is applicable on the same at the rate of 15 per cent plus surcharge and
education cess. A critical point to note is that since the cost of acquisition of
bonus shares is zero, the entire sale consideration shall be charged as short-
term capital gain.
Case I
As can be seen above, by selling the initially purchased shares at the rate of
Rs 300, per share you can show a STCL of Rs 300 per share. This loss can
be offset by any other STCG. However, while you get the benefit of STCL,
you will not gain anything from this strategy in pure monetary terms, as
your initial cost of acquisition as well as total sale proceeds are Rs 60,000.
Value of Initial Holding
Quantity Price per share Total Value
X Ltd 100 600 60000
Case II
Let’s take a look at a scenario wherein you invest for the long-term and sell
your entire holdings a year after the bonus allotment. Suppose the price of
company XYZ has increased to Rs 400. You will enjoy a LTCG of 400 X
100 = Rs 40,000 on sale of your bonus shares. On sale of the original
shares, you will incur a LTCL of (600-400) X 100 = Rs. 20,000. Therefore,
you will make an overall profit of Rs. 20,000 before paying LTCG tax.
Case III
LTCL incurred on sale of shares can be set off against LTCG, but not any
other income. You should plan your taxes in such a way that you can still
preserve the loss from the sale of the original shares. You may do so by
selling these shares at the rate of Rs 400 per share, after holding those for
almost a year (say a week less than a year). Then, you can then show a
STCL of Rs. 200 per share. It is best to sell shares received on bonus,
beyond one year from the date of allotment, in order to ensure that the gains
arising there from are LTCGs and hence taxable at a lower rate.
Just as in case II, you will make an overall profit of Rs 20,000 before
paying a lower rate of tax on capital gains thus made. However, you can
also show a STCL of Rs. 20,000, which can be offset by any other STCG.
This becomes possible due to the fact that you have sold your holdings over
a period of a week, as opposed to selling them off together one year after
the bonus settlement.
Issue of Rights
The holding period of rights shares is considered from the date of their
allotment. The cost of acquisition is the cost paid for acquiring such rights.
If the rights of ownership are transferred or renounced, the difference
between the price of transfer and the issue price of the rights is considered
for the calculation of capital gains.
Value of Initial Holding
Quantity Price per share Total Value
X Ltd 150 100 15000
Let us assume that you purchase 150 shares of company X Ltd., which have
a face value of Rs 10 per share at the rate of Rs 100 per share. The company
declares a rights issue of one share for every five held at a price of Rs 75
per share. You are therefore entitled to a rights issue of 30 shares if you
subscribe to the issue. Your cost of acquisition will be the price at which the
rights are offered, which is Rs 75 per share.
If the total holdings are sold within a period of one year from the allotment,
the sale proceeds will attract STCG tax at the rate of 15 per cent. However,
just like bonus shares, if the total holdings are sold one year after the date of
allotment, the gains will be considered LTCG and liable to tax at the rate of
10 per cent.
Let us assume the stock trades at Rs 125 at the time of sale. The STCG will
be as follows:
STCG on Total Holding Amount (In Rs.)
Gain on the Initial Holding (150 X 25) 3750
Gain on Sale of Rights Shares (30 X 50) 1500
Net Gains 5250
Short Term Capital Gains Tax @ 15% 788
Stock Splits
Stock splits result in a change in the face value of shares. The face value is
split to form more than one share. The decrease depends on the ratio, in
which the split is undertaken. A split of 2:1 will indicate that the existing
shares of face value of Rs 10 each will be split into two shares of Rs 5 each.
For computation of LTCG or STCG, the date of the split does not have any
effect on the holding period of the shares. On the event of a split in shares,
the cost of purchase of the initial holdings is spread over the total holdings,
post split. For example, let’s say you purchase 200 shares of company X
Ltd. which have a face value Rs10, at the rate of Rs 1,200 per share.
If the stock is sold at a price of Rs 775 post split, within a period of one
year, the gains on this transaction will attract a STCG tax.
Value of Initial Holding
Quantity Face Value Price per share Total Value
X Ltd 200 10 1200 240000
De-merger
All the existing shareholders of RIL were issued shares in the ratio of 1:1
from all the new companies. An existing shareholder, who held one share of
RIL got one share of Reliance Communications Ventures Limited (face
value of Rs 5), one share of Reliance Energy Ventures Limited (face value
of Rs 10), one share of Reliance Capital Ventures Limited (face value of Rs
10) and one share of Reliance Natural Resources Limited (face value of Rs
5). Existing shareholders continued to hold the same number of shares of
RIL, which they were holding initially, while Reliance Energy Ventures
Limited and Reliance Capital Ventures Limited merged with Reliance
Energy Limited and Reliance Capital Limited, respectively. The existing
shareholders of RIL were hence eventually allotted the shares of these
companies.
Further, shares in the new company are deemed to be held from the date of
acquisition of shares in the parent company. Hence, if the shares of the
parent and that of the new entity are held by an existing shareholder for a
period of more than one year from the date of purchase of shares of the
parent company, then there will tax of 10% chargeable on these gains, as
proposed by the Budget 2018.
However, if the shares are sold after holding it for a period of less than one
year, the profits will attract a STCG tax.
___________
^ Assuming the total income of the company is over Rs 10 crore.
SUMMARY
• For non-delivery based transactions, i.e., those that are settled without
transferring the shares onto your name, you pay an STT of around
0.025% of the value of the transaction, only when you sell the shares. If
you take delivery of them, you pay STT at the rate of 0.10 per cent both,
when you buy and sell the shares.
• If the shares are sold within one year from the date of purchase for a
profit, this profit is called short term capital gains (STCG), and is
taxable at a rate of 15% plus surcharge and educational cess.
• If the shares are sold beyond one year from the date of purchase for a
profit, this profit is long term capital gains (LTCG), and is taxable at a
rate of 10%.
• For computation of LTCG or STCG, the date of a stock split does not
have any affect on the holding period of the shares.
4. I wouldn’t buy a stock just because the company has declared bonus.
Often, managements issue a bonus when they are faced with some
hurdles in order to keep the price of the stock up.
Axioms
3. Don’t get ecstatic with bonus shares: Many a time, cash rich
companies declare bonus in order to maintain the upward movement of
their share price which in turn would keep their market cap intact.
However, if the growth prospect of the company is not good, then the
stock price would eventually plunge and you will not gain much from
it.
Besides, once you purchase shares of a company, you are also entitled to
certain rights such as receiving the company’s annual report, being able to
attend the company’s annual general meeting, etc. You may face a situation
where you don’t receive the annual reports or the annual general meeting
notice comes to you late resulting in you not being able to attend the
meeting.
You can resolve such complaints/grievances since the equity markets are
strictly regulated. The regulations that govern the equity markets include
The Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956; The Securities and
Exchange Board of India (SEBI) Act, 1992; The Depositories Act, 1996
and The Companies Act, 2013. Apart from these key regulations, stock
exchanges also have their own sets of rules and regulations.
Step 1- Approach the entity against which you have a grievance
However, in case you are not satisfied with their response, you can
approach various regulatory authorities to have your grievance redressed.
Broadly, SEBI takes up grievances related to the issue and transfer of
securities and non-payment of dividend by listed companies. In addition,
this regulator also takes up grievances against various market intermediaries
registered with it and issues related to these intermediaries.
4 Type-IV: Debentures
5 Type-V: Non-receipt of letters of offer for rights shares
You can file your grievances through post, via fax or by email to Securities
and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). The formats of forms for various
kinds of complaints are available on SEBI’s (Securities and Exchange
Board of India) website, www.investor.sebi.gov. in. Such forms, duly filled
can be submitted to the main office in Mumbai or also to various regional
offices. The addresses and other contact details of regional offices are
available on SEBI’s (Securities and Exchange Board of India) website. As
mentioned earlier, there is also the option of getting grievances sorted out
the online way. For more details on online filing of grievances, you can
refer to www.investor.sebi.gov.in.
Stock exchanges/depositories
Let’s suppose you have not received a contract note from your stock broker
for a transaction executed on the stock market. As a first step, you should
contact your stock broker for the contract note. However, if he is not able to
provide you with one, you can lodge a complaint against your broker with
the Investor Grievances Cell (IGC) of the National Stock Exchange (NSE)
presuming that the transaction was executed on NSE. You can also
approach IGC for trade disputes such as non-receipt of shares or non-
payment of funds. The IGC in turn would take up such complaints with the
concerned broker or sub-broker.
In case you have any grievances relating to the depository services of your
depository participant, you can approach the Investor Grievance Cell of the
respective depository, viz. NSDL or CDSL.
Arbitration
You also have the option of arbitration for resolution of your disputes.
Arbitration is an alternative dispute resolution mechanism provided by the
stock exchanges and depositories for resolving disputes. The Arbitration
Panel consists of independent persons of ability, integrity and esteemed
standing such as retired judges.
Safety first
The two important safety measures that you should bear in mind while
dealing in equities are:
• Equity markets are strictly monitored and the regulations that govern
the equity markets include The Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act,
1956, The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) Act 1992,
The Depositories Act,1996 and The Companies Act,1956.
• SEBI has 11 categories for filing grievances, which can be filed through
post, via fax or email to SEBI. Form formats are available on SEBI’s
website, www.investor.sebi.gov.in. You can also access
http://scores.gov.in and click on the ‘complaint registration’ tab under
‘Investor Corner’. You can choose from one of the categories and file
your complaint.
• You can lodge a complaint against your broker with the Investor
Grievances Cell (IGC) of the NSE or the Investors’ Services Cell (ISC)
of the BSE.
Axioms:
Going through this book may or may not have been your first tryst with
basic literature on the stock market. Yet you yourself will realise that there
is a definite increase in your level of knowledge and confidence as
compared to before you began reading it.
Going through this book may or may not have been your first tryst with
basic literature on the stock market. Yet you yourself will realise that there
is a definite increase in your level of knowledge and confidence as
compared to before you began reading it.