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the attack!
WHY DID RUSSIA ATTACK AND INVADE UKRAINE?
After months of tension and escalation between Russia and Ukraine, with more than
150,000 soldiers equipped with armored vehicles deployed on the border and reports of
exchanges of fire between Ukrainians and pro-Russian rebels in the Donbas region,
Moscow has finally invaded: announced on February 24 the start of special military
operations in Ukraine.
Putin, President of Russia, had recognized the separatist territories in Ukraine – Donetsk and
Luhansk, controlled by pro-Russian rebels since 2014 – and had announced the sending
of soldiers to Donbas, further fueling tensions.
Who are Ukraine's allies, which countries support Russia and which are neutral?
Remove Russia from the West. That is the path that the great powers such as Europe or
the United States have decided to follow, supported by a large number of other
countries. Since the beginning of Russia's offensive on Ukraine, most nations have sided
with Ukraine.
Some countries are still silent and many others publicly support Russia. The most
representative way that countries have had to show their position against Russia's
offensive on Ukraine was the UN General Assembly on March 2. Only five countries voted
against condemning Russia: Belarus, Eritrea, Russia, North Korea and Russia itself. Another
35 decided to abstain from their vote, and 141 voted to condemn the Kremlin moves.
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
Russia and Ukraine: 5 scenarios of how a war between the two countries can be avoided
The economic cost would be severe, the humanitarian cost devastating.
Any compromise would have a price. However, here are some potential outings that don't
involve a military and therefore bloody outcome.
1. The West could persuade President Putin to back down
2. NATO and Russia could strike a new security deal
3. Ukraine and Russia could reactivate the Minsk agreements
4. Ukraine could become neutral, like Finland
5. The current gridlock could become the status quo
Ukraine is the second largest country in Europe, and since 1991 it is independent. However,
joining NATO is not part of Putin's plans
NATO's expansion into Eastern Europe in the 1990s and 2000s, to include countries such as
Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, raised fears in Moscow. In Russia they see NATO as
a related organization that defends the interests of the United States in the region, so if
Ukraine were part of NATO it would mean limiting Russia's sovereignty and influence over
the country to a minimum.
Ukraine will find it difficult to defend the thousands of kilometers of its border, from Belarus
in the north to Crimea in the south. If you think of Ukraine as a clock face, the Russians can
mount attacks from 10 to 7 o'clock.
Ukraine has 105 fighter jets on the border compared to Russia's 300, says Watling. The
Russians, he predicts, "will gain air superiority very quickly."
Ukraine has recently received supplies of "lethal aid" from the US and UK, but these are
mostly short-range air-to-air missiles and anti-tank weapons.
Many deaths!