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ABU DHABI NORTHERN EMIRATES NBD
EMIRATES
11 26 31
DUBAI AL AIN AL TAMIMI & CO.
ABU DHABI
MARKET OVERVIEW
The office market continued to be challenging, despite only showing marginal rental
rate reductions in Q2 2020 (annual declines stood at 4%). Instead, landlords offered
incentives in regards to payment terms and conditions (i.e.: rent period, service charge
waiver and/or reduced fit out cost).
*It is important to note that whilst a number of projects may have received completion certificates, Asteco does not consider a project delivered until the handover process has been initiated and the units are available for Lease in the open market.
APARTMENTS
1,700 2,000 9,050
NO. OF UNITS
VILLAS
50 70 300
NO. OF UNITS
% CHANGE
(All figures in AED per sq.ft.) 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Q1 2021 - Q2 2021 Q2 2020 - Q2 2021
CITY OF LIGHTS
750 850 0% 0%
(HYDRA)
CITY OF LIGHTS
750 950 0% 0%
(OTHER PROJECTS*)
4%
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Since peak Since market low
* Includes Meera Towers and Park View % Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020 Q4 2015 Q2 2012
0% 0% -34%
6 Abu Dhabi Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
ABU DHABI
VILLA RENTAL RATES
(All figures in AED 000’s p.a.)
0%* 0% -22% 0%
7 Abu Dhabi Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
ABU DHABI
VILLA SALES PRICES
% CHANGE
(All figures in AED Million) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Q1 2021 - Q2 2021 Q2 2020 - Q2 2021
2 BR 1.15
3 BR 1.50
AL REEF VILLAS 2% 8%
4 BR 1.95
5 BR 2.30
-
3 BR 3.05
GOLF GARDENS 0% 0%
4 BR 3.75
5 BR 4.88
-
-
HIDD AL SAADIYAT 0% 0%
4 BR 6.25
5 BR 8.00
2 BR 0.92
3 BR 1.20
HYDRA VILLAGE 0% 0%
-
-
-
3 BR 2.20
RAHA GARDENS 6% 6%
4 BR 2.48
5 BR 3.63
2 BR
SAADIYAT BEACH VILLAS 3 BR 5.00
0% -3%
(STANDARD) 4 BR 5.58
5 BR 7.75
-
-
WEST YAS 0% 24%
4 BR 5.08
5 BR 5.75
1% 2% 18%**
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Since peak Since market low
* Excludes West Yas Villas % Change*
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020 Q4 2015 Q4 2012
** Includes Raha Gardens, Golf Gardens & Al Reef Villas only. Later averages
are reflective of an increase in new developments of higher quality.
-14%
8 Abu Dhabi Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
ABU DHABI
OFFICE RENTAL RATES
(All figures in AED per sq.m. p.a.)
21 Hydra Village 36 8
4
22 Khalidia / Al Hosn / Al Manhal 38
23 Khalifa City A 29
24 Khalifa City B
25 Maryah Island
26 MBZ City 24
27 Mina 26
22
11
*It is important to note that whilst a number of projects may have received completion certificates, Asteco does not consider a project delivered until the handover process has been initiated and the units are available for Lease in the open market.
APARTMENTS
1,925 6,650 22,500
NO. OF UNITS
VILLAS
0 1,500 2,000
NO. OF UNITS
OFFICES
0.07 1.1 0.8
MILLION SQ.FT.
3%
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Since peak Since market low
% Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020 Q2 2014 Q3 2011
% CHANGE
(All figures in AED per sq.ft.) 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Q1 2021 - Q2 2021 Q2 2020 - Q2 2021
HIGH TO LUXURY END
AFFORDABLE
6% 6% 20%
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Since peak Since market low
% Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020 Q2 2014 Q3 2011
-34%
14 Dubai Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
DUBAI
VILLA RENTAL RATES
(All figures in AED 000’s p.a.)
8% 10% 9%
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Since peak Since market low
% Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020 Q2 2014 Q2 2012
-29%
15 Dubai Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
DUBAI
VILLA SALES PRICES
% CHANGE
(All figures in AED per sq.ft.) 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Q1 2021 - Q2 2021 Q2 2020 - Q2 2021
-31%
16 Dubai Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
DUBAI
OFFICE RENTAL RATES
(All figures in AED per sq.ft. p.a.)
0%
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Since peak Since market low
% Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020 Q3 2015 Q4 2012
% CHANGE
(All figures in AED per sq.ft.) 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Q1 2021 - Q2 2021 Q2 2020 - Q2 2021
BARSHA HEIGHTS
450 775 3% -5%
(FORMER TECOM)
3%
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Since peak Since market low
% Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020 Q1 2015 Q2 2012
DUBAI 2 Badrah
3 Bluewater Island
Triangle
46 Jumeirah Village Circle
Apartment rental rates across the Northern Emirates softened marginally with average declines of The Northern Emirates continued their efforts to enhance the tourism sector by announcing a
1% to 2% over Q2 2021 and 6% annually. number of hospitality projects across the region including:
Net effective office rental rates in Sharjah remained more or less unchanged over the second SHARJAH
quarter of the year, with annual declines averaging 16%.
- AED 110 million Al Luluyah Beach project by Sharjah Investment and Development Authority
According to the Sharjah Real Estate Registration Directorate (SRERD), 40,364 transactions valued (Shurooq) located in Khorfakkan; and
at AED 12.2 billion were recorded in H1 2021, a surge of over 40% compared to the same period - AED 87 million Al Hira Beach project in Sharjah.
last year. The majority of those transactions concerned the residential sector (49.6%), followed by
commercial (37.1%), industrial (11.1%) and agricultural (2.2%).
RAS AL KHAIMAH
Apartment sales prices in Sharjah’s master plan communities recorded a marginal increase of 2%
on average, whilst the more mature GCC freehold areas showed signs of stabilising. - AED 500 million on 20 sustainable tourism projects within the Emirate over the next 24 months;
- Intercontinental Resort and Hotel in Mina Al Arab will start operating during the last quarter of
New residential supply in Sharjah included the recently launched waterfront development ‘The 2021; and
Shams Residences’ on Maryam Island, as well as ‘Al Mamsha Seerah’, which is located within the - Anantara Mina Hotel and Resort is earmarked to open in 2022.
mixed-use development Al Mamsha by Alef Group and comprises approximately 1,700 units
spread over 11 buildings.
Prominent projects handovers in the Emirate involved ‘Al Lilac’ in Al Zahia, which features 290 three
to 5 bedroom villas/townhouses. Eagle Hills also announced the completion of Maryam Beach
Residences on Maryam Island. The first four Areej apartments buildings in Aljada by Arada,
comprising 255 residential units, were also delivered in Q2 2021.
In addition, the new extension of the Sahara Centre, a 350+ retail store in Sharjah, is scheduled to
open in early Q3 2021.
% CHANGE
(All figures in AED per sq.ft.) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Q1 2021 - Q2 2021 Q2 2020 - Q2 2021
AL KHAN
280 400 0% -21%
(MID-END)
AL KHAN
425 600 0% -19%
(HIGH END)
AL MAJAZ
325 400 0% -19%
(MID-END)
AL MAJAZ
400 525 0% -17%
(HIGH END)
2%
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y
* Leasehold ownership (up to 100 years) for all nationalities % Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020
-13%
23 Northern Emirates Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
SHARJAH
OFFICE RENTAL RATES
(All figures in AED per sq.ft. p.a.)
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y
% Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020
0% -16%
24 Northern Emirates Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
NORTHERN EMIRATES Arabian Gulf
MAP SHARJAH
1 Abu Shagara
RAS AL KHAIMAH
2 Al Khan
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES UMM AL QUWAIN
3 Al Majaz
AJMAN 4 Al Nahda
SHARJAH 5 Al Qasimiyah
FUJAIRAH 6 Al Taawun
7 Al Wahda
DUBAI 11
8 Corniche / Buhaira
9 Khaledia
10 King Faisal and
King Abdul Aziz Streets 5
10
8
ABU DHABI 9
1
7
3
1 Mina Al Arab 1
2 Marjan Island 2
3 Al Hamra 6
4
Al Hamra
Marjan Island
3
2
11
Similar to the first quarter of the year, apartment rental rates remained more or less unchanged
over Q2 2021, whilst annual drops were marginal at 3%.
Villa rental rates softened by 1% over the last three months, and by 2% compared with the same
period last year.
Whilst real estate market activity itself continued on a positive note as a result of active local tenant
movement in search for value-for-money properties, elevated vacancy rates necessitated landlords
to be flexible and offer discounts and incentives such as rent-free periods (up to 3 months) and
flexible payment terms (up to 12 cheques).
There was limited or no change in average office and retail rental rates as net effective rates were
somewhat offset by incentives.
Market activity, however, increased noticeably with small companies in retail/F&B and healthcare
sectors looking for commercial villas and/or small buildings.
8%
Q-o-Q Y-o-Y Since peak Since market low
* Includes Al Khabisi, Al Muwaiji, Al Manasir and Al Masoudi areas % Change
Since Q1 2021 Since Q2 2020 Q4 2015 Q4 2012
% CHANGE
(All figures in AED per sq.m. p.a.) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Q1 2021 - Q2 2021 Q2 2020 - Q2 2021
0% 0% -10% -10%
28 Al Ain Real Estate Report - Q2 2021
AL AIN Al Foaa
PROPERTY MAP
St
ates
Emir
Hili
Ardh Jow St
East Airport District
Al Masoudi
St
Baniyas
Al Oattara
SULTANATE OF OMAN
St
Al Ain
in Khalifa
International
Airport Al Dahmaa Al Towaya Al Buraimi
Al Jimi
Mohd B
Al Yahar North
Al Khabisi
Al Mutaredh
Al Markhaniya dS
t. To
aye w
Bin
Z n
lifa Al Jahili
Ce
Kh
a nt
Al Yahar South Al Muwaiji Al
re
Al Bateen Mutawa’a
Asharej
t.
dS
Zaye Al Sarooj
Bin Falaj Hazza’a
Al Salamat District lifa
Kha Al Shuwaimah
Zay
Al Maqam
ed
Al Aqabiyya
B
in S
ult
Aflaj
an
S
t.
Zoo District
Gharebah
Al Shuaibah
Al Khrair
Defence
Zaker
The UAE’s post-Covid economic recovery has continued in Q2 3.9% since September 2020 and the number of active mobile The UAE’s fiscal position remains one of the strongest in the
2021 despite continued challenges on the tourism side. The PMI phone subscriptions in the UAE has also increased since the region, with only a fractional -0.2% of GDP budget deficit
index averaged 52.4 in the second quarter, indicating modest lows last summer. While these indicators remain below pre- recorded in 2020, despite sharply lower oil prices and cuts to oil
growth in the UAE’s non-oil private sector, but this was still the pandemic levels, the trend is encouraging. Rents and residential production. The recovery in oil prices this year should allow the
highest quarterly average since Q3 2019. External demand was real estate prices have also rebounded since the start of the year, government to boost spending and investment modestly while
the weakest since Q2 2020 however, due to the extension of particularly for larger units, while bank lending to individuals grew still keeping the budget close to balanced. The authorities have
travel restrictions in the UK, Eurozone and parts of Africa, and on an annual basis in March and April after contracting for all of continued to make progress on structural reforms too, in a bid
the introduction of new restrictions on India and other Asian 2019 and 2020. All of this bodes well for a rebound in private to attract greater private sector investment to support growth.
countries at the end of April on the back of surging coronavirus consumption expenditure this year, after it contracted -12.5% in The UAE government aims to double GDP by 2030. Long-term
cases in those countries. Tourism accounted for around 25% 2020. residency is being offered to a larger segment of the population,
of Dubai’s nominal GDP pre-pandemic, and while we do expect and investors are now able to register onshore companies in
the sector to recover, the pace of the recovery is dependent to a The UAE, a global trade hub, has likely also benefitted from the many sectors with no need for a local sponsor. A number of
large extent on factors outside the UAE’s control, including the sharp rebound in global merchandise trade in recent months. initiatives to support the growth of family-owned businesses and
speed with which other countries are able to secure and roll out The volume of merchandise trade has exceeded pre-pandemic SMEs have been announced with financing being made available
Covid-19 vaccines. levels, as consumers in developed markets have bought more as well.
goods, being unable to spend on travel, entertainment and other
Nevertheless, the UAE’s early and relatively fast vaccine rollout services due to pandemic restrictions. We expect the transport At this stage, with no official estimates for Q1 2021 GDP, we retain
has allowed the economy to remain largely open, and there and logistics sector in the UAE will be one of the key drivers of the our forecast of 3.5% non-oil sector growth this year, slightly lower
are signs of strengthening domestic demand. Hotel occupancy economic recovery this year. than the UAE central bank’s forecast of 4.0%. However, with oil
rates have recovered from last year’s pandemic lows (even as production likely to rise only gradually in H2 2021, the oil sector is
international travel restrictions hamper the return of foreign likely to remain a headwind to overall GDP growth this year, which
tourists), private school enrollments in Dubai have increased we expect to reach 1.5%.
The volume of global merchandise trade has surged Dubai's hospitality sector is recovering from the pandemic
30 90 180
25 80 160
20 70 140
15
60 120
10
50 100
5
40 80
0
30 60
-5
-10 20 40
-15 10 20
-20 0 0
Nov Nov Nov Nov Nov Nov Nov Dec Apr Aug Dec Apr Aug Dec Apr
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2021
Source: Bloomberg, Emirates NBD Research Source: STR Global, Emirates NBD Research
HP Aengaar John Allen James Joughin Jenny Weidling Ghada Amhaz Tamer Ibrahim Chaaban
BSc, MRICS BSc (Hons), MRICS BA (Hons) MSc, MRICS BE
Chief Executive Officer Executive Director - Senior Associate Manager - Research and Advisory, Manager - Research and Ad- Associate Director /
+971 2 408 0800 Valuation & Advisory Director - Head of Valuations Dubai visory, Abu Dhabi General Manager - Al Ain
h.aengaar@provis.ae +971 4 403 7777 +971 4 403 7777 +971 4 403 7777 +971 2 626 2660 +971 3 766 6097
JohnA@Asteco.com JamesJ@Asteco.com JennyW@Asteco.com GhadaA@asteco.com TamerI@asteco.com
DISCLAIMER: The information contained in this report has been obtained from and is based upon sources that Asteco Property Management believes to be reliable; however, no warranty or representation, expressed or implied, is
made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions
imposed by our principals. Asteco Property Management will not be held responsible for any third-party contributions. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute Asteco Property Management’s judgment, as of the
date of this report and are subject to change without notice. Figures contained in this report are derived from a basket of locations highlighted in this report and therefore represent a snapshot of the UAE market. Averages, however,
represent a wider range of areas. Particularly exclusive or unique projects have been excluded from the data to avoid distorting averages. Due care and attention has been used in the preparation of forecast information. However,
actual results may vary from forecasts and any variation may be materially positive or negative. Forecasts, by their very nature, involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond
Asteco Property Management’s control. For a full in-depth study of the market, please contact Asteco Property Management’s Research team. Asteco Property Management LLC. Commercial License No. 218551. Paid-up Capital
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