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The relevance of factors affecting real estate investment decisions for post
pandemic time
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Vu Minh Hieu
Van Lang University,
69/68 Dang Thuy Tram, Binh Thanh District,
Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Email: hieu.vm@vlu.edu.vn
Abstract: Real estate is always one of the most important markets and
investment channels of many ordinary people and organisations. In recent
years, when the pandemic affected negatively all the aspects of socio-economic
life, paradoxically Vietnam’s real estate market was still growing. Why do
people and organisations decide to invest in real estate assets during the
pandemic, what factors have influenced their investment decisions are very
critical questions needed to be addressed to understand the economy and some
of its specific sectors. The article used a mix of qualitative and quantitive
methods to answer these questions. Specifically, the research results show that
the main factors include: institutions and laws, economic factors, cultural and
community, other markets, and investment opportunity. Finally, the authors
propose reasonable policies to make the real estate market develop sustainably
in the future, questioning at the same time the relevance of those factors also
for the post pandemic time.
Keywords: investment decision; personal investment; real estate; pandemic.
Reference to this paper should be made as follows: Ngoc, N.M., Duc, L.D.M.,
Tien, N.H. and Hieu, V.M. (xxxx) ‘The relevance of factors affecting real
estate investment decisions for post pandemic time’, Int. J. Business and
Globalisation, Vol. X, No. Y, pp.xxx–xxx.
Biographical notes: Nguyen Minh Ngoc is a Lecturer and researcher at the Ho Comment [y1]: Author: Please provide
Chi Minh City University of Finance – Marketing, Vietnam. up to 100 words of brief career history per
author.
Le Doan Minh Duc is a lecturEr and researcher at University of Economics Ho
Comment [y2]: Author: Please provide
Chi Minh City, Vietnam. up to 100 words of brief career history per
author.
Nguyen Hoang Tien is a Lecturer and researcher at Ho Chi Minh City
University of Food Industry, Vietnam. Comment [y3]: Author: Please provide
up to 100 words of brief career history per
author.
Vu Minh Hieu is a Lecturer and researcher at Van Lang University, Vietnam.
Comment [y4]: Author: Please provide
up to 100 words of brief career history per
author.
1 Introduction
The real estate market is one of the markets that recorded remarkable changes and
constant growth over pandemic time. According to the Real Estate Association, the
contribution of the real estate market to GDP in 2019 was 7.62%. If we include the
indirect impact on the construction industry, the percentage of real estate’s contribution
could be over 10.49% of GDP, and adding the fact of being also the main investment
capital, the contribution of real estate accounts for up to 13.6% GDP (Nguyen and Mai,
2019). When the real estate industry grows, it not only benefits itself, but also creates
spillover effects to the national economy. Vietnam’s real estate market is considered to
have experienced a period of strong and resilient growth in recent years. Despite
experiencing four phases of pandemic, the real estate market quickly recovered again
each time it was over. The reason behind this is that, in contrast to developed nations,
Vietnamese people share a strong culture of ownership and real estate is the most popular
and preferred channel for that. In addition, China’s real estate market has faced many
complicated problems related to the crisis of large real estate group Evergrande with huge
debts of more than USD300 billion. With the risk of collapse, this also partly affects the
Vietnamese real estate market, as well as the psychology of individual investors (Ha,
2021). In addition to the above two reasons, there are also many other factors that affect
individual real estate investment decisions during the pandemic. Therefore, it is important
to understand the factors affecting individual real estate investment decisions and their
relevance in the post pandemic future to predict the development trend of the real estate
market in the long run.
The real estate market and investment focus of this paper sets a pioneering trend for
research articles published in International Journal of Business and Globalisation as the
real estate business is globalising across the world market regardless of the level of
national socio-economic development and the real estate market could be a global safe
haven during all the economic tough times, not only in this current pandemic time (Tien
et al., 2022b, 2022a).
The principal goal of this research is to identify the factors that impact real estate
investment decisions during pandemic, assess their importance and relevance also for the
post pandemic time. Based on that, the authors offer some interesting solutions and
recommendations for investment decision makers and policy makers regarding real estate
market development. As per requirements of a traditional research paper, the structure of
this article consists of following consecutive sections: introduction, theoretical basis,
research methods, research findings and conclusions.
The relevance of factors affecting real estate investment decisions 3
survey results show that there is not much difference in terms of gender and education
level.
Table 1 Summary of research results of domestic and abroad
factors of the locality), OPP (real estate investment opportunity), and CUL (cultural and
social factors).
Tran (2013) in his the study ‘Factors affecting the real estate investment decision of
individual customers in Ho Chi Minh City’ has surveyed customers with real estate
investment needs and discovered factors affecting their decisions such as: legal system
and policy (land management policy, credit policy and infrastructure development
policies); financial factors (interest rates, exchange rates, financial ability of investors,
stock market, profitability of real estate and ability to raise capital); general factors of the
economy (inflation, per capita income and GDP growth); behavioural finance (heredity,
risk preference and egotism syndrome); economic integration (demand to expand
production and business, development of technology and real estate management).
In summary, based on the combined results from previous studies presented in
Table 1, we have drawn out a number of factors affecting consumers’ decision to buy a
home that previous studies have concluded. They embrace legal and institutional factors,
economic factors, socio-cultural factors, technological factors, and personal factors of
investors.
H2 General factors of the economy affect individual customers’ real estate investment
decisions.
H3 Socio-cultural factors affect individual customers’ real estate investment decisions.
H4 Other market factors affect individual customers’ real estate investment decisions.
H5 Business opportunity factors affect individual customers’ real estate investment
decisions.
H6 The pandemic affects individual customers’ real estate investment decisions.
Analysing theoretical models and synthesising impact factors, we can see that the
important factors affecting individual real estate investment decisions are: institutional
and legal, economic, cultural and social. In addition, on one hand, a number of studies
similar, such as that of Doan (2013) have shown that other market factors and profitable
opportunities are factors that greatly influence individual real estate investment decisions.
On the other hand, in the context that the pandemic has profoundly affected the life of
people in general and real estate investors in particular, this factor is also an important
one to consider.
4 Research results
4.1 Check the reliability of the scale through Cronbach’s alpha coefficient
4.1.1 Evaluation of reliability by Cronbach’s alpha coefficient for independent
variables
The value of Cronbach’s alpha of the variable political and legal factors is 0.977, greater
than 0.8. Therefore, it can be concluded that this is a good scale that can be used in
research.
The Cronbach’s alpha value of the macroeconomic factor variable is 0.955, greater
than 0.8. Therefore, it can be concluded that this is a good scale that can be used in
research.
The Cronbach’s alpha value of the other market factor variable is 0.971, greater than
0.8. Therefore, it can be concluded that this is a good scale that can be used in research.
Cronbach’s alpha value of cultural and social factor variables is 0.95, greater than 0.8.
Therefore, it can be concluded that this is a good scale that can be used in research.
The relevance of factors affecting real estate investment decisions 9
The Cronbach’s alpha value of the investment opportunity factor variable is 0.859,
greater than 0.8. Therefore, it can be concluded that this is a good scale that can be used
in research.
The Cronbach’s alpha value of the COVID-19 epidemic factor variable is 0.937,
greater than 0.8. Therefore, it can be concluded that this is a good scale that can be used
in research.
The model explains 78.8% of the impact of the variable real estate investment decision of
individual customers, this is a rather high rate in empirical research.
The 0 has a negative value indicating that there is always a constant (some random
factor) that has a negative impact on the real estate investment decisions of individual
customers in general and individual customers on the internet, in Ho Chi Minh City in
particular, regardless of the evolution of the factors being studied.
Political and legal factors (POL): Political and legal factors with a coefficient of
0.26 mean that when other factors do not change, the variable political and legal
factors increase by 1 unit. The variable real estate investment decision of individual
customers in Ho Chi Minh City increased by 0.26 units.
Macroeconomic factors (ECO): Macroeconomic factors with a coefficient of 0.217
means that when other factors do not change, the variable macroeconomic factor
increases by 1 unit, the variable that determines investment Real estate investment of
individual customers increased by 0.217 units.
Other market factors (MAR): Other market factors with a coefficient of 0.214 means
that when other factors do not change, other market factors increase by 1 unit, then
the real estate investment decision variable individual customers’ assets increased by
0.214 units.
Cultural and social factors (CUL): Cultural and social factors with a coefficient of
0.249 mean that when other factors remain unchanged, the variable cultural and
social factors increases by 1 unit, the variable changes. Real estate investment
decisions of individual customers increased by 0.249 units.
Investment opportunity factor (OPP): The investment opportunity factor with a
coefficient of 0.066 means that when other factors do not change, the variable
investment opportunity factor increases by 1 unit, the investment decision variable.
Real estate investment of individual customers increased by 0.066 units.
The pandemic factor (COV): Research results have confirmed that the variable
pandemic factor has a positive impact on the real estate investment decision of
individual customers. With a coefficient of 0.113, it means that when other factors
do not change, the variable pandemic factor increases by 1 unit, the variable real
estate investment decision of individual customers increases by 0.113 units.
Based on the analysis of these factors, the following conclusions can be drawn:
Basically, the pandemic does not change the basic factors affecting real estate
investment decisions such as: politics, law; macroeconomic; other markets;
socio-cultural; and investment opportunities. These factors still have the same
influence on the investment decisions of individual investors despite the pandemic.
The pandemic has affected individuals’ real estate investment decisions such as: fear
of a decline in the market, more interest in real estate investment because they do not
know what to do in this period and because they see all types of businesses declined,
fearing that rising inflation would devalue the currency.
The relevance of factors affecting real estate investment decisions 11
5 Conclusions
Type of
Apartments Street houses Land plots Resort properties
property
Action Sell See cash flow is it Land for living: for Hold long-term,
possible to increase sale commercial land serve family on
the price again? plots: keep vacation
Source: Authors’
4 Fourth, learn the real estate cycle: The most important key of real estate investing,
only understanding the cycle helps us to buy and sell at the right time to bring high
returns, safety for our investments. The authors divide the types of cycles in real
estate as: political cycle, real estate cycle, the land cycle, project cycle and broker
cycle.
5 Fifth, restructure assets and individual investment portfolios according to the
following criteria:
Buy real estate with usage value, limit investment in real estate with increased
value.
12 N.M. Ngoc et al.
Buying real estate in low-lying areas, where land prices do not, have not
increased too much in recent times. At the same time, real estate needs to have
an authentic reason to increase prices.
Increase investment time from 2–4 years.
Limit borrowing.
Sell properties that have increased sharply, and have no use value. At the same
time, only keep the land with real potential and develop infrastructure right
away.
5.2 Solutions for the real estate market managers and policy makers
1 Firstly, maintain economic development and ensure macroeconomic stability:
Management agencies need to be proactive in economic development strategy,
associated with urban development strategy, consider urban development
strategy, real estate development as a part of economic development strategy in
the society.
Continuing to maintain the economic growth rate; simplify administrative
procedures; create an attractive investment environment, attracting foreign
investors; accelerate the review of projects in order to speed up the supply of
goods in the market.
Therefore, the immediate solution can be implemented, such as allowing
commercial housing development projects, urban investment projects in
localities that have not used up to 20% of the land fund reserved for housing
construction to invest in building technical infrastructure and low-cost
commercial housing.
2 Second, perfect the policy mechanism:
Localities need to urgently review, shorten the review time, soon approve, grant
and adjust housing projects, real estate projects that have met the conditions
prescribed by law; focus on promoting development to increase the supply of
social housing for low-income people in urban areas, industrial park workers,
and affordable commercial housing for middle-income people; adjusting the
housing and real estate market structure to suit the needs of the market.
Develop measures to manage and prevent the division, ‘subdivision and sale of
plots’ in areas where investment is not permitted and lacks infrastructure;
strengthen control over the operation of real estate trading floors, organisations
and individuals practicing real estate brokerage; correct the act of buying and
selling changing hands many times, ‘blowing prices’ causing disturbances in
real estate market information.
Continue to review, research and perfect relevant legal policies to remove
overlaps and obstacles in legal procedures, create an open mechanism for the
real estate market to develop stably, sane and healthy. Among those difficulties,
the most important thing is still to synchronise the amendments between the
laws on land, housing and real estate business. If it is not clarified and
synchronised, it will continue to have to be corrected forever and the same is for
and guiding decrees.
The relevance of factors affecting real estate investment decisions 13
addition to the current pandemic that slowly comes to the end, the Russia-Ukraine war is
also creating shocks to the markets in general and the real estate market in particular.
According to the authors’ opinion, the factors identified and analysed in the article are
still valuable (impact) in the near future, after the pandemic has passed, but the intensity,
the scope and the direction of their impact may change and need to be revised to
formulate new solutions and recommendations. This is also an interesting research
direction for scientists related to real estate investment in the future.
Acknowledgements
This research is partly funded by Van Lang University; Ho Chi Minh City University of
Food Industry, University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City, and Ho Chi Minh City
University of Finance – Marketing.
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