I.

SUMMARY

During the second dekad (11 –20) of July, high cumulative rainfall of more than 100mm is very likely over the Northwest, the
Southwest, most of the Adamawa, the North and a little portion of the Littoral, the West and the East regions particularly in Bamen-
da, Mundemba, Mamfe, Tchollire, Poli, Banyo, Douala, Dschang and Batouri. The Far-North, some parts of the North, the Centre,
the West, the Littoral and the East regions are likely to receive rainfall with average totals between 70 and 100mm. Meanwhile,
the Southern regions particularly the South, the Centre and the East region will likely receive amounts of rainfall ranging between
40 to 69mm.

In the face of heavy rains with strong winds likely to be recorded in the Northwest Southwest, the North, Adamawa and a little por-
tion of the Littoral, East and West regions: the civil protection services have to put in place an emergency plan in the advent of a ca-
tastrophe concerning floods, landslides, flash floods, etc... On the health aspect the emergence of potential cases of malaria, dy-
sentary and cholera in flood prone areas in the North, Far-North, Adamawa and littoral regions.

The onset map shows an effective start of the rains throughout the entire national territory with a normal to early start in the Lit-
toral and Northern regions. However, the South, the Centre, part of the West and East regions observe a predominance late onset.

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 II. RAINFALL SITUATION - ONSET AND MONITORING OF RAINFALL
1– RAINFALL SITUATION
The rainfall analysis is based on data collected and transmitted from the observation network of the Department of National Meteorology

300 10

9
250
8

200 7

Nu;ber of dqys
6

Totql
150
5

100 4

3
50
2

0 1

Dschang

Mbouda
Yoko
Bafoussam

kumba

Ambam
kumbo

Nkongsamba

Tibati
Lomié

Bafia
Nkambe

Tignère

Mbalmayo

Yokadouma
Guider
Sangmelima
wum

Bafang
Fundong

Yagoua
Ngoumou
NangaEboko

Eseka
Tcholliré
Tiko
Batouri

Mundemba
Edéa

Yabassi

Mbengwi
Poli

Mfou
Mamfe
Bertoua

Nkoundja
Ebolowa
Abong-mbang

Bandjoun
Meiganga

Kribi
Monatélé

Kousseri
Bamenda
Fig.1: Spatial distribution of the cumulative
rainfall for the 1st to 10th of July 2023 Fig.2: Cumulative rainfall histogram for the second dekad of July

According to figures 1 and 2, significant cumulative rainfalls were recorded in the North, Southwest, East and Northwest regions particu-
larly in Tcholliré (264.5mm) in 7days, Tiko (232.7mm) in 6days, Batouri (174.1mm) in 3days and Nkambe (160mm) in 3days. In the rest of
the country, isolated rains were recorded with average to little amounts.

2– ONSET OF THE RAINS FOR THE AGRICULTURAL SEASON

NB: The triangles and circles correspond to forecast and observed onset categories respectively.

The adjacent onset map shows an effective start of rains throughout the national ter-
ritory with a normal to early predominance in the Littoral and Northern regions.
However, the South, the Centre, part of the West and East regions observed a predo-
minance late onset.

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 3– MONITORING AND OUTLOOK

Fig.3: Cumulative rainfall for some stations compared to the 1981-2010 climatoology

The cumulative rainfall trend indicate an above normal situation in the towns of Mokolo, Garoua, Douala and Kribi despite the late
onset observed in Kribi, while a normal to late start at mokolo and a normal to early situation in Garoua and Douala.

DEPARTMENT OF NATIONAL METEOROLOGY Page 4

 III. PRECIPITATIONS OUTLOOK

During the second dekad of July, high cumulative rainfall of more than
100mm is very likely over the Northwest, the Southwest, most of the
mm Adamawa, the North and a little portion of the Littoral, the West and
the East regions particularly in Bamenda, Mundemba, Mamfe, Tchol-
lire, Poli, Banyo, Douala, Dschang and Batouri. The Far-North, some
parts of the North, the Centre, the West, the Littoral and the East re-
gions are likely to receive rainfall with average totals between 70 and
100mm. Meanwhile, the Southern regions particularly the South, the
Centre and the East region will likely receive amounts of rainfall ran-
ging between 40 to 69mm.

Opinion and advice

-In the face of heavy rains with strong winds likely to be recorded in the
Northwest Southwest, the North, Adamawa and a little portion of the
Littoral, East and West regions: the civil protection services have to put
in place an emergency plan in the advent of a catastrophe (flooding,

Fig.4: Cumulative precipitation outlook for the 11th to 20th July

landslides, flash floods, etc.).
2023
-On the health aspect the emergence of cases of malaria, dysentary,
malaria and cholera in flood prone areas in the North, Far-North, Ada-
mawa and littoral regions is likely.

DEPARTMENT OF NATIONAL METEOROLOGY Page 5