Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Er. GAURAV MISHRA (PROJECTS) CAPE INDUSTRIAL SERVICES PVT. LTD. 6/25/2011
1. Introduction 2. Market Scenario 3. Global scenario 4. Major Players 5. Pricing Strategy 6. Important Policy Measures 7. Duties and Levies on Steel 8. FDI Rule, Competitors & FII in Steel Industry 9. Role of Government 10. Opportunities For Growth 11. Summary
Steel Industry
Introduction:
Steel plays a vital role in accelerating growth and development of a nation. It is used as a basic material in the manufacture of metal products, electrical machinery, transport equipment, textile, etc and thus considered to be the backbone of the human civilization. It is a product of large and technologically advanced industry having strong forward and backward linkages in terms of material flow and income generation. In other words, the production and per capita consumption of steel is a major contributor to a countrys gross domestic product (GDP) and an indicator of its industrial and economic strength. Iron ore, manganese ore and chrome ore are the critical raw material inputs for the steel industry. Their timely and assured availability in adequate quantity and quality, on long term basis, is a prerequisite for the rapid and orderly growth of the sector.
India is the eighth largest crude steel producing country in the world. It is endowed with richest iron and coal ore mines. Its cost of production of steel is comparatively much lower than that in other countries. It has several advantageous features which gives the dominant position to its steel industry on the world map. Some of these are:I. Establishment of new state-of-the-art steel plants in the country with lesser dependence on external aid II. Continuous modernization as well as implementation of de-bottlenecking and technology up gradation schemes in the older plants III. IV. Improvement in energy efficiency of the plants in terms of coke rate and power consumption Utilization of better quality raw materials, such as imported coking coal, accessed from global sources V. Optimum processing of raw materials like washing of coal, beneficiation and sintering of iron ore etc.
Market Scenario:
After liberalization, there have been no shortages of steel materials in the country.
Apparent consumption of finished (carbon) steel increased from 14.84 Million Tonnes in 199192 to 43.471 million tonnes (Provisional) in 2006-07. During April-June, 2007, apparent consumption of finished (carbon) steel was 10.103 million tonnes(Provisionally estimated)
Steel industry that was facing a recession for some time has staged a turnaround since the beginning of 2002. Efforts are being made to boost demand. China has been an important export destination for Indian steel. The steel industry is buoyant due to strong growth in demand particularly by the demand for steel in China.
Global Scenario:
The Asian countries have their respective dominance in the production of the steel all over the world. India being one among the fastest growing economies of the world has been considered as one of the potential global steel hub internationally. Over the years, particularly after the adoption of the liberalization policies all over the world, the World steel industry is growing very fast.
Steel Industry is a booming industry in the whole world. The increasing demand for it was mainly generated by the development projects that have been going on along the world, especially the infrastructural works and real estate projects that has been on the boom around the developing countries. Steel Industry was till recently dominated by the United Sates of America but this scenario is changing with a rapid pace with the Indian steel companies on an acquisition spree. In the last one year, the world has seen two big M&A deals to take place:-
The Mittal Steel, listed in Holland, has acquired the world's largest steel company called Arcelor Steel to become the world's largest producer of Steel named Arcelor-Mittal. Tata Steel of India or TISCO (as listed in BSE) has acquired the world's fifth largest steel company, Corus, with the highest ever stock price. It has been observed that Steel Industry has grown tremendously in the last one and a half decade with a strong financial condition. The increasing needs of steel by the developing countries for its infrastructural projects have pushed the companies in this industry near their operative capacity.
The most significant growth that can be seen in the Steel Industry has been observed during the period 1960 to 1974 when the consumption of steel around the whole world doubled. Between these years, the rate at which the Steel Industry grew has been recorded to be 5.5 %. This roaring market saw a phase of deceleration from the year 1975 which continued till 1982. After this period, the continuous fall slowed down and again started its upward movement from the early 1990s.
Steel Industry is becoming more and more competitive with every passing day. During the period 1960s to late 1980s, the steel market used to be dominated by OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) countries. But with the fast emergence of developing countries like China, India and South Korea in this sector has led to slipping market share of OECD countries. The balance of trade line is also tilting towards these countries.
The main demand creators for Steel Industry are Automobile industry, Construction Industry, Infrastructure Industry, Oil and Gas Industry, and Container Industry.
New innovations are also taking place in Steel Industry for cost minimization and at the same time production maximization. Some of the cutting edge technologies that are being implemented in this industry are thin-slab casting, making of steel through the use of electric furnace, vacuum degassing, etc.
The Steel Industry has enough potential to grow at a much accelerated pace in the coming future due to the continuity of the developmental projects around the world. This industry is at present working near its productive capacity which needs to be increased with increasing demand.
The following table gives a clear picture upon the major crude steel producers in the world as of the year 2004.
Country China Japan United State Russia South Korea F.R.Germany Ukraine Brazil India Italy
Crude Steel Production (mtpa) 272.5 112.7 98.9 65.6 47.5 46.4 38.7 32.9 32.6 28.4
In the year 2004, the global steel production has made a record level by crossing the 1000 million tones. Among the top producers in the steel production, China ranked 1 in the world. Production of steel in the 25 European Union countries was at 16.3 mmt in January 2005. Production in Italy increased by 11.5 per cent in comparison to the same month in 2004. Italy produced 2.5 mmt of crude steel in January 2005. Austria produced 646,000 metric tones. In Russia it increased by 4.0 per cent to reach at 5.5 mmt in January. In case of the North America region particularly in Mexico it was 1.5 mmt of crude steel in January 2005, up by 8.0 per cent compared to the same month in 2004. Production in the United States was 8.3 mmt. Brazil had produced 2.6 mmt of crude steel in January 2005. In South America region it was 3.7 mmt for January 2005. According to rating made by the World Steel Dynamics", Indian HR Products are categorized in the Tier II category quality of products. Both EU and Japan have ranked the top. USA and South Korea comes as like India.
N o
Company Logo
Company Name
Country
Company Picture
ArcelorMittal Luxembour g
103,300,0 0
Nippon Steel
Japan
37,500,00 0
Baosteel
China
35,400,00 0
Posco
South Korea
34,700,00 0
N o
Company Logo
Company Name
Country
Company Picture
China
33,300,00 0
JFE Holdings
Japan
33,000,00 0
China
27,700,00 0
Tata Steel
India
24,400,00 0
N o
Company Logo
Company Name
Country
Company Picture
China
23,300,00 0
10
U.S. Steel
USA
23,200,00 0
11
China
21,800,00 0
12
Nucor
USA
20,500,00 0
N o
Company Logo
Company Name
Country
Company Picture
13
Gerdau
Brazil
20,400,00 0
14
Severstal
Russia
19,200,00 0
15
Evraz Group
Russia
17,700,00 0
16
Gruppo Riva
Italy
16,900,00 0
N o
Company Logo
Company Name
Country
Company Picture
17
China
16,000,00 0
18
Thyssenkrup p
Germany
15,900,00 0
19
China
15,000,00 0
20
Japan
14,100,00 0
N o
Company Logo
Company Name
Country
Company Picture
21
India
13,700,00 0
22
Shougang Group
China
12,200,00 0
23
Russia
12,000,00 0
24
Russia
11,300,00 0
N o
Company Logo
Company Name
Country
Company Picture
25
China
11,200,00 0
26
Taiwan
11,000,00 0
27
Techint (Tenaris)
Luxembour g
10,400,00 0
28
Iran
10,000,00 0
N o
Company Logo
Company Name
Country
Company Picture
29
Ukraine
9,900,000
30
South Korea
98,00000
Major Players:
Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL) is the leading steel-making company in India. It is a fully integrated iron and steel maker, producing both basic and special steels for domestic construction, engineering, power, railway, automotive and defense industries and for sale in export markets. The Government of India owns about 86% of SAIL's equity and retains voting control of the Company. However, SAIL, by virtue of its "Navratna" status, enjoys significant operational and financial autonomy. Major units of SAIL are as under: Integrated Steel Plants Bhilai Steel Plant (BSP) in Chhattisgarh Durgapur Steel Plant (DSP) in West Bengal Rourkela Steel Plant (RSP) in Orissa Bokaro Steel Plant (BSL) in Jharkhand Special Steel Plants Alloy Steels Plants (ASP) in West Bengal Salem Steel Plant (SSP) in Tamil Nadu Visvesvaraya Iron and Steel Plant (VISL) in Karnataka Subsidiaries Indian Iron and Steel Company (IISCO) in West Bengal Maharashtra Elektrosmelt Limited (MEL) in Maharashtra Bhilai Oxygen Limited (BOL) in New Delhi Joint Venture SAIL has promoted joint ventures in different areas ranging from power plants to e-commerce.
Pricing Strategy:
Rise in steel prices for the past two years has been the cause of concern of many user industries. Particularly, in some of the direct users and downstream segments where steel component is high, the impact is a little harsh. Generally these fall under the category of building and other steel-structured construction, tube-making, heavy machineries, bicycles, auto-components steel furniture etc. The ability to absorb the increased cost of raw materials depends on the individual market competitiveness, which is characterized by excess capacity, demand growth, export opportunities and other relevant factors. The construction sector, however, is guided by the escalation clauses in the tenders, which may absolve the individual bidders to get away with equivalent compensation. In India these clauses are anarchic, to say the least, and therefore the impact of rise in raw material expenses is felt heavy in construction. That brings us to the issue of retardation of investment in construction. Has the rise in steel cost led to a diversion of investment from construction sector to other areas? The answer is negative. A comparison of Gross Capital Formation in Construction and also in Machinery and Equipment with steel price movement in the past years would show that there exists no negative relation between the two. The availability of any basic input at a low price always results in overuse of the material. Abundant availability of steel in Russia in 60s and 70s brought about an overdose of steel use in many applications leading to overweight and more use of energy. When the prices rose, some amount of substitution took place. In India the emergence of plastic and PVC in place of galvanized sheets and hot rolled coils in drums, buckets and pipes, aluminum in place of cold rolled sheet in bus bodies, bumpers, autocomponents, asbestos in place of galvanized corrugated sheets for roofing, point out the similar phenomenon. The current price increase in steel may only strengthen this trend. Apart from substitution effect, one positive fallout of price rise is the more parsimonious use of steel in various applications, which has made the user segment more quality-conscious.
Lot has been discussed on the probable reasons for steel price rise. This range from global price trend which shot up regularly since Q2 2003, the increased cost of inputs for steel making like coking coal, coke, iron ore and power, enhanced transportation cost resulting from rail freight and diesel price rise and burgeoning port handling charges - all leading to a higher cost of steel to the consumer. Price of steel went down sharply in 2001 and 2002. It had severely affected prospective investment in the sector and almost dubbed the sector as dying. Indian financial Institutions including government-controlled banks were genuinely perturbed over massive NPAs and debt-restructuring exercise became the only mode of interaction between these institutions and steel-producing units. A look at some of the financial figures during the past few years for steel companies along with a few consuming units as compiled by CMIE show interesting facts.
Financial performance of Steel and a few related Industries Segment A) Steel Value of output (Rs.cr) % Rise in raw material & stores expenses (%) Interest Payments(Rs.cr) Profits after tax(Rs.cr) Total Borrowings(Rs.cr) Investments(Rs.cr)
B) Steel Wires Value of output(Rs.cr)
1997-98
2001-02
2002-03 2003-04
(-) 1228.2 (-) 5706.4 (-) 466.8 4741.6 46461.8 2558.0 51348.1 4062.5 50967.6 45065.9 4294.6 5320.1
% rise in raw material & stores expenses (%) Interest Payments(Rs.cr) Profits after tax(Rs.cr) Total Borrowings(Rs.cr) Investments(Rs.cr)
% rise in raw material & stores expenses (%) Interest Payments(Rs.cr) Profits after tax(Rs.cr) Total Borrowings (Rs.cr) Investments(Rs.cr) D)Air conditioners & Refrigerators Value of output(Rs.cr) % Rise in raw material & stores expenses (%) Interest Payments(Rs.cr) Profits after tax(Rs.cr) Total Borrowings(Rs.cr) Investments(Rs.cr)
E) Automobile Value of output (Rs.cr)
% Rise in raw material & stores expenses (%) Interest Payments (Rs.cr) Profits after tax(Rs.cr) Total Borrowings(Rs.cr) Investments(Rs.cr)
Keeping in view the problem of averaging in making industry-wise analysis, where, for instance, mild carbon steel producers could have been clubbed with alloy and stainless steel producers, the above analysis throws many interesting highlights.
High growth in value of output in steel in 02-03 and 03-04 reflects volume growth as prices were depressed, while rise in input cost for steel was substantial. This was reflected in negative PAT in 02-03 and nominal profits in 03-04, which could happen due to remunerative prices in Q3/Q4 of 03-04. As borrowings maintained a significantly higher level, it is no wonder that interest accruals were quite high. It goes to the credit of the steel industry that investments were sustained at a reasonably high level. In steel wire sector the negative growth in value of output reflects a recessionary condition in the end product market as rise in input cost was also negative in 02-03 which, however, went up sharply in 03-04 and steel cost may be one of them. The Machinery sector went through a near recessionary condition in 02-03 when value of output dipped with negative growth in raw material prices including steel. The negative PAT since 01-02 signifies constraints in the end user segments. Air conditioner and Refrigerator segment has not been affected much by input cost rise as shown by negative growth in raw material cost in 02-03/03-04. In fact in whole of 02-03 and 03-04 the growth in consumer durable segment was less impressive and this was mostly due to excess supply resulting from emergence of new players coupled with lack of consumer demand. Conversely the automobile segment had witnessed a significant rise in raw material cost in 02-03/03-04, which, apart from rise in steel cost may emanate from rise in cost of auto ancillaries. As PAT of auto-ancillaries has gone up by 8.8 and 14.6 per cent in 02-03 and 0304 respectively, it is logical to assume that increased cost of input (steel) has been passed on, at least large part of it, on the finished products. It may be mentioned that value of output of auto-ancillaries went up by an average 20 per cent during 01-02 to 03-04.
When the financial results of 04-05 would be available, the rise in raw material cost including steel, in the user segments may exhibit a higher growth. To what extent it affects the bottom line of these industries, would be determined by the nature of competitiveness in each industry. The prices of almost all end products are increasing and this reflects the low price elasticity of demand in the presence of a positive income effect.
The purpose of this analysis is not to list out reasons justifying increase in steel price. As a basic input for industrialization the affordable steel price facilitates growth of all end-using industries. But a high capital-intensive industry like steel must fetch a remunerative price to become self-sustaining and not to become a drag on national economy and a scare-field for the prospective investors.
viii.
To check unbridled cheap imports of steel the Government has fixed floor prices for seven items of finished steel viz. HR coils, HR sheets, CR coils, Tinplates, CRNO and ASBR.
ix. x.
Iron & Steel are freely exportable. Advance Licensing Scheme allows duty free import of raw materials for exports.
Service tax:
Service tax rate increased from 10% to 12%.
Direct Taxes:
No change in rates of personal income tax or corporate income tax. No new taxes are also being imposed.
Levies on Steel
SDF LEVY- This was a levy started for funding modernization, expansion and development of steel sector.
SDF levy was abolished on 21.4.94 Cabinet decided that corpus could be recycled for loans to Main producers Interest on loans to Main Producers is set aside for promotion of R&D on steel etc. An Empowered Committee has been set up to guide the R&D effort in this sector. EGEAF Was a levy started for reimbursing the price differential cost of inputs used for engineering exporters. Fund was discontinued on 19.2.96.
The NSP has been approved by the Cabinet on3rd November, 2005. The Policy inter alia seeks to enhance the indigenous production to 110 million tones per annum by 2019-20 from the present level of 38 million tones, implying a compound annual growth rate of 7.3%. This requires additional investment of about Rs. 2,30,000 crores. This is expected to generate additional employment of around 1 million by 2020.
The basic objective is to ensure that India has a modern, efficient and globally competitive steel industry of world standards catering to diversified steel demand. On the demand side, the Policy seeks to enhance steel usage at various levels of the economy. On the supply side, the Policy proposes to adopt measures for removing major supply side bottlenecks like improving the availability of critical raw materials.
With the upturn in the steel industry, the foreign companies/investors have started showing interest in the investment by way of investing in the existing company or in setting up of Greenfield steel projects. In addition to above, POSCO, South Korea has proposed to set up a 12 million tonne steel plant in the state of Orissa involving an investment of US$ 12 billion. Mittal Steel Company has also entered into a MOU with Government of Jharkhand for setting up a 12 million tonne steel plant involving an investment of US$ 9 billion.
Individual investors, particularly the small shareholders having less than Rs 1 lakh investments, have sold heavily booking profits. According to analysts, this trend is an outcome of difference of perceptions between the two groups of investors, one is the retail segment and the other is institutional buyers.
FII holding in Steel Authority of India has gone up from 5.6 per cent in the beginning of January to 6.39 per cent by June-end during which the holding of individuals has come down from 2.28 per cent to 1.89 per cent.
Similarly, in the case of Tata Steel, the FII holding has gone up from 18.11 per cent to 22.65 per cent during January-June, while individual holding has come down from 24.74 per cent to 22.2 per cent.
In Jindal South West too, the FIIs have raised their stakes from 18.21 per cent to 21.17 per cent during the first six months while individual holding has come down from 13.89 per cent to 11.51 per cent.
Exception
However, an exception is Essar Steel where FII holding remained static at 2.04 per cent throughout the six months while there had been a marginal increase of 0.01 per cent in the case of Ispat Industries.
Individual holding has come down in both these companies. Interestingly, while all the small shareholders have been consistent in selling, large individual shareholders have raised their stakes in Essar in tandem with mutual funds and also in Ispat Industries where corporate bodies too have raised their stake.
According to Mr. P.K. Choudhury, Managing Director of credit rating agency ICRA Ltd, :the small investors have exited at what they thought was the right price and many of them had actually purchased the shares at the time of public issue.
On the other hand the institutions, who buy the shares after proper analysis of the economic fundamentals, are still seeing better prospect for the Indian steel industry. The difference of perception is because the retail investors have opted for short-term gains while the institutions have taken their stand for the medium-term, Mr. Choudhury said.
Role of Government:
The economic reforms initiated by the Government since 1991 have added new dimensions to the industrial growth in general and the steel industry in particular. Accordingly, several policy changes have been announced for the sector, from time to time, by the Government of India. The major being, the New Industrial policy which had opened up the iron and steel sector for private investment by:I. II. Removing it from the list of industries reserved for public sector Exempting it from compulsory licensing.
Since then, the private sector has been playing an important and dominant role in production and growth of the steel industry. They not only enhance the productive capacity of primary and secondary steel, but also contribute substantial value addition in terms of quality, innovation and cost effectiveness. During the period April-December, 2006, 20.5 million tonnes of steel has been produced by private sector steel units, out of the total production of 33.15 million tonnes in the country. The private sector units consist of major steel producers like Tata Steel Ltd., Essar Steel Holdings Ltd., Jindal Steel and Power Ltd. (JSPL), Ispat Industries ltd. (IIL) etc. as well as relatively smaller and medium units such as sponge iron plants, re-rolling mills, electric arc furnaces and induction furnaces.
Under the industrial policy, iron and steel has been made one of the high priority industries. Price and distribution controls have been removed as well as foreign direct investment upto 100% (under automatic route) has been permitted, with a view to make the steel industry efficient and competitive. The trade policy has been liberalized making import and export of iron and steel items freely allowable, with almost no quantitative restrictions on them. Other policy measures such as convertibility of rupee on trade account, permission to mobilize resources from overseas financial markets and rationalization of existing tax structure have also benefited the Indian steel industry. Apart from this, the Government has envisaged considerable additions to capacity in the steel sector specially from the sponge iron segment. It has also given licenses for setting up electric arc furnace units (mini steel plants), which account for 30% of the steel
production in the country, producing mild steel as well as alloy steel. Further, all efforts are being made to ensure that the sector continues to meet the requirements of small scale industries, exporters of engineering goods and North-Eastern region of the country, as well as that of strategic sectors such as defense and railways. Another important initiative, undertaken by the Ministry, has been the announcement of the 'National Steel Policy' in 2005 which set out the Government's vision for future growth of the sector. The policy largely aims to develop a modern and efficient steel industry of world standards, catering to the diversified steel demands. It focuses on achieving global competitiveness not only in terms of cost, quality and product-mix, but also in terms of global benchmarks of efficiency and productivity. It seeks to enhance indigenous production of steel to 110 million tonnes (mT) per annum by 2019-20 from the 2004-05 level of 38 mT. This implies a compounded annual growth of 7.3 percent per annum. The increasing presence of the Indian steel companies in the world market with a wide-ranging export basket, including technologically sophisticated products, is a pointer to the enhanced competitiveness of this industry. They are having an efficient and strong base, with rising level of per capita consumption, which is promoting massive industrialization in the country as well as improving standard of living of the people. Further, there has been an increase in the research, design and development activities, largely carried out by the existing iron and steel plants; national research laboratories; academic institutions; etc. The significant improvements have been made in the areas of iron and steel making processes, upgradation of raw materials, product development, and increase in productivity as well as reduction in energy consumption. All this shows that there exists innumerable investment opportunities in the sector both for domestic and foreign investors.
Furthermore, cross-border investment in captive coal mines, especially for coking coal, in major source countries as well as investment for developing coal mines in India, needs to be encouraged. Further, the movement of raw materials and finished steel would need good rail and road network as well as substantial improvement in port handling, storage and haulage facilities.
removing it from the list of industries reserved for public sector and (b) exempting it from compulsory licensing. Imports of foreign technology as well as foreign direct investment are freely permitted up to certain limits under an automatic route. Ministry of Steel plays the role of facilitator, providing broad directions and assistance to new and existing steel plants, in the liberalized scenario.
Summary:
Steel demand in India rose more than 8% in 2009, buoyed by the government's focus on infrastructure and revival in the automobile and consumer goods sectors of Asia's third-largest economy. With strong growth predicted for the auto and housing sectors in 2010, steel demand is set to grow in double digits. Global steel production, however, fell 8% last year as demand from key industries shrank amid the economic downturn. Following are some key facts about India's steel industry, which is witnessing growth rates second only to China. * India's iron and steel industry contributes about 2% of gross domestic product, or about USD 20 billion to the country's USD 1 trillion economy. * India is now the fifth-largest producer of steel in the world, behind China, Japan, Russia and the United States. It produced 55.1 million tonnes of the alloy in 2009, but is still only a tenth the size of China, the No.1 steel producing country. * State-run Steel Authority of India is the largest producer, with capacity of 13.8 million tonnes. Tata Steel, the world's No. 8 steelmaker, has capacity in India of 7 million tonnes, while JSW Steel is third with annual capacity of about 6.9 million tonnes. About half of India's steel industry comprises a large number of makers of higher-end re-rolled steel with less than one million tonnes of capacity each. * India's steel producing capacity is likely to touch 120.62 million tonnes by 2011/12, according to the federal steel ministry. Based on planned projects, capacity could go up to 293 million tonnes by 2020. Regional governments have signed 222 memorandums of understanding for planned capacity of 276 million tonnes. * India has immense scope for increasing consumption of steel. Current per capita consumption is around 40 kg, compared with 100 kg in Brazil, 250 kg in China and a global average of 198 kg. Steel demand is expected to rise 5-6 percent annually until 2019-20.
* India's growing status as a global small-car hub is drawing global steel makers, especially Japanese firms, to the country. World No. 2 steelmaker Nippon Steel is in talks with Tata Steel for an automotive steel joint venture, JFE Steel has tied-up with India's JSW Steel, while Sumitomo Metal Industries Ltd is considering a JV with Bhushan Steel. * Indian steel companies have been among the best performing stocks in 2009, widely outperforming the benchmark stock index. Shares of Tata Steel, SAIL and JSW Steel rose between 2-4 times during the year, compared with the 81 percent rise in the main BSE index.