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CHAPTER 8: Inferences about More Than Two Population Central Values ..................................... 139
CHAPTER 12: Multiple Regression and the General Linear Model .................................................... 265
CHAPTER 14: Analysis of Variance for Completely Randomized Designs ....................................... 365
CHAPTER 17: Analysis of Variance for Some Fixed-, Random-, and Mixed-Effects Models ........... 433
CHAPTER 18: Split-Plot, Repeated Measures, and Crossover Designs .............................................. 453
CHAPTER 19: Analysis of Variance for Some Unbalanced Designs .................................................. 481
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where you are. With the wind more to the southward there is not so much
drift.
N M L , examined by Mr. Williams: I am a master
mariner, and have been so for twenty-seven years. I have been a coasting
pilot about fourteen years on the Australian coast. I knew the steamer
Alert ever since she came out here. She sat in the water very low aft, and
very light foreward. That was because she had very little bearings, and
had heavy machinery aft. She was not adapted for going outside the
Heads. Forty-four tons of cargo would not be enough to trim her for a
sea voyage. Of course if it had been placed in the forehold, it would have
made some difference in giving her a better grip of the water forward.
Wattle bark and furniture would be all top weight. She was a very tender
boat at the best. With another sail aft, the captain would have a much
better chance of bringing the ship’s head up, and keeping it up. I
remember the alleyways each side of the engine room. The effect of
water getting in them would be to put the ship still further down aft, and
the water was bound to force its way below somewhere. I have seen the
gratings on top of the stoke-hole and engine. For going outside the Heads
they should have been covered with wood or iron, and I would have put
a tarpaulin over that again, with cleats to fasten it at bottom. The window
in front of the poop was composed of glass with a wooden frame. When
seas came on board, with the trim the Alert was in, the water would press
against that window very heavily. It was very improper to have such a
thing there at all, but, being there, it should have been properly guarded.
A couple of pieces of iron should have been riveted on to the bulks-head,
forming a slide for an iron cover plate to go up and down, and the whole
secured with a screw bolt as well. The window opening inwards, as it
did, increased the danger very much. It was a wrong thing to have a
wooden fixed awning on the Alert. She would, in a breeze of wind on the
beam, be thrown over to leeward by it. I noticed that the motion of her
engines drew her stern down very much.
Cross-examined by Mr. Purves: I know Lloyd’s Register of British and
Foreign Shipping. There are no better surveyors than those of Lloyd’s.
Every ship I have commanded was registered by Lloyd’s. Still I say the
Alert was not fit to go to sea. As a sea-going man of experience, I think
my opinion of equal value with Lloyd’s system of underwriting. On
account of her weight aft, her depth of hold, her breadth of beam, and her
rig, the Alert should never have been sent to sea.
Q.—You object to the deck fittings? A.—I object to the way she was
rigged. I mean the masts.
Q.—Your objection is that she had only one mast, and should have
had two? A.—Yes, that is one objection.
Q.—Why should a steamer have any masts at all? A.—If anything
occurred She could be navigated with sails.
Q.—She is perfectly able to be navigated round the world without any
masts? A.—I never heard of a steamer without a mast. If the machinery
goes well, and no emergency crops up, you could do without a mast.
Q.—If you were going to purchase a ship, and could not see her, what
authority would you consult? A.—I would not purchase any ship unless I
could see her myself.
Q.—Would not a tarpaulin over the grating, if cleated-battened or
nailed down, keep out any sea? A.—No, the sea would burst it down
between the bars like a bit of paper.
Q.—How many hours would it take to fill the ship, if seas were
continually thrown in, unprotected by a tarpaulin? A.—It would take
about half an hour. The water would also go down the ventilators if they
were turned that way. I was last on board the Alert two trips before the
accident occurred.
Re-examined by Mr. Williams: Ten or twelve tons of water would go
through that cabin window in a minute. Half of fifty or sixty tons of
water in the saloon would put the Alert down, and she would sink stern
first.
L E K , examined by Mr. Box, stated: I am the
widow of John Kennedy Kilpatrick. I was married to him on June 4,
1891. There is one child by the marriage called Mary. She is now two
years and five months old. My husband at the time of his death was
twenty-nine years old. He held a chief engineer’s certificate. He enjoyed
good health, and was a strong man, and always sober. Previous to joining
the Alert he had been out of work for some time. His wages as second
engineer of the Alert were £8 per month. When he was in the employ of
the Melbourne Harbour Trust as chief engineer of the dredge Latrobe, his
wages were £22 per month. Prior to that he was working on shore, and
while in work he gave me on an average £3 per week for house-keeping
expenses.
Cross-examined by Mr. Purves: During the time my husband was out
of work he earned nothing at all.
J G , examined by Mr. Smyth, stated: I am an actuary. I
have made a calculation of what a certain sum per week would be worth
as an annuity. On the basis of £8 per month an annuity would cost £1,924
10s., and on the basis of £3 per week, or £13 per month, it would cost
£2,978. That is in the case of a man aged twenty-nine, and assuming he
was a good life.
Cross-examined by Mr. Purves: In making the calculation, I used the
“H. M. Table” prepared by the Institute of Actuaries of Great Britain. I
worked it out at 3½ per cent. rate of interest, and took the expectation of
life, for a healthy man of twenty-nine years, at thirty-five years. I do not
reckon it would be safe to calculate interest at five per cent. now-a-days.
Therefore I averaged it at a price as a practical transaction which I would
be prepared to carry out.
This closed the case for the plaintiff.
KILPATRICK v. HUDDART, PARKER & Co., LTD.
THE DEFENCE.
In addressing the jury on behalf of the defendants, Mr. Purees said:
Under the Marine Act, owners of ships were bound to send their ships to
sea in a sea-worthy condition, but that did not mean that the owner
should guarantee to his servants that the ship would swim under all
circumstances. The Act said nothing about the shape of the ship. The
ship could be of any shape whatever, so long as she was passed by the
proper authorities, and was reasonably sea-worthy in the opinion of the
surveyors and those who sent her to sea. All the experience of the past in
the matter of ships showed that when the Almighty brought His forces
into play, the most perfect ship that ever was built met the time in her
career when she was no longer sea-worthy. Noah’s ark, when it sailed—
if ever it did sail—was built practically on similar lines to the ships of to-
day. Some of the witnesses for the plaintiff admitted that the Alert was
fitted for trading in the Bay. If that were so, why was she not suitable for
outside work. Bad seas had to be encountered inside the Heads as well as
outside. Evidence would be adduced that would show the Alert was built
on the ordinary principles of shipbuilding. She was built at Glasgow by
one of the most eminent firms in the world; was classed 90 1 at Lloyd’s,
and sent out here under sail as a three-masted schooner, or barque. She
was employed for a time in the Geelong trade, and although some of the
witnesses had said she was not fit even for the Bay, yet Lloyd’s
surveyors had certified that she could go anywhere. When it was decided
to put the Alert to outside work, she underwent a special survey, and she
had various improvements made, including an alteration to her boilers
and machinery. All precautions were taken to make the vessel sea-
worthy, and the local surveyors gave her a certificate in November, 1893,
classing her as fit to engage in what is called “the home trade,” which
ordinarily meant coasting outside from Newcastle, N. S. W., on the one
hand, to Adelaide, S. A., on the other hand, a coast line embracing a
stretch of at least 1,200 miles. It would be proved by evidence that the
alterations made gave the ship twenty per cent. more buoyancy aft. She
had an efficient captain and a good crew; and before going in the
Gippsland trade, she was sent a trial trip to Tasmania. She went from
Melbourne to Tasmania without an ounce of cargo in her. She loaded up
at the latter place and returned to Melbourne, proving all the way that she
was fit to do the work she was intended for. Then she was put in the Port
Albert trade, and carried cargoes varying from 10 to 150 tons. She sailed
well on her last voyage, and never shipped any seas until her course was
altered towards the Heads. Within a few minutes of doing so, she
shipped three successive seas, which put her on her beam ends, and she
never righted. Ponting, the cook, was not the only one living who saw
this. There was another eye-witness whom he (Mr. Purves) would call to
prove that he saw these seas overwhelm the ship. Nothing in the world
could have saved the ship under the circumstances, and it was
preposterous to talk of the wreck being due to pantry windows, open
gratings, or anything of that sort. In his (Mr. Purves’s) opinion Captain
Mathieson committed an error of judgment in heading his ship to port
instead of keeping her out to sea. The owners had every confidence in
the ship, as was indicated in the fact that she was fully insured.
F D ,M ,F 18, 1895.
S D ,T ,F 19, 1895.