Professional Documents
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Investor Relations Unit (IRU) of the Republic of Indonesia has been established as a joint effort between Coordinating Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance and Bank Indonesia since 2005. The main objective of IRU is to actively communicate
Indonesian economic policy and to address concerns of investors, especially financial market investors.
As an important part of its communication measures, IRU maintains a website under Bank Indonesia website which is administered
by International Department of Bank Indonesia. However, day-to-day activities of IRU are supported by all relevant government
agencies, among others: Bank Indonesia, Ministry of Finance, Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs, Ministry of Investment,
Financial Services Authority, Ministry of State-Owned Enterprises, and The Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure
Delivery.
IRU also convenes an investor conference call on a monthly basis, answers questions through email, telephone and may arrange
direct visit of banks/financial institutions to Bank Indonesia and other relevant government offices.
Published by Investor Relations Unit – Republic of Indonesia
Website: http://www.bi.go.id/en/iru/default.aspx
Contact:
Rosita Dewi (International Department - Bank Indonesia, Ph.: +6221 2981 8232)
Thasya Pauline (Deputy Ministry for Macroeconomic and Finance Coordinator - Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs, Ph. +6221 352 1843)
Putri Rizki Yulianti (Fiscal Policy Office - Ministry of Finance, Ph.: +6221 345 0012)
Subhan Noor (Directorate General of Budget Financing and Risk Management - Ministry of Finance, Ph.: +6221 351 0714)
E-mail: contactIRU-DL@bi.go.id
2
Overview
1 4
External Factor:
Economic Recovery Program and Its Updates Improved External Resilience
3
Section 1
Economic Recovery Program and Its Updates
Constructive Policies, The Key To Successful Indonesia's
Economic Recovery
In the midst of being exposed to various global challenges, the government has succeeded in ensuring that the economic
recovery continues, while maintaining an effective handling of the pandemic.
PEN PROGRAM
as a response to the
handling of the Covid- PRIORITY SUPPORT
PEN 2020 HANDLING SOCIAL MSMEs BUSINESS
19 pandemic and aims PROTECTION
PROGRAM
HEALTH AND CORPORATE INCENTIVES
575.9 to handle health and
62.7 Trilion 216.6 Trilion
65.2 Trilion 58.4 Trilion
Trilion support the economy 173.0 Trilion
Focus: Continuation of Covid handling Focus: maintaining the purchasing Focus: Job Creation and Increased Productivity
and acceleration/expansion of power of the poor and vulnerable, as
vaccinations well as tackling extreme poverty
PC-PEN is an embodiment of policies that are extraordinary, responsive and adaptive in responding to the dynamics of crisis
and risk of uncertainty.
Under the directions of the President, the combination of brakes and accelerator proved
1 to be optimal. Dare to take risks, but measured.
Utilization of digital technology can increase the accuracy of program targets For
5 example: KPCPEN One Data System, Care to Protect, Telemedicine Services, PKL-WN
Applications, etc.
6 The pandemic creates innovation i.e. manufacture of Red and White Vaccines.
GDP Growth (%YoY) S&P Global Indonesia Total Investment CCI & Retail Sales
60 Manufacturing PMI (DDI+FDI) Rp Trillion
10 150 20,0
5,03 Expansion >50 52,7 350 328,9
5 55 130 10,0
300 0,0
50 110
0 250
-10,0
45 200
-5 90 -20,0
40 150
-10 100 70 -30,0
35
Aug-20
Aug-21
Aug-22
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Apr-20
Apr-21
Apr-22
Apr-23
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
20
21
22
20
20
Feb- 21
21
Feb- 22
22
23
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
-20
-21
-22
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Contraction <50 50
Nov-
Nov-
Nov-
Feb-
Sep-
Sep-
Sep-
Feb-
May
May
May
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 30 0
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
Total GDP 25
Retail Sales-g (rhs)
Nov-1 9
Nov-2 0
Nov-2 1
Nov-2 2
Household Consumption
May-19
May-20
May-21
May-22
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Jan -20
Jan -21
Jan -22
Jan -23
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
2019 2020 2021 20222023
GFCF
Current Account Trade Balance The Indonesian Rupiah Net Capital flow
and JCI
of GDP (%) (Billion USD) 12000 7500 (Million USD)
80,00 10,00 8000
12500
2,00 0,89 60,00 8,00 13000
7000 6000
4000
1,00 40,00 6,00 13500 6500 2000
14000 0
0,00 20,00 4,00 6000
-2000
14500
-1,00 0,00 2,00 15000 5500 -4000
-6000
-20,00 0,00 15500
-2,00 5000 -8000
-40,00 -2,00 16000 4500
-10000
-3,00 16500 -12000
-60,00 -4,00 1/1/2021 1/1/2022 1/1/2023
-4,00 17000 4000
1 5 9 1 5 9 1 5 9 1 5 9 1
1/16/202 0
5/16/202 0
9/16/202 0
1/16/202 1
5/16/202 1
9/16/202 1
1/16/202 2
5/16/202 2
9/16/202 2
1/16/202 3
5/16/202 3
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2018 2019 2020 2021 20222023 Balance (Billion USD)
Export-g (%YoY)-rhs Equity Flow (ytd)
Import-g (%YoY)-rhs
IDR/U SD JCI-rhs Bond Flow (ytd)
Total
Sources: CEIC, BI, BPS, Bloomberg (as of 26 May 2023) 9
Pre - Employment Card to Boost Working Skill Program
Achievements Outcome
A. Improved Working Skills and Entrepreneurship Opportunity
The training to improve skills and competence
>45.1 mio
Verified applicant registered 87,2%
on the Kartu Prakerja database
56% 39,8%
Who previously unemployed are now getting jobs
Statistical Demography
Desa Bachelor 11%
18… 27% Kota
64%
Residency
Education
36% Diploma 4%
26… 34%
Age
High-School 49%
36… 21% “Kartu Prakerja is the most extensive
Middle-… 17%
46… 13% G2P (Goverment to Person) Program”
Elementary… 19%
>55 5%
Source: Project Management Officer
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs Program Kartu Prakerja, Dec 2022 10
From Semi-Social Assistance (Bansos) Scheme To Normal Scheme
In 2023, the Government will implement a normal scheme that focuses more on improving skills, through offline, online or mixed
training. Thus, the Pre-Employment Card is no longer semi-social assistance
SEMI-BANSOS NORMAL
SCHEME SCHEME*
The membership
requirements are the TRAINING MODE TRAINING MODE
same as before ONLINE ONLINE — MIX — OFFLINE
HOWEVER,
TRAINING BUDGET LIMIT TRAINING BUDGET LIMIT
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE MAX. Rp 1.000.000 MAX. 3.500.000
RECIPIENTS/
GOVERNMENT ASSISTANCE POST TRAINING INCENTIVES & SURVEY POST TRAINING INCENTIVES & SURVEY
ALLOWED 4 x Rp 600.000 & 3 x Rp 1 x Rp 600.000 & 2 x Rp
50.000 50.000
*AMOUNT OF AID AND TRAINING MODES HAVE BEEN DETERMINED IN KEPMENKO 251/2022 DATED * TOTAL TARGET RECIPIENTS: 1,000,000 PEOPLE
DECEMBER 2, 2022 • The allocated budget for FY 2023 is 2.67 T for 595
thousand beneficiaries
• So that an additional budget of 1.7 T is needed for
Regarding preparations for the implementation of the Normal Scheme, MPPKP has also coordinated with the 405 thousand beneficiaries
relevant Ministries/Institutions to involve higher education institutions and K/L Training Institutions that have
the potential to join the Pre-Employment Card Program
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs 11
DIGITIZATION OF MSMEs: MSMEs LEVEL UP
Raw Material
Digital Infrastructure
Access
The government facilitates fiscal incentives to create a conducive investment climate, especially for industry players. Through increased investment, it is
hoped that it can strengthen the domestic industrial structure
BBB / Stable
Baa2 / Stable
17
Indonesia Gold Vision 2045: Become A Sovereign,
Advanced And Sustainable Country
Current Conditions:
Grand Strategy
Solid Economic Fundamentals
q Government and Society Prepare to Live
With COVID-19
q Indonesia's economy is
growing strong and has q Fiscal Policy as Shock-Absorber
reached pre-pandemic
Goal
q Price Stabilisation
levels
q Population mobility is q Omnibus Law on the Job Creation Act,
including IKN development
starting to increase, in line
with the controlled Covid- q Downstreaming and industrialization of
19 cases
natural resources Achieving
q Optimization of clean energy sources and Sustainable
q Leading indicators indicate a green economy
Economic
convincing economic q Legal, social, political and economic Development
outlook protection for the people
q Resilient external sector
q MSME’S LEVEL UP
19
TARGETS OF ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION FOR
INDONESIA GOLD 2045
Economic transformation aims to bring Indonesia out of the middle-income trap and into a high-income country. For this reason, the
Indonesian economy must grow by an average of 6-7% in the next 20 years, high economic growth that is inclusive and sustainable
Economic Transformation
Indonesia has been 22
trapped in MIT for 30 years
years (1993-2022 1. Science and Technology, Innovation and
Economic Productivity
Optimistic Scenario
2. Green Economy Implementation
Transformative Scenario 3. Digital Transformation
Baseline 4. Domestic and Global Economic Integration
5. Cities as Centers of Economic Growth
2019/2020
Become Upper
Middle Income 12.233
Country
8.804
6.305
4.546
3.377
VISION
Become a Digital Economy Powerhouse to Realize
Inclusive, Connected and Sustainable Economic Growth
The contribution of POTENTIAL ACHIEVEMENTS 2030
the Internet Economy The e-Commerce 35 Million MSMEs 250 million 2 times the worker
reaches IDR 2,711 market reaches IDR digitized digital literacy productivity ratio vs. cost
trillion 1,815 trillion GOAL
Increase Efficiency & Creating Encouraging Creating Achieving Digital
Productivity Jobs Innovation Inclusivity Economy
STRATEGY Sovereignty
3 MAIN PILLAR 4 5 6
1 2
Human Research, innovation & Data Governance Funding &
Infrastructure Policies/Regulations
Resources Business Development & Cybersecurity Investment
Digital Economy Development Program
Agriculture & tourism and
PRIORITY Industry 4.0 Trade Education Finance Health MSME
Fisheries creative economy
PRODUCTION
JOB CREATION
LAW
Increased
CONSUMPTION Increased
Purchasing
Power Income
HOUSEHOLD
PROGRESS OF THE JOB CREATION LAW Clusters in the Job Creation Law
With the Omnibus Law method, 79 laws were revised 1. Improving the Investment Ecosystem and Business Activities
and simplified to become the Job Creation Law (Law 2. Employment
3. Ease, Protection, and Empowerment of Cooperatives and MSME
Number 11 2020) was promulgated 4. Ease of Business
on November 2, 2020 5. Research and Innovation Support
6. Land Procurement
7. Economic Zone
8. Central Government Investment and Acceleration of National
Derivative regulations of 54 Government Strategic
Regulations/Presidential Regulations 9. Projects Implementation of Government Administration
10. Imposition of Sanctions
a) Revising Law 12/2011 to accommodate the Omnibus Law
The decision of the Constitutional Court on method
November 25, 2021 b) Change the Job Creation Law based on the revision of Law
12/2011 within two years
c) Review the substances that objection to the community
On June 16, 2022, Law No. 13 of 2022 concerning The subject matter in the revision includes:
Amendments to Law No. 12 of 2011 concerning the a) Omnibus method;
Establishment of Legislation b) Strengthen community involvement and meaningful participation;
c) Regulatory digitalization
d) Improve the technical error of writing in the draft law either
that has been agreed upon or after the President receives the
• The government prepares improvements to the job bill
creation law following the decision of the Constitutional
Court, which involves the technical formation of the job • The Job Creation Law and its implementing regulations are still in effect
creation law but does not change its substance. and no material on the Law has been annulled by the Constitutional Court.
• Preparation of academic manuscripts and draft law • Thus, the implementation of the Job Creation Law, which concerns, among
manuscripts others, Business Licensing and OSS, Employment including provincial and
• It has expected to be completed in 2022. district/city minimum wages, and facilities for MSMEs, still applies.
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs 24
The Government Focuses On Regulations And Procedures
For Ease of Doing Business
Improvement of regulations in the context of structural reforms to the Job Creation Law and its
derivative regulations can provide legal certainty to business actors.
Improving risk-based
Unemployment Rate (%)
Assistance in
conformity
Better and
OSS RBA evaluation
smoother Business
Feb'15
Feb-16
Feb-17
Feb-18
Feb-19
Feb-20
Feb-21
Feb-22
System between
Licensing Services
Regulation and
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs System 25
Perppu No. 2 of 2022 Concerning Job Creation Law Is An Improvement
of The Previous Regulation
Constitutional Court Follow-up Emergency Regulation
Decision 1. Setting the omnibus method in the It is urgently needed to anticipate
q The Constitutional Court (MK) Law on the Formation of Legislation global and domestic conditions.
stated that the Job Creation (Law Number 13 of 2022)
law was conditionally 2. Improvements to the Job Creation PERPPU NO. 2 OF 2022
unconstitutional. Law: (30 December 2022)
q The Job Creation law is still • Use of the omnibus method
valid and asked the The contents of the Job Creation
• Meaningful increase in Perppu are generally the same as
government to complete the participation
revision within two years. the contents of the Job Creation
• Substantial study results: Law, however there are some major
employment, land, environment improvement to the content
and base
Several Major Improvement are Related To Employment Regulation, Halal Certification, and Water Resource Management
Investment Ecosystem
11 Cluster
and Business Activities Research and Government Investment &
Innovation National Strategic Project
Business Licensing Land Acquisition (PSN)
Public Administration
Employment Economic Zones
Imposition of Sanctions
SME and Cooperatives Ease of Doing Business
*The UUCK has been in effect since its promulgation on November 2, 2020. The Constitutional Court Decision
No. 91/PUU XVIII/2020 dated November 25, 2021 which states that the Law of Job Creation is
unconstitutional with the condition: remains in effect operational but must be formally revised within 2 years.
The issuance of Ministerial Regulations/Regional Regulations/Regional Head Regulations which are technical
in nature, operational can still be carried out, and the OSS System will continue to run as should be .
Source: Ministry of Investment (BKPM) 27
Issuance Of Perppu No. 2 Of 2022 Concerning Employment Creation,
It Is Expected To Provide Legal Certainty To Business Players
The Job Creation Law seeks to provide legal certainty and ease with the existence of standards, particularly in
relation to business licensing requirements and processes. It is hoped that the issuance of the UUCK will
contribute to improving the investment ecosystem and ease of doing business, as well as ensuring worker
protection.
Nov 2020 Feb 2022 Agustus 2021 September 2021 November 2021 Desember 2022
~
Issued Issued Implemented Start Decision Issued
20 November 2020 2 Februari 2021 9 Agustus 2021 13 September 2021 25 November 2021 30 Desember 2022
45 Government Pemerintah Based on a letter from the Cabinet Secretary No: The Indonesian
Law No. 11 of government issued
Regulations and Indonesia B.0304/Seskab/Ekon/09/2021. The Coordinating Ministry
2010 on Job
4 Presidential meluncurkan for Economic Affairs coordinates a thorough evaluation of Government
Creation Regulation No. 2 of
Regulations OSS-RBA the regulations for implementing the OSS RBA
derived from the 2022 concerning Job
Job Creation Creation
Law Evaluation of PP 5/2021 includes:
1. Completion of KBLI in stages and without support;
2. Revision regarding the arrangement in the torso; Issuance of Job
3. Sectoral provisions; and Creation Perpu as
q Government 4. Requirements and obligations of each KBLI. an Implementation
Regulation No. 5 of of MK Decision
2021 concerning Number 91/PUU-
Implementation of The Judicial Review of the UUCK in 2021 XVIII/2020P and
Risk-Based Business will result in legal uncertainty for the provides legal
Licensing business world legal certainty to
the business world
28
Improved Ease of Doing Business
Implementation of the Job Creation Law: Opening more sectors for 100% FDI
No. 11/2021 as Amended By Law No. 6/2023
All business sectors are 100% open to foreign ownership,
Breakthrough in the legal system in Indonesia
except for a few mentioned in Presidential Decree 49/2021
concerning Investment Business Sector.
Previously, there were 515 business fields that were restricted
Job to FDI in the "Negative Investment List".
simplified Creation
Law Competitive capital requirements for FDI
There is no requirement for authorized capital for the
establishment of a business entity but there is a requirement for
a minimum paid-up capital of IDR 10 billion (~US$700,000) for
79 Laws simplified in 1 Law foreign investment (PMA).
11 cluster which regulates various sectors.
q Improve the investment climate and create legal certainty Reduction of Company Income Tax (PPh).
q Harmonize the central - regional policies Corporate Income Tax 22% for companies that are not registered or
q Minimize and prevent the practice of corruption 19% for companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX).
q Simplify regulation
q Creating a vast job opportunity
q Provide protection and facility for SME’s and Before 2020 Starting 2020
Cooperatives
25% 22%
Source: Ministry of Investment 29
More Business Fields Are Open for Foreign Investment
515 Attractive
regulation enacted)
(Article 15 Pres. Regulation
Competitive
Business Restriction Encouraging the Development
oriented of Priority Business Fields
Mandate of Law Number 11 of 2020 concerning Job Creation Article 77 Number 2
Source: Ministry of Investment (BKPM) (Amending Law Number 25 of 2007 concerning Investment Article 12) 30
Positive Investment List:
Improving the Investment Ecosystem in Indonesia
Changes in the licensing process and expansion of business fields for investment will be a game changer in accelerating investment and opening new jobs
Attachment II
Business Lines Reserved for or Required Business Lines Allocated for or
for Partnerships With Cooperatives and Required for Partnerships With
SME Cooperatives and SME
145 Business Fields/KBLI 182 KBLI in 106 Business Groups
Attachment III
Business Fields Opened with Business Fields Opened with
Conditions Conditions
350 Business Fields 37 Business Fields
Source: Ministry of Investment (BKPM) 32
Investment Focus Sectors
BKPM Promotion
Strategy 2 Encouraging Equitable Investment outside Java
q The Constitutional Court stated 1. Setting the omnibus q The President has issued q The government has
that the Job Creation Law method in the Law on the a Government Regulation promulgated Law No. 6
(Law Number 11 of 2020) Formation of Legislation instead of Law Number 2 of 2023 as an
was conditionally (Law Number 13 of 2022) of 2022 concerning Job endorsement of Perpu
unconstitutional Creation (Perpu on Job No. 2 of 2022 concerning
§ The omnibus method has 2. Improvements to the Job Creation). Job Creation Becomes
not yet been regulated in Creation Law: Law.
the Law on the § Use of the omnibus q It is urgently needed to
Establishment of Legislation method anticipate global and q Perpu on Job Creation
§ Writing technical error § Meaningful increase in domestic conditions. as an attachment to Law
§ Meaningful participation is participation no. 6 Year 2023.
not maximized § Substantial study q The contents of the Job
results: employment, Creation Perppu are q All implementing
q The Job Creation law is still land, environment, generally the same as regulations for the Job
valid, and asked the and base those of the Job Creation Creation Perpu and Law
government to complete the § Correction of writing Law. However, there are Number 11 of 2020
revision within two years. technical errors. some improvements to the concerning Job
content. Creation are still valid.
Update on Progress
q Fruitful partnerships with various institutional investors have resulted in >USD 25 billion in collective commitments. INA has deployed >USD 2 billion of capital to date
together with investor partners and will potentially deploy close to USD 3.5 billion by the end of 2023
q Investment opportunity that has been completed (closed):
• Digital infrastructure: Mitratel's IPO for a total transaction size of USD 800 million together with ADIA, ADG, GIC
• Toll Road: Investment into SMR PPTR (Waskita Karya Toll Road) for an upfront transaction size of USD 400 million together with CDPQ, ADIA, APG
• Tourism/Digital: Investment into Traveloka for a total transaction size of USD 300 million with BlackRock, Allianz, and other leading institutions
• Healthcare: Investment into a significant minority stake in Kimia Farma Apotek and subscription into Kimia Farma (KAEF IJ)’s MCB for a total transaction size of USD 150
million with Silk Road Fund
• Green Energy: Anchor investor into the IPO of Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ) for a total transaction size of USD 490 million with Masdar
q Current cooperation agreements secured are:
• Toll Road: Investment platform with ADIA, CDPQ, and APG for USD 3.75 billion. The Hutama Karya opportunity is expected to close in June 2023, while a Waskita Karya
opportunity is envisioned to be completed in early 2023.
• Seaports: Alliance agreement with DP World for developing container ports and supporting maritime logistics infrastructure amounting to USD 7.5 billion throughout the
concession period.
• Green Sector: USD 2 billion investment for Optimizing blended finance in ETM programs such as ADB, SMI, PLN, Global Energy Alliance with CATL Green EV Fund
• General: USD 10 billion investment framework agreement with ADG for various sectors in Indonesia
• General: USD 3 billion investment framework agreement with SRF for various sectors in Indonesia
Value Added
Labor Intensive Export Oriented New Renewable Infrastructure Digital Economy Industry
Industry Industry Energy (Downstream)
Basic Requirement for Risk Based Business Licensing Business Licensing to Support
Business Licensing (KBLI) Business Activity (PB UMKU)
Prior to Law After Law • Risk-Based Business Licensing based - Previously (OSS 1.1) was known as
on KBLI regulated in PP 5/2021. Commercial/Operational License
11/2020 11/2020 - PB UMKU services are carried out entirely
• The fulfillment of provisions,
Suitability of Space requirements and obligations is based through the OSS system
Location Permit Utilization Activities on the Sector PP, Presidential - PB UMKU is in the process of finalizing the
(KKPR) Regulation, and Permen/Perban* system with Line Ministries and there is an
derivatives of PP 5/2021. agreement:
Environmental Environmental
• if the nomenclature and services have
Permit approval
been accommodated in the line ministries
Building Permit
system, first the system integration will be
(IMB) and Building Building Approval
carried out,
Function Certificate (PBG) and SLF
• however, if it has not been
(SLF)
accommodated by the line ministries
system, the priority is immediately
planted in the OSS system.
*) Various requirements are regulated in 22 Candy/Bandages that must be accommodated and planted in the OSS system
98 City
Corporate
Income Tax Tax Allowance
Income deduction before corporate income tax of 30%-TA
(or 60%-IA for labor-intensive industries) of the investment
20%
Other improvements:
1. E-filing for CIT, VAT, worker Investment Facility in SEZ
income tax (payroll) Tax Holiday for Main Activities, Tax Allowance for Other
2. Faster VAT Restitution Activities, for investors investing in Special Economic Zones.
2022 dst * Import Duty, Excise and Tax facilities related to Import do not go
through OSS.
151,9
384.892 Rp 1400 T
135,2 people
100
108
50
Since the 3rd quarter of 2020, investment realization outside Java has always been greater than investment realization in Java. Thi
massive infrastructure development outside Java during the 1st period of President Joko Widodo's administration.
Hongkong, R.R.
2 Tiongkok 4.744,5 2 Tiongkok 4.842,4 2 4.609,3 2 8.226,0
RRT Tiongkok
R.R. Hongkong,
3 Jepang 4.310,9 3 Hongkong 3.535,9 3 3.160,4 3 5.514,2
Tiongkok RRT
Amerika
4 Hongkong 2.891,0 4 Jepang 2.588,0 4 Serikat 2.537,2 4 Jepang 3.564,8
Korea
5 Belanda 2.596,8 5 1.841,9 5 Jepang 2.263,2 5 Malaysia 3.343,3
Selatan
Metal Industry In line with the policy of the President of the Republic of Indonesia on economic
Investment Realization
Growth (2019-2022)
+177,9% transformation from primary sector industry to value-added based (downstream)
industry, investment in the Basic Metal, Metal Goods, Non-Machinery and Equipment
Industry sector increased 177.9% from IDR 61.6 T to IDR 171.2 T (year 2019-2022).
42
Proyek
Sumatera
Proyek
USD 99,33 Billion Value
USD 15,4 Billion
USD 49,01 Billion USD 383,09 Billion*
State Budget
22 13 Maluku & Papua 13%
Proyek
Sulawesi Proyek
Cleanwater, Wastewater,
Road Dams Irrigation Ind. Estate Railway Plantation Energy Ports Sea Wall Airport Tourism Education Technology Housing SEZ Sugar & Palm
53 Projects 47 Projects 8 Projects 18 Projects 14 Projects 1 Project 14 Projects 15 Projects 14 Projects 6 Projects 1 Project 1 Proyek 6 Proyek 2 Proyek Program Program
Waste to
Economic Toll Road Strategic
Smelter Superhub Electricity Food Estate Energy Border Dev.
Dev. Program Access Tourism
Program Program Program Program Program Program
Program Program
5th Amendments:
3rd Amendments: 4th Amendments: Added 13 projects + 2 programs
Added 88 projects + 5 Added 7 projects 6th Amendments
programs Added 10 Projects
2022 May 5, 2023 Information
2nd Amendments: 2021
Added 2 projects + 1 program
even distribution economy 2020 156 projects
1st Amendments: 2019 153 projects IDR 1,080.2 T
Addition of 55 projects + 1 IDR 1,040 T
industrial program aircraft 2018
104 project 128 projects Project completed
92 project (25 projects
2017 62 projects Rp590.5T IDR 716.2 T
completed in
Rp467,4T
IDR 302,1T 2022)
2016 30 projects
IDR 94.7 T
37+ projects 32+ projects 28+ projects 24+ projects 26 projects + 30 projects + 9 31 projects + 9 Partially Operated
20 project
1 program 2 programs 2 programs 5 programs 7 programs programs programs
IDR 33.3 T
53
All National Strategic Projects have been given a special facility to ease
each of the project’s implementation
as stipulated in the Pres. Regulation No. 109 /2020
PSN Facility
Procurement acceleration
Electricity Program
22 National Rooftop Solar Power Plant
55
Highlighted PSN Projects which aligned with recent National ESG
(Environment – Social – Governance) Agenda (2/2)
EV Battery end-to-end Development Plant
In the next five years, the President's direction is that the government wants to focus on the
downstream industry of nickel ore, considering that Indonesia has the largest reserves in the
world.
2. PT Vale Indonesia
1. Nickel Smelter in East
Integrated Smelter
Halmahera PT Indonesia Battery
Development Project in
Corporation in East Halmahera
Pomala
56
Highlighted PSN Projects which provide substantial benefit to private investor
- Special Economic Zones Development (KEK) on 18 Location in Indonesia
57
Highlighted PSN Projects which provide substantial benefit to private investor
– Various facilities and Modalities for SEZ investors
58
Various initiatives to boost private sector participation in Infrastructure sector
especially for National Strategic Projects
1 2 3 4
59
Institutional reforms to establish a conducive PPP
ecosystem…
PPP Projects under National Strategic Projects (PSN) – incl. PSN Programs
(Updated on 2023)
31 Projects 49 Projects
62 Projects 6 Projects (USD 7,37 Bil) 220
(USD 16,33 Bil) PPP Projects
(USD 52,47 Bil) (USD 0,87 Bil)
72 Projects
(USD 9,12 Bil)
PSN Projects Waste to Energy Central Java Projects East Java Projects West Java Projects Total
Programs
• 30% of the projects are small scale PPP projects initiated by the
Regional Government, with investment value under USD 15
• Of these, 36 projects Million.
(53%) are Toll Road
projects.
Highlighted Projects Project Scope
Investment Value • Design – Build – Finance – Operate
Kediri Airport USD 607 Million – Maintain – Transfer (DBFOMT)
PPP Unsolicited – (incl. land acquisition) • 50 years concession
Initiated by Private • User Charge
§ Coordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs in partnership with The World Bank and
DFAT- Australia has formulated Piloting Project study (Demo Project) for Land Value
Capture initiatives in 5 Cities
Profile of PT SMI
• PT SMI is a SOEs’ non-bank financial institution with 100% of its shares owned by the
Indonesian government.
• The first financial institution in Southeast Asia accredited by Green Climate Fund (GFC
SDGs Initiative
• The platform was launched in October 2018
• The Pipeline Projects comprise public transportation sector, health care, renewable
energy, tourism and drinking water supply system
Impact toward SDGs: Increase funds availability for infrastructure projects and project
appropriateness.
367,4 376,9
324,7
258,7 270,1
MAIN TARGET OF SEZS 181,2
The government constitutes the Increased Use of Domestic Products (P3DN) National Team
P3DN Team tasks:
a. coordinate, supervise, and evaluate the implementation of Increased Use of Domestic Products (P3DN) in
their respective environments;
b. provide a final interpretation of the dispute of the TKDN value between the producer of the goods/services
provider and the goods/services procurement team;
c. Other tasks and liaisons related to P3DN
70
Improving National Logistics System Resiliency: “Key Priorities In
Encouraging The Investment”
The government established an integrated logistics system through The National Logistic System Development Policy (SISLOGNAS). This system aims to
facilitate the flow of goods to fulfill the community’s basic needs and increase the competitiveness of national products.
Key Drivers: Logistic Action Plan
LOGISTICS PROGRAM Commodity-based improvement framework Transportation Infrastructureà
FOR 2022-2024
1 There are ±90 projects of infrastructure
1. Specify a specific commodity. development spread across Indonesia, such
2. Identify demand patterns, supply patterns and logistics costs. as toll roads, ports, airports and railways, to
Increasing national logistics 3. Set logistics efficiency targets for these commodities, for example: support the improvement of the logistics
efficiency, focusing on food and a. Lead time for domestic goods delivery; process
b. Lead time at the port for import-export goods.
health products Logistics Service Providerà Through
Government 5/2021, of the total 81 standard
Strengthen Key-Enabler
This focus aims to ensure the 2 1. Mapping and collaborating stakeholders and off-takers to implement the
classifications of business field in overall
logistics sectors, 72 (around 89%) required
availability and reliability of logistics action plans.
services to support the smooth NO LICENSE but only identification business
2. Establish a responsible organization to ensure the implementation of
number and/or standard certificate.
distribution of goods at the district action plans to support the achievement of logistics efficiency targets.
Furthermore, through Presidential Regulation
and city levels. 10 /2021, there are relaxations toward
foreign investment requirements. In the
Increasing efficiency and
3 Organizing action plans based on 6 key drivers logistics sectors, the relaxations take form in
effectiveness of export/import Preparing action plans based on the six key drivers to achieve efficiency in
flows of national leading products the allowability of foreign investment equity
national logistics and the effectiveness of export/import flows. to fully own a business.
and imports of priority industrial
raw materials. ICTà NLE is a system to provide one-stop
6. Regulations, Rules and Legislation services for the transmission of data, trade
logistics documents, and secure and reliable
This focus aims to improve the 5. Human 3. Logistics information to serve G2G, G2B, and B2B
1. Main Competitiveness transactions for domestic and international
smooth flow of exports and imports, Resource 4. ICT Service
both goods and documents, to Managemen Provider Commodity and Social trade
increase Indonesian products' t welfare Human Resource Managementà
Some programs include (a) The
competitiveness in the global market. 2. Transportation Infrastructure Sources: RPJMN 2020-2024; Presidential
establishment of the National Occupational
Regulation No.26/2012 Concerning
Blueprint of National Logistics System Map for Logistics and Supply Chain (b)
Development Legalization of the Indonesian National
Occupation Competency Standards
71
Government Continues to Support the Development of
Downstream Industries
• Establishment of 3 • Increased capacity of the • Increased capacity of the • Increased capacity of the
Gasification Plants for DME Gasification Industry to meet Gasification Industry to meet gasification industry to meet
and/or Industry the demand for DME and the demand for DME and the demand for 19.81 million
• Import of LPG has decreased Industry Industry tons of Methanol for DME
by 3,51 million tons by DME • Establishment of 2 Coal to • Establishment of 2 Coal to and Industry
substitution SNG plants in Sumatra. SNG plants in Sumatra & 1 • Increased capacity
• Infrastructure and Product • Establishment of a bio-coal plant in Kalimantan. (optimization) in each Coal
Distribution Channel for Coal briquette factory and • Establishment of the Coal Downstream Industry
Upgrading Phase-1 has been implement the use of bio-coal Liquefaction Industry to • There has been an increase
built briquettes. substitute imported gasoline in value-added of around
• Establishment of Coke Factory • Coal Upgrading industry • Establishment of REE industry 40.7 million tons of coal in
for Metallurgy started operation. and Advanced Materials, Agri- the Coal Downstream
• Increased value-added of • Increased value-added of Industry, Materials from coal. Industry.
around 19.6 million tons of around 22.7 million tons of • Increased value-added of
coal in the Coal Downstream coal in the Coal Downstream around 28.7 million tons of
Industry. Industry. coal in the Coal Downstream
Industry.
Potential: Indonesia's Nickel Reserves Are Abundant Amount of Incentive for Battery-Based Electric Motorized Vehicles
90 to 150
Nickel Ore Battery
times
74
Economic Transformation from Primary Sector Industries
to Value-Added Industries
Investment Plan:
LG : Integrated Battery Industry US$9,8 Billion
CATL : Integrated Battery Industry US$5,2 Billion
Foxconn : Electric Battery Industry, Electric Vehicle Industry
(4wheel, 2wheel, E-Bus), and Supporting Industry
(including charging station, R&D, and training) US$8 Billion
BritishVolt: Battery and electric vehicle industry, US$2 Billion
Investment Collaboration Investment plan in State-owned and National The food sector is able to
with State-Owned Enterprise collaboration with State- Private Sector investment in create many new jobs and also
and National Private Sector owned And National the natural gas processing create new economic growth
in the precursor, cathode, Private Sector in Coal industry into Methanol and areas.
and electric batteries gasification industry and Fertilizer in Fakfak, West
industries its derivatives Papua and Bojonegoro, East
Java
• Critical basic • D e v elo p ing the next • Expand urban • To b e the leading city
infrastructure is p ha se of the city (e.g., development in the world in terms
completed and innovation a n d and of competitiveness
• operational (eg water, economic centre) complete connectivity • Top 10 livable cities in the
• energy, rail) for residents • C o mp lete d the tra nsfer be t we e n a n d within world
in the initial stages of cities
• Build central • Achieving net zero-
the IKN • FD I D estina tio n N o . 1 fo r
infrastructure (e.g. carbon emissions a n d
g o v ernme nt p rio rity e c o no mic sect o rs in 100% renewable
• Presidential Palace, centre Indonesia
energy at
• MPR/DPR Building) and
• D e ve l o p priority • To p 5 to p d estina tio ns in insta lle d c a p a city – the first
housing in the Main IKN economic Southeast Asia for city in the wo rld w ith >1
area global talent
sectors millio n inha b ita nts to
• Transfer of early-stage
• Implement a n • Encouraging re a ch this target
ASN (eg TNI, Polri, K/L
ASN) incentive system for sustainable utility
• Initiation of priority priority economic net wo rks b y
sectors implementing circular
• economic sectors
• Achieving the goals of e c o n o my enablers
the Sustainable • Developing a center
Development Goals for innovation a n d
(SDGs) talent development
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs 79
Visioning Nusantara – New Capital City Of Indonesia
Recent Progress
1. The financing for land acquisition proposed by the
Minister of PUPR is IDR9.09 T until 2023, where in
2022, it was allocated through DIPA PUPR of IDR 500
M.
2. The Minister of Finance requested that the 2023
land procurement proposed by PUPR of IDR8.45 T
be accommodated through LMAN. • The IKN proposal as National Strategic Project (NSP) is
approved and included in the Regional Development
3. The DJA has approved the construction budget from Program as a Subprogram.
PUPR for 2022 of Rp. 5 trillion.
• The inclusion of IKN as NSP will refer to the Presidential
4. The need for the 2023 Construction budget is Decree No.63/2022 and the draft One Map - One
IDR23.6 T, including proposals from 5 Ministries / Planning - One
Agencies.
80
The Progress of New Capital City “Nusantara” Development
“
Political Stability is one of the keys to the success of 2004 2009 2014 2019
economic achievement. Indonesia is the third-largest Number of
24 38 12 16
democracy in the world. Since 2004, the people can parties
directly elect the president and members of parliament. Presidential
candidate's 60,6% 60,8% 53,2% 55,5%
vote
NPSHIs consumption and M2 (money supply) increased during the
election period (including the campaign period) in 2014 and 2019
Elections will drive the national and regional
economy through:
GE Period GE Period
2013- 2014 2018- 2019
30 18,00 1. Increasing MSME economic activity until
25 NPSHIs Consumption the campaign period through e-mail,
16,00
printing, and various merchandise;
20 Growth M2(RHS) 2. Election logistics costs;
14,00
15 3. Improvement of facilities and
12,00 infrastructure (including infrastructure) to
10
build public image;
5 10,00 4. Regional Original Revenue (PAD) through
0 advertisement tax for the installation of
8,00 billboards, banners, video trans, etc.;
-5
6,00
-10
GE: Juli 2014 GE: April 2019
-15 4,00
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs
82
Section 3
Economic Factor:
Improved Growth Prospects
Supported by Continued Economic
Recovery Momentum
Conducive Environment
Underpinning Improved Growth Fundamentals Amid Temporary Moderation
Tax base to be
4th Most Populous Budget reform as a
broadened from
Largest Economy country in the part of larger
one reduce
in South East Asia World; 64% in economic reform
dependency on
productive age initiative
commodities
Large and Consistent Fuel subsidies
Rising Middle Stable Budget Reform significantly reduced
Manageable Prudent debt
Inflation Rate
Class and Affluent Economy and spending
management
Customers redirected to more
Reform- productive allocation
Oriented
Administration Three main sources of financing for
From commodity-based to manufacturing
investment needs: State and regional
and service sectors via infrastructure
budget, State Owned Enterprises and PPP
development
New High
From consumption-led to investment-led Continuing from 2015 policy, infrastructure
growth via a stronger manufacturing Economic Infrastructure spending will be higher than fuel subsidy
sector and more investment initiatives Structure Investments Infrastructure spending focused on basic
Policies to maintain purchasing power to infrastructure projects
stimulate domestic economy in the midst
of weakening macroeconomic conditions Fiscal and non-fiscal incentives to attract
infrastructure investment and promote PPP
84
National Economic Growth Remains Solid
Strong GDP Growth1 Against a backdrop of global economic moderation, economic growth in Indonesia
remains solid. The latest data published by BPS-Statistics Indonesia indicates 5.03%
QoQ YoY (yoy) national economic growth in the first quarter of 2023, up slightly from 5.01%
7,07
8,0 5,72 (yoy) in the previous period. Moving forward, Bank Indonesia projects solid economic
6,0 5,02 5,01 growth in 2023 with a bias towards the upper bound of the 4.5-5.3% range on the back
5,03 of improving domestic demand and persistently strong export performance.
4,0 5,05 5,01
4,21 4,20 Solid economic growth in the reporting period was supported by all GDP
3,83 3,74 4,01 4,01 3,72
2,0 3,27 3,31 3,14 3,19 3,09 3,06 3,31 components. Exports maintained high 11.68% (yoy) growth, underpinned by strong
1,55
1,06 1,81 0,92
0,0
demand in key trading partner countries. Household consumption growth improved to
(2,07) (1,73) (1,81) (1,70) (1,69) (1,74)
(2,41) (0,42)(0,96) (0,96) 0,36 4.54% (yoy) in line with increasing mobility and purchasing power, coupled with lower
-2,0 (0,36) (0,30) (0,41) (0,52)
(0,16) inflation. Government consumption expanded 3.99% (yoy), primarily driven by
(4,19)
-4,0 procurement and personnel expenditures. Meanwhile, non-building investment growth
also remained solid in line with export performance, though overall investment was
-6,0
sluggish at 2.11% (yoy) given subdued building investment growth.
-8,0 Robust economic growth was also reflected by broad-based sectoral and spatial
Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 growth. All economic sectors recorded positive growth in the first quarter of 2023,
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 primarily underpinned by the Manufacturing Industry, Wholesale and Retail Trade as
well as Mining and Quarrying. Meanwhile, the Transportation and Storage sector,
Favourable GDP Growth Compared to Peers2 Accommodation and Food Service Activities as well as Other Services posted strong
growth on greater public mobility and a surge of inbound international travellers.
10,00 5,90
% yoy Spatially, economic growth in the first quarter of 2023 was maintained in nearly all
6,00 regions of Indonesia, led by Kalimantan, followed by Sulawesi-Maluku-Papua
5,00 (Sulampua), Java, Sumatra and Bali-Nusa Tenggara (Balinusra).
5,00
0,00 1,40
2023 Growth Projection *)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Institutions GDP growth
-5,00 1,00 2023 Budget 5.3
GDP Growth (% yoy) 5,17 5,02 (2,07) (0,69) 7,08 3,53 5,03 3,70 5,02 5,46 5,73 5,01 5,31 5,03
Private Consumption 5,14 5,16 (2,67) (2,25) 5,92 1,06 3,55 2,01 4,37 5,49 5,40 4,50 4,94 4,57 54,06
Household Consumption 5,05 5,04 (2,63) (2,21) 5,96 1,02 3,56 2,02 4,34 5,51 5,39 4,48 4,93 4,54 52,88
NPI Serving Households Consumption 9,15 10,62 (4,21) (3,65) 4,06 2,87 3,20 1,62 5,90 5,02 5,97 5,70 5,64 6,17 1,17
Government Expenditure 4,82 3,27 2,12 2,57 8,22 0,65 5,29 4,24 (6,62) (4,63) (2,55) (4,77) (4,51) 3,99 5,32
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 6,68 4,45 (4,96) (0,21) 7,52 3,76 4,49 3,80 4,08 3,09 4,98 3,33 3,87 2,11 29,11
Building 5,41 5,37 (3,78) (0,74) 4,36 3,36 2,48 2,32 2,58 0,92 0,07 0,11 0,91 0,08 21,69
Nonbuilding 10,44 1,83 (8,44) 1,44 18,50 4,96 10,40 8,42 8,63 9,71 19,32 12,11 12,53 7,93 7,42
Export 6,51 (0,48) (8,42) 2,17 28,41 20,74 22,24 17,95 14,22 16,40 19,41 14,93 16,28 11,68 22,71
Import 12,14 (7,13) (17,60) 5,21 33,20 31,08 32,61 24,87 16,04 12,72 25,37 6,25 14,75 2,77 (19,56)
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia (BPS), ** Including non-profit household consumption
Economic Growth (% yoy) 5,17 5,02 (2,07) (0,69) 7,08 3,53 5,03 3,70 5,02 5,46 5,73 5,01 5,31 5,03
Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery 3,88 3,61 1,77 3,48 0,56 1,44 2,33 1,87 1,16 1,68 1,95 4,51 2,25 0,34 11,77
Mining and Quarrying 2,16 1,22 (1,95) (2,02) 5,22 7,78 5,15 4,00 3,82 4,01 3,22 6,46 4,38 4,92 11,85
Manufacturing 4,27 3,80 (2,93) (1,38) 6,58 3,68 4,92 3,39 5,07 4,01 4,83 5,64 4,89 4,43 18,57
Construction 6,09 5,76 (3,26) (0,79) 4,42 3,84 3,91 2,81 4,83 1,02 0,63 1,61 2,01 0,32 9,88
Wholesale and Retail Trade 4,97 4,60 (3,79) (1,28) 9,50 5,12 5,54 4,63 5,73 4,43 5,37 6,55 5,52 4,89 12,95
Transportation and Warehousing 7,05 6,38 (15,05) (13,09) 25,10 (0,72) 7,93 3,24 15,79 21,27 25,80 16,99 19,87 15,93 5,56
Information and Communication 7,02 9,42 10,61 8,72 6,90 5,54 6,24 6,82 7,15 8,06 6,95 8,75 7,74 7,19 4,19
Financial and Insurance Services 4,17 6,61 3,25 (2,97) 8,33 4,29 (2,59) 1,56 1,64 1,50 0,87 3,76 1,93 4,48 4,31
Other Services 6,18 6,66 (1,24) (2,51) 9,83 (0,84) 3,43 2,35 3,33 4,03 7,88 4,95 5,04 4,55 16,32
Economic growth in the first quarter of 2023 was recorded at 5.03% (yoy), up slightly from 5.01% (yoy) in the previous period…
%
Indonesia's GDP Share (%)
100,0
20,0 10,46 11,81 11,61 11,01 9,83 6,27 9,55 12,64 13,03
7,65 7,18 7,58 8,08 7,26 6,82 6,15 6,43 7,64 8,09 10,43 8,97 10,37 12,65 12,22 11,85
6,48
10,0
13,93 13,51 13,37 13,36 13,34 13,49 13,48 13,16 12,81 12,71 12,84 15,44 14,67 11,97 13,70 13,23 14,29 14,32 11,39 13,28 12,57 13,08 13,00 11,00 12,40 11,77
-
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
20
20
20
20
21
21
21
21
22
22
22
22
23
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
1-
2-
3-
4-
1-
2-
3-
4-
1-
2-
3-
4-
1-
Q
Q
Taxes Other Services Financial and Insurance Services Information and Communication
Transportation and Warehousing Wholesale and Retail Trade Construction Manufacturing
Mining and Quarrying Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia (BPS), calculated 88
Solid Fundamentals Facing the Headwinds
2008 3,8
10,5
5.62
5,7
Apr 2023
August 2020 2.53
3,22
1998 2008 21 June
Jul-15 2023
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
2018
5.17% 3.13% 2.98% 11.75%
Realization
2019
5.02% 2.72% 2.71% 6.08%
Realization
2020
-2.07% 1.68% 0.4% -2.4%
Realization
2021
3.69% 1.87% surplus 0.3% 5.24%
Realization
2022 surplus
5.31% 5.51% 11.35%
Realization 1.0%
surplus 0.4% -
2023 4.5-5.3% 3.0±1% 10-12%
deficit 0.4%
Source : Bank Indonesia
90
Section 4
External Factor:
Improved External Resilience
External Sector Remains Resilient
… Supported by Adequate Reserves and Sound Balance of Payments
Trade Balance Surplus Continues Official Reserve Assets Increased to Reinforce External Sector Resilience
2017: 2018: 2019: 2020: 2021: 2022:
US$bn Surplus Deficit Deficit Surplus Surplus Surplus FX Reserves as of April 2023: US$139,3bn
US$11.83bn (US$8.65bn) (US$3.24bn) (US$21.81bn) (US$33.8bn) (US$54.52bn)
15
(Equiv. to 6.0 months of imports + servicing of government debt)
US$bn FX Reserves (LHS) Month of Impo rt & Debt Service (RHS) Month
150 15
10 OG Non-OG Total 140 14
13
130 12
120 11
10
5 110 9
2,26 100 8
7
90 6
0 0,44 80 5
4
70 3
-1,82 2
60 1
-5 50 -
1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 5 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5
11 11 11 11 11
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Source: BPS * Preliminary Figure ** Very Preliminary Figure Source: Bank Indonesia 92
Exchange Rate Movement Supported by BI Stabilization
Measures
Movement of Rupiah 17.000 Rupiah exchange rates remain under control in
As of 21-Jun-23 16.500 line with the stabilisation measures implemented
Quarterly Average by Bank Indonesia. Global financial market
15568 16.000
IDR/USD
uncertainty induced slight rupiah depreciation in
14893 14935 15223 15.500 June 2023 (as of 21st June 2023), depreciating by
14566
14373 14945
15.000
0.56% compared with the average rate recorded in
14157
14339 14399 May 2023. Point-to-point, however, the rupiah
14120 14849 14.500 regained lost value compared with the levels
14669 14.000 recorded in May 2023 and at the end of 2022,
14259
14064 14219 appreciating by 0.30% and 4.17% respectively.
14344 13.500
Compared with conditions at the end of 2022,
13.000 rupiah appreciation exceeded the Indian rupee
24-Sep-19
2-Jan-20
11-Feb-20
18-Sep-20
25-Feb-21
13-Sep-21
20-Feb-22
28-Sep-22
6-Jan-23
15-Feb-23
10-Jun-20
30-Jun-20
25-Jun-21
20-Jun-22
15-Jun-23
6-Apr-21
1-Apr-22
1-May-20
6-May-23
2-Mar-20
7-Mar-23
26-Jul -19
20-Jul -20
9-Aug-20
15-Jul -21
4-Aug-21
10-Jul -22
30-Jul -22
4-Sep-19
23-Nov-19
17-Nov-20
5-Feb-21
12-Nov-21
8-Sep-22
27-Nov-22
13-Dec-19
27-Dec-20
5-Jun-21
22-Dec-21
17-Dec-22
14-Oct-19
28-Oct-20
23-Oct-21
18-Oct-22
22-Jan-20
16-Jan-21
11-Jan-22
31-Jan-22
26-Jan-23
11-Apr-20
26-Apr-21
21-Apr-22
16-Apr-23
6-Jul-19
3-Nov-19
21-May-20
16-May-21
11-May-22
31-May-22
7-Nov-22
26-May-23
22-Mar-20
7-Dec-20
17-Mar-21
2-Dec-21
12-Mar-22
27-Mar-23
15-Aug-19
29-Aug-20
8-Oct-20
24-Aug-21
3-Oct-21
19-Aug-22
(0.85%) and Philippine peso (0.15%), with the Thai
baht losing 0.70% in value. Moving forward, Bank
Indonesia expects the rupiah to continue
appreciating, supported by a positive current
Rupiah Exchange Rate Volatilty account and foreign capital inflows in line with the
promising economic growth outlook, low inflation
TRY -20,74 -15,01 and attractive yields on domestic financial assets
ZAR -9,68 -7,30 for investment. Bank Indonesia will continue
INR 0,86
-4,26
CNY -4,10
-2,52 strengthening rupiah stabilisation policy, in
JPY -7,62 particular through triple intervention policy and
-1,92
IDR 4,17
PHP
-1,24
0,15 the twist operation to manage imported inflation
-1,09
MYR -5,18 and mitigate the contagion risk of global financial
-1,04
KRW 2023 vs 2022 (YTD)
-2,04
0,10 market uncertainty. Furthermore, Bank Indonesia
BRL 10,28
poi nt-to-point average 1,66
1,99
is also strengthening foreign exchange operations
EUR 2,49
THB As of 21-Jun-23 -0,73 by optimising foreign currency term deposits (TD
2,93
SGD -0,34
3,28 Valas) for foreign exchange proceeds of exports
-25,0 -20,0 -15,0 -10,0 -5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0
(DHE), as well as increasing the auction frequency
and short-term tenors of TD Valas.
Source: Reuters, Bloomberg (calculated) 93
Ample Lines of Defense Against External Shocks
Ample Reserves
l Renewed a 3 year USD22.76 billion swap line with Japan on October 14th, 2021
Japan
l The facility is available in USD and JPY
l Renewed a 1 year SGD/IDR swap arrangement with the size up to SGD 9.5 bn / IDR 1000 tn (equivalent) in
Singapore
November 2022
Bilateral
l Renewed a 3 year swap arrangement and increased the size of swap line up to CNY 250 bn / IDR 550 tn
China
(equiv.) in January 2022
l Established a 3 year RM/IDR swap arrangement with a size up to RM 8 billion / IDR 28 trillion (equiv.) in
Malaysia
September 2022
l Renewed a 3 year A$/IDR swap arrangement with a size up to A$10 billion or IDR 100 trillion in February
Australia
2022
Chiang Mai l Entitled to a maximum swap amount of US$ 22.76 bn under the ASEAN+3 (Japan, China, and Korea) FX
Regional
IMF Global
Global
l Indonesia is entitled to access IMF facilities for crisis prevention to address potential (actual) BOP problem
Financial Safety
l Such facilities include Flexible Credit Line (FCL) and Precautionary and Liquidity Line (PLL)
Net - GSFN
Source: Bank Indonesia 94
Healthy External Debt Profile
External Debt Structure The Structure of External Debt is Dominated by Long-Term Debt
Private External Debt Public External Debt
Short Term External Debt Long Term External Debt
100% 100%
90% 90%
80%
50,5 80%
70%
70%
60%
60% 83,6
50%
50%
40%
40%
30%
49,5 30%
20%
20%
10%
10% 16,4
0%
0%
Apr-23**
Q1-2023*
Jan-22*
Jan-23*
Nov-21
Mar-22*
Sep-22*
Q1-2019
Q3-2019
Q1-2020
Q3-2020
Jan-21
Jul-22*
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
May-21*
May-22*
Mar-21
Sep-21
Jul-21
Nov-22*
*
3*
M 22*
1- 3*
Ja -21
r *
Se 2*
09
11
13
15
1- 7
M 22*
N 22*
M 21
3- 9
1- 9
3- 0
Ja 0
Ja 22*
Ju *
Ju 2*
Se 1
M -21
N 21
Ap 023
l- 2
1
Q 01
Q 01
Q 01
Q 02
-2
l- 2
-2
-2
Q 2
20
20
20
20
p-
20
n-
ar
ov
p-
-
n-
n-
2
2
2
2
ar
ay
ay
ov
2
External Debt Remains Manageable External Debt to GDP Ratio & Debt to Export Ratio
Million USD % 39,3
39,0
% 38,1 37,4
36,1 37,3 37,0
External Deb t External Deb t Growth (yoy) - rhs 240 36,7
36,5 40
450.000
17,1
20,0 36,1 36,0 36,1 34,9
34,7
34,3 34,4 33,6
400.000 220 31,8 32,9 31,7 35
15,0 29,1 30,2
350.000 11,5 11,312,0 200 26,5 27,4 214,6 30
10,2 10,1 25,0 206,9 208,8 30,1
300.000 10,0 180 197,2 25
5,9 6,5 189,2
5,4 183,3
250.000
160 177,0 177,2
176,1 172,2 172,0 175,3 20
3,0 2,9 2,6 2,1
5,0 168,4 168,6 168,4
200.000 0,7 1,2 1,3 0,9 0,4 156,6
-0,1-0,4 140 15
-1,0 -1,6 -1,2-0,9-0,8 145,2 118,9
150.000 0,0 139,5
-3,9 120 External Debt/ Export Ratio (rhs) 131,1 10
100.000 121,8 123,1 121,3
-5 ,0 100 114,9 113,8 5
50.000 External Debt/ GDP Ratio
101,0
80 0
0 -1 0,0
Q3 9
Q1 9
Q3 0
Q1 20
09
11
13
15
Q1 7
Q1-2019
Q2-2019
Q3-2019
Q1-2020
Q2-2020
Q3-2020
Q3 1*
Q1 1*
Q3 2*
2*
*
Q1-2021*
Q2-2021*
Q1-2022*
Q2-2022*
Q3-2022*
Q4-2022*
Mar-23**
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021**
01
01
02
1
3*
0
20
20
20
20
20
02
02
02
02
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
ar
M
Source: Bank Indonesia, External Debt Statistics of Indonesia *Provisional Figures **Very Provisional Figures 95
Strengthened Private External Debt Risk Management
Debt Burden Indicator (External Debt/GDP) Remains Comparable to Peers Rating Encouraging Corporates Compliance on Hedging Ratio & Liquidity Ratio
B. Expenditure 938.2 30.2 (0.8) 3,061.2 1,005.0 32.8 7.1 Financial Services &
13.0% 28,2%
I. Central Government 653.9 28.4 1.0 2,246.5 714.6 31.8 9.3 Insurance 24,3%
1. Line Ministries
319.2 33.7 (11.3) 1,000.8 326.2 32.6 2.2 Transportation & 46,5%
Spending 4.2% Warehouse 13,7%
2. Non-Line Ministries 334.7 24.7 16.3 1,245.6 388.4 31.2 16.0
II. Regional Transfer & Construction & Real 10,9%
284.3 35.3 (4.6) 814.7 290.3 35.6 2.1 3.9% 13,3%
Village Funds Estate
C. Primary Balance 298.6 (68.8) 542.8 (156.8) 390.5 (249.1) 30.7
3.2% Business Services 37,7%
D. Surplus (Deficit) 132.0 (15.7) 160.2 (598.2) 204.3 (34.2) 54.8 19,0%
% to GDP 0.67 (2.84) 0.97
Information & 15,5%
E. Financing 83.6 10.0 (73.1) 598.2 118.4 19.8 41.6 3.1% 36,7%
Telecommunication
SLOWING CUSTOMS AND EXCISE REVENUES IMPACTED BY DECLINING
OUTWARD DUTIES AND TAXES COLLECTION
41,73%
20,46% 12,13%
-12,45%
102,74 32,47% 7,87% 844,63%
-7,86% 3,56%
89,95 20,41
18,92 -27,54% 54,46%
-67,52%
72,49 15,85
64,65 14,28
13,79
10,26
5,15
1,09
Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May Jan - May
2020 2021 2022 2023 2020 2021 2022 2023 2020 2021 2022 2023
Excise (IDR Trillion) Growth Import Duty (IDR Tri llion) Growth Export Duty (IDR Trill ion) Growth
Decline in Tobacco Excise Revenues Due to Growth in Import Duty Performance driven by, Affected by the moderated decline in
Decreased Production in March 2023 among others, Increased Import of Key CPO prices and the decrease in mineral
Compared to Last Year, Resulting from the Commodities such as Spare Parts, Basic Iron commodity export volume
Previous Increase in Value Added Tax (VAT). and Steel, and Mining Machinery.
UNTIL MAY 31, 2023, THE REALIZATION OF NON-TAX STATE REVENUE
(PNBP) HAS EXPERIENCED AN UPWARD TREND
98,1
1,5 -24,7 -17,9 -18,8
Non-Tax Revenue
Oil & Gas 51,4 38,7 31,8 62,9 51,1
30,3 37,4
6,6 15,5
-1,1
56,5 59,4 63,2 64,8 68,0 50,6 48,9 56,6 75,4 75,1 0,3 -100,0 18,1 52,0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
167,0 157,2 185,9 163,2 188,9 106,4 63,2 100,3 83,5 93,7 43,1 38,3 58,5 59,2 53,5
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
(January – May)
transfer to the region supports regional funding and
2023 IDR 290.3T infrastructure development in areas such as education,
(35.6% from budget)
healthcare, irrigation, water supply, agriculture,
transportation, tourism, economic growth, environment,
IDR284.2T
2022 and rural development. The distribution of transfers to
(35.3% from budget)
the region increased to IDR 290.3 trillion (35.6%)
Revenue Sharing (DBH)
General Allocation (DAU) compared to last year, primarily due to higher allocations
Physical Special Allocation (DAK Fisik) from sharing funds of Cigarette Excise, Mining, and Oil &
Non- Phy isical Special Allocation (DAK Non Fi sik)
Grant Gas.
Special Autonomy & Privilege Allocation for Yogyakarta
Village Fund
Incentive Fiscal
Special Fund
Local Government Performance
Housing Financing Liquidity Facility State Asset Management Agency Education Fund Management International Development
IDR 85.78T(Total Fund) As of May 2023, funding amounting to Agency (LPDP) Cooperation Fund (LDKPI)
IDR122.39 trillion has been allocated for IDR 8T (2023 Funding Target)
As of May 31, 2023, a total of 82,361 FLPP Financing LDKPI by IDR 2T
national strategic projects, including toll
(Housing Financing Liquidity Facility) homes Total Endowment Find as of May
roads, dams, ports, irrigation, water
have been disbursed to low-income 2023 IDR 134.11T
supply, railway lines, the national capital,
communities across 380 cities/regencies, with
and national strategic tourism areas.
a total value of IDR 9.21 trillion.
Source: Ministry of Finance
36
THE BASIC ASSUMPTIONS OF MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND
TARGETS AND INDICATORS OF DEVELOPMENT FOR THE YEARS
2022-2024
10Y T-Bonds Rate (%) 6.96 7.9 6.73 – 7.05 6.49 – 6.91
ICP(USD/barrel) 97.09 90 80 – 85 75 – 80
Oil Lifting (thousand bph) 612 660 610 – 640 615 – 640
Gas Lifting (thousand bsmph) 953 1,100 950 – 1,100 1,030 – 1,036
Development Targets and Indicators
Poverty (%) 9.57 7.5 – 8.5 6.5 – 7.5
Gini Ratio 0.381 0.375 – 0.378 0.374 – 0.377
Unemployment (%) 5.86 5.3 – 6.0 5.0 – 5.7
HDI 72.91 73.31 – 73.49 73.99 – 74.02
Farmer’s Exchange Rate 107.33 105 - 107 105 - 108
Fishermen’s Exchange Rate 106.45 107 - 108 107 - 110
Note: Macroeconomic Framework and Key Fiscal Policies (the numbers have been approved by parliament)
PROPOSAL FOR THE 2024 GOVERNMENT BUDGET
Focuses on using the state budget as a tool to expedite inclusive and sustainable economic transformation.
Note:
% of GDP
2023 Budget
Kebutuhan
Kebutuhan Sumber
Financing
Pembiayaan
Sources
Financing Needs Sumber Pembiayaan
Pembiayaan
Pembiayaan
o Investment financing
o Lending Gross GS 2023
Matured
(Auction & non- T-Bills
o Liabilities auction) Issuance
o Other financing
Sukuk
o Matured debt 30-36% GDS
70-64%
Our Debt financing policies encourage flexible and sustainable debt management to support economic transformation. Amidst
increasing global risks, fiscal pressures, and moderating domestic SBN demand, we will optimize non-debt financing sources
considering the high financing needs and choosing the right timing for issuance.
debt
independence
policy
Procurement of foreign debt as an effort to mitigate the crowding
out effect.
Utilizing cash loans within the framework of financing flexibility to ensure the
fulfillment of financing, while the choice of cash loan currency takes into account
cash requirements and debt portfolio management
Budget Financing continues to well risk-controlled, among others through optimal composition, good related to currency, interest rates, and maturity
Debt
Financing
Loan Rp5.9
Realization (Net)
Rp 150.4 (21.6%)
Foreign Loan (Net)
Rp38.2
Note :
1. all numbers in trillion Rupiah
2. The percentage is the percentage of budget ceiling from National Budget year 2023
(Trillion IDR)
Realization
(ao. May 31, 2023)
Government Securities (GS) Nett 144.04
Government Securities (GS) Gross 401.41
Government Debt Securities (GDS) 276.59
IDR Denominated GDS 217.82
- Coupon GDS 164.80
- Conventional T-Bills 26.45
- Private Placement (+ Voluntary Disclosure Program) 4.38
- Retail Bonds 22.18
Foreign Denominated Bonds 58.78
- SEC USD-EUR ( - Buyback LM) 46.77
- Samurai Bond 11.24
- SDG Bonds 0.00
- Valas Voluntary Disclosure Program 0.77
Sovereign Sharia Securities (Sukuk) 124.82
Domestic Sovereign Sharia Securitoes 76.46
- IFR/PBS/T-Bills Sukuk (Islamic Fixed Rate Bond/Project Based Sukuk 101.00
- Retail Sukuk 21.49
- Private Placement 2.32
Global Sukuk 0.00
350
4.00
3.56
300
3.11
250 2.73 2.78 3.00
2.62 2.60
2.45 2.40
2.24 2.25 2.14 2.27
200
1.96 2.02
1.81 1.78 2.00
150 IDR32.25 tn
per auction IDR12.46 tn
per auction
100 In 2023:
1.00
• average incoming bid =
50 IDR40.72 tn/auction
• average awarded bid =
- - IDR15.38 tn/auction
1) Non Resident consists of Private Bank, Fund/Asset Manager, Securities Company, Insurance
Company, and Pension Fund.
2) Others such as Securities Company, Corporation, and Foundation.
*) Including the Government Securities used in monetary operation with Bank Indonesia.
**) net, excluding Government Securities used in monetary operation with Banks.
Non-Banks,
Govt 51.06%
Institutions,
17.18%
Banks,
31.76%
Holders of Tradable Gov’t Domestic Debt Securities Foreign Ownership of Gov’t Domestic Debt Securities by Tenor
39,3%
46,9% 53,7% 53,0%
21,8% 22,1% 22,3% 22,8% 22,33% 22,17% 21,39%
20,93%
19,87%
23,8% 23,1% 18,7%
18,78%
18,97% 18,82% 17,57%
17,03% 16,56% 16,09% 15,65%
15,24% 14,31% 13,90% 14,27% 14,36% 15,26%
38,2% 37,5% 39,8% 37,7% 38,6%
25,2% 10,3% 10,14% 10,2% 9,9% 8,7% 8,6% 9,29% 9,15% 9,04% 8,76% 5,60%
19,0% 5,3% 5,1%
14,4% 15,3% 4,1% 4,3% 3,59% 4,8% 4,9% 5,0% 5,0% 4,57% 4,41% 4,95% 5,56% 5,21%
2,9%
Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 May-23
Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 May-23
0-1 >1-2 >2-5 >5-10 >10 % Foreign Ownership of Total
Foreign Holders Domesti c Non Banks Domesti c Banks
Stable Debt to GDP Ratio Over the Years Prudent Fiscal Deficit
IDR Tn Government Debt / GDP (%)
1.177
878
9.000,00 39,36% 40,73% 39,57% 37,85% 45% 659
8.000,00 40% 442 358 446
7.000,00 887,04 853,26 35%
29,40% 29,81% 30,18%
27,46% 28,34% 819,86 14 53 1 30
6.000,00 30%
852,91
5.000,00 25% (20) (56) (57) (9)(35) (36) (7)
(269) (105)
(349)
6.934,25
6.846,89
4.000,00 764,48 20% (341) (464)
6.091,85
810,74
-1,80%
5.221,65
746,32 -2,38%
3.000,00 734,85 15% -2,50% -2,20%
4.014,80
(775)
3.612,69
755,12
3.248,93
2.000,00 10%
2.410,01
7,6 0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Ma y-23
2018 2019 2020 2021 Dec-22 May-23
ATM
Source: Ministry of Finance IDR USD EUR JPY OTHER
114
Well Balanced Maturity Profile with Strong Resilience
Against External Shocks
Interest Rate Risks (%) Declining Exchange Rate Risks (%)
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
3
21
-2
- 0
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
ay
M
2049-2071
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
Transaction Highlight
Issuer Republic of Indonesia
• The first Emerging Asian sovereign issuer in 2023
Baa2 Moody’s (Stable) BBB S&P (Negative) and marks the Republic’s thirteenth successful
Issuer Rating
BBB Fitch (Stable) SEC-registered US$ transaction since 2018.
• A low new issuance concession for the transaction,
Format SEC-Registered Notes Offering
which was also one of the lowest amongst the
Pricing Date January 5, 2023 transactions launched on the same day
Maturity January 11, 2028 January 11, 2033 January 11, 2053
BofA Securities, DBS Bank Ltd., HSBC, Mandiri Securities and Standard
JLM
Chartered Bank
Use of Net proceeds from the sale of the Bonds will be used for the
Proceeds general purposes of the Republic
116 116
Source: Ministry of Finance
Section 6
Monetary and Financial Factor:
Credible Monetary Policy Track Record
and Favourable Financial Sector
Bank Indonesia’s Policy Mix Direction in 2023
Maintaining Stability, Accelerating Economic Recovery
• Monetary policy towards maintaining stability 1
• Policy rate increase as a follow-up step to ensure continued lower expected inflation and inflation in a front-loaded, pre-emptive, and forward-
looking measure to maintain core inflation within the range of 3.0±1%
• Strengthening rupiah stabilization policy as part of measures to control inflation, primarily imported inflation
ü Issuing new foreign exchange monetary operation instruments to boost placement of Export Proceeds, domestically by banks and exporters to
strengthen stabilization, including Rupiah exchange rate stability and national economic recovery
• Continue buying/selling SBN in the secondary market to strengthen transmission of the BI7DRR by increasing the attractiveness of SBN yields for
foreign portfolio investment inflows to strengthen exchange rate stabilization measures
n Accommodative macroprudential policy stance to reignite bank lending to the corporate sector and drive the national economic recovery, while 2
maintaining financial system stability
n Incentivize banks to disburse financing to priority sectors and promote inclusive financing
n Strengthen implementation of macroprudential Inclusive Financing Ratio (RPIM) to increase economic inclusion, unlock financial access, while
strengthening MSME's contribution to the national economic recovery
n Accommodative macroprudential policy stance, among others by: relaxing LTV/FTV, relaxing down payment requirement, CCB 0%, Macroprudential
Intermediation Ratio (MIR) 84-94%, Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (MLB) at 6% with 6% repo flexibility, Sharia Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer
(SMLB) at 4.5% with repo flexibility at 4.5%
3
n Accelerating payment system digitalization to stimulate economic recovery and implementation of the
Indonesia Payment System Blueprint 2025
n Strengthen and expand digitalization through social programs, e-payment for Government
n Increase the number of participants, expand services and garner greater acceptance of BI-FAST for more
efficient transactions between banks and members of the public
n Expanding cross-border QRIS by, among others, accelerating implementation, piloting local currency settlement
(LCS) with other Asian countries and organising National QRIS Week
4
n Money market deepening by expanding underlying DNDF to boost liquidity and reinforce JISDOR as a reference for the exchange
rate in the FX market
n Accelerate key infrastructure development, including Electronic Trading Platforms (ETP) and a Central Counterparty (CCP)
n Continue to develop the Money Market Development Blueprint 2025
n Promote inclusiveness and the green economy in finance
5
n Controlling inflation through Inflation Control Team in national and regional level, and accelerating implementation of the National Movement for Food
Inflation Control (GNPIP)
n Support the national economic recovery program through cooperation and collaboration with the MOF
n Strengthening the coordination with the Government and related authorities to revive bank intermediation function
n Strengthening policy coordination with the Government and Financial System Stability Committee to maintain macroeconomic and financial system stability
The BI Board of Governors agreed on 21st and 22nd June 2023 to hold the BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate at 5.75%, while also
maintaining the Deposit Facility (DF) rate at 5.00% and Lending Facility (LF) rate at 6.50%.
23
0
2
16
16
17
18
19
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 May-23
2
0
3
6
l- 2
l- 2
l- 2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-1
-2
-2
-2
n-
20
20
20
20
n-
ay
ar
ar
ar
ar
ov
ov
ov
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ja
3-
3-
3-
3-
M
N
N
M
Q
Rupiah Exchange Rate Volatilty Credit Growth Profile
% % yoy
60
20,0
Apr-23 Total Growth Working Capital Loans
50 Investment Loans Consumption Loans
May-23 15,0
12,69
38,18 Jun-23
40 10,0 9,62
7,39
26,03 as of 21 Juni 2023 30 5,0
9,39
21,43 21,03 19,39
20 0,0
15,03
11,98 12,85 12,00 12,98 13,46 11,65 10,54
7,49 8,45 5,25 -5,0
6,19 5,91 6,183,88 3,67 4,63 7,45
7,29 10
4,06 3,253,30 3,12 4,52
-10,0
-
Nov-21
Nov-22
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Mar-21
Sep-21
Mar-22
Sep-22
Mar-23
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
May-21
May-22
May-23
Apr-23
BRL ZAR TRY IDR KRW THB MYR INR SGD PHP
In April 2023, bank loans and Third-Party Funds (Total Deposits) grew at a Majority types of loans continued their positive trend, particularly
slower pace by 8.08% (yoy) and 6.82% (yoy), respectively. Investment loans, which grew by 10.12% (yoy) in April 2023
4% 5% 8,68%
2% 6,55%
0%
0%
Oct-22
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Apr-20
Apr-23
Apr-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Jul-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jul-20
Jul-19
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-19
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-20
Apr-23
Oct-19
Apr-21
Apr-22
Apr-20
Jul-21
Apr-19
Jul-22
Jul-20
Jul-19
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-20
Jan-23
Jan-19
-2% -5%
-4%
-6% -10%
Oct-22
Oct-20
Oct-19
Apr-21
Apr-22
Apr-20
Apr-23
Apr-19
Jul-22
Jul-20
Jul-19
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-20
Jul-21
Jan-23
Jan-19
0%
Oct-21
Oct-22
Apr-20
Oct-20
Apr-23
Oct-19
Apr-21
Apr-22
Jul-21
Apr-19
Jul-22
Jul-20
Jul-19
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-20
Jan-23
Jan-19
-5%
% %
5 NPL Net NPL Gross CAR Tier 1 24,57
25
4
3 2,53 20
23,04
2
0,78 15
1
0
Oct-2 1
Oct-2 0
Apr-2 2
Oct-2 2
Apr-2 1
Apr-2 3
Apr-2 0
Apr-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Jan-22
Jan-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jul-21
Jan-19
Jul-20
10
Jul-19
Oct-2 2
Apr-2 1
Oct-2 1
Apr-2 3
Apr-2 0
Oct-2 0
Oct-19
Apr-2 2
Apr-19
Jan-22
Jan-21
Jan-23
Jan-20
Jul-21
Jul-20
Jul-22
Jan-19
Jul-19
Liquid Assets to Non-Core Deposits and Liquid Assets to Third-Party Funds The banking industry's Net Interest Margin and Return on Assets
(Total Deposits) remained well above the thresholds. remained steady at 4.77% and 2.72%, respectively, as of April 2023.
%
Liquid Assets/Non-Core Deposit (LA/NCD) 6
% % Net Interest Margin Return on Assets 4,77
180 Liquid Assets/Third-Party Fund (LA/TPF) (rhs) 40
160 26,58 35 4
140 30 2,72
12 0
25
118,25 20 2
100
threshold LA to TPF (rhs) = 10% 15
80 10
60 threshold LA/ NCD= 50% 5 0
Oct-2 2
Apr-2 1
Oct-2 1
Apr-2 3
Apr-2 0
Oct-2 0
Oct-19
Apr-2 2
Apr-19
Jan-22
Jan-21
Jan-23
Jan-20
Jul-21
Jul-20
Jul-22
Jan-19
Jul-19
40 0
Jan -19 Apr-19 Ju l-19 Oct-19 Jan -20 Apr-20 Ju l-20 Oct-20 Jan -21 Apr-21 Ju l-21 Oct-21 Jan -22 Apr-22 Ju l-22 Oct-22 Jan -23 Apr-23
Net Open Position was maintained well below the maximum limit of 20%
and stood at 1.60% in April 2023.
%
5
4
3
2 1,6
*) provisional figures due to the relaxation on financial
institutions’ report to OJK because of Covid-19 1
0
Oct-2 1
Oct-2 0
Apr-2 2
Oct-2 2
Apr-2 1
Apr-2 3
Apr-2 0
Apr-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Jan-22
Jan-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jul-21
Jan-19
Jul-20
Jul-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-20
Apr-23
Apr-19
Oct-19
Apr-21
Jul-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jul-20
Jul-19
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-20
Jan-19
Oct-2 2
Oct-2 1
Oct-2 0
Apr-2 2
Apr-2 1
Apr-2 3
Apr-2 0
Apr-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Jan-22
Jan-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jul-21
Jan-19
Jul-20
Jul-19
The gearing ratio of multi-finance companies stood at 2.17 times or Multi-finance companies’ exposure to domestic debt continued to
well below the threshold in April 2023. increase whereas exposure to foreign debt experienced a declining
trend in April 2023. *)
4 IDR Trillion Domestic Debt Foreign D ebt
250 213,78
3
2,17 200
2
150
1
100
56,39
0 50
Oct-22
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Apr-20
Apr-23
Apr-19
Oct-19
Jul-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jul-20
Jul-19
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-20
Jan-19
Oct-2 2
Oct-2 1
*) provisional figures due to the relaxation on financial institutions’ report to OJK because of Covid-19
Oct-2 0
Apr-2 2
Apr-2 1
Apr-2 3
Apr-2 0
Apr-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Jan-22
Jan-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jul-21
Jan-19
Jul-20
Jul-19
In April 2023, insurance premiums marked a total increase of IDR25.20 In April 2023, the Investment Adequacy Ratio of both Life Insurance and
Tn (mtm) with General and Life insurance added premiums at IDR10.49 General Insurance stayed well above the threshold at 130.3% and
Tn and IDR14.71 Tn, respectively. 194.66%, respectively.
%
IDR Tn
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Oct-21
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Apr-22
Apr-23
Oct-22
Oct-20
Oct-19
Apr-21
Apr-22
Apr-20
Apr-23
Apr-19
Jul-22
Jul-20
Jul-19
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-20
Jul-21
Jan-23
Jan-19
Risk-Based Capital (RBC) of the insurance industry remained well above In April 2023, pension fund and insurance investment values continued the
the minimum threshold with Life Insurance at 457.79% and General upward trend and stood at IDR341.3 Tn and IDR1,468.1 Tn, respectively.
Insurance at 311.16% in April 2023.
Oct-2 0
Oct-2 2
Apr-2 1
Oct-2 1
Apr-2 3
Apr-2 0
Oct-19
Apr-2 2
Apr-19
Jan-22
Jan-21
Jan-23
Jan-20
Jul-21
Jul-20
Jul-22
Jan-19
Jul-19
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-20
Oct-20
Apr-23
Apr-19
Oct-19
Apr-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-20
Jul-19
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-20
Jan-23
Jan-19
Global stocks rallied supported by the Fed’s “Hawkish Hold” sentiment. The domestic capital market showed a mixed performance with composite
However, most emerging markets fell into the negative territory. bond maintained its positive trend since the beginning of the year.
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Government bond yields remained competitive, followed by a stable The Net Asset Value (NAV) of equity mutual funds was stable with low
rupiah as the risk premium was maintained. volatility, reflecting a steady movement in the capital market.
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Source: Reuters, Financial Services Authority (OJK)
Domestic Capital Market Performance 127
Several capital market indicators recorded positive performance and remained stable.
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
12 11,06
Total Investor 10,31
10 (million)
6
3,88
4
2,48
2 1,62
1,12
0
2017 Sep-21 Feb-22 Jul-22 Dec-22 May-23
Source: Financial Services Authority (OJK), KSEI
Fintech (Peer to Peer Lending and Securities Crowdfunding) 128
Peer to Peer Lending (P2PL) Fintech intermediation grows with a manageable NPL ratio and Securities
Crowdfunding fundraising continues to rise.
The outstanding loan of P2PL Fintech remained steady and stood at The Non-Performing Loan ratio of P2PL Fintech remained manageable at
IDR50.53 Tn or grew by 30.63% (yoy) as of April 2023. 2.82% in April 2023.
40 100% 6%
30,63%
30 50% 2,82%
4%
20 0%
2%
10 -50%
0%
0 -100%
Jul-21
May-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jul-20
Mar-21
May-22
May-20
Sep-21
Mar-22
Mar-20
Nov-20
Jan-21
Sep-22
Mar-23
Sep-20
Jan-22
Jan-20
Nov-21
Nov-22
Oct-2 1
Oct-2 0
Apr-2 2
Oct-2 2
Apr-2 1
Apr-2 3
Apr-2 0
Oct-19
Apr-19
Jan-22
Jan-21
Jan-23
Jul-22
Jan-20
Jul-21
Jan-19
Jul-20
Jul-19
The total number of investors and issuers in Securities Crowdfunding Continuing the positive trend, the total value of SCF fundraising stood at
increased to 153,662 and 404, respectively, as of 31 May 2023. IDR869.47 billion as of 31 May 2023.
In consumer protection, OJK will focus on creating swift and just resolutions for financial consumers, imposing still financial penalties to create deterrent
effects on violators, eradicating illegal investments, and establishing service centers to channel consumer complaints at all OJK offices across Indonesia.
In the implementation of Financial Sector Omnibus Law (P2SK Law), OJK hopes for stakeholders’ active participation in the P2SK Law implementation process, including
synergy with relevant authorities and institutions during the regulatory and supervisory transition process. Other important measures include Shari’a financial sector
landscape restructuring through spin-offs and banking consolidation, preparing for the implementation of the Insurance Policy Holder Protection Program, strengthening
market conduct supervision, and gradually extending activities and financial products to encompass areas, such as carbon exchanges, bullion activities, digital and crypto
assets.
Source: Bank Indonesia
Source: Financial Services Authority (OJK) 129
OJK Policy Directions 2023
Extended Loans and Financing Restructuring Policy
As global economic uncertainties remain high and economic sectors face different impacts due to the scarring effect
of the Covid-19 pandemic, OJK extended the loans/financing restructuring policy until 31 March 2024 to targeted
sectors as follows:
MSME segment (covering all Accommodation and food Labor-intensive industries, such as
sectors) service activities textile and textile products and
footwear industries
OBJECTIVE : Optimizing financial intermediation and financing portfolio for productive sectors; improving financial access, inclusion and literacy, and
consumer protection; expanding long-term financing resources; enhancing competitiveness and efficiency of the financial sector; and strengthening the
authorities and responsibilities of financial regulators.
OTORITAS JASA KEUANGAN BANK INDONESIA LEMBAGA PENJAMIN SIMPANAN KEMENTERIAN KEUANGAN
Indonesia Financial Services The Central Bank of The Republic of Indonesia Deposit Insurance The Ministry of Finance
Authority Indonesia Corporation
• Strengthening OJK’s role in some • Strengthening BI’s role in some • Strengthening the role of IDIC in • Strengthening the role of the
areas, including integrated areas, such as maintaining deposit guarantee and bank Ministry of Finance as a
supervision, financial financial system stability to resolution. coordinator for Financial System
conglomerate supervision, support sustainable economic • Giving a new mandate: IDIC Stability Committee and
market conduct supervision, growth, maintaining the smooth establishes policies and Sustainable Finance committee.
consumer protection, etc. running of the payment system, implement the insurance policy • The MoF coordinates with OJK,
• Giving new mandates among implementing macroprudential guarantee program. BI, and IDIC in some areas,
others: cooperative in the policies. including financial literacy and
financial sector, digital assets, inclusion, financial sector
carbon exchange, bullion development, etc.
activities.
Act No. 4/2023 modifies, removes, and/or establishes new provisions for 17 existing laws in the financial sector and repeals one law. The Act also introduces new
provisions regarding a) Financing Service Business, b) Consumer Protection in the Financial Sector, c) Technological Innovation in the Financial Sector, d) Human Resources,
e) Financial Reporting, and f) Mutual Insurance.
CHAPTER II. Principles, Purposes, Objectives and Scope CHAPTER XVI Financial Sector Technology Innovation
www.indonesia.travel 136