SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99342
R Square 0.986883
Adjusted R 0.986423
Standard E 1.276579
Observatio 60

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 6988.722 3494.361 2144.235 2.282E-54
Residual 57 92.89029 1.629654
Total 59 7081.612

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%Upper 95,0%
Intercept -28.27937 1.3056 -21.66006 3.441E-29 -30.89379 -25.66495 -30.89379 -25.66495
X Variable 4.198468 0.20439 20.54144 5.044E-28 3.789184 4.607752 3.789184 4.607752
X Variable 47.96083 3.641993 13.16884 6.196E-19 40.66786 55.25379 40.66786 55.25379
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.990394
R Square 0.980881
Adjusted R 0.98021
Standard E 0.073761
Observatio 60

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 15.91045 7.955223 1462.18 1.051E-49
Residual 57 0.310118 0.005441
Total 59 16.22056

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept -0.494169 0.399652 -1.236498 0.221344 -1.294459 0.30612 -1.294459 0.30612
X Variable 1.914242 0.138954 13.77605 8.681E-20 1.63599 2.192493 1.63599 2.192493
X Variable 0.521783 0.062918 8.293073 2.245E-11 0.395792 0.647774 0.395792 0.647774
Produksi padi di Indonesia (sumber data: FAO)
Tahun Produksi Luas Panen Benih
juta ton juta ha juta ton
Y X1 X2
1961 8.06 6.86 0.12 2.086917 1.92527 -2.120264
1962 8.67 7.28 0.11 2.160292 1.985543 -2.189256
1963 7.73 6.73 0.12 2.045609 1.906724 -2.145581
1964 8.21 6.98 0.12 2.105122 1.943049 -2.103734
1965 8.65 7.33 0.13 2.158059 1.991566 -2.055725
1966 9.10 7.69 0.13 2.208774 2.040051 -2.063568
1967 8.82 7.52 0.13 2.176917 2.017034 -2.017406
1968 11.45 8.02 0.17 2.437779 2.082034 -1.777857
1969 12.02 8.01 0.15 2.486528 2.081143 -1.903809
1970 12.89 8.14 0.17 2.556745 2.096186 -1.754464
1971 13.47 8.32 0.23 2.600222 2.119181 -1.461018
1972 12.94 7.90 0.20 2.559978 2.066564 -1.624552
1973 14.33 8.40 0.18 2.662599 2.12866 -1.709258
1974 14.99 8.51 0.17 2.70735 2.141077 -1.766092
1975 14.90 8.50 0.18 2.701378 2.13949 -1.731606
1976 15.54 8.37 0.16 2.743529 2.124506 -1.838851
1977 15.57 8.36 0.16 2.745509 2.123407 -1.814005
1978 17.19 8.93 0.19 2.844308 2.189323 -1.682009
1979 17.53 8.80 0.18 2.863944 2.175157 -1.731606
1980 19.78 9.01 0.19 2.984561 2.197787 -1.655482
1981 21.86 9.38 0.26 3.084676 2.238776 -1.335601
1982 22.40 8.99 0.23 3.109075 2.195941 -1.469676
1983 23.55 9.16 0.27 3.159003 2.215116 -1.313044
1984 25.44 9.76 0.27 3.236205 2.278659 -1.301953
1985 26.03 9.90 0.25 3.259441 2.292766 -1.370421
1986 26.50 9.99 0.27 3.27706 2.30143 -1.324259
1987 26.73 9.92 0.26 3.285867 2.294814 -1.343235
1988 27.80 10.14 0.29 3.324964 2.316306 -1.248273
1989 29.83 10.53 0.27 3.39558 2.354343 -1.298283
1990 30.13 10.50 0.29 3.405662 2.3516 -1.255266
1991 29.81 10.28 0.28 3.394745 2.330348 -1.269401
1992 32.18 11.10 0.30 3.471223 2.407244 -1.194022
1993 32.14 11.01 0.26 3.470001 2.399056 -1.358679
1994 31.11 10.73 0.26 3.437525 2.373398 -1.343235
1995 33.18 11.44 0.26 3.501927 2.437008 -1.358679
1996 34.08 11.57 0.31 3.528849 2.448392 -1.177655
1997 32.93 11.14 0.26 3.494521 2.410596 -1.335601
1998 32.84 11.73 0.31 3.491674 2.462167 -1.187444
1999 33.93 11.96 0.31 3.524237 2.481836 -1.187444
2000 34.62 11.79 0.31 3.544315 2.467506 -1.180908
2001 33.66 11.50 0.31 3.516232 2.442347 -1.180908
2002 34.34 11.52 0.31 3.536416 2.444186 -1.180908
2003 34.78 11.48 0.31 3.548921 2.440376 -1.180908
2004 36.08 11.92 0.31 3.585656 2.478467 -1.180908
2005 36.12 11.84 0.31 3.586813 2.471404 -1.180908
2006 36.32 11.79 0.31 3.592408 2.466949 -1.180908
2007 36.41 11.75 0.32 3.594904 2.463683 -1.127012
2008 38.46 11.73 0.34 3.649616 2.461979 -1.072945
2009 39.36 11.78 0.37 3.672809 2.466233 -1.007858
2010 39.54 11.80 0.38 3.677357 2.467845 -0.97551
2011 38.86 11.65 0.37 3.659933 2.455564 -0.986177
2012 39.82 11.59 0.39 3.684451 2.450229 -0.936493
2013 40.08 11.63 0.40 3.690961 2.453674 -0.90634
2014 39.39 11.47 0.40 3.673572 2.439996 -0.912463
2015 40.71 11.39 0.43 3.706417 2.432648 -0.849691
2016 36.04 10.60 0.39 3.584593 2.360854 -0.934294
2017 36.85 10.90 0.41 3.606939 2.388763 -0.897624
2018 39.49 11.38 0.41 3.675965 2.431676 -0.888572
2019 36.42 10.68 0.42 3.595143 2.368175 -0.874968
2020 36.45 10.66 0.42 3.595969 2.366243 -0.862874
Produksi padi di Indonesia (sumber data: FAO)
Tahun Produksias Panen
juta ton juta ha
Y X1 Dt * Xt Dt
1961 8.06 6.86 6.857 1
1962 8.67 7.28 7.283 1
1963 7.73 6.73 6.731 1
1964 8.21 6.98 6.98 1
1965 8.65 7.33 7.327 1
1966 9.10 7.69 7.691 1
1967 8.82 7.52 7.516 1
1968 11.45 8.02 8.02077 1
1969 12.02 8.01 8.01362 1
1970 12.89 8.14 8.13508 1
1971 13.47 8.32 8.32432 1
1972 12.94 7.90 7.89764 1
1973 14.33 8.40 8.4036 1
1974 14.99 8.51 8.5086 1
1975 14.90 8.50 8.4951 1
1976 15.54 8.37 8.36876 1
1977 15.57 8.36 8.35957 1
1978 17.19 8.93 8.92917 1
1979 17.53 8.80 8.803564 1
1980 19.78 9.01 9.005065 1
1981 21.86 9.38 9.381839 1
1982 22.40 8.99 8.988455 1
1983 23.55 9.16 9.162469 1
1984 25.44 9.76 0 0
1985 26.03 9.90 0 0
1986 26.50 9.99 0 0
1987 26.73 9.92 0 0
1988 27.80 10.14 0 0
1989 29.83 10.53 0 0
1990 30.13 10.50 0 0
1991 29.81 10.28 0 0
1992 32.18 11.10 0 0
1993 32.14 11.01 0 0
1994 31.11 10.73 0 0
1995 33.18 11.44 0 0
1996 34.08 11.57 0 0
1997 32.93 11.14 0 0
1998 32.84 11.73 0 0
1999 33.93 11.96 0 0
2000 34.62 11.79 0 0
2001 33.66 11.50 0 0
2002 34.34 11.52 0 0
2003 34.78 11.48 0 0
2004 36.08 11.92 0 0
2005 36.12 11.84 0 0
2006 36.32 11.79 0 0
2007 36.41 11.75 0 0
2008 38.46 11.73 0 0
2009 39.36 11.78 0 0
2010 39.54 11.80 0 0
2011 38.86 11.65 0 0
2012 39.82 11.59 0 0
2013 40.08 11.63 0 0
2014 39.39 11.47 0 0
2015 40.71 11.39 0 0
2016 36.04 10.60 0 0
2017 36.85 10.90 0 0
2018 39.49 11.38 0 0
2019 36.42 10.68 0 0
2020 36.45 10.66 0 0
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.942688
R Square 0.88866
Adjusted R 0.884753
Standard E 3.719241
Observatio 60

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 6293.145 3146.573 227.4726 6.754E-28
Residual 57 788.4669 13.83275
Total 59 7081.612

CoefficientStandard Et Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95, Upper 95,0%

Intercept 13.89826 0.775515 17.92132 4.31E-25 12.34532 15.45121 12.34532 15.45121
Lahan X Variable -35.59271 10.46249 -3.401934 0.001229 -56.54349 -14.64193 -56.54349 -14.64193
Dummy X Variable 5.020219 0.93412 5.374277 1.484E-06 3.149676 6.890762 3.149676 6.890762

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.975499
R Square 0.951599
Adjusted R 0.949901
Standard E 2.452194
Observatio 60

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 6738.856 3369.428 560.3334 3.298E-38
Residual 57 342.7556 6.013256
Total 59 7081.612

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept -29.76117 4.360226 -6.825602 6.209E-09 -38.49237 -21.02997 -38.49237 -21.02997
X Variable 5.370113 0.535025 10.03713 3.282E-14 4.298745 6.441481 4.298745 6.441481
X Variable 0.37107 0.159011 2.333615 0.023166 0.052656 0.689483 0.052656 0.689483
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.975499
R Square 0.951599
Adjusted R 0.949901
Standard E 2.452194
Observatio 60

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 6738.856 3369.428 560.3334 3.298E-38
Residual 57 342.7556 6.013256
Total 59 7081.612

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept -29.76117 4.360226 -6.825602 6.209E-09 -38.49237 -21.02997 -38.49237 -21.02997
X Variable 5.741183 0.391364 14.66969 5.24E-21 4.957491 6.524875 4.957491 6.524875
X Variable -0.37107 0.159011 -2.333615 0.023166 -0.689483 -0.052656 -0.689483 -0.052656
 Upper 95,0%

Upper 95,0%
Upper 95,0%