Professional Documents
Culture Documents
March 2023
Contacts
Ratings Performance Analytics Corporate Finance U.S. Public Finance (USPF) & Global Infrastructure and
David Li Global Corporate Finance Default Rates Project Finance (GIG)
Senior Director Global Corporate Finance Transition Rates USPF Default Rates
+1 646 582-4512 North American Corporate Finance Transition Rates USPF Transition Rates
david.li@fitchratings.com EMEA Corporate Finance Transition Rates USPF Sector-Specific Transition Rates
APAC Corporate Finance Transition Rates GIG Default Rates
Jake Han LATAM Corporate Finance Transition Rates GIG Transition Rates
Director, RPA EM–DM Corporate Finance Transition Rates
+1 646 582-4808 Closed-End Fund Transition Rates International Public Finance (IPF)
jake.han@fitchratings.com IPF Default Rates
IPF Transition Rates
Angela Kim Structured Finance (SF) IPF LC Transition Rates
Analyst, RPA Global SF Impairment Rates
+1 646 582-4510 Global SF Transition Rates Short-Term Ratings
angela.kim@thefitchgroup.com North America SF Transition Rates Short-Term Transition Rates
EMEA SF Transition Rates
APAC SF Transition Rates Viability Ratings
Covered Bond Transition Rates Viability Rating Transition Rates
Investment Grade 0.08 0.21 0.37 0.53 0.70 0.89 1.06 1.22 1.40 1.59
Speculative Grade 2.60 4.86 6.80 8.16 9.20 9.99 10.82 11.39 11.67 11.97
All Global Corporate Finance 0.76 1.44 2.04 2.46 2.81 3.10 3.40 3.63 3.79 3.95
Investment Grade 0.08 0.21 0.37 0.53 0.70 0.89 1.06 1.22 1.40 1.59
Speculative Grade 2.60 4.86 6.80 8.16 9.20 9.99 10.82 11.39 11.67 11.97
All Global Corporate Finance 0.76 1.44 2.04 2.46 2.81 3.10 3.40 3.63 3.79 3.95
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Investment Grade 0.09 0.23 0.40 0.54 0.72 0.90 1.09 1.28 1.48 1.67
Speculative Grade 1.52 2.71 3.72 4.71 5.48 6.21 6.96 7.65 8.10 8.55
All Financial Institutions a
0.38 0.73 1.05 1.35 1.62 1.89 2.17 2.43 2.66 2.87
a
Includes banks, finance and insurance companies.
Investment Grade 0.08 0.19 0.34 0.51 0.69 0.87 1.02 1.15 1.30 1.48
Speculative Grade 3.24 6.16 8.71 10.35 11.58 12.43 13.33 13.83 14.03 14.28
All Non-Financial Corporates 1.14 2.15 3.02 3.59 4.04 4.37 4.71 4.91 5.02 5.14
Fitch North American Corporate Finance Average Cumulative Default Rates: 1990–2022
(%) Year One Year Two Year Three Year Four Year Five Year Six Year Seven Year Eight Year Nine Year Ten
AAA 0.27 0.56 0.86 1.18 1.50 1.84 2.19 2.55 2.92 3.31
AA 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.08
A 0.04 0.14 0.24 0.33 0.47 0.59 0.78 0.92 1.11 1.27
BBB 0.17 0.44 0.81 1.21 1.52 1.86 2.12 2.41 2.72 3.08
BB 0.62 1.74 2.93 3.89 4.66 5.45 6.00 6.70 7.29 7.99
B 1.93 5.20 8.11 10.08 10.78 11.22 11.99 12.70 13.68 14.54
CCC to C 24.80 32.85 39.34 42.79 46.21 48.02 51.43 52.32 51.90 50.94
Investment Grade 0.11 0.27 0.49 0.71 0.91 1.11 1.30 1.48 1.68 1.89
Speculative Grade 2.93 5.43 7.67 9.19 10.25 11.03 11.91 12.65 13.28 13.90
All North America Corporate Finance 0.70 1.33 1.92 2.37 2.72 3.01 3.33 3.62 3.89 4.15
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Investment Grade 0.07 0.20 0.32 0.41 0.56 0.73 0.91 1.08 1.26 1.43
Speculative Grade 1.72 3.21 4.56 5.74 6.70 7.53 8.34 8.92 9.09 9.30
All EMEA Corporate Finance 0.55 1.05 1.48 1.83 2.14 2.43 2.72 2.94 3.05 3.17
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Fitch APAC Corporate Finance Average Cumulative Default Rates: 1990–2022
(%) Year One Year Two Year Three Year Four Year Five Year Six Year Seven Year Eight Year Nine Year Ten
AAA - - - - - - - - - -
AA - - - - - - - - - -
A - - - - - - 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07
BBB 0.03 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.21 0.32 0.39 0.42 0.46 0.50
BB 0.73 2.31 3.65 4.26 4.45 4.54 4.68 4.74 4.80 4.69
B 4.15 8.46 10.80 12.35 12.97 12.75 14.14 14.67 13.43 13.26
CCC to C 40.00 48.15 46.67 46.15 45.71 48.28 52.38 50.00 47.37 41.18
Investment Grade 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26
Speculative Grade 3.03 5.53 6.97 7.73 7.89 7.73 7.97 8.02 7.63 7.29
All APAC Corporate Finance 0.74 1.34 1.66 1.79 1.83 1.78 1.84 1.84 1.73 1.64
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Investment Grade 0.07 0.18 0.35 0.63 1.04 1.37 1.60 1.82 2.12 2.35
Speculative Grade 3.37 6.45 9.15 10.87 12.36 13.47 14.46 14.77 14.62 14.45
All LatAm Corporate Finance 1.90 3.62 5.18 6.25 7.24 8.00 8.63 8.94 9.09 9.18
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
B B–
8.48 11.48
B B–
9.09 11.22
16.35 12.50
Back to Table of Contents
Average Two-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
873 AAA 79.61 7.90 0.69 - - - - 0.23 11.57
6,160 AA 0.21 75.21 14.53 1.02 0.13 - 0.02 0.05 8.83
19,678 A 0.01 2.52 79.61 8.58 0.67 0.15 0.03 0.14 8.31
22,735 BBB 0.01 0.16 4.71 77.57 5.12 0.79 0.26 0.33 11.07
9,504 BB - 0.05 0.16 11.85 60.88 8.46 1.48 1.64 15.48
7,182 B - - 0.22 0.50 11.21 57.50 5.29 5.11 20.16
1,127 CCC to C - - - 0.18 3.55 22.80 24.40 30.35 18.72
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
853 AAA 70.34 10.79 1.17 0.12 - - - 0.35 17.23
6,015 AA 0.30 65.69 19.22 1.76 0.20 0.03 0.02 0.05 12.73
18,883 A 0.01 3.41 71.25 11.11 1.07 0.27 0.02 0.23 12.63
21,451 BBB 0.01 0.21 6.20 68.90 6.15 1.25 0.34 0.58 16.34
8,841 BB - 0.07 0.37 15.10 48.60 9.51 1.56 2.78 22.00
6,635 B - - 0.30 1.18 13.37 44.39 4.72 7.73 28.32
1,032 CCC to C - - - 1.55 3.97 23.45 14.05 35.17 21.80
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Average Four-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
833 AAA 61.82 12.48 1.92 0.24 - - - 0.48 23.05
5,877 AA 0.36 58.28 22.17 2.28 0.32 0.05 - 0.05 16.49
18,065 A 0.01 3.99 64.09 12.83 1.52 0.34 0.08 0.32 16.84
20,155 BBB 0.02 0.24 7.30 61.58 6.66 1.67 0.40 0.86 21.28
8,214 BB - 0.06 0.60 17.52 39.16 9.69 1.40 3.73 27.84
6,115 B - - 0.33 2.01 14.55 35.00 3.55 9.78 34.78
947 CCC to C - - 0.11 2.96 3.59 21.86 10.03 36.22 25.24
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
818 AAA 53.91 13.45 2.69 0.73 - - - 0.61 28.61
5,735 AA 0.38 51.96 24.38 2.81 0.45 0.05 - 0.05 19.91
17,284 A 0.01 4.44 57.65 14.31 1.75 0.50 0.09 0.42 20.82
18,875 BBB 0.03 0.23 8.07 55.22 7.01 1.97 0.43 1.17 25.88
7,590 BB - 0.04 0.69 19.22 32.49 8.67 1.25 4.52 33.12
5,617 B - - 0.39 3.17 13.78 28.43 2.67 10.90 40.66
906 CCC to C - - 0.22 3.64 3.31 19.65 7.28 37.86 28.04
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
743 AAA 24.63 12.92 7.40 2.69 - - - 1.35 51.01
5,053 AA 0.26 29.33 28.24 5.78 1.27 0.22 0.02 0.08 34.81
13,354 A - 4.58 34.66 17.22 2.55 0.94 0.20 1.21 38.63
12,818 BBB 0.05 0.34 8.81 35.12 5.83 1.99 0.30 2.58 44.98
4,970 BB - 0.06 1.41 19.32 15.19 6.26 0.87 7.48 49.42
3,813 B - - 0.29 6.45 8.73 10.86 1.65 13.06 58.96
624 CCC to C - - 0.32 4.65 5.13 9.62 0.32 41.03 38.94
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA– A+ A A– BBB+ BBB BBB– BB+ BB BB– B+ B B– CCC to C D WD
853 AAA 70.34 3.75 4.92 2.11 0.70 0.35 0.12 - 0.12 - - - - - - - - 0.35 17.23
632 AA+ 2.37 49.05 15.98 9.34 6.33 2.53 0.16 0.47 0.16 - - - - - - - - - 13.61
1,681 AA - 5.53 43.72 18.32 11.12 2.91 0.77 0.65 0.42 0.59 0.06 0.18 - - - - - - 15.70
3,702 AA– 0.08 0.43 6.48 56.43 14.72 6.48 1.76 1.24 0.68 0.08 0.14 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 - 0.03 0.08 11.24
5,051 A+ - 0.04 0.69 9.27 51.85 15.96 5.17 1.98 1.17 0.42 0.24 0.20 0.12 0.04 0.04 0.06 - 0.10 12.67
7,073 A - 0.01 0.37 1.23 8.86 54.87 14.28 4.59 1.47 0.72 0.48 0.17 0.61 0.03 0.13 0.03 0.04 0.34 11.76
6,759 A– 0.01 - 0.09 0.28 2.49 10.83 49.58 14.96 4.20 2.12 0.55 0.47 0.24 0.16 0.19 0.10 - 0.22 13.51
7,228 BBB+ - - 0.08 0.25 0.48 1.99 11.47 48.92 13.59 3.92 1.37 0.54 0.33 0.12 0.61 0.14 0.26 0.25 15.68
7,700 BBB 0.01 - 0.05 0.09 0.13 0.58 2.52 14.91 47.74 10.92 2.91 1.26 0.78 0.48 0.36 0.25 0.34 0.53 16.13
6,523 BBB- 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.15 0.25 0.72 3.08 19.19 43.86 7.30 3.07 1.53 1.00 0.60 0.28 0.44 1.01 17.34
3,220 BB+ - 0.16 - 0.03 0.25 0.12 0.19 1.12 5.19 20.22 31.37 9.47 4.78 2.98 1.24 0.75 0.87 2.27 19.01
2,879 BB - - - - 0.03 0.07 0.21 0.31 1.84 9.24 14.21 29.66 9.83 3.65 2.36 1.15 2.01 2.19 23.24
2,742 BB– - - - - - 0.04 0.18 0.40 1.39 3.79 6.35 13.89 26.51 9.74 5.07 2.52 1.90 4.01 24.22
2,488 B+ - - - - - 0.04 0.08 0.20 0.64 1.09 2.25 6.35 14.83 24.00 9.28 4.66 2.57 6.15 27.85
2,522 B - - - - - 0.16 0.20 0.04 0.08 0.67 0.56 2.14 6.66 14.63 22.76 10.15 6.30 8.52 27.12
1,625 B– - - - - - 0.25 0.25 0.12 0.06 0.43 0.25 1.29 2.65 6.03 18.71 24.62 5.54 8.92 30.89
1,032 CCC to C - - - - - - - 0.10 0.10 1.36 1.45 0.58 1.94 2.71 7.36 13.37 14.05 35.17 21.80
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA– A+ A A– BBB+ BBB BBB– BB+ BB BB– B+ B B– CCC to C D WD
818 AAA 53.91 4.28 5.87 3.30 0.86 1.47 0.37 0.12 0.61 - - - - - - - - 0.61 28.61
621 AA+ 2.74 29.47 17.07 11.11 9.02 8.53 1.29 0.81 0.32 - - - - - - - - - 19.65
1,631 AA 0.06 5.89 26.61 23.11 8.83 6.93 2.51 1.10 0.92 0.67 0.12 0.18 - - - - - - 23.05
3,483 AA– 0.11 0.75 6.63 41.86 15.96 9.30 2.96 1.87 1.06 0.23 0.46 0.14 - - 0.09 - - 0.09 18.49
4,705 A+ - 0.04 1.40 9.97 36.51 17.24 7.29 3.68 1.42 0.74 0.55 0.40 0.13 - 0.04 0.13 0.09 0.19 20.17
6,425 A - 0.02 0.68 2.07 9.67 37.56 15.97 6.44 2.65 1.14 0.56 0.44 0.93 0.16 0.23 0.06 0.09 0.65 20.68
6,154 A– 0.02 - 0.16 0.68 3.90 12.37 33.02 16.04 5.85 3.17 0.96 0.68 0.44 0.18 0.44 0.18 0.10 0.36 21.47
6,379 BBB+ - - 0.05 0.31 1.03 3.12 12.40 32.56 14.19 5.91 1.54 1.14 0.50 0.39 0.61 0.27 0.56 0.60 24.82
6,795 BBB 0.04 - 0.01 0.09 0.26 1.00 3.90 16.63 32.89 10.52 3.41 1.60 1.12 1.04 0.54 0.35 0.26 1.15 25.15
5,701 BBB- 0.04 0.09 0.05 0.09 0.16 0.49 1.40 5.81 18.75 27.77 7.12 3.21 2.00 1.49 0.72 0.58 0.47 1.82 27.94
2,843 BB+ - 0.07 - - 0.28 0.28 0.53 1.86 8.65 17.94 17.94 8.51 4.05 2.99 1.65 1.34 0.53 3.80 29.58
2,429 BB - - - 0.04 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.54 4.90 10.70 12.47 15.44 7.41 3.50 2.43 1.28 1.77 4.73 34.42
2,318 BB– - - - - - 0.13 0.39 0.69 2.72 7.72 7.16 9.49 15.31 7.12 3.71 2.67 1.60 5.18 36.11
2,078 B+ - - - - - 0.10 0.14 0.53 1.35 3.08 2.79 7.03 10.68 13.47 6.11 3.61 1.83 9.14 40.13
2,116 B - - - - - 0.09 0.38 0.24 0.90 1.56 1.13 4.63 6.38 10.92 10.96 7.14 3.26 12.48 39.93
1,423 B– - - - - - 0.14 0.35 0.21 0.14 0.91 0.70 1.90 3.79 7.10 15.25 12.86 3.02 11.10 42.52
906 CCC to C - - - - - - 0.22 - - 3.64 0.88 0.88 1.55 2.54 7.06 10.04 7.28 37.86 28.04
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA– A+ A A– BBB+ BBB BBB– BB+ BB BB– B+ B B– CCC to C D WD
743 AAA 24.63 3.63 4.17 5.11 3.23 3.23 0.94 1.35 1.35 - - - - - - - - 1.35 51.01
588 AA+ 1.02 9.01 9.52 10.03 9.35 16.67 4.59 5.27 0.85 1.19 0.51 0.34 - - - 0.17 - - 31.46
1,524 AA 0.26 1.97 9.71 19.16 11.55 11.35 4.00 3.22 0.92 0.33 0.66 0.39 0.13 0.07 0.13 0.13 0.07 - 35.96
2,941 AA– 0.10 0.71 5.85 22.14 12.04 11.70 4.73 3.26 1.70 1.19 0.82 0.37 0.20 0.14 - 0.03 - 0.14 34.89
3,812 A+ - 0.10 1.23 7.71 18.65 14.30 9.23 6.22 2.83 1.26 0.76 0.71 0.26 0.16 0.24 0.26 0.18 0.39 35.49
4,962 A - 0.10 1.01 2.70 6.87 15.48 13.89 9.07 4.11 2.10 1.13 0.52 0.93 0.38 0.46 0.12 0.14 1.79 39.20
4,580 A– - 0.04 0.07 1.59 4.02 8.06 14.61 13.62 7.01 4.45 1.46 0.94 0.81 0.46 0.35 0.35 0.28 1.27 40.61
4,386 BBB+ 0.02 - 0.02 0.57 1.66 4.04 9.07 16.12 12.27 6.77 2.01 1.28 0.89 0.48 0.32 0.14 0.41 1.53 42.41
4,830 BBB 0.10 - 0.10 0.17 0.31 1.28 5.61 12.57 16.21 8.30 2.65 1.41 1.30 0.75 0.54 0.60 0.27 2.61 45.22
3,602 BBB- - - 0.03 0.08 0.36 0.61 2.72 7.52 12.30 12.63 4.50 2.69 1.28 1.72 1.00 0.69 0.22 3.83 47.81
1,815 BB+ - - - 0.06 0.17 0.55 1.16 3.31 9.26 10.91 7.66 4.85 2.09 2.15 2.09 1.10 0.39 7.49 46.78
1,620 BB - - - 0.06 0.12 0.43 0.93 1.79 6.73 8.46 6.23 5.93 4.01 3.21 1.60 0.93 1.73 7.10 50.74
1,535 BB– - - - 0.07 0.07 0.33 0.39 1.95 6.64 8.27 4.69 5.34 4.82 3.84 2.48 1.56 0.52 7.88 51.14
1,344 B+ - - - - 0.15 0.07 0.07 0.74 3.13 4.46 2.98 2.98 4.54 3.42 2.68 2.60 1.71 11.01 59.45
1,460 B - - - - - 0.07 0.27 0.41 3.63 3.08 0.89 2.40 4.11 4.45 3.97 1.44 1.23 15.96 58.08
1,009 B– - - - - 0.10 0.10 - 0.89 1.19 0.89 0.69 3.87 3.77 3.67 6.14 5.35 2.18 11.60 59.56
624 CCC to C - - - - - 0.16 0.16 0.32 2.88 1.44 0.32 2.24 2.56 2.56 4.17 2.88 0.32 41.03 38.94
Note: Corporate Finance includes financial and non-financial issuers.
Fitch North America Corporate Finance One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
13 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - -
63 AA - 98.41 - - - - - - 1.59
300 A - 0.67 93.00 1.67 - - - - 4.67
591 BBB - - 3.05 92.39 0.17 - - - 4.40
264 BB - - - 9.09 85.98 0.76 - - 4.17
218 B - - - 0.92 5.05 75.23 2.75 2.29 13.76
24 CCC to C - - - - - 8.33 62.50 12.50 16.67
Fitch North America Financial Institutionsa One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
12 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - -
60 AA - 98.33 - - - - - - 1.67
182 A - 1.10 92.86 2.20 - - - - 3.85
163 BBB - - 8.59 87.12 - - - - 4.29
42 BB - - - - 97.62 - - - 2.38
10 B - - - - - 80.00 - - 20.00
- CCC to C - - - - - - - - -
Fitch North America Non-Financial Corporate One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
1 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - -
3 AA - 100.00 - - - - - - -
118 A - - 93.22 0.85 - - - - 5.93
428 BBB - - 0.93 94.39 0.23 - - - 4.44
222 BB - - - 10.81 83.78 0.90 - - 4.50
208 B - - - 0.96 5.29 75.00 2.88 2.40 13.46
24 CCC to C - - - - - 8.33 62.50 12.50 16.67
Fitch Developed Market Corporate Finance One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
24 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - -
143 AA - 94.41 1.40 - - - - - 4.20
649 A - 0.46 92.45 3.08 - - - - 4.01
1,008 BBB - - 3.08 91.17 0.60 - - 0.20 4.96
424 BB - - - 7.08 85.85 1.42 0.24 - 5.42
383 B - - - 0.52 3.39 79.90 2.09 1.83 12.27
39 CCC to C - - - - - 17.95 46.15 20.51 15.38
Fitch Developed Market Financial Institutions a One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
23 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - -
123 AA - 93.50 1.63 - - - - - 4.88
454 A - 0.66 93.39 2.64 - - - - 3.30
341 BBB - - 6.74 89.44 - - - 0.59 3.23
88 BB - - - 4.55 90.91 - - - 4.55
30 B - - - - 3.33 83.33 - - 13.33
4 CCC to C - - - - - 75.00 - 25.00 -
Fitch Developed Market Non-Financial Corporate One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
1 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - -
20 AA - 100.00 - - - - - - -
195 A - - 90.26 4.10 - - - - 5.64
667 BBB - - 1.20 92.05 0.90 - - - 5.85
336 BB - - - 7.74 84.52 1.79 0.30 - 5.65
353 B - - - 0.57 3.40 79.60 2.27 1.98 12.18
35 CCC to C - - - - - 11.43 51.43 20.00 17.14
Fitch Emerging Market Corporate Finance One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
- AAA - - - - - - - - -
7 AA - 71.43 14.29 - - - - - 14.29
131 A - - 98.47 0.76 - - - - 0.76
360 BBB - - 0.28 84.72 1.39 - - - 13.61
344 BB - - - 0.87 74.42 3.78 0.58 0.58 19.77
251 B - - - - 3.98 71.31 5.18 3.19 16.33
40 CCC to C - - - - - 7.50 62.50 15.00 15.00
Fitch Emerging Market Financial Institutions a One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
- AAA - - - - - - - - -
4 AA - 75.00 25.00 - - - - - -
61 A - - 98.36 - - - - - 1.64
145 BBB - - 0.69 85.52 0.69 - - - 13.10
155 BB - - - 0.65 75.48 1.94 - 1.29 20.65
145 B - - - - 3.45 83.45 5.52 - 7.59
14 CCC to C - - - - - 7.14 78.57 7.14 7.14
Fitch Emerging Market Non-Financial Corporate One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
- AAA - - - - - - - - -
3 AA - 66.67 - - - - - - 33.33
70 A - - 98.57 1.43 - - - - -
215 BBB - - - 84.19 1.86 - - - 13.95
189 BB - - - 1.06 73.54 5.29 1.06 - 19.05
106 B - - - - 4.72 54.72 4.72 7.55 28.30
26 CCC to C - - - - - 7.69 53.85 19.23 19.23
- AAA - - - - - - - - - -
142 AA - 92.25 - - - - - - 0.70 7.04
92 A - - 92.39 - - - - - - 7.61
1 BBB - - - 100.00 - - - - - -
- BB - - - - - - - - - -
- B - - - - - - - - - -
- CCC - - - - - - - - - -
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD PIF
- AAA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- AA+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
142 AA - - 92.25 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.70 7.04
- AA- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- A+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
92 A - - - - - 92.39 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7.61
- A- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- BBB+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1 BBB - - - - - - - - 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - -
- BBB- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- BB+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- BB - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- BB- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- CCC - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Investment Grade 1.57 4.65 7.44 9.62 11.24 12.44 13.34 14.09 14.76 15.39
Speculative Grade 17.13 26.02 31.85 36.23 39.93 43.10 45.83 48.50 51.37 54.51
All Structured Finance 4.24 8.31 11.60 14.11 16.03 17.47 18.56 19.46 20.28 21.02
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
a
Investment Grade 1.57 4.65 7.44 9.62 11.24 12.44 13.34 14.09 14.76 15.39
Speculative Grade 17.13 26.02 31.85 36.23 39.93 43.10 45.83 48.50 51.37 54.51
All Structured Finance 4.24 8.31 11.60 14.11 16.03 17.47 18.56 19.46 20.28 21.02
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
a
Investment Grade 0.07 0.25 0.51 0.79 1.07 1.33 1.55 1.74 1.91 2.06
Speculative Grade 6.99 12.42 16.42 19.36 21.16 22.44 23.67 24.99 26.60 28.49
All ABS 0.50 0.99 1.44 1.84 2.20 2.52 2.80 3.04 3.27 3.48
Investment Grade 2.08 6.06 9.40 11.79 13.47 14.67 15.54 16.25 16.89 17.49
Speculative Grade 19.87 28.66 33.98 37.90 41.43 44.52 47.22 49.95 53.00 56.54
All RMBS 5.13 9.94 13.56 16.14 18.02 19.38 20.37 21.18 21.91 22.59
Investment Grade 2.16 6.32 11.22 15.75 19.37 21.86 23.84 25.36 26.47 27.34
Speculative Grade 15.86 24.84 30.18 33.87 36.56 38.71 40.83 42.87 45.03 47.25
All Structured Credit 5.14 10.41 15.49 19.92 23.42 25.88 27.92 29.57 30.89 31.99
Fitch North America Structured Financea Average Cumulative Impairment Rates: 1990–2022
(%) Year One Year Two Year Three Year Four Year Five Year Six Year Seven Year Eight Year Nine Year Ten
AAA 0.85 2.88 4.79 6.11 7.00 7.60 8.03 8.37 8.70 9.00
AA 1.47 5.36 8.73 11.35 13.28 14.88 16.19 17.28 18.30 19.33
A 2.61 7.70 12.29 16.43 19.75 22.51 24.82 26.94 28.75 30.49
BBB 5.24 13.11 19.84 25.24 29.38 32.34 34.56 36.54 38.31 40.08
BB 9.66 17.13 23.09 27.72 31.81 35.47 38.71 41.51 44.35 46.81
B 15.69 25.54 31.99 36.92 41.12 44.50 47.38 50.23 53.13 56.47
CCC 38.49 49.84 54.58 57.45 59.72 61.59 63.10 65.52 68.87 74.31
Investment Grade 1.75 5.17 8.23 10.58 12.30 13.55 14.47 15.22 15.89 16.50
Speculative Grade 18.45 27.74 33.72 38.19 42.01 45.25 48.01 50.67 53.53 56.67
All North America SF 4.65 9.10 12.65 15.33 17.35 18.84 19.95 20.85 21.65 22.37
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
a
Investment Grade 0.30 0.85 1.48 2.16 2.77 3.31 3.76 4.15 4.50 4.84
Speculative Grade 6.67 11.91 15.76 18.39 20.28 22.14 24.04 26.14 28.35 30.66
All EMEA SF 1.23 2.46 3.54 4.48 5.27 5.96 6.57 7.12 7.61 8.03
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
a
Fitch APAC Structured Financea Average Cumulative Impairment Rates: 1998–2022
(%) Year One Year Two Year Three Year Four Year Five Year Six Year Seven Year Eight Year Nine Year Ten
AAA - - - - - - - - - -
AA - - - 0.27 0.67 1.05 1.12 1.20 1.29 1.38
A - 0.33 0.69 1.08 1.33 1.61 1.71 1.81 1.93 2.07
BBB 0.21 1.34 3.11 4.65 5.79 6.40 7.03 7.48 8.08 8.92
BB 1.16 2.95 5.45 7.04 8.31 8.81 9.25 9.78 10.57 11.69
B 5.38 11.94 14.01 15.79 17.45 18.30 18.89 19.52 20.50 22.04
CCC 47.56 68.29 71.95 71.95 71.95 71.95 71.95 71.95 71.95 73.75
Investment Grade 0.03 0.22 0.50 0.81 1.07 1.25 1.36 1.46 1.57 1.72
Speculative Grade 5.54 10.03 12.70 14.44 15.93 16.76 17.44 18.25 19.42 21.15
All APAC SF 0.55 1.17 1.72 2.20 2.61 2.89 3.10 3.31 3.57 3.89
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
a
Fitch Global Structured Financea One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC CC and Below WD PIF
404,505 AAA 80.02 1.12 0.92 0.87 0.54 0.47 0.91 0.79 0.38 13.97
81,942 AA 8.39 69.90 3.98 2.68 1.62 1.08 1.02 1.25 0.70 9.38
98,567 A 2.13 5.85 70.74 4.61 2.20 1.65 1.34 2.23 0.62 8.63
95,173 BBB 0.47 1.39 5.92 67.30 5.19 3.80 2.58 4.52 1.07 7.75
61,007 BB 0.15 0.33 2.00 7.47 63.34 6.69 3.90 8.66 1.31 6.14
48,138 B 0.06 0.05 0.31 1.49 7.89 61.02 8.94 14.66 1.00 4.59
31,420 CCC 0.04 - 0.06 0.17 1.51 4.99 52.62 37.36 0.69 2.56
Average Two-Year
394,325 AAA 61.67 1.73 1.54 1.52 0.84 0.78 1.48 2.66 0.77 27.01
79,553 AA 10.90 48.61 4.86 3.84 2.57 2.33 1.93 4.52 1.21 19.23
95,048 A 4.18 6.78 50.11 5.40 3.01 2.78 2.18 6.57 1.13 17.87
92,202 BBB 1.39 2.62 6.93 45.37 5.66 5.05 3.72 11.34 1.96 15.97
58,903 BB 0.47 1.04 4.28 8.84 42.48 6.85 4.74 15.58 2.51 13.20
46,796 B 0.20 0.21 1.32 2.99 10.44 39.35 9.58 24.08 1.78 10.05
31,032 CCC 0.08 0.03 0.32 1.09 4.00 6.52 32.84 48.75 1.20 5.15
Average Three-Year
384,957 AAA 46.98 2.00 1.94 1.90 1.07 1.06 1.44 4.44 1.16 38.01
77,320 AA 11.17 34.00 4.80 4.14 2.88 3.11 2.82 7.42 1.63 28.02
91,895 A 4.90 6.46 35.30 5.19 3.16 3.12 2.93 10.53 1.55 26.87
89,293 BBB 2.13 2.85 6.47 30.68 5.36 4.60 4.26 17.26 2.72 23.69
56,167 BB 0.86 1.65 5.13 8.27 29.35 6.15 4.55 21.19 3.11 19.75
45,318 B 0.35 0.42 2.39 3.50 10.32 26.62 8.35 30.37 2.38 15.29
30,611 CCC 0.14 0.14 1.04 1.91 5.46 6.63 21.83 53.58 1.59 7.67
Average Four-Year
376,264 AAA 35.29 2.08 2.20 2.13 1.29 1.34 1.36 5.67 1.50 47.13
75,105 AA 10.46 23.65 4.58 3.90 2.93 3.27 3.84 9.75 2.00 35.62
88,681 A 5.18 5.55 24.76 4.63 3.11 2.95 3.10 14.14 1.93 34.65
86,346 BBB 2.53 2.70 5.51 20.81 4.77 4.03 3.98 22.05 3.36 30.26
53,342 BB 1.34 2.03 5.12 7.19 20.23 5.28 4.14 25.57 3.50 25.60
43,822 B 0.52 0.70 2.87 3.59 9.39 17.52 6.97 35.23 2.96 20.25
30,190 CCC 0.25 0.28 2.05 2.47 6.47 6.00 14.13 56.49 1.96 9.89
Average Five-Year
368,631 AAA 25.75 2.00 2.33 2.18 1.48 1.50 1.27 6.53 1.80 55.15
73,024 AA 8.98 16.10 4.31 3.64 3.02 3.30 4.44 11.51 2.42 42.29
85,533 A 4.99 4.55 16.97 3.85 2.94 2.76 3.13 17.07 2.28 41.46
83,730 BBB 2.72 2.30 4.50 13.91 4.01 3.35 3.51 25.80 3.88 36.02
50,537 BB 1.51 1.71 4.55 6.11 14.19 4.19 3.53 29.38 3.85 30.98
42,219 B 0.62 0.91 2.79 3.11 8.01 11.74 5.25 39.36 3.45 24.75
29,574 CCC 0.33 0.46 2.81 2.99 6.65 4.79 9.03 58.78 2.25 11.91
Average Ten-Year
338,317 AAA 2.87 1.00 2.01 1.96 2.15 1.08 0.60 8.51 3.18 76.65
62,515 AA 2.15 2.53 2.74 1.91 3.15 2.52 2.67 17.39 4.26 60.66
67,583 A 1.42 1.27 3.05 1.44 1.55 1.32 1.41 26.81 3.64 58.09
69,847 BBB 1.06 0.58 1.59 2.25 1.71 0.88 1.10 35.83 4.84 50.17
37,943 BB 0.99 0.67 1.65 1.78 1.84 1.02 1.09 44.00 3.80 43.16
32,049 B 0.37 0.37 1.15 1.40 1.56 1.36 0.86 54.89 4.23 33.79
20,595 CCC 0.66 0.56 2.94 1.53 1.38 0.65 0.90 73.27 2.88 15.24
a
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
49,341 AAA 79.97 0.57 0.31 0.41 0.11 0.06 0.01 0.004 0.67 17.88
8,540 AA 11.18 67.92 1.92 1.05 0.44 0.16 0.02 0.01 0.63 16.65
20,490 A 1.03 4.70 77.36 3.03 0.60 0.48 0.09 0.10 0.54 12.07
13,088 BBB 0.18 0.49 3.90 73.41 3.48 1.38 0.41 0.31 2.51 13.94
3,550 BB - 0.08 1.38 5.41 65.86 7.46 2.48 2.03 1.35 13.94
1,904 B 0.16 0.05 0.05 1.21 2.57 65.02 5.88 8.19 6.36 10.50
594 CCC - - - - 0.84 1.35 54.71 32.83 2.53 7.74
Average Two-Year
47,876 AAA 62.04 0.86 0.46 0.77 0.25 0.19 0.05 0.02 1.28 34.08
8,144 AA 11.97 46.54 2.70 1.55 1.02 0.54 0.17 0.12 1.19 34.20
19,788 A 2.68 5.21 59.08 4.26 1.28 1.04 0.24 0.33 1.05 24.84
12,736 BBB 0.66 1.10 4.35 52.32 4.07 2.17 0.80 1.08 4.73 28.71
3,319 BB 0.03 0.45 3.13 6.42 41.82 7.98 2.83 5.48 3.07 28.77
1,809 B 0.28 0.06 0.33 1.66 2.60 43.45 5.64 14.26 12.16 19.57
565 CCC - - 0.18 - 1.42 1.95 32.57 47.26 4.78 11.86
Average Three-Year
46,323 AAA 47.73 0.96 0.57 0.92 0.36 0.37 0.09 0.05 1.76 47.21
7,715 AA 8.94 32.50 2.86 1.75 1.18 0.97 0.26 0.51 1.56 49.48
19,070 A 2.50 4.36 44.39 4.66 1.79 1.34 0.39 0.65 1.64 38.28
12,368 BBB 0.83 0.83 3.41 36.97 3.82 2.50 0.80 1.99 6.61 42.22
3,092 BB 0.13 0.71 3.91 5.37 25.26 7.70 2.39 8.18 4.98 41.36
1,689 B 0.30 0.06 0.59 1.24 2.07 28.30 5.98 18.59 17.82 25.04
524 CCC - - 0.19 - 1.15 2.48 17.37 58.02 7.25 13.55
Average Four-Year
44,637 AAA 37.65 0.99 0.67 0.97 0.41 0.56 0.10 0.13 2.11 56.40
7,229 AA 6.40 23.41 3.17 1.76 0.95 1.09 0.37 0.97 1.94 59.94
18,291 A 1.74 3.82 33.38 4.46 1.91 1.61 0.43 1.07 2.28 49.30
11,992 BBB 0.43 0.43 2.74 26.36 3.51 2.71 0.59 2.72 7.87 52.64
2,846 BB 0.21 0.53 3.65 3.94 13.95 7.13 1.72 10.08 7.24 51.55
1,593 B 0.25 0.13 0.44 0.82 1.69 15.44 6.34 22.03 22.98 29.88
504 CCC - - 0.20 - 0.99 2.38 7.74 63.29 9.33 16.07
Average Five-Year
42,918 AAA 29.99 0.95 0.76 0.98 0.37 0.71 0.09 0.26 2.40 63.50
6,743 AA 5.50 16.86 3.50 1.88 0.98 1.19 0.37 1.39 2.28 66.04
17,536 A 1.61 3.32 24.46 3.96 1.62 1.68 0.46 1.50 2.82 58.57
11,509 BBB 0.14 0.36 2.15 18.24 2.66 2.75 0.43 3.24 9.51 60.51
2,718 BB 0.07 0.04 3.27 3.05 8.39 5.33 1.40 11.18 9.35 57.91
1,502 B 0.27 0.20 0.27 0.47 1.46 7.59 6.13 24.37 26.90 32.36
486 CCC - - 0.21 0.21 0.82 1.85 2.06 67.08 10.08 17.70
Fitch Global CMBS One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC CC and Below WD PIF
42,871 AAA 85.56 0.62 0.49 0.27 0.13 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.40 12.50
12,235 AA 10.47 74.99 3.01 1.66 1.25 0.51 0.15 0.11 0.53 7.32
14,453 A 3.59 5.56 75.65 3.47 1.85 1.63 0.38 0.26 0.33 7.30
17,797 BBB 1.13 1.12 4.34 76.56 4.25 3.39 1.43 0.76 0.34 6.67
11,977 BB 0.45 0.30 1.07 4.56 73.96 8.23 3.68 2.53 0.35 4.87
10,948 B 0.16 0.02 0.21 0.37 2.88 71.31 11.71 10.13 0.24 2.98
4,459 CCC 0.22 - 0.36 0.22 1.12 3.30 57.19 32.83 0.56 4.19
Average Two-Year
39,981 AAA 71.44 1.03 0.93 0.58 0.32 0.10 0.05 0.04 0.78 24.74
11,686 AA 15.08 55.28 4.72 3.17 2.59 1.18 0.59 0.39 1.16 15.84
13,801 A 7.18 6.96 56.18 4.83 3.41 3.09 1.48 1.02 0.68 15.17
16,959 BBB 2.95 2.33 5.81 56.28 5.51 5.76 3.74 3.01 0.73 13.88
11,545 BB 1.22 0.59 2.06 6.49 53.74 10.61 6.70 7.72 0.74 10.13
10,579 B 0.48 0.09 0.47 0.93 4.07 51.01 12.90 23.25 0.55 6.25
4,275 CCC 0.37 - 0.70 0.56 2.06 4.61 34.43 46.55 1.12 9.59
Average Three-Year
37,268 AAA 57.98 1.18 1.20 0.79 0.49 0.21 0.18 0.09 1.15 36.73
11,198 AA 17.24 40.25 4.95 3.86 3.11 1.82 1.64 0.92 1.70 24.52
13,203 A 9.94 7.08 41.56 4.85 3.67 3.41 2.95 2.59 0.99 22.94
16,171 BBB 4.84 3.17 6.25 40.67 5.23 5.32 5.50 6.99 1.11 20.92
11,113 BB 1.75 0.82 2.74 7.55 39.22 9.69 7.00 14.78 1.04 15.41
10,216 B 0.94 0.17 0.62 1.15 4.40 37.71 11.17 33.35 0.81 9.69
4,137 CCC 0.75 0.07 0.82 0.77 2.20 4.23 21.73 52.09 1.72 15.62
Average Four-Year
34,764 AAA 44.97 1.13 1.34 0.85 0.63 0.28 0.35 0.21 1.49 48.75
10,738 AA 18.25 28.59 4.42 3.77 2.84 1.92 2.56 2.14 2.16 33.34
12,621 A 12.32 6.57 29.93 4.44 3.53 2.97 3.57 4.83 1.27 30.56
15,431 BBB 6.63 3.72 6.18 28.62 4.47 4.28 5.79 11.23 1.50 27.57
10,673 BB 2.24 1.11 3.42 8.04 27.94 8.15 6.38 21.03 1.31 20.38
9,859 B 1.24 0.22 0.66 1.32 4.50 27.18 9.70 41.03 1.08 13.07
4,078 CCC 1.08 0.10 0.66 0.78 1.94 3.07 13.49 55.62 2.21 21.06
Average Five-Year
32,571 AAA 33.38 0.95 1.35 0.81 0.67 0.31 0.48 0.39 1.76 59.91
10,327 AA 17.77 19.53 3.70 3.26 2.49 1.72 2.69 3.74 2.60 42.50
12,075 A 13.67 5.81 20.80 3.76 3.06 2.53 3.30 6.92 1.55 38.59
14,816 BBB 8.13 3.85 5.75 19.51 3.71 3.46 5.09 14.46 1.86 34.19
10,268 BB 2.65 1.39 3.88 7.87 19.63 6.57 5.77 25.78 1.59 24.87
9,534 B 1.33 0.24 0.67 1.33 4.36 19.30 7.93 47.47 1.33 16.03
4,030 CCC 0.94 0.02 0.57 0.55 1.29 1.89 8.09 58.11 2.43 26.10
293,225 AAA 79.55 1.22 1.03 0.98 0.66 0.60 1.23 1.06 0.31 13.35
52,940 AA 8.03 69.22 4.73 3.15 1.83 1.30 1.36 1.67 0.63 8.09
54,715 A 2.36 6.66 67.35 5.66 2.69 2.04 2.06 3.24 0.66 7.27
54,860 BBB 0.37 1.87 7.17 62.75 6.02 4.48 3.41 6.74 0.90 6.29
39,529 BB 0.09 0.39 2.51 8.97 59.70 6.06 4.01 11.30 1.68 5.28
30,789 B 0.02 0.06 0.34 2.02 10.58 57.01 8.36 16.70 0.94 3.97
24,148 CCC - - 0.01 0.14 1.65 5.39 52.46 37.96 0.66 1.72
Average Two-Year
288,789 AAA 60.88 1.89 1.73 1.73 0.96 0.95 1.90 3.51 0.65 25.80
52,028 AA 10.35 48.35 5.42 4.32 2.75 2.82 2.48 5.93 1.06 16.52
52,957 A 4.35 7.46 46.14 6.10 3.40 3.32 3.04 9.68 1.17 15.34
53,434 BBB 1.24 3.34 8.01 40.45 6.12 5.52 4.34 16.39 1.57 13.02
38,366 BB 0.33 1.33 5.40 10.10 39.26 5.45 4.36 18.86 3.18 11.73
30,145 B 0.12 0.29 1.78 4.03 13.83 34.88 9.15 25.12 1.59 9.22
23,976 CCC 0.02 0.03 0.25 1.23 4.57 6.98 33.51 48.80 1.13 3.47
Average Three-Year
285,443 AAA 46.10 2.20 2.20 2.15 1.19 1.23 1.78 5.74 1.01 36.41
51,251 AA 10.74 34.02 5.22 4.60 3.09 3.73 3.45 9.39 1.46 24.30
51,498 A 4.95 7.16 31.45 5.52 3.52 3.75 3.89 15.09 1.53 23.14
52,035 BBB 1.88 3.44 7.25 26.44 5.66 4.89 4.76 23.86 2.19 19.63
36,580 BB 0.73 2.15 6.34 8.97 27.09 4.61 4.14 24.25 3.77 17.94
29,401 B 0.19 0.57 3.33 4.68 13.46 22.71 7.97 30.28 2.01 14.79
23,738 CCC 0.03 0.16 1.14 2.24 6.34 7.22 22.79 53.56 1.44 5.06
Average Four-Year
282,608 AAA 34.37 2.30 2.50 2.39 1.44 1.55 1.63 7.15 1.34 45.32
50,452 AA 10.02 23.81 4.94 4.32 3.26 3.86 4.76 11.87 1.80 31.36
50,000 A 5.15 6.01 21.49 4.74 3.51 3.47 4.01 19.90 1.83 29.89
50,530 BBB 2.12 3.10 5.90 17.62 5.05 4.25 4.34 29.62 2.76 25.24
34,701 BB 1.29 2.66 6.12 7.39 18.94 3.97 3.77 28.32 4.05 23.50
28,583 B 0.35 0.97 4.03 4.74 12.03 14.48 6.47 34.35 2.41 20.17
23,400 CCC 0.12 0.34 2.48 2.96 7.68 6.69 15.06 56.46 1.74 6.48
Average Five-Year
280,221 AAA 24.81 2.22 2.64 2.46 1.70 1.73 1.50 8.05 1.65 53.24
49,638 AA 8.34 16.47 4.68 4.03 3.49 3.95 5.59 13.59 2.23 37.62
48,446 A 4.60 4.78 14.46 3.82 3.45 3.24 4.15 23.74 2.14 35.62
49,284 BBB 2.07 2.40 4.71 11.78 4.30 3.44 3.82 34.12 3.07 30.29
32,630 BB 1.43 2.13 5.15 6.00 13.71 3.13 3.12 32.27 4.27 28.81
27,572 B 0.48 1.28 3.92 3.99 10.09 9.71 4.62 37.85 2.80 25.27
22,854 CCC 0.26 0.58 3.47 3.64 8.05 5.48 9.85 58.84 2.01 7.81
19,066 AAA 74.98 2.06 1.73 1.59 0.84 0.58 0.44 0.39 0.68 16.71
8,224 AA 4.69 68.79 2.81 2.80 2.03 1.47 1.20 1.48 1.52 13.21
8,901 A 0.84 4.03 68.37 3.65 3.45 1.93 1.37 4.09 1.06 11.20
9,427 BBB 0.22 0.40 4.46 67.77 4.54 4.01 2.95 4.51 1.44 9.70
5,951 BB 0.03 0.18 0.91 4.59 64.61 7.31 4.45 7.48 0.69 9.75
4,497 B 0.07 0.04 0.44 0.73 3.91 61.71 7.40 14.45 0.98 10.25
2,219 CCC 0.09 - - 0.32 0.99 5.05 44.52 41.19 0.81 7.03
Average Two-Year
17,677 AAA 51.34 3.13 2.70 2.40 1.70 1.23 1.56 1.72 1.44 32.77
7,692 AA 7.11 42.39 3.59 3.99 2.93 2.65 2.18 5.92 2.34 26.90
8,494 A 1.67 5.89 44.11 4.69 3.94 2.94 2.50 10.70 1.72 21.84
9,072 BBB 0.35 1.08 6.28 44.21 5.45 5.00 4.10 11.54 2.65 19.33
5,673 BB 0.16 0.35 1.87 6.52 41.79 8.06 4.44 15.32 1.22 20.27
4,263 B 0.02 0.05 0.61 1.27 5.58 40.25 6.12 22.97 1.83 21.30
2,216 CCC 0.23 0.09 0.36 0.86 2.30 6.45 22.65 52.80 1.22 13.04
Average Three-Year
15,921 AAA 34.87 3.45 3.05 3.00 2.38 1.92 2.25 4.04 2.09 42.94
7,153 AA 7.19 25.78 3.61 3.87 2.88 3.03 2.88 10.92 2.82 37.02
8,116 A 2.06 5.93 28.19 4.90 3.19 2.85 2.78 17.67 2.34 30.09
8,718 BBB 0.42 1.55 6.54 28.53 5.93 4.52 3.87 18.59 3.30 26.75
5,382 BB 0.33 0.48 2.49 6.71 26.68 8.38 3.53 21.07 1.75 28.58
4,012 B 0.02 0.10 0.75 1.72 5.88 26.35 4.99 28.41 2.64 29.14
2,212 CCC 0.23 0.14 0.59 0.90 3.07 5.74 12.75 55.56 1.67 19.35
Average Four-Year
14,253 AAA 22.71 3.50 3.14 3.56 2.77 2.08 2.34 7.08 2.65 50.16
6,683 AA 5.73 14.75 3.59 3.20 2.69 3.35 2.71 15.43 3.32 45.22
7,761 A 1.87 5.09 17.12 4.63 2.71 2.64 2.80 23.03 2.76 37.37
8,392 BBB 0.45 1.70 5.85 17.72 5.45 4.12 3.31 23.99 3.92 33.48
5,122 BB 0.43 0.47 2.75 5.88 16.40 7.13 3.34 25.01 2.30 36.29
3,787 B - 0.13 0.90 2.01 5.41 16.16 3.91 32.40 3.54 35.54
2,208 CCC 0.14 0.14 0.54 1.00 3.22 4.89 6.93 56.93 2.17 24.05
Average Five-Year
12,919 AAA 12.93 3.33 3.40 3.55 2.59 2.08 2.08 9.94 3.12 56.98
6,313 AA 3.39 6.70 3.23 3.09 2.33 2.98 2.57 18.69 3.69 53.33
7,468 A 1.38 3.92 9.49 3.95 2.53 2.54 2.53 26.82 3.04 43.79
8,120 BBB 0.47 1.63 4.29 10.44 4.72 3.44 3.09 28.03 4.46 39.45
4,921 BB 0.41 0.51 2.72 4.86 9.21 5.67 2.78 27.80 2.78 43.26
3,611 B 0.03 0.17 0.80 2.19 4.43 9.03 2.69 35.70 4.29 40.68
2,204 CCC - 0.14 0.64 1.23 3.22 3.63 3.81 57.53 2.68 27.13
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD
404,505 AAA 80.02 0.07 0.97 0.08 0.03 0.86 0.02 0.02 0.82 0.03 0.01 0.53 0.005 0.002 0.47 0.003 0.91 0.79 0.38
12,544 AA+ 12.45 61.73 2.23 0.42 0.42 2.54 0.14 0.10 2.17 0.22 0.03 1.83 0.06 0.02 1.11 0.02 1.29 1.32 0.53
58,053 AA 8.38 2.46 67.34 0.59 0.31 3.64 0.16 0.10 2.43 0.18 0.08 1.43 0.03 0.04 0.92 0.03 0.81 1.11 0.75
11,345 AA- 3.90 2.57 4.30 66.62 1.14 2.39 0.81 0.19 1.97 0.56 0.07 1.51 0.10 0.03 1.36 0.11 1.81 1.84 0.63
14,744 A+ 2.24 1.85 4.48 2.58 63.67 2.14 0.74 0.60 2.67 0.42 0.12 1.54 0.06 0.05 1.28 0.10 1.51 2.01 0.52
69,383 A 2.30 0.68 4.50 0.67 1.96 68.62 0.55 0.41 3.68 0.35 0.09 2.05 0.08 0.04 1.48 0.10 1.21 1.87 0.72
14,440 A- 1.18 0.91 1.07 0.78 1.96 3.77 67.45 2.12 2.50 1.75 0.55 1.89 0.20 0.10 1.41 0.48 1.83 4.17 0.24
14,027 BBB+ 0.75 0.36 0.86 0.61 1.82 2.91 2.79 61.27 2.35 1.87 1.22 2.47 0.33 0.21 2.59 0.61 2.06 4.86 1.43
63,587 BBB 0.45 0.21 0.98 0.32 0.67 5.07 0.71 2.05 64.28 0.82 0.42 4.35 0.25 0.14 3.30 0.32 2.87 3.98 1.17
17,559 BBB- 0.31 0.06 0.18 0.39 0.69 1.16 0.92 1.46 3.73 64.08 1.79 3.38 1.57 0.48 2.50 1.26 1.95 6.17 0.46
7,841 BB+ 0.19 0.03 0.37 0.33 0.94 1.77 1.01 2.63 3.58 4.27 55.27 2.28 1.06 1.10 3.43 1.56 2.41 8.76 0.64
46,443 BB 0.16 0.02 0.22 0.06 0.17 1.42 0.31 0.47 6.05 0.97 1.65 60.92 0.39 0.35 5.58 0.68 4.32 8.82 1.56
6,723 BB- 0.06 - 0.07 0.01 0.36 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.85 2.71 4.27 5.37 61.89 1.22 3.51 3.21 2.75 7.50 0.36
3,600 B+ 0.19 - 0.03 0.03 0.22 0.14 0.11 0.78 0.53 0.72 3.72 6.00 5.53 52.22 3.72 3.56 3.92 12.81 0.69
37,203 B 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.003 0.05 0.26 0.04 0.09 1.42 0.21 0.56 7.22 0.70 1.41 57.48 1.04 9.01 14.63 1.08
7,335 B- 0.05 - 0.01 0.01 - 0.03 0.01 - 0.08 - 0.18 0.78 0.31 1.60 2.52 63.22 11.04 15.72 0.70
31,420 CCC 0.04 - - - - 0.06 - - 0.16 0.01 0.03 1.46 0.03 0.05 4.78 0.17 52.62 37.36 0.69
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD
384,957 AAA 46.98 0.14 1.73 0.13 0.07 1.83 0.04 0.02 1.81 0.07 0.01 1.05 0.01 0.01 1.02 0.03 1.44 4.44 1.16
12,048 AA+ 12.57 23.64 3.43 0.33 0.55 4.36 0.17 0.12 3.55 0.41 0.02 3.38 0.02 0.02 3.29 0.14 3.24 9.31 1.47
55,095 AA 11.82 3.09 30.98 0.71 0.39 3.99 0.18 0.14 3.65 0.33 0.09 2.58 0.07 0.04 2.85 0.10 2.48 6.29 1.74
10,177 AA- 6.00 2.51 4.31 30.79 1.29 3.61 0.84 0.25 3.20 0.87 0.10 2.74 0.18 0.13 2.81 0.48 4.13 11.24 1.29
13,830 A+ 4.67 1.86 4.39 2.13 25.71 2.70 0.56 0.49 4.63 0.65 0.15 2.02 0.07 0.12 2.36 0.14 3.26 11.34 1.45
65,037 A 5.21 1.11 4.65 0.90 2.51 33.10 0.51 0.58 3.97 0.42 0.13 2.77 0.11 0.05 2.94 0.18 2.72 8.38 1.73
13,028 A- 3.62 0.83 1.53 1.05 2.26 4.57 31.12 1.24 3.03 1.44 1.57 2.76 0.52 0.09 2.56 0.70 3.65 20.34 0.74
13,453 BBB+ 2.76 0.51 1.08 0.69 1.84 2.50 2.22 23.00 2.62 1.22 1.52 3.03 0.38 0.28 3.62 0.86 3.59 22.03 3.45
60,068 BBB 2.11 0.52 2.09 0.54 1.15 5.22 0.87 2.86 27.45 0.79 0.48 4.48 0.28 0.17 3.77 0.46 4.50 14.65 2.94
15,772 BBB- 1.66 0.84 0.82 0.54 0.86 1.65 0.98 1.66 3.31 27.42 1.50 3.37 1.33 0.58 2.95 1.67 3.90 23.12 1.24
7,044 BB+ 1.48 0.98 1.05 0.95 1.39 1.32 1.38 2.10 3.19 3.36 19.43 2.43 0.70 0.62 3.46 2.17 2.81 27.85 2.03
43,482 BB 0.76 0.21 1.00 0.30 0.57 4.34 0.49 0.96 6.52 1.01 1.92 27.50 0.34 0.28 4.78 0.55 4.82 20.01 3.50
5,641 BB- 0.89 0.04 0.20 0.85 0.67 1.95 1.67 1.15 2.34 2.64 2.71 3.94 27.99 1.17 4.47 4.61 4.64 21.95 1.37
3,317 B+ 0.90 0.12 0.21 0.03 1.06 1.99 1.45 1.09 2.17 1.51 2.44 4.16 2.47 19.93 3.65 5.00 5.46 30.30 2.08
35,704 B 0.31 0.03 0.38 0.08 0.35 1.97 0.25 0.34 2.88 0.68 1.29 9.88 0.68 1.24 23.03 1.16 8.28 28.49 2.48
6,297 B- 0.29 - 0.05 0.05 - 0.22 0.03 0.08 0.27 0.14 0.46 1.19 0.68 2.32 2.89 27.16 10.31 41.08 1.97
30,611 CCC 0.14 - 0.14 - 0.01 1.02 0.01 0.01 1.88 0.01 0.09 5.30 0.07 0.13 6.28 0.22 21.83 53.58 1.59
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD
368,631 AAA 25.75 0.14 1.74 0.12 0.09 2.20 0.04 0.02 2.11 0.06 0.02 1.46 0.01 0.01 1.45 0.03 1.27 6.53 1.80
11,627 AA+ 8.07 9.16 2.38 0.48 0.51 4.37 0.18 0.10 2.92 0.36 0.01 3.40 0.01 0.03 4.38 0.04 5.94 12.38 2.33
51,990 AA 9.77 1.79 14.39 0.49 0.34 3.39 0.16 0.14 3.36 0.25 0.07 2.89 0.08 0.04 2.95 0.10 3.78 10.11 2.54
9,407 AA- 5.79 1.40 3.60 12.96 1.30 3.73 0.62 0.24 2.36 0.71 0.09 2.21 0.16 0.04 2.46 0.53 6.19 18.21 1.84
13,037 A+ 3.75 1.24 3.54 1.20 9.72 2.49 0.20 0.25 3.94 0.66 0.06 1.42 0.08 0.11 2.27 0.08 3.85 17.76 2.49
60,586 A 5.30 0.77 2.99 0.70 1.61 15.79 0.37 0.34 2.98 0.32 0.12 2.78 0.11 0.06 2.71 0.12 2.88 13.79 2.46
11,910 A- 4.74 0.91 1.69 0.86 1.44 3.70 12.80 0.59 2.54 0.72 1.46 2.31 0.26 0.04 2.04 0.37 3.64 33.06 1.15
12,919 BBB+ 2.58 0.39 0.82 0.48 1.35 1.88 1.04 8.70 2.02 0.89 0.71 2.16 0.23 0.21 2.51 0.55 3.29 33.56 4.74
56,536 BBB 2.71 0.52 1.60 0.40 0.85 3.42 0.56 2.12 11.48 0.50 0.37 3.72 0.23 0.13 2.90 0.25 3.62 21.72 4.15
14,275 BBB- 2.91 0.49 0.91 0.61 0.97 1.56 0.87 1.50 2.37 11.34 0.60 2.49 0.53 0.39 2.23 1.06 3.26 34.94 2.02
6,502 BB+ 1.81 0.35 0.68 0.45 1.18 1.78 1.49 1.38 3.05 2.12 6.63 2.05 0.32 0.29 2.46 1.40 2.68 38.13 3.21
39,338 BB 1.42 0.24 1.28 0.23 0.56 3.94 0.34 0.80 4.64 0.75 1.20 13.36 0.19 0.20 3.18 0.45 3.46 27.22 4.11
4,697 BB- 1.83 1.30 0.23 0.13 0.70 1.00 0.60 0.53 1.89 2.36 2.58 3.39 10.77 0.98 3.39 2.92 5.32 35.38 2.55
3,124 B+ 1.38 0.67 0.77 0.45 0.29 0.61 0.38 0.32 0.86 1.25 1.82 4.23 1.76 8.19 2.34 2.08 4.13 45.29 3.97
33,590 B 0.57 0.13 0.66 0.14 0.35 2.77 0.17 0.34 2.88 0.35 0.68 7.92 0.38 0.79 9.76 0.68 5.02 36.09 3.53
5,505 B- 0.53 - 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.47 0.02 0.15 0.33 0.16 0.44 1.07 0.62 1.00 2.34 11.08 7.32 55.99 2.69
29,574 CCC 0.33 - 0.45 0.01 0.03 2.74 0.03 0.03 2.92 0.04 0.13 6.43 0.09 0.16 4.50 0.14 9.03 58.78 2.25
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD
338,317 AAA 2.87 0.08 0.89 0.03 0.09 1.88 0.03 0.01 1.94 0.01 0.01 2.13 0.003 0.01 1.06 0.02 0.60 8.51 3.18
10,173 AA+ 1.65 0.59 1.29 0.16 0.37 4.58 - 0.02 2.61 0.01 0.01 4.42 0.02 - 3.40 0.04 2.64 16.51 3.55
44,284 AA 2.35 0.43 2.12 0.13 0.23 1.73 0.08 0.09 1.61 0.07 0.03 3.01 0.04 0.01 2.39 0.03 2.75 15.96 4.65
8,058 AA- 1.69 0.25 1.45 0.62 0.62 2.94 0.26 0.25 1.34 0.19 0.06 1.87 - 0.01 1.64 0.19 2.28 26.38 2.99
11,429 A+ 0.69 0.30 0.82 0.18 0.81 1.30 0.24 0.67 0.90 0.17 0.07 0.94 0.02 0.04 1.18 0.04 1.43 24.51 4.53
46,343 A 1.60 0.28 0.84 0.21 0.67 2.59 0.10 0.13 1.17 0.09 0.09 1.62 0.03 0.03 1.24 0.05 1.40 23.34 3.73
9,811 A- 1.44 0.30 0.51 0.12 0.44 1.38 0.58 0.17 0.84 0.32 0.17 1.10 0.05 0.01 1.21 0.18 1.47 45.84 2.18
11,380 BBB+ 0.79 0.04 0.27 0.18 0.57 0.79 0.25 0.71 0.83 0.19 0.14 0.82 0.08 0.02 0.76 0.08 1.38 43.19 5.83
46,224 BBB 0.86 0.06 0.50 0.08 0.32 1.18 0.17 0.43 1.88 0.16 0.19 1.84 0.04 0.06 0.84 0.05 1.05 31.53 4.97
12,243 BBB- 2.03 0.09 0.26 0.07 0.16 0.95 0.20 0.38 0.68 0.83 0.26 0.63 0.07 0.03 0.48 0.16 1.03 45.19 3.41
5,825 BB+ 1.67 0.07 0.46 0.12 0.31 1.05 0.22 0.43 1.00 0.29 0.29 1.10 0.09 0.10 0.67 0.10 1.03 48.50 4.31
28,149 BB 0.79 0.12 0.44 0.12 0.22 1.25 0.13 0.25 1.36 0.14 0.16 1.64 0.05 0.11 0.83 0.12 1.01 41.93 3.82
3,969 BB- 1.41 0.03 0.43 0.13 0.48 1.28 0.30 0.48 1.06 0.60 0.48 1.51 0.35 0.10 0.71 0.08 1.79 52.10 2.92
2,846 B+ 0.49 - 0.21 - - 0.60 - 0.04 1.09 0.39 0.49 2.25 0.04 0.46 1.12 0.60 1.34 61.63 4.39
24,647 B 0.37 0.03 0.37 0.02 0.15 1.21 0.03 0.14 1.32 0.09 0.27 1.14 0.11 0.14 0.91 0.09 0.79 50.42 4.65
4,556 B- 0.33 - 0.07 0.13 - 0.24 0.02 0.02 0.37 0.09 0.15 0.79 0.09 0.22 0.40 1.40 0.97 74.89 1.87
20,595 CCC 0.66 0.02 0.50 0.04 0.02 2.85 0.06 0.06 1.39 0.07 0.08 1.28 0.01 0.04 0.55 0.06 0.90 73.27 2.88
a
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
8,693 AAA 54.69 0.01 0.22 0.07 0.03 0.12 0.01 - 0.05 - - 0.03 - - 0.01 - 0.01 - 0.92
221 AA+ 44.34 8.60 0.45 - 0.45 0.45 - - - - - 1.36 - - - - - - -
1,582 AA 19.53 9.10 15.80 1.39 0.06 1.33 - - 0.32 - - 0.32 - - - - 0.06 0.06 6.57
412 AA- 6.07 2.43 3.88 69.66 0.24 4.85 1.70 - 0.97 - - - - - 0.24 - 0.24 0.24 -
427 A+ 8.90 4.45 2.81 2.11 34.19 5.15 0.23 - - - - - - - 0.23 - - - 1.41
2,219 A 8.92 0.41 6.31 0.27 5.05 23.75 0.23 0.09 1.08 0.09 - 0.77 - - 0.32 0.05 0.32 0.18 10.64
568 A- 3.52 0.18 1.23 1.76 3.35 3.70 61.97 0.53 6.69 1.23 0.18 0.70 - - 0.18 - 0.70 0.70 -
294 BBB+ 12.24 1.36 2.72 0.68 8.50 5.44 3.06 26.53 3.06 0.34 0.34 0.68 - - 0.34 - 0.34 0.34 4.76
1,860 BBB 5.81 0.59 6.40 0.16 0.97 13.55 0.91 2.63 18.17 0.81 0.16 1.88 0.05 - 0.97 0.22 0.65 0.38 17.26
793 BBB- 2.90 8.20 1.77 0.13 1.01 1.64 0.76 2.14 3.03 46.28 0.13 3.53 1.77 - 1.51 1.26 3.40 1.39 0.25
339 BB+ 4.13 13.57 1.47 0.59 1.47 0.29 0.88 0.88 2.36 1.47 31.27 0.88 - - 1.77 0.88 0.29 0.29 -
2,004 BB 0.85 0.80 2.10 1.80 1.50 9.33 0.20 0.50 13.27 0.35 3.69 13.57 0.20 - 1.95 0.30 1.80 2.25 23.25
482 BB- 2.07 - - 9.54 2.28 3.11 - - 0.62 0.21 2.49 6.02 34.65 0.41 2.90 7.88 6.02 1.87 -
133 B+ 1.50 - - - 18.80 30.83 19.55 0.75 0.75 - 1.50 1.50 1.50 8.27 - 2.26 0.75 - 2.26
924 B - - 0.11 2.16 5.41 3.79 4.33 1.19 6.06 - 0.54 5.52 0.22 0.54 16.34 4.11 4.11 11.15 15.91
439 B- - - - - - - - - - - 0.68 0.91 1.14 13.67 7.74 36.90 16.63 7.29 -
421 CCC - - - - - 0.48 - - 3.09 - 0.71 3.09 0.24 0.48 3.56 0.95 19.00 35.63 18.53
a
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
6,303 AAA 36.44 0.02 0.30 0.10 0.05 0.17 0.02 - 0.06 - - 0.05 - - 0.06 - 0.02 - 1.16
226 AA+ 29.65 3.98 - - - 0.88 - - - - - 1.33 - - - - - - 0.44
1,453 AA 15.42 1.93 8.19 1.10 - 0.96 - - 0.34 - - 0.34 - - 0.34 - 0.07 0.07 5.37
317 AA- 8.83 0.32 6.94 52.37 0.32 6.62 2.21 - 1.26 - - 0.32 - - 0.63 - 0.63 0.32 -
334 A+ 9.28 2.99 1.50 1.50 20.66 1.80 - - 2.10 - - - - 0.30 0.30 0.30 - - 1.80
2,467 A 9.12 0.24 2.43 0.49 1.54 12.97 0.16 - 1.42 - - 0.45 - - 0.49 - 0.16 0.32 11.84
574 A- 3.48 0.87 1.22 0.52 2.09 4.36 39.90 0.17 6.79 1.05 5.40 0.70 - - 0.17 - 1.39 1.22 0.52
289 BBB+ 3.11 1.38 2.42 0.69 4.15 1.73 1.38 13.15 4.15 0.69 2.08 1.38 - - 0.35 0.35 - 0.69 1.73
1,715 BBB 6.76 0.47 4.26 0.12 1.46 6.24 0.58 0.64 7.64 0.35 0.06 2.10 0.06 - 0.70 0.06 0.41 0.76 23.97
489 BBB- 0.61 0.41 1.02 0.41 1.84 2.25 0.82 0.61 0.82 39.47 0.41 4.91 2.66 - 2.25 2.66 6.13 3.89 0.41
188 BB+ 5.32 2.13 - - 6.38 4.79 - 2.13 1.06 3.72 11.70 2.13 - 0.53 3.72 1.60 0.53 1.60 0.53
2,369 BB 4.18 0.21 4.52 0.21 0.76 10.55 0.21 0.34 8.91 0.21 1.06 7.01 0.17 - 1.69 0.68 1.22 3.04 22.12
286 BB- 10.49 19.23 0.35 - 2.10 0.35 - 0.35 - 0.35 - 0.35 22.38 - 3.15 8.39 11.89 4.55 0.35
97 B+ 19.59 12.37 12.37 12.37 3.09 1.03 3.09 - 1.03 1.03 - 1.03 - 4.12 - 3.09 1.03 2.06 1.03
1,223 B 1.06 1.80 0.82 2.45 2.21 10.06 0.25 0.25 6.38 - 0.65 4.17 - 0.25 6.13 1.55 2.94 14.64 18.07
258 B- 0.78 - - - - - - 0.39 0.78 - 1.16 0.78 1.16 5.43 1.55 18.22 22.09 15.50 -
807 CCC 0.50 - 0.25 - 0.25 2.85 0.50 0.25 5.08 - 0.87 4.46 0.74 0.50 2.73 0.50 7.68 36.31 16.98
a
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
6,562 AAA 5.32 0.06 0.73 0.03 0.20 0.40 0.03 - 0.11 - - 0.02 - - 0.35 0.08 0.02 0.23 2.26
128 AA+ 5.47 - 2.34 - 0.78 - - - 0.78 - - - - - 1.56 0.78 - 1.56 1.56
1,906 AA 2.68 0.31 1.15 0.42 0.26 1.52 0.05 0.05 0.89 0.05 - 0.58 - - 0.05 - - 0.89 14.01
337 AA- 11.87 1.48 0.30 1.48 5.04 1.48 0.30 0.30 0.30 - - 0.30 - - - 0.89 0.59 0.30 0.30
285 A+ 5.61 1.05 2.46 - 1.75 2.46 0.35 - 0.35 - - - - - 1.05 0.35 - 0.70 1.40
2,878 A 2.15 0.28 1.22 0.21 1.32 3.09 0.10 0.03 0.80 - 0.17 0.42 - - 0.24 - 0.07 1.91 9.03
196 A- 3.57 1.02 0.51 1.02 3.57 5.10 4.59 - 0.51 2.55 1.02 0.51 - - 0.51 1.53 0.51 2.04 2.55
309 BBB+ 0.97 0.65 0.32 - 2.27 0.65 0.97 1.29 0.97 0.32 - 1.62 - - 0.32 0.32 - 1.29 20.39
2,435 BBB 1.23 0.16 1.27 - 0.78 3.37 0.21 0.12 3.70 0.08 0.21 1.56 0.08 0.04 0.74 0.04 0.49 3.00 15.28
346 BBB- 2.31 - 0.58 0.29 1.45 3.18 0.58 0.87 1.73 1.73 1.45 1.16 0.58 - 0.87 1.16 3.47 6.07 3.18
109 BB+ - 1.83 - - 0.92 3.67 - - 0.92 - 0.92 0.92 - - - - 0.92 3.67 14.68
1,953 BB 0.97 0.26 1.08 0.26 0.92 3.33 0.15 0.05 3.89 0.10 0.15 2.76 0.05 0.10 1.13 0.15 0.87 7.27 14.18
73 BB- - - - - - 2.74 - 5.48 - - 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 - - - 6.85 23.29
65 B+ - - 1.54 - - - - - - - 1.54 - - - - - 1.54 7.69 40.00
2,808 B 1.10 0.04 1.39 0.07 0.50 3.21 0.07 0.14 3.95 0.04 0.25 2.56 0.04 0.07 1.18 0.25 1.35 17.45 16.24
137 B- 0.73 - - - - - 0.73 0.73 1.46 - - - - - - 0.73 0.73 24.09 3.65
3,288 CCC 2.71 0.06 1.09 0.09 0.12 5.57 0.15 0.18 3.13 0.03 0.09 1.79 0.03 - 0.91 0.06 1.16 38.96 7.12
a
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
Fitch Global ABS Average Annual Transition Matrix: 1990-2022
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD
49,341 AAA 79.97 0.08 0.37 0.13 0.04 0.24 0.03 0.02 0.34 0.05 0.01 0.10 - - 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.004 0.67
836 AA+ 19.02 50.36 3.83 0.60 0.60 0.24 0.24 0.36 0.72 0.48 0.12 0.96 - - 0.36 - - - 0.36
6,392 AA 11.83 1.20 66.85 1.38 0.59 0.75 0.27 0.02 0.66 0.20 0.09 0.22 0.09 0.02 0.11 - 0.02 - 0.70
1,312 AA- 3.05 1.91 3.96 63.03 1.30 1.98 0.69 0.08 0.84 0.69 0.15 0.08 - - 0.15 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.46
5,011 A+ 0.52 1.02 3.87 1.02 72.04 1.90 0.14 0.16 3.81 0.38 0.04 0.10 - 0.02 0.16 - 0.08 0.04 0.96
14,115 A 1.27 0.20 4.04 0.37 1.28 77.22 0.69 0.30 1.08 0.15 0.04 0.48 0.16 0.02 0.55 0.03 0.08 0.13 0.40
1,364 A- 0.51 0.22 0.81 0.29 0.95 5.13 64.52 5.87 2.71 5.06 0.29 0.73 0.37 0.07 0.15 0.15 0.22 - 0.44
2,780 BBB+ 0.25 0.04 0.65 0.04 0.83 2.16 2.52 65.40 2.12 2.81 0.58 0.54 0.40 0.07 0.32 - 0.40 0.18 6.37
8,821 BBB 0.16 0.01 0.39 0.08 0.27 3.11 0.35 3.68 71.77 0.99 0.58 1.24 0.35 0.09 0.73 0.49 0.32 0.27 1.44
1,487 BBB- 0.20 - 0.13 - 0.07 1.68 0.13 0.81 2.96 57.43 10.15 3.43 1.34 0.54 2.82 0.27 1.01 0.74 1.68
889 BB+ - - 0.34 - 0.22 0.67 - 1.69 2.92 2.25 62.88 4.39 1.35 1.57 1.35 0.22 1.01 0.67 1.12
2,226 BB - - - - 0.09 1.57 0.13 0.22 4.36 1.03 1.35 63.12 1.03 1.53 5.66 0.63 3.19 2.20 1.21
435 BB- - - - - - 0.23 - - 0.92 0.46 2.30 4.83 54.94 6.44 7.36 0.69 1.84 3.91 2.53
210 B+ - - - - - - - - 0.95 0.95 1.43 2.38 2.86 38.10 28.57 2.38 8.10 3.81 4.76
1,375 B 0.22 - 0.07 - - 0.07 - 0.07 0.95 0.29 0.22 1.82 0.44 0.73 61.89 3.71 4.73 8.22 5.09
319 B- - - - - - - - - 0.31 - - 0.31 - 0.63 0.31 55.80 9.40 10.97 12.85
594 CCC - - - - - - - - - - - 0.34 0.51 0.51 0.84 - 54.71 32.83 2.53
1,686 AAA 37.19 - 0.47 - 0.06 0.12 - - 0.12 - - 0.06 - - 0.06 - - - 0.47
48 AA+ 16.67 8.33 - - 2.08 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
425 AA 10.12 0.24 25.18 0.71 - - - - 0.24 - - 0.24 - - - - - - 0.47
13 AA- 23.08 7.69 15.38 15.38 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
114 A+ 7.89 0.88 2.63 - 34.21 1.75 - - - - - - - - 0.88 - - - 4.39
622 A 2.57 - 2.73 0.16 0.64 43.57 0.48 0.16 1.45 0.32 - 0.64 - - - 0.16 0.32 0.16 0.32
43 A- - - 2.33 - - 6.98 37.21 6.98 - - - - - - - - 4.65 - -
63 BBB+ 4.76 1.59 4.76 1.59 3.17 1.59 1.59 14.29 - - - - - - - - 1.59 - 20.63
276 BBB 0.72 - 5.43 - 0.36 3.26 0.36 0.72 32.97 0.72 0.36 2.17 - - 3.26 0.36 0.36 1.09 1.81
37 BBB- - 2.70 - - - 8.11 2.70 - - 8.11 2.70 - - - - - - - 2.70
132 BB+ - - 0.76 - - - 1.52 - - 0.76 45.45 - - - - - - - -
102 BB 0.98 - - - 0.98 - - 0.98 3.92 0.98 0.98 25.49 - - 2.94 - 10.78 2.94 3.92
12 BB- - - - - - 8.33 - - 8.33 - - - 41.67 - - 8.33 - - -
5 B+ - - - - - - - - - - 20.00 - - - - - - - 60.00
89 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.25 43.82 - - 23.60 4.49
2 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100.00 - - -
20 CCC - - - - - 5.00 - - - - - - - 5.00 5.00 - 45.00 20.00 5.00
1,720 AAA 24.83 - 0.47 - 0.06 0.12 - - 0.12 - - 0.06 - - 0.23 - - - 0.29
57 AA+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.75
433 AA 7.16 0.23 15.94 - - - - - 0.23 - - 0.23 - - 1.15 - - - 0.46
12 AA- - - 8.33 8.33 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
125 A+ - 0.80 3.20 - 18.40 1.60 - - 5.60 - - - - - 0.80 - - - 3.20
602 A 0.83 0.17 0.66 0.33 0.66 31.23 0.33 - 1.00 - - - - - 1.16 - 0.17 - 0.50
114 A- - - - - - - 7.89 0.88 - - 27.19 - - - - - 1.75 0.88 0.88
126 BBB+ - - 0.79 - - 0.79 2.38 3.17 - - 4.76 1.59 - - - - - - 3.17
244 BBB - 0.41 3.69 - 0.82 2.46 - - 12.70 0.82 0.41 1.23 - - 1.64 - - 0.82 0.82
42 BBB- - - 2.38 - - - - - - 7.14 - - - - - - - - -
17 BB+ - 5.88 - - 5.88 - - 5.88 - 5.88 11.76 - - - - - - - -
89 BB - - - - - 1.12 - - 3.37 1.12 - 12.36 1.12 - 11.24 - 1.12 3.37 1.12
10 BB- - - - - - 10.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - 10.00
9 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 11.11
68 B 1.47 - - - - 1.47 - - - - - - - 2.94 14.71 - - 30.88 2.94
15 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 13.33 46.67 13.33 -
10 CCC - - - - - 10.00 - - - - - - 20.00 10.00 10.00 - 20.00 10.00 10.00
1,824 AAA 12.12 - 1.21 - 0.05 0.11 - - 0.11 - - - - - 1.26 0.05 0.05 0.71 1.37
12 AA+ - - - - - - - - 8.33 - - - - - - - - 16.67 -
164 AA 0.61 - 0.61 - 0.61 1.22 - 0.61 0.61 - - - - - - - - - 3.05
60 AA- 1.67 - - 1.67 1.67 3.33 1.67 - - - - - - - - - 1.67 1.67 -
140 A+ 4.29 - 2.86 - - 2.86 - - 0.71 - - - - - 2.14 - - 0.71 -
514 A 1.95 - 0.58 - 0.39 3.70 0.39 0.19 - - 0.78 - - - 0.97 - - 0.97 0.39
48 A- 2.08 - 2.08 - 2.08 16.67 10.42 - - 2.08 4.17 - - - - - - 2.08 2.08
156 BBB+ - - - - - - - - - 0.64 - 1.92 - - - - - - 37.82
272 BBB 1.10 - 1.10 - 0.37 5.51 0.37 0.37 4.04 - - 1.10 0.37 - 0.74 - 2.21 1.47 9.93
53 BBB- - - 1.89 - - 13.21 - - 5.66 - - - - - 1.89 1.89 - 3.77 9.43
23 BB+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 56.52
109 BB - - - - - 11.93 - - 5.50 - - 0.92 - 0.92 3.67 - - 2.75 12.84
20 BB- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 10.00 80.00
26 B+ - - 3.85 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 96.15
74 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.35 27.03 39.19
6 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 16.67 66.67
25 CCC - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 52.00 8.00
Fitch Global CMBS Average Annual Transition Matrix: 1991-2022
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD
42,871 AAA 85.56 0.05 0.51 0.06 0.03 0.44 0.01 0.002 0.16 0.11 - 0.13 - - 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.40
1,749 AA+ 25.56 55.92 1.77 0.29 0.34 1.66 0.06 0.29 0.74 0.57 - 1.37 - - 0.17 0.11 - 0.11 0.97
6,649 AA 10.09 4.32 68.70 0.53 0.26 3.04 0.15 0.09 1.31 0.45 0.06 1.16 0.02 - 0.45 0.06 0.18 0.11 0.57
3,837 AA- 4.25 1.62 4.04 79.59 0.31 1.98 0.39 0.05 0.83 0.47 0.03 1.15 0.05 - 0.44 0.16 0.16 0.13 0.26
1,688 A+ 9.12 3.14 7.29 5.86 54.80 2.78 0.53 0.24 1.42 0.53 0.24 2.07 - 0.06 1.48 0.47 0.59 0.41 0.36
7,449 A 3.72 0.63 3.66 1.19 3.56 67.82 0.42 0.24 2.97 0.86 0.09 1.89 0.08 0.04 1.02 0.60 0.40 0.24 0.46
5,316 A- 1.66 0.49 1.00 0.75 1.35 4.08 81.17 0.49 1.71 0.83 0.02 1.32 0.06 0.04 0.55 0.88 0.28 0.23 0.13
2,916 BBB+ 2.06 0.75 1.30 0.86 1.54 3.05 4.32 67.08 2.02 1.30 0.55 2.13 0.17 0.10 1.89 1.95 1.41 0.62 0.31
7,361 BBB 1.39 0.23 0.61 0.27 0.56 3.50 1.15 3.31 69.30 1.63 0.27 3.78 0.18 0.11 1.73 1.34 1.34 0.72 0.34
7,520 BBB- 0.52 0.08 0.20 0.15 0.35 0.85 0.52 1.12 3.16 76.94 0.69 3.11 1.02 0.03 1.46 1.90 1.53 0.85 0.35
2,436 BB+ 0.57 0.08 0.57 0.04 0.41 1.15 0.78 1.52 2.55 4.84 69.21 2.34 0.94 0.45 1.81 4.02 1.81 2.01 0.57
6,327 BB 0.60 - 0.25 0.02 - 0.93 0.09 0.30 2.61 1.55 2.75 67.19 0.57 0.43 5.25 3.15 5.20 2.40 0.38
3,214 BB- 0.06 - 0.03 0.03 - 0.06 0.12 0.06 0.47 0.93 1.43 2.61 77.82 0.87 2.74 4.95 2.12 3.17 0.12
1,513 B+ 0.26 - - 0.07 0.20 0.07 - 0.07 0.13 0.33 1.65 2.71 3.24 70.85 2.38 6.35 4.23 5.29 0.40
4,863 B 0.23 - 0.02 - - 0.35 - 0.04 0.56 0.04 0.27 2.84 0.29 1.73 66.69 3.99 11.39 6.31 0.35
4,572 B- 0.04 - - - - 0.04 - - 0.04 - 0.13 0.59 0.04 0.26 1.25 65.90 14.52 15.79 0.07
4,459 CCC 0.22 - - - - 0.36 - - 0.22 - 0.04 1.03 0.04 0.04 2.67 0.58 57.19 32.83 0.56
2,504 AAA 74.28 0.04 0.44 0.24 0.08 0.24 0.04 - 0.08 - - 0.08 - - - - - - -
9 AA+ 11.11 22.22 11.11 - - - - - - - - 33.33 - - - - - - -
104 AA 14.42 0.96 33.65 11.54 - 3.85 - - 2.88 - - 1.92 - - - - - 0.96 0.96
347 AA- 1.44 - 3.75 80.12 - 5.76 2.02 - 1.15 - - - - - 0.29 - 0.29 0.29 -
12 A+ - 8.33 - 8.33 25.00 25.00 8.33 - - - - - - - - - - - -
140 A 5.00 2.14 7.86 - 0.71 35.71 0.71 - 2.86 - - 5.00 - - 2.14 - 2.86 2.14 -
430 A- 0.93 - 0.70 - 0.47 2.33 77.44 - 8.37 1.63 0.23 0.93 - - 0.23 - 0.47 0.93 -
71 BBB+ 1.41 - 1.41 - - 1.41 - 81.69 - - - 2.82 - - 1.41 - - 1.41 -
182 BBB 2.75 - 1.10 - - 3.30 - - 64.29 0.55 1.10 2.75 0.55 - - 1.65 4.40 1.65 -
487 BBB- - - 0.21 - 0.21 1.03 0.41 0.21 0.41 72.69 - 5.54 2.87 - 2.46 2.05 5.54 2.26 -
48 BB+ - - - - - - - - - - 68.75 6.25 - - 12.50 6.25 2.08 2.08 -
139 BB - - - - - 0.72 - - 2.16 1.44 - 35.97 1.44 - 7.91 4.32 11.51 18.71 -
253 BB- - - - - 0.40 - - - - 0.40 - 0.79 58.10 0.40 4.74 14.23 11.46 3.56 -
2 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.00 - - 50.00 - -
120 B - - - - - - - - 0.83 - - - - - 22.50 10.00 17.50 35.00 -
235 B- - - - - - - - - - - - 0.43 - - 0.43 51.91 31.06 13.62 -
59 CCC - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 16.95 69.49 -
1,943 AAA 56.66 - 0.57 0.31 0.10 0.31 0.05 - 0.10 - - 0.10 - - - - - - -
5 AA+ - 20.00 - - - - - - - - - 60.00 - - - - - - -
103 AA 8.74 - 20.39 9.71 - 2.91 - - 2.91 - - 1.94 - - - - - 0.97 0.97
251 AA- 3.98 - 7.17 64.54 - 8.37 2.79 - 1.59 - - 0.40 - - 0.80 - 0.80 0.40 -
21 A+ 57.14 - - - 9.52 4.76 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
196 A 11.22 1.02 4.08 - - 16.33 - - 1.02 - - 3.06 - - 1.02 - 1.02 2.04 -
351 A- 2.85 0.28 1.71 - - 5.70 61.54 - 10.54 1.71 - 1.14 - - 0.28 - 1.71 1.71 -
59 BBB+ 1.69 - 3.39 - - 1.69 - 55.93 8.47 - - 3.39 - - 1.69 1.69 - 3.39 -
122 BBB 4.10 - 1.64 - - 4.10 - - 31.15 - - 4.10 0.82 - - 0.82 4.10 - -
351 BBB- 0.28 - 0.57 - 0.28 1.71 0.57 - 0.85 53.56 - 6.84 3.70 - 3.13 3.70 8.55 5.41 -
39 BB+ - - - - - - - - - 12.82 41.03 7.69 - - 15.38 7.69 2.56 7.69 -
195 BB - - - - - 0.51 - - 1.54 1.03 - 19.49 1.03 - 4.62 2.05 8.21 18.97 0.51
168 BB- - - - - - - - - - - - 0.60 38.10 - 5.36 14.29 20.24 7.74 -
4 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 25.00 50.00 -
158 B - - - - - - - - 0.63 - - - - - 13.92 6.96 12.66 36.71 -
146 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.68 30.14 34.25 26.03 -
81 CCC - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 4.94 46.91 -
1,635 AAA 1.22 - 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.06 0.06 - 0.12 - - 0.06 - - - - - - -
28 AA+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
245 AA 0.82 - 2.86 2.45 - 0.82 - - 1.22 - - 1.22 - - - - - 1.22 1.22
42 AA- 2.38 - - - - 2.38 - - 2.38 - - 2.38 - - - - 2.38 - -
40 A+ - - 2.50 - 2.50 2.50 - - - - - - - - - - - 2.50 5.00
352 A - 0.28 0.85 - - 2.27 - - 0.57 - - 0.85 - - 0.57 - 0.28 3.13 1.42
82 A- - - - - - 2.44 2.44 - 1.22 4.88 - 1.22 - - 1.22 - 1.22 3.66 -
53 BBB+ - - - - - - - 7.55 - - - 3.77 - - 1.89 1.89 - 7.55 1.89
304 BBB 0.33 - - - - - - - 1.32 - - 0.33 0.33 - - - 0.99 4.61 1.64
193 BBB- 0.52 - - - 0.52 - - - - 2.59 - 2.07 1.04 - 1.04 0.52 5.70 9.84 0.52
33 BB+ - - - - - - - - - - 3.03 - - - - - - 12.12 6.06
332 BB - - - - - - - - 0.60 0.60 - 0.90 - - 0.30 - 1.51 17.77 1.51
17 BB- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5.88 -
16 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 18.75 -
271 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.74 1.11 1.48 30.26 2.95
66 B- - - - - - - - - 1.52 - - - - - - - - 33.33 -
560 CCC - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.18 - 0.54 53.75 3.21
Fitch Global RMBS Average Annual Transition Matrix: 1990-2022
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD
293,225 AAA 79.55 0.05 1.12 0.06 0.01 1.01 0.01 0.004 0.98 0.004 - 0.66 0.001 - 0.60 - 1.23 1.06 0.31
8,566 AA+ 9.74 64.80 1.98 0.28 0.43 3.09 0.11 - 2.59 0.05 0.02 2.03 0.02 0.02 1.49 - 1.68 1.70 0.35
39,036 AA 8.17 1.95 67.47 0.42 0.25 4.52 0.12 0.08 3.03 0.09 0.01 1.69 0.01 0.02 1.10 0.003 1.01 1.43 0.68
5,338 AA- 4.25 3.17 4.74 60.25 1.57 2.64 1.05 0.22 2.96 0.43 - 2.14 0.13 0.06 2.15 0.02 3.39 3.35 0.67
6,769 A+ 2.04 2.10 4.27 2.87 61.34 2.14 1.11 1.03 2.30 0.38 0.10 2.29 0.04 0.04 2.08 0.03 2.84 3.62 0.16
42,004 A 2.59 0.91 5.03 0.69 1.64 66.28 0.55 0.47 4.84 0.30 0.06 2.54 0.02 0.01 1.92 0.03 1.72 2.55 0.81
5,942 A- 1.09 1.70 1.35 0.94 2.51 3.52 56.65 2.93 3.28 1.95 1.01 2.34 0.17 0.10 2.29 0.08 3.62 7.69 0.15
7,031 BBB+ 0.47 0.40 0.84 0.84 2.33 3.20 2.32 57.46 2.63 1.92 1.85 3.06 0.36 0.23 3.73 0.28 2.80 8.56 0.10
41,240 BBB 0.39 0.26 1.29 0.41 0.81 5.98 0.68 1.27 61.81 0.57 0.37 5.31 0.20 0.12 4.25 0.06 3.70 5.30 1.16
6,589 BBB- 0.14 0.08 0.12 0.87 1.20 1.64 1.76 1.84 4.08 52.01 1.34 3.90 2.40 0.90 3.54 0.64 2.22 13.80 0.14
3,584 BB+ 0.03 - 0.25 0.70 1.59 2.85 1.59 3.99 4.63 4.58 43.89 1.79 1.09 1.45 4.74 0.25 2.59 14.84 0.56
34,061 BB 0.10 0.03 0.23 0.07 0.21 1.57 0.40 0.52 7.03 0.90 1.24 59.81 0.18 0.26 5.58 0.16 4.22 10.67 1.88
1,884 BB- 0.05 - 0.21 - 1.22 0.16 0.42 0.80 1.86 7.70 10.35 9.55 36.94 0.58 4.14 1.65 3.03 15.82 0.27
1,419 B+ 0.21 - 0.07 - 0.14 0.28 0.28 1.90 0.85 1.06 7.12 11.13 9.37 35.38 1.83 0.49 2.40 21.00 0.21
28,594 B 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.003 0.05 0.24 0.05 0.10 1.63 0.25 0.67 8.42 0.81 1.35 56.19 0.33 8.67 16.33 0.99
776 B- 0.13 - 0.13 0.13 - - 0.13 - 0.26 - 0.26 2.19 1.93 3.35 8.89 48.84 7.99 22.55 0.13
24,148 CCC - - - - - 0.01 - - 0.14 0.01 0.02 1.62 0.02 0.03 5.30 0.05 52.46 37.96 0.66
2,924 AAA 3.39 0.14 0.85 0.03 0.34 0.79 0.03 - 0.10 - - - - - - 0.14 - 0.07 3.93
83 AA+ 8.43 - 3.61 - 1.20 - - - - - - - - - 2.41 1.20 - - 2.41
1,428 AA 3.36 0.42 0.98 0.14 0.28 1.75 0.07 - 0.91 0.07 - 0.56 - - 0.07 - - 0.98 18.14
188 AA- 20.21 2.66 0.53 2.13 8.51 1.06 - 0.53 - - - - - - - 1.60 - - -
84 A+ 11.90 3.57 2.38 - 4.76 2.38 1.19 - - - - - - - - 1.19 - - 1.19
1,861 A 2.79 0.38 1.56 0.32 1.93 3.33 0.05 - 1.13 - 0.05 0.48 - - - - 0.05 2.10 12.74
54 A- 11.11 3.70 - 3.70 11.11 - 1.85 - - - - - - - - 5.56 - - 5.56
78 BBB+ 3.85 2.56 1.28 - 8.97 2.56 3.85 - 1.28 - - - - - - - - - 2.56
1,657 BBB 1.45 0.24 1.27 - 1.03 4.04 0.24 0.12 4.16 - 0.18 2.05 - 0.06 0.97 0.06 0.18 3.32 19.13
69 BBB- 10.14 - 1.45 1.45 5.80 5.80 2.90 2.90 2.90 - 4.35 - - - - 2.90 1.45 - 5.80
32 BB+ - 6.25 - - 3.13 12.50 - - 3.13 - - 3.13 - - - - 3.13 - -
1,338 BB 1.35 0.37 1.49 0.30 1.27 3.89 0.22 0.07 5.08 - 0.22 3.74 0.07 0.07 1.27 0.22 0.90 5.83 16.97
23 BB- - - - - - 8.70 - 17.39 - - 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 - - - - -
12 B+ - - - - - - - - - - 8.33 - - - - - 8.33 16.67 -
2,283 B 1.36 0.04 1.66 0.09 0.57 3.85 0.09 0.13 4.82 0.04 0.31 3.15 0.04 0.09 1.36 0.18 1.45 16.64 17.08
34 B- - - - - - - 2.94 2.94 2.94 - - - - - - 2.94 2.94 - -
2,516 CCC 3.54 0.08 1.43 0.08 0.04 7.27 0.16 0.20 4.05 - 0.12 2.19 0.04 - 1.15 0.08 1.35 36.69 7.71
Fitch Global Structured Credit Average Annual Transition Matrix: 1994-2022
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD
19,066 AAA 74.98 0.41 1.24 0.41 0.36 1.17 0.19 0.22 1.08 0.30 0.10 0.65 0.09 0.04 0.51 0.03 0.44 0.39 0.68
1,393 AA+ 8.76 56.93 3.37 1.36 0.36 1.58 0.43 0.29 2.23 0.72 0.07 1.65 0.43 0.07 0.36 - 1.29 1.29 1.22
5,974 AA 4.20 5.09 65.50 0.94 0.47 1.62 0.28 0.27 1.67 0.45 0.55 1.31 0.12 0.20 1.16 0.17 1.07 1.34 1.47
857 AA- 1.52 4.20 3.27 53.79 1.87 3.27 1.40 0.82 2.57 1.52 0.58 1.40 0.23 - 2.33 0.47 1.98 2.80 2.33
1,276 A+ 1.02 2.12 4.23 2.90 54.94 2.19 1.41 0.55 1.72 0.63 0.31 2.51 0.47 0.16 1.18 0.39 1.33 3.37 0.86
5,807 A 0.88 0.29 2.88 0.55 3.87 65.68 0.41 0.43 2.48 0.55 0.38 2.51 0.31 0.24 1.17 0.21 1.27 3.24 1.21
1,818 A- 0.61 0.11 0.61 0.66 2.70 2.64 64.85 1.43 2.09 1.27 0.77 2.97 0.61 0.28 1.98 0.83 1.71 7.32 0.72
1,299 BBB+ 0.38 - 0.46 0.08 1.77 2.62 2.54 60.05 2.08 0.85 0.69 4.16 0.38 0.62 2.85 0.69 3.08 4.39 0.54
6,165 BBB 0.21 0.10 0.18 0.11 0.42 3.67 0.83 3.49 64.07 1.25 0.68 3.08 0.50 0.44 2.48 0.67 2.79 4.35 1.77
1,963 BBB- 0.15 - 0.36 - 0.76 0.36 0.25 2.04 5.30 60.37 1.22 2.65 1.07 0.82 2.75 1.68 3.36 5.09 1.02
932 BB+ - - 0.32 - 0.54 0.32 0.32 1.18 2.90 3.54 55.36 2.04 0.97 0.97 4.61 1.39 4.61 10.73 0.64
3,829 BB 0.03 - 0.13 0.08 0.21 0.81 0.03 0.37 3.97 0.65 3.63 59.13 1.59 0.39 6.06 1.23 4.44 6.74 0.81
1,190 BB- 0.08 - - - 0.08 0.17 - 0.25 0.25 0.42 3.03 6.39 60.92 1.26 3.19 1.93 4.37 7.31 0.34
458 B+ - - - - 0.66 - - - 0.66 0.87 1.09 2.62 2.40 49.34 2.62 4.37 5.68 16.38 1.31
2,371 B 0.08 - 0.08 - 0.25 0.42 0.04 0.04 1.01 - 0.04 4.89 0.34 1.81 51.62 2.02 10.67 14.93 1.35
1,668 B- 0.06 - - - - - - - 0.06 - 0.30 0.72 0.36 4.62 3.48 63.97 3.24 13.25 0.36
2,219 CCC 0.09 - - - - - - - 0.32 - 0.09 0.90 - 0.14 4.33 0.59 44.52 41.19 0.81
13.97
11.36
9.21
8.10
11.41
8.65
5.65
8.63
7.64
7.44
8.37
5.89
5.27
5.08
4.71
3.74
2.56
PIF
38.01
29.99
28.47
23.25
31.29
28.03
16.38
22.81
24.69
20.62
21.28
20.15
14.77
13.99
16.20
10.81
7.67
PIF
55.15
42.94
43.37
35.56
44.90
43.82
25.68
31.89
38.75
28.95
28.53
32.44
22.14
19.21
26.78
15.51
11.91
PIF
76.65
58.11
62.28
54.96
61.14
60.81
41.70
43.09
53.79
43.06
38.20
45.51
33.76
24.88
37.74
17.95
15.24
PIF
12.08
12.37
11.73
2.93
16.22
10.59
4.05
7.99
6.04
5.04
7.36
6.78
3.16
2.80
5.21
1.46
8.25
PIF
43.83
44.34
45.45
9.47
40.52
41.55
13.38
29.25
28.44
18.92
37.46
22.31
19.92
9.77
18.51
15.03
14.25
PIF
61.56
63.72
65.86
19.24
57.49
58.37
30.14
60.55
43.38
28.43
52.13
32.93
15.73
21.65
26.33
32.17
19.58
PIF
90.19
85.16
77.07
75.07
82.46
78.94
68.88
67.64
67.64
69.36
71.56
62.31
56.16
47.69
50.11
67.15
36.74
PIF
17.88
21.77
15.00
21.42
13.75
11.53
11.51
14.35
13.69
14.59
17.32
12.67
13.56
5.71
11.49
9.40
7.74
PIF
23.62
26.67
18.80
6.67
15.79
13.84
22.41
11.54
10.24
19.57
14.41
11.21
15.38
-
6.41
-
17.24
PIF
61.45
72.92
62.82
38.46
47.37
46.30
41.86
44.44
46.01
72.97
51.52
45.10
33.33
20.00
25.84
-
15.00
PIF
73.84
98.25
74.60
83.33
66.40
62.96
60.53
83.33
74.18
90.48
64.71
64.04
80.00
88.89
45.59
26.67
10.00
PIF
82.95
75.00
92.68
86.67
86.43
89.69
56.25
59.62
71.32
62.26
43.48
61.47
10.00
-
32.43
16.67
40.00
PIF
12.50
10.06
8.47
4.09
8.59
10.10
2.97
6.58
8.23
5.17
4.31
6.34
2.40
1.78
4.91
1.31
4.19
PIF
8.34
-
17.78
1.78
15.38
15.63
1.96
5.26
3.28
2.51
1.69
7.50
3.16
-
5.95
1.07
3.80
PIF
24.48
22.22
28.85
4.90
25.00
32.86
5.35
8.45
15.93
4.11
2.08
15.83
5.93
-
14.17
2.55
13.56
PIF
41.79
20.00
51.46
9.16
28.57
59.18
10.83
18.64
49.18
10.83
5.13
42.05
13.69
25.00
29.11
8.90
48.15
PIF
98.23
100.00
88.16
88.10
85.00
89.77
81.71
75.47
90.46
75.65
78.79
76.81
94.12
81.25
63.47
65.15
42.32
PIF
13.35
9.60
7.94
6.80
9.20
7.05
6.63
6.63
6.05
7.42
8.59
4.94
5.25
6.27
3.88
3.09
1.72
PIF
11.18
14.19
12.14
5.80
11.64
10.17
3.93
4.13
4.95
7.04
5.33
6.49
-
-
4.94
-
11.63
PIF
42.12
28.47
35.17
31.11
33.84
39.53
35.44
28.03
24.42
22.98
35.86
20.09
31.62
5.93
16.81
10.00
14.50
PIF
57.93
47.52
59.89
50.00
49.37
55.07
58.89
50.00
34.70
61.64
61.90
28.45
9.62
10.39
23.01
50.00
16.41
PIF
90.18
80.72
72.27
62.77
71.43
73.08
57.41
73.08
61.50
52.17
68.75
56.65
56.52
66.67
47.04
85.29
33.82
PIF
16.71
17.59
12.12
13.65
17.71
11.43
5.89
11.78
8.92
10.75
9.55
9.72
10.00
12.01
10.38
9.59
7.03
PIF
10.58
6.73
3.85
8.33
27.42
3.41
5.26
15.63
12.93
6.29
7.46
1.61
4.03
9.52
-
2.66
-
PIF
57.97
81.48
47.02
42.86
71.05
43.52
43.75
53.57
40.53
61.11
42.86
35.15
41.98
62.50
60.00
30.73
-
PIF
88.84
86.96
76.29
75.00
83.33
69.44
68.42
68.42
57.52
78.26
74.07
64.89
100.00
57.14
71.88
72.15
22.22
PIF
90.50
100.00
100.00
97.87
95.24
89.40
83.33
86.36
78.71
80.65
95.24
78.74
76.92
90.91
76.11
61.29
58.82
Fitch North America Structured Financea Transition Matrices: 1990-2022
One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022
Average Annual
370,241 AAA 80.11 1.05 0.93 0.92 0.58 0.50 0.99 0.85 0.35 13.72
66,780 AA 8.74 69.18 4.21 2.99 1.88 1.24 1.20 1.47 0.73 8.34
81,467 A 2.35 5.90 69.88 4.72 2.45 1.87 1.57 2.60 0.64 8.03
79,893 BBB 0.52 1.56 5.94 66.30 5.27 4.16 2.86 5.23 1.11 7.04
52,994 BB 0.17 0.37 2.14 7.76 62.15 6.85 4.15 9.67 1.42 5.33
43,723 B 0.05 0.05 0.31 1.54 8.08 60.20 9.08 15.68 1.02 3.98
29,193 CCC 0.04 - 0.06 0.15 1.54 4.94 51.84 38.42 0.71 2.30
Average Two-Year
361,587 AAA 61.84 1.61 1.54 1.61 0.88 0.83 1.59 2.87 0.71 26.52
65,212 AA 11.07 47.99 4.93 4.23 2.91 2.66 2.26 5.34 1.23 17.38
78,803 A 4.50 6.60 49.31 5.35 3.14 3.10 2.51 7.68 1.16 16.65
77,456 BBB 1.57 2.87 6.69 44.32 5.51 5.43 3.98 13.10 2.03 14.52
51,439 BB 0.52 1.15 4.54 9.00 41.56 6.75 4.91 17.14 2.70 11.73
42,722 B 0.19 0.22 1.36 3.05 10.62 38.57 9.71 25.53 1.82 8.91
28,857 CCC 0.09 0.03 0.33 1.12 4.11 6.35 32.24 49.77 1.24 4.72
Average Three-Year
353,708 AAA 47.24 1.85 1.93 2.00 1.12 1.12 1.54 4.78 1.08 37.32
63,804 AA 11.23 33.46 4.73 4.48 3.23 3.52 3.28 8.70 1.66 25.71
76,489 A 5.20 6.17 34.62 5.05 3.12 3.41 3.34 12.26 1.61 25.22
75,138 BBB 2.41 3.03 6.07 29.72 5.05 4.85 4.52 19.82 2.84 21.69
49,227 BB 0.95 1.81 5.36 8.22 28.81 5.87 4.67 23.10 3.31 17.89
41,590 B 0.35 0.44 2.45 3.53 10.44 26.07 8.42 31.98 2.43 13.88
28,489 CCC 0.15 0.15 1.08 1.95 5.58 6.40 21.41 54.52 1.64 7.11
Average Four-Year
346,495 AAA 35.59 1.93 2.20 2.23 1.36 1.41 1.45 6.09 1.41 46.32
62,384 AA 10.53 23.14 4.47 4.18 3.25 3.66 4.48 11.31 2.02 32.95
74,085 A 5.45 5.23 24.12 4.47 2.98 3.17 3.50 16.41 2.01 32.65
72,756 BBB 2.83 2.82 5.06 19.96 4.42 4.15 4.21 25.22 3.54 27.80
46,921 BB 1.48 2.21 5.21 7.02 20.05 4.95 4.20 27.73 3.71 23.44
40,412 B 0.54 0.73 2.92 3.59 9.44 17.20 7.03 36.91 3.03 18.61
28,117 CCC 0.27 0.31 2.13 2.50 6.57 5.72 13.80 57.40 2.04 9.28
Average Five-Year
340,169 AAA 26.01 1.86 2.35 2.29 1.56 1.57 1.35 6.99 1.71 54.31
61,021 AA 9.05 15.62 4.18 3.87 3.36 3.68 5.16 13.25 2.45 39.37
71,696 A 5.26 4.18 16.35 3.70 2.81 2.96 3.53 19.73 2.39 39.09
70,741 BBB 3.03 2.36 4.05 13.14 3.68 3.36 3.68 29.37 4.09 33.23
44,491 BB 1.65 1.84 4.50 5.90 14.28 3.86 3.54 31.81 4.07 28.55
39,065 B 0.66 0.94 2.81 3.02 7.99 11.64 5.31 41.11 3.56 22.96
27,569 CCC 0.35 0.49 2.91 3.03 6.71 4.52 8.73 59.67 2.35 11.24
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
a
Fitch North America ABS Transition Matrices: 1990-2022
One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022
Average Annual
44,901 AAA 80.53 0.53 0.33 0.44 0.11 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.59 17.38
6,845 AA 11.99 68.55 2.02 1.05 0.54 0.20 0.01 0.01 0.54 15.08
17,277 A 1.07 4.53 78.09 2.54 0.68 0.54 0.10 0.12 0.46 11.87
10,254 BBB 0.17 0.49 3.56 74.58 2.59 1.46 0.45 0.32 2.78 13.60
2,402 BB - 0.12 1.67 5.83 61.99 10.66 3.29 2.75 1.50 12.20
1,673 B 0.18 0.06 0.06 0.66 1.91 65.57 5.74 8.79 6.75 10.28
508 CCC - - - - 0.39 0.98 55.31 33.66 2.36 7.28
Average Two-Year
43,692 AAA 63.11 0.79 0.47 0.84 0.26 0.21 0.06 0.02 1.14 33.10
6,586 AA 12.89 47.97 2.88 1.49 1.25 0.64 0.17 0.15 0.96 31.61
16,734 A 2.84 5.08 60.41 3.88 0.97 1.18 0.26 0.38 0.93 24.08
10,032 BBB 0.67 1.15 3.96 53.75 3.03 2.49 0.77 1.17 5.18 27.84
2,344 BB 0.04 0.51 3.88 6.61 37.84 10.92 3.63 7.17 3.41 25.98
1,600 B 0.31 0.06 0.13 1.25 1.69 44.31 6.19 14.94 12.81 18.31
480 CCC - - 0.21 - 0.63 1.25 32.92 49.17 4.79 11.04
Average Three-Year
42,374 AAA 49.24 0.88 0.58 0.97 0.38 0.41 0.10 0.05 1.59 45.79
6,279 AA 9.71 34.03 3.11 1.74 1.42 1.16 0.25 0.61 1.21 46.76
16,159 A 2.72 4.43 46.15 4.57 1.10 1.52 0.41 0.75 1.51 36.84
9,783 BBB 0.92 0.83 3.13 38.13 2.91 2.94 0.80 2.11 7.29 40.95
2,280 BB 0.13 0.83 4.69 5.31 22.19 10.13 2.98 10.35 5.53 37.85
1,498 B 0.33 0.07 0.20 1.00 1.54 29.44 6.61 19.63 18.96 22.23
440 CCC - - 0.23 - 0.45 1.59 17.50 60.91 7.50 11.82
Average Four-Year
40,939 AAA 39.38 0.93 0.69 1.03 0.44 0.61 0.11 0.14 1.93 54.74
5,926 AA 7.29 24.86 3.37 1.91 1.13 1.33 0.39 1.15 1.45 57.12
15,512 A 1.93 4.11 35.29 4.64 1.06 1.84 0.45 1.22 2.20 47.25
9,520 BBB 0.44 0.45 2.66 27.06 2.88 3.20 0.57 2.92 8.73 51.09
2,213 BB 0.14 0.59 4.25 3.66 12.56 8.99 1.94 12.16 7.95 47.76
1,419 B 0.28 0.14 0.21 0.78 1.41 16.28 7.05 23.26 24.81 25.79
422 CCC - - 0.24 - 0.24 1.18 7.82 66.35 10.19 13.98
Average Five-Year
39,456 AAA 31.63 0.94 0.77 1.03 0.39 0.77 0.10 0.28 2.20 61.89
5,556 AA 6.35 17.84 3.91 2.09 1.17 1.44 0.40 1.64 1.69 63.48
14,887 A 1.85 3.65 26.30 4.26 0.92 1.95 0.49 1.71 2.82 56.06
9,246 BBB 0.06 0.42 2.02 18.36 2.54 3.22 0.37 3.45 10.52 59.02
2,148 BB - - 3.77 2.89 7.50 6.61 1.63 13.18 10.57 53.86
1,344 B 0.30 0.22 0.30 0.37 1.34 8.04 6.77 25.67 29.32 27.68
406 CCC - - 0.25 - - 0.74 2.22 70.44 11.33 15.02
Average Annual
40,012 AAA 86.23 0.41 0.35 0.26 0.13 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.28 12.29
10,214 AA 11.67 75.43 2.45 1.34 1.34 0.55 0.17 0.12 0.61 6.33
12,458 A 3.95 5.89 76.86 2.87 1.66 1.61 0.35 0.24 0.31 6.28
15,659 BBB 1.22 1.22 4.56 77.64 3.95 3.30 1.17 0.65 0.23 6.07
10,882 BB 0.47 0.29 1.12 4.64 75.02 8.33 3.52 2.30 0.25 4.05
10,423 B 0.14 0.02 0.20 0.36 2.87 72.17 11.48 10.01 0.21 2.53
3,997 CCC 0.23 - 0.35 0.23 1.13 3.45 57.82 32.15 0.55 4.10
Average Two-Year
37,151 AAA 72.64 0.67 0.68 0.54 0.33 0.09 0.05 0.03 0.51 24.45
9,700 AA 16.96 56.20 3.89 2.69 2.64 1.26 0.63 0.41 1.30 14.03
11,832 A 8.04 7.31 58.27 3.96 3.20 2.99 1.43 0.92 0.66 13.21
14,849 BBB 3.30 2.56 6.14 58.00 5.07 5.76 3.32 2.68 0.55 12.62
10,472 BB 1.29 0.64 2.18 6.63 55.37 10.78 6.66 7.33 0.53 8.59
10,063 B 0.49 0.08 0.47 0.94 4.06 52.20 12.70 23.16 0.50 5.40
3,818 CCC 0.42 - 0.79 0.60 2.15 4.87 35.62 44.89 1.15 9.51
Average Three-Year
34,469 AAA 59.42 0.77 0.89 0.71 0.49 0.21 0.18 0.08 0.71 36.53
9,245 AA 19.84 41.10 4.18 3.35 2.97 1.87 1.77 0.95 1.90 22.06
11,261 A 11.24 7.63 43.88 3.97 3.53 3.14 2.97 2.43 0.98 20.23
14,090 BBB 5.51 3.49 6.69 42.41 4.79 5.31 5.22 6.56 0.93 19.09
10,061 BB 1.90 0.89 2.95 7.82 40.96 9.94 7.08 14.35 0.80 13.31
9,711 B 0.98 0.18 0.61 1.17 4.43 38.95 11.16 33.27 0.75 8.51
3,683 CCC 0.84 0.08 0.92 0.87 2.39 4.59 22.89 49.93 1.79 15.69
Average Four-Year
31,998 AAA 46.37 0.79 1.04 0.75 0.62 0.26 0.35 0.18 0.92 48.73
8,825 AA 21.39 28.94 4.02 3.41 2.63 1.90 2.78 2.20 2.41 30.31
10,706 A 14.11 7.22 31.85 3.81 3.42 2.72 3.69 4.66 1.25 27.27
13,384 BBB 7.58 4.15 6.69 29.83 4.14 4.25 5.76 10.83 1.30 25.47
9,639 BB 2.44 1.22 3.73 8.44 29.36 8.50 6.61 20.75 1.04 17.91
9,359 B 1.29 0.24 0.66 1.37 4.64 28.24 9.89 41.06 1.02 11.59
3,625 CCC 1.21 0.11 0.74 0.88 2.15 3.37 14.40 53.30 2.34 21.49
Average Five-Year
29,836 AAA 34.57 0.70 1.14 0.69 0.63 0.26 0.49 0.32 1.12 60.10
8,453 AA 21.13 19.26 3.57 3.08 2.28 1.64 2.91 3.81 2.90 39.42
10,186 A 15.87 6.51 22.09 3.49 2.93 2.43 3.45 6.75 1.53 34.95
12,797 BBB 9.33 4.33 6.27 20.19 3.53 3.45 5.24 14.02 1.65 31.98
9,249 BB 2.93 1.55 4.27 8.33 20.70 6.96 6.07 25.67 1.28 22.25
9,042 B 1.40 0.25 0.70 1.39 4.52 20.12 8.27 47.67 1.28 14.39
3,578 CCC 1.06 0.03 0.64 0.61 1.45 2.10 8.66 55.90 2.60 26.94
Average Annual
272,866 AAA 79.36 1.20 1.08 1.05 0.71 0.65 1.32 1.14 0.31 13.21
45,783 AA 8.02 68.11 5.01 3.52 2.08 1.50 1.57 1.92 0.66 7.61
46,771 A 2.57 6.55 65.38 6.12 3.03 2.36 2.41 3.78 0.73 7.08
48,386 BBB 0.39 2.04 7.00 61.05 6.30 4.85 3.78 7.62 0.97 5.99
36,577 BB 0.10 0.42 2.56 8.99 58.82 5.96 4.16 12.08 1.79 5.13
29,264 B 0.01 0.06 0.33 2.04 10.54 56.36 8.37 17.41 0.97 3.92
23,135 CCC - - 0.01 0.13 1.66 5.27 51.44 39.11 0.69 1.70
Average Two-Year
269,280 AAA 60.57 1.82 1.79 1.83 1.02 1.01 2.04 3.77 0.64 25.50
45,081 AA 10.02 46.80 5.55 4.81 3.09 3.20 2.85 6.82 1.10 15.74
45,373 A 4.53 6.96 43.59 6.37 3.70 3.75 3.53 11.28 1.29 15.00
47,075 BBB 1.35 3.54 7.41 38.29 6.22 5.84 4.72 18.52 1.69 12.42
35,516 BB 0.35 1.41 5.47 9.93 38.38 5.12 4.38 20.07 3.38 11.51
28,700 B 0.09 0.30 1.79 4.01 13.74 34.14 9.08 26.07 1.63 9.13
23,007 CCC 0.02 0.03 0.25 1.23 4.61 6.69 32.45 50.10 1.17 3.45
Average Three-Year
266,743 AAA 45.81 2.11 2.25 2.28 1.26 1.31 1.90 6.14 1.01 35.94
44,521 AA 10.18 32.52 5.20 5.04 3.47 4.18 3.95 10.79 1.53 23.13
44,278 A 4.94 6.37 28.87 5.58 3.71 4.16 4.48 17.53 1.68 22.68
45,838 BBB 2.00 3.51 6.34 24.44 5.59 5.07 5.10 26.93 2.37 18.65
33,818 BB 0.77 2.26 6.33 8.53 26.38 4.19 4.08 25.76 3.99 17.69
28,044 B 0.16 0.59 3.34 4.61 13.31 22.06 7.84 31.34 2.06 14.68
22,815 CCC 0.04 0.17 1.16 2.22 6.34 6.83 21.91 54.83 1.48 5.03
Average Four-Year
264,711 AAA 34.14 2.19 2.54 2.53 1.52 1.64 1.74 7.63 1.35 44.73
43,947 AA 9.32 22.51 4.84 4.68 3.64 4.28 5.43 13.60 1.89 29.80
43,155 A 4.98 5.06 19.04 4.64 3.61 3.79 4.57 23.01 2.00 29.30
44,497 BBB 2.19 3.04 4.87 15.93 4.85 4.31 4.59 33.38 3.01 23.83
32,035 BB 1.37 2.77 5.90 6.81 18.43 3.50 3.65 30.10 4.29 23.19
27,319 B 0.34 0.98 4.00 4.59 11.83 13.95 6.29 35.47 2.50 20.05
22,520 CCC 0.12 0.35 2.50 2.91 7.60 6.25 14.32 57.71 1.79 6.44
Average Five-Year
263,071 AAA 24.60 2.10 2.67 2.59 1.79 1.81 1.60 8.57 1.66 52.62
43,399 AA 7.56 15.41 4.49 4.30 3.88 4.36 6.35 15.51 2.37 35.76
41,986 A 4.32 3.73 12.23 3.60 3.51 3.47 4.66 27.32 2.35 34.81
43,413 BBB 2.11 2.24 3.70 10.38 4.00 3.39 3.98 38.39 3.35 28.44
30,090 BB 1.49 2.18 4.75 5.37 13.40 2.62 2.94 34.31 4.52 28.42
26,385 B 0.47 1.28 3.84 3.74 9.82 9.32 4.43 39.04 2.91 25.14
22,037 CCC 0.27 0.59 3.49 3.60 7.90 5.05 9.23 60.03 2.07 7.76
Fitch North America Structured Credit Transition Matrices: 1996-2022
One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022
Average Annual
12,462 AAA 75.48 1.75 1.73 1.85 0.79 0.47 0.47 0.49 0.67 16.30
3,937 AA 3.89 66.55 3.38 4.55 3.30 1.83 1.68 2.36 2.18 10.29
4,961 A 0.79 4.50 66.12 3.81 5.12 2.50 1.73 6.15 1.29 8.00
5,594 BBB 0.25 0.36 5.01 64.84 4.92 5.63 3.97 6.44 1.73 6.86
3,133 BB 0.06 0.19 1.24 5.75 56.37 9.19 6.89 12.45 1.05 6.80
2,363 B 0.13 0.08 0.68 1.10 4.91 51.29 9.73 24.21 1.23 6.64
1,553 CCC 0.13 - - 0.45 1.09 5.22 41.27 45.91 0.90 5.02
Average Two-Year
11,464 AAA 51.80 2.62 2.56 2.72 1.87 1.33 1.73 2.03 1.38 31.97
3,844 AA 5.41 41.26 3.82 5.98 4.29 3.33 3.02 9.29 2.97 20.63
4,864 A 1.40 6.68 42.72 4.28 5.14 3.87 3.33 15.71 2.06 14.82
5,500 BBB 0.42 1.07 7.09 41.75 5.07 6.45 5.22 16.56 3.15 13.22
3,107 BB 0.19 0.39 2.35 8.24 34.15 8.56 6.08 24.20 1.74 14.10
2,359 B 0.04 0.04 0.81 1.61 6.74 30.35 7.04 36.33 2.29 14.75
1,552 CCC 0.32 0.13 0.39 1.16 2.51 6.44 20.68 57.09 1.42 9.86
Average Three-Year
10,122 AAA 35.01 2.87 2.88 3.48 2.80 2.36 2.68 4.91 1.99 41.02
3,758 AA 5.03 24.88 3.27 5.22 4.02 3.73 4.04 16.50 3.19 30.12
4,791 A 1.73 6.74 27.16 4.26 3.55 3.44 3.49 25.57 2.76 21.31
5,427 BBB 0.48 1.64 7.43 26.24 5.09 5.29 4.55 26.20 3.78 19.31
3,068 BB 0.46 0.59 3.13 8.18 20.66 7.99 4.47 31.88 2.35 20.31
2,337 B 0.04 0.09 0.81 2.10 6.59 18.49 5.13 42.28 3.17 21.31
1,551 CCC 0.32 0.19 0.58 1.10 3.42 5.67 11.73 59.06 2.00 15.93
Average Four-Year
8,847 AAA 22.61 3.00 3.24 4.30 3.41 2.59 2.95 9.04 2.60 46.26
3,685 AA 4.18 14.03 2.85 3.80 3.61 4.23 3.72 22.17 3.42 37.99
4,712 A 1.68 5.90 16.34 3.86 2.65 2.93 3.35 32.64 3.14 27.50
5,355 BBB 0.50 1.96 6.76 16.12 4.22 4.26 3.62 33.03 4.33 25.19
3,034 BB 0.56 0.59 3.36 7.12 13.09 6.10 3.96 36.29 2.97 25.97
2,315 B - 0.13 0.99 2.42 5.57 11.49 4.10 45.62 4.06 25.62
1,550 CCC 0.19 0.19 0.39 0.97 3.68 4.77 6.58 59.94 2.65 20.65
Average Five-Year
7,806 AAA 12.61 3.01 3.98 4.60 3.37 2.64 2.73 13.17 3.14 50.76
3,612 AA 2.85 6.31 2.38 3.24 3.05 3.82 3.38 26.05 3.49 45.43
4,637 A 1.40 4.77 9.19 3.23 2.33 2.74 3.17 37.31 3.32 32.54
5,285 BBB 0.55 2.01 5.05 9.56 3.41 3.08 3.25 37.79 4.84 30.46
3,004 BB 0.60 0.67 3.33 5.86 8.16 4.76 3.16 39.01 3.43 31.03
2,294 B - 0.17 0.70 2.70 4.40 7.11 3.01 48.08 4.88 28.95
1,548 CCC - 0.19 0.52 1.16 3.62 3.62 3.62 60.40 3.36 23.51
Fitch EMEA Structured Financea Transition Matrices: 1996-2022
One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022
Average Annual
27,090 AAA 78.08 2.24 0.93 0.31 0.25 0.17 0.10 0.07 0.73 17.11
13,761 AA 6.68 73.73 3.08 1.28 0.46 0.38 0.23 0.23 0.39 13.54
15,117 A 0.97 5.81 75.07 4.23 1.05 0.54 0.29 0.39 0.38 11.27
12,719 BBB 0.20 0.49 6.26 72.38 5.13 2.03 1.26 0.82 0.68 10.76
6,894 BB 0.03 0.12 1.13 5.60 71.32 6.11 2.36 2.06 0.29 10.98
4,036 B 0.15 - 0.35 0.99 6.14 70.24 7.11 4.09 0.52 10.41
2,087 CCC 0.05 - 0.10 0.29 1.05 5.70 64.59 21.85 0.48 5.89
Average Two-Year
26,079 AAA 58.15 3.75 1.83 0.70 0.41 0.27 0.30 0.28 1.45 32.85
12,990 AA 10.24 52.13 4.73 2.16 1.04 0.86 0.48 0.75 0.76 26.84
14,326 A 2.59 8.13 54.08 5.85 2.48 1.28 0.60 1.07 0.72 23.20
12,287 BBB 0.37 1.45 8.99 50.61 6.86 3.33 2.51 2.23 1.29 22.37
6,399 BB 0.17 0.31 2.73 8.02 49.01 8.30 3.61 5.11 0.59 22.14
3,719 B 0.27 0.08 0.89 2.26 8.95 48.80 8.31 7.88 1.05 21.51
2,038 CCC - - 0.25 0.69 2.50 9.03 43.13 33.07 0.69 10.65
Average Three-Year
25,054 AAA 42.44 4.40 2.41 0.92 0.58 0.41 0.37 0.58 2.10 45.80
12,222 AA 11.38 37.20 5.33 2.70 1.29 1.28 0.66 1.40 1.06 37.69
13,545 A 3.56 8.56 38.76 6.07 3.51 1.79 0.94 1.82 1.00 33.98
11,798 BBB 0.63 2.12 9.61 35.11 7.42 3.66 3.16 3.75 1.67 32.88
5,929 BB 0.19 0.56 3.95 9.36 33.18 9.04 3.95 7.99 0.94 30.85
3,391 B 0.32 0.18 1.83 3.27 9.64 33.94 7.96 11.32 1.50 30.02
1,987 CCC - - 0.55 1.31 3.93 10.07 29.29 39.00 0.91 14.95
Average Four-Year
24,013 AAA 30.53 4.55 2.65 1.10 0.67 0.59 0.35 0.92 2.55 56.09
11,497 AA 10.86 26.70 5.41 2.69 1.44 1.44 0.76 2.12 1.37 47.20
12,802 A 4.05 7.96 28.06 5.69 3.91 1.94 1.14 2.63 1.20 43.42
11,340 BBB 0.96 2.34 8.84 24.45 7.25 3.85 3.12 5.21 1.97 42.01
5,462 BB 0.35 0.81 5.20 9.30 21.29 8.75 4.12 10.20 1.21 38.78
3,089 B 0.29 0.39 2.46 3.98 9.55 22.14 6.77 14.21 1.81 38.39
1,940 CCC - - 1.08 2.16 5.21 10.21 19.85 42.37 0.93 18.20
Average Five-Year
23,119 AAA 21.50 4.33 2.64 1.06 0.70 0.74 0.34 1.24 2.85 64.60
10,853 AA 9.36 18.82 5.28 2.66 1.37 1.47 0.80 2.75 1.65 55.84
12,114 A 3.88 7.24 20.09 5.03 3.72 1.87 1.19 3.38 1.37 52.24
10,829 BBB 1.03 2.23 7.76 17.03 6.36 3.77 2.96 6.55 2.27 50.04
5,133 BB 0.45 0.86 5.71 8.47 13.03 7.64 3.95 12.00 1.48 46.41
2,847 B 0.25 0.53 2.88 4.67 9.10 13.52 4.99 16.58 1.90 45.59
1,872 CCC - 0.11 1.50 2.62 6.04 8.92 14.00 44.82 0.91 21.10
Includes asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed, residential mortgage-backed and structured credit securities.
a
Fitch EMEA ABS Transition Matrices: 1996-2022
One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022
Average Annual
Average Two-Year
Average Three-Year
Average Four-Year
2,696 AAA 20.70 2.23 0.59 0.52 0.15 0.04 - - 5.08 70.70
945 AA 2.54 19.89 2.65 1.48 0.21 - 0.42 0.21 5.29 67.30
1,927 A 0.78 3.11 19.15 3.53 7.78 0.47 0.42 0.21 3.27 61.29
1,297 BBB 0.31 0.62 4.55 19.51 7.63 1.00 1.16 1.70 6.01 57.52
232 BB - 0.86 4.31 8.62 13.36 1.72 2.16 4.74 2.59 61.64
90 B - - 4.44 2.22 7.78 8.89 1.11 5.56 11.11 58.89
66 CCC - - - - - 4.55 9.09 48.48 6.06 31.82
Average Five-Year
2,572 AAA 12.91 1.52 0.74 0.51 0.19 0.04 0.04 - 5.56 78.50
878 AA 1.94 14.92 1.94 1.25 0.11 - 0.34 0.34 6.26 72.89
1,840 A 0.38 2.17 10.22 2.23 6.41 0.27 0.38 0.38 3.32 74.24
1,147 BBB 0.35 0.26 4.18 14.12 2.70 1.13 1.22 2.09 7.06 66.87
199 BB - 0.50 4.02 5.03 9.05 1.01 1.51 7.04 1.51 70.35
79 B - - - 2.53 5.06 3.80 1.27 6.33 7.59 73.42
64 CCC - - - 1.56 - 3.13 1.56 51.56 4.69 37.50
Average Annual
2,138 AAA 74.84 4.02 2.81 0.37 0.09 - - 0.09 2.62 15.15
1,534 AA 4.11 73.01 6.65 3.39 0.78 0.39 0.07 0.13 0.20 11.28
1,542 A 0.97 3.31 67.38 8.11 3.11 2.08 0.65 0.45 0.58 13.36
1,620 BBB 0.25 0.43 2.53 69.14 6.79 4.01 3.83 1.85 0.37 10.80
766 BB 0.26 0.39 0.52 3.66 61.75 8.36 5.48 6.01 0.78 12.79
431 B 0.46 - 0.46 0.46 3.02 57.54 15.55 12.06 0.46 9.98
392 CCC 0.26 - 0.51 0.26 0.77 2.04 54.85 36.22 0.77 4.34
Average Two-Year
2,120 AAA 53.30 6.56 4.95 1.27 0.28 0.14 0.09 0.19 5.47 27.74
1,501 AA 5.33 50.77 9.73 6.46 2.47 1.00 0.53 0.40 0.47 22.85
1,518 A 1.58 4.81 42.03 11.26 5.07 4.22 1.84 1.84 0.92 26.42
1,594 BBB 0.31 0.69 3.32 44.10 8.97 6.21 7.28 5.96 0.75 22.40
750 BB 0.67 0.13 1.07 5.47 34.80 10.53 7.33 14.00 1.60 24.40
422 B 0.47 0.24 0.71 0.47 4.03 30.81 18.25 23.46 0.95 20.62
387 CCC - - - 0.26 1.03 2.84 28.17 57.62 1.03 9.04
Average Three-Year
2,102 AAA 36.68 7.14 6.14 2.09 0.62 0.33 0.24 0.38 8.28 38.11
1,472 AA 4.76 35.53 9.58 7.61 4.48 1.83 1.15 1.02 0.82 33.22
1,494 A 2.01 3.95 25.77 11.18 5.22 5.69 3.01 4.02 1.27 37.88
1,567 BBB 0.13 0.83 3.38 27.95 8.68 6.25 8.55 10.66 1.08 32.48
735 BB 0.41 0.14 0.95 5.85 17.01 9.25 6.94 22.18 2.45 34.83
411 B 0.24 - 0.97 0.73 3.41 15.82 12.41 34.55 1.46 30.41
384 CCC - - - - 0.78 1.56 14.58 67.97 1.30 13.80
Average Four-Year
2,082 AAA 25.22 5.86 5.96 2.59 0.96 0.72 0.48 0.77 10.18 47.26
1,440 AA 3.89 26.39 7.15 6.81 4.86 2.43 1.74 2.29 1.18 43.26
1,469 A 1.91 3.00 16.75 9.12 4.63 5.11 3.34 6.67 1.63 47.86
1,536 BBB 0.20 0.72 2.99 19.73 7.16 5.47 7.16 14.84 1.50 40.23
722 BB 0.42 - 0.55 5.12 8.17 6.37 5.26 27.70 3.05 43.35
406 B 0.25 - 0.74 0.49 2.22 8.62 6.65 40.89 1.72 38.42
383 CCC - - - - 0.26 0.78 7.31 73.37 1.31 16.97
Average Five-Year
2,065 AAA 17.19 4.16 4.65 2.71 1.36 1.11 0.48 1.60 11.09 55.64
1,411 AA 2.62 20.13 4.96 5.32 4.39 2.69 1.98 4.04 1.49 52.37
1,448 A 1.66 2.07 11.46 6.42 4.07 3.66 2.97 9.19 2.00 56.49
1,509 BBB 0.20 0.53 2.72 14.31 5.24 4.17 5.10 18.62 1.92 47.18
713 BB 0.14 - 0.14 4.49 3.65 4.07 4.21 31.14 3.79 48.39
398 B - - 0.25 0.25 1.76 5.28 2.01 44.97 1.76 43.72
382 CCC - - - - - 0.26 4.19 75.13 1.31 19.11
Average Annual
15,578 AAA 80.84 1.98 0.58 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.33 16.07
6,829 AA 7.97 76.57 3.08 0.82 0.19 0.03 - 0.09 0.19 11.07
7,587 A 1.00 7.24 79.21 3.10 0.74 0.13 - 0.08 0.12 8.38
6,124 BBB 0.18 0.44 8.51 75.54 4.08 1.83 0.57 0.20 0.23 8.43
2,755 BB - - 1.92 8.89 70.74 7.62 2.43 1.49 0.11 6.79
1,378 B 0.29 - 0.58 1.60 11.97 69.01 8.71 3.27 0.07 4.50
990 CCC - - - 0.51 1.31 7.98 76.46 11.41 0.10 2.22
Average Two-Year
15,091 AAA 63.09 3.47 1.24 0.27 0.11 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.67 31.04
6,640 AA 12.61 58.63 4.79 1.17 0.56 0.35 0.02 0.11 0.35 21.43
7,246 A 3.15 10.54 61.72 4.66 1.66 0.70 0.11 0.10 0.22 17.14
6,023 BBB 0.42 1.81 12.65 56.50 5.56 3.27 1.51 0.66 0.43 17.18
2,661 BB 0.11 0.30 4.74 12.66 50.54 9.85 4.17 3.83 0.23 13.57
1,314 B 0.61 0.08 1.52 4.64 16.74 49.24 10.73 6.54 0.15 9.74
949 CCC - - 0.32 1.26 3.58 13.49 59.64 17.49 0.21 4.00
Average Three-Year
14,612 AAA 48.06 4.30 1.86 0.34 0.25 0.19 0.03 0.03 0.95 43.98
6,437 AA 14.73 44.12 5.62 1.72 0.54 0.79 0.14 0.12 0.42 31.78
6,897 A 4.89 12.19 47.60 5.35 2.51 1.17 0.26 0.14 0.25 25.63
5,875 BBB 0.94 2.94 14.21 41.33 6.52 3.66 2.30 1.12 0.49 26.49
2,580 BB 0.16 0.81 6.94 15.00 36.12 10.23 5.04 5.85 0.39 19.46
1,235 B 0.81 0.32 3.32 6.80 17.73 35.87 11.26 8.66 0.24 14.98
905 CCC - - 0.77 2.54 6.63 16.80 45.64 21.66 0.33 5.64
Average Four-Year
14,110 AAA 35.95 4.81 2.39 0.51 0.33 0.41 0.04 0.07 1.17 54.33
6,228 AA 15.09 32.80 5.88 2.01 0.75 1.01 0.24 0.18 0.47 41.57
6,540 A 6.25 12.20 37.22 5.60 3.04 1.48 0.47 0.29 0.28 33.17
5,729 BBB 1.59 3.63 13.63 30.18 6.84 3.96 2.55 1.85 0.59 35.17
2,493 BB 0.44 1.44 9.31 15.08 25.51 10.07 5.46 7.02 0.48 25.19
1,153 B 0.69 0.87 5.03 8.59 17.61 25.59 11.19 10.41 0.26 19.77
864 CCC - - 1.74 4.05 9.95 18.29 34.72 23.73 0.35 7.18
Average Five-Year
13,642 AAA 26.62 4.99 2.69 0.59 0.42 0.62 0.08 0.09 1.30 62.59
5,976 AA 14.24 24.03 6.26 2.16 0.82 1.19 0.27 0.28 0.50 50.25
6,173 A 6.50 11.91 29.21 5.51 3.19 1.70 0.84 0.47 0.32 40.35
5,581 BBB 1.72 3.67 12.27 22.18 6.83 3.98 2.76 2.40 0.70 43.49
2,375 BB 0.84 1.60 10.57 14.19 17.68 9.52 5.52 8.25 0.59 31.24
1,085 B 0.55 1.20 6.27 10.41 17.42 18.25 9.68 11.61 0.18 24.42
801 CCC - 0.25 2.75 4.87 12.23 17.48 27.09 26.22 0.37 8.74
Average Annual
6,296 AAA 74.35 2.68 1.56 1.08 0.89 0.67 0.35 0.21 0.51 17.71
4,170 AA 5.54 71.39 2.11 1.20 0.89 1.06 0.72 0.58 0.53 16.00
3,742 A 0.96 3.53 71.91 3.37 1.36 1.02 0.91 1.20 0.37 15.37
3,513 BBB 0.20 0.51 3.81 71.02 4.18 1.76 1.59 1.65 0.88 14.38
2,738 BB - 0.18 0.55 3.07 74.00 5.19 1.75 1.94 0.26 13.08
2,100 B - - 0.19 0.33 2.86 74.24 4.38 3.10 0.52 14.38
635 CCC - - - - 0.79 4.72 53.07 28.98 0.47 11.97
Average Two-Year
5,915 AAA 50.70 4.23 2.94 1.88 1.34 1.01 1.22 1.10 1.00 34.59
3,732 AA 9.00 43.94 3.30 2.06 1.61 1.93 1.37 2.28 0.99 33.52
3,437 A 2.15 4.98 46.55 5.03 2.44 1.77 1.37 3.40 0.84 31.45
3,273 BBB 0.27 1.19 5.22 45.89 6.23 2.96 2.60 3.91 1.77 29.94
2,488 BB 0.12 0.32 1.33 4.02 51.45 7.44 2.37 4.54 0.52 27.89
1,871 B - 0.05 0.37 0.86 4.22 53.39 4.70 5.51 1.07 29.82
633 CCC - - 0.32 0.16 1.90 6.64 28.44 41.23 0.63 20.70
Average Three-Year
5,510 AAA 34.75 4.66 3.39 2.27 1.65 1.22 1.51 2.40 1.54 46.61
3,280 AA 9.88 27.13 3.87 2.47 1.68 2.32 1.55 4.48 1.52 45.09
3,136 A 2.68 4.94 30.39 5.52 2.84 2.10 1.82 5.61 1.31 42.79
3,012 BBB 0.37 1.53 5.18 29.71 7.54 3.49 2.99 6.31 2.46 40.44
2,238 BB 0.18 0.36 1.65 4.29 35.25 8.89 2.14 6.70 0.89 39.63
1,643 B - 0.12 0.67 1.22 4.99 38.04 4.75 7.91 1.70 40.60
630 CCC - - 0.63 0.48 2.38 6.19 15.87 45.87 0.79 27.78
Average Four-Year
5,125 AAA 22.95 4.53 3.10 2.42 1.80 1.31 1.37 3.79 1.93 56.82
2,884 AA 7.94 15.92 4.44 2.50 1.63 2.32 1.49 6.87 2.15 54.75
2,866 A 2.30 4.08 18.95 5.62 2.90 2.34 2.02 7.54 1.71 52.55
2,778 BBB 0.40 1.37 4.18 17.57 7.96 4.07 2.99 8.46 3.17 49.86
2,015 BB 0.25 0.30 1.89 3.72 21.69 8.78 2.28 8.49 1.29 51.32
1,440 B - 0.14 0.76 1.39 5.28 24.03 3.61 10.28 2.50 52.01
627 CCC - - 0.96 1.12 2.23 5.42 8.13 48.48 0.96 32.70
Average Five-Year
4,840 AAA 13.47 4.03 2.64 1.98 1.49 1.28 1.16 4.98 2.27 66.69
2,588 AA 4.29 7.38 4.33 2.86 1.43 1.93 1.55 8.58 2.82 64.84
2,653 A 1.43 2.71 10.44 5.09 2.90 2.37 1.58 9.05 2.11 62.31
2,592 BBB 0.35 1.00 2.55 8.80 7.64 4.24 2.89 10.42 3.74 58.37
1,846 BB 0.11 0.27 1.79 3.03 11.11 7.31 2.11 9.97 1.73 62.57
1,285 B 0.08 0.16 1.01 1.32 4.59 12.68 2.18 12.61 3.04 62.33
625 CCC - - 0.96 1.44 2.40 3.84 4.48 49.44 0.96 36.48
Fitch Asia Pacific Structured Finance a Transition Matrices: 1998-2022
One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022
Average Annual
Average Two-Year
Average Three-Year
5,891 AAA 50.11 0.75 0.36 0.10 0.02 0.02 - - 1.27 47.38
1,185 AA 6.41 30.72 2.19 1.01 0.76 0.34 0.25 - 3.71 54.60
1,165 A 3.18 4.55 31.85 3.09 0.86 1.29 0.86 0.69 3.26 50.39
1,288 BBB 0.78 1.40 3.73 25.16 2.48 1.24 1.71 3.11 4.50 55.90
716 BB 0.42 0.14 0.56 3.77 30.59 1.68 2.37 5.45 5.73 49.30
257 B - - 0.78 1.17 4.28 22.57 4.28 14.01 4.28 48.64
82 CCC - - - 2.44 - 2.44 - 71.95 - 23.17
Average Four-Year
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC CC and Below WD PIF
1,726 AAA 89.05 1.27 3.01 0.58 0.12 0.41 0.06 0.12 0.06 - - - - - - - - - 4.69 0.64
96 AA+ 6.25 59.38 10.42 1.04 - 1.04 3.13 2.08 2.08 - - - - - - - - - 14.58 -
123 AA 4.07 2.44 38.21 6.50 - - 1.63 0.81 31.71 1.63 - - - - - - - - 10.57 2.44
45 AA- 4.44 4.44 28.89 42.22 6.67 - 2.22 - - 2.22 - - - - - - - - 8.89 -
45 A+ - 4.44 6.67 11.11 51.11 8.89 - - - - - - - - - - - - 15.56 2.22
102 A - - 0.98 - 15.69 57.84 2.94 0.98 4.90 - - - - - - - - - 13.73 2.94
52 A- - - - - 11.54 21.15 48.08 3.85 - 1.92 - - 1.92 - - - - - 9.62 1.92
106 BBB+ - - - - 0.94 8.49 8.49 65.09 2.83 0.94 0.94 - - - - - - - 9.43 2.83
115 BBB - - - - 0.87 6.09 4.35 17.39 51.30 2.61 4.35 0.87 0.87 - - - - - 1.74 9.57
28 BBB- - - - - - - - 21.43 7.14 50.00 - - - - - - 14.29 - 3.57 3.57
16 BB+ - - - - - 6.25 - - - 31.25 43.75 6.25 - - - - - - 6.25 6.25
3 BB - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 33.33 - - - 33.33 33.33
4 BB- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.00 - - 50.00 -
7 B+ - - - - - - - - - - 14.29 - 14.29 14.29 - 14.29 28.57 - 14.29 -
7 B - - - - - - - - - 14.29 - - - 42.86 - - 14.29 - 28.57 -
6 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - 16.67 33.33 33.33 - - 16.67 -
8 CCC - - - - - - - - - - - - - 25.00 37.50 12.50 12.50 - 12.50 -
Investment Grade - 0.14 0.29 0.45 0.63 0.84 0.97 1.12 1.30 1.49
Speculative Grade 2.41 4.26 6.12 7.36 8.24 9.23 9.90 10.63 11.24 11.54
All Sovereigns 0.96 1.76 2.56 3.11 3.53 4.00 4.31 4.65 4.97 5.19
Investment Grade - 0.14 0.29 0.45 0.63 0.84 0.97 1.12 1.30 1.49
Speculative Grade 2.41 4.26 6.12 7.36 8.24 9.23 9.90 10.63 11.24 11.54
All Sovereigns 0.96 1.76 2.56 3.11 3.53 4.00 4.31 4.65 4.97 5.19
Fitch Sovereign One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
10 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - -
17 AA - 100.00 - - - - - - -
15 A - 6.67 93.33 - - - - - -
19 BBB - - 5.26 89.47 - - - - 5.26
22 BB - - - - 95.45 4.55 - - -
28 B - - - - 3.57 75.00 14.29 7.14 -
7 CCC to C - - - - - 14.29 57.14 14.29 14.29
Average Two-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
339 AAA 95.28 4.42 - 0.29 - - - - -
332 AA 4.82 88.25 3.92 1.81 0.90 - - - 0.30
333 A - 5.71 87.39 6.31 0.30 - - - 0.30
445 BBB - - 8.31 80.67 9.21 0.45 0.22 0.45 0.67
438 BB - - - 13.24 73.29 12.56 0.46 0.46 -
453 B - - - 0.22 11.04 75.06 6.18 4.86 2.65
48 CCC to C - - - - 2.08 29.17 25.00 33.33 10.42
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
329 AAA 92.71 6.38 - 0.91 - - - - -
315 AA 7.62 82.22 5.08 3.17 0.95 0.32 - - 0.63
318 A - 8.81 81.76 7.86 0.94 - 0.31 - 0.31
425 BBB - - 12.47 73.18 12.24 0.47 - 0.94 0.71
418 BB - - 0.24 18.18 62.92 17.46 0.24 0.72 0.24
426 B - - - 1.17 13.85 65.96 6.57 8.45 3.99
39 CCC to C - - - - 7.69 20.51 17.95 38.46 15.38
Average Four-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
318 AAA 90.25 8.18 - 1.57 - - - - -
300 AA 10.67 75.67 6.00 4.33 1.67 0.67 - - 1.00
302 A - 12.25 76.82 8.61 1.32 - 0.33 0.33 0.33
403 BBB - - 15.63 67.25 14.64 0.50 - 1.24 0.74
398 BB - - 1.26 22.61 54.02 20.60 - 1.01 0.50
397 B - - - 2.27 16.12 59.45 5.29 11.34 5.54
34 CCC to C - - - - 11.76 17.65 11.76 35.29 23.53
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
307 AAA 87.95 9.77 - 2.28 - - - - -
285 AA 13.33 69.47 7.72 4.56 2.46 1.05 - - 1.40
286 A - 15.38 71.68 10.49 1.05 - 0.35 0.70 0.35
382 BBB - - 18.06 61.78 17.28 0.52 - 1.57 0.79
377 BB - - 2.12 26.26 48.01 21.49 0.27 1.33 0.53
367 B - - 0.27 3.27 16.62 54.50 4.90 12.53 7.90
33 CCC to C - - - 3.03 9.09 15.15 6.06 39.39 27.27
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
247 AAA 76.11 17.41 2.83 3.64 - - - - -
225 AA 25.78 40.44 13.33 12.89 4.00 - - - 3.56
211 A - 22.75 59.72 6.64 5.21 1.90 0.47 3.32 -
255 BBB - 0.78 20.39 51.76 20.00 3.14 - 2.75 1.18
283 BB - - 3.89 39.58 27.56 21.55 2.47 4.24 0.71
241 B - - 0.41 9.54 15.77 36.93 2.49 17.84 17.01
22 CCC to C - - - 9.09 4.55 4.55 - 36.36 45.45
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WD
329 AAA 92.71 5.17 0.61 0.61 - - - 0.61 0.30 - - - - - - - - - -
86 AA+ 24.42 48.84 17.44 6.98 1.16 - - - 1.16 - - - - - - - - - -
136 AA 1.47 16.18 61.03 11.03 4.41 2.21 0.74 0.74 - - 1.47 - - - - - - - 0.74
93 AA- 1.08 1.08 29.03 51.61 3.23 1.08 1.08 4.30 2.15 2.15 - - 1.08 - - 1.08 - - 1.08
111 A+ - - 0.90 19.82 62.16 13.51 - 0.90 - - 1.80 - - - - - - - 0.90
99 A - - - 5.05 28.28 50.51 4.04 5.05 5.05 1.01 - - - - - - 1.01 - -
108 A- - - - - 4.63 25.00 57.41 11.11 - 0.93 0.93 - - - - - - - -
99 BBB+ - - - - 1.01 7.07 22.22 36.36 23.23 6.06 1.01 - - - - - - 1.01 2.02
146 BBB - - - - - 3.42 9.59 19.86 39.73 15.75 8.22 1.37 0.68 - - 0.68 - - 0.68
180 BBB- - - - - - 0.56 1.67 6.11 20.56 48.89 12.78 5.00 2.22 - 0.56 - - 1.67 -
146 BB+ - - - - - - 0.68 2.74 10.96 23.29 36.99 14.38 6.16 2.05 0.68 1.37 0.68 - -
99 BB - - - - - - - - 3.03 15.15 28.28 32.32 15.15 1.01 2.02 - - 3.03 -
173 BB- - - - - - - - - 0.58 1.73 6.36 11.56 42.20 24.28 7.51 5.20 - - 0.58
162 B+ - - - - - - - - - 1.85 0.62 2.47 20.99 37.04 19.14 7.41 4.32 3.70 2.47
168 B - - - - - - - - - 0.60 0.60 0.60 7.74 16.07 46.43 10.12 7.14 8.33 2.38
96 B- - - - - - - - 1.04 - - - 2.08 3.13 6.25 26.04 26.04 9.38 16.67 9.38
39 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - 7.69 2.56 2.56 15.38 17.95 38.46 15.38
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WD
307 AAA 87.95 6.51 2.61 0.65 - - - 1.63 0.65 - - - - - - - - - -
81 AA+ 35.80 25.93 22.22 11.11 1.23 - - 1.23 - - - - - - - - - - 2.47
123 AA 5.69 19.51 44.72 12.20 3.25 5.69 0.81 4.07 - - 3.25 - - - - - - - 0.81
81 AA- 2.47 6.17 40.74 22.22 6.17 1.23 3.70 6.17 - 2.47 2.47 - 1.23 1.23 - 2.47 - - 1.23
100 A+ - - 1.00 33.00 44.00 15.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 - - - - - - - 1.00
89 A - - 2.25 8.99 39.33 31.46 1.12 4.49 6.74 2.25 - - - - - - 1.12 2.25 -
97 A- - - - - 10.31 25.77 46.39 8.25 6.19 1.03 2.06 - - - - - - - -
92 BBB+ - - - - 5.43 10.87 20.65 21.74 21.74 13.04 3.26 - - - - - - 1.09 2.17
127 BBB - - - - 1.57 5.51 14.17 18.11 25.98 15.75 9.45 3.15 6.30 - - - - - -
163 BBB- - - - - - 2.45 2.45 9.20 20.25 36.81 11.66 8.59 3.68 0.61 0.61 - - 3.07 0.61
134 BB+ - - - - - 2.24 3.73 2.99 18.66 18.66 24.63 14.93 4.48 4.48 4.48 0.75 - - -
88 BB - - - - - - - 2.27 6.82 26.14 28.41 17.05 7.95 2.27 2.27 2.27 - 4.55 -
155 BB- - - - - - - - 0.65 1.29 7.10 7.74 9.03 31.61 19.35 14.19 6.45 0.65 0.65 1.29
142 B+ - - - - - - - 0.70 1.41 2.11 3.52 4.93 12.68 29.58 20.42 8.45 4.93 7.75 3.52
144 B - - - - - - - - 1.39 0.69 0.69 0.69 13.89 18.75 29.17 9.03 5.56 14.58 5.56
81 B- - - - - - 1.23 - - - 3.70 - 1.23 9.88 9.88 23.46 9.88 3.70 17.28 19.75
33 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - 3.03 3.03 6.06 - - 9.09 6.06 6.06 39.39 27.27
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WD
247 AAA 76.11 8.91 6.88 1.62 0.81 0.40 1.62 3.24 0.40 - - - - - - - - - -
67 AA+ 49.25 4.48 19.40 14.93 - - 1.49 - 1.49 - - - - - - - - - 8.96
95 AA 18.95 10.53 25.26 3.16 5.26 10.53 4.21 7.37 4.21 2.11 6.32 - - - - - - - 2.11
63 AA- 11.11 15.87 17.46 11.11 6.35 7.94 1.59 7.94 7.94 7.94 3.17 1.59 - - - - - - -
65 A+ - 1.54 9.23 33.85 30.77 7.69 3.08 1.54 3.08 - - - 3.08 1.54 - 3.08 - 1.54 -
71 A - - 9.86 11.27 35.21 18.31 5.63 - - 1.41 4.23 - 2.82 1.41 - - 1.41 8.45 -
75 A- - - 4.00 1.33 26.67 22.67 26.67 4.00 4.00 5.33 5.33 - - - - - - - -
55 BBB+ - - - 3.64 16.36 3.64 25.45 14.55 3.64 12.73 7.27 1.82 5.45 - - - - 1.82 3.64
94 BBB - - - - 2.13 6.38 8.51 13.83 21.28 22.34 5.32 6.38 6.38 5.32 1.06 - - - 1.06
106 BBB- - - - - 0.94 7.55 1.89 10.38 25.47 21.70 13.21 6.60 4.72 - 0.94 0.94 - 5.66 -
110 BB+ - - - - 4.55 2.73 1.82 9.09 20.00 12.73 11.82 12.73 8.18 4.55 6.36 2.73 0.91 1.82 -
69 BB - - - - - - 1.45 13.04 21.74 23.19 14.49 8.70 - 2.90 1.45 5.80 1.45 5.80 -
104 BB- - - - - - - - 0.96 9.62 14.42 6.73 6.73 11.54 21.15 10.58 5.77 4.81 5.77 1.92
91 B+ - - - - - - - - 2.20 12.09 2.20 6.59 8.79 8.79 25.27 6.59 5.49 12.09 9.89
90 B - - - - - - - - 2.22 6.67 3.33 - 11.11 20.00 15.56 3.33 - 22.22 15.56
60 B- - - - - 1.67 - - - - 3.33 3.33 5.00 6.67 10.00 13.33 5.00 1.67 20.00 30.00
22 CCC to C - - - - - - - 4.55 4.55 - - 4.55 - - - 4.55 - 36.36 45.45
Fitch Sovereign One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WD
10 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
3 AA+ - 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
6 AA - 16.67 66.67 16.67 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
8 AA- - - - 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
4 A+ - - - 25.00 75.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
7 A - - - - - 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
4 A- - - - - - - 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - - -
3 BBB+ - - - - - - 33.33 66.67 - - - - - - - - - - -
10 BBB - - - - - - - 20.00 70.00 - - - - - - - - - 10.00
6 BBB- - - - - - - - - - 100.00 - - - - - - - - -
7 BB+ - - - - - - - - - - 85.71 14.29 - - - - - - -
5 BB - - - - - - - - - - - 80.00 20.00 - - - - - -
10 BB- - - - - - - - - - - - 10.00 80.00 - 10.00 - - - -
10 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - 10.00 80.00 10.00 - - - -
9 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 55.56 11.11 11.11 22.22 -
9 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 66.67 33.33 - -
7 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 14.29 57.14 14.29 14.29
Fitch Sovereign Local Currency Rating Average Cumulative Default Rates: 1995-2022
(%) Year One Year Two Year Three Year Four Year Five
AAA - - - - -
AA - - 0.36 0.76 1.20
A - - - 0.32 0.67
BBB - 0.52 0.82 0.87 0.92
BB 0.51 0.81 1.42 2.11 2.57
B 0.72 1.78 2.71 3.23 3.21
CCC to C 5.08 6.00 7.50 8.57 12.50
Investment Grade 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18
Speculative Grade 1.54 3.02 4.44 5.36 5.88 6.21 6.11 5.94 5.75 6.15
All U.S. Public Finance 0.04 0.08 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28
Investment Grade 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18
Speculative Grade 1.54 3.02 4.44 5.36 5.88 6.21 6.11 5.94 5.75 6.15
All U.S. Public Finance 0.04 0.08 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28
Fitch U.S. Public Finance One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
468 AAA 97.22 0.21 - - - - - - 2.56
1,713 AA 0.76 95.10 0.35 - - - - - 3.79
632 A - 1.58 92.56 0.47 0.16 - - - 5.22
229 BBB - - 7.86 83.84 3.49 - - - 4.80
80 BB - - 1.25 5.00 81.25 3.75 - - 8.75
8 B - - - - - 62.50 12.50 - 25.00
12 CCC to C - - - - - - 50.00 16.67 33.33
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Two-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
7,521 AAA 90.97 2.29 0.09 0.04 - - - - 6.61
29,495 AA 2.38 89.14 2.22 0.11 0.01 0.01 0.003 - 6.13
21,393 A 0.19 9.93 79.78 2.44 0.25 0.06 0.03 0.03 7.28
6,338 BBB - 0.32 11.19 72.58 5.06 0.80 0.21 0.03 9.81
1,138 BB - - 0.62 10.72 63.18 6.33 2.46 1.32 15.38
250 B - 0.40 - 5.20 11.20 44.80 5.60 3.20 29.60
136 CCC to C - - - - - 2.21 55.88 16.91 25.00
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
7,062 AAA 86.53 3.31 0.10 0.07 - - - - 9.98
27,771 AA 3.49 84.17 3.01 0.19 0.01 0.01 0.01 - 9.12
20,739 A 0.26 13.94 70.83 3.30 0.37 0.09 0.05 0.05 11.12
6,107 BBB - 0.56 15.13 60.93 6.37 1.23 0.33 0.08 15.38
1,057 BB - - 0.85 13.62 49.95 6.81 2.65 2.84 23.27
235 B - 0.43 - 8.09 14.04 32.34 5.11 2.98 37.02
128 CCC to C - - - - - 0.78 45.31 20.31 33.59
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Four-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
6,583 AAA 82.29 4.04 0.11 0.09 - - - - 13.47
26,063 AA 4.60 79.38 3.69 0.23 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.004 12.07
20,055 A 0.32 17.44 62.50 3.93 0.42 0.11 0.07 0.06 15.13
5,881 BBB - 0.73 18.14 50.89 6.99 1.46 0.48 0.20 21.10
984 BB - - 1.52 14.43 39.23 7.52 2.13 3.86 31.30
222 B - 0.45 0.45 10.36 13.96 20.27 5.41 2.70 46.40
119 CCC to C - - - - - 0.84 36.97 22.69 39.50
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
6,110 AAA 78.13 4.53 0.15 0.08 - - - - 17.10
24,338 AA 5.73 74.79 4.20 0.28 0.004 0.01 0.01 0.01 14.97
19,298 A 0.37 20.44 55.02 4.17 0.47 0.14 0.08 0.07 19.25
5,667 BBB - 1.04 20.12 42.33 7.15 1.68 0.51 0.41 26.77
905 BB - - 2.21 14.81 31.05 6.30 2.65 4.42 38.56
212 B - - 1.42 11.32 11.79 12.26 5.19 2.83 55.19
108 CCC to C - - - - - 0.93 28.70 24.07 46.30
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
3,926 AAA 63.30 6.27 0.28 - - - - - 30.16
15,854 AA 10.56 54.81 4.81 0.47 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.02 29.27
15,095 A 0.67 26.60 27.13 3.23 0.52 0.11 0.08 0.14 41.53
4,344 BBB 0.05 3.38 18.95 16.30 4.95 0.92 0.76 1.04 53.66
494 BB - 0.20 5.06 12.35 8.91 2.02 0.40 5.67 65.38
142 B - - 6.34 4.93 0.70 3.52 3.52 2.82 78.17
80 CCC to C - - - - - - 8.75 15.00 76.25
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WDa
7,062 AAA 86.53 2.49 0.52 0.30 0.08 - 0.01 0.07 - - - - - - - - - - 9.98
6,613 AA+ 11.24 76.58 4.16 0.77 0.14 0.06 0.06 0.03 - 0.03 - - - - - - - - 6.94
10,618 AA 1.75 15.35 68.22 4.49 0.93 0.14 0.12 0.08 0.01 - - - - - - - - - 8.90
10,540 AA- 0.38 1.76 18.59 61.57 4.84 1.29 0.45 0.22 0.09 0.06 0.01 - 0.01 - 0.03 - 0.02 - 10.70
9,143 A+ 0.57 0.25 2.96 20.40 57.33 3.53 3.02 0.51 0.25 0.07 0.07 - 0.01 - - - 0.02 0.08 10.93
6,688 A 0.01 0.16 1.00 8.52 19.27 54.19 5.13 1.27 0.96 0.30 0.15 0.16 0.07 0.01 0.10 - 0.03 0.03 8.61
4,908 A- - - 0.12 1.57 8.62 14.75 49.82 5.66 2.42 0.86 0.31 0.45 0.12 0.04 0.16 - 0.14 0.04 14.91
2,471 BBB+ - 0.04 0.20 0.57 1.82 6.84 17.81 45.53 8.09 2.95 0.81 0.61 0.32 0.04 0.53 0.04 0.24 0.04 13.52
2,124 BBB - 0.09 0.09 0.33 0.66 2.73 6.97 13.42 42.80 8.00 3.67 1.84 0.85 0.42 0.47 0.09 0.28 0.05 17.23
1,512 BBB- - - - 0.20 0.46 0.73 2.12 5.89 11.51 46.03 8.60 3.77 1.59 0.60 1.52 0.46 0.53 0.20 15.81
523 BB+ - - - - - - 0.96 2.10 3.63 12.24 41.87 8.60 3.82 1.34 1.15 0.76 0.76 0.76 21.99
377 BB - - - - - 0.27 0.53 0.53 3.45 7.43 7.96 34.48 6.63 3.45 3.45 3.18 2.12 2.39 24.14
157 BB- - - - - - 0.64 - - 1.91 2.55 5.73 7.01 24.84 3.18 5.73 1.91 10.19 10.83 25.48
77 B+ - - - - - - - - - 1.30 1.30 11.69 11.69 27.27 1.30 5.19 7.79 1.30 31.17
124 B - - - 0.81 - - - 1.61 1.61 11.29 2.42 5.65 1.61 7.26 21.77 4.84 1.61 2.42 37.10
34 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - 5.88 2.94 8.82 11.76 11.76 8.82 50.00
128 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.78 - 45.31 20.31 33.59
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WDa
6,110 AAA 78.13 3.58 0.57 0.38 0.13 - 0.02 0.08 - - - - - - - - - - 17.10
5,512 AA+ 17.71 63.68 5.53 1.20 0.25 0.20 0.07 0.11 - 0.02 - - - - - - - - 11.23
9,370 AA 3.80 22.36 51.60 5.50 1.56 0.29 0.31 0.07 0.01 0.02 0.01 - - - - - - - 14.47
9,456 AA- 0.67 4.24 24.55 43.93 5.83 1.87 0.66 0.32 0.10 0.13 - - - - 0.03 - 0.02 0.02 17.65
8,489 A+ 0.77 0.49 6.46 25.76 39.04 3.65 3.18 0.95 0.22 0.19 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.02 - - 0.04 0.05 19.08
6,228 A 0.10 0.22 1.99 13.41 22.38 34.49 8.03 1.70 1.48 0.37 0.16 0.18 0.08 0.02 0.11 - 0.05 0.08 15.16
4,581 A- - 0.04 0.44 3.75 11.74 17.11 29.69 6.24 2.88 1.09 0.50 0.50 0.22 - 0.33 0.04 0.22 0.09 25.10
2,302 BBB+ - 0.13 0.35 1.13 4.00 8.73 19.29 27.02 7.08 4.17 1.43 0.56 0.17 0.04 0.56 0.13 0.43 0.35 24.41
1,980 BBB - 0.10 0.20 0.45 1.57 4.95 9.55 12.58 24.14 7.42 4.65 2.22 0.96 0.61 0.51 0.20 0.56 0.25 29.09
1,385 BBB- - - - 0.51 0.58 1.30 4.26 5.99 13.07 27.44 8.74 3.25 2.45 1.01 2.24 0.51 0.58 0.72 27.36
445 BB+ - - - - - 0.22 2.47 3.15 4.49 12.81 23.82 10.11 3.37 1.80 0.90 0.67 0.90 1.80 33.48
322 BB - - - - 0.62 - 1.24 0.62 3.42 7.45 6.21 16.46 4.35 3.73 3.11 4.35 2.80 4.35 41.30
138 BB- - - - - 0.72 0.72 - 2.90 0.72 0.72 4.35 5.07 10.87 1.45 2.90 - 7.97 13.04 48.55
68 B+ - - - - - - - 1.47 - 1.47 5.88 2.94 13.24 14.71 - 4.41 5.88 2.94 47.06
116 B - - - - - 1.72 0.86 4.31 2.59 12.07 1.72 4.31 0.86 2.59 3.45 2.59 2.59 2.59 57.76
28 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - 7.14 3.57 7.14 - 14.29 3.57 64.29
108 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.93 - 28.70 24.07 46.30
a
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WDa
3,926 AAA 63.30 4.79 0.69 0.79 0.28 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 30.16
3,105 AA+ 28.21 41.00 5.64 1.96 0.55 0.29 - 0.13 - - - - - - - - - - 22.22
6,326 AA 10.83 28.80 22.94 5.77 2.07 0.54 0.68 0.21 0.08 0.08 - 0.02 - 0.03 - - - - 27.96
6,423 AA- 1.76 11.12 25.66 18.37 5.29 2.30 0.62 0.40 0.20 0.12 0.08 0.02 - 0.02 - - 0.02 0.05 33.97
6,547 A+ 1.31 2.14 13.79 22.45 12.88 2.86 2.08 0.84 0.31 0.29 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.02 - 0.02 0.05 0.09 40.77
4,920 A 0.24 1.40 4.82 16.89 16.30 11.28 6.93 1.08 1.16 0.77 0.24 0.12 0.12 0.02 0.16 - 0.14 0.20 38.11
3,628 A- 0.08 0.41 2.01 7.64 12.73 11.49 9.70 3.75 1.65 1.38 0.69 0.50 0.08 - 0.14 - 0.06 0.14 47.55
1,740 BBB+ - 0.34 0.92 4.14 6.21 9.54 12.24 9.94 4.08 1.61 2.01 0.23 0.11 0.11 0.17 - 0.17 0.80 47.36
1,556 BBB 0.13 0.32 0.64 2.12 3.79 6.04 6.36 6.17 5.33 3.60 2.96 1.03 1.09 0.39 0.45 0.19 0.96 0.84 57.58
1,048 BBB- - - - 0.48 2.10 1.05 4.87 6.01 5.92 7.25 4.77 2.10 2.19 0.38 0.86 0.57 1.43 1.72 58.30
236 BB+ - - - 0.42 0.42 1.69 2.97 1.27 2.97 11.86 3.39 4.66 2.12 0.42 0.42 1.69 - 4.66 61.02
186 BB - - - - 2.15 2.69 1.08 1.08 4.30 6.99 2.69 4.30 3.23 0.54 - 0.54 0.54 5.91 63.98
72 BB- - - - - - 2.78 - - - - 1.39 - - - 2.78 - 1.39 8.33 83.33
44 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.27 6.82 - - 9.09 2.27 79.55
74 B - - - - 1.35 - 10.81 5.41 2.70 1.35 - - - - - - - 2.70 75.68
24 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 8.33 - 4.17 4.17 83.33
80 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 8.75 15.00 76.25
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Investment Grade - 0.02 0.06 0.21 0.49 0.85 1.24 1.69 2.02 2.43
Speculative Grade 2.30 4.82 7.61 9.55 10.93 12.10 13.62 14.89 15.70 15.11
All Global Infrastructure and
0.33 0.68 1.06 1.43 1.86 2.32 2.83 3.35 3.69 3.89
Project Finance
Fitch Global Infrastructure and Project Finance Average Cumulative Default Rates: 2005–2022
(%) Year One Year Two Year Three Year Four Year Five Year Six Year Seven Year Eight Year Nine Year Ten
AAA - - - - - - - - - -
AA+ - - - - - - - - - -
AA - - - - 0.47 1.04 1.67 2.33 2.44 2.56
AA- - - - - - - 0.34 0.36 0.39 0.42
A+ - - - 0.14 0.30 0.48 0.52 0.57 0.63 0.71
A - - - - - - - 0.42 0.61 0.83
A- - - - - - - 0.20 0.22 0.25 0.28
BBB+ - - - - 0.43 1.19 2.13 3.03 4.17 5.20
BBB - - - 0.32 1.04 1.91 2.72 3.65 4.24 5.22
BBB- - 0.13 0.42 1.08 1.91 2.93 3.93 4.95 6.03 7.33
BB+ - 0.98 1.68 3.11 3.45 3.85 4.39 4.04 3.61 4.35
BB - 0.47 1.53 2.23 2.41 2.58 3.42 3.73 4.00 4.39
BB- 0.65 0.76 2.61 5.61 9.09 12.50 15.58 17.65 20.34 24.00
B+ - - 1.23 1.35 2.86 3.03 5.08 5.88 7.14 8.82
B 1.32 4.17 11.11 12.07 11.54 13.04 15.00 17.14 20.69 18.18
B- 2.33 2.50 6.76 10.14 10.61 9.68 11.11 13.04 15.38 18.18
CCC to C 18.10 34.00 41.49 47.06 51.90 56.16 57.35 59.38 58.93 52.38
Investment Grade - 0.02 0.06 0.21 0.49 0.85 1.24 1.69 2.02 2.43
Speculative Grade 2.30 4.82 7.61 9.55 10.93 12.10 13.62 14.89 15.70 15.11
All Global Infrastructure and
0.33 0.68 1.06 1.43 1.86 2.32 2.83 3.35 3.69 3.89
Project Finance
Fitch Global Infrastructure and Project Finance One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
1 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - -
50 AA - 96.00 - - - - - - 4.00
157 A - 1.91 96.82 - - - - - 1.27
167 BBB - - 2.99 94.61 - - - - 2.40
80 BB - - - 3.75 80.00 2.50 - - 13.75
21 B - - - - 4.76 52.38 - 4.76 38.10
5 CCC to C - - - - - - 100.00 - -
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Two-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
105 AAA 62.86 15.24 1.90 0.95 - - - - 19.05
757 AA 0.53 86.26 6.47 0.13 0.26 - - - 6.34
2,633 A 0.08 2.13 87.50 3.27 0.15 0.15 0.08 - 6.65
2,120 BBB - 0.09 3.63 81.27 5.80 0.71 0.47 0.05 7.97
552 BB - - - 4.35 67.21 9.42 2.72 0.72 15.58
241 B - - - - 2.07 65.15 11.62 2.07 19.09
100 CCC to C - - - - 1.00 5.00 51.00 34.00 9.00
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
104 AAA 50.96 21.15 2.88 1.92 - - - - 23.08
705 AA 0.85 79.43 9.36 0.14 0.43 0.28 - - 9.50
2,480 A 0.12 3.06 81.73 4.35 0.40 0.28 0.04 - 10.00
1,956 BBB - 0.15 5.42 72.65 7.57 0.97 1.07 0.15 12.01
490 BB - - - 5.51 54.49 10.41 3.47 1.84 24.29
218 B - - - - 2.75 56.42 11.01 5.96 23.85
94 CCC to C - - - - 1.06 7.45 38.30 41.49 11.70
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Four-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
102 AAA 42.16 25.49 2.94 1.96 0.98 - - - 26.47
656 AA 1.22 72.87 11.89 0.15 0.61 0.61 - - 12.65
2,322 A 0.09 3.79 76.74 5.25 0.65 0.39 0.09 0.04 12.96
1,785 BBB - 0.17 7.17 64.48 8.68 1.23 1.51 0.50 16.25
447 BB - - - 6.49 44.07 10.96 3.13 3.36 31.99
201 B - - - - 3.48 48.26 11.94 7.46 28.86
85 CCC to C - - - - - 9.41 30.59 47.06 12.94
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
100 AAA 33.00 30.00 3.00 1.00 2.00 - - - 31.00
608 AA 1.64 66.12 14.64 - 0.49 0.82 0.16 0.16 15.95
2,169 A 0.05 4.38 72.01 6.13 0.74 0.55 0.09 0.09 15.95
1,619 BBB - 0.12 8.59 56.95 9.39 1.54 1.67 1.17 20.57
410 BB - - - 6.59 36.10 10.49 2.93 4.39 39.51
188 B - - - - 4.26 39.36 13.30 7.98 35.11
79 CCC to C - - - - - 10.13 22.78 51.90 15.19
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WDa
80 AAA 2.50 41.25 3.75 - - - - - 52.50
425 AA 1.41 46.35 20.94 0.47 - 1.41 - 1.18 28.24
1,381 A - 6.15 52.64 6.81 1.45 1.01 - 0.65 31.28
914 BBB - - 10.18 26.70 9.08 2.08 1.20 5.91 44.86
233 BB - - - 3.43 12.02 7.73 4.29 8.58 63.95
89 B - - - - 5.62 11.24 8.99 14.61 59.55
42 CCC to C - - - - - 11.90 4.76 52.38 30.95
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Fitch Global Infrastructure and Project Finance One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA– A+ A A– BBB+ BBB BBB– BB+ BB BB– B+ B B– CCC to C D WDa
1 AAA 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- AA+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
21 AA - - 95.24 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 4.76
29 AA– - - - 96.55 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3.45
55 A+ - - - 5.45 94.55 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
55 A - - - - 9.09 89.09 - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.82
47 A– - - - - - 14.89 82.98 - - - - - - - - - - - 2.13
31 BBB+ - - - - - - 16.13 77.42 - - - - - - - - - - 6.45
68 BBB - - - - - - - 4.41 95.59 - - - - - - - - - -
68 BBB– - - - - - - - - 17.65 79.41 - - - - - - - - 2.94
36 BB+ - - - - - - - - 5.56 2.78 72.22 - 5.56 - - - - - 13.89
22 BB - - - - - - - - - - 4.55 77.27 - - - - - - 18.18
22 BB– - - - - - - - - - - - - 81.82 - 9.09 - - - 9.09
11 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - 9.09 36.36 - - - - 54.55
4 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 75.00 - - - 25.00
6 B– - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 66.67 - 16.67 16.67
5 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100.00 - -
a
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
Fitch Global Infrastructure and Project Finance Three-Year Transition Matrix: 2020 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA– A+ A A– BBB+ BBB BBB– BB+ BB BB– B+ B B– CCC to C D WDa
2 AAA 50.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.00
- AA+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
21 AA - - 76.19 14.29 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 9.52
28 AA– - - - 96.43 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3.57
53 A+ - - - 1.89 83.02 1.89 - 3.77 - - - - - - - - - - 9.43
64 A - - - - 7.81 73.44 4.69 - - - - - - - - - - - 14.06
41 A– - - - - - 7.32 70.73 2.44 2.44 - - - - - - - - - 17.07
36 BBB+ - - - - - - 5.56 47.22 19.44 16.67 - - - - - - - - 11.11
74 BBB - - - - - - 5.41 6.76 62.16 5.41 4.05 1.35 - - - - - - 14.86
61 BBB– - - - - - - - - 26.23 47.54 11.48 4.92 1.64 - - - - - 8.20
18 BB+ - - - - - - - - - - 38.89 5.56 11.11 5.56 - - - - 38.89
17 BB - - - - - - - - - 5.88 11.76 41.18 17.65 - 5.88 - - - 17.65
8 BB– - - - - - - - - - - - - 25.00 - 12.50 - - - 62.50
7 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - 28.57 14.29 42.86 - - 14.29
5 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 20.00 20.00 - 20.00 40.00
5 B– - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 20.00 - 80.00
9 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - 11.11 - - - - 44.44 22.22 22.22
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Fitch Global Infrastructure and Project Finance Five-Year Transition Matrix: 2018 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA– A+ A A– BBB+ BBB BBB– BB+ BB BB– B+ B B– CCC to C D WDa
2 AAA 50.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.00
- AA+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
20 AA - - 75.00 15.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 10.00
25 AA– - - 4.00 84.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 12.00
47 A+ - - - 8.51 68.09 2.13 - 4.26 - - - - - - - - - - 17.02
66 A - - - 1.52 13.64 57.58 6.06 1.52 - - - - - - - - - - 19.70
46 A– - - - - 6.52 17.39 43.48 2.17 6.52 - - 2.17 - - - - - - 21.74
45 BBB+ - - - - 4.44 2.22 8.89 28.89 20.00 13.33 - 2.22 - - - - - - 20.00
52 BBB - - - - - - 9.62 9.62 50.00 5.77 5.77 - - - - - - - 19.23
65 BBB– - - - - - - - 1.54 38.46 29.23 9.23 3.08 3.08 - 1.54 - - - 13.85
15 BB+ - - - - - - - - - 6.67 26.67 6.67 13.33 6.67 - - - - 40.00
11 BB - - - - - - - 9.09 - - 27.27 - - - 9.09 - - - 54.55
11 BB– - - - - - - - - - 9.09 - 9.09 - - - - - - 81.82
4 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.00 - 50.00 - - -
6 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 16.67 16.67 - 33.33 33.33
4 B– - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 25.00 25.00 50.00
6 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 66.67 16.67 16.67
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
a
Fitch Global Infrastructure and Project Finance Ten-Year Transition Matrix: 2013 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA– A+ A A– BBB+ BBB BBB– BB+ BB BB– B+ B B– CCC to C D WDa
9 AAA 11.11 - 11.11 44.44 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 33.33
2 AA+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100.00
11 AA - - 54.55 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 45.45
20 AA– - - 25.00 55.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 20.00
52 A+ - - - 15.38 46.15 7.69 - 3.85 - - - - - - - - - - 26.92
51 A - - - 5.88 17.65 33.33 1.96 - - - - - - - - - - - 41.18
50 A– - - - 2.00 4.00 24.00 20.00 4.00 6.00 - 2.00 2.00 - - - - - - 36.00
36 BBB+ - - - - 5.56 11.11 16.67 16.67 13.89 - 2.78 2.78 - - - - - - 30.56
34 BBB - - - - - 2.94 5.88 2.94 23.53 5.88 - 2.94 - 2.94 - - - - 52.94
42 BBB– - - - - - 2.38 2.38 - 28.57 16.67 4.76 4.76 4.76 - - - - - 35.71
11 BB+ - - - - - - - - - - 18.18 - 9.09 - - - - - 72.73
13 BB - - - - - - - 7.69 7.69 - 15.38 - - - - - 7.69 15.38 46.15
7 BB– - - - - - - - - - 14.29 - 14.29 - - - - - - 71.43
9 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - 11.11 - 22.22 - 11.11 55.56
5 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 20.00 20.00 20.00 40.00
5 B– - - - - - - - - - - - - - 20.00 - - 20.00 20.00 40.00
10 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 10.00 80.00 10.00
a
Securities pre-refunded or redeemed are included in the withdrawn figures.
Fitch International Public Finance Average Cumulative Default Rates: 1995-2022
(%) Year One Year Two Year Three Year Four Year Five Year Six Year Seven Year Eight Year Nine Year Ten
AAA - - - - - - - - - -
AA - - - - - - - - - -
A - - - - - - - - - -
BBB - - - - - - - - - -
BB - 0.44 0.80 1.08 1.21 1.37 1.60 2.13 2.43 2.81
B - 3.66 8.33 13.43 12.44 10.06 7.43 8.45 9.70 9.17
CCC to C 18.07 22.67 21.43 11.67 13.56 15.79 18.18 16.67 14.29 14.29
Investment Grade - - - - - - - - - -
Speculative Grade 1.36 2.89 4.23 5.05 5.08 4.83 4.66 5.21 5.60 5.84
All International Public Finance 0.29 0.61 0.89 1.06 1.05 0.97 0.91 0.99 1.05 1.08
Investment Grade - - - - - - - - - -
Speculative Grade 1.36 2.89 4.23 5.05 5.08 4.83 4.66 5.21 5.60 5.84
All International Public Finance 0.29 0.61 0.89 1.06 1.05 0.97 0.91 0.99 1.05 1.08
Fitch International Public Finance One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
23 AAA 91.30 - - - - - - - 8.70
68 AA - 100.00 - - - - - - -
108 A - 2.78 87.96 2.78 - - - - 6.48
167 BBB - - 1.20 83.23 1.20 - - - 14.37
70 BB - - - 1.43 57.14 12.86 - - 28.57
20 B - - - - - 40.00 50.00 - 10.00
8 CCC to C - - - - - - 100.00 - -
Average Two-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
596 AAA 83.89 9.06 0.17 - - - - - 6.88
1,167 AA 1.46 81.83 7.97 1.89 0.17 - - - 6.68
837 A - 2.63 75.03 10.51 0.36 - - - 11.47
1,181 BBB - - 4.23 81.03 4.74 - 0.08 - 9.91
683 BB - - - 9.08 67.20 4.25 0.88 0.44 18.16
246 B - - - - 12.20 47.97 14.63 3.66 21.54
75 CCC to C - - - - 5.33 25.33 25.33 22.67 21.33
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
576 AAA 76.22 12.33 1.04 0.35 - - - - 10.07
1,104 AA 1.99 73.28 9.51 3.89 0.36 - - - 10.96
752 A - 3.99 64.76 12.90 0.40 - - - 17.95
1,008 BBB - - 5.56 75.10 6.25 - 0.20 - 12.90
623 BB - - - 12.68 55.22 4.65 0.64 0.80 26.00
228 B - - - 0.44 14.91 32.89 12.72 8.33 30.70
70 CCC to C - - - - 11.43 27.14 12.86 21.43 27.14
Average Four-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
557 AAA 68.22 15.80 1.97 0.72 - - - - 13.29
1,045 AA 2.58 65.07 10.62 5.55 0.67 - - - 15.50
664 A - 5.12 53.92 16.27 0.45 - - - 24.25
865 BBB - - 8.09 69.48 7.05 - 0.35 - 15.03
556 BB - - - 14.93 45.32 4.86 0.18 1.08 33.63
216 B - - - 0.93 15.74 24.54 6.48 13.43 38.89
60 CCC to C - - - 1.67 16.67 21.67 15.00 11.67 33.33
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
538 AAA 61.15 18.22 2.97 1.12 - - - - 16.54
989 AA 2.73 57.43 11.32 7.18 0.81 - - - 20.53
583 A - 6.17 43.91 19.38 0.86 - - - 29.67
749 BBB - - 10.15 63.82 7.88 0.13 0.40 - 17.62
496 BB - - - 16.53 37.30 4.64 - 1.21 40.32
193 B - - - 1.04 17.62 19.69 4.15 12.44 45.08
59 CCC to C - - - 5.08 15.25 16.95 13.56 13.56 35.59
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC to C D WD
469 AAA 27.29 28.36 6.40 2.13 - - - - 35.82
716 AA 1.40 27.51 12.43 16.34 0.84 - - - 41.48
379 A - 9.23 13.98 22.16 4.22 0.26 - - 50.13
249 BBB - - 15.66 48.19 8.03 1.20 - - 26.91
249 BB - - - 19.68 16.87 3.21 - 2.81 57.43
120 B - - - 7.50 13.33 11.67 4.17 9.17 54.17
42 CCC to C - - - 21.43 19.05 - - 14.29 45.24
Average Three-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WD
576 AAA 76.22 7.12 4.51 0.69 - 0.52 0.52 0.17 0.17 - - - - - - - - - 10.07
162 AA+ 11.73 37.04 30.25 4.32 0.62 4.94 2.47 0.62 2.47 - - - - - - - - - 5.56
472 AA 0.64 6.57 58.69 14.62 2.75 1.06 1.27 0.42 2.33 - 0.42 - - - - - - - 11.23
470 AA- - 0.43 7.87 58.94 9.57 1.70 3.19 2.55 1.49 1.28 0.43 - - - - - - - 12.55
262 A+ - - - 9.54 50.76 8.40 3.44 5.73 2.67 1.91 1.15 - - - - - - - 16.41
230 A - - - 2.17 13.48 39.57 16.52 3.48 2.61 1.30 - - - - - - - - 20.87
260 A- - - - - 0.77 10.77 51.15 14.23 3.08 3.08 - - - - - - - - 16.92
250 BBB+ - - - - - 1.20 20.00 36.80 26.00 2.40 - - - - - - - - 13.60
381 BBB - - - - - - 0.79 14.96 47.51 17.85 3.41 2.10 - - - - - - 13.39
377 BBB- - - - - - - - 2.12 25.46 48.81 6.37 3.71 1.06 - - - 0.53 - 11.94
238 BB+ - - - - - - - 0.42 4.20 21.43 30.67 9.24 8.82 0.84 0.84 - 0.84 - 22.69
205 BB - - - - - - - - - 6.83 19.02 31.22 14.15 0.49 - - 0.49 1.46 26.34
180 BB- - - - - - - - - 0.56 1.11 6.11 17.22 30.00 9.44 3.33 0.56 0.56 1.11 30.00
117 B+ - - - - - - - - - 0.85 - 5.13 16.24 23.93 4.27 3.42 2.56 - 43.59
80 B - - - - - - - - - - 1.25 2.50 7.50 1.25 12.50 10.00 26.25 21.25 17.50
31 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 51.61 9.68 16.13 6.45 16.13
70 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - 2.86 - 8.57 8.57 11.43 7.14 12.86 21.43 27.14
Average Five-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WD
538 AAA 61.15 6.51 10.97 0.74 - 2.23 0.74 0.74 0.37 - - - - - - - - - 16.54
161 AA+ 14.29 19.25 31.06 7.45 1.24 7.45 3.11 2.48 1.86 - - - - - - - - - 11.80
400 AA 1.00 9.50 38.75 17.75 3.75 1.25 2.25 0.50 4.00 2.00 1.50 - - - - - - - 17.75
428 AA- - 1.17 9.58 38.55 9.81 0.93 4.21 5.37 2.10 1.40 0.47 - - - - - - - 26.40
219 A+ - - 0.91 10.05 28.31 10.05 4.11 6.85 7.31 3.20 0.46 - - - - - - - 28.77
187 A - - - 6.42 15.51 12.30 15.51 8.56 4.28 3.21 - 0.53 - - - - - - 33.69
177 A- - - - - 3.39 6.78 36.16 10.17 10.73 4.52 - 1.69 - - - - - - 26.55
193 BBB+ - - - - 0.52 3.11 29.02 15.54 24.87 6.22 - - - - - - - - 20.73
266 BBB - - - - - - 4.89 18.80 35.71 19.17 3.01 2.26 1.88 - - - - - 14.29
290 BBB- - - - - - - - 3.45 23.10 39.66 5.86 4.14 3.79 0.34 - - 1.03 - 18.62
188 BB+ - - - - - - - 0.53 6.38 20.74 14.89 4.79 7.98 2.66 1.60 - - - 40.43
168 BB - - - - - - - - - 11.90 18.45 14.88 9.52 - 1.19 - - 2.38 41.67
140 BB- - - - - - - - 0.71 0.71 5.71 11.43 14.29 17.86 7.86 0.71 0.71 - 1.43 38.57
108 B+ - - - - - - - 0.93 - - 3.70 7.41 11.11 7.41 3.70 2.78 0.93 - 62.04
60 B - - - - - - - - - 1.67 - 3.33 13.33 - 6.67 15.00 5.00 33.33 21.67
25 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 36.00 4.00 16.00 16.00 28.00
59 CCC to C - - - - - - - - 1.69 3.39 5.08 3.39 6.78 8.47 6.78 1.69 13.56 13.56 35.59
Average Ten-Year
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WD
469 AAA 27.29 6.18 20.68 1.49 2.56 1.07 2.77 1.92 0.21 - - - - - - - - - 35.82
129 AA+ 3.10 6.20 28.68 13.95 4.65 9.30 11.63 4.65 0.78 - - - - - - - - - 17.05
247 AA 2.43 7.69 8.50 11.74 4.45 2.02 4.45 3.64 8.91 7.69 2.02 - - - - - - - 36.44
340 AA- - 2.35 2.35 14.41 3.53 1.18 3.82 6.18 5.88 5.59 - 0.29 - - - - - - 54.41
173 A+ - - 4.05 9.25 5.20 4.05 4.62 2.31 13.29 7.51 - 2.89 - - - - - - 46.82
108 A - - - 5.56 4.63 3.70 - 1.85 11.11 5.56 1.85 4.63 - 0.93 - - - - 60.19
98 A- - - - 6.12 - - 20.41 2.04 15.31 7.14 1.02 3.06 - - - - - - 44.90
59 BBB+ - - - - - 1.69 38.98 8.47 1.69 11.86 - - - - - - - - 37.29
87 BBB - - - - - 1.15 16.09 17.24 24.14 11.49 2.30 1.15 2.30 2.30 - - - - 21.84
103 BBB- - - - - - - - 4.85 15.53 38.83 10.68 0.97 2.91 - 0.97 - - - 25.24
89 BB+ - - - - - - - 1.12 12.36 15.73 6.74 1.12 5.62 - 1.12 - - - 56.18
74 BB - - - - - - - - 4.05 18.92 9.46 2.70 - - - - - 5.41 59.46
86 BB- - - - - - - - - 2.33 4.65 5.81 8.14 10.47 3.49 3.49 1.16 - 3.49 56.98
70 B+ - - - - - - - - 1.43 4.29 7.14 8.57 2.86 1.43 - 4.29 1.43 1.43 67.14
36 B - - - - - - - - 2.78 11.11 2.78 - 5.56 - 13.89 5.56 5.56 13.89 38.89
14 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7.14 14.29 14.29 35.71 28.57
42 CCC to C - - - - - - - 2.38 11.90 7.14 4.76 14.29 - - - - - 14.29 45.24
-
Fitch International Public Finance One-Year Transition Matrix: 2022 Cohort
No. (%) AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC to C D WD
23 AAA 91.30 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 8.70
4 AA+ - 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
32 AA - 6.25 90.63 3.13 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
32 AA- - - - 100.00 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
32 A+ - - - 6.25 93.75 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
33 A - - - 3.03 3.03 87.88 - - - - - - - - - - - - 6.06
43 A- - - - - - 2.33 79.07 6.98 - - - - - - - - - - 11.63
34 BBB+ - - - - - - 5.88 88.24 5.88 - - - - - - - - - -
79 BBB - - - - - - - 3.80 75.95 - - - - - - - - - 20.25
54 BBB- - - - - - - - - - 81.48 1.85 1.85 - - - - - - 14.81
28 BB+ - - - - - - - - - 3.57 64.29 3.57 - - - - - - 28.57
18 BB - - - - - - - - - - - 55.56 - - - - - - 44.44
24 BB- - - - - - - - - - - - - 45.83 - 37.50 - - - 16.67
4 B+ - - - - - - - - - - - - - 75.00 25.00 - - - -
13 B - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 15.38 69.23 - 15.38
3 B- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 66.67 33.33 - -
8 CCC to C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100.00 - -
Investment Grade - - - - -
Speculative Grade 1.57 3.05 4.42 5.20 5.24
WD
2.09
3.26
5.30
5.84
6.35
12.37
25.00
8.33
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Fitch Global One-Year Gini Coefficients and Cap Curves a: 2022 Cohort by Broad Sector
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The Gini coefficient (also known as Accuracy Ratio) is a widely used measure of discriminatory power. In the finance industry it is often used to
summarize the ability of an internal rating model to differentiate between defaulting loans and non-defaulting loans. It is defined as the area
under the Cumulative Accuracy Profile (CAP curve) of the rating model in relation to the area under the CAP curve of a hypothetical perfectly
discriminating rating model.
In applying the Gini coefficient to its historical ratings Fitch follows the description in BIS-BCBS(2005). Classification of sectors, regions and
cohorts follows the standard methodology for the transition and default study.
Fitch’s ratings do not follow a simple fixed model. Ratings assigned by Fitch are opinions based on established criteria and methodologies that
Fitch is continuously evaluating and updating. A Gini coefficient, when being applied on Fitch’s ratings, provides a summary statistic only for a
snapshot of Fitch’s ratings. The Gini coefficient, also, only provides a measure of discrimination between defaults and non-defaults, i.e. of the
ability to differentiate relative risks. Just as Fitch’s ratings do not imply or convey a specific statistical probability of default, so the Gini
coefficient does not make a statement about the ratings’ correspondence with historical default probabilities. Furthermore, ratings are not facts,
and therefore cannot be described as being accurate or inaccurate. Correspondingly, the Gini coefficient (despite its widely used alias) does not
constitute a measure of ratings accuracy, but of a measure of degree of discrimination.
References
BIS-BCBS (2005) “Studies on the Validation of Internal Rating Systems”, Working Paper No. 14, Basel Committee on Banking Supervision,
Bank for International Settlements.
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To calculate transition and default rates, cohorts are created for each year. The cohorts (or alternatively static pools) are created by grouping the ratings
according to the year in which the ratings were outstanding at the beginning of the year. For example, ratings outstanding at the beginning of 2014
constitute the 2014 cohort, with the same true for additional cohorts. Issuers/issues newly rated by Fitch in any given year are included in the following
year’s cohort. For example, the performance of ratings initiated in mid-2014 would be followed as part of the 2015 and future cohorts. Respective multiple
intra-year rating movements during a given year are not counted; only the last rating change within that particular year is reflected. Ratings withdrawn or
paid in full mid-year are excluded from subsequent cohorts since they are no longer active; however, these will be accounted for in the respective PIF/WD
columns for the year in which these were recorded.
Cohorts remain fixed over time, with the rating performance of all ratings in each cohort tracked accordingly. Ratings may reside in multiple static pools,
as long as their ratings are outstanding at the beginning and end of the year or multiple-year horizons under observation. The annual performance of an
issuer rating initiated in 2009, and therefore outstanding at the beginning of 2012 and withdrawn in 2014, would be included in the 2012, 2012, 2012 and
2013 cohorts. The rating’s performance over multiple-year horizons would also be included in the two-year, three-year and four-year transition rates for
each of the cohorts noted and included in the five-year transition rates as a transition to withdrawn.
For the purposes of calculating average multiyear transition rates, the transition rates for each year are weighted by the number of ratings outstanding for
each rating category at the beginning of the year or cohort. This is done to give a fair evaluation of rating performance, since the number of issuers/issues
rated by Fitch has grown over time.
The transition table’s vertical left-hand column identifies ratings outstanding at the beginning of the period, while the horizontal axis provides information
on the migration pattern for those ratings by year’s end. The table reads from the top left-hand corner, beginning with ‘AAA’ and following the diagonal to
the right in order to examine the stability of each consecutive rating category.
Fitch’s continuing data enhancement efforts and methodology changes may result in slightly different statistics than in previously published studies.
Therefore, this most recent transition and default data supersedes all previous versions.
Fitch’s default rates are calculated on an issuer or security basis, where noted, as opposed to dollar amounts, capturing ratings downgraded to D and RD
(restricted default) for non-structured finance sectors. For global structured finance and covered bonds, impairments are tracked (CC, C and D) see below
Structured Finance.
First, defaults are examined by year for each cohort and individual rating category. For example, if 25 issuers defaulted in 2002, and that cohort consisted
of 2,000 issuer ratings, the resulting annual default rate for all ratings in 2002 would be 1.3%. If 10 of these defaults consisted of defaults among issuers
rated ‘BB’ at the beginning of the year and the ‘BB’ cohort at the beginning of the year totaled 500, the ‘BB’ 2002 default rate would be 2% (10/500).
From these annual default rates, Fitch derives average annual default rates by weighting each cohort’s default rates by the number of ratings outstanding in
the given cohort relative to the number of total ratings outstanding for all cohorts. Following the example above, the 2002 ‘BB’ annual default rate of 2%
might be followed by a 2003 ‘BB’ annual default rate of 1%. A straight average of these two rates would ignore potential differences in the size of the two
cohorts. Rather, weighting the results based on the relative number of ‘BB’ ratings outstanding in 2002 and 2003 gives greater emphasis to the results of
the ‘BB’ cohort with the most observations.
The same technique is used to calculate average default rates over multiple-year horizons.
Sector Specific
Corporate Finance
• The corporate finance transition and default data covers the period 1990 to the present and includes both financial and non-financial ratings.
• The data are based on public Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs). The use of IDRs was initiated in 2005. For ratings before that date, either the public
Long-Term Issuer Rating was used or if not available, the senior unsecured rating or a proxy is applied where an issuer was never assigned an Issuer
Rating or IDR.
• The data excludes large cooperative bank group members; instead only the parent or group member rating will be captured. See Bank Rating Criteria.
• Closed-end fund ratings are reported separately for analysis, capturing the public long-term issue rating from 2005 to the present.
Structured Finance
• The structured finance data covers the period 1990 to the present.
• This data incorporates various structured finance market sectors and is not limited to only ratings with an 'sf' suffix. Insured and interest only (IOs)
ratings are excluded from the data as are private or all nonpublic ratings.
• For structured finance, Fitch tracks impairments, or defaults and near defaults, which includes bonds rated ‘CC’ or below. This includes not only
bonds in payment default but also bonds where a default of some kind appears probable. The possibility exists that some defaults identified in this data will
be subsequently cured.
• Covered bond programs are included under structured finance, but illustrated separately for analysis, capturing the long-term public program level
ratings from 2005 to the present.
• Servicer and originator ratings are excluded, in addition to any other non-credit ratings.
Sovereigns
• The data are based on public Long-Term IDRs (or Foreign-Currency IDRs).
• Supranationals are illustrated separately for analysis, also capturing the public Long-Term IDRs (or Foreign-Currency IDRs) from 2005 to the
present.
• In calculating default statistics for this study, as of 2017, no longer will defaults be included for securities that were withdrawn prior to default or
defaults that were not recognized as a Fitch-rated security default.
• Global infrastructure and project finance (GIG) are illustrated separately for analysis, capturing data from 2005 to the present. GIG also utilizes the
derived unenhanced security rating, see above.
• International public finance data covers the period 1995 to the present.
• The data are based on public Long-Term IDRs (or Foreign-Currency IDRs).
Short-Term
• The short-term corporate finance transition and default data covers the period 2012 to the present and includes both financial and non-financial
ratings.
• The data are based on public Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs).
• Subsidiaries assigned IDRs are included regardless of debt outstanding.
• The data excludes large cooperative bank group members; instead only the parent or group member rating will be captured. See Bank Rating Criteria.
Viability Ratings
• Viability Ratings (VRs) are a measure of the intrinsic creditworthiness of a financial institution and reflect Fitch’s opinion on the likelihood that the
entity will fail.
References
ESMA and the FCA publish historical default rates in a central repository in accordance with Articles 11(2) of Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 of the
European Parliament and of the Council of 16 September 2009 and The Credit Rating Agencies (Amendment etc.) (EU Exit) Regulations 2019
respectively.
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