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Energy Reports 9 (2023) 5458–5472

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Energy Reports
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/egyr

Research paper

Asymmetrically examining the impact of green finance and renewable


energy consumption on environmental degradation and renewable
energy investment: The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the
Chinese economy

Yu Feng a , Zhihan Xiao b , Jinghong Zhou a , Guqiang Ni c ,
a
School of Public Economics and Administration, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, China
b
Shanghai New Epoch Bilingual School, China
c
School of Accounting, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, China

article info a b s t r a c t

Article history: The recent global recession due to Covid-19 has led to a drop in natural resource prices, which
Received 1 September 2022 has contracted energy demand. Amid this concern, environmentally sustainable renewable energy
Received in revised form 15 April 2023 projects have become uncompetitive and an obstacle to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals
Accepted 23 April 2023
(SDGs). Following the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model proposed by Shin et
Available online xxxx
al. (2014), to asymmetrically explore the impact of green bonds on renewable energy investment
Keywords: and environmental pollution and the impact of renewable energy consumption on environmental
Green finance degradation in China over the period 1970–2020. The results show that the expansion of green
Renewable electricity output bonds (GB+) significantly promotes renewable energy investment and reduces environmental pollution,
Renewable energy investment while the contraction of green bonds (GB− ) significantly reduces renewable energy investment and
Environmental degradation
stimulates environmental damage. Likewise, expansion of renewable energy consumption (REC+)
China
significantly reduced environmental degradation, while contraction of renewable energy consumption
(REC− ) significantly contributed to environmental degradation. Moreover, the result also validates the
existence of inverted U-shaped EKC hypothesis in China The VECM Granger causality test indicate that
renewable energy investment, green finance, renewable energy consumption, CO2 emission, and Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) have long term causality. Chinese policymakers must focus on strengthening
green finance, which will encourage renewable energy investment and renewable energy generation.
Moreover, renewable electricity output greatly facilitates renewable energy investment, so China must
innovate policies to take into account renewable electricity rather than fossil fuel generation in order
to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
© 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

1. Introduction Zoungrana and Çakmakci, 2021). However, the resilience and con-
sistency of the power system may be affected by more variable
Entering the 21st century, the global economy has been hit renewable energy sources. Threats to climate-related goals are
hard, with many catastrophic accidents. From the energy price likely to increase as global investment in green projects has been
shocks of 2003–2008, to the global financial catastrophe of 2007– severely reduced in light of the recent pandemic and recession in
2009, to the recent outbreak of Covid-19, which not only dis- highly competitive global markets (Le Billon et al., 2021; Filipović
rupted business and killed thousands, but also threatened re- et al., 2022; Aktar et al., 2021). In this regard, the country financial
newable energy infrastructure (van Zyl, 2021; Hoang et al., 2021; system has a fatalistic prominence, contributing to sustainable
environmental and economic growth by considering green finan-
Huang et al., 2021a,b). In general, non-renewable fossil fuel
cial investments. People, the environment and the economy as a
conventional energy sources often generate thermal energy and
whole benefit to some extent from the financial assets produced
power transmission, and these power generations due to heat
and managed by sustainable financial systems, not just privi-
loss remains inefficient (Chen et al., 2021; Rahman et al., 2022;
leged assets. However, considering that the term green finance
is not limited to climate finance in financial instruments, it also
∗ Corresponding author. encompasses other environmental goals such as green environ-
E-mail address: andersoncarinthia84@gmail.com (G. Ni). mental financial systems and sustainable promotion, including

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.04.361
2352-4847/© 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Y. Feng, Z. Xiao, J. Zhou et al. Energy Reports 9 (2023) 5458–5472

Fig. 1. Changes in energy demand and emissions in Asia during covid-19 in 2020 and 2021 compared to 2019.
Source: International Energy Agency (2022).

green mortgages, green loans and green bonds (Debrah et al., use of coal has increased by 5%, while the use of renewable energy
2022; Dalia and Vitaliy, 2021; Dikau and Volz, 2021). The lack has increased by only 0.5% in 2021.
of funding is among the most serious obstacles to the growth Due to the world economic crisis and the outbreak of COVID-
of renewable energy. The main obstacle to the development of 19 in 2021–22, continued investment in green initiatives such as
renewable energy is the lack of capital (Moorthy et al., 2019; renewable energy, energy efficiency, etc. has been significantly
Solangi et al., 2021). As of 2018, conventional energy sources reduced. Also, with the COVID-19 pandemic and economic reces-
such as coal and oil are still carbon-emitting energy due to global sion, oil and gas prices have also fallen sharply. Lower fossil fuel
bulk energy investment. For instance, renewable energy received prices are detrimental to the development of renewable energy
39 percent of investments in power generation, while it only projects, such as solar, wind, and other renewable energy sources
received 19 percent of overall energy sector investments. For in- are less economical as compared to power sources. The expansion
stance, 39% of renewable energy investment is recorded in power of wind, solar and other renewable energy sources associated
generation, which equates to 19% of total energy investment. with renewable energy projects is not conducive to falling fossil
In contrast, total investment in fossil fuel conventional energy fuel prices. This decreases the interest of the investors in re-
newable technologies, putting the Paris Climate Agreement and
reached a record 60% in the same year (Paris: International Energy
numerous SDGs in risk. This could jeopardize various sustainable
Agency, 2019). The rest are lower-level investments in sources of
development goals, notably the Paris climate agreement, and
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from biofuels or battery storage.
dampen investor curiosity about renewable energy technologies.
According to the latest report by International Energy Agency
Green finance or green infrastructure financing often requires
(2022), many factories and economic activity during covid-19
heavy borrowing because they are capital-intensive and remain a
have been motionless, causing turmoil in supply chains in the re-
pressing issue (Taghizadeh-Hesary et al., 2021). Moreover, green
gion and around the world. Compared with 2019, Gross domestic initiatives in the early stages of R&D are often associated with
product in Asia fell by 4% in 2020, while grew by 3% in 2021. greater danger and less reward (Husted and de Sousa-Filho,
Energy demand is naturally affected by economic disruptions 2017). Funding green initiatives, especially in Asia, is difficult
in Asia, with total energy supply falling by almost 3% in 2020. because banks are the main source of funding and control the
The most affected is the use of oil in total energy, which has entire financial system (Peimani, 2019). Likewise, in China, banks
fallen to 6.5% in 2020. As shown in Fig. 1, demand for gas and generally consider green projects to be dangerous, but Chinese
electricity fell by 4.5% and 1.8%, respectively, in 2020 due to venture capitalists are few and far more likely to support green
reduced industrial activity during the lockdown. In 2020, CO2 projects (Shapiro, 2019). Various studies have shown that China’s
emissions decreased by 2%, while the use of renewable energy incentive package has dealt with the covid-19 crisis, however,
decreased by 1.5%. However, coal demand increased by 1% in these incentives do not show any new green deals or accelerate
2020. Total energy demand grew in 2021 as delta variants sweep the transition of energy from non-renewable to renewable energy
across the Asian region. Oil, gas, electricity, and carbon emissions sources, but driven investment in the energy sector fossil fuels
in 2021 were stimulated by 4.5%, 4%, 3%, and 5%, respectively. The rather than renewable or clean energy (Shan et al., 2021).
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Fig. 2. Average avoided emissions intensity for green bonds financing renewable energy, tCO2 e, $1 million invested.
Source: 2022 Trucost Green Bond Dataset, S&P Global Sustainable1.

There is a wealth of empirical literature on renewable en- NARDL is that it represents the easiest way to model short- and
ergy investment in assessing the role of various environmental, long-term asymmetric combinations.
financial and economic indicators. For policymakers, however, the There are still several queries with this study that need to
main area of focus is green finance or green bonds as a coun- be empirically explored. First, can green finance increase invest-
terweight to the energy, environment and sustainable economic ment in renewable energy? Green finance refers to investments
growth. Compared to traditional methods, green bond invest- in financial instruments related to renewable energy and other
ment projects have positive environmental benefits, especially green industries. Funds, securities and assets are well known
in projects that avoid carbon emissions. Green buildings, green in the green finance market closely linked to green businesses
transportation and renewable energy form the bulk of green bond and renewable energy. Robust financial markets currently play a
financing projects. The estimated environmental benefits of green key role in driving new renewable technology initiatives (Al Ma-
bond financing as reported by S & P Global (2022) are shown in mun et al., 2018). Second, examining whether renewable en-
Fig. 2. Statistics show that for every $1 million invested by green ergy investment increases with economic growth, studies tend to
bond funds, the average avoided emission intensity level varies emphasize the positive relationship between growth and invest-
by project type, location, and other factors. Africa has the largest ment in renewable energy (Arain et al., 2020). Faster economic
impact on emissions due to renewable energy financed by green growth has accelerated investment in renewable energy projects,
bonds, followed by Asia Pacific and then the Middle East. which may facilitate a structural shift from non-renewable to
Compared to the fields of climate change and carbon emissions
renewable energy sources (Liu et al., 2021). Third, is there a link
that have been widely explored over the past decade, this field
between renewable energy investment and renewable electricity
has remained unexplored recently. Nevertheless, green finance
output and private energy investment? Both growth and green
has significant links to renewable energy and the environment.
finance are driving renewable energy investment as the priority
Sun et al. (2022) recently empirically revealed the link between
base mentioned earlier. Also consider the conditions for linking
green policies and renewable energy consumption in China using
total renewable energy and renewable electricity output with
traditional ARDL methods. Similarly, Li et al. (2021) applied the
investment in renewable energy. (1) Since the main source of
wavelet coherence method to explore the association between
renewable energy is renewable electricity, it is very important
renewable energy investment and green finance in China. Zhou
and Li (2022) explored the link between green finance and en- to study the link or correlation between renewable electricity
vironmental degradation using the traditional autoregressive dis- output and investment in renewable energy projects. (2) The
tributed lag (ARDL) approach in China. Luo et al. (2022) revealed shift from non-renewable to renewable energy sources is the
the relationship between China’s green finance and renewable result of accelerated economic growth and may spur private
energy consumption through DOLS and FMOLS strategies. Like- investors to participate in renewable energy investment. In re-
wise, there are many studies on the same topic, but neglect sponse to the above questions, the goal of this study is to explore
the mutual consideration of green finance, renewable energy the impact of financial, economic, and energy-related indicators
investment, renewable energy consumption and the environ- on renewable energy investment. In the first stage, the causal
ment. In addition, most studies considered linear aspects of the relationship between green finance and renewable energy invest-
relationship between green finance, renewable energy, and the ment in this study can be explored. The importance of analyzing
environment using traditional ARDL methods. Thus, this study the causal relationship between green finance and renewable
differs from previous studies by using the recently developed energy investment lies in the moderating role of green finance
NARDL method proposed by Shin et al. (2014) to reveal the in environmental sustainability, thereby promoting the develop-
non-linear relationship among the mutually considered variables ment of renewable energy. Second, the link between renewable
such as the green finance, renewable energy investment, renew- energy electricity and renewable energy investment can be re-
able energy consumption and the environment. The beauty of vealed in this study, as higher renewable energy electricity can
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stimulate renewable energy investment, which is considered to sustainable economic growth with environmental concerns. Sim-
be one of the main factors of renewable energy. The third objec- ilarly, another study by Mngumi et al. (2022), applied panel
tive of this study is to examine the causal relationship between quantile regression to study the links between green finance,
renewable energy investment and economic growth. As high- carbon emissions and renewable energy in the BRICS countries
lighted in the latest literature, the transition from non-renewable in the 2005–2019 data range. The results show that in the BRICS
to renewable-adapted energy has the greatest opportunity as economies, greater use of renewable energy and a boost from
economic performance or growth improves. Considering that eco- the Green Finance Index have reduced CO2 emissions. On the
nomic growth cannot be ignored in the analysis of this study, other hand, the growth in the use of renewable energy has
China ranks first on the list of energy importers and second been slowed down by carbon dioxide emissions, which has also
among the largest economies. Finally, most investors are still reduced investment in green projects, ultimately hindering the
investing in the fossil fuel energy sector and therefore have development of green finance.
an obligation to invest heavily in renewable energy. Countries Taghizadeh-Hesary et al. (2021) in their study support the
around the world, especially China, are currently committed to strategy of establishing a Green Credit Guarantee Scheme (GCGS)
sustainable development, so investors need to play a key role in and the spillover effects of duplicating some of the taxes formally
determining investments in renewable energy. Thus, examining generated by green energy supply to investors. This strategy can
the causal relationship between private energy investment and improve the rate of return of green energy projects and reduce
renewable energy investment is the ultimate goal of this study. the risk of green finance. Huang et al. (2021b) selected 30 sample
To achieve these goals, the current study employs autoregres- provinces in China within the 1995–2019 data range to examine
sive distributed lag (ARDL) boundary tests to explore long-term the effectiveness of renewable energy consumption, green invest-
associations and vector error correction model (VECM) Granger ment, and technological innovation on CO2 emissions. Variables
causality tests to achieve short- and long-term causality between such as technological innovation, green investment and renew-
variables of interest. able energy significantly reduced CO2 emissions, as shown in the
This study contributes to the existing literature by examining findings of the CS-ARDL approach. However, financial improve-
asymmetrically the impact of green bonds on renewable energy ments will exacerbate China’s carbon emissions, and any policy
investment and environmental degradation and the impact of recommendations on financial development, green investment,
renewable energy consumption on environmental degradation in renewable energy, natural resource rents, and technological in-
China from 1970–2020, using NARDL model, ignoring traditional novation will have a significant impact on China’s environmental
ARDL model commonly used by other studies. Second, policymak- quality. Li et al. (2022) also provides new insights using macro
ers and researchers provide links between green finance and the data from 2015–2020, revealing links between geopolitical risk,
environment, but little attention has been paid to the effect of green financing, and volatility and Chinese renewable energy
green finance on renewable energy investment and environmen- investment. The findings underscore the incentive for investment
tal degradation. Finally, given the current and previous outbreaks in renewable energy as a direct result of green financing, partic-
of the Covid-19 pandemic affecting various sectors in China, the ularly green bonds and green regulation in the form of environ-
latest dataset is used to explore the causal relationship between mental taxes in China. Wang et al. (2020) empirically estimate the
the proposed variables and renewable energy investment. More- impact of renewable energy consumption and green investment
over, this study also investigates the validity of the Environmental on production-based carbon emissions, while addressing sustain-
Kuznets Curve Hypothesis (EKC) in China. able growth issue in China from 1998–2017. After confirming
cointegration among the proposed variables through ARDL meth-
2. Literature review ods, the study explores that both renewable energy consumption
and green investment support controls, while trade openness
Before the Covid-19 pandemic, there was a lot of literature drives production-based carbon emissions. Henceforth, sustain-
on green finance, and during the current covid-19 pandemic, able growth can be achieved through increased green investment
there is a dearth of literature. Green finance studies linkages and renewable energy consumption. In addition, based on robust-
to investment in economic growth, environment, and energy- ness tests, the impact of financial development, environmental
related variables are Park et al. (2018), Saleem et al. (2020), Umar technological innovation and human capital on productive carbon
et al. (2020), Pyka and Nocoń (2021), Khan et al. (2019), Saud et al. emissions is estimated and found to be helpful for containment.
(2020), Zhou et al. (2020), Li et al. (2021), Azhgaliyeva and Liddle Similarly, another study on the same topic in China by Zhou et al.
(2020) and Ye et al. (2022). (2020) selected a sample of 30 Chinese provinces to examine
In other studies, Falcone (2020) highlighted in his study that the effectiveness of green finance on environmental quality and
green finance drives economic sustainability and then invests in economic growth over the period 2010–2017. The study first
energy. Similarly, Meo and Abd Karim (2022) used quantiles on developed green finance index by the techniques of principal
quantile regression to examine the interconnectedness between component analysis. Second, the impact of green finance on en-
green finance and carbon emissions in the top 10 economies. vironmental quality is simulated using industrial concrete waste,
Research analysis supports that reducing carbon emissions by ini- industrial smoldering powder emissions, and carbon emissions as
tiating green finance is the best financial strategy. Rasoulinezhad proxies for environmental variables. The model result displayed
and Taghizadeh-Hesary (2022) also estimated the relationship a positive influence on environmental enhancement by the green
between green finance and green energy index, energy efficiency, finance. However, the impact of green finance on environmental
carbon dioxide emissions by regressing the stochastic effect of excellence varies by level of development. Zahan and Chuanmin
technology on population, affluence and technology (STIRPAT) in (2021) revealed the impact of China’s green investment on CO2
the top ten economies. The findings assert that green bonds are emissions and clean energy consumption using the ARDL method
an appropriate technique to significantly reduce carbon dioxide in the 1998–2019 data range. The analysis results show that
and facilitate green energy projects. Meanwhile, no short-term green investment plays a significant role in promoting China’s
causality was found among the selected factors. On the basis long-term clean energy consumption and reducing China’s carbon
of this analysis, this study suggests that governments should emissions.
adopt long-term technical support policies to initiate investment The above literature clearly shows that during the Covid-19
in private green energy project participation in order to achieve pandemic, no such empirical study of China was considered, using
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the NARDL model to asymmetrically explore the relationship be- Renewable electricity output (REO) is the main source of renew-
tween green finance, investment in renewable energy, renewable able energy, so renewable electricity output has a stimulating
energy consumption and environmental degradation. In addition, effect on renewable energy investment, thus, β4 is expected to be
the literature also lacks empirical research on the causal rela- positive. The direct, positive correlation between private energy
tionship between green finance, investment in renewable energy, investment and renewable energy investment depends on the
renewable energy consumption and carbon emissions. Thus, this transition from non-renewable to renewable energy sources and
study decided to consider filling this gap. is the result of accelerated economic growth.

3. Methodology 3.2. Variables description, measurement and data sources

3.1. Theoretical notion and model development Variable descriptions, measurements, and sources are high-
lighted in Appendix A below. Annual data range 1970–2020 on
This study investigates the interconnections between renew- China renewable energy investment (Current US$), renewable
able energy investment, green finance, economic growth, carbon electricity output (% of total electricity output), private energy
emissions, renewable electricity output, private energy invest- investment (current US$), renewable energy consumption (KG of
ment, and renewable energy consumption in China from 1980 oil equivalent), carbon emission (Metric tons per capita), Gross
to 2020. The core theoretical concepts underlying the selection domestic product (current US$) are from World Development
of these variables are described below. Green finance (GF) in- Indicators (World Bank. Data Bank). All model variables are dis-
cluded on the basis of it refers to investments in financial instru- torted to natural logarithmic form. However, following Meo and
Abd Karim (2022) and Madaleno et al. (2022), this study uses
ments related to renewable energy and other green industries.
green bonds as a proxy for green finance, a long-term financial
Funds, securities and assets are well known in the green fi-
instrument where the proceeds of green bonds are used only for
nance market closely linked to green businesses and renewable
financial projects that protect or reduce environmental pollution.
energy. Robust financial markets currently play a key role in
Data for green bonds (USD) are from the Wind database.
driving new renewable technology initiatives Al Mamun et al.
(2018). Based on examining whether renewable energy invest-
3.3. Unit root test
ment escalates with economic growth, using GDP as a proxy
for economic growth, studies tend to emphasize the positive In this study, four different levels of unit root tests were used
relationship between growth and renewable energy investment to examine the properties of the unit root of each variable. Aug-
(Arain et al., 2020). Faster economic growth increases invest- mented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) used over the simple Dickey–Fuller
ment in renewable energy projects, which may facilitate a struc- (DF) method because it integrates a series of higher-order con-
tural shift from non-renewable to renewable energy sources (Liu nected lags and does not violate the white noise error properties
et al., 2021). With renewable electricity output (REO) as the µi, ε i. The equation of the ADF test is as follows
main source of renewable energy, it becomes important to study
the link or correlation between renewable electricity output and ∆Wt = ρ Wt−1 + Át λ + κ1 ∆Wt−1
investment in renewable energy projects. Private energy invest- + κ2 ∆Wt−2+ κ3 ∆Wt−3+.......+ κp ∆Wt−p + αt (3)
ment is also one of the important indicators for determining
renewable energy investment. The shift from non-renewable to Null hypothesis in ADF test can be checked as, H0 : ρ = 0, while
renewable energy sources is the result of accelerated economic H1: ρ < 0 is the alternative hypothesis by using t values, such as
ρ
growth and may spur private investors to participate in renew- tρ = (SE (ρ)) , where ρ̂ is the estimated parameters of ρ and (SE(ρ̂ ))
able energy investment. The second model, which includes GDP is the standard error. Here, the first-order difference lags of the
and GDP2 , uses China as a background to test the Environmental asymptotic distribution are independent of ρ and (SE(ρ̂ )). Elliott
Kuznets Curve (EKC) assumption, showing that CO2 emissions ex- et al. (1992) modify the ADF test to detrend the data to take out
pand with continued growth and decline after reaching a certain the independent variables out of regression before running it and
growth level. Thus, the following models have been created for also have high test power than the ADF test. Elliott et al. (1992)
empirical exploration. altered the ADF test to take out the explanatory variables as
detrended data before running the regression, and its test power
LnREIt = β0 + β1 LnGBt + β2 Ln GDPt + β3 LnREOt + β4 LnPEIt is higher than that of the ADF. The DFGLS technique represents
the quasi-differential method of Wt d depending on the value of ρ
+ β5 LnRECt + εi (1)
at the determined point. Below is the DFGLS equation in simple
LnCO2,t = α0 + α1 LnGBt + α2 LnGDPt + α 2
3 LnGDPt + α4 LnREOt form:
+ α5 LnRECt + µi (2) ∆Wtd = ρ Wtd −1 + κ1 Wtd−1 + κ2 Wtd−2 + . . .. + κ3 Wtd−1 + εt (4)
REIt represents renewable energy investment, GBt is that green Át and DFGLS equation here are not included as Wtdis detrended.
bonds can act as a proxy for green finance, GDP shows Gross Phillips and Perron (1988) developed a new test based on a non-
domestic product, REO indicates Renewable electricity output, PEI parametric technique for a dickey fuller autoregressive process
is Private energy investment, REC represents Renewable energy AR(1) that modifies ρ and t to account for serial correlation. The
consumption and µi, ε i are error terms. problem of error heteroscedasticity can also be handled with the
Eqs. (1) and (2) measure the determinants of China’s renew- PP test; however, this test suffers from a size distortion problem,
able energy investment (REI), and carbon emissions (CO2) depend which Ng and Perron (2001) address. Another method developed
on the level of green bonds (GB), gross domestic product (GDP), by Kwiatkowski et al. (1992) used a Lagrange multiplier test
renewable electricity output (REO), Private energy investment statistic based on ordinary least squares (OLS) residuals. Likewise,
(PEI) and renewable energy consumption (REC). As China’s econ- the Ng and Perron (2001) test is a modified version of Phillips and
omy booms, green finance invests more in renewable energy Perron (1988) based on GLS detrended data such as Wt d . Phillips
projects, and people’s economic consumption of renewable en- and Perron (1988) identified the problem of size distortion due
ergy increases; therefore, we assume a positive estimate of β1 . to the maximum inverse moving average and the low power of
Green investments are also nurturing environmental quality by testing for alternative hypotheses addressed by Ng and Perron
reducing carbon emissions, and we expect α1 to be negative. (2001).
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k k
3.4. Co-integration test ∑ ∑
GBt− = GB−
i = min(∆GBi , 0) (14)
The appropriate method used in this study to analyze short- i=1 i=1
and long-term asymmetric relationships between variables is k
∑ k

nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL). The NARDL RECt+ = RECi+ = max(∆RECi , 0) (15)
model introduced by Shin et al. (2014) works best when the i=1 i=1
variable integration order is in the level or first order and no k k
variables belong to the second order integration (Gaies et al.,
∑ ∑
RECt− = RECi− = min(∆RECi , 0) (16)
2021; Ghosh and Parab, 2021; Xia et al., 2022). Moreover, bound
i=1 i=1
testing approach employed later in the study as it provides the
best results with small sample sizes (Granger and Yoon, 2002; The short-term NARDL model based on Eqs. (9) and (10) can be
Narayan, 2005). Most studies only consider linear aspects of specified as
the relationship between Green finance, renewable energy and n
∑ n
∑ n

carbon emission, and thus make a significant contribution to the ∆REIt = λ0 + λi∆REIt−I + λi∆GBt−i + λi∆GB−
t −1
literature (Ren et al., 2020; Zhang et al., 2022; Iram et al., 2022); i=1 i=1 i=1
this study analyzes a nonlinear framework for these variables. The
t −1 + µi
+β 1 REIt−1 + β2 GBt−1 + β3 GB− (17)
nonlinear functional equations are given as:
n n n
REI = f (GB+ , GB− )
∑ ∑ ∑
(5) ∆CO2t = δ0 + δ i∆CO2t−I + δ i∆GBt−i + δ i∆GB−
t −1
CO2 = f (GB , GB , REC , REC )
+ − + −
(6) i=1 i=1 i=1
n n
The nonlinear relationship between GB, REI, REC and CO2 can be
∑ ∑
+ δ i∆RECt−i + δ i∆RECt−−1 +Γ1 CO2t−1 +
explicitly expressed as:
i=1 i=1
REIt = ω0 + ω1 (GB+
t ) + ω2 (GBt )

(7) Γ2 GBt−1 + Γ3 GBt −1 + Γ4 RECt−1 + Γ5 RECt −1 + µi
− −
(18)
CO2 t = β0 + β1 (GBt ) + β2 (GBt ) + β3 (RECt ) + β4 (RECt )
+ − + −
(8)
3.5. Analysis of causality test
where GB+ − + −
t , GBt , RECt , RECt , are positive and negative com-
ponents of GF and REC respectively, showing an asymmetric NARDL cointegration methods cannot detect the direction of
relationship, and ω0 , ω1 , ω2 , β1 , β2 , β3 and β4 represent long-term causality between selected variables, so the direction of causality
asymmetric parameters. can be explored using the VECM causality direction proposed by
The short-term effects of variables can be expressed as: Granger (1969) based on the existence of long-term cointegra-
n
∑ n
∑ n
∑ tion. VECM’s Granger causality test is suitable for investigating
∆REIt = κ0 + κ1i ∆REIt−I + κ2i ∆GBt−i + κ3i ∆GDPt−i short-and long-term causality between renewable energy invest-
ment, economic growth, green finance, carbon emission, renew-
i=1 i=1 i=1
n n n able electricity output, private energy investment, and renewable
energy consumption. The model below is VECM
∑ ∑ ∑
+ κ4i ∆REOt−i + κ5i ∆PEIt−i + κ6i
⎡ InREI ⎤ ⎡β ⎤ ⎡α . . . α ⎤ ⎡InREI ⎤
i=1 i=1 i=1 t 1 1 n t −1
∆RECt−1 +ρ 1 REIt−1 + ρ2 GBt−1 + ρ3 GDPt−1 + ρ4 REOt−1 ⎢ InGBt ⎥ ⎢ . ⎥ ⎢ . ⎥ ⎢InREIt −2 ⎥
⎢InGDPt ⎥ ⎢ . ⎥ ⎢ . ⎥ ⎢InREIt −3 ⎥
+ ρ 5 PEIt−1 + ρ 6 RECt−1 + εt (9) ⎢ InREOt ⎥ = ⎢ . ⎥ + ⎢
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢
. ⎥ + ⎢InREIt −4 ⎥ + . . ..
⎥ ⎢ ⎥
n n n ⎢ InCO2 ⎥ ⎢ . ⎥ ⎢ .
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
∑ ∑ ∑ ⎥ ⎢InREIt −5 ⎥
∆CO2 t = λ0 + λ1i ∆CO2t−I + λ2i ∆GBt−i + λ3i ∆GDPt−i ⎣
InPEIt .
⎦ ⎣ ⎦ ⎣
.
⎦ ⎣
InREIt −6

i=1 i=1 i=1 InRECt β7 α7 . . . αn InREIt −7
n n n ⎡e . . . .e ⎤ ⎡InPEI ⎤
∑ ∑ ∑ 1 n t −1
+ λ4i ∆GDP2t−i + λ5i ∆REOt−i + λ6i .
⎢ ⎥ ⎢InPEIt −2 ⎥
i=1 i=1 i=1 ⎢ . ⎥ ⎢InPEIt −3 ⎥
∆RECt−1 +e1 CO2t−1 + e2 GBt−1 + e3 GDPt−1 + e4 GDP2t−1 .
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
+⎢ ⎥ + ⎢InPEIt −4 ⎥
.
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
+ e5 REOt−1 + e6 RECt−1 + µt (10)
⎢ ⎥ ⎢InPEIt −5 ⎥
. InPEIt −6
⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦
Eqs. (6) and (7) have been decomposed into short-term and long- e7 . . . .en InPEIt −7
term coefficients, κ i and λi are the short-term coefficients, and ρ i ⎡λ ⎤ ⎡µ ⎤
and ei are the long-term coefficients. t t

Cointegration regression in a nonlinear framework can be ⎢.⎥ ⎢.⎥


⎢.⎥ ⎢.⎥
specified as:
. ⎥ ECMt−1 + ⎢ . ⎥
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
+⎢ (19)
zt = α + yt + + α − yt − + εt (11) ⎢.⎥ ⎢.⎥
⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
. .
⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦
where yt are long-run parameters, which is further decomposed
as: λt µt
yt = yt+ + yt − (12) where InREIt is the logarithm of renewable energy investment,
InGBt indicates logarithm of Green finance, InGDPt shows log-
in the Eq. (12) yt is an independent factor, decomposed into a arithm of Gross domestic product, InREOt denotes logarithm of
partial sum of positive and negative components, yt + yt − . The renewable electricity output, InCO2 is the logarithm of carbon
partial decompositions of GBt and RECt are highlighted in the emission, InPEIt shows logarithm of private energy investment,
following equations. InRECt is the logarithm of renewable energy consumption, β , α ,
k
∑ k
∑ e and λ are variable coefficients and µ is the error term. Long-
GBt+ = GB+
i = max(∆GBi , 0) (13) term relationships between variables can also be confirmed with
i=1 i=1
negative and significant ECMt-1.
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Table 1
Variable descriptive statistics.
LnREIt LnGBt LnREOt LnPEIt LnREt CO2,t GDPt
Mean 4.87 12.64 9.51 18.64 7.39 4.75 42.43
Median 4.95 12.64 9.52 18.65 7.38 4.68 42.93
Maximum 4.92 12.92 12.29 18.29 8.28 5.01 43.54
Minimum 4.36 10.03 9.09 17.94 7.77 4.03 31.67
Std. Dev. 0.42 0.53 0.81 0.46 0.32 0.58 0.53
Skewness 1.22 0.28 0.36 0.38 0.43 0.48 0.42
Kurtosis 3.96 2.95 2.92 3.27 2.54 1.99 2.53
Jarque–Bera 8.36 3.93 3.35 3.84 2.42 2.42 3.56
Probability 0.03 0.47 0.34 0.46 0.36 0.37 0.53
Sum 161.13 797.28 724.77 909.36 595.47 634.37 624.24
Sum Sq. Dev. 3.59 7.64 47.34 5.49 4.32 6.43 3.32
Observation 51 51 51 51 51 51 51

4. Analysis results The estimated NARDL long-term coefficient results are shown
in Table 5. The main purpose of this study is to examine the
Descriptive statistics for the proposed model variables are asymmetric relationship between green finance, renewable en-
highlighted in Table 1, showing that renewable energy invest- ergy and environmental degradation. Asymmetric effects can be
ment, carbon dioxide emissions, renewable electricity output, detected from the sum of the positive and negative parts of GB
and green bonds are normally distributed as indicated by the and REC, namely GB+ , GB− , REC+ and REC− (Koengkan et al.,
Jarque–Bera test results. Variable positive statistics in skewness 2020; Adebayo et al., 2022). The positive and negative compo-
indicate that all variables are positively skewed. Kurtosis shows nents of GB and REC all appear to be very significant in the
that renewable energy investment is lanky and peaking due to analysis, but there are conflicting signs that expansion and con-
high statistics. traction of GB and REC have different effects on renewable energy
Before estimating Eqs. (1) and (2), it is necessary to know the investment and carbon emissions, respectively. An increase in
integral order of each variable by means of the unit root test. the positive component of GB (GB+ ) and REC (REC+ ) in the
The results of unit root tests for ADF, PP, DFGLS, and KPSS to specified models indicates that GB has a gradual and significant
determine cointegration are highlighted in Table 2. Crucially, the long-term effect on renewable energy investment, while REC
unit root test checks not only the stationarity of each variable and GB have significant long-term negative impact on carbon
but also its order, which allows us to continue applying relevant emissions. The long-term perimeter estimation results based on
econometric techniques for long-term cointegration. Each test the renewable energy investment clearly show that the coeffi-
displays a different order integration level result. However, the cient of the positive component of green bonds (GB+ ) is 0.529,
variation in these results was mainly due to each of the test indicating that for every 1% increase in green bonds, renewable
properties described above. The results show that except for re- energy investment increases significantly by 0.529%. The negative
newable energy investment, it is stationary at the I(0) level, while component coefficient of green bonds (GB− ) is −0.437, reflecting
the remaining variables integrate at the first differential I(1). The that a 1% contraction in green bonds can significantly reduce
result asserts that all variables are integrated in mixed order, renewable energy investment by 0.437%. This finding is very
I(0) and I(1). Different procedures and techniques for testing the consistent with the studies by Ye et al. (2022), Rasoulinezhad
order of integration for each variable show varying degrees of and Taghizadeh-Hesary (2022), Mngumi et al. (2022), Meo and
significance. The Engle and Granger (2015) cointegration method Abd Karim (2022), Li et al. (2021), Li et al. (2022) and Ye et al.
cannot be used because the test requires that all variables must be (2022). Besides, the long-term relationship between GDP and
integrated at the same level, and the test is designed for bivariate renewable energy investment clearly shows that a 1% increase
analysis. Likewise, for mixed orders, the cointegration method of in gross domestic product (GDP) significantly stimulates renew-
Johansen and Juselius (1990) cannot be applied. Therefore, a suit- able energy investment by 0.482%. This result is in good agree-
able method to integrate mixed order I(0) and I(1) is non-linear ment with the findings of Li et al. (2021), Tambari and Failler
autoregressive distributed lag model (NARDL). (2020), Ozorhon et al. (2018), Fan and Hao (2020), Ji and Zhang
The BDS test (Brooks, 1996) can only be used to explore (2019). The Wald statistic confirms the long-run asymmetry by
non-linear dependencies when there are structural breaks in the rejecting the null hypothesis that green finance and GDP have
data, as highlighted in previous studies (Manahov and Urquhart, symmetric effects on renewable energy investment. Moreover,
2021; Selmi et al., 2022). Thus, the BDS test was used in this other estimated perimeters in the model, such as a 1% increase
study to confirm the nonlinear correlation, and the results are in renewable electricity output, private energy investment, and
shown in Table 3. Thus, after confirming the structural fracture renewable energy consumption, contribute 0.267%, 0.432%, and
and nonlinearity by BDS testing, we can proceed to estimate the 0.209% to renewable energy investment, respectively. Likewise,
coefficients for the NARDL analysis. the long term estimated perimeters in second model based on
Previous research has shown that optimal lag selection has a carbon emissions show that the coefficient of the positive com-
large impact on long-term outcomes (Guan et al., 2020; Wu and ponent of green bonds (GB+ ) is –0.435, indicating that for every
Xie, 2020). Model estimation can lead to erroneous conclusions 1% increase in green bonds, carbon emission reduces significantly
with less lag selection, however, higher lag selection can lead by 0.435%. For every 1% decrease in Green bonds (GB− ), carbon
to overestimation of results. Thus, two lag lengths were selected emissions will increase significantly by 0.364%. This evidence is
based on the SIC criterion of the optimal lag length. Going a step very consistent with research by Zahan and Chuanmin (2021),
further, the NARDL bound test method was used for both the Zhou et al. (2020), Wang et al. (2020), Huang et al. (2021b),
models; as shown in Table 4. The NARDL bound test model results Meo and Abd Karim (2022) Bai et al. (2022), Zhang et al. (2021),
predict the likelihood of an asymmetric long-term relationship Muganyi et al. (2021). The asymmetric relationship between re-
among the variables proposed in the two models. newable energy consumption (REC) and carbon emissions shows
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Table 2
Results of unit root test.
Level First difference Order
t-statistics t-statistics
Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF)
REI 2.746** – I(0)
GB 0.452 5.453* I(1)
REO 0.346 6.249* I(1)
PEI −0.272 −4.43* I(1)
REC 0.363 4.453* I(1)
GDP 0.264 4.126* I(1)
CO2 −0.345 4.473* I(1)
Phillips–Perron (PP)
REI 2.834** – I(0)
GB 0.563 4.453* I(1)
REO 0.457 5.268* I(1)
PEI −0.385 −3.496* I(1)
REC 0.476 4.587* I(1)
GDP 0.375 4.124* I(1)
CO2 −0.456 4.473* I(1)
Elliott-Rothenberg-Stock DF-GLS
REI 3.945** – I(0)
GB 0.673 4.564* I(1)
REO 0.568 5.379* I(1)
PEI −0.385 −3.501 I(1)
REC 0.587 4.698* I(1)
GDP 0.486 4.235* I(1)
CO2 −0.567 4.584* I(1)
Kwiatkowski-Phillips–Schmidt–Shin (KPSS)
REI 3.013** – I(0)
GB 0.784 4.675* I(1)
REO 0.679 5.480* I(1)
PEI −0.496 −3.618* I(1)
REC 0.698 4.709* I(1)
GDP 0.597 4.346* I(1)
CO2 −0.678 4.695* I(1)
Ng-Perron test
Level First difference Order
MZa MZt MSB MPT MZa MZt MSB MPT
REI −8.326* −6.974* 2.254** 3.854* – – – – I(0)
GB 1.434 1.837 1.323 1.355 3.324* 3.253* 2.456** 3.551* I(1)
REO 1.613 1.486 1.376 1.967 4.246* 3.576* 4.243* 3.987* I(1)
PEI 1.734 1.643 0.537 0.847 4.972* 4.753* 4.934* 4.268* I(1)
REC 0.568 0.367 0.539 0.632 3.585* 4.253* 4.324* 4.324* I(1)
GDP 1.243 1.435 1.632 0.215 3.962* 4.264* 4.415* 4.124* I(1)
CO2 0.491 0.519 0.982 0.902 5.345* 4.514* 4.915* 5.123* I(1)

Note: *, ** and *** indicate statistical significance at 1%. 5% and 10%, respectively.

Table 3
BDS test for detecting nonlinear dependencies.
BDS statistics Embedding dimensions = m
m = 2 m = 3 m = 4 m = 5 m = 6
REI 0.4415*** 0.4529*** 0.4186*** 0.5548*** 0.6575***
GB 0.4795*** 0.5901*** 0.6476*** 0.6578*** 0.7951***
GDP 0.5128*** 0.5275*** 0.6589*** 0.7544* 0.7965**
REO 0.6569** 0.6075*** 0.5797** 0.4965*** 0.6571***
PEI 0.4792*** 0.5469** 0.6453*** 0.4952** 0.5491***
REC 0.4952*** 0.5647*** 0.6754*** 0.7204** 0.5487***
CO2 0.5063** 0.6758*** 0.6865*** 0.8315*** 0.6582**

*, **, *** denote null hypothesis rejection at significance levels of 1, 5, and 10%, respectively.

Table 4
NARDL bound testing approaches for cointegration.
F-stat Lower–upper Lower–upper Lower–upper K Result
Bound (1%) Bound (5%) Bound (10%)
InREI/(InGB+ , InGB− , InGDP, InREO, InPEI, InREC) 5.79** 3.54–4.62 2.75–3.98 2.56–3.58 6 Co-integration
InCO2/(InGB+ , InGB− , InGDP, InREO, InREC + , InREC − ) 5.93*** 3.12–4.39 2.42–3.65 2.48–3.53 5 Co-integration

Note: *, **, *** are significant levels at 10%, 5%, and 1%, respectively.

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Table 5 Table 6
Long-Term Asymmetric ARDL Model elasticities. Short-run elasticities of asymmetric NARDL models.
Variables Model 1 Model 2 Variables Model 1 Model 2
InGB+ 0.529***(0.004) −0.435**(−0.031) InGB+ 0.152**(0.031) −0.312**(−0.013)
InGB− −0.437**(−0.021) 0.364***(0.004) InGB− −0.192(−0.721) 0.728(0.163)
InGDP 0.482***(0.003) 0.621***(0.002) InGDP 0.132(0.001) 0.321***(0.007)
InGDP2 – −0.253***(−0.007) InGDP2 – −0.183*(−0.061)
InREC+ 0.209***(0.005) −0.261**(−0.023) InREC+ 0.181*(0.052) −0.314*(−0.051)
InREC− – 0.284***(0.002) In REC− – 0.171(0.351)
InREO 0.267***(0.006) −0.924**(−0.031)
InPEI 0.432***(0.005) – InPEI 0.243(0.241) –
Constant −15.834**(−0.012) −9.493***(−0.001) InREO 0.125(0.396) 0.616(0.182)
R2 0.96 0.91 ECTt−1 −0.781**(0.001) −0.73***(0.005)
Adj R2 0.76 0.71 Note: ***, **, and * represent the significance levels of 1%, 5%, and 10%,
F-statistic 974.84 793.82 respectively, and the numbers in parentheses are the probabilities of each
Wald statistic 1.103(0.252) 1.328(0.261) coefficient.
Note: ***, **, and * reflect the significance levels of 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively,
and the values in parentheses are the probabilities of each coefficient.

Table 7
that for every 1% increase in renewable energy consumption Diagnostic tests for the NARDL model.
(REC+ ), there is a significant 0.261% reduction in carbon emis- Diagnostic tests F-statistics Probability
sions, while a 1% reduction in renewable energy consumption Normality(Jarque–Bera) test 9.643 0.536
(REC− ) can significantly increase carbon emissions by 0.284%. Serial correlation 0.9724 0.766
This result is consistent with the studies by Luo et al. (2022), Breusch–Pagan–Godfrey test 1.3626 0.638
ARCH 0.4705 0.773
Ali et al. (2022), Yuping et al. (2021) and Awodumi and Adewuyi
Ramey reset 1.4006 0.571
(2020). The Wald statistic confirms the long-run asymmetry by
rejecting the null hypothesis that green bonds and renewable
energy consumption have symmetric effects on carbon emission.
Moreover, the effect of GDP on carbon emission is significantly negative impact of renewable electricity output on carbon emis-
positive, however, GDP2 has significantly a negative impact on sions is insignificant. The coefficients of ECTt–1 are −0.78 and
carbon emission. This result confirms the validity of the inverted −0.73, respectively, indicating that short-term imbalances can be
U shaped EKC hypothesis in China. The sign of the GDP coefficient adjusted to long-term imbalances in the range of 78%–73%.
is significantly positive (GDP > 0), while the sign of GDP2 is The diagnostic test results in Table 7 confirm the absence of
significantly negative (GDP3 < 0). The positive effect of GDP serial correlation and heteroskedasticity issues, and the model
on environmental degradation persists to a certain extent due passes other tests such as the Jarque–Bera normality test, Breusch–
to scale effects. Compared to regenerative capacity in earlier Pagan–Godfrey test, ARCH, and Ramey Reset.
stages of economic development, this may improve the use of The stability of the models has checked using the CUSUM
natural resources, leading to increased greenhouse gas emissions and CSUSMQ tests, and the results in Appendices B and C show
from human activities. The adverse effects of GDP squared is due that both models are stable as the estimated lines are within the
to technology and compositional effects, which in turn develop boundaries of the critical line at the 5% significance level.
clean activities and environmentally friendly technologies. The Finally, dynamic multiplier adjustments for green bonds and
confirmation of the validity of the U-shaped EKC hypothesis in renewable energy consumption to balance long-term positive and
this study is in good agreement with the studies by Tenaw and negative shocks, as shown in Appendix D, E, and F. Positive and
Beyene (2021), Ali et al. (2022), Luo et al. (2022). The results also negative change curves indicate the evidence for the asymmetric
show that renewable electricity output has a significant adverse adjustment of renewable energy investment and carbon emission
effect on carbon emissions. to negative and positive shocks of green bonds and renewable
The short-term elasticity of the parameters based on renew- energy consumption at a given time period. The overall results
able energy investment in the analysis is shown in Table 6, of the dynamic multiplier plot show that a positive shock to
and it can be observed that the magnitude of the coefficients green bonds has a larger long-term impact on renewable energy
of the sum of the positive and negative components of green investment than a negative shock to green bonds, indicating
bonds (GB) move linearly inward with the direction of renewable a positive long-term asymmetry. Similarly, in Appendix E, the
energy investment. Such as, the rise of Green bonds (GB+ ) has positive shock of green bonds has a higher asymmetric effect on
a gradually significant impact on renewable energy investment. carbon emissions than its negative shock, and in Appendix F, the
The decline in green bonds (GB− ) has insignificant adverse impact negative shock of renewable energy consumption has a higher
on renewable energy investment. Other estimated perimeters in asymmetric effect on carbon emissions than its positive shock.
the model, such as GDP, private energy investment and renewable Regarding the positive green bond shock in Appendix D and the
electricity output, all have gradual but not statistically significant negative renewable energy consumption shock in Appendix F, it
effects on renewable energy investment. Likewise, the elasticity is more prominent and domineering. Exploration of these four
of short-run variables based on carbon emissions clearly shows figures provides insight into the asymmetric validity highlighted
that both green bonds (GB+ ) and renewable energy consumption in Table 5.
(REC+ ) expansions have significant adverse effects on carbon Granger (1969) asserted that if the variable integration or-
emissions. Declines in green bonds (GB− ) and renewable energy der is unique and has long-term cointegration, VECM Granger
consumption (REC− ) had a gradual but not statistically significant causality can be applied to explore short- and long-term causality
impact on carbon emissions. Other variables in the model, such between variables of interest. Thus, the VECM Granger causality
as GDP, have a significant asymptotic effect on carbon emissions, method can be used to examine the direction of causality among
while GDP2 has a significant adverse effect on carbon emissions, China’s renewable energy investment, green finance, renewable
thus validating China’s EKC in the short term. Moreover, the electricity output, private energy investment, renewable energy
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Table 8
Result of VECM Granger causality test.
Dependent Short term causal relationship Long term
factors ECMt−1
Independent factors
∆REI ∆GF+ ∆GF− ∆PEI ∆REC ∆REC− ∆GDP ∆REO ∆CO2
∆REI – 0.24* 0.68 0.34 0.25 −0.80 0.18* 0.42 −0.42 0.43*
(0.01) (0.43) (0.32) (0.15) (−0.58) (0.03) (0.21) (−0.21) (0.00)
∆GF+ 0.023 – – 0.18 0.27* −0.82 0.83** 0.052 −0.26 0.61*
(0.21) (0.26) (0.01) (−059) (0.02) (0.16) (−0.32) (0.00)
∆GF− 0.52 – – −0.27 0.16 0.15 0.86 −0.29 0.63 0.73
(0.21) (−0.21) (0.41) (0.93) (0.71) (0.41) (0.23) (0.27)
∆PEI 0.041 0.13 0.05 – 0.45 0.87 0.23* 0.07 −0.41 0.25
(0.31) (0.16) (0.37) (0.24) (0.74) (0.01) (0.21) (−0.32) (0.32)
∆REC+ 0.28** 0.15* 0.05 0.18 – – 0.25 0.25 −0.21 0.34*
(0.02) (0.00) (0.21) (0.26) (0.26) (0.24) (−0.27) (0.01)
∆REC− 0.27 0.35 −0.23 −0.48 – – −0.32 −0.45 0.75 0.53
(0.21) (0.27) (−0.25) (−0.24) (−0.39) (0.42) (0.54) (0.51)
∆GDP 0.26* 0.21* 0.32 0.24 0.43** 0.23 – 0.76 −0.62 0.31*
(0.00) (0.00) (0.26) (0.32) (0.04) (0.24) (0.69) (−0.15) (0.00)
∆REO 0.041 0.38 – 0.18 0.04 0.02 0.38 – 0.21 0.32***
(0.21) (0.14) (0.31) (0.15) (0.24) (0.13) (0.41) (0.07)
CO2 −0.34 −0.24 0.25 0.31 −0.23** – 0.07 (0.32) – 0.31*
(−0.13) (−0.19) (0.24) (0.26) (−0.03) 0.32 (0.26) (0.00)

consumption, GDP, and carbon dioxide emissions. The short-term bonds and GDP, indicating a positive long-term asymmetry. Other
results of VECM Granger causality in Table 8 suggest that green estimated perimeters symmetrically reflect that both renewable
finance has a Granger cause for renewable energy investment. energy investment and private energy investment significantly
Likewise, renewable energy consumption has a one-way causal boost renewable energy investment in the long run. Likewise,
relationship to GDP and carbon emissions. Moreover, GDP and estimates of long-run variable elasticity in the second model
renewable energy investment have a bidirectional causality. Sim- based on carbon emissions show that the expansion of green
ilarly, renewable energy consumption and green finance have bonds (GB+) and renewable energy consumption (REC+) sig-
two-way causality, and GDP and green finance have bidirectional nificantly reduces carbon emissions, while the contraction of
causal relationship in the short term. Long-term causality re- green bonds (GB−) and renewable energy consumption (REC−)
sults show that the coefficients of ECMt−1 in variables such as contributes significantly to carbon emissions. The results clearly
renewable energy investment, green finance, renewable energy show that the positive asymmetric effect of green bonds on
consumption, carbon emissions, and GDP are significant at the 1% carbon emissions is higher than the negative, and the negative of
level, while renewable electricity output is significant at the 10% renewable energy consumption has a higher asymmetric effect on
level, reflecting that these variables have a long-term two-way carbon emissions than the positive. Moreover, the effect of GDP
causal relationship. on carbon emission is significantly positive, however, GDP2 has
significantly a negative impact on carbon emission. This result
5. Concluding remarks confirms the validity of the inverted U shaped EKC hypothesis in
China. The results also show that renewable electricity output has
This study examines the asymmetric impact of green bonds a significant long-term adverse effect on carbon emissions. The
(green finance) and GDP on renewable energy investment, and short-term elasticity of the parameters based on renewable en-
the asymmetric impact of green bonds and renewable energy ergy investment in the analysis indicate that the magnitude of the
consumption on carbon emissions in China from 1980 to 2020. An coefficients of the sum of the positive and negative components of
appropriate method for analyzing short- and long-term asymmet- green bonds and GDP, respectively, move linearly inward with the
ric relationships between the variables of interest in this study direction of renewable energy investment. However, the short-
is nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL), proposed by term elasticity of the parameters based on carbon emissions
Shin et al. (2014). This study also used VECM Granger causality shows that the magnitude of the sum of the positive and negative
to identify bidirectional causality between variables of interest. components of green bonds and renewable energy consumption
The NARDL Bound test method found long-term cointegration are in opposite directions to carbon emissions, respectively.
among the variables presented in the two selected models. Long- The results of the VECM Granger causality test clearly suggest
run variable elasticities based on renewable energy investment that green finance has a Granger cause for renewable energy
shows that expansion of green bonds (GB+ ) and gross domestic investment. Likewise, renewable energy consumption has a one-
product (GDP+ ) significantly boosts renewable energy invest- way causal relationship to GDP and carbon emissions. Moreover,
ment, while the contraction in green bonds (GB− ) and gross GDP and renewable energy investment have a bidirectional causal
domestic product (GDP− ) significantly reduced renewable energy relationship. Similarly, renewable energy consumption and green
investment. The results clearly show that the positive impact finance have two-way causality, and GDP and green finance have
of green bonds and GDP has a larger long-term impact on re- bidirectional causal relationship in the short term. Long-term
newable energy investment than the negative impact of green causality results show that the coefficients of ECMt−1 in variables
5467
Y. Feng, Z. Xiao, J. Zhou et al. Energy Reports 9 (2023) 5458–5472

such as renewable energy investment, green finance, renewable Funding


energy consumption, carbon emissions, and GDP are significant
at the 1% level, while renewable electricity output is significant No funds, grants, or other support were received during the
at the 10% level, reflecting that these variables have a long-term preparation of this manuscript
causality.
The current empirical research suggests policies that need Ethical approval
immediate consideration and implementation. First, the empirical
results explore the volatility of renewable energy investment,
The study obtained ethical approval from Central University of
green finance and renewable electricity output, therefore, pol-
Finance and Economics, Chines Academy of Finance and develop-
icy design must control for the volatility of these variables by
ment, China.
allocating a fixed proportion of the budget or through appro-
priate checks and balances. Second, research empirical evidence
shows that stimulating green finance can significantly boost re- Consent for publication
newable energy investment in China, so policies must consider
strengthening green finance, which will encourage renewable The authors have provided consent to publish this work.
energy investment and renewable energy generation. Moreover,
renewable electricity output greatly facilitates renewable energy Appendix A. Variables interpretation
investment, so China must innovate policies to take into account
renewable electricity rather than fossil fuel generation in order to
achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Strategically, Variables Description Measure- Sources
the policy is believed to help reduce economic, environmental ment
and financial uncertainty in China.
REI Renewable Constant World Development
This study is limited to the environmental, economic and fi-
energy 2015 US$ Indicators (WDI)
nancial aspects of renewable energy in China, however, this study investment
can be extended to other countries or world regions. Additionally,
GB Green bonds Current US$ World Development
this study can be extended to increase the sample size and panel Indicators (WDI)
data analysis. The analysis of this study focuses on the asym-
REO Renewable % of total World Development
metric relationship among green finance, GDP, carbon emissions, electricity electricity Indicators (WDI)
renewable energy investment, and renewable energy consump- output output
tion, taking into account the impact of Covid-19. However, future
PEI Private Current US$ Wind
research on the same theme should be analyzed by considering energy
other natural resources, taking into account both the time before investment
and after Covid-19 and the price of energy and renewables. REC Renewable KG of oil World Development
energy con- equivalent Indicators (WDI)
CRediT authorship contribution statement sumption
CO2 Carbon Metric tons World Development
Yu Feng: Conception and design of study, Analysis and/or emission per capita Indicators (WDI)
interpretation of data, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & GDP Gross Current US$ World Development
editing. Zhihan Xiao: Acquisition of data, Writing – original draft. domestic Indicators (WDI)
Jinghong Zhou: Conception and design of study, Acquisition of product
data, Analysis and/or interpretation of data, Writing – review &
editing. Guqiang Ni: Conception and design of study, Analysis Appendix B. Model stability check for model 1 using CUSUM
and/or interpretation of data, Writing – original draft, Writing – and CUSUMSQ
review & editing.
See Fig. B.1.
Declaration of competing interest
Appendix C. Model stability check for model 2 using CUSUM
Authors declare no conflict of interest.
and CUSUMSQ

Data availability See Fig. C.1.

Data will be made available on request


Appendix D. Cumulative effect of GB on REI

Acknowledgment
See Fig. D.1.

All persons who have made substantial contributions to the


Appendix E. Cumulative effect of GB on CO2
work reported in the manuscript (e.g., technical help, writing and
editing assistance, general support), but who do not meet the
criteria for authorship, are named in the Acknowledgments and See Fig. E.1.
have given us their written permission to be named. If we have
not included an Acknowledgments, then that indicates that we Appendix F. Cumulative effect of REC on CO2
have not received substantial contributions from non-authors.
All authors approved the version of the manuscript to be See Fig. F.1.
published.
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Fig. B.1.

Fig. C.1.

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Y. Feng, Z. Xiao, J. Zhou et al. Energy Reports 9 (2023) 5458–5472

Fig. D.1. Note: 95% bootstrap CI is based on 100 replications.

Fig. E.1. Note: 95% bootstrap CI is based on 100 replications.

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Y. Feng, Z. Xiao, J. Zhou et al. Energy Reports 9 (2023) 5458–5472

Fig. F.1. Note: 95% bootstrap CI is based on 100 replications.

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