NO RAID NO TRADE STRATEGY

By James Jecool King

The direction in which the market is trading is the basic definition of
ORDERFLOW (OF); determining ORDERFLOW requires reading and
comprehending the MARKET STRUCTURE (MS).

When looking for high-probability trades, OF's direction is used as a

confluence. Once OF has been identified, we can use the entry strategies
in BLUEPRINT 1 to trade in the same direction. We always trade in the
direction of order flow, never against it, most of the time.

MARKET STRUCTURE is a good indicator on the direction of

ORDERFLOW; we pay attention to MARKET STRUCTURE BREAKs
(MSBs) and, if they are continuous, the greater the number of MSBs in a
particular direction, the stronger the confluence of OF. Identifying
simple ORDERFLOW // the same principles can be used in both a
bullish and a bearish scenario. Because these are significant areas of
interest, we also pay attention to higher highs and lower lows.
~

Using the H1 to supplement our deduction of ORDERFLOW

- H1 RTO Here we have built up a set of confluences:

- General Bullish Direction and Structure = Bullish OF

- H1 Bullish RTO
- M1 LP setup in line with OF, executed during LO

- Using H1 Fractal High/Lows // often against the M1 OF but these could

either be short impulse move or could be a total reversal

These are typically a little bit more risky because we are trading against
the OF. However, if used correctly, the risk could be reduced by other
confluences, such as the time of day at which the trade was made;
however, we will talk more about this later. We would have broken the
MS of the fractal HIGH/LOW of what was raided (the same one we
would have used for this kind of reversal setup) if the setup resulted in a
loss and price continued to move in the direction of OF. This would be
another confirmation that price was moving in the direction of OF, and
you should continue to trade in that direction from that point on (unless
there is a reason not to, such as another fractal high/low present that has
been raide

Some other Cases of the H1 being used as confluence in identifying

ORDERDLOW
Trading Session Opens // in-line with the ORDERFLOW

Due to my trading system, I am actively trading from 7am – 4pm GMT,

however I am looking at 3 Key times where I am most likely to find a
setup: Before/ during London Open, Before/during New York Open and
the hour between 12 and 1

When we look for trades before or soon after session open, as long as we
know the OF then we are able to find a high Probability setup often

As long as we have the OF identified, we can sometimes get away with

using a setup where a raid does not necessarily occur, where there is a
closed candle above/below the fractal HIGH/LOW, but as long as there
is a MSB confirming the Candle as well as clear OF

we take these types of setup as a raid does not necessarily happen during
and around these session opens, but we expect a movement In price in
the direction of OF to offset the risk of not trading a RTO/LTO with a
wick raid, but it MUST be a raid/run of a fractal

HIGH/LOW and a confirmation MSB MUST be present.

Without a wick raid

To make you feel better about this, you can switch to the M5 TF to see if
there was a raid of the fractal low/high on there, as it’s a higher TF
confluence of the direction of OF, however we use these rarely and not
really necessary

The same principles can be used for New York Open

However sometimes at NYO price can move the complete opposite to the
London Open and it’s Important we are aware of this
We may have to use other confluences in order to determine when this
would happen, however this is would be the result of a great deal of
backtesting to help you understand when these would occur and help to
develop your overall trading instincts and abilities, as always.

Another key time to identify potential setups is 12-1pm, here we see price
often make a Swing High or Low, giving us a short-term confluence,
which could be used in conjuncture with the NYO. It can also be used as
a continuation of a the general OF, or could be the cause of a Reversal in
price where OF is switched
When it comes to trading and looking for setup at these important times,
no 2 days are the same, it’s important to note these are just examples
identifying the patterns of which occur the most, you would need to do
EXTENSIVE BACKTESTING in order to totally familiarise yourself
with how to identify OF as well as developing your skillset, so you are
able to navigate the M1 successfully day after day, this is your EDGE.
#1 Entry Techniques
1) Basics of Entries
When looking for High Probability Setups, we look for 2 basic forms of
confirmation when it comes to methods of entering a trade on the M1
Timeframe:

1: Stop Raid or Stop run // REMEMBER NO RAID NO TRADE

It is important to remember to only use the raid of a previous fractal

High/Low, use trading view indicator ‘WICK.ED Fractals’ (courtesy of
@mit_wick) to put them on your chart.

2: Market Structure Break/MSB

NOW THAT WE’VE COVERED THE TWO BASIC ELEMENTS OF
AN ENTRY METHOD, WE CAN MOVE ON
2) Methods of entry

1: SIMPLE RTO (RETURN-TO-ORIGIN) // Most common entry

As we can see, in both the bullish and bearish examples, the trades were
a success and we banked 3R. You should ALWAYS use a TP of 3R to
allow for consistent profits as well as capital preservation.

2: Breaker // very rare I take this type of entry as they are a lot less likely to
succeed so bear in mind
Again, 3R TP as always
3: LP // second most common entry behind the RTO
3R TP again you know the vibes, Stops are generally wider with the LP
so will take a larger movement in price in order to reach TP
SUMMARY
1) BASICS OF ENTRY
1: Stop Raid or Stop run // REMEMBER NO RAID NO TRADE
2: Market Structure Break/MSB
2) METHODS OF ENTRY
1: Simple RTO (Return-To-Origin) //most common entry Using the Raid
Candle as our entry block

2: Breaker // Least common entry

Using the last Fractal HIGH/LOW candle which breaks Market
Structure as our entry block

3: LP // Second most common entry

Creating a block which encompasses both the RTO block and Breaker,
generally requires a larger stop so will take longer to reach TP

COMMENTS
REMEMBER ALWAYS 3R TP REGARDLESS OF ENTRY METHOD

DECIDING WHICH ENTRY TECHNIQUE TO USE AND WHEN IS

BASED UPON YOUR FEEL FOR THE MARKET AND YOUR OWN
SYSTEM, I GENERALLY ONLY USE A SIMPLE RTO HOWEVER
IF THE BREAKER AND RTO BLOCK ARE CLOSE ENOUGH
TOGETHER, I WILL USE AN LP FOR

AN ADDED LEVEL OF SECURITY. PERSONALLY, I HATE USING

LPs WITH A LARGE SL BECAUSE IT TAKES LONGER TO REACH
TP BUT THAT IS JUST ME, I AM IMPATIENT, SO THAT IS WHY I
ONLY USE LPs IF THE SL IS DECENTLY SMALL

EXTENSIVE BACKTESTING IS REQUIRED ON YOUR PART IN

ORDER TO GET COMFORTABLE WITH EACH TECHNIQUE,
UNFORTUNATLY THIS IS UNAVIODABLE NO LEVEL OF
MENTORSHIP CAN REPLACE YOUR OWN BACKTESTING

NO ENTRY TECHNIQUE IS 100% ACCURATE HOWEVER THESE

ARE THE BASIC BUILDING BLOCKS OF ENTERING A HIGH
PROBABILTY TRADE, BACKTEST THEN BACKTEST SOME
MORE

THESE ENTRY TECHNIQUES ARE TO BE USED IN

CONJUNCTION WITH ORDERFLOW, IN THE NEXT PART OF
THE BLUEPRINT THAT IS WHAT WE WILL BE DISCUSSING. DO
NOT TRADE AGAINST ORDERFLOW!
Diagrams