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UONIT- F Avalysts of Srmilabion Qubpu OWwhy do we perform, tue-analyas of stmuledion, ollpal ? fus! 1 perform He analysis of arnubacion ouput + predicd system Porormance, “or Compane. performance. of of ‘More, system. cleaigne. TH 4a needed recauge 0 dada. from a. simulation show nandom. voniatlity when random umber, qeroradans anc used re, too dillesehd yondon nusiber. Sheans ‘will produce. dun sels of oulpud hice prolly oll cuffer. The, outpud analyets deber resneg: ~vthe estimable of the mean and, variance. ef vardom, variables, he wun of cheowabins segue. ty adie a dean predeim of these coltmaes . @. Condidence. Intewal: \ Confidence andewwal a orange of poseable velues Yrod 18 rkely to capcho. ae unknown der. gwven a, cerbam. d of Sbabiliy (onkdoee Cons, nla on herd con dlenofed, by CE and pen. by He, ferme: Cl=*4z2_ ge hone, ae = sample eae zaconfidence, Level value S= eG steurdond. devia. Confidence bach 24-20, Alaha (cc) 4 baoch oe Me septfoone level ov accepled. enon. ce a Aspreally 2 oad . accephed ask, but vanies dopendin oS shadton, LTD: Trfmite population thas a si honany dishnibubio with a $inthe wnean ge and. finthe Vantanco. o, Samgle variable and time. Sat ee ot gerel: ibibo. Random vaniables Hal eed dtebrabuled Gai. Srdependely an sorta @Hupotheas Tesling: Hapette Ban assumplion or claim. er - ee hss desi method, a ane vc th seal hallo the Hh ‘ ae el eh There ane hwo dupes of Ay : Null Hypotheses (He): EL 3 symbolized hoy Mo which. 9 known. or seeped feb. Bo eds at there, 48 no slhodisheal ft ude lee variables and 4a vsually uthall we ane. For foeample: Hy= 0 whe, there 48 v9 atprtance dlefference bebweert duo hype Alternative Hypothesis (Hs) Allernade sypelhents a symbe aed Iy Hy owt 98 dhe opposition, of Ate mulls and #6 hab vet ame desding for S&S ci SHonificance. scounple ; , oad grthcane difference, bebieen sum hypebeat. @ Eabrmalion Methode: ‘ Constler Bre esbimalin of av performance poramelr © of a stmulaled system. sanrscrede dime. dads (YasYay oes¥n) with ondinars ay > Conbinuows—Hme, datas Yd), 0244763 with Hime recta mean: J >The pent estimalot 18 6-4 a > ZL 48 unbiased af ats expected value 48 0, die, f: E()=0 ly Th as biased of &(§)40 and 6(6)-0 4 coll. bug of. 30, @ ford, eabimadion J enobinans hme dada ie fe. bythe. point estimator 1; Bee { yeb)de, bad 4s biased on gennal. shows OAR ly An unbtased. or cho-biag estimator By desined. @tntow: exhtvnabionf(mdrdence. Frlowal. cadirnaion: = a. Suppose, the wnodeb 98 the. von, chahtbudion with year 0, variance oP and we. +hawe- asample of n etve, then varlanc. of sorple cbta 98: 224 Biya Bak E lted shone 48 sample mam. Yhe confplnce sbenval of 4-desllsbubin. with, on- e of feeder, esbhaled voriane, 2, for % 48 defined bys Ree his exe Here the quewstly Sn ycupe 6 fwd an tedichthubion fable, Buample: The doi seduction. Lime of a prdued ma fe for 100 obeys ds “4 ves and, sample sdundend deviation (B) 48 4.6, Calewlake confidence. snewal for 957%. Hons = Conkiderce nbewal Hitt, u/s ce, Sgt 16 _ 498% | ~0-42008/2 {120 C8 a o.5= 498 =5.3+0.99 Henees the. eafimales behoeen 5,8+029 can he. accephed for 95% emfidente sntenval, @Simuledion run. stabeel ress Faml, eaimnation ynebhod , 1 wed, Shah the tee are, a relordnd ial the. dhefrtbuton for vehteh. hy ane. dan 95 shabmony, Undood un meay Shodtadies of Snloead ar stmuladion do rob meet ¢ conditions, exormple ef such. uewing system, Correlation 43 Necegs Ao eo ae So eh, casts, stmulabon run stodedreg od 48 used, & elle Cngider a gyslerr rth Kendalls notation mm/s [ETFO aa the. leche lh see Phe. mean. weidsg Lime. proach, He mer wath time 14 Saiabel by accumula the vaotling bone of successive. erdittes and’ een sb ae Unvtded by ais has emeagunee Phe sample. mean. cur Hhads m Xm)=4 a my Qine, Serrns , He wetting dime ef each enty on the Lie. cb, PA pend upon. the, iaaig dine of ts predecesters, Buch Serteg of della. in htc. one value. affect athon values 418 said, bo sample mean. of audocorrecded daba car e Shown, Sppruimate a nmmal) dishrtbution as the Samele sie. mereasea, A stmubatn ven % shorted cord. the sister 4n Some. anitial. state, Sieg the adbe state, Ww which, NO service 3g beta gree and. mo ertibies are watding. The. conly amivals Hoy lock 2, rine Hn ermal pil of se 60 a. Sarple nag Service quickly, ean thal snch, vals, worl braae A eoly ani, le Why corfdence mdoval 2 needed an He analyers of, ane etbpub? Ho cau, we. establish a te paler 9B ‘Ta the analyers f stmulabion oubpul, confidence smntowal oe tet re 4 provide. ua ae upper.ard, Lover Aad autocorrected , ow sample wean, and, with this antewal, we car. then be, condident o shave caphined. de. population. mean The dover. inal and, upper int arcund our. seunele mean us He vange, er hak oun true population mean 38 ley b de Wizhin. We can. eofabliehr eek andowall as fllnoss 4 Tdordeh, a sample sdabecdte (eg, s sle mean, same proportion) ment, will ie to estimate = popula anamoter.. WSelech a confidence level» We con dhovee 90%, 35%, 99%. Bid the wangin. of omon.. TE sg calculated ass ‘mangin of emer =Criftcal value * Standard, devtadion GE margin. of onor-s Cadieal value Standard. omon. sp Spectfy the confidence snderval 28; Confidence. srleral = sample stebicdte + Mangin- of enon. © Repheabions of Runst ad Ove! ua obbaining tndependond resull 4¢ to numbes for Le Lolo Bien, gives a, sel of sndeperdend delermtnabion of sumple mean 2, Suppose the expentrnord 4s veopeabed, Pp times veh ‘independent Yardom. values of ov Sowple S128, lob ay be the 44 chsenvacinn sn jth yun. and Lol sample ‘mean, and variance for Ho. th yun 4g cleo by %;(n) and 5°(n) respectively Then. for J un the eolinnades ae Bm= 4 z iy Hn) “Ae xy - yay Comtbtntng the the resubf of p tndlependend measwement de Paling estimade for mean % and variance s? of populebion Os; Ss @.Ebininedion of anthal bing: aes Laken; To remove. the. btag hu general, approaches ca be tne state )The. system can ke stated. Ma more epresed then! the sdabe YL Some mulation studi where the snfermadion abut expected, “abe 8 sveababhe cab 1s fale to sdecl bello sinthial conditions, The sdeal solution 2¢ to bnno the fey sek dash thu $rom ion for the gystem and selecd the sribial condsbh had dred bution, The more: com nen approach, to remove tnftial bias 46 fo alluntuale av turbid seclon of run i by 7 ‘he run. Jarted, dle stale and. 5 f' afte. a cedair period of ae existing tn Lhal syatem ab thol! Hrme. are tefl as ee oun 48 tho restarted wilh the sbabtelieg bug qth from the pote oP Yestant, No otreple rules can be grven. be clecitde. Srero an ep wall ternal wae opieable to use, Sone, Hox suns ing from dle s Aro chon ‘id bag senate ge q te

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