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Table Of Contents
Grant Thornton Introduction ................................................. 3 Private Equity Exits Overview ................................................ 4-9
Deals and Exits Imbalance .................................................. Portfolio Inventory and Holding Period ............................ Exit Trends by Year and Quarter ....................................... Median Exit Value and Exit EBITDA Multiple ................... Exits by Size Bucket .............................................................. Exits by Region and Industry .............................................. Business Products and Services ......................................... Consumer Products and Services ...................................... Information Technology ...................................................... Healthcare ............................................................................. Financial Services ................................................................. Energy .................................................................................... 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11
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The people in the independent rms of Grant Thornton International Ltd provide personalized attention and the highest quality service to public and private clients in more than 100 countries. Grant Thornton LLP is the U.S. member rm of Grant Thornton International Ltd, one of the six global audit, tax and advisory organizations. Grant Thornton International Ltd and its member rms are not a worldwide partnership, as each member rm is a separate and distinct legal entity. Grant Thornton LLP oers private equity rms and their portfolio companies a broad array of services tailored to their individual needs and goals. Our professionals are responsive and dedicated, with strong experience in audit, tax, transaction and other advisory services. More importantly, we bring valuable ideas and insights to help our private equity clients achieve their objectives to build and realize exceptional value.
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*Through Q
The number of companies currently owned by U.S. private equity rms is 6,107, a slight increase from where it stood at the end of 2010 (6,001), but almost double where it was just ve years ago. The steady growth of PE-owned companies, pictured in the chart below, shows not only the growth of the industry since 2005 but also how the imbalance of new investments to exits has led to record portfolio sizes. The sustainability of this growth is questionable, and likely why the growth appears to be leveling o in 2011. The fact is that at some point all of these companies will have to be sold by their investors; some, like the 1,000 that are over seven years old (dark blue region), sooner than later. These mature portfolio companies represent prime opportunities for other PE rms and strategic acquirers with cash available for investments and acquisitions. Company Inventory
This chart breaks down the current 6,107-company private equity overhang by the date of original investment. Using the current median holding period of ve years, this chart shows that there are almost 2,000 companies that are past due for an exit and approximately another 2,000 more that are within a year of it. It will be worth watching the inventory levels for 2006-2008 vintage investment closely to see if PE rms will be able to exit them in good time or if they will lead to a serious case of portfolio indigestion.
5 Private Equity Exits - 2011 Mid-Year
The median time to nal exit from initial investment climbed to almost ve years by the end of the rst half of 2011, a new record. The reason for the continued growth in 1H 2011 has been the need for PE rms to hold on to companies that are ripe for an exit in hopes of realizing a higher valuation on the back of another quarter or two of earnings growth. The median holding period will likely continue to increase as PE rms work through their inventory of aging portfolio companies.
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Exits by Year
Exits by Quarter
*Through Q
Despite a decrease in the median exit size during 1H 2011 from 2010 highs, the median exit for private equity-backed companies continues to be above the levels seen before 2010. For corporate acquisitions, the size drop was by 23% to $170 million, and for secondary buyouts, it was 16% to $295 million. The B2B industry, accounting for one-third of PE exits, was the key contributor to the decline of exit deal sizes in the rst half of 2011, with the industry median exit size dropping to $120 million from $168 million in 2010. The drop in median exit size is likely a reection of smaller companies being sold by PE rms, as opposed to a decline in the values of the PE companies being sold, since the exit size/EBITDA multiple has held steady.
The median exit multiple (exit deal size/EBITDA) for private equity-backed exits so far in 2011 has stayed on-par with 2010 at 8x. Under the surface though multiples have been changing in the rst half of 2011, strategic acquisitions have increased to 9.6x from 8.5x, while exit multiples for IPOs and secondary buyouts decreased. Exits in the information technology and energy sectors closed with the highest multiples, both at 13.7x, followed by consumer products and services at 8x.
There were two main changes in the breakdown of exit activity by deal size during the rst half of 2011: a decrease in deals between $500 million $1 billion and an increase in deals above the $1 billion mark. Despite the increase in large exits, it is important to note that it is the lower- and middle-markets that account for 83% of private equity exit activity. This is a positive sign for the industry, as the vast majority of private equity investments fall within this range and hopefully an encouraging sign to investors that exit opportunities are available across the company size spectrum.
While lower- and middle-markets see the most exits, larger exits, $1 billion and above, account for the majority of capital proceeds. Private equity-backed exits above $1 billion totaled $42.47 billion in aggregate deal size and represented 70% of exit sales in the rst half of 2011. The largest part of that total comes from exits above $2.5 billion, which during the rst half of 2011 totaled eight, ve more than in all of 2010. The top industry for these mega exits in 2011 has been Healthcare, having tallied four to its credit so far.
Exit activity was dominated by the Business Products & Services and Consumer Products & Services industries during the rst half of 2011. Information Technology continued to hold its position as the third most active industry for the third year running, followed closely by Healthcare. Exit activity was weak in the remaining sectors, a trend that reaches back to the beginning of 2009. In the B2B industry, exits were evenly split between the Commercial Products and Commercial Services sectors with 26 deals apiece. In the B2C space, exit activity was more widespread with thirteen in the Consumer Non-Durables sector, nine in Consumer Durables and seven in Transportation. In the remaining industries, there were pockets of concentrated exit activity, such as the sixteen exits from Software companies, nine from Healthcare Services companies and six from Energy Services companies. The industries that saw the biggest decline in exit activity during 1H 2011 compared to 1H 2010 were Energy with a 36% drop, Materials & Resources with a 29% decline and Financial Services with a 20% decline.
Exit by Sector
Information Technology
The Information Technology (IT) industry, which includes the Communication and Networking, IT Hardware, Semiconductors, IT Services and Software sectors, saw 166 exits completed in the past three years. The rst half of 2011 ended with 32 completed exits, an increase of 14% from the same period last year. The Software sector led the rst half of 2011 with sixteen completed exits, followed by the Communications and Networking sector with six. The combined total of the industrys exits was $4.04 billion for the rst half of 2011, the lowest amount of any industry.
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Healthcare
The Healthcare industry, which includes the Devices and Supplies, Healthcare Technology Systems, Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology and Medical Services sectors, saw a total of 124 exits during the last three years. There were 26 exits completed during the rst half of 2011, on par with the same period last year. The most active sector in the Healthcare industry was Medical Services with nine exits. The Healthcare industry was the most active industry in terms of capital proceeds during the rst half of 2011 with a total of $18.2 billion.
Financial Services
The Financial Services industry, which includes the Capital Markets and Institutions, Commercial Banks and Insurance sectors, completed 55 exits in the past three years. With only eight completed transactions in the rst half of 2011, the industry was the least active industry in terms of private equity exits. The industry has seen a very low level of exit activity stretching back a number of years despite a signicant amount of past private equity investment. This will be one industry to keep an eye on to see if and how and when private equity rms are able to successfully exit their portfolios of mature investments.
Exit by Sector
Energy
The Energy industry, which includes the Equipment; Exploration, Production and Rening; Energy Services and Utilities sectors, has seen only 57 exits in the past three years, a number equivalent to only about 15% of the 374 Energy companies PE rms invested in during this same time frame. A total of nine exits were completed in the rst half of 2011, a 36% decrease from the same period last year. Energy Services was the most active sector in the Energy industry during the rst half of 2011 with six completed exits totaling $4.3 billion.
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U.S. PE rms traditionally look to sell their portfolio companies to other U.S. companies and investors, but this has been changing over the last few years. The amount of PE-backed companies sold to non-U.S. investors or companies now accounts for about 10% of all exits. With the Canadian dollar on par with the U.S., Canadian investors and companies are nding a lot more opportunities south of the border and have accounted for almost 40% of non-U.S. buyer activity in 2011. European buyers have slightly decreased their activity from years past, while Chinese buyers have stepped up to account for about 15% of non-U.S. buyer exits.
12 Private Equity Exits - 2011 Mid-Year
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When it comes to fully exiting investments (not just generating some liquidity) private equity rms rely heavily on three main strategies: sales to strategic acquirers (corporate acquisitions), sales to other private equity rms (secondary buyouts) or taking the company public (IPOs). Over the years, the mix of these exit strategies has largely stayed consistent with corporate acquisitions accounting for the majority, followed by secondary buyouts and then IPOs. So far in 2011, there has been little change to the status quo, as shown by the breakdown of exit types in the stacked bar chart below. However, in the 4Q 2010 exit rush, there were a large number of secondary buyouts, 66 to be exact, as private equity rms turned to other private equity rms. There are multiple explanations for this, including PE rms need at the time for the quick closing ability of PE-to-PE deals and the easy sourcing of buyers from existing industry relationships.
The rst half of 2011 showed that the dierent exit strategies were ring on all cylinders for private equity investors with strong competition from strategics and buyout rms in auction sales and more successful IPOs than in years past. There are currently a plethora of positive trends occurring across corporate acquisitions, secondary buyouts and IPOs that bode well for the second half of 2011 and on into 2012. They are covered in more detail on the following pages.
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Corporate Acquisition
Number of Coroprate Acquisition Exits
Companies (strategic acquirers) have long been the biggest buyers of private equity-backed companies and that shows no sign of changing this year with 101 such deals totaling $39.5 billion completed in the rst half of 2011. Over the past ve years corporate acquisitions have accounted for about 60% of PE exit deals, although this has dipped slightly with the recent increase in IPOs and secondary buyouts. The median corporate acquisition deal amount so far in 2011 has been $170 million, the second highest amount ever as PE rms take advantage of the deep pockets of strategics. Among the companies buying PE companies in 2011 are a number of Fortune 500 companies such as General Electric (NYSE: GE), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE) and Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV), as well a number of medium sized businesses such as Loomis Fargo, Saputo Cheese and Helen of Troy (NASDAQ: HELE). The industry breakdown of corporate acquisition deals in 2011 has largely been spread out equally among four main industries, but looking deeper, there are clusters of activity around a few sectors, mainly Commercial Products, Consumer Non-Durables, Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology, and Software. With the amount of cash on corporate balance sheets and the need for companies to nd growth in the current low growth environment, the dynamics for more corporate acquisitions certainly exist and could lead to a busy rest of the year.
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Secondary Buyout
Number of Secondary Buyout Exits
Private equity to private equity deals, known as secondary buyouts, have received a lot of attention this year, but so far there has not been the speculated increase in these deals. They have been chugging along at around 28% to 32% of exit deal ow for the last two and half years with the exception of 4Q 2010, when there was a spike in secondary activity. During 4Q 2010, there were 66 secondary buyouts with a combined deal value of $23.5 billion. It took the rst two quarters of 2011 to reach 66 secondary buyouts totaling only $12.4 billion. The secondary buyouts so far in 2011 have been disproportionally centered on the Business Products and Services industry with 29 deals, followed by the Consumer Products and Services industry with 15 deals. In 2011, secondary buyout exits have on average come ve years after a PE rms initial investment in the company. This is in line with what was seen in 2010 but a full year longer than what it was between 2006 and 2008. All of the conditions are in place for an increase in secondary buyout activity with a $470 billion private equity capital overhang and a record inventory of 4,633 PE-backed companies at or beyond the normal exit period. Look for more secondary buyouts to take place in the second half of 2011 and really gain momentum in 2012.
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Private equity rms have faced a rough time with the public markets over the past several years with only 101 IPOs completed since the beginning of 2008, as compared with the 118 in 2006 and 2007. The good news though is that PE rms in the past 18 months have been able to take advantage of the recovering stock market by taking 63 companies public. Leading the charge was Hospital Corporation of America (NYSE: HCA) with the largest PE-backed IPO ever at $4.3 billion, as well as other large oerings such as Kinder Morgan (NSYE: KMI) and The Nielsen Company (NYSE: NLSN). Most of the companies though were more modest in size with the median market cap at time of IPO being $835 million. It is important to note that in most of the recent private equity company IPOs the PE rms are selling very few of their shares, if any. Most IPOs proceeds are instead being used by the companies for debt repayment and other corporate purposes. This drawn out exit is likely why there is a four-year hold time before IPOs are completed, as opposed to ve years for both secondary buyouts and corporate acquisitions. IPOs are highly aected by the equity markets, but with 82 PE-backed companies sitting in IPO registration, there is potential for an active second half of the year.
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