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Mathematical Ideas 13th Edition Miller Test Bank

Mathematical Ideas 13th Edition Miller Test Bank

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Ch. 11 Probability
11.1 Basic Concepts
1 Find Probability of Event

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Give the probability that the spinner shown would land on the indicated color.
1) white

1 1 1 2
A) B) C) D)
2 4 3 3

2) grey

3 1 1
A) B) C) D) 3
4 2 3

3) white

1 1 2 2
A) B) C) D)
6 5 3 5

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4) grey

1 1 1 2
A) B) C) D)
3 6 2 3

2 Solve Apps: Theoretical Probability

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the probability.


1) A bag contains 6 red marbles, 7 blue marbles, and 4 green marbles. What is the probability that a randomly
selected marble is blue?
7 6 4 7
A) B) C) D)
17 17 17 13

2) Two fair 6-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability the sum of the two numbers on the dice is 4?
1 2 11
A) B) C) D) 3
12 3 12

3) A bag contains 6 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 1 green marble. What is the probability that a randomly
selected marble is not blue?
7 10 3
A) B) C) D) 7
10 7 10

4) A bag contains 15 balls numbered 1 through 15. What is the probability that a randomly selected ball has an
even number?
7 15 2
A) B) C) D) 7
15 7 15

5) Two fair 6-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum of the two numbers on the dice is greater
than 10?
1 5 1
A) B) C) D) 3
12 18 18

6) Two 6-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the two numbers obtained differ by more than 2?
1 11 13 1
A) B) C) D)
3 36 36 4

7) Three fair coins are tossed. Find the probability of getting exactly two tails.
3 1 1 5
A) B) C) D)
8 2 4 8

8) Three fair coins are tossed. Find the probability of getting the same thing on all three coins.
1 1 1 3
A) B) C) D)
4 8 2 8

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9) If a person is randomly selected, find the probability that his or her birthday is in May. Ignore leap years.
Assume that all days of the year are equally likely for a given birth.
31 1 1 1
A) B) C) D)
365 31 365 12

10) A class consists of 82 women and 99 men. If a student is randomly selected, what is the probability that the
student is a woman?
82 1 82 99
A) B) C) D)
181 181 99 181

3 Solve Apps: Odds

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1)

What are the odds in favor of spinning an A on this spinner?


A) 3:5 B) 2:6 C) 4:2 D) 6:2

2)

What are the odds against spinning a D on this spinner?


A) 7:1 B) 1:7 C) 8:1 D) 6:1

3)

What are the odds in favor of drawing a 3 from these cards?


A) 1:4 B) 1:5 C) 4:1 D) 5:1

4)

What are the odds in favor of drawing an even number from these cards?
A) 2:3 B) 2:5 C) 3:2 D) 5:2

5)

What are the odds against drawing a number greater than 2 from these cards?
A) 2:3 B) 5:2 C) 2:5 D) 3:2

6) A number cube labeled with numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 is tossed. What are the odds in favor of the cube
showing an odd number?
A) 1:1 B) 1:2 C) 2:1 D) 3:2

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7) A number cube labeled with numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 is tossed. What are the odds against the cube showing
a 4?
A) 5:1 B) 1:5 C) 5:6 D) 6:1

8) A number cube labeled with numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 is tossed. What are the odds in favor of the cube
showing a number less than 3?
A) 1:2 B) 1:1 C) 1:3 D) 2:1

9) If it has been determined that the probability of an earthquake occurring on a certain day in a certain area is
0.01, what are the odds against an earthquake?
A) 99 to 1 B) 100 to 1 C) 98 to 1 D) 1 to 100

10) If the probability that an identified hurricane will make a direct hit on a certain stretch of beach is 0.25, what
are the odds against a direct hit?
A) 3 to 1 B) 4 to 1 C) 2 to 1 D) 1 to 4

4 Solve Apps: Empirical Probability

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1) The table shows the number of college students who prefer a given pizza topping.

toppings freshman sophomore junior senior


cheese 10 11 28 22
meat 21 22 11 10
veggie 11 10 21 22

Find the empirical probability that a randomly selected student prefers cheese toppings.
A) 0.357 B) 0.111 C) 0.322 D) 0.310

2) The table shows the number of college students who prefer a given pizza topping.

toppings freshman sophomore junior senior


cheese 13 12 19 23
meat 21 23 12 13
veggie 12 13 21 23

Find the empirical probability that a randomly selected junior prefers meat toppings.
A) 0.231 B) 0.059 C) 0.174 D) 0.323

3) The table shows the number of college students who prefer a given pizza topping.

toppings freshman sophomore junior senior


cheese 13 11 23 27
meat 21 27 11 13
veggie 11 13 21 27

Find the empirical probability that a randomly selected freshman prefers cheese toppings.
A) 0.289 B) 0.060 C) 0.176 D) 0.467

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4) The table shows the number of college students who prefer a given pizza topping.

toppings freshman sophomore junior senior


cheese 16 12 25 29
meat 20 29 12 16
veggie 12 16 20 29

Find the empirical probability that a randomly selected student prefers meat toppings.
A) 0.326 B) 0.085 C) 0.347 D) 0.260

5) The results of a school election for student president are shown in the following table.
Candidate A B C D E
Votes for 14 21 20 29 16

What is the probability that a randomly polled voter voted for Candidate C?
A) 0.2 B) 0.14 C) 0.50 D) 0.29

6) It has been observed in one country, that 63 out of every 100 births is a baby with brown eyes. In 670 births
how many brown eyed babies would you expect?
A) 422 B) 63 C) 417 D) 335

7) In a poll, respondents were asked whether they had ever been in a car accident. 411 respondents indicated that
they had been in a car accident and 170 respondents said that they had not been in a car accident. If one of
these respondents is randomly selected, what is the probability of getting someone who has been in a car
accident?
A) 0.707 B) 0.002 C) 2.418 D) 0.293

8) The distribution of B.A. degrees conferred by a local college is listed below, by major.

Major Frequency
English 2073
Mathematics 2164
Chemistry 318
Physics 856
Liberal Arts 1358
Business 1676
Engineering 868
9313

What is the probability that a randomly selected degree is in Engineering?


A) 0.0932 B) 0.0012 C) 868 D) 0.1028

5 Solve Apps: Genetics

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1) Mendel found no dominance in snapdragons with respect to red and white flower color. When pure red (RR)
and pure white (rr) parents are crossed, the resulting Rr combination (one of each gene) produces second
generation offspring with pink flowers. Suppose one of these second generation pinks is crossed with a pure
white. What is the probability that the resulting snapdragon will have white flowers?
A) 0.5 B) 0.25 C) 0.75 D) 0

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2) Mendel found no dominance in snapdragons with respect to red and white flower color. When pure red (RR)
and pure white (rr) parents are crossed, the resulting Rr combination (one of each gene) produces second
generation offspring with pink flowers. Suppose one of these second generation pinks is crossed with a pure
white. What is the probability that the resulting snapdragon will have pink flowers?
A) 0.5 B) 0.25 C) 0.75 D) 0

3) Mendel found no dominance in snapdragons with respect to red and white flower color. When pure red (RR)
and pure white (rr) parents are crossed, the resulting Rr combination (one of each gene) produces second
generation offspring with pink flowers. Suppose one of these second generation pinks is crossed with a pure
red. What is the probability that the resulting snapdragon will have red flowers?
A) 0.5 B) 0.25 C) 0.75 D) 1

4) Mendel found no dominance in snapdragons with respect to red and white flower color. When pure red (RR)
and pure white (rr) parents are crossed, the resulting Rr combination (one of each gene) produces second
generation offspring with pink flowers. Suppose one of these second generation pinks is crossed with a pure
red. What is the probability that the resulting snapdragon will have white flowers?
A) 0 B) 0.25 C) 0.75 D) 0.5

5) Mendel found that flower color in certain pea plants obeyed this scheme:
Pure red crossed with pure white produces red.
When pure red (RR) and pure white (rr) parents are crossed, the resulting Rr combination (one of each gene)
produces second generation offspring with red flowers, since red is dominant. Suppose one of these second
generation Rr flowers is crossed with a pure white. What is the probability that the resulting plant will have
red flowers?
A) 0.5 B) 0.25 C) 0.75 D) 0

6) Mendel found that flower color in certain pea plants obeyed this scheme:
Pure red crossed with pure white produces red.
When pure red (RR) and pure white (rr) parents are crossed, the resulting Rr combination (one of each gene)
produces second generation offspring with red flowers, since red is dominant. Suppose one of these second
generation Rr flowers is crossed with a pure red. What is the probability that the resulting plant will have
white flowers?
A) 0 B) 0.25 C) 0.75 D) 0.5

7) Mendel found that flower color in certain pea plants obeyed this scheme:
Pure red crossed with pure white produces red.
When pure red (RR) and pure white (rr) parents are crossed, the resulting Rr combination (one of each gene)
produces second generation offspring with red flowers, since red is dominant. Suppose one of these second
generation Rr flowers is crossed with a pure red. What is the probability that the resulting plant will have red
flowers?
A) 1 B) 0.25 C) 0.75 D) 0.5

8) Mendel found that flower color in certain pea plants obeyed this scheme:
Pure red crossed with pure white produces red.
When pure red (RR) and pure white (rr) parents are crossed, the resulting Rr combination (one of each gene)
produces second generation offspring with red flowers, since red is dominant. Suppose that two of these
second generation Rr flowers are crossed. What is the probability that the resulting plant will have red
flowers?
A) 0.75 B) 0.25 C) 1 D) 0.5

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6 Solve Apps: Card Combinations

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the probability of the following card hands from a 52 -card deck. In poker, aces are either high or low. A bridge
hand is made up of 13 cards.
1) In poker, a royal flush (5 highest cards of a single suit)
A) 0.00000154 B) 0.000000385 C) 0.000275 D) 0.00198

2) In poker, a flush (5 in same suit) in any suit


A) 0.00198 B) 0.000495 C) 0.000347 D) 0.00122

3) In poker, a full house (3 cards of one value, 2 of another value)


A) 0.00144 B) 0.00000920 C) 0.00655 D) 0.0000385

4) In poker, four of a kind (4 cards of the same value)


A) 0.000240 B) 0.0000185 C) 0.0000200 D) 0.000434

5) In poker, a straight flush (5 in a row in a single suit)


A) 0.0000139 B) 0.00000231 C) 0.0000123 D) 0.00000923

6) In bridge, 6 of one suit, 4 of another, and 3 of another


A) 0.00055 B) 0.0133 C) 0.0022 D) 0.0060

7) In bridge, all cards in one suit


A) 0.00000000000157 B) 0.00000000000630 C) 0.00000000000314 D) 0.0000000000314

8) In bridge, 4 aces
A) 0.00264 B) 0.00059 C) 0.01056 D) 0.00118

9) In bridge, exactly 3 kings and exactly 3 queens


A) 0.00097 B) 0.00018 C) 0.00024 D) 0.00337

7 ^Solve Apps: Probability

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1) Two distinct even numbers are selected at random from the first ten even numbers greater than zero. What is
the probability that the sum is 30?
1 1 2 1
A) B) C) D)
15 45 45 10

2) The Gray Stone Rock Band will give 10 performances this season. Four of these will be only songs from the 70s.
If Tony gets to pick two tickets at random, what is the probability that he will get both 70s tickets?
2 1 2 2
A) B) C) D)
15 2 5 45

3) A family has three children. What is the probability that two of the children are boys?
3 2 2 1
A) B) C) D)
8 3 8 2

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4) Mr. Larsenʹs third grade class has 22 students, 12 girls and 10 boys. Two students must be selected at random
to be in the spring play. What is the probability that one boy and one girl will be chosen? Order is not
important.
40 1 2 5
A) B) C) D)
77 11 11 6

5) Mr. Larsenʹs third grade class has 22 students, 12 girls and 10 boys. Two students must be selected at random
to be in the fall play. What is the probability that no boys will be chosen? Order is not important.
2 1 6 5
A) B) C) D)
7 6 11 6

6) If 3 boys and 2 girls are arranged at random in a row, what is the probability that two boys will not be in
adjacent seats?
12 3 2! 2
A) B) C) D)
5! 5! 5! 5

7) Four boys and three girls are seated in a row, at random, to watch a play. What is the probability that a girl is
seated at each end of the row?

1 2 3 1
A) B) C) D)
7 7 7 14

8) Four married couples have reserved eight seats in a row at the theater, starting at an aisle seat. If they arrange
themselves randomly, what is the probability that all the women will sit in adjacent seats and all the men will
sit in adjacent seats?
1 1 1 2
A) B) C) D)
35 840 70 315

9) The digits 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 7 are randomly arranged to form a six -digit number. Find the probability that the
first and last digits are both even.
1 1 1 1
A) B) C) D)
15 30 12 360

10) In an essay contest, a teacher finds that seven students have written excellent essays. Three of these students
are Alicia, Pat, and David. If the teacher chooses the first place winner, second place winner, and third place
winner at random from these seven students, what is the probability that Alicia will win first prize, Pat will
win second prize, and David will win third prize?
1 1 3 1
A) B) C) D)
210 35 7 840

11.2 Events Involving ʺNotʺ and ʺOrʺ


1 Decide Whether Events are Mutually Exclusive (Y/N)

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Decide whether or not the events are mutually exclusive.


1) Speaking Spanish and speaking Chinese
A) No B) Yes

2) Wearing a coat and wearing a sweater


A) No B) Yes

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3) Events A and B defined as follows
A card is drawn at random from a deck of cards. Event A is that the card obtained is a face card and B is the
event that the card obtained is a spade.
A) No B) Yes

4) Events A and B defined as follows


A card is drawn at random from a deck of cards. Event A is that the card obtained is a face card and B is the
event that the card obtained is a two.
A) Yes B) No

5) Being a male and being a nurse


A) No B) Yes

6) Being a teenager and being a United States Senator


A) Yes B) No

7) Being over 30 and being in college


A) No B) Yes

8) Having good reading skills and having good math skills


A) No B) Yes

9) Events A and B defined as follows


Event A is that at least three of Toniʹs five cousins are female.
Event B is that at least three of Toniʹs five cousins are male.
A) Yes B) No

10) Events A and B defined as follows


Event A is that at least three of Toniʹs five cousins are female.
Event B is that at most four of Toniʹs five cousins are male.
A) No B) Yes

2 Solve Apps: Find Probability of (A or B)

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the probability.


1) A fair die is rolled. What is the probability of rolling a 3 or a 5?
1 1 1
A) B) C) D) 2
3 36 6

2) A fair die is rolled. What is the probability of rolling an odd number or a number less than 3?
2 1 5
A) B) C) D) 1
3 2 6

3) When two balanced dice are rolled, there are 36 possible outcomes. What is the probability that the sum of the
numbers on the dice is 6 or 11?
7 17 1 7
A) B) C) D)
36 36 66 6

4) When two balanced dice are rolled, there are 36 possible outcomes. Find the probability that either doubles are
rolled or the sum of the dice is 10.
2 1 1 7
A) B) C) D)
9 4 36 36

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5) When two balanced dice are rolled, there are 36 possible outcomes. Find the probability that the sum is a
multiple of 3 or greater than 8.
17 13 5 1
A) B) C) D)
36 18 12 2

6) A card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. What is the probability of drawing a face
card or a 4?
4 48 2
A) B) C) D) 16
13 52 13

7) A card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. What is the probability of drawing a face
card or a spade?
11 25 6 1
A) B) C) D)
26 52 13 2

8) A card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. What is the probability of drawing a face
card or a red card?
8 19 9 15
A) B) C) D)
13 26 13 26

9) A lottery game has balls numbered 0 through 13. If a ball is selected at random, what is the probability of
selecting an even numbered ball or a 7?
4 3
A) B) C) 2 D) 7
7 7

10) A spinner has regions numbered 1 through 15. What is the probability that the spinner will stop on an even
number or a multiple of 3?
2 7 1
A) B) C) D) 12
3 9 3

3 Solve Apps: Find Probability of (A or B) Given Table

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the indicated probability.


1) The age distribution of students at a community college is given below.

Age (years) Number of students (f)


Under 21 401
21-25 408
26-30 208
31-35 55
Over 35 25
1097

A student from the community college is selected at random. Find the probability that the student is between
26 and 35 inclusive. Round approximations to three decimal places.
A) 0.240 B) 0.190 C) 263 D) 0.050

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2) The age distribution of students at a community college is given below.

Age (years) Number of students (f)


Under 21 402
21-25 416
26-30 209
31-35 59
Over 35 26
1112

A student from the community college is selected at random. Find the probability that the student is at least 31.
Round approximations to three decimal places.
A) 0.076 B) 0.053 C) 85 D) 0.924

3) The table shows the distribution of family size in a certain U.S. city

Family Size Probability


2 0.432
3 0.245
4 0.199
5 0.081
6 0.028
7+ 0.015

A family is selected at random from the city. Find the probability that the size of the family is less than 5.
Round approximations to three decimal places.
A) 0.876 B) 0.525 C) 0.081 D) 0.444

4) The table shows the distribution of family size in a certain U.S. city

Family Size Probability


2 0.420
3 0.247
4 0.195
5 0.092
6 0.027
7+ 0.019

A family is selected at random from the city. Find the probability that the size of the family is between 2 and 5
inclusive. Round approximations to three decimal places.
A) 0.954 B) 0.442 C) 0.512 D) 0.862

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5) The distribution of B.A. degrees conferred by a local college is listed below, by major.

Major Frequency
English 2073
Mathematics 2164
Chemistry 318
Physics 856
Liberal Arts 1358
Business 1676
Engineering 868
9313

What is the probability that a randomly selected degree is in English or Mathematics?


A) 0.455 B) 0.010 C) 0.424 D) 0.517

6) The manager of a bank recorded the amount of time each customer spent waiting in line during peak business
hours one Monday. The frequency table below summarizes the results.

Waiting Time Number of


(minutes) Customers
0-3 11
4-7 11
8-11 10
12-15 7
16-19 8
20-23 2
24-27 2

If one of these customers is selected at random, what is the probability that their waiting time is at least 12
minutes or between 8 and 15 minutes?
A) 0.569 B) 0.706 C) 0.137 D) 0.63

4 Solve Apps: Find Probability of Complement

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the indicated probability.


1) A bag contains 7 red marbles, 2 blue marbles, and 1 green marble. If a marble is selected at random, what is the
probability that it is not blue?
4 5 1
A) B) C) D) 8
5 4 5

2) A fair die is rolled. Find the probability that the number obtained is not greater than 4.
2 1 5 1
A) B) C) D)
3 2 6 3

3) A card is drawn at random from a standard 52 -card deck. Find the probability that the card is not a queen.
12 1 3 1
A) B) C) D)
13 13 4 4

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4) A card is drawn at random from a standard 52 -card deck. Find the probability that the card is an ace or not a
club.
10 35 9 43
A) B) C) D)
13 52 13 52

5) A card is drawn at random from a standard 52 -card deck. Find the probability that the card is neither an ace
nor a heart.
9 35 4 21
A) B) C) D)
13 52 13 26

6) Two fair dice are rolled. Find the probability that the sum of the two numbers is not greater than 5.
5 1 13 1
A) B) C) D)
18 6 18 3

7) The probability that Luis will pass his statistics test is 0.79. Find the probability that he will fail his statistics test.
A) 0.21 B) 3.76 C) 0.40 D) 1.27

8) If a person is randomly selected, find the probability that his or her birthday is not in May. Ignore leap years.
334 31 31 11
A) B) C) D)
365 365 334 12

9) The distribution of B.A. degrees conferred by a local college is listed below, by major.

Major Frequency
English 2073
Mathematics 2164
Chemistry 318
Physics 856
Liberal Arts 1358
Business 1676
Engineering 868
9313

What is the probability that a randomly selected degree is not in Mathematics?


A) 0.768 B) 0.232 C) 0.303 D) 0.682

11.3 Conditional Probability and Events Involving ʺAndʺ


1 Determine Whether Events are Independent

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Determine whether the events are independent.


1) In a city, 13% of the people drive Cadillacs and 25% of business executives drive Cadillacs. Are the events
ʺperson drives a Cadillacʺ and ʺperson is an executiveʺ independent?
A) No B) Yes

2) A bag contains 15 red and 7 green marbles. A marble is drawn, replaced in the bag, then a second marble is
drawn. Are the events ʺfirst marble is redʺ and ʺsecond marble is greenʺ independent events?
A) Yes B) No

3) A bag contains 5 red and 7 green marbles. Two marbles are drawn without replacement. Are the events ʺfirst
marble is redʺ and ʺsecond marble is greenʺ independent events?
A) No B) Yes

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4) A balanced die is rolled twice. Are the events ʺthe sum of the two rolls is 8ʺ and ʺthe first roll comes up 3ʺ
independent ?
A) No B) Yes

5) A balanced die is rolled twice. Are the events ʺsix on first rollʺ and ʺsix on the second rollʺ independent ?
A) Yes B) No

6) A card is selected at random from a standard deck of 52 cards. It is then replaced and a second card is selected
at random. Are the events ʺclub on the first drawʺ and ʺace on the second drawʺ independent?
A) Yes B) No

7) Two cards are selected at random from a standard deck of 52 cards without replacement. Are the events ʺace
on the first drawʺ and ʺace on the second drawʺ independent?
A) No B) Yes

2 Determine Probability Given Contingency Table

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the indicated probability.


1) The table below shows the soft drink preferences of people in three age groups.

cola root beer lemon-lime


under 21 years of age 40 25 20
between 21 and 40 35 20 30
over 40 years of age 20 30 35

If one of the 255 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability that the person is over 40 years of age.
1 1 2 3
A) B) C) D)
3 2 5 5

2) The table below shows the soft drink preferences of people in three age groups.

cola root beer lemon-lime


under 21 years of age 40 25 20
between 21 and 40 35 20 30
over 40 years of age 20 30 35

If one of the 255 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability that the person is over 40 and drinks cola.
4 4
A) B)
51 19
4
C) D) None of the above is correct.
17

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3) The table below shows the soft drinks preferences of people in three age groups.
cola root beer lemon-lime
under 21 years of age 40 25 20
between 21 and 40 35 20 30
over 40 years of age 20 30 35

If one of the 255 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability that the person is over 40 years of age given
that they drink root beer.
2 5
A) B)
5 17
6
C) D) None of the above is correct.
17

4) The table below shows the soft drinks preferences of people in three age groups.
cola root beer lemon-lime
under 21 years of age 40 25 20
between 21 and 40 35 20 30
over 40 years of age 20 30 35

If one of the 255 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability that the person drinks root beer given that
they are over 40.
6 2
A) B)
17 5
2
C) D) None of the above is correct.
17

5) The following table contains data from a study of two airlines which fly to Small Town, USA.

Number of flights Number of flights


which were on time which were late
Podunk Airlines 33 6
Upstate Airlines 43 5

If one of the 87 flights is randomly selected, find the probability that the flight selected arrived on time given
that it was an Upstate Airlines flight.
43 43
A) B)
48 87
11
C) D) None of the above is correct.
76

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6) The following table contains data from a study of two airlines which fly to Small Town, USA.

Number of flights Number of flights


which were on time which were late
Podunk Airlines 33 6
Upstate Airlines 43 5

If one of the 87 flights is randomly selected, find the probability that the flight selected is an Upstate Airlines
flight which was on time.
43 43
A) B)
87 76
11
C) D) None of the above is correct.
76

7) The following table contains data from a study of two airlines which fly to Small Town, USA.

Number of flights Number of flights


which were on time which were late
Podunk Airlines 33 6
Upstate Airlines 43 5

If one of the 87 flights is randomly selected, find the probability that the flight selected is an Upstate Airlines
flight given that it was late.
5 5
A) B)
11 48
5
C) D) None of the above is correct.
87

8) The table below describes the smoking habits of a group of asthma sufferers.

Light Heavy
Nonsmoker smoker smoker Total
Men 307 70 83 460
Women 326 83 77 486
Total 633 153 160 946

If one of the 946 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability that the person chosen is a nonsmoker given
that the person is a woman.
A) 0.671 B) 0.345 C) 0.515 D) 0.514

9) The table below describes the smoking habits of a group of asthma sufferers.

Light Heavy
Nonsmoker smoker smoker Total
Men 360 66 79 505
Women 326 71 61 458
Total 686 137 140 963

If one of the 963 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability that the person chosen is a woman given that
the person is a light smoker.
A) 0.518 B) 0.074 C) 0.155 D) 0.142

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3 Solve Apps: Use Special Multiplication Rule

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the probability.


1) If you are dealt two cards successively (with replacement of the first) from a standard 52 -card deck, find the
probability of getting a heart on the first card and a diamond on the second.
1 1 13 1
A) B) C) D)
16 204 204 169

2) If you are dealt two cards successively (with replacement of the first) from a standard 52 -card deck, find the
probability of getting a face card on the first card and an ace on the second.
3 4 9 4
A) B) C) D)
169 221 169 13

3) If a fair coin is tossed three times, find the probability of getting heads on the first toss and tails on the second
and third tosses.
1 1 3 1
A) B) C) D)
8 4 8 6

4) In one town, 33% of all voters are Democrats. If two voters are randomly selected for a survey, find the
probability that they are both Democrats.
A) 0.109 B) 0.660 C) 0.106 D) 0.330

5) Find the probability of correctly answering the first 5 questions on a multiple choice test if random guesses are
made and each question has 4 possible answers.
1 5 4 1
A) B) C) D)
1024 4 5 625

6) A batch consists of 12 defective coils and 88 good ones. Find the probability of getting two good coils when two
coils are randomly selected if the first selection is replaced before the second is made.
A) 0.7744 B) 0.7733 C) 0.176 D) 0.0144

7) When a pair of dice is rolled there are 36 different possible outcomes: 1 -1, 1-2, ... 6-6. If a pair of dice is rolled 4
times, what is the probability of getting a sum of 5 every time?
1 4 1 625
A) B) C) D)
6561 9 1296 1,679,616

8) In one town, 78% of adults have health insurance. What is the probability that 8 adults selected at random from
the town all have health insurance?
A) 0.137 B) 6.24 C) 0.103 D) 0.78

9) A family has five children. The probability of having a girl is 1/2. What is the probability of having 3 girls
followed by 2 boys?
1 1 5 1
A) B) C) D)
32 120 16 16

10) A basketball player hits three-point shots 45% of the time. If she takes 4 shots during a game, what is the
probability that she misses the first shot and hits the last three shots?
A) 5% B) 50.1% C) 4.1% D) 41%

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4 Solve Apps: Use General Multiplication Rule

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Use the general multiplication rule to find the indicated probability.


1) You are dealt two cards successively (without replacement) from a shuffled deck of 52 playing cards. Find the
probability that both cards are black.
25 25 1 13
A) B) C) D)
102 51 2652 51

2) You are dealt two cards successively (without replacement) from a shuffled deck of 52 playing cards. Find the
probability that the first card is a king and the second card is a queen.
4 2 1 13
A) B) C) D)
663 13 663 102

3) What is the probability that 4 randomly selected people all have different birthdays?
A) 0.9836 B) 0.9729 C) 0.9918 D) 0.9891

4) An IRS auditor randomly selects 3 tax returns from 41 returns of which 10 contain errors. What is the
probability that she selects none of those containing errors?
A) 0.4217 B) 0.4322 C) 0.0145 D) 0.0113

5) A sample of 4 different calculators is randomly selected from a group containing 48 that are defective and 20
that have no defects. What is the probability that all four of the calculators selected are defective?
A) 0.2389 B) 40.161 C) 0.2483 D) 0.0301

6) Two cards are selected without replacement from a standard deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that both
cards are the same color (i.e., either both black or both red)?
A) 0.490 B) 0.245 C) 0.500 D) 0.250

7) A bag contains 7 red chips and 9 blue chips. Two chips are selected randomly without replacement from the
bag. What is the probability that the two chips are the same color?
A) 0.475 B) 0.542 C) 0.525 D) 0.175

8) Two marbles are drawn without replacement from a box with 3 white, 2 green, 2 red, and 1 blue marble. Find
the probability that both marbles are white.
3 9 3 3
A) B) C) D)
28 56 32 8

9) In January in a certain city the unconditional probability of rain on any given day of the month is 0.400. But the
probability of rain on a day that follows a rainy day is 0.600 and the probability of rain on a day following a
nonrainy day is 0.250. Find the probability of rain on three randomly selected consecutive days in January.
A) 0.144 B) 0.216 C) 0.090 D) 0.064

10) In January in a certain city the unconditional probability of rain on any given day of the month is 0.400. But the
probability of rain on a day that follows a rainy day is 0.600 and the probability of rain on a day following a
nonrainy day is 0.250.
Find the probability that January 1st and January 2nd are rainy and that January 3rd and 4th are not rainy
given that December 31st was clear all day.
A) 0.045 B) 0.024 C) 0.072 D) 0.038

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5 Solve Apps: Find Conditional Probability

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the conditional probability.


1) If a single fair die is rolled, find the probability that the number rolled is 5 given that it is odd.
1 1 1 2
A) B) C) D)
3 6 2 3

2) If two fair dice are rolled, find the probability that the sum is 6 given that the roll is a ʺdoubleʺ.
1 1 1 1
A) B) C) D)
6 3 4 5

3) If two fair dice are rolled, find the probability that the numbers rolled form a ʺdoubleʺ given that their sum is
11.
1 1 1
A) 0 B) C) D)
2 3 4

4) Suppose one card is selected at random from an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards. Let

A = event a queen is selected


B = event a diamond is selected.

Determine P(B|A).
1 1 1 1
A) B) C) D)
4 13 52 2

5) Suppose one card is selected at random from an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards. Let

A = event a diamond is selected


B = event a club is selected.

Determine P (A | ( not B)).


1 1
A) B) 0 C) 1 D)
3 4

6) If two cards are drawn at random without replacement from a standard deck, find the probability that the
second card is a spade, given that the first card was a spade.
4 11 3 1
A) B) C) D)
17 51 13 4

7) If two cards are drawn at random without replacement from a standard deck, find the probability that the
second card is red, given that the first card was a heart.
25 26 1 25
A) B) C) D)
51 51 2 52

8) If two cards are drawn at random without replacement from a standard deck, find the probability that the
second card is a face card, given that the first card was a queen.
11 4 3 5
A) B) C) D)
51 17 13 17

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9) If two cards are drawn at random without replacement from a standard deck, find P(ace on second|ace on
first).
1 1 4 3
A) B) C) D)
17 4 51 52

10) If three cards are drawn at random without replacement from a standard deck, find the probability that the
third card is a face card, given that the first card was a queen and the second card was a 5.
11 1 3 6
A) B) C) D)
50 5 13 25

6 Solve Apps: Find Probability of Combination

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1) A basket contains 6 oranges and 4 tangerines. A sample of 3 is drawn. Find the probability that they are all
oranges.
1 4 1 1
A) B) C) D)
6 9 3 5

2) A basket contains 6 oranges and 4 tangerines. A sample of 3 is drawn. Find the probability that 2 are tangerines
and one is an orange.
3 1 1 1
A) B) C) D)
10 20 2 5

3) In a 2-card hand, what is the probability of holding 2 kings?


A) 0.0045 B) 0.0455 C) 0.0055 D) 0.0035

4) In a 2-card hand, what is the probability of holding only face cards? (Aces are not face cards.)
A) 0.05 B) 0.02 C) 0.09 D) 0.14

5) In a 2-card hand, what is the probability of holding at least 1 ace?


A) 0.1493 B) 0.0045 C) 0.1448 D) 0.1522

6) In a 2-card hand, what is the probability of holding 2 cards of the same suit?
A) 0.235 B) 0.200 C) 0.164 D) 0.118

7) A batch of 100 calculators contains 5 defective calculators. If 6 calculators are selected at random from this
batch, determine the probability that exactly two of those selected are defective.
A) 0.0267 B) 0.0347 C) 0.0174 D) 0.0217

8) 8 basketball players are to be selected to play in a special game. The players will be selected from a list of 27
players. If the players are selected randomly, what is the probability that the 8 tallest players will be selected?
1 1 1 8
A) B) C) D)
2,220,075 213,127,200 40,320 27

9) At the first tri-city meeting, there were 8 people from town A, 7 people from town B, and 5 people from town
C. If the council consists of 5 people, find the probability of 3 from town A and 2 from town B.
A) 0.076 B) 0.023 C) 0.036 D) 0.072

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7 Solve Apps: Use Counting Rules to Find Probability

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Use counting rules to determine the probability.


1) A tourist in France wants to visit 12 different cities. If the route is randomly selected, what is the probability
that she will visit the cities in alphabetical order?
1 1 1
A) B) C) 479,001,600 D)
479,001,600 12 144

2) A committee of 11 members is voting on a proposal. Each member casts a yea or nay vote. On a random voting
basis, what is the probability that the final vote count is unanimous?
1 1 1 1
A) B) C) D)
1024 2048 110 2028

3) A committee of 11 members is voting on a proposal. Each member casts a yea or nay vote. On a random voting
basis, what is the probability that the proposal wins by a vote of 8 to 3?
165 165 165 157
A) B) C) D)
2048 1024 4096 4096

4) In a card game, each player is dealt 4 cards from an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards. Determine the
probability of being dealt a hand containing three cards of one denomination and one of another.
A) 0.00922 B) 0.0000591 C) 0.0137 D) 0.165

5) Determine the probability that in a class of 50 students, at least two students have the same birthday. Assume
that there are always 365 days in a year and that birth rates are constant throughout the year. (Hint: First
determine the probability that no two students have the same birthday and then apply the complementation
rule.)
A) 0.97 B) 0.03 C) 1.05 D) 1.01

6) In a lottery, the player selects six numbers from the numbers 1-41. There are six winning numbers (all
different) which are selected at random from the numbers 1-41. To win a prize, the ticket must contain three or
more of the winning numbers. If you buy one lottery ticket, determine the probability that your ticket contains
exactly three winning numbers.
A) 0.0291 B) 0.0243 C) 0.0340 D) 0.0364

7) A student takes a true-false test consisting of 12 questions. Assuming that the student guesses at each question,
find the probability that the student answers exactly 10 questions correctly.
A) 0.0161 B) 0.0097 C) 0.0129 D) 0.0064

8) Dave puts a collection of 15 books on a bookshelf in a random order. Among the books are 2 fiction and 13
nonfiction books. What is the probability that the 2 fiction books will be all together on the left side of the shelf
and the 13 nonfiction all together on the right side of the shelf?
A) 0.00952 B) 0.01619 C) 0.01809 D) 0.01333

9) An elevator has 4 passengers and 8 floors. Find the probability that no 2 passengers get off on the same floor
considering that it is equally likely that a person will get off at any floor.
A) 0.410 B) 0.610 C) 0.910 D) 0.500

10) Suppose 6 people sit at a circular table. Find the probability that 2 particular people are sitting next to each
other.
A) 0.4 B) 0.2 C) 0.1 D) 0.33

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8 Solve Apps: Find Probability of ʺAt Least Oneʺ

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the indicated probability.


1) An unprepared student makes random guesses for the ten true -false questions on a quiz. Find the probability
that there is at least one correct answer.
1023 1 9 1
A) B) C) D)
1024 1024 10 10

2) A sample of 4 different calculators is randomly selected from a group containing 14 that are defective and 39
that have no defects. What is the probability that at least one of the 4 calculators in the sample is defective?
A) 0.719 B) 0.707 C) 0.281 D) 0.140

3) In a batch of 8000 clock radios 6% are defective. A sample of 12 clock radios is randomly selected without
replacement from the 8,000 and tested. The entire batch will be rejected if at least one of those tested is
defective. What is the probability that the entire batch will be rejected?
A) 0.524 B) 0.476 C) 0.0833 D) 0.0600

4) In a blood testing procedure, blood samples from 4 people are combined into one mixture. The mixture will
only test negative if all the individual samples are negative. If the probability that an individual sample tests
positive is 0.08, what is the probability that the mixture will test positive?
A) 0.284 B) 0.716 C) 0.0000410 D) 1.00

11.4 Binomial Probability


1 Solve Apps: (Binomial) Find Prob of Exactly x Successes

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the probability.


1) What is the probability that 17 rolls of a fair die will show three sixes?
A) 0.2452 B) 0.1226 C) 0.4904 D) 0.0490

2) What is the probability that 14 rolls of a fair die will show 4 ones?
A) 0.1247 B) 0.0624 C) 0.2494 D) 0.0249

3) What is the probability that 16 tosses of a fair coin will show 13 tails?
A) 0.0085 B) 0.0043 C) 0.0170 D) 0.0017

4) A family has five children. The probability of having a girl is 1/2. What is the probability of having exactly 2
girls and 3 boys?
5 3 5 3
A) B) C) D)
16 32 32 8

5) Find the probability that when a gardener plants 20 seeds, she harvests 16 radishes given the probability that a
radish seed will germinate is 0.7.
A) 0.130 B) 0.068 C) 0.075 D) 0.571

6) In a certain college, 33% of the physics majors belong to ethnic minorities. Find the probability that, from a
random sample of 10 physics majors, exactly 4 do not belong to an ethnic minority.
A) 0.0547 B) 0.2253 C) 0.0467 D) 0.2564

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7) A family has five children. The probability of having a girl is 1/2. What is the probability of having no girls?
1 1 1 1
A) B) C) D)
32 8 16 64

8) A multiple choice test has 30 questions. Each question has five possible answers, of which one is correct. If a
student guesses on every question, find the probability of getting exactly 12 correct.
A) 0.0064 B) 0.4000 C) 0.0806 D) 0.0052

9) A company finds that an average of 20% of all new employees resign during the first year. Find the probability
that among the next 30 employees hired, exactly five resign during the first year.
A) 0.1723 B) 0.1667 C) 0.2000 D) 0.1864

10) A company manufactures calculators in batches of 64 and there is a 4% rate of defects. Find the probability of
getting exactly three defects in a batch.
A) 0.22105 B) 0.00006 C) 0.20185 D) 0.16224

2 Find Binomial Probability

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

For n repeated independent trials, with constant probability of success p for all trials, find the probability of exactly x
successes. Round your answer to four decimal places.
1) n = 11, p = 1/8, x = 4
A) 0.0316 B) 0.0348 C) 0.0380 D) 0.0411

2) n = 9, p = 0.6, x = 8
A) 0.0605 B) 0.0665 C) 0.0574 D) 0.0786

3 Solve Apps: Binomial: Find Prob of At Least/At Most x Successes

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the probability.


1) In a certain college, 33% of the physics majors belong to ethnic minorities. Find the probability that, from a
random sample of 10 physics majors, no more than 6 belong to an ethnic minority.
A) 0.9815 B) 0.0547 C) 0.9846 D) 0.913

2) Find the probability that when a 10 question multiple choice test has 4 possible answers for each question, a
student will select at least 6 correct answers from the 10 possible.
A) 0.020 B) 0.989 C) 0.118 D) 0.995

3) A family has five children. The probability of having a girl is 1/2. What is the probability of having at least 3
boys?
A) 0.5000 B) 0.3125 C) 0.4688 D) 0.1563

4) A family has five children. The probability of having a girl is 1/2. What is the probability of having no more
than 3 boys?
A) 0.8125 B) 0.5000 C) 0.9688 D) 0.3125

5) A fair die is rolled 6 times. What is the probability of no more than three twos?
A) 0.9913 B) 0.6774 C) 0.9649 D) 0.3812

6) A test consists of 10 true/false questions. To pass the test a student must answer at least 9 questions correctly. If
a student guesses on each question, what is the probability that the student will pass the test?
A) 0.011 B) 0.010 C) 0.001 D) 0.999

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7) A company purchases shipments of machine components and uses this acceptance sampling plan: Randomly
select and test 21 components and accept the whole batch if there are fewer than 3 defectives. If a particular
shipment of thousands of components actually has a 8% rate of defects, what is the probability that this whole
shipment will be accepted?
A) 0.7663 B) 0.5927 C) 0.2757 D) 0.1518

8) An airline estimates that 95% of people booked on their flights actually show up. If the airline books 78 people
on a flight for which the maximum number is 76, what is the probability that the number of people who show
up will exceed the capacity of the plane?
A) 0.0934 B) 0.0183 C) 0.0751 D) 0.2457

9) The participants in a television quiz show are picked from a large pool of applicants with approximately equal
numbers of men and women. Among the last 13 participants there have been only 2 women. If participants are
picked randomly, what is the probability of getting 2 or fewer women when 13 people are picked?
A) 0.0112 B) 0.0111 C) 0.0095 D) 0.0017

10) In one city, the probability that a person will pass his or her driving test on the first attempt is 0.69. 11 people
are selected at random from among those taking their driving test for the first time. What is the probability that
among these 11 people, the number passing the test is between 2 and 4 inclusive?
A) 0.0259 B) 0.0213 C) 0.0252 D) 0.0290

4 Solve Apps: (Binomial) First Success on xth Trial

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1) Henry is a quality control inspector. He is watching the production line for Barbʹs Raisin Cookie. Henry will
reject a cookie with less than 8 raisins. In the past, one out of every 100 cookies had less than 8 raisins. Find the
probability that the first cookie Henry rejects is the 5th cookie on the line.
A) 0.009606 B) 0.009510 C) 0.076848 D) 0.048030

2) If a fair die is rolled repeatedly until a ʺtwoʺ appears, find the probability that the first ʺtwoʺ appears on the
9th roll.
A) 0.038761 B) 0.232567
C) 0.166667 D) None of the above is correct.

3) 30% of the population of a village has a certain disease. If people in the village are selected successively at
random, what is the probability that the 3th person selected is the first person with the disease?
A) 0.147000 B) 0.490000 C) 0.063000 D) 0.090000

4) An ice cream store has 5 flavors. If we pick flavors successively at random, what is the probability that the
flavor strawberry will be selected for the first time on pick 9? [the same flavor can be picked more than once]
A) 0.033554 B) 0.167772
C) 0.000002 D) None of the above is correct.

5 Solve Apps: Random Walks

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Anne is standing on the corner tossing a coin. She decides she will toss it 12 times, each time walking 1 block north if it
lands heads up and 1 block south if it lands tails up. Find the probability that she will end up in the indicated location.
1) 2 blocks north of her corner
A) 0.1934 B) 0.1208 C) 0.0002 D) 0.0078

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2) 4 blocks south of her corner
A) 0.1208 B) 0.0625 C) 0.1933 D) 0.0537

3) at least 8 blocks north of her corner


A) 0.0193 B) 0.0161 C) 0.0730 D) 0.0032

4) on her corner
A) 0.2256 B) 0.0156 C) 0.1934 D) 0.5000

5) at least 10 blocks from her corner


A) 0.0063 B) 0.0032 C) 0.0059 D) 0.0029

11.5 Expected Value and Simulation


1 Solve Apps: Expected Value

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1) If 5 apples in a barrel of 25 apples are rotten, what is the expected number of rotten apples in a random sample
of 2 apples?
2 4 3
A) B) C) D) 1
5 5 5

2) From a group of 3 men and 4 women, a delegation of 2 is selected at random. What is the expected number of
men in the delegation?
A) 0.86 B) 0.48 C) 0.57 D) 1

3) If 3 balls are drawn at random from a bag containing 3 red and 4 blue balls, what is the expected number of red
balls in the sample?
A) 1.29 B) 1.54 C) 0.89 D) 1.39

4) A contractor is considering a sale that promises a profit of $22,000 with a probability of .7 or a loss (due to bad
weather, strikes, and such) of $3000 with a probability of .3. What is the expected profit?
A) $14,500 B) $15,400 C) $19,000 D) $17,500

5) Find the expected number of girls in a family of 4.


A) 2 B) 2.5 C) 1.5 D) 1.75

6) Experience shows that a ski lodge will be full (162 guests) if there is a heavy snow fall in December, while only
partially full (53 guests) with a light snow fall. What is the expected number of guests if the probability for a
heavy snow fall is .40? Assume that heavy snowfall and light snowfall are the only two possibilities.
A) 96.6 B) 118.4 C) 64.8 D) 97.2

7) Four cards are numbered 1 through 4. Two of these cards are chosen at random without replacement and the
numbers on them are multiplied. Find the expected value of this product.
35 25
A) B) 6 C) 4 D)
6 4

8) An insurance company will insure a $260,000 home for its total value for an annual premium of $510. If the
company spends $30 per year to service such a policy, the probability of total loss for such a home in a given
year is 0.001 and you assume either total loss or no loss will occur, what is the companyʹs expected annual gain
(or profit) on each such policy?
A) $220 B) $250 C) -$260 D) $170

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9) A commercial building contractor is trying to decide which of two projects to commit her company to.
Project A will yield a profit of $50,000 with a probability of 0.6, a profit of $88,000 with a probability of 0.3, and
a profit of $10,000 with a probability of 0.1.
Project B will yield a profit of $100,000 with a probability of 0.1, a profit of $63,000 with a probability of 0.7, and
a loss of $20,000 with a probability of 0.2.
Find the expected profit for each project. Based on expected values, which project should the contractor choose?
A) Project A:$57,400 B) Project A: $57,400
Project B: $50,100 Project B: $58,100
Contractor should choose project A Contractor should choose project B
C) Project A: $49,333 D) Project A: $48,400
Project B: $47,666 Project B: $50,100
Contractor should choose project A Contractor should choose project B

2 Solve Apps: Expected Winnings

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1) Suppose a charitable organization decides to raise money by raffling a trip worth $500. If 3,000 tickets are sold
at $1.00 each, find the expected net winnings for a person who buys 1 ticket.
A) -$0.83 B) -$0.85 C) -$0.81 D) -$1.00

2) Numbers is a game where you bet $1.00 on any three -digit number from 000 to 999. If your number comes up,
you get $600.00. Find the expected net winnings.
A) -$0.40 B) -$0.50 C) -$0.42 D) -$1.00

3) In a game, you have a 1/35 probability of winning $55 and a 34/35 probability of losing $6. What is your
expected winning?
A) -$4.26 B) $1.57 C) $7.40 D) -$5.83

4) Suppose you pay $2.00 to roll a fair die with the understanding that you will get back $ 4.00 for rolling a 3 or a
4, nothing otherwise. What is your expected net winnings?
A) -$0.67 B) $4.00 C) $2.00 D) -$2.00

5) Suppose you buy 1 ticket for $1 out of a lottery of 1,000 tickets where the prize for the one winning ticket is to
be $500. What is your expected net winnings?
A) -$0.50 B) $0.00 C) -$1.00 D) -$0.40

6) A certain game involves tossing 3 fair coins. It pays 25 cents for 3 heads, 14 cents for 2 heads, and 7 cents for 1
head. What is a fair price to pay to play this game?
A) 11 cents B) 15 cents C) 8 cents D) 9 cents

7) Ten thousand raffle tickets are sold. One first prize of $1600, 4 second prizes of $700 each, and 8 third prizes of
$400 each are to be awarded, with all winners selected randomly. If you purchase one ticket, what are your
expected winnings?
A) 76 cents B) 88 cents C) 124 cents D) 27 cents

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8) A state lottery has a ʺPick-5 Lottoʺ game in which a player pays $1.00 for a ticket consisting of five numbers
chosen from the counting numbers 1-40. Each week the state holds a televised drawing of five numbers, again,
chosen from the counting numbers 1-40. If at least two of the five numbers on the playerʹs ticket matches the
numbers from the drawing the player gets a payoff according to the following scheme:
2 out of 5 numbers match $1.00
3 out of 5 numbers match $10.00
4 out of 5 numbers match $100.00
5 out of 5 numbers match $100,000.00

Find the playerʹs net winnings in this game.


A) $0.61 B) $1.39 C) $0.39 D) -$0.39

3 Find Expected Value Given Probability Distribution

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Find the expected value of the random variable.


1) The random variable X is the number of houses sold by a realtor in a single month at the Sendsomʹs Real Estate
office. Its probability distribution is given in the table.
x P(X = x)
0 0.24
1 0.01
2 0.12
3 0.16
4 0.01
5 0.14
6 0.11
7 0.21
A) 3.60 B) 3.50 C) 3.40 D) 3.35

2) The random variable X is the number of people who have a college degree in a randomly selected group of four
adults from a particular town. Its probability distribution is given in the table.
x P(X = x)
0 0.4096
1 0.4096
2 0.1536
3 0.0256
4 0.0016
A) 0.80 B) 0.70 C) 1.21 D) 2.00

3) The random variable X is the number that shows up when a loaded die is rolled. Its probability distribution is
given in the table.
x P(X = x)
1 0.11
2 0.12
3 0.14
4 0.16
5 0.10
6 0.37
A) 4.13 B) 4.00 C) 3.50 D) 0.17

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4) The random variable X is the number of siblings of a student selected at random from a particular secondary
school. Its probability distribution is given in the table.

x 0 1 2 3 4 5
1 1 3 5 1 1
P(X = x)
3 4 16 48 12 24
A) 1.479 B) 1.813 C) 2.5 D) 1.375

5) The random variable X is the number of complaints per day received by a business bureau.. Find the expected
number of complaints per day.

X (Complaints per Day) 0 1 2 3 4 5


Probability(X = x) 0.04 0.11 0.26 0.33 0.19 0.12
A) 2.98 B) 2.85 C) 3.01 D) 2.73

6) The random variable X is the number of offspring per year for a certain animal species. Find the expected
number of offspring per year.

X (Number of Offspring) 0 1 2 3 4
Probability (X = x) 0.31 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.12
A) 1.58 B) 2 C) 1.38 D) 1.75

4 Solve Apps: Estimate Probability by Simulation

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Solve the problem.


1) The following string of Bʹs and Gʹs was obtained by tossing a quarter 40 times. Heads were listed as B and tails
as G. Use this simulation to estimate the probability of two girls being born in succession.
{BBGGGGGBGGBBGGGBGGBBBGBBGBBBBGGBBGGBGGBG}
11 11 10 10
A) B) C) D)
39 40 40 39

2) The following list of digits was taken from a table of random numbers. We will let each set of 5 represent a
family of five children. The digits 0-4 represent a girl and the digits 5-9 represent a boy. Use this simulation to
estimate the probability that a family of five children will have less than 2 boys.

18728 94741 32063 04963 54859


15592 71357 28152 11732 17173
89555 75520 08882 95295 72895
38894 58070 77371 10194 94917
64336 95103 90740 03577 62599

52052 24004 03845 11507 45233


27510 33761 86563 61729 39087
48061 59412 79969 11339 27067
27324 72723 22406 86253 26409
29970 95877 70975 99129 16866
8 12 3 10
A) B) C) D)
50 50 10 50

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3) The following list of digits was taken from a table of random numbers. We will let them represent 50 tosses of 5
fair coins. The digits 0-4 represent an H and the digits 5-9 represent a T. Use this simulation to estimate the
probability of getting two heads on a toss of five coins.

18728 94741 32063 04963 54859


15592 71357 28152 11732 17173
89555 75520 08882 95295 72895
38894 58070 77371 10194 94917
64336 95103 90740 03577 62599

52052 24004 03845 11507 45233


27510 33761 86563 61729 39087
48061 59412 79969 11339 27067
27324 72723 22406 86253 26409
29970 95877 70975 99129 16866
16 12 1 17
A) B) C) D)
50 50 4 50

4) The probabilities that Hank will sell 0, 1, 2, or 3 cars this week are .15, .60, .24, and .01. Distribute the two -digit
random numbers from 00 through 99 among these four possibilities so that the corresponding random
numbers can be used to simulate the number of cars Hank sells in a week.
A) 00 - 14, 15 - 74, 75 - 98, and 99 B) 00 - 15, 16 - 75, 76 - 98 and 99
C) Not possible. D) None of the above is correct.

5) In the past, Michael had the following success shooting free throws after being fouled. 30% of the time he got 0
points, 30%, of the time 1 point, and 40% of the time 2 points. How could the digits 0-9 be distributed among
these three possibilities to simulate the probabilities of shooting 0, 1, and 2 points?
A) 0 - 2 = 0 points, 3 - 5 = 1 point, and 6 - 9 = 2 points
B) 0 - 3 = 0 points, 4 - 6 = 1 point, and 7 - 9 = 2 points
C) 0 - 2 = 0 points, 3 - 6 = 1 point, and 7 - 9 = 2 points
D) Not possible to create a simulation with the digits 0 - 9.

6) In the past, Michael had the following success shooting free throws after being fouled. 30% of the time he got 0
points, 30% of the time he got 1 point, and 40% of the time 2 points. Use the following set of random digits to
simulate 100 free throws. Begin at the top of the first column and move down that column {1, 1, 8, etc.}, then
start at the top of the second column and move down {8, 5, 9, etc.}. Use the following: 0 - 2 = 0 points,
3 - 5 = 1 point and 6 - 9 = 2 points. Estimate the probability that on a given occasion, Michael will score 2
points after being fouled.

18728 94741 32063 04963


15592 71357 28152 11732
89555 75520 08882 95295
38894 58070 77371 10194
64336 95103 90740 03577
37 9 39 7
A) B) C) D)
100 25 100 20

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7) Suppose that we wish to distribute the two-digit random numbers from 00 through 99 such that the
corresponding random numbers can be used to simulate the sightings of UFOʹs in a given region. If the
numbers 00 to 40 correspond to 0 sightings, what is the estimated probability of 0 sightings?
41 40
A) B)
100 100

C) Not possible to tell with the given information. D) None of the above is correct.

8) Suppose that we wish to distribute the four-digit random numbers from 0000 through 9999 such that the
corresponding random numbers can be used to simulate the polluting spills in the Great Lakes. If the numbers
0000 to 2465 correspond to 0 spills, what is the estimated probability of 0 spills?
2466 2465 2466 2465
A) B) C) D)
10000 10000 1000 1000

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Ch. 11 Probability
Answer Key
11.1 Basic Concepts
1 Find Probability of Event
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
2 Solve Apps: Theoretical Probability
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
3 Solve Apps: Odds
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
4 Solve Apps: Empirical Probability
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
5 Solve Apps: Genetics
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
6 Solve Apps: Card Combinations
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A

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5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
7 ^Solve Apps: Probability
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
11.2 Events Involving ʺNotʺ and ʺOrʺ
1 Decide Whether Events are Mutually Exclusive (Y/N)
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
2 Solve Apps: Find Probability of (A or B)
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
3 Solve Apps: Find Probability of (A or B) Given Table
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
4 Solve Apps: Find Probability of Complement
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A

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8) A
9) A
11.3 Conditional Probability and Events Involving ʺAndʺ
1 Determine Whether Events are Independent
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
2 Determine Probability Given Contingency Table
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
3 Solve Apps: Use Special Multiplication Rule
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
4 Solve Apps: Use General Multiplication Rule
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
5 Solve Apps: Find Conditional Probability
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A

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6 Solve Apps: Find Probability of Combination
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
7 Solve Apps: Use Counting Rules to Find Probability
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
8 Solve Apps: Find Probability of ʺAt Least Oneʺ
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
11.4 Binomial Probability
1 Solve Apps: (Binomial) Find Prob of Exactly x Successes
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
2 Find Binomial Probability
1) A
2) A
3 Solve Apps: Binomial: Find Prob of At Least/At Most x Successes
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
10) A
4 Solve Apps: (Binomial) First Success on xth Trial
1) A

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Mathematical Ideas 13th Edition Miller Test Bank

2) A
3) A
4) A
5 Solve Apps: Random Walks
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
11.5 Expected Value and Simulation
1 Solve Apps: Expected Value
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
9) A
2 Solve Apps: Expected Winnings
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A
3 Find Expected Value Given Probability Distribution
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
4 Solve Apps: Estimate Probability by Simulation
1) A
2) A
3) A
4) A
5) A
6) A
7) A
8) A

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