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Cours Proba Stat L1 MI مدخل الى الإحتمالات والإحصاء الوصفي
Cours Proba Stat L1 MI مدخل الى الإحتمالات والإحصاء الوصفي
: d
¨rJ dm •
A A¡ •
5 ¨f}w ºAO³ 1
5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ºAO³ whf -1
6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ¨¶AO³ rytm -2
7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . T§C rkt ¤ d -3
12 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . AAyb |r -4
24 tKt Hy§Aq 3
24 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :«dm -1
24 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :¨`yr «dm -2
25 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :©CAy`m r¯ ¤ §Abt -3
25 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ®t³ A` -4
27 ¨qywt ylt 4
27 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :d`l ¨FAF± dbm -1
27 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :¶ wq -2
28 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :Aby rt -3
29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :Aqywt -4
31 ¯Amt³ 5
31 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . : Ty¶ wK` Trt -1
32 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :©dylqt §r`t -2
34 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :Amt² ¨bsn §r`t -3
35 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Amt² ¨h§db §r`t -4
35 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :Amt³ Amls ¶At {` -5
6- : . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
39 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :Tlqtsm w -7
40 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . :z§A wA ¤ ¨lk Amt³ -8
2
xrhf
3
Tdq
,Tywwyb ,Ty¶A§zyf r¡ w\ lt ¨mk ryb`tl Tysy¶r ± ºAO³ rbt`§
.TyAmt¯ ¤ T§ AOt¯
H§Cd b} ,T§d Aywwnktl F w CAKt¯ bs AAyb ¶Ah kl r\¤
¨ zym TAk t§ ¨RA§r ¤ ¨¯dtF¯ ,¨qybWt ,¨f}w :¢¤r ltm ºAO³
T`At ºAO³ Ayn ¨ kt ©C¤rS A¤ .§wkt r lt
, AOt¯ ,Aywwyb ,ºA§zyf ,AyRA§r ¯A ¨ b ¤ TF Cd Ayl` C wV±
... TyFAys wl` ,Amt¯ l ,CAt
AyRA§C Y¤ Tns TblW ¯Amt³ ¤ ¨f}w ºAO³ Y ®d TwbWm £@¡ dq
AW dAs §CAm ¤ Tl x¤Cd yd .d§d Arbl Aq¤ ¨ ®¤
.xAyqm hf Tnyt dA Ast Yl
4
¨f}w ºAO³
ºAO³ whf
m ºAO³ l th§ .T`F w AqybWt Ð TAh AyRA§r ¤r d w¡ (La Statistique) ºAO³
d AK Yl lt ¯¤A ,rwtm AAyb Twm AAtntF A§ ¤ ym ¤ Pyl ¤
Y ºA§zyf wl` ¯A YtJ ¨ T`F ¤ TyqybW Tym¡ Ð ¢l`§ @¡ .A¡dAb ¤ AAyb HA
.1 Am± ¤ TFAys ¨ C¤ `l§ Am ,TyAs³ Yt¤ TyAmt¯ wl`
T§ d` AAyb ¨¡¤ ºAO³ l ¨ dts ¨t Ty¤± Am (Les Statistiques) Ay¶AO³ rbt`
®m ,T¤d ¨ y` AW ¤ ªAK w ( TyAy wFC ¤ ¤ d ¨ ) Tm\nm ¤ A wRwm Tql`tm
.¨A` yl`t Ay¶AO ,TyCA CAt Ay¶AO , Aks Ay¶AO :wq
(Statistique Inférentielle) ¨¯dtF¯ ºAO³ (Statistique Descriptive) ¨f}w ºAO³ kK§
.ºAO³ l ¨ms
dtFA ¾Aym AAy Twmm Tysy¶r P¶AO }w ¶ rV Twm w¡ ¨f}w ºAO³
AhfynO ¤ Ahmy\n ¤ AAyb Twm }¤ Y dh§ ¨f}w ºAO³ .TyAyb AWWm ¤ ¤ d
Ty¶AO³ Hy§Aqm As¤ TyAy AkJ ¤ ¤ d Cw} ¨ TR ¤ Tq§rW AhRr¤ AhOyl ¤
.2 A mt ¨ (r ¤) A ryt }w Tfltm
¤ ¨¶AO³ mtm Tny @ ® AAyb m ¨¡ Ty¶AO Tylm © ¨ Y¤± wW
TlslF) z Crkt Tylm T\® §rV ¤ ,Tr ¨ A TA`m AAtF¯ ys ®
.¨f}w ºAO³ dtFA Tylym ¤ TymC A}® R¤ ,(TynE
§r`
¢yl ©r ©@ ¨¶AO³ mtm §wkt ¨FAF± rOn` ¨¡ :(Unité statistique)Ty¶AO³ dw
A§ A A·yJ wk dw... ,Zw , AV ,Tl¶A ,PJ A§wy A·yJ wk d ¨h ,Tn§A`m ¤ TF Cd
d , @¡ Y TAR³A ...Tysfn TA A§wn` A·yJ wk d¤ Amk...,Tbl ,CAyF ,TsF¥
.r ¤ y·yJ t Tbr wk d¤ d ¤ º¨J wkt TWys dw wk
§r`
https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/ºAO1
https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/¨f}wþºAO2
5
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
l§ @ ,Tlyts AAy¤ Tb`} TF Cd wk A AbA A mt Yl Ty¶AO Ts TF C dn
Y w}wl AhtF C ¤ d¡AKm yst wq§ y x¤Cdm mtm Tny CAyt Y ¨¶AO³
.¢lAk mtm P§ C r
Tny` Ty¶AO rW Ah rtF t§ ¨¶AO³ mtm ºz ¨¡ :(Échantillon) Ty¶AO³ Tny`
AbF° mtm d TF Cd ¨ Ahyl Amt¯ t§¤ ,ym s ¨¶AO³ mtml Tlm wk Yt
:TyAt
.mtm rb •
.Am ¤ dh ¤ wl AC •
. dwl Aflt ¤ A§Ð¥ wk§ d Pf •
:A
Annkm§ ¯ ,AbOm rm XFwt Tr` Y }wl A`m d ¨ Ttnm yAOm CAytA wq Adn
d§ ©@ C rq Y w}wl yAOm Tny §rt ¨ftk k¤ Ttnm yAOm TA §r
.tnm AbOm rm XFwt
mtml TF Cd Tw`} ¤ TAtF¯ mtm ¯d Tny` TF Cd wq A AbA An ^® bF Am
mtm @h l`t§ C r Y w}w ¤ ,mtm A ¥bnt Y Tny` TF C © ¥ y ¢lAk
:Ahn r@ w Any` ¤ .dy kK Tny` CAyt § Aqy C rq @¡ wk§ ¨k¤ .¨¶AO³
Hf ¢ rm mtm rf ym Ahy ¨W` ¨t Tny` ¨¡ :TWysb Ty¶ wK` Tny` •
Qrf TA ¤ rµ {`b r rfm {`b Amt¡¯ d ¨n`§ @¡¤ ,CAyt¯ ¨ T}rf
AAWb d rS Ð q km§¤ ,Tny` ¨ Cwh\l rf A T·Aktm
rf rf m§ AmC TAW Yl tk§w(º¨J ¤ ¤ Ew ¤ wl ¨) ThAKtm
dn ( dy AhWl d`) AAWb £@¡ wlWm dþþþþþþþ` s¤ þþþþþþþþþþþmtm
.Ty¶ wK Tq§rW A¡CAyt ¨t rfm An ¨W` Ahyl Tlsm AC±
HAtA Ot rfm Awm wkt§ mtm A Ð :TyqbW Tny` •
mtm @h Ak³ Cdq Tlm wk Tny @ r§¤ ,Tfltm Awmm y §AbtA¤ Twm
,AqbWA r` As Y mtm ysqt Ф ,Tny` ¨ Tlm Awmm £@¡ wk d®
.mtm AqbV k Tny` ym mS @¤ TqbV Ty¶ wK Tny @¥
As± £@¡ {` CAytA db TsAt As wkt§ mtm A Ð : rm d`t Tny` •
A¡CAyt ¨t As± s TWys Ty¶ wK Tny CAt (Y¤ Tlrm) Ay¶ wK
¨t As± s TWys Ty¶ wK Tny CAyt Y r± At§ d¤ (TyA Tlrm)
d`t Tny`A r` Tq§rW £@h A¡CAyt ¨t Tny` ¤ ,... @k¡¤ TyA Tlrm ¨ A¡CAyt
. rm
¨¶AO³ rytm
§r`
kK ¨t Ty¶AO³ dw k rtKm rOn` w¡ (Variable statistique) ¨¶AO³ rytm
..... ,At³ ,¨ml` y¡t «wts ,s ,wW : ,¨¶AO³ mtm
6
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
املتغير اإلحصائي
كمي كيفي
الوزن
اللون
األطفال عدد
املساحة
املهنة
التقدير
السيارات عدد
العمر اجلنس املؤهل العلمي
7
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
AFAyq £@¡ y r Annkm§ @¶dn ,Tny` r¡A\ (AAybA- d¡AKm ) AFAyq Twm An§d ky
.TF¤Cdm r¡A\ TR ¤ rk ºAW³ ¤d @¡ Y T`§rF r\ ¨fk y ¤d mR AhRr¤
yq C rkt
x1 n1
x1 n2
.. ..
. .
xp np
wmm N
:¨bsn C rkt
§r`
Yl Wqtm ¨¶AO³ rytm y Tmy k lWm C rkt Tms }A w¡ ¨bsn C rkt
ni
fi = : C rkt wm
N
: T\®
p
X
. ni = N Tny` xAq ©¤As§ Am¶ ni C rkt wm •
i=1
p
X
. fi = 1 ©¤As§ Am¶ fi C rkt wm •
i=1
:A·f TA
T· Y ¨mtn ¨t yq d d§ ¤ A· Yl AhEwy Ty¤± AAyb Pl§ ¤d CAb wþ¡
.T·f C rk d` @¡ Yms§ ¤
8
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
A·f xi ni fi
[ e0 , e1 [ x1 n1 f1
.. .. .. ..
. . . .
[ ei−1 , ei [ xi ni fi
.. .. .. ..
. . . .
[ ek−1 , ek [ xk nk fk
wmm N 1
:A
:rtmtnsA Cdq ,wW s TblW Twm §Ew m§ ¨At ¨¶AO³ ¤d
A·f xi ni fi
[ 150, 160 [ 155 4 0.04
[ 160, 170 [ 165 21 0.21
[ 170, 180 [ 175 39 0.39
[ 180, 190 [ 185 28 0.28
[ 190, 200 [ 195 8 0.08
wmm 100 1
§Ewt ¤d¤ dAO ©C rkt §Ewt ¤d Am¡¤ T§C rkt §Ewt ¤ d r Aw An¡
.Tm rtm ¤ T`mm T§C rkt A`§Ewt ¤ d AS§ Yd ¨t ¤ EAn ©C rkt
A·f ni Nj ↑
[ 150, 160 [ 4 4
[ 160, 170 [ 21 25
[ 170, 180 [ 39 64
[ 180, 190 [ 28 92
[ 190, 200 [ 8 100
wmm 100
9
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
¤ Tmyq C rk ©¤As§ ry± T·f ¤ Tmyql EAn mtm C rkt N − n1 w¡ TyA T·f ¤ Tmyql
.ry± T·f
A·f ni Nj ↓
[ 150, 160 [ 4 100
[ 160, 170 [ 21 96
[ 170, 180 [ 39 75
[ 180, 190 [ 28 36
[ 190, 200 [ 8 8
wmm 100
: T\®
:T·f wV •
A r d¯ k¤ ©C rkt ¤d ¨ A·f d ¤ T·f wV yy`t d dA dw ¯
ry} A·f d ¨AtA¤ ryb T·f wV wk§ ¯ .1
ryb A·f d ¨AtA¤ ry} T·f wV wk§ ¯ .2
:TyAt T®` s A·f d` Tyb§rq Tmy ¨W`§ Sturges wA
k ' 1 + 3.222 × log10 N
N ≤ 10 10 < N < 35 35 ≤ N < 70 70 ≤ N < 90 90 ≤ N < 150 150 ≤ N < 300 300 ≤ N < 620
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
:A
:w§ 15 ® C r AC Rw TyAt AAyb
12, 22, 16, 18, 18, 19, 14, 21, 19, 13, 14, 16, 17, 21, 12
10
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
Règle de Sturges
10
8
6
k
4
2
: T\®
d dA dw ¯ ¨l§ Am C rkt §d`t wq T§¤Ast ry A·f wV A Ð
( amplitude de référence) r zrA ¢ zr ¨`r T· wV CAt .1
©¤As§ wk§ A •
1
Tlsls ¨ T· wV r} ¤ •
.A·f wV y (PGCD) rb± rtKm FAq ¤ •
11
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
. wnm As¤ Ty wnm T·f d§d dn ¤ ©C rkt Cdm FC dn Xq C rkt §d`t wq
AAyb |r
A¡zymt Ф ,AAyb Pyl ¤ }¤ ¨ ¾A dtF Ty¶AO³ rW r TyAyb AwFr rbt`
Am Tysy¶r P¶AO CAhZ T§C rkt A`§Ewt ¨Ayb ymt dyf§ .wRw ¤ Twhs ¤ TVAsbA
y r@ .«r Y rt A §Ew Ah ryt§ ¨t Tq§rW ¤ r¡A\ ¨ ryyt T`At dAs§
: ®ymt £@¡
Tybsn r¶ d
r¶ d TAsm Ð ym kmy º z d Y sq wm CAb wwm AAyb A Ð
:¨ ± wn Yl ltm º z± Ahn TAs FAnt AAW d Y r¶ d ysq ty
y` rW On r¶ Fr :¾±¤ •
:T A`m dtFA AW T§¤ E d :¾AyA •
ni
αi = × 360 = fi × 360 = AWq T§¤ E .
N
:A
:¨l§ Am ¶Atn Ak ,T§¯w AkF Tny` T§wd rz ºAO T§r¶ z A§¯w «d ¨
T§wd rz A B AB O
QAJ± d 219 123 78 240
αi 119 43 67 131
12
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
AB
:TyAyb dm±
rytml d¡AKm m Ah AAf C ¤ ©¤Ast FAn mF Ð Ah dA TyFC ®yWts CAb
.TF Cd ¨¶AO³
200
150
100
50
0
A AB B O
©C rkt Cdm
§Ewt ¢yRw ¤ ¢tVAsb AAyb yl ¨ ryhK ¤ ± w¡ (Histogramme ) ©C rkt Cdm
¨qyq AAyb §Ew w Tr`m ©C rkt Cdm Fr db Ty¶AO³ yAt ryk ¤ .AAyb
.(Distribution Normale ) ¨`ybW §Ewt T¤r`m A`§Ewt {`
®yWtsm wm ©w§ ¨Ay kJ CAb w¡ ©C rkt Cdm , T§¤Astm A·f TA ¨
: ¨l§ Am ¢mFC t§ ¤ ,A·f C rk Ahts FAnt
,C rkt m§ ¨FC ¨A ¤ A·f m§ ¨q Am¡d §dA`t §Cw Yl ©C rkt Cdm Fr
Am A·f £@¡ C rk CAb Ah AAf C ¤ ,T·f wV Ah dA A·f Yl Tq}®t ®yWts Fr¤
13
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
Histogramme
40
30
20
10
0
Classes
Histogramme
40
30
20
10
0
Classes
14
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
100
80
60
40
20
0
Classes
: T\®
.XyFw Yms TWq ¨ EAn mtm ©C rkt Ynnm ¤ dAO mtm ©C rkt Ynnm VAqt§
15
¨f}w ºAO³ .1
100
80
60
40
20
0
Classes
16
T§zrm Tzn Hy§Aq
¢y Ewt ©@ «dm ¨ y w mt ¯A ryb d T§C rkt A`§Ewt \` ¨ d
. T§zrm Tzn r¡A\ £@¡ Yms .Tny` y w @n ¯A ryb d © ,AAyb
.AAyb Twmm ,§Ewt zrm Rw rb`§ © d xAy © w¡ T§zrm Tzn xAyq
¨As XFw
Ahmysq ¤ d¡AKm wmm XFwtm ¤ (Moyenne arithmétique) ¨As XFw Yl O
.N Yl
C rk ¤d rfm yq TA .1
N
x1 + x2 + · · · + xN 1 X
x := = xi .
N N
i=1
A·f TA ¨ .3
k
n1 × x1 + n2 × x2 + · · · + nk × xk 1 X
x := = ni xi .
N N
i=1
:A
:©¤As§ 6, 9, 3, 7, 2 TyAt yql ¨As XFw •
2+7+3+9+6 27
x := = = 5.4
5 5
17
T§zrm Tzn Hy§Aq .2
A·f xi ni fi ni xi
[ 150, 160 [ 155 4 0.04 620
[ 160, 170 [ 165 21 0.21 3465
[ 170, 180 [ 175 39 0.39 6825
[ 180, 190 [ 185 28 0.28 5180
[ 190, 200 [ 195 8 0.08 1560
wmm 100 1 17650
¨As XFw Q w
.A dtF A¡r ¤ T§zrm Tzn H§Aq ¡ ¨As XFw rbt`§
£@¡ ¨ ¢yl dmt`§ ® ¤ AhAO EAn§ ¤ rbk ¤ rO ¨ TrWtm yqA rt§ .1
¯A
T§ db ¤ T§Ahn ¨ Twtf rt Ð T§C rkt ¤ d TA ¨ £ A§ km§ ¯ .2
AW`m yq ym ¢As ¨ d§ ¤ T§rb Aylm`l A .3
T¤d` AhWFwt dn yq A r wm .4
N
X
(xi − x) = 0.
i=1
© A r¯ A`r wm r} ¨As XFw AAyb A r A`r wm .5
. c «r TWq
N
X N
X
(xi − x)2 < (xi − c)2 .
i=1 i=1
.Tyl}¯ Tmyql TtA Tmy (Tms rR rV) TAR TA ¨ Ahsf yqA ¨As XFw rt§ .6
ax + b = ax + b.
:¨Fdnh XFw
Tbwm yq Twmm (Moyenne géométrique) ¨Fdnh XFw
" p
#1
Y N
xG = xni i .
i=1
18
T§zrm Tzn Hy§Aq .2
ln xG = ln xni i
i=1
p
!
1 Y
= ln xni i
N
i=1
p
1 X
= ln (xni i )
N
i=1
p
1 X
= ni ln xi .
N
i=1
¢n¤
p
( )
1 X
xG = exp ni ln xi
N
i=1
N
xH = p .
X ni
xi
i=1
.TA £@¡ ¨ r` ry ¨q wt XFw T¤d` rytm y «d A Ð
: T\®
x > xG > xH
:A
.x, xG , xH s .2, 4, 6, 8 :TyAt yq rbt`
2+4+6+8
x= = 5.
√ 4
xG = 4 2 × 4 × 6 × 8 = 4.42
4
xH = = 3.84.
1 1 1 1
+ + +
2 4 6 8
19
T§zrm Tzn Hy§Aq .2
:XyFw
. ¾AyEAn ¤ ¾A§dAO Ahby r d` §¤Ast yms Y yq §Ew sq ¨t Tmyq ¨¡ (Médiane) XyFw
20
T§zrm Tzn Hy§Aq .2
:A
:4 ¤d ¨ Am dAO mtm ©C rkt §Ewt ¤d kK 3 ¤d ¨ XyFw As
A·f ni Nj ↑
[ 150, 160 [ 4 4
[ 160, 170 [ 21 25
[ 170, 180 [ 39 64
[ 180, 190 [ 28 92
[ 190, 200 [ 8 100
wmm 100
N
Am XyFw s .[ 170, 180 [ T·f ¨¡ TyWyFw T·f Ð ,50 = = XyFw Tb C ,N = 100 An§d
2
:¨l§
N
− Ni−1 50 − 25
Me := ei−1 + 2 × ai = 170 + × 10 = 176.41.
ni 39
: wnm
rytm TA ¨ Yt ¢ dtF km§¤ AwyJ r± ¤ C rk r± Tmyq ¢ (Mode) wnm r`§
. ¨fyk ¨¶AO³
21
T§zrm Tzn Hy§Aq .2
:A
:3 ¤d ¨ wnm As
A·f ni
[ 150, 160 [ 4
[ 160, 170 [ 21
[ 170, 180 [ 39
[ 180, 190 [ 28
[ 190, 200 [ 8
wmm 100
: T\®
TAs wk Yt TqlWm C rkt yO d ¯ T§¤Ast ry A·f wV A Ð •
.Ah wm C rkt FAnt ©C rkt Cdm ¨ ®yWtsm
.Xq ©C rkt Cdm FC ¤ wnm As ¨ TOm C rkt dts •
.AAybl wn dw§ ¯ ¢ T§¤Ast TqlWm C rkt A Ð •
.r ¤ y wn AAybl wk§ d •
:Ay`r
Twm A Ð .T§¤Ast As T`C Y AAyb sq ¨t AFAyq ¨¡¤ (Les quartiles) Ay`r
C dn (¢by r ) ¢lsls wk§ ©@ xAyq Y ± yrA wd @¶dn ,A§dAO Tb rm AFAyq
¢lsls wk§ ©@ xAyq Ð Yl± yrA wd Am ,AAyb 25% ¢lb q§ ©@ © AFAyq
wk§ ©@ xAyq wh ¨A yr A .AAyb 75% ¢lb q§ ©@ © AFAyq AC T® dn
¨A yr d As §r`t .AAyb 50% ¢lb q§ ©@ © ,AAyb Otn dn ¢lsls
, Q1 EwrA Yl± ¤ ¨A ¤ Y ± ® AC° A zr§ .Me AhWyF¤ ©¤As§ AAyb Twmm
:¨At kKA Ð yRw km§¤ , y rt Yl Q3 , Q2
x(1) , . . . . . . , Q1 , . . . . . . , Q2 , . . . . . . , Q3 , . . . . . . , x(N )
| {z } | {z } | {z } | {z }
25% 25% 25% 25%
| {z }
50%
| {z }
75%
3n + 1 n+1
Yl± yr Tb C wk Amny wk Y ± yr Tb C ,A§ r AFAyq d A Ð
4 4
2n + 1
bq§¤ Ay¤E AFAyq d Ahy wk§ ¨t TA ¨¤ . ¢tb C wkt ¨A yr ¤ XyFw A
4
.yC y rt yq wm § d` XFwt As Yl± ¤ Y ± A`yr As t§ 4 Yl Tmsq
22
T§zrm Tzn Hy§Aq .2
A·f ni Nj ↑
[ 150, 160 [ 4 4
[ 160, 170 [ 21 25
[ 170, 180 [ 39 64
[ 180, 190 [ 28 92
[ 190, 200 [ 8 100
wmm 100
: ¨AtA¤
25 − 4
Q1 = 160 + × 10 = 170.
21
¤
75 − 64
Q3 = 180 + × 10 = 183.93.
28
23
tKt Hy§Aq
A`§Ewt y ACAqm º r ¤ AAyb }w A¡dw ¨fk ¯ T§zrm Tzn Hy§Aq
y r¡AZ y TCAq º r dn` , AAyb HA d ¤ HA «d rk AnyW` ¯ Ah± , T§C rkt
± ry lt y r¡A\ ¨ AAyb CAKt d Ð C ¤ , ¨As AmhWF¤ «¤Ast§ km§
, {`b AhS` AAyb dAb «d rk AnyW` «r Hy§Aq d¤ @h .TsAt ry AAyb
. tKt Hy§Aqm Hy§Aqm £@¡ Yms
:«dm
§r`
:A
.E = 40 − 12 = 28 w¡ 23, 34, 33, 12, 40 yq Twmm «dm
:¨`yr «dm
§r`
rk AnyW`§¤ ,¤± yr ¤ A yr y rf w¡ (Intervalle interquartile) ¨`yr «dm
.Xq Tmyq TWFwt AAyb d O ¢y rKtn ©@ Am
IQ := Q3 − Q1 .
Tbl` XW
Me
◦ ◦ ◦
Q1 Q3
IQ
24
tKt Hy§Aq .3
d ®m .¨As XFwtm Tmy ¤ Ay d` XFwt ¢ ¢f}¤ km§ ©CAy`m r¯
.rµ rb wk§ Am¡d± ©CAy`m r¯ k¤ yq ytwmm ¨As XFw «¤Ast§
.Y¤± r ¨As XFw yq Ahy d`tb TyA Twmm ¨n`§ @¡
: T\®
.TqAs ¯ A`m ¨ A·f z rm |w` An rmts ¨¶AO³ rytm A Ð •
: An§d (b ∈ R ¤ a ∈ R∗ ) y yi = axi + b •
.σX 0 = |a|σX ¤ VX 0 = a2 VX
:A
:rtmtnsA Cdq ,wW s TblW Twm §Ew m§ ¨At ¨¶AO³ ¤d
A·f ni xi fi ni x2i
[ 150, 160 [ 4 155 0.04 96100
[ 160, 170 [ 21 165 0.21 571725
[ 170, 180 [ 39 175 0.39 1194375
[ 180, 190 [ 28 185 0.28 958300
[ 190, 200 [ 8 195 0.08 304200
wmm 100 1 3124700
√ ©CAy`m r³
σX = 94.75 = 9.73.
®t³ A`
yb ©CAy`m r¯ y y TCAqm ¨As XFw ¨ AtCAqt AtA An§d wk§ Adn
XFw ryk rb ytA «d³ ¨As XFw A Ð ÐA k¤ . ry r ytA © An
.ryt «d rb` wk ¯ ©CAy`m r¯ TCAq TA £@¡ ¨ ?«r± TAl ¨As
25
tKt Hy§Aq .3
XFwl ©CAy`m r¯ Tbs r w¡¤ (Coefficient de variation) ®t¯ A` dts @
.¨As
σX
CV := × 100.
x
Tlsls HA Yl ry} A Ф Ty¶AO³ Tlsls §Ab Yl ryb ®t¯ A` A Ð
.Ty¶AO³
.TsAt ÂÄd Ty¶AO³ Tlsls ,CV < 5% A Ð À
.TsAt Ty¶AO³ Tlsls ,20% ¤ 5% y ®t¯ A` A Ð Á
?k km§ ¯ ,60% ¤ 20% y ®t¯ A` A Ð Â
.TsAt ry Ty¶AO³ Tlsls , CV > 80% A Ð Ã
: T\®
¨ ytflt ytwmm ¢ dtF km§ ¨AtA¤ ¨l}± rytm d¤ Yl dmt`§ ¯ ®t³ A`
. dw
26
¨qywt ylt
As Y TA rh\ rm d Yl ©wt ¨t ¤ TyAmt¯ Ty¶ wK` CAt ry ¨
.AkA Trt ºAS As «r CAb` ¤ Trt w TA d` ¤
TlA Twm Ah wq¤ ,¨htn A¡r}An d A Ð Tyhtn Twm Ah Twm wq
Twm r}An A¡r}An TlAq km§ ©) A¡r}An Äd Ak³A¤ Tyhtn ry Twm A Ð d`l
ry Twm Ah wq An d`l TlA ry¤ Tyhtn ry Twm A Ð A .(Ty`ybW d±
.Tyhtn
£@¡ dh .«r± ¨¡ Tyhtn TlykK Ahn kK d§r ¤ Tyhtn Twm An§d dw ¢rbt`
S ¨t y wq ¤ TlykKt £@¡ T`ybV Tr` Anyl § @ ¤ ®ykKt £@¡ d As w¡ TF Cd
.Ah
:A
Am 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 :TyAt T¤r`m AC± m`ts An wh AC ykK A C Ð
r lt§ 027720033 :¨f Ah r ± y rt A r w¤ CAtm r C rk Annkm§
.C rkt Hfn ¤ AC± Hf ylkK yyf Ah ymr C 027723300 :¨f Ah
:¶ wq
.rOn n Ð Twm An§d dw ¢ rbt`
§r`
27
¨qywt ylt .4
:T\®
.¾Awms C rkt A Tm¶Aq r}An d rb Twmm r}An d wk§ ªrtK§ ¯
: Ð rOn k Ð Tm¶A Ahn kK d§r ,rOn n Ð Twm An§d dw ¢ rbt`
:An§d
.1 C rOn` CAyt³ TyAk n •
.2 C rOn` CAyt³ TyAk n ¤ •
..
.
.k C rOn` CAyt³ TyAk n ¤ •
.|n × n{z× . . . n} = nk :w¡ ¶ wq d Ð
Ak
:Aby rt
.Tfltm r}An` Ðwm ¤ r}An` Twmm y rt d As w¡ wlWm A Ð
Yl QAJ± y r wm ¤ rm Yl Tfltm r}An` y r «r CAb`¤
.¨F rk
.rOn n Ð Twm An§d dw ¢ rbt`
§r`
n!
.Akn = d` w¡ rOn n Ð Twm rOn k Ð Aby rt d
(n − k)!
.0! = 1 ¤ n! = n × (n − 1) × (n − 2) × · · · × 2 × 1 y
: Ð rOn k Ð Tby r Ahn kK d§r ,rOn n Ð Twm An§d dw ¢ rbt`
:An§d
.1 C rOn` CAyt³ TyAk n •
.2 C rOn` CAyt³ TyAk n − 1 ¤ •
..
.
.k C rOn` CAyt³ TyAk n − k + 1 ¤ •
n!
.Akn = = n × (n − 1) · · · (n − k + 1) :w¡ Aby rt d Ð
(n − k)!
28
¨qywt ylt .4
:A
Ahn§wk km§ ¨t Aby rt d . Ω = {a, b, c, d} r}An T`C Twkm TyAt Twmm kt
4! 4 × 3 × 2!
¨¡ ¤ A24 = = = 4 × 3 = 12 ¨¡ yn §rOn
(4 − 2)! 2!
(a, b), (a, c), (a, d), (b, a), (b, c), (b, d), (c, a), (c, b), (c, d), (d, a), (d, b), (d, c)
:T\®
.wms ry C rkt ± Tby rt r}An d ©¤As§ ¤ rb Twmm r}An d wk§ ªrtK§
§r`
:A
Tnkmm ®§dbt d ¢n ¤ n = 3 An§d ,Ω = {a, b, c} r}An T® Twkm TyAt Twmm kt
¨¡ ¤ n! = 3! = 6 ©¤As§
(a, b, c), (a, c, b), (b, a, c), (b, c, a), (c, a, b)
rOn n1 , n2 , . . . , nk y rt Yl mK Ty¶z TlykK k Twkt rOn n Ð C rkt ®§dbt d
:¨l§ Am r`m Pnn1 , n2 ,...,nk : d` w¡ ,n1 + n2 + · · · + nk = n y ¢AKt
n!
Pnn1 , n2 ,...,nk
=
n1 ! · · · nk !
:Aqywt
r d§r An © .r}An` rOn CAyt¯ Tnkmm rW d A§ w¡ wlWm A Ð
.r}An` £@¡ y y rt r\n { rOn CAyt
.rOn n Ð Twm An§d dw ¢ rbt`
§r`
n!
Cnk = : d` w¡ rOn n Ð Twm rOn k Ð Aqywt d
k!(n − k)!
:A
Ahn§wk km§ ¨t Aqywt d . Ω = {a, b, c, d} r}An T`C Twkm TyAt Twmm kt
4! 4 × 3 × 2! 4×3
¨¡ ¤ C42 = = = = 6 ¨¡ yn §rOn
(4 − 2)!2! 2! × 2! 2
(a, b), (a, c), (a, d), (b, c), (b, d), (c, d)
29
¨qywt ylt .4
:Aqywt P¶AO
Aqywt wA rZAn •
n! n!
Cnn−k = = = Cnk
(n − k)!(n − n + k)! (n − k)!k!
C00
C10 C11
n = 0: 1
n = 1: 1 1
n = 2: 1 2 1
n = 3: 1 3 3 1
n = 4: 1 4 6 4 1
30
¯Amt³
.Ahlyl ¤ A¡rys ¨t y wq ,Ty¶ wK` r¡ w\ TF Cd th§ ©@ l` ¨¡ ¯Amt³ T§r\
: Ty¶ wK` Trt
:TyAt ª¤rK q Tylm ¤ Tr ¨¡ Ty¶ wK` Trt
.Ah¶ r b Aqbs Twl` wk Trtl Tnkmm ¶Atn ym .1
.Ah¶ r b d¥¤ ¨`W kK Trt Tytn ¥bnt km§ ¯ .2
.Trt º r b Trt ¶At Tyt CwhZ T}r xAy ¤ Tr` km§ .3
§r`
.Ω ¢ zrnF¤ Trtl Tnkmm ¶Atn Twm w¡ Tny` ºAS
:A
¤ ¢w CwhZ Yl d§ F y Ω = {P, F } w¡ d ¤ r wq T`W ºAq Tr ¨ Tny` ºAS .1
. CA`K CwhZ Yl d§ P
.Ω = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} w¡ d ¤ r r r ºAq Tr ¨ Tny` ºAS .2
.Ω = {(1, 1), (1, 2), . . . , (6, 6)} w¡ y r r r ºAq Tr ¨ Tny` ºAS .3
§r`
«d Xq mSt Twm ¨ms .Tny` ºAS Ty¶z Twm w¡ ¨¶ wK` d
.Ay¤ Ad Trtl Tnkmm ¶Atn
Tnkmm ¶Atn ¨¡ A¡r}An Twm © Tny` ºAS Ty¶z Twm ¢ Yl d Anr
¢r` A ¨AtA¤ Awmm T`ybV Ah Ty¶ wK` d± ^® @k¡¤ Ty¶ wK Trt
sn§ Aylm` £@h Tfltm Q w ¤ Awmm T§r\ ¨ rf ¤ VAqt ¤ Amt¯ Aylm
. d± Yl AAm
ºAq Tr ¨ {1} d ¤ rOn wkm d w¡¤ :(Évènement simple) Xysb d .1
. rn r
31
¯Amt³ .5
d` d {2, 4, 6} rOn r wkm d :(Évènement composé) rm d .2
. rn r ºAq Tr ¨ ¨¤E
7 r CwhZ d rOn © ©w§ ¯ ©@ d :(Évènement impossible) ytsm d .3
∅ ¢ zrnF¤ . rn r ºAq Tr ¨
d CwhZ d ºASf r}An TA S§ ©@ d :(Évènement certain) dy± d .4
Ω ¢ zrnF¤ . rn r ºAq Tr ¨ 7
Tny` ºAS ©¤As§ ¡ A @l Ad :(Évènement complémentaire )mtm ¤ mkm d .5
.A ∪ A = Ω y mkm d A d A Yn`m
Ð Xq¤ Ð AyAnt B ¤ A yd wq : (Évènements incompatibles) AyAntm Ad .6
.A ∩ B = ∅ A
. AyAnt Ad A ¤ A :A
¯ ¡d ¤) rµA hn © rt§ ¯ @l :(Évènements indépendants) ®qtsm Ad .7
.(rµ w¤ d ¤ ww rt§ ¤ r¥§
:Ty¶ wK` d± ryb`tl Awmm T§r\ dts
.Tny` ºAS ¤ Tylk Twmm Yms ¤ ,Ω A Trt Tnkmm ¶Atn rb` •
.Trtl Tnkmm ¶Atn Twm ¨¡ A y ,Tny` ºAS A Ty¶z Twm d rb` •
.q d A d wq A rOn m Tytn Trt ht Ð •
§r`
Tny` T A w¤ T}rf ¨m xAyq w¡¤ .A d w¤ ¨ \ TC ¢ A Amt¯ r`§
.1 ¤ 0 y CwO wk§
:©dylqt §r`t
T§¤Ast Ty¤± d± |rfn .Ty¶ wK Trt l`tm ¤ ¨htnm Tny` ºAS Ω = {ω1 , . . . , ωn } ky
Am P(A) ¢ zr¤ d w¤ Amt r` .Trt £@h ¾Aql`t ¾Ad A ky¤ ww ¨ Qrf
: ¨l§
Tm¶®m ¯A d Card(A)
P(A) = = .
Tnkmm ¯A d Card(Ω)
Tylk AyAk³ d Card(Ω) ¤ A d w¤ AyAk d ¤ Twmm r}An d Card(A) y
.Trtl
:A
.A = {F } © , ¢w CwhZ A d ky .Ω = {P, F } An§d ,d ¤ r wq T`W ºAq Tr .1
Ð ©¤As§ A ¤d Amt
Card(A) 1
P(A) := = .
Card(Ω) 2
32
¯Amt³ .5
Tq§rW yt§r s wq .(º wF A§r 10 ¤ ºASy T§r 20) T§r 30 Yl ¤dn} ©wt§ .3
.AC ¤ ¤ Ty¶ wK
An§d .ºASy yt§r Yl wO Amt As •
Tm¶®m ¯A d Card(A)
P(A) = = .
Tnkmm ¯A d Card(Ω)
:Tnkmm ¯A d
2 30! 30 × 29
Card(Ω) = C30 = = = 435.
28!2! 2
:Tm¶®m ¯A d .AC ¤ s ¤ h ry y rt ±
2 0 20! 20 × 19
Card(A) = C20 × C10 = ×1= = 190.
18!2! 2
¢n¤
Card(A) 190
P(A) := = = 0.44.
Card(Ω) 435
:Tm¶®m ¯A d An§d .º wF T§r ¤ ºASy T§r Yl wO Amt As •
1 1
Card(B) = C20 × C10 = 20 × 10 = 200.
Card(B) 200
P(B) := = = 0.46.
Card(Ω) 435
Twm Tny` ºAS wk§ Am¡d AVrJ r wt§ § ©dylqt §r`tl Aq¤ Amt³ As
®m ,Tyhtnm ry AAk³ Twm Ð CAt TF C rOq§ ©dylqt §r`t @ ,Tyhtn
[a, b] ºz ¨ TWqn w¤ Amt As Any lV¤ x TWqn ¢yl @ yqts An§d A w
yqtsm ªAq d As TyAk d` Amt² ©dylqt §r`t ybW `O ¢ d ,yqtsm
.Tm¶®m ¯A d m ¨t [a, b] ºz ªAq wm ¤ Tnkmm ¯A d m ¨t
a x b
• • •
@h ,ww ¨ Qrf T§¤Ast Trt AAk wk wh r wt§ § ©@ rµ ªrK A
r ¨¡¤ ªrK @¡ Ahy r wt§ ¯ ¨t CAt TF C z`§ Amt² ©dylqt §r`t
.TE wt ry wq T`W @ Tr ¨ F ¢w CwhZ Amt As Ð Yl Am¤ ¢qq ¨t l
.¯Amt³ T§r\ ºAnb ¨¶Ahn xAF± wk§ lO§ ¯ Amt² ©dylqt §r`t d @k¡¤
33
¯Amt³ .5
:A
rn(A)
n
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
34
¯Amt³ .5
35
¯Amt³ .5
A\B B
A∪B
An§d
A ∪ B = (A \ B) ∪ B
y
(A \ B) ∩ B = ∅
3 Tyh§db Am`tFA ¢n¤
(1) P(A ∪ B) = P((A \ B) ∪ B) = P(A \ B) + P(B)
: wky D = B ∪ C |rf
36
¯Amt³ .5
A C
@¤
:T}®
T r TAy} Yl wO km§ ¯Amt³ A ¨ zyrtl xAF Awmm T§r\ dtFA
:dts Tq§rW £@h .Tfltm y¡Afml
(et) ¤ CAb ¯d ∩ VAqt zC •
(ou) ¤ CAb ¯d ∩ A ³ zC •
A Hk CAb ¯d A ¤ Ac mtm zC •
:A
Ew Amt ©¤As§ A HAntm Ew Amt A Ð TAbsl AbF ¨ A, B, C ysAnt ® rtJ
? B ¤ A Ew Amt Am . C Ew Amt `R A, B Ew Amt¤ B HAntm
An§d
37
¯Amt³ .5
:¨VrK Amt³
Tqbs Tr` Ţ ¤ Ty¶ wK` Trt Yl ¾ Amt ¾rJAb ¯Amt As Anm Ty¶ wK` d± ¨
¤ d ¾Any` ¾Ad l` Trt Tyt w ¾Ay¶z ¾A® Anl}¤ A ¨ .Trt Tyt w
Pqn d ¤ d± {` ¯Amt z d .Trt £@h Tql`tm d± ¯Amt ¨ r¥yF Ð
. ¢yl A A Yl Yqb ¤ Ah ¯Amt ryt ¯ d d An¡ ¤ rµ AhS` ¯Amt
Ω
:A
HmK A H w§ Aml wy @¡ rWm wW¡ Amt •
AW ¤ w§ 150 dm } wt kK m ¢ Aml TyAR w§ 100 dm EAh m Amt •
|rm @¡ dR Aql @ A |rm TA}¯ Amt •
¨VrK Aþmt³ .P(B) 6= 0 y Ω Tþny` ºASþ Hf Yl ytr` yt A B ¤ A kt
:¨l§ Am r`§¤ P(A|B) zrA ¢ zr§ B T A ww (AV¤rK ¤) Aml A T Al
P(A ∩ B)
P(A|B) = , P(B) 6= 0
P(B)
:Q w
0 ≤ P(A|B) ≤ 1 .1
P(A|A) = 1 .2
: ylOfn y A A2 ¤ A1 A Ð .3
P(A1 ∪ A2 |B) = P(A1 |B) + P(A2 |B).
38
¯Amt³ .5
P(A ∩ B)
P(B|A) = .4
P(A)
P(B|A) 6= P(A|B) .5
P(A|B) = 1 − P(A|B) .6
Yl Awsq A Amt A¤rS A Aml B Amt ©¤As§ B d Aml A dl ¨VrK Amt³
.B Amt
P(B|A) × P(A)
P(A|B) = , P(B) 6= 0
P(B)
:Tlqtsm w
© B A ¤d d ¤ ¤d AqlW rt§ ¯ A Tny` T A ¤d wk§ ¯A {` ¨
.A T A Amt ¤ ¨VrK Amt³ y r ¯ © .P(A|B) = P(A)
d q Ð ®qts B ¤ A y A wq .Ω Tny` ºAS Hf Yl Ar` A A B ¤ A ky
:TyAt T·Aktm ª¤rK
P(A|B) = P(A) •
P(B|A) = P(B) •
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B) •
:Q w
T·Akt TyAt ¶Atn
®qts B ¤ A ⇔ ®qts B ¤ A
®qts B ¤ A ⇔ ®qts B ¤ A
®qts B ¤ A ⇔ ®qts B ¤ A
39
¯Amt³ .5
T¶z kK Ah d± £@¡ wq .Ω Tny` ºAS B1 , B2 , B3 , . . . , Bn d± An§d kt
:TyAt ª¤rK qq Ð Xq ¤ Ð Ω Tny` ºASf ¤ dy± dl
∀i = 1, 2, 3, ...., n; P(Bi ) > 0 •
n
[
Ω= Bi •
i=1
∀i, j = 1, 2, 3, . . . , n, i 6= j; Bi ∩ Bj = ∅ •
:¶At
: Ω Tny` ºASf T¶z kK B1 , B2 , · · · , Bn A Ð .1
n
X
P (Bi ) = P (Ω) = 1
i=1
A = A ∩ Ω = A ∩ (B1 ∪ B2 ∪ · · · ∪ Bn ) = (A ∩ B1 ) ∪ · · · ∪ (A ∩ Bn )
tn§¤ Yn Yn TyAnt ¨h Ω dy± dl T¶z kK B1 , B2 , · · · , Bn d± Am
. A dl T¶z kK ¤ A¾ S§ Yn Yn TyAnt A ∩ B1 , . . . , A ∩ Bn d±
40
¯Amt³ .5
:A
l` . y rt Yl ¨¶Ahn tnm 30% , 45% ,25% : tn B3 ,B2 ,B1 ¯ 3 An§d ymtl nO ¨
A} ry tn Yl wO Amt A . TA} ry y rt Yl ® ¯µ Atn 2% ,3% ,2%
. ¾Ay¶ wK nOm @¡ Atn d CAyt A ¨
: TyAt d± An§d kt
.A} ry Ay¶ wK wsm tnm : A
P(B1 ) = 0.3 : y B1 Tµ wsm tnm : B1
P(B2 ) = 0.45 : y B2 Tµ wsm tnm : B2
P(B3 ) = 0.25 : y B3 Tµ wsm tnm : B3
: d ¨lk Amt³ Tn¡rb ybWt .T¶z kK B3 ,B2 ,B1 d± ^¯
3
X
P(A) = P(A|Bi )P(Bi )
i=1
P(A) = P(A|B1 )P(B1 ) + P(A|B2 )P(B2 ) + P(A|B3 )P(B3 )
P(A) = (0.3)(0.02) + (0.45)(0.03) + (0.25)(0.02) = 0.0245
:z§A Tn¡rb
P(Bi ) 6= 0 y ¤ Ω Tny` ºASf T¶z kK ¨t ¤ B1 , B2 , ...., Bn d± An§d kt
. ∀i = 1, 2, · · · , n
: P(A) 6= 0 y A ⊆ Ω d © @¶dn
P(A|Bi )P(Bi )
P(Bi |A) = n
X
P(A|Bi )P(Bi )
i=1
z§A wA Yms§ A w¡¤
:A
.A} ry ¢ ¾Aml TA Tµ At wsm tnm wk§ Amt w¡ A As Am ¨
B1 , B2 , B3 ¤ Tqq TqAs Tn¡rbm ª¤rJ ^¯ . P(B3 |A) w¡ ¢As wlWm Amt³
: wk§¤ z§A wA ybW yWts An © P(A) 6= 0 ¤ T¶z kK
P(A|B3 )P(B3 ) 0.005 10
P(B3 |A) = = = .
P(A) 0.0245 49
41
1 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
fOt s TfnO ,rhJ ® rt¯ w d (Nombre de visites ) CA§E d m§ ¨At ¤d
: (Navigateur) m`tsm rt¯
Navigateur Nombre de visites
Chrome 880 491
Firefox 2 022 764
Internet Explorer 576 655
Opera 160 303
Safari 315 613
Autres 41 367
:¨A §rmt
:AfV± d s ®¶A` Tny §Ew m§ ¨At ¤d
AfV± d 0 1 2 3 4 5
®¶A` d 38 15 11 6 3 2
42
1 C Thwm Am± TlslF .6
:A §rmt
A· ¨ rytm y ym .QAJ± Tny` ¨¶AO rytm ©C rkt Cdm m§ ¨At kK
.63 ©¤As§ 120 zrm Ð T·f C rk .10 wW Hfn
.T· C rk tntF ,A·f d¤ .1
.Tny` xAq w¡ A .2
.Tybsn C rkt ¤d kJ .3
: r §rmt
:Ayl` xC dm «d At® TqAs ¨ TblWl Ahyl Otm A®` m§ ¨At ¤d
T®` [0 ; 5[ [5 ; 8[ [8 ; 10[ [10 ; 12[ [12 ; 16[ [16 ; 20]
C rkt 17 16 26 30 24 11
43
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
Ahn d ¤ wV Tny 75 ¨ wwm wy` d s ,d§d T §rt MAmq ¨`A} d A
:¨At ¤d ¨ TOl Ahyl Otm ¶Atn .CAt 10
wy` d 0 1 2 3 4 5
Any` d 38 15 11 6 3 2
:¨A §rmt
:r 100 Tylm` £@¡ C rk ¤ Tny` TynE d ® d§rb Ak d Yl ¶Az d w T\®
§d w d 1 2 3 4 5 6
C rkt 15 25 26 20 7 7
44
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF .7
xi 0 1 2 3 4 5
ni 10 43 39 28 43 7
:A §rmt
:Wqt ¨m rytm Ty¶AO TF C m§ ¨At ¤d
.TEAn ¤ dAO T`mtm Tybsn C rkt ¤d kJ .1
.AyAs XFw ¤ wnm d¤ .2
.¨q wt ¤ ¨Fdnh ¤ ¨As XFw s .3
.Ty¶AO³ Tlsls £@¡ AyAy .4
.AyAy XyFw ¤ wnm d¤ .5
: r §rmt
:AfV± d s ®¶A` Tny` Ty¶AO TF C m§ ¨At ¤d
xi ni fi Nj ↑ Nj ↓ Fj ↑
0 12 0.12
1 25
2
3 51 0.74
4 0.16
5
45
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF .7
:HA §rmt
:¨l§ Am ¶Atn A¤ y 10 Twk Ty¶AO Tlsls §Abt ¤ ¨As XFw As Anm
x10 = 5.9 ¤ σX2 = 4.83.
Tdtsm Tmyq ,¸VA kK bt yq «d y : As ¨ W d ¢ An yb Ð d`
.6.5 A w ¨ TyO Tmyq ry ,8.5 A As ¨
.yyO §Abt ¤ ¨As XFw s .1
46
3 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
41 w¡ C r TC XFwt ny TyAmK Ak§r d «d C r TC ryt Ty¶AO TF C
.(◦ C) T§w·m ACdl ¶Atn £@¡ w .27◦ F £Cd ©CAy` rA (◦ F) §Ahr¡A TC
.212◦ F Ð Aq§¤ 100◦ C dn ºAm ¨l§¤ 32◦ F Ð Aq§¤ 0◦ C dn dyl ¤@§
:¨A §rmt
:lt w 19 dn Tls AAyA rh £Ay ¨ ¤Eµ zyr m TyAt Ty¶AO³ Tlsls
0.85; 1.35; 1.13; 0.48; 1.17; 1.55; 1.04; 1.37; 1.29; 0.87; 2.14; 1.10; 1.12; 2.43; 1.01; 0.60; 2.02; 0.93; 1.98
:A §rmt
.rm` s Aks Tny §Ew m§ ¨At ¤d
A·f [ 0, 10 [ [ 10, 20 [ [ 20, 30 [ [ 30, 40 [ [ 40, 50 [ [ 50, 60 [ [ 60, 70 [ [ 70, 80 [
C rkt 18 44 68 54 42 36 16 10
47
3 C Thwm Am± TlslF .8
: r §rmt
:CAn§dA Cdq ,©rhK r s AsF¥m «d Am §Ew m§ ¨At ¨¶AO³ ¤d
.x¤Cdm ¨¶AO³ rytm w A .1
.¨lk C rkt tntF .2
A·f ni fi Nj ↑ Nj ↓ Fj ↑
.¤d m .3
[ 15 000, 20 000 [ 8 0.08
[ 20 000, 25 000 [ 25 .©C rkt Cdm FC .4
[ 25 000, 30 000 [
[ 30 000, 35 000 [ 48 0.84 . wnm d¤¤ Ty wnm T·f X .5
[ 35 000, 40 000 [ 0.1 .AyAy¤ AyAs XyFw d¤ .6
[ 40 000, 45 000 [
.¨As XFw s .7
.®t¯ A` d¤ ©CAy`m r¯ ¤ §Abt s .8
48
4 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
:TyAt ¯ A`m Ty`ybW d± Twm ¨
A3n − 20n = 0 (n ≥ 3) .1
:¨A §rmt
.m ≤ n y Cnm rbt` , Ay`ybV d n ¤ m ky
Cnm = Cnn−m : b .1
m+1
(m + 1)Cn+1 = (n + 1)Cnm : b .2
m−1 m + C m+1 = C m+1 tntF , C m = C m−1 + C m :
.Cn−1 + 2Cn−1 n−1 n+1 n n−1 n−1 b .3
N
X
m+1
.( A m ∈ N∗ ) Cnm = CN +1 An§d m ≤ N © ¢ , N Yl rtA ¡r .4
n=m
n
X
. n
Ca+b = Cak Cbn−k : y , n ≤ min(a, b) y Ty`ybV d T® n ¤ a, b kt .5
k=0
:A §rmt
.f (x) = (1 + x)n S .n ∈ N∗ ky
.(1 + x)n rK .1
:TyAt yAm y tntF .2
A= Cn0 + Cn1 + Cn2 + ··· + Cnn
B = Cn0 + 2Cn1 + 4Cn2 + · · · + 2n Cnn
C = Cn0 − Cn1 + Cn2 − · · · + (−1)n Cnn
49
4 C Thwm Am± TlslF .9
: r §rmt
.lR (N ≥ 3) N ¢ ,A`lS rbt`
(¢y yyAtt ry yFC y O Tmyqts T`W w¡ lSm rW) ?lSm CAW d w¡ A .1
?lSm x¤¦C Am`tFA ¢lykK km§ l .2
?lSm VAq TWq CAW° dw§ .3
:HA §rmt
Pour coder les) Ewr ryfK (Le système binaire) ¨¶An A\n m`ts ¨µ ®³ ¨
.1 ¤ 0 Tmyq @§ rOn w¡ (un bit: chiffre binaire, binary digit) yb .(caractères
?£ryfK km§ zC ,(¢yt¤ 1) y 8 Am`tFA .1
?Tnkm Tml dw§ , y 32 Twk TlslF CAb ¨¡ Tmlk .2
:x As §rmt
?P(E) Twmm º z Twm r}An d w¡ A .rOn n Twk Twm rbt`
:As §rmt
.r ≤ n ,CardF = n ,CardE = r y Atwm F ¤ E kt
.F ¨ E AqybW d w¡ A .1
.F ¨ E Tn§Abtm AqybWt d w¡ A .2
:A §rmt
.¤dn} n ¨ r r S km§ Tq§rV k
:FAt §rmt
.(r ≤ n) r r ¢n s .r n Yl ©wt§ ¤dn}
.AC³ s TA ¨ AyAk³ d w¡ A .1
? y rt A r¤ AC³ d TA ¨ AyAk³ d w¡ A .2
? y rt A r d¤ AC³ d TA ¨ AyAk³ d w¡ A .3
:rJA` §rmt
.Ab¯ 20 y CAyt¯ Annkm§ ,dq r §r ykK
?¢lykK km§ §r ,zr © ¨ `l ¢nkm§ ¯ AnRrt Ð .1
?¢lykK km§ §r ,Yr x r T® Ab¯ §rK` y A Ð .2
50
5 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
.10 ¤ 5 ©¤As§ wm Yl wO Amt w¡ A .d ¤ r r ¨t`W @q wq
:¨A §rmt
y A T A rbt` .Ω = {ω1 , ω2 , . . . , ω8 } y A Ty¶ wK Trt AyAk³ Twm Ω kt
Hf Ah Ty¤± w l` , C = {ω1 , ω5 } ¤ B = {ω3 , ω4 , ω5 , ω7 } T A ¤ A = {ω3 , ω7 , ω8 }
.Amt³
.P(B) ,P(A) ,P(A ∪ B) ,P(A ∩ B) ,P(C) ,P(B) ,P(A) s
:A §rmt
¨ rh\§ ©@ d` ,y r 6 Y 1 Tmr zt r r¡E ¨r .x2 + bx + c = 0 T A`m rbt`
. c m§ TyA Tyr ¨ rh\§ ©@ d` ¤ ,b m§ Y¤± Tyr
?yflt yl bq AW`m T A`m Amt w¡ A .1
?AfAS ® bq T A`m £@¡ Amt w¡ A .2
?¨qyq © bq ¯ T A`m £@¡ Amt w¡ A .3
: r §rmt
wFC Amt .Tflt z r ¨ TqAsm «r .TqAs Y d ¤ w§ ¨ TblV T® dq
:¨l§ Am Cd hn d ¤
P(A) = 0.2, P(B) = 0.5, P(C) = 0.3
:HA §rmt
.AhWy Y ¢n r¶ d zr Y r TWqn wk Amt d¤ .r¶ d TWq Ay¶ wK CAt
51
1 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
TtF @§ ¨mF ¨fy ,CA§z ® m`tsm rt± fOt :x¤Cdm ¨¶AO³ bW .1
.Autres ¤ Firefox, Chrome, Internet Explorer, Safari, Opera : d¡AK
:© ,(¨lk C rkt ) C rkt wm ©¤As§ Tny` xAq .2
X
N= ni = 880491 + 2022764 + 576655 + 160303 + 315613 + 41367 = 3997193.
Autres
Chrome
Firefox Chrome
Internet Explorer
1500000
Opera
Safari
Firefox
1000000
Autres
Safari
500000
Opera
Internet Explorer
0
Navigateur
ni
αi = × 360 = fi × 360.
N
52
1 C Thwm Am± TlslF .11
:¨A §rmt
Wqt ¨m ,AfV± d :x¤Cdm ¨¶AO³ rytm .1
:© ,(¨lk C rkt ) C rkt wm ©¤As§ Tny` xAq .2
X
N= ni = 38 + 15 + 11 + 6 + 3 + 2 = 75.
Diagramme en bâtons
35
30
25
Effectifs
20
15
10
5
0 1 2 3 4 5
:A §rmt
¤) d¤ 9 wk T·f £@¡ m§ ©@ yWtsm Am¤ 63 ©¤As§ 120 zrm Ð T·f C rk
.7 ©¤As§ (AV ¤) d¤ C rk tnts ,( wV
:Tny` xAq .1
N = 2 × 7 + 4 × 7 + 9 × 7 + 5 × 7 + 3 × 7 = 161
53
1 C Thwm Am± TlslF .11
A·f xi ni fi
[ 95; 105 [ 100 14 0.09
[ 105; 115 [ 110 28 0.17
[ 115; 125 [ 120 63 0.39
[ 125; 135 [ 130 35 0.22
[ 135; 145 [ 140 21 0.13
wmm 161 1
: r §rmt
.rmts ¨m ,Ahyl Otm T®` :x¤Cdm ¨¶AO³ rytm .1
X :Tny` xAq .2
N= ni = 17 + 16 + 26 + 30 + 24 + 11 = 124.
0 5 10 15 20
Classes
:HA §rmt
:TyAt T®` s A·f d` Tyb§rq Tmy ¨W`§ Sturges wA .1
k ' 1 + 3.222 × log10 N
54
1 C Thwm Am± TlslF .11
Histogramme
4
3
2
1
0
Classes
55
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
.Wqt ¨m , wy` d :x¤Cdm ¨¶AO³ bW .1
:TEAn ¤ dAO T`mtm Tybsn C rkt ¤d .2
wy` d ni fi Fj ↑ Fj ↓
0 38 0.507 0.507 1
1 15 0.200 0.707 0.493
2 11 0.147 0.853 0.293
3 6 0.080 0.933 0.147
4 3 0.040 0.973 0.067
5 2 0.027 1 0.027
:¨As XFw .5
k
1 X 38 × 0 + 15 × 1 + 11 × 2 + 6 × 3 + 3 × 4 + 2 × 5
x := ni xi = = 1.026 ' 1.
N 75
i=1
:¨A §rmt
:TEAn ¤ dAO T`mtm Tybsn C rkt ¤d .1
§d w d ni fi Fj ↑ Fj ↓
1 15 0.150 0.150 1
2 25 0.250 0.400 0.850
3 26 0.260 0.660 0.600
4 20 0.200 0.860 0.340
5 7 0.070 0.930 0.140
6 7 0.070 1 0.070
56
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF .12
Diagramme en bâtons
35
30
25
Effectifs
20
15
10
5
0 1 2 3 4 5
:¨As XFw .4
k
1 X 15 × 1 + 25 × 2 + 26 × 3 + 20 × 4 + 7 × 5 + 7 × 6
x := ni xi = = 3.
N 100
i=1
Diagramme en bâtons
25
20
Effectifs
15
10
1 2 3 4 5 6
57
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF .12
xi ni fi Fj ↑
0 10 0.059 0.059
1 43 0.253 0.312
2 39 0.229 0.541
3 28 0.165 0.706
4 43 0.253 0.959
5 7 0.041 1
:A §rmt
:TEAn ¤ dAO T`mtm Tybsn C rkt ¤d .1
¯ wn dw§ TA £@¡ ¨ :Ty¶AO³ Tlsls ¨ C rk r± Tmyq : wnm .2
Mo = 1 ¤ Mo = 4.
:¨As XFw .4
6
1 X 10 × 0 + 43 × 1 + 39 × 2 + 28 × 3 + 43 × 4 + 7 × 5
x := ni xi = = 2.424.
N 170
i=1
" 6
#1
Y N
.x G = xni i =0 :¨Fdnh XFw .5
i=1
N
.x1 = 0 ± TA £@¡ ¨ r` ry w¡¤ ,xH = P6 ni :¨q wt XFw
i=1
xi
:Ty¶AO³ Tlslsl ¨Ayb ymt .6
: r §rmt
.Wqt ¨m ,AfV± d :x¤Cdm ¨¶AO³ rytm .1
ni 12 ni
.N = = = 100 :©¤As§ N ¨lk C rkt tnts ¢n¤ ,fi = An§d .2
fi 0.12 N
:¨l§ Am ¤d mk .3
:TqlWm C rktl ¨Ayb ymt .4
.Mo = 3 :Ty¶AO³ Tlsls ¨ C rk r± Tmyq : wnm .5
58
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF .12
Diagramme en bâtons
40
35
30
Effectifs
25
20
15
10
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diagramme en bâtons
25
20
Effectifs
15
10
0 1 2 3 4 5
:Ay`r
N
Q1 = Tb r Ð Tmyq = x(25) = 1.
4
Q2 = Me = 3.
59
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF .12
3N
Q3 = Tb r Ð Tmyq = x(75) = 4.
4
:¨As XFw .7
6
1 X 12 × 0 + 13 × 1 + 24 × 2 + 25 × 3 + 16 × 4 + 10 × 5
x := ni xi = = 2.5.
N 100
i=1
" 6
#1
Y N
.x G = xni i =0 :¨Fdnh XFw
i=1
N
.x1 = 0 ± TA £@¡ ¨ r` ry w¡ ¤ ,xH = P6 ni ¨q wt XFw
i=1
xi
:§Abt .8
6
1 X
2
σX := ni (xi − x)2 = 2.15.
N
i=1
q
:©CAy`m r¯
σX 2 = 1.47.
:= σX
:HA §rmt
: Ð An§d .x010 : yO ¨As XFw Y zr .x10 ¨¡ T·VA Tmyq |rf Annkm§
10 9 9
!
1 X 1 X X
x10 = xi = xi + 8.5 = 5.9 ⇔ xi = 50.5
10 10
i=1 i=1 i=1
X9
⇔ xi + 6.5 = 57
i=1
⇔ x010 = 5.7.
:(Formule de Koeing) §Abtl TyAt T®` m`ts ,zrA ¢ zr ©@ yO §Abt As
N
2 1 X 2
σX := xi − x2N .
N
i=1
60
2 C Thwm Am± TlslF .12
61
3 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
: d AyW`m ® ,(y = ax + b) Tyf T d Ahtmr km§ r¡A\ bq
TF − 32
TC =
1.8
: d (y = ax + b = ax + b) :¨As XFw Q w Am`tFA
xF − 32 41 − 32
xC = = = 5◦ C.
1.8 1.8
: tnts ¢n¤ ,(σY = |a|σX ) :TyAt Ty}A An§d ©CAy`m r® TbsnA ¢ r@
σF 27
σC = = = 15◦ C.
1.8 1.8
:¨A §rmt
:TyAt T®` s A·f d` Tyb§rq Tmy ¨W`§ Sturges wA .1
k ' 1 + 3.222 × log10 N
Yl± d
ek := xmax + 0.025 × (xmax − xmin ) = 2.43 + 0.025 × (2.43 − 0.48) = 2.48
:A·f wV
ek − e0 2.48 − 0.43
a := = = 0.41
k 5
:¨At ¤d Yl Ð Ot
:©C rkt Cdm .2
.[ 0.84, 1.25 [ :© Ty¶AO³ Tlsls ¨ C rk r± T·f ¨¡ :Ty wnm T·f .3
: wnm
∆1 9−2
Mo := ei−1 + × ai = 0.84 + × 0.41 = 1.12
∆1 + ∆ 2 (9 − 2) + (9 − 4)
62
3 C Thwm Am± TlslF .13
A·f ni ci fi Nj ↑
[ 0.43, 0.84 [ 2 0.64 0.11 2
[ 0.84, 1.25 [ 9 1.04 0.47 11
[ 1.25, 1.66 [ 4 1.46 0.21 15
[ 1.66, 2.07 [ 2 1.86 0.11 17
[ 2.07, 2.48 [ 2 2.27 0.11 19
wmm 10 1
Histogramme
10
8
6
4
2
0
Classes
N
As wq .[ 0.84, 1.25 [ T·f ¨¡ TyWyFw T·f Ð ,9.5 = = XyFw Tb C ,N = 19 An§d .4
2
:¨l§ Am XyFw
N
− Ni−1 9.5 − 2
Me := ei−1 + 2 × ai = 0.84 + × 0.41 = 1.18.
ni 9
:¨As XFw .5
5
1 X
x := ni xi = 1.3.
N
i=1
:§Abt .6
5
1 X
2
σX := ni (xi − x)2 = 0.22.
N
i=1
q
:©CAy`m r¯
σX 2 = 0.46.
:= σX
:®t¯ A` .7
σX
CV := × 100% = 35.38%.
x
:A §rmt
:©C rkt Cdm .1
63
3 C Thwm Am± TlslF .13
A·f ni fi Nj ↑
[ 0, 10 [ 18 0.062 18
[ 10, 20 [ 44 0.153 62
[ 20, 30 [ 68 0.236 130
[ 30, 40 [ 54 0.188 184
[ 40, 50 [ 42 0.146 226
[ 50, 60 [ 36 0.125 262
[ 60, 70 [ 16 0.056 278
[ 70, 80 [ 10 0.035 288
wmm 288 1 /
Histogramme
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 20 40 60 80
Classes
k
1 X
.x := ni xi = 34.722 :¨As XFw .2
N
i=1
k
1 X
.σX = 17.636 :©CAy`m r¯ , 2
σX := ni (xi − x)2 = 311.034 :§Abt .3
N
i=1
:®t¯ A`
σX
CV := × 100% = 50.792%
x
N
XyFw s .[ 30, 40 [ T·f ¨¡ TyWyFw T·f Ð ,144 = = XyFw Tb C ,N = 288 An§d .4
2
:¨l§ Am
N
− Ni−1 144 − 130
Me := ei−1 + 2 × ai = 30 + × 10 = 32.59.
ni 54
:Ay`r As
N
:¢n¤ ,[ 20, 30 [ ¨¡ Q1 ¤± ¨`r T· Ð ,72 = An§d
4
N
− Ni−1 72 − 62
Q1 := ei−1 + 4 × ai = 20 + × 10 = 21.47.
ni 68
64
3 C Thwm Am± TlslF .13
: r §rmt
.rmts ¨m ,©rhK r :x¤Cdm ¨¶AO³ rytm .1
ni
©¤As§ ¨lk C rkt tnts ¢n¤ ,fi = :An§d .2
N
ni 8
N= = = 100.
fi 0.08
Histogramme
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Classes
65
3 C Thwm Am± TlslF .13
N
.[ 25 000, 30 000 [ T·f ¨¡ TyWyFw T·f Ð ,50 = = XyFw Tb C ,N = 100 An§d .6
2
:AyAs XyFw (
N
− Ni−1 50 − 25
Me := ei−1 + 2 × ai = 25 000 + × 5000 = 29629.63.
ni 27
66
3 C Thwm Am± TlslF .13
100
100
80
80
60
60
40
40
20
20
0
0
15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
Classes Classes
6
1 X
.x := ni xi = 29350 :¨As XFw .7
100
i=1
6
1 X
ni (xi − x)2 = 40327500 §Abt .8
p 2
.σX := V(X) = 6350.39 ©CAy`m r¯ , σX = V(X) :=
100
i=1
:®t¯ A`
σX
CV := × 100% = 21.64%.
x
67
4 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
:§r`tA An§d
n!
Apn =
(n − p)!
¤
n!
Cnp =
(n − p)!p!
A3n − 20n = 0 (n ≥ 3) .1
:d XysbtA
n!
− 20n = 0
(n − 3)!
=⇒ n(n − 1)(n − 2) − 20n = 0
=⇒ n(n2 − 3n − 18) = 0
(n ≥ 3)|wr
n=0
¤
=⇒ n = −3 ¨`ybV d n |wr
¤
n=6
1
Cn(n+1) 0
+ 8Cn(n+2) = Cnn−1 + 2Cn+2
n .3
An§d
Cnn−1 = Cn1 = n ¤ Cn0 = 1.
68
4 C Thwm Am± TlslF .14
:¢n¤
1 0
Cn(n+1) + 8Cn(n+2) = Cnn−1 + 2Cn+2
n
(n + 2)(n + 1)
=⇒ n(n + 1) + 8 = n +
2
=⇒ 3n = 6
=⇒ n=2
:¨A §rmt
.m ≤ n y Cnm rbt` , Ay`ybV d n ¤ m ky
: Aqywt wA rZAnt r\ .1
n!
Cnm = Cnn−m = .
(n − m)!m!
:An§d .2
m+1 (n + 1)!
(m + 1)Cn+1 = (m + 1)
(n − m)!(m + 1)!
(n + 1)! n!
= = (n + 1) = (n + 1)Cnm .
(n − m)!m! (n − m)!m!
:An§d .3
m−1 m (n − 1)! (n − 1)!
Cn−1 + Cn−1 = +
(n − m)!(m − 1)! (n − m − 1)!m!
(n − 1)! n(n − 1)!
= (m + n − m) =
(n − m)!m! (n − m)!m!
n!
= := Cnm .
(n − m)!m!
m−1
Cnm = Cn−1 m
+ Cn−1
.(Triangle de Pascal) AkFA l T®` £@¡ ¨ms
: ^® .4
m−1 m m+1 m−1 m m m+1
Cn−1 + 2Cn−1 + Cn−1 = Cn−1 + Cn−1 + Cn−1 + Cn−1 :d AkFA l T® Am`tFA ¢n¤
| {z } | {z }
m
Cn m+1
Cn
N =m : An§d .5
m m+1
Cm =1= Cm+1
: N Ty} T®` |rf .N = m Ty} T®` ¢n¤
N
X
m+1
(1) Cnm = CN +1
n=m
69
4 C Thwm Am± TlslF .14
: yb .6
n
X
n
Ca+b = Cak Cbn−k , n ≤ min(a, b).
k=0
:¢n¤
a+b
X
a+b k
(1 + x) = Ca+b xk (2 )
k=0
= (1 + x)a (1 + x)b
a
! b
X X j
= Cai xi C xj b
i=0 j=0
a+b X
X k
= Cai Cbk−i xk , (k = i + j : y) (3 )
k=0 i=0
70
4 C Thwm Am± TlslF .14
k
X
k
Ca+b
:¢n¤ . = Cai Cbk−i w¡ xk A` d (3) ¤ (2) y TqAWm Am`tFA
i=0
n
X
n
Ca+b = Cak Cbn−k .
k=0
:A §rmt
d ¨¶An CwtF Am`tFA .1
n
X
(1 + x)n = Cnk xk
k=0
: ^® .2
A = f (1) = 2n
B = f (2) = (1 + 2)n = 3n
C = f (−1) = (1 − 1)n = 0, (n ∈ N∗ y)
:An§d .3
0 n−1
f (x) = n(1 + x)
«r Th
f (x) = Cn0 + Cn1 x + . . . + Cnn xn
¢n¤
0
f (x) = Cn1 + 2Cn2 x + ... + nCnn xn−1
: r §rmt
. rW Hy¤ A`lR ®kK§ Amh yyAtt ry yFC y O Tmyqts T`W w¡ lSm rW
,lSm @¡ ¨ lR N dw§ ¢ Am¤ lSm x¤¦C yFC CAyt Tq§rV CN2 An¡ .1
:lSm CAW d d
2 N (N − 1) N (N − 3)
D = CN −N = −N = , N ≥ 3.
2 2
:dw§ Ð .lSm x¤¦C x¤¦C T® CAyt w¡ :lm .2
3 N (N − 1)(N − 2)
CN = , N ≥3
6
.lSm x¤¦C Am`tFA ¢lykK km§ l
4
CN :© lSm x¤¦C x¤¦C T`C CAyt ¨fk§ ,lSm CAW± VAq ªAq d A§³ .3
.VAq TWq
.CAW Tsm ¢ ¨FAm :A
.¨FAm x¤¦C Am`tFA Al 10 rK ykK km§
.¨FAm CAW° VAq ªAq 5 Tsm dw§
71
4 C Thwm Am± TlslF .14
:HA §rmt
.zC 28 = 256 ryfK km§ y 8 Am`tFA .1
.Tnkm Tml 232 dw§ .2
:x As §rmt
Twmm º z Twm r}An d ¢n¤ rOn k Twk Ty¶z Twm CAyt¯ Tq§rV Cnk An¡
:P(E)
n
X
Card(P(E)) = Cnk = (1 + 1)n = 2n .
k=0
.A §rmt ¨ ¨A ¥s Am`tFA
:As §rmt
.r ≤ n ,CardF = n ,CardE = r y Atwm F ¤ E kt
.nr w¡ F ¨ E AqybW d .1
:w¡ F ¨ E Tn§Abtm AqybWt d .2
n!
Arn =
(n − r)!
:A §rmt
. nr w¡ ¤dn} ¨ r R¤ rV d
:FAt §rmt
.(r ≤ n) r r ¢n s .r n Yl ©wt§ ¤dn}
.nr w¡ AC³ s TA ¨ AyAk³ d .1
.Arn w¡ y rt A r¤ AC³ d TA ¨ AyAk³ d .2
.Cnr w¡ y rt A r d¤ AC³ d TA ¨ AyAk³ d .3
72
4 C Thwm Am± TlslF .14
:rJA` §rmt
.Ab¯ 20 y CAyt¯ Annkm§ ,dq r §r ykK
:ykK km§ Ð C ¤ ry C rkt ¤ h y rt .1
20!
A11
20 = = 20 × 19 × . . . × 10.
(20 − 11)!
17! 3!
.§r × :ykK km§ .2
(17 − 10)! (3 − 1)!
73
5 C Thwm Am± TlslF
:¤± §rmt
:w¡ Tny` ºAS ^® .1
Ω = {(1, 1), (1, 2) . . . , (6, 6)}
:y
2
Card(Ω) = 6 = 36.
.10 rK` ©¤As§ wmm B A ¤ 5 Tsm ©¤Asm wmm m§ A A |rfn
,TWys w T`C wkt§ A A ^®
A = {(1, 4), (4, 1), (2, 3), (3, 2)}
:¢yl¤
Tm¶®m ¯A d Card(A) 4 1
P(A) = = = = .
Tnkmm ¯A d Card(Ω) 36 9
¤
Card(B) 3 1
P(B) = = = .
Card(Ω) 36 12
¨ 10 ¤ 5 ©¤As§ Awm yhw Yl rq km§ ¯ , AtyAnt B ¤ A yt A Am¤
:d @ ,(A ∩ B = ∅) d ¤
4 3 7
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(A) = + = .
36 36 36
:¨A §rmt
: Amt³ Hf Ah Ty¤± w m
1
P(ωi ) = , 1 ≤ i ≤ 8.
8
:¢n¤
3
P(A) = P(ω3 ) + P(ω7 ) + P(ω8 ) = .
8
4 1
P(B) = = .
8 2
2 1
P(C) = = .
8 4
74
5 C Thwm Am± TlslF .15
2
.P(A ∩ B) = :¢n¤ A ∩ B = {ω3 , ω7 } :An§d
8
:An§d
3 4 2 5
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B) = + − = .
8 8 8 8
:A §rmt
,b ∈ {1, 2, 3, . . . , 6} ¤ Card Ω = 62 = 36 :Tnkmm ¯A d y ,Ω = {(1, 1), (1, 2), . . . , (6, 6)} :An§d
.c ∈ {1, 2, 3, . . . , 6}
:¨At ¤d ¨ TRw ¨¡ Am (b, c) Ay¶An CAb ¨¡ Tnkmm ¶Atn
(1, 1) (1, 2) (1, 3) (1, 4) (1, 5) (1, 6)
(2, 1) (2, 2) (2, 3) (2, 4) (2, 5) (2, 6)
(3, 1) (3, 2) (3, 3) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6)
(4, 1) (4, 2) (4, 3) (4, 4) (4, 5) (4, 6)
(5, 1) (5, 2) (5, 3) (5, 4) (5, 5) (5, 6)
(6, 1) (6, 2) (6, 3) (6, 4) (6, 5) (6, 6)
.''wl Ah Hy T A`mA'' C ¤ ''AS Ah T A`mA'' B ¤ '' ® Ah T A`mA'' T A ¨¡ A ¨ms
√
b k b > 2 c £An` b2 > 4c ,b2 − 4c > 0 :© rfO rb zymm £An` ® Ah T A`m .1
.¨`ybV d w¡
:¨¡ TA £@¡ ¨ (b, c) Ay¶An ¢n¤ b > 2 c = 1 A Ð •
(3, 1), (4, 1), (5, 1), (6, 1)
£@¡ Amt ¨AtA¤ Tm¶® TA ,4 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 2 + 2 = 17 dw yl T A`m bq ¨k Ð
:w¡ T A
Tm¶®m ¯A d Card(A) 17
P(A) = = = .
Tnkmm ¯A d Card(Ω) 36
¢n¤ A r 4c A rb2 Am b2 = 4c © b2 − 4c = 0 £An` @¡ AS Ah T A`m .2
w¡ T A £@¡ Amt ¨AtA¤ (4, 4) ¤ (1, 2) Aty¶An dw ¨AtA¤ c = 4 ¤ c = 1 tnts
2
P(B) = .
36
d @ ,Ahny Amy TyAnt C ¤ B ,A w Am .3
P(Ω) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) = 1
75
5 C Thwm Am± TlslF .15
: r §rmt
:T® TblW A Amt .1
P(A ∩ B ∩ C) = P(A)P(B)P(C) Tlqts w ±
= (1 − P(A))(1 − P(B))(1 − P(C))
= (1 − 0.2)(1 − 0.5)(1 − 0.3) = 0.28.
:¢n¤
P(A ∪ B ∪ C) = 0.8 + 0.5 + 0.7
− (0.8 × 0.5) − (0.8 × 0.7) − (0.5 × 0.7)
+ 0.8 × 0.5 × 0.7
= 0.97.
:HA §rmt
A¡rW ¨t Tyl d r¶ d Y ¨mtn A Ð ,AhWy Y ¢n r¶ d zr Y r TWqn wk
.d @¡ w¤ Amt r` TA £@¡ ¨ :TyCA r¶ d rW O w¡
(A)TAs
P(A) =
TyAm³ TAsm
TyCA r¶ d TAs Yl Tyl d r¶ d TAs ©¤As§ Amt³ ¢n¤
π(R/2)2 1
P(A) = 2
= = 0.25.
πR 4
76
C AOm
[1] (1999) Ty`A AwbWm w§ : r¶ z . Twl ¶As¤ §CAm ºAO³ .wV® , ¨®y
[2] (2005)AwbWm w§ : r¶ z . ¨Amt³ As ¹ Ab ¯Amt³ T§r\ . AC ,©d`s
Ty`A
[3] T§ AOt¯ AF Cd ¤ A± TkbJ ,¨f}w ºAO³ .yl ,§d rJ
[4] Ph. Barbe et M. Ledoux. Probabilité, Les Ulis, EDP sciences, (2007).
[6] P. Dagnelie. Statistique théorique et appliquée. Tome 1 : Statistique descriptive et base de l’inférence
statistique – DeBoeck & Larcier s.a., (1998).
[8] G. Saporta. Probabilités, analyse des données et statistiques. Éditions Technip (2006).
[9] B. Ycart. Cours de statistique descriptive, Projet SMEL sur http ://www.math-info.univ-
paris5.fr/smel/cours/sd/sd.html.
77