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2021: the year

of Deep Tech.

8 January 2021
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Page / 2 EuropeanStartups.co
Why this Deep Tech report. A big thanks to
This report heavily leans on insights from conversations with:
The term Deep Tech invokes great excitement for some, scepticism for
others, and sometimes both simultaneously.

Excitement, because of things like quantum computing, autonomous


vehicles, and protein folding solutions. Artificial Intelligence alone could add
another $13 trillion to the global economy over the next decade, according Dr. Inga Deakin Nathan Benaich
Stephen Nundy
to McKinsey. The potential value of nuclear fusion or curing cancer is hard Technology & VC Investor Principal Founder & General Partner
Lakestar Draper Esprit Air Street Capital
to overstate.

Meanwhile, there’s also scepticism, not about these innovations, but about
the term “Deep Tech”. Firstly, it’s rather vague. Secondly, it implies a too
narrow focus on cool technologies for their own sake, while losing sight of
commercialisation and competitiveness.
Rodolfo Rosini Julia Hawkins Suranga Chandratillake
CEO Partner General Partner
The EU is heavily investing in strengthening Europe’s Deep Tech and LocalGlobe
Undead Balderton Capital
Blockchain ecosystem. But there is a worry that this effort is insufficiently
supported by efforts to make Europe more competitive and
entrepreneurial.

This report aims to better establish what Deep Tech actually is, how
Europe’s ecosystem works, what it’s lacking, how it can compete and what
desirable policy goals might be. Siraj Khaliq Nicolas Colin Gil Dibner
Partner Co-founder & Director General Partner
Atomico The Family Angular Ventures

Page / 3 EuropeanStartups.co
Tech is entering a new era. 2021: a pivotal year for Deep Tech.
The last decade has created $17 trillion of value on the NASDAQ alone,
mainly driven by enterprise cloud and consumer internet. In the decade
we’re now entering, tech’s impact on our lives might become much more
profound. Major technological breakthroughs have been accumulating at
Personal The Mobile Cloud Deep
an accelerated pace.
computing Web computing computing Tech
Just to name a few milestones: In 2019 Google (with NASA) achieved
“quantum supremacy”, only to be topped by China by a factor 10 billion in
2020. The CRISPR-Cas9 genome editing technique was awarded the
“Software eating the world”
$17 trillion value created on NASDAQ Nobel prize in 2020 while Crispr Therapeutics’ market capitalisation
alone tripled to $11 billion. DeepMind solved a major protein folding challenge
(AlphaFold) while it’s MuZero program marked another milestone in
self-learning AI (MuZero can teach itself to play Go, chess, and Atari
games). OpenAI released GPT-3, a language model that uses deep
learning to produce human-like text. And the list goes on.

So far, this might have seemed abstract to outsiders. However, we are


now witnessing the first ever mRNA-based vaccine in use to combat
Covid-19. SpaceX’s spectacular rocket launches/landings speak to the
NASDAQ Composite imagination. Deep Tech is starting to become much more visible and
impactful to a wider audience. We can expect more breakthroughs in
2021, dominating several headlines, becoming much more tangible, and
1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s directly solving global social and business challenges.

Page / 4 EuropeanStartups.co
The success of BioNTech demonstrates the importance of long-term R&D, but also
the role of government and the need for stronger European capital markets.
Covid-19 vaccine Tozinameran Today, BioNTech is valued at $22
becomes the first widely billion. Tozinameran is the
authorized Covid-19 vaccine. world’s first mRNA vaccine in use.

Expectations are high for mRNA


platforms of BioNTech and its
peers. Potential mRNA
applications range from cancer
Project “lightspeed” started to treatments to malaria and AIDS.
develop Covid-19 vaccine
(announced in March 2020).

BioNTech is founded as a spinout from $425 million partnership with


Mainz University. Its focus is on Pfizer to develop mRNA
individualized cancer medicine: vaccines for influenza (flu).
tailor-made immunotherapy for each Development of mRNA
individual patient based on the genetic platform that will later be
features of the tumor. used to develop the
Covid-19 vaccine.

BioNTech received over $1.3 billion


in funding, from both European, US
and Asian investors. In the end it
2008 Jan 2018 Oct 2019 Jan Now
chose a US listing.
IPO on 2020
Received €9.4 million in EU funding since 2009 €225M
Series A NASDAQ
See full company profile
$3.4B
value

Page / 5 Source: Dealroom.co.


Combined value of European-
Notable Deep Tech companies founded since 2000 founded Deep Tech companies is
nearly €700 billion and growing
€20B valuation €9.3B valuation €9.5B valuation €3.0B valuation €1.8B valuation €188B
Biotech Robotic process DNA sequencing Automotive Semiconductors
automation

€2.0B valuation €1B valuation €1.8B valuation €1B valuation €1.8B valuation
Semiconductors Neuroscience and Health platform Biotech Game development
digital therapeutics platform

€39B
€1B valuation
€1.5B valuation €1.8B valuation €1B valuation
Minimally invasive
€2.3B valuation €5B
Enterprise Robotic process Flying vehicles Robotic process
cybersecurity automation surgery robots
automation
2010 2015 2020

Notable Deep Tech companies founded before 2000

€508B
€162B valuation €45B valuation * €44B valuation ** €46B valuation €44B valuation
Semiconductors Semiconductors Semiconductors Medical devices Medical devices

€229B
€34B valuation €18B valuation €28B valuation €28B valuation
Telecommunications Telecom Semiconductors Geospatial apps
€42.3B valuation
Semiconductors
€183B

€1.8B valuation €5.0B valuation €3.4B valuation


Semiconductors Semiconductors Biotechnology
2010 2015 2020
Page / 6 * NXP was close to being acquired by Qualcomm. ** ARM is about to be acquired by Nvidia.
There’s unlocked potential in Closer collaboration needed The next decade requires
Europe’s leading academic to support Europe’s most bottom-up streamlining and
institutions. promising Deep Tech startups. top-down strategic thinking.

Europe’s Deep Tech companies are worth Some of the most successful startups will Successes like BioNTech demonstrate the
a combined €700 billion today. Many have manage to break through silos, by importance of early support from
their roots in academia and drew early combining disciplines, while attracting governments and universities. Such
support from government grants. different talent and investors across programs need to be streamlined to really
stages of development. attract Europe’s top talent (bottom-up).
Yet there’s a lot more potential to be
unlocked. Europe’s universities and Universities, governments, specialised Meanwhile, Europe could benefit from
research really are world-class. The deep tech investors and agnostic venture replicating some of the large scale
commercial gap with China and the US can capital investors should move closer long-term strategic R&D approaches of
be closed by fostering an entrepreneurial towards each other to help such the US (DARPA) and China, to ensure tech
culture on campuses, training first-time companies succeed and scale. leadership (outside academia) in areas
academic entrepreneurs and tech transfer which are going to become important in
officers, and offering spinouts simpler and 2035+. As Marc Andreessen wrote, “It’s
faster deals. time to build.”

Page / 7
What is Deep Tech?

Europe’s Deep Tech investment landscape

Competing globally in the age of Deep Tech

From Deep Tech to Deep Purpose


1 What is Deep Tech?
Deep Tech combines multiple risks at once
What is Deep Tech? (inspired by Nicolas Colin).
R&D risk
(risk of R&D not
"For a startup to earn the "deep tech" succeeding)
label, there must be science or
engineering risk in getting the idea to
actually work and, assuming it does, Deep tech:
risk in proving market demand for Biotech Higher R&D risk,
that product. If there is only one of product-market risk
these risks, but not both, then we're
not talking about a "deep tech"
startup.”

Startup copying other


successful startup Innovating startup
(Cazoo, Zalando) *

Product-market risk
Nathan Benaich (risk of not finding fit)
Founder & General Partner *Cazoo is a perfect example of a startup with all major risks mitigated: serial founder,
proven business model and technology (of course many risks remain).

Page / 10 EuropeanStartups.co
Deep Tech (and Biotech) startups have a longer cashburn. But advancements in AI, and
more experienced talent pools could bring them more in line with regular startups.

Regular startup Deep tech startup Biotech startup


Exploit new but proven technologies Starts with extended R&D phase Long and costly testing phases
Validate product-market fit as early as possible Higher share of technical staff Discovery phase becoming shorter *
R&D and patent ownership is rare Often involves hardware and/or IP Less market risk **

Value Value Value

Regulatory
approval

Testing
phases

Searching for
product-market fit
Over 70% don’t Extended R&D phase
Discovery
graduate from seed phase
to series A

Seed Early Late R&D Go-to-market Growth R&D Investment Acquisition / JV

* AI, mRNA, digital therapeutics and gene editing make biotech gradually more like tech startups, at least for discovery phase.
Page / 11
** There’s generally a market for curing diseases. But it has long been difficult to get funding for flu vaccines, for instance.
Greater risk, but also greater support from multiple directions.

Breeding ground ~€12B / year €150B / year €10B / year


Academia Government Corporates Venture capital
Many deep tech companies arise from Horizon Europe: €100B / 7 years Amount is the annual European Roughly a quarter of VC invested in
universities. Some as spinouts: startups National innovation programs = corporate R&D spend (nearly half by Europe goes to Deep Tech startups
where universities have equity and/or hundreds of millions per country pharma and automotive)
royalty/licensing deals. Others as (Bpifrance is >€1B/year, Innovate UK ~
independent startups £1B/year)

Rationale Rationale Rationale Rationale


✔ Make an impact ✔ Technological sovereignty/autonomy ✔ Enable growth (e.g. Facebook and ✔ Capture new market opportunities
✔ Potential to create a spinout ✔ Tackling global challenges (climate, Google investing in rural internet) and ✔ Backing early-stage tech to find
✔ Universities: attract funding curing disease, access to healthcare, secure future (e.g. investing in quantum breakthroughs to progress ecosystem
food) computing) *

Page / 12 * As Nicolas Colin writes: while “software is “eating the world”, Deep Tech is needed to “digest” the world.
Many of Europe's top Deep Company Category University Grants VC funding

Tech companies have their Biotech Mainz European H2020 programs €1.3b

roots in academia and drew Identity verification Oxford Eurostars SME Programme, Tech Nation €192m

early support from Light-emitting diodes CEA European Innovation Council (EIC) €171m

government grants. Satellites Aalto European Commission, Eurostars SME Programme €123m

Carbon sequestration ETH Zurich Eurostars SME Programme €114m


“The private markets are efficient at identifying
Edge AI chips Bristol EIC €102m
and funding companies that have commercially
viable technology. The best use of public AI-based drug discovery Dundee Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation €96m
money is to fund scientific and academic
Quantum computing Aalto EIC €68m
research in the absence of a commercially
viable business case. That is where there is a Intralogistics robots TUM EXIST €41m
market failure that governments can correct.
Intelligent microprocessors CEA Eurostars SME Programme €34m
Over the long run, that sort of research tends
to have tremendously positive knock-on Autonomous vehicle software Oxford Innovate UK €70m
effects for society and the economy – often
Professional drones ETH Zurich EIC €27mp
for decades.”
AI-based diagnostics Oxford Government of the UK, NIHR €24m

Graphene-based electronics Cambridge ERDF €23m

Plastic recycling Warwick EIC, UKRI €20m

Quantum computing Cambridge Government of the UK €4m

Biotech (Oxford’s Covid vaccine) Oxford UKRI €43m

Gil Dibner Super resolution microscopes Oxford n/a €27m


Founder, Angular Ventures

Page / 13 EuropeanStartups.co
… and each stakeholder plays a role in taking different types of risks throughout the
lifecycle of a Deep Tech company.
Early support from universities and governments is effectively de-risking
later stage investors in Deep Tech.

Experiments Prototyping Go to market Growth phase


Concept generation True environment testing Production Commercialise
Analytical proof Commercial demos In operation Recruit new skills
Lab testing Recruit new skills Scale tech

Corporate sponsors
(e.g. pharma, industry, semiconductors) Generalist VC funds
(Lakestar, Atomico, LocalGlobe,
Balderton, Index, ...)

Closer collaboration between European


generalist VCs and Deep Tech investors
Government funding
would be desirable.
(Horizon2020, Innovate UK, Bpifrance, …)

Deep Tech investors


University Tech Transfer (MIG, OpenOcean, Air Street, ...)
research faculty Offices
As ecosystem accumulates experience
and critical mass, R&D phase can accelerate

Page / 14 Source: Dealroom.co based on discussion with Stephen Nundy from Lakestar and others. Stages based on Technology Readiness Levels used by governments.
“At the moment, deep tech VCs and sector-agnostic VCs are
working in silos. These two investing groups need to move
towards each other to help companies succeed and scale.
“We need to ensure that when deep tech companies go global, their home geography and
ethical values are represented both on the cap table and in the boardroom. Meanwhile,
the private-public financing relationship is one that needs to continue to be nurtured.
There’s been some great progress with EU government grants like Horizon 2020.
Governments can invest alongside private investing “know-how” to ensure they are
leveraging VC expertise and partnership whilst managing risk against the public purse.”

Stephen Nundy
Partner, Lakestar
Deep Tech Investor
Deep Tech is really about what Started as consumer internet, now doing Deep Tech
companies do, rather than
what they are. ✘ ✔

✘ ✔
Improbable, in its early days, had to solve hard technical
problems around distributed computing. It has since matured
into a games software infrastructure company and studio. ? ✔

Darktrace developed foundational unsupervised learning


methods for network security in their early days. Once they
proved success and ROI with early customers, they earned Started as Deep Tech, now doing Enterprise SaaS
trust, built their brand equity and could scale from then on.

UiPath is a global market leader in Robotic Process ✔ ?


Automation (RPA*) and a European flagship example of
successfully commercialized enterprise automation. Today, ✔ ?
the ROI appears so significant that enterprise chase RPA.

✔ ?
* RPA (Robotic Process Automation), as defined by UiPath: technology that allows anyone today to
configure computer software, or a “robot” to emulate and integrate the actions of a human
interacting within digital systems to execute a business process.

Page / 16 EuropeanStartups.co
It takes (a bit) more Time between rounds and amounts raised
▊ Deep tech ▊ Tech startups ▊ Biotech
time and capital to build
a Deep Tech startup.
45 5 Deep tech
40
We looked at 1,700 qualified European Round 2 means the round after
seed round (considered first) 5
startups that raised a seed round >€200K 35 Tech
4
between 2010 and 2015 and closed a 2nd
round of at least €4 million. The approach 30 For tech startups, the first
follow-on round over €4m
taken is based on the methodology from the
25 happens 1.5 years after seed
Journey to Series A research. round but 2 years for Deep 5 Biotech
Tech startups. 4
This methodology is very restrictive (many 20
startups are excluded as their 2nd round 15 3
didn’t reach €4 million) but results in a 3 3 4
high-quality, clean data set. The results on a 10
less restrictive data set are available upon 2
2
5 2
request.

2 3 4 5 6 7 8
years years

Page / 17 EuropeanStartups.co
Graduation rates of Graduation rates between rounds
▊ Deep tech ▊ Tech startups ▊ Biotech
Deep Tech startups are
higher initially, but then
fall in line with the
broader market. 40% Biotech 40%

The same 1,700 qualified European startups Deep Tech 32%


were analysed to compare graduation rates 30%
- what percentage of startups with a seed
round successfully raise a next round. Again
Tech 24%
here, the first round after seed is at least €4
million. 20%
15%

Across Europe, 24% of startups with a seed


round, make it to the next round. For deep 12%
10%
tech this is nearly 32%. 13% 6% 6%
2.5% 2.4%

The pattern could be explained by the fact 3%


0.9%
that Deep Tech startups need more rounds 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
before they can be validated. round round round round round

Round after Seed round (which is considered 1st round)

Page / 18 EuropeanStartups.co
Deep tech startups have a similar Cumulative % of startups that exit (by round)
probability to exit. ▊ Deep tech ▊ Tech ▊ Biotech

Deep Tech companies have the same or even higher probability to


exit. New technology is an attractive bolt-on acquisition for
companies with existing large datasets or virtually unlimited capital 20%
to incur losses. There have been several notable exits. *
17% 17%

Some of these exits may have been painful to watch. And yet, the 15% 15% 15%
15% 14%
temptation to block them is probably best resisted. It would 13%
13%
discourage entrepreneurs (and VCs). Europe should be the continent
11%
to attract the next Elon Musk or Özlem Türeci. Better to address the 11%

root causes of “premature exits” such as lack of late stage growth 10% 9%
capital.
6%

5%

Oxford spinout Oxford spinout World-renowned AI Machine


Detection of cancer Novel AI for game research laboratory Learning-based
at an early stage development visual processing

Acquired by Exact Acquired by Zynga Acquired by Google Acquired by Twitter 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
Sciences for $410m for $527m for £400m for $150m
in Oct 2020 in Jan 2014 in Jan 2014 in Jun 2016
Deep Tech Tech Biotech

Page / 19 * For more Deep Tech exits check the Data Platform.
So far, a smaller proportion of Deep Tech startups have reached $1 billion+
valuations. But it’s also a younger ecosystem.
Cohort of seed rounds Companies from cohort that
from 2010–2015 surpassed $1B+ valuation

21 companies reached $1B+ valuation (view all)

5 companies reached $1B+ valuation

(note: there are more Deep Tech unicorns but from different cohorts)

Page / 20 EuropeanStartups.co
“I think there is a misconception that Deep Tech and Biotech
must have dramatically different risk profiles from tech startups.
“Yes, they are different disciplines requiring specialisation, but it makes sense to start
collaborating much more across them. The differences that are there will only become
smaller (e.g. AI accelerating drug development, and digital therapeutics). Some of the
most successful startups will manage to break through these silos both in terms of their
ability to attract world class talent from bio as well as tech backgrounds; in addition to
attracting life science as well as tech investors. Especially as these startups will have
different needs across different stages. ”

Julia Hawkins
Partner, LocalGlobe
Health Tech investor
2 European Deep Tech investment
landscape.
Venture capital investment in European Deep Tech

With €10B annual investment, Deep Tech


companies
€9.6b €9.4b

is a quarter of European venture capital.


€7.0b

Notable Deep Tech investors by capital deployed in Europe (random order). €5.3b

€3.5b
€3.2b
PsiQuantum (US), Lilium, Isar Aerospace, FiveAI, UiPath, Graphcore, Darktrace, Sophia Genetics,
Graphcore, Auterion, Eigen Movidius, ICEYE, Infarm, Healx, Tessian,
Varjo, Arculus Technologies, Soul Ledger, Endomag ComplyAdvantage, Cleo, €1.9b €1.9b
Machines (US), Terra Rahko, The Curious AI €1.2b
Quantum Company, Furhat Robotics
€0.7b €1.0b

BioNTech, BenevolentAI, Varjo, Cleo, Cytora, Improbable, Tessian, Cleo, Collibra, Comply Advantage,
Improbable, SenseTime Wandelbots, Einide, Streetbees, Signal AI, Aurora (US), Scale (US),
(China), Magic Leap (US) Riskmethods Faculty Behavox (US), Kayrros
% of European VC investment 26%
25%
going to Deep Tech 24% 24%

20% 20%
Kineis, Carmat, Aledia, Improbable, Graphcore, Sophia Genetics, Onfido, Improbable, Energy Vault,
Bioserenity, Owkin, Balyo Healx, Five AI, XMOS, Bioserenity, Kaia Health, Roivant Sciences (US), 17%
Paragraf WeRide.ai (China) Cruise (US), Nuro (US), 16% 16% 16%
View (US)

10%

Quantum Motion, Altitude Northvolt, Graphcore, AImotive, CybelAngel, Isar Aerospace, Vaha,
Angel, WaveOptics, Ori Lilium, Aurora (US) Intrinsic ID, Ipdia Verbit (US)
Biotech, Phoelex,
AudioTelligence, Swiftkey,
Rangespan, Evi, Magic
Pony, UltraSoC, Zynstra

Page / 23 EuropeanStartups.co
“Most investors find it hard to back businesses with
product-market fit risk, yet that is what deep tech entails.
“My own experience, first in raising capital as founder of a deep-tech startup, and
now as an investor who speaks to other founders and investors, is that,
unfortunately, contrarian money is relatively rare. Most investors find it hard to
back businesses with product-market fit risk, yet that is what deep tech entails.
This failure of imagination is costly: by not empowering bold entrepreneurs we're
not productionizing the innovation needed to solve the critical, planet-scale
problems facing all of us.”

Siraj Khaliq
Partner, Atomico
Member of the Board at arculus, PsiQuantum,
Graphcore, Scandit, and CloudNC
Examples of VC-backed deep tech categories & companies.
Robotics Semiconductors Energy Advanced AI-first AI-first life Space tech Quantum tech Blockchain
materials enterprise sciences
software

Industrial Processing units for Fusion energy Graphene Robotic process Drug discovery & Satellites Computers Security & infrastructure
machine intelligence automation development

Medical Hydrogen Datasets analysis & Orbital launch vehicles Software


Ceramics Cybersecurity Web-based platforms
molecular modelling
for crypto transactions
Neuromorphic vision
systems Space propulsion Security
Agricultural Analysis on research
Nuclear fission Renewable polymers Simulation & digital twins databases

Space debris removal Sensing Cold storage wallets


Restaurant & kitchen
Clinical trials
Plant-based plastic Predictive maintenance
Carbon capture
Gaming, educational & Sensors for AI-based alternatives Ground stations Chemistry
companion robots applications Crypto compliance
NLP-based decisions for Protein engineering
complex documents
Autonomous ground Medical imaging & Space software Simulations
vehicles Ultracapacitors Coatings diagnostics
Cloud-based game Business intelligence
development platform
Autonomous flying cars Photonic integrated
circuits Symptom checker for Antennas for space use Photonics
Computer vision & triage & pre-diagnosis
Liquid-air energy Antimicrobial plastics Cryptocurrencies
cognitive video
Drones storage automation Satellite payloads Cryogenic
Remote monitoring refrigeration
Drone software
AI for accident & Decentralized finance
Self-healing concrete Space telescopes Various quantum
3D ultrasound sensors Green battery cells & disaster recovery Digital therapeutics protocols
Autonomous vehicle systems applications
software

Page / 25 EuropeanStartups.co
New applications of Deep Tech are rapidly spreading
across different markets.
Combined valuation* ▊ <€3B+ ▊ €3‒8B+ ▊ >€8B+

Robotics &
g rs
NLP & cin Process & ics &ous n to
& sio ng uc ch
ing
Problem ninterfacin r fa
Prediction i on
s ion o mt Engineeri
v i rAdvanced
i e d Blockchai Semicond d
n te
ict automatio ob ono areSensors rs & ng gine wmaterials
es tautonomo
e e rk nc ls n
solvinglear nt n o n chai uctors ico
g &i ed tio oc a Rus va ria m tum
Pnr utom
t o
e ep LP Pr etec au ardw ns En lab Ad ate loc
k Se uan
hardware e
“In addition to specific areas of Deep Tech D N d a h S & m B q
Scandit, Varjo, Graphcore,
that Europe particularly excels at (Machine Generalist / horizontal DeepMind Avora Uipath, Celonis Ultrahaptics Kiutra IQM, Beit

Learning, Quantum, Robotics for example), Dental


Providing healthcare Monitoring, Babylon
Babylon
Lumeon
CMR
MindMaze,
Varjo, Oxford Parx Materials FarmaTrust
NVision
Imaging
Aidence Robocath Nanopore Technologies
the continent’s breadth of scientific Aiforia Visiopharm

Sophia Synthace, Crispr Pharmacelera


research makes it an ideal place to build Discovering medicine BenevolentAI Causaly
Genetics LabGenius BioNTech Molecule Rahko

companies that straddle disciplines — Food & Agriculture Connecterra QualySense Naio, Tibot
Infarm,
Gamaya
Nicefiller,
Lactips,
Calyxia
Machine Learning applied to Life Sciences, Earth Science HT Materials
Energy Greyparrot Kayrros Flyability Greyparrot Tokamak Efforce
or Quantum applied to Material Sciences, for Analytics Science

ComplyAdvant
example. As a result, Europe is home to many Fintech & legal Tractable,
Omni:us
Eigen
Technologies
Cytora age,
Nivaura
Nexo, Ledger,
Elliptic, LTO

of the most interesting Deep Tech companies Mobility Navya, Ravin.ai Lilium, Einride WayRay, Arrival, Canatu
FiveAI Blickfeld Zeleros
in the world, and we expect the opportunities
Universal
for investment to continue to increase.” Manufacturing Robots,
Arculus
Paragraf

Crypto
Cybersecurity AU10TIX Darktrace onfido Quantique, Nu
Quantum

Entertainment Robo
wunderkind
Suranga Chandratillake
General Partner Space exploration Isar Aerospace

Balderton Capital
Source: Dealroom.co. * Indicative.

Page / 26 EuropeanStartups.co
Finland, Norway and Belgium have the highest relative concentration of Deep Tech
in the EU-27. Germany (Munich & Berlin) and France (Paris) lead by absolute size.
Deep Tech VC investment Deep tech as % of VC Important Deep Tech clusters
2015–2020 invested (2015–2020)
Oxford-Culham-Harwell-Abingdon, Cambridge,
UK €12.6B 23% Bristol, Dundee, Warwick, Southampton, Edinburgh,
London*
Berlin, TU Munich, Fraunhofer, KIT, RWTH Aachen
Germany €5.4B 21% University, Uni Mainz, Darmstadt University of
Technology, Ulm, German Aerospace Center
Paris, CEA (Atomic Energy Commission), Vision
France €5.0B 23% Institute, LNE-SYRTE, LP2N, Grenoble Institute of
Technology, Inria, Sorbonne (incl. ISIR)
Lund, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Luleå
Sweden €2.5B 24% University of Technology, Uppsala, Karolinska
Institute, Chalmers,

“When it comes to early stage government


ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology
Switzerland €2.5B 33% Lausanne, EPFL, IDSIA, UZH

funding, Finland and Sweden are probably


Eindhoven/Brainport-ASML-NXP-Philips,
Netherlands €1.2B 19% Delft, Wageningen, TNO, University of Amsterdam,
Twente

best-in-class. Speed and minimal bureaucracy, Finland €€1.2B 37% VTT, Aalto, Oulu, University of Helsinki

and some of the best outcomes as a result. EU Belgium €0.9B 32% Ghent, Leuven-Imec, Hasselt, Antwerp, UCLouvain,
Vrije Universiteit Brussel

countries should take a close look at what Ireland €0.8B 18% Limerick, Dublin

works there, learn from it, and replicate it. ” Starlab, Polytechnic University of Catalonia (incl.
Spain €0.7B 15% ICFO)

Denmark €0.6B 25% Odense, University of Copenhagen, SDU

Rodolfo Rosini
Norway €0.6B 38% NTNU
CEO
Undead Italy €0.5B 19% University of Milan, Politecnico Milano

Tu Wien, University of Applied Sciences Technikum


Austria €0.3B 29% Wien

Warsaw University of Technology, Wroclaw


Poland €0.2B 26% University of Science and Technology, Polish Center
for Technology Development

Estonia €0.1B 16% University of Tartu

Page / 27 * London Deep Tech cluster includes Imperial College, University College, plus VCs and global champions.
3 Competing globally in the age of
Deep Tech.
AI has so far favoured Big Tech incumbents Big Tech dominates R&D spending, investing to accelerate
with data, rather than disrupt them. growth and in new products. Volkswagen has a huge R&D
budget but still mostly spends on combustion engine
research. Meanwhile, Elon Musk shows that total budget is
not everything and disruption is possible.

$23B $16B Global R&D spend 2018


Including AWS, Alexa, Amazon Go DeepMind, Project Baseline, Verily Life █ Europe (incl. UK)
(Cashierless store), Prime Air (drone Sciences, quantum computing,
Amazon $23B
delivery) Waymo, Stratospheric balloons for Alphabet
rural internet Volkswagen
Samsung
Intel
Microsoft
Apple
Roche
Johnson & Johnson
Merck & Co
$12B $8B Toyota
Novartis
Autonomous vehicle system, Mobile Including Blockchain, React.js, AI, Ford
Facebook
Augmented Reality, Biometric sensing Reality Labs (Oculus AR/VR), Rural Pfizer
Access General Motors
Daimler
Honda
Sanofi
Siemens
Oracle
Cisco
GSK
Celgene
€5.1B €0.8B €210M €140M BMW
Nokia
Exor
IBM
QUALCOMM
AstraZeneca
n/a €210M €1.8B €350M
$5B $10B $15B $20B

Page / 29 Note: R&D budget in 2018 as per PwC. Source: PwC


Europe’s big corporate R&D budgets are concentrated around pharma, automotive
and telecom. The USA dominates internet, software and electronic hardware.

Corporate R&D spend in 2018 ($ billions)


United EU-27 Japan China South United
States Korea Kingdom

Internet, software, hardware 114 9 9 15 17 1


(Google, Apple, FB, Amazon, Samsung)
Dominated by USA big tech. These are
Semiconductors 39 5 3 1 2 0 domains where money is spent on
(Intel, NXP) futuristic moonshots.

Biotech 35 4 0 0 0 0
(Celgene, Abbvie, Gilead, Amgen)

Pharma 40 42 13 1 0 12
(Roche, J&J, Merck)
Europe has strong position in Pharma
and Automotive.
Automotive 19 46 39 6 4 4
(Volkswagen, Toyota, Ford)

Telecom 13 16 2 3 0 1
(NTT, Nokia, Eriksson)
Very low R&D spending. And 90% of
Oil & Gas 1 3 0 3 0 0 that low spending goes to fossil fuels.
(PetroChina, Exxon, Shell) Opportunity to grow?

Page / 30 Source: Dealroom.co based on discussion with Stephen Nundy from Lakestar and others. Stages based on Technology Readiness Levels used by governments.
Most tech eventually becomes widely accessible. Therefore,
companies need much more than just IP to succeed.
Data accumulation /
early-mover advantage
“Deep Tech in combination with
platforms that can accumulate large
new datasets is driving innovation.
Cutting edge technology, data
Attracting top talent (Palantir,
“For instance, telemedicine platforms accumulation and capex heavy
DeepMind, Crispr, UiPath)
collecting written data through providing (Waymo, SpaceX, AWS)
their service can create products based Tesla**
Babylon*
on NLP; or startups using AI for drug
discovery are collaborating with pharma Capex Capex
companies, and can gain insights and light heavy
data to refine their algorithms and
develop their own products.
Some AI-first software companies end Examples include manufacture of
“You can expect to see M&A and
up as quasi-services businesses (lower autonomous robots, self-driving cars
partnerships along the way as these
margins, scaling challenges, (complex hardware which, given time
business models evolve.”
commoditized AI models, heavy cloud and capital, can become widely
costs, as described in detail by a16z). accessible).
Dr. Inga Deakin
Principal, Draper Esprit No data / early-mover
Health Tech investor advantage
Source: Dealroom.co
* Babylon = also adding own doctors.
Page / 31 ** Tesla quadrant depends on how fast car industry can catch up.
While VC investment in European Deep Tech has
overtaken China, the full picture is different.
Venture capital investment in Deep Tech by destination
“Even after streamlining R&D funding in
Europe, we still need a DARPA-type entity
€39B China’s government is making additional investments that can fund long-term strategic technology
on a national level. For instance, it is reportedly with limited bureaucracy and a clear
spending $10 billion on a centre devoted to quantum mandate to take risks, in fields where the
€33B €33B computing and artificial intelligence. Russia has a
similar initiative albeit on a smaller scale.
private sector has not started investing yet.
There will certainly be money wasted in the
beginning (which is exactly what happened
€21B with DARPA in the first decade) so this
doesn't need to be huge, but it needs to be
staffed with top talent.
€15.7B
€13.6B
“Today there are technologies that are going
€9.5B €9.4B to become important in 2035+ where Europe
€7.5B
€6.1B
€7.0B is currently not playing a sufficient role
€5.3B outside academia, similar to quantum
computing 5-10 years ago.”

2017 2018 2019 2020E 2017 2018 2019 2020E 2017 2018 2019 2020E Rodolfo Rosini
CEO
USA China Europe (incl UK) Undead

Page / 32 Source: Dealroom.co


“We need to rewrite the university Europe’s universities and spinouts.
spinout protocols in Europe.
Interactive landscape of top universities including Oxford,
“University graduates and their research are key engines for Cambridge, ETH Zurich, TU Munich, Lund, Delft, Leuven, Aalto,
entrepreneurship. In contrast to their US peers, UK Universities seem Eindhoven, and many others.
to prioritise rent-seeking over long-term success stories that see
founders reinvest in their ecosystem. Entrepreneurs are expected to
build global winners while they're hamstrung with punitive equity
ownership structures and expensive IP licenses and royalties from
day one. We need a permissive, not punitive, environment for
European spinouts.

“We need to rewrite the University spinout protocols in Europe.


Today, many new founders spend months to a year+ mired in
bureaucratic negotiations. In the US, 3-5% simple equity ownership
upon incorporation is typical; the UK can be 10x greater. This is
entirely deterring many would-be founders from pursuing their
entrepreneurial ambitions. Instead, Universities should offer a simple
deal for founders to spinout with minimal friction and the best shot at
building long-term market leading companies. “

Nathan Benaich Deep Tech spinouts by university


Founder & General Partner
Air Street Capital
Page / 33 EuropeanStartups.co
High share of highly-cited research publications
Europe UK EU 43%
USA 38%
China 20%

“Europe is world-class in research. European students are more into Science


European universities and ecosystems (portion of graduates in Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics)

can help close the gap by fostering an


Germany 35%
France 28%

entrepreneurial culture. UK
Italy 23%
26%

Spain 22%
“In both the US and UK, experienced entrepreneurial academics, USA 18%
who want to spin out a second company with university IP, have a
lot of leverage with their university tech transfer offices for a fast
and favourable transaction. First time academic entrepreneurs Europe does well in Computer Science ranking (THE 2020)
often don’t know what to expect, don’t know what is most 1. Oxford 11. Singapore National
commercially important, and would benefit from discussions with 2. Stanford 12. UCLA
peers and others outside the university to help with negotiations 3. ETH Zurich 13. Singapore Nanyang
within their university. European universities and ecosystems can 4. MIT 14. Cornell
help close the gap by fostering an entrepreneurial culture and 5. Cambridge 15. Tsinghua (Beijing)
training this larger group of researchers.“ 6. CMU 16. Georgia Tech
7. Imperial College London 17. HKUST
8. Harvard 18. TU Munich
Dr. Inga Deakin 9. Princeton 19. University College London
Principal & Health Tech investor 10. Caltech 20. École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
Draper Esprit
Taken from Benedict Evans / Mosaic Ventures Dec 2020.
Data originally from BEIS/SCOPUS/UNESCO/THE 2020.
Page / 34 EuropeanStartups.co
4 From Deep Tech to Deep Purpose.
It’s time to build…, but what to focus on?
An effective Deep Tech strategy needs to focus not only on the
technology, but on commercial success, i.e. building things Curing diseases & fixing
people want to use. Using technologies with such huge healthcare (Crispr, robo
advice, ….)
transformational power, deep tech startups also have the
potential to solve global challenges. Global warming
(e.g. fusion)

Food sustainability
(e.g. precision farming)
Things
Deep
people really
tech
want

Transforming industry
(e.g. autonomous robots)
Solving
global
challenges

Page / 36
2018 Enabling Deep Tech:
Espoo, Finland
€156—234M quantum technologies and semiconductors.
€39M Series A in Nov 2020

60+ startups enabling deep tech


2009
Deep Tech working on climate Abingdon, UK
€316—475M
$87M Late VC in Jan 2020

100+ Deep Tech impact startups »


2016
Paris, France
Deep Tech for drug discovery &
€125M
$43M Series A in July 2020
development.

Visit 170+ startups


Robotics to transform industry, medical, 2015
Croix, France
and agricultural processes. €327—491M
$90M Series C in Sept 2020

150+ robotics startups

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