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INTRODUCTION
Human capital development refers to the knowledge, skill sets, and experience that workers
have in an economy. The skills provide economic value since a knowledgeable workforce can
lead to increased productivity. The concept of human capital is the realization that not
everyone has the same skill sets or knowledge. Also, the quality of work can be improved by
ability, compared to past periods, to produce goods and services. Economic growth is
measured by the change in the gross domestic product (GDP) of a country. GDP is a
representation of the total output of goods and services for an economy. For example, if a
country has a GDP rate of 2.5% for the year, it means the economic growth of the country
rose by 2.5% from a year earlier. In order to determine how human capital impacts growth,
The concept of human capital is a relatively recent idea in the realm of economic theory.
While economists have long paid close attention to the concept of investments in physical
capital in recent years they have placed emphasis on the concept of human capital
investments. Largely, this shift occurred as a result of the failure of classical economist’s
theory to explain the dominance of developed countries over undeveloped ones in the
international market. Human capital covers a broad range of concepts but the most essential
acquired from elementary school level, training of basic reading and writing skills, to job
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The use of the term human capital in the modern neoclassical economic literature dates back
to Jacob Mincer pioneering article “Investment in Human Capital and Personal income
distribution” in the Journal of Political Economy in 1958. And the best known application of
the idea of ‘Human Capital’ in economics revolves around the work of Mincer, Schultz and
Gary Becker of the Chicago school. Becker’s book entitled Human Capital published in 1964
became a standard reference for many years. According to Gary Becker; Human Capital is
similar to “physical means of p re reroduction” (example factories and machineries) one can
invest in human capital (via education, training and medical treatment) and one’s income
depends partly on the rate of return on the human capital one owns, which allows one to
receive a flow of income which is like interest earned. Human capital is substitutable though
it will not replace land, labor or capital it can be substituted for them to various degrees and
Human capital can also be defined as a way of defining and categorizing people’s skills and
abilities as used in employment and otherwise contribute to the economy. It is also used to
refer to the skills and knowledge intensity of the labor force in an economy which are
Human capital is a key factor of production which increases the employability in the job
market (Son, 2018) as it is the reflection of cognitive ability of individuals that helps them
understand and implement technologies in job activities (Hanushek & Kimko, 2015) and
2003: Marimuthu, Arokiasamy, & Ismail, 2009. It may be taken as the knowledge, skills, and
other attributes of individuals that enhance their productivity and earnings (Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development 1998; Schuller, 2015; Son, 2018) that ultimately
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causes growth of productivity and wealth of the society (Schuller, 2015; Son, 2018) in terms
Human capital is a key factor of production which increases the employability in the job
market (Son, 2018) as it is the reflection of cognitive ability of individuals that helps them
understand and implement technologies in job activities (Hanushek & Kimko, 2000) and
2003: Marimuthu, Arokiasamy, & Ismail, 2009. It may be taken as the knowledge, skills, and
other attributes of individuals that enhance their productivity and earnings (Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development 1998; Schuller, 2000; Son, 2010) that ultimately
causes growth of productivity and wealth of the society (Schuller, 2015; Son, 2018) in terms
of GDP (Son, 2018). This potential for growth and survival (Manolova et al., 2002) could be
Nakamura (1981) also defines human capital broadly as labor skills, managerial skills and
entrepreneurial and innovative abilities plus such physical attributes as health and strength.
According to Robert Longley (2019), Human capital is the sum of knowledge, skills,
experience and social qualities that contribute to a person’s ability to perform work in a
Human capital refers to a conscious and continuous process of acquiring requisite knowledge,
education, skills and experiences that are crucial for the rapid economic growth of a country
(Harbison 2017, Salleh 2016). It involves investment in education, training and other social
services like transport facilities and housing. Underdeveloped countries are faced with two
diverse manpower problem; they lack the critical skills needed for the industrial sector and
have a surplus labor force. The existence of surplus labor is to a considerable extent due to
the fact that despite the massive imports of physical capital they have not been able to
accelerate their growth rate because of the existence of undeveloped human resources
although growth of course is possible from the increase in the conventional capital even
though the available labor force is lacking in skills and knowledge growth rate will be
seriously limited without the latter. Human capital is then needed to staff and expand
government services to introduce new system of land use and new methods of agriculture, it
develops new means of communication to carry forward industrialization and to build the
educational system.
People are the most important asset a nation can have and there can not be any form of
When we talk about human capital the capital being referred is the one embodied in human
beings that yield income and other useful outputs over long period of time it could be
schooling, a computer training course, expenditure of medical care and lectures on the virtues
of punctuality and honesty are also capital. This is because it raises earnings, improve health,
The expenditures on education, medical care and so on are called investments in human
capital; they are called human capital because people cannot be separated from their
knowledge, skills health or values in the way that they can be separated from their financial
We can therefore say that it is those innate abilities and various skills acquired by a person
that makes up his capital. Due to this factor there can be no significant economic growth in
any economy without adequate human and natural resources. The stock of human capital like
the stock of natural and physical capital will deteriorate and decay if not increased and
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maintained through improvements in public health and sanitation, social welfare services,
good nutrition and guaranteed employment schemes. The human capital formation indices
should be integrated into the planning process in order to achieve a sustainable growth and
development.
The human dimension is the sine qua non of economic recovery. No SAP or economic
without having at its heart detailed social and human priorities. There can be no real
structural adjustment or economic recovery in the absence of the human imperative (Adedeji
et al., 2019).
error correction approach opines that “The essence of human resources development becomes
one of ensuring that the work force is continuously adapted for and upgraded to meet the new
This is because the economy is a dynamic entity, which is constantly changing in response to
The totality of the effort and cost involved in this massive upgrading of the productive
capacity of the people constitutes investments in human resources, which is also referred to
and developed in different ways namely; education, training, health promotion, as well
investment in all social services that influences mans productive capacities including,
telecommunications transport and housing. In the words of Ogwo and Agu (2016) as cited in
‘the impact of human capital on economic growth in Nigeria: an error correction approach
“education and training are generally indicated as the most important direct means of
formal education system to include the family, the educational system ,formal or informal
For a nation to be termed or described as developed it must have the following characteristics
1. To raise levels of living including, in addition to higher incomes, the provision of more
jobs, better education and greater attention to cultural and human values all of which will
serve as not only to enhance material well being but also to generate greater individual
2. To increase the availability and widen the distribution of basic life sustaining goals such
3. To expand the range of economic and societal choices available to individuals and nations
by freeing them from servitude and dependence not only in relation to other people and
nation states but also to the forces of ignorance and human misery.
If these three objectives are anything to go by then we can rightly say that Nigeria is still
underdeveloped and exhibiting the characteristics of a low -income developing country this
includes low levels of living, low per-capita national income, income inequality, poverty etc.
Nigeria can be categorized as a country that is primarily rural, depends on primary product,
exports, has high population growth, suffers from widespread poverty and rising
unemployment and must deal with tribal and ethnic conflicts. Since the advent of Nigeria’s
independence in 1960 it has experienced ethnic, regional and religious tensions, magnified by
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the significant disparities in economic and educational development between the south and
the north.
Nigeria’s social indicators placed it among the poorest in South Saharan Africa with a human
development index of 0.401 was ranked 137 th among 174 developing countries considered in
1993 (Odusola 1998). Infant mortality rate was about 144 per 1000 live births in 1981
(Odusola 1998).
The performance of the economy has not been satisfactory, from 1980s using conventional
indices. The periods 1960-65, 1970-75, 1976-80, 1981-85 and 1986-92 are very significant
and they represent important episodes in the economy. The 1960-65 period attempts to
capture both the independence and the commodity export boom at that time. The period
1970-75 reflects the era of oil windfall while 1976-80 period incorporates part of the oil
boom and austerity measures and various stabilization packages finally, the period represents
The oil boom and the consequent neglect of agriculture in the 1970s and early 1980s caused a
massive movement of people from rural to urban centers. Moreover regional and income
disparities are among the worst in the world (Todaro and Smith 2015).
For Nigeria to turn the tides of its economic misfortune and mismanagement, which includes
a high rate of unemployment, poverty, illiteracy and so on, it will have to take steps to raise
domestic food production and labor productivity; use oil revenues more rationally to diversify
economic activity and reduce the burden of its’ foreign debt; lower population growth
Improved rural health and education and a reduction in absolute poverty: seek increased
foreign aid and investment, including significant debt relief (which was achieved recently):
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make greater use of market price incentives to allocate resources while endeavoring to
improve public and private decision making and maintain political stability between rural
All these can rightly be achieved through human means and therefore the role of human
capital to economic growth cannot be overemphasized and the development of human capital
has bee recognized to be an important prerequisite and an invaluable asset for a country’s
socio-economic and political transformation. Over the years, with the large population,
Nigeria has not been able to do much in terms of economic development and poor leadership
was blamed for the nation’s underdevelopment. This brings about the question; does the large
human resource available not able to affect economic growth? The answer to this question is
clear in the sense that most countries which are less populated then Nigeria has done
relatively well in economic good. Taking the case of Japan for example, it was a highly
populated country that was able to harness its large human resource and transform the
country into a developed one. In the view of the fact that populated countries can still achieve
economic growth, this study is embarked upon to assess the impact of human capital on
“There can be no significant economic growth in any country without adequate human capital
development. In the past, much of the planning in Nigeria was centered on the accumulation
of physical capital for rapid growth and development, without recognition of the important
role played by human capital in the development process”. This view was expressed by M.L.
Jinghan (2003) as cited by Ogujiuba and Adeniji in their paper, economic growth and human
capital development: the case of the Nigerian economy. They are of the view that people are
a country’s most valuable assets. Going by this view, investment in human capital in terms of
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education, on the job training and health will surely raise productivity in Nigeria. Much is
still to be desired in educational and health sector of the economy as we have seen that
investment in human capital was the triggering factor that led to the economic growth in
other developed countries. In the light of this, the following questions and more will need to
be answered in order for human capital to take its place in the growth process and planning
1. How strong and significant will an increase in investment in education have on the
economy.
2. Does education and health have any link in the increase of productivity?
This study is aimed at examining empirically the effect of human capital development on
3. To examine the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth in Nigeria.
1. H0: Human capital does not have significant impact on economic growth.
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1.6 Significance of the Study
Significantly, this research work is essential and relevant in many ways, especially in
revealing the contribution of human capital development on economic growth. This work is
also relevant in that it will aid the Nigerian administrative body on the need to vote more
resources on programs that promote Human capital development. . Also, this work will as
well serve as related literature for further research work especially on the impact of human
capital development on economic growth. However, with this work, government will see the
need to come up with effective approach in tackling over population and promoting capital
stock base of the economy. The significance of this research work cannot be over emphasized
in that if it's recommendations are implemented, will create more opportunities for increased
economic growth, more revenue for the government, employment opportunities and overall
This research work shall adopt econometrics methodology in the analysis of data. The data to
be analyzed for the purpose of this study will sourced from secondary data source. The data
source coul be: Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin, National Bureau of
statistics (NBS), Global development statistics and international development statistics. The
analysis will investigate the impact, effect and short and long run relationship between the
depende and the independent variables in the model between 1990 to 2020.
The scope of this study covers the Nigerian economy. This implies that the total effect of
human capital development in Nigeria will be critically examined in relation to other key
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selected independent Variables on economic growth. Specific years of study are from 1990 to
2020.
Doubtful reliability of secondary data, time constraint, lack of funds or low resources, paucity
Despite the limitations listed above, the reliability of this work cannot be over emphasized as
the researcher with the help of his able supervisor will ensure hard work in realizing good
result.
Appendices.
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CHAPTER TWO
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
2.1 Introduction
The main aim of this chapter is to review available available relevant literature of the subject
The purpose of this study is to develop a model to show the relationship between human
capital and economic growth. As argued in the earlier discussions, the general human capital
investment includes training, education, knowledge and skills that will enhance human
capital effectiveness. Based on the literature reviews, it is therefore postulated that human
capital leads to greater economic development. Economic development can be viewed in two
development.
Human capital development refers to the process of acquiring and increasing the number of
skilled persons who have the education and experience which are critical for the economic
growth of the country (Harbison, 2016). Human capital in Nigeria is produced mainly in the
schooling sector and health service sector. The government uses public resources for
education in the schooling sectorsuch as expendituresfor books, teaching material and other
inputs in the process of human capital formation. Thus, the input in the schooling sector is
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composed of time spent for education by the individual and of schooling expenditures by the
generations of individuals. Thus, the types of human capital at disposal differ in the manner
in which they are built up, and in the returns received from them by individuals. The main
inputs in building up human capital are individual ability and time spent for education. From
the individual point of view, the time available is limited by the expected lifetime duration,
term economists often use for education, health and other human capabilities that can raise
productivity when increased (Todaro & Smith, 2015). The concept of human capital refers to
the abilities and skills of human resources of a country, while human capital formation
(development) refers to the process of acquiring and increasing the number of persons who
have the skills, education and experience that are critical for economic for economic growth
According to Becker (2019), human capital is directly useful in the production process. It
increases a worker's productivity in all tasks, though possibly differentially in different tasks,
capital as seen as a unidimensional, since there are many dimensions or types of skills. A
simple version of this approach would emphasize mental and physical abilities as different
skills while Schultz (2014) and Nelson and Phelps (20166) assumes that human capital stock
determines the ability to assimilate the technologies and that human capital affects the speed
of technological catch-up and diffusion of knowledge. Bowles and Gintis (2013) sees human
capital as the capacity to work in organizations, obey orders, and generally adapt to life in a
individuals, the correct ideology and approach towards life. This explains the relevance of
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investing in education for human capital development. More so, Spence argued that
observable measures of human capital are more a signal of ability than characteristics
independently useful in the production process. It can be deduced from above that human
The sources of human capital differentials are; innate ability, schooling, school quality and
non-schooling investments, training and pre-labor market influences. This study is focused on
the investment in human capital through training and non-school investment such as health
expenditure by the government. The emergence of human capital development started during
the Eric Ashby commission (1959) in Nigeria. It largely formed the bedrock of higher
education development in Nigeria. The commission wasset up in April 1959, with the
mandate to conduct an investigation into Nigeria's needs in the field of higher education or
post school certificate and higher education over the next twenty years. This was largely
informed by the manpower needed atindependence to replace expatriate officials and the
However, according to Guru (2016), economic growth can be defined in two ways. In one
way, economic growth is defined as sustained annual increases in an economy's real national
income over a long period of time. In other words, economic growth meansrising trend of net
national product at constant prices. This definition has been criticized by some economists as
inadequate and unsatisfactory. They argue that total national income may be increasing and
yet the standard of living of the people may be falling. This can happen when the population
is increasing at a faster rate than total national income. Hence, the second and better way of
defining economic growth is to do so in terms of per capita income. According to the second
view of Guru (2016) economic growth means the annual increase in real per capita income of
a country over the long period. To Amadeo (2016), economic growth is how much more the
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economy produces than it did before and that if the economy is producing more, it makes
businesses to strive better. That give companies capital to invest and hire more employees.
According to Daly, Czech, Blackwelder, Magnus-Johnston, and Zencey (2010), the term
economic growth has two distinct meanings. Sometimes it refers to the growth of that thing
we call the economy (the physical subsystem of our world made up of the stocks of
population and wealth; and the flows of production and consumption). But the term has a
second very different meaning-if the growth of some thing or some activity causes benefits to
increase faster than costs– that isto say, growth that is economic in the sense that it yields a
net benefit or a profit. To Kessier (2012), economic growth occurs when a society becomes
Economic growth can therefore be seen asthe annual increase or improvement in the real per
capita income (real GDP per capita or output per person) of a country over a long period of
time. This is measured using annual real GDP which is the monetary value of all final goods
and services at market prices with year 2010 asthe base year. Some of the determinants of
economic growth are: investment, human capital, innovation and R&D activities, trade
openness, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), institutional framework, political factors and
social-culturalfactors. It has been posited by many (Lucas 1998; Harbison and Myers 1964)
that human capital formation has contributed immensely to economic growth. This has been
achieved through increased knowledge, skills and capabilities acquired through education and
training by all the people in the country. Schultz (1961) has identified five ways of
1. Investment in health facilities and services, broadly conceived to include all expenditures
that affect life expectancy, strength and stamina, and the vigour and vitality of the people.
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3. Formally organized education at the elementary, secondary and higher levels.
4. Study program for adults that are not organized by firms including extension programs
notably in agriculture.
Human capital investment is an important factor in modern economic growth and it has direct
effect on economic growth through a number of different channels, the most important of
which are increases in productivity and the increased rate of technological progress and
diffusion. Investment in human capital is also required to raise the general living standards of
people and this is possible when education and training makes fuller and rational utilization
of surplus manpower by providing larger and better job opportunities in both rural and urban
areas. The two human capital proxy; education and health are treated together because of
their close relationships. Health is central to well-being and education is essential for a
satisfying and rewarding life. A greater health capital may improve the return to investments
in education in part because health is an important factor in school attendance and in the
formal learning process of a child. A longer life raises the returns to investment in education
and on the other hand; greater education capital may improve the returns to investments in
health because many health programs rely on basic skills often learned at school. Education is
also needed for the formation and training of health personnel. Education is a sound
economic investment for individuals and families because it raises the quality of life,
improves health, productivity and living standards, increases individuals access to paid
employment and emancipate them for social and political participation in the economy (Bello
and King 1991, Hill and King 1991, Thomas 1991). When a sound macroeconomic policy is
put in place investments in education raises per capita GNP and reduces poverty because
better educated parents are more likely to ensure the education of their children and also
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attend to the health requirements of their wards. Okogie (1995) succinctly puts it “attention to
health and leisure has resulted in tremendous savings due to reduced illness, longer life
The Nigerian government which is the main employer of labor should play a leading role in
human capital investment activities as investments in education and health per person per
year was estimated to be about $63 compared to other developed countries like the republic
of Korea which invested as high as $160 per person per year, Malaysia invested $150 at the
same period. Clearly Korea and Malaysia witnessed rapid growth because of the huge human
capital investment in human resources. But in Nigeria government expenditure on real health
and education declined by about 51perent and 70 percent between 1980-1983 and 1987-1989
(Husain and Farugee 1994).Inadequate funding of education coupled with poor facilities in
school and deficiency in science facilities resulting in improper manpower mix has led to
what Yesufu (2000) As cited in ‘Impact of Human Capital on Economic in Nigeria. An error
For effective and speedy development of human resources in Nigeria, the government and
beneficiaries (students and parents), employers and other stakeholders in the society should
share the responsibility of financing education and training. The government should
concentrate and intensify efforts in the funding of primary and secondary education as these
levels provides a solid foundation for human capital formation in any country since basic
literacy and upward movements in education and training hierarchy depends on these levels.
It has been universally acclaimed that investments in human capital through education has
substantially increased productivity and economic development (World Bank 1990; Okogie
2015; Odusola 2018) and the East Asian miracle is an attestation to this fact. In that economy
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rapid growth was facilitated by the availability of highly skilled domestic engineers and
workers who could have productive use of foreign knowledge and imported capital.
In a study on, productivity growth in Japan Hamada and Honda (2005) found that rapid
growth resulted from huge investment in human capital through on- the-job training from
where workers acquired specific skills that enabled them adapt more easily and quickly to
human capital is highly significant and positively related to aggregate output. In another cross
country analysis of the effect of human capital formation or per capita income, Mankiw,
Romer and Neil (2014) using an augmented model with human capital explaining nearly 80
percent of the variations in per capita income which is about 30 percent larger than when
human capital is excluded. The implication is that investment in human capital substantially
influenced per capita income which is about 30 percent larger than when human capital is
excluded. The implication is that investment in human capital substantially influenced per
capita income at 1 percent level of significance. Mbanefoh (1980), undertook a cost benefit
analysis of university education in Nigeria and found that university education boosts
productivity and hence growth when the discount rate is between one and ten.
According to Guisan Y. Frais (2016), and from the seminal research on human capital, to the
additional input in the production function with a positive effect over the GDP growth and
studies have also shown that poor health conditions in developing countries also harm the
productivity of adults. Statistical methods have shown that a large part of the effect on health
on raising earnings is due to productivity differences it is not just the reverse causality that
higher wages are used in part to purchase better health (Todaro and Smith 2015).
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In developing countries including Nigeria, there is greater inequality in educational
opportunities among other areas, and this is due to cultural tradition of such societies.
because of poverty, tradition or parental bias (Schultz 1994, Okogie 205). Therefore rescuing
gender inequality through greater access to education and the labour market will help to
reduce poverty in Nigeria, thereby increasing the rate of economic growth. There is need to
increase investment in the human capital of women along side that of men to ensure rapid and
even growth.
Adeyemi and Ogunsola (2016) examined the impact of human capital development on
economic growth in Nigeria using time series data spanning from 1980 to 2013. The study
employed ARDL Co-integration analysis to estimate the relationship among the variables
used in the study. The study found a long-run co-integration among the variables. The
findings from the study also revealed that there is positive long-run relationship among
secondary school enrolment, public expenditure on education, life expectancy rate, gross
capital formation and economic growth but it was statistically insignificant. The results also
showed negative long-run relationship among primary, tertiary school enrolment, public
expenditure on health and economic growth. The study therefore recommended that
government should put in place the required education and training policy that would
guarantee quality schooling for primary and tertiary education and should also commit more
fundsto health sectorto enhance human capital development.Jaiyeoba (2015) examined the
relationship between human capital investment and economic growth in Nigeria using time
series data from 1982 to 2011. The study used trend analysis, Johansen cointegration and
ordinary least square technique. Empirical findings however indicate that there is a long-run
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relationship between government expenditure on education, health and economic growth. The
variables: health and education expenditure, secondary and tertiary enrolment rate and gross
fixed capital formation appear with the expected positive signs and are statistically significant
(except government expenditure on education and primary enrolment rate). The findings of
this work have strong implications on education and health policies and considering that they
are of great debate in the country. Therefore, this study recommends that in order to
accelerate growth and liberate Nigerians from the vicious cycle of poverty, the government
should put in place policies geared towards massive investment in the education and health.
model to investigate the impact of human capital development on national output in Nigeria
using quarterly time series data from 1999 to 2012. The study used Johansen cointegration
test. The results showed that human capital development, in line with theory, exhibits
significant positive impact on output level. The study further revealed a relatively
inelasticrelationship between human capital development and output level. The study
recommended that government and policy makersshould make concerted and sincere efforts
in building and developing human capacity through adequate Educational funding across all
levels.
Oluwatoyin (2013) examined human capital investment and economic growth in Nigeria. The
study used Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) tests and found out that a positive relationship
exists between government expenditure on education and economic growth while a negative
relationship exists between government expenditure on health and economic growth. The
study therefore recommended that the government should increase not just the amount of
expenditure made on the education and health sectors, but also the percentage of its total
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Mba, Mba, Ogbuabor and Ikpegbu (2013) evaluated the relevance of human capital
development on the growth of Nigerian economy. The study used Ordinary Least Square
(OLS) technique. The study also used GDP as a proxy for economic growth; Per Capital Real
Gross Domestic Product, primary school enrolment, public expenditure on education and
health, life expectancy, stock of physical capital as proxy for human capital. It was found
from study that there is a strong positive relationship between human capital development
and economic growth. The study therefore recommended revisiting the man-power needs of
the various sectors of the economy while workable policies should be put in place to bring
about an overall economic growth, expenditures on health and public education should be
utilized effectively and efficiently so that the country would experience quality health care
Isola and Alani (2020) evaluated the contribution of different measures of human capital
development to economic growth in Nigeria. It used data from Nigeria and adopted the
growth account model which specifies the growth of GDP as a function of labour and capital.
The model also included a measure of policy reforms. Based on the estimated regression and
development, it wasfound that though little commitment had been accorded health compare
to education, empirical analysis showed that both education and health components of human
capital development are crucial to economic growth in Nigeria.Amassoma and Nwosa (2011)
studies the causal nexus between human capital Investment and economic growth in Nigeria
for sustainable development in Africa at large between 1970 and 2009 using a Vector Error
Correction (VEC) and Pairwise granger causality methodologies. The result from the study
shows no causality between human capital development and economic growth. The study
recommended the need to increase budgetary allocation to the education and health sector
and the establishment of sound and wellfunctioning vocational institute needed to bring about
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the needed growth in human capital that can stimulate economic growth. Also, the study
identified that labour mismatch is an issue that government needsto reckon with in order to
accelerate and sustain economic growth. Johnson (2011) examined human capital
development and economic growth in Nigeria and asserted that human capital is an important
factor used in converting all resources to mankind's use and benefit. The study used
conceptual analytical framework that employs the theoretical and Ordinary Least Square
(OLS) to analyze the relationship using the GDP as proxy for economic growth; total
government expenditure on education and health, and the enrolment pattern of tertiary,
secondary and primary schools as proxy for human capital. The found that there is strong
positive relationship between human capital development and economic growth and therefore
recommended that stakeholders need to evolve a more pragmatic means of developing the
human capabilities, since it is seen as an important tool for economic growth in Nigeria and
proper institutional framework should be put in place to look into the manpower needs of the
varioussectors and implement policies that will lead to the overall growth ofthe economy.
Following from the above empirical works reviewed, it can be deduced that some of the
methodological approaches employed in the works were grossly inadequate in addressing the
issuesrelating to the relationship between human capital development and economic growth
in Nigeria. That is, the use of Ordinary Least Square technique or Auto-Regressive
Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach where public expenditure on education and health is not
truly exogenous in economic growth model and/or the use of Johansen cointegration test
jointly ordinary least square technique were gross misapplication of the appropriate
technique(s). This is because, estimating the system of equation by applying ordinary least
squares often leads tosimultaneous equation bias. Hence, the need to provide an appropriate
technique to examine the relationship between human capital development and economic
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Temple (2018)) noted that “the empirical evidence that education matters for growth is
surprisingly mixed”.
Pritchett (1999) shows that variation in the changes in average schooling plays little role in
Benhabib and Spiegel (1994) found out that the initial level of average education per worker
is a significant determinant of output growth. They argued that education levels make the
David Cook (2000) in his paper education and growth used instrumental variables estimate
approach which drew much of data from variation within developing economies. His paper
showed that human capital positively affects productivity which invariably leads to increased
economic growth.
Birdsall (2013) uses data from Malaysia, Ghana and Peru to show that education has a strong
effect on labor productivity especially in agriculture. He came up with the conclusion that
each extra year of a farmers schooling is associated with an annual increase in output of 2 to
5 percent.
Foster and Rosenzwig (2015) demonstrate that increased education is associated with factor
technology and adoption in green revolution India. Similarly, higher education levels have
Deraniyagela (1995) showed that skill and education levels of workers and entrepreneurs
World Bank (2017)) observed that education substantially increased farm productivity in
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Brunette et al (2019) indicated the significance of massive investment in both primary and
lower secondary education on the pattern of growth in East Asia and they argued that massive
region.
Michael (2014); Herz (2018); Hill and King (20111) demonstrated empirically that female
education positively affects the efficiency with which they combine various inputs in order to
produce the optimal set of outputs. Evidence from Herz (2016) suggests that in both
developed and developing countries education may well be the single most effective way to
Grammy and Assane (2016) using varied forms of human capital investment shows that
human capital formation propels growth in per capita income. Its positive contribution to
Okedera’s (2018) study used a three year experimental adult literacy programme of the
University of Ibadan to generate the private and social benefits associated with formal and
informal primary education. He calculated the private rates of return on formal primary
education to be 10.6 percent and adult literacy level was 17.8. The corresponding social rates
of return were 8.5 and 14.7 percent for formal and informal primary education. By
implication both formal and informal primary education does not only increase productivity
through earnings, but also through increased capacity for future possibilities, which
correction approach. Carried out the cost –benefit analysis of university education in Nigeria
and his conclusion was that investment in university education is always profitable when any
It is obvious that from the reviewed literatures above, Human capital development and other
associated independent variables for the purpose of this study have positive impact on
economic growth. This however implies that increase in human capital development has a
way of increasing economic growth of society. On the other hand, a decrease in human
capital development will result to a decrease in the output level of society. Despite this
positive relationship, many scholars have not meature the degree of positivity of human
capital development, investment and foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth.
Conclusion and recommendation of authors and other scholars centers on policy options that
are guide towards increasing Human capital development, investment, foreign direct
investment (FDI) and other determinants of economic growth to maintain sustainable growth.
25
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Introduction
This chapter tries to explain the method adopted by the researcer in evaluating the impact of
Different models of economic growth stress alternative causes of economic growth. The
3.2.1 Mercantilism: Wealth of a nation determined by the accumulation of gold and running
trade surplus
3.2.2 Classical Theory: Adam Smith placed emphasis on the role of increasing returns to
3.2.3 Neo Classical Theory: Growth based on supply-side factors such as labour
3.2.5 Keynesian demand-side: Keynes argued that aggregate demand could play a role in
influencing economic growth in the short and medium-term. Though most growth theories
ignore the role of aggregate demand, some economists argue recessions can cause hysteresis
26
Limits to Growth: From an environmental perspective, some argue in the very long-term
economic growth will be constrained by resource degradation and global warming. This
means that economic growth may come to an end reminiscent of Malthus theories.
Mercantilism
Popular at the start of the industrial revolution, Mercantilism isn’t really a theory of economic
growth but argued that a country could be made better off by seeking to accumulate gold and
increasing exports.
Classical Model
Developed by Adam Smith in Wealth of Nations (1776), Smith argued there are several
The productivity of labour: Smith argued income per capita was determined by “the state of
the skill, dexterity, and judgment with which labour is applied in any nation” (Wealth of
Nations I.6)
Increasing returns to scale – e.g. specialisation we see in modern factories and the economies
Ricardo and Malthus developed the classical model. This model assumed technological
change was constant and increasing inputs could lead to diminishing returns. This led to the
gloomy predictions of Malthus that the population would grow faster than the world’s
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Neo-Classical model of Solow/Swan
The neo-classical theory of economic growth suggests that increasing capital or labour leads
to diminishing returns. Therefore, increasing capital has only a temporary and limited impact
on increasing the economic growth. As capital increases, the economy maintains its steady-
of growth.
It suggests poor countries who invest more should see their economic growth converge with
richer countries.
Some developing countries don’t attract higher levels of investment because of structural
The Harrod-Domar model is a type of neo-classical model. It states growth rate depends on a
28
Some growth theories place a large emphasis on increasing domestic savings. Savings
provide the necessary funds to finance investment. It is this investment which creates further
growth. This has been an important factor behind the economic growth in Asia.
However, it depends on how efficient the investment is. If savings is too high it leads to
Endogenous growth models, developed by Paul Romer and Robert Lucas placed greater
emphasis on the concept of human capital. How workers with greater knowledge, education
They place greater importance on the need for governments to actively encourage
technological innovation. They argue in the free market classical view, firms may have no
incentive to invest in new technologies because they will struggle to benefit in competitive
markets.
The model places emphasis on increasing both capital and labour productivity. States that
increasing labour productivity does not have diminishing returns, but, may have increasing
returns. They argue that increasing capital does not necessarily lead to diminishing returns as
Solow predicts. They say it is more complicated; it depends on the type of capital investment.
Emphasis is placed on free-markets, reducing regulation and subsidies. The argument is that
29
Joseph Schumpeter argued that an inherent feature of capitalism was the ‘creative
destruction’ – allowing inefficient firms to fail was essential for allowing resources to flow to
Developed by Oded Galor, unified growth theory tries to combine many different elements of
economic growth
Economic stagnation that characterized most of human history until the eighteenth century
Other theories have been suggested for developing countries. Amartya Sen and Joseph
Stiglitz.
It is argued that economic growth may have limitations caused by lack of raw materials,
climate change and overcrowding. Given the failure of T.Malthus predictions to come true,
these theories are often rubbished. Nevertheless, there may come a time when growth is
30
3.3 Research Design
The use of secondary data from Central Bank of Nigeria(CBN), National Beaure of
Statistics(NBS) and other notable world organization will be adopted. Ordinary least square
(OLS) regression approach will be used to test for causality relationship between dependent
and independent Variables in the Model. The expost facto research design is considered.
Nigeria, the reliable variables for the purpose of this study include:
Independent variables: Human capital development (HDI), Investment (I) and foreign Direct
Investment (FDI).
The model of this study recognizes theoretical, statistical and econometric approaches. The
evaluation of the model by way of Theoretical approach encompasses the validity of the
estimated parameters to the study expectation. The statistical approach makes use of the F-
statistics, coefficient of determination and P- values to test the significance level of the
reliability of the explanatory variables in predicting the variability of the regression and, the
significance level of the entire estimated model. In order to test for the stationary level of the
data for the study. Econometric approach is applied to evaluate or test the order of stationary/
cointegration of the collected data in order to avoid spurious regression analysis. To achieve
this, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) is considered to test the presence of unit root.
31
The specification of the model for this study is with reference to the objectives of this study
Where:
The assumed or priori expectation of the model is β0, β1, β2, and β3 >0.
From the enonometric model, u is the random/ error term which represents the effects of
other variables not captured in the Model but which can in one way or the other influence the
32
3.6 Methods of Data Analysis
The procedure in the analysis would adopt multiple regression econometric procedure. The
study would commence analysis with Dickey-Fuller test, to verify, the stationary variables so
significance of each of the constant parameters, while the diagnostic test based on the
coefficient of determination (R2) will be used to check for the goodness of fit of the model.
In evaluating the model, the ordinary least square regression will be used to obtain numerical
values of the model coefficients. With statistical significance at 5% level, the probability of
the t- test statistics will be used to evaluate the estimated numerical values of the coefficient
of the simple linear regression for reliability of the variables in predicting the impact of HDI
on economic growth. The variables are evaluated based on the R- square and Adjusted R-
square. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is employed to test of stationarity (unit root)
while probability values of coefficient will be used to evaluate the long run and short run
Data were sourced from Central bank Statistical bulletin from 1990 to 2020. This Model
Secondary data applied in this study were gathered from Central bank of Nigeria statistical
bulletin from 1990 to 2020. Regression analysis technique was used to examine the effects of
independent variables on dependent variable, and Pearson product moment correlation was
33
REFERENCES
approach. Human resource development in Africa selected papers for the 2000 annual
Economic Growth and Human Capital development: the case of Nigeria by K.K
Ayodele F. Odusola.
Lucas 1998; Romer 1987; Azariadis and Drazen 1990; Mankiw et al 1992; UNDP
1996; as cited in Human Capital Investment and the Empirics of Economic Growth in
34
Mankiw et al 1992; UNDP 1996; Lucas 1998; as cited in The Impact of Human
Adamu.
Robert Solow 1956: as cited in ‘ Human Capital Investment and the Empirics of
Salleh 1992.As cited in ‘Human Capital Investment and the Empirics of Economic
Solow 1957; Khan 1997; Iyoha 2000. As cited in ‘impact of human capital on
35
CHAPTER FOUR
4.1 INTRODUCTION
This chapter is for the interpretation of the result estimate carried out. It includes the
presentation of data which will be in tabular form, data analysis and the discussion of the
result.
In this empirical study the methodology used is the ordinary least square (OLS) method. On
each model we carried out an ordinary least square estimation. The results were examined
and in the view of the presence of autocorrelation we used the method proposed by
36
Cochrane- Orcutt. The data for the variables used were obtained for the year 1977- 2004. The
GDP = this represents the Gross Domestic Product which is used to capture economic
growth.
EXPD = Total government expenditure on education which was used to proxy Human
Capital.
This section focuses on the results from the estimation carried out and its critical evaluation.
The model relates economic growth to four variables namely; labour (LA), gross capital
formation (GCFC), foreign direct investment (FDI) and total government expenditure on
37
Regressor Co-efficient Standard Error T-values
R2 =0.75127
R2 = 0.70801
D.W = 0.97195
On the basis of apriori specification the sign of the variables conforms to apriori expectation
except foreign direct investment. A correlation matrix test was carried out and it showed that
there was the presence of multicollinearity between labour and total government expenditure
on education. One of the implications of the presence of multicollinearity is that it will make
one or more of the variables to be statistically insignificant. The model estimate presented in
tables 1 and 2 is in logarithmic form (double log) therefore the co-efficient of the variables
represent the elasticity’s of the variables .therefore the absolute values of the individual
variables are taken into consideration meaning the negative are ignored. In the light of this
the negative signs that appear in LOGFDI and LOGEXPD will be ignored.
38
This regression estimate obtained shows that the model is a good fit as only about 25% of the
model can not be accounted for. This is shown from the value of R 2. TheR2 shows that
Labour Force (LA), Gross Capital Formation (GCFC), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and
Total government expenditure in education accounts for about 70% of the changes in
economic growth. The value of the F-Statistic or the F-Test shows that the model overall is
significant and that all the slope co-efficient are simultaneously different from zero.
The DW value of 0.97 shows that there is the presence of first order serial correlation; this
was corrected using the Cochrane –Orcutt method for autocorrelation. The result for the
39
28 observations used for estimation from 1977 – 2004
D.W = 2.0770
F (11, 9) 1399.9
After correcting for autocorrelation the model estimate gives us a very good fit as only about
The R2 shows that labour, gross capital formation, foreign direct investment and total
government expenditure on education accounts for about 99% of the changes in economic
growth.
The F-value shows that all the variables used in the model are statistically significant. In
other words the model is statistically significant. The DW value shows that there is no
40
4.4 DISCUSSION OF RESULT
The model estimates presented in tables 1and 2 are in logarithmic form and there is the
Foreign direct investment is not statistically significant in both models following the T- test.
This is due to the presence of multicollinearity. One of the implications of the presence of
this model therefore we can then say that there exists an inelastic relationship between FDI
and economic growth meaning that a proportionate change in FDI will bring about a less than
Using the T- test labour is statistically significant at 5% level and its co-efficient using the
values in table 2 shows that a 1% increase in labour will bring about a 1.23% increase in
economic growth. A 1% increase in gross capital formation will bring about a 0.38% increase
in economic growth and a 1% increase in government expenditure will bring about a 0.006%
If all the independent variables have a co-efficient of zero the constant(C) shown in the result
will then mean that the economy will grow by 65%. Bernadette Andresso in his paper Human
Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth in Asia found out that FDI was statistically
insignificant but all other variables were statistically significant Going by this finding we can
41
1. Foreign direct investment does not have much impact on economic growth.
on economic growth.
3. Labour and gross capital formations also have an impact on economic growth.
42
REFERENCES
Bernadette Andresso (2002): Human Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth in Asia.
43
44
CHAPTER FIVE
In this project, an empirical investigation was carried out to determine the impact of human capital
on economic growth, using the ordinary least square technique. The result of the estimation shows
that investment in human capital in the form of education can lead to economic growth which has an
effect on productivity. The result also shows that people (human resource) are the ones to actually
5.2 FINDINGS
The theories found in the course of writing this project includes; Solow’s growth model and the
Solow’s growth model during the 1960’s and 1970’s centered mainly on tangible(physical) capital
formation as the driver of economic growth in conjunction with an exogenity factor that increases
productiveness. This exogenity factor was questioned in various literatures and it was concluded that
what increases the productivity is not an exogenous factor, but an endogenous one which is assumed
to be related to knowledge and behavior of the people. Empirical findings during the course of this
research show that investment in human capital in the form of total government expenditure on
education has an impact on economic growth. Likewise labour force and gross capital formation also
has an impact on economic growth. Foreign direct investment in this work has little impact on
economic growth.
45
5.3 RECOMMENDATIONS
In line with the findings in this project as to how human capital affects economic growth the
following recommendations have been put forward. Since education is one of the main basis of
1. Improve teachers and lectures salaries and working conditions in all educational institutions.
2. Expand the available institutions by improving by providing more infrastructures to the existing
ones.
5. Create an enabling environment by ensuring economic stability that will encourage investment in
5.4 CONCLUSION.
This project has explored empirically the relationship between human capital and economic growth
in Nigeria, using the ordinary least square technique. It reveals that investment in human capital
46
proxied by total government expenditure on education, labour force and gross capital formation has
This study was limited in many ways but due mainly to time and financial constraints. The area of
education as a form of investment in human capital has been researched extensively and other areas
have not actually been researched upon. Areas like investments in Medicare having an impact on
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