SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.557791
R Square 0.311131
Adjusted R Square 0.305293
Standard Error 6898.595
Observations 120

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2536356740.71 2536356741 53.29530944 0.00000000003639
Residual 118 5615692986.27 47590618.53
Total 119 8152049726.99

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 11454.17 2009.46976494 5.70009396 8.986101E-08 7474.86925925116
Average Temperature 258.2337 35.3727154955 7.300363651 3.639015E-11 188.186079562956

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Total ElectricityResiduals
Cost
1 29143.17 -7906.6200917
2 31002.46 19586.340066
3 32087.04 21447.4701829
4 30382.7 8649.59051343
5 28445.94 -2240.0279383
6 24649.91 -385.7884476
7 19950.05 9529.56624561
8 18917.12 10062.4398914
9 17393.54 6729.43964137
10 19562.7 3116.87027527
11 23048.86 -1610.7245917
12 25992.72 -5505.8428171
13 29478.88 -2923.234984
14 30537.64 -7185.1618984
15 31183.22 2779.91128546
16 28884.94 -2336.0490052
17 27929.48 -9822.3384654
18 24081.79 -3100.7680374
19 19588.53 7790.41240663
20 17961.66 6817.3141312
21 19820.94 3493.92058883
22 21008.81 266.063831207
23 23307.09 -1570.5419781
24 26922.36 -5599.5840883
25 29169 -4895.7473603
26 31105.75 2780.67149139
27 30434.34 2449.64207614
28 28884.94 -7731.4620052
29 25424.61 -4238.5305069
30 24624.08 -2616.316379
31 20130.82 3885.6174651
32 16799.6 10104.3521202
33 18323.18 5333.68767018
34 20182.47 1697.53892782
35 25579.55 -5149.2529188
36 26096.02 -2349.1905917
37 30072.82 -3270.8391628
38 31286.51 7852.89641089
39 32216.15 13083.6452397
40 29995.35 -2658.3930569
41 27748.71 -7514.4665849
42 24908.14 -2516.952534
43 19666 2409.7355007
44 18013.3 7899.85509391
45 17496.83 4937.69246679
46 21370.34 1207.70477019
47 24727.38 -1262.1217535
48 26018.55 -1149.4925857
49 29762.93 -1805.1019391
50 31363.98 9576.98370495
51 32009.57 20886.5698889
52 29892.05 1825.98091766
53 27258.07 -4828.3633806
54 24314.2 -2497.7284552
55 20802.23 1339.80058036
56 20673.11 6195.28892358
57 20104.99 3302.19833375
58 23436.21 -2870.4332213
59 27051.48 -3167.1818315
60 27826.18 -3319.7160908
61 29866.23 1978.34668631
62 32500.21 22026.7024846
63 32190.33 18647.1775083
64 30305.23 6473.15271936
65 26664.13 -1188.1491018
66 24288.38 -4250.7645866
67 22480.74 1228.6584185
68 18762.18 4597.36720324
69 19898.41 653.479482899
70 19769.29 3741.68232612
71 22584.04 -553.25085608
 72 25321.32 -5067.6513323
73 28833.29 -5345.6609679
74 31209.04 5800.94341682
75 30563.46 2154.11683292
76 31234.87 5668.96074817
77 27903.65 -3778.0993967
78 23410.39 -3987.9281527
79 19381.94 3412.47365578
80 17780.89 2000.03871171
81 17083.66 4252.2365651
82 20104.99 -1019.4046663
83 23487.86 -4433.0013586
84 26715.78 -8381.5968391
85 29556.35 -3830.68949
86 30589.28 -2408.2644357
87 30434.34 -2483.5825239
88 29943.7 3898.93478038
89 27335.54 -10432.032687
90 24159.26 -6681.0449434
91 20156.64 -1343.0404035
92 18529.77 4971.55902103
93 19381.94 -1652.3730442
94 20647.29 -4232.9103078
95 24959.79 -8393.4719713
96 26948.19 -9446.1134569
97 28910.76 -6948.2627739
98 30976.63 288.791734615
99 31338.16 4810.1422736
100 30021.17 -4486.6740256
101 27774.54 -10163.729954
102 25527.9 -7645.2364815
103 22248.33 -5342.6428637
104 18788 2811.97433459
105 19872.58 -2366.3952485
106 23978.5 -8116.5261629
107 24830.67 -8473.1372281
108 26689.95 -11225.28957
109 29943.7 -8518.1668196
110 31415.63 4800.50866767
111 31570.57 6141.5722558
112 30201.93 -914.82530606
113 28342.65 -6101.3438637
114 26354.25 -9322.7876781
115 20776.4 -1898.694151
116 18607.24 4259.5122151
117 21034.64 -3986.3271374
118 23539.5 -5533.3167959
119 25502.08 -8777.4561129
120 26922.36 -8899.7172883
 Average Temperature
Residual Plot
40000

Residuals
20000
0
-20000 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Average Temperature

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

15433.463681761 7474.8692593 15433.463682
328.28129331744 188.18607956 328.28129332
Average
$60,000.0000

$50,000.0000

Total Electricity Cost ($)

$40,000.0000
y=258.23x +11454
R² =0.3111 $30,000.0000
f(x) = 153
R² = 0.293
$20,000.0000

$10,000.0000

$0.0000
10 20 30
Average Tem
e

70 80 90

Average Temperature Line Fit Plot

.0000

.0000

.0000
Total Electricity Cost
.0000
f(x) = 15349.9641115843 exp( 0.00853006544920832Exponential
x) (Total Electricity Cost)
R² = 0.29362075819223
.0000

.0000

.0000
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Average Temperature (°F)
Month-Year Kilowatts Billed Billing Cycle Beginning Date Billing Cycle Ending Date Total Electricity Cost
6/1/2007 330273 5/14/2007 6/15/2007 21236.5539
7/1/2007 786762 6/16/2007 7/17/2007 50588.7966
8/1/2007 832574 7/18/2007 8/15/2007 53534.5082
9/1/2007 607034 8/16/2007 9/14/2007 39032.2862
10/1/2007 407557 9/15/2007 10/16/2007 26205.9151
11/1/2007 377358 10/17/2007 11/14/2007 24264.1194
12/1/2007 458470 11/15/2007 12/17/2007 29479.6210
1/1/2008 450693 12/18/2007 1/17/2008 28979.5599
2/1/2008 375163 1/18/2008 2/15/2008 24122.9809
3/1/2008 352715 2/16/2008 3/17/2008 22679.5745
4/1/2008 333408 3/18/2008 4/16/2008 21438.1344
5/1/2008 318614 4/17/2008 5/15/2008 20486.8802
6/1/2008 412996 5/16/2008 6/16/2008 26555.6428
7/1/2008 363180 6/17/2008 7/16/2008 23352.4740
8/1/2008 528198 7/17/2008 8/14/2008 33963.1314
9/1/2008 412891 8/15/2008 9/15/2008 26548.8913
10/1/2008 281604 9/16/2008 10/15/2008 18107.1372
11/1/2008 326299 10/16/2008 11/14/2008 20981.0257
12/1/2008 425800 11/15/2008 12/17/2008 27378.9400
1/1/2009 385365 12/18/2008 1/19/2009 24778.9695
2/1/2009 362595 1/20/2009 2/18/2009 23314.8585
3/1/2009 330869 2/19/2009 3/18/2009 21274.8767
4/1/2009 338049 3/19/2009 4/17/2009 21736.5507
5/1/2009 331614 4/18/2009 5/18/2009 21322.7802
6/1/2009 377500 5/19/2009 6/17/2009 24273.2500
7/1/2009 527005 6/18/2009 7/17/2009 33886.4215
8/1/2009 511415 7/18/2009 8/17/2009 32883.9845
9/1/2009 328981 8/18/2009 9/16/2009 21153.4783
10/1/2009 329488 9/17/2009 10/15/2009 21186.0784
11/1/2009 342267 10/16/2009 11/16/2009 22007.7681
12/1/2009 373506 11/17/2009 12/15/2009 24016.4358
1/1/2010 418413 12/16/2009 1/19/2010 26903.9559
2/1/2010 367914 1/20/2010 2/18/2010 23656.8702
3/1/2010 340280 2/19/2010 3/18/2010 21880.0040
4/1/2010 317734 3/19/2010 4/16/2010 20430.2962
5/1/2010 369313 4/17/2010 5/17/2010 23746.8259
6/1/2010 416827 5/18/2010 6/16/2010 26801.9761
7/1/2010 608700 6/17/2010 7/16/2010 39139.4100
8/1/2010 704507 7/17/2010 8/16/2010 45299.8001
9/1/2010 425147 8/17/2010 9/15/2010 27336.9521
10/1/2010 314685 9/16/2010 10/15/2010 20234.2455
11/1/2010 348230 10/16/2010 11/15/2010 22391.1890
12/1/2010 343324 11/16/2010 12/16/2010 22075.7332
 1/1/2011 403004 12/17/2010 1/18/2011 25913.1572
2/1/2011 348904 1/19/2011 2/16/2011 22434.5272
3/1/2011 351136 2/17/2011 3/18/2011 22578.0448
4/1/2011 364934 3/19/2011 4/15/2011 23465.2562
5/1/2011 386766 4/16/2011 5/17/2011 24869.0538
6/1/2011 434803 5/18/2011 6/16/2011 27957.8329
7/1/2011 636718 6/17/2011 7/18/2011 40940.9674
8/1/2011 822646 7/19/2011 8/16/2011 52896.1378
9/1/2011 493282 8/17/2011 9/15/2011 31718.0326
10/1/2011 348829 9/16/2011 10/17/2011 22429.7047
11/1/2011 339292 10/18/2011 11/15/2011 21816.4756
12/1/2011 344355 11/16/2011 12/16/2011 22142.0265
1/1/2012 417860 12/17/2011 1/18/2012 26868.3980
2/1/2012 364031 1/19/2012 2/16/2012 23407.1933
3/1/2012 319841 2/17/2012 3/16/2012 20565.7763
4/1/2012 371451 3/17/2012 4/17/2012 23884.2993
5/1/2012 381127 4/18/2012 5/16/2012 24506.4661
6/1/2012 495250 5/17/2012 6/15/2012 31844.5750
7/1/2012 848008 6/16/2012 7/17/2012 54526.9144
8/1/2012 790630 7/18/2012 8/15/2012 50837.5090
9/1/2012 571981 8/16/2012 9/14/2012 36778.3783
10/1/2012 396205 9/15/2012 10/16/2012 25475.9815
11/1/2012 311627 10/17/2012 11/14/2012 20037.6161
12/1/2012 368731 11/15/2012 12/17/2012 23709.4033
1/1/2013 363290 12/18/2012 1/17/2013 23359.5470
2/1/2013 319625 1/18/2013 2/15/2013 20551.8875
3/1/2013 365645 2/16/2013 3/18/2013 23510.9735
4/1/2013 342625 3/19/2013 4/16/2013 22030.7875
5/1/2013 314987 4/17/2013 5/15/2013 20253.6641
6/1/2013 365282 5/16/2013 6/14/2013 23487.6326
7/1/2013 575583 6/15/2013 7/16/2013 37009.9869
8/1/2013 508827 7/17/2013 8/14/2013 32717.5761
9/1/2013 573932 8/15/2013 9/13/2013 36903.8276
10/1/2013 375203 9/14/2013 10/15/2013 24125.5529
11/1/2013 302060 10/16/2013 11/14/2013 19422.4580
12/1/2013 354501 11/15/2013 12/17/2013 22794.4143
1/1/2014 307635 12/18/2013 1/17/2014 19780.9305
2/1/2014 331818 1/18/2014 2/18/2014 21335.8974
3/1/2014 296821 2/19/2014 3/19/2014 19085.5903
4/1/2014 296343 3/20/2014 4/16/2014 19054.8549
5/1/2014 285135 4/17/2014 5/16/2014 18334.1805
6/1/2014 400088 5/17/2014 6/17/2014 25725.6584
7/1/2014 438274 6/18/2014 7/17/2014 28181.0182
8/1/2014 434693 7/18/2014 8/15/2014 27950.7599
 9/1/2014 526324 8/16/2014 9/16/2014 33842.6332
10/1/2014 262885 9/17/2014 10/16/2014 16903.5055
11/1/2014 271823 10/17/2014 11/14/2014 17478.2189
12/1/2014 292591 11/15/2014 12/17/2014 18813.6013
1/1/2015 365495 12/18/2014 1/19/2015 23501.3285
2/1/2015 275732 1/20/2015 2/18/2015 17729.5676
3/1/2015 255278 2/19/2015 3/18/2015 16414.3754
4/1/2015 257641 3/19/2015 4/17/2015 16566.3163
5/1/2015 272194 4/18/2015 5/18/2015 17502.0742
6/1/2015 341563 5/19/2015 6/17/2015 21962.5009
7/1/2015 486243 6/18/2015 7/17/2015 31265.4249
8/1/2015 562182 7/18/2015 8/17/2015 36148.3026
9/1/2015 397115 8/18/2015 9/16/2015 25534.4945
10/1/2015 273885 9/17/2015 10/16/2015 17610.8055
11/1/2015 278113 10/17/2015 11/15/2015 17882.6659
12/1/2015 262919 11/16/2015 12/17/2015 16905.6917
1/1/2016 335925 12/18/2015 1/19/2016 21599.9775
2/1/2016 272258 1/20/2016 2/18/2016 17506.1894
3/1/2016 246687 2/19/2016 3/18/2016 15861.9741
4/1/2016 254394 3/19/2016 4/18/2016 16357.5342
5/1/2016 240508 4/19/2016 5/17/2016 15464.6644
6/1/2016 333212 5/18/2016 6/16/2016 21425.5316
7/1/2016 563237 6/17/2016 7/18/2016 36216.1391
8/1/2016 586503 7/19/2016 8/16/2016 37712.1429
9/1/2016 455476 8/17/2016 9/15/2016 29287.1068
10/1/2016 345899 9/16/2016 10/17/2016 22241.3057
11/1/2016 264875 10/18/2016 11/15/2016 17031.4625
12/1/2016 293588 11/16/2016 12/16/2016 18877.7084
1/1/2017 355626 12/17/2016 1/18/2017 22866.7518
2/1/2017 265137 1/19/2017 2/16/2017 17048.3091
3/1/2017 280034 2/17/2017 3/20/2017 18006.1862
4/1/2017 260103 3/21/2017 4/18/2017 16724.6229
5/1/2017 280290 4/19/2017 5/16/2017 18022.6470
Average Temperature
68.5
75.7
79.9
73.3
65.8
51.1
32.9
28.9
23
31.4
44.9
56.3
69.8
73.9
76.4
67.5
63.8
48.9
31.5
25.2
32.4
37
45.9
59.9
68.6
76.1
73.5
67.5
54.1
51
33.6
20.7
26.6
33.8
54.7
56.7
72.1
76.8
80.4
71.8
63.1
52.1
31.8
25.4
23.4
38.4
51.4
56.4
70.9
77.1
79.6
71.4
61.2
49.8
36.2
35.7
33.5
46.4
60.4
63.4
71.3
81.5
80.3
73
58.9
49.7
42.7
28.3
32.7
32.2
43.1
53.7
67.3
76.5
74
76.6
63.7
46.3
30.7
24.5
21.8
33.5
46.6
59.1
70.1
74.1
73.5
71.6
61.5
49.2
33.7
27.4
30.7
35.6
52.3
60
67.6
75.6
77
71.9
63.2
54.5
41.8
28.4
32.6
48.5
51.8
59
71.6
77.3
77.9
72.6
65.4
57.7
36.1
27.7
37.1
46.8
54.4
59.9