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Economic Modelling 35 (2013) 297–304

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Economic Modelling
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecmod

Modeling the effect of the domestic business environment on


services trade
Azmat Gani a,⁎, Michael D. Clemes b
a
Department of Economics and Finance, College of Commerce and Economics, Sultan Qaboos University, P. O. Box 20, Al Khod 123, Oman
b
Commerce Division, Lincoln University, P. O. Box 80, Canterbury, New Zealand

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: This paper models the effect of the indicators of the domestic business environment on services trade in a sample
Accepted 18 June 2013 of low, middle and high-income OECD countries. The findings reveal that the time required to enforce a contract
is strongly negatively correlated with the growth in services exports in the high-income OECD countries as well
JEL classifications:
as with the growth in services imports in the middle and high-income OECD countries. A strong inverse correla-
F13
tion of the time required to register a property with the growth in services imports is confirmed for the OECD and
L80
O24
middle-income countries and the growth in services exports for the low-income countries. Internet diffusion and
O50 the strength of legal rights are strongly positively correlated with services exports in the OECD countries while
the strength of legal rights is also strongly positively correlated with services imports in the middle and low-
Keywords: income countries. The growth of world income has a strong positive effect on the growth of services exports in
Business the OECD and middle-income countries while domestic income growth strongly impacts on the growth in ser-
Services vices imports across the three income category of countries. Finally, tariff is strongly negatively correlated with
Trade services exports for the middle-income group of countries.
Contract enforcement
© 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Income
Internet and legal rights

1. Introduction the business environment were associated with the large size of the
small and medium enterprise sectors which are also engaged in service
The services sector, traditionally deemed the residual tertiary sector related trade.
after the primary and secondary sectors, is a significant contributor to Generally, the activities of the services sector are broadly categorized
the national output of many countries (Fig. 1). The volume of world into market and non-market services. The market activities usually in-
trade in services increased significantly over the last two decades. For clude producer services (for example, banking and finance); distribu-
example, Dutta (2008, p. 510–511) notes that since the 1980s, services tion services (for example, transport and storage); personal services
have been playing a more important role in their sustained value added (for example, hotels and restaurants) and communications (for exam-
to GDP across many countries. In a recent study, Park and Park (2011) ple, the internet). Non-market services include social services (for ex-
note that world trade in services increased from US$387 billion in ample, health, education and housing). According to the World Trade
1980 to US$3730 billion in 2008 and such expansion has been a result Organization (WTO), services trade is addressed within a broad based
of innovations in information technology, deregulation by the public framework of the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS).
sector and liberalization of capital flows. Das (2010) notes that the The services sector plays a crucial role in the economic development
growth and development of domestic manufacturing industries have of many nations, as services in general bind the other core sectors of
also increased the globalization of economic activities in many areas the economy such as manufacturing, primary resource based industries,
(transportation, tourism, computers and information technology, and and transportation and communication.
finance) and this expansion has facilitated the emergence of a service- The contribution of market and non-market services to national val-
dominated economy in many countries. An important factor assisting ued added is recognized by several countries. However, it is the market
the emergence of the services sector is the entrepreneurial capital that activities of the services sector that are making a strong impact outside
has also aided the economic development of several countries (Acs the borders of national economies, positively contributing to the pro-
et al., 2008). Ayyagari et al. (2007) found that several dimensions of cess of regional as well as global trade integration and national welfare
improvements. For example, Hoekman and Mattoo (2008) argued that
⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +968 24142950; fax: +968 24414043.
trade in services is expected to contribute significantly to economic
E-mail addresses: azmat@squ.edu.om (A. Gani), Michael.clemes@lincoln.ac.nz growth mainly through enhanced productivity as services are basic in-
(M.D. Clemes). puts or intermediates for industrial production. In addition, Adlung

0264-9993/$ – see front matter © 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.06.033
298 A. Gani, M.D. Clemes / Economic Modelling 35 (2013) 297–304

Services Value Added adopts an empirical framework using six indicators of the domestic
Percentage of gross

80
domestic product

70
business environment: the cost of doing business, the security to prop-
60 erty rights, contract enforcement, dispute resolution, the extent of inter-
50 net diffusion, and the strength of legal rights. The explanatory power of
40
these indicators is tested in terms of their ability to explain the growth
30
20 rate of services exports and imports using cross-country data. We con-
10 sider the link between the domestic business environment and trade
0 in services to be important for many countries aiming for greater
Low income countries Middle income High income OECD
countries countries trade integration. This study makes a new and valuable contribution
Country Category given that the empirical research in this area is almost non-existent.
The remainder of the paper is structured as follows. Section 2 pre-
1990 2007 sents the analytical framework and develops a structural model that
forms the basis of testing the effects of the domestic business environ-
Fig. 1. Services value added in the low, middle and high-income OECD countries. ment on the trade in services. Section 3 presents a theoretical justifica-
Source of data for Fig. 1: World Bank (2011a).
tion of business environment and trade control variables. Section 4
discusses the estimation procedure, presents the empirical findings
(2007) argued that trade in services helps reduce income disparities and discusses the results. Section 5 concludes.
within and between countries such as income transfers generated by
workers moving abroad or mobilization of private investment for social 2. The analytical framework
policy implications.
Countries throughout the world are aiming to expand their trade The theoretical developments pertaining to international trade so far
structure with the aim of greater integration and participation in the provide logical arguments that international trade is welfare enhancing.
global trading environment in order to achieve higher levels of national The literature demonstrates that national economic progress is deter-
development (Chang et al., 2009; Greenaway et al., 2002). For many mined by factors that are internal as well as external to a nation. Inter-
countries, the desire to achieve greater participation in, and reap the national trade in goods and services is one of the major external
benefits of the global trading environment, outward oriented trade contributors and its positive impact on the long-term economic growth
strategies that include services trade becomes essential. In attaining and development has been well documented, for example, Edwards
this goal, the domestic business environment can play a crucial role in (1993), Yanikkaya (2003), Santos-Paulino and Thirlwall (2004),
terms of allowing national economies to trade without many con- Kneller et al. (2008), Chang et al. (2009), Bas (2012) and Berg et al.
straints and additional costs borne by entrepreneurs. (2012). Nobel Laureate, Amartya Sen (Sen, 2002) has emphasized that
The expansion of the trade in services is impacted by several factors, “the importance of global contact and interaction applies to economic
one of which is likely to be the domestic business environment. When relations among others and that there is much evidence that the global
the business environment is highly regulated and doing business is dif- economy has brought prosperity to many different areas of the globe
ficult, potential entrepreneurs may be deterred and seek other produc- and in overcoming pervasive poverty, both modern technology and eco-
tion locations where the ease of doing business and trade favors them. nomic interrelations have been influential.” Das (2010) has argued for
More liberalized economies tend to attract more investors. Recent liter- the importance of globalization noting that much of Asia, including
ature has raised the consequences of business environment on trade India and China, has benefited immensely from economic and financial
and growth as noted by Acemoglu et al. (2005), Acs et al. (2008), globalization.
Freund and Bolaky (2008) and Khan and Kalirajan (2011). For example, Trade provides access for a country to the advances of the technolog-
secure property rights create incentives for using resources for efficient ical knowledge of its trading partners, allows producers to access bigger
production (Solakoglu, 2007); sound contract enforcement and a good markets, encourages research and development, and provides access to
quality legal system enhance the export activities of firms (Yue et al., investment and intermediate goods (Yanikkaya, 2003). The studies
2010); and the lengthy resolution of simple business disputes can noted above provide evidence to indicate that national economies can-
work against the interest of entrepreneurs (Djankov et al., 2007). not prosper unless they are open and integrated into the world econo-
Policymakers in countries around the globe have begun to respond my and that trade does appear to positively impact growth. At the same
to the challenge of creating a favorable business environment by intro- time, it has also been shown that increase in trade restrictions can slow
ducing policies and legislation pertaining to the business formation pro- down economic growth (for example, Marrewijk and Berden, 2007).
cess, contract enforcement, property registration, and investment However, trade may not always have a direct positive effect on growth.
protection, among others. The Doing Business 2012 report of the World For example, in his study of the five largest Latin American economies
Bank (2011b) notes that the governments in 125 out of 183 countries over 105 years, Astorga's (2010) findings revealed overall negative con-
surveyed implemented a total of 245 business regulatory reforms, ap- ditional correlation between trade openness and GDP per head growth.
proximately 13% more reforms than in 2010. The report also notes A less restrictive business environment can also be argued to be criti-
that in sub-Saharan Africa, 36 of the 46 economies measured improved cal to enhance trade. Easing the process of business formation helps es-
their business regulations. In addition, over the past six years 163 econ- tablish more businesses involved in exports and imports. Making the
omies have made their regulatory environment more business-friendly. business formation process simple, easier, less costly and ensuring that
While the aforementioned series of reforms may be considered signif- the legal institutions (courts and judiciary) are effective in the protection
icant steps towards improving the business environment, whether or not of investment is important. The development of enforcement mecha-
these reforms have helped to facilitate more trade in services is an impor- nisms for business contracts, and legal protection of investors are crucial
tant empirical question. This issue is worth investigating given the emer- for traders. Thus, we posit that an easy domestic environment for doing
gence of a growing services sector, particularly in the emerging markets business (among other factors) can promote trade in services.
and the developing world. To date, few studies systematically and empir- Our analytical model is framed on the basis of our argument that the
ically investigate this issue in an international context that provide a trade performance in services of a country is primarily dependent on its
comparative analysis in countries at different stages of development. international competitiveness and the extent of the global demand for
The purpose of this paper is to provide a comparative analysis of the its output. We follow the structural model of Santos-Paulino and
effect of the domestic business environment on trade in services in a Thirlwall (2004) and Santos-Paulino (2005) who refer to the interna-
sample of low, middle and high-income OECD countries. The paper tional competitiveness as the price of country's exports relative to the
A. Gani, M.D. Clemes / Economic Modelling 35 (2013) 297–304 299

foreign price of related goods expressed in a common currency. As- export equation. The import growth equation takes the following
suming that prices and income elasticity's of the demand are con- form:
stant, services exports can be expressed as:
services services
imi;t ¼ β i þβ1 ðpimÞi;t þ β 2 dyi;t þ β 3 imt−1 þ β4 tli;t þ β 5 im− costsi;t þ ΦDBEi;t þ μ i;t

d
Services P τ ð6Þ
EX i;t ¼K WY i;t ð1Þ
Pf i;t
where: im is the growth rate of services imports, pim is the relative price
where: EX is the level of exports; K is a constant; P /P is the relative d f change in imports, dy is the growth rate of domestic income, imt − 1 is
domestic prices and foreign prices measured in a common currency the lagged growth rate of services imports, tl is the trade liberalization,
(US dollars in this study); WY is the level of world income; λ is the im-costs is the cost of imports, and the vector of DBE is the same vari-
price elasticity of the demand for services exports (expected to be ables as defined in Eq. (5). The expected signs on the variables are:
less than 0); and τ is the income elasticity of the demand for exports pim (−); dy (+); imt − 1 (+); tl (−); im-costs (−); (−) for cdb; ce;
(expected to be greater than 0), i is the country and t is the time. Dif- pr; dr; and (+) for int-d and lr. The theoretical justification of the
ferentiating Eq. (1) with respect to time gives: right hand side variables and their measures in Eqs. (5) and (6) is
discussed in Section 3.
 
services
exi;t ¼ λ pd −p f þ τ ðwyt Þ: ð2Þ Our choice of sample countries is based on the levels of development
i;t measured by their per capita incomes. We follow the World Bank classi-
fication of countries and choose our sample countries from the low, mid-
Eq. (2) is a basic structural model where the responsiveness of ser- dle and high-income categories to allow us to gauge the effect of the
vices exports to changes in prices and incomes can be analyzed. With domestic business environment in countries at different levels of eco-
some modifications, the structural representation of exports of services nomic achievement. An additional advantage of this approach is that es-
model as shown in Eq. (2) can be used for econometric estimations to timating a sample of countries with similar levels of development, and
capture the effects of changes in prices and incomes among others. more specifically achievements in services trade, minimizes the prob-
Eq. (2) can be modified assuming that there is no instantaneous adjust- lems related to econometric estimations such as heteroskedasticity.
ment to the export demand for services to changes in prices and in- Thus, countries entering Eqs. (5) and (6) on the basis of our aforemen-
comes. Thus, the modified specification of Eq. (2) takes the form of: tioned concerns were also determined by the availability of time consis-
services services
tent, published data on the variables identified. While a consistent set of
exi;t ¼ α 0 þα 1 ðpexÞi;t þ α 2 wyi;t þ α 3 ext−1 þ μ i;t ð3Þ data for the chosen time period (2004 to 2010) is available for most of
the high-income OECD countries, this was not the case for the low and
where: pex is the rate of change of relative prices; wy is the world in- middle-income countries where the sample years are 2005 to 2010.
come growth; exservices
t − 1 is the lagged services export growth, and μ is The low-income category of countries is mainly the low-income
the error term. Our sample of countries includes several economies sub-Saharan African countries. These are Burundi, The Gambia, Malawi,
that have obtained membership to the World Trade Organization Togo, and Uganda. Other countries under the low-income categories are
(WTO). One of the operating principles of WTO is that member coun- not included due to the absence of variable measures that are consistent
tries have to engage in trade liberalization measures. Therefore, we across time and country. While we recognize that our sample size for
also capture the effects of trade liberalization (tl), measured by the tariff the low-income category of countries is small, we still estimate the ser-
rates. In addition, the costs of exports (x-costs) can also impact on vices export and import equations for this small sample of low-income
traders as rising costs can hinder exports and falling costs can enhance countries in order to get a comparative feel of the effects of the right
exports (for example, Kalirajan, 2007, 2010; Khan and Kalirajan, hand side variables across the three income categories of countries
2011). Including tl and ex-costs gives Eq. (4). that we test. We expect to expand this analysis in the future by involv-
services services
ing more low-income countries once published data on variables of in-
exi;t ¼ α 0 þα 1 ðpexÞi;t þ α 2 wyi;t þ α 3 ext−1 þ α 4 tli;t þ α 5 ex− costsi;t þ μ i;t : terest becomes available.
ð4Þ The middle-income category of countries are: Belize, Bolivia, Camer-
oon, Chile, China, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Dominican Republic, Ecuador,
In Eq. (4), the a priori expectation for tl and ex-costs is negative. In Fiji Guyana, India, Lesotho, Morocco, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Pakistan, Papua
our empirical estimations, we exclude ex-costs as services trade usually New Guinea, Paraguay, Philippines, Solomon Islands, Grenada; Malay-
does not include the shipment of merchandise from one location to an- sia, Romania; Russian Federation, South Africa, St. Lucia; Uruguay, and
other that adds to trade costs. Our core variables of interest are the indi- the Republic of Venezuela.
cators of the domestic business environment. The strategy employed to The high-income OECD category of countries are Australia, Austria,
assess the impact of the domestic business environment on trade in ser- Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany,
vices includes testing a set of indicators of the domestic business envi- Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg,
ronment (DBE). Including the fixed country effect (αi, due to panel Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic,
data estimation) and the vector of DBE gives an augmented estimating Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States
equation of the form expressed in Eq. (5). of America.
The source of data for the vector of DBE variables is the World Bank
services services
exi;t ¼ α i þα 1 ðpexÞi;t þ α 2 wyi;t þ α 3 ext−1 þ α 4 tli;t þ α 5 ex− costsi;t þ ΩDBEi;t þ μ i;t : (2011b). The source of data for tl is the World Bank (2011b) and United
ð5Þ Nations Conference on Trade and Development, UNCTAD (www.
unctad.org) while the source of the remaining data is the World Bank
The DBE vector of variables in Eq. (5) is (i) the costs of doing business (2011b).
(cdb); (ii) contract enforcement (ce); (iii) the protection of property
rights (pr); (iv) dispute resolution (dr); (v) the extent of internet diffu- 3. Theoretical justification of the explanatory variables
sion (int-d); and (vi) the strength of legal rights (lr). The expected signs
on the variables in Eq. (5) are: pex (−); wy (+); ext − 1 (+); tl (−); ex- 3.1. Trade control variables
costs (−); (−) for cdb; ce; pr; dr; and (+) for int-d and lr.
The effect of domestic business environment on the import of ser- In Eqs. (5) and (6) the real exchange rate is included as it is a useful
vices is modeled using the same approach as discussed earlier for the general indicator of a country's international price competitiveness
300 A. Gani, M.D. Clemes / Economic Modelling 35 (2013) 297–304

(Pugel, 2004). International price competitiveness is regarded as a key operating a commercial business. Business establishment costs may in-
determinant of a country's international trade in goods and services. If clude costs related to obtaining all necessary licenses and permits and
the price of foreign goods and services relative to the price of the do- completing any required notifications and verifications or inscriptions
mestic economy's goods and services is higher, domestic demand for for the company and employees with relevant authorities (World
imports tends to be lower and foreign demand for domestic goods Bank, 2011b). Thus, potential investors willing to engage in export or
and services tends to be higher. If competitiveness improves, exports in- import related business are attracted to locations where the costs of
crease and imports decline. The measure of the relative price is the real doing the entire business are low. High and rising costs of doing busi-
effective exchange rate index (2005 = 100). ness attract potential investors to low cost production locations. Our
The world income (wy) is included in Eq. (5) because an improve- measure to capture the cost of doing business is the cost of business
ment and expansion of exports are determined by a growing world start-up procedures and includes the costs to register a business nor-
economy, indicating that economic conditions in the global environ- malized by presenting it as a percentage of gross national income per
ment are robust and likely to increase demand. Exporters are likely to capita (World Bank, 2011a).
respond to increased demand by increasing their production for ex-
ports. The variable wy is measured by the world gross domestic product 3.2.2. Contract enforcement (ce)
(GDP) growth rate (annual percentage). Contract enforcement reflects the extent of compliance and it has an
The domestic income (dy) growth matters for importers Eq. (6). A impact on services trade. Dabla-Norris and Freeman (2004) present a
growing domestic economy indicates that the domestic economic envi- simple model of the interconnectedness of underdevelopment and ex-
ronment is suitable for investment, production and sales and is likely to propriation and find that the lack of enforcements discourages econom-
encourage imports. A growing economy also indicates the extent to ic activity. Absence of enforcement mechanisms may mean that
which domestic factors favor trade (correct economic policies, rising in- businesses partners do not comply with the provisions of a contract
comes, price stability and so on). An economy, whose economic infra- and this can have a regressive effect on services trade. Rodrik (2002)
structure favors production encourages individuals to engage in the notes that the main impediment to international trade may indeed be
creation and transaction of goods and services, contributes to imports the problem of contract enforcement. When contracts can be efficiently
of goods and services and enhances trade. An economy in which domes- and cheaply enforced, businesses can expand their trade networks. For
tic income growth remains stagnant may discourage imports. The example, Yue et al. (2010) find that sound contract enforcement and a
variable dy is measured by the domestic GDP growth rate (annual good quality legal system enhances the export activities of firms. In
percentage). this current study, contract enforcement is measured by the time re-
Trade liberalization (tl) can determine the degree of a country's out- quired to enforce a contract. The variable is the number of calendar
ward or inward orientation (Kneller et al., 2008). An outward oriented days from filing of the lawsuit in a court until the final determination
trade strategy is one in which trade and policies do not discriminate be- and in appropriate cases, payment (World Bank, 2011a, 2011b).
tween production for domestic and export markets, or between pur-
chases of domestic goods and foreign goods. By contrast, an inward 3.2.3. Protection of property rights (pr)
oriented strategy is one in which trade and industrial incentives are bi- One of the key variables indicating an improved business environ-
ased in favor of production for the domestic over the export market. ment is the creation of property rights. Formal property titles give entre-
Available evidence suggests that outward oriented trade policies have preneurs access to the services of markets such as credits and can
been more successful than inward oriented trade policies (Edwards, encourage investments in the service based industries, whereas infor-
1993). As part of its broader economic reform program, most WTO mal titles cannot be used as a security and constrain financing for inves-
member countries have embarked on policy liberalization in a range tors intending to create trade in services. Past studies provide evidence
of areas including trade by gradually reducing applied tariff rates with that the protection of property rights matters strongly for investment
the aim of shaping an outward-looking economy. This policy shift is and increased economic activity. For example, Acemoglu et al. (2005)
likely to be welfare enhancing. For example, Asafu-Adjaye (2008) note that security and protection of property rights help facilitate eco-
found that unilateral trade liberalization increases real output, real na- nomic growth. In addition, Nystrom (2008) revealed that better legal
tional welfare and non-agricultural exports in the medium term. In a structure and security to property rights, among others, tend to increase
further study on regional trade agreements versus global trade liberali- entrepreneurship. Further, Bellos and Subasat (2012) have argued that
zation using Fiji as a case study, Asafu-Adjaye and Mahadevan (2008) weak property rights may increase risks and reduce investment. Protec-
found that full trade liberalization involving the removal of tariff and tion of property rights in this study is measured by the time required to
non-tariff barriers provides the greatest benefits in terms of real output. register a property and it is the number of calendar days needed for
In this study, tl is measured by the applied tariff rate (simple mean, all businesses to secure rights to property (World Bank, 2011a).
products, in percentage).
3.2.4. Dispute resolution
3.2. The domestic business environment variables In terms of dispute resolution, the theoretical argument here is that
the speedy and effective resolution of business related disputes can
Freund and Bolaky (2008) have shown that business regulation is an matter in terms of costs and the expansion of trade in services. Disputes
important complementary policy to trade liberalization. We argue that in services trade may arise but mechanisms to efficiently resolve them
if countries are engaged in easing the process of business formation, it may not be present. Courts are the institutions in many countries that
will lead to establishment of more trade oriented services sector. resolve business related disputes formally and legally. Informal resolu-
While theoretical arguments in the extant economic literature relating tions based on networks and relationships also exist as noted by
business environment directly with services trade are rare, we draw Dhillon and Rigolini (2011) but may not always work in favor of the
on the theoretical literature from the more general business environ- parties affected. A delay by formal (judiciary) and informal (relation-
ment perspective and attempt to link it with trade in services as ships) means of resolving a dispute might lead to enormous costs and
discussed below. may even lead to business losses or failures and so trade can be
disrupted. Thus, effective resolution of disputes in the production of ser-
3.2.1. Cost of doing business (cdb) vices is fundamental. In fact, Djankov et al.'s (2007) findings reveal that
The cost of doing business is fundamental for traders as they prefer simple disputes (such as how a plaintiff can use an official court to evict
lower to higher costs. Business costs are wide and varied and include a nonpaying tenant and to collect a bounced check) are resolved ex-
all the costs an entrepreneur must cover from establishing to finally tremely slowly by courts in most countries, taking an average of over
A. Gani, M.D. Clemes / Economic Modelling 35 (2013) 297–304 301

200 days, thus dispute resolution may be inefficient in these countries. here confirm with much certainty that in the high-income OECD coun-
Djankov et al. (2003) note that in reality, all legal systems heavily regu- tries all variables except ex, im, dy and tl are stationary in levels and that
late dispute resolution: they rely on lawyers and professional judges, variables ex, im, dy and tl are stationary in their first differences, that is,
regiment the steps that the disputants must follow, regulate the collec- an integrated of order one. In the middle-income countries, all variables
tion and presentation of the evidence, insist on legal justification of except ex are stationary in levels while ex is stationary in its first differ-
claims and judges' decisions, give predominance to written submissions ence and integrated of order one. In the low income countries, several
and so on. Our measure of dispute resolution is captured by the time variables are stationary in their first differences indicating that pex, tl,
taken to resolve a dispute. It is the number of years from the filing for cdb, dr, ce, int-d and lr are integrated of order one. In the estimation
insolvency in court until the resolution of distressed asset. phase, the stationary variables are tested in their levels while the non-
stationary variables are tested in their first differences.
3.2.5. The strength of legal rights (lr) Following the unit root test, the explanatory variables were also
The strength of legal rights of business entities can matter for ser- checked for any overlapping effects. This study utilizes six measures of
vices trade. The absence of a legal mechanism for enforcing business business environment and the presence of overlapping effects cannot
contracts can lead to fewer as well as costly business transactions. Busi- be ruled out. The test results based on the correlation matrix did not re-
ness transaction costs can increase in countries where the legal appara- veal any significant overlapping effects in the measures of the domestic
tus is ineffective and this may work against the expansion of trade in business environment in any of the three income categories of the
services. With regard to the financial services sector, Levine et al. countries.
(2000) note that those legal and accounting reforms that strengthen We adopt the panel data estimation procedure. This procedure com-
creditor rights, contract enforcement and accounting practices can bines cross-country and time-series data involving five countries and
boost financial development and accelerate economic growth. In a fur- seven time periods (2004–2010) for the low-income category; twenty-
ther study, Beck and Levine (2002) argue that the legal systems that nine countries and six time periods (2005–2010) for the middle-
protect outside investors by enforcing contracts effectively boost finan- income category; and twenty-eight countries and six time periods
cial development. Demirguc-Kunt et al. (2006) find that businesses are (2005–2010) for the high-income OECD countries. The model accounts
more likely to choose the corporate form in countries with developed fi- for the fixed and random effects. The Hausman (1978) test was used to
nancial sectors and efficient legal and corporate taxes and efficient determine if there were significant differences between the fixed and
bankruptcy processes. Our measure to capture the strength of legal the random effect models. Based on the Hausman test results, the results
rights is the strength of the legal rights index that measures the degree of the fixed effects estimation (Tables 2 and 3) were considered to be the
to which collateral and bankruptcy laws protect the right of the bor- most robust and were selected for the discussion. The results reported
rowers and lenders and thus facilitate lending (World Bank, 2011a). are White (1980) heteroskedastic consistent. The fit of the models are
The index ranges from 0 to 10, with higher scores indicating that satisfactory given the use of the pooled data. A number of variables pro-
these laws are better desired to expand access to credit. duced statistically significant effects.
Table 2 reports the results of the services export equation Eq. (5) and
Table 3 reports the results of services imports (Eq. (6)). In columns 1 of
3.2.6. Internet diffusion (int-d)
Tables 2 and 3, we show the results of the effects of variables, other than
We include the extent of internet diffusion as a measure of soft tech-
the indicators of the domestic business environment, while in column 2
nology as it can influence services trade. The theoretical arguments re-
of Tables 2 and 3 we show the results of the full models.
lating to soft technology can be traced from the economic growth
literature. Solow (1956) clarifies the role of the accumulation of physical
capital and emphasizes the importance of technological progress as the Table 1
Panel unit root test results.
ultimate driving-force behind productivity gains and sustained eco-
nomic growth. The argument here is that the advances in the digital in- Variable High-income OECD Middle-income Low-income
formation technology are likely to have a profound impact on the countries countries countries

services sector: including the creation of new trading partner networks, No trend Trend No trend Trend No trend Trend
markets and speeding up of trade transactions. Our measure of technol- Levels
ogy is internet users (per 100 people). Internet users are people with ac- ex −2.048 −2.230 −2.257 −2.365 −4.173 −4.079
cess to the worldwide network. im −2.296 −2.674 −3.413 −3.618 −4.724 −4.436
pex −3.620 −3.996 −2.029 −6.157 −1.047 −1.297
dy −2.142 −2.259 −2.925 −3.366 −2.899 −2.833
4. Estimation, findings and discussion of results wy −5.601 −5.605 −5.603 −5.604 −5.533 −5.764
tl −1.156 −3.792 −4.425 −4.478 −1.003 −3.046
We begin our estimation procedure by testing the stationarity prop- cdb −4.102 −4.494 −5.065 −5.337 −2.307 −1.928
dr −4.412 −4.839 −4.679 −5.323 −1.105 −2.479
erties of the data set using the Im et al. (2003) unit root tests. This is to
ce −3.582 −4.307 −4.285 −4.313 −2.125 −1.750
ensure that incorrect inferences are not made due to spurious regres- pr −4.159 −3.513 −4.242 −4.671 −2.284 −1.829
sion. The Im et al. (2003) test is an acceptable and a powerful method int-d −2.255 −2.860 −3.894 −4.237 −0.061 −0.291
for the panel data unit root test as used in the empirical literature (Li lr −5.731 −5.728 −4.202 −4.230 −2.172 −1.033
and Liu, 2005). Im et al. (2003) also tabulate the critical values of the First differences
test statistics. The augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test represented as ex −5.008 −4.992 −6.828 −6.797 … …
Δyit = αi + (ρi − 1)yi,t − 1 + ∑ pi Δyi,t − 1 + εit is a commonly used im −5.614 −5.622 … … … …
pex … … … … −16.024 −14.929
unit root test. The test for a unit root consists of a t-test of the coefficient
dy −5.943 −5.943 … … … …
on the lagged level. In testing the unit root across all individuals, Im et al. wy … … … … … …
(2003) take the average of the t-ratios (also known as the “t-bar test”) tl −10.522 −10.477 … … −3.231 −4.180
N
that can be represented as t NT ¼ N1 ∑i¼1 t iT where tiT is the t-ratio for cdb … … … … −4.498 −4.667
dr … … … … −4.762 −5.432
the individual i using all T time-series observation. ce … … … … −5.581 −5.417
This study uses the t-bar test of Im et al. (2003) for unit roots in the pr … … … … −3.089 −4.528
data and the results are presented in Table 1. The results in Table 1 show int-d −6.868 −6.852 … … −3.761 −4.418
that the test statistics of several variables are negative and greater than lr … … … … −3.250 −4.208

the Im et al. (2003) critical values in absolute terms. The unit root tests … indicates variable not tested. All results are authors' computations.
302 A. Gani, M.D. Clemes / Economic Modelling 35 (2013) 297–304

Table 2
The effects of the business environment on services exports.

Variable High-income OECD countries Middle-income countries Low-income countries

1 2 1 2 1 2

ext − 1 −0.551 (8.254)⁎ −0.505 (8.955)⁎ −0.100 (1.369) −0.127 (1.913)⁎⁎ −0.366 (2.429)⁎ −0.239 (2.425)⁎⁎
pex −0.019 (0.254) −0.033 (0.481) 0.099 (2.063)⁎⁎ 0.132 (2.853)⁎ 0.945 (4.476)⁎ 0.923 (2.731)⁎
wy 2.203 (1.663)⁎⁎⁎ 2.217 (1.807)⁎⁎⁎ 6.332 (5.959)⁎ 6.056 (6.440)⁎ 3.901 (1.434) 2.763 (1.348)
tl −0.655 (1.247) −0.691 (1.582) −0.005 (2.478)⁎⁎ −0.012 (2.708)⁎ 0.069 (0.207) −0.335 (0.343)
cdb … 0.475 (3.676)⁎ … 0.006 (0.217) … 0.174 (2.455)⁎
dr … 1.399 (3.066)⁎ … −0.002 (0.466) … 3.180 (4.851)⁎
ce … −0.013 (3.703)⁎ … −0.0006 (0.132) … −0.047 (3.301)⁎
pr … 0.038 (2.639)⁎ … −0.015 (2.298)⁎⁎ … −0.121 (3.730)⁎
int-d … 0.092 (3.028)⁎ … −0.157 (1.866)⁎⁎⁎ … −1.434 (5.374)⁎
lr … 0.708 (1.884)⁎⁎⁎ … 0.016 (1.300) … 0.168 (4.753)⁎
N 168 168 174 174 30 30
F 21.0 16.1 174.7 46.4 19.3 24.1
Buse R2 0.38 0.49 0.68 0.63 0.71 0.85
LM heteroskedasticity 24.8 67.7 82.7 70.1 29.3 7.64
Breusch–Pagan 457.4 451.7 472.6 509.6 13.0 9.60
Akaike 0.173 1.09 0.17 1.06 1.20 1.43

Note: t-statistics are in parentheses.


… indicates variable not tested.
⁎ Indicates statistically significant at the 1 percent level.
⁎⁎ Indicates statistically significant at the 5 percent level.
⁎⁎⁎ Indicates statistically significant at the 10 percent level.

4.1. The effects of domestic business environment on services exports The findings of the domestic business environment variables: con-
tract enforcement (in the OECD and low-income countries), property
Does the domestic business environment matter for services ex- rights (middle and low-income countries), internet diffusion (OECD
ports? The empirical evidence presented in Table 2 suggests that the do- countries), and the strength of legal rights (all country categories)
mestic business environment does matter for services exports across make a new contribution to the literature on business–trade relation-
the three income category of countries. ships and illustrate how the domestic business environment can impact
In the high-income OECD countries, the coefficient for contract en- on the growth of services exports in the high-income OECD, middle and
forcement (ce), is negative as expected and statistically significant at low-income category of countries. Our findings from the three different
the 1 percent level while the coefficients of internet diffusion (int-d) income groups of countries lead us to suggest that a robust domestic
and strength of legal rights (lr) are positive as expected and statistically business environment can have beneficial payoffs in terms of facilitating
significant at the 1 and 10 percent levels respectively. higher levels of services exports.
In the middle-income category of countries, our findings reveal that
the coefficients dispute resolution (dr), contract enforcement (ce) and 4.2. The effect of domestic business environment on services imports
property rights (pr) have negative signs as per our a priori expectations.
Among these three variables, property rights are statistically significant Does the domestic business environment matter for services im-
at the 5 percent level. The strength of the legal rights variable (lr) also ports? The empirical evidence presented in Table 3 suggests that some
has the expected positive sign on its coefficient but is statistically elements of the domestic business environment do matter for services
insignificant. imports across the three income categories of countries.
In the low-income sub-Saharan African countries, our results in In the high-income OECD countries, the coefficients dispute resolu-
Table 2 show that the variables: contract enforcement (ce) and property tion (dr), contract enforcement (ce), and property rights (pr) are as
rights (pr) have the expected negative signs on their coefficients and are expected, negative. The coefficient of property right (pr) is statistically
statistically significant at the 1 percent level. At the same time, the significant at the 1 percent level while the coefficients dispute resolu-
strength of the legal rights (lr) variable has the expected positive sign tion and contract enforcement are statistically insignificant. The
on its coefficient and is statistically significant at the 1 percent level. strength of legal rights, while having the expected positive coefficient,
Our findings of the statistically significant inverse correlations of is statistically insignificant.
contract enforcement in the high-income OECD countries lead us to In the middle-income category of countries, the findings of the do-
conclude that as the time required enforcing a contract increases, the mestic business environment indicators are highly robust. Our findings
growth of services exports is likely to regress. At the same time, the sta- reveal that the coefficients for contract enforcement (ce) and property
tistically significant positive effect of internet diffusion suggests that rights (pr) are negative, as per our expectations and statistically signifi-
high levels of internet diffusion contribute to higher levels of services cant at the 1 percent level. The strength of legal rights (lr) also has the
exports. The OECD findings also lead to the suggestion that stronger expected positive coefficient and statistically significant at the 10 percent
legal rights are fundamental to increase services exports. level. The variables cost of doing business and dispute resolution also
In the middle-income category of countries, our statistically signifi- have the expected negative coefficients but statistically insignificant.
cant findings for property rights (pr) indicate that as the time required In the low-income category of countries, our findings reveal that the
to register property rights increases, the growth of services exports is coefficient for contract enforcement (ce) is negative, as per our expecta-
likely to suffer significantly. tions and statistically significant at the 10 percent level. The strength of
Like the OECD and the middle-income countries, contract enforce- legal rights (lr) also has the expected positive coefficient and statistical-
ment (ce) and property rights (pr) do have a significant regressive effect ly significant at the 10 percent level. Property rights (pr), while having
on services exports in the low-income sub-Saharan African countries. the expected sign on its coefficient, is statistically insignificant.
On the other hand, the strength of legal rights (stronger legal rights) Our findings of the statistically significant inverse correlations of
matters positively for increasing services exports in the low-income variables contract enforcement (in middle and low-income countries)
sub-Saharan African countries. and property rights (in the OECD and middle-income category of
A. Gani, M.D. Clemes / Economic Modelling 35 (2013) 297–304 303

Table 3
The effect of the business environment on services imports.

Variable High-income OECD countries Middle-income countries Low-income countries

1 2 1 2 1 2

imt − 1 −0.539 (8.636)⁎ −0.517 (9.378)⁎ −0.116 (1.509) −0.146 (2.120)⁎⁎ 0.177 (0.872) 0.108 (0.671)
pim 0.147 (1.712)⁎⁎⁎ 0.195 (2.315)⁎⁎ 0.027 (0.647) 0.055 (1.516) 0.544 (3.000)⁎ 0.256 (0.727)
dy 0.949 (4.523)⁎ 1.090 (5.387)⁎ 1.131 (5.116)⁎ 0.937 (4.623)⁎ 4.171 (2.224)⁎⁎ 5.513 (2.135)⁎⁎
tl −0.638 (1.332) −0.734 (1.594) −0.002 (0.618) −0.009 (2.311)⁎⁎ 0.258 (0.799) 1.299 (1.374)
cdb … 0.142 (1.070) … −0.009 (0.342) … 0.119 (1.358)
dr … −0.314 (0.757) … −0.003 (1.081) … 6.122 (2.447)⁎⁎
ce … −0.0003 (0.072) … −0.010 (2.801)⁎ … −0.026 (1.870)⁎⁎⁎
pr … −0.035 (2.445)⁎ … −0.021 (3.658)⁎ … −0.027 (0.748)
int-d … −0.012 (0.422) … −0.056 (0.926) … −0.577 (2.310)⁎⁎
lr … 0.282 (0.687) … 0.016 (1.844)⁎⁎⁎ … 0.094 (3.010)⁎
N 168 168 174 174 30 30
F 30.2 16.4 118.9 71.1 5.5 5.4
Buse R2 0.47 0.50 0.64 0.68 0.48 0.56
LM heteroskedasticity 52.9 49.2 142.7 141.6 11.5 10.8
Breusch–Pagan 461.2 454.8 488.4 487.6 9.32 13.4
Akaike 0.17 1.10 0.17 1.06 1.44 1.55

Note: t-statistics are in parentheses.


… indicates variable not tested.
⁎ Indicates statistically significant at the 1 percent level.
⁎⁎ Indicates statistically significant at the 5 percent level.
⁎⁎⁎ Indicates statistically significant at the 10 percent level.

countries) lead us to conclude that as the time required to enforce con- the exports of their services. In the low-income sub-Saharan African
tracts increases, the growth of services imports is likely to fall, and as the countries, while the coefficient of world income growth is positive, it
time required in registration of a property increases, it is likely to con- is statistically insignificant and possibly reflects the low level of integra-
strain the growth of services imports. As in the export model, the find- tion with other economies.
ings of the strength of the legal rights variable in the import model The growth rate of domestic income matters very strongly for ser-
indicate that the strength of legal rights matters quite strongly in in- vices imports across the three income categories of countries. The coef-
creasing services imports in the middle and low-income categories of ficient domestic income growth is as expected, positive and statistically
countries. significant at the 1 percent level in the OECD and middle-income coun-
These findings for the domestic business environment variables on tries and at the 5 percent level in the low-income sub-Saharan African
growth in imports of services for the three income categories of coun- countries. The expected positive coefficient for this variable suggests
tries again add a new dimension towards understanding how the local that as domestic income growth rises, the demand for services from
business environment can matter in terms of services imports. Our find- abroad also increases thereby raising the imports of services.
ings from the three income categories of countries lead to the conten- We obtain highly robust results for the trade liberalization variable
tion that a robust domestic business environment can matter in terms (tl), particularly in the exports of services for the middle-income
attracting services imports. group of countries (Table 2). The coefficient tl is as expected negative
and is statistically significant at the 1 percent level. In the OECD and
4.3. The effect of standard control variables on services exports and imports the low-income sub-Saharan African countries, the coefficient of trade
liberalization is negative but statistically insignificant. The results
Focusing on the variables other than the direct measures of the do- strongly suggests that falling tariffs have led to higher levels of growth
mestic business environment, our findings indicate that the lagged ef- in services exports in the middle-income group of countries and that a
fects of the growth in services exports and imports have no beneficial gradual trade liberalization through tariff reduction strongly facilitates
effects in the OECD and middle-income countries. The coefficients of more exports of services.
lagged exports of service are negative and statistically significant across
these two income categories of countries. The coefficient for lagged im- 5. Summary and conclusion
ports of growth of services is also negative and statistically significant in
the high-income OECD and middle-income countries. In the low- This paper examines the effect of the domestic business environ-
income countries, while the coefficient for lagged imports is positive, ment indicators (the cost of doing business, dispute resolution, contract
it is statistically insignificant. enforcement, protection of property rights, the extent of internet diffu-
The relative price effects were measured by the changes in the real sion and the strength of legal rights) on services trade in a sample of
exchange rate in the export and import models. Our findings of the rel- low, middle and high-income OECD countries. In testing the effect of
ative price effect variable in the export equation confirm a negative but business environment on services trade, the empirical procedure also
statistically insignificant effect in the OECD countries. In the import controlled for the effects of relative price changes, incomes, and trade
model, the coefficient is positive. The results of the relative price effect liberalization.
variable for the OECD countries provide only weak evidence that the de- In terms of the domestic business environment indicators, our em-
preciation of the exporter's currency is beneficial for services exports. pirical findings reveal that the time required to enforce a contract is
In terms of services exports, the coefficient world income growth is strongly negatively correlated with the growth in services exports in
as expected, positive across all three groups of countries. In the OECD the high-income OECD countries as well as with the growth in services
and middle-income category of countries, world income growth is imports in the middle and high-income OECD countries. A statistically
statistically significant at the 10 and 1 percent levels respectively. This significant inverse correlation of the time required to register a property
means that a rise in the growth of world income has the beneficial with growth in services imports is confirmed for the OECD and middle-
effect of strongly increasing the demand for services produced in the income countries and growth in services exports for the low-income
OECD and the middle-income category of countries, thereby raising countries. Internet diffusion and the strength of legal rights are strongly
304 A. Gani, M.D. Clemes / Economic Modelling 35 (2013) 297–304

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Acknowledgment
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