2. Executive Summary 2. Permitting Risks: These risks are associated 3. Industry Overview with official licences and consents required for 4. Market Analysis and Competition the project that have too many bye-laws. 5. Sales and Marketing Plan 3. Price Risk: These risks are born due to volatile 6. Management Plan markets or government price controls. They were 7. Operating Plan: This plan provides an wide ranging risks stretching from inputs to overview of the company’s physical outputs of a project. requirements, such as office space, machinery, 4. Resource Risks: These risks arise due to scarce labour, supplies, and inventory. resources and their reserves such as gas, minerals, 8. Financial Plan: This plan is an important manpower, etc. section that often determines whether the business 5. Operating Risk: These cover manpower costs, will obtain required financing from financial maintenance costs, technology, operating supply institutions, investors, or venture capitalists. costs. 9. Appendices and Exhibits: The appendices and 6. Casualty Risks: They are also labelled as exhibits part is the last section of a business plan. damage risks and are usually met as far as It includes any additional information that banks possible by insurance in which the deductibles and investors may be interested in or that adds and exclusions are important. credibility to the business. 7. Technology Risks: These risks refer to Formulation of Business Plan involvement of a sophisticated unproven 1) Preliminary Investigation: For effective technology with a likelihood of latent defects. business plan entrepreneur must – a) Review 8. Political Risks: These risks are related to available business plan reference. b) Draw key reformulations brought under ever-changing business assumptions on which plan is based c) political interventions in the form of regulation of Seek advice from professionals, d) Conduct taxes and employment control. functional audit. 9. Environmental Risk: This contemplates such 2) Idea Generation: It involves generation of matters as pollution and clean-up costs on new concept or product or service or value abandonment. The risk can be mitigated to some addition to existing product or service. extent by initial environmental audit and by 3) Environmental Scanning: The internal and insurance. external environment must be analysed to study 10. Exchange Rate Risk: These risks represent the prospective strengths, weakness, fluctuations in the local currency due to change in opportunities and threats of the business. the foreign market. 4) Feasibility Analysis: It is done to identify 11. Interest Rate Risks: These risks constitute whether proposed business plan is realistic and unanticipated or unexpected changes in interest achievable or not. rates. These may be met by caping of interest rates 5) Drawing functional: It involves preparation of or by interest swap agreements. following functional plan as below. a) 12. Insolvency Risks: The risk arises due to Organizational Plan b) Financial Plan c) insolvency of contractors, project sponsors, Marketing Plan d) Production Plan e) Human suppliers, purchasers, even insurers or syndicate Resource Plan bank. 6) Project Report Preparation: When above New product development process: parameters related to environmental scanning and 1. Generation of new product ideas 2. Screening feasibility test is satisfactory then it’s time to draft of Ideas 3. Product Concept Development 4. a written document that involves step by step Commercial Feasibility 5. Product Development procedure from start to end while operating a 6. Test Marketing 7. Commercialization business. Feasibility Analysis Small sample test Feasibility study is the process of investigating a A hypothesis test that is appropriate when the problem and developing a solution in depth to sample size is small (usually n<30) or when the determine its economic viability and worth of population standard deviation is unknown, and is development. based on the t-distribution. 1. Technical feasibility: Technical feasibility or Parametric Tests analysis encompasses the technical areas of t- test and Z-test: Parametric tests assume a project, namely material inputs and utilities. specific distribution of the population and use the 2. Financial Feasibility: Demand and prices population parameters to make inferences. The estimates are derived from market feasibility most of the parametric tests are focused on study. Project cost and operating costs are derived analysing and comparing population parameters from technical feasibility study. like mean, proportions. We will discuss about t 3. Organizational Analysis: Institutional and Z tests in this section. analysis has become one of the important parts of Non-parametric Tests project work. The outcome of development A) Sign Test: One of the simplest non-parametric projects depends upon the quality of institutions tests is the sign test. It is especially helpful in responsible for them. studies where it is hard or impractical to quantify 4. Marketing Analysis: Market and demand quantitatively but it is still possible to establish analysis is the management demand, its whether an observation is larger or smaller than estimation and determining the extent to which it the median value. can be met with satisfaction to consumers and B) Run Test: In order to determine if a group of profit to the producers. observations represents a random sample from an Network analysis represents the inter-related infinite population, the run test is used. flows of work that must be accomplished to C) Chi-square Test for Independence of complete a project. They visually portray the Attributes: When a predetermined number of events and activities that are planned for the observations are predicted to fall into two project and show their sequential relationships categories, we may want to look into whether the and interdependencies. two categories are independent or if there is Hypothesis evidence of a relationship between them. A definite statement about the population Classification of Projects parameter is known as hypothesis. A hypothesis is a) Quantifiable and Non-quantifiable b) Sectorial a claim to be tested. It is usually denoted by the Project: i) Agriculture ii) Irrigation & Power iii) capital letters like H, K, L etc. Transport & Communication iv) Social Services Null Hypothesis c) Techno-Economic Project c.1) Factor intensity- A hypothesis of no difference is called null oriented classification c.2) Cause-oriented hypothesis. According to Prof. R.A. Fisher, null classification c.3) Magnitude oriented hypothesis is the hypothesis, which is to be tested classification for possible rejection under the assumption that it Stages of Project Formulation is true. It is usually denoted as Ho. 1) Feasibility Analysis 2) Techno-Economic Alternative Hypothesis Analysis 3) Network Analysis 4) Input Analysis An alternative hypothesis (H1) is a statement that 5) Financial Analysis 6) Cost-Benefit Analysis 7) directly contradicts a null hypothesis (H0) by Pre-Investment Analysis stating that that the actual value of a population parameter is less than, greater than, or not equal to the value stated in the null hypothesis. Characteristics of Project Project Report 1. Achieving the Goal 2. Separate entity Content of Project: 3. Unique Activities 4. Sequence of Activities The contents of the project report are similar to 5. Specified Time 6. Interrelated activities the formats. 7. Funds Requirements 8. Life Cycle Format of Project Report: This format one is 9. Team Work 10. Risk and Uncertainty quite exhaustive contains fifteen sections as: 11. Sub-contracting 1) Introduction 2) General Considerations 3) Internal Rate of Return - Internal rate of return Capital Expenditure 4) Working Capital 5) Cost for an investment proposal is the discount rate that of Project 6) Means of Finance 7) Total Cost of equates the present value of the expected cash Project per Year 8) Excise and Sales Tax 9) Sales flows with the initial cash outflows. 10) Profit and Loss Account for Year 11) Balance Project Life Cycle Sheet End of Year 12) Forecast for Five Years 13) The control needs of the project organization Balance Sheet for Five Years 14) Cash Flow determines the number of the project phases. The Statement for Five Years 15) Ratios project life cycle characterizes the linear Steps involved in Testing of Hypothesis: progression of a project from the conception Finding out how likely it is that a population phase, definition phase, planning and organizing parameter, such the mean, is true is the aim of phase, implementation phase and lastly project hypothesis testing. Following are the steps of clean-up phase. hypothesis testing. Project Design is a rough layout of the project Step 1: State the H0 and H1 hypotheses. which helps to give an idea about how it is going Step 2: Set the criteria for a decision (set LOS at to be executed. It is a blue print of the project. α). Step 3: Based on the given data, compute the Project design is the key to make the project test statistic. Step 4: Make a decision based on P- successful. The identification of hierarchy of value or by comparing calculated value of the test project goals and objectives linked by causal statistic with critical value of the test statistic. relationships. The planning of solutions, in Step 5: Statement of conclusion: The conclusion terms of inputs, activities / task, outputs, effects should be without of statistical terminology. and impacts. The assessment of project However, the significance level should be clearly outcomes. stated. Techniques of Financial Analysis Project Life Cycle Financial Analysis - It is process of ascertaining The control needs of the project organization proposed project financially viable or not. determines the number of the project phases. The a) Comparative Financial Statement b) Common project life cycle characterizes the linear Size Financial Statements c) Trend Percentages d) progression of a project from the conception Fund Flow Analysis e) Cost-Volume Profit phase, definition phase, planning and organizing Analysis f) Ratio Analysis. phase, implementation phase and lastly project clean-up phase.