Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Indexes
Q1 2023
Contents
Overview 3
Private equity 9
Nizar Tarhuni Vice President, Institutional Research and Editorial
Real estate 13
Real assets 15
Analysis
Funds of funds 19
Zane Carmean, CFA, CAIA
Lead Analyst, Quantitative and Funds Research
Secondaries 21 zane.carmean@pitchbook.com
Appendix 23 pbinstitutionalresearch@pitchbook.com
Select PitchBook Private Capital Indexes quarterly returns Published on August 7, 2023
Index Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023*
Private equity -2.7% -1.6% 2.3% 1.3%
Buyout -2.1% -1.6% 2.5% 1.4%
Growth/expansion -7.0% -1.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Venture capital -9.2% -2.5% -5.5% 0.2%
Sub-$250M -6.8% -3.7% -11.2% 4.3%
$250M+ -9.5% -2.3% -5.0% -0.7%
Real estate 1.4% -0.9% 0.4% 0.7%
Opportunistic 1.4% -2.2% 1.4% 1.9%
Value-add 0.9% 0.9% -0.6% -2.8%
Real assets 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 2.1%
Infrastructure 1.0% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8%
Natural resources 6.4% 3.7% 3.2% 0.2%
Private debt -0.3% -0.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Direct lending 0.5% 1.5% 1.2% 3.7%
Distressed -1.2% 0.0% 2.1% -1.2%
Mezzanine 0.0% -7.9% 9.0% 0.5%
Funds of funds -2.3% -3.1% 2.1% 3.8%
PE FoFs -2.3% -3.7% 3.7% 6.0%
VC FoFs -3.7% -4.3% -0.2% -3.0% For further data and metrics available with PitchBook's private
Secondaries 0.6% -2.3% 1.9% 1.8% capital fund performance and benchmarking, please refer to our
Private capital -1.8% -1.0% 1.8% 1.3% PitchBook Benchmarks report.
Source: PitchBook • Geography: Global
*As of March 31, 2023
The PitchBook Private Capital Indexes are quarterly return Additionally, the indexes unlock useful analysis on private
benchmarks for the private market industry. These indexes market volatility and drawdowns during difficult
are built with PitchBook's fund cash flow and NAV data and environments. One known limitation of private market
serve as a supplement to our quarterly PitchBook performance and risk measurement is the tendency for
Benchmarks report. fund returns to appear overly "smooth," with asset pricing
slow to change from one period to the next. This
This report is organized into sections for each of the seven smoothing results in lower perceived volatility than what is
strategies, with subcategories within private equity, likely realistic, which can impact diversification decisions
venture capital, real estate, real assets, private debt, and and risk/reward estimations based on reported returns. To
funds of funds. We also track returns by fund quartile address this limitation, this report includes adjusted return
ranking, bucketed according to a fund's class and vintage figures to provide alternatives for private market risk
year benchmark. For the overall Private Capital Index, we measurement.
include versions by global region. These various
combinations provide an overall view of private market PitchBook clients have access to all the aggregate data in
performance by money-weighting the cash flows and NAV the accompanying XLS, as well as the underlying
changes of active funds in a respective fund category. constituent funds in the PitchBook Platform. Please reach
out with any questions or feedback.
Our Benchmarks report has been providing quarterly
returns since 2018, with our data series extending back to
the late 90s. By calculating the change in NAV from one
quarter to the next, adjusting for cash flows coming into It is important to note that the indexes provided are meant to be estimates of
and out of funds via capital calls and distributions, users asset class performance, hypothetically creating a return if one had access to all
can get a sense of each asset class's performance in a active funds on a capital-weighted basis.1 They are not practically investable
pseudo-time-weighted manner. Linking together the and are subject to change as we continually update our datasets.
quarterly return figures allows us to construct an index,
providing a useful alternative comparison with other
holdings such as public markets.
300
250 228.0
224.4
221.6
209.9
Indexed to 100
200
193.2
150 162.1
149.0
134.7
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Private equity Venture capital Real estate Real assets Private debt Funds of funds Secondaries Private capital
1: Specifically, we include active funds for which PitchBook has adequate returns history. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of included funds was $3.5 trillion.
350
300
292.8
250
Indexed to 100
218.9
200 193.2
164.5
150
100 108.6
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Note: Constituent funds are bucketed into quartile rankings based on their fund categorization and vintage year. Quartiles are determined by TVPI as of the most recent available data.
Private Capital Index quarterly return by source Private Capital Indexes annualized returns*
15%
Index 1-year 5-year 10-year 15-year
5%
Real estate 1.6% 10.1% 11.6% 4.7%
Note: Net cash flows include distributions received by LPs and contributions sent to GPs for investment. NAV change
captures the unrealized markups (or markdowns) after those cash flows have been factored in.
225
198.4
200
193.2
193.2
175
Indexed to 100
150 153.8
125 126.1
100
75
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Private Capital Index weighting by category Private Capital Index weighting by region
100% 100%
Secondaries 4.7% Rest of world 0.9%
90% 90%
Funds of funds 3.4% Asia 5.1%
80% 80%
40% 40%
Real estate 9.2%
30% 30%
Venture capital 5.1%
20% 20%
0% 0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
2020
2021
Note: Fund weightings in each period are determined by the NAV captured from active funds. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of active funds was $3.5 trillion.
Interpreting interim returns for private markets can be We also display the reported and adjusted volatility
challenging due to the inherent smoothing that takes place estimates for each private fund asset class and correlations
as a result of infrequent and disparate valuation between the desmoothed quarterly returns and the
adjustments to a fund's assets. This smoothing produces a quarterly returns of select public market indexes. If the ACF
potential bias in estimating volatility and correlations, adjustments are not made, the private market asset
which are necessary inputs for many allocators' risk classes will appear more attractive on a risk-adjusted basis
modeling in portfolio construction and monitoring. If left because of the understated volatility measures. The
unadjusted, our indexes are subject to this bias. correlations between the Private Capital Indexes and public
markets may also be lower, potentially overstating the
To address the issue, we have used a common approach to diversification benefits. We provide historical context on
desmooth private market returns. This section provides how the relationship with public equities has changed, as
adjusted return series using a first-order autoregression well as the overall correlation coefficients since 2000.
model. In simple terms, we have found evidence that
private market returns are correlated from one quarter to The following page also includes peak-to-trough
the next, by about 50%, although this varies across asset drawdowns in the unadjusted reported returns during
classes and time. select time frames. We leave these unadjusted to
recognize the magnitude of the reported NAV change
By using a single-lag autocorrelation function (ACF), the experienced by LPs through the market downturn. While
adjusted return series yields higher volatility estimates not necessarily indicative of volatility, the drawdowns
than would be calculated using the traditional reported provide historical context to answer the question, "How
figures. The adjusted series should be taken into much do reported NAVs fall during a correction?" This
consideration when evaluating the risk/return provides a starting point for considering the impact of
characteristics of each asset class. It should be noted that various environments on a private market portfolio.
these are still just estimates of what is happening to the
"true" returns of the asset class, but they nonetheless
provide a useful barometer for comparison.
For further reading on fund return smoothing, please review our Analyst Note:
Return Smoothing in Private Markets.
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Reported Adjusted
300
250
215.7
206.0
Indexed to 100
200
202.8
177.7
162.0
150 153.7
142.6
131.7
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Private equity Venture capital Real estate Real assets Private debt Funds of funds Secondaries Private capital
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Private equity Venture capital Real estate Real assets Private debt Funds of funds Secondaries
Note: This matrix shows the correlation of quarterly returns since the beginning of 2000. Public indexes aside from the S&P 500 are provided by Morningstar Indexes.
300
256.8
250
221.6
218.6
200
Indexed to 100
193.2
150
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Private equity Buyout Growth/expansion Private capital
Source: PitchBook • Geography: Global
*As of March 31, 2023
Private Equity Index quarterly return by source Private Equity Indexes annualized returns*
20%
Index 1-year 5-year 10-year 15-year
-5%
-10%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Note: Net cash flows include distributions received by LPs and contributions sent to GPs for investment. NAV change captures
the unrealized markups (or markdowns) after those cash flows have been factored in.
400
350
339.0
300
Indexed to 100
250 238.4
221.6
200
174.2
150
120.3
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Top quartile Upper-mid quartile Lower-mid quartile Bottom quartile Overall
Note: Constituent funds are bucketed into quartile rankings based on their fund categorization and vintage year. Quartiles are determined by TVPI as of the most recent available data.
Private Equity Index weighting by category Private Equity Index weighting by region
100% 100%
Rest of world 1.0%
90% Other 0.3% 90%
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
Note: Fund weightings in each period are determined by the NAV captured from active funds. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of active funds was $1.9 trillion.
350
300
250 257.5
228.0
Indexed to 100
222.7
200
193.2
150
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Venture capital Sub-$250M $250M+ Private capital
Source: PitchBook • Geography: Global
*As of March 31, 2023
Venture Capital Index quarterly return by source Venture Capital Indexes annualized returns*
25%
Index 1-year 5-year 10-year 15-year
20%
Venture capital -16.2% 17.9% 16.1% 11.7%
15%
Percentage of beginning NAV
-5%
-10%
-15%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Note: Net cash flows include distributions received by LPs and contributions sent to GPs for investment. NAV change captures
the unrealized markups (or markdowns) after those cash flows have been factored in.
450
400
350
334.1
300
Indexed to 100
250 234.3
228.0
200
174.4
150
123.6
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Top quartile Upper-mid quartile Lower-mid quartile Bottom quartile Overall
Note: Constituent funds are bucketed into quartile rankings based on their fund categorization and vintage year. Quartiles are determined by TVPI as of the most recent available data.
Venture Capital Index weighting by category Venture Capital Index weighting by region
100% 100%
$250M+ 92.0% Rest of world 0.0%
90% 90%
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
Note: Fund weightings in each period are determined by the NAV captured from active funds. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of active funds was $178.4 billion.
225
200
193.2
175 166.6
163.5
162.1
Indexed to 100
150
125
100
75
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Real estate Opportunistic Value-add Private capital
Source: PitchBook • Geography: Global
*As of March 31, 2023
Real Estate Index quarterly return by source Real Estate Indexes annualized returns*
10%
Index 1-year 5-year 10-year 15-year
8% Real estate 1.6% 10.1% 11.6% 4.7%
Percentage of beginning NAV
4%
Value-add -1.6% 10.3% 11.3% 3.1%
2%
Private capital 0.3% 14.1% 13.6% 10.3%
0%
-2%
-4%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Note: Net cash flows include distributions received by LPs and contributions sent to GPs for investment. NAV change captures
the unrealized markups (or markdowns) after those cash flows have been factored in.
250
225 222.5
200
178.5
175
Indexed to 100
162.1
150
132.5
125
100 96.3
75
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Top quartile Upper-mid quartile Lower-mid quartile Bottom quartile Overall
Note: Constituent funds are bucketed into quartile rankings based on their fund categorization and vintage year. Quartiles are determined by TVPI as of the most recent available data.
Real Estate Index weighting by category Real Estate Index weighting by region
100% 100%
Other 16.7% Rest of world 0.9%
90% 90%
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
Note: Fund weightings in each period are determined by the NAV captured from active funds. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of active funds was $320.5 billion.
225
200
193.2
175
164.7
Indexed to 100
150
149.0
130.7
125
100
75
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Real assets Infrastructure Natural resources Private capital
Source: PitchBook • Geography: Global
*As of March 31, 2023
Real Assets Index quarterly return by source Real Assets Indexes annualized returns*
10%
Index 1-year 5-year 10-year 15-year
-10%
-15%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Note: Net cash flows include distributions received by LPs and contributions sent to GPs for investment. NAV change captures
the unrealized markups (or markdowns) after those cash flows have been factored in.
225
219.0
200
175
166.7
Indexed to 100
150 149.0
125 125.9
100
75
69.5
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Top quartile Upper-mid quartile Lower-mid quartile Bottom quartile Overall
Note: Constituent funds are bucketed into quartile rankings based on their fund categorization and vintage year. Quartiles are determined by TVPI as of the most recent available data.
Real Assets Index weighting by category Real Assets Index weighting by region
100% 100%
Natural resources 31.2% Rest of world 0.9%
90% 90%
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
Note: Fund weightings in each period are determined by the NAV captured from active funds. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of active funds was $408.8 billion.
225
200
193.2
175
Indexed to 100
150
143.4
134.7
125 130.6
118.2
100
75
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Private debt Direct lending Distressed Mezzanine Private capital
Source: PitchBook • Geography: Global
*As of March 31, 2023
Private Debt Index quarterly return by source Private Debt Indexes annualized returns*
10%
Index 1-year 5-year 10-year 15-year
8%
Private debt 2.5% 6.1% 7.6% 7.7%
6%
Percentage of beginning NAV
-6%
-8%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Note: Net cash flows include distributions received by LPs and contributions sent to GPs for investment. NAV change captures
the unrealized markups (or markdowns) after those cash flows have been factored in.
200
181.5
175
150
Indexed to 100
136.6
134.7
125 124.7
100
82.7
75
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Top quartile Upper-mid quartile Lower-mid quartile Bottom quartile Overall
Note: Constituent funds are bucketed into quartile rankings based on their fund categorization and vintage year. Quartiles are determined by TVPI as of the most recent available data.
Private Debt Index weighting by category Private Debt Index weighting by region
100% 100%
Other 23.2% Rest of world 1.8%
90% 90%
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
Note: Fund weightings in each period are determined by the NAV captured from active funds. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of active funds was $409.0 billion.
350
300
287.2
250
Indexed to 100
224.4
210.9
200
193.2
150
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Funds of funds PE FoFs VC FoFs Private capital
Source: PitchBook • Geography: Global
*As of March 31, 2023
Funds of Funds Index quarterly return by source Funds of Funds Indexes annualized returns*
20%
Index 1-year 5-year 10-year 15-year
-5%
-10%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Note: Net cash flows include distributions received by LPs and contributions sent to GPs for investment. NAV change captures
the unrealized markups (or markdowns) after those cash flows have been factored in.
350
300 301.5
250
229.0
Indexed to 100
224.4
200 203.0
150
138.6
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Top quartile Upper-mid quartile Lower-mid quartile Bottom quartile Overall
Note: Constituent funds are bucketed into quartile rankings based on their fund categorization and vintage year. Quartiles are determined by TVPI as of the most recent available data.
Funds of Funds Index weighting by category Funds of Funds Index weighting by region
100% 100%
Other 16.2% Rest of world 0.0%
90% 90%
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2022*
2020
2021
Note: Fund weightings in each period are determined by the NAV captured from active funds. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of active funds was $117.5 billion.
225
209.9
200
193.2
175
Indexed to 100
150
125
100
75
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Secondaries Private capital
Source: PitchBook • Geography: Global
*As of March 31, 2023
20%
Index 1-year 5-year 10-year 15-year
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Note: Net cash flows include distributions received by LPs and contributions sent to GPs for investment. NAV change captures
the unrealized markups (or markdowns) after those cash flows have been factored in.
300
250 250.9
235.0
209.9
Indexed to 100
200
199.4
158.4
150
100
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023*
Top quartile Upper-mid quartile Lower-mid quartile Bottom quartile Overall
Note: Constituent funds are bucketed into quartile rankings based on their fund categorization and vintage year. Quartiles are determined by TVPI as of the most recent available data.
100%
Rest of world 0.0%
90%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022*
Note: Fund weightings in each period are determined by the NAV captured from active funds. As of Q4 2022, the total NAV of active funds was $161.8 billion.
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