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Chapter 10
U=uS
S
D=dS
• This implies that the asset S will, on average, evolve (in the risk-neutral
world) at a risk-free interest rate 𝑟𝑟𝑓𝑓 which means the expected return on
the asset is the risk-free rate:
1 + 𝑟𝑟 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟 − 𝑑𝑑
𝑓𝑓 𝑒𝑒
𝑝𝑝∗ = =
𝑢𝑢 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑢𝑢 − 𝑑𝑑
• The probability p* is called « risk neutral probability», which can be used to define a new
probability measure Q.
𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑢𝑢 − 𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟
𝐶𝐶 𝐾𝐾, 1 = 𝐶𝐶𝑢𝑢 ∗ 𝑝𝑝∗ + 𝐶𝐶𝑑𝑑 ∗ (1 − 𝑝𝑝∗ ) 𝑒𝑒 −𝑟𝑟 = 𝐶𝐶𝑢𝑢 ∗ + 𝐶𝐶𝑑𝑑 ∗ 𝑒𝑒 −𝑟𝑟
𝑢𝑢 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑢𝑢 − 𝑑𝑑
where 𝐶𝐶𝑢𝑢 (resp. 𝐶𝐶𝑑𝑑 ) represents the call payoff at the upper (resp. lower ) node de l’arbre
binomial.
• For a tree with period length h :
𝑟𝑟𝑟 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟𝑟
𝑒𝑒 𝑢𝑢 − 𝑒𝑒
𝐶𝐶 𝐾𝐾, ℎ = 𝐶𝐶𝑢𝑢 ∗ 𝑝𝑝∗ + 𝐶𝐶𝑑𝑑 ∗ (1 − 𝑝𝑝∗ ) 𝑒𝑒 −𝑟𝑟𝑟 = 𝐶𝐶𝑢𝑢 ∗ + 𝐶𝐶𝑑𝑑 ∗ 𝑒𝑒 −𝑟𝑟𝑟
𝑢𝑢 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑢𝑢 − 𝑑𝑑
• The same formula is valid for put options.
Find the call option price with strike price K = 55$ which expires in one year.
Solution:
𝐶𝐶 55,1 =
• No-arbitrage price:
ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 =
• Recall that the forward price is given by: 𝐹𝐹𝑡𝑡,𝑡𝑡+ℎ = 𝑆𝑆𝑡𝑡 𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟−𝛿𝛿 ℎ , which means
𝑢𝑢𝑆𝑆𝑡𝑡 =
𝑑𝑑𝑆𝑆𝑡𝑡 =
Chapter 10-Advanced Financial Mathematics-UEH-F2023 23
Remarks
𝑢𝑢
=
𝑑𝑑
• 𝐵𝐵 =
• ∆𝑢𝑢 =
• 𝐵𝐵𝑢𝑢 =
• ∆𝑑𝑑 =
• 𝐵𝐵𝑑𝑑 =
Chapter 10-Advanced Financial Mathematics-UEH-F2023 32
Pricing a put option
1. Build a tree for the evolution of the underlying asset (following the same structure as in
the previous section).
2. Determine the values at each time step at the option's expiration assuming that the
option is exercised at each node. This means calculating the payoff of the option at each
node if it were to be exercised immediately.
3. Compare the values at expiration obtained in step 2 with the European option price.
4. Continue this process from the final nodes back to the initial node to determine the
option's value at each step. Chapter 10-Advanced Financial Mathematics-UEH-F2023 34
Pricing an American option: Example
We'll revisit the example with the European call option, and now we assume
that the option is American. The parameters remain the same as before.
1. Calculate the intrinsic value of the put option at each node, which is the difference between the strike
price (K) and the stock price (S) at that node.
2. Compare the intrinsic value to the calculated value at the next node based on the option pricing model.
Choose the higher value between the intrinsic value and the calculated value at the next node.
This procedure helps you assess whether it is advantageous to exercise an American put option early or
wait until expiration based on the intrinsic value and the option pricing model.
3. Continue this process from the final nodes back to the initial node to determine the option's value at
each step.
• For a stock option: The delta (Δ) represents the quantity of….
𝑝𝑝∗ = ⏟
with foreign currency
We'll revisit the example from illustration 10.9 in the reference book, with an
American put option on the euro, with the U.S. dollar as the local currency
(referred to simply as "dollar" for simplicity).
The initial exchange rate is 1,05 $/€, K = 1.10 $/€, σ = 0.10, 𝑟𝑟𝐷𝐷′ = 5.5%, 𝑟𝑟𝐹𝐹′ = 3.1%,
1 1
𝑇𝑇 = and 𝑛𝑛 = 3 (hence, ℎ = ).
2 6
𝐷𝐷 = 𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥 =
𝑝𝑝∗ =
𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 ′
−𝑟𝑟𝐷𝐷 ℎ
𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷 ∗ 𝑃𝑃𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 − 𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷 ∗ 𝑃𝑃𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 −
0.055 1.02 ∗ 0.16 − 0.94 ∗ 0.08
𝐵𝐵𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 = 𝑒𝑒 = 𝑒𝑒 6 = 1.09
𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷 − 𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷 1.02 − 0.94
All the calculations shown earlier apply in the same way for all nodes of the tree. The remaining nodes
are left to be addressed through exercises.
𝐵𝐵 =