11/13/23, 1:33 AM Game: Miami 20, Florida St 27 | Game on Paper

Miami 20 @ Florida St 27 Replay

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Final - November 11, 2023 at 3:30 PM EST (ABC)

WP Chart EPA Chart Team Stats Player Stats Big Plays Most Important Plays Scoring Plays All Play

Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 2.80 | Odds: FSU -15.5, O/U 50.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points
Download Chart

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall

EPA/Play -0.08 34th %ile -0.03 42nd %ile

Success Rate 30% 8th %ile 37% 31st %ile

Yards/Play 5.23 34th %ile 5.19 33rd %ile

EPA/Dropback 0.00 48th %ile 0.09 59th %ile

EPA/Rush -0.17 24th %ile -0.18 22nd %ile

Yards/Dropback 6.38 55th %ile 7.79 76th %ile

Explosive Play Rate 9% 58th %ile 5% 16th %ile

3rd Down Success Rate 26% 13th %ile 23% 9th %ile

Red Zone Success Rate 33% 31st %ile 47% 62nd %ile

Def Run Stuff Rate 36% 71st %ile 25% 26th %ile

Havoc Rate 13% 67th %ile 16% 84th %ile

Concept from Robert Binion (@robert_binion). Data from GameOnPaper.com by Akshay Easwaran
(@akeaswaran) and Saiem Gilani (@saiemgilani). Cell colors reflect the percentile of a team's performance
against all single-game FBS vs FBS performances in that stat in 2022.

Expected Points

Total Plays 80 75

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Expected Points

Total EPA -7.65 1.19

Offensive EPA -5.39 -2.01

Special Teams EPA -1.73 3.02

Penalty EPA -0.53 0.18

Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.00 0.00

Production

Scrimmage Plays 64 62

Yards 335 322

Yards/Play 5.23 5.19

EPA -5.39 -2.01

EPA/Play -0.08 -0.03

Passes 32 (50%) 34 (55%)

Yards 204 265

Yards/Play 6.38 7.79

EPA -0.04 3.03

EPA/Play 0.00 0.09

Rushes 32 (50%) 28 (45%)

Yards 146 96

Yards/Play 4.56 3.43

EPA -5.35 -5.04

EPA/Play -0.17 -0.18

Rushing

Scrimmage Plays 64 62

Rushes 32 (50%) 28 (45%)

Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (6%) 2 (7%)

Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%) 2 (100%)

Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 8 (25%) 10 (36%)

Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 18 (56%) 17 (61%)

Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 13 (41%) 10 (36%)

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Rushing

OL Line Yards 38.2 25

Per Carry 1.19 0.89

Highlight Yards 66 43

Per Rush Opportunity 5.08 4.30

Explosiveness

Total Plays 80 75

Scrimmage Plays 64 62

Explosive Plays 6 (9%) 3 (5%)

When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (12%) 2 (6%)

When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (6%) 1 (4%)

EPA w/o Explosive Plays -27.14 -13.24

EPA/Play -0.47 -0.22

When Passing -17.31 -4.19

EPA/Play -0.54 -0.12

When Rushing -9.83 -9.06

EPA/Play -0.33 -0.34

Situational

Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 19 (30%) 23 (37%)

When Passing 9 (28%) 15 (44%)

When Rushing 10 (31%) 8 (29%)

On Standard Downs 12 (34%) 17 (43%)

On Passing Downs 7 (24%) 6 (27%)

On Early Downs 14 (30%) 20 (40%)

On Late Downs 5 (28%) 3 (25%)

During "Middle 8" 4 (36%) 2 (40%)

Early Downs 46 50

First Downs Created 7 (15%) 11 (22%)

EPA 2.09 6.16

EPA/Play 0.05 0.12

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Situational

Passes 19 (41%) 25 (50%)

Rushes 27 (59%) 25 (50%)

Successful Passes (Rate) 6 (32%) 14 (56%)

Successful Rushes (Rate) 8 (30%) 6 (24%)

"Middle 8" Plays 11 5

EPA -0.90 2.70

EPA/play -0.08 0.54

Passes 4 (36%) 4 (80%)

Rushes 7 (64%) 1 (20%)

Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (50%) 2 (50%)

Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (29%) 0 (0%)

Drives

Total 13 13

Avg Starting Field Position Own 24 Own 32

Plays/Drive 7.08 6.40

Yards/Drive 31.36 33.40

Available Yards % 41% 49%

Defensive

Scrimmage Plays 62 64

Stop Rate 47% 39%

Havoc Plays Created 10 (16%) 8 (13%)

Passing 3 (9%) 4 (13%)

Rushing 7 (25%) 4 (13%)

TFLs Generated 10 7

Passing 3 3

Rushing 7 4

Sacks Generated 3 (9%) 2 (6%)

Passes Defensed 0 0

Interceptions 0 1

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Defensive

Fumbles Forced 0 0

Turnovers

Turnovers 1 0

Fumbles 0 0

Fumbles Lost 0 0

Fumbles Recovered 0 0

Interceptions 1 0

Turnover Margin -1 1

Expected Turnovers 0.2 0.0

Expected Turnover Margin -0.2 0.2

Turnover Luck (pts) -3.9 3.9

Special Teams

Total Plays 16 (25%) 13 (21%)

Total EPA -1.73 3.02

Field Goal EPA 0.91 0.44

Punting EPA -2.28 4.01

Kickoff Return EPA -0.36 -1.43

Miami [show/hide]
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA

Dropbacks

Emory Williams 8/23, 175 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 61.9 xQBR, 7.00 0.02 0.54 28% -4.0%
0.29 DETMER

Tyler Van Dyke 2/7, 29 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 50.7 xQBR, 4.14 -0.08 -0.58 29% 4.0%
0.04 DETMER

Rush attempts

Emory Williams 3 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.67 0.90 2.69 67% 3.0%

Donald Chaney 12 carries, 85 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.08 0.09 1.10 33% -4.0%
Jr.

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Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA

Brashard 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.03 0.03 100% 0.0%
Smith

Mark Fletcher 16 carries, 47 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.94 -0.57 -9.16 19% -19.0%
Jr.

Pass targets

Jacolby George 5 catches (8 targets), 153 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 30.60 1.74 13.91 50% 10.0%
lost)

Brashard 2 catches (3 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 9.00 0.51 1.54 67% 1.0%
Smith lost)

Mark Fletcher 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.68 -0.68 0% 0.0%
Jr.

Colbie Young 2 catches (6 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 14.50 -0.16 -0.97 33% 5.0%
lost)

Isaiah Horton 1 catch (3 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.76 -2.29 33% -3.0%

Xavier 0 catches (6 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 0.00 -0.80 -4.82 0% -8.0%
Restrepo lost)

Florida State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA

Dropbacks

Jordan Travis 19/31, 265 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 78.6 7.79 0.09 3.03 44% 6.0%
xQBR, 0.33 DETMER

Rush attempts

Trey Benson 16 carries, 80 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.09 1.38 31% 11.0%

TEAM 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 0.05 0.05 100% 2.0%

Jordan Travis 5 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.80 -0.56 -2.81 40% -5.0%

Lawrance Toafili 6 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.50 -0.61 -3.66 0% -2.0%

Pass targets

Ja'Khi Douglas 3 catches (3 targets), 69 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 23.00 1.06 3.17 33% 7.0%
lost)

Markeston 2 catches (2 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 10.50 1.52 3.05 100% 4.0%
Douglas lost)

Johnny Wilson 5 catches (8 targets), 82 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 16.40 0.35 2.80 50% -1.0%
lost)

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Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA

Jaheim Bell 3 catches (4 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 13.67 0.51 2.04 75% 3.0%
lost)

Trey Benson 1 catch (1 target), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 1.05 1.05 100% 0.0%

Kyle Morlock 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.62 0.62 100% 1.0%

Kentron Poitier 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.63 -0.63 0% 3.0%

Keon Coleman 4 catches (9 targets), 24 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 6.00 -0.14 -1.27 33% -1.0%
lost)

Lawrance Toafili 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.39 -1.39 0% -4.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.
Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

All Plays [show/hide]

Built by Akshay Easwaran, Saiem Gilani, and others. Data from ESPN.com. Learn more about the stats used in our
Glossary.
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