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Science of the Total Environment 881 (2023) 163535

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Science of the Total Environment


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/scitotenv

Landscape pattern and ecosystem services are critical for protected areas'
contributions to sustainable development goals at regional scale

Yuanxin Liu a,b, Yihe Lü a,c, , Bojie Fu a,c, Xiao Zhang d
a
State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China
b
Academy for Multidisciplinary Studies, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, China
c
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
d
Land Consolidation and Rehabilitation Center, Ministry of Natural Resources; Key Laboratory of Land Consolidation and Rehabilitation, Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing 100035, China

H I G H L I G H T S G R A P H I C A L A B S T R A C T

• Protected areas' contributions to SDGs


were assessed using landscape pattern
and ES.
• Most QTP's cities improved their SDG
scores to >60 from 2010 to 2020.
• 13 synergies and 6 trade-offs were ob-
served among 69 pairs of SDG indicators.
• 65 % of SDG indicators were significantly
correlated with landscape pattern and ESs
of NNRs.

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Editor: Fernando A.L. Pacheco Protected areas are essential for the conservation of biodiversity, natural and cultural resources, and contribute to re-
gional and global sustainable development. However, since authorities and stakeholders concern more on the conser-
Keywords: vation targets of protected areas, how to better evaluate the protected areas' contributions to sustainable development
Sustainable development goals
goals (SDGs) remains generally understudied. To fill this knowledge gap, we chose the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) as
Panel data model
the study area, mapped the SDGs in 2010, 2015 and 2020, detecting the interactive relationships among SDGs. Then
Qinghai-Tibet plateau
Nature reserve
we used the landscape pattern indices and ecosystem service (ES) proxies to describe the characteristics of national na-
Landscape pattern indices ture reserves (NNRs), and explore the contributions of protected areas to SDGs using panel data models. The results
showed that from 2010 to 2020, most cities of QTP improved their SDG scores to >60. The three cities with the
best SDG performance improved their average scores by nearly 20 %. Among the 69 pairs correlations of SDG indica-
tors, 13 synergies and 6 trade-offs were observed. About 65 % of the SDG indicators were significantly correlated with
landscape pattern or ESs of NNRs. Carbon sequestration had a significant positive effect on 30 % of the SDG indicators,
while habitat quality had a negative effect on 18 % of the SDG indicators. For the landscape pattern indices, the largest
patch index had a significant positive effect on 18 % of the SDG indicators. This study highlighted that the ESs and
landscape pattern could well quantify the contribution of protected areas to SDGs, which can provide essential impli-
cations for protected area management and regional sustainable development.

⁎ Corresponding author at: State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China.
E-mail address: lyh@rcees.ac.cn (Y. Lü).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163535
Received 20 January 2023; Received in revised form 10 April 2023; Accepted 12 April 2023
Available online 17 April 2023
0048-9697/© 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Y. Liu et al. Science of the Total Environment 881 (2023) 163535

1. Introduction QTP with the highest area percentage of protected areas in China, which
played a crucial role in ecological conservation. However, environmental
As the core of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, the pollution, biodiversity loss, soil erosion and other issues related to social de-
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) provide a shared blueprint that in- velopment and ecological conservation have emerged in the QTP due to cli-
corporates three dimensions: social, economic and environmental sustain- mate change and human activities (Hua et al., 2021; Liu et al., 2022a).
ability (United Nations, 2015). These goals are important for eradicating These issues have influenced regional SDGs (Geldmann et al., 2019). On
poverty, reducing hunger, improving health and education, conserve envi- October 12, 2021, China officially established its first group of five national
ronment and increasing social equity, which is the world's roadmap for parks, marking the beginning of the reshaping of the protected area system
achieving sustainable development in this decade (Hametner et al., with national parks as the main body (Zhang et al., 2022a). Focusing on
2022). To achieve the SDGs, countries around the world are willing to protected areas and revealing their contributions to the SDGs will be of
drive the transition to sustainability in multiple areas (D’Arco et al., 2021; great reference for the future optimization of the protected area system.
Ding et al., 2022; Fu et al., 2019). As the world's most competitive emerging Therefore, evaluating and understanding SDGs and related protected area
economy, China attaches great importance to sustainable development (Fu management to local sustainable development reveals whether the policy
et al., 2019). In 2016, China released a national plan for the implementa- match with SDGs, which can provide useful information for authorities
tion of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, which can serve as and other stakeholders (Schmidt et al., 2019).
a model for other developing countries seeking to the process of global im- We propose that both ESs and landscape pattern of protected areas
plementation. The interactions among SDGs and influencing factors of should be considered simultaneously when evaluating the protected
SDGs are complex. Scientists have been trying to reveal the synergies and areas' contribution to SDGs. QTP was thus chosen as a case to assess the con-
trade-offs between SDGs (Liu and Yuan, 2023; Zhang et al., 2022b; Zhao tributions of protected areas to SDGs. To identify the SDG performance and
et al., 2021), seek the SDG priorities (Wu et al., 2022), and explore the SDG interaction, we scored 17 SDG indicators of prefecture-level munici-
influencing factors of SDGs (Liu et al., 2022a; Xu et al., 2022b). Neverthe- palities in the QTP from 2010 to 2020 and detected their relationships
less, these studies have mostly focused on either global or national scales, through Spearman correlation analysis. Then five typical ESs (carbon se-
making the conclusions failing to inform regional sustainable development questration, water yield, soil retention, habitat provision, and landscape
(Zhang et al., 2020). aesthetics) and five landscape pattern indices (total area, largest patch
The protected areas are vital to achieving the SDGs, as they safeguard index, edge density, contagion index, Shannon's diversity index) were cho-
ecological conservation and community development to maintain resil- sen to represent the ecological effect of NNR, we evaluated the NNRs' con-
ience and sustainability (Zhang et al., 2022a). Protected areas are clearly tributions to SDGs using panel data model. In doing so, our study enables
defined geographical spaces which are recognized and managed through policy makers to deepen understanding of how well SDGs are performing
legal or administrative means to achieve the long-term conservation of na- and the current role of protected areas in achieving SDGs, so that planning
ture (Hoffmann, 2022). The protected areas provide significant social and can efficiently target the appropriate dimensions of SDGs.
environmental benefits, and even create employment opportunities (Mi
et al., 2021), contributing to the growth of local economies and poverty al- 2. Materials and methods
leviation by the tourism, planting industry and education (D’Arco et al.,
2021; Danish and Wang, 2018), and are represented an important tool for 2.1. Study area
biodiversity loss alleviation and ecosystem conservation (Liu et al., 2020).
However, increasing global protected areas has not entirely halted biodi- The QTP located in southwest China (Fig. 1a) and is often called the
versity loss, forest area decrease (FAO, 2022), and many countries still “Roof of the World”, the “Water Tower of Asia”, and the “Third Pole”.
fall short of meeting the SDGs (Gownaris et al., 2019). The average elevation of the QTP is over 4000 m (Fig. 1b), and the QTP
Protected areas are an effective ecological management method covers an area of >2.5 million km2 (Liu et al., 2020). The QTP thins
through protecting the landscape, but their contribution to SDGs around about 2800 km long, north and south about 300–1500 km wide. The annual
protected areas is not clear. On the one hand, protected areas provide im- mean temperature and precipitation are 1.61 °C and 413.6 mm, respec-
portant ecosystem services (ESs) and thus have important links with re- tively. The plateau plays an essential role in ecological security and is also
gional sustainable development. The interaction between ESs and SDGs the foundation for highland species husbandry (The State Council
has been extensively detected. Xu et al. (2022b) identified the impact of ur- Information Office of the People's Republic of China, 2018). The plateau
banization on the relationship between ESs and SDGs and demonstrated spans Qinghai, Tibet, Gansu, Sichuan, Xinjiang and Yunnan Provinces or
that the urbanization significantly impact the ESs' contributions to SDGs. autonomous regions, with 38 prefecture-level municipalities (Fig. 1c). By
Wood et al. (2017) suggested that ESs could play an important role in real- 2018, China had established 155 nature reserves at various levels in the
izing 41 sub-goals among 12 SDGs. However, there are different voices sug- QTP, including 41 NNRs and 64 provincial ones. Nature reserves cover an
gesting that the relationship between ESs and SDGs is not synergistic area of 822, 400 km2, similar to 31.63 % of the QTP. Nature reserves
(Reyers and Selig, 2020; Xu et al., 2020), indicating a complex mechanism have significantly promoted the ecological security of the plateau and re-
from ESs to SDGs. On the other hand, the landscape pattern of protected gional sustainability, and improved human well-beings (The State Council
areas is the basis of ES supply, and may also affect the realization of regional Information Office of the People's Republic of China, 2018).
SDGs, especially in less developed areas and ecological fragile areas (Hou
et al., 2021). As one of the measures of land use management, landscape 2.2. Quantifying ES supply
pattern optimization has been proved to be an important measure to en-
hance the regional ecological conservation and sustainable development Carbon sequestration, water yield, soil retention, habitat provision, and
(Gao and Brayan, 2017; Ouyang et al., 2022; Zhang et al., 2022a). Land- landscape aesthetics were chosen to comprehensively characterize the ES
scape pattern indices, such as largest patch index, edge density, and supply of NNRs in the QTP. The selection was based on following princi-
perimeter–area ratio, are widely used to identify the spatial pattern of ples: (1) these ESs could reflect the ecological information of NNRs;
land cover features of protected areas (Tomaselli et al., 2012). However, (2) these ESs play an essential role and in accordance with ecological im-
the relationship between landscape pattern and SDGs is still unclear. portance of QTP; (3) these ESs could be quantified and compared among
China has emphasized that sustainable ecosystems through construct- different cities.
ing protected area system are fundamental to human well-being improve-
ment and national development (Chen, 2020). The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau 2.2.1. Carbon sequestration
(QTP) is important to the ecological security for the entire Asian continent In the study, the carbon sequestration was evaluated by net primary
(Teng et al., 2018). A variety of protected areas have been established in the productivity (NPP). NPP is the amount of organic matter accumulated by

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Y. Liu et al. Science of the Total Environment 881 (2023) 163535

Fig. 1. The location (a), national nature reserves (b) and prefecture-level municipalities (c) of the QTP.

vegetation in unit area and unit time, which is an important link in the car- parameter estimation refers to previous studies (Zhang et al., 2007; Zhao
bon feedback between the terrestrial biosphere and the atmosphere (Liu et al., 2018).
et al., 2018; Xu et al., 2022b). NPP values were obtained using the Carnegie
Ames Stanford Approach (Potter et al., 1993), which is widely used to eval- 2.2.3. Soil retention
uated carbon sequestration because the approach is relatively simple, and Soil loss could cause ecological problems by affecting the health of eco-
most parameters can be calculated from remote sensing images. The systems. Soil retention (SR) becomes an important ES for ecological fragile
CASA model is described as follows: areas. SR can be estimated from the difference between potential and actual
soil erosion. In this study, the sediment delivery ratio module of InVEST
NPP ¼ ∑½APARðtÞ  εðt Þ (1) was employed for SR evaluation. The module simulates the amount of an-
nual soil loss on grid point x, USLE(x), based on the revised universal soil
loss equation:
where APAR(t) is the absorbed photosynthetically active radiation in
month t, ε(t) is the light utilization efficiency in month t. The detailed cal- USLEðxÞ ¼ RðxÞ  K ðxÞ  LSðxÞ  C ðxÞ  PðxÞ (3)
culations for parameters refer to references (Mohamed et al., 2004; Zhu
et al., 2007). SRðxÞ ¼ SLPðxÞ  USLEðxÞ (4)

2.2.2. Water yield where R(x) is rainfall erosivity, K(x) is soil erodibility, LS(x) is the slope
Fresh water supply is an essential ES that contribute to human length-gradient factor, C(x) is a crop-management factor, P(x) is the sup-
wellbeing. Moreover, in view of the important role of QTP in the Asian port practice factor, SR(x) is soil retention, and SLP(x) is potential soil
water cycle, water sources within the region are often included in the cov- loss. The parameters can be calculated using the method of previous refer-
erage of NNRs. In this study, water yield (WY) was obtained using the mod- ences (Hou et al., 2021; Liu et al., 2019).
ule in InVEST (3.7.0). The model calculated WY values based on Budyko
curve and meteorological parameters, which evaluates the annual value 2.2.4. Habitat quality
in each unit of the targeted region. The module uses data mainly on precip- Biodiversity conservation is a key goal of protected area system. QTP is
itation, reference evapotranspiration, land use map, root depth, plant avail- also a global biodiversity hotspot, where habitat quality (HQ) plays an es-
able water content (Liu et al., 2019). The annual water yield for each pixel sential role in biodiversity maintenance. This study used HQ as a proxy
on the landscape is as follows: for biodiversity, identifying the extent of habitat and vegetation types
across the study area, and the degradation state (Natural Capital Project,
WY ðxÞ ¼ PðxÞ  AET ðxÞ (2) 2022). The HQ module of InVEST was employed to combine land use
data and threats to biodiversity to simulate HQ maps (Natural Capital
Project, 2022).
where WY(x) is the annual water yield for grid x, P(x) is the annual precip-
itation on pixel x, and AET(x) is the annual actual evapotranspiration for !!
Dzxj
pixel x. For vegetated land cover, the evapotranspiration portion of the Qxj ¼ H j 1  (5)
Dzxf þ K z
water balance is based on an expression of the Budyko curve. The

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Y. Liu et al. Science of the Total Environment 881 (2023) 163535

where Qxj is the habitat quality in parcel x that is in landscape j, Hj is the performer by referring previous studies (Liu and Yuan, 2023; Sachs et al.,
habitat suitability of landscape j, Dxj is the total threat level in parcel x 2018). The equation used is as follows:
with landscape j, z is 2.5, k constant is the half-saturation constant. The de-
tails of the parameter settings are given in the reference (Natural Capital xi  xmin
x¼  100 (6)
Project, 2022). xmax  xmin

2.2.5. Landscape aesthetics where xi is the raw SDG indicator value, xmax and xmin represent the target
The scenic views of landscape of protected areas could contribute to the value and baseline value, respectively, and x is the normalized value. After
well-being of local communities and tourism in many aspects. Landscape data normalization, all SDG indicators can be compared, and a higher value
aesthetics (LA) plays an essential role in boosting local economies by of SDG indicators represents a higher level of SDG achievement, that is, a
attracting tourists. This study used the scenic quality module of InVEST better performance.
3.7.0 to assess LA. The module estimates impacted visibility values in sev-
eral steps: 1) calculate the visibility for each point and determine the 2.5. Identifying SDG interactions
value of the visibility amenity/disamenity by weighting the visibility and
applying the valuation function defined in the user interface; 2) sum the Since SDGs were originally conceived as a whole, the complex in-
valuation rasters to create a weighted aggregate; 3) divide the weighted, ag- teractions among SDGs are inevitable. We used the Spearman correla-
gregate valuation raster into quartiles to create a raster representing visual tion analysis to identify the relationship between SDG indicators of
quality; 4) weight and sum the visibility rasters from all structures points to prefecture-level cities. At the same time, we conducted significance
create a weighted sum of the number of visible points. The parameters test to identify the relationship between SDGs. If a correlation coeffi-
needed to run the module are detailed described in the reference (Natural cient is larger than 0.5, the relationship between SDGs is synergy. If a
Capital Project, 2022). correlation coefficient is smaller than −0.5, the relationship between
SDGs is trade-off (Liu and Yuan, 2023).
2.3. Specification of landscape pattern
2.6. Expounding the contributions of NNRs to SDGs
The richness of ESs in protected areas depends not only on human
choices, but also on the landscape pattern and structure. According to the We used panel data model to identify the contributions of NNRs to SDGs
meaning of indices and their ability to depict landscape patterns of NNRs, in the QTP. In contrast to general linear regression models, panel data
this study selected five landscape pattern indices, including total area models have been widely used because they not only consider the common-
(TA), largest patch index (LPI), edge density (ED), contagion index ality of the cross-sectional data, but also allow for the analysis of the indi-
(CONTAG), and Shannon's diversity index (SHDI). Specifically, TA repre- vidual particular effects of the cross-sectional factors. In our models, SDG
sents total landscape area, which is one of the most crucial indices when indicators were used as the explained variables and landscape pattern indi-
planning protected area system. LPI refers to the proportion of the largest ces and ecosystem service indicators of NNRs were used as explanatory var-
patch of a certain type in the landscape, which can indirectly reflect the di- iables. By examining the relationship between each SDG indicator, ESs and
rection of human distribution. ED represents the edge length of unit area in landscape pattern indices of NNRs, we can determine which model is bet-
the landscape. CONTAG describes the agglomeration degree or extension ter. The Hausman test was performed to help select the fixed or random ef-
trend of various land use types, including spatial information. SHDI equals fect model. When the test value is <0.05, the hypothesis is rejected at the
minus the sum, across all land use types, of the proportional abundance of 5 % significance level, and the fixed effect model is superior to the random
each land use type multiplied by the proportion. SHDI represents landscape effect model (Ouyang et al., 2022). It was finally determined that SDG
heterogeneity and is particularly sensitive to the imbalanced distribution of 1.2.1, 2.3.1, 2.3.2, 3.9.1, 6.1.1, 8.5.1, 11.5.2 and 15.1.1 applied fixed effect
patch types in study area. Landscape indices were estimated for each NNR models, and SDG 1.5.1, 8.1.1, 8.5.2, 8.9.1, 11.5.2, 11.6.2, 11.7.1, 15.1.2
by using the Fragstats 4.0 for ArcGIS in landscape level. and 15.3.1 applied random effect models. In each model, we used loga-
rithmic transformations to remove the effects of heteroscedasticity
2.4. SDG mapping and different orders of magnitude (Liu and Yuan, 2023).

The principle of selecting SDG indicators is to cover SDGs which may be 2.7. Data sources
related with protected areas as many as possible based on the availability of
data. The annual data were collected from each prefecture-level city in the The data sources used for SDG indicator calculations are described in
QTP. The SDG indicators selected and constructed in the study are pre- Table S1. The land use maps with resolution of 30 m were observed from
sented in Table S1. In order to make comparisons between SDG indicators, RESDC (http://www.resdc.cn). The digital elevation model and MODIS
we used the Min-Max normalization method to convert each SDG indicator data were downloaded from GDCS (http://www.gscloud.cn). The soil
into a value ranging from 0 to 100 (Liu et al., 2020). To minimize the pos- parameters were obtained from the China Soil Map-based Harmonized
sible effect of extreme values on both tails of the data distribution, we reset World Soil Database (http://westdc.westgis.accn). The meteorological
the maximum and minimum values for each indicator by referring to the parameters were retrieved from China Meteorological Administration
references (Xu et al., 2020). For the target values, we first selected an abso- (http://data.cma.cn).
lute or relatively quantifiable threshold for SDG indicator, such as SDG
1.2.1, 1.5.1, 3.9.1, 6.1.1, 8.5.2, 11.5.2, 11.6.2 and 15.3.1. If there is no 3. Results
obvious threshold for some SDG indicators, the average of the five best-
performing cities in the QTP was selected as the target value of SDG indica- 3.1. Spatiotemporal variations of SDG scores
tors, such as SDG 2.3.1, 2.3.2, 8.1.1, 8.5.1, 8.9.1, 10.1.1, 11.7.1, 15.1.1 and
15.1.2. What needs to be emphasized is that when we focus on the index The scores vary across SDG indicators in the QTP (Fig. 2). The Keshan
comparison of the cities in the QTP. The target values determined by this disease incidence per 10,000 population (SDG 3.9.1) was the highest,
method are not necessarily applicable to other regions. Moreover, using with an average score of 90.86. The affected persons attributed to disasters
the arithmetic mean of the five best-performing cities to set targets does per 10,000 population (SDG 1.5.1), the direct economic losses caused by
not mean that those areas have achieved the corresponding targets. This ap- natural disasters as a percentage of GDP (SDG 11.5.2) and the days of air
proach is only exploratory assessment within the constraints of data avail- quality equal to or above Grade II (SDG 11.6.2) were high, close to the
ability. Regarding baseline values, we selected the lowest 2.5th-percentile targeted values with average scores of above 74.11. The gross agricultural

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Y. Liu et al. Science of the Total Environment 881 (2023) 163535

Fig. 2. Box diagram of 17 SDG indicators. All scores were converted to scores of 0–100, with 100 indicating the best performance. The data were collected in 2010,
2015 and 2020.

product (SDG 2.3.1) achieved a score of 16.14, which was the lowest of all Fig. 3 indicates the score difference between 2010 and 2020 of each
SDG indicators. The average money wage (SDG 8.5.1) and the urban regis- city. For SDG 1.2.1, 2.3.2, 6.1.1, and 8.5.1, almost all cities obtained higher
tered unemployment rate (SDG 8.5.2) achieved a score of 28.19 and 24.42, scores in 2020 than those in 2010. For SDG 10.1.1, the scores of 2020 of
respectively, which was relatively low. each city significantly decreased compared with 2010. In addition, most

Fig. 3. The score difference between 2020 and 2010 of each city. Green squares demonstrate that the SDG indicator in 2020 is higher than that in 2010, while red squares is
opposite. White squares represent no change.

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cities exhibited an upward trend in SDG 1.5.1, 2.3.1, 8.9.1, 8.5.2, 15.1.1, which showed the most growth. Qinghai and Xinjiang followed with 11
and 11.7.1. Moreover, there were significant differences of scores among and 10 SDG indicators, respectively. Gansu and Tibet, however, each had
provinces in the QTP. The number of SDG indicator in Yunnan was 12, 9 SDG indicators of degradation.

Fig. 4. Average performance of municipalities on SDGs in 2010 (a), 2015 (b) and 2020 (c).

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Y. Liu et al. Science of the Total Environment 881 (2023) 163535

In terms of spatial pattern, the SDG score indicated a pattern of low in 3.2. SDG interactions
the west and northeast and high in the east in 2010 (Fig. 4a). Specifically,
the three highest score cities were Haidong, Guoluo and Chengdu, with Among the 17 SDG indicators, 40 pairs exhibit significant positive
an average SDG score of 57.51. The lowest three cities were all distributed correlations while 29 pairs exhibited significant negative correlations
in the east where the average SDG score was 37.91. With regional develop- (Fig. 5). The number of positive correlations was higher than that of nega-
ment, most cities experienced an increase in SDG scores in 2015 (Fig. 4b). tive ones, indicating that the prospect for achieving the SDGs in the QTP are
But there were still some cities with moderate growth, which resulted in rel- bright. Among 69 pairs correlations, 13 synergies and 6 trade-offs were ob-
atively low scores across the QTP, such as Bayingol and Linxia. Xining, served. Furthermore, among 17 SDG indicators, SDG 1.2.1 (rural poverty
Diqing and Nujiang were the top three cities with the highest score in incidence), SDG 2.3.2 (per capita disposable income of rural residents),
2015, with an average SDG score of 61.34. Moving forward to 2020, the and SDG 8.5.1 (average money wage), all had synergistic relationships
spatial pattern of SDG score had further changed. Most cities in the QTP with the 4 indicators and the mutual promotion effect was evident. How-
scored >60, located in the west, south and east (Fig. 4c). The three highest ever, there was a trade-off between SDG 10.1.1 (ratio of income of urban
score cities were Linzhi, Diqing and Chengdu, with an average SDG score of and rural residents), and the three indicators, indicating that SDG 10.1.1
68.83. However, the SDG scores of Lanzhou and Linxia, although they had is an important indicator in conflict with the other indicators (i.e., SDG
risen to 49.83 and 48.59, respectively, remained the lowest in 2020. 2.3.1, 2.3.2 and 11.7.1).

Fig. 5. Spearman correlation coefficient of SDG indicators. Blue circles and coefficients indicate a positive correlation. Red circles and coefficients indicate a negative
correlation.
Note: *, p < 0.05; **, p < 0.005; ***, p < 0.0001.

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3.3. NNRs' contributions to SDGs population scored the highest. This indicates that the prevention and con-
trol of Keshan disease in the QTP is effective. Additionally, SDG 1.5.1,
Panel data model analysis of 17 SDG indicators showed that 11 indica- 11.5.2 and 11.6.2 all scored high, mainly due to the effective disaster pre-
tors were significantly correlated with landscape pattern and ESs of NNRs vention and mitigation efforts and the blue sky protection campaign carried
in the QTP (Table 1). 8 SDG indicators were significantly affected by the out in China in recent years (Qiu, 2014; Shi et al., 2016; Wang et al., 2021).
ESs of NNRs, while 8 were affected by landscape patterns. Specifically, At the provincial level, the number of increasing SDG indicators in both
the NPP of NNRs significantly affected 6 SDG indicators, namely, SDG Tibet and Gansu from 2010 to 2020 was eight, the lowest among the prov-
1.2.1, 3.9.1, 6.1.1, 8.5.2, 11.5.2 and 15.1.2. HQ and SR were the other inces in the QTP, putting SDG performance in a situation close to 50–50
two ESs that affected the SDG indicators and had a significant effect on (Fig. 3). One possible reason is that Tibet and Gansu have lagged in eco-
the three SDG indicators, respectively. In terms of landscape pattern indi- nomic and social development compared to other regions, leading to a lag
ces, TA and LPI affected five and four SDG indicators, respectively. TA in the SDG performance, with their GDP ranking 22nd and last among
had a significant positive effect on SDG 1.5.1 and SDG 8.5.1, but a signifi- China's 31 provinces and municipalities in 2020, respectively. Previous
cant negative effect on SDG 2.3.1, 2.3.2 and 15.1.1. LPI had a significant studies have generally taken a national or provincial scale and lacked sup-
negative effect on SDG 2.3.1 and a significant positive effect on SDG port for the sustainability of specific cities (Wu et al., 2022; Xu et al.,
6.1.1, 11.5.2 and 15.1.2. Additionally, CONTAG and SHDI were found to 2020). At the municipal level, our study indicated that most cities (about
have a significant effect on only one SDG indicator, SDG 15.1.1, forest 84 %) improved twelve to fourteen SDG indicators from 2010 to 2020
cover rate and SDG 15.1.2, the area of wetland ecological nature reserve ac- (Figs. 3 and 4). However, Lhasa, Chengdu and Deyang all had 6 SDG in-
counts for the proportion of forestry system nature reserve area. dicator deterioration. Therefore, our study also points out areas of
weakness for these cities to implement targeted measures to improve
4. Discussion their level of sustainability.

4.1. SDG performance of the QTP 4.2. Relationship between SDG indicators

This study could assist in evaluating and understanding the SDG perfor- There were more synergies than tradeoffs between SDG indicators in
mance. For the QTP overall, the performance of SDGs varied, and some this study (Fig. 5). This finding has been confirmed by other studies (Liu
were at relatively low levels, such as SDG 2.3.1, 15.1.2, 8.5.2 and 8.5.1 and Yuan, 2023; Weitz et al., 2018; Zhao et al., 2021), but contrary to
(Fig. 2). Among them, SDG 15.1.2, the area of wetland ecological nature re- some previous studies that tradeoffs are dominating (Bowen et al., 2017;
serve accounts for the proportion of forestry system nature reserve area, is Gao and Brayan, 2017). Urban and Hametner (2022) demonstrated that
limited by natural conditions, so there is no need to pay too much attention the synergistic relationship between SDG 8 and SDG 12 was found in
to it. However, SDG 2.3.1, 8.5.2 and 15.1.2 involve agricultural develop- Austria. At the same time, they also found that SDG 15, 2 and 6 produced
ment, employment and people's income. Policy makers are therefore a synergistic relationship within the economy-environment nexus, but no
advised to deal with it through agricultural modernization (Liu et al., significance was detected in our results. Fu et al. (2019) divided 17 SDGs
2022b), creating employment opportunities (D’Arco et al., 2021), strength- into three groups, including “Essential Needs” “Objectives”, and “Gover-
ening the economic compensation (Zhang et al., 2020), and broadening nance”, based on the theory of coupled human and natural systems. SDG
residents' income channels (Xu et al., 2014). Our results showed that indicators selected in our study mostly belong to “Essential Needs” (SDG
the performance of SDG 3.9.1 for Keshan disease incidence per 10,000 6 and SDG 15) and “Objectives” (SDG 1, 3, 8 and 10). Zhang et al.

Table 1
Estimation results of the panel data models.
SDG 1.2.1 SDG 1.5.1 SDG 2.3.1 SDG 2.3.2 SDG 3.9.1 SDG 6.1.1 SDG 8.5.1 SDG 8.5.2 SDG 11.5.2 SDG 15.1.1 SDG 15.1.2

NPP 0.229⁎ −0.042 −0.257 −0.172 −0.809⁎ 0.186⁎ −0.206 0.497⁎⁎ 0.141⁎⁎⁎ −0.381 1.889⁎⁎⁎
(0.023) (0.435) (0.405) (0.213) (0.015) (0.010) (0.237) (0.007) (0.000) (0.261) (0.000)
WY 0.012 −0.072 −0.117 −0.085 0.060 0.005 −0.196 −0.215 −0.057 −0.018 0.348
(0.882) (0.104) (0.587) (0.440) (0.818) (0.932) (0.157) (0.145) (0.066) (0.896) (0.372)
SR −0.050 −0.009 0.006 0.041 0.213 −0.070⁎ 0.006 −0.154 −0.002 0.096⁎ −0.444⁎
(0.263) (0.709) (0.067) (0.514) (0.149) (0.034) (0.940) (0.060) (0.930) (0.016) (0.021)
HQ −0.250 0.059 −0.235 −0.017 1.007 −0.168 0.217 −0.701⁎ −0.175⁎ 0.195 −2.203⁎⁎
(0.161) (0.541) (0.629) (0.944) (0.090) (0.187) (0.487) (0.034) (0.0112) (0.301) (0.008)
LA −0.011 0.036⁎ −0.114 0.010 0.142 0.025 0.060 0.086 0.004 0.052⁎ 0.084
(0.702) (0.025) (0.132) (0.803) (0.140) (0.228) (0.241) (0.114) (0.737) (0.045) (0.539)
TA −0.043 0.045⁎ −0.463⁎⁎⁎ −0.148⁎ 0.036 0.015 0.141⁎ 0.004 0.017 −12.1285⁎⁎ −0.006
(0.288) (0.049) (0.000) (0.011) (0.789) (0.611) (0.049) (0.958) (0.287) (0.003) (0.978)
LPI 0.009 −0.019 −0.935⁎ −0.108 −0.356 0.334⁎⁎ 0.004 0.278 0.153⁎ −0.2624 1.555⁎
(0.958) (0.832) (0.027) (0.629) (0.499) (0.005) (0.988) (0.344) (0.018) (0.132) (0.046)
ED −0.336 0.050 −0.445 −0.176 −0.183 −0.017 0.165 −0.109 −0.044 0.083 −0.946
(0.057) (0.603) (0.320) (0.469) (0.749) (0.889) (0.584) (0.730) (0.517) (0.498) (0.199)
CONTAG 0.090 −0.096 −0.789 0.251 0.882 0.151 0.037 0.101 −0.107 0.445⁎ −0.767
(0.788) (0.608) (0.360) (0.608) (0.425) (0.522) (0.949) (0.870) (0.506) (0.042) (0.599)
SHDI 0.392 −0.199 −0.275 0.195 −0.284 0.302 −0.438 0.125 0.088 0.008 2.518⁎
(0.088) (0.110) (0.643) (0.539) (0.705) (0.063) (0.270) (0.764) (0.321) (0.963) (0.016)
Cons 3.707 5.639⁎⁎⁎ 13.570⁎⁎ 3.531 1.813 1.274 4.306 3.326 4.534⁎⁎⁎ 10.037⁎⁎ −4.461
(0.058) (0.000) (0.008) (0.195) (0.773) (0.346) (0.197) (0.339) (0.000) (0.002) (0.600)
N 70 70 71 70 72 70 71 70 66 71 70
R2 0.210 0.322 0.490 0.172 0.162 0.309 0.287 0.362 0.300 0.547 0.125
Type FE RE FE FE FE FE FE RE FE FE RE

Notes: N represents the sample size; p-values in parentheses; FE denotes a fixed effect model; RE denotes a random effect model.
⁎ p < 0.05.
⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.001.

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Y. Liu et al. Science of the Total Environment 881 (2023) 163535

(2022b) demonstrated that SDG 6 and SDG 15 played a significant role in planning and management of protected areas to promote synergies
the “Essential Needs”, SDG 1, 5 and 10 played a significant role in the “Ob- between ES and local sustainable development (Gatiso et al., 2022). There-
jectives”, and found that the SDGs in “Essential Needs” & “Objectives” gen- fore, systems-based management, combining ES improvement and land-
erally showed synergies in the QTP, which is why our results were similar. scape pattern optimization should be adopted, which has been confirmed
In addition, in recent years, national policy guidance has been issued for the by the study in Southern Italy (D’Arco et al., 2021). To fully achieve
QTP. That is, ecological conservation is at the core, and the construction of SDGs, we suggest that the construction and planning of protected areas in
protected areas is considered an essential tool for ecological conservation the QTP should optimize landscape patterns and enhancing ecosystem
(Xu et al., 2022a). Through measures such as sustainable livelihood and conservation, thus improving ES supply. Also, SDG management needs
green industry development, the concept of ecological conservation has to acknowledge and eliminate potential trade-offs between SDGs
been integrated into multiple dimensions of social and economic develop- (Urban and Hametner, 2022).
ment (Li et al., 2020; Mi et al., 2021). This may be another reason why
paired SDG indicator are mostly synergies.
4.4. Limitations and future research directions
4.3. Protected areas' contributions to SDGs and management implications
To promote SDG performance in the QTP, we proposed the “ESs- and
landscape pattern-based assessment” for protected areas' contributions to
Most previous research on the SDGs in China has been done from the
SDGs. The data required for our framework is simple, the logic of the anal-
perspective of an comprehensive analysis of society (Xu et al., 2020;
ysis is clear, and it can facilitate and quickly carry out similar studies in
Zhang et al., 2022b; Zhao et al., 2021), or economic and social aspects
other regions of the world, as well as provide an effective reference for
(Liu et al., 2022a). This study, by focusing on protected areas in plateau
studies of the correlation between protected areas and SDGs. In the study,
area, provides a comprehensive analysis of the sustainability of the SDGs
landscape pattern indices and ES proxies were used to represent the charac-
in the QTP with available data. Protected areas are crucial conservation
teristics of protected areas, and to establish a relationship with SDG indica-
strategies and have socioeconomic impacts on people living in and around
tors. Applying such an analytical framework is to seek out and determine
them. The spread of benefits to areas outside protected areas is often negli-
the protected areas' contributions to SDGs. However, due to data limita-
gible (den Braber et al., 2018). Table 1 showed that landscape indices, rep-
tions, many characteristics of protected areas, such as flagship species, con-
resenting dominant patch significance (LPI), dominant patch connectivity
servation objectives and development plans, have not been considered.
(CONTAG) and landscape fragmentation (SHDI), significantly increased a
Therefore, the subsequent analysis of the protected area-SDG linkage mech-
certain number of SDGs, indicating that protected area has a certain promo-
anism still needs to be strengthened. Additionally, the relationship between
tion effect on the realization of regional SDGs through landscape pattern.
ESs and SDGs can be affected by other factors such as urbanization, ecosys-
Previous studies on landscape pattern have also found that suitable land-
tem health, and climate change which has been proven to have a significant
scape patterns are beneficial for economic development and ecological
impact on the relationship between ESs and economic and ecological SDGs
conservation (Fohrer et al., 2005; Fu and Zhou, 2008; Sharma and Singh,
(Hernández-Blanco et al., 2022; Manley and Egoh, 2022; Xu et al., 2022b).
1994), which is similar to the SDGs to some extent. However, the increase
The complex interaction mechanisms and drivers between ESs and SDGs
of TA (total area of NNRs) could reduce the SDG 2.3.1 (gross agricultural
deserve attention in future studies. Moreover, starting in 2015, China
product) and SDG 2.3.2 (per capita disposable income of rural residents),
launched 10 pilot national parks to conserve the natural environment and
which indicated that the establishment of protected areas would reduce
biodiversity. Both the Three-River-Source National Park and the Qilian
the local agricultural development and farmers' income to some extent.
Mountain National Park are involved in integrating various nature reserves
This finding is consistent with a previous study (Brockington and Wilkie,
in the pilot project to protect the ecology and improve human welfare in the
2015). The construction of protected areas will inevitably compress
QTP. Previous studies have shown the impact of national park construction
the environment and opportunities for agricultural development, result-
on residents' income and tourism development in the SDGs (D’Arco et al.,
ing in the above situation.
2021; Zhang et al., 2022a). However, this study was limited to data acqui-
This study can help protected area management perform more targeted
sition and failed to include pilot areas of national parks in the evaluation.
policies. For the QTP, natural habitat is an essential basis for maintaining
We will further explore the impact of national parks on the achievement
biodiversity (Liu et al., 2020). But our results indicated that protected
of regional Sustainable Development Goals.
areas with higher habitat quality tended to have higher unemployment
and higher natural disasters as a percentage of GDP (Table 1). This is be-
cause protected areas are often under strict ecological conservation mea- 5. Conclusions
sures, and effective responses to natural disasters require a combination
of social and engineering measures, which is where these areas are weak. Evaluating the NNRs' contributions to SDGs can assist understand the
Based on the characteristics of regional natural disasters, more targeted linkage mechanism between SDG performance and ecological conservation
management can be implemented in protected areas to improve response instruments. Since most SDG studies do not consider the impact of
capacity. In addition, NPP significantly increased five SDG indicators and protected areas on SDGs, it is difficult to provide comprehensive support
SR and LA each increased two SDG indicators (Table 1). The above demon- for the formulation of regional sustainable development policies. To solve
strated that a synergistic relationship between ES supply of protected area this question, we assessed and analyzed spatiotemporal variations of
and regional sustainable development could be achieved, which is consis- SDGs and identifying the contributions of NNRs to achieving SDGs in
tent with previous studies in China (Liu et al., 2022a; Xu et al., 2022b; QTP, considering ESs and landscape pattern. Our results indicate that the
Zhang et al., 2022a). However, under the dual effects of human activities overall level of SDG performance in the QTP has been effectively improved
and climate change, the change of NPP in the QTP may change from up- from 2010 to 2020, but several cities are still at low levels. The top three cit-
ward to downward, and the increase of NPP may also cause local water re- ies with the best SDG performance improved their average scores by nearly
source overconsumption, thus threatening the sustainable development 20 %. The number of paired SDG indicators with synergistic relationships
(Ma et al., 2022). In the UK, as early as around 2002, Scottish National was significantly higher than the number of trade-off ones, suggesting
Park management policies were written to co-ordinate the promotion of so- that multiple SDGs can be jointly promoted by targeted management deci-
cial and economic development in the communities where protected land- sions. Furthermore, about 65 % of SDG indicators were significantly corre-
scapes were located with the conservation of natural and cultural heritage lated with landscape pattern and ESs of NNRs, which gave us the possibility
(Janssen, 2009; McCarthy et al., 2002). Studies in the African and to enhance regional sustainability through the optimization and manage-
European protected areas suggested that investment should be enhance- ment of protected area system. Our “ESs- and landscape pattern- based as-
ment in management and involvement of local communities in the sessment” framework not only provides a way to assess the contributions

9
Y. Liu et al. Science of the Total Environment 881 (2023) 163535

of protected areas to SDGs, but it also provides appropriate support for de- Sustainable Development in the European Union—Monitoring Report on Progress To-
wards the SDGs in an EU Context—2022 Edition.
cision makers, by identifying weaknesses in SDG performance in cities. Hernández-Blanco, M., Costanza, R., Chen, H., Jarvis, D., Kubiszewski, I., Montoya, J.,
Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi. Sangha, K., Stoeckl, N., Turner, K., deGroot, D., van ‘t Hoff, V., 2022. Ecosystem health,
org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163535. ecosystem services, and the well-being of humans and the rest of nature. Glob. Chang.
Biol. 28, 5027–5040.
Hoffmann, S., 2022. Challenges and opportunities of area-based conservation in
CRediT authorship contribution statement reaching biodiversity and sustainability goals. Biodivers. Conserv. 31, 325–352.
Hou, Y., Zhao, W., Liu, Y., Yang, S., Hu, X., Cherubini, F., 2021. Relationships of multiple
landscape services and their influencing factors on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau.
Yuanxin Liu and Yihe Lü designed the study. Yuanxin Liu and Xiao Landsc. Ecol. 36, 1987–2005.
Zhang collected the data, formed most of the data analysis, and drafted Hua, T., Zhao, W., Cherubini, F., Hu, X., Pereira, P., 2021. Sensitivity and future exposure of
ecosystem services to climate change on the Tibetan plateau of China. Landsc. Ecol. 36,
the manuscript. Bojie Fu coordinated and supervised the study. 3451–3471.
Janssen, J., 2009. Sustainable development and protected landscapes: the case of the
Data availability Netherlands. Int J Sust Dev World 16, 37–47.
Li, S., Zhang, H., Zhou, X., Yu, H., Li, W., 2020. Enhancing protected areas for biodiversity and
ecosystem services in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau. Ecosyst. Serv. 43, 101090.
Data will be made available on request. Liu, H., Mi, Z., Lin, L., Wang, Y., Zhang, Z., Zhang, F., Wang, H., Liu, L., Zhu, B., Cao, G., Zhao,
X., Sanders, N.J., Classen, A.T., Reich, P.B., He, J.-S., 2018. Shifting plant species compo-
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Declaration of competing interest Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 115, 4051–4056.
Liu, X., Yuan, M., 2023. Assessing progress towards achieving the transport dimension of the
SDGs in China. Sci. Total Environ. 858, 159752.
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial inter- Liu, X., Zhao, W., Liu, Y., Hua, T., Hu, X., Cherubini, F., 2022a. Contributions of ecological
ests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the programs to sustainable development goals in linzhi, over the tibetan plateau: a mental
work reported in this paper. map perspective. Ecol. Eng. 176, 106532.
Liu, Y., Lü, Y., Fu, B., Harris, P., Wu, L., 2019. Quantifying the spatio-temporal drivers of
planned vegetation restoration on ecosystem services at a regional scale. Sci. Total Envi-
Acknowledgments ron. 650, 1029–1040.
Liu, Y., Lü, Y., Jiang, W., Zhao, M., 2020. Mapping critical natural capital at a regional scale
spatiotemporal variations and the effectiveness of priority conservation. Environ. Res.
We thank the editor and anonymous reviewers for their constructive Lett. 15, 124025.
comments, which helped us to improve the manuscript. This work was sup- Liu, Y.J., Lv, S., Chen, J., Zhang, J., Qiu, S.J., Hu, Y.F., Ge, Q.S., 2022b. Spatio-temporal dif-
ported by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research ferentiation of agricultural modernization and its driving mechanism on the Qinghai-
Tibet plateau. Acta Geograph. Sin. 77, 214–227 (in Chinese).
(STEP) program (2019QZKK0308) and the Strategic Priority Research Pro-
Ma, Z.X., Cui, H.J., Ge, Q.S., 2022. Prediction of net primary productivity change pattern in
gram of Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDA20020402). China based on vegetation dynamic models. Acta Geograph. Sin. 77 (7), 1821–2836 (in
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