Professional Documents
Culture Documents
By
Vikram C Dixit
Roll No.D1F20
At
2019-2021
Acknowledgement
It is a matter of Great Pleasure for me in submitting the project report on “Equity
Analysis of I.T. Sector in India” for the fulfillment of the requirement of my course from
Motilal Oswal securities.
I wish to express my deep sense of gratitude to Dr. Komal Singh for her excellent guidance
during the period of this project work was invaluable.
I express my sincere thanks to the whole Motilal Oswal Securities for giving me all the
facilities during my project and helping & guiding me during my whole internship period.
Date:15/4/2021
This is to certify that Mr. Vikram Dixit is a bonafide student of this Institute and has
successfully completed his project entitled Equity Analysis of I.T. Sector in India at Motilal
Oswal Financial Services Ltd. for partial fulfillment of the course Master of Business
Administration (Finance), affiliated to Savitribai Phule Pune University from Indira School of
Business Studies,Pune
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Executive Summary
Equity analysis of IT sector in India. Was done at Motilal Oswal Securities. The objectives
of the project are to analyze the financial health of selected IT companies’ stock. To
examine the growth of IT sector in Indian capital market. To prepare comparative study of
top IT companies. To find out potentiality of selected companies through current ratios. To
check company’s performance on the basis of historical data. The methodology adopted is
the use of Secondary data. It refers to data which is collected from the various websites and
published publicly available data on companies. The learning from the project are that the
stock market is a very volatile market; It is not for an investor looking for making a quick
buck; It is vastly dependent on the research which is conducted before the investment is
made;The average returns expected from the equity market is 14- 16%.The project is been
helpful to the organization as the organization has also been able to concentrate on the IT
sector. It has helped to re-initiate the focus on the IT sector. The project has given a fresh
and new perspective on the IT sector investments. In the COVID-19 crisis, the I.T. sector
has shown great resilience and the ability to quickly bounce back from a crisis. It has also
shown the ability to adapt as after the unlock started, the sector is almost completely back at
full speed.In conclusion this project has been helpful in understanding the basics of the
equity market. It has proved to be a very important in understanding the basics of
investments. It has also shown how the stocks and the shares move. The sentiments and the
emotions that are attached in investments of the investors, which prove to be the moving
factor in the market. The IT sector is vastly dependent on the US market. Most of the
projects of the IT sector come from the outsourcing that takes place. This is done in order to
save money. The market remuneration is cheaper in the Indian market than the US and UK
market.
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Index / Table of Contents
1 Introduction 1
2 Sector Analysis 4
3 Company Analysis 9
company)
Background
6 Objectives 28
7 Research Methodology 30
Project
11 Recommendations 51
5
12 -Bibliography 54
-Appendices
List of Tables
1 Infosys Ratios 42
2 TCS Ratios 42
3 Wipro Ratios 43
4 Tech Mahindra 43
6
List of Figures
6 PESTEL Analysis 31
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Chapter 1: Introduction
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Introduction
In this ever-changing world, Indian Economy is standing out and growing at a
phenomenal rate. Today each and every citizen of India is earning more. Thus,
today’s generation wants to save and invest more.
But today’s investor is not aware about the pitfalls of the equity market but is
genuinely trying to know them. When the investor looks hard enough and does
all the research and homework correctly, there is still a chance for growth in the
market.
The price of a security is the price at which one person agrees to buy and another
agrees to sell. The price at which an investor is willing to buy or sell depends
primarily on his expectations. If he expects the security's price to rise, he will buy
it; if the investor expects the price to fall, he will sell it. These simple statements
are the cause of a major challenge in forecasting security prices, because they
refer to human expectations.
They follow or predict a trend in the stock and use strategies like buy-low, sell-
high and make profits.
Though there is really no right or wrong type of stock trading, it is necessary for
investors to identify which type of trading is right for them. They can make a
great amount of money either way however, they must consider their time frame,
risk, and how much work they want to put into it.
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SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY –
This project studies various methods used to evaluate the stocks that are present
in the IT sector. It also helps in understanding the various factors that affect the
share prices of the companies that are present. It also studies why the companies
selected in the IT sector are the leaders in the aforementioned field.
The study also is helpful in understanding the mentality of the investors. It
shows the insights of what are the various commanding factors that are
responsible for the variations that occur in the stock price of the IT
companies in the IT sector.
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Chapter 2: Sector Analysis
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Sector Analysis
OVERVIEW OF THE INDUSTRY/SECTOR –
Indian IT sector consist of the two major components which are IT services and
the BPO Industries which stands for Business Process Outsourcing.
India's IT Services industry was born in Mumbai in 1967 with the establishment
of the Tata Group in partnership with Burroughs.
The first software export zone, SEEPZ – the precursor to the modern-day IT
park – was established in Mumbai in 1973. More than 80 percent of the
country's software exports were from SEEPZ in the 1980s.
The Indian economy underwent major economic reforms in 1991, leading to a
new era of globalization and international economic integration, and annual
economic growth of over 6% from 1993– 2002. The new administration under
Sri Atal Bihari Vajpayee placed the development of Information Technology
among its top five priorities and formed the Indian National Task Force on
Information Technology and Software Development.
Major Technological Hub to be Present in India are:
1. Bangalore
Known as the Silicon Valley of India, it is the most prominent IT Hub if
India. Notable tech park are Electronics City Phase I & II, ITPL, Bagmane
Tech Park, Embassy Golf Links, Manyata Tech Park, Global Village Tech
Park, Embassy TechVillage.
2. Pune
The Rajiv Gandhi IT park in Hinjewadi is the major IT park present in the
city which is built on the massive 28,00-acre land.
It is a project by the MIDC of India. As of 2017, it employees more than
300,000 people in the city.
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3. Chennai
As of 2012, Chennai is India's second-largest exporter of information
technology (IT) and business process outsourcing (BPO) services. Tidel Park
in Chennai was billed as Asia's largest IT park when it was built. Major
software companies have their offices set up here, with some of them making
Chennai their largest base.
4. Hyderabad
Hyderabad – known for the HITEC City or Cyberabad – is a major global
information technology hub, and the largest bioinformatics hub in India.
Hyderabad has emerged as the second largest city in the country for software
exports pipping competitors Chennai and Pune. Notable tech and pharma
parks are HITEC City, Genome Valley, and Hyderabad Pharma City.
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The growth and prosperity of India's IT industry depends on some crucial
factors. These factors are as follows:
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Top Players of the IT Sector:
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Chapter 3: Company Analysis
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Company Analysis
1) Infosys
Infosys Limited (Infosys), formerly Infosys Technologies Limited, provides business consulting,
technology, engineering and outsourcing services. Its end-to-end business solutions include
consulting and systems integration comprising consulting, enterprise solutions, systems
integration and advanced technologies; business information technology (IT) services consisting
application development and maintenance, independent validation services, infrastructure
management, engineering services comprising product engineering and life cycle solutions and
business process management; products, business platforms and solutions, including Finacle, its
banking product, which offers solutions to address core banking, mobile banking and e-banking
needs of retail, corporate and universal banks globally, and areas, such as cloud computing,
enterprise mobility and sustainability. On January 4, 2012, Infosys BPO Limited acquired
Portland Group Pty Ltd. In October 2012, it acquired Lodestone Holding AG..The company also
in the business segment of Financial Services, Energy & utilities, Life Sciences and Healthcare,
Consumer packaged goods and Logistics.
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Non-Executive Chairman of the Board Lead Independent Director
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Key Acquisitions
2) TCS
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billion market capitalization, and second Indian company ever (after Reliance
Industries achieved it in 2007) after its m-cap stood at Rs 6,79,332.81 crore ($102.6
billion) in Bombay Stock Exchange.
(Non-Independent, Non-Executive)
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Fig 3:-Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. Variations in Stock Price
Key Acquisitions
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3) Wipro
Wipro Limited is an Indian multinational corporation that provides information technology,
consulting and business process services. It is headquartered in Bangalore, Karnataka, India. In
2013, Wipro separated its non-IT businesses and formed the privately owned Wipro Enterprises.
Chairman C.E.O, M.D
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Key Acquisitions
1) Newlogic in 2005 for $56 Million.
2) Enabler in 2006 for $52 Million.
3) cMango Inc in 2006 for $20 Million
4) Infocrossing Inc in 2007 for $600 Million
5) SAIC Oil and Gas in 2011 for $150 Million
6) Proxima Applications in 2012 for $36 Million
7) Opus CMC in 2013 for $75 Million
8) Atco I-Tek in 2014 for $195 Million
9) Designit in 2015 for $94 Million
10) Cellent AG in 2015 for $77 Million
11) Viteos Group in 2016 for $130 Million
12) Health Plan Services in 2016 for $460 Million
13) Appirio in 2016 for $500 Million
14) Infoserver in 2017 for $8.7 Million
4) Tech Mahindra
Tech Mahindra Limited provides information technology (IT) services and solutions in the
Americas, Europe, India, and internationally. The company operates through IT Business and
Business Processing Outsourcing (BPO) segments. It offers IT outsourcing, consulting,
application outsourcing, network, infrastructure outsourcing, integrated engineering, BPO,
platform, and mobile value added services. The company also provides consulting-led integrated
portfolio services to telecom equipment manufacturers and service providers, IT infrastructure
service providers, and business process outsourcing service providers; and IT and IT-enabled
enterprise solutions. In addition, it offers IT enabled, application development and maintenance,
consulting and enterprise business solutions, extended engineering solutions, and infrastructure
management services. Further, the company provides data and analytics; IT infrastructure and
cloud services; customer experience solutions; enterprise platforms; and enterprise business
solutions. Additionally, it offers testing, telecom product engineering, digital supply chain,
performance engineering, and enterprise security and risk management services. The company
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serves insurance, banking and financial, manufacturing, telecommunication, transportation and
logistics, engineering, entertainment, and public and government sectors; and retail and
consumer goods industries. Tech Mahindra Limited has strategic partnerships with Openet,
ChampTrax, and Lucideus. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Pune, India.
M.D & C.E.O President,EMEA Business
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Fig 5:-Tech Mahindra Ltd. Variations in Stock Price
Key Acquisitions
1) Acquisition of SATYAM Computers After scandal of SATYAM computers, Mahindra
and Mahindra group acquired Satyam computers with a bid offer of Rs. 58.90 per share.
This marked the highest acquisition of TECH industry in India.
2) In 2014, Tech Mahindra acquired Lightbridge Communications Corporation (LCC), the
largest independent telecom services company in the world with local presence in over 50
countries.
3) In 2015, Tech Mahindra acquired SOFGEN Holdings, a 450- employee Swiss IT firm
serving the financial services industry.
4) Tech Mahindra purchased a controlling stake in Pininfarina S.p.A., an Italian brand in
automotive and industrial design.
5) Tech Mahindra announced the launch of its Automation Framework AQT (Automation,
Quality, Time) by March 2016, Tech Mahindra's post-tax earnings had surged past that of
M&M.
6) Tech Mahindra said it would buy financial technology firm Target Group to boost its
platform business process-as-a-service offering in the banking sector.
7) In 2017, Tech Mahindra and Midad Holdings, a part of diversified business conglomerate
Al Fozan Group today announced the launch of a joint venture, Tech Mahindra Arabia
Ltd.
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8) On the basis of a global partnership agreement signed, Tech Mahindra will market
Huawei's enterprise products and services across 44 countries including India.
9) Tech Mahindra announced that it has signed a definitive agreement to acquire CJS
Solutions Group LLC, a US-based healthcare Information Technology consulting
company which does business as (DBA) “The HCI Group.”
10) In 2019, Tech Mahindra acquired DynaCommerce BV.
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Chapter 4: News Analysis (w.r.t selected
sector & company)
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News Analysis with respect to I.T. sector
According to TeamLease Jobs & Salaries Primer Report 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has not
only impacted the employment landscape, it has disrupted the way India Inc rewards its talent.
It also discussed issues relating to inter-Regulatory coordination and reviewed the initiatives and
activities of NCFE, activities of various technical groups under FSDC-SC and functioning of
SLCCs in various states and Union Territories.
Prodded the lockdown, India’s large IT firms have ensured as many as 85% of their employees
are working from home, even while continuing to support global clients.
4) Blowout earnings spur biggest upgrades for Indian tech since 2013 (28 Jul,
2020)
Twelve-month forward earnings estimates for the 50-member S&P BSE Information Technology
Index have climbed 4.6% in July, the most since October 2013, according to calculations by
Bloomberg.
5) Nasscom seeks slew of relief measures for IT sector (07 Apr, 2020)
Nasscom urged the government to extend the Sunset Clause by one year in order to ensure that
SEZs continue to attract investment and contribute to exports and employment generation. The
industry body, which represents the $191 billion information technology sector, also said
expenses incurred by companies for enabling employees to work from home should be
considered as eligible business expenses.
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6) Coronavirus impact on economy to be like 2008 financial crisis: Former
Infosys CFO Balakrishnan (11 Mar, 2020)
"It's (now) exactly like 2008 when everything got shut down over a period of time but again
recovery then was in a V-shape because central banks and all got in and stabilised," Balakrishnan
said. "Now, central banks are helpless; interest rates are almost zero in most parts of the world...I
think the pain is going to be similar to what we saw in 2008 and we don't know how long this is
going to last."
The hiring sentiment, which had sunk by 86% from the previous half-year, is showing signs of
gradual improvement since unlock 1.0, the report stated. Until unlock 1.0 the hiring sentiment for
the current half-year (H1-April-September) was as low as 11%, however, it has improved to
18%.
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News Analysis Company
1) Infosys
Infosys fired almost on all cylinders in June quarter earnings, which gave
confidence to investors and as a result six out of 10 fund houses raised
exposure to the stock last month. (Aug 19, 2020)
2) TCS
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ICICI Direct recommended hold rating on Tata Consultancy Services
with a target price of Rs 2400 in its research report dated July 10, 2020.
3) Wipro
Wipro shares rise over 4% on multi-year contract from Marelli (Sep 08,2020)
Wipro and Marelli have entered into a multi-year global agreement for automotive engineering
services.
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4) Tech Mahindra
Tech Mahindra, Hinduja Group's CyQureX sign global pact for cyber
security business
Under the partnership, Tech Mahindra will provide consulting, planning, designing,
integration, orchestration and automation of services and CyQureX will prioritise
capabilities in the cyber security domain, a joint statement of both the entities said.
Tech Mahindra Q1 profit jumps 21% to Rs 972 crore, revenue falls but
beats estimates (Jul 27, 2020):-
Tech Mahindra said active clients increased by 8 percent sequentially to 981 but the
headcount declined by 1,820 1,23,416 during the June quarter.
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Chapter 5: Review of Literature/
Theoretical Background
33
Review of Literature/ Theoretical Background
The Indian software exports have grown in spectacular fashion. Its success has, for
the most part, been a combination of resource endowments, a mixture of benign
neglect and active encouragement from a normally intrusive government, and good
timing. The bulk of the Indian software exports have consisted of fairly mundane
services such as low level programming and maintenance. The marked reliance on
access to low cost human capital has prompted considerable skepticism about the
ability of the Indian software industry to sustain its performance, given the rapid
growth in the demand for engineers and the relatively inelastic supply of engineers.
This paper reports on the results of research on the Indian software industry.
We use a variety of sources, including a questionnaire survey of Indian software
firms, and field visits and interviews with industry participants, observers, and US
based clients. Although, maintaining the current rate of growth will pose a number
of challenges, these challenges are not insurmountable. Not only can the available
pool of human capital be expanded by tapping and training the very large pool of
English-speaking college graduates, the leading Indian firms are making strong
efforts to move up the value chain by acquiring better software project
management capability and deeper knowledge of business domains, and reducing
costs and improving quality by developing superior methodologies and tools. The
impact of IT is not restricted to its passive contribution to GDP alone. IT
acts as a transformational agent in Indian economic development helps to promote
infrastructure like power, road, electricity etc. Growth of domestic market shows a
CAGR of 23% over 05-06. The infrastructures cost tends to going down with this
prosperous growth. But several problems like absence of active demand, scarcity in
proper infrastructure also exists. It also recognizes that a vibrant and innovative
domestic IT market is sine qua non for sustaining the countries IT industry’s
competitive advantage. IT, a fastest growing industry in India makes a significant
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contribution to GDP in
way of exportation of IT services and ITES product and becomes a preferred
global
sourcing base in this sector. But some problems are there in relation to risk
management, human capital attraction and retention and cost management. A key
demand driver for Indian IT services and ITES industry has been the changing
global
business landscape, which has exerted performance pressure on MNC enterprises.
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Chapter 6: Objectives
36
Objectives:-
1. To analyze the financial health of selected IT
companies’ stock.
2. To examine the growth of IT sector in Indian capital market.
3. To prepare comparative study of top IT companies.
4. The primary objective of equity research is to
analyze the earnings persistence.
5. To find out potentiality of selected companies
through current ratios.
6. To check company’s performance on the basis of
historical data.
Scope of Project:-
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Chapter 7: Research Methodology
38
Research Methodology:-
PESTLE Analysis :
Political Factors:
These factors are all about how and to what degree a government
intervenes in the economy or a certain industry. Basically all the
influences that a government has on your business could be classified
here. This can include government policy, political stability or instability,
corruption, foreign trade policy, tax policy, labour law, environmental
law and trade restrictions. Furthermore, the government may have a
profound impact on a nation’s education system, infrastructure and health
regulations. These are all factors that need to be taken into account when
assessing the attractiveness of a potential market.
Economic Factors:
Economic factors are determinants of a certain economy’s performance.
Factors include economic growth, exchange rates, inflation rates, interest
rates, disposable income of consumers and unemployment rates. These
factors may have a direct or indirect long term impact on a company,
since it affects the purchasing power of consumers and could possibly
change demand/supply models in the economy. Consequently, it also
affects the way companies’ price their products and services.
Social Factors:
This dimension of the general environment represents the demographic
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characteristics, norms, customs and values of the population within which
the organization operates. This includes population trends such as the
population growth rate, age distribution, income distribution, career
attitudes, safety emphasis, health consciousness, lifestyle attitudes and
cultural barriers.
These factors are especially important for marketers when targeting
certain customers. In addition, it also says something about the local
workforce and its willingness to work under certain conditions.
Technological Factors:
These factors pertain to innovations in technology that may affect the
operations of the industry and the market favorably or unfavorably. This
refers to technology incentives, the level of innovation, automation,
research and development (R&D) activity, technological change and the
amount of technological awareness that a market possesses. These
factors may influence decisions to enter or not enter certain industries, to
launch or not launch certain products or to outsource production
activities abroad. By knowing what is going on technology-wise, you
may be able to prevent your company from spending a lot of money on
developing a technology that would become obsolete very soon due to
disruptive technological changes elsewhere.
Environmental Factors:
Environmental factors have come to the forefront only relatively recently.
They have become important due to the increasing scarcity of raw
materials, pollution targets and carbon footprint targets set by
governments. These factors include ecological and environmental aspects
such as weather, climate, environmental offsets and climate change
which may especially affect industries such as tourism, farming,
agriculture and insurance. Furthermore, growing awareness of the
potential impacts of climate change is affecting how companies operate
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and the products they offer. This has led to many companies getting more
and more involved in practices such as corporate social responsibility
(CSR) and sustainability
Legal Factors:
Although these factors may have some overlap with the political factors,
they include more specific laws such as discrimination laws, antitrust
laws, employment laws, consumer protection laws, copyright and patent
laws, and health and safety laws. It is clear that companies need to know
what is and what is not legal in order to trade successfully and ethically.
If an organization trades globally this becomes especially tricky since
each country has its own set of rules and regulations. In addition, you
want to be aware of any potential changes in legislation and the impact it
may have on your business in the future. Recommended is to have a legal
advisor.
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Chapter 8: Data Analysis/ Data
visualization, Results and Interpretation
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Financial analysis:
Ratio analysis:
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this information to forecast the future strength of the company. The most
often used profitability ratios are return on assets, price earnings
multiplier, price to book value, price to cash flow, and price to sales,
dividend yield, return on equity, present value of cash flows, and profit
margins.
ROA is computed as the product of the net profit margin and the total
asset turnover ratios.
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of return on investment is as follows: Return on Investment (ROI) =
(Net profit/Equity investments) x 100
As this ratio reveals how well the resources of a firm are being
used, higher the ratio, better are the results. The return on shareholder’s
investment should be compared with the return of other similar firms in
the same industry. The inert-firm comparison of this ratio determines
whether the investments in the firm are attractive or not as the investors
would like to invest only where the return is higher.
c) Return on Equity:
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The EPS is a good measure of profitability and when compared
with EPS of similar other companies, it gives a view of the comparative
earnings or earnings power of a firm. EPS calculated for a number of
years indicates whether or not earning power of the company has
increased.
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The percentage of payout ratio can also be used to compute the
percentage of retained earnings. The profits available for distribution are
either paid as dividends or retained internally for business growth
opportunities. Hence, when dividends are not declared, the entire profit is
ploughed back into the business for its future investments.
f) Dividend Yield:
Dividend yield = (Dividend per share / Market price per share) * 100
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g) Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E):
The P/E multiplier or the price earnings ratio relates the current
market price of the share to the earnings per share. This is computed as
follows:
h) Debt-to-Equity Ratio:
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Ratio Analysis of Infosys
Infosys
Mar ' Mar ' Mar ' Mar ' Mar '
Per share ratios
20 19 18 17 16
TCS
Mar ' Mar ' Mar ' Mar ' Mar '
Per share ratios
20 19 18 17 16
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Ratio Analysis of Wipro
Wipro
Mar ‘ Mar ‘ Mar ‘ Mar ‘ Mar ‘
Per share ratios
20 19 18 17 16
Tech Mahindra
Mar ‘ Mar ‘ Mar ‘ Mar ‘ Mar ‘
Per share ratios
20 19 18 17 16
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From the study equity analysis on IT industry and data analysis and
interpretations of the ratios of four companies the following findings have been
given:
1. IT/ITeS industry has led India's economic growth and this sector's
contribution to the national GDP has risen from 1.2 per cent in 1997-
98 to an estimated 6.1 per cent in 2019-20.
2. These three companies were performing well till 2008 with a positive
trend in the earnings per share. But there was a downward trend in
2009 in most of companies because of recession.
3. Infosys is found with higher current ratio as compare to other
companies. As it proves that the company is more capable of paying
its obligations than others.
4. EPS of Wipro is lower because of its strategy to favor inorganic
growth by acquisioions for which it constantly needs capital.
5. Increasing EPS indicate good earnings.
7. The P/E ratio of all the selected companies is increasing year after year.
8. The software sector in India has grown at almost double the rate of the
US software sector.
9. From the balance sheet it is found out that the reserve and surplus of
the company is increasing every year.
10. Researcher has found that the ROE of the 3 companies are increasing
year after year.
11. The three companies have witnessed a low price earnings ratio in
2008 compared to the previous years. But the ratio increased in 2009
in 3 companies. HCL Technologies has the highest P/E ratio in 2009
which indicates that it is overvalued.
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drives for volume with a continuous focus on profitability.
13. By analyzing the current trend of Indian Economy and IT Industry I
have found that being a developing economy there is lot of scope for
growth and this industry still has to cross many levels so there are
huge opportunities to invest in.
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Chapter 9: Conclusions / Learnings from
the Project
54
Conclusion
In spite of it being a tough year for all the companies across the
globe, Indian market has given good performance as compared to other
companies in the world. A continuous effort at cost cutting and
improving productivity will help the companies in making reasonable
profits despite the impact of higher commodity prices and weaker rupee.
The analysis gives an optimistic view about the industry and its
growth which recommends the investors to keep a good watch on the
major players to benefit in terms of returns on their investments.
The sector is recovering well from the COVID-19 crisis.
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KEY LEARNINGS –
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Chapter 10. Limitations of the project
57
Limitations of the Project
• The ratios used here are taken during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic so they do not
represent the regular market and are used to demonstrate how to interpret them.
• The report gives guidelines to new investors on what to look for when investing, It does
not give sure fire strategies to make a profit.
• One should use this as a stepping stone to be more competent at evaluating companies.
58
Chapter 11. Recommendations
59
Recommendations
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Chapter 12 - Bibliography - Appendices
61
Bibliography
WEBSITES -
1. www.moneycontrol.com
2. www.motilaloswal.com
3. www.morilaloswalgroup.com
4. www.economictimes.com
5. www.money.rediff.com
6. www.nseindia.com
7. www.bseindia.com
8. www.finance.yahoo.com
9. www.ibef.org
MAGAZINES –
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