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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Summary 03
Company Overview 16
Quarterly Financials 44
Disclaimer 47
IRB Infra Developer Aditya Vision Shalby Black Box Cantabil Retail
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Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd
BUY @ CMP INR 274 Target: INR 576 in 24 months Upside Potential: 110.2%
The fortunes of the Indian hospitality industry could not have been better poised, Industry Hospitality
given the revenge travel trend post-pandemic and the supply-demand situation
getting favourable. For Mahindra Holidays & Resorts Ltd (MHRIL), it is the icing on Scrip Details
the cake, as it gets ‘Vacation Ownership (VO)’ (upfront money from new members Face Value (INR) 10.0
for 3-25 years) and ‘Annual Subscription Fees (ASF)’ (annual recurring income) from Market Cap (INR Cr) 5,499
its members. Cash flows from new members enable MHRIL to fund its growth capex Price (INR) 274
for newer resort additions, while ASF enables it to meet the regular opex at resorts. No of Sh O/S (Cr) 20.0
With the revival in occupancy due to improving industry trends, MHRIL’s resort 3M Avg Vol (000) 9.7
income is also expected to pick up. 52W H/L (INR) 314/186
Dividend Yield (%) 0.00
During FY19-22, MHRIL increased its member base to 2,65,980 (CAGR of 3.0%) and
expanded its room inventory to 4,568 rooms (CAGR of 8.3%). VO and ASF income Shareholding (%) Jun 2022
grew at a CAGR of 7.6% to INR 393 cr and 5.6% to INR 308 cr, respectively, while Promoter 67.2
resort income declined at a CAGR of 4.3% to INR 193 cr due to a decline in occupancy Institution 14.6
from 83% in FY19 to 74% in FY22 due to pandemic led restrictions in FY21 and FY22. Public 18.2
Overall, revenue/ EBITDA/ PBT/ PAT grew at a CAGR of 1.5%/ 28.1%/ 25.6%/ 31.8% TOTAL 100.0
to INR 961 cr/ INR 235 cr/ 199 cr/ INR 146 cr, respectively, while EBITDA, PBT and
PAT margins improved by 1227bps to 24.4%, 975bps to 20.7% and 827bps to 15.2%, Price Chart
respectively. Digital & referral channels helped in improving the quality of leads and
member additions during Covid-related lockdown restrictions. MHRIL Sensex
350 70,000
Over the period of FY22-25E, MHRIL is targeting an inventory of +5,500 rooms by
300 60,000
FY25, and at the member-to-room ratio of 59X, we are expecting an active member
250 50,000
count of 3,24,500 by FY25. VO and ASF are to grow at a CAGR of 11.0% to INR 538 200 40,000
cr and 8.2% to INR 390 cr, respectively. Occupancy could improve to 85% in FY25 150 30,000
and as a result, resort income is expected to recover at a CAGR of 28.1% to INR 405 100 20,000
cr. We are expecting revenue/EBITDA/PBT/PAT to grow at a CAGR of 13.8%/ 14.7%/ 50 10,000
2.4%/ 2.9% to INR 1,414 cr/ 354 cr/ 213 cr/ 159 cr, respectively. EBITDA margins are 0 0
Sep-19 Sep-20 Sep-21 Sep-22
expected to improve by 59bps to 25.0%, while PBT and PAT margins are estimated
to decline by 560bps to 15.1% and 396bps to 11.3%, respectively, due to additional
lease expenses on inventory expansion, higher member growth leading to
increasing cost of member acquisitions and post-Covid recovery in variable cost.
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Valuation
Timeshare is a long-term cash flow generating business and thus we have used the DCF-
based valuation method. We have discounted back the future cash flows of MHRIL to FY25
and arrived at a standalone price target of INR 528 per share. We have given a 1.0X P/S
multiple for MHRIL’s European subsidiary HCRO which is contributing INR 48 per share to the
consolidated price target of INR 576 per share, representing an upside potential of 110.2%
from the CMP of INR 274 per share.
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Our Bull and Bear Case Scenarios
MHRIL’s business generates a long-term secular FCF, which is based on room inventory and
member additions. Hence, we have prepared likely Bull and Bear case scenarios for FY25 price
targets, based on the room inventory, member additions and terminal value growth of FCF.
• Bull Case: We have assumed 5% terminal value growth, the annual addition of 350
rooms to 5,618 rooms by FY25 and a member-to-room ratio of 60X which will result in
a total active member count of 3,37,080 in FY25. Based on these assumptions our Bull
Case consolidated price target is coming at INR 722 (an upside of 163.5% from CMP).
• Bear Case: We have assumed 3% terminal value growth, the annual addition of 250
rooms to 5,318 rooms by FY25 and a member-to-room ratio of 58X which will result in
a total active member count of 3,08,444 in FY25. Based on these assumptions our Bear
Case consolidated price target is coming at INR 318 (an upside of 16.0% from CMP).
Bull & Bear Case Scenario
5% terminal value growth, annual addition of 350
rooms to 5,618 rooms by FY25 and member-to-
Bull Case Price
room ratio of 60X which will result in total active INR 722/share
member count of 3,37,080 in FY25
Current Price
INR 274/share
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Strong revenue growth outlook and healthy balance sheet deserve a premium valuation
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Price performance (%): MHRIL vs Lemont Tree vs IHCL vs EIH
MHRIL Lemon Tree IHCL EIH
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MHRIL SWOT Analysis in a nutshell
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onany further query, please email us on reasech@ventura1.com
research@ventura1.com
Valuation and comparable metrics of domestic and global companies
P/E Ratio P/BV EV/EBIDTA RoE (%) RoIC (%) Sales EBITDA Margin (%) Net Margin (%)
Mkt EV/EBITDA to
Company Name Price 2023 2024 2025 2023 2024 2025 2023 2024 2025 2023 2024 2025 2023 2024 2025 2023 2024 2025 2023 2024 2025 2023 2024 2025
Cap EBITDA CAGR
8|Page (15th Oct 2022) For any further query, please email us
Foronany
research@ventura1.com
further query, please email us on reasech@ventura1.com
Strong cash flow generation and consistency in the business ensure higher RoIC
100
MHRIL Stable FCF generation, healthy
90 balance sheet and market
80 leading RoIC deserves premium
valuation
70
FY25 RoIC (%)
60
50
40
30
Chalet Travel+Leisure
Fosun
20 HGV
IHCL MCW Wydhem
10 EIH
MGM Lemon Tree
0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8
EV/EBITDA to 3 year EBITDA CAGR (X)
15
MHRIL
7
5 IHCL
EIH
3
23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49
FY25 EBITDA Margin (%)
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MHRIL’s operating metrics compared with global timeshare peers (fig in US$ mn, unless specified)
Company Parameters CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21
Members (nos) 2,35,792 2,47,716 2,54,988 2,63,952 2,62,000
Revenue 165 144 139 112 128
Revenue per member (US$) 699 580 546 425 489
EBITDA 35 22 23 27 31
MHRIL EBITDA per member (US$) 149 88 89 103 117
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.3 15.1 16.3 24.3 23.9
Net Profit 20 13 11 -9 18
Net Profit per member (US$) 83 52 42 -35 69
Net Margin (%) 11.9 9.0 7.7 -8.2 14.1
Members (nos) 8,78,000 8,80,000 8,78,000 8,67,000 8,33,000
Revenue 3,806 3,931 4,043 2,160 3,134
Revenue per member (US$) 4,335 4,467 4,605 2,491 3,762
EBITDA 882 942 991 259 778
Travel + Leisure Ltd EBITDA per member (US$) 1,005 1,070 1,129 299 934
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.2 24.0 24.5 12.0 24.8
Net Profit 855 672 507 -255 308
Net Profit per member (US$) 974 764 577 -294 370
Net Margin (%) 22.5 17.1 12.5 -11.8 9.8
Members (nos) 4,00,000 6,60,000 6,60,000 6,50,000 7,00,000
Revenue 2,183 2,968 4,259 2,886 3,890
Revenue per member (US$) 5,458 4,497 6,453 4,440 5,557
EBITDA 294 419 758 235 657
Marriot Vacation Worldwide EBITDA per member (US$) 735 635 1,148 362 939
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.5 14.1 17.8 8.1 16.9
Net Profit 235 55 138 -275 49
Net Profit per member (US$) 588 83 209 -423 70
Net Margin (%) 10.8 1.9 3.2 -9.5 1.3
Members (nos) 2,88,000 3,09,000 3,26,000 3,28,000 4,99,000
Revenue 1,711 1,999 1,838 894 2,335
Revenue per member (US$) 5,941 6,469 5,638 2,726 4,679
EBITDA 395 503 408 57 716
Hilton Grand Vacations EBITDA per member (US$) 1,372 1,628 1,252 174 1,435
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.1 25.2 22.2 6.4 30.7
Net Profit 327 298 216 -201 176
Net Profit per member (US$) 1,135 964 663 -613 353
Net Margin (%) 19.1 14.9 11.8 -22.5 7.5
Source: Company Reports & Ventura Research
We have adjusted MHRIL data from FY to CY and INR to USD
During FY19-22, MHRIL’s revenue grew at a CAGR of 1.5% to INR 961 cr which was primarily
driven by a 7.6% CAGR in vacation ownership revenue to INR 393 cr and a 5.6% CAGR in annual
subscription fees to INR 308 cr in FY22 due to
• An increase in total active members from 2,43,574 in FY19 to 2,65,980 in FY22, a net
addition of 22,406 during FY19-22, and
• Expansion in room inventory from 3,595 rooms in FY19 to 4,568 rooms in FY22.
Member-to-room ratio declined from 67.8X in FY19 to 58.2X in FY22 and the company
is targeting to keep it in the range of 58-62X to avoid the member traffic on the room
inventory.
However, resort income declined at a CAGR of 4.3% to INR 193 cr in FY22 due to a decline in
occupancy rate from 83% in FY19 to 74% in FY22 on account of the two pandemic waves in
FY21 and FY22. Interest income also declined at a CAGR of 18.1% to INR 67 cr during FY19-22
due to a decline in members-on-EMI from 66,297 in FY19 (27.2% of the total members) to
40,142 in FY22 (15.1% of the total members). The company is targeting to keep the EMI
member count low.
EBITDA and PAT grew at a CAGR of 28.1% and 31.8% to INR 235 cr and INR 146 cr, respectively.
EBITDA and PAT margins improved by 1227bps to 24.4% and 827bps to 15.2% respectively. As
a result, return ratios – RoE and RoIC – improved by 440bps to 25.9% and 2723bps to 36.4%
respectively.
(14.7%) (13.7%)
(3.7%) (12.1%) (5.0%) (3.2%)
(3.6%) (4.1%) (3.2%) (3.5%)
(3.9%) (6.1%)
(14.9%)
(15.8%) (15.0%)
Revenue from operations was at INR 288 cr in Q1FY23 as against INR 197 cr in Q1FY22 (YoY
increase of 46.3%) mainly on account of
• The lower base of Q1FY22 was due to the 2nd wave of the pandemic and an increase in
room inventory from 4,198 in Q1FY22 to 4,617 in Q1FY23.
• An increase in total active members from 2,55,000 in Q1FY22 to 2,69,445 in Q1FY23,
which also increased the vacation ownership income and annual subscription fees at a
YoY rate of 19.5% and 4.6% to INR 108 cr and INR 79 cr, respectively over the same
period.
• Rise in occupancy rate from 51% in Q1FY22 to 89% in Q1FY23, which also increased
the resort income at a YoY rate of 457.8% to INR 84 cr.
• Interest income increased at a YoY rate of 6.6% to INR 17 cr in Q1FY22 due to the
marginal rise in EMI members
EBITDA and PAT grew at a YoY rate of 28.2% and 11.2% to INR 68 cr and INR 34 cr, respectively
in Q1FY23, however, EBITDA and PAT margins declined by 333bps to 23.6% and 369bps to
11.7%, respectively due to the complete lifting of lockdowns and resumption of hotel services,
which resulted in additional costs for the company.
Over the period of FY22-25E, we are expecting revenues to grow at a CAGR of 13.8% to INR
1,414 cr which is expected to be driven by
• 11.0% CAGR growth in vacation ownership income to INR 538 cr and 8.2% CAGR
growth in annual subscription fees to INR 390 cr due to an increase in both room
inventory and active member count to 5,500 and 3,24,500 respectively by FY25. We
are expecting an 85% occupancy rate and a member-to-room ratio of 59X in FY25.
• 28.1% CAGR growth in resort income to INR 405 cr due to the low base of FY22 on
account of the 2nd wave of the pandemic.
• 6.7% CAGR growth in interest income to INR 81 cr and expecting the EMI members
penetration of 15% in the total members.
EBITDA and PAT are expected to grow at a CAGR of 14.7% and 2.9% to INR 354 cr and INR 159
cr, respectively, while EBITDA margin is expected to improve by 59bps to 25.0% and PAT
margin is estimated to decline by 396bps to 11.3% on account of additional lease expenses due
to acceleration in inventory expansion and higher member growth leading to increasing cost
of member acquisitions. MHRIL is targeting to expand its room inventory to 5,500 rooms by
FY25. Return ratios – RoE and RoIC – are expected to stand at 19.3% (-664bps) and 93.3%
(+3098bps) respectively by FY25.
Data in INR
per room
(25.2%)
(25.0%)
(14.7%)
(5.0%)
(4.6%) (3.9%)
(3.4%)
(6.0%)
(14.8%)
Adjusted EPS 3.2 -5.4 5.9 7.3 6.9 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.3 11.7 13.4 15.3 17.6 20.3 23.4 27.1 31.3
P/E (X) 85.7 -50.6 46.6 37.4 39.8 38.9 34.4 30.3 26.7 23.4 20.5 17.9 15.5 13.5 11.7 10.1 8.8
Adjusted BVPS 14.9 8.8 16.7 28.2 32.4 36.6 41.4 46.8 53.0 60.0 68.0 77.2 87.8 100.0 114.0 130.3 149.1
P/BV (X) 18.4 31.1 16.4 9.7 8.5 7.5 6.6 5.9 5.2 4.6 4.0 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.1 1.8
Enterprise Value 5,136.8 5,063.8 5,238.3 5,095.4 5,119.6 5,013.3 4,846.0 4,663.4 4,463.7 4,243.4 3,998.9 3,725.8 3,419.4 3,074.1 2,683.9 2,242.1 1,740.8
EV/EBITDA (X) 46.1 27.9 26.2 21.7 18.1 15.8 13.7 11.9 10.2 8.7 7.3 6.0 4.9 3.9 3.0 2.2 1.5
Net Worth 296.8 176.2 334.7 564.4 646.9 731.3 826.9 935.3 1,058.6 1,199.0 1,359.6 1,543.5 1,754.9 1,998.3 2,279.1 2,603.7 2,979.0
ROE (%) 21.5 -61.4 35.1 25.9 21.2 19.2 19.3 19.3 19.4 19.5 19.7 19.9 20.1 20.3 20.5 20.8 21.0
Capital Employed 296.8 363.4 499.4 846.0 967.1 1,106.2 1,259.1 1,435.2 1,637.1 1,867.8 2,130.7 2,429.8 2,770.0 3,156.5 3,595.8 4,094.9 4,661.9
ROCE (%) 12.9 -19.2 14.0 10.0 11.5 11.2 10.9 10.5 10.2 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.8 10.0
Invested Capital 537.8 -235.8 97.2 184.0 290.7 268.7 197.1 122.9 46.4 -33.3 -117.4 -206.5 -301.6 -403.5 -512.8 -630.1 -756.1
ROIC (%) 11.2 -33.8 98.7 62.3 51.3 61.8 93.3 163.8 478.8 -741.6 -236.3 -151.6 -118.0 -100.8 -91.0 -85.3 -82.1
ROIIC (%) -53.2 -2.6 4.8 21.6 32.4 -77.0 -24.8 -23.6 -27.3 -31.4 -35.7 -40.2 -44.9 -49.9 -55.0 -60.4 -65.9
Cash Flow from Operations 300.5 331.0 266.8 356.0 235.1 555.6 637.7 712.7 791.4 875.5 965.8 1,063.1 1,168.3 1,282.4 1,406.8 1,542.5 1,691.1
Cash Flow from Investing -235.7 -277.5 -225.9 -261.4 -138.5 -348.5 -362.6 -403.9 -444.9 -485.3 -525.1 -564.1 -602.3 -639.6 -675.9 -711.0 -744.9
Cash Flow from Financing -62.5 -65.1 -35.9 -57.7 -85.1 -91.1 -103.6 -118.1 -134.8 -154.1 -176.4 -202.0 -231.4 -265.2 -304.0 -348.3 -398.8
Net Cash Flow 2.4 -11.6 5.0 36.9 11.4 116.0 171.4 190.8 211.7 236.1 264.3 297.0 334.5 377.6 426.9 483.2 547.4
Free Cash Flow 153.5 221.1 363.5 229.1 -26.9 225.6 297.7 332.7 371.4 415.5 465.8 523.1 588.3 662.4 746.8 842.5 951.1
CFO to EBITDA (%) 269.6 182.4 133.6 151.8 83.1 175.2 180.4 181.6 180.8 178.6 175.4 171.2 166.6 161.6 156.3 151.1 145.9
FCF to EBITDA (%) 137.7 121.8 182.1 97.7 -9.5 71.1 84.2 84.8 84.9 84.8 84.6 84.3 83.9 83.4 83.0 82.5 82.1
FCF to Net Profit (%) 240.4 -204.3 309.5 156.6 -19.6 160.4 186.8 184.1 180.8 177.5 174.1 170.6 167.0 163.3 159.5 155.8 152.0
FCF to Net Worth (%) 51.7 125.5 108.6 40.6 -4.2 30.8 36.0 35.6 35.1 34.7 34.3 33.9 33.5 33.2 32.8 32.4 31.9
Total Debt 0.0 187.3 164.7 281.6 320.3 375.0 432.2 499.9 578.5 668.7 771.1 886.3 1,015.1 1,158.3 1,316.7 1,491.2 1,682.9
Net Debt -339.1 -412.0 -237.5 -380.4 -356.2 -462.5 -629.8 -812.4 -1,012.2 -1,232.4 -1,476.9 -1,750.0 -2,056.5 -2,401.7 -2,791.9 -3,233.8 -3,735.0
Net Debt to Equity (X) -1.1 -2.3 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.6 -0.8 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 -1.1 -1.1 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -1.3
Net Debt to EBITDA (X) -3.0 -2.3 -1.2 -1.6 -1.3 -1.5 -1.8 -2.1 -2.3 -2.5 -2.7 -2.8 -2.9 -3.0 -3.1 -3.2 -3.2
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 11.9 5.0 4.5 4.4 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2
Piotroski F-score 4.0 4.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 7.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0
Altman Z-score 6.9 6.7 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4
Beneish M-score 393.0 415.0 372.0 318.6 322.9 324.4 324.7 324.4 324.2 324.1 324.0 323.9 323.9 323.9 323.8 323.8 323.8
Post pandemic revenue recovery and room Diversified revenue sources is expected to
expansion is expected to be faster maintain a stable growth
Vaccation Ownership Annual Subscription Vaccation Ownership Annual Subscription
INR Cr % %
Resort Income Interest Income Resort Income Interest Income
1,200 20 80 13 20 28 28 29
24 23
900 10 60 36 32
28 30 28 28 28
600 0 40
300 (10) 20 34 35 42 41 38 38 38
0 (20) 0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
Stable revenue performance to drive profits in Profit per room to follow the overall
the coming years profitability
EBITDA Net Profit INR lacs EBITDA/room (INR lacs)
INR Cr EBITDA Margin (%) Net Margin (%) %
10 Net Profit/room (INR lacs)
8.1
400 30 8 7.0
25 5.9 6.0 6.2
300 6 4.9 4.8 5.1
20
200 15 4 3.1
10 4.1 3.9
100 2 3.2 3.1
5 2.8 2.9 2.8
0 0 0 1.8
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E (5) FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
(100) -2
(10)
(200) (15) -4 -2.9
MHRIL is an Indian hotel company founded in 1996. It is a part of the Mahindra Group and
provides holidays on a timeshare basis. On a broader level, MHRIL generates its income from
three revenue streams –
• Vacation ownership (VO) is its key offering and ‘Club Mahindra’ is its flagship brand.
The company’s business is to sell vacation ownership and provide holiday facilities to
members for a specified period ranging from 3 to 25 years, for which the membership
fee is collected either in full upfront or on EMIs (which generates interest income). The
company recognizes the upfront membership fees on a straight-line basis over the
tenure of the membership. The company has a Deferred Revenue pool of INR 5,083 cr
as on 31st Mar 2022, providing visibility on future revenues and improved profitability
with minimal incremental costs.
• Annual subscription fees (ASF) are the annual charges collected from members and
recognized as income on an accrual basis. Both VO and ASF are non-variable assured
long-term income for the company. Cash flows from new members enable MHRIL to
fund its growth capex for newer resort additions, while ASF enables it to meet the
regular opex at resorts.
• Resort income is the only variable revenue stream of the company as it depends on
the room occupancy and willingness of members to spend on F&B and other hotel
activities during their stay. The more a member holidays, the more he spends time
within resorts and the higher will be the resort income.
Rooms per
States Properties Rooms
property
Andaman & Nicobar Island 3 32 11
Andhra Pradesh 1 15 15
Daman & Diu 2 52 26
Goa 4 575 144
Gujarat 5 239 48
Himachal Pradesh 6 379 63
Karnataka 5 465 93
Kashmir 2 40 20
Kerala 10 633 63
Ladakh 1 15 15
Madhya Pradesh 3 112 37
Maharashtra 6 506 84
Meghalaya 1 10 10
Puducherry 1 125 125
Rajasthan 8 426 53
Sikkim 5 134 27
Tamil Nadu 5 185 37
Uttar Pradesh 1 45 45
Uttarakhand 5 280 56
West Bengal 1 26 26
International 11 323 29
Total Properties 86 4,617 54
MHRIL acquired an 18% stake in Holiday Club Resorts Oy (HCRO) in Aug 2014 for EUR 17 mn.
It further increased its stake to 100% for a total equity infusion of EUR 50 mn and debt of
another EUR 70 mn. The pandemic impacted the tourism industry in Europe and then the
Russia-Ukraine conflict completely changed the dynamics for the worst.
MHRIL is cautiously taking steps to improve the business and working on cost optimization to
recover from losses. Additionally, both the assets and debt under HCRO are in Euro currency
To further enhance the engagement with its customers, MHRIL recently added a bouquet of
services to its leisure travel portfolio –
• ‘Horizon’ Holiday Exchange Programme – Members can exchange their Club
Mahindra room nights for stays in top-rated hotel chains after paying a nominal access
fee. This currently covers over 360+ partner hotels and resorts across more than 145
destinations in India and abroad. The platform now also supports real-time availability
and booking in select hotels, adding to the convenience and increased utilization.
• Travel Services and Curated Holiday Experiences – Offers its members a wide range
of travel services such as airport transfers, travel assistance, curated holiday
experiences, seasonal tours and weekend getaways. Members can book individual
services or complete travel packages at attractive discounts under one roof on the
company’s online platforms.
The company is planning to acquire management contracts for non-Club Mahindra resorts and
target local hotels that have limited access to technology and hospitality experience to manage
the hotel property. It will be an asset-light model of getting inventory for members in those
locations where Club Mahindra resorts don’t have a presence.
Such resorts will be open for both members and non-members of Club Mahindra. The
members will get access to the locations where Club Mahindra resorts don’t have a presence
while MHRIL will get access to the data of non-Club Mahindra members which could be used
to mine new members for Club Mahindra services.
The management has not revealed the expansion strategy for this vertical, we believe that
revenue recognition will be faster in this business and it will also accelerate member addition
in the coming years.
MHRIL has a unique business model where it funds its capex from customers’ advance
subscription money and also charges annual subscription fees to keep the membership active.
The company has multiple price packages for different categories of customers, ranging from
premium to middle class and young couples to senior citizens.
Red 2 BR 15,74,810
Red is a 25 years membership for those who prefer to travel during summer
Red 1 BR 9,06,920
vaccations or Diwali vaccations.
Red Studio 6,79,800
White 2 BR 10,58,620
White is a 25 years membership for those who take a vacation just before or after
White 1 BR 6,85,980 the peak season. So if you have the freedom to plan your holidays to avoid crowded
White Studio 5,13,320 times like summer school holidays, then this membership is just right for you.
Blue 2 BR 8,50,030
Blue is a 25 years membership is for those who prefer to travel in off peak seasons
Blue 1 BR 4,91,830 and see the other side of a destination like enjoying Goa in the monsoons or
Blue Studio 3,71,980 enjoying a snowy winter in Himachal.
To check the cost-benefit analysis between Club Mahindra and conventional hotels, we
calculated the cost of the stay for 25 years and considered a flat annual inflation rate of 6%. In
its ‘Red Studio package’, MHRIL takes INR 6.8 lacs upfront as ‘Vacation Ownership Fees’ from
its members and charges ~INR 12,000 annually as ‘Annual Subscription Fees’. At this cost of a
stay, MHRIL offers a 7N/8D annual package to its members.
In addition, the Club Mahindra members can accumulate their membership nights for up to 3
years and plan a longer domestic or international holiday of up to 21N/22D. The above analysis
is only for India, if one compares the cost of staying at hotels abroad, especially with fluctuating
exchange rates, the benefits further favour vacation ownership.
The unique subscription-based business model secures the cash flow for the company and
thereby maintains the operating profitability.
In a turbulent period of the pandemic in FY21/FY22 and the recent Russia-Ukraine conflict,
MHRIL added 22,406 new members during FY19-22 (net of one-off cancellation of 9,556
members in FY19 and 14,782 members in FY21) which increased its active member base to
2,65,980 in FY22 (2,69,445 members as on 30th Jun 2022). This could be attributed to the post-
pandemic revenge travel and the company’s strategy of customer acquisition through digital
marketing and continued emphasis on referrals.
MHRIL continues to focus on increasing its room inventory by way of identifying new tourist
destinations, to cater to the rising needs of its expanding active member base. The new
destinations keep the product offerings attractive and drive incremental growth in the active
member base.
During FY19-22, MHRIL added 973 rooms to its inventory which took its total room inventory
to 4,568 in FY22 (4,617 as on 30th Jun 2022). Growth in room inventory was faster than the
member addition, which
• reduced the member-to-room ratio from 67.8X in FY19 to 58.2X in FY22,
• reduced the member traffic on room inventory and increased the chances of room
availability during the peak seasons
• improved the occupancy rate from 83% in FY19 to 89% in Q1FY23.
Based on the historical occupancy rate and current member-to-room ratio, we are expecting
an occupancy rate of 85% and a member-to-room ratio of 59X in FY25. Despite a conservative
member-to-room ratio, we are expecting the active member count to increase to 3,24,500 by
FY25 (FY22-25E CAGR growth of 6.9%).
Room additions has been faster than the incremental growth in members
MHRIL is targeting 5,500 rooms by FY25 and Aggressive member addition will impact the
occupancy is expected to remain robust member-to-room ratio
Nos Number of rooms Occupancy (%) % Nos Members Member to room ratio (X) X
6,000 88 3,40,000 72
5,500 86 3,20,000 70
84 68
5,000 3,00,000
82
66
4,500 80 2,80,000
64
4,000 78 2,60,000
62
76
3,500 2,40,000
3,24,500
2,43,574
2,58,336
2,54,431
2,65,980
2,81,445
3,01,860
74 60
3,595
3,732
4,197
4,568
4,830
5,160
5,500
3,000 72 2,20,000 58
2,500 70 2,00,000 56
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
Driven by the robust member additions and a stable occupancy rate, the revenue segments
are expected to report strong growth
• 11.0% CAGR growth in vacation ownership income to INR 538 cr and 8.2% CAGR
growth in annual subscription fees to INR 390 cr due to an increase in both room
inventory and active member count to 5,500 and 3,24,500 respectively by FY25. We
are expecting an 85% occupancy rate and a member-to-room ratio of 59X in FY25.
• 28.1% CAGR growth in resort income to INR 405 cr due to the low base of FY22 on
account of 2nd wave of the pandemic.
• 6.7% CAGR growth in interest income to INR 81 cr and expecting the EMI members
penetration of 15% in the total members.
600 20 410 24
550 10 380 21
500 0 350 18
450 15
(10) 320
400 12
(20) 290
350 9
300 (30) 260 6
250 (40) 230 3
200 (50) 200 0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
Higher occupancy rate on rising room inventory Interest income to remain stable due to
to improve resort income moderate number of EMI members
INR Cr % INR Cr %
Resort Income YoY Growth (%) Interest Income YoY Growth (%)
VO Income (INR cr) 315.5 346.7 345.1 393.4 443.0 486.2 537.7
Avg VO income per member (INR) 13,162 13,816 13,459 15,118 16,183 16,669 17,169
ASF (INR cr) 261.4 291.3 293.0 307.9 321.3 352.6 390.0
Avg ASF per member (INR) 10,906 11,608 11,430 11,832 11,738 12,091 12,453
Resort Income (INR cr) 219.7 228.3 104.4 192.6 326.5 361.9 405.1
Resort income per occupied room (INR lacs) 7.4 7.6 3.5 5.7 7.9 8.3 8.7
Interest Income (INR cr) 121.7 110.7 79.8 66.9 70.5 75.6 81.3
Total Revenue (INR cr) 918.3 977.0 822.3 960.7 1,161.2 1,276.3 1,414.1
YoY Growth (%) -13.7 6.4 -15.8 16.8 20.9 9.9 10.8
EBITDA (INR Cr) 111.5 181.5 199.7 234.5 266.4 285.8 316.1
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.1 18.6 24.3 24.4 22.9 22.4 22.4
EBITDA per room (INR lacs) 3.1 4.9 4.8 5.1 5.5 5.5 5.7
PAT (INR Cr) 63.9 -108.2 117.4 146.3 125.7 126.7 149.6
PAT Margin (%) 7.0 -11.1 14.3 15.2 10.8 9.9 10.6
PAT per room (INR lacs) 1.8 -2.9 2.8 3.2 2.6 2.5 2.7
Source: Times of India
The Indian hotel sector made steady progress in H1CY22. Nationwide occupancy was in the
range of 56-58% (+22bps higher than H1CY21 and -9bps lower than H1CY19). The strong
recovery in occupancy rate is driving steady increases in average room rates, with hotels,
particularly in the leisure sector, outperforming their pre-pandemic average rates. Corporate
bookings are also gradually improving as business travel and large-ticket conferences and
events return.
7,000 70
6,000 60
5,000 50
4,000 40
3,000 30
2,000 20
1,000 10
0 0
Q2CY22
Q1CY20
Q2CY20
Q3CY20
Q4CY20
Q1CY21
Q2CY21
Q3CY21
Q4CY21
Q1CY22
Source: HVS
This upbeat travel sentiment helped the Indian hotel sector to close the Q2CY22 on a high
note. The nationwide hotel occupancy of 64.7% during Q2CY22 was 1.2bps higher than in
Q2CY19. The faster-than-expected recovery in demand has resulted in significant
improvements in average rates to INR 5,865, up 6% from Q2CY19, while RevPAR reached INR
3,793, a rise of 8% from Q2CY19.
Lower penetration of the organized hotel sector in India compared to the US and
China offers a significant growth opportunity
Most of the hotel development in India was focused on key business destinations as corporate
and business travellers accounted for a large share of hotel demand. Due to the lack of logistics
and insufficient travelling infrastructures such as road, rail and airports and the seasonal nature
of leisure travel, hoteliers found the leisure stay category to be less profitable. The Indian hotel
industry remains significantly underpenetrated compared to the US, China and the global
average.
Pre-pandemic, the size of the organized hotel industry in India stood at ~US$ 6.8 bn in CY19
and the share of hotel users in the total population was 3.0%, compared to US$87.0 bn/43.3%
in the US and US$69.2 bn/17.3% in China.
Organized hotel penetration is lowest in India compared to the USA and China
CY17-21 CY21-26E
Worldwide CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21 CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E CY26E
CAGR (%) CAGR (%)
Revenue (US$ bn) 345.3 356.7 369.8 143.9 215.2 348.0 406.5 447.0 461.1 473.2 -11.1 17.1
ARPU (US$) 322.8 325.6 329.1 328.2 350.2 358.8 358.8 354.4 357.8 360.2 2.1 0.6
Online booking penetration (%) 66.0 68.0 70.0 71.0 73.0 74.0 76.0 77.0 78.0 80.0
No of users (mn) 1,069.6 1,095.5 1,123.6 438.5 614.5 969.8 1,133.1 1,261.4 1,288.8 1,313.7 -12.9 16.4
Total Population (in mn) 7,547.9 7,631.1 7,713.5 7,794.8 7,884.1 7,967.1 8,050.1 8,133.1 8,216.1 8,299.1
Share of hotel users in population (%) 14.2 14.4 14.6 5.6 7.8 12.2 14.1 15.5 15.7 15.8
CY17-21 CY21-26E
India CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21 CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E CY26E
CAGR (%) CAGR (%)
Revenue (US$ bn) 6.0 6.4 6.8 3.3 4.7 6.4 7.7 9.1 9.6 10.1 -5.6 16.4
ARPU (US$) 163.9 163.7 163.7 164.0 164.5 165.4 166.5 168.0 169.1 170.3 0.1 0.7
Online booking penetration (%) 42.0 44.0 46.0 47.0 49.0 51.0 53.0 54.0 56.0 58.0
No of users (mn) 36.3 38.8 41.3 20.3 28.7 38.7 46.0 54.4 56.9 59.2 -5.7 15.6
Total Population (in mn) 1,338.7 1,352.6 1,366.4 1,383.0 1,400.0 1,420.0 1,440.0 1,460.0 1,480.0 1,500.0
Share of hotel users in population (%) 2.7 2.9 3.0 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.9
CY17-21 CY21-26E
USA CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21 CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E CY26E
CAGR (%) CAGR (%)
Revenue (US$ bn) 78.5 82.5 87.0 37.0 68.8 99.7 106.2 110.6 114.5 117.9 -3.3 11.4
ARPU (US$) 577.8 592.5 610.1 629.3 650.4 670.9 690.5 709.0 725.6 740.1 3.0 2.6
Online booking penetration (%) 70.0 71.0 71.0 72.0 73.0 74.0 75.0 76.0 77.0 77.0
No of users (mn) 135.8 139.2 142.6 58.8 105.7 148.6 153.8 156.0 157.8 159.3 -6.1 8.5
Total Population (in mn) 325.1 327.1 329.1 331.0 333.0 335.1 337.2 339.3 341.4 343.5
Share of hotel users in population (%) 41.8 42.6 43.3 17.8 31.7 44.3 45.6 46.0 46.2 46.4
CY17-21 CY21-26E
China CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21 CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E CY26E
CAGR (%) CAGR (%)
Revenue (US$ bn) 66.0 67.2 69.2 33.5 47.4 64.8 78.2 93.7 98.6 102.8 -7.9 16.7
ARPU (US$) 273.6 274.9 278.7 286.2 297.2 310.4 323.6 335.4 345.0 352.2 2.1 3.4
Online booking penetration (%) 59.0 65.0 69.0 70.0 71.0 73.0 74.0 75.0 76.0 77.0
No of users (mn) 241.4 244.4 248.4 117.0 159.6 208.8 241.6 279.2 285.8 291.9 -9.8 12.8
Total Population (in mn) 1,421.0 1,427.6 1,433.8 1,439.3 1,445.5 1,452.0 1,458.5 1,465.0 1,471.5 1,478.0
Share of hotel users in population (%) 17.0 17.1 17.3 8.1 11.0 14.4 16.6 19.1 19.4 19.7
Source: Statista
As per Statista, the organized hotel industry is expected to reach US$ 6.4 bn in CY22 and US$
10.1 bn by CY26 (CAGR growth of 16.4% during CY21-26E). The share of organized hotel users
in the total population is also expected to improve to 3.9% by CY26. The industry growth is
expected to be largely driven by the domestic leisure hotel stay segment
CY19 leisure tourism share CY26E leisure tourism share Leisure hotel revenue (US$ bn)
(%) (%)
Domestic Tourist Foreign Tourist
10
9.0
Foreign 9
Tourist, 8
Foreign 11
Tourist, 7
17 5.6
6
5
4
Domestic Domestic 3
Tourist, 83 Tourist, 89 2 1.2 1.1
1
0
CY19 CY26
Source: IBEF
There has been an increase in the demand for luxury hotel stay among Indian consumers, due
to rising consumer spending on account of improvement in income levels and increase in
disposable income. In line with this, key players are expanding their presence to cater to this
demand. While the pandemic brought the tourism industry to a halt, the government is now
trying to begin reviving domestic tourism.
As the pandemic-led lockdown restrictions are now relaxed, many people are looking forward
to taking short vacations. Holiday-goers will now prefer private hotel rooms and vacation
homes to feel secure during their trips.
In terms of tourism, India offers tourists a wide bouquet of experiences, from centuries-old
heritage and diverse culture to varied wildlife, unusual adventures, singular culinary traditions
and a rich ecological experience, which makes it one of the most unique tours and travel
destinations in the world.
With a growing economy, a young population with a median age of 29 years, and a growing
middle class, India is ideally positioned to become one of the most lucrative tourism markets
in the world and the tourists visiting chain hotels are expected to grow at a CAGR of 15.6%
during CY21-26E.
Advantage India
Source: IBEF
With economic reforms and favourable changes in demography, new tourism trends are
evolving in India, especially rural tourism, pilgrimage tourism, eco-tourism, luxury tourism,
heritage tourism, medical tourism and adventure tourism.
Source: IBEF
India’s tourism sector is estimated to contribute US$ 250 Bn to GDP, 137 mn jobs and US$ 56
bn in forex earnings. Around 25 mn foreign arrivals are expected to be achieved by 2030. To
achieve these targets, the government is taking initiatives on infrastructure development and
increasing direct air/ rail/ road connections to popular and upcoming destinations, which is
expected to improve the tourist crowd in those upcoming tourist places.
Other upcoming cities which are expected to be included under the PRASAD scheme,
are Ayodhya (Ram Janma Bhumi), Ujjain (Mahakal Temple), Shirdi (Sai Baba Temple)
and Vaishno Devi (Jammu). Each of the PRASAD cities along with the above-mentioned
religious places have the potential to attract 30-50 mn visitors annually.
According to a Ministry of External Affairs report, there are 32 mn NRIs residing outside
India and overseas Indians comprise the world's largest overseas diaspora. Every year,
2.5 mn Indians migrate overseas, which is the highest annual number of migrants in
the world. India could attract NRIs to visit the country’s spiritual and pilgrimage sites.
Vande Bharat trains offers a combination of convenience and speed, as they can travel
at a top speed of 180 kmph (the new version is expected to achieve 200 kmph speed)
and also offers passengers a superior travelling experience similar to the airlines.
India preserves its wildlife in 120+ national parks, 515 wildlife sanctuaries, 26
wetlands, and 18 bio-reserves, out of which 10 are part of the World Network of
biosphere reserves. To protect and enhance the wildlife in India, the government has
also taken up some important wildlife protection projects such as the Project Tiger,
Project Elephant, Crocodile Conservation Project, UNDP Sea Turtle Project, Project
• North East development – India’s North East Region (NER) offers a wide range of
attractions for all kinds of visitors. The region is home to many scenic hills, valleys,
rivers and other natural wonders. However, infrastructure has been a challenge to
connect NER with the rest of India. The government is taking initiatives to improve rail
and road connectivity, which is expected to significantly enhance tourism activities in
the region.
• National Tourism Policy and change in GST rates – Formulation of National Tourism
Policy 2015 was initiated to encourage Indian citizens to explore their own country as
well as position the country as a ‘Must See’ destination for global travellers. To further
promote investment in the tourism sector, the new Draft National Tourism Policy 2022
mentions granting industry status to the tourism sector, along with formally granting
infrastructure status to hotels. The government changed the GST rates on hotel rooms
to make them affordable for the middle class.
For the hotel industry, GST eliminated a number of other taxes, resulting in fewer
procedural steps and greater opportunities to streamline the taxation process. This
has created a level playing field for both hotel chains and local hotel operators. Online
tracking of invoice-level transactions through the GST portal is helping the government
to curb tax evasion, which was prevalent in the unorganized local hotel market.
GST has reduced the pricing advantage of unorganized local players. As a result,
organized hotel chains not only capture the new incremental demand, but it has also
succeeded in shifting the demand away from the unorganized market in their favour.
• UDAAN to improve the travel propensity in India – The top 4 countries with the
highest propensity to travel via Air are noted to be Australia, the US, Canada and Japan.
The countries with low air travel propensity are the BRIC countries, Indonesia and
Mexico. Amongst the least air travel propensity countries, India is the lowest.
2.94
3.0
2.52
2.5
2.23
2.0
1.5
1.0 0.90
0.54 0.47
0.5 0.39 0.34 0.33
0.08
0.0
Australia USA Canada Japan Russia Brazil Mexico Indonesia China India
• UDAN (UdeDesh ka Aam Naagrik) aims to link underserved and unserved airports in
the country. The Regional Connectivity Scheme (RCS) aims to increase inter-regional
connectivity by connecting 70 airports through 128 routes operated by five airlines.
The growing Indian middle class and nuclearization of families are the other
key drivers of growth in the leisure hotel segment
Growing middle class – The households with annual earnings between US$ 5,000-10,000 have
grown at a CAGR of 10% between FY12-20 and their number is projected to further double by
FY25. The households with annual earnings between US$ 10,000-50,000 have grown at a CAGR
of 20% between FY12-20. An increasing number of households with annual earnings of US$
10,000-50,000 has been leading to an increase in discretionary spending on leisure services
and luxury products. The consumption pattern also has moved towards higher spending on
branded products and through organized channels.
Households Households
Total
with annual % of total with annual % of total
Year Households
earnings US$ households earnings US$ households
(mn)
5K-10K (mn) 10K-50K (mn)
CY09 236 36 15.3 11 4.7
CY12 254 60 23.6 22 8.7
CY14 267 71 26.6 27 10.1
CY15 274 85 31.0 36 13.1
CY18 295 121 41.0 86 29.2
CY20 310 132 42.6 95 30.6
CY21E 330 147 44.5 115 34.8
Source: Industry Reports
Due to the growing number of middle- and higher-income households and rising per capita
income, consumption of discretionary products is likely to grow. The World Economic Forum
projects that high and upper-middle-income groups will grow from 25% in 2019 to 50% of
households by 2030. As consumers become more quality-sensitive, demand for healthy and
innovative hotel offerings will also increase.
Nuclearization of the family – The growth in the number of households exceeds population
growth, which indicates an increase in nuclearization in India. According to the 2011 census,
74% of urban households have five or less members, compared to 65% in 2001. It is expected
that smaller households with higher disposable income will lead to greater expenditure on
leisure and luxury products and services.
The hospitality sector is vast, and diverse and has a large number of players
Entry Barriers / Competition 5 Medium (both organized hotel chains and unorganized local hotels) due to low entry
barriers in the industry.
Business Prospects
MHRIL’s member addition has been robust during the challenging period of
New Business / Client Potential 8 Low FY21 and FY22. With the upcoming room inventory target of 5,500 by FY25,
we expect robust addition of members in the coming years.
MHRIL has a negative net debt of INR 380 cr (as on 31st Mar 2022) due to its
Debt Profile 8 Low
lighter balance sheet
Lower debt requirement and a comfortable working capital cycle is
FCF Generation 8 Low
generating strong free cash flow.
MHRIL used to pay 35-40% dividends till FY18. MHRIL stopped paying
Dividend Policy 5 Low dividends due to a change in accounting policy leading to transition
difference and negative net worth. Discussions are ongoing with MCA.
Total Score 122 The overall risk profile of the company is good and we consider it as a LOW
Low
Ventura Score (%) 81 risk company for investments
Source: Company Reports & Ventura Research
We analyzed the FY22 annual report of MHRIL and our key observations are as follows:
• Global Scenario:
According to the IMF, world output grew at 6.1% in 2021, compared to a contraction
of 3.1% in 2020. There have also been fewer instances of serious outbreaks of Covid-
19 since the Delta wave in early FY22. However, the war in Ukraine threatens to disrupt
the already hurt leisure industry.
As of April 2022, IMF projects the global economy to grow at 3.6% in 2022, which is
130 basis points below its earlier estimate of 4.9% released in October 2021.
RBI projected a GDP growth of 7.2% in 2022-23 for India, which is lower than its
December estimates. But the leisure industry has seen a few upsides:
o Quicker recovery from the second wave compared to the gradual recovery
during the first wave and recovery from the third wave in January 2022 was
even faster.
o Significant rebound in domestic leisure travel once the restrictions were lifted
as seen by higher occupancies, record numbers at several resorts and
destinations;
o Room revenues have shown improvement driven by higher average room
rates and improved occupancies. The vacation ownership industry, with its
loyal membership base, has even better prospects.
• Room Addition:
Room additions crossed the 4,500+ mark with gross addition of 385 rooms during the
year. It plans to cross 5,500 rooms by FY 25. For this, it has planned capital expenditure
of 1,000 to 1,200 crore over the next two to two and half years.
• Brand Campaign:
As resorts opened-up after the lockdown, Club Mahindra showcased its resorts and
2,000+ unique experiences with a ‘We Cover India, You Discover India” campaign —
across social media, TV and print — to create brand affinity and enhance interest
among prospects and members. The Club Mahindra website was revamped to improve
engagement and drive organic leads. In 2021-22, these enhancements contributed to
significantly higher organic traffic, digital leads and sales with 58% of the sales coming
from referrals and digital leads.
The Company added 12,764 members in 2021-22, compared to 12,031 in the previous
year. Its also focus on improving member quality along with quantity. Fully-paid
members increased consistently and now comprise of 85% of its cumulative
membership base. It leveraged the strength of its product portfolio to drive sales
across its range of products viz.
Board of Directors
B S R & Co. LLP is the auditor and there was no qualifications/emphasis of matters highlighted
by them in the FY22 Annual Report.
Related party transactions is stable in the past 2 years even with increased in business.
Contingent Liabilities
MHRIL’s contingent liabilities has decreased as compared to its revenue and net worth even
with increase in business.
Mr Kavinder Singh MD & CEO He has long term experience in FMCG sector, start up and building
businesses and leading transformational corporate strategy initiatives.
Adjusted EPS 3.2 -5.4 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.2 5.9 1.5 2.0 1.8 2.2 7.3 1.7 6.9 7.0 8.0
P/E (X) 85.7 -50.6 46.6 37.4 39.8 38.9 34.4
Adjusted BVPS 14.9 8.8 16.7 28.2 32.4 36.6 41.4
P/BV (X) 18.4 31.1 16.4 9.7 8.5 7.5 6.6
Enterprise Value 5,136.8 5,063.8 5,238.3 5,095.4 5,119.6 5,013.3 4,846.0
EV/EBITDA (X) 46.1 27.9 26.2 21.7 18.1 15.8 13.7
Cash Flow from Operations 300.5 331.0 266.8 356.0 235.1 555.6 637.7
Cash Flow from Investing -235.7 -277.5 -225.9 -261.4 -138.5 -348.5 -362.6
Cash Flow from Financing -62.5 -65.1 -35.9 -57.7 -85.1 -91.1 -103.6
Net Cash Flow 2.4 -11.6 5.0 36.9 11.4 116.0 171.4
Free Cash Flow 153.5 221.1 363.5 229.1 -26.9 225.6 297.7
CFO to EBITDA (%) 269.6 182.4 133.6 151.8 83.1 175.2 180.4
FCF to EBITDA (%) 137.7 121.8 182.1 97.7 -9.5 71.1 84.2
FCF to Net Profit (%) 240.4 -204.3 309.5 156.6 -19.6 160.4 186.8
FCF to Net Worth (%) 51.7 125.5 108.6 40.6 -4.2 30.8 36.0
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circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional/financial advice. And such person shall be responsible for conducting his/her/their own investigation and analysis of
the information contained or referred to in this document and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in the securities forming the subject matter of this document.
The projections and forecasts described in this report were based upon a number of estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties
and contingencies. Projections and forecasts are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the projections
and forecasts were based will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results, and such variances will likely increase over time. All projections and forecasts
described in this report have been prepared solely by the authors of this report independently of the Company. These projections and forecasts were not prepared with
a view toward compliance with published guidelines or generally accepted accounting principles. No independent accountants have expressed an opinion or any other
form of assurance on these projections or forecasts. You should not regard the inclusion of the projections and forecasts described herein as a representation or
warranty by VSL, its associates, the authors of this report or any other person that these projections or forecasts or their underlying assumptions will be achieved. For
these reasons, you should only consider the projections and forecasts described in this report after carefully evaluating all of the information in this report, including
the assumptions underlying such projections and forecasts. The price and value of the investments referred to in this document/material and the income from them
may go down as well as up, and investors may realize losses on any investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Future returns are not
guaranteed and a loss of original capital may occur. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not
predictions and may be subject to change without notice. We do not provide tax advice to our clients, and all investors are strongly advised to consult regarding any
potential investment. VSL, the RA involved in the preparation of this research report and its associates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out
of the use of this report. This report/document has been prepared by VSL, based upon information available to the public and sources, believed to be reliable. No
representation or warranty, express or implied is made that it is accurate or complete. VSL has reviewed the report and, in so far as it includes current or historical
information, it is believed to be reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. The opinions expressed in this document/material are subject
to change without notice and have no obligation to tell you when opinions or information in this report change. This report or recommendations or information
contained herein do/does not constitute or purport to constitute investment advice in publicly accessible media and should not be reproduced, transmitted or published
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of any contract or commitment whatsoever. This document is strictly confidential and is being furnished to you solely for your information, may not be distributed to
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author and are given as part of the normal research activity of VSL and are given as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Any opinion estimate or
projection herein constitutes a view as of the date of this report and there can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such opinions,
estimate or projection. This document has not been prepared by or in conjunction with or on behalf of or at the instigation of, or by arrangement with the company or
any of its directors or any other person. Information in this document must not be relied upon as having been authorized or approved by the company or its directors
or any other person. Any opinions and projections contained herein are entirely those of the authors. None of the company or its directors or any other person accepts
any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The information contained herein
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communication is prohibited unless otherwise expressly authorized. Please ensure that you have read “Risk Disclosure Document for Capital Market and Derivatives
Segments” as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India before investing in Securities Market.
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