Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Contents
1 Introduction ................................................................................... 5
1.1 Purpose ............................................................................................. 5
1.2 Scope ................................................................................................ 5
1.3 References ........................................................................................ 6
1.4 Distribution ........................................................................................ 7
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1 Introduction
1.1 Purpose
The Abu Dhabi Evaluation, Measurement & Verification (EM&V) Protocol
(“Protocol”) is underpinned by the need for a comprehensive monitoring
framework and tool to evaluate, measure and verify the energy and water
savings achieved by all DSM Programs under the Abu Dhabi Demand Side
Management and Energy Rationalization Strategy 2030 (“DSM Strategy”).
Consequently, this Protocol is developed to serve as a guiding framework that
supports the Program Owners (as more particularly identified in Figure 1 at
Section 3 in this Protocol) in their EM&V activities.
1.2 Scope
This Protocol discusses general fundamental EM&V concepts that are critical
to reliably establish the energy and water savings from a DSM Program such
as: Net Savings versus Gross Savings calculations, differences between
Estimated Savings and Evaluated Savings, peak demand savings and how to
deal with Overlaps. The Protocol also frameworks the governance of the EM&V
ecosystem including the roles and responsibilities, annual process timelines
and reporting requirements.
For each of the DSM Programs (as more particularly identified in Figure 1 at
Section 3 in this Protocol), the methodology to evaluate the impact of the DSM
activities is outlined in this Protocol. This includes international best practice,
local context considerations and recommendations, data flows within the EM&V
ecosystem, Net Savings calculation guidelines and relevant Overlaps with other
DSM Programs.
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1.3 References
The following references have been used to prepare this Protocol:
Energy Efficiency Program Impact Evaluation Guide, EM&V Working Group,
SEEAction (2012).
Evaluation, Measurement & Verification - ACEEE (2020).
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). 2014. “Estimating Net Savings:
Common Practices”.
NREL, 2018, Chapter 10: Peak Demand and Time-Differentiated Energy Savings
Cross-Cutting Protocol.
Evaluation Framework for Pennsylvania Act 129 Phase III Energy Efficiency and
Conservation Programs (2016).
National Survey of State Policies and Practices for Energy Efficiency Program
Evaluation - ACEEE (2020).
Avista Utilities Evaluation Framework (2016).
Efficiency Manitoba Evaluation Framework and Plan – Appendix A (2019).
EM&V Plan 2018-2020 Version 9 – California Public Utility Commission.
Evaluation Measurement and Verification (EM&V) Guidance for Demand-Side Energy
Efficiency (EE) – US EPA (2015).
California eTRM: https://www.caetrm.com/
Allcott, Hunt (2011). Rethinking real-time electricity pricing. Resource and Energy
Economics. Vol 33, Issue 4, pg. 820-842.
ENERGY STAR. Multifamily New Construction Certification Process.
BC Hydro, 2018. New Construction Program’s Energy modelling guideline.
Efficiency Nova Scotia. New Construction flow chart of requirements.
US DoE (PNNL), 2015, “Energy Modeling Building Codes Assistance Project”.
US DoE. Energy Plus.
UNFCCC, 2013, Demand-side activities for efficient outdoor and street lighting
technologies”.
AEEE, 2015, “Preparation of Monitoring & Verification Protocols for Street Lighting”.
ICP, 2018, “Streetlighting Protocol”.
All CMUA TRM-relevant documents: https://www.cmua.org/energy-efficiency-
technical-reference-manual
All Texas PUC TRMs here: http://www.texasefficiency.com/index.php/emv
NY Joint Utilities TRM: https://www3.dps.ny.gov
Arkansas PUC TRM: http://www.apscservices.info/EEInfo/TRMV8.1.pdf
NREL Sample Design Cross-Cutting Protocol.
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1.4 Distribution
This Protocol has been distributed to the following entities:
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Actual Savings - Savings that are realized in practice due to the implementation of
DSM activities.
Estimated Savings - Estimated savings are based on actual DSM activities that
are calculated via commonly-accepted savings methodologies and/or Deemed
Savings from prior evaluations and technical resource manuals, but are improved
via a number of EM&V adjustment factors.
EM&V - The term EM&V is commonly used as an overarching term for determining
impacts at DSM Strategy, DSM Program and DSM Initiative level.
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Free Riders - Participants that would have participated in energy and water
conservation behavior even if the DSM program did not exist.
Overlaps - Savings that can be attributed to more than one DSM Program are
classified as overlaps.
Reported Savings - Savings that are reported by the DSM activity implementing
body e.g., ESCOs to the program owner and eventually the strategy owner.
Spill-over - Out-of-program energy and water savings (e.g. spill-over activities) that
were initiated as a result of the DSM program but that are out of the direct scope of
the DSM program.
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3 Background
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1 Energy Efficiency Program Impact Evaluation Guide, EM&V Working Group, SEEAction (2012)
2 Evaluation, Measurement & Verification - ACEEE (2020)
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To help facilitate the overall evaluation process, regulators, utilities and/or third-party
program administrators develop EM&V frameworks or protocols. These documents
outline general EM&V principles, metrics, approaches, Net Savings versus Gross
Savings calculations, reporting requirements and overall governance. The said
document tends to be fixed given its overarching nature but can be updated
periodically as the DSM Programs progress and mature.
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In order to accurately estimate Net Savings, a baseline must be defined. The baseline
represents the counterfactual scenario of the DSM intervention, in other words, what
would have happened in the absence of the DSM intervention. By establishing a
baseline that correctly adjusts for natural changes in energy or water consumption
occurring over time (e.g., an “adjusted baseline”), Net Savings can accurately be
isolated and quantified. If these natural changes in consumption are not excluded from
the baseline, then these savings are defined as Gross Savings. These concepts are
illustrated by the graph below.
Figure 3: Baseline definition, Net Savings and Gross Savings in the context of DSM EM&V
3National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). 2014. “Estimating Net Savings: Common Practices”. Available
here: https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2015/01/f19/UMPChapter17-Estimating-Net-Savings.pdf
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As shown above, Gross Savings are generally greater than Net Savings because
these natural changes in consumption reflect organic savings in consumption, rather
organic increases. For example, from improvements in end-use technology, adoption
of higher efficiency equipment, or more efficient use of energy and water.
As part of EM&V activities, utilities calculate both Gross Savings and Net Savings.
Generally, Gross Savings are calculated first, followed by a calculation of Net Savings
when incorporating an adjusted baseline to account for natural changes. Nevertheless,
in the context of EM&V and for the reporting and communication of DSM savings, best
practice involves reporting of Net Savings. Gross Savings may also be reported, but
Net Savings should feature more prominently as those are the savings that can be
directly attributed to a portfolio of DSM programs.
A more complete picture of the intricacies of demand changes that may occur from
one year to the next is shown below. In the Abu Dhabi context, it is important to
consider deterioration/depreciation of air-conditioning equipment and systems given
the dominant cooling load.
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This example shows how annual consumption changes from one year to the next
(2020 to 2021). The left-hand side of the graph illustrates non-DSM related changes
in consumption, while the right-hand side shows the impact of DSM.
• Beginning from the left, the 2020 baseline consumption may experience some
demand increase from new customers and some demand reduction due to
leaving customers.
• Finally, to arrive at the 2021 consumption, savings attributed directly to the DSM
Strategy are accounted for.
In this context, the baseline for Net Savings is adjusted to reflect natural changes in
consumption (natural growth and natural conservation), whereas Gross Savings do
not reflect these natural changes.
The following graphs provide two examples to illustrate the difference between Gross
Savings and Net Savings for two DSM Programs: P6 Standards & Labels and P4
Efficient Cooling. For each example, two scenarios are shown:
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a. Free Riders are participants that would have participated in energy and
water conservation behavior even if the DSM Program did not exist;
whereas
3. Savings are inherently net | For some DSM Programs, Gross Savings are the
same as Net Savings because no natural change in consumption would have
taken place in absence of the DSM Program.
The approach followed to calculate Net Savings for each DSM Program is outlined
within its corresponding part in Section 4.
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Generally, most Overlaps within the ten DSM Programs can be managed procedurally
by defining clear boundaries between the data collection and reporting of savings in
different programs initiatives. Overlaps associated with P6 are the only areas that
require an estimation of the overlap and an allocation of savings between P6 and the
other DSM Programs.
The proposed approach for dealing with Overlaps for each of the ten Abu Dhabi DSM
Programs is described above in this section. An overall summary of the approaches
is presented in Figure 5.
Note: P4-P7 Overlaps: Savings from DC installations in new construction buildings (in other words non-retrofit DC projects)
should be allocated to P4; while Savings from DC retrofit projects (reported directly by ADES) should be allocated to P7.
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The use of different savings terminology in the context of EM&V maturity is just as
important. For example, Net Savings could refer to savings determined based on
engineering assumptions and Deemed Savings figures, just as they could refer to
savings determined based on metered data and complemented by insights from an
extensive survey of participants and interviews. The level of EM&V maturity and
certainty of the latter (measured data) is materially greater than the former
(engineering assumptions).
• Projected Savings refers to savings that have been estimated for the purpose
of program design and DSM forecasting (e.g., high-level engineering
assumptions).
• Claimed Savings refers to savings that have been estimated based on actual
DSM activity data (e.g., data collected by Program Owners).
The diagram below provides additional detail and context for each of these terms. It is
also important to consider at what point in the DSM implementation/evaluation life
cycle these terms are generally used (e.g., before implementation, after
implementation, after DSM Evaluation).
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Based on the Abu Dhabi landscape of DSM implementation and EM&V, the use of
“projected” and “claimed” savings may not be the most accurate. Instead of “projected”
or “claimed” savings, referring to savings as “estimated” savings may be most
appropriate for several reasons:
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For example, DSM initiatives targeting the replacement of luminaries will likely have a
lower impact on peak demand than DSM activities targeting space cooling equipment.
This is because space cooling demand is highly coincident with the electricity system
peak. In contrast, lighting demands are less coincident with system peak because
luminaries are commonly operated in the evening, when electricity demand is not at
its highest.
• Engineering algorithms;
• Calibrated hourly building simulation modelling;
• Billing data analysis;
• Interval metered data analysis (may also be end-use disaggregated); and
• Survey data on operating hours of end-use equipment.
The approach recommended for the Abu Dhabi DSM Strategy is to follow a consistent
engineering algorithm for all DSM Programs, while accounting for the different end-
uses targeted. The engineering algorithm described by NREL is appropriate for this
purpose. NREL employs the use of a diversity factor (%) and coincidence factor (%)
to convert energy savings (kWh) into demand savings (kW). A variation of this is to
consolidate both parameters into a “peak demand coincidence factor”. A peak demand
coincidence factor is a measure of how coincident energy consumption associated
with a particular end-use is to the system peak. This is illustrated by the graph below.
The left axis shows the system-wide energy demand, and the right axis shows space
cooling energy demand. As shown, the peaks of the system demand and space
cooling demand shapes are very coincident.
4NREL, 2018, Chapter 10: Peak Demand and Time-Differentiated Energy Savings Cross-Cutting Protocol.
Available here: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy17osti/68566.pd
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The peak coincidence demand factor for space cooling would be calculated as shown
by the equation below. Space cooling energy consumption during the system peak is
divided by the total annual space cooling consumption. In other words, the coincidence
peak demand factor is the share (%) of annual space cooling consumption occurring
during peak periods.
Each end-use (e.g., space cooling, lighting, etc.) should have a unique “peak demand
coincidence factor”. The equation below shows how the “peak coincidence demand
factor” is used to calculate demand savings.
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5 Evaluation Framework for Pennsylvania Act 129 Phase III Energy Efficiency and Conservation Programs (2016)
6 National Survey of State Policies and Practices for Energy Efficiency Program Evaluation - ACEEE (2020)
7 Avista Utilities Evaluation Framework (2016)
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EM&V Framework in 2016 to define the methods used to perform EM&V activities for
their DSM programs.
Figure 7: Role of the U.S. state regulatory commissions in EM&V activities in 2012 (Left) and 2020
(Right)7
5.1.3 Third-Party Evaluations
Although the “Estimated Savings” are calculated using commonly accepted savings
methodologies and are coupled with a large selection of EM&V adjustment factors that
improve the accuracy of the savings, an independent third-party evaluation is
necessary to provide an un-biased evaluation and verification of the Estimated
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Savings to obtain “Evaluated Savings”. This is done via conducting impact evaluation
through a variety of research methods that are tailored to the different DSM programs
and activities within a portfolio. Third-Party evaluations can be conducted by
independent IPMVP certified personnel and/or independent entities with experience in
carrying-out such evaluations. A larger number of programs within the portfolio and
more complex programs require a proportionally bigger team to conduct the
evaluation.
The role of the third-party evaluator(s) is not limited to only conducting the evaluation
activities. Rather, it is recommended that the evaluator(s) also develops the EM&V
planning documents alongside the Program Owners, given the evaluator’s main role
in adopting and implementing the plan (see below for further information on evaluation
planning). Consequently, it is highly recommended that the Program Owners engage
the third-party evaluator at an early stage to assist with the planning, provide general
feedback, endorse M&V plans if required, setup the data collection process and
streamline the overall evaluation activity. Nonetheless, the DoE will take this
responsibility for first next three years of this Protocol implementation to assist
Program Owners achieve the required level of maturity. Further details are outlined in
Section 5.4.3.
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Figure 8: Evaluation administration responsibility amongst U.S. States in 2012 (Left) and 2020 (Right) 7
For example, Commonwealth Edison (commonly known as ComEd) directly hires and
administers a third-party evaluator to carry out the evaluation activities for its energy
efficiency program in the State of Illinois9. On the other hand, in the State of California,
the California Public Utility Commission (CPUC) hires and administers the third-party
evaluation activities on behalf of the investor-owned utilities in its jurisdiction10, with
multiple firms hired to address one or more programs11.
Different EM&V process options are presented in Section 5.4, including the
recommended option for Abu Dhabi.
or more Program Owners, hence the use of the plural term “Third-Party Evaluator(s)” in this document.
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• A state (or province) with limited goals for energy efficiency and no mandated
(via codes and standards) energy efficiency activity → Limited level of EM&V.
The choice of evaluation scope and the level of certainty associated for Abu Dhabi
should strive to achieve a balance between the desired level of certainty, cost to plan
and conduct EM&V activities, and most importantly, the value of the information
generated by the evaluation efforts and how it is going to be used. Note that achieving
the desired level of certainty for some programs might be limited initially due to data
availability issues, nevertheless, this can be improved with time.
Figure 9: Illustrative chart demonstrating the impact of scope and frequency on EM&V budgets
As for the frequency of third-party evaluation programs, typically, less frequent
evaluation is required for programs with relatively smaller savings, have little variability
in savings, and/or less uncertainty to measure from one year to the other. Whereas, a
more frequent evaluation is usually required for larger and/or more complex programs
with greater variability and uncertainty to measure from one year to the other12.
12Evaluation Measurement and Verification (EM&V) Guidance for Demand-Side Energy Efficiency (EE) – US
EPA (2015)
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It should be noted that having the flexibility and the ability to adjust the EM&V plan and
implementation as the programs evolve in Abu Dhabi is critical. Based on the current
maturity and data availability, as a general guideline, a more limited third-party
evaluation scope at a higher frequency may be more appropriate for Abu Dhabi. As
implementation progresses, the evaluation scope could become more rigorous at a
lower frequency. The recommended frequencies of third-party evaluations for Abu
Dhabi’s DSM programs are summarized in Section 6.
Note: The Strategy Cycle EM&V Plan is not necessarily a direct input into the strategy level evaluation. In
essence, it is a forward-looking overview (three/four years) of evaluation activities followed by the third-
party evaluator. Alternatively, the strategy level EM&V plan could be a compilation of the impact evaluation
plans for all the DSM programs.
Figure 10: EM&V levels and the associated inputs and outputs
All evaluation planning documents should clearly present the evaluation efforts, the
level of detail required, and the timeline to be followed. While the planning documents
are mainly prepared by the third-party evaluator and/or the program owner(s), the
regulator can set out the minimum requirements and what should be included in these
documents through the regulatory framework, such as through a standard template
that is adopted by the evaluator and the program owner.
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As Required (e.g.,
As Required, per the Impact
Frequency Annual), per the Annual/Two-Years/Three-Years depending
Evaluation Plan agreed with the
strategy Cycle on the EM&V activities level of maturity
program owners.
EM&V Plan
13 Energy Efficiency Program Impact Evaluation Guide, EM&V Working Group, SEEAction (2012)
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DSM Evaluation results are typically reported through structured M&V reports at a
project or initiative level, which feed into an Impact Evaluation Report on a program
level. Once the entire program portfolio is evaluated, the overall results are typically
reported in the annual DSM Strategy report. Furthermore, an overall DSM Strategy
level evaluation shall be performed every two to three years to analyse successful
programs, identify opportunities for improvement and plan for future programs.
Program Owner
Program Owner and
Reported to and/or Strategy Stakeholders/ Public Strategy Owner
Strategy Owner
Owner
Public vs
Limited Public Public Public
Limited
As needed at an initiative
Upon Third-Party Two-Years/Three-
Frequency level, according to the Annual
Evaluation Years
EM&V Plan
14 Energy Efficiency Program Impact Evaluation Guide, EM&V Working Group, SEEAction (2012)
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2. Establish and enforce a robust EM&V ecosystem that facilitates the smooth and
successful implementation of the annual EM&V process.
3. Enforce the regulatory requirements that the Program Owners and third-party
evaluators need to fulfil in terms of EM&V planning and reporting, as well as the
eligibility criteria for performing the third-party evaluations.
15Recommended option for the transition period (3 years). Accordingly, this Protocol covers the scope of activity
during the 3-year transition period.
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6. Send out data request sheets to Program Owners to collect relevant data from
the ten DSM Programs.
7. Manage the EM&V model through importing relevant data from Program
Owners and performing quality checks of the data and the generated DSM
Evaluation results.
2. Develop tailored EM&V plans at the program level that are aligned with the
strategy’s EM&V timeline with the contracted third-party evaluator(s) in
accordance with the regulatory requirements enforced by the DoE, and submit
plans for review and approval by the DoE.
3. Develop tailored M&V plans at the initiative level that are aligned with strategy’s
EM&V timeline.
4. Collaborate with the Program Stakeholders on collecting the relevant M&V data
following the M&V plan, and report back to the DoE through the data collection
sheets provided as part of this Protocol.
6. Following the 3-year transition period outlined above, and subject to agreement
of the action plan after the transition period the most efficient arrangement for
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8. Report the collected EM&V data through the data collection sheet back to the
DoE in a timely manner.
The Program Stakeholders also carry out the DSM activities in accordance with the
DSM Strategy, as well as assist the Program Owners and the third-party evaluators
with the EM&V activities. The roles and responsibilities for the program stakeholders
are the following:
2. Collaborate with the Program Owners to collect the relevant data in accordance
with the developed savings methodologies and data collection sheets in this
Protocol.
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There are other players in the EM&V ecosystem with critical roles and responsibilities:
• ESCOs: Report relevant data required to estimate the savings from ESCO-
related activities back to the Program Owners in a timely manner.
The EM&V model collects data from all Program Owners and uses agreed savings
methodologies to calculate savings from the DSM Strategy. Section 4 of this Protocol
provides a per program view of the data governance that includes the data
requirements and collection frequency, data reporting frequency by the Program
Owners to the DoE and the data flow.
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•DoE integrates evaluation results within EM&V Model to attain “Evaluated Savings”
8
•DoE produces Annual DSM Report and reports results to the Executive Council
10
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•DoE produces Annual DSM Report and reports results to the Executive Council
12
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•DoE integrates evaluation results within EM&V Model to attain “Evaluated Savings”
9
•DoE and Program Owners reviews Impact Evaluation Report and “Evaluated
10 Savings”
•DoE produces Annual DSM Report and reports results to the Executive Council
11
▪ Visibility into the savings accrued throughout the year, ▪ DoE updates EM&V model with
allowing for adjustments and improvements. “Estimated Savings” data
DoE ▪ Direct control over evaluation process, scope and ▪ Management, oversight and
research methods, particularly for non-utility Program coordination with third-party
Owner(s) contractor is the DoE’s
▪ Complete independence from Program Delivery responsibility.
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1. Create ownership and accountability of the results for the Program Owners;
2. Enhance Program Owners’ knowledge of their programs;
3. Provide the DoE with the necessary oversight of the programs; and
4. Ultimately create better programs.
However, given the infancy of EM&V in the Emirate, the recommendation is for Abu
Dhabi to go through a transition period of 3 years, where the DoE guides the EM&V
efforts and cements these within the DSM Strategy by hiring the third-party
evaluator(s) on behalf of the Program Owners with frequent reporting of the data by
the latter i.e., Option D. This recommendation also stems from the fact that there are
non-utility Program Owners who would potentially require additional energy expertise
to oversee the EM&V activities. Beyond this transition period, the Program Owners
would contract the third-party evaluator with frequent reporting i.e., Option B.
In order to facilitate the implementation of the EM&V process beyond the transition
period, it is recommended that in the final year of the transition period (i.e. year 3), the
Strategy owner in consultation with the Program Owners, the appointed transition
period third-party evaluator(s) and other key stakeholders, develop and align on an
action plan for EM&V activities beyond the transition period. This will allow the Abu
Dhabi EM&V stakeholder ecosystem to adopt lessons learnt from the transition period,
assess the readiness of Program Owners to take third-party contracting
responsibilities and ensure the robustness of EM&V activities going forward.
The action plan will also be accompanied by a Terms of Reference (TOR) outlining
the responsibilities and resourcing implications (if applicable) for activities beyond the
transition period. This action plan and TOR will require sign off from all participating
Program Owners in order to demonstrate and acknowledge awareness of the various
responsibilities of the Program Owners beyond the transition period.
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Additionally, it is also recommended that the DoE carries out strategy level evaluations
for the entire DSM Strategy at an appropriate frequency (every 3/4/5 years). These
evaluations look at the overall cost-effectiveness of the programs, analyses successful
programs, identifies opportunities for improvement and provides recommendations on
which programs or initiatives should be continued or discontinued. During the
transition period, the DoE will fund the EM&V activities for some or all Program
Owners.
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Table 7 EM&V process roles and responsibilities for the Transition Period
Strategy
Program Program Third-Party
Step EM&V Process Owner –
Owners Stakeholders Evaluator
DoE
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Program Owners collect data and fill in data collection sheet in collaboration
2
with Program Stakeholders.
Program Owners report “Estimated Savings” data back to the DoE as per the
3
assigned reporting frequency per program.
Program Owners develop M&V Plans with occasional review from Third-
3
Party Evaluator(s).
Program Owners report “Estimated Savings” data back to the DoE as per
6
the assigned reporting frequency per program.
Standard steps Semi-annual data as per reporting frequency Full year data for all programs
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P3 Street & Public P3 has a low variability and contributes to relatively low
Five Years
Realm Lighting savings.
P5 Energy Storage EM&V not required given meter data is directly provided Not Required
• In addition, the subsequent annual M&V costs should ideally not exceed
roughly 10% of the expected annual saving.
The overall reasonable cost for performing M&V is usually deemed to be 5% or less
than the total building retrofit project costs.
The performance incentive for DSM savings does not have to be based on a kWh or
m3 savings goals in Abu Dhabi, at least during the initial stages of the DSM Programs’
implementation. Instead, the performance incentives could be driven by operational
targets (e.g., number of ACs sold under rebates for P10 rather than savings generated
by the A/C systems.) Once data is more readily available and evaluation activities are
well established, the targets could shift to be based on kWh or m 3.
At present, the DoE is developing the RC2 requirements in consultation with the
Distribution Companies, that include financial incentives linked to successful
implementation of DSM initiatives. Once completed, the agreed funding mechanisms
and cost recovery mechanisms will be included in a future version of this Protocol.
Measurement & Verification Process for Calculating and Reporting on Energy and Demand Performance –
16
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A Technical Reference Manual (TRM) is a document that outlines energy and water
efficiency measures, their expected savings as well as the associated savings
baselines and assumptions (either through Deemed Savings or engineering
algorithms). The TRMs are used by program administrators and implementers to
reduce EM&V costs and uncertainty when determining the “Estimated Savings”.
Evaluators will also use the information provided in TRMs to determine “Evaluated
Savings” values.
Many of the U.S. states have their own tailored TRMs in a PDF format. Some states
(e.g., California) have moved to an electronic TRM (eTRM) which offer better
documentation, is easier to manage and update, and is more user friendly 17.
The recommendation is that Abu Dhabi develops an eTRM, which will provide a
rigorous and credible estimate of the impact of a variety of energy and water
conservation measures, to support the EM&V efforts and cost-effectiveness estimates
going forward.
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https://www.bchydro.com/content/dam/BCHydro/customer-portal/documents/power-smart/builders-
developers/energy-modeling-guidelines.pdf
20 Efficiency Nova Scotia. New Construction flow chart of requirements. Available here: https://efficiencyns.ca/wp-
content/uploads/2016/09/New-Construction-Flow-Chart-VF.pdf
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The use of simulated consumption and savings for prototype buildings is an interim
solution that can be complemented in the future when, and if, measured consumption
data linked to individual buildings becomes available. Incorporating measure
consumption data into the analysis would require some level of calibration to be
performed on the simulated-energy consumption data to better match measured
consumption.
The recommended savings equation is presented below. The first part of the equation
is used to estimate energy and water savings from all new construction projects, and
the second part incorporates several EM&V adjustment factors. The energy and water
21 US DoE (PNNL), 2015, “Energy Modeling Building Codes Assistance Project”. Available here:
https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-24269.pdf
22 US DoE. Energy Plus. Available here: https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/downloads/energyplus-0
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intensities being collected are part of the first part and will be used to set the baseline
consumption and Estidama savings. Each parameter in the equation is described
below23.
• Estidama Savings (%): Electricity and water savings from the Estidama PRS
regulations vs. the baseline, by building type.
• New GFA (m2): Total new gross-floor area (GFA) from new construction
projects, by building type.
• Occupancy Impact Factor (%): This parameter is used to account for the
impact building occupancy can have on energy and water use. For example, a
building at 50% occupancy will not have 50% of the energy and water
consumption of a building at 100% occupancy, rather this may be closer to 70-
80%. Occupancy is made up of two parameters; macro-occupancy and
occupancy ramp up. The combined impact of these two parameters is used as
the basis for determining the impact on savings:
23Note: A depreciation factor/savings cut-off is not included in the calculation given the long lifetime of buildings
(50+ years) relative to the time horizon of the evaluation activity.
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• Weather Scaling Impact Factor (%): Parameter used to adjust energy savings
to account for the impact weather (temperature) can have on energy
consumption.
The calculation of Net Savings will initially be equivalent to Gross Savings. Gross
Savings and Net Savings will both have baseline of pre-Estidama (“business as
usual”). In the future, when a new set of new construction building regulations are
adopted (“Estidama v2”), the current set of Estidama PRS regulations (“Estidama v1”)
will become the baseline for Net Savings whereas Gross Savings will continue to be
calculated based on a “business as usual” baseline.
This changing baseline is illustrated in the table below. As show, the baseline for Gross
Savings will always be “business as usual”, whereas the baseline for Net Savings will
be adjusted over time.
Table 11: Building regulations net and gross baseline evolution with Estidama v2
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Table 12: Building Regulations Program - Data requirements and collection frequency
Data Collection
Category Data
Source Frequency
Buildings Database
(Completion date, typology, GFA per DMT Bi-Annual
DSM Activity building)
Data
Baseline EUI & WUI and Estidama Savings
DoE As Needed
(kWh/m2, L/m2, %)
EM&V
Occupancy Ramp Up DoE Five Years
Adjustments
Cooling Degree Days Annual
Data Flow
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6.1.5 Overlaps
The largest Overlaps occur with P6 Standards & Labels where, as a result of enforcing
the Estidama PRS, savings from installing an appliance/product (e.g., air-conditioning
units) under the labelling scheme would also contribute to P2 savings. P2 also has
Overlaps with P8 Efficient Water Use and Reuse and P4 Efficient Cooling in terms of
mandating TSE use and district cooling connections in new buildings respectively.
P8 Efficient Water
P4 Efficient Cooling P6 Standards & Labels
Use & Re-Use
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The scope of the Street & Public Realm Lighting program is the installation of new and
retrofitting of all public lighting in roadways, parks and other spaces across Abu Dhabi
with high efficiency LED bulbs.
In North America, the evaluation scrutiny placed on street lighting projects is much
lower than with other energy efficiency programs. Street lighting projects are less
notorious and high-profile than customer-focused energy efficiency programs. This is
also in part because the magnitude of savings from street lighting projects is
significantly lower than customer-focused programs. Nevertheless, general EM&V
guidelines defined by North American regulators and electric utilities remain valid and
appropriate for street lighting projects.
In general, best practice for the evaluation of street lighting projects is dependent on
the availability of existing metering infrastructure for street lighting luminaires.
24 UNFCCC, 2013, Demand-side activities for efficient outdoor and street lighting technologies” . Available here:
https://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies/DB/JXH8OI21V4PIQTL2WJLG6KJP5BTY3H
25 AEEE, 2015, “Preparation of Monitoring & Verification Protocols for Street Lighting”. Available here:
https://aeee.in/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/2015-Preparation-of-Monitoring-Verification-Protocols-for-Street-
Lighting.pdf
26 ICP, 2018, “Streetlighting Protocol”. Available here:
https://europe.eeperformance.org/uploads/8/6/5/0/8650231/icp_street_lighting_v1.0.pdf
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• Retrofit Isolation (Option 1/2) involves the use of power meters to take
measurements of individual street lighting luminaries, or the installation of data-
loggers to measure consumption over an extended period. This is
recommended in situations where utilities do not have metering in place and
the billing of street lighting loads relies on estimate, rather than metered data.
The recommended savings equation is presented below. The first part of the equation
is used to estimate energy savings based on the baseline and efficient wattage of the
luminaire, the number of luminaires installed and their annual operating hours. The
second part of the equation incorporates two EM&V adjustment factors; a Realisation
Rate and a Net-to-Gross Ratio.
The calculation of a Realisation Rate would involve the evaluation of a sample of street
lighting projects, beginning with desktop reviews of the database of projects, followed
by a review of engineering assumptions and interviews with project implementers. For
a small sample of projects, this would be complemented by on-site verification and
analyses of metering data, based on the availability of existing metering infrastructure.
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At a program-level the baseline may be adjusted much more gradually. Since Net
Savings are intended to capture natural increases in efficiency (absent a DSM
intervention), the magnitude of the adjusted baseline factors below should capture, in
reality, the efficiency increase observed year-on-year as low-efficiency luminaires
reach the end of their life and are replaced, whether with a higher-efficiency luminaire
or with the old luminaire.
Table 15: Program level street lighting net and gross adjusted baseline
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Table 16: Street & Public Realm Lighting Program - Data requirements and collection frequency
Data Collection
Category Data
Source Frequency
Data Flow
Figure 15: Street & Public Realm Lighting Program - Data Flowchart
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6.2.5 Overlaps
In rare occasions, there might be Overlaps between P3 and P7 Building Retrofits in
case retrofit activities extend to cover street lighting upgrades or installations.
Table 17: Description of Overlaps in Street & Public Realm Lighting Program
P7 Building Retrofits
Overlaps While rare, retrofits projects may include street lighting installations
Approach Full Allocation: Street lighting retrofits will be allocated 100% to P3 and not to P7
Sizing Procedurally
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This section focuses exclusively on two initiatives, District Cooling and Improved
Cooling System Management. The other two initiatives, cooling appliances and
cooling retrofit projects, are covered in their respective sections of this report (Program
6 and Program 7 sections, respectively).
In the context of DSM, district energy projects – and in the GCC context, DC projects
– stand out compared to more traditional DSM energy conservation measures like
efficient appliances or lighting retrofit projects. The nature of DC projects as large
infrastructure projects with relatively long lead timelines for development means that
project developers justify them based on their own right as net-positive commercial
business cases. As such, there is no involvement from energy utilities, no need for
utility-sponsored DSM incentives to justify the projects, and in turn no requirement for
EM&V activities and the evaluation of energy savings.
Nevertheless, the core concepts of EM&V practices are still valid and should be
applied in the context of DC projects in order to estimate electricity savings. For
example, the “baseline” measure can be defined as the mix-market average of
distributed A/C systems, while the “efficient” measure should be defined as the DC
system.
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Incentive-Based Programs
The closest comparable DSM projects to DC in North America are combined heat and
power (CHP) systems. While different in nature and scale, CHP systems are also
facility-level measures. A key difference, however, is that CHP programs in North
America are often utility-sponsored, incentive-based programs. CHP developers
receive a financial incentive (e.g., $/kWh, or $/kW) in return for electricity and gas
saving resulting from the installation of CHP systems. As a result, there is a direct
relationship between the financial incentive offered by the program and a CHP system
installed by the business.
As illustrated by the figure below, the EM&V approach for CHP systems is at the
facility-level. Savings are reported to the program owner by individual
facilities/buildings. A third-party evaluator will then conduct an evaluation consisting of
multiple levels of review, beginning with an engineering desk review, interviews and
surveys, assessment of pre- and post-installation metering and on-site M&V audits.
This multi-layer evaluation results in an estimated Realisation Rate (%) and a Net-to-
Gross Ratio (%).
Market-Transformation Programs
Abu Dhabi’s DC initiative is not an incentive-based program. Rather, the DC initiative
is designed to influence overall market adoption of DC systems (e.g., the share of
technically feasible use cases that adopt DC systems) and the average efficiency of
DC systems. This type of DSM initiative is characterised as a market transformation
program and as a result the estimation of savings is not performed at the facility-level,
rather at the cooling market-level using a top-down savings approach. This is
illustrated by the equation below with two sources of savings; savings from growth
(e.g., growth in the cooling energy demand met by DC systems) and savings from
efficiency (e.g., increases in the efficiency of DC systems).
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• Savings from Growth: Since the initiative was launched, has DC cooling
output increased above historical baseline levels?
• Savings from Efficiency: Since the initiative was launched, has the
efficiency of DC cooling systems improved compared to historical baseline
efficiencies?
Each of these savings components require their own definition of baselines. Figure 16
provides an example of how the growth baseline of the DC initiative is defined; an 11%
market share for DC cooling output compared to the overall cooling output from all
cooling systems in Abu Dhabi. If the market share increases above 11%, this increase
would be attributed as savings to the DC initiative. If the market share does not rise
above 11%, no savings would be attributed.
An equivalent graph could be drawn to illustrate the efficiency baseline. If the overall
efficiency of all DC systems (both from the baseline output and above the baseline)
increased above the baseline, this increase would be attributed as savings to the DC
initiative.
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27Note: A depreciation factor/savings cut-off is not included in the calculation given the long lifetime of DC projects (equivalent to
building lifetimes of 50+ years) relative to the time horizon of the evaluation activity.
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Figure 17 illustrates the link between the DC Cooling Output in TRh and the associated
water demand in m3. This link is established through a baseline Water Demand Factor
(m3/TRh) using historical TRh and m3 data reported by DC operators. As previously
mentioned, if there is an overall increase in the DC market share above the baseline
(11%) i.e., savings can be attributed to the DC initiatives, this baseline Water Demand
Factor can then be used to calculate the annual change in water demand that can be
directly attributed to the program. If the market share does not rise above 11%, no
water demand change would be attributed.
Figure 17: Illustration of the link between district cooling’s DC output growth and the DC water demand
The detailed equations to estimate the change in water demand from DC growth and
water use efficiency is presented below with descriptions of each variable28. Each
variable is categorised as either ‘actual data’ or ‘baselines’. Actual data is data that
would be collected annually from DC operators, while baselines are calculated based
on historical data.
28Note: A depreciation factor/savings cut-off is not included in the calculation given the long lifetime of DC projects (equivalent to
building lifetimes of 50+ years) relative to the time horizon of the evaluation activity.
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The description of the savings methodology and baseline variables above is framed in
the context of calculating Net Savings. For example, the baseline DC efficiency and
the baseline non-DC efficiency may both be moving baselines that improve over time.
Table 18 describes the differences in the definition of the baseline variables in the
context of Gross Savings and Net Savings. In general, Gross Savings are determined
when baselines are fixed, while Net Savings reflect moving or adjusted baselines.
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Table 18: Definition of district cooling baseline variables in the context of Net Savings and Gross
Savings
Gross Savings Net Savings
Calculated by multiplying DC market share (%) by actual total cooling output (TRh)
Baseline DC Based on a fixed DC market Based on an adjusted DC market share. For example,
Output (TRh) share (e.g., fixed at 11%) if the historical data shows a DC market share
increasing by 1% per year (e.g., 11% in 2013, 12% in
2014, etc.)
Baseline DC Based on a fixed baseline of DC Based on a moving baseline of DC efficiency.
Efficiency efficiency. Assuming historical data reflects a changing baseline
(kWh/TRh) – e.g., a historical increase in DC efficiency over time)
Based on a fixed baseline of Based on a moving baseline of water demand factor.
Baseline Water
water demand factor. Assuming historical data reflects a changing baseline
Demand Factor
– e.g., a historical increase in water demand factor
(m3/TRh)
over time due to a growth in DC market share)
Based on a fixed baseline of Based on a moving baseline of non-DC efficiency.
Baseline Non-DC
non-DC efficiency. Assuming historical data reflects a changing baseline
Efficiency
– e.g., a historical increase in the non-DC efficiency
(kWh/TRh)
over time.
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Collection
Category Data Data Source
Frequency
Baseline DC Data
DC
(Baseline DC & Non-DC Efficiency, baseline DC Developers
market share, baseline DC water demand factor)
Actual DC Data
DC
(Actual DC Efficiency, actual DC market share, actual Annual
Developers
DSM Activity cooling demand, actual DC water demand factor)
Data
Efficient Cooling Floor space
Facility
(m2 with Efficient Cooling Practices, or Reported Management
Savings)
Data Flow
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6.3.4 Overlaps
P4 has Overlaps with four other DSM Programs given the cooling-based focus of the
program. First, savings from efficient A/C units under P6 Standards & Labels also
contribute to P4 savings. These savings also Overlaps with P10 Rebates & Behavioral
Change if the upgrades were purchased under the A/C rebate scheme. New
construction or retrofit projects may also include connections to a DC system, thus
creating Overlaps with P2 Building Regulations and P7 Building Retrofits, respectively.
In the Overlaps between P4 and P7, savings from DC installations in new construction
buildings (in other words non-retrofit DC projects) should be allocated to P4 while
savings from DC retrofit projects (reported directly by ADES) should be allocated to
P7.
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The scope of the Energy Storage program includes developing energy storage
infrastructure to support the reliability and the sustainability of the network. In 2019,
the DoE inaugurated the world’s largest virtual power plant comprised of 12x 4MW
and 3x 20MW battery energy storage systems, adding up to a total of 108 MW.
1. Collect hourly/sub-hourly meter data from each battery energy storage system
(BESS) facility;
3. Cumulative energy discharge and charge cycles will determine energy losses.
The energy storage program in Abu Dhabi has the following characteristics:
1. A limited number of batteries make up the virtual power plant (15 in total).
2. The batteries are all localized and are connected to the distribution network.
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1. Collect and aggregate hourly metering data for each storage facility;
4. Calculate energy losses (kWh) by subtracting the total annual electricity fed
back into the grid from the electricity drawn from the grid.
The savings from the energy storage program are inherently net. This is because
absent the energy storage program, there would have been no organic storage
adoption.
No EM&V is required for the Energy Storage Program given that the storage data from
the 10 to 15 sites is the measured metered data, and no activities are taking place
behind-the-meter. Data reporting frequency to DoE is defined as annual.
Table 21: Energy Storage Program - Data requirements and collection frequency
Collection
Category Data Data Source
Frequency
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Data Flow
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The scope of the Standards & Labels program is the implementation of ESMA’s
Minimum Energy Performance Standards (MEPS) for a number of appliances and
products including ACs, refrigerators and freezers, washing machines and dryers,
water heaters, dishwashers and water fixtures.
Similar international standards and labels programs exist in many jurisdictions, with
varying scopes in terms of the customer sectors targeted (e.g., residential, commercial
and industrial equipment) and the number of appliances / products covered. For
example, the ENERGY STAR program in the US covers over 70 different product
types across all customer segments, while the European Commission and India’s
Bureau of Energy Efficiency standards programs cover a narrower set of appliances /
products; with approximately 25 different product types each.
In the US, Department of Energy (US DOE) prepares Technical Support Documents
(TSDs) supporting each appliance-specific standards ruling. TSDs are stand-alone
reports providing technical analyses and results for each appliance, including market
and technology assessments, screening and efficiency analyses, and detailed energy
consumption methodologies.
North American jurisdictions are the most mature in terms of savings evaluation
activities associated with these programs. Many US states and Canadian provinces
have established TRMs to create a consistent set of methodologies and assumptions
employed in the estimation of savings from related energy and water efficiency
programs. TRMs provide guidance on electricity and water savings calculations, they
assist in planning, reporting, cost effectiveness analysis, and perhaps most importantly
they help create consistency across energy regulators, implementers, utilities, and
evaluators in the characterisation of appliance/product savings.
In general, savings methodologies are largely consistent from one TRM to another,
with only assumptions changing across jurisdictions. For example, the savings
equation for A/C units are consistent across TRMs; however, the assumption of how
many hours an A/C system operates throughout the year changes.
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The following sub-sections describe in detail these two parts of the savings
methodologies.
• New York State Joint Utilities, 2020, Standard Approach for Estimating Energy
Savings v731; and
https://www3.dps.ny.gov/W/PSCWeb.nsf/96f0fec0b45a3c6485257688006a701a/72c23decff52920a85257f11006
71bdd/$FILE/TRM%20Version%207%20-%20April%202019.pdf
32 Arkansas PUC TRM available here: http://www.apscservices.info/EEInfo/TRMV8.1.pdf
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The electricity savings equations for each appliance product alongside their assumed
lifetime are presented in Table 22. The variables used in each savings equation are
also described below. The assumed lifetime for each appliance is used in the savings
estimations to cap the savings from the appliance beyond its lifetime.
• Cooling Capacity (Btu/hour): The cooling capacity of the efficient A/C unit.
• EFLH (hours): The equivalent full load hours (EFLH) represents the number of
hours of operation of an A/C unit in a year if the unit was operating at full output.
• ∆EER (Btu-h/W): The Energy Efficiency Ratio (EER) represents the efficiency
level of A/C units. This parameter is the difference between the baseline EER
(the mix-market average EER) and the EER of the efficient A/C unit.
• Capacity (kg): The capacity of the efficient washer / dryer unit in kilograms
• ∆EER (Wh/kg): The Energy Efficiency Ratio (EER) represents the efficiency
level of the washer/dryer unit. This parameter is the difference between the
baseline EER (the mix-market average EER) and the EER of the efficient
washer/dryer unit
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Refrigerators / Freezers
Dishwashers
• Ps: Number of plate settings of the efficient dishwasher unit (e.g., dishwasher
capacity).
Water Heaters
• AEC (kWh): Annual electricity consumption for efficient water heater unit.
The water savings equations for each appliance product alongside their assumed
lifetime are presented in Table 23. The variables used in each savings equation are
also described below. The assumed lifetime for each appliance is used in the savings
estimations to cap the savings from the appliance beyond its lifetime.
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Washing Machines
• WCBaseline (l/Cycle): Water consumption per cycle for the baseline washing
machine. The WCBaseline is calculated differently for front- and top-loading
washing machines as follows:
Dishwashers
• Ps: Number of plate settings of the efficient dishwasher unit (e.g., dishwasher
capacity).
Water Fixtures
The second part of the savings equations is made of four parameters, two of which
are EM&V adjustment factors used in order to more accurately simulate the actual
accrual of electricity and water savings.
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Other Parameters:
• Abu Dhabi Population Share (%): Share of the UAE population living in Abu
Dhabi. Used to prorate ESMA data (which reflects labels for the UAE) to Abu
Dhabi.
Population data is used in lieu of appliance point-of-sale (PoS) data since it is currently
unavailable. However, going forward, PoS and business-to-business (B2B) data would
need to be collected in order to accurately estimate the share (%) applied across
appliance types.
The calculation of Net Savings can be made by applying an adjusted baseline to the
consumption indicator of each appliance type. If there is evidence that the average
efficiency of an appliance experienced a gradual increase over time (prior to the DSM
Program), then the baseline efficiency should be adjusted in future years. If there is
no evidence that appliance efficiencies increased in the absence of the DSM Program,
then the baseline should remain fixed. In this case, Gross Savings and Net Savings
would be equivalent.
Figure 20 below illustrates this with an example for an A/C unit. In this example, Gross
Savings are estimated based on fixed baseline using an EER=7.00. By comparison,
Net Savings are calculated by incorporating an adjustment to the fixed baseline to
reflect the continuation of a historical trend of an increasing efficiency observed before
the DSM Program launched.
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Figure 20: Illustration of the adjusted baseline for electricity and water appliances
The table below provides a more detailed example focused on savings attributed over
a 3-year period. This example assumes a split A/C unit with an EER=8.0. Gross
Savings are calculated based on a fixed baseline of 7.0. In every year of the analysis
(2020 through 2022), savings would be calculated based on an EER difference of 1.0.
To calculate Net Savings, the fixed baseline is no longer fixed at 7.0. Rather the
baseline increases by 0.2 every year, to 7.2 in 2021 and 7.4 in 2022. As a result,
savings are calculated based on an EER difference of 1.0 in 2020 (just as in the gross
case), 0.8 in 2021 and 0.6 in 2022.
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Table 24: Standards & Labels Program - Data requirements and collection frequency
Collection
Category Data Data Source
Frequency
Labels Data
ESMA &
(Model, Issue Date, No. of Labels, Stars, Product Semi-Annual
QCC
Category, Model Energy/Water Data)
EM&V Third-Party
Compliance Rates (per Appliance) Annual
Outputs Evaluation
Data Flow
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6.5.5 Overlaps
P6 has Overlaps with four other DSM Programs. The largest Overlaps occur with P2
Building Regulations where, as a result of enforcing the Estidama standards, savings
from installing an appliance/product (e.g., A/C units) under P6 would also contribute
to P2 savings. Additionally, Overlaps exist between P6 and P4 Efficient Cooling, where
savings from efficient A/C units would also contribute to P4 savings. Moreover, with
P7 Building Retrofits, efficient appliances from P6 might also be part of retrofit projects.
Finally, since A/C units are part of P6, Overlaps exist with the A/C rebate program in
P10 Rebates and Behavioral Change.
Savings from
Retrofits may
appliance / product Savings from A/C
include appliances / Savings from A/C
standards (tracked standards (tracked
Overlaps products tracked rebates are also
under P6) may under P6) contribute
and reported under tracked under P6
contribute to P2 to P4 savings
P6
savings
50/50 Allocation:
Full Allocation: All Full Allocation:
Appliances installed 50/50 Allocation:
savings A/C Savings from A/C
Approach in new buildings will Allocate overlap
standards will be rebates will be
be allocated 50/50 savings 50/50
allocated to P6 allocated to P10
across P2 and P6
Sizing Manual Allocation Manual Allocation Manual Allocation Manual Allocation
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Best practice for the evaluation of building retrofit programs involves conducting a
multi-stage, nested-sampling assessment of a statistically significant sample of retrofit
projects. The objective of this assessment is to verify the accuracy of ESCO Reported
Savings.
ESCO Reported Savings are adjusted with a Realisation Rate – to quantify the
difference between Actual Savings vs. Reported Savings – and a Net-to-Gross Ratio
– to calculate Net Savings from reported Gross Savings. This is shown by the equation
below.
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34 The Abu Dhabi M&V Protocol Guidance Document can be downloaded from:
https://www.doe.gov.ae/en/Publications
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For this program, a Net-to-Gross Ratio (NTG) is used to calculate Net Savings from
the Gross Savings reported by the ESCOs to take into account Spill-over effects
resulting from the retrofit.
The data requirements and collection frequency are shown in the table below. Data
reporting frequency to DoE is defined as annual.
Table 27: Building Retrofits Program - Data requirements and collection frequency
Data Collection
Category Data
Source Frequency
Realisation Rate
Third-
EM&V
Degradation Factor Party Two Years
Outputs
Evaluation
Net-To-Gross Ratio
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Data Flow
Moreover, if the retrofit project also involves retrofitting a building’s irrigation system,
Overlaps occur with P8 Efficient Water Use & Reuse. Finally, in rare occasions, there
might be Overlaps between P3 Street & Public Realm Lighting and P7 in case retrofit
activities extend to street lighting upgrades or new installations.
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The objective of the Efficient Water Use & Re-Use program is to reduce desalinated
water use for outdoor irrigation systems and to reuse water more efficiently through
TSE use. These objectives are supported by several initiatives including the optimised
operation of irrigation systems, the upgrading / automation of systems and the
application of soil additives.
Today, DSM Program 8 focuses primarily on initiatives that create desalinated water
savings via:
In the future, the scope of savings may be expanded to also capture savings from
initiatives focused on the efficient use of groundwater and TSE, as well as TSE
replacing groundwater.
Globally, the water sector does not conduct as much EM&V as the energy sector. In
general, this reflects the more challenging nature of evaluating water efficiency
initiatives (e.g., less advanced metering infrastructure, more expensive to submeter or
spot measure equipment), subsidised and/or low water rates, lack of regulatory
requirement to evaluate such programs, and the perceived abundance of water
resources. Nevertheless, when EM&V is applied to evaluate water conservation
programs, those practices are largely consistent with EM&V practices in the energy
sector.
In the context of irrigation and landscape initiatives, best practice involves submetering
of indoor and/or outdoor water consumption, as appropriate. Submetering pre- and
post-project implementation enables for a comparison of water consumption before
and after implementation. These analyses are calibrated by adjusting for weather,
occupancy, changes in the landscape, and other relevant variables. Once a regression
model is built, it can also be employed to estimate future water savings. Since
submetering can become an expensive evaluation approach, a lower-cost alternative
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to the installation of water meters is the use of acoustic meters which can be wrapped
around water pipes to log water flow data.
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The savings estimation methodology for the two types of initiatives part of DSM
Program 8 – efficient water use and TSE replacing desalinated water or groundwater
is based on a water supply and demand balance. Project implementers report the
following:
• Supply | Baseline water demand and its source(s) (desal, TSE, groundwater
or a mix)
• Demand | Water demand end-use mix (forest, fruit trees and landscape)
• Project lifetime
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In the context of DSM Program 8, Gross Savings and Net Savings are equivalent.
DSM Program 8 is directly responsible for the initiatives within its scope, hence, in the
absence of DSM Program 8, these water savings would not have materialised. Unlike
with other DSM Programs, a Net-to-Gross Ratio (%) is not applied.
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The data requirements and collection frequency are shown in the table below. Data
reporting frequency to DoE is defined as semi-annual, given that the program is
expected to contribute a significant share of total DSM strategy water savings.
Table 30: Efficient Water Use and Re-Use Program - Data requirements and collection frequency
Collection
Category Data Data Source
Frequency
Project Lifetime
Realisation Rate
Third-Party
EM&V Outputs Semi-annual
Net-to-Gross Ratio Evaluator
Data Flow
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6.7.5 Overlaps
P8 primarily Overlaps with P2 in the case where new building regulations mandate the
use of TSE for landscaping. On rare occasions, if a building retrofit project also
involves retrofitting a building’s irrigation system, Overlaps would occur with P7
Building Retrofits.
Table 31: Description of Overlaps in the Efficient Water Use and Reuse Program
New building regulations may mandate While rare, retrofit projects associated with
Overlaps
the use of TSE for landscaping irrigation applications
Full Allocation: All TSE use in Full Allocation: Irrigation retrofits will be
Approach
landscaping will be counted in P8 allocated 100% to P7
Sizing Procedurally Procedurally
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Best practice for the evaluation of DR program varies based on the type of customer
sector targeted. DR programs targeting residential and small commercial and
industrial (C&I) customers do not follow the same impact evaluation plans as DR
programs for large C&I customers.
36 DTE / Navigant, 2017, “The Reliability of Behavioral Demand Response”. Available here:
http://www.oracle.com/us/industries/utilities/reliability-bdr-5225436.pdf
37 EnerNOC, 2011, “The Demand Response Baseline”. Available here:
https://library.cee1.org/sites/default/files/library/10774/CEE_EvalDRBaseline_2011.pdf
38 CAISO, 2009, “Baselines for Retail Demand Response Programs”. Available here:
https://www.caiso.com/Documents/Presentation-Baselines_RetailDemandResponsePrograms.pdf
39 AEIC, 2009, “Demand Response Measurement & Verification” available here:
https://www.smartgrid.gov/files/documents/demand_response.pdf
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Different approaches are followed for different DR programs based on the degree of
heterogeneity of participants (e.g., how different are DR participants) and the number
of participants in each program (e.g., how big is the sample of participants). For
example, residential and small C&I program can be made up of thousands of
participants and can have a significant degree of homogeneity – in other words, their
energy consumption and demand composition can be quite similar. These
characteristics lend themselves well to a regression analysis with a large number of
participants in the treatment group.
In comparison, DR programs for large C&I customers are much more limited in terms
of the number of participants and can also be largely heterogenous (very different
energy consumption patterns and demand composition). These characteristics make
it more appropriate to perform a participant-specific approach.
Since the DR program has not been implemented and is still being scoped, the
recommended approach to estimate savings is to initially follow a simplified top-down
approach until an initial pilot is launched, completed and evaluated. Once a DR pilot
is evaluated, those evaluated results may be used to estimate savings in future years
as the pilot is scaled to a full rollout.
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• Unit-Impact (%): The fraction of the coincident peak demand that a participant
can be expected to reduce if a DR event is called.
The proposed process of initially estimating savings based on the top-down approach
described above is illustrated by the diagram below. During the first year of the
program (Y1), the methodology described above would be employed to estimate DR
savings. Once the DR pilot has concluded, an evaluation would be performed. Once
the Y1 evaluation is complete, the evaluated impacts would become available to use
in order to estimate DR savings for the following year of the program. Evaluated
impacts from the pilot would be used until a new evaluation is conducted.
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In the context of DSM Program 9, Gross Savings and Net Savings are equivalent.
Absent the DR program, there would be no natural adoption of DR measures.
Data requirements and data collection frequency are outlined in the table below
Table 32: Demand Response Program - Data requirements and collection frequency
Data Collection
Category Data
Source Frequency
Snapback
Third-Party
EM&V Outputs Two Years
Evaluator
Demand Reduction (by participant class)
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Data Flow
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40 Awareness, Education and Engagement activities (The Base + Program Area A), apart from the pilots, do not
directly generate savings, rather they reinforce the other initiatives in the portfolio e.g. Efficiency Kits initiatives,
Informational Billing, Home Energy Reports. Consequently, qualitative evaluations are envisioned for such
activities.
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Table 33: Description of evaluation best practice for rebates and behavioral change program
Rebates Best practice for evaluating rebate programs requires an analysis of point-of-sale data from a sample
of retailers, and verification through customer surveys / interviews. Retail data is used to estimate the
number of A/C unit purchased during a rebates campaign that can be attributed to the campaign
itself. This involves determining the number of sales before the campaign, during the campaign and
after the campaign.
Program Area A: Best-practice for the evaluation of HEMS programs is a regression analysis comparing a treatment
HEMS pilot and control groups through a Randomized Control Trial (RCT). Traditionally, utilities will conduct a
small pilot, conduct an evaluation to estimate energy savings and employ those evaluated impacts as
“Deemed Savings” to estimate savings from expanding the program.
Program Area A: While submetering pre- and post-intervention is best practice for water DSM, with irrigation projects,
Irrigation Audit pilot regression modelling on a master water meter is generally sufficient. These results may be used to
inform expected savings per action (or recommendation).
Metering may not be possible at farms using groundwater. In this case, water use may be estimated;
for example, based on comparable farms with water meters.
Program Area B: Participant surveys and interviews with a complex battery of questions to: (i) measure participants’
Efficient Equipment exposure to the initiative, (ii) identify savings actions taken and actions taken prior [baseline
& Appliances condition] and (iii) compare which actions taken on high recall vs. low recall.
Program Area C:
Efficiency Advisory
Services
Program Area D: Same as Program Area A: HEMS pilot.
Energy Feedback
Programs
The attribution factor represents the share of A/C units purchased as a result of the
Rebates initiative. The attribution factor would be calculated based on an analysis
of point-of-sale data obtained from retailers. A/C unit sales figures would be
analysed over time to develop a comparison of sales before, during and after the
Rebates campaign. The attribution factor would be calculated as illustrated by the
diagram below. Additionally, a net-to-gross factor would also be calculated to
account for any Free Riders and Spill-over effects.
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• Net-to-Gross Ratio (%): To capture the impact of Free Riders and Spill-over
effects.
*The number of P6 units are determined as part of the P6 analysis based on data from ESMA/QCC
Figure 25: Illustration of the application of an attribution factor to quantify savings from the rebate
program
Program Area A: HEMS pilot
The recommended methodology for the HEMS pilot is consistent with best practice.
The HEMS pilot should be evaluated through an econometric analysis (e.g., RCT).
The results of this pilot should be used to establish “Deemed Savings” figures (e.g.,
participants achieve 1% savings in electricity consumption) and these should be
applied in the equation below in order to estimate future savings.
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• Action Frequency (actions per year): Estimated number of actions per year
• Kit Equipment Lifetime (years): Lifetime of the equipment within the kit, for
the purpose of capping savings beyond the lifetime.
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Table 34: Rebates & Behavioral Change Program - Data requirements and collection frequency
Rebates
Net-to-Gross Ratio
+ B, C, D
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Data Flow
Table 35: Description of Overlaps in the Rebates & Behavioral Change Program
Savings from A/C rebates (tracked under Savings from A/C rebates are also
Overlaps
P10) contribute to P4 savings tracked under P6
Full Allocation: All savings from A/C Full Allocation: Savings from A/C
Approach
rebates will be allocated to P10 rebates will be allocated to P10
Sizing Procedurally Manual Allocation
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7 EM&V Model
This Protocol is accompanied by an EM&V Model that takes in the data from the
Program Owners and calculates the net Estimated Savings and/or Evaluated Savings.
A user guide for the model is also provided.
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Data Collection Workbooks will be prepared for each Program Owner, and those
workbooks will feed directly into the EM&V model:
Key model inputs and assumptions are assigned a ‘maturity’ level. This allows the
tracking of the model’s overall input maturity status over time:
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