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Alex Sharpe Data V2-Team Dylan
Alex Sharpe Data V2-Team Dylan
1. Calculate the average monthly % returns and standard deviation of monthly % returns for each return series
MonthlyAnnual
Mean D 0.0127 0.152022
Std Dev D 0.081051 0.280767
VaR (5%)
VaR (95%)
Date Open High Low Close Volume Adj Close Return
1/2/2002 1148.08 1176.97 1081.66 1130.20 1490628500 1130.20
2/1/2002 1130.20 1130.20 1074.36 1106.73 1444200000 1106.73 -0.0208
3/1/2002 1106.73 1173.94 1106.73 1147.39 1385540000 1147.39 0.0367
4/1/2002 1147.39 1147.84 1063.46 1076.92 1372613600 1076.92 -0.0614
5/1/2002 1076.92 1106.59 1048.96 1067.14 1281036300 1067.14 -0.0091
6/3/2002 1067.14 1070.74 952.92 989.82 1604925500 989.82 -0.0725
7/1/2002 989.82 994.46 775.68 911.62 2012640000 911.62 -0.0790
8/1/2002 911.62 965.00 833.44 916.07 1374013600 916.07 0.0049
9/3/2002 916.07 924.02 800.20 815.28 1472279000 815.28 -0.1100
10/1/2002 815.28 907.44 768.63 885.76 1717287300 885.76 0.0864
11/1/2002 885.76 941.82 872.05 936.31 1492221000 936.31 0.0571
12/2/2002 936.31 954.28 869.45 879.82 1289625700 879.82 -0.0603
1/2/2003 879.82 935.05 840.34 855.70 1539433800 855.70 -0.0274
2/3/2003 855.70 864.64 806.29 841.15 1400452600 841.15 -0.0170
3/3/2003 841.15 895.90 788.90 848.18 1503596600 848.18 0.0084
4/1/2003 848.18 924.24 847.85 916.92 1498005700 916.92 0.0810
5/1/2003 916.92 965.38 902.83 963.59 1554328500 963.59 0.0509
6/2/2003 963.59 1015.33 963.59 974.50 1562219000 974.50 0.0113
7/1/2003 974.50 1015.41 962.10 990.31 1507327200 990.31 0.0162
8/1/2003 990.31 1011.01 960.84 1008.01 1229836600 1008.01 0.0179
9/2/2003 1008.01 1040.29 990.36 995.97 1501457600 995.97 -0.0119
10/1/2003 995.97 1053.79 995.97 1050.71 1469452100 1050.71 0.0550
11/3/2003 1050.71 1063.65 1031.20 1058.20 1313181000 1058.20 0.0071
12/1/2003 1058.20 1112.56 1053.41 1111.92 1312119500 1111.92 0.0508
1/2/2004 1111.92 1155.38 1105.08 1131.13 1722750000 1131.13 0.0173
2/2/2004 1131.13 1158.98 1124.44 1144.94 1554000000 1144.94 0.0122
3/1/2004 1144.94 1163.23 1087.16 1126.21 1528634700 1126.21 -0.0164
4/1/2004 1126.21 1150.57 1107.23 1107.30 1583171400 1107.30 -0.0168
5/3/2004 1107.30 1127.74 1076.32 1120.68 1524950000 1120.68 0.0121
6/1/2004 1120.68 1146.34 1113.32 1140.84 1381109500 1140.84 0.0180
7/1/2004 1140.84 1140.84 1078.78 1101.72 1456371400 1101.72 -0.0343
8/2/2004 1101.72 1109.68 1060.72 1104.24 1260227200 1104.24 0.0023
9/1/2004 1104.24 1131.54 1099.18 1114.58 1360850900 1114.58 0.0094
10/1/2004 1114.58 1142.05 1090.29 1130.20 1571990400 1130.20 0.0140
11/1/2004 1130.20 1188.46 1127.60 1173.82 1524465700 1173.82 0.0386
12/1/2004 1173.78 1217.33 1173.78 1211.92 1449518100 1211.92 0.0325
1/3/2005 1211.92 1217.80 1163.75 1181.27 1658930000 1181.27 -0.0253
2/1/2005 1181.27 1212.44 1180.95 1203.60 1636467800 1203.60 0.0189
3/1/2005 1203.60 1229.11 1163.69 1180.59 1874017200 1180.59 -0.0191
4/1/2005 1180.59 1191.88 1136.15 1156.85 2180315700 1156.85 -0.0201
5/2/2005 1156.85 1199.56 1146.18 1191.50 1960127100 1191.50 0.0300
6/1/2005 1191.50 1219.59 1188.30 1191.33 1929251300 1191.33 -0.0001
7/1/2005 1191.33 1245.15 1183.55 1234.18 1962713500 1234.18 0.0360
8/1/2005 1234.18 1245.86 1201.07 1220.33 1930243400 1220.33 -0.0112
9/1/2005 1220.33 1243.13 1205.35 1228.81 2232144200 1228.81 0.0069
10/3/2005 1228.81 1233.34 1168.20 1207.01 2493393300 1207.01 -0.0177
11/1/2005 1207.01 1270.64 1201.07 1249.48 2260836100 1249.48 0.0352
12/1/2005 1249.48 1275.80 1246.59 1248.29 2057125200 1248.29 -0.0010
1/3/2006 1248.29 1294.90 1245.74 1280.08 2595998000 1280.08 0.0255
2/1/2006 1280.08 1297.57 1253.61 1280.66 2380568400 1280.66 0.0005
3/1/2006 1280.66 1310.88 1268.42 1294.87 2310510800 1294.87 0.0111
4/3/2006 1302.88 1318.16 1280.74 1310.61 2406755200 1310.61 0.0122
5/1/2006 1310.61 1326.70 1245.34 1270.09 2591135900 1270.09 -0.0309
6/1/2006 1270.05 1290.68 1219.29 1270.20 2632855400 1270.20 0.0001
7/3/2006 1270.06 1280.42 1224.54 1276.66 2440476000 1276.66 0.0051
8/1/2006 1278.53 1306.74 1261.30 1303.82 2280876500 1303.82 0.0213
9/1/2006 1303.80 1340.28 1290.93 1335.85 2563743500 1335.85 0.0246
10/2/2006 1335.82 1389.45 1327.10 1377.94 2708938600 1377.94 0.0315
11/1/2006 1377.76 1407.89 1360.98 1400.63 2826198000 1400.63 0.0165
12/1/2006 1400.63 1431.81 1385.93 1418.30 2462849000 1418.30 0.0126
1/3/2007 1418.03 1429.42 1407.86 1416.60 6858320000 1416.60 -0.0012
Monthly Annual
Mean D 0.0044 0.05283
Std Dev D 0.035601 0.123325
Reynolds Monthly
Mean D 0.0229
Std Dev D 0.0936740638
S&P500 Monthly
Mean D 0.0044
Std Dev D 0.0356008348
The mean is less than Reynolds, but higher than Hasbro. The standard deviation is less than both stock returns. Which means y
Question 3.
Hasbro Monthly Annual
Mean D 0.0127 0.152022
Std Dev D 0.0810505201 0.280767
Question 4
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Question 5
Portfolio Value $2,000,000
S&P Futures price $1,550
CME S&P contracts price $250
Beta 1.369
Number of contracts 7.07 They need to sell S&P Futures to hedge exposure to market risk
optimal purchase $2,738,708
% exposure Hedged 73% The remainder 27% is the exposure unhedged
turns for each return series
oth stock returns. Which means your returns for the portfolio is more likely to be closer to the mean and is a safer option than investing in
a) the regression coefficient on the S&P500 return--commonly known as the b of Hasbro stock
is 1.36935. This coefficient implies a positive relationship between Hasbro and
S&P. Both will move in the same direction over time, e.g. when the market moves 1, hasbro
will move 1.369
b) the regression coefficient, R2 is 0.36177. This means only 36% of Hasbro's results is explained
by S&P results.
Upper 95.0%
0.023647
1.847401
market risk
a safer option than investing in the individual stocks.