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Research Paper On Carbon Trading
Research Paper On Carbon Trading
Carbon emissions have been identified as one of the leading factors contributing
to global climate problems, such as extreme weather events like high
temperatures, droughts, and floods. Industrialization is a major contributor to
carbon emissions, and thus it is necessary to implement measures to control its
harmful effects. The Kyoto Protocol (KP) was adopted on 11th December 1997 in
Kyoto, Japan, and came into force on 16th February 2005. As a protocol to the
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the KP aims
to control global warming by restricting and controlling emissions of greenhouse
gases (GHGs) such as carbon dioxide, hydro-fluorocarbons, methane gas, and
sulphur-hexafluoride by setting emission reduction targets for member countries.
However, every current and planned carbon 'cap and trade' scheme involves
offset credits in one form or another, which are a supplementary source of
permissions to pollute that can be bought from outside the cap, typically from
developing countries or industries. This allows emitters to exceed the emissions
cap by paying someone else to reduce their emissions instead. It is important to
note that offsets do not reduce emissions, but merely replace them. Carbon
offsetting has even filtered into the realm of private individuals, such as when
booking a flight and paying extra to offset one's carbon footprint.
LITERATURE REVIEW
This literature review provides an assessment of carbon trading based on an
evolutionary perspective. It examines the historical development of carbon
trading, the current state of the carbon market, and the potential future of
carbon trading.
In this literature review, the most information was available on carbon trading
markets in india and china with a tad information on global carbon trading
market.
The creation of the carbon market was driven by two main approaches: the cap
and trade mechanism, which involves setting a limit on greenhouse gas emissions
within a specified time period, and the carbon tax mechanism, which aims to
reduce excessive emissions worldwide.
With the development of the carbon trading market in China, the implementation
of carbon trading had a key impact on the production and operation decisions of
Chinese enterprises. Evidence shows that the implementation of carbon emission
trading has improved the level of non-business income of enterprises
incorporated into the trading system. However, its impact on the investment
income of enterprises was not significant.Currently,carbon emission trading in
China has a certain financial promotion effect on enterprises, but it has not
reached the ideal state of the Porter hypothesis.
This finding provides an insightful policy value for China and other
countries. By analyzing their research,it can be said that carbon trading
policy has proven efficient in reducing carbon emissions and air
pollution.
India has updated its NDC goals recently to reflect reducing emissions by 45%,
generating 50% of power from renewable energy sources and reaching net zero
emissions by 2070. To help India achieve its Nationally Determined Contribution
(NDC) goals, the Indian government is trying to create a market for carbon credits.
India's policy framework for carbon credit and trading is mainly based on the
National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC), which was launched in 2008.
The plan includes several programs and policies aimed at reducing greenhouse
gas emissions, such as the National Solar Mission and the National Mission for
Enhanced Energy Efficiency. In addition, the government has also launched the
Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) program to encourage companies to
invest in low-carbon projects and earn carbon credits.
According to a report on National Action Plan for operating CDM by the Planning
Commission of India, India's total CO2-equivalent emissions in 1990 were
10,01,352 Giga grams, which was nearly 3% of total global emissions at that time.
In order to take advantage of the carbon trading system India needs to work on
reducing its carbon emissions so as to save more carbon credits in order to
indulge in the carbon trading business more effectively. Many national and
international companies have already started investing into this business regime.
As for example, SRF Ltd, Shell Trading International, Suzlon Energy and Shriram
EPC, Shree Renuka Sugars etc. are all expected to derive benefits from saving
carbon credits. Many Indian companies have started to earn higher income from
carbon trading than through their own business. This has led to companies
looking for eco-friendly projects to earn carbon credits.
Following the report entitled “Future of CDM Projects” by Amulya Charan, chief
mentor of TATA Power reveals that till 2012, the total number of Indian CDM
projects registered with UNFCCC is 942 and out of which 141 projects have got
registered in the year 2012 and the number of CDM projects got registered during
2011, 2010, 2009, 2008 were 189, 138, 92, 84 respectively. The carbon credit
market in India has seen significant growth in recent years, with the number of
registered CDM projects reaching over 1,500. The majority of these projects are in
the energy and waste sectors, with the highest number of projects located in
Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Tamil Nadu. A recent report by the World Bank
conveys that India can be one of the biggest beneficiaries of carbon trading as it
controls almost 20-25 percent of the world carbon trade. India is also a major
buyer of Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) from other countries, with several
Indian companies investing in CERs from wind and solar projects in other
countries. India's average annual CERs are presently expected to be
approximately 12.6% of the global CERs. It is expected that India's gross earnings
from carbon trading will be around Rs 22,500 crore to Rs 45,000 crore in the
coming 3-5 years.
Conclusion
Our thorough analysis of popular research papers on carbon trading reveals that
the formation of a carbon trading market has a noticeable impact on both carbon
emissions and a country's economic development.
The study draws on primary and secondary data sources, including interviews
with industry experts and government officials, as well as country-level and firm-
level data to support their analysis and conclusions. The researchers used
rigorous statistical methods and robust econometric models to estimate the
impact of carbon trading policies on emissions and efficiency, addressing potential
endogeneity issues.
But the study focuses largely on the supply side of the carbon market, without
considering the demand side and the factors that influence firms' decisions to
participate in the market.And it also does not provide a detailed discussion of the
political and institutional factors that may influence the effectiveness of carbon
trading policies.
1800000000
1600000000
1400000000
CARBON EMISSIONS
1200000000
(TONNES)
1000000000
800000000
600000000
400000000
200000000
0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
YEAR
The above graph is of the countries which does not have a carbon trading system
in place.As we can see from the above graph;carbon emissions of the countries
Russia,Australia and South Africa are on the ever rise.It shows that these
countries are in dire need of a functional and effective carbon trading system in
place.
Carbon emissions of countries that does have a carbon trading system in place
YEAR USA Italy Germany
1990 4425929996 370750008.6 904370003.7
1991 4388909962 369540003.8 881609979.7
1992 4461040021 367750005.8 841880001.4
1993 4576619955 362399995.9 836129980.1
1994 4648099936 357769997.6 824950003.9
1995 4698449915 381899990.1 823719980.3
1996 4854829997 377639999.5 853379987.4
1997 5124650003 380990002.7 821670008.6
1998 5171889870 391850001.4 814229994.4
1999 5190389913 398490004.4 782579994.2
2000 5357279861 401769994.7 779170012.3
2001 5346810090 401860004.5 829579986.9
2002 5191539997 408769993.8 815199992.4
2003 5257509953 427490000.8 818539986.4
2004 5336720137 437700011.2 802750011.2
2005 5351869906 439119998 784059993.7
2006 5251390026 431950000.7 796090010.7
2007 5334569992 424660008.5 765470017.4
2008 5156530089 410729996.2 771360002.9
2009 4754530156 362339990.6 716470006
2010 4990200050 370560008.5 754729985.7
2011 4754619901 362019996.1 717270020.5
2012 4537010007 342080001.8 730919999.2
2013 4672939991 312170006 746939991
2014 4687989929 292819999.3 706770008.1
2015 4571450041 303190001.9 713080004.3
2016 4662699967 320520004.5 717670005.4
2017 4587560029 316370002.7 702720002.7
2018 4743580006 312070000.1 678229985.7
2019 4585990014 304409998.9 627919976.8
6000000000
5000000000
CARBON EMISSIONS
4000000000
(TONNES)
3000000000
2000000000
1000000000
0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
YEAR
The above graph is of the countries which have a carbon trading system in place.
Carbon Trading system was adopted in 2009 in USA. And Italy and Germany
adopted carbon trading system in January ,2005 as part of the the European
Union Emissions Trading System(EUETS).
The graph shows change in the carbon emission of USA from 2009.Carbon
emissions have started decreasing since 2009.
Same is with Italy and Germany,their carbon emissions were on the rise till 2005
but since the adopted the policies of EUETS;their carbon emissions have been
controlled and dropped consistently.
REPORT
The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is a cap and trade
scheme that limits the amount of greenhouse gases that can be emitted by
participating installations. Companies can buy or sell emission allowances, and
installations must monitor and report their CO2 emissions. If an installation
exceeds its allowances, it must purchase additional ones, while installations that
reduce their emissions can sell their leftover credits. The scheme has been divided
into trading periods, with the current phase running from 2021 to 2030. EU
countries consider the EU ETS crucial in achieving their climate goals and guiding
investors and industry toward fossil fuel transition. The scheme has been
successful in reducing carbon emissions without impacting profits or employment
for regulated firms. EU countries view the emissions trading scheme as necessary
for meeting climate goals. A strong carbon market guides investors and industry
in their transition from fossil fuels. A 2023 study on the effects of the EU ETS
identified a reduction in carbon emissions in the order of -10% between 2005 and
2012 with no impacts on profits or employment for regulated firms. The price of
EU allowances exceeded 100€/tCO2 ($118) in February 2023.
Phase 1
In the first phase (2005–2007), the EU ETS included some 12,000 installations,
representing approximately 40% of EU CO2 emissions, covering energy activities
(combustion installations with a rated thermal input exceeding 20 MW, mineral
oil refineries, coke ovens), production and processing of ferrous metals, mineral
industry (cement clinker, glass, and ceramic bricks) and pulp, paper and board
activities. The change in Germany’s emissions has been 2.5% from the year 2005
to 2007. The change in Italy’s carbon emissions has been 0.2% from the year 2005
to 2007.
Phase 2
The second phase (2008–12) expanded the scope of the scheme significantly. In
2007, three non-EU members, Norway, Iceland, and Liechtenstein joined the
scheme.[56] The EU's "Linking Directive" introduced the CDM and JI credits.
Although this was a theoretical possibility in phase I, the over-allocation of
permits combined with the inability to bank them for use in the second phase
meant it was not taken up.
Phase 3
During Phase III (2013-2020) of the EU ETS, the European Commission made
several changes to the system, including implementing an overall EU cap with
allocated allowances for member countries, tighter restrictions on the use of
offsets, limiting the banking of allowances between phases, transitioning from
allowances to auctioning, and expanding the number of sectors and gases
included. The NER 300 program was also established to fund the deployment of
low-carbon energy demonstration projects. Croatia joined the ETS at the start of
Phase III, bringing the total number of countries to 31. In January 2013, EU
allowances for the year traded on the ICE Futures Europe exchange for 6.22-6.40
euros. 1.7 billion excess allowances were carried over from Phase II to Phase III.
Phase 4
But more remarkably, the EU carbon price has reached another record as it went
up over 100 euros for the first time in February 2023,[90] which is a significant
increase from just a few years ago when it was around only 10 euros per ton of
carbon.
CARBON TRADING IN US
CO2 emissions from US accounts for 13.5 % of total co2 emissions of the world.
The largest source of greenhouse gas emissions from human activities in
the United States is from burning fossil fuels for electricity, heat, and
transportation. Among the various sectors of the U.S. economy,
electricity generation (power plants) accounts for the
largest share of historical emissions—31 percent of total
greenhouse gas emissions since 1990. Transportation has
historically been the second-largest sector, accounting for
26 percent of emissions since 1990. Transportation has
been the largest sector since 2017.
The US carbon offset market, which was worth about $2 billion in 2021, will grow
to $10-40 billion in value by 2030, transacting 0.5-1.5 billion tonnes of carbon
dioxide equivalent, compared with 500 million tonnes currently. Reaching 100%
carbon pollution-free electricity by 2035. Achieving a net-zero emissions
economy by 2050.
NET ZERO CARBON EMISSIONS
There are many factors that could influence the speed at which the world
would reach net zero carbon emissions with the adoption of carbon trading
markets.
One of the key factors would be the scope and scale of the carbon trading
markets that are established. If these markets were truly global in scope
and covered all major sources of carbon emissions, they could potentially
have a significant impact on reducing emissions.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has released a special report titled
"Net Zero by 2050: a Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector," which
highlights that the world has a narrow but viable pathway to achieving a
net-zero carbon emissions energy system by 2050. However, this
transformation requires an unprecedented change in the way energy is
produced, transported, and used. According to the report, existing climate
pledges by governments, even if they are fully achieved, will fall short of the
required level to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. The report outlines
more than 400 milestones to guide the global transition to net-zero by
2050, including no investment in new fossil fuel supply projects and no
further final investment decisions for new unabated coal plants.
Furthermore, there should be no sales of new internal combustion engine
passenger cars by 2035, and by 2040, the global electricity sector should
have already reached net-zero emissions. The report also highlights the
need for immediate and massive deployment of all available clean and
efficient energy technologies to achieve the net-zero pathway, as well as
the importance of increasing and reprioritizing government spending on
research and development to achieve these targets.
REFERENCES
1. https://ourworldindata.org/emissions-by-sector - sector wise CO2
emissions of the countries
3. https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/sustainability/our-insights/a-
blueprint-for-scaling-voluntary-carbon-markets-to-meet-the-climate-
challenge - what is carbon trading and how carbon credits are issued
4. https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/IJCCSM-11-2019-
0066/full/html
5. https://nbs.ntu.edu.sg
6. songwei@bigc.edu.cn
7. https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20211018-climate-change-what-is-
the-global-carbon-market
8. https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2109912118
9. https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0253460
10.https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12667-021-00438-8
11.file:///C:/Users/hp/Downloads/sustainability-14-10216%20(1).pdf
12.file:///C:/Users/hp/Downloads/adbi-wp987%20(1).pdf
13.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Emissions_Trading_System