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Abstract
Objectives To update and assess the efficacy and tolerability of once weekly subcutaneous semaglutide in patients
with type 2 diabetes (T2D).
Materials and methods PubMed, Science Direct, Cochrane Library, Clinical trial, Springer, OVID, China National
Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), WanFang Data and China Science and Technology Journal Database (VIP) were
searched from inception to January 18, 2023. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing subcutaneous
semaglutide with placebo or any other antidiabetic agent in adults with T2D were eligible. The risk ratio (RR) and
mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were determined to synthesize the results.
Results A total of 17 trials enrolling 14,940 T2D patients were included. For efficacy, compared with placebo,
semaglutide exhibited beneficial effects on glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) control [MD -0.97%, 95% CI
(-1.33, -0.62), I2 = 91%; MD -1.36%, 95% CI (-1.59, -1.13), I2 = 84%, semaglutide 0.5 and 1.0 mg, respectively], body
weight reduction, blood pressure control. At the same time, subcutaneous semaglutide 0.5 and 1 mg reduced HbA1c
by 0.56% (95% CI 0.32 to 0.80) and 0.63% (95% CI 0.35 to 0.91) compared to other glucose-lowering agents. For
tolerability, semaglutide did not increase the incidence of adverse events (AEs) and serious adverse events (SAEs),
severe or blood glucose (BG) confirmed hypoglycaemia, acute pancreatitis and diabetic retinopathy compared to
placebo or active comparators, but did increase the risk of nausea, diarrhea and vomiting.
Conclusions Semaglutide has a better effect on glycaemic control and weight loss than other therapies.
Nevertheless, semaglutide was associated with increased incidence of gastrointestinal-related disorders. Further large,
multicenter randomized controlled clinical trials are still needed to obtain more robust evidence to better guide
clinical treatment decisions.
Keywords Semaglutide, Type 2 Diabetes, Randomized controlled trials, Meta-analysis
†
Shanshan Hu, Xiaorong Su contributed equally to this work.
*Correspondence:
Guorong Fan
guorfan@163.com
1
Department of Clinical Pharmacy, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai
Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200080, China
2
Department of Pharmacy, Xiamen Maternal and Child Health Hospital,
Xiamen 361003, China
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Hu et al. Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome (2023) 15:218 Page 2 of 11
weight. The primary outcome for this meta-analysis was of the included studies and patients at baseline are sum-
the change in HbA1c from baseline. Secondary efficacy marized in Table 1. Among 17 studies, subcutaneous
outcomes included the change in body weight, fasting semaglutide was compared with the placebo or with the
plasma glucose (FPG), self-measured plasma glucose other antidiabetic agent in 5 studies [13, 24, 27, 30, 32]
(SMPG), systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood and 10 studies [14–16, 21–23, 25, 26, 29, 31], respectively,
pressure (DBP), the number of participants achieving while 2 trials [12, 28] compared both the placebo and the
HbA1c<7%, the proportion of patients achieving weight other antidiabetic agent. Regarding the active compara-
loss ≥ 5% and ≥ 10%, the number of participants achieving tors in included studies, 3 studies received liraglutide [11,
HbA1c<7.0% without severe or BG-confirmed hypogly- 13, 26], two studies received another GLP-1 RA (dulaglu-
caemia and without weight gain. Tolerability outcomes tide [27] or exenatide [19]), 3 studies [14, 20, 29] received
consisted of the incidence of adverse events (AEs), seri- sitagliptin, 1 study received tirzepatide [15], 1 study
ous AEs (SAEs), hypoglycaemic events (severe or BG- received insulin glargine [21] and 1 study received the
confirmed symptomatic). With additional tolerability additional oral antidiabetic drugs [23]. In the add-on tri-
outcomes, the incidence of gastrointestinal adverse als, insulin, metformin, sulfonylurea, thiazolidinedione,
events (nausea, vomiting, diarrhoea), acute pancreatitis, and other oral antidiabetic drugs were used as the back-
and diabetic retinopathy were summarized. ground therapy in 15 trials [12–16, 21–31]. Only 1 trial
The quality of the included studies was assessed using enrolled treatment-navie participants [32].
the Cochrane Collaboration’s Risk of Bias Tool [20]. Remarkably, in dose-finding trials, we extracted data
Two reviewers independently assessed the risk of bias from the 0.5 and 1.0 mg arms that were approved by the
for including studies in duplicate, and any discrepancies FDA. 2 studies [12, 28] used subcutaneous semaglutide
were resolved by the third reviewer. Overall risk of bias at a different dose than approved, so similar dose arms
was considered ‘low’ if all domains were rated as low risk were used instead. The treatment duration ranged from
of bias, ‘high’ if there is a high risk of bias in at least one 12 to 104 weeks. The 30-week trials are the most com-
domain, and of some concern in any other case. mon among them. It is worth mentioning that the SUS-
TAIN 6 study aimed to evaluate the effect of semaglutide
Data synthesis treatment on cardiovascular events and other long-term
Continuous data were analyzed using mean differences outcomes in patients with T2D, so the study duration
(MD) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to express was as long as 104 weeks [27]. In addition, the SURPASS
effect size. Dichotomous data were reported using the 2 study compared the hypoglycemic effect of tirzepatide
risk ratios (RRs) and 95% CIs. P < 0.05 (two-tailed) was 5 mg, 10 mg, and 15 mg with that of semaglutide 1 mg,
considered significant. Heterogeneity across studies was therefore the initial dose of tirzepatide 5 mg was used in
evaluated by Cochrane’s Q and I2 statistics, considering this study to compare with semaglutide 1 mg [16].
the P value less than 0.10 or the inconsistency index (I2)
statistic greater than 50% indicative of significant hetero- Risk of bias assessment
geneity [18]. Pooled analyses were conducted using a ran- The risk of bias assessment for all trials is presented in
dom-effects model. In case of considerable heterogeneity Fig. 1. In total, 8 trials [12, 13, 15, 22, 26, 27, 30, 32] were
(p<0.10 and I²>50%), sensitivity analysis was performed designed as double-blind type, while 9 trials [14, 16, 21,
by excluding each included study one by one and then 23–25, 28, 29, 31] were open-label type. Therefore, there
re-estimating the combined outcomes. The fixed-effects was high potential risk in blinding of participants and
model was used for sensitivity analysis. We performed personnel domains in open-label trials. Other sources of
pooling analyses of different outcomes based on placebo- bias were low in all trials.
controlled and active comparator trials. In addition, sub-
group analysis was performed according to the different Efficacy outcomes
doses of subcutaneous semaglutide (0.5 mg and 1.0 mg) Haemoglobin A1c
and the type of active comparators. Statistical analysis Compared with placebo, semaglutide 0.5 and 1.0 mg
was performed using Review Manager V.5.4 statistical reduced HbA1c by 0.97% [95% CI (-1.33, -0.62); I2 = 91%,
software. 5 studies] and by 1.36% [95% CI (-1.59, -1.13); I2 = 84%, 7
studies], respectively (Fig. 2).
Results Compared to other active comparator, semaglutide was
Results of search and study characteristics linked to a significant reduction in HbA1c [MD -0.56%,
The flowchart of the study selection process is shown in 95% CI (-0.80, -0.32); I2 = 91%, 8 studies; MD -0.63%, 95%
Fig S1. A total of 17 trials enrolling 14,940 T2D patients CI (-0.91, -0.35); I2 = 97%, 12 studies for semaglutide 0.5
were included in this systematic review and meta-analy- and 1.0 mg, respectively] (Fig. 3). Results were consis-
sis [12–16, 21–32]. Details regarding the characteristics tent both in a sensitivity analysis excluding the study that
Hu et al. Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome (2023) 15:218 Page 4 of 11
Table 1 (continued)
Trial name Treatment Backgroud therapy Study arms Patients Age Body Diabetes Base-
duration, (n) (year) weight duration line
(weeks) (kg) (years) HbA1c
( %)
Frías 2021 40 MET 5 mg Tirzepatide 461 56.3 925 9.1 8.32
NCT03987919 10 mg Tirzepatide 459 57.2 94.8 8.4 8.3
15 mg Tirzepatide 464 55.9 93.8 8.7 8.26
1 mg Semaglutide 461 56.9 93.7 8.3 8.25
Abbreviations: AGI, a-Glycosidase inhibitor; BI, basal insulin; HbA1c, glycated haemoglobin; MET, metformin; OAD, oral antidiabetic drug; PRI, premixed insulin; SGLT-
2, sodium-dependent glucose transporters 2; SU, sulfonylurea; TZD, thiazolidinedione
used lower semaglutide doses [MD -0.71%, 95% CI (-0.96, Compared with the active comparator, treatment with
-0.46); I2 = 91%, 6 studies; MD -0.74%, 95% CI (-1.04, 0.5 mg and 1.0 mg semaglutide reduced FPG by 0.83
-0.43); I2 = 97%, 10 studies for semaglutide 0.5 and 1.0 mg, mmol/L [95% CI (-1.29, -0.36), I2 = 91%, 8 studies], and by
respectively] and in a sensitivity analysis including only 0.92 mmol/L [95% CI (-1.43, -0.42), I2 = 96%, 12 studies]
trials at low risk of bias. (Fig. S4).
Subgroup analyses performed according to the cat- Subgroup analyses revealed that semaglutide lowered
egory of other antidiabetic agents showed that semaglu- FPG significantly compared with GLP-1 RAs and sita-
tide was more efficacious compared to GLP-1 RAs. In gliptin. It’s worth noting that compared to semaglutide,
addition, compared to sitagliptin, semaglutide signifi- tirzepatide led to significant FPG reductions (Table S3).
cantly decreased the level of HbA1c. However, treatment
with tirzepatide significantly reduced HbA1c by 0.23% Blood pressure
[95%CI (0.10, 0.36)] compared with semaglutide (Table Compared with placebo or active comparators, treatment
S3). with semaglutide was associated with a reduction in SBP
(Figs. S5 and S6).
Body weight The results of subgroup analysis showed that, com-
Analyses for the change in body weight indicated a sta- pared with other GLP-1 RAs, semaglutide 1 mg appeared
tistically significant reduction favoring semaglutide com- to have significantly reduced blood pressure compared
pared to placebo [MD -2.32 kg, 95% CI (-2.67, -1.96); to the other GLP-1 RAs. In addition, semaglutide was
I2 = 81%, 5 studies; MD -3.98 kg, 95% CI (-4.32, -3.64); related to a significantly stronger reduction in SBP than
I2 = 68%, 7 studies for semaglutide 0.5 and 1 mg, respec- sitagliptin (Table S3).
tively] (Fig. 4). In our analysis of changes in diastolic blood pressure,
Similarly, compared to other antidiabetic agents, sema- there was no difference between semaglutide and the
glutide 0.5 and 1.0 mg lowered body weight by 2.15 kg control group (Figs S7, S8).
[95% CI (-3.04, -1.27), I2 = 91%, 8 studies], and by 2.87 kg
[95% CI (-3.97, -1.77), I2 = 94%, 12 studies], respectively Self-measured plasma glucose
(Fig. 5). Against placebo and the active comparator, semaglutide
In the subgroup analysis, compared with GLP-1 RAs, showed greater SMPG reduction. (Figs S9, S10).
body weight significantly decreased with 1.0 mg sema- In the subgroup analysis, when compared with GLP-1
glutide, whereas no significant difference was detected RAs, the change in SMPG was notably greater in the
between semaglutide 0.5 mg and GLP-1 RAs. At the same semaglutide group. At the same time, two trials [15, 22]
time, compared with sitagliptin, the reduction in body comparing semaglutide to sitagliptin reported a reduc-
weight was notably greater in both doses of semaglutide. tion in SMPG. Pooled results showed a statistically signif-
Of note, compared with 1.0 mg semaglutide, tirzepatide icant decrease in SMPG favoring semaglutide compared
was associated with a significantly stronger reduction in with sitagliptin (Table S3).
body weight (Table S3).
Proportion of patients achieving glycaemic targets
Fasting plasma glucose A greater percentage of patients achieved HbA1c<7%,
Reduction in FPG levels followed the same trend as that HbA1c ≤ 6.5%, HbA1c < 7.0% without hypoglycaemia or
of HbA1c, semaglutide 0.5 mg reduced FPG by 1.34 weight gain with semaglutide 0.5 and 1.0 mg than with
mmol/L [95% CI (-1.85, -0.83), I2 = 76%, 5 studies]; this placebo or the active comparator (Figs S11-S16).
effect was enhanced with semaglutide 1 mg [MD -2.00 Comparing semaglutide 0.5 mg and GLP-1 RAs, the RR
mmol/L, 95% CI (-2.52, -1.48), I2 = 85%, 7 studies] com- (95% CI) were 1.13 (0.90, 1.43) and 0.91 (0.32,2.55) in the
pared to placebo (Fig. S3).
Hu et al. Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome (2023) 15:218 Page 6 of 11
Tolerability outcomes
Adverse events
In comparison with the placebo, treatment with sema-
glutide did not increase the incidence of any adverse
events, serious adverse events (Figs S21-S24). Results
were similar for semaglutide 1 mg when compared to pla-
cebo. However, results for semaglutide 0.5 mg showed an
increase in the incidence of serious adverse events com-
pared with the active comparator. There was no signifi-
cant difference found between semaglutide and GLP-1
RAs or sitagliptin (Table S3).
Acute Pancreatitis
In this meta-analysis, no difference was found between
the semaglutide and control groups for the incidence of
acute pancreatitis (AP). For subgroup analysis, semaglu-
tide had a lower incidence of acute pancreatitis compared
with GLP-1 RAs, whereas sitagliptin had a higher inci-
dence. But the comparison of the results of the subgroup
Fig. 1 Risk of bias summary: review authors’ judgements about each risk analysis was not statistically significant (Table S3).
of bias item for each included study
Hu et al. Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome (2023) 15:218 Page 7 of 11
Fig. 2 Mean difference of change in HbA1c (%) between semaglutide and placebo
Fig. 3 Mean difference of change in HbA1c (%) between semaglutide and active comparator
Fig. 4 Mean difference of change in body weight (kg) between Semaglutide and placebo
Fig. 5 Mean difference of change in body weight (kg) between semaglutide and active comparator
and blood pressure control compared with placebo or hypoglycaemia compared to placebo, which is consistent
other hypoglycemic agents. Similar results were observed with the subgroup analysis. While semaglutide 0.5 mg
in the subgroup analysis comparing sitagliptin and GLP-1 can slightly decrease the risk of hypoglycaemia compared
RAs, except for body weight and SBP, which did not differ to an active comparator. However, treatment with sema-
between the semaglutide 0.5 mg and GLP-1 RAs. Regard- glutide was associated with an increased risk of nausea,
ing tolerability outcomes, semaglutide did not increase diarrhea and vomiting, but did not increase the risk of
the incidence of AEs, SAEs, or severe or BG-confirmed acute pancreatitis and diabetic retinopathy.
Hu et al. Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome (2023) 15:218 Page 9 of 11
The long-term goal of diabetes management is to pre- gastrointestinal events were dose-dependent, most of
vent chronic complications, improve the quality of life, that were mild to moderate. Several possible mechanisms
and prolong life through great metabolic control [33]. may explain the gastrointestinal adverse effects of GLP-1
Meanwhile, the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes RAs. First, GLP-1 RAs can bind to GLP-1 receptors in
Study demonstrated that reaching and maintaining the the gastrointestinal tract, which slowing gastric emptying
blood glucose plays an important role in reducing the [50]. Furthermore, GLP-1 RAs could aggravate anorexia
diabetic complications [34, 35]. To our knowledge, our and satiety through activating central GLP-1 receptors,
findings were consistent with conclusion of previous thereby resulting in gastrointestinal events [51]. There-
meta-analyses [8–10] which were expressed the simi- fore, further reduction of gastrointestinal discomfort can
larly improvement effects of the semaglutide on HbA1c. maximize the benefits of patients treated with GLP-1
Moreover, SUSTAIN CHINA trial [15] found that sema- RAs.
glutdie made a more preferable effect on glycemic control In this research, there were no statistical differences
than sitagliplin in Chinese. However, SURPASS-2 trial between semaglutide and other antidiabetic drugs in the
learned that tirzepatide appears to be superior to sema- incidence of AP and DR. Since the first case of pancreati-
glutide in HbA1c and body weight control. The success tis in patients treated with exenatide in 2006, the toler-
of the challenge to semaglutide means that a new revolu- ability of the pancreas for GLP-1 RAs has been a highly
tion is about to start, and tirzepatide, as the leader of the controversial topic in the past decade [52–54]. However,
dual-target agonist class of hypoglycemic agents, is about in agreement with our findings, there are several stud-
to become the core competitor in the subsequent hypo- ies reporting that no association between treatment with
glycemic field [16]. GLP-1RAs and AP or DR [55–57]. In addition, some
Data derived from the Framingham Heart Study sug- reports shown that semaglutide may play an important
gested that T2D patients have a 2.5-fold increase in the role in promoting cognitive function and neurodegenera-
cardiovascular disease (CVD) [36]. According to the lat- tive pathology [58, 59].
est statistics from the American Heart Association guide- There are some limitations. Firstly, there was significant
line, main CVD risk factors included high level of blood heterogeneity between the included trials that was not
glucose, body weight, and SBP [37]. Lifestyle changes, eliminated with sensitivity and subgroup analysis. These
such as exercise, can reduce the CVD risk. Exercise not heterogeneities in findings could be attributed to the dif-
only increases the number and sensitivity of insulin ferences in the baseline characteristics of included trials,
receptors on cell membranes but also improves insulin including race, treatment duration, background medica-
resistance, which can control blood glucose, indirectly tion, control arms, and the actual dosage of semaglutide.
[38–40]. From this meta-analysis, semaglutide expressed Different antidiabetic agents used as controls could be
better effects on weight loss compared liraglutide and the main reason for heterogeneity. It is worth mention-
placebo [41]. The potential mechanism is that semaglu- ing that the dosage of semaglutide extracted from two
tide delays gastric motility and activates gastric mecha- dose-finding trials was less than the FDA-approved dose,
noreceptors, which in turn inhibit the satiety center in which could underestimate the effectiveness of semaglu-
the brainstem [42]. Furthermore, the STEP trials [43–46] tide and increase the heterogeneity [12, 28]. Secondly,
validated that smeglutide had a significant weight loss two trials [25, 31] merely recruited patients from Japan,
effect. Therefore, subcutaneous semaglutide (Wegovy) which caused potential heterogeneity. In addition, all
has been approved by the FDA as an adjunct to a low- included studies were funded by Novo Nordisk, and com-
calorie diet and enhanced exercise for chronic weight mercial sponsorship may increase bias risk. Finally, pub-
management in obese or overweight adults. lication bias cannot be ignored when only published data
In addition, previous results reported that semaglutide were included. Against these shortcomings, it could be
can significantly reduce SBP level compared with coun- addressed by individual patient data meta-analysis of the
terparts in the SUSTAIN series of clinical trials, except efficacy and tolerability of semaglutide. Meanwhile, large,
for SUSTAIN 8 trial [47]. In summary, semaglutide sig- multi-center clinical trials in real medical world should
nificantly reduces blood glucose, body weight, and SBP, be conducted to obtain stronger levels of evidence to bet-
thereby exerting an indirect cardiovascular protective ter guide clinical treatment decisions in the future. Most
effect. Furthermore, there is accumulating evidence that importantly, although semaglutide has been validated as
semaglutide reduces the expression of inflammatory fac- an important part of hypoglycemic regimen, treatment
tors in atherosclerotic mice, which directly protecting the of T2D patient should be individualized based on demo-
cardiovascular system [48]. graphic characteristics and personal circumstances.
Gastrointestinal disorders were the most reported
treatment-related AEs with semaglutide, which is
consistent with other GLP-1 RAs [49]. In general,
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