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PROBABILITY
AND
MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS
Vol. 0, Fasc. 0 (0000), pp. 000–000
doi:

i
scr
COMPLETE CONSISTENCY FOR RECURSIVE PROBABILITY DENSITY
ESTIMATOR OF WIDELY ORTHANT DEPENDENT SAMPLES∗
BY

anu
CHENLU Z H UA N S U N (H EFEI ) AND XIAOXIN L I (C HIZHOU )

Abstract. In this paper, we will study the recursive density estimators


of the probability density function for widely orthant dependent (WOD)
random variables. The complete consistency and the complete convergence
rate is established under some general conditions.
2010 AMS Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary: 62G05;
Secondary: ??
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Key words and phrases: Complete consistency, complete conver-
gence rate, recursive density estimator, widely orthant dependent random
variable.

1. INTRODUCTION

The random variables in many statistical applications are assumed to be inde-


pendent. However, that is often not a very realistic assumption. Therefore, many
statisticians extended this condition to various dependence structures. In this paper,
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we will consider a rather weak and applicable dependence structure, i.e., widely or-
thant dependence structure, the concept of which was first introduced by Wang et
al. [16] as follows.
Definition 1.1. A finite collection of random variables X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn is said
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to be widely upper orthant dependent (WUOD) if there exists a finite real number
gU (n) such that for all finite real numbers xi , 1 ¬ i ¬ n,

n
(1.1) P (X1 > x1 , X2 > x2 , · · · , Xn > xn ) ¬ gU (n) P (Xi > xi ).
i=1

A finite collection of random variables X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn is said to be widely lower


orthant dependent (WLOD) if there exists a finite real number gL (n) such that for
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Supported by the key project of the outstanding young talent support program of the university
of Anhui Province (gxyqZD2016367).
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2 Che nlu Z hu ans un and Xiaoxin Li

all finite real numbers xi , 1 ¬ i ¬ n,


n

i
(1.2) P (X1 ¬ x1 , X2 ¬ x2 , · · · , Xn ¬ xn ) ¬ gL (n) P (Xi ¬ xi ).
i=1

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If X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn is both WUOD and WLOD, we then say that X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn is
widely orthant dependent random variables (WOD), and gU (n), gL (n) are called
dominating coefficients. A sequence of random variables {Xn , n ­ 1} is said to
be WOD if every finite subcollection is WOD.
With various dominating coefficients, the WOD structure contains many other
dependence structures. Wang et al. [16] presented some examples showing that

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WOD random variables contain negatively dependent random variables, positively
dependent random variables, and some other classes of dependent random vari-
ables, and also they presented some examples of WOD random variables which do
not satisfy these other dependence structures.
It can be easily checked that gU (n) ­ 1, gL (n) ­ 1. If both (1.1) and (1.4)
hold with gU (n) = gL (n) = M for all n ­ 1, where M is a positive constant, then
the random variables are called END, which was introduced by [7]. If M = 1 for
all n ­ 1, then the random variables are called NOD, which was introduced by
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Lehmann [4] (cf. also Joag-Dev and Proschan [3]). As is well known, NA random
variables are NOD. Furthermore, Hu [2] pointed out that negatively superaddi-
tive dependent (NSD, for short) random variables are NOD. Hence, the class of
WOD random variables includes independent sequences, NA sequences, NSD se-
quences, NOD sequences, and END sequences as special cases. Thus, studying the
limit behavior of WOD random variables is of general interest. There are many re-
sults investigating the WOD random variables. For example, Wang and Cheng [19]
studied the basic renewal theorems for random walks with widely dependent incre-
ments; Chen et al. [1] investigated the uniform asymptotics for the finite-time ruin
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probabilities of two kinds of nonstandard bidimensional renewal risk models with


constant interest forces and diffusion generated by Brownian motions; Shen [14]
established the Bernstein-type inequality for WOD random variables and gave its
application to nonparametric regression models; Shen [15] studied the asymptotic
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approximation of inverse moments for a class of nonnegative random variables in-


cluding WOD random variables as a special case; Qiu and Chen [12] obtained some
results on complete convergence and complete moment convergence for weighted
sums of WOD random variables; Wang et al. [18] established complete conver-
gence for arrays of rowwise WOD random variables with application to complete
consistency for the estimator in a nonparametric regression model based on WOD
errors; Yang et al. [22] presented the Bahadur representation of sample quantiles
for WOD random variables, and so forth.
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Estimating a probability density function is a fundamental problem in statis-


tics. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence of random variables with the probability den-
sity function f (x). Rosenblatt [13] and Parzen [11] introduced the following clas-
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Complete consistency for recursive probability density estimator of WOD samples 3

sical kernel estimator of f (x):


( )
1 n
∑ x − Xi
fn (x) = K .

i
nhn i=1 hn

scr
Wolverton and Wagner [20] introduced the following recursive kernel estimator of
f (x):

( )
1 ∑n
1 x − Xi
(1.3) fˆn (x) = K ,
n i=1 hi hi

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where 0 < hn ↓ 0 are bandwidths and K is some kernel function. Note that (1.3)
can be computed recursively by
( )
n−1 ˆ 1 x − Xn
(1.4) fˆn (x) = fn−1 (x) + K .
n nhn hn

This recursive property is particularly useful in large sample sizes since fˆn (x) can
be easily updated with each additional observation. This is especially relevant in a
time series context, where there has been an interest in the use of nonparametric
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estimates in very long financial time series. Also, under certain circumstances, the
recursive estimator is more efficient than its nonrecursive estimator fn (x) when ef-
ficiency is measured in terms of the variance of an appropriate asymptotic distribu-
tion. Moreover, the estimator can be applied in estimating the hazard rate function,
which is defined as r(x) = f (x)/(1 − F (x)), where f (x) is the unknown marginal
probability density function and F (x) is the distribution function. A general hazard
rate estimator for r(x) is

fˆn (x)
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(1.5) r̂n (x) = ,


1 − Fn (x)
where Fn (x) is the empirical distribution of X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn . Therefore, the prop-
erties of fˆn (x) are extensively discussed by some authors. For example, Liang and
cep

Baek [5] discussed the point asymptotic normality for fˆn (x) under NA random
variables. Masry [10] obtained the quadratic mean convergence and asymptotic
normality of the recursive estimator under various assumptions on the dependence
of Xi ; Li et al. [6] discuss the asymptotic bias, quadratic-mean convergence and
establish the pointwise asymptotic normality of fˆn (x) for a stationary sequence of
NA sequences. Li and Yang [8] studied the strong convergence rate of recursive
probability density estimator fˆn (x) based on NA samples. Li [9] extend the results
of Li and Yang [8] from NA samples to END samples.
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In this paper, we will consider the complete convergence rate of recursive


probability density estimator (1.3) under strictly stationary WOD random vari-
ables. The results obtained in the paper improve and extend the corresponding
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4 Che nlu Z hu ans un and Xiaoxin Li

ones of Li [9] for END samples and Li and Yang [8] for NA samples. We will also
study the complete consistency for the estimator (1.3) under some mild conditions.
The layout of the paper is as follows. Main results are presented in Section

i
2. Some lemmas are provided in Section 3. The proofs are given in Section 4.
Throughout this paper, C, c0 , c1 , · · · represent some positive constants whose value

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may be different in different places. a = O(b) implies that a ¬ Cb. C(f ) denotes
all the continuity points of function f and C 2 (f ) stands for a point set in where the
′′
second-order derivative f exists and is bounded and continuous.

2. MAIN RESULTS

∞ ∞
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In this section, we will present the strong convergence rate for the recursive
kernel estimator fˆn (x). We adopt the following assumptions which were also used
in Li ∫and Yang [8] and Li∫[9]. ∫∞
(A1 ) −∞ K(u)du = 1, −∞ uK(u)du = 0, −∞ u2 K(u)du < ∞, K(·) ∈ L1 ;
(A2 ) The bandwidths hn satisfy that 0 < hn ↓ 0 and nhn → ∞ as n → ∞.
Now we state our main results as follows.
Theorem 2.1. Suppose that (A1 )-(A2 ) hold. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence of
strictly stationary WOD random variables with g(n) = O(nδ ) for some δ ­ 0.
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Suppose that the kernel K(·) is a bounded monotone density function and the
bandwidth hn = O(n−1/5 log1/5 n). Then for any x ∈ C 2 (f ),
( )
(2.1) |fˆn (x) − f (x)| = O [log n/(nhn )]1/2 , completely.

Remark 2.1. Li and Yang [8] and Li [9] obtained the similar results under NA
and
( END samples, respectively. ) The convergence rate obtained in their result is
o [log n(log log n)l /(nbn )]1/2 for some l > 0 under the meaning of almost surely
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(a.s.). Noting that WOD contains END and NA, complete convergence is stronger
than a.s. convergence (by the Borel-Cantelli lemma), and the rate in our result is
slightly faster, thus our result improves and extends the corresponding ones of Li
[9] as well as Li and Yang [8].
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Relaxing the restriction on the dominating coefficients g(n), we have the fol-
lowing more general result.
Theorem 2.2. Suppose that (A1 )-(A2 ) hold. Let γn = [log(ng(n))/(nhn )]1/2 →
0. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence of strictly stationary WOD random variables.
Suppose that the kernel K(·) is a bounded monotone density function and the band-
width satisfies that hn = O(n−1/5 log1/5 n). Then for any x ∈ C 2 (f ),
(2.2) |fˆn (x) − f (x)| = O(γn ), completely.
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Remark 2.2. In Theorem 2.1, we required that the dominating coefficients g(n)
are polynomial increasing, which is always assumed in many papers. However,
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Complete consistency for recursive probability density estimator of WOD samples 5

Theorem 2.2 allows that the dominating coefficients g(n) can be geometric in-
creasing. If g(n) = O(nδ ) for some δ ­ 0, the strong convergence rate is the same
as that in Theorem 2.1. Consequently, Theorem 2.2 is much more general and ap-

i
plicable.

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Furthermore, by relaxing the restriction on the bandwidth hn , we have the
following result.
Theorem 2.3. Suppose that (A1 )-(A2 ) hold. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence
of strictly stationary WOD random variables. Suppose that the kernel K(·) is a
bounded monotone density function and log(ng(n))/(nhn ) → 0. Then for any
x ∈ C 2 (f ),

(2.3)

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fˆn (x) − f (x) → 0, completely.

As an application of the results above, we obtain the complete consistency and


the rate of the complete consistency for the hazard rate estimator r̂n (x) as follows.
Theorem 2.4. Suppose that (A1 )-(A2 ) hold. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence of
strictly stationary WOD random variables with g(n) = O(nδ ) for some δ ­ 0 .
Suppose that the kernel K(·) is a bounded monotone density function and the band-
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width hn = O(n−1/5 log1/5 n). If there exists a point x0 such that F (x0 ) < 1, then
for any x ∈ C 2 (f ) and x ¬ x0 ,
( )
(2.4) |r̂n (x) − r(x)| = O [log n/(nhn )]1/2 , completely.

Theorem 2.5. Suppose that (A1 )-(A2 ) hold. Let γn = [log(ng(n))/(nhn )]1/2 →
0. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence of strictly stationary WOD random variables.
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Suppose that the kernel K(·) is a bounded monotone density function and the band-
width satisfies that hn = O(n−1/5 log1/5 n). If there exists a point x0 such that
F (x0 ) < 1, then for any x ∈ C 2 (f ) and x ¬ x0 ,
cep

(2.5) |r̂n (x) − r(x)| = O(γn ), completely.

Theorem 2.6. Suppose that (A1 )-(A2 ) hold. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence
of strictly stationary WOD random variables. Suppose that the kernel K(·) is a
bounded monotone density function and log(ng(n))/(nhn ) → 0. If there exists a
point x0 such that F (x0 ) < 1, then for any x ∈ C 2 (f ) and x ¬ x0 ,
Ac

(2.6) r̂n (x) − r(x) → 0, completely.


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6 Che nlu Z hu ans un and Xiaoxin Li

3. SOME LEMMAS

In this section, we will present some lemmas which will be used in proving

i
our main results.
Lemma 3.1. (Wang et al. [17]). Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence of WOD random

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variables.
(i) If {fn (·), n ­ 1} are all nondecreasing (or nonincreasing), then {fn (Xn ), n ­
1} are still WOD.
(ii) For each n ­ 1 and any t ∈ R,
{ }
n
∑ ∏
n

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E exp t Xi ¬ g(n) E exp{tXi }.
i=1 i=1

Lemma 3.2. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence of WOD random variables with


EXn = 0 and max1¬i¬n |Xi | ¬ bn a.s. for each n ­ 1, where {bn , n ­ 1} is
a sequence of positive numbers. Suppose that there exits some t > 0 such that
tbn ¬ 1. Then for any ε > 0,
( ) { }
n n
dm
∑ ∑
P Xi ­ ε ¬ 2g(n) exp −tε + t2 EXi2 .
i=1 i=1

Proof. Nothing that |tXi | ¬ 1 a.s. and EXi = 0 for each i ­ 1, we have
∞ ∞
∑ E(tXi )k ∑ 1
E exp{tXi } = 1 + ¬ 1 + t2 EXi2
k=2 k! k=2 k!
(3.1) ¬ 1 + t2 EXi2 ¬ exp{t2 EXi2 }.
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By Markov’s inequality, Lemma 3.1 (ii) and (3.1), we can see that
( ) { }
n
∑ n
∑ ∏
n
P Xi ­ ε ¬ e−tε E exp t Xi ¬ g(n)e−tε E exp{tXi }
cep

i=1 i=1 i=1


{ }
n
2 ∑
(3.2) ¬ g(n) exp −tε + t EXi2 .
i=1

The desired result follows by replacing Xi by −Xi in (3.2). This completes the
proof of the lemma. 
Lemma 3.3. (Li and Yang [8]). Suppose that (A1 ) holds, then for all x ∈ C 2 (f ),

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lim K(u)f (x − hu)du = f (x).


h→0 R
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Complete consistency for recursive probability density estimator of WOD samples 7

Lemma 3.4. (Li and Yang [8]). Suppose that (A1 ) holds, then for all x ∈ C 2 (f ),
( )−1
n
1 ∑

i
h2
|E fˆn (x) − f (x)| ¬ C < ∞.
n i=1 i

scr
Lemma 3.5. Let {Xn , n ­ 1} be a sequence of WOD random variables with un-
known distribution function F (x) and bounded probability density function f (x).
Let Fn (x) be the empirical distribution function. If µn =: [log(ng(n))/n]1/2 → 0,
then
sup |Fn (x) − F (x)| = O(µn ), completely.

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x

In particular, if g(n) = O(nδ ) for some δ ­ 0, then


sup |Fn (x) − F (x)| = O((log n/n)1/2 ), completely.
x

Proof. Let F (xni ) = i/n for n ­ 3 and 1 ¬ i ¬ n − 1. By Lemma 2 in Yang [21]


we have that
(3.3) sup |Fn (x) − F (x)| ¬ max |Fn (xnj ) − F (xnj )| + 2/n.
dm
−∞<x<∞ 1¬j¬n−1

Noting that nµn → ∞, then for any positive constant D1 , we have that 2/n <
D1 µn /2 for all n large enough. Then if follows from (3.3) that
( ) ( )
P sup |Fn (x) − F (x)| > D1 µn ¬ P max |Fn (xnj ) − F (xnj )| > D1 µn /2
−∞<x<∞ 1¬j¬n−1
n−1

(3.4) ¬ P (|Fn (xnj ) − F (xnj )| > D1 µn /2).
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j=1

Let ξi = I(Xi < xnj ) − EI(Xi < xnj ). By Lemma 3.1, {ξi , i ­ 1} is still a se-
quence of WOD random variables with Eξi = 0, |ξi | ¬ 2 and Eξi2 ¬ 1. Thus by
choosing t = D1 µn /4 in Lemma 3.2 we have that for all n large enough,
cep

( )
n

P (|Fn (xnj ) − F (xnj )| > D1 µn /2) = P ξi > D1 nµn /2
i=1
{ }
n
2 ∑
¬ 2g(n) exp −D1 nµn t/2 + t Eξi2
i=1
{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp −D1 nµn t/2 + nt 2
{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp −D12 nµ2n /16
Ac

{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp −D12 c0 log(ng(n))/16
¬ 2g(n)(ng(n))−D1 c0 /16 .
2
(3.5)
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8 Che nlu Z hu ans un and Xiaoxin Li

Recall that g(n) ­ 1. Taking D1 sufficiently large such that D12 c0 /16 > 3, by (3.4)
and (3.5) we have that
( )

i
∑∞ ∑∞ n−1

g(n)(ng(n))−D1 c0 /16 < ∞.
2
P sup |Fn (x) − F (x)| > D1 µn ¬ C

scr
n=1 −∞<x<∞ n=1 j=1

This completes the proof of the lemma. 

4. PROOF OF THE MAIN RESULTS


[ ( ) ( )]
Proof of Theorem 2.1. Set ηi = h−1 i K x−Xi
hi − EK x−Xi
hi for 1 ¬

have that
∑n

i=1
Eηi ¬
2 ∑n

i=1
−2
hi EK
(
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i ¬ n. Since K(·) is bounded and monotone, then {ηi , i ­ 1} is still a sequence
of WOD random variables. Moreover, it follows from 0 < hn ↓ 0 that there exists
some positive constant c1 such that max1¬i¬n |ηi | ¬ c1 /hn . By Lemma 3.2 we

2 x − Xi
hi
)

( )
∑ −2 ∫
n
2 x−u
dm
= hi K f (u)du
i=1 R hi
n
∑ ∫
= h−1
i K 2 (u)f (x − hi u)du ¬ c2 nh−1
n .
i=1 R

Set λn = [log n/(nhn )]1/2 . Applying Lemma 3.2 with t = D2 hn λn /(2c2 ), where
D2 is some positive constant which will be specified later. It is easy to check that
t · c1 /hn ¬ 1 for all n large enough, then we get that
( )
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∑n
P (|fˆn (x) − E fˆn (x)| > D2 λn ) = P ηi > D2 nλn
i=1
{ }
n
2 ∑
¬ 2g(n) exp −D2 nλn t + t Eηi2
cep

i=1
{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp −D2 nλn t + c2 nh−1
n t
2
{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp −D22 nhn λ2n /(4c2 )
{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp − log n · D22 /(4c2 )
2
¬ Cnδ−D2 /(4c2 ) .

Taking D2 large enough such that δ − D22 /(4c2 ) < −2, then we have that
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P (|fˆn (x) − E fˆn (x)| > D2 λn ) < ∞,
n=1
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Complete consistency for recursive probability density estimator of WOD samples 9

that is,
( )

i
(4.1) |fˆn (x) − E fˆn (x)| = O [log n/(nhn )]1/2 , completely.

scr
On the other hand, noting that hn = O(n−1/5 log1/5 n), we have by Lemma
3.4 that

n
1 ∑
[log n/(nhn )]−1/2 |E fˆn (x) − f (x)| ¬ C[log n/(nhn )]−1/2 h2
n i=1 i

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n

¬ C(hn /(n log n))1/2 h2i
i=1
n

¬ Cn−3/5 log−2/5 n −2/5
i log2/5 i
i=1
¬ C,

which implies that


dm
( )
(4.2) |E fˆn (x) − f (x)| = O [log n/(nhn )]1/2 .

Note that

(4.3) |fˆn (x) − f (x)| ¬ |fˆn (x) − E fˆn (x)| + |E fˆn (x) − f (x)|.
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Therefore, the desired result (2.1) follows immediately by (4.1)-(4.3). The proof is
completed. 
Proof of Theorem 2.2. In view of the proof of Theorem 2.1, we only need to
show that
cep

( )
(4.4) |fˆn (x) − E fˆn (x)| = O [log(ng(n))/(nhn )]1/2 , completely.

and
( )
(4.5) |E fˆn (x) − f (x)| = O [log(ng(n))/(nhn )]1/2 .
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Noting that g(n) ­ 1, then (4.5) follows from (4.2) immediately and thus we only
need to prove (4.4). Similar to the proof of (4.1), set γn = [log(ng(n))/(nhn )]1/2 .
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10 Che nlu Z hu ans un and Xiaoxin Li

Applying Lemma 3.2 with t = D3 hn γn /(2c2 ) to obtain that for all n large enough,
( )
∑n
P (|fˆn (x) − E fˆn (x)| > D3 γn ) = P

i
ηi > D3 nγn
i=1
{ }

scr
n
2 ∑
¬ 2g(n) exp −D3 nγn t + t Eηi2
i=1
{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp −D3 nγn t + c2 nh−1
n t
2
{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp −D32 nhn γn2 /(4c2 )
{ }
¬ 2g(n) exp −D32 /(4c2 ) · log(ng(n))

anu
¬ 2g(n)(ng(n))−D3 /(4c2 ) .
2

Taking D3 sufficiently large such that D32 /(4c2 ) > 2, then we have that


P (|fˆn (x) − E fˆn (x)| > D3 γn ) < ∞,
n=1

which is equivalent to (4.4). The proof is completed. 


Proof of Theorem 2.3. In view of the proof of Theorem 2.2, by (4.4) and
dm
log(ng(n))/(nhn ) → 0 we have that
fˆn (x) − E fˆn (x) → 0, completely.
Therefore, we only need to show that
(4.6) |E fˆn (x) − f (x)| → 0
without the condition hn = O(n−1/5 log1/5 n) in Theorem 2.2. Actually, by Lemma
3.4 and Stolz’s Theorem we have that
te

n
1 ∑
lim |E fˆn (x) − f (x)| ¬ C lim h2i = C lim h2n = 0.
n→∞ n→∞ n n→∞
i=1

Consequently, (4.6) is proved and thus the proof of the theorem is completed. 
cep

Since the proofs of Theorems 2.4-2.6 are similar, we only present the proof of
Theorem 2.4 as follows.
Proof of Theorem 2.4. Set F̄n (x) = 1 − Fn (x) and F̄ (x) = 1 − F (x). It
follows from (1.5) that
F̄ (x)|fˆn (x) − f (x)| + |Fn (x) − F (x)|f (x)
(4.7) |r̂n (x) − r(x)| ¬ .
F̄n (x)F̄ (x)
From 0 ¬ F (x) ¬ F (x0 ) < 1 for all x ¬ x0 , supx f (x) ¬ C < ∞, applying The-
Ac

orem 2.1 and taking µn = (log n/n)1/2 in Lemma 3.5, we can see that
( )
(4.8) |fˆn (x) − f (x)| = O [log n/(nhn )]1/2 , completely.
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Complete consistency for recursive probability density estimator of WOD samples 11

and
( )
(4.9) sup |Fn (x) − F (x)| = O (log n/n)1/2 , completely.

i
x¬x0

On the other hand, from (4.9) one has that for x ¬ x0 and all n large enough,

scr
(4.10) F̄n (x) ­ F̄ (x)/2 ­ F̄ (x0 )/2 > 0.
Consequently, the desired result (2.4) follows from (4.7)-(4.10). The proof is com-
pleted. 

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anu
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dm
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anu
School of Mathematical Sciences Department of Mathematics and Computer
Anhui University, P.R. China Sciences
E-mail: zhuansuncl@163.com Chizhou University, P.R. China
E-mail: lxx@czu.edu.cn
Received on 5.5.2017;
revised version on 4.10.2017
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cep
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