Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Case GR 3
Case GR 3
Demand Uncertainty: Santa's operation faces a sudden surge in demand for specific toys
("Timmy – The Tinsel Town Train"), making it difficult to predict inventory needs.
Air Traffic: The increase in general air traffic poses risks for Santa's deliveries.
Obsolete Systems: The current systems for tracking letters and demand are not
state-of-the-art, making real-time demand forecasting difficult.
Inadequate CRM: Existing Customer Relationship Management (CRM) does not provide an
efficient data link between consumer requests and procurement.
Quality Issues: The number of 'very good' children is 20% more than expected, indicating a
potential rise in demand.
Risk Hedging: A hedging approach could involve creating strategic stockpiles of raw
materials or semi-finished goods that can be converted quickly to meet unexpected
demands.
Suggestions:
Switch to LCL and FCL Shipping: For transporting raw materials and finished goods, use
LCL (Less than Container Load) for less popular items and FCL (Full Container Load) for
high-demand toys like Timmy The Tinsel Town Train.
Marketing:
Theories Applied:
Brand Loyalty: Leverage the strong brand of "Santa" to create a demand forecast that is
more stable.
Niche Marketing: Cater to niche demands that are more predictable than fad-driven toys.
Suggestions:
Create Own Trends: Instead of being a victim of fads, Santa could use his brand to create
new toy trends, stabilizing demand.
Operations:
Theories Applied:
Value and Forecastability: Utilize better forecasting methods to understand the value of
each SKU (Stock Keeping Unit).
CRM Systems: Implement a robust CRM system that links directly to procurement and
manufacturing.
Suggestions:
Upgrade Systems: Adopt an Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system that has
real-time data collection and multilingual scanning capabilities.
The key is to stop reacting to fads and become more proactive in trend-setting, aided by
real-time data analytics and risk mitigation strategies.
Short-term Solutions:
1. Demand Forecasting and Planning
Deploy Quick Surveys: To better gauge demand for toys, Santa could use social media to
conduct quick polls or surveys.
Reason: This will offer a more immediate understanding of what kids want, enabling faster
adjustments in production plans.
2. Inventory Management
Buffer Stock for High-Demand Items: Create a buffer stock for high-demand toys like "Timmy
the Tinsel Train’s CD-ROM."
Reason: Given that duplication facilities are maxed out, this will serve as a hedge against
stockouts.
3. Production Flexibility
Emergency Partnerships: Form short-term partnerships with other toy manufacturers to
produce the most popular items.
Reason: This addresses the immediate need for increased production capacity.
Reason: With air traffic becoming a significant issue, this ensures timely deliveries while
minimizing the risk of collisions.
5. Human Resources
Overtime and Temporary Hires: Elves should be encouraged to work overtime and
temporary seasonal hires should be made.
Reason: This would allow North Pole Workshops to identify high-demand items like "Timmy
the Tinsel Train" early, preventing potential stock-outs.
Reason: Given the unpredictability in demand (e.g., Timmy the Tinsel Train), having multiple
supplier options provides a hedge against shortages.
Reason: This will reduce fuel consumption and time, improving operational efficiency while
minimizing risks of collisions.
Reason: This will enable you to quickly incorporate demand data from children’s letters into
production planning, providing a short-term solution to match demand and supply.
Long-term Solutions:
1. Demand Forecasting and Planning
Advanced Data Analytics: Utilize machine learning algorithms to predict toy trends based
on various factors like social media buzz, previous sales data, etc.
Reason: Addresses the issue of volatile toy trends and improves demand forecasting.
2. Inventory Management
Postponement Strategy: Adopt a strategy where certain features of a toy are added only
after the final demand is known.
Reason: This allows for greater flexibility in meeting specific demand while reducing the risk
of overproduction.
3. Production Flexibility
Modular Production Lines: Reconfigure production lines to be more modular to quickly
switch between different products.
Reason: To cope with the increasing volume of deliveries, drones can provide a more
scalable and faster means of delivery.
5. Human Resources
Training Programs for Elves: Implement ongoing training programs to improve the
efficiency and multi-skilling of elves.
Reason: Elves better prepared to handle a variety of tasks will improve overall operational
efficiency.
Reason: Knowing who wants what can lead to more efficient inventory planning and reduce
deadstock (e.g., Meowrrrs).
Reason: This will minimize inventory holding costs and reduce the risk of raw material
obsolescence.
Reason: This will drastically cut the time lag between receiving a letter and entering it into
the procurement and manufacturing systems, making demand sensing more responsive.