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PROBABILITY REPORT PRACTICUM REPORT

MODULE 4
HYPERGEOMETRIC AND BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS

Assembled by:
Group 42
1. Radithyo Zhafir Aryasatyaji 21070122190053
2. Muhammad Mada Novarianto 21070122190057
3. Reynalda Tio Debora 21070122190058
4. Robbin Shahiba Razan 21070122190061

INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING DEPARTMENT


ENGINEERING FACULTY DIPONEGORO UNIVERSITY
SEMARANG
2023

i
APPROVAL SHEET
PROBABILITY THEORY
PRACTICUM REPORT

Semarang, xx October 2023

Approved,
Assistant

Hieldayanti Chandraningrum
NIM. 21070121120021

ii
FOREWORD

We express our gratitude to the Almighty God for His blessings, grace, and
mercy, allowing us to complete Module 4 of the Probability Theory Practicum report,
"Hypergeometric and Binomial Distributions," with maximum effort and within the set
timeframe. Throughout the entire process of preparing this report, we could not have
accomplished it alone. We would like to extend our heartfelt thanks to:

1. Prof. Dr. Aries Susanty, S.T., M.T., who serves as the course instructor
for Probability Theory.
2. The Laboratory Optimization and Industrial Systems Planning
Assistants, especially Ms. Hieldayanti Chandraningrum, who provided
assistance for Module 4 from Group 5.
3. Everyone who contributed to the successful completion of this report,
both directly and indirectly, whom we cannot individually mention.

We are fully aware that this report may still have its shortcomings. Therefore, we
are open to feedback and suggestions from the readers, aimed at our improvement. We
sincerely hope that this report can provide valuable insights for its readers.

Semarang, 3 November 2023

Group 42

iii
TABLE OF CONTENTS

iv
v
LIST OF FIGURES

vi
TABLE LIST

vii
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

BAB I
PENDAHULUAN

1.1 Latar Belakang

1.2 Tujuan Praktikum


In this Probability Theory Practicum Module 4, practitoners are expected to:
1. Practitioners are able to understand and explain the characteristics of
hypergeometric and binomial distributions.
2. Practitioners are able to distinguish the basic characteristics of hypergeometric
and binomial experiments.
3. Practitioners are able to organize and collect quality data on Hypergeometric and
Binomial distribution experiments.
4. Practitioners are able to understand and calculate the odds of hypergeometric
and binomial distributions.
5. Practitioners are able to approach binomial distribution to hypergeometric and
normal distribution approach to binomial.
6. Practitioners understand and know the application of hypergeometric and
binomial distributions.
1.3 Batasan Penelitian

1.4 Sistematika Penulisan


The writing systematics of the Probability Theory Module 4 Hypergeometric
and Binomial Distributions report is as follows:

BAB I PENDAHULUAN
Industrial Engineering Department
Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

Berisi tentang latar belakang, tujuan praktikum, batasan penelitian, dan


sistematika penulisan.
BAB II METODE PRAKTIKUM
Berisi tentang konsep dasar dari distribusi diskrit, distribusi
hipergeometrik, distribusi binomial, dan distribusi normal, serta formula-
formula yang akan digunakan untuk melakukan pengolahan data.
BAB III PENGUMPULAN, PENGOLAHAN DATA, DAN ANALISIS
Berisi tentang data-data yang dikumpulkan dari skenario modul 4 terkait
pengecekkan part nozzle dan valve PT. Gandik Legi. Data yang telah
dikumpulkan akan diolah dan dihitung berdasarkan data percobaan,
rumus teoritis, serta pendekatan dengan distribusi lain.
BAB IV KESIMPULAN DAN SARAN
Berisi tentang analisis dari hasil pengolahan data pada bab sebelumnya.

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

BAB II
METODE PRAKTIKUM

2.1 Flowchart Metode Praktikum


Berikut merupakan flowchart dari metode praktikum teori probabilitas modul 4
“Distribusi Statistik”.

Figure 2. 1 Practicum Method Flowchart

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

2.2 Penjelasan Flowchart


In practicum, module 4 discusses the hypergeometric distribution and
binomial. The practicum begins with identifying the problem. The next step,
Look for literature studies from trusted sources such as supporting journals or
books practical data. Then, group 7 carried out data collection in the room
OPTIONS laboratory. Data collection was carried out using beads
contained in each container. There are 3 containers in the binomial experiment
including containers 1, 2, and 3 and there are also 3 containers in the form of
containers A, B, and C in the hypergeometric experiment. Picking up beads has
a certain amount differ each stage between hypergeometric and binomial
distributions. The beads used has a color difference between defects and non-
defects, namely peach or orange for good products and pink for defective
products. After that, experiment carried out in several stages using
hypergeometric and binomial distributions.After that, data processing was
carried out on the results of the data collection has been done before. These data
are processed using calculations of hypergeometric and binomial distributions.
The next step is carry out analysis from the results of processing the data
obtained, namely by analyzing Data calculations are carried out with previously
collected data. After obtaining the results of the analysis, the next step is to draw
conclusions practical implementation regarding hypogeometric and binomial
distributions as well provide suggestions as the final step in module 4 practicum.

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

BAB III
PENGUMPULAN, PENGOLAHAN DATA, DAN ANALISIS

3.1 Collection of Experimental Data on Hypergeometric and Binomial


Distributions
3.1.1 Pengumpulan Data percobaan 1 (Hipergeometrik n=5)
In this scenario, PT. Daruna Wijaya is undergoing testing of a new
pasteurization machine to enhance the sterilization of their Coca Cola can
packaging following the disruptions caused by the pandemic. Their primary
concern is a potential increase in product defects associated with the new
machine. 5 units The testing process involves three distinct containers, each with
varying production quantities and defect rates
- Container A : N = 51; k = 8
- Container B : N = 56; k = 28
- Container C : N = 62; k = 53

n=5
Sampel ke-
A B C
1 1 2 3
2 1 2 5
3 1 3 5
4 1 2 3
5 1 1 4
6 1 3 5
7 0 2 5
8 1 3 4
9 2 2 4
10 1 3 4
11 2 2 5
12 0 1 5
13 2 1 4
14 0 2 2
15 1 4 5
16 2 3 4

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

17 1 1 4
18 0 2 5
19 0 2 3
20 0 3 5
21 0 2 5
22 1 2 3
23 0 1 4
24 1 4 4
25 3 2 4
26 0 2 4
27 0 3 4
28 2 4 5
29 1 2 5
30 1 3 3
31 0 5 5
32 0 0 4
33 0 2 5
34 1 4 3
35 1 3 3
36 1 3 5
37 0 2 5
38 1 3 4
39 2 2 4
40 1 3 4

3.1.2 Pengumpulan Data percobaan 2 (Hipergeometrik n=15)


In this scenario, PT. Daruna Wijaya is undergoing testing of a new
pasteurization machine to enhance the sterilization of their Coca Cola can
packaging following the disruptions caused by the pandemic. Their primary
concern is a potential increase in product defects associated with the new
machine. 15 units The testing process involves three distinct containers, each
with varying production quantities and defect rates
- Container A : N = 51; k = 8
- Container B : N = 56; k = 28
- Container C : N = 62; k = 53

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

n = 15
Sampel ke-
A B C
1 4 8 12
2 3 6 13
3 1 10 13
4 3 8 13
5 3 7 13
6 2 7 11
7 2 8 13
8 3 8 14
9 1 5 13
10 4 6 11
11 2 8 14
12 2 5 11
13 4 7 11
14 3 7 14
15 2 8 13
16 3 7 13
17 4 6 11
18 3 6 10
19 1 9 14
20 4 9 14
21 3 11 14
22 3 5 14
23 3 5 12
24 5 9 14
25 2 9 14
26 3 7 13
27 1 6 12
28 2 5 12
29 2 7 12
30 4 7 14
31 3 4 14
32 2 7 12
33 1 4 12
34 3 8 13
35 3 5 12
36 2 7 11
37 2 8 13
38 3 8 14

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

39 1 5 13
40 4 6 11

3.1.3 Pengumpulan Data percobaan 3 (Binomial n=5)


PT Daruna Wijaya is conducting tests on Coca Cola can packaging, with two
pasteurization processes. Side seam testing, following the first pasteurization,
uses a binomial distribution. Body wall testing, after the second pasteurization,
employs a hypergeometric distribution due to a smaller population. 5-unit
- Kontainer 1 : N = 132; k = 20
- Kontainer 2 : N = 140; k = 70
- Kontainer 3 : N = 151; k = 128

3.1.3.1 Kontainer 1
n=5
Sampel ke-
1 2 3 4 5
1 T T T C C
2 T T T T T
3 T T T T T
4 T T T T T
5 T C T C C
6 T T C T T
7 T T T T T
8 T T T T T
9 T C T C C
10 T T T T T
11 T T T C T
12 T C T T T
13 T T T T T
14 T C T T T
15 C C T T T
16 T T T C T
17 T C C C T
18 C T T C T
19 T T T T T
20 T T T T T
21 T T T T T
22 T T C T T

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

23 C T T T T
24 T T T T T
25 T T T T C
26 T T T T T
27 T T T C C
28 T C T T T
29 T T T T T
30 T T T T T
31 T T C T T
32 T T T T C
33 T T T T T
34 T C T T T
35 T C T C T
36 T T C T T
37 T T T T T
38 T T T T T
39 T C T C C
40 T T T T T

3.1.3.1 Kontainer 2
n=5
Sampel ke-
1 2 3 4 5
1 T T C T C
2 C C C T C
3 C T C C T
4 C C T C C
5 T T C C T
6 C C T C C
7 T T C T T
8 C T T T T
9 T C T T T
10 C T T C C
11 T T T T C
12 C T C T T
13 T T T C C
14 C C T T C
15 C T T T T
16 T C C T T
17 C T T C C
18 T C C T C

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

19 C C T C C
20 C T C C C
21 T T T C T
22 T C C T T
23 T T T T T
24 T C C T T
25 C T T T C
26 T C T T C
27 T C T C T
28 C C C T C
29 C T C T T
30 C C T C C
31 C C C T C
32 T C T C C
33 T T T T T
34 T C T C C
35 T T T T T
36 C C T C C
37 T T C T T
38 C T T T T
39 T C T T T
40 C T T C C

3.1.3.1 Kontainer 3
n=5
Sampel ke-
1 2 3 4 5
1 C C C C C
2 C C C T C
3 C C T C C
4 T C C C C
5 C C T C C
6 T C C C C
7 C T C C C
8 C C C C C
9 C T T T C
10 C T C C C
11 C C C C C
12 C T C C C
13 C C C C C
14 C C C C C

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

15 C C C C C
16 C C C C C
17 C C C C C
18 C C C C C
19 C C C T C
20 C C T C C
21 C C C C C
22 C T T C T
23 C T T C C
24 C C T C C
25 C C C T T
26 C C C C C
27 C C C T C
28 C T C T C
29 C C C C T
30 C C C T C
31 C C T C C
32 C C C C C
33 C C T C C
34 C T C C C
35 C C C C C
36 T C C C C
37 C T C C C
38 C C C C C
39 C T T T C
40 C T C C C

3.1.3 Pengumpulan Data percobaan 4 (Binomial n=15)


PT Daruna Wijaya is conducting tests on Coca Cola can packaging, with two
pasteurization processes. Side seam testing, following the first pasteurization,
uses a binomial distribution. Body wall testing, after the second pasteurization,
employs a hypergeometric distribution due to a smaller population. 15-unit
samples, repeated 40 times
- Kontainer 1 : N = 132; k = 20
- Kontainer 2 : N = 140; k = 70
- Kontainer 3 : N = 151; k = 128

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

3.1.3.1 Kontainer 1
n = 15
Sampel ke-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 T T T C T T T T C T T T T T T
2 T T T T T C C T T T T C T C C
3 C C T T T T T T T C T T T C T
4 T T T T T T T T T T T C T C T
5 T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T
6 T T T T T T T T T C T T T T T
7 T C T T T T T T T T T T T C T
8 C C T T T T T T T T T C T T T
9 T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T
10 T C T C T T T T T T T T T T T
11 C C T T T C T T T T T T C T T
12 T T T T C T T T T T T C T T C
13 T T T T T T T T T C T T T C T
14 T T T T T T T T T T T T T T C
15 T T T C C T T T T C T C T T T
16 T T C C T T T T T T T T T T T
17 T T T T C T T T T T C T T C T
18 T T C T T T T T C T T T T T T
19 T C T T T T T T T T C T C T T
20 T T T C T C T T C C T C T T T
21 T T T T T T T T T T T T T C T
22 C T T T C T T C T T T T C T T
23 T T C T C T T C T C T T T T C
24 T T C T C T T T T C T T T C T
25 T T T T T C T T T T T T T T T
26 T T T T C T C T C C T T T T T
27 T C T T T T T T T T T T T T T
28 T T T C T C T C T C T T T T T
29 T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T
30 T C C T T T T T T T T T C T C
31 T T T T T T C T T T T T T T T
32 T T C T C T T C T T T T T T T
33 C T T T T T T T C T T C T T T
34 C C T T T T C T T T T T T T T
35 T T C T T T T T T T T T T T T
36 T T T T T T T T T C T T T T T
37 T C T T T T T T T T T T T C T

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

38 C C T T T T T T T T T C T T T
39 T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T
40 T C T C T T T T T T T T T T T

3.1.3.1 Kontainer 2
n = 15
Sampel ke-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 C C T C T T T C C T C T C C C
2 T C T T C C C T T C C T C C T
3 C T T T C C T T C C C T T T T
4 C T C C C T C T T T C C C C T
5 C C C C T T T C C T C C T T T
6 T C T T T C T C C C T C C C T
7 T C C C C C C T C C T T T T T
8 C T C T C T T C C C T C C C C
9 T T C T T C C T C C C C C C T
10 T T T T T C T T T C T T C C T
11 C C C T C C T T T T T C T C C
12 T T C C C C C T T T T T C C C
13 T C C C C T T C T C T C C T C
14 T T T C T T T T C T T T C T C
15 T T C C C T C C T T T C T T C
16 T T T C C T T T T T C C C T C
17 T C C T C C C T C T T C C C T
18 C C T C C T C T C T T T T T C
19 T T C T C T C C C T T C T C C
20 C C T C C C C T T C T T T C C
21 C C C T T C T T T C T T T C C
22 T C C T T T T T C C C T C C C
23 T T C C C T C T C C C C T C T
24 T T C C C C C T C C T C C C T
25 T T T C T C C T T C C T C C C
26 C C C T C T C C C T T T T T T
27 T T C T T T C C T T C C C T C
28 T C T T C T C C T T C T T T T
29 T C C T T T C C C C T T C C C
30 T C T T T T C T C T C T T C T
31 C C T T C T C C T C C T C C C
32 C C T C T T C T T T C C T T C
33 C T T T T T C T C T C T T C C

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

34 C C C T C C T T C T T T T T T
35 T T T T T T T C C C C C C C T
36 T C T T T C T C C C T C C C T
37 T C C C C C C T C C T T T T T
38 C T C T C T T C C C T C C C C
39 T T C T T C C T C C C C C C T
40 T T T T T C T T T C T T C C T

3.1.3.1 Kontainer 3
n = 15
Sampel ke-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 C C C T C T C C T C C C T C C
2 C C C T C C C C C C C C C T C
3 T C T C C T C C C C C T T C C
4 C C T C C C C C C C C C C C T
5 C C C C C C C T C C T C C C C
6 C T C C T C C C C C T T C C C
7 C C T C C C C C C C C C C C T
8 C C C T C C C C C C C T C C C
9 C C C C C T C T T C C C C C C
10 T C C T T C C C C C C C C C C
11 C C C C T T C C T C C C T C C
12 T C T C C C C C C C C C C C C
13 C C C C T C C C C C C T C T C
14 C C C T C C C C C C C C C T C
15 C C C C C C C C C C C C T C C
16 T C T C C C C C C C C C C C C
17 T C C C C C T C T C T C T C C
18 C C C T C C C C C C T C C C C
19 C T C C C C C C C C C C C C C
20 C C C C C C C C C C C C C C T
21 C C C C T C C T T C C C C T C
22 C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C
23 C C T C T C C T C C C C T C C
24 C C C C T T C C T C C T C C T
25 C C C C C C C C C C C T C T C
26 T C C T C C T C C C C C C C T
27 C C T C C C C C C C T T C C C
28 C C C C T C C C C C C C T C C
29 T C C T T C C C C C C C C C T

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

30 C C C T C C C C C T C C C C T
31 C C C C C C C C C C C C C C T
32 C C C C C C C C T C C C C C C
33 T C C C C C C C C C C C C T C
34 T C C C C C T C C C T C C C T
35 C C C C C C C C T C C C T C C
36 C T C C T C C C C C T T C C C
37 C C T C C C C C C C C C C C T
38 C C C T C C C C C C C T C C C
39 C C C C C T C T T C C C C C C
40 T C C T T C C C C C C C C C C

3.2 Pengolahan Data dan Analisis


3.2.1 Percobaan 1 (Hipergeometrik n=5)
The following are the recap results of sampling valve parts from three containers
with a total sample of 5 valve parts.
Total n=5
Defect
Container A Container B Container C
0 14 1 0
1 19 5 0
2 6 17 1
3 1 12 7
4 0 4 16
5 0 1 16
Total 40 40 40

3.2.1.1 Kontainer A
N = 51; n = 5; k = 8
a. Hipergeometrik dalam Percobaan
N = 51; n = 5; k = 8
a. Hipergeometrik dalam Percobaan
𝑓(𝑥)
P(x) = , 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
𝑛

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

• For x = 0
𝑓(0) 14
𝑃(0) = = = 0.35
40 40
• For x = 1
𝑓(1) 19
𝑃(1) = = = 0.475
40 40
• For x = 2
𝑓(2) 6
𝑃(2) = = = 0.15
40 40
• For x = 3
𝑓(3) 1
𝑃(3) = = = 0.025
40 40
• For x = 4
𝑓(4) 0
𝑃(4) = = =0
40 40
• For x = 5
𝑓(5) 0
𝑃(5) = = =0
40 40
Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer A
Sampel F(x) Probability
0 14 0.35
1 19 0.475
2 6 0.15
3 1 0.025
4 0 0
5 0 0
Total 40 1.000

b. Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus


N = 51; n = 5; k = 8
(𝑘𝑥)(𝑁−𝑘
𝑛−𝑥
)
𝑃(𝑥) = ; 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
(𝑁𝑛)
• For x = 0

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

(80)(52−8
5−0
)
𝑃(0) = = 0.417
(52
5
)
• For x = 1
(81)(52−8
5−1
)
𝑃(1) = = 0.417
(52
5
)
• For x = 2
(82)(52−8
5−2 )
𝑃(2) = (52
= 0.142
5)

• For x = 3
(83)(52−8
5−3 )
𝑃(3) = (52
= 0.020
5)

• For x = 4
(84)(52−8
5−4 )
𝑃(4) = (52
= 0.001
5)

• For x = 5
(85)(52−8
5−5 )
𝑃(5) = (52
= 0.000002
5)

Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer A


Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus
Sampel (x) Probability
0 0.417
1 0.417
2 0.142
3 0.020
4 0.001
5 0.000002
Total 1.00000

c. Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial


N = 51; n = 5; k = 8
𝑘 8
𝑝= 𝑁
=51 = 0.156

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 0.156 = 0.844
𝑛
𝑝(𝑥) = ( ) 𝑝 𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
𝑥
• For x = 0
𝑝(0) = (50)0.1560 0.8445−0 = 0.428
• For x = 1
𝑝(1) = (51)0.1561 0.8445−1 = 0.395
• For x = 2
𝑝(2) = (52)0.1562 0.8445−2 = 0.146
• For x = 3
𝑝(3) = (53)0.1563 0.8445−3 = 0.027
• For x = 4
𝑝(4) = (54)0.1564 0.8445−4 = 0.002
• For x = 5
𝑝(5) = (55)0.1565 0.8445−5 = 0.000009

Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer A


Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial
Sampel (x) Probability
0 0.428
1 0.395
2 0.146
3 0.027
4 0.002
5 0.000009
Total 1.00000

d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang Berikut merupakan rekap peluang


kontainer A percobaan 1:
Sampel(x) Trial Formula Near binomial

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

Hipergeometric Hipergeometric Hipergeometric


0 0.35 0.417 0.428
1 0.475 0.417 0.395
2 0.15 0.142 0.146
3 0.025 0.020 0.027
4 0 0.001 0.002
5 0 0.000002 0.000009
Total 1.000 1.00000 1.00000

3.2.1.2 Kontainer B
N = 56;n = 5; k = 28
a. Hipergeometrik dalam Percobaan
𝑓(𝑥)
P(x) = , 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
𝑛

• For x = 0
𝑓(0) 1
𝑃(0) = = = 0.025
40 40
• For x = 1
𝑓(1) 5
𝑃(1) = = = 0.125
40 40
• For x = 2
𝑓(2) 17
𝑃(2) = = = 0.425
40 40
• For x = 3
𝑓(3) 12
𝑃(3) = = = 0.3
40 40
• For x = 4
𝑓(4) 4
𝑃(4) = = = 0.1
40 40

• For x = 5
𝑓(5) 1
𝑃(5) = = = 0.025
40 40

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer B


Sampel F(x) Probability
0 1 0.025
1 5 0.125
2 17 0.425
3 12 0.3
4 4 0.1
5 1 0.025
Total 40 1.000

b. Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus


N = 56;n = 5; k = 28
(𝑘𝑥)(𝑁−𝑘
𝑛−𝑥
)
𝑃(𝑥) = ; 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
(𝑁𝑛)
• For x = 0
(28 56−28
0 )( 5−0 )
𝑃(0) = (56
= 0.025
5)

• For x = 1
(28 56−28
1 )( 5−1 )
𝑃(1) = (56
= 0.150
5)

• For x = 2
(28 56−28
2 )( 5−2 )
𝑃(2) = (56
= 0.324
5)

• For x = 3
(28 56−28
3 )( 5−3 )
𝑃(3) = (56
= 0.324
5)

• For x = 4
(28 56−28
4 )( 5−4 )
𝑃(4) = (56
= 0.150
5)

• For x = 5
(28 56−28
5 )( 5−5 )
𝑃(5) = (56
= 0.025
5)

Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer B

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus


Sampel (x) Probability
0 0.025
1 0.150
2 0.324
3 0.324
4 0.150
5 0.025
Total 1.000

c. Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial


N = 56;n = 5; k = 28
𝑘 28
𝑝= =56 = 0.5
𝑁

𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 0.5 = 0.5
𝑛
𝑝(𝑥) = ( ) 𝑝 𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
𝑥
• For x = 0
𝑝(0) = (50)0.50 0.55−0 = 0.031
• For x = 1
𝑝(1) = (51)0.51 0.55−1 = 0.156
• For x = 2
𝑝(2) = (52)0.52 0.55−2 = 0.312
• For x = 3
𝑝(3) = (53)0.53 0.55−3 = 0.312
• For x = 4
𝑝(4) = (54)0.54 0.55−4 = 0.156
• For x = 5
𝑝(5) = (55)0.55 0.55−5 = 0.031

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer B


Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial
Sampel (x) Probability
0 0.031
1 0.156
2 0.312
3 0.312
4 0.156
5 0.031
Total 1.000

d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang Berikut merupakan rekap peluang


kontainer A percobaan 1:
Sampel(x) Trial Formula Near binomial
Hipergeometric Hipergeometric Hipergeometric
0 0.025 0.025 0.031
1 0.125 0.150 0.156
2 0.425 0.324 0.312
3 0.3 0.324 0.312
4 0.1 0.150 0.156
5 0.025 0.025 0.031
Total 1.000 1.000 1.000

3.2.1.3 Kontainer C
N = 62;n = 5; k = 53
a. Hipergeometrik dalam Percobaan
𝑓(𝑥)
P(x) = , 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
𝑛

• For x = 0
𝑓(0) 0
𝑃(0) = = =0
40 40
• For x = 1

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

𝑓(1) 0
𝑃(1) = = =0
40 40
• For x = 2
𝑓(2) 1
𝑃(2) = = = 0.025
40 40
• For x = 3
𝑓(3) 7
𝑃(3) = = = 0.175
40 40
• For x = 4
𝑓(4) 16
𝑃(4) = = = 0.4
40 40

• For x = 5
𝑓(5) 16
𝑃(5) = = = 0.4
40 40
Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer C
Sampel F(x) Probability
0 1 0
1 5 0
2 17 0.025
3 12 0.175
4 4 0.4
5 1 0.4
Total 40 1.000

b. Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus


N = 62;n = 5; k = 53
(𝑘𝑥)(𝑁−𝑘
𝑛−𝑥
)
𝑃(𝑥) = ; 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
(𝑁𝑛)
• For x = 0
(53 62−53
0 )( 5−0 )
𝑃(0) = (62
= 0.00001
5)

• For x = 1
(53 62−53
1 )( 5−1 )
𝑃(1) = (62
= 0.001
5)

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

• For x = 2
(53 62−53
2 )( 5−2 )
𝑃(2) = (62
= 0.017
5)

• For x = 3
(53 62−53
3 )( 5−3 )
𝑃(3) = (62
= 0.130
5)

• For x = 4
(53 62−53
4 )( 5−4 )
𝑃(4) = (62
= 0.407
5)

• For x = 5
(53 62−53
5 )( 5−5 )
𝑃(5) = (62
= 0.443
5)

Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer C


Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus
Sampel (x) Probability
0 0.00001
1 0.001
2 0.017
3 0.407
4 0.150
5 0.443
Total 1.00000

c. Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial


N = 62;n = 5; k = 53
𝑘 53
𝑝= =62 = 0.854
𝑁

𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 0.854 = 0.145
𝑛
𝑝(𝑥) = ( ) 𝑝 𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑥 = 0,1,2,3,4,5
𝑥
• For x = 0
𝑝(0) = (50)0.8540 0.1455−0 = 0.000006

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

• For x = 1
𝑝(1) = (51)0.8541 0.1455−1 = 0.001
• For x = 2
𝑝(2) = (52)0.8542 0.1455−2 = 0.022
• For x = 3
𝑝(3) = (53)0.8543 0.1455−3 = 0.130
• For x = 4
𝑝(4) = (54)0.8544 0.1455−4 = 0.385
• For x = 5
𝑝(5) = (55)0.8545 0.1455−5 = 0.454

Berikut adalah tabel peluang cacat hasil percobaan 1 untuk kontainer C


Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial
Sampel (x) Probability
0 0.000006
1 0.001
2 0.022
3 0.130
4 0.385
5 0.454
Total 1.00000

d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang Berikut merupakan rekap peluang


kontainer A percobaan 1:
Sampel(x) Trial Formula Near binomial
Hipergeometric Hipergeometric Hipergeometric
0 0 0.00001 0.000006
1 0 0.001 0.001
2 0.025 0.017 0.022
3 0.175 0.407 0.130

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

4 0.4 0.150 0.385


5 0.4 0.443 0.454
Total 1.000 1.00000 1.00000

3.2.1.4 Pengujian Part Body wall untuk Ketiga Kontainer n=5


3.2.2 Percobaan 2 (Hipergeometrik n=15)
a. Rekap Data
b. Analisis
3.2.2.1 Kontainer A
a. Hipergeometrik dalam Percobaan
b. Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus
c. Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis
3.2.2.2 Kontainer B
a. Hipergeometrik dalam Percobaan
b. Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus
c. Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis
3.2.2.3 Kontainer C
a. Hipergeometrik dalam Percobaan
b. Hipergeometrik dalam Rumus
c. Hipergeometrik dengan Pendekatan Binomial
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

3.2.2.4 Pengujian Part Body wall untuk Ketiga Kontainer n=15


3.2.3 Perbandingan Peluang Pengujian Part Body Wall untuk n=5 dan n=15
3.2.3.1 Kontainer A
3.2.3.2 Kontainer B
3.2.3.3 Kontainer C
3.2.4 Percobaan 3 (Binomial n=5)
The following are the recap results of sampling valve parts from three containers
with a total sample of 5 valve parts.

3.2.4.1 Kontainer 1
a. Binomial dalam Percobaan
b. Binomial dalam Rumus
c. Binomial dengan Pendekatan Normal
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis
3.2.4.2 Kontainer 1
a. Binomial dalam Percobaan
b. Binomial dalam Rumus
c. Binomial dengan Pendekatan Normal
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis
3.2.4.3 Kontainer 3
a. Binomial dalam Percobaan

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

b. Binomial dalam Rumus


c. Binomial dengan Pendekatan Normal
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis
3.2.2.4 Pengujian Part Side Seam untuk Ketiga Kontainer n=5
3.2.4 Percobaan 4 (Binomial n=15)
a. Rekap Data
b. Analisis
3.2.5.1 Kontainer 1
a. Binomial dalam Percobaan
b. Binomial dalam Rumus
c. Binomial dengan Pendekatan Normal
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis
3.2.5.2 Kontainer 1
a. Binomial dalam Percobaan
b. Binomial dalam Rumus
c. Binomial dengan Pendekatan Normal
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis
3.2.5.3 Kontainer 3
a. Binomial dalam Percobaan
b. Binomial dalam Rumus
c. Binomial dengan Pendekatan Normal
d. Perbandingan Setiap Peluang
e. Analisis

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

3.2.5.4 Pengujian Part Side Seam untuk Ketiga Kontainer n=15


3.2.6 Perbandingan Peluang Pengujian Part Side Seam untuk n=5 dan n=15
3.2.6.1 Kontainer 1
3.2.6.2 Kontainer 2
3.2.6.3 Kontainer 3
3.2.7 Perbandingan Peluang Pengujian masing-masing Part untuk n=5
3.2.7.1 Kontainer A dengan kontainer 1

3.2.7.2 Kontainer B dengan kontainer 2


3.2.7.3 Kontainer C dengan kontainer 3
3.2.8 Perbandingan Peluang Pengujian masing-masing Part untuk n=15
3.2.8.1 Kontainer A dengan kontainer 1
3.2.8.2 Kontainer B dengan kontainer 2
3.2.8.3 Kontainer C dengan kontainer 3

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
Probability Theory Practicum Rrport
Module 4 – Hypergeometric and Binomial Distribution
Group 00

BAB IV
PENUTUP

4.1 Kesimpulan
Kesimpulan
4.2 Saran
Saran

Industrial Engineering Department


Diponegoro University
2023
BIBLIOGRAPHY
ATTACHMENT

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