“If no other asset offers a seasonal tendency,wait for the next one
? that means there’s
no swing setup
you can not trade a swing setup if there’s no seasonal
tendency - Major Market Analysis
& ( ) ?
if - then proceed to the commodities & stock
filter process
If - then consider short term or daytrades,Wait
for swing trading conditions
If - then proceed to the inter-market Analysis
If - then consider short term or day trades,and
wait for swing trading opportunities - Inter-market Analysis
For foreign currency or metal bullish swing trade setup
• : are commodities buying or selling currently?
If - then proceed to the correlation analysis
process
If - then consider short term trades
: these are all the considerations for buying
a metal or a foreign currency,what are we looking for ? Is the commercial lessening their shorts?,if they’re below the 0 line it means they’re net short and vice versa for net long - Correlation Analysis Process
is the USDX supporting bearish price action for US
dollar ?
If - then proceed to the commodity filter
process
If - consider short term or day trades and wait for
a swing trade consider
Bullish USDX > bullish foreign currency
- Open interest filter process
Is open interest dropping or has dropped 10-15% or
more ?
If - proceed to the top-down analysis
If - consider short term trade setup
You can get the open interest for the market on
http://barchart.com
- Top down Analysis
• note the 9-18 months history
• identify all PD arrays on , , &4 timeframes • Note the IPDA data range on the daily chart that is 20,40,60 days back from the present day
- Trade Setup
• note all & discount arrays,the
best odd are seen within these levels offering an explosive rally • confirm a discount array with USDX weakness for SMT divergence • if USDX confirms bearish while currency pairs trades in discount and lastly execute trade entry with whatever models you make use of
As time goes on ,will cover more on each case study
with both charts and data
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Prashant Shah - Outperforming The Markets Using Relative Strength and Breadth Analysis - With Live Market Data, Examples and Unique Techniques-Notion Press (2021)