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Valuation Insights

Control Premium September 2014

Authored by Manish Saxena, assisted by Riddhi Mehta

What is Control Premium? This premium is easily observable in transactions


Assessing the right value of a target company is where the target is a listed company. For
one of the most important aspects of any M&A example, in a recent transaction, Sun Pharma
transaction. The value of target, in addition to bought Ranbaxy for an implied value of approx.
several factors like quality of management, INR 455 per share which was at a premium of
financial performance and future outlook, also approx. 20% to Ranbaxy's market price. In
depends on whether a controlling stake is being another transaction, Baring Private Equity Asia
acquired in the target or a minority stake. bought a controlling stake in Hexaware
Traditionally it has been observed and widely Technologies Ltd. for INR 135 per share,
accepted that an investor, on a per share basis, reflecting a premium of approx. 12% over its
would be ready to pay a premium to buy a pre-acquisition market price. This premium, as
controlling stake in the company versus buying a observed in the aforementioned transactions, is
minority stake. often referred to as “control premium” or
“acquisition premium”.
Summary of items included in this newsletter

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What is Control Premium? What drives Control Premium?

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Why do we need to know about Control Empirical analysis of transactions
Premium? involving Controlling Stake

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What drives Control Premium? Further, if there are several potential acquirers
The acquirer pays a premium for a controlling who are able to generate the aforementioned
stake because, unlike a minority stake, the incremental value from the target, the existing
acquirer can generate incremental value from shareholders of the target would have a better
the target by exercising prerogatives of control bargaining power to realise a larger share of this
like ability to change the management, take incremental value. Hence, the quantum of
better decisions for the company, change the control premium being shared with the existing
capital structure to a more optimal level, etc. shareholders is dependent not only on the
Further in case of strategic acquisitions, the quantum of incremental value an acquirer
acquirer, in addition to aforementioned benefits expects to generate from the target, but also on
of control, could also generate incremental value the nature and number of potential acquirers.
through synergies derived from the target. Since these factors vary significantly for each
target, one can observe a wide range of
In case of the Baring-Hexaware transaction, premiums being paid in acquisitions ranging
Baring being a financial investor would have from nil to as high as 100%.
mainly expected to generate operational
improvements by virtue of control, though it
could have also generated revenue synergies for
Hexaware from its portfolio. While in case of Very often in consummation of a deal,
the Sun Pharma-Ranbaxy transaction, Sun Control Premium plays a critical role. The
Pharma mainly expected to generate significant right price determination is generally based
synergies in the form of gaining a leadership
on the perceived benefit of the acquirer in
position in the branded generics market, cross
selling their products, operational synergies owning and managing the company his way.
from procurement and supply chain efficiencies
and also reducing the compliance costs by Darshana Kadakia
substituting Ranbaxy‟s FDA affected products Partner, Grant Thornton India LLP
with its own products.

Why do we need to know about Control Further, the control premium can become an
Premium? important input for valuation of privately held
Though the premiums paid in transactions vary companies for non-transaction related purposes
significantly, an empirical analysis of the e.g. for litigation, regulatory purposes, financial
historical premiums in the control transactions reporting, etc. In these valuations, where there is
can be useful for the acquirer and seller in no willing buyer or a willing seller involved, the
negotiations. It can also be useful for control premium data derived empirically could
shareholders of the target in evaluating whether become a very important input in estimating the
the shares should be tendered in an offer made right value of the business being valued.
by the acquirer.

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An empirical analysis of a transaction Since the average premium could be influenced
involving Controlling Stake. by a few outlier transactions, a median was
For the empirical analysis, approximately 90 mid considered as a better measure.
to large transactions carried out in India during
the last 10 years involving acquisition of Further, 1 month median control premium was
controlling stake in listed targets were identified. considered as a better measure as 1 week market
The 1 month and 1 week control premium was prices before the transactions could have been
then calculated for each target by comparing the influenced by leakage of information on the
offer/acquisition price with the market price transaction. Accordingly, based on the median 1
prevailing 1 month and 1 week prior to the month control premium, the premiums paid in
announcement of the acquisition. control transactions in India could be broadly
considered to be approximately 26%.
As per the chart below, the average 1 month
and 1 week control premium paid in these An analysis of control premiums across various
transactions was estimated as 34.2% and 27.0% industries indicates that the control premiums
respectively; while the median control premium have been lowest in the IT industry while being
was approx. 26.2% and 22.0% respectively. the highest in the healthcare industry. The
higher premiums observed in healthcare,
industrial and materials industries could be on
Control Premium account of scarcity of good assets and also due
to involvement of foreign acquirers expecting to
40.0 generate significant synergies from Indian
34.2
35.0 targets.
30.0 27.0
26.2
Though it is difficult to generalise based on the
Percentage

25.0 22.0 lower number of transactions involving listed IT


20.0 sector companies, the lower premiums observed
15.0 in the IT sector might indicate that there are not
too many acquirers trying to derive synergistic
10.0
benefits from Indian IT companies. On the
5.0 contrary, India IT companies have been
0.0 acquiring smaller and niche targets outside
1 Week Prior 1 Month Prior India.
Average Median

1 Month Control Premium (Median)


47.5 47.6
41.9

25.5 26.8
22.1
15.1

Consumer Consumer Financials Healthcare Industrials IT (13) Materials


Discretionary Staples (6) (12) (6) (13) (19)
(12)

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In a nutshell The appropriate premium for any target over
To conclude, despite variance across various the prevailing market price or the pre-
industries, significant control premiums, with a acquisition value of the target, should be
median of approximately 26%, have been paid evaluated based on the industry in which the
historically to buy controlling stake in Indian target operates, an analysis of the incremental
companies. However, this figure should be value that can be generated from the target by
considered only as a reference or staring point. exercising control, the number and nature of
potential acquires for the target and the kind of
synergies potential acquirers can generate.

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