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This week’s issue
News Features
14 Myocarditis 34 A new energy world
Heart condition is more News We must transform how we
common after covid-19 make and consume energy
than after vaccination to hit net-zero carbon
Views
The back pages
23 Comment
Lower-income countries 51 Stargazing at home
can leapfrog fossil fuels, How to spot the Perseids
says Jim Watson
52 Puzzles
24 The columnist Try our crossword, quick quiz
Annalee Newitz on the health and logic puzzle
risks of social media
54 Almost the last word
26 Letters Why are bird droppings
It is probably best if we don’t mostly white?
spread across the galaxy
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30 Culture 56 Feedback
A book looks at how inequality First AI patent and smoking
drives health disparities 10 Arctic warming The islands where it is already 10°C warmer dogs: the week in weird
CHUANG ZHAO
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The technology to create a greener, safer future exists – we need the will to use it
A NEW world is within our grasp. That’s energy sources is now not a question So far, action has been pitiful, the
the message emerging from our special of can or can’t, but will or won’t – and influence of those who either don’t
report on the greatest challenge we face whether we do it as expeditiously as recognise the painful reality of the
in bending the climate curve: rebuilding our current emergency dictates. science, or who would rather continue
our energy systems for a cleaner, greener, Heatwaves in the western US and to profit from burning the house down,
more sustainable future (see page 34). Canada, wildfires ripping across Siberia, still all-too evident. The COP26 climate
Our current fossil-fuelled system Turkey and south-east Europe, record- conference this November in the UK
has brought unprecedented prosperity breaking floods carrying away lives and is perhaps a last chance to set in train
and comfort for billions – and wrought an orderly energy transition that limits
damage on Earth’s climate and support “Managing the transition to better global warming to a halfway liveable level
systems the full extent of which we have energy sources is now not about and ensures our future prosperity.
been all too slow to grasp. can or can’t, but will or won’t” That requires solid commitments from
Bald economic reality dictates the end richer countries to translate warm climate
of the fossil fuel era is coming. Just as coal, livelihoods in Germany and China – the words into immediate, consequential
oil and gas in their time displaced wood, accumulation of extremes just in the past action to reduce emissions. But it also
wind, water and human and animal few weeks leaves no room for doubt that means finally agreeing the funding
muscle power, we now have vast, cheap climate change is already here. Our report package that will allow the lower-income
and hugely superior energy sources at from the Arctic archipelago of Svalbard countries of the world to leapfrog fossil
our disposal: solar and (once again) wind. (page 10) gives a foretaste of even more fuels to a cleaner future (page 23). The way
Managing the transition to these dramatic changes that may be to come. is clear – it’s up to us to find the will. ❚
Harbinger of heat
Svalbard’s shifts are the most
10°C
Usual upper temperature for
what the future holds (see “What
to expect from the IPCC report”,
right). It is anticipated it will
illustration was when the
“doomsday vault” for the world’s
seeds, on the archipelago’s largest
extreme example of a wider July in Longyearbyen, Norway show that the range of possible island, Spitsbergen, had a tunnel
climatic change at the top of the temperature rises due to a flooded in 2016 due to heavy
world. In May, scientists said the doubling of atmospheric carbon rainfall and melting of the frozen
Arctic is now thought to have
warmed three times faster than
the rest of the planet over the
20°C
Temperature exceeded in
dioxide from pre-industrial levels,
known as equilibrium climate
sensitivity, has narrowed from
ground, or permafrost. That forced
a €20 million upgrade to the vault,
a project that was itself hampered
past half century, up on previous July 2020 in Longyearbyen the previous estimate of 1.5°C to by topsoil not refreezing as
estimates of just over two times 4.5°C. The bottom end now looks expected. “Climate change is
as fast. For parts of Earth that to be at least 2.3°C. coming more rapidly than we
have warmed closer to the global
average, like London and New
York, Svalbard offers a window
2.3°C
The IPCC’s lowest predicted rise
In other words, we are probably
in for more warming globally than
our previous best-case scenarios.
thought,” says Erna Solberg,
Norway’s prime minister.
Rainfall in winter, which
to their possible future. in global temperatures as a result And with greater warming comes occurred about once every five
The Intergovernmental Panel of a doubling of CO2 levels more disruptive impacts, the years three decades ago, now
BLACK holes with “hair” will a rotating black hole surrounded relatively quickly, allowing at the University of Lisbon in
quickly go bald. A key theoretical by magnetised plasma. They the black hole to follow the Portugal. “We had predictions
prediction about black holes found that the lines of the no-hair theorem. for practically everything that
called the no-hair theorem states magnetic field converged at the “The original no-hair theorem was reported now – but those
that an isolated black hole can be black hole’s equator and turned is for a black hole in a vacuum, predictions were back-of-the-
described by just three numbers – into closed loops in a process but we’re trying to move that envelope estimates, and we all
its mass, spin and charge – and called magnetic reconnection. into something more realistic,” know that the devil hides in the
any other properties, or “hair”, are These magnetic loops filled says Bransgrove. details,” he says. “Now, this work
irrelevant. Now, a set of detailed with plasma dissipated the For now, it seems that the worked out the details, [and] there
simulations has shown how black magnetic field that had previously theorem works even for black was no devil, which is reassuring!”
holes can shed a magnetic field to permeated the black hole, freeing holes that are surrounded by However, it does help us
comply with the no-hair theorem. up space at the equator for plasma, as many are in the understand the magnetic
When a black hole forms from more field lines to converge. real world (Physical Review behaviour of black holes, he says.
a magnetised star, it is born with “Field lines keep flowing in and Letters, doi.org/gmcptn). Comprehending this process of
a magnetic field. How long that making these loops, and that just This result isn’t particularly shedding magnetic fields could
magnetic field sticks around keeps happening until they’re all surprising, says Vitor Cardoso help researchers find and identify
is an open question, and some gone,” says Bransgrove. “Some of newly formed black holes.
previous work has suggested these loops fly away into space, A simulation of magnetic “We can’t say for sure yet
that the plasma surrounding and some fall into the black hole.” field lines reconnecting whether we see this in
black holes may keep the This process happened outside a black hole observations, but there are hints,”
magnetic field around for longer says Bransgrove. Some huge black
than expected, which would be a holes send out powerful flares of
violation of the no-hair theorem. X-rays that may be powered by
Ashley Bransgrove at Columbia magnetic reconnection, but
BRANSGROVE A.,ET AL./AMERICAN PHYSICAL SOCIETY
Fibre optics
Tiny bendy camera a cable that is 40 centimetres long measurements every second to on threading the fibre through
and 50 micrometres in diameter. build up a 3D image (arxiv.org/ a needle as a way of deploying
can produce three- It can take 3D pictures of objects abs/2107.11450). the cable, which could allow it
dimensional images up to 2.5 metres away. “It’s easy to say it has medical to penetrate human tissue.
The camera works similarly applications, but I think it also He also wants to extend the
A FIBRE-OPTIC cable the thickness to a lidar scanner, which gauges has applications in industrial length of the fibre to 2 metres or
of a human hair can transmit distance by sending out pulses inspection, and potentially more, although that would require
accurate 3D images in real time, of light and measuring how long surveillance,” says Jurgen Schmoll using a different type of fibre that
creating a tiny, flexible camera. they take to bounce back. at Durham University, UK. would give higher resolution in
Miles Padgett at the University Light sent down the fibre-optic Padgett is currently working the middle of the image and lower
of Glasgow, UK, and his colleagues cable does much the same in resolution at the edges.
have developed a system several miniature, determining the size and “The camera works “That might not be a bad thing,”
orders of magnitude smaller than shape of an object to an accuracy similarly to a lidar scanner, says Padgett. “That’s what the
pre-existing cameras based on of a millimetre. The camera makes which gauges distance [human] eye does.” ❚
fibre-optic cable. The system uses more than 23,000 of these through pulses of light” Chris Stokel-Walker
HEART inflammation triggered their second dose of a Pfizer/ this hasn’t been proven. Neither A COMET approaching the sun
by some covid-19 vaccines has BioNTech or Moderna vaccine, is it known why it happens most from the outer solar system
been a concern, especially according to figures from the often in younger males. might sweep a trail of dust particles
in younger people, but a US Advisory Committee on Mild cases are usually treated over Venus when it swings into
preliminary study suggests that Immunization Practices. with over-the-counter anti- the inner reaches of our planetary
in those most affected, it is six Researchers added together inflammatory drugs such as neighbourhood this December.
times more likely to occur after cases after first and second ibuprofen and most people On 18 December, Comet C/2021
a coronavirus infection than doses to reach a total rate of recover within a few months, A1 (Leonard) will zip past Venus
after vaccination. 77 cases per million in this says Iacob. Other triggers of the at what is, in astronomical terms,
In the past few months, some male age group triggered by condition include flu and the a hair’s-breadth distance of just
cases of this condition, known vaccination, a sixth that seen flu vaccine, some medications 4.3 million kilometres. As Venus
after infection. and some illegal drugs. continues on its orbital path, it will
450
cases of myocarditis per million
“If you’re focused on heart
inflammation, the safer bet is to
take the vaccine,” says Mendel
The small risk of myocarditis
after the Pfizer/BioNTech
vaccine is one reason why the
move through a swathe of space
close to where the comet was
about 72 hours earlier.
covid-19 cases in young males Singer at Case Western Reserve UK’s Joint Committee on Computer modelling suggests
University in Ohio, who helped Vaccination and Immunisation this region could contain dusty
as myocarditis, have been carry out the study. (JCVI) hasn’t yet recommended material that has been thrown off
recorded following the use Signs of myocarditis include this vaccine – the only one C/2021 A1 as it moves through
of the Pfizer/BioNTech and chest pain, breathlessness and licensed for use in under-18s in space and that could now be getting
Moderna vaccines. This has palpitations. Symptoms range the UK – for most children aged swept along in the icy object’s wake.
prompted concern particularly from so mild that they go 12 and over. While countries “This is the closest comet
in the US and Israel, as these two unnoticed to severe, involving such as Ireland and the US are encounter to Venus on record in at
countries have led the way in permanent heart damage or letting teenagers get vaccinated, least the last 50 years or so,” says
vaccinating younger people. death. However, extreme forms the JCVI said in July that only Qicheng Zhang at the California
The reaction happens most are rare and no fatalities have younger people who are highly Institute of Technology, who is
often in men and boys aged been reported after vaccination vulnerable or living with leading a team studying the event.
under 30 after their second in the US. someone with a weak immune Although no one knows for sure if
dose, and is usually seen within The causes of myocarditis system could have the jab. there really are dust particles being
10 days, says Alma Iacob at are unclear. One idea is that Iacob says people who have left in the darkness behind the
Imperial College London. But it occurs when the immune been vaccinated or had covid-19 comet, any that are in the right place
many health bodies around system attacks the heart, but should be aware of possible will rain down on Venus, creating
the world say the benefits of symptoms of myocarditis, meteors in the planet’s skies. If
vaccination still outweigh Myocarditis involves especially chest pain that is rarer, exceptionally bright meteors
the risks for most people. the inflammation of burning or sharp and worsens called bolides materialise, it may
Now a study in the US has heart muscle tissue on changing position. ❚ even be possible for Earth-based
analysed how often myocarditis telescopes to image those fireballs
occurs following infection with as flashes on Venus’s nightside
the coronavirus. Researchers (arxiv.org/abs/2107.12370).
analysed the records of But that would be a challenging
healthcare organisations observation, says Zhang, as there
that cover a fifth of the US is a narrow observing window and
NATURE’S FACES/SCIENCE SOURCE/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY
Communication
Secret messages can underwater communication. time delay between the sounds while the clicks and whistles could
To test the idea, Chunyue Li and in the sequence. be separated and decoded by a
be hidden in whale her colleagues at Tianjin University The two sequences were then recipient, they duped an artificial
or dolphin chatter in China designed a method to hide overlapped, forming one sequence intelligence eavesdropping
code in the vocal calls of false killer that, it was hoped, sounded program trained to identify codes
SECRET underwater messages whales (Pseudorca crassidens). natural because it combined in acoustic communications
could be hidden in the clicks The team scoured a database of clicks and whistles. (Applied Acoustics, doi.org/gqbk).
and whistles of dolphin calls, clicks and whistles made by false Sure enough, the resulting However, the achieved
fooling eavesdroppers by making killer whales to find sounds with waveform pattern closely communication rate was 76 bits
them believe they are hearing real sufficiently different waveforms resembled that of false killer per second over 5 kilometres,
marine animal calls. to use in a decipherable code. whale chatter. What’s more, which is slow by current underwater
Marine mammal sounds can Using the sounds, the team communications standards, says
affect military sonar systems, constructed two coded sequences: “While the clicks and underwater acoustics researcher
so they are usually filtered out. one with just clicks and one with whistles could be decoded Alec Duncan at Curtin University
This makes these animal signals just whistles. The codes were by a recipient, they duped in Perth, Australia. ❚
a stealthy solution for secret based on small differences in the an AI eavesdropper” James Urquhart
75
vessels are licensed in the UK for
sitting on their deck. That would
put the Greenpeace crew at risk
of arrest for criminal damage.
on the other hand, maintains
that the method can have a
lower environmental impact
Thorne calls England’s MPAs
“paper parks”, effectively just lines
on a map. He and Greenpeace
destructive “fly shooting” fishing We are now about 2 hours than other types of fishing gear, want to see bottom trawlers
away from the MPA. The because it can be done using and super trawlers, including
raised further by the trawler campaigners are checking their lower powered vessels with those using fly shooting,
having apparently switched off equipment and recollecting the lower fuel consumption. banned from MPAs.
the satellite-based automatic drills they ran yesterday, when Back in the Channel, the
identification system that helps they practised using the RIB while trawler’s anticipated move into
authorities monitor vessels. being buffeted by a hose from the
Conservation opportunity the MPA never materialises.
Fishing is legally allowed in main ship. Today’s conditions, Arriving at the MPA, the Sea Beaver No one knows if the vessel
England’s MPAs. There are no hot and still with the sea almost comes to a halt. Through his was spooked by the Sea Beaver.
authorities to call if the target mirror-like, are ideal for such binoculars, Thorne can see the Nonetheless, Thorne considers
trawler is found inside Bassurelle actions, making them safer and trawler has its fishing gear in the day a success. “We’ve made our
with its nets in the water. easier to perform. the water. But the ship is still presence felt,” he says. But in the
Instead, the Sea Beaver’s crew But there is still a nervousness just outside the MPA. It may be absence of tougher protections,
are prepared for direct action. over whether they will detect keeping to the French exclusive the patrol goes on. The very next
If their French-flagged target is destructive fishing in Bassurelle. economic zone, which goes right day the campaigners found a
found fishing in the protected The trawler is one of 75 vessels up to Bassurelle. In Thorne’s view, French-flagged vessel fly shooting
area, Thorne explains that they licensed in the UK for fly shooting. the UK’s exit from the European in the same MPA. ❚
Space
Iconic spacecraft rendezvousing with astronaut The Apollo 11 simulations show its orbit might still
Michael Collins in the command ascent stage, be mostly stable today, travelling
may still be flying module in lunar orbit. The empty photographed round Earth’s natural satellite every
around the moon ascent stage was discarded, in 1969 as it 2 hours (Planetary and Space
supposedly on an impact course approached Science, doi.org/gp94).
A DISCARDED part of the Apollo 11 with the lunar surface, as the the command If the spacecraft, which is
MSFC/NASA
spacecraft that took the first astronauts made their way home. module orbiting about 4 metres across, is still
astronauts to the lunar surface However, James Meador, a space the moon circling the moon, it could be
may still be in orbit around the enthusiast from California, says that detectable by radar from Earth. The
moon, rather than having crash- impact may not have happened. By meaning there is nothing to provide massive Arecibo radio telescope in
landed as thought. running simulations of the predicted friction to drag spacecraft into Puerto Rico would have been able
On 20 July 1969, NASA orbit of the ascent stage using NASA a lower orbit, unlike Earth. to do this before its collapse last
astronauts Neil Armstrong and Buzz software, he found that it should “The Eagle was abandoned in year, but other large radar facilities
Aldrin made history as the first two still be orbiting the moon today, lunar orbit, everyone just kind of are available. “It would be great to
humans to land on the moon. They roughly at the same altitude that it forgot about it, and the assumption allocate a few hours of radar time
left the surface a day later using the was left in – about 100 kilometres. was it struck the moon decades and look [for it],” says Meador. ❚
ascent stage of their Eagle lander, The moon has no atmosphere, ago,” says Meador. But his Jonathan O’Callaghan
A STUDY of nearly 5000 online The analysis indicated they didn’t. however. The researchers found person is that the drops come
posts purporting to be from Q , “If there is [a single Q], there’s that “despotism”, “judiciary”, with one of a handful of tripcodes.
the supposed figurehead of the such a massive change [in writing “independent” and “evinces” These are a sort of “pseudo
far-right conspiracy theory QAnon, style] it’d be surprising,” says cropped up regularly. Another password” that can be used to
indicates that the posts are written Blackburn. He points out popular word was “Jim”, which authenticate the poster, says
by different authors, despite claims that the construction of Q by is likely to be a reference to Jim co-lead author Antonis Papasavva
to the contrary. “Quantitatively, multiple authors mirrors the Rybicki, a former staff member at University College London.
there’s not a single Q ,” says Jeremy way apocryphal religious texts at the US Department of Justice, However, those tripcodes have
Blackburn of Binghamton are generated. and a bogeyman for many previously been cracked and
University, New York. There were common words, conspiracy theorists (arxiv.org/ published on internet forums,
The conspiracy theory has abs/2101.08750). meaning the messages are
long been disproven. It is driven A “Q” sign being held up at One of the pieces of evidence easily spoofed. “Different Qs are
by “Q drops”, or messages from a Donald Trump campaign that QAnon followers often put fighting each other about who is
a person or people calling rally in 2018 forward to defend Q being a single the fake and who is the original,”
themselves Q , claiming since says Papasavva.
October 2017 to have high levels Social media platforms have
of security clearance within the struggled with how to manage
US government. Such drops have QAnon content. Many choose
put forward that the then US to suspend the accounts of those
president Donald Trump was who post it – but that has little
battling a secretive cabal of effect. “There are always going
paedophiles across big business, to be several platforms archiving
big media and big government. stuff and ensuring it can continue
Blackburn and his colleagues to propagate,” says Blackburn.
analysed 4949 Q drops aggregated Mia Bloom at Georgia State
between 2017 and 2020 by six University, who has co-written
RICK LOOMIS/GETTY IMAGES
Technology
Keep up with the algorithms that are designed to need to take pictures of every single item, including its component parts
reverse engineer a 3D object like a surface, which is something you and how to fit them together (arxiv.
Joneses with a piece of furniture is that if there isn’t would need for a traditional 3D org/abs/2107.09965). A future
handy algorithm enough data to teach the algorithm reconstruction algorithm to get version could run directly on the
how objects are put together, the complete shapes,” says Noeckel. phone, says Noeckel.
IF YOU have spied a piece of software will produce a low-detail To test the system, the team took “The final product would be
furniture in your neighbour’s house model that is unsuitable for physical photos of wooden items, such as a an app you could have on your
that you want to recreate for your construction. The team got around bookcase, a nightstand and a table, phone and take a bunch of pictures
own home, you could soon be in this by adding in constraints, such using a smartphone. After less of furniture, run an algorithm and
luck thanks to a new tool. as programming the algorithm to than 10 minutes of processing you would pretty much 100 per
James Noeckel at the University consider the geometric limitations the images on a computer, the cent of the time get the correct
of Washington in Seattle and his of flat sheets of wood and the ways algorithm produced 3D plans blueprint for the object in the
colleagues have created an that wooden parts can fit together. showing the configuration of the form of a nice 3D model that also
algorithm that turns photos of “It doesn’t really require includes instructions for how to
wooden objects into a 3D model that you observe the object “The system would allow assemble it,” says Noeckel. “It is
that is detailed enough for a skilled completely. Because we make you to reverse engineer a a scenario where the user doesn’t
carpenter to replicate. these assumptions about how piece of wooden furniture have to do a lot of work.” ❚
A common problem with objects are fabricated, we don’t that you like the look of” Krista Charles
THE origin of animals may have Within the rocks, Turner found
happened 350 million years the preserved remains of networks
earlier than thought. Fossils of fibres, which branched and
that seem to be sponges, one joined up in a complex mesh
of the first animals to evolve, (Nature, doi.org/gmcgjk). These
have been found in rocks from are the remains of sponges, she
890 million years ago. argues, but “not a normal fossil”.
“It seems at first glance that The bodies of modern sponges
this is a very radical paper,” says contain a mesh made of a protein
Elizabeth Turner at Laurentian called spongin, which forms a soft
University in Sudbury, Canada, skeleton. Turner’s work suggests
who made the discovery. However, that when ancient sponges
she says the fossils she found fit died, their soft tissues became
with other evidence. mineralised, but the tough spongin
didn’t. Eventually, though, it
“The preserved, complex decayed, leaving hollow tubes
mesh of fibres is the within the rock that later filled with
E.C. TURNER
fossils resemble structures 100 micrometres froze over in the period between early, because such soft-bodied
in modern sponges 720 and 635 million years ago, animals are rarely preserved. ❚
Astrophysics Zoology
vast black holes, the corona can gravity. The ability to see echoes would lead her to the nesting area,
emit powerful flares of X-rays. from behind a black hole could but in all cases in which spawning
Dan Wilkins at Stanford also give us a new perspective on occurred – 19 of the 22 – it was the
University in California and his how accretion discs – which are dominant male who the female
colleagues used the NuSTAR and some of the brightest objects in mated with (Animal Behaviour,
XMM-Newton X-ray telescopes to the sky – work. Leah Crane doi.org/gp97). CLL
environment with wild hunting because the remains of one such Modern African hunting dogs
dogs – and may even have stolen dog has been found at Dmanisi. have adapted to consume their
food from them. Saverio Bartolini-Lucenti at the prey very quickly before it can
For many years, archaeologists University of Florence, Italy, and be stolen by larger, stronger
have been excavating a site near his team analysed the remains of predators, such as lions and
Dmanisi in Georgia, where they a young adult of an extinct species hyenas. The Eurasian hunting
Heatwaves likely to have found evidence that ancient of hunting dog related to modern dogs may have interacted with
get worse in the UK humans – sometimes put in the African wild dogs (Lycaon pictus). early humans in a similar way,
species Homo erectus – were there What was it like? “Picture an says Bartolini-Lucenti, with the
UK summer temperatures about 1.8 million years ago. The African hunting dog, but stouter, humans scaring off the dogs to
could regularly top 40°C Dmanisi humans provide the with long limbs like an Irish steal their prey. Krista Charles
even if humanity limits
global warming to 1.5°C, Society Psychology
according to the Royal
Meteorological Society. The
country is already seeing We’re more likely to
increasingly extreme cheat multiple victims
weather, with 2020 the
third warmest and fifth MOST people play fair in lab tests
wettest year on record where they can share or steal small
(International Journal of sums of money – yet cheating and
Climatology, doi.org/gqbq). unfairness is common in real life.
This apparent contradiction
Cannabis smoking has a new explanation. In lab
hits family health tests where people are able to take
ANDREW MERRY/GETTY IMAGES
O N E - D A Y V I R T U A L E V E N T
CREATING A
SUSTAINABLE
FUTURE
Comment
T
HE world has an energy are large enough to power TVs
dilemma. On the one hand, and appliances as well as lighting.
we need to drastically clean Of course, initiatives like these
up energy use in higher-income don’t completely solve the energy
countries to tackle climate change. access problem. To provide the
But on the other, there are still necessary power for industries
millions of people who don’t and all domestic uses, renewables
have reliable access to energy. must be deployed at a much larger
As their energy access improves, scale. This requires investment in
there is a risk that this could grid infrastructure, too. It will be
offset some of the world’s shift important to avoid repeating the
to low-carbon energy. It doesn’t recent experience of Vietnam,
have to be that way: this is also where solar and wind investment
an opportunity for some increased rapidly, but many plants
countries to skip much of the couldn’t operate fully because of
fossil fuel stage altogether. grid constraints.
For low-income countries, So what else needs to happen to
making big improvements in make leapfrogging possible? It is
access to electricity is crucial. crucial to recognise that most low-
Better access to energy is linked income countries have very low
to improvements in education, emissions and their priority has
economic development and to be expanding energy systems to
health, for example. According to underpin economic development
the latest data from international and universal energy access. Fossil
organisation Sustainable Energy fuels shouldn’t be entirely ruled
for All, more than 750 million out, but should be part of a wider
people lack access to electricity straight to using mobile phones. electricity is cheaper is now on strategy that prioritises low-
and over 2.5 billion people don’t This has also enabled services such its way out, as is the idea that carbon investments. That often
have access to clean cooking as banking via “mobile money”. improved access is all about means reforms to policies and
technologies or fuels. Many The potential for leapfrogging centralised electricity grids. regulations so that low-carbon
more have limited or unreliable in the electricity sector has been A good example of this is the options aren’t disadvantaged,
access to electricity. strengthened recently by the solar homes programme in and a big scale-up of finance from
Improving this situation steep fall in the costs of renewable Bangladesh, which extended donors to reduce the financial
could be a chance to do things technologies, and reductions electricity access to 4 million risks of adoption. Only then will
differently. Instead of developing in the costs of complementary homes (about 12 per cent of the low-income countries be able
energy infrastructures based on technologies such as batteries. population) by 2016. This provided to leapfrog to cleaner energy. ❚
fossil fuels, low-income countries According to a recent report by much quicker access to services
could leapfrog straight to cleaner, the International Renewable such as electric lighting than For more on the new energy world,
low-carbon technologies. Energy Agency, the cost of large- extending the centralised see our special on page 34
This isn’t a pipe dream. In the scale solar has fallen by 85 per cent electricity grid would have done.
MICHELLE D’URBANO
telecommunications sector, for in the past decade, while wind Similarly, off-grid solar systems Jim Watson is research
example, landlines never fully power costs have fallen by about now provide about 7 per cent of director at the UCL
took hold in many low-income 50 per cent. The conventional Rwanda’s population with access to Institute for Sustainable
countries. Instead, people moved assumption that fossil fuel electricity. Many of these systems Resources in London
P
ICK up a pack of cigarettes of Algorithms of Oppression, has definition of engagement.
and you will probably see a been researching for many years. Currently, most social media
terrifying picture of cancer She has argued that social media platforms encourage people to
lesions with a stern warning about platforms should be regulated like participate by surfacing content
how smoking can kill. For decades the tobacco industry. I asked Noble that gets your dander up, making
in the US, this was called the what she thought about her work you so emotional that you just
surgeon general’s warning, and finally being floated as policy. have to post a response. But what
it was a reminder that cigarettes “There are many Black women, if we started encouraging another
are so bad that the government’s women of color and LGBTQ+ kind of engagement – one that
Annalee Newitz is a science top doctor was against them. scholars and activists who have feels less like mashing the anger
journalist and author. Their Now, the current surgeon general, been issuing warnings and trying button and more like… voting?
latest novel is The Future of Vivek Murthy, has recommended to get the attention of policy Long-time science journalist
Another Timeline and they that we apply similar warnings to makers, but unfortunately, until Kendra Pierre-Louis said in a
are the co-host of the social media misinformation. men in power speak, it isn’t heard,” recent talk that she always tries
Hugo-nominated podcast Speaking in mid-July to CNN, she told me via direct message. to get her readers engaged without
Our Opinions Are Correct. Murthy said that social media “Having said that, a warning resorting to hot takes. Instead,
You can follow them networks played a “major role” in is important but it will be she said she “treats readers
@annaleen and their website circulating misinformation about meaningless without the like voters, participants in a
is techsploitation.com covid-19. He said that this “harms democratic process”. She points
people’s health” and “costs them “Influencers called them to hearings they can attend,
their lives”. It sounds like Murthy’s the ‘disinformation and explains how to comment on
opinions go all the way to the top: regulations under consideration.
dozen’ peddle tales
US President Joe Biden said that The point, she said, is to show
Annalee’s week social media is “killing people” about the evils of how to engage in solutions rather
What I’m reading who are getting conspiracy-tinged vaccines to millions than false debates.
How to Lose the news about the pandemic from of followers” What if our social media
Information War by Nina their feeds. In response, Facebook helped us become more engaged
Jankowicz, which was has said that it was being made a repair and restoration that in government processes? I’m
highly recommended by scapegoat for the White House needs to be made to many global not talking about putting an
an instructor who teaches missing some of its goals. communities that have been ignorable box in the corner of
psyops to the US Army. Despite widespread availability undermined and harmed already.” your feed that says, “Warning:
of vaccines, only half of people in For Noble and her colleagues, a This content may not be good for
What I’m watching the US are fully vaccinated. Of the warning isn’t enough. We need to you.” I’m imagining a world where
Just finished Derry Girls, remaining unvaccinated people, hold companies accountable for a button asks: “Share with your
whose ending with the many don’t plan to get the shot. the damage they inflict, and that local representative?” Maybe
ceasefire is much more A recent study by the Center for means an end to the notion that you’re given one-click access to a
poignant now. Countering Digital Hate found this social platforms are just allowing public comment area on political
is partly due to misinformation the circulation of “free speech”. issues in your community. Instead
What I’m working on on social platforms like Facebook In the US, free speech laws are rife of showcasing “opinions” about
Researching the history and Twitter. The group identified with exemptions: people cannot the pandemic, what if social media
of the early 19th century a handful of Facebook influencers simply say anything, especially showed you a list of places to
“Permanent Indian called the “disinformation dozen” if it involves endangering others. volunteer to help neighbours
Frontier” in the US (no, who peddled tales about the evils That’s the logic behind laws that who are too sick to work?
it wasn’t permanent). of vaccines to millions of people. make it unlawful for people to If social media has taught us
The result has been a massive share sexualised images of nothing else, it’s that we are all
pandemic aftershock as the delta children, even if they didn’t desperate to engage. We want our
variant rips through unvaccinated personally create the images. opinions known, and we want to
populations. When you look at the I think one of the big fears about contribute to debates about our
data that way, warning labels on regulation is that it will stifle all futures. But without good
social media start to make sense. speech, preventing people from regulations, our urge to help is
This column appears It’s an idea that Safiya Umoja engaging with each other on social hindered by a web of lies. It doesn’t
monthly. Up next week: Noble, at the University of media in an honest, open way. have to be that way. We can change.
James Wong California, Los Angeles, and author But that assumes a very narrow All we have to do is engage. ❚
ONLINE EVENT
JIM AL-KHALILI
A SCIENTIST’S GUIDE
TO A RATIONAL LIFE
Thursday 16 September 2021 6 -7pm BST, 1-2pm EDT and on-demand
If there’s one thing the current pandemic has told us, it is that
science is our best guide to understanding the world. It helps us
make sense of complexity and often over-abundant information
to navigate modern life more confidently.
JIM AL-KHALILI
Views Your letters
extinct? The very nature of the abolished. Fair enough. But we a problem of too much carbon
Editor’s pick event means there will be nobody also often read that this or that dioxide in the air, for a long time.
around to care. Indeed, I suspect medical procedure hasn’t been We should find ways to reduce it.
Canine free-for-all
that the other species on Earth sufficiently validated because
is already here would be glad to see the back of us. the clinical trials involved a
24 July, p 43 Meth-addicted fish may
limited cohort, for example
From Cristián Bonacic, Pontifical mostly white people. We also not be at a disadvantage
The hard problem: why 17 July, p 20
Catholic University of Chile sometimes read that a certain
You report that there are around pavements are an issue sector of the population is From Sam Edge,
a billion dogs in the world, with up 10 July, p 46 more susceptible than the rest Ringwood, Hampshire, UK
to 85 per cent free to interact with From Peter Tuft, of us to a particular ailment. You report that fish addicted to
the environment to some degree Kettering, Tasmania, Australia Are there differences or not? methamphetamines that end up
as feral or street dogs. Further to your article on the If there are, and “race” is the in Czech rivers may have a reduced
While your article imagines how problems with pavements, years wrong distinction, we need survival rate. It may not be so.
dogs might fare in a future without ago I learned that a long day of to know what the right one is. If both predators and prey are
us, a world without responsible off-track walking was less tough equally debilitated, then they
human ownership of canines is in on my feet than a few kilometres will all still be on the same footing
On the divisive issue of
effect already here. Biodiversity, on a smooth path or vehicle track. and the pollution may not make
human health and the environment On uneven ground, every climate geoengineering any difference. Surely, the first
are severely affected by free- footfall is slightly different, Letters, 17 and 24 July species to evolve tolerance to
roaming dogs on all continents. requiring different muscles to From Guy Cox, the drugs in the environment
Humans and domestic animals balance and stride, so the loads Sydney, Australia will be the winner – until the
are infected by rabies and other and wear and tear are dispersed John Koster says the time is right water gets cleaned up.
diseases that dogs can carry. From around the anatomy. However, to try a massive and untested
the predation of endangered birds on a pavement, every footfall and interference with marine
There is good and
in New Zealand to the demise of stride is identical, so wear and tear ecosystems by seeding waters
endemic lizards in central Chile, is focused on the same body parts. with iron to encourage plankton bad in all chemicals
dogs affect many wild species Nearly 50 years later, my now growth to capture carbon. Yet such 24 July, p 36
too. The ecological paw print of arthritic toes are still happier geoengineering risks perpetuating From Mike Clarke,
our dogs has been underestimated. off-track than on a pavement. fossil-fuelled lifestyles. Castle Hedingham, Essex, UK
I doubt if the proposed changes Koster proposes that this takes Your article on chemical pollution
to the hardness of pavements will place in the Southern Ocean. made some good points, but there
Probably best if we don’t
make much difference to this. However, some of us do live in is often confusion about what a
spread across the galaxy the southern hemisphere. What’s “chemical” actually is.
17 July, p 44 From Robert Checchio, more, the Southern Ocean is the All materials are chemicals as
From Richard Jones, Dunellen, New Jersey, US summer feeding ground for many there is no physical thing that is
West Linton, Scottish Borders, UK While the hardness of the concrete whale species, whose populations not made of chemicals. The idea
What horrifying thoughts from in sidewalk pavement is certainly are just beginning to recover. As a of synthetic and natural chemicals
geneticist Chris Mason, with his an issue, it does have an advantage (former) marine biologist, I have is an artificial construct and often
idea of spreading humans across over asphalt-based alternatives: to rate this as a truly horrible idea. just wrong. Many substances
the galaxy. We may be the most its much lighter colour reflects We solve the climate crisis by not labelled as synthetic pollutants
intellectual creatures on this sunlight better and so stays cooler using fossil fuels, period. are made in biological or natural
planet, but are hardly a role model. than darker materials, a benefit processes in small amounts.
We kill our fellow humans in my dogs appreciate during walks. From Eric Kvaalen, In addition, all chemicals are
wars and our self-centred attitudes Les Essarts-le-Roi, France both dangerous and safe. It is how
have eliminated many other Paul Whiteley says seeding the they are used that determines
Getting to the bottom of
species. Positive human traits ocean with iron will simply allow which predominates. At one
are countered by the infiltration race-based medical issues fossil fuel companies to keep their extreme, you can drown in any
of greed and crime throughout 17 July, p 16 business models and politicians liquid and all heavy objects are
society. We are already well on From Richard Mellish, London, UK to avoid decisions. I’m not really made of chemicals that can kill
the way to creating a planet that You report that race-based in favour of such seeding, but even you if they fall on you. At the other
is largely unfit for us to live on. adjustments to diagnostic criteria if we do drastically reduce our use end of the spectrum, even the most
Should we really seek to transfer reflect bad science and should be of fossil fuels, we will still have deadly chemicals can be made,
these attitudes more widely? handled, used and destroyed
safely using appropriate methods.
From Ben Craven, Edinburgh, UK Want to get in touch? It isn’t the chemicals
Mason describes ambitious plans Send letters to letters@newscientist.com; themselves that are unsafe, it
to ensure the long-term survival see terms at newscientist.com/letters is the way that we decide to use
of humans. But to whom (or to Letters sent to New Scientist, Northcliffe House, and handle them that decides
what) does it matter if we become 2 Derry Street, London W8 5TT will be delayed the helpful or harmful impact. ❚
!
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A new
energy world
MARCIN WOLSKI
The world is warming, and we know why. We also know how to stop it. To stave
off the worst effects, we must wean ourselves off greenhouse gas-producing
fossil fuels – and fast, hitting “net zero” carbon emissions by mid-century.
T
URN on the nearest switch. You won’t Wind and solar supply less than 4 per cent
notice anything different; that is of global energy.
kind of the point. Yet in many places, Meanwhile, global energy demand has been
there is a better chance than ever that the growing steadily, from 40,000 terawatt-hours
electricity coming out of the socket was (TWh) in 1965 to 160,000 TWh today. Installed
generated by clean, renewable sources renewables capacity isn’t growing fast enough
such as solar panels and wind turbines. to cover this rising demand (see “Energy:
That is progress, of a sort. In most countries, A status report”, page 38).
however, most electricity still comes from
climate-polluting, fossil-fuel sources. Your
heating, too, almost undoubtedly uses fossil Fourfold challenge
fuels, as does your car, if you have one. Most Yet there are grounds for optimism. Not
goods you buy require fossil fuels to make that long ago, many people doubted whether
them and transport them to the shop or to wind and solar power could ever supply a
your front door. And if this is the world you sizeable amount of energy at a reasonable
live in, you are a lucky one: access to affordable, cost. No longer. “It’s clear that renewables
reliable, convenient energy of any sort is far have massively outperformed most people’s
from a given in many parts of the globe. expectations and continue to do so on a
That is the background for an energy regular basis,” says Simon Evans at Carbon
revolution that needs to happen over the next Brief, a UK website specialising in climate
three decades if we are to hit net-zero carbon analysis. “We are getting closer to the point
emissions, and limit global warming to a where renewables are going to genuinely
“safe” 1.5˚C. “The scale and speed of the efforts cut into fossil fuels.”
demanded by this critical and formidable The transition to a net-zero energy system
goal make this perhaps the greatest challenge requires four things to happen. First, electricity
humankind has ever faced,” said Fatih Birol, generation needs to switch to renewables,
the head of the International Energy Agency replacing all that is generated using fossil fuels.
(IEA), in May, as he unveiled the agency’s Second, everything that can run on electricity,
landmark report Net Zero By 2050. must: cars, trains, heating systems and
That report contained few surprises industrial processes such as making steel.
about what we need to do. The big two Third, we need to find truly sustainable ways
questions remaining are whether we will to power planes, ships and sectors that cannot
actually do it, and what sort of world we be easily electrified, for instance by removing
end up making in the process. carbon directly from the atmosphere and
Stories about renewable energy’s rise can using renewable power to turn it into fuel.
make it seem as if we were already doing All this will require a lot more electricity.
brilliantly at boosting its use. Not so, sadly. The Net Zero By 2050 report envisages global
Back in the 1960s, 6 per cent of global energy electricity generation rising from what it is
came from low-carbon sources, mainly nuclear currently, 27,000 TWh a year, representing a
energy. By 1994, this was 14 per cent, but since sixth of all the energy we consume, to more
then, growth has largely stalled. In 2019, the than 50,000 TWh by 2050, representing nearly
last year for which we have good figures, fossil half. For that to compute, a fourth thing needs
fuels supplied 84 per cent of the world’s total to happen: a huge increase in energy efficiency
energy, once “traditional” biomass – wood (see “Efficiency’s the word”, page 41).
used for cooking and so on – is excluded. Of Some countries have made strides with
the remaining 16 per cent, hydroelectricity the first challenge. In the UK, for instance,
supplied 6 per cent, with nuclear on 4 per cent. the proportion of low-carbon electricity >
has soared from a fifth to over half in the past z No new coal plants without emissions Oxford. Thanks to huge efficiency
decade, thanks largely to growing wind power capture approved for development from 2021 improvements and falling prices, it is a
capacity. But globally, a decline in nuclear z No new oil and gas fields approved
different story with wind turbines and solar
power means that the proportion of electricity for development, and no new coal mines panels, which can be mass-produced and
derived from low-carbon sources in 2019, or mine extensions positioned where needed. “Photovoltaic
37 per cent, has hardly budged since the 1980s. panels have improved out of all recognition,
Nuclear energy could play a big part in z No new sales of oil or coal boilers by 2025 but a nuclear power station looks much the
replacing fossil fuels, but the costs, long same,” says Eyre. The IEA anticipates wind
construction times and lack of public and and solar alone supplying nearly half of global
political support in many countries – not MILESTONES TO NET ZERO electricity by 2050, with a third coming from
helped by the 2011 Fukushima disaster in By 2030 nuclear, hydropower and other renewables,
Japan – mean it isn’t likely to. The IEA envisages and fossil fuels supplying just a fifth.
z Universal energy access extended to
only a 25 per cent rise in nuclear power capacity More might be possible. Not everyone
all lower-income countries
by 2030, driven mainly by new plants in China thinks that 100 per cent renewables generation
and extensions to the operational lives of z The use of coal without emissions capture is achievable, but many agree that we can
existing plants. Meanwhile, nuclear fusion phased out in advanced economies get much closer to it than we once thought.
reactors, which aim to mimic the sun’s power- “Over time, the perceived limit has gone
z 60 per cent of global car sales are
generation processes, are still decades from up and up,” says Evans.
playing any practical part – if they ever will. of electric vehicles The main stumbling block is the seasonal
In general, technologies such as nuclear z All new buildings zero-carbon ready
variability of wind and solar power. Batteries
and tidal energy that involve massive, hugely are great for storing power and smoothing out
expensive projects probably won’t play a big z Most new clean technologies variations over hours or days, says Jenny Chase,
part in the energy transition, says energy required to decarbonise heavy industry head of solar analysis at BloombergNEF, but
researcher Nick Eyre at the University of demonstrated at scale sometimes there is no wind and little sun
for weeks. “Building a battery for that would
be incredibly expensive,” she says.
If people switch to electricity for heating,
Nuclear plants, there will also be much bigger surges in
such as here electricity demand during cold snaps. Grids
in Cofrentes, must be designed to avoid incidents like the
Spain, are set power crisis in Texas this past February, when
to have only a widespread outages led to shortages of water,
minimal future food and heat, and to the deaths of at least
energy role 150 people. Some politicians blamed this on
renewables, but it was, in fact, due to gas plants
failing to cope with freezing conditions.
There are ways round the seasonal
variability problem. One is to maintain or
build more nuclear and hydropower plants to
supply “baseline” power. Another is to create
continent-wide supergrids: the sun is always
shining or the wind blowing somewhere.
Conventional alternating current power lines
lose a lot of energy over large distances, but
hooking up distant regions using high-voltage
direct current lines greatly reduces these
losses. The longest of these lines to date,
TOMKA/ALAMY
Wind
Paris climate agreement, Solar
120,000 Hydropower 1.0%
we must replace fossil fuels Nuclear
Wind
with practically inexhaustible, 2.0%
100,000
clean, renewable alternatives, Gas
Hydropower
primarily derived from sun, 6.1%
Oil
wind and water. The aim 80,000
Nuclear
is to hit net-zero carbon 4.0%
emissions – pumping no more 60,000 Gas
carbon dioxide into the Earth 22.6%
system than it can absorb – Oil
40,000
30.9%
by mid-century.
Coal Coal
A lot of changes will be
20,000 25.3%
needed before we get there.
Traditional
Our demand for energy Traditional biomass
0 biomass
is still rising year-on-year. 6.4%
Discounting the burning of 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2019
traditional biomass such as SOURCE: OUR WORLD IN DATA BASED ON BP STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY AND HISTORICAL DATA FROM V. SMIL ENERGY TRANSITIONS: GLOBAL AND NATIONAL PERSPECTIVES
wood, fossil fuels cover almost
85 per cent of “primary”
energy demand, namely
energy in its raw form, before Energy use from all sources except for coal increased in 2019, and more of that
conversion into heat, electricity extra consumption was covered by fossil fuels than by renewable energy sources
or transport fuels. Of the big
three fossil fuels – coal, oil
Total fossil fuels (gas, oil & coal)
and gas – only demand for
coal is falling. More of the Gas
Solar
Hydropower
Other renewables
Nuclear
into three main sectors, each accounting for energy and 8.3%
roughly a third of energy demand. 33% traditional biomass Renewable
electricity
First, there is the energy used in the buildings of final energy
in which we live, work and spend our leisure time.
demand 13.6% 1.4%
Modern Solar and
About 77 per cent of this goes on heating (and to renewables geothermal heat
a lesser extent cooling). Just 10 per cent of that
energy comes from modern renewable sources,
which excludes things such as biomass and Over 85 per cent of energy used in industrial and agricultural processes is non-renewable
wood used for heating. The remaining 23 per
cent of buildings-related energy use is electricity
INDUSTRY &
for lighting and appliances. Modern renewables
supply about 26 per cent of that, with this Industry
AGRICULTURE 85.5%
Non-renewable
7.2%
Modern
accounts for bio-heat
energy
proportion rising rapidly year-on-year.
The second broad sector is industry and 35% 7.1%
Renewable
of final energy electricity
agriculture. About 75 per cent of energy used demand
here is for heat, for example in making steam 14.5% 0.1%
Renewable Solar and
to power industrial processes and for drying and energy geothermal heat
refrigeration; the rest is for electricity for purposes
such as operating machinery and lighting. Some
of the most energy-intensive industries, for Transport is the worst-offending sector, with almost 97 per cent
instance making steel and cement, have the of all demand covered by oil and petroleum-based products
lowest shares of renewable energy. Paper-
making, meanwhile, covers 46 per cent of
TRANSPORT
its energy needs with renewable energy.
Transport
96.7%
Non-renewable
In the third sector, transport, fossil fuels – accounts for energy
chiefly oil – account for almost 97 per cent of all 3.0%
demand, principally to fuel cars and aeroplanes. 32% Biofuels
of final energy
Encouraging walking and cycling rather than demand
car use can help, as can replacing petrol and 3.3% 0.3%
diesel cars with electric vehicles, and using Renewable Renewable
energy
electricity
biofuels and hydrogen as alternative fuels –
if these can be made greener. SOURCE: RENEWABLES 2020 GLOBAL STATUS REPORT BASED ON IEA DATA
Energy use per capita varies widely by country, as does where that energy comes from
WHO IS USING
WHAT ENERGY?
Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydropower Wind Solar Other renewables
Low-carbon: 36.7%
Solar 2.5%
capacity, especially of solar panels, has
Wind Solar
boomed in recent years – but so has 2.7%
demand for electricity, meaning fossil Hydropower Wind
75%
of net additions
”RENEWABLES Renewables do at least now account for the in 2019 were
renewables
HAVE BOOMED, majority of all new electricity generating capacity
0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
35
Coal 120
Added electricity generating capacity (gigawatts)
30
100
25
Gas 80
20
Hydropower 60
15
40
10 Nuclear
Wind 20
5 Oil
Solar
0 Other 0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 renewables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
SOURCE: OUR WORLD IN DATA BASED ON BP STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY SOURCE: RENEWABLES 2020 GLOBAL STATUS REPORT
“The energy density of batteries is just really, to fossil fuels, though airplanes
really low,” says Andreas Goldthau at the are going to be a massive headache
University of Erfurt in Germany. and I think the last man standing is
So we are still probably going to need liquid the plastics industry,” he says.
fuels. The aviation industry thinks biofuels are Natural gas, now used extensively
a big part of the answer, but this cure could be for domestic cooking and heating,
worse than the disease. Biofuels can increase electricity generation and in heavy
poverty by pushing up food prices, and harm industry, will follow the same
biodiversity by boosting demand for farmland, declining trajectory as oil, albeit with
driving deforestation. Accounting for such a timeline that keeps it in the mix for
knock-on effects, many biofuels actually even longer. According to the IEA
produce more CO2 than conventional fuels:
’We face a
Herculean task’
because climate change is a big factor,”
says Afful-Dadzie. “But it’s very difficult.”
It is in everyone’s interests to speed the
The world invested about $280 billion in transition to cleaner energy sources,
renewables in 2019, yet nearly 90 per cent of
that was spent in the group of higher-income
International Energy Agency chief
countries known as the OECD, along with Fatih Birol tells Adam Vaughan
China, India and Brazil, says Goldthau.
As part of international climate agreements,
high-income countries are supposed to be
providing $100 billion a year to help other
nations cut emissions and adapt to climate
change. But this target isn’t being met, and Adam Vaughan: How do we need How far off-track are we?
campaigners say much of the money that to change the world’s energy We are not only off-track, the
has been pledged is coming from existing aid systems to reach net-zero gap is widening and widening.
budgets. At the COP26 climate summit in the emissions by 2050? With the rebound of the [global]
UK in November, they want countries to agree Fatih Birol: Between now and economy, we expect an increase
to count only additional money. The energy 2030, we have to make the most of about 1.5 billion tonnes
transition will require close cooperation of the existing clean energy of carbon dioxide emissions
between countries to share technology, align technologies: solar, wind, electric this year, which would be the
policies and provide financial assistance where cars, energy efficiency. But this second largest increase in history.
needed, for example to allow lower-income alone is not enough. To use Most [emissions reduction]
countries to “leapfrog” to clean energy renewables at a maximum level, pledges are lacking what specific
technologies (see page 23). It is far from a in an economically efficient energy policies will be put in
given that this will happen – other, less way, requires more than having place, and how those policies
happy geopolitical scenarios are very much solar photovoltaic panels and will be financed.
imaginable (see “Four energy futures”, page 36). windmills. We need strong and It will be much more difficult
A world powered mainly by renewables is distributed grids and storage – and much more costly if we do not
certainly going to be a very different place. in batteries, hydrogen and start to abate emissions as soon
In many ways, it should be better: cleaner hydropower. as possible. For me, the biggest
and healthier, and with far less air pollution. I think there is not enough challenge is coal in Asia. China,
But we must get there first, and that isn’t just a attention on the second part. India and Indonesia are altogether
technological challenge. “Our pathway requires It is a major handicap of our almost 45 per cent of the global
vast amounts of investment, innovation, push for renewable energies. population, and more than 60 per
skilful policy design and implementation, Some 50 per cent of the cent of their electricity comes
technology deployment, infrastructure reductions to reach net zero in from coal. How to retire those
building, international cooperation and 2050 will need to come from coal plants will be key.
efforts across many other areas,” as the IEA technologies not on the market
road map towards net zero puts it. today. We have a very short period What progress has there been
“We’ve seen exceptional levels of wind to innovate those technologies, on ending coal?
and solar expansion, and they are getting such as hydrogen, batteries It’s going in the wrong direction.
closer to cutting into fossil fuels,” says Evans. and carbon capture, utilisation Even in the US, coal consumption
But even that falls way, way short of what and storage. We will also need is growing. Of course, this will
we need. Making the new energy world clean-energy technologies in the change in the months and years to
reality is going to take all we’ve got. ❚ industrial sector, from cement come. Germany, for example, has
to steel. [Use of] unabated coal, oil decided to phase out its coal plants
and gas will need to be extremely by 2038. But the share of coal there
Michael Le Page is a biology minimal. This is a major point. is very small compared to those
and environment reporter A total transformation of the other countries where coal is a
at New Scientist energy system is needed, key source of employment. So the
a Herculean task. challenge is big.
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Puzzles Almost the last word Tom Gauld for Feedback Twisteddoodles
Try our crossword, Why are bird New Scientist First AI patent and for New Scientist
quick quiz and droppings mostly A cartoonist’s take smoking dogs: the Picturing the lighter
logic puzzle p52 white? p54 on the world p55 week in weird p56 side of life p56
Stargazing at home
zone
2 The three zones of the adrenal cortex are the
zona glomerulosa, zona fasciculata and what?
Answers on page 55
Puzzle
set by Alison Kiddle
#125 Digital printing
Answers and
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crossword next week
ACROSS DOWN
52 53
1 Danger of search losing beginner (4) 1 One likes to coo and wander around
3 Tom cries uncontrollably in bad weather (3,5) dock carelessly (4,4)
9 Type of muscle doctor finally cut out 2 Fish caught by Chris Pratt (5)
of physicist behind vehicle (7) 4 See 8 Down
10 Dour bankers hiding in the city (5) 5 They Might Be Giants have money Kevin has just finished restoring his
11 One of the Red Hot Chili Peppers sent to support son (5) great-grandfather Henry’s antique printing
back boy holding computers (5) 6 Former chancellor supported mapping press. Henry didn’t leave behind any letters
12 Demands rodents and primates, agency at the start (7) of the alphabet, but he did leave behind
for example? (6) 7 Super Furry Animals are fashionable digits: a huge supply of “ones” and,
14 Narcissism shown by Five using bad in Milton Keynes (4) curiously, exactly 21 of every other digit
language with professor absent (6) 8/4 Deep Purple singer is flower mad (6,6) (so 21 zeroes, 21 twos and so on).
16 A-ha take time out to regret change 13 Band leader helps musicians (8)
of direction (6) 15 Particle found in utero, strangely, surrounded Kevin has decided to use the printer to
19 Sounds made by Bill from the Charlatans (6) by nitrogen (7) create a notebook with numbered pages
21 Nirvana’s Lithium covered by Beautiful South 17 Bunches of flowers excited blues man first (6) which he will use to write up the story of
and Santana, initially (5) 18 Figs not grown evenly in regular shape (6) his restoration project.
24 Youngster right to get into soft rock (5) 20 State that mollusc absorbs iodine (5)
25 Eels return to promote last single at 22 One sick mule showing some guts (5) Kevin has decided how many pages he
Royal Society (7) 23 Singer wails too regularly (4) wants in the notebook. Not realising that
26 Cream make reservation without software (8) he could reuse digits, he is going to create
27 Muse on tour – they have long legs a separate plate for every page, and he
in Australia (4) has worked out that he will need 38
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ANNA ZISK/ALAMY
Turning point
orifice for excretion, urination,
egg-laying and mating – where Do all planets rotate? If so, why?
the faecal waste also empties.
This means bird droppings Hillary Shaw
are a mix of faeces and uric acid. This week’s new questions Newport, Shropshire, UK
However, the faeces tend to be It depends on what you mean by
produced first, then capped with Roll with it Why does my dog enjoy rolling in smelly rotate. A planet in a locked orbit
the uric acid. Depending on diet, fox or bird faeces? Shelagh Akbulut, Bristol, UK to its star doesn’t rotate with
the amounts of each vary. It is reference to its star; it rotates once
easy to see this in domestic fowl Green tongue Some people believe that talking (in essence its day) in the same
where the bulk of the droppings or singing to plants helps them to grow better period as its year (orbital period)
is usually a khaki fibrous mass and produce more fruit. Is there any truth in this? from an external viewpoint.
capped with a dollop of the white Samira Bendjedidi, Reading, Berkshire, UK To get a planet that doesn’t
uric acid. rotate in respect to the rest of the
universe is far harder. It would
“If garden birds distance the island called Bass the urine, in the form of water- have to rotate in the opposite
have been eating my Rock, which is currently brilliant soluble urea, together with 0.5 to direction to its star orbit with a day
white from all the gannet 2.5 litres of water per day. We can’t period exactly equal to its year.
blackcurrants or other droppings. These animals have get away with less than 0.5 litres, We have two counterrotating
red fruit, I can testify a very protein-rich fish diet and as that would make the urea too planets in our own solar system,
that the droppings can produce large deposits of uric acid. concentrated. This means we but what then are the chances
be colour appropriate” The reason that birds produce this need to drink plenty of water. of the planet’s day being exactly
substance is that they evolved to Birds can cut the amount of equal to its year? There are a lot of
Guy Cox hatch in a hard-shelled egg and water they need because they planets in the universe, so maybe
Sydney, New South Wales, Australia so need to have a protein waste excrete excess nitrogen as water- one fits this bill.
The white stuff is pee, not faeces. breakdown product that is insoluble white uric acid, so don’t With such long days and nights,
Birds produce uric acid – which unable to reach and cause need to urinate lots of water. temperature extremes probably
is white and insoluble, rather damage to the embryo. Animals that don’t have to preclude life on such a planet, but
than the soluble urea we excrete – However, if garden birds have worry about finding enough it would be fun to speculate on
as a water-saving measure to been eating my blackcurrants water, such as fish, can excrete what astronomy any inhabitants
keep body weight lower. The or any other red fruit, I can their excess nitrogen in the form might develop, with a sun (and
faecal matter is the dark part testify that the droppings of a very simple water-soluble other planets) that move very
of the dropping. can be colour appropriate. molecule, ammonia (NH3), diluted slowly across their sky while
Mind you, the whole mess into a huge volume of water the stars at night are stationary.
goes pretty purple if you live Stephen Fry because it is so toxic.
close to a fruiting mulberry tree. The University of Edinburgh, UK The use of these three different Mike Follows
Humans vent the nitrogen from ways of getting rid of nitrogenous Sutton Coldfield,
Ian Dunn the excess protein in their diet via waste varies according to water West Midlands, UK
Edinburgh, UK Planets normally spin but, given
The whiteness of a bird dropping Want to send us a question or answer? that the universe contains billions
is related in part to the amount Email us at lastword@newscientist.com of stars, a few must stop spinning.
of protein the bird has eaten. Questions should be about everyday science phenomena A star or solar system is formed
As I write this, I can see in the Full terms and conditions at newscientist.com/lw-terms from a collapsing cloud of gas. In
E W RE
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