Professional Documents
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UNIVERSE IS A
PHYSICS HEADACHE
SOLAR STORMS MAY
CAUSE HEART ATTACKS
MARTIAN METEORITE
REWRITES RED
PLANET HISTORY
WEEKLY 25 June 2022
The future of
cancer treatment
is here – and
it’s personal
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Beyond chemo
Cancer vaccines could usher therapies into a new era
THE first cancer treatments were brutal: recognise unique markers on their cancer, causes almost no side effects because of
in 3000 BC, Ancient Egyptians started so that it can then launch a targeted attack. its precise targeting of tumours.
removing breast tumours by burning These vaccines have only been tested in Of course, making a unique vaccine for
them off with a tool they called a “fire small clinical trials so far, but the results each person is costly and time-consuming.
drill”. Even when chemotherapy arrived have been astonishing (see page 38). One But if this continues to have spectacular
in the 1940s, it was essentially poison of the first people to try one described how results, there will be a strong appetite to
that attacked cancer cells and the body his lung tumours – which had been so big drive down cost and manufacturing time.
alike, resulting in terrible side effects. Before becoming household names in
Fortunately, we are now entering an “This approach causes almost 2020 for developing covid-19 vaccines,
era of “precision medicine” in which no side effects because of its BioNTech in Germany and Moderna in the
cancer treatments can be tailor-made precise targeting of tumours” US were two of the first companies to begin
for individuals so they get the best working on personalised cancer vaccines.
responses with the fewest side effects. they were protruding out of his back – They are now pumping the profits earned
One approach being tested involves the began shrinking before his very eyes. from their coronavirus jabs into larger
use of “personalised vaccines”. We tend He is now completely cancer-free. clinical trials of cancer vaccines, so we
to think of vaccines as a means to prevent Even some infamously hard-to-treat can find out for sure if they work.
disease, like covid-19, but they can also cancers, such as those of the brain and This suggests there could be a silver
be used therapeutically. Personalised pancreas, have been eliminated in some lining to the pandemic – it may have sped
vaccines are made on a custom basis and cases using personalised vaccines. One up a revolution in cancer care, with not
train an individual’s immune system to of the main benefits is that this approach an Ancient Egyptian fire drill in sight. ❚
ONLINE EVENT
PSYCHEDELICS AND
MENTAL HEALTH
YOUR QUESTIONS ANSWERED
28 June 6-7pm BST and on-demand
There is a lot of excitement about the potential role PANEL INCLUDES:
psychedelics could play in treating mental health conditions,
Chen Ly
including depression, PTSD and addiction. Interesting New Scientist social
results in a growing number of clinical trials and in rigorous media manager
Food miles matter less than you might think Despite what
a new study seems to suggest, eating locally isn’t the best way
to lower your carbon footprint, says Michael Le Page
Patrick Holden at the EAT locally to reduce food miles Previous studies have found 24 kg. The figure for bananas
Sustainable Food Trust – who and your carbon footprint. That is that the emissions from food is just 0.9 kg, and for apples it
favours less intensive farming the message promoted by some miles – the distance that food is even less: 0.4 kg.
than the UK has today, with less environmentalists and businesses, has to be transported from where What’s more, even with the
use of nitrogen-based fertilisers – but it has long been clear that it is produced to where it is eaten, same food types, local isn’t always
champions maintaining beef often this isn’t true – foods that measured in kilometres travelled better. For instance, if you live in a
and lamb production at roughly travel thousands of kilometres multiplied by the tonnage – are nation with a cooler climate where
today’s levels. However, a report can have a lower carbon footprint tiny compared with those from tomatoes can be grown only using
by the trust on a vision of than local produce. growing that food. heated greenhouses, these local
sustainable farming sees chicken At least, that is what many Emissions can be calculated tomatoes will typically have a
and pork consumption fall by studies have found. But research based on how the food is higher carbon footprint than those
three-quarters, to reduce the published last week claimed that transported – by air or by sea, shipped in from a warmer country
land needed for growing grain global food miles account for for instance. A 2008 study of US where no heating is needed.
to feed the animals. 20 per cent of food-related diets by researchers at Carnegie The latest study doesn’t
What is missing, says Benton, emissions – a much higher Mellon University in Pennsylvania overturn any of this. The main
is a mechanism to bring about proportion than reported in earlier concluded that transporting food reason why it concludes that
such extreme diet change. Batters work (Nature Food, doi.org/h2gm). from farms to shops produces food miles account for such a
has similar thoughts: “I think the So, do food miles matter more just 4 per cent of food-related high proportion of food-related
challenge is, fundamentally, we than we thought? Spoiler: no, emissions, while a 2018 study of emissions is that the 20 per cent
have to produce what consumers they don’t. European diets put it at 6 per cent.
want to buy.” The production of the food What this means is that if “What you eat has
What any land use framework we eat is responsible for more you want to reduce the carbon a bigger impact on
will have to account for is that not than a third of global greenhouse footprint of your diet, you should emissions than the
all farmland is created equally gas emissions, so reducing focus on buying foods with lower distance it has travelled”
in the UK. About 57 per cent of food-related emissions is crucial overall carbon footprints rather
food produced in the UK comes to limiting further global heating. than those that don’t have to figure includes all the transport
from one-third of its farmland, The question is, what should travel far. This basically means involved, including that of
points out Richard Benyon, an consumers do to help reduce eating less meat and dairy. fertilisers and farm equipment,
environment minister. Marginal these emissions? For example, producing not just the transport of food.
uplands don’t produce as much 1 kilogram of beef can emit as “Our study looks at the entire
food as the rich soils mostly found Food isn’t necessarily much as 99 kg of carbon dioxide supply chain for food consumption,
in the east of England. Some green just because it or equivalents while making a and naturally non-food
farmers on marginal land may was grown locally kilogram of cheese emits up to commodities are part of it,” says
choose to quit – hundreds have team member Mengyu Li at the
already applied for a government- University of Sydney in Australia.
run “lump sum exit scheme” since It is worthwhile to estimate
it launched in February – while this, but the team should use a
others on high-grade land may term other than “food miles” to
farm more intensively in future. avoid confusion, says Hannah
“It’s perfectly possible to Ritchie at the University of Oxford,
maintain our food security who is head of research at Our
and even increase it whilst being World in Data.
more ecological, [and] being more If the standard definition were
understanding of the needs of applied to the numbers in the
farming to get to net zero,” says study, food miles would account
MIKE KEMP/IN PICTURES VIA GETTY IMAGES
PEOPLE infected with the The research group included The researchers didn’t ONE of the few routes ships can take
omicron coronavirus variant about 56,000 people who assess whether there was any through the icy waters of the Arctic
are less than half as likely to were infected during the UK’s difference in long covid severity is controlled by Russia. However, by
develop long covid, defined omicron wave, peaking in between the two groups. the middle of this century, melting
as symptoms lasting at least January this year, and about According to Steves, the sea ice could open a new path.
four weeks post-infection, as 41,000 people who tested finding isn’t unexpected. Other The Northern Sea Route extends
those infected with the delta positive last year when delta research has shown that severe from the Kara Sea to the Bering
variant, according to an was the dominant variant. covid-19 is more likely to lead Strait, hugging much of Russia’s
analysis of users of a UK To be included in the study, to long-lasting symptoms and 24,000-kilometre Arctic coastline.
symptom-tracking app. the participants had to be the omicron variant has been Traffic along the route is modest:
Nevertheless, the UK’s reporting their health status on causing milder illness than its total Arctic shipping last year was
omicron wave is still likely to predecessors, she says. equivalent to a day or two of traffic
increase the total number of
people with long-lasting health
problems, given that the more
10.8%
The prevalence of long covid
“Acute symptoms are strongly
related to the risk of going on to
get long covid. But we also know
through the Suez Canal. But melting
ice caused by a warmer climate
could open up polar routes that
transmissible variant has among those who had delta that people not hospitalised can are half the length of current ones.
caused so many infections, go on to have a very long and One impediment to more
says Claire Steves at King’s the app at least once a week and debilitating disease.” international shipping through
College London. for a minimum of four weeks The results contradict the Northern Sea Route are fees
“It’s important for people after their positive test. those from another UK study, that Russia can charge because
to know that it’s still possible to All the participants had run by the Office for National the United Nations Convention on
get long covid,” she says. “There received at least one covid-19 Statistics (ONS). In May, the the Law of the Sea gives countries
are still a very large number of vaccine and had no history ONS released data showing jurisdiction over ice-covered
people being affected.” of a SARS-CoV-2 infection that in people who had received waters within 200 nautical miles
Steves’s team used data pre-vaccination. three covid-19 vaccines, about (300 kilometres) of their coast.
from the long-running ZOE Of those who were infected 8 per cent developed long Amanda Lynch at Brown
COVID app study, which asks when omicron was dominant, covid following infection with University and Charles Norchi at the
people to enter information about 4.5 per cent went on to the coronavirus – this time University of Maine have modelled
on their health and any positive have symptoms lasting more defined as symptoms lasting how various climate change
covid-19 tests. than four weeks, compared with four to eight weeks – regardless scenarios would alter the jurisdiction
10.8 per cent of the participants of whether they caught delta or for Arctic shipping routes. Under all
Free covid-19 tests who were infected when delta the BA.1 omicron subvariant. but the most well-controlled
being handed out in was dominant (The Lancet, The risk was slightly emission scenarios, they found that
London last December doi.org/h2d2). higher in people with the BA.2 melting ice would open a route
subvariant, at about 9 per cent. through international waters above
The ZOE study mainly the Northern Sea Route for at least a
included people who caught month a year, starting between
BA.1, as it only analysed people 2035 and 2065 depending on the
who had been infected up scenario (PNAS, DOI: 10.1073/
to 10 February, before other pnas.2202720119).
omicron subvariants emerged. Ships taking this route wouldn’t
Hannah Davis at the Patient- be subject to Russia’s fees, and
Led Research Collaborative, the route would also be navigable
an international group of without the help of icebreakers.
medical researchers who However, the Russian invasion of
themselves have long covid, Ukraine has “dramatically changed”
TOLGA AKMEN/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
points out that the ZOE study every Arctic institution, says Norchi.
and the ONS research defined In March, seven of eight countries
long covid differently. suspended their participation in the
The ZOE study’s four-week Russian-chaired Arctic Council, the
cut-off may miss some people group of Arctic nations that promotes
who develop new symptoms cooperation in the region, so how
after that time, she says. ❚ things will play out is uncertain. ❚
*
ONLINE EVENT
BEING HUMAN SERIES
OF CHILDHOOD A HUMAN
Thursday 8 Sept 2022
6-7pm BST | 1-2pm EDT
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Thursday 7 July 2022,
6 -7pm BST, 1-2pm EDT and on demand SVERKER
JOHANSSON
THE DAWN
Compared to the rest of our primate OF LANGUAGE
relatives, humans have a uniquely long childhood. Available on demand
From picking a mate to having a baby – and raising
ANNA
it to make more babies – what are the evolutionary MACHIN
pressures that made us this way? When did we WHY WE LOVE
choose pair-bonding, why is pregnancy so Available on demand
dangerous, how did we evolve dads, and what is
so suspicious about grandmas? More importantly,
what have we evolved to use all this extra childhood
for? Join anthropologist and archaeologist Brenna
Hassett to hear the answers to these questions
and many more.
How can we prevent AI from being racist, sexist and offensive? Artificial
intelligences continue to display the same biases and prejudices as humans,
but there are ways we can improve the situation, says Matthew Sparkes
ACTIVITY on the sun that disrupts they estimate that an additional heart rate variability, a sign it makes sense that it could
Earth’s magnetic field may cause 5500 people in the US died their hearts were stressed, affect our health in various
up to 5500 heart-related deaths of heart attacks or other when solar storms had disrupted ways,” she says.
in the US in some years. cardiovascular complications. Earth’s magnetic field in the past Other species appear to be
Our star goes through cycles of To better understand why this 24 hours. This association was affected by solar storms, too, with
high and low activity that repeat might happen, Zilli Vieira and her particularly strong for men with impacts on behaviour, such as
approximately every 11 years. team analysed electrocardiograms diagnosed heart disease. whale strandings becoming more
During periods of high activity, (ECGs) – tests that monitor the Solar storms shift Earth’s common and homing pigeons
it blasts out charged particles heart’s electrical activity – from magnetic field, disrupting normal taking longer to navigate to their
and magnetised plasma that more than 800 men in the US. circadian rhythms, also known destinations during these events.
can distort Earth’s magnetic field. They discovered the men were as our body clocks. These play an Referring to the results of
These so-called solar storms can more likely to display reduced important role in regulating our the study, Arnagretta Hunter
cause glitches in our power grids heart rate, says Zilli Vieira. at the Australian National
and bring down Earth-orbiting The sun sees high “If you think about how the University in Canberra says:
satellites. A handful of studies activity, or solar storms, sun makes up over 99 per cent “It sounds left field, but they
have also hinted that they increase about every 11 years of the mass of our solar system, have done a robust analysis.
the risk of heart attacks, but these When we think of cardiovascular
were too small to be conclusive. risk factors, we tend to think of
To explore further, Carolina Zilli things like high blood pressure,
Vieira at Harvard University and diabetes and smoking, but this
her colleagues analysed records suggests we need to pay more
of deaths between 1985 and 2013 in attention to the impacts of the
263 US cities. They then compared wider environment.”
heart-related fatalities with solar Zilli Vieira’s team is now trying
storm data and found that more to understand exactly how solar
heart disease deaths occurred activity affects the heart, with the
on days when solar storms had next big surge expected in 2025.
disturbed Earth’s magnetic “I do believe that people
field (Science of the Total should know about this and,
Environment, doi.org/h2dg). in the future, we can hopefully
NASA/SDO
Technology
Quantum because pairs of entangled photons are displaced and the measurements uses a laser interferometer. When
can measure more information than of this are converted to an electrical they played these samples to
microphone beats single particles can. Yet extracting signal corresponding to the sound. 45 people at progressively lower
a regular one the data is hard, because you must “When you use quantum light volumes, 71 per cent of the
measure many photons at once. with entangled photons, you can volunteers could understand the
A QUANTUM microphone can Now, Florian Kaiser at the measure these displacements a quantum-recorded words for longer
record human speech better than University of Stuttgart in Germany bit more precisely with a better (PRX Quantum, doi.org/h2dk).
its classical counterpart, and it could and his colleagues have designed signal-to-noise ratio,” says Kaiser. The higher cost of the quantum
also be adapted for high-resolution a quantum microphone that can He and his team recorded spoken microphone means it is unlikely
biological imaging. measure enough photons per five-word sentences in German to see practical use soon,
Standard microphones detect the second to handle human speech. using their microphone and a especially given how effective
vibrations from sound and convert The microphone consists of a laser classical microphone that also even cheap standard microphones
them to an equivalent electrical interferometer, which can detect are, but a similar technique could
signal. Quantum versions should small displacements of photons, “When you use quantum create a quantum microscope
be able to do the same thing, but attached to a mirrored membrane. light with entangled for high-resolution biological
create a clearer recording by taking When sound vibrates the photons, you get a better imaging, says Kaiser. ❚
advantage of entanglement. This is membrane, entangled photons signal-to-noise ratio” Alex Wilkins
ASTRONOMERS have spotted BITCOIN, the world’s most popular now 70 per cent below $200 billion,” he says. “People will
a bright flash from a huge space cryptocurrency, has shed $1 trillion its November 2021 peak, feel it. But also, it hasn’t just blown
rock slamming into Jupiter. This in value in two months as investors $58.1 million is believed that money. Bukele has alienated
impact flash, seen in October rush to sell amid fears that an asset to have been wiped out. the World Bank, the IMF and all the
2021, was the brightest one bubble is bursting. El Salvador’s minister of other people he needed to borrow
since comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 For El Salvador, which staked its finance Alejandro Zelaya told a the money from to pay his bills.”
hit the planet in 1994. economy on the success of bitcoin press conference on 13 June that As El Salvador’s bitcoin gamble
Impact flashes on other worlds when it became the first country to the risk of the bitcoin fund was fails, economists increasingly fear
are similar to meteorite strikes on make cryptocurrency legal tender “extremely minimal” and that that the nation is heading for a
Earth, but only the largest are visible in September 2021, the crash the country hasn’t lost anything default. Its credit rating has been
from afar. Observing how these has wiped out more than half of as it hasn’t yet sold its holdings. consistently downgraded since
events affect other planets can help its bitcoin holdings – and could it embraced bitcoin and its debt
us understand what will happen to
Earth’s atmosphere when similar-
sized meteorites hit our world.
be the death knell for its national
crypto experiment.
El Salvador has invested
70%
Drop in bitcoin’s value
payments are being bought
with a heavy price discount as
investors fear it can’t make
Ko Arimatsu at Kyoto heavily in creating and promoting since November 2021 them, Bloomberg reports.
University in Japan and his the bitcoin infrastructure that Prior to the latest price crash,
colleagues spotted the flash president Nayib Bukele said would “Forty-million dollars does not El Salvador’s national bitcoin
in 2021 using the Planetary help Salvadorans access banking, even represent 0.5 per cent of push was already failing. A study
Observation Camera for Optical save money on international our national general budget,” published in May found that most
Transient Surveys, a small telescope payments and boost the economy. said Zelaya. Salvadorans abandoned the
that is dedicated to looking for Yet most have shunned the But the drop in value is a vast national bitcoin wallet after
the light from impacts on Jupiter. cryptocurrency, preferring to sum in a low-income nation of receiving a sign-up bonus and
“All of the previous impacts continue using the US dollar. 6.5 million people with growing most who continue to use it
detected by ground-based The Central American debt and an economy less than a trade dollars, not cryptocurrency.
observations were achieved nation also spent an estimated hundredth of the size of the UK’s. The price crash could be the
by amateur astronomers,” says $105.6 million of taxpayers’ The Salvadoran government final nail in the coffin for bitcoin in
Arimatsu. “This is the first detection money on bitcoin in the hope that won’t publish its spending on El Salvador, says Oscar Salguero,
by a dedicated telescope.” its value would rise. Each time this bitcoin, but the cost of buying a software developer from San
The researchers found that the has dropped, Bukele has bought it, rolling out bitcoin ATMs and Salvador. “Now the price of bitcoin
collision released an amount of more, live-tweeting the purchases. developing software probably is coming down quickly, even less
energy equivalent to about 2 million With the cryptocurrency’s value amounts to at least $200 million, people will use it.”
tonnes of TNT, which indicates that says David Gerard, author of Salguero says the money lost
the space rock that hit Jupiter had A protest against the Attack of the 50 Foot Blockchain. on bitcoin should have been used
a mass of about 4000 tonnes bitcoin law in San “Blowing $200 million to address poverty or a series
(arxiv.org/abs/2206.01050). Salvador in 2021 would be like the US blowing of national crises. El Salvador is
The temperature of the flash currently mired in severe floods
was about 8000°C. An impact like and a draconian crackdown on
this on Earth could cause burning drug gangs that has left nearly
damage from the flash in addition 2 per cent of the country’s adult
to destruction from the collision, so population behind bars.
understanding the temperatures of Some Salvadorans have
impact flashes could help us know said that even if bitcoin’s value
what to expect should such a large continues to tumble, Bukele, an
object ever head our way. ex-marketer who has staked his
MARVIN RECINOS/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
Technology
Pollution from
rockets could affect
Younger children to try CRISPR
weather systems therapy for sickle cell disease
Jonathan O’Callaghan Michael Le Page
AS MORE and more rockets are CRISPR gene-editing trials “The results are a remarkable
launched into space, the pollution for treating sickle cell disease achievement for CRISPR
they emit could have a growing and beta thalassaemia are therapy,” says Gaetan Burgio
effect on Earth’s atmosphere. being extended to include at the Australian National
Many rockets today use kerosene, children aged under 12, after University. However, the full
which is burned with an oxidiser – the therapies proved successful details of the study do still
liquid oxygen – to produce thrust. in ongoing trials involving need to published, he says.
A by-product of this process is black people aged 12 to 35. The Some people with sickle
carbon, soot-like grains thrown out aim is to treat children early cell disease or beta thalassaemia
burning SpaceX Some people get few if the blood supply to tissues. could be gene-edited inside
Falcon 9 rocket any symptoms despite having These episodes can result in the body instead, says de la
launch one of the mutations that lasting damage and severe pain. Fuente. Such an “off-the-shelf”
normally causes these None of the 31 have had such solution would make the
conditions because their episodes since being treated treatment easier to deliver at
bodies keep producing fetal between two months and about scale, but this work is still at a
haemoglobin into adulthood. two-and-a-half years ago. very early stage. ❚
Technology
Global satellite map Satellite-based radar can be minutes”, says Jared Dunnmon operating without AIS switched on.
used to find ships without their AIS at the US Department of Defense’s “We have processed about
will help hunt down turned on, and in 2020 the Global Defense Innovation Unit, which six years’ worth of data,” says
illegal fishing vessels Fishing Watch (GFW) non-profit has been working with GFW. Kroodsma, and “are currently
group used satellite data to detect a GFW processed AIS data to get showing data from 2022.”
ABOUT 20 per cent of the global “dark fleet” fishing in North Korean known ship locations, then sifted The map allows viewers to
seafood catch is harvested illegally, waters. But it was only possible to through petabytes of information zoom in to see activity by incognito
but it might be possible to clamp focus on small areas. from the European Union’s two vessels across the globe. A vessel
down on that now an online map Now, more affordable processing Sentinel-1 radar satellites to extract not broadcasting its position isn’t
using satellite radar can spot where makes global oversight possible, the signatures of vessels in coastal necessarily engaged in illegal
boats are operating incognito. says David Kroodsma at GFW. waters. Comparing the two data activity, though, says Kroodsma.
Commercial-size vessels Instead of asking humans sets revealed where vessels are The map could help coordinate
must usually have Automatic to spend hours looking through efforts against illegal fishing and
Identification System (AIS) specific satellite images, “we can “We can use computer- tell law enforcement where to
transponders so they can be use computer-vision algorithms to vision algorithms to look patrol, says Steve Trent at the
tracked. However, fishing boats can look through every single satellite through every single Environmental Justice Foundation. ❚
hide by simply turning off their AIS. image we record in a matter of satellite image in minutes” David Hambling
used artificial intelligence to into a commercial genetic assay warm time of day. Or it could be
analyse results from a global to assess risk, a prototype would because the craft landed in an area
data set called the COVID-19 Host need to be tested further, says protected by Earth’s magnetic field
Genetics Initiative. They looked at Cooper-Knock. Such a test may be from the solar wind. This wind
which genetic variants were more less accurate if used on vaccinated contains hydrogen that can
common in about 5100 people people, as genetic susceptibility is become water when it meets
who died or needed respiratory less relevant if you have a vaccine, oxygen atoms on the moon’s
support because of covid-19, says James Davies at the University surface, a known source of
compared with about 1.4 million of Oxford. Clare Wilson lunar water. Leah Crane
had no impact on long-term To measure reputation, the market index at the time of the
stock market returns for BP, team built the alternative BP disaster. While the real firm’s share
compared with a simulation of out of a weighted average of price dipped dramatically in the
the firm in which the disaster 15 other brands, including Shell, two months after the spill, there
never happened. using rating perceptions from was no significant difference
It has been hard to quantify positive (+100) to neutral (0) to between it and the synthetic BP
Chewing catnip may some consequences for BP after negative (-100). The real BP either one to two years after the
be beneficial to cats the 2010 spill of 800 million litres dropped more than 50 points spill or two to seven years after
of oil into the Gulf of Mexico. That below its simulated version just (PLoS One, doi.org/gqb9b2). BP
Catnip contains a chemical is because of the lack of a control after the disaster compared with didn’t comment on the research.
that works as a natural against which to compare the the counterfactual version. Adam Vaughan
mosquito repellent, and by
chewing the plant’s leaves, Technology Biology
cats can increase emissions
of it 10-fold. The discovery
may help explain why cats Natural drug reduces
chew, but don’t swallow, eating in obese mice
the plant (Nepeta cataria).
However, it could also be AN ALTERED form of an amino
a coincidental benefit acid produced in both humans
(iScience, doi.org/gqb37p). and mice after exercise can help
obese mice lose weight by curbing
We may have found their appetite. It could lead to a
Black Death’s origin new treatment for obesity.
Lac-phe is produced when the
MA ET AL.,SCI.ROBOT.7,EABK2948
7– 9 O C TO B E R 2 0 2 2 | E XC E L LO N D O N A N D O N L I N E
The Universe Stage is where you can find answers to some of the most
fundamental questions in science, from the structure of matter to the
discovery of the Higgs boson. From quantum to the cosmos, you can expect
talks to expand the mind. Talks on this stage include:
P H YS I C S E X P E R I M E N T S T H AT C H A N G E D T H E W O R L D
SUZIE SHEEHY Visiting Lecturer in Particle Physics, University of Oxford
A N E W F O R C E O F N AT U R E AT T H E L H C ?
HARRY CLIFF Research Fellow, University of Cambridge
BLACK HOLES
JEFF FORSHAW Professor of Particle Physics, University of Manchester
newscientist.com/ns0710
Views
The columnist Aperture Letters Culture Culture columnist
Annalee Newitz on Jellyfish show their The idea of causal In pursuit of the Jacob Aron dives into
the techno meme beautiful side in a emergence fires the truth about our the creepy world of
that refuses to die p28 series of images p30 imagination p32 sense of smell p34 video game Silt p36
Comment
Polluted partnerships
Elite universities must urgently end their cosy relationships
with the fossil fuel industry, says Zak Coleman
U
NIVERSITIES like totally ignores its pre-existing
Cambridge enjoy a research partnerships focused on
special status in society. expanding fossil fuel extraction.
They are celebrated as bastions of Even if we swallow the line that
excellence, academic integrity and multibillion pound universities
independent research. They claim with enormous philanthropic
to be deeply committed to young fundraising capacity can’t find
people and their futures. funding alternatives, they can no
Ten months into my term as longer ignore the glaring conflicts
undergraduate president of the of interest inherent in partnering
Cambridge Students’ Union, I with fossil fuel companies for
believe my university is betraying research aimed at addressing a
these ideals. While its leadership climate crisis that those firms are
talks up climate action, the driving. It would be very difficult
university also maintains research to consider climate-related
and sponsorship partnerships research to be independent when
with fossil fuel giants that must bankrolled by organisations still
surely still be contributing to investing overwhelmingly in long-
climate catastrophe. term fossil fuel expansion. It is the
It may have announced in 2020 climate equivalent of tobacco
that it would divest its multibillion industry funding for public health
MICHELLE D’URBANO
A
COUPLE of weeks ago, I history, Quick’s words have educational materials. And the
stumbled across a strange been used and reused – even corporations were in on the joke,
video on YouTube called in the HyperEncabulator pitch allowing their brands to appear
“SANS ICS HyperEncabulator”. In I saw from 2022. In nearly every in these videos. Encabulator
it, a suave man in a suit explained retelling, we hear about avoiding movies were a humblebrag, a
this new “cybersecurity” machine, “side fumbling” and learn about way of showing off the company’s
gesturing at an impressive “prefabulated amulite”. Many of technological prowess without
refrigerator-sized device, hailing the film versions include Quick’s seeming too elitist.
its ability to be “sinosinclastic entire description, while adding It was inevitable that the
Annalee Newitz is a science without sacrificing both their own embellishments. encabulator joke would move into
journalist and author. Their normative reality and AI-informed The first known movie about the realm of computers. After all,
latest novel is The Future of modalities”. He then explained this astonishing device came in the computer industry currently
Another Timeline and they that a previous generation of this the late 1970s. According to film- reigns supreme when it comes to
are the co-host of the device, the retro-encabulator, was maker Dave Rondot, he and his highly technical but nonsensical
Hugo-nominated podcast made with “prefabulated amulite crew had just finished making claims about its products.
Our Opinions Are Correct. surmounted by a malleable some corporate films for GMC In 1997, electronics and software
You can follow them logarithmic casing”. Not so with Trucks in Detroit, Michigan, and company Rockwell Automation
@annaleen and their website the HyperEncabulator! Unlike were messing around in the studio created a “retro encabulator”
is techsploitation.com its predecessors, he said, the video. Noah Rosenberg, who
HyperEncabulator “operates “It was inevitable that worked at Rockwell at the time,
totally under the principle of the joke would move told me via Twitter that it was
colonic effluvium expulsion”. “the actor having fun, just blowing
into the realm of
I had to know more. After a few off steam”. The film itself, he said,
Annalee’s week searchulations and intertronular computers, full of was an “early example of a meme…
What I’m reading queries, I discovered that there highly technical but These things would get bootlegged
Spear, an action-packed is a rich history of encabulation. nonsensical claims” on physical media, people who
retelling of the Arthurian This technobabble satire actually had two VCRs would make you a
legend of Percival by started back in 1944, when a with voice-over actor Bud Haggert. copy… Back then if 100 people saw
Nicola Griffith. student named John Hellins Quick Haggert had made hundreds of something you made it was a hit.”
described a “turbo-encabulator” industrial instruction films and And the hit lives on. The SANS ICS
What I’m watching for the student journal of the was sick of reading technobabble, video I saw was a direct sequel
Brideshead Revisited, British Institution of Electrical so he asked if Rondot would film to Rockwell’s retro encabulator
because I needed to Engineers. Quick noted that the him reading a script about what video, even using the same actor.
understand the true “two spurving bearings were in he called the “turbo-encabulator”. What has fuelled this peculiar
meaning of sweater vests. a direct line with the pentametric The result was hilarious. He meme for almost 80 years? There
fan”. That was important because describes a weird device with is the obvious answer: engineers
What I’m working on “the latter consisted simply of “prefabulated amulite” that had have a pretty good sense of
An article about a lab in six hydrocoptic marzelvanes, the astonishing ability to avoid all humour about absurd technical
Oregon where engineers so fitted to the ambifacient lunar those pesky problems with “side language. But something else is
create tsunamis in giant waneshaft that side fumbling fumbling”. For nearly 2 minutes, being satirised too: the way that
water tanks. was effectively prevented”. he gestures at a drawing of what marketing often uses scientific-
His engineering in-joke went looks like some kind of fuel sounding phrases to trick people
viral – or at least the 1940s version injector, extolling the benefits into buying things they don’t
of viral – when a Time magazine of its ability to “automatically need – especially if we are worried
columnist referenced the turbo- synthesise cardinal grammeters” about side fumbling!
encabulator in a 1946 article about in a rich monotone. Not to be Most of the pitches I get for
new inventions. Amused readers outdone, Chrysler quickly NFTs and crypto-coins sound like
sent in letters building on the joke, created its own version. they are coated in prefabulated
enquiring about the “dingle arm” The people making these videos amulite. As long as we stay thirsty
and noting that “if the bearings weren’t engineers satirising for scammy tech that promises
This column appears are lubricated with warm smortch engineering papers, they were us the world but gives us empty
monthly. Up next week: they will not grunch”. communications specialists wallets instead, the encabulator
Beronda L. Montgomery Throughout the encabulator’s making fun of their corporate will never get old. ❚
4W
EEK
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RF
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Views Aperture
Gege Li
Editor’s pick More garments like jackets the wing in the pitch axis, relative there are limits to growth, there
could be made reversible, thus to direction of travel. If the leading is no point in having a COP28.
offering two designs to increase edge of the wing is higher than
Causal emergence has the trailing edge, it creates lift.
appeal. Higher-quality clothes
opened Pandora’s box Nectar-guzzling urban bees
are almost certain to be worn for The mystery of inverted flight
28 May, p 44 longer and, ultimately, to be more is resolved by knowing that pilots remind me of something
From Guy Inchbald, Upton-upon- suited for resale at charity and can pitch up the nose of their 21 May, p 28
Severn, Worcestershire, UK second-hand outlets. Here in aircraft, which restores the angle From John Fewster, London, UK
Causal emergence – the idea that Australia, such stores have to of attack relative to the flight path Graham Lawton writes about the
the cause of some events can’t be discard many donations of poor- while inverted. This mode of flight plight of the bumblebee versus
found at the microscopic level – is quality items due to deterioration. increases drag, so is merely the honeybees kept by urban
revolutionary in more ways than inefficient, not mysterious. hobbyists. The analogue to
one. The concept seeks to explain humans seems obvious: overly
Nuclear power? Better
physical phenomena that can’t dense communities of urbanites
the devil we know Flying foxes may
be reduced to the current pillars of muscling in and mindlessly using
physics: relativity, quantum physics 28 May, p 38 be democratic too resources, while pastoral folk and
and thermodynamics. This idea From Graham Reynolds, 28 May, p 23 the wider environment suffer
must include new physical laws, Coventry, West Midlands, UK From Talia Morris, Cape most of the consequences.
independent of the established In a low-carbon future, the need Tribulation, Queensland, Australia
set, and would give a significant for nuclear power is probably You report that “Jackdaws ‘vote’ on
Given recent history,
role to macroscopic information. inevitable. For those who worry mass exodus” before taking flight
Communications engineering has about radiation from nuclear together. At Cape Tribulation even 2°C seems beyond us
a sophisticated information theory waste, consider this: what would Tropical Research Station, my Leader, 11 June
of its own, which includes the idea be better, to have this waste stored colleagues and I believe we have From Perry Bebbington,
of information entropy, a measure somewhere known and safe for seen similar vocal behaviour in Kimberley, Nottinghamshire, UK
of how deterministic a system is. thousands of years, or to suffer spectacled flying foxes (Pteropus In 2020, the world almost totally
Might incorporating this concept an indeterminate period, perhaps conspicillatus). For several hours shut down due to covid-19, but we
into classical thermodynamics millions of years, of worldwide, before a colony-wide relocation, only saw a drop in carbon dioxide
prove sufficient to explain causal incomprehensible damage to there is a massive increase in emissions of around 6 per cent.
emergence? Might it offer up the the climate – assuming we cannot squawks, screeches, chattering Given this, there seems no chance
missing physical principle, or will control our emissions and climate and general “conversation”. Could of getting the yearly cuts needed
we need to create a new theory change worsens? this behaviour be common across to limit temperature rise to 2°C.
as a fourth, independent pillar different flying species? Global warming is happening and
of physics? Wherever this leads, happening big. Claiming anything
How to explain the physics
information will take centre stage. else is holding out false hope.
of flying upside down High time we dusted off
11 June, p 28 The Limits to Growth
More enduring outfits From Tony Rimmer, Letters, 4 June Bikers can see clearly
bring many benefits Lytham St Annes, Lancashire, UK From Paul Daws, now the insects are gone
4 June, p 38 I understand Chanda Prescod- Poringland, Norfolk, UK 14 May, p 23
From Geoff Harding, Weinstein’s problem with the To add to the letter on degrowth, From Peter Hawes,
Sydney, Australia physics of flight. As a designer 50 years ago, a report called The Bournemouth, Dorset, UK
The best solution to the huge and builder of model aircraft Limits to Growth was published. You recently reported on insect
environmental problem posed when young, I found references This was based on work at MIT, decline as measured by bug splats
by fast fashion is to encourage to Bernoulli’s principle were quite yet was ridiculed by economists, on cars. I have ridden motorcycles
the manufacture and purchase unhelpful to explain lift, especially politicians and bankers. It was for 61 years. During that period,
of considerably fewer, but higher when considering a wing with years ahead of its time. Every word bug splats on screens and helmet
quality, garments – particularly an identical top and bottom. of it is now coming true and it visors have declined considerably.
those that could be classified The missing element in most should be dusted off and made top I always had to carry visor cleaning
as “eternally fashionable”. of the Bernoulli expositions was of the agenda at the COP27 climate equipment, with which I regularly
Manufacturers would probably something called angle of attack, summit. If world leaders aren’t removed the remains of a serious
lose out a little, due to producing which refers to the orientation of prepared to stand up and say that number of bugs, but no longer. ❚
clothes more slowly and carefully,
and using better quality materials.
Want to get in touch? For the record
But these garments could then
be sold at higher prices. Also, a Send letters to letters@newscientist.com; ❚ Our look at the condition
“green production” label would see terms at newscientist.com/letters known as brain fog that can
be a hit with customers, especially Letters sent to New Scientist, Northcliffe House, result from covid-19 featured
in high-income countries. 2 Derry Street, London W8 5TT will be delayed Courtney Shukis (11 June, p 38).
Learn to
be a science
journalist
New Scientist is the world’s most popular weekly science and technology magazine.
Founded in 1956 for “all those interested in scientific discovery and its social consequences”,
the publication’s journalists cover international news from a scientific standpoint and ask the
biggest-picture questions about life, the universe and what it means to be human.
The internship is a positive action scheme, under the Equality Act 2010. M-IMAGEPHOTOGRAPHY/ ISTOCK
Views Culture
Cool tunes
From work by an Indigenous orchestra to the songs of a sci-art
pioneer, music is being preserved in ice, finds Chelsea Whyte
Visit
Back to Earth at the
Music
Serpentine Galleries,
Global Music Vault
London, brings together
Spitsbergen,
artists, scientists, poets,
Svalbard archipelago, Norway
film-makers and more.
TOWERING over the frozen island This new exhibition is a
of Spitsbergen, the largest in the response to the climate
archipelago of Svalbard, Norway, crisis, accompanied by
is a “doomsday vault”. Over 1 million a series of live events.
COURTESY OF GLOBAL MUSIC VAULT
BOTTOM: ANTONIO CARLOS VOLANTE/500PX/GETTY; TOP:COURTESY E-WERK LUCKENWALDE AND KARRABING FILM COLLECTIVE/STEFAN KORTE IMAGES
for the GMV. A recent example formats for her music and making history. “Even in our knowing [about tour of extraordinary
he cites is Afghanistan’s musical science accessible through her art. climate change], we have increased numbers in physics,
culture, now under threat because In 2017, she debuted her album emissions so significantly,” she says. big, small and bafflingly
the Taliban has banned music and Raw Space in an augmented reality Wolfe has chosen this song to go infinite. Be amazed as
instruments are being smashed livestream from what was then the in the vault, along with Oh My Heart, physicist and YouTuber
and burned across the country. which debuted at the 2021 Nobel Tony Padilla reveals the
The first deposits to the GMV “Music has to be Prize Summit. To protect them, the inner workings of reality.
include: a number of contributions GMV has teamed up with a Microsoft Available from 30 June.
included in this
from the International Library research group working to develop
of African Music in South Africa,
vault because it is sustainable, long-term data storage.
which has one of the world’s one of the things that Lasers will etch the song data onto
biggest African music repositories; keeps us alive inside” silica glass plates around the size of
a selection of New Zealand music, drinks coasters. This inert material
provided by the Alexander Turnbull quietest room on Earth, Nokia Bell can withstand harsh environments,
Library in Wellington; material Labs’s anechoic chamber in Murray resist electromagnetic pulses and
from the Orchestra of Indigenous Hill, New Jersey. A recording of this could last at least 1000 years.
Instruments and New Technologies stream was beamed to the stars via “The idea of unearthing it in
in Argentina, which uses Central the Holmdel Horn Antenna, which thousands of years is almost too Watch
and South American instruments; once detected the cosmic microwave exciting a prospect, just because The Mind of a Bee
some a cappella music by the Fayha background and provided evidence I feel we may be short-lived as a will be explored by Lars
Choir in Lebanon; and pieces from in support of the big bang theory. species,” says Wolfe. But she isn’t Chittka, author of a book
Ketebul Music in Kenya, a non-profit In 2020, Wolfe built a digital a total pessimist: depositing music on the subject, in a talk
arts organisation that preserves the installation, featuring her song in the vault suggests at least some for the Linnean Society
musical traditions of East Africa. From Green to Red, which uses hope for a future audience. As she of London. Bees count,
“We could have gone for the NASA data to illustrate changes in says, nature and art aren’t just for use tools, solve problems
Billboard Hot 100 or the most atmospheric carbon dioxide over surviving, but for thriving: “I feel like and learn by observing
popular playlists on streaming the past 800,000 years. “It is an music has to be included in this vault others. Watch online at
services,” says Karabuda. “Instead, environmental protest piece,“ she because it is one of the things that 6pm BST on 29 June.
we have people representing music says, explaining that humans have keeps us all alive inside.” ❚
Send in the backup From global chip shortages to the war in Ukraine, major games
studios are being forced to delay their big releases. Luckily, eager players can find
solace in smaller games like Silt or Spacelines from the Far Out, says Jacob Aron
Custom-made
W
HEN Mark Lashway found out cancer – for example, they are powerless
that his melanoma skin cancer had against most bowel cancers.
vaccines for individual spread to his lungs, he immediately That is why researchers have continued
quit his job as a chemistry teacher in Hillsdale, to search for other ways to supercharge the
cancer patients fire New York, and prepared for the worst. “I knew immune system against cancer (see “Immune
up their immune the survival rate was only 15 per cent and boost”, page 40). One strategy is vaccination,
I was frightened. It was the realisation of like, which aims to increase the number of T-cells
systems to precisely ‘Holy cow, is this it?’,” he says. that can fight tumours. If T-cells are thought of
annihilate their tumours, Seven years later, the 67-year-old is now as an army, checkpoint inhibitors make the
seemingly cancer-free after becoming one soldiers stronger and vaccination recruits
heralding a long-awaited of the first people in the world to receive a extra soldiers. A combination of these
revolution in treatment, personalised cancer vaccine – one that was strategies could be extremely powerful.
designed just for him so that his immune We normally think of vaccines as being used
reports Alice Klein system could attack and destroy the unique to prevent disease – like vaccines that protect
biology of his tumours. “I had these three lung against covid-19 – but they can treat disease
tumours that were so big I could see them and too. The idea of a vaccine is to help the immune
feel them – one was protruding out of my system battle something harmful, be it a virus
back,” he says. “Then a few months later [after or a cancer cell. Our immune systems do this
treatment], I’m waiting for my results and my by pumping out substances that recognise a
oncologist comes in and says, ‘I’ve got the best target part of a disease-causing entity, such as
news a doctor can tell you – you’ve had a 100 per the proteins on the outside of a virus.
cent response.’ The tumours were all gone.” Unfortunately, cancer vaccines have
Lashway is now one of a few previously failed to live up to their promise.
hundred cancer patients who have received One of the biggest challenges has been finding
personalised vaccines as part of several the right targets for these vaccines, as every
clinical trials. Other participants have also had individual’s cancer is genetically different. This
remarkable responses, even some with cancers means that a vaccine that works for one person
that would be hard to treat conventionally. is unlikely to work for another.
“I would say these vaccines are the next big About 12 years ago, Eric Lander, one of the
thing,” says Adilia Hormigo at Mount Sinai leaders of the human genome project and
Hospital in New York, who has used them to founding director of the Broad Institute in
treat some people with a notoriously deadly Cambridge, Massachusetts, wondered if a
brain cancer known as glioblastoma. personalised approach would work best.
We have long known that the immune With the cost of genetic sequencing falling,
system naturally tries to fight cancer, but it is he thought it might be possible to analyse the
often outsmarted by cancer’s tricks. Many DNA of a person’s tumours and design a
decades of research have tried to dial up this vaccine to target their unique mutations.
natural response. The first big breakthrough Lander approached oncologists at Dana-
came in 2011 with the approval of “checkpoint Farber Cancer Institute in Boston to see if they
inhibitors” – a class of drugs that boosts the would be interested in giving this a go. They
anti-tumour activity of important parts of agreed and applied for approval from the US
the immune system called T-cells. Thanks Food and Drug Administration (FDA). “It was
to checkpoint inhibitors, some people with kind of a big deal, because no one had done this
SHUTTERSTOCK / MOLIBDENIS
cancer who would have been given months before – the idea that every single participant
to live have survived more than a decade. would get a different vaccine was something
Checkpoint inhibitors, however, don’t the FDA wasn’t used to,” says Patrick Ott at
work for everyone’s cancer: 50 per cent at best Dana-Farber. “We had to convince them
survive for five years in melanoma clinical that we didn’t need to do animal studies
trials. They also don’t work for every type of beforehand because it wouldn’t make sense.” >
200
In nature, key events in the lives of animals trees. Every spring, the birds produce large
and plants need to synchronise, so that, broods that eat vast quantities of caterpillars –
for example, caribou migrations coincide the adults must deliver as many as 60 an hour
with the sprouting of new shoots in spring. over the 18 days it takes for the chicks to fledge.
When events like this don’t hit the same But caterpillars are an ephemeral resource,
beat, it is called a phenological mismatch hatching to coincide with the emergence Number of species
(see main copy). This may soon pose a of oak foliage. The birds have thus evolved
danger to humans directly – and the threat to breed so that their chicks hatch during
known to have
is to our dinner plates. maximum caterpillar abundance. The cue they experienced changes
Many staple crops use natural cues such take is temperature, which also precipitates
as temperature and day length to decide leaf unfurling and caterpillar hatching. to the timing of key
when to germinate, fruit and set seed, but This tightly coupled sequence is being
climate change is making their biological disrupted by climate change. Even though
events in their lives
clocks go haywire. Shifts have been all three events are triggered by rising
observed in cereals, soya beans, cotton temperatures, they are responding differently
and fruit, often affecting quality and yield. to warming. In some parts of Europe, birds
Fruit trees are particularly vulnerable, are hatching too late to catch peak caterpillar,
says Marcel Visser at the Netherlands reducing the chicks’ chances of survival.
Institute of Ecology in Wageningen. It is problems like these, known as
Flowering is cued by rising temperature, phenological mismatches, that are bringing
which happens increasingly early, but UNEP out in a cold sweat. We have long
makes the blossoms vulnerable to sudden appreciated that phenological changes can
frosts. “This year in the Netherlands, it was spell trouble for individual species or pairs
really warm towards the end of February, of species. But there is a dawning realisation
all the fruit trees were blossoming and that this is a widespread problem that could Revellers enjoy a hanami
then we got a cold spell and that led to presage the breakdown of whole food chains festival in Kyoto, Japan
lots of damage.” Many fruits also rely or even ecosystems. “This is truly a global
on pollinators, which are experiencing problem affecting plant and animal species
their own phenological shifts. in mountains, oceans, tropical and temperate
These agricultural changes aren’t forests and polar regions,” says Kappelle.
yet a major threat to food security, Quite how bad things could get, we aren’t
says Visser. But according to the UN sure. “Much of the work so far has been
Environment Programme, they are on pairwise interactions like predator-prey
already complicating efforts to adapt or pollinator-plant,” says Marcel Visser at
food production to climate change. the Netherlands Institute of Ecology in
Fisheries are also floundering Wageningen, who wrote the phenology
phenologically. Stocks are typically section of the UNEP Frontiers 2022 report.
exploited when fish populations are at a “There’s anecdotal evidence that shifts
seasonal peak, but many are shifting their in phenology weaken relationships in a
spawning season, creating phenological food-web context, but that is a question
mismatches between predator (in this that very much needs answering.”
case humans) and prey. Alaska pollock – Mismatches are especially apparent in the
commonly encountered inside the bun of Arctic, where the rate of warming is much
a McDonald’s Filet-O-Fish – are spawning faster than the global average. In Greenland,
early and missing out on plankton blooms. the annual migration of caribou to their
Off southern California, more than half summer feeding and calving grounds is
of commercially important species are triggered by day length, but when they arrive,
spawning too early or late to fully exploit the burst of nutritious shoots they once relied
their food supplies. And in 2012, a marine on has already been and gone because snow
heatwave in the North Atlantic caused is melting earlier. As a result, their breeding
lobsters to migrate inshore earlier than success has declined by about 75 per cent.
normal, leading to a record catch that, In the Canadian Arctic, meanwhile, Ross’s
paradoxically, almost destroyed the geese and lesser snow geese hatchlings
industry as supply vastly outstripped also miss out on peak vegetation, which has
demand and prices collapsed. reduced their reproductive success. To add
ROBERT THOMPSON/NATUREPL.COM
and, increasingly, elsewhere, and potential knowledge of mismatches and their impacts
for more as the climate hots up. “We certainly is still rudimentary, says Gallinat. “There’s
see that there is huge capacity for ecological enough information for us to know that it
mismatch,” says Amanda Gallinat at the is a danger, in part because it has potential
University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee. “It impacts that can ripple throughout ecological
absolutely can happen that interacting species communities,” she says. “But the extent to
shift at different rates or in different directions. which those ripples have been demonstrated
So yes, I think it is a danger to biodiversity.” is still so limited. There’s a lot left to learn.”
It is often not so much that phenological To that end, she and others, including Caterpillars are a crucial food for
mismatches alone drive biodiversity loss, Primack, are developing a new discipline chicks – if they hatch on time
she says, rather that they exert extra pressure called macrophenology to integrate all of the
on an already stressed system. One strand of local and species-level findings into a global nature a hand by conserving large populations
Gallinat’s research concerns North American understanding of phenological change. The of wild species in order to maintain high levels
birds flying south for the winter. In a 2020 idea is to use new analytical tools and data of genetic diversity. Evolution may then ride
study, she found that warming caused the birds sources, such as remote sensing and citizen to the rescue. Natural selection can sometimes
to set off later, but made the fruits they rely science, to investigate the impact on bigger generate new adaptations in the space of a
on along the way ripen earlier, robbing the scales. “There’s so much value to local-scale few generations. Great tits have had a similar
birds of vital calories – and also depriving the studies,” says Gallinat. “But if we aren’t able problem to pied flycatchers in that they hatch
fruit trees of seed dispersal services. Lots of to connect them to one another and identify too early to catch peak caterpillar. But some
birds die during these migrations at the best some patterns or how transferable a single populations of great tit in the UK, Czech
of times because it is such a long, demanding result is from one place to another, then Republic and Belgium have already reset
it really limits our ability to predict what the timing of their brood to get back in sync
might happen next.” with the caterpillar boom, probably through
adaptation, says Visser.
But we cannot rely on this. Phenological
Beyond the Arctic mechanisms often involve multiple
We can make educated guesses about what interacting genes and such systems are slow
will happen next. If the fast-warming Arctic to evolve. On top of that, climate change is
is a guide to our future, phenological outpacing anything that evolution can achieve.
mismatches are going to become another It is happening so fast that “many plant and
major driver of nature loss. Aside from animal species are not able to adapt in a timely
reversing climate change, it is difficult to see manner”, says Kappelle. “In the end, we have
what to do about it. “It is really tough to know to recognise that the only way to effectively
how best to respond to an ecological mismatch reduce the negative effect of mismatched
once we’ve identified it,” says Gallinat. shifts of ecological events worldwide is
It is, however, possible that the Arctic isn’t to rapidly reduce carbon emissions and
a canary in a coal mine. Ecological mismatches reduce climate change.”
identified thus far tend to involve specialist On the plus side, says Visser, nature’s
species heavily reliant on a single food source, shifting rhythms are a powerful reminder that
and such interactions are unusually common we have to get on with that. Having to mow
in the Arctic. It may be that the majority of the lawn earlier each year is the kind of change
the world’s food webs aren’t like this and have people notice. “Their response is: ‘that’s not
sufficient redundancy to absorb the blow. natural’. They feel that things are getting out
“If one resource comes out of sync, a more of balance.” Time, indeed, for a change. ❚
generalised consumer might shift their diet
to consume more of something else,” says
SEAN PAVONE/ALAMY
A
FEW weeks ago, we got our first look at space. I can combine what I love about describes it. At some point, we would like to
a portrait of the mysterious behemoth theoretical physics with this amazing data and reconcile these two theories. And we think that
at the centre of the Milky Way, the explore things that we can’t with a lab on Earth. black hole event horizons are places where we
supermassive black hole known as Sagittarius could get some clues on how to do this, because
A*. The image is an amazing feat of What is so mysterious about black holes? you need both theories to work together to
astronomical endeavour, made possible Black holes were, at first, a mathematical describe the extreme physics of black holes.
thanks to a planet-sized array of telescopes construct from Einstein’s theory of gravity,
called the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT). It general relativity. When gravity is strong How did the idea of imaging a black hole first
was even harder to capture than the previous enough, the theory allows for a singularity come about?
black hole picture taken by the EHT, which was to form, a region with infinite energy density. There were efforts in the 1990s to image black
the first ever. But it is also special because this Many people did not believe these would holes. That is when the concept of very-long-
black hole is at the heart of our home galaxy. really exist in the physical universe. Then we baseline interferometry was developed. The
Feryal Özel at the University of Arizona realised eventually that, yes, when massive idea is to have several telescopes spaced apart
was one of the first people to come up with a stars collapse, they do form something unlike from each other and hook them up together
way of photographing black holes and she is anything else we know of in this universe. to get better resolution (see “How to build an
now a key member of the EHT collaboration. There is a region of space that becomes Earth-sized telescope”, page 49). Researchers
New Scientist caught up with her to find out disconnected from our universe called wanted to see how well they could see the
what we have learned from the latest image, an event horizon. We can no longer receive black hole at the centre of our galaxy – the
how it puts our understanding of gravity to any information from this region and not trouble was that there is a lot of gas and dust
the test and what to expect next from the even light can escape from it. around the black hole that gets in the way.
nascent field of black hole photography. One of the things we want to understand is if In the late 1990s and early 2000s, we
black holes are exactly what Einstein’s theory developed much better models of the
Abigail Beall: What first drew you to black holes? predicts or if there are some deviations from environment around black holes. I had the idea
Feryal Özel: When I started graduate school, general relativity that occur when we get close of asking: are there any wavelengths of light
astronomy was having a golden age. Part of to an event horizon. There is a very basic that we could observe so that we could see the
that was the age of discovery of how black discrepancy between how general relativity black hole without our view being impeded by
holes and neutron stars behave. Then I realised describes the universe and how quantum the torus of gas and dust surrounding it? What
these are basically extreme laboratories in mechanics, our theory of the subatomic world, will it take to get down to the event horizon? >
consequence of the particular environment of to understand if we can get hints of deviations higher resolution. We’ve exhausted the
one black hole. from relativity that way. diameter of Earth, so we would have to go
It could be that if you put two similar black to a longer baseline, which would be space.
holes in different environments, they end up With the Sagittarius A* image, did you If we put radio dishes in space, that would
looking very different. There are all sorts of expect there to be something that deviates open up numerous other black holes for
ways these things could look: they could be from general relativity? this type of study.
brighter or dimmer, or look like a quasar, with Secretly, we were hoping. But right now,
two jets coming from their middles. If this were it is matching up. Especially in the case If we did have that technology, which
the case, it would tell us that the environment of Sagittarius A*, where we knew the mass black hole would you pick to look at?
mattered more than just the extreme gravity. of that compact object extremely well, by In a paper in 2012, my colleagues and I
But what we are seeing is that, in both M87* looking at the motions of stars around the identified a bunch of black holes that would
and Sagittarius A*, the innate properties of centre of the galaxy. We have a very definitive all of a sudden become picturable if we could
the black hole dominate and control what prediction for the size of the shadow – the dark, do this from space. I don’t have a favourite.
the object looks like. central part of the black hole – and the ring of What is exciting is there are more than 10
bright matter around it. It was a no-wiggle- that become suddenly doable. If we could
How can these images help us test room test, and it matched up extremely well. make the technology work and invest in
general relativity? a programme to build it, we could image
We can look for tests of relativity in the black Can we expect pictures of other black holes? a whole bunch of other black holes in our
holes’ immediate vicinity. Can we see any In terms of targets where the EHT could get vicinity, which would be super fun. ❚
hint that something is different from what is down to the event horizon scale, Sagittarius A*
predicted? Maybe the shape or size is different and M87* are the two main ones. We can study
than what we expected. There are also theories numerous other supermassive black holes in Abigail Beall is a features
that say the event horizon might change as a our vicinity, but we can’t get down to their editor at New Scientist
function of time. By looking at images of the horizon. If we wanted to get this type of image
black holes at different points in time, we want for other black holes, it would require an even
Science of gardening
Puzzle
set by Peter Rowlett
#173 Knight moves
Answers and
the next quick 7 8 9
crossword Home PgUp
next week
4 5 6
ACROSS DOWN
1 Board physicist being audited (5) 1 Run through harbour structure 1 2 3
4 Gaga played outside a and nearly give up (7) End PgDn
SIMONSKAFAR/GETTY IMAGES
Sutton Coldfield, If you want to know the
West Midlands, UK dew point, it can be calculated
Water vapour will condense from temperature and relative
onto a surface when the air humidity, or measured by many
temperature falls below the dew inexpensive hand instruments.
point – the temperature at which
the air is saturated and can hold This week’s new questions @steve_tees
no more water vapour. As the via Twitter
temperature falls, more water Battery boost Does my electric vehicle weigh more after It will always be just before
vapour will condense. I have charged it? Doug Bates, Exeter, UK you decide it is time to bring
Predicting when to bring the the washing in.
washing indoors is tricky as there Fossil afterlife What would be the best way to fossilise my
are many variables, including the body after I die? And would an inscribed gold plate with my
Ouch!
material of the clothes, whether epitaph survive a few million years in rock, in case a future
it is sunny, the temperature and archaeologist finds my fossil? Marthinus Roos, Elgin, Moray, UK Why is pain so painful? After all,
humidity of the surrounding air it is only nerve impulses sent to
our brains like many others.
“Predicting when to If the air temperature falls below capable of holding more moisture.
bring the washing the dew point, unless there is a In the early evening, when Neil Frizzo
heat source (generally the sun) or the air temperature drops, the Newcastle, New South Wales,
indoors is tricky as a breeze to replace the humid air opposite effect takes place, thus Australia
there are so many next to the clothes with drier air, an the relative humidity gradient Pain is so painful because the
factors that influence equilibrium between evaporation between clothes being dried and consequences of it not being
dew formation” and condensation is reached, the surrounding air drops towards so are worse.
which prevents any further drying. zero, and the drying effect stops.
and how much the clothes are A handheld psychrometer to @PhilMorey8
flapping around in any breeze. Chris Szymonski measure the relative humidity via Twitter
As well as dripping from the Waupaca, Wisconsin, US of the air would do the trick. Just The function of pain is to stop
washing, water will evaporate The temperature of the wet remove the laundry when this you doing stupid things twice.
from wet clothes, taking with it the laundry being dried outside comes close to 100 per cent. It has to hurt to make it work.
latent heat of vaporisation, at least stays close to the dew point
until the surrounding air becomes temperature of the air in the area. Stephen Johnson Pat French
saturated. This evaporation will As the air temperature goes up Eugene, Oregon, US Rockhurst, Shropshire, UK
raise the humidity and dew point throughout the day, the relative Typically, the combination The impulse sent by a nerve
of the air in direct contact with humidity of the air (expressed as of temperature and humidity from the site of a trauma is indeed
the clothes. At the same time, per cent saturation of the air with required for dew to form is most similar to the impulse from a
the temperature of the clothes is water vapour) decreases. This also likely in the early morning when sensor cell in the retina of the eye
lowered, which can be exacerbated means that the ability of the air to few people would attempt to dry or the cochlea of the ear. It is how
by heat transfer via convection hold moisture increases. In other laundry outside, if for no other the brain interprets this input
and radiation. Additionally, the words, closer to noon, the air is reason than there is little to no sun. that produces an experience,
temperature of the air in contact be it colour, sound or pain.
with the clothes will fall as heat is Want to send us a question or answer?
transferred down the temperature Email us at lastword@newscientist.com Herman D’Hondt
gradient from the warmer air to Questions should be about everyday science phenomena Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
the cooler clothes. Full terms and conditions at newscientist.com/lw-terms The real issue here is that we never
Quick crossword
#110 Answers
ACROSS 1 Avogadro’s Law,
10 Korolev, 11 Earache, 12 Voice,
13 Eggshell, 15 Ninety-nine,
16 Smew, 18 Over, 20 Naturalist,
22 Ecobrick, 24 Fungi, 26 Tripoli,
27 Hormone, 28 Neo-Darwinism
Year of the ET Twisteddoodles for New Scientist action on the monkeypox virus,
not least after an open letter from
Feedback is crossing our fingers more than 30 scientists on the
for Zhang Tongjie, China’s foremost message board of virological.org.
proponent of SETI, the astronomy When we last looked, the
field’s search for extraterrestrial comments on that post contained
intelligence. This mild-mannered only a single suggestion for a
academic has spent the past eight new name: Human Orthopox
years funding his own search for Syndrome, or HOPS. Feedback
intelligent alien life, labouring from wonders if this suggestion will,
his home office, in between lectures like Beatrix Potter’s Peter, creep
and marking student work. under the wire?
He got his big break a couple
of years ago when he was given
17.5 hours to gather data using
The kraken wakes
Sky Eye, a 500-metre aperture Public outreach is a chore
radio telescope in China’s Guizhou for some scientists, but not for
province. On 15 June, a report on Connecticut marine biologist Sarah
the website of the official McAnulty, whose natty embroidery
newspaper of China’s Ministry of cephalopods can be found on her
Science and Technology revealed Etsy page. Now she is courting a
that Zhang and his team of two had prang or two from tailgaters by
found “several cases of possible scrawling, across the back of her car,
technological traces and an invitation to text “SQUID” to her
extraterrestrial civilizations from hotline for the latest squid facts. So
outside the Earth” – only for the far, she says, a staggering 39,260
post to vanish a few hours later. cephalophiles have reached out.
Did an overenthusiastic press
officer get a ticking off? Or are our
Do the squirm
alien neighbours manipulating Got a story for Feedback?
time and reality? Feedback has Send it to feedback@newscientist.com or New Scientist, “Limbless crawling is ubiquitous
another explanation. In an interview Northcliffe House, 2 Derry Street, London W8 5TT in biology,” say Sreejith Santhosh
with Chinese news site Sixth Tone, Consideration of items sent in the post will be delayed and Mattia Serra at the University
Zhang’s colleague Zhao Haichen of California, San Diego. It is
says he was inspired to join the rampant here, too, especially
project after reading Liu Cixin’s how society works with the help Homo sapiens triumphed. “It’s when it comes to Feedback’s
novel The Three-Body Problem. of all kinds of technological great to win the event and beat pay review. The physicists’ recent
Which is, should you need breakthroughs and a smooth the horse,” the winner declared, joint paper, “Optimal Locomotion
reminding, the story of a SETI system that helps the country not at all concerned at undermining for Limbless Crawlers”, reveals
researcher who brings down reach net zero. At the end, he a 5000-year effort to get Equus convergent evolution in all its
an alien invasion upon the Earth. travels back with the new ideas ferus caballus to bear us. peristaltic magnificence. The
he learned in 2060 and shares “I’ve never rode a horse in my physics of undulating locomotion
Time to heal them with people who help life,” he added. “I once rode a offers, say the authors, “insights
reach the climate goal.” donkey at Blackpool though.” and tools for optimal bioinspired
In China again: President Xi Not only is this cheating, it Regular reader Ceri Brown asks crawling robots”. Would that
Jinping’s pledge to achieve also makes no mention of what that we immortalise this runner’s they had not gone on to mention
national net-zero carbon we imagine to be time travel’s name: it is Ricky Lightfoot. “applications in search and rescue,
emissions by 2060 has been catastrophically huge carbon endoscopy and burrowing”. At
raising eyebrows for some footprint. Mind you, if you used Cover your ears the very least, those ideas need
time. How will China meet such time travel to arrange some putting in a happier order.
ambitious targets? Enter another crafty off-setting scheme… Far too late for any Legionnaires
Chinese sci-fi writer, Chen Qiufan, who happen to be reading this, Thank me very much
author of 2013’s fantastic noirish Why the long face? but these days, the World Health
eco-thriller Waste Tide. Organization speedily renames Finally, may we congratulate
Chen’s new work boasts the Called simply Man v Horse (because diseases so that ill-chosen names Charles Corfield who, through
rather more pedestrian title Net why gild the lily?), on 13 June this don’t spread stigma. a glitch, has just received a New
Zero China. He told Bloomberg most quixotic of races once more It takes a dim view of animal Scientist gift subscription from
News: “The protagonist lives pitted species against species names in particular, and its himself. Feedback isn’t sure if
today, but can travel through time. across a 36-kilometre course in director-general Tedros Adhanom cloning has suddenly made strides
He travels to 2060 and witnesses deepest Powys, UK. This year, Ghebreyesus is already planning or we are just ahead of the times. ❚