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The South African
Labour Market
THEORY & PRACTICE
Fifth revised edition
F RA NS B A R K ER
Van Schaik
PUBLISHERS
Published by Van Schaik Publishers
A division of Media24 Books
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AN: 1243029 ; Barker, F. S..; The South African Labour Market : Theory & Practice
Account: s7393698
PREFACE
Since the 1980s there have been some very exciting and intellectually stimulating
developments in the field of labour. Sociopolitical occurrences in recent years have,
if anything, brought to the fore the close relationship between developments in the
labour market and progress on the socio-econo-political terrain. The ideological div-
ides in South Africa are especially apparent in the labour market, and these com-
pound the basic conflict between the objectives of protecting basic worker rights on
the one hand, and increasing economic growth on the other. There is obviously less
conflict between these objectives over the long term than in the short term.
During the 1980s and the 1990s the writings of academics and practitioners, and
also the legislature, often concentrated on the first aspect, i.e. protecting basic work-
er rights. However, increasingly people involved in the labour arena have come to
realise that the interaction between economic issues and the labour market is of
critical importance to ensure the success of a “new” South Africa. High unemploy-
ment, skilled labour shortages, a high wage-low productivity economy, the effects of
globalisation, and programmes to address labour market inequalities are all exam-
ples of issues that have the potential to build upon, or to destroy, the new deal
agreed on by politicians.
This book aims to contribute to the current and ongoing critical debate on these
issues. Established subjects such as labour law, union structures and collective bar-
gaining form a lesser but still important part of the subject matter. They are dis-
cussed in the context of their impact on the functioning of the labour market.
The purpose of the book is to provide the general reader with an overview of the
South African labour market, its characteristics and problems, and above all, its
functioning. With the possible exception of a few sections that deal with more com-
plex labour economics theories (referred to as “Deeper insight”), the contents should
be quite easily understood by any person interested in this topic.
In order to make the information accessible, it has not been possible to deal with
the subject matter in great depth. There are inevitable omissions, but the reference
list provides further reading matter on the various issues. To this end, care has been
taken to concentrate on South African source material, though not exclusively.
In some instances the arguments for and against a particular approach are pre-
sented briefly. A specific standpoint has purposely not always been assumed to avoid
a trend prevalent in many quarters these days – taking a superficial view on a very
involved topic, without giving enough opportunity for thorough analysis, debate and
even negotiation.
Non-economists. Non-economists may be disheartened to see some complicated
graphs in parts of this book. Even for economics students not yet completely com-
fortable with graphs, the task of understanding these may seem daunting. But fear
v
not! Non-economics readers can skip the more complicated labour economics sec-
tions (or “Deeper insight”) without it seriously affecting their understanding of the
book.
Nevertheless, understanding the theoretical working of the labour market will
help the reader gain a better understanding of how the labour market as a whole
operates in practice. Therefore, inexperienced economics students should make the
effort to work through the graphs. Students will encounter similar analyses in many
other economics courses and may as well learn of these with regard to the labour
market where basic concepts such as the trade-off between leisure time and work
may very well assume personal application!
Questions and study suggestions for students. At the end of each chapter the book
contains a number of questions and study suggestions for students. These cover the
most important parts of the chapter. No answers are given or even proposed for these
questions as this would simply encourage rote learning rather than a true under-
standing of the nature of the labour market. Only by understanding the dynamics
of the labour market can further developments be anticipated and their implications
grasped. In addition, each lecturer’s approach differs so significantly from the next in
terms of emphasis, detail and theoretical versus practical application that suggested
answers may confuse rather than assist.
Quotations. The sometimes inspiring, sometimes light-hearted and sometimes
tongue-in-the-cheek quotations in the text have been drawn from various sources,
but mainly from Prochnow and Prochnow (1983), James (1983), Braude (1957),
Peter (1977), Rawson and Miner (1986) and Auden and Kronenberger (1962).
i
A
liberalisation, international and local research on the impact thereof on poverty,
inequalities and unemployment is considered.
Furthermore, affirmative action has become increasingly important in South Afri-
ca, not only because of the Employment Equity Act, but also the Broad-based Black
Economic Empowerment Codes. The experience of Malaysia is most informative.
The final chapter in the book, on social dialogue, has also been expanded to
include a full discussion on corporatism, the debate about Nedlac, and the debate
about codetermination, with Germany being the prime example of a country that
has embarked on this route.
Acknowledgements
Professor Luther Backer, formerly from the Department of Human Resource
Management at the University of Johannesburg, provided the inspiration for the first
edition of the book. I am particularly grateful to him.
In previous editions I expressed my thanks to a number of people for their many
useful comments, their guidance and suggestions for the first edition, without which
this fifth edition would not have been possible. I want to express my appreciation to
the various organisations that have assisted me with data and information, specific-
ally the Bureau of Market Research at Unisa (Prof. Carel van Aardt), the National
Productivity Institute (Dr Jan de Jager) and the Department of Labour. A special
word of gratitude to the personnel of Van Schaik Publishers, who provided a very
professional and enthusiastic service.
To my soulmate, Hanneli, a very warm word of thanks not only for her support,
but also for her active interest and suggestions. In the past she suggested that a full
chapter be devoted to globalisation, and this time round it was her suggestion to add
the “Deeper insight” sections.
Finally, my gratitude to Our Father, who assists with most things.
As always, comments and suggestions will be valued and carefully considered.
Frans Barker
Pretoria
October 2006
vii
In memory of Frans Barker 1953–2012
The National Planning Commission is liberal around their view that employment and edu-
cation drive high levels of poverty and inequality, which is in turn our biggest challenge in
South Africa and ultimately inhibits the economic growth that is so needed. They are also
implicitly realistic about the challenges created because of a highly segmented labour market.
We will not be able to alter South Africa’s growth trajectory if we don’t appreciate and aim
to understand the complexities involved in our country, and the labour market is just one
example. This book seeks to address some of these complexities and be but one voice in an
ongoing debate around these issues. We need more voices and more calls to action. The life
lived by Frans Barker has inspired those around him to raise their voices with gravitas, and
we trust that the legacy of his work will do that as well.
Paul Barker
The late Dr Frans Barker was Chief Operating Officer of the Chamber of Mines. Dr Barker
was initially appointed at the Chamber of Mines as Deputy Labour Relations Adviser in
1995. Prior to that, he was president of the Industrial Relations Association of South Afri-
ca and chairperson of the National Manpower Commission, which preceded the National
Economic Development and Labour Council. During his career, he was a deputy president
of Business Unity South Africa, vice-president of the Economic Society of South Africa, a
commissioner for the Commission for Employment Equity and was also involved in Nedlac
in various roles.
An economist by profession, Dr Barker lectured at a number of universities and was the
author of several publications related to labour issues.
Susan Shabangu, Minister of Mineral Resources at the time of his death in August 2012,
described Dr Barker as
a dedicated colleague, eager to get to a solution yet very calm during hard times. His
contribution to the mining industry will forever continue to guide us as the sector again
faces challenges. His expertise contributed immensely in moving us forward and for that
we will sorely miss him.
viii
CONTENTS
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Why study the labour market?........................................................................ 1
1.2 Unique characteristics of the labour market.................................................... 2
1.3 Why theory with unrealistic assumptions?...................................................... 3
1.4 Important characteristics of the labour market in South Africa ..................... 5
1.5 Structure of the book...................................................................................... 6
Key concepts........................................................................................................... 7
Suggested reading.................................................................................................... 7
ix
Key concepts.......................................................................................................... 35
For students........................................................................................................... 35
Suggested reading................................................................................................... 36
xi
5.7 Minimum wages.......................................................................................... 114
5.7.1 Arguments in favour of minimum wages........................................... 115
5.7.2 Arguments against minimum wages................................................... 115
5.7.3 Minimum wage-setting mechanisms in South Africa.......................... 118
5.8 Minimum subsistence levels......................................................................... 119
Key concepts........................................................................................................ 121
For students......................................................................................................... 121
Suggested reading................................................................................................. 121
xii
7.3.2 Unit labour cost compared internationally......................................... 156
7.4 The impact of international trade on the labour market.............................. 159
7.4.1 Introductory remarks......................................................................... 159
7.4.2 Methodological problems and issues.................................................. 159
7.4.3 Impact on economic growth and income per capita........................... 160
7.4.4 Impact on inequalities........................................................................ 161
7.4.5 Employment and wages..................................................................... 163
7.4.6 Reduction in poverty......................................................................... 163
7.4.7 Conclusion........................................................................................ 164
7.5 The impact of trade liberalisation on the South African labour market....... 165
7.6 Addressing the challenges of globalisation................................................... 167
7.6.1 General principles.............................................................................. 167
7.6.2 Some case studies of how countries have succeeded in a globalised
world................................................................................................. 167
7.6.3 Economic growth and development: Nepad....................................... 172
7.6.4 The social clause: linking international trade and labour rights......... 173
7.6.5 Other measures to address the challenges of globalisation................. 175
7.7 Deeper insight: why do countries trade?...................................................... 175
7.7.1 Theory of comparative advantage...................................................... 176
7.7.2 The Heckscher-Ohlin theory of international trade............................ 177
7.7.3 Other reasons to trade....................................................................... 178
Key concepts........................................................................................................ 178
For students......................................................................................................... 178
Suggested reading................................................................................................. 179
xiii
8.6.2 Allowing higher inflation
in order to create jobs: the Phillips curve........................................... 197
8.6.3 Improving the labour absorption capacity of the economy................ 198
8.6.4 The cost of labour............................................................................. 199
8.6.5 Labour market flexibility and productivity........................................ 201
8.6.6 Active labour market policies............................................................. 201
8.6.7 A strong skills base............................................................................ 203
8.6.8 Formal and informal small enterprise sector...................................... 203
8.7 Special employment and income maintenance programmes......................... 204
8.7.1 Public works and special employment programmes........................... 204
8.7.2 Programmes focused on young people............................................... 207
8.7.3 Wage subsidies.................................................................................. 208
8.7.4 The social plan.................................................................................. 211
8.7.5 Unemployment insurance................................................................... 212
8.7.6 Basic income grant............................................................................. 213
Key concepts........................................................................................................ 215
For students......................................................................................................... 215
Suggested reading................................................................................................. 216
xiv
9.7.1 Skills shortages in South Africa.......................................................... 237
9.7.2 Projection of the future demand for, and supply of, labour by
skills category.................................................................................... 238
Key concepts........................................................................................................ 240
For students......................................................................................................... 240
Suggested reading................................................................................................. 241
xv
11.4 Other national consensus-seeking bodies..................................................... 276
11.4.1 Millennium Labour Council............................................................ 276
11.4.2 Other bodies with a more focused role............................................ 277
11.5 Codetermination in the workplace............................................................... 278
11.5.1 Codetermination in Germany.......................................................... 279
11.5.2 Workplace forums in South Africa................................................... 280
11.6 International consensus seeking in the labour arena: the International
Labour Organisation................................................................................... 282
Key concepts........................................................................................................ 282
For students......................................................................................................... 282
Suggested reading................................................................................................. 283
Index.................................................................................................................... 284
xvi
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
xvii
OECD Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development
OHS October Household Survey
QES Quarterly Employment Statistics
QLFS Quarterly Labour Force Survey
RDP Reconstruction and Development Programme
SALDRU Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit
SALC South African Labour Commission
SAQA South African Qualifications Authority
SARB South African Reserve Bank
SEE Survey of Employment and Earnings
SETA Sector Education and Training Authority
SGB Standards Generating Body
SLL Supplemented living level
SMME Small, micro and medium enterprise
STD Sexually transmitted disease
TFR Total fertility rate
UIF Unemployment Insurance Fund
xviii
USEFUL WEBSITES
xix
GLOSSARY OF IMPORTANT TERMS
xx
efficiency wage
A wage increase that results in a productivity increase at least equivalent to the increase
in wages, which makes it advantageous for the employer to pay higher rather than lower
wages (section 6.4.3).
elasticity
A measure of the degree to which one variable changes in response to changes in another
variable. The wage elasticity of the demand for labour, for instance, is the degree of respon-
siveness of the quantity of labour demanded to changes in the wage rate (sections 2.8 and
3.7).
employment
All persons 15 years and older who during a specified brief period (for example 7 days)
have worked for five or more hours for a wage or salary or for profit or family gain, in
cash or in kind. The self-employed are included, as are persons who have been temporarily
absent from work but still have a formal job attachment (Chapter 3).
employment coefficient
The extent to which employment will change as a result of changes in economic growth
(section 3.3).
human capital
The skills, knowledge and other acquired characteristics (usually through education and
training) of workers that make them more productive (section 9.2).
income policies
Income policies are policies by which the government tries directly or indirectly to control
or influence wage and price levels by specifying standards which should apply when wages
or prices are changed.
index number; index
An index number is a single number which gives the value of that variable as a percentage
of the value of that variable at some base period. For example, if 1980 is the base period
(i.e. 1980 = 100) and the index number of 1985 is 150, it means that the value of the vari-
able concerned is 150% of the value in 1980, i.e. an increase of 50% over the period. An
index is a time series of index numbers.
informal sector
Unorganised, unregulated and mostly legal but unregistered economic activities that are
individually or family owned and use simple, labour-intensive technology (section 3.6).
internal labour market
An organisational unit where the pricing and allocation of labour are governed by a set of
administrative rules rather than by market forces. Jobs within the internal market are usual-
ly filled by the promotion of workers who are already within the internal labour market
and these jobs are thus shielded from normal competitive forces. Entry is normally from the
bottom only (section 4.2.3).
labour absorption capacity
The percentage of new entrants to the labour market who find a job in the formal sector of
the economy (section 3.2.4).
labour force
Synonymous with the economically active population (EAP – section 2.2), although the ILO
states (1982: 3) that the EAP can be divided into the “usually” active and the “currently”
xxi
active population, and that the labour force is in fact equal to the currently active popula-
tion. The difference is important when there are a significant number of seasonal workers.
labour force participation rate
The percentage of the population of working age furnishing their labour for the production
of economic goods and services, whether employed or not (section 2.3).
labour intensity
See capital intensity.
labour market flexibility
The extent to which an employer can alter various aspects of the enterprise’s work and
workforce to meet the demands of the enterprise, for example the size of the workforce, the
content of jobs, working time, etc. (section 6.6).
labour productivity
The number of units of output that are produced per unit of labour input (section 6.2).
law of diminishing marginal product
As successive units of one input (e.g. labour) are added to a fixed amount of another input
(capital), a level of total production is reached beyond which the marginal product of that
variable input declines.
marginal revenue product
The change in total revenue resulting from the employment of an additional worker.
minimum living level
The minimum financial requirements of members of a family or household if they are to
maintain their health, have acceptable standards of hygiene and sufficient clothing for their
needs (section 5.8).
money wages
See nominal wages.
monopoly
A situation where a single seller controls the entire output of a particular product or service.
The enterprise can thus set its own price and production level, subject to demand conditions
(section 3.7.6).
monopsony
A situation where there is only one buyer in a market, for example when only one enter-
prise is the buyer of labour in a particular labour market (section 4.9).
multifactor productivity
The number of units of output that are produced by the combined input of both labour and
capital (section 6.2).
nominal wages
Wages measured in current prices. An increase in nominal wages will not lead to any
increase in purchasing power if prices increase at the same rate as nominal wages.
output effect
The change in employment and output resulting from the effect of the wage change on the
employer’s costs of production.
xxii
productivity
The relationship between the quantity of output (e.g. the quantity of goods and services
produced) and the quantity of input (e.g. capital and labour) used to produce that output.
It is therefore a measure of input efficiency (section 6.2). More recent definitions also take
account of quality and customer satisfaction.
real wages
Wages after having removed the effect of price increases (inflation). An increase in real
wages over time would therefore indicate an actual improvement in purchasing power.
social wage
The social wage is the total sum of all social benefits received free or partially free, such as
state transfers, subsidies and services (unemployment insurance, state old-age pensions, free
public health services, etc.) and kinship and community transfers.
substitution effect
The change in employment when both labour and capital are variable, and a change in the
relative price of labour results in a substitution of one resource (e.g. labour) for the other
(e.g. capital) without a change in production.
unemployment
All persons who, being 15 years and older, are without work (not in employment, as
defined above), are currently available for work, and are seeking work or wanting to work
(sections 8.2).
unemployment rate
The number of unemployed persons as a percentage of the total economically active popu-
lation (sections 8.2).
workforce
See economically active population.
xxiii
OUTLINE OF THIS CHAPTER
1.1 Why study the labour market?
1.2 Unique characteristics of the labour
market
1.3 Why theory with unrealistic
Introduction
assumptions?
1.4 Important characteristics of the labour
market in South Africa
1.5 Structure of the book
µ BACK TO CONTENTS 1
C H A P T E R 1 I N T R O D U C T I O N
There have been a number of strikes about much information about the facts as possible in
wages, and employers complain that increased order to make an informed decision. Addressing
wages have a negative impact on employment such normative questions often involves trade-
and their competitiveness. To what extent do offs, and the facts help to crystallise the various
unions affect wage levels? Do sharply increased trade-offs.
wages actually have a significant impact on A study of the issues in this book will thus
employment? greatly assist the reader to acquire an informed
Minimum wages have been introduced for opinion about these issues. It matters not
farm and domestic workers. Is this not interfer- whether the reader is a policy maker, a cur-
ence in the operation of the market? Will it not rent or future leader of business or labour, or
lead to a sharp increase in unemployment? simply a citizen of the country. South Africa is
A number of small businesses have taken the a democratic country, with a custom of wide
Minister of Labour to court, arguing that the involvement and interest in policy decisions.
imposition of bargaining council agreements Citizens need to be involved in the formulation
unfairly impacts on their right to conduct busi- of policies and to be responsible voters with a
ness. What is the impact of bargaining councils? knowledge of what the long-term effects of
Do they fairly protect workers against exploita- policy decisions are likely to be.
tion or do they unfairly damage small business Too often policy makers are inclined to say
interests? that they did not foresee the “unintended conse-
Many of these questions do not relate to facts quences” of some or other policy decision, and
only (e.g. what is the impact of higher wages on that the decision thus needs to be revised (after
employment?), but also to normative questions the damage has already been done). When it
(e.g. what should the government do about the comes to labour matters, there is very little reason
very low wages in the agricultural sector?). This why the possible consequences could not have
requires value judgements from those involved, been foreseen or intended. A proper study of the
and many such questions cannot simply be operation of labour markets will help to eliminate
answered by looking at “the facts”. However, the need for such revisions of policies only a few
to make a good value judgement, one needs as years after the policies have been introduced.
µ BACK TO CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION 1
“buys”. These cannot always be determined • They allocate human resources among alterna-
fully before employment starts, and the employ- tive users, i.e. among sectors, enterprises, loca-
er thus does not necessarily get what he or she tions and occupations.
intended to buy. Relations with the employer or • They distribute incomes, either wages or sal-
emotional disposition may have an impact on aries, as incentives and as rewards to work-
the output (the productivity) of the worker. ers (International Labour Organisation (ILO)
There are usually also changes over time in 1993: 7).
respect of any individual worker: his or her skills
level may improve with training and experience, Labour markets should, by their functioning,
or may deteriorate if the worker is demotivated
contribute to the following objectives:
or when he or she grows older.
There is also not one single market or clear- • Efficiency. This means maximum output and
ing house for labour as there is in some prod- maximum income.
uct markets (e.g. the stock exchange). There is • Equity. This implies equality of opportunity
a multiplicity of markets in terms of different for all in access to jobs, training, treatment at
occupations, geographical areas and types of work and payment.
economic activity.
• Growth. Labour market operations should
A further characteristic is the complexity of the
price of labour. This is not usually the case in the increase employment in the future and con-
product market. In the labour market the price is tribute to – not impede – higher productivity
determined not only by the employment package and incomes.
(which includes various fringe benefits), but also • Social justice. This refers to the extent to
by the influence of inflation, personal taxation, which society acts to minimise any negative
the standard of living of the worker, the provision effects the labour markets may have on work-
for health and safety, and other factors. ers’ welfare, and to redress any harm that
Labour markets have important functions: might have been done.
µ BACK TO CONTENTS 3
C H A P T E R 1 I N T R O D U C T I O N
of the demand for labour and does not act in explained in this book, but can also be under-
concert with other employers in determining stood intuitively, the higher the wage rate (for
wage levels. Similarly, labour is not organised instance in a particular occupation or region) the
and each worker makes his or her own deci- higher the quantity supplied of labour (or num-
sions on employment or wages. ber of workers supplied). This means that the
• There is perfect competition. Many enterprises supply curve is upward sloping to the right.
compete against one another to hire workers The market demand for labour is indicated by
and workers have identical and comparable the curve D. This curve is downward sloping,
skills. because as the wage rate increases, employers
will try to reduce their cost by employing less
• Workers are perfectly mobile. They can move labour in various ways, for instance by using
easily between positions within or between machinery instead of workers. In a perfectly
organisations or regions. competitive labour market, there would be equi-
librium where the quantity supplied of labour
I don’t meet competition,
is equal to the quantity demanded for labour,
I crush it. and this would also be the number of workers
Charles Revson employed. This is at point E in the graph. The
number of workers employed (L) and the wage
G R A PHIC ANALYSIS OF THE LABOUR rate (W) can be read off the axes.
M A R KET
Throughout the book, graphs are used to illus- S
trate various concepts. Although different graphs
are used, many have their basis in the basic sup- W1
ply and demand graph, or may explain how this
Wage rate
4 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION 1
compete for the available jobs and accept increase, the demand for labour will increase
lower wages in order to get work. Wages and the demand curve will shift to the right.
will then start declining, but when this hap- (c) Change in gradient. The gradient of the
pens, employers will employ more workers, curves can also change, depending on how
until equilibrium is achieved at point E. responsive labour supply or demand is to
b) Shift in the curves. The supply curve as a a wage rate change (this responsiveness is
whole can shift to the right or left if influ- called elasticity). If demand for labour is
enced by external (exogenous) factors, for very responsive to wage rate changes, a wage
example more women wanting to work or increase will result in a sharp drop in the
large immigration gains. An increase in the quantity demanded for workers. In this case,
supply of labour will shift curve S as a whole the demand curve will be relatively flat. If the
to the right, which means that more workers demand is less responsive to wage rate chan-
will be available for work at the wage level ges, the quantity demanded for labour will
W. There can be similar shifts in the demand change less, and the curve will be relatively
curve, for example if exports suddenly steep. This will be illustrated in Chapter 3.
µ BACK TO CONTENTS 5
C H A P T E R 1 I N T R O D U C T I O N
output. The declining labour intensity of eco- • Income inequality is extensive and continues
nomic growth is particularly disconcerting, to increase. Whereas some researchers have in
because far fewer job opportunities than in the past found that interracial inequality has
the past are now being created for every per- diminished (particularly between blacks and
centage point of economic growth. Where whites) over the past two decades, more recent
labour productivity has increased, it has studies show that it is in fact not the case.
often been at the expense of jobs. Collective Even though high unemployment among the
bargaining institutions (especially bargaining black population in particular and the high
councils) and unions have generally resulted upward mobility of many Africans into senior
in a wage premium for the relevant workers positions in the public and private sectors have
when compared to workers not falling under resulted in a high level of intra-racial inequal-
a bargaining council or belonging to a union. ity, the high demand for highly skilled labour
Government policy also seems to have con- (consisting of predominantly white workers)
tributed to the increased cost of labour and to has resulted in interracial inequality remaining
a reluctance among employers to employ more the most important contributing factor to the
labour. high level of inequality in South Africa.
µ BACK TO CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION 1
Chapter 1: INTRODUCTION
Chapter 2: Chapter 3:
Supply of Demand for
labour labour
Chapter 4: Chapter 5:
Wages and Unions and
the cost of collective
labour bargaining
Chapter 6:
Productivity and
exibility
Chapter 7: Chapter 8:
Chapter 9:
Globalisation and the Inadequate
Quality of the
labour market demand for
supply of
labour
labour
(unemployment)
Chapter 10:
Discrimination
Key concepts
fairness and equity demand for labour
contractual relationship elasticity
perfectly competitive labour market equilibrium
supply of labour
Suggested reading*
department of labour. Annual. National economic development and labour
Annual Report. Pretoria: Government Printer. council (nedlac). Annual.
Report submitted to the Nedlac summit.
Department of labour. 2006a.
Johannesburg: Nedlac.
Annual Labour Market Bulletin, 1 April 2004–31
March 2005. Pretoria: Department of Labour. * The bibliography contains the full list of references.
µ BACK TO CONTENTS 7
OUTLINE OF THIS CHAPTER
2.1 Introduction
2.2 The labour force as the supply of labour
2.3 Labour force participation rate
2.4 Population and population growth
2.5
2.6
Total fertility rate
The impact of HIV and AIDS
The supply
2.7 Immigration, emigration and migrant
labour
of labour
2.8 Deeper insight: from the individual
decision to work to the market supply of
labour
The power of population is infinitely greater than the power in the earth
to produce subsistence for man. Population, when unchecked, increases
in a geometrical ratio. Subsistence only increases in an arithmetical ratio.
A slight acquaintance with numbers will show the immensity of the first
power in comparison with the second.
T HO M A S R O B E R T M A L T HU S
2.1 INTRODUCTION
An individual can decide to work or not to Changes in the economic environment – espe-
work, or can decide to work more hours or cially wage rates and incomes – can account for
enjoy more leisure hours. This is the basis of the a significant part of the labour supply. This is an
supply of labour. Various factors influence these aspect that is discussed in this chapter – to indi-
decisions, for instance the personal preferences cate how the labour supply of the individual and
of the individual, the amount of money he or of all individuals together (the market supply) is
she needs, the wage rate, and so forth. If all the affected by the decision to work or not to work.
decisions of individuals are added up, it gives the However, these concepts are discussed only at
market supply of labour. the end of the chapter (see section 2.8) because
It does not matter whether the persons are they are relatively inaccessible to non-econo-
working or simply want to work, they are all mists. Economists should thus preferably read
part of the supply of labour. Furthermore, the the last section of the chapter first, as it lays a
type of work they do is irrelevant, for instance good foundation for the rest of the chapter. It is,
whether they work in the informal sector or are however, not essential for the reader to under-
an employer of other people. All these people stand the theoretical section of the chapter (sec-
form part of the labour force, or the supply of tion 2.8) in order to comprehend the issues dis-
labour. cussed in the rest of the chapter. Nevertheless,
The labour force is thus simply the population this section does help the reader understand bet-
of working age people that is working or that ter how the labour market as a whole operates.
wants to work (the unemployed). It is influenced An interesting fact about the South African
by factors such as the proportion of the popula- labour force is that the participation of women
tion that wants to work, the size of the popula- has increased sharply over the last few years.
tion (as determined by, among other things, fer- This may be both the cause and the result of
tility and mortality rates) and net immigration. the rapidly declining fertility rates among all
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
population groups. On the other hand, the par- the supply of labour and what factors influence
ticipation of men has gradually declined over the supply of labour. The information gained
time, probably because of people retiring earlier. in this chapter will form the basis of analyses in
There is also a significant increase in emigration, other chapters, for instance to find out how the
which means the country is losing skills. market determines the wage rate, unemployment
These are thus the type of topics that will be in the country, and so forth.
discussed in this chapter – what has happened to
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T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
There are three kinds of The discussion below starts with the size of the
lies: lies, damned lies, South African labour force, and considers some
and statistics. of its most important characteristics. Thereafter
the labour force participation rate, i.e. the per-
Benjamin Disraeli
centage of the working age population that par-
ticipates in the labour market, is discussed.
Finally, the total population is discussed, as
The labour force: some grey areas well as its various determinants, such as the fer-
One factor that affects the dependability tility rate, mortality due to HIV and AIDS in
of the data on the labour force is where particular, and immigration and emigration.
to draw the line between those within and
those outside the labour market. This relates 2.2.1 The South African labour force
especially to women, particularly in rural Bearing in mind the shortcomings of the data
areas. As explained in section 8.2.1, persons on the labour force, the total labour force of
who are unemployed and want to work, South Africa according to the Labour Force Sur-
but are not actively seeking employment vey (LFS) was estimated at 16.8 million persons
would, in terms of the official definition of in 2005. As explained, this included the unem-
unemployment, not be counted as unem- ployed who were looking for work.
ployed. They are the so-called “discouraged The LFS found that there were about 3.3
work-seekers”. They would, according to million discouraged work-seekers in 2005. If
a broader definition of unemployment is used,
Statistics South Africa, not even form part
these people should be regarded as unemployed
of the labour force, in spite of the fact that
and therefore part of the labour force. Their
they might dearly want to work, but are
inclusion would increase the labour force to 20.1
simply not actively looking for work owing million.
to the unavailability of work in rural areas. The available data on the labour force of
South Africa are presented in Table 2.1. About
three-quarters of the labour force is African and
about 45 per cent women.
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
There was a sharp drop in the proportion of South Africa, there have for instance been the
whites, from 20% in 1960 to about 12% in October Household Survey, the Labour Force
2012. Survey (LFS) and the Quarterly Labour Force
Between 300 000 and 400 000 persons enter Survey. These surveys differ in various respects
the labour market annually, i.e. people who are and are not strictly speaking fully comparable.
looking for work. The actual number entering Accordingly, by considering only the trends in
the labour market is greatly influenced by labour the LFS between 2000 and 2006, Yu concludes
market conditions – whether work is available, that there is no evidence of a further “feminisa-
whether there are opportunities to continue with tion” of the labour force during this period.
studies, emigration, and so forth. As will become
apparent in later chapters, many of the persons 1960 2012
entering the labour market for the first time do Women Women
not find work. 23% 45%
HIV and AIDS will have a significant impact
on the supply of labour in the future, and might
reduce the number of new entrants quite sharp-
ly towards the second part of the 21st century.
This is discussed in section 2.6 below.
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T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
of young people (some as high as
nearly 50%). The proportion of ~ The labour force (also called the economically
young people in the populations active population – EAP) is the total number of
of industrialised countries is much people presenting their labour for remuneration
lower, and the main problem in on the labour market, whether employed, unem-
these countries is a high proportion
SUMMARY
ployed or self-employed.
of elderly people (Population Ref-
~ The participation of women in the labour market
erence Bureau 2011).
increased quite substantially, and they now form
HIV and AIDS will also have
about 45% of the labour force.
a significant impact on young
people. Many breadwinners are ~ Young people make up a high proportion of South
likely to die of HIV and AIDS, Africa’s total population, but a relatively small
leaving young children to fend for proportion of the labour force. This implies a high
themselves. Such children will most dependency ratio (i.e. the ratio of young people
likely be unable to attend school, depending on other age groups for a living).
making them “unemployable”.
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
(realistic) appreciation of the very low probabil- too discouraged to seek work, they are no longer
r
ity that they will find work if they look for it. part of the economically active population, but
Cyclical nature of the LFPR: This explanation if they had also been counted as economically
is also confirmed by the decrease in the LFPR active, the labour force would have been larger
after the 2008 crisis, which is found primarily and the LFPR consequently higher.
but not solely among the youth (ILO, 2011: 20). Casale and Posel (2002: 164) calculated that
Those who lost their jobs as a consequence of the LFPR for women would have increased from
the crisis chose to exit the labour market rath- 48% in 1995 to 61% in 1999 had the expanded
er than actively search for employment. Many definition been used (the comparable figures
of those who leave or delay entering the labour for 2005 would have been an LFPR of 50% for
market might use the opportunity to upgrade the strict definition and 64% for the expanded
their human capital, for instance by remaining definition). This can be compared to an inter-
longer in schooling. national average LFPR for women of just over
50% (ILO 2005c).
2.3.1 Female LFPR These authors (Casale & Posel 2002: 171)
also found that a significantly larger propor-
The LFPR of women has increased quite sharp-
ly over time. This much can be gathered from tion of women was available for work in 1999
Table 2.2. The increase in the participation rate than in 1995, but that many more women were
among women is probably the most important looking for work than were finding work. The
change in the labour supply in South Africa that biggest change was thus the number of unem-
has taken in recent years. ployed women and self-employed women in the
informal sector, where they were likely to be
Table 2.3 Labour force participation rates of involved in low-paying activities.
males and females* This indicates that there is little evidence of
women being “pulled” into the labour force by
Male Female an increase in the demand for female labour. It
is thus far more likely that it was supply-side
1960 1 80.7 26.5
factors that may have “pushed” women into the
1980 1 75.5 36.1 labour market.
19962 64.1 48.8 Before considering the reasons for the increase
in the female LFPR, attention should again be
20013 65.1 54.0 drawn to the caution expressed by Yu (2008)
2012 3 61.4 48.5 about drawing conclusions based on a simple
2013 4 63.4 50.4
comparison of the different surveys. By consid-
ering only the trends in one survey over time
*EAP as a percentage of the total population of working age, (the Labour Force Survey between 2000 and
i.e. in the 15–65 age group, calculated separately for male and
2006), he found no evidence of an increase in
female.
the participation rate of females. He did find an
Sources: 1) Development Bank; 2) Statistics South Africa, Population
census; 3) Statistics South Africa, Quarterly Labour Force
increase in the LFPR of females in the OHS, but
Survey (strict definition of unemployment) (March); 4) says that this might be ascribed to a better cap-
Quarterly Labour Force Survey, quarter 4, 2013: 2–3 turing of participation rather than an increase in
participation rates.
The actual EAP in the formula above includes But if there is an increase, as found by most
workers and unemployed persons, but unem- other analysts, the following factors are likely
ployed only according to the strict definition of to be some of the reasons for that increase. The
unemployment, i.e. only those actively looking analysis at the end of this chapter about the fac-
for work (see section 8.2.1). If the expanded tors determining the theoretical supply of labour
definition of unemployment had been used, i.e. by the household is also relevant in this regard.
including the discouraged work-seekers, the
increase in the LFPR of women would have been • It is possible that the increasing coverage of
even sharper. This is because there has been an various social grants, especially child grants,
increase in recent years in the number of dis- could have contributed to more women par-
couraged female work-seekers. Because they are ticipating or wanting to participate in the
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A
T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
labour market. This is because the payment of • Rising divorce rates may have also contributed
social grants might mean that some money is to more women having to spend more years in
available for transport, or allow the woman the labour market.
to take some risk in small-scale business, or
to afford a person to take care of the children To conclude this section, a word of caution is
while the mother works. required with regard to the LFPR of women.
Besides the difficulties associated with the strict
• The rising relative wages for women as a
and expanded definitions of unemployment
result of reduced discrimination and a great-
referred to above, measurements relating to
er demand for female workers have brought
household work, subsistence agriculture and the
about their increased participation in the
informal sector are problematic (see accompany-
labour force. This is related to the expansion ing box).
of the services sectors, in which women have
traditionally been active.
• The rising levels of education among women
have increased employment opportunities How many women in the labour force?
and earnings, and would thus theoretically
The data on the female LFPR hide certain
have increased the supply of female workers.
important measurement problems. The
However, Casale and Posel (2002: 174) did
main difficulty is to distinguish between
not find that increasing education levels could
in fact be associated with rising labour force people who are in the labour force and
participation rates, and thus rejected this as a those who are not. Usually the distinction is
possible reason for higher participation rates. made on the basis of persons who work for
remuneration or who actively seek a pay-
• Even though they may not be related to educa-
ing job – these persons are then considered
tion, declining birth rates have enabled more
women (of all educational levels) to partici- to be part of the labour force. However,
pate actively in the labour market for longer as already discussed, the categorisation of
periods of time. people who want to work but are not act-
ively looking for work (the expanded defin-
• There have been changes within the house-
ition of unemployment) will have an import-
hold: firstly, a decreasing proportion of
ant impact on the LFPR. In addition, the
women live with employed men. This is relat-
ed to the increase in the number of unem- categorising of homemakers and women in
ployed men in the economy, which under- subsistence agriculture is problematic. These
mines the resource base of the household, women seldom work for remuneration (in
thereby increasing the pressure on women to the direct sense of the word), although one
generate an income. Secondly, at the same cannot deny that their services are econom-
time there has also been a decline in the num- ically productive.
ber of women living with any man, which When a homemaker, for instance, enters
shows that there has been a decrease in the the labour market and employs a domestic
proportion of women who have married worker in her home and in addition pays
(Casale & Posel 2002: 175–178). a fellow homemaker to look after her chil-
• Social conventions about a woman’s role in dren, then all three women who might not
society (e.g. that a woman’s place is in the have been “economically active” before,
home) have changed. Preferences and attitudes now suddenly become so, and their services
among women themselves have also changed, are counted as part of the national product
with more and more women embarking on of the country. Thus, there would seem to
professional careers for self-fulfilment. be an underestimation of production and
• Rising productivity in the household because the EAP with regard to homemakers.
of advancing technology has made it possible There have also been problems in meas-
for women to participate more actively in the uring women in subsistence agriculture
labour market.
Í
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
and the informal sector. Censuses have in increasing the labour force and thus the
approached women in subsistence agricul- LFPR of female workers in particular.
ture in different ways. The census of 1970,
for instance, treated women in subsistence
agriculture mostly as economically active 2.3.2 Male LFPR
and working. In 1980 these women were
Changes in the participation rates of males over
treated as not being economically active.
time are also provided in Table 2.2. Declining
The latter approach has been followed in
male participation rates among all races since
subsequent censuses. Knight (1978) has 2001 are apparent. The participation rates are
estimated that this change of definition also quite low, which is confirmed by the Project
led to roughly 500 000 African workers for Statistics on Living Standards and Develop-
being reclassified from economically active ment (1994: 141). As discussed above, it could
and working to not economically active. be an indication of large numbers of discour-
This resulted in lower measured female aged work-seekers who have given up looking
employment, hence it has raised the female for work or even wanting to work, and would
unemployment rate (ILO Review 1996: 59, therefore not be counted as economically active.
121–122, 246–249). Men in subsistence Other reasons could include longer years spent
in educational institutions and earlier retirement
agriculture are classified as economically
(especially among white male workers).
active.
The measurement of the informal sector
in surveys such as the October Household
Survey and the LFS has also not been con- ~ The most important change in the
sistent, as indicated in section 3.2.1. Since labour supply in recent years has
SUMMARY
2000 surveys have, for instance, been much probably been the rising LFPR among
more explicit in identifying informal sector women. This can be ascribed to a
work as employment, and enumerators have number of social and economic fac-
asked much more probing questions regard- tors.
ing the informal sector and subsistence ~ There has been a gradual decline in
farming. This would also have been a factor the participation rates of males.
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T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
Table 2.4 Total population of South Africa, 2013 (’000)
% breakdown by
Male Female Total
population group
% breakdown by
48.7 51.3 100
gender
[Due to rounding, figures do not always add up.]
Statistics South Africa, Mid-year population estimates 2013, pg. 3
Source:
Those who warn of a population elderly people (over 60 years of age), are show-
explosion picture a world of ing noticeable growth. The proportion of people
too many people and not enough between the ages of 15 and 34 years of age is
food – sort of like the expected to grow significantly in future. There
average cocktail party.
is therefore likely to be an upsurge in the pro-
Bill Vaughan portion of people of working age relative to the
proportion of dependents such as children and
P O P U L ATION GROWTH RATES the elderly, which might provide a demographic
impetus for development. However, the demo-
South Africa’s population and therefore also its
graphic potential might be offset by the poor
labour force grew quite rapidly in the past – by
educational and skills levels of the population.
as much as 2.9% in the 1960s. However, the
There are notable differences between espe-
growth rate declined rapidly and the Population
cially the African and the white population by
Reference Bureau (2011) recently estimated the
age, which are likely to have a significant impact
rate of natural increase of the population at only
on the labour force in the future. The African
0.6%. This is related to factors such as sharply
population shows the typical pattern found in a
declining fertility rates, the impact of HIV and
developing country, which is that the population
AIDS and the net loss of skilled workers owing
is relatively young. In contrast, the white popu-
to emigration, factors that are discussed in this
lation is typical of that found in many developed
chapter.
countries, which is an ageing population.
The population growth rate can be compared
Figure 2.3(a) and (b) shows the so-called
to that of some other countries, for example
“population pyramid”. These graphs indicate
Germany (–0.2%), USA (0.5%), Brazil (0.9%),
the percentage of the male and female popu-
India (1.5%) and Mexico (1.4%) (Population
lation in the various age groups. Figure 2.3(a)
Reference Bureau 2011). It is important to note,
clearly shows the impact of the high fertility
however, that the data for all countries relate to
rates on the African population until recently,
the natural increase in population, i.e. disregard-
with the population pyramid having quite a large
ing migration.
basis (a high proportion of people in the young-
er age groups). However, even this graph shows
P O P U LATION BY AGE
the declining birth rates in recent years, with the
The South African population is slowly matur- proportion of people in the 0–4, 5–9 and 10–14
ing. The proportion of the population under the year age groups not being dissimilar – high birth
age of 15 years is steadily declining while other rates would have shown up as increasingly high-
age categories, particularly the proportion of er proportions in the lower age groups.
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
The ageing white population is also clearly tively small proportion of the population in the
discernable in Figure 2.3(b) – with higher pro- age groups 25–39. This is a clear indication of
portions in the older age categories. However, the impact of the emigration of young workers,
what is also significant in this graph is the rela- usually with skills, from the country.
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T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
F A C T ORS DETERMINING POPULATION increase. The fertility rate is discussed in more
G R O WTH RATES detail in the next section. The mortality rate is
Population growth is a function of three demo- greatly affected by HIV and AIDS; this is dealt
graphic factors: fertility, mortality and migra- with in section 2.6. Immigration, emigration and
tion. This can be illustrated as follows: migrant labour are discussed in section 2.7.
Population
= Total fertility rate The rate of population increase in South
SUMMARY
growth rate
Africa is relatively high by international
Mortality standards, but has dropped sharply
minus plus Net migration
rate owing to a substantial decline in fertil-
ity rates and a high level of emigration
The difference between the fertility and mor- among skilled people.
tality rates is called the natural rate of population
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
Í Í
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T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
abolition of influx control in 1986 seems to
lation declines. Some highly industrialised have contributed to the reduction in birth rates,
countries are at this fourth stage of demo- because increased urbanisation also reduces fer-
graphic transition, and white South Africans tility rates. Urbanisation reduces dependency on
seem to be entering this phase. children for their labour in agriculture and gen-
erally improves living standards.
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
There were no discernable differences in mortality rates in the country. Such statistics are
HIV prevalence among the employed and the not available, because mortality data are col-
unemployed. The same was true with regard lected from death notification forms, which give
to disposable income – there was no dis- the direct cause of death, such as tuberculosis,
cernable difference between wealthy African influenza, pneumonia, and so forth. Many of
households and those that were poor. these diseases appear to be HIV and AIDS relat-
The prevalence rates were highest in the min- ed. Statistics South Africa nevertheless estimates
ing, transport, construction, government, the number of AIDS deaths in 2011 at 258 000.
accommodation and catering sectors. The The following possible consequences of HIV
lowest incidences were in the financial, insur- and AIDS can be identified:
ance, business and communication services. • Demographic impact. HIV and AIDS have
The prevalence of HIV increased with increas- already resulted in life expectancy dropping
ing levels of schooling, with the highest inci- from 63 in 1990 to 51.8 in 2005. More recent-
dence occurring among those with matric. ly, however, life expectancy has increased to
Thereafter the rate dropped quite sharply for 57.1 (Statistics South Africa 2011)
persons with tertiary qualifications. • Dependency ratio. Because HIV and AIDS
Demographic projections estimate the life span mostly affects sexually active adults, it results
between infection and death at 8 to 10 years in an increase in mortality in the 25 to 40-year
(in the absence of antiretroviral treatment age group. The likely sharp increase in the
(ART)). During the first part of this period, number of orphans is perhaps the most tragic
the HIV-positive individual may experience and enduring legacy of AIDS, and it has been
relatively few direct symptoms, and employ- estimated that there are already 2.01 million
ment and productivity may be only marginal- AIDS orphans (Statistics South Africa 2011).
ly affected. However, with the gradual onset It will also negatively affect the dependency
of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome ratio in another way, i.e. many elderly persons
(AIDS) (usually during the last two years), will lose their adult children and thus their
the medical symptoms become progressively support structure.
worse and eventually lead to death.
• Supply of labour. HIV and AIDS will result
in the labour force being smaller than would
actors that contribute to the high levels of HIV
otherwise have been the case, seeing that the
nclude the high prevalence of untreated sexually
overwhelming majority of persons affected
ransmitted diseases (STDs), which significant-
by HIV and AIDS will be between the key
y increases the risk of acquiring HIV; multiple
productive ages of 20 and 40 years. They
oncurrent sexual partners; relatively high lev-
will affect both employed and unemployed
ls of unregulated commercial sex; low rates of
persons, although the expected impact on
ondom use (at least until recently); low rates
unemployment will depend on the mix of
f male circumcision; rapid rates of urbanisa- skills demanded by employers. Van Aardt
ion (resulting in multiple sexual relationships (2001) has projected that the labour force will
nd STDs); disrupted family and communal have four million fewer workers in 2016 in a
ife owing to apartheid and migration; massive medium HIV and AIDS scenario. The average
efugee movements driven by war, civil conflict annual increase in the labour force over the
nd economic distress in neighbouring coun- period 2001 to 2016 will drop from 2.6%
ries; good transport systems and high mobility, in a no HIV and AIDS scenario to 1.6% in a
hich allow for the rapid spread of the disease; medium HIV and AIDS scenario. A high HIV
ow status of women, resulting in situations that and AIDS scenario will reduce the growth rate
lace them at risk of HIV infection; and poor of the labour force even further.
ealth, hence low resistance levels.
• Employment. Unemployment might not
increase, but it is unlikely to decline because
.6.2 Consequences of AIDS
economic growth rates will not be high
t is important to note that it is not possible to enough to significantly reduce unemployment
etermine the direct impact of HIV/AIDS on (Arndt & Lewis 2000). Van Aardt (2001)
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T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
projects that fewer jobs will be created as a • Other consequences for government. Apart
result of investor caution, lower consumer from the impact of high health costs on gov-
demand due to a smaller population, higher ernment expenditure, there is increased pres-
capital intensity as employers try to avoid the sure from orphan care expenses and reduced
negative consequences of HIV and AIDS on revenues. The decline in growth and lower
their businesses, and higher levels of mortality profits also affect tax receipts negatively.
among employers because of AIDS. These, together with higher social support and
health care expenditure, increase government
• Depletion of human capital. The personal and fiscal difficulties. In addition, the government
economic returns from years of investment in loses valuable skilled employees as more civil
schooling and higher education are often cut servants and teachers fall prey to the epidemic.
off before any returns can accrue to the indi- The epidemic also overburdens social systems
vidual, family or society (Simkins 2002). Mor- and poses challenges for the welfare system.
tality among breadwinners and other parents
• Impact on the workplace. It has already
weakens families, and this damages the acqui-
been found that HIV and AIDS has a nega-
sition of human capital by children. Children,
tive impact on the profitability of companies
for instance, have to fend for themselves, and
in the sectors worst affected by the disease.
do not receive material or emotional support
The largest negative effect has been on labour
to attend school. productivity and absenteeism, followed by
• Poverty and inequality. Many households face the increased employer contributions to vari-
dire financial difficulties as their breadwin- ous benefit schemes (medical aid contribu-
ners fall ill and die, and household incomes tions, pension, life and disability insurance,
and funeral benefits) (SABCOHA/BER 2005).
are diverted for the care of HIV and AIDS-af-
Companies have also experienced higher
fected persons and funerals. This makes the
labour turnover, have lost experience and
achievement of overall development object-
skills, and have incurred higher recruitment
ives more difficult, and is likely to increase
and training costs. However, the loss in pro-
the generally high level of inequality already
duction will probably be less than the reduc-
found in the country. As employers attempt
tion in the labour force, because companies
to become more capital intensive by decreas-
will strive to maintain production, for instance
ing their reliance on unskilled workers and by by replacing labour losses from the ranks of
employing more skilled workers, inequalities the unemployed, by importing skills or by
also increase. implementing more productive labour-sav-
• Insurance industry and benefit schemes. ing technologies. Although AIDS will lead
to losses of labour, a high proportion will be
Employers face increased contributions to
semi-skilled or unskilled workers, who can
their employees’ life, disability and medical
be replaced. Production costs will, however,
benefit schemes. Insurers, and in particular life
increase because of several of the factors men-
insurers, are exposed to increased liabilities
tioned above. There will also be pressure on
on existing policies. Various methods are also
salaries because of increased skills shortages
being employed to limit future liabilities.
and union pressure for companies to make
• Direct health costs. The impact of AIDS on up for the increased health care spending of
medical costs and health services is quite sig- households.
nificant. Hospitals are overburdened with • Other macroeconomic effects. The macro-
AIDS patients, reducing effective health economic consequences of AIDS are not
care. As the provision of ART is expanded, seen to be devastating (Bureau for Econom-
the effect of HIV and AIDS on hospitals is ic Research (BER) 2001: 5). However, esti-
reduced, but other medical costs, especially mates of the impact on the economic growth
those of pharmaceuticals and associated med- rates (as measured by increases in GDP) vary
ical support services to administer the drugs, greatly, for example between the World Bank
are high. Households also redirect their spend- (Arndt & Lewis 2000), which estimates a sig-
ing to health care spending. nificant impact, and the BER (2001), which
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
~ The HIV epidemic in South Africa is spreading rapidly and it is estimated that more than 10 per
SUMMARY
cent of the total population is HIV positive. Among adults, the rate could be significantly higher
at about 16%.
~ AIDS will not “solve” South Africa’s unemployment problem because the medical and econom-
ic costs of AIDS will be so high that they will seriously damage the economy long before the
demographic effects of AIDS are felt.
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T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
~ There are various reasons for the high incidence of HIV and AIDS, and therefore also various
elements to a strategy to deal with the epidemic. Probably the most important elements are
ensuring safe sexual behaviour and eliminating discrimination against women and HIV and
AIDS sufferers.
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
Policy issue: A cost-benefit analysis of They point out that greater immigration of
immigration highly skilled workers will help limit salary
increases for such workers (and thus the
Steyn, Meintjies and Haasbroek (1986)
increase in wage inequality).
undertook a cost-benefit analysis of immi-
gration to South Africa. They concluded
that for the employer it is more cost-effect-
ive to make use of immigrants than to train SO U TH A F R I C A N I M M I G R A TI O N A N D
local people when graduates and technicians E M I G R A TI O N
are needed. With regard to artisans, oper- The country’s domestic skills production sys-
ators and other related occupations, the tem is grossly inefficient: children fare badly in
opposite applies and it is more cost-effective almost every international test of literacy and
to train locally. numeracy; the training of technicians and arti-
From a purely cost-effective point of sans has all but ground to a halt; and universi-
view, it is also better for the state to rely on ties produce far too few engineers, managers and
immigration rather than on training, espe- other skilled people. To make matters worse,
cially with regard to tertiary qualifications, skilled people have been leaving the country at
an alarming rate (CDM 2010: 10).
which are heavily subsidised by the fiscus.
Although it is critically important to transform
However, the criteria for the state cannot be the whole system of human resource develop-
based purely on cost considerations. Other ment in South Africa, this will take many years
objectives such as employment creation, to achieve. The only way in which South Africa
upliftment of the local population, ensuring can access the large number of skilled workers
a stable supply of skilled workers and black that it requires is to import skilled staff from
advancement should also play at least as outside the country by way of changes to its
important a role. immigration policy.
In addition to purely cost considerations, South Africa no longer keeps data on official
the Harvard Group appointed by the South immigration and emigration. This means that
African government to advise it on eco- one cannot determine whether the country is
gaining or losing skills on a net basis – this while
nomic growth and development (Hausman
the availability of skills is a critical element for
2008) pointed out that all empirical studies the long-term growth of the country.
of labour demand show that high skilled Official data on net immigration is thus avail-
and low skilled workers are strongly com- able only up to 2003. In the past, the immigra-
plementary, not substitutes. Coffee and tea tion of skilled people had a significant impact
are substitutes while coffee and sugar are on the supply of labour in South Africa and
complements. This means that the greater especially on the supply of high-level personnel.
the supply of skilled workers, the greater the From 1960 until the 1994 elections there was
demand for unskilled workers. The short- a substantial net gain of migrants as a result of
age of highly skilled workers causes a lower factors such as high economic growth and the
demand for low skilled workers: the lack of active recruitment of immigrants to South Africa
through financial assistance. During the period
engineers may cause the loss of hundreds of
1947 to 1993 South Africa experienced a total
blue collar jobs. They state that since the net gain of 688 000 people or an average of
shared growth strategy involves maximising 15 000 people per annum.
the job opportunities of the less skilled, it is These gains had a substantial influence on the
fundamental that the high skill constraint be increase in the supply of skilled labour in South
relaxed, especially in tradables. An obvious Africa. Between 1965 and 1985, for example,
policy by which to relax the constraint net immigration contributed about a quarter of
quickly is through the liberalisation and the increase in highly skilled and skilled person-
encouragement of high skilled immigration. nel (National Manpower Commission (NMC)
1987: 34). However, since the middle of the
Í
26 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
1990s, this no longer seems to be the case and
a net loss of migrants seems to have become the competitive global labour market, and
norm. we have lost many skilled citizens. We
The CDM (2010: 10) refers to studies that have also failed to manage the influx
estimated that more than 520 000 South Afri- of irregular migrants looking for jobs,
cans had emigrated between 1989 and 2003, many of whom lack the formal quali-
with the numbers growing by about 9% a year. fications that would enable them to
About 120 000 of those emigrants had profes- obtain residence permits, but who often
sional qualifications, amounting to about 7 per
have some skills and energy needed to
cent of the total stock of professionals employed
make an economic contribution. At the
in South Africa, and more than eight times the
number of professional immigrants in the same same time, a flood of asylum-seekers
period. has taken our asylum and refugee sys-
tems to the brink of collapse.
Immigration policy
In spite of the economic benefits of immi- FA C TO R S C A U S I N G I M M I G RA T I O N A N D
EM I G RA T I O N
gration gains, several countries have recent-
ly been experiencing disenchantment with There is much speculation about the causes of
the multicultural approach that migrants immigration and emigration, but relatively little
inevitably bring about. Feelings of resent- empirical research. The factors normally men-
tioned as causes are crime and violence, affirma-
ment among pockets of the population,
tive action and racism. However, in an empiric-
together with increased concerns about
al study, Myburgh (2004) found that the most
national security, the granting of asylum, important factors causing emigration from South
undocumented movements and the like have Africa are
led to a re-examination of immigration poli-
• real wage differentials between South Africa
cies in several countries (United Nations and the destination country
2004: xv). By 2003, for example, one-third • immigration restrictions in the destination
of all countries had policies to reduce immi- country
gration compared with only 7 per cent in • political uncertainty in South Africa.
1976.
This is quite a change from only a few With regard to political uncertainty, Myburgh
years back when countries such as Britain found that the mid-1980s seemed to be the only
introduced policies to attract innovative clear example of emigration induced, in part,
people with high-tech skills from abroad by political uncertainty in the last 20 years.
Increased emigration in the 1990s occurred in
(Absa 2001a: 13) and the USA considered
the context of rising real wage differentials in
tax cuts in part designed to attract more
Australia and the UK.
skilled immigrants into the country. Furthermore, Mattes and Richmond (as
The resistance to the immigration of quoted by Myburgh 2004) found that sur-
skilled workers seems to be much more vey evidence does not support the hypothesis
severe in South Africa. The CDM (2010: 13) that racism and affirmative action are import-
describes South Africa’s immigration policy ant drivers of emigration. This is in contrast to
as follows: violence, which was found to be an important
causal factor (see research quoted by Myburgh
South Africa’s responses to these pres- 2004: 145).
sures and opportunities have been If South Africa intends retaining the core of
poorly conceived and badly imple- its skills base, it needs to take careful note of the
mented. We have failed to attract factors causing an outflow of skills. As predicted
adequate numbers of skilled people in a by the ILO, the market for highly skilled work-
ers is likely to become more globally integrated
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µ BACK TO CONTENTS 27
C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
and labour migration is expected to feature more developments in the mining industry (see accom-
prominently in the future (as quoted by Strydom panying box). Since then, the numbers have
2003: 5). remained fairly constant.
In recent years the problem of irregular
migrants from neighbouring countries has
~ The influence of immigration on the assumed serious proportions.
supply of labour in South Africa, and The CDM (2010: 19) refers to surveys that
especially on the supply of high-level demonstrate that irregular workers can and
personnel, was considerable before do make important contributions to the South
African economy. For instance, they are much
SUMMARY
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
SUMMARY
The result is a breakdown of social values countries of origin.
and family life, and social ills and diseases are
exacerbated. ~ There does not seem to be a reduc-
tion in internal migration, and migra-
tion by female workers has in fact
increased.
~ Remittances continue to form an
important part – about a third – of the
expenditure of rural households.
30 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
A
1
A1
Income
B
1 B1
2 3
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Hours of leisure
Figure 2.5 The indifference curve
Workaholic
Workaholic Leisure
Leisurelover
lover
Income
Income
Income
Income
XX XX
Hours
Hoursofofleisure
leisure Hours
Hoursofofleisure
leisure
et al. 2006: 18). The workaholic’s curve is various combinations in between. Higher wage
relatively flat, indicating that this individual rates will move the line upwards along the ver-
will readily give up an hour of leisure (X) for tical axis, as indicated. As the total number of
a relatively small increase in income. The lei- hours in a day is fixed, the other end of the line
sure lover, on the other hand, will require a is obviously fixed.
large increase in wages to give up an hour of The individual can be at any point below or
leisure. The workaholic’s curve is more elas- on the budget line, but cannot be above the line
tic. – the combination of income and leisure repre-
sented by points above the budget line is not
Another factor determining each individual’s available at the given wage rates.
preferences is the type of work undertaken – a
person who enjoys his work, such as a musi-
cian, will require only a very small increase in
the wage rate to sacrifice some leisure time. Con-
versely, a gold miner working underground may
require a much higher wage increase to decrease 480
Income
32 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
I2, both income and leisure time are increased. time. His hours of work will then start declining
Thus, maximum utility is achieved at the point owing to his higher income.
where the indifference curve just touches (i.e. This is illustrated diagrammatically in Figure
is tangent to) the budget line, at point C. This 2.10. Each higher wage rate results in a steep-
is called the utility-maximising point. As stated er budget line (W1, W2, etc.). The tangencies of
above, the individual cannot be at a point above these budget lines with the indifference curves
the budget line, only on or below. The number result in a series of utility-maximising points
of leisure hours (and by implication the number (U1, U2, etc.). Initially, the individual may pre-
of hours worked), as well as the wages, can be fer to have less leisure time as wages increase,
read off the horizontal and vertical axes. (e.g. moving from point U1 to U2). However,
at some point he chooses more leisure time as
wages increase, and moves from U4 to U5 – a
wage increase at this point reduces rather than
increases hours of work.
W5
Income
C
I2
I1 W4
Income
Hours of leisure
U5
Figure 2.9 Utility maximisation W3
U4
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C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
W3 U3
2.8.5 The market supply of labour
When it comes to the market supply of labour,
W2 U2 all the individual (i.e. backward-bending) sup-
ply curves need to be added together. However,
other factors then also come into play: as wage
W1 U1 rates increase, individuals who have not worked
before might choose to enter the labour market
or people might be attracted away from other
0 24
Hours of work labour markets to a labour market that pays
higher wages. All these factors, together with the
Figure 2.11 The backward-bending labour fact that different persons enter the labour mar-
supply curve ket at different wage rates, result in the back-
ward-bending part of the labour supply curve
The same model applies to the household – disappearing. Therefore, for the labour market
initially a wife might not work (i.e. outside the overall, higher wages normally result in a higher
home), but might decide to work if the wages number of workers supplied.
she can earn increases. She thus gives up some For the labour market as a whole, the labour
“leisure time”. Alternatively, as wages increase, supply curve is therefore positively sloped as
the family might decide to engage in less time-in- indicated by the line S1 (for “supply”) in Figure
tensive leisure activities such as playing golf 2.12. Assume a wage rate of W1. Labour supply
and rather play squash (this would also be the will be L1. If wages increase from W1 to W2,
substitution effect, as it allows more time for the supply of labour will increase from L1 to L2
work). However, as wages increase and thus also (this represents a movement along the curve S1).
the financial ability to buy and consume goods
(including the ability to go on holidays, watch Wage
movies, etc.), more time is needed to enjoy the rate S1 S2
goods, and the hours of work of the household
might fall – higher wages at this point lead to
reduced working hours (the income effect). W2
It has been found that there is often a steady
decline in the hours of work over time for the W1
workforce as a whole. In the USA, for instance,
the hours of work among males declined
between 1900 and 1940 at a rate of roughly
9–10% per decade (Marshall et al. 1980: 217).
L1 L2 L3
Number of workers
Figure 2.12 The market supply of labour
34 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R 2
The supply curve as a whole will shift to the
right or left if influenced by external (exogen- ~ The individual labour supply curve is
ous) factors, for example more women wanting the line connecting the various points
to work or large immigration gains. An increase where the individual’s indifference
in the supply of labour will shift curve S1 as a curves are tangential to the individ-
whole to S2, which means that more workers ual’s budget curves with increasing
(L3 instead of L1) are available for work at the levels of income.
wage level W1. Emigration of workers will shift
SUMMARY
~ The individual labour supply (or
the curve to the left. hours of work) will increase as wages
The magnitude of the changes in supply can increase, but only up to a point, at
also vary. This will depend on the responsive- which stage a person may prefer more
ness (elasticity) of the supply of labour to chan- leisure hours as wages increase. This is
ges in wages (the gradient of the curve). For called the backward-bending labour
the individual, this was explained above with supply curve.
regard to the workaholic and the leisure lover.
This responsiveness is called elasticity; the more ~ The market supply of labour will
elastic the supply of labour, the more the supply increase as wages increase, and the
of labour will increase with an increase in the supply curve is upward sloping with-
wage rate. The concept of elasticity is discussed out any backward-bending portion.
in greater depth in Chapter 3.
Key concepts
economically active population antiretroviral treatment (ART)
fertility rate immigration and emigration
labour force migrant labour
dependency ratio indifference curve
labour force participation rate (LFPR) budget constraint
natural rate of population increase income effect
population pyramid substitution effect
total fertility rate backward-bending labour supply curve
theory of demographic transition elasticity
HIV and AIDS
For students
1. “Something should be done to ensure 3. Would you say that the contribution of
that the labour force does not outpace female workers to the South African econ-
the available employment opportunities.” omy is properly measured? Discuss.
Critically discuss this statement, with
specific reference to the most important 4. What has happened to population growth
factors that determine the supply of labour rates in South Africa in recent years and
in South Africa. what are the possible reasons for this
development?
2. What has happened to the labour force
participation rate of women in South Afri- 5. What has happened to fertility rates in
ca in recent years and what are some pos- South Africa in recent years? Discuss the
sible reasons for this development? reasons for this development in an African
µ BACK TO CONTENTS 35
C H A P T E R 2 T H E S U P P LY O F L A B O U R
and, more specifically, South African, con- 12. Discuss the concept of an indifference
text. curve and indicate some of its most
important characteristics.
6. Discuss the various stages that a popula-
tion might be expected to pass through in 13. Use graphs to explain how the individual
terms of demographic developments. labour supply curve can be obtained from
indifference curves and budget constraint
7. Discuss the possible socioeconomic, demo-
lines.
graphic and labour market implications of
the HIV and AIDS epidemic. 14. Use a graphic illustration to describe brief-
ly what the influence of each of the fol-
8. Discuss the most important elements of a
lowing would be on the market supply of
strategy to deal with HIV and AIDS.
labour:
9. What factors influence immigration and 14.1 An increase in immigrants
emigration? 14.2 A reduction in wage rates
10. Critically discuss the government’s immi- 14.3
More women entering the labour
gration policy, with particular reference market
to a cost-benefit analysis of immigration 14.4 More students studying full-time
and current immigration and emigration 15. Discuss how different labour supply elas-
trends. ticities can have varying impacts on the
11. Discuss the advantages and disadvantages supply of labour.
of migrant labour from neighbouring
countries
11.1 for South Africa
11.2 for our neighbouring countries.
Suggested reading*
ARNDT, C. & LEWIS, J.D. 2000. STATISTICS SOUTH AFRICA. 2005.
The macro-economic implications of HIV/AIDS in Labour Force Survey, September 2005. Pretoria:
South Africa: a preliminary assessment. South Statistics South Africa.
African Journal of Economics. Vol. 68, No. 5,
VAN AARDT, C. 2001.
December.
The impact of HIV/AIDS on the South African
CASALE, D.M. & POSEL, D.R. 2002. labour market from a critical perspective.
The continued feminisation of the labour force in S A Journal of Demography. Vol. 8, No. 1.
South Africa: an analysis of recent data and
trends. South African Journal of Economics.
Vol 70: 1, March.
MCCONNELL, C.R., BRUE, S.L. &
MACPHERSON, D.A.
2006. Contemporary labor economics. New York: * The bibliography contains the full list of
McGraw-Hill. references.
36 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
OUTLINE OF THIS CHAPTER
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Employment in South Africa
3.3 Jobs created per unit of production
3.4 Capital and labour intensity
3.5 Some factors that influence the demand
for labour in South Africa
The demand
3.6
3.7
The informal sector
Deeper insight: deriving the demand for
for labour
labour
Lord Finchley tried to mend the ’lectric light himself; it struck him
dead and serve him right: it is the business of the wealthy man to
given employment to the artisan.
HI L A I R E B E L L O C
3.1 INTRODUCTION
The demand for labour is a derived demand, previously, economists are advised to start with
which means that it is dependent on the con- the last section of the chapter as it lays a good
sumer demand for the product produced by that foundation for the rest of the chapter.)
labour or for the service provided by that labour. The responsiveness of the demand for labour
The demand for labour will thus be influenced to economic growth appears to change over
by the price of labour (which impacts on the time. For instance, for the same given econom-
price of the product or service) and by increases ic growth rate, the demand for labour is cur-
or decreases in the demand for the product or rently lower than in earlier years. For each 1%
service produced by the labour. It will also be of economic growth, South Africa would thus
influenced by other factors such as the market have created more jobs in the 1960s to 1980s
value of the product and by how much of the than is currently the case. South Africa is there-
product is produced by the labour, i.e. how pro- fore experiencing a much less labour-intensive
ductive the specific worker is. growth pattern than before.
This theoretical relationship between the Some of the factors that might be the cause
demand for labour and the price of labour – the of the relatively slow increase in employment in
wage rate – is discussed in this chapter (sec- South Africa are discussed in section 3.5. The
tion 3.7). This relationship can change over discussion is relatively brief because the various
time because, if the wage rate increases sharp- factors are dealt with in more detail in other sec-
ly, an employer can start replacing labour with tions of this book.
machinery. The short-run and long-run demand
for labour therefore differ. (The more theoretical It is not the employer who pays
concepts are discussed at the end of the chap- wages; he only handles the money.
ter (see section 3.7) because they are relatively It is the product that pays wages.
difficult for non-economists to grasp. As stated
Henry Ford
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
Most of the data on the demand for labour in census does not measure the number of people
this chapter refer to formal employment. How- involved in the informal sector properly, because
ever, there is also another source of work for it does not ask detailed enough questions to
persons in the labour market – the informal or determine informal sector activities.
unrecorded sector, often referred to as a sponge
of the economy. This is because persons who are SA M P L E S U R V EYS A M O N G BU S I N E S S E S
unable to find a job in the formal sense of the
word, more often than not turn to the informal Statistics South Africa uses the Quarterly Employ-
sector to earn a living. ment Statistics (QES) to measure employment
These are the aspects discussed in this chapter. among businesses in the formal sector in South
The chapter starts with an overview of employ- Africa. Prior to June 2005, there was the Survey
ment in South Africa (in effect the employment of Employment and Earnings (SEE) and before
position in the formal and informal sectors) that the Survey of Total Employment and Earn-
and by outlining some of the characteristics of ings. The main difference between the QES and
employment in South Africa. First, however, it the SEE is that the QES covers more employers,
is necessary to discuss how employment is meas- and in particular provides better coverage of small
ured. firms (all firms registered for income tax are sup-
posed to be covered). However, the QES excludes
working proprietors and own-account workers
3.1.1 The measurement of and all other employees who are not remunerat-
employment ed through the firm’s payroll, such as commis-
Employment data are important for a number sion-only workers. The QES, therefore, can also
of reasons. First and foremost, it would not be not be compared with the Labour Force Survey
possible to determine what factors influence the (LFS), which is discussed in the next section.
demand for labour without reliable statistics on However, the SEE before 2003 is also sub-
employment. Employment data are also used to ject to significant limitations, and it underesti-
calculate productivity, per capita earnings and mated total employment owing to the exclusion
several other economic indicators. of agricultural and domestic workers; the high
However, employment data in South Afri- non-response rates, for example in the retail
ca are often poor and selective. In addition, trade; and incomplete coverage of, for example,
the data are not comparable over time, owing parts of construction, private transport and com-
to various definitional and other changes, such munication, social and personal services (ILO
as the exclusion of the former TBVC territories Review 1996: 97; Statistics South Africa Sta-
until 1994. In the following sections, various tistical Release P0210; Altman 2008). There is
sources of data will be discussed. thus a break in the employment series before and
after 2002, which has resulted in a number of
P O P ULATION CENSUS incorrect conclusions being made about a falling
wage share, falling manufacturing employment
The population census is not very reliable. For
and a weakening employment–growth relation-
instance, in a comparison of the 1996 manu-
ship (see Altman 2008).
facturing census and the population census of
Furthermore, it is difficult to measure atyp-
the same year, Wittenberg (2004: 1004) found
ical forms of employment in these surveys (see
that the population census had counted 300 000
section 6.6.2). Employment by small enterprises
fewer manufacturing workers. Based on a
and casual, subcontracted and other irregular
detailed analysis, he concluded that the manu-
forms of employment are often not recorded.
facturing census figure was probably the more
This is a serious shortcoming, because more and
correct one. He also found that too few mining
more enterprises are subcontracting or outsourc-
workers and possibly too few construction and
ing large sections of their work.
domestic workers were recorded in the popula-
tion census. The reasons for understating some Blessed is he who has found
sections of the population is related to difficul-
his work. Let him ask no
ties in counting homeless people, single-person
other blessedness.
households and other fairly mobile sections of
the population. Furthermore, the population Thomas Carlyle
38 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
H O U S EHOLD SURVEYS • The Labour Force Survey (LFS)
Another source of data on employment in both The first LFS was conducted in 2000 and since
the formal and informal sectors is the house- then it has been undertaken on a six-month-
hold surveys undertaken on a regular basis by ly basis in March and September each year.
Statistics South Africa. There have been a num- The LFS is more focused on labour issues
ber of changes to the surveys over time, the most than its predecessor (the OHS) since the bulk
important of which resulted in different nomen- of the non-labour questions were channelled
clature being used to indicate the use of different to the General Household Survey (GHS). The
survey methodologies. LFS also asked many more probing questions
regarding the informal sector and subsistence
• The October Household Survey (OHS) farming. This changeover from the OHS to the
The principal vehicle for collecting labour mar- LFS probably resulted in the jump in the num-
ket information for the whole country over the ber of self-employed workers in the informal
period 1993–1999 was the annual October sector.
Household Survey (OHS). However, the OHS
also collected information from respondents • The Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS)
about a diverse range of issues relating to The decision to redesign all aspects of the LFS
births and deaths, health, crime, education and emanated from criticisms by data users and
training initiatives, as well as the services and these are documented in the report written by
amenities available to the dwelling(s) in which International Monetary Fund (IMF) consult-
households lived and so on. ants in June 2005. These criticisms related to
In regard to employment in particular, Altman the scope, coverage, timeliness and frequency
(2008) indicates that the OHS figures for the of the survey (Statistics South Africa 2008a).
period 1995–1996 need to be questioned. She In addressing these issues, Statistics South
maintains that the series for agriculture, min- Africa decided to embark on a quarterly cycle
ing and community, social and personal ser- for the collection of labour market informa-
vices needs to be approached with much cir- tion from 2008.
cumspection. Furthermore, in 1995–1996 the
informal sector only included the self-employed Non-market production activities in the QLFS:
and not employees in the informal sector (who The international guidelines require that
were probably added to formal employment). non-market production activities be included as
This led to an undercount of the informal sec- employment only if they make a substantial con-
tor in these years. Furthermore, unpaid family tribution to the total consumption of the house-
workers were not included as workers in the hold. Because of the difficulty of establishing
OHS (which led to an undercount of more than robust criteria for their inclusion as employment
100 000). The inclusion of subsistence agricul- in the QLFS, individuals who are engaged in
ture would also have resulted in serious varia- non-market production activities, such as sub-
tions in employment estimates (between 37 000 sistence farming, fetching wood and collecting
and 1 million in different years). Since 2008, water, making clay pots, etc., for the use or con-
the latest survey (the QLFS) has excluded sub- sumption of their own household are thus rout-
sistence agriculture. ed to questions that determine whether they are
either unemployed or economically inactive (Sta-
Other authors have also raised concerns over tistics South Africa 2008). The two components
whether the 1996 and 1998 OHS survey are then identified as follows:
results are consistent with those provided by
the other OHSs (Klasen & Woolard, as quot- • The unemployed (i.e. persons engaged only in
ed by Casale & Posel 2002: 161). In addition, non-market production activities, who actively
questions were changed or added over time sought work and were available for work in
as Statistics South Africa tried to improve the the reference period).
surveys, and there were also definitional chan- • The not economically active (i.e. persons
ges. The 1999 OHS was, for instance, more engaged in non-market production activities
explicit than the 1995 OHS survey in identify- who did not engage in any type of job-search
ing informal sector work as employment. activity during the reference period).
µ BACK TO CONTENTS 39
C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
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EBS
THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
is classified as unemployed). If not, the person sectors is presented in Table 3.1. It shows that
is regarded as economically inactive because the formal sector is still the biggest job provider,
Statistics South Africa is unable to determine if with over two-thirds of all employment being in
their activities made a “significant contribution” this sector. The informal sector (including agri-
to total household consumption levels (Statistics culture) is responsible for about a fifth of the
South Africa 2008: 8) number of jobs.
It could on the one hand be argued that sur- The sharpest increases in employment took
vivalist activities such as subsistence agriculture place in the informal sector, but this is an issue
should be understood as a form of (informal) that will be discussed in more detail later.
unemployment insurance rather than as employ- Compared to the 9.4 million formal sector
ment, because this is what people fall back on employees (excluding agriculture and domestic
when real employment opportunities are not work), according to the September 2011 QLFS,
available. However, subsistence agriculture the QES (the formal sector business survey)
could also be classified as self-employment, recorded only 8.4 million employees. The lar-
which would make a lot of sense in the light of gest difference was in the trade sector, where it
agriculture being a basic economic activity since would have been difficult to determine the exact
the beginning of time. number of employees in small businesses that
Subsistence agriculture involves about 1.4 constantly start up or close down, or where there
million people. This is a strange anomaly: the might be some uncertainty in the QLFS about
earlier LFS explicitly counted subsistence agri- whether the business was formal or informal.
culture activities as employment (CDE 2010). Also, unpaid or commission-only workers are
This might also be one of the reasons for the not included in the QES.
relatively low employment rates. A simple calcu-
lation suggests that if these persons were indeed 3.2.3 Changes in employment over
regarded as being in employment, the measured time
employment rate would increase to 47%.
Total employment (including the informal sec-
tor, but excluding private households) increased
3.2.2 Employment in the formal and
at a modest rate over the 25 years between 1970
informal sectors
and 1995, namely, at an average annual rate of
According to the QLFS (the household survey), increase of 0.6%. However, there is some doubt
slightly more than 40% of the working popula- about the strict comparability of data in the
tion or about three-quarters of the total labour two years at the start and end of the period, for
force was employed in the formal and informal instance the 1970 data were based on the cen-
sectors in December 2011, i.e. about 12.3 mil- sus, whereas the 1995 data were based on the
lion people. The breakdown of the employed household survey (the October Household Sur-
and self-employed in the formal and informal vey). There are also other reasons for the data
Table 3.1 Employment in the formal and informal sector, September 2001–September 2011 (’000)
Statistics South Africa, Labour Force Survey (Historical Revision) and Quarterly Labour Force Survey
Sources:
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
SUMMARY
of jobs increased by about 1.4 million
cussed above between 1995 and 2005.
After 1995, employment increased at a more
~ Many of these jobs (probably more
respectable rate – over the 16 years between
than half) were created in the informal
1995 and 2011 the average increase in employ-
sector, whereas it appears the formal
ment was 2.2%. However, these numbers are
sector created jobs only after 2001.
equally suspect. They are, for one thing, also
based on different surveys with different meth-
odologies. In particular, the 1995 employment
figures are based on the OHS and the 2011 on 3.2.4 Labour absorption capacity
the QLFS. Casale, Muller and Posel (2004: 981–
986) point out that there were significant dif- Employment in South Africa has not been
ferences in survey design between the OHS and increasing sufficiently to accommodate the high
the survey that followed the OHS, the LFS, with number of new entrants to the labour market,
the LFS providing a far more detailed explan- which manifests itself in the growing number
ation of what constitutes a job. The objective of unemployed persons in South Africa. In fact
was to ensure better coverage of irregular and there has been a decline in the percentage of new
informal work than was the case in the OHS. entrants to the labour force able to find work.
This changeover probably resulted in the 26% The percentage of new entrants to the labour
jump in the number of self-employed workers in force that finds a job in the formal sector of the
the informal sector when the LFS replaced the economy is called the labour absorption capacity
OHS. The QLFS, if anything, resulted in an even of the economy.
better measurement of the informal sector with Loots (1996) found that the labour absorption
the exception of subsistence agriculture. Owing capacity of the formal economy is declining dan-
to uncertainties with the definition of subsistence gerously and rapidly, as indicated by the follow-
agriculture, the QLFS excludes a large propor- ing data:
tion of subsistence agriculture.
1973–1977 80%
The growth in employment must also be con-
1978–1981 72%
sidered in the light of the sharp increase in the
1982–1985 30%
EAP. Compared with the increase of 3.8 million
1986–1989 27%
in the total number of jobs between 1995 and
1990–1995 minus 11%
2011, the labour force increased by 6.2 million.
Therefore, a little more than half of those that
This means that whereas the South African econ-
entered the labour market (i.e. who wanted to
omy provided jobs for nearly three out of every
work) actually found employment in either the
formal or informal sectors. four entrants to the labour market before the
1980s, this dropped to only one in every seven
in the 1980s. The situation has deteriorated even
I M P ACT OF THE 2 008 RECESSION
further since then. Not only were hardly any
According to the QLFS, about 870 000 work- new entrants to the labour market able to find
ers lost their jobs over the period of December formal employment in the 1990s, but many of
2008 to September 2010. Those who bore the those previously employed lost their jobs as well
brunt of the recession were young, African, male (Schlemmer & Levitz 1998: 13).
or female workers with incomplete schooling. Since 2001, the situation has changed some-
Slightly less than 500 000 jobs were lost in the what. Over the period 2001–2005, the labour
formal sector, with employment in the informal force increased by 1.4 million people (disre-
sector, agriculture and private households also garding the discouraged work-seekers, as dis-
being significantly affected by the recession. In cussed in section 8.2.1). The number of formal
terms of sectoral results, large job losses were employment opportunities increased by nearly
experienced in manufacturing (and to some 700 000, which gives a labour absorption cap-
extent construction), with semi-skilled workers acity of nearly 50%. This means that a little
in particular being negatively affected. less than half of all people who had entered the
42 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
labour market after 2000 in search of employ- ness services sector and the wholesale and retail
ment did in fact find employment. If jobs in trade sector, both of which increased their shares
the informal sector are added, then a high per- in GDP. The transport sector and community,
centage of the new entrants found some type of social and personal services sectors both experi-
work. Even though this makes little impression enced significant increases in their employment
on unemployment, it is a vast improvement on numbers.
the situation that existed in the 1980s, and espe- In manufacturing, employment increased by
cially in the 1990s. an average of 1.4% per annum in both the pre-
1995 and post-1995 periods (see Table 3.2). The
3.2.5 Employment by sector major uptake in employment was therefore in
the tertiary sector. Agriculture went from 33%
The two primary sectors, agriculture and mining,
of total employment to less than 5%, while
with decreasing shares in GDP, have suffered
huge employment losses since 1970. In 2011, wholesale and retail trade increased from 9 to
employment in agriculture constituted only a 23% and employment in the financial sector also
quarter of its 1970 levels and mining employ- increased substantially, namely, from 3 to 13%.
ment had halved. The rate of decline in employ- As far as the cyclical nature of employment
ment in these two sectors increased substantially is concerned, during the financial crisis employ-
in the post-1995 period when compared to the ment declined significantly in the wholesale
pre-1995 period. The total loss of employment and retail trade sector – the largest employing
in these two sectors since 1970 is more than 2 sector in the economy. This sectoral result also
million. “indirectly reflects on the impact of the crisis on
Employment in most other sectors increased. informal sector employment which was particu-
The largest percentage and absolute increases larly adversely affected by recession” (Bhorat
in employment were in the financial and busi- undated: 9).
Table 3.2 Employment in the formal and informal sectors by industry, 1970, 1995 and 2011 (‘000)
1970–1995 1995–2011
1970 1995 2011
% change % change
Agriculture 2 482 1 235 –2.8 624 –4.2
Mining 680 593 –0.5 324 –3.7
Manufacturing 1 026 1 431 1.3 1 737 1.2
Utilities 47 83 2.3 73 –0.8
Construction 476 444 –0.3 1 086 5.7
Trade 708 1 663 3.5 3 012 3.8
Transport 338 474 1.4 756 3.0
Finance 190 579 4.6 1 768 7.2
Community and social services 1 595 2 145 1.2 2 836 1.8
Private households (a) 799 1 098 2.0
Other 111 4 0.0
Total 7 542 9 557 0.6 (a) 13 318 2.1
43
C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
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THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
125 tially among white workers. Bhorat finds the
loss of skills from South Africa extremely worry-
African ing, and describes it as one of the “most serious
120
people constraints” this country is facing.
Index of employment
115
3.2.8 Atypical employment
110
Atypical (or “non-standard”) employment is
defined as employment that is not full-time
105
(part-time work) or is of limited duration
(temporary). It could also be employment at a
100 workplace other than that of the employer, for
instance if labour brokers are used (Department
95 White people of Labour 2004: par 2.2). There has been a
sharp increase in the utilisation of such employ-
90 ees. This is discussed in more detail in section
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 6.6.2.
Year
Figure 3.1 Index of employment in the formal
economy by race 2001–2011
~ Most of the formal sector jobs created
Source: Statistics South Africa, Labour Force Surveys and Quarterly over the last number of years have
Labour Force Surveys (September)
been created in the trade, construc-
SUMMARY
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
Employment elasticity of economic growth = With the exception of the last few years, these
figures are cause for deep concern, because they
% change in employment
mean that even if the country were to achieve
% change in economic growth relatively high rates of economic growth, the
chances of jobs being created at a rapid rate are
If the coefficient (or elasticity) is relatively high slim.
(the sensitivity is high), it means that a 1% eco-
The employment elasticity of economic
nomic growth rate will result in a relatively high
growth also seems to be deteriorating, unless the
increase in employment. The lower the employ-
last few years are an indication of a new trend
ment elasticity, the fewer the jobs that are cre-
of improvement in this elasticity. In recent years,
ated for every 1% of economic growth, and the
South Africa has experienced what is called job-
higher the real economic growth rate needed to
less growth, with employment declining even
alleviate the country’s unemployment and under-
during periods of positive economic growth. In
employment problems.
the period 1994–2001, for instance, the coun-
Figure 3.2 indicates that the employment elas-
try’s economy grew by 2.7% per annum, but for-
ticity of economic growth has generally showed
mal employment continued to decline (by more
a declining trend since the 1970s, and that it
than 1%). The employment elasticity was there-
became negative during the 1990s. This means
fore negative. This can be compared with the
that instead of jobs being created, jobs have
period 1973–1978, when the economic growth
actually been lost for every 1% of economic
rate was similar to the former period (2.9% per
growth. This changed again towards the begin-
annum). However, during the 1973–1978 period
ning of the 2000s, when the economy started to
employment increased by 2.2% per annum. Pos-
create more jobs for every 1% increase in GDP.
sible reasons for this worrying phenomenon are
The following employment elasticities of eco-
discussed in section 3.5.
nomic growth have been recorded since 1969:
These findings are questioned by Bhorat and
1969–1985: 0.55 Oosthuizen (2006: 156). The conclusions about
1987–2000: 20.36 jobless growth are based on incomplete data,
2000–2005: 0.33 because the formal employment surveys exclude
Full period 1969–2005: 0.18 the agricultural sector, the informal sector, sev-
4.0
2.0
0.0
Coefficient
–2.0
–4.0
–6.0
–8.0
69
71
73
75
77
79
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
05
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Year
Figure 3.2 Employment coefficient,* 1969–2005
* % change in jobs for every 1% change in economic growth
Sources: 1969–2001: SA Reserve Bank, Data series 7009L and 6006Z; 2002–2005: Statistics South Africa, Labour Force Survey
46 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
eral subsectors and many small businesses. If the decline to poor employment performance fol-
household surveys are used rather than enter- lowing the global economic slowdown that
prise-based employment surveys, there is no began in 2001. The ILO also finds the global
evidence of jobless growth. However, they also employment elasticity to be low in the industrial
caution (p. 163) that some of the recorded rise sector (0.28 over the full period) and high in the
in employment might be ascribed to changes in services sector (0.57).
survey design and quality, rather than a real rise The Centre for Development and Enterprise
in employment. This is because of shortcomings (CDE) has also referred to the link between eco-
with the 1995 household survey, which probably nomic growth and job creation in South Africa
underestimated the informal sector. weakening over time. Reserve Bank figures show
This is confirmed in a later study (Bhorat et that, in the 1960s and 1970s, GDP growth of
al. 2010: 10) where the authors state that the 1% created a roughly similar increase in formal
notion of aggregate “jobless growth” in the sector jobs. This relationship has weakened dra-
South African economy is erroneous. The econ- matically in recent decades and, during the high
omy, in the aggregate, has been creating jobs growth periods after 1990, GDP growth of 4.4%
rather than shedding them, albeit not at a rate resulted in employment growth of only 1.8%.
sufficient to accommodate the new entrants to Employment elasticity varies from one sector
the labour market. However, they do point out to the next. Employment elasticities in agricul-
that there is some doubt whether the increase ture and construction have dropped quite con-
in employment could not simply be ascribed to siderably. There have also been declines in min-
the growth of the informal sector. Also, there ing and manufacturing, but at a much reduced
does seem to have been so-called jobless growth rate.
in mining and manufacturing, where employ- Declines in employment elasticity can also be
ment declined in spite of increases in produc- reflected in a different way, namely, by deter-
tion. Furthermore, it seems as if such increases
mining the GDP growth required for each job
in formal sector employment that might have
created. In 1990, each additional R100 000 of
occurred, might have benefited the higher skills
GDP would create one job; nowadays it requires
levels, with employment amongst lower skilled
nearly R150 000 of GDP growth, i.e. a near
workers (such as production workers) declining.
50% increase. There are, however, vast differ-
On the other hand, Yu (2008) has found
ences across sectors in the economy. The min-
“enormous” fluctuations in employment over
ing and manufacturing sectors top the list in
time, which can partly be ascribed to differ-
this regard. All sectors, however, show the same
ent survey methodologies (see Chapter 8). His
trend.
conclusion is that this means that contrasting
One possible reason for the declining employ-
conclusions can be drawn about whether or
not South Africa has been experiencing jobless ment intensity of growth is therefore that the
growth. employment elasticities of labour-intensive sec-
South Africa’s employment elasticity of 0.18 tors such as agriculture and construction have
over the full period 1969–2005 can be compared declined quite considerably. This can prob-
to that of other countries. The ILO (2005b) ably be partly ascribed to changes in labour
found the following global trends in employment legislation and other factors that have driven
elasticity between 1991 and 2003: employers towards methods of production that
rely more heavily on a reduced number of skilled
• 1991–1995 0.34 workers and automation (CDE 2010: 13). The
• 1995–1999 0.38 latter would of course have a positive impact
• 1999–2003 0.30 as well, namely, that production increases with
the same number of workers, which means that
Worldwide there has been a decline in the labour productivity has increased.
employment elasticity of economic growth as Another reason for the declining employment
from 1999. However, South Africa’s rate com- elasticity is that relatively highly skilled econom-
pares very badly with that of other countries, ic sectors such as financial services have grown
except that the rate for the last five years has more rapidly than sectors employing a large
improved. The ILO ascribes the worldwide number of unskilled workers.
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
48 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
One could argue that labour-intensive produc- eralisation might indirectly be responsible for
tion techniques should be encouraged. However, more job losses than might be apparent by sim-
there are two important caveats: ply considering the direct effect. However, even
local consumer tastes have changed, and con-
• Capital intensity is not necessarily inimical to sumers prefer products produced by high tech-
the economy. Modern production structures nology. In addition, the microelectronic revolu-
are largely technology driven, which means tion has also contributed to this trend towards
they are capital intensive. In order to compete more capital-intensive production. Furthermore,
successfully on overseas markets, South Africa the relative prices of capital and labour have also
must utilise the most modern production tech- had an impact on the replacement of labour by
niques, which often means high capital inten- capital.
sity.
• The sharp increase in capital intensity is not
necessarily spread over all industries. Specific Since the early 1980s the economy
projects were often responsible for the sharp has progressively produced fewer and
increase in manufacturing capital intensity, fewer new jobs for any given economic
SUMMARY
for example the Sasol synthetic fuel develop- growth rate than in earlier decades. This
ment from 1974–1981 and major new heavy is referred to as declining employment
investment in the pulp and paper industry in elasticity.
the period 1981–1989. South African manufacturing is far
more capital intensive than that of other
The adoption of new technologies is partly a middle-income countries, and there is a
result of trade liberalisation, more specifically long-term trend towards more capital-in-
to enable firms to compete more effectively and tensive production.
to satisfy consumer tastes. Therefore trade lib-
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
50 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
SUMMARY
~ One reason for the economy not creating sufficient jobs is the relatively low economic growth
rates over many years and the fact that economic growth has become less labour intensive
than before.
~ Other reasons that will be considered more fully in later chapters relate to trade liberalisation,
high wage increases and the introduction of new labour laws.
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
secure contracts, worker benefits or social pro- 2. Employers, own-account workers and per-
er
tection) both inside and outside informal enter- sons helping unpaid in their household busi-
prises: ness who are not registered for either income
tax or value-added tax
(1) Informal employment in informal enterprises
(small unregistered or unincorporated enter- The second concept that was also introduced in
prises), including employers, employees, the QLFS was that of informal employment. This
own account operators and unpaid family included both those employed in the informal
workers in informal enterprises. sector as well as informal employment in the for-
(2) Informal employment outside informal mal sector. This is broadly in line with the 2003
enterprises (for formal enterprises, for house- approach of the ILO, as outlined above. Accord-
holds or with no fixed employer), including ing to the QLFS, formal sector employees were
domestic workers, casual or day labourers, defined as informally employed if they were not
temporary or part-time workers, industrial entitled to medical aid or pension funds, or did
outworkers (including home based workers) not have a written contract with the employer.
This meant that the job-related characteristics
and unregistered or undeclared workers”
instead of the characteristics of the enterprise
(ILO 2002: 12 in Essop & Yu 2008).
were considered in defining whether someone
was informally employed: in other words, was
In South Africa, the informal sector in the
the person employed in an “informal job”? This
1995 October Household Survey (OHS) was could be regarded as a measure of precarious
determined with reference only to those work- employment, but as stated by Yu (2010: 22), the
ing as self-employed in unregistered businesses. specific criteria might be too broad a measure to
However, in 1999, employees who worked for capture the informal employees.
unregistered businesses were included. Accord-
ing to this measurement about 10% of all
employees worked for the informal sector. 3.6.2 Importance and size of the
Further changes took place when the OHS informal sector
was replaced by the Labour Force Survey (LFS), The informal sector plays a very important role
where the latter introduced more probing ques- in any developing country, especially where
tions to determine the size of the informal sector there is no developed system of social security.
(see Casale & Posel 2002: 171). In 1999, some If unemployed persons cannot rely on unemploy-
131 000 women and 165 000 men were involved ment insurance or some form of state support
in subsistence farming according to the OHS. during spells of unemployment, they must find
In the LFS pilot survey in February 2000, these some other means of survival. This results in
numbers suddenly increased to 896 000 women many unemployed persons entering the informal
and 612 000 men. Employment and participa- sector. The income in the informal sector is
tion rates thus increased quite substantially, but usually very low and the employment conditions
simply as a result of the more efficient capture of very poor.
informal sector and subsistence farming. How- Although the informal sector does to some
ever, the general approach used in both the OHS extent alleviate the problem of economic inact-
and the LFS could be described as the enterprise ivity, it does not generally solve the problem
approach (Yu 2010: 3). of poverty and low standards of living. There-
In the QLFS, which was introduced in 2008, fore, it should not be seen as the solution to
a fundamentally different approach was added. the unemployment problem, even though it
The one approach remained the enterprise does contribute to an increase in income. For
approach. According to this definition, the instance, based on the 1989 survey by Statistics
informal sector has the following two compon- South Africa, Van der Berg (1990) has estimated
ents: that the per capita income of Africans is 50%
higher because of informal sector activities. The
1. Employees who are not registered for incomes of Africans as a percentage of those of
income tax and who work in establishments whites would therefore increase from 8.5% to
that employ fewer than five people. 12.7% as a result of the informal sector.
52 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
A
THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
God gives every bird its food, multitude of the figure provided by the QLFS
but He does not throw it (see research quoted by Yu 2010: 21).
in the nest. Several studies have found that the level of the
informal sector remains quite low by the stan-
Anonymous
dards of developing countries (International
Because the informal sector provides some kind Monetary Fund 2005: 19). This is confirmed by
of income, and because it can serve as a stepping a doctoral thesis of Saunders (2005), where he
stone for future “formal sector” entrepreneurs, found that the informal sector in South Africa
the previous government, in the late 1980s constituted about 10% of GDP, compared to
and early 1990s, eased many conditions which 35 to 44% in other developing countries and
had severely hampered the development of the 21 to 30% in transitional economies. However,
informal sector. This was taken even further Yu (2010: 24–25) refers to studies that find that
by the new government after 1994. The result South Africa is in the mid-range size of informal
of this policy change can clearly be seen in the markets in developing countries and that it is a
development of, for instance, the minibus taxi regional outlier when compared to African coun-
industry, hawking activities and spaza shops. tries.
Nevertheless, the authors of the ILO Review However, this excludes the “broad” definition
(1996: 87) maintain that the relaxation of regu- adopted as one of the measures in the QLFS,
lations has had little effect on the incomes of since international comparisons are not avail-
those working in the informal sector. able.
The QLFS estimates the number of people in The researchers who have found that the size
the informal sector, excluding the agricultural of the informal sector in South Africa is in fact
sector, at slightly over 2 million. As indicated small ascribe this to, among other things, the fol-
above, the QLFS on the one hand uses a very lowing factors:
broad definition of informal employment, which • The legacies of the apartheid regime which
includes informal employment regardless of made it first illegal and then difficult for
whether it takes place in the formal or informal blacks to move to larger urban areas unless
sector. On the other hand, however, the QLFS they already had a certified job (Harvard
does not include subsistence agriculture, which 2006: 4). South Africa might still be sitting
would exclude a substantial number of persons with the legacies of this policy.
involved in informal sector activities.
According to several studies and surveys, the • Another possibility is the prevalence of high
number of self-employed persons involved in the levels of crime, which acts as a particularly
informal sector seems to range between 1.2 mil- onerous tax on small-scale enterprises.
lion and 1.6 million (see Yu 2010: 17–21). This • The fact that StatsSA surveys measure subsist-
is approximately 70% of all the self-employed. ence farming as unemployed or as economic-
Since 2008, the number seems to be in the region ally inactive also means that many employees
of 1.4 million. who in other countries might be regarded as
However, when it comes to employees, the being involved in informal economic activities
numbers are very divergent. This is primari- are not classified in this manner in South Afri-
ly because of the widely divergent definitions ca.
being used. The most conservative estimate is the
• The low population density in rural areas
manner in which the QLFS measures the num-
means that there is not an efficient demand,
ber of employees working in the informal sec-
which militates against businesses being estab-
tor, as outlined above. In terms of this criterion,
lished.
there could be between 600 000 and 800 000
employees in the informal sector. This is about • The low level of informal sector activity might
7 to 8% of all employees. However, there is also be due to the fact that many sectors are dom-
research showing that if the broader definition inated by a few very large companies, which
of “informal employment” is used, the number actively or otherwise might be discouraging
of people involved in any type of informal activ- competition by small business including the
ity, including informal employment, could be a informal sector.
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
• The existing system of social grants presum- grow in times of economic crisis where many
ably sets a higher “reservation wage” level formal sector jobs are lost.
in South Africa than in comparable coun-
tries, acting as a deterrent to low productivity
informal activities (e.g. street peddling) (Har-
vard 2006: 11) (see section 8.6.4 for a discus- Different studies have resulted in wide-
sion of reservation wages). ly divergent estimates of the informal
sector. Several studies have found that
The informal sector appears to be at the fore- the informal sector in South Africa is
SUMMARY
front of job losses in times of crisis, for instance relatively small relative to other devel-
after the 2008 crisis (with job losses at a rate oping countries, but this conclusion is
about double that of the rest of the economy). by no means shared by all analysts. The
However, this is not surprising, given that the informal sector nevertheless remains a
informal economy provides less security than the particularly important source of income
formal sector (Bhorat 2010). On the other hand, for those without a formal job as there is
one would have thought that the informal sector no developed system of social security in
might serve as a cushion for those losing their this country.
jobs in the formal sector, and that it would thus
54 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
additional employee. For the sake of simplicity, production is now tripled to 15 units, which
it is assumed that the labour provided by all means that the second worker’s marginal prod-
workers is equal, whereas in actual fact labour uct is ten units. A third worker also helps to
skills and productivity can greatly differ. increase production, but this time by only six
The law of diminishing marginal product is units, to a total of 21 units. The next worker
a well-known concept in economics. This law (worker 4) starts to crowd the other workers –
refers to the amount of extra (i.e. marginal) there simply is not enough space for everyone
production that can be produced when succes- – and that worker adds only another two units.
sive additional extra units of one input (such If more than four workers are added, they are
as labour) are added while keeping the other superfluous and total production is likely to start
inputs constant. For instance, let us assume that decreasing because there are simply too many
the product being produced is wheat, and that workers on the piece of land, they start crowd-
labour inputs are varied, whereas there is a fixed ing each other, interfere with normal production
piece of land and a fixed piece of equipment (e.g. processes, etc.
one tractor and a plough) to produce the wheat. The law of diminishing marginal product thus
The capital (i.e. the land and the tractor) is kept simply states that as successive units of one input
constant, and additional workers are added in (e.g. labour) are added to a fixed amount of
succession. The additional wheat that is pro- another input (capital), a level of total produc-
duced after the addition of every worker is then tion is reached beyond which the marginal prod-
calculated. This is called the marginal product. uct of that variable input declines.
This can be illustrated graphically. In Figure
Work expands so as to fill the 3.4(a), the increase in production by the addi-
time available for its completion. tion of each worker is clear – the first worker
Parkinson’s law produces five units, the first and second workers
jointly produce 15 units, and so on. In Figure
Let us assume that the first worker struggles to 3.4(b), the marginal product curve shows how
perform all the necessary tasks such as driving the marginal product increases with the addi-
the tractor, controlling the plough, etc., and tion of the second worker. The marginal prod-
produces only five units (e.g. tons) of wheat uct of the first worker is five units, of the second
(marginal product of 5 units). The addition of worker ten units, of the third six units, and so
another worker makes things much easier and forth. After the second worker, the increases in
a)
(a)Total
Totalproduction
production (b)
(b)Marginal
Marginaland
andaverage
averageproduction
production
2323
2121
Units of product
Units of product
Units of product
1515
xx
1010
Average
Average
66 product
product
55
55
Marginal
Marginal
product
product yy
00 11 22 33 44 00 11 22 33 44
Workers
Workers Workers
Workers
Figure 3.4 Total production and marginal production
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
total production start to diminish – the marginal the employer would be willing to employ more
product starts to decline (the third worker only workers, because the marginal cost would then
adds 6 more units of production, and total pro- be lower than the MRP, and the employer would
duction is 21 units). If another worker is added make additional profits by employing additional
after the fourth worker, the marginal product workers.
of that worker will be negative, i.e. that worker The MRP in Figure 3.5 therefore has a down-
will cause total production to decline to lower ward slope, indicating that as each next worker
than 23 units. The average production is also is employed, his or her additional contribution
shown, which is simply total production divided to total production will be smaller than that of
by the number of workers. the previous worker.
The segment x–y on Figure 3.4 is the basis for Let us assume that the wage rate is R100,
the short-term demand for labour, but only after which means that the employer will employ five
the addition of another factor – the price of the workers. The employer makes no more prof-
product, which is discussed next. it if he or she employs more than five workers
because the MRP of the fifth worker is exact-
ly equal to the wage rate, i.e. R100. In fact, by
3.7.2 The short-run demand for
employing more workers, the employer will
labour reduce his profits because the MRP of the next
Thus far only the physical quantity produced worker will be lower than the prevailing wage
has been considered. Prices are now added – of rate of R100.
the product as well as of labour (the wage). By However, if the wage rate declines to R50,
multiplying the price of the product with the workers six to ten will each produce more than
physical quantity produced, one can derive the R50, which means more profit for the employer.
revenue of the producer. When ten workers are employed, the employer
The marginal revenue product (MRP) will cannot make more profit by employing more
then be the change in total revenue resulting workers. At that point, the wage rate of R50 will
from the employment of an additional worker again be equal to the MRP. The MRP will there-
– in other words, the marginal product multi- fore also be the demand curve for labour.
plied by the price of the product (Marshall et al. The firm’s short-run demand for labour can
1980: 223). Because of the operation of the law therefore be indicated by the downward sloping
of diminishing marginal product, the increase in MRP curve.
revenue (the MRP) becomes smaller and smaller In the real world, employers will not base their
as more workers are employed, i.e. every addi- hiring decisions directly on the marginal prod-
tional worker benefits the employer less and less. uct of labour theory; in fact, very few have ever
It is important to add another assumption at heard of this theory. However, as already stated,
this stage – that in a fully competitive market,
the number of units supplied by any one employ-
er to the market will not change the price of the
units.
To maximise profitability, the employer will
employ additional workers for as long as their
Wage rate
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THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
ployers intuitively realise that they will make
ximum profits if they employ labour for as
g as the wage rate of the worker is lower than
additional production that can be produced
Wage rate
employing that worker.
W2
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
Wage rate
results in higher long-term elasticity of the
demand for labour.
• Higher productivity. Management might
introduce new production methods that W1
improve productivity, which might also reduce
the need for the higher priced resource. D2
58 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
Capital THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
Capital
A
Q2 A
B
Q1 B C2
C1
Labour
Figure 3.8 An isoquant curve Labour
Figure 3.9 An isocost curve
of capital declines in order to produce the
same output.
• Higher isoquants are associated with higher C1 and an isoquant Q1, point A will be the best
levels of output. combination of capital and labour (i.e. with the
lowest cost) to produce Q1 units of production.
• They are convex to the origin, indicating that
Point B will not represent a profit maximising
capital and labour are not perfect substitutes.
position, because it lies on a higher isocost line
As the utilisation of labour declines to very
(and thus represents a more costly option).
low levels, proportionally more capital will be
required to produce the same output.
I S O C OST CURVE
The firm’s costs of production consist of the cost
of capital and the cost of labour. This can also
Capital
59
C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
curves, because as the output of the market as This has important implications for understand-
a whole changes, it will have an impact on the ing the impact of unions. Normally, if wages are
price of the product. For instance, let us assume increased, employment reduces. The flatter (i.e.
that the wage rate in an industry as a whole more elastic) the slope, the more jobs will be
declines for some reason. The industry increas- lost as wages increase. However, if the unions
es its output and thus its demand for labour control the whole industry, they face the market
(the MRP or demand for labour curve shifts to demand for labour, which is steeper (D_LM).
the right). However, the industry will have to The steeper curve means that the demand for
reduce the price of the product to sell the higher labour will not be affected as much by a wage
output. The lower price reduces the MRP and increase as when an individual employer is
thus shifts the labour demand of each firm to involved. This is discussed in greater depth in
the left again. Chapter 5.
Figure 3.11 can be used to illustrate this, Wage increases through sectoral bargaining
with the labour demand curve being D1. Let institutions, such as bargaining councils, thus
us assume the wage rate is now reduced from reduce employment to a lesser extent than if
W1 to W2. Individual employers increase their the same wage increases were achieved through
demand for labour. For the individual firm, bargaining at individual company level. How-
this will increase the overall demand for labour ever, this ignores the broader picture: precisely
from L1 to L2, and output will also increase. because employers are able to increase prices in
However, because the industry as a whole needs response to a wage increase across the sector,
to sell this higher output, the price of the prod- it has a negative impact on the non-participat-
uct is reduced to stimulate additional demand. ing consumer and work-seeker, and eventually
Because the price of the product declines, the probably the economy. This issue is discussed in
MRP curve (the demand curve) shifts left to greater depth in section 5.6.
D2. This means that the demand for labour
increases only from L1 to L3, and not to L2. 3.7.6 Imperfectly competitive
This is then the market demand curve for markets: the monopolist
labour, which is steeper at D_LM. The mar-
ket demand for labour is thus less responsive Basically the same thing happens if there is an
to both wage cuts or, more importantly from imperfectly competitive seller, such as a monop-
the point of unions, wage increases. The market olist. If the employer does not operate in a per-
demand for labour is thus less elastic than the fectly competitive market, there are other factors
individual firm’s demand for labour. that come into play. For instance, if the employ-
er is the only producer of a product (a monop-
olist), the firm might have to lower the price of
the product to sell more products. One of the
assumptions of a perfectly competitive market is
that the employer is so small that he or she has
no influence over the price of the product. This
W1 does not apply to the monopolist. The influence
Wage rate
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THE DEMAND FOR LABOUR 3
if there is a wage reduction, and thus
increased employment and output, the ~ The market demand for labour is a derived
MRP curve shifts to the left because the demand; it depends on the demand for the
monopolist reduces the price of the out- product or service produced by that labour.
put. Employment increases to a lesser
~ The demand for labour will decline as wages
extent than in the case of an individ- increase, and the decline will be larger over
ual employer in a perfectly competitive
SUMMARY
the long term, because employers have more
market. Employment by the monopolist options to adjust to the higher wages, for
is thus less sensitive to wage reductions instance by becoming more capital intensive.
(and similarly, wage increases). The long-run demand for labour is thus more
elastic (sensitive) than short-run demand.
Why is there only one
Monopolies Board? ~ The market demand for labour is less elastic
(less sensitive) to wage changes, because the
Graffiti resultant changes to the price of output reduce
the impact of wage changes on the demand for
labour.
Key concepts
capital and labour intensity informal sector
capital/labour ratio labour absorption capacity
derived demand law of diminishing marginal product
diminishing marginal product marginal revenue product
elasticity output effect
employment elasticity Quarterly Employment Statistics
employment intensity substitution effect
For students
1. Describe the methods used to measure 6. Describe some of the most important factors
employment in South Africa, and discuss that affect the demand for labour in this
some shortcomings of these methods. country.
2. Describe the general employment trends and
7. Discuss the importance and size of the
characteristics of employment in South Afri- informal sector in South Africa.
ca over the past number of years.
8. Discuss the law of diminishing marginal
3. Discuss employment developments in vari-
ous sectors of the South African economy. product and illustrate graphically how this
law can be used to derive the short-term
4. An important reason for high unemploy- demand for labour.
ment in South Africa appears to be the
reduced employment elasticity of growth. 9. Describe what influence each of the follow-
Explain this statement and discuss possible ing would have on the demand for labour,
reasons why this is happening. and illustrate graphically:
5. Discuss developments in respect of the cap- a. an increase in the demand for the prod-
ital and labour intensity of production. uct produced by that labour
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C H A P T E R 3 T H E D E M A N D F O R L A B O U R
b. an increase in the productivity of that 11. What is the difference between the demand
labour for labour by the individual employer and
c. an equal increase in the price and in the the demand for labour by the market as a
productivity of that labour whole? Illustrate graphically.
d. a decline in the price of a substitute for 12. Discuss the differences in the demand for
that labour labour by an employer in a perfectly com-
10. Explain why an increase in the wage rate for petitive market and that of a monopoly
farm workers will have a bigger effect on employer. Illustrate graphically.
the employment of farm workers in the long
run than in the short run. Illustrate graphic-
ally.
Suggested reading*
Bhorat, H. 2001b. McConnell, C.R., Brue, S.L. & Macpherson,
Employment trends in South Africa. Johannes- D.A. 2006.
burg: Friedrich Ebert Stiftung. Contemporary labor economics. New York:
McGraw-Hill.
Casale, D., Muller, C. & Posel, D. 2004.
“Two million net new jobs”: a reconsideration Standing, G., Sender, J. & Weeks, J. 1996.
of the rise in employment in South Africa, Restructuring the labour market: the South Afri-
1995–2003. South African Journal of Eco- can challenge. Geneva: International Labour
nomics, December, Vol. 72: 5. Organisation (abbreviated as ILO Review).
Development Bank of Southern Africa.
1998.
Impediments on the labour absorption capacity
of the South African economy. Johannes-
burg: Development Bank of Southern Afri- * The bibliography contains the full list of ref-
ca. erences.
62 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
OUTLINE OF THIS CHAPTER
4.1 Introduction
4.2 The determination of wages
4.3 Earnings in South Africa
4.4 Wages and inflation
4.5
4.6
Wage differentials
The trade-off between wages and
Wages and
4.7
employment
The impact of labour laws on the cost of
the cost of
4.8
labour
Deeper insight I: determination of wages
labour
in a perfectly competitive labour market
4.9 Deeper insight II: determination of
wages in a monopsony market
I would like to see a fair division of profits between capital and labor,
so that the toiler could save enough to mingle a little June with the
December of his life.
ROBERT G INGERSOLL
4.1 INTRODUCTION
One of the most important outcomes of labour Therefore, careful note should be taken
markets is the determination of wages. Wages of how wages are determined, and also of the
play a major role in respect of the allocation of extent to which the determination of wages in
labour between occupations, sectors, regions a particular country deviates from the perfectly
and even countries. They also play an important competitive model, which theoretically should
role with regard to decisions about education, not allow unemployment to rise to the levels that
and higher education in particular. it is currently at in South Africa.
Because they play such an important role in This chapter begins to look at some of these
determining supply and demand, as discussed factors, and also at some of the interactions
in previous chapters, labour market outcomes, between wages and other factors, for instance
such as the oversupply of labour in the form of inflation and employment. More of these fac-
unemployment or an undersupply in the form tors are discussed in Chapter 5, i.e. the impact
of labour shortages, are influenced by develop- of unions and collective bargaining, bargaining
ments with regard to wages and wage levels. councils and minimum wages.
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A
C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
i.e. the primary and secondary labour markets. i.e. on workers within the enterprise or workers
Each of these is described here. of close competitors, to fill vacancies.
The primary segment. This segment is charac- The secondary segment. Workers “on the out-
terised by high earnings, good working conditions side” often have little or no job security, little
and employment stability. It often consists of prospect of promotion and generally poor con-
large enterprises or segments of the labour mar- ditions of employment. This is the so-called
ket where trade unions play a major role. The pri- “secondary segment”, which consists of jobs
mary market can also be divided into a number that are low paying and have unstable patterns
of internal labour markets, which could refer to of employment. Secondary segment enterprises
individual enterprises or occupations, for example are typically over-competitive, small in scale and
multinational corporations or the labour markets labour intensive with a low level of unionisation.
for lawyers or medical doctors. These markets are There are low levels of skills in this sector, which
characterised by the following: means employers have little incentive to encour-
age stable employment patterns. Employers also
• Access is usually severely restricted and is only have little inclination to train workers properly
possible at the bottom level. – wages are low enough for the employer not to
• Skilled jobs are more often than not filled by pay much attention to productivity.
promotion from within the enterprise. Therefore, in the secondary segment, “bad”
• Promotion is often determined by bureaucratic jobs produce “bad” workers, while in the
and rigid rules of the company or occupation, internal or primary market, “good” jobs make
which may have been established through col- “good” workers. Examples of secondary labour
lective bargaining. market jobs are domestic workers, dishwash-
ers in restaurants, cleaners, janitors and other
• Since there is substantial job security the menial jobs where a low level of skill is required.
internal labour market tends to lack market Workers in the secondary segment have little
mechanisms for the allocation and pricing chance of entering the internal labour markets.
of labour. This is because workers in these They are trapped “on the outside” and educa-
markets are protected against the competi- tion and training by the government will do little
tive market forces of supply and demand and or nothing to increase their earnings.
their behaviour is shaped by internal rules According to the dual labour market theory,
(McConnell et al. 2006: 472). The wage rate inequality in earnings cannot be drastically
is thus not necessarily the rate that would have reduced by investment in education and train-
been determined by demand and supply condi- ing unless workers in the secondary markets are
tions, i.e. market forces, if they had operated integrated through various measures into the
normally. primary labour market. This can be done, for
example, through policies to reduce discrimina-
Employers in the primary market spend large tion, better labour market information and the
amounts of money on the training of their work- reorienting of employers.
ers, partly because of pressures to improve pro- The use of the dual labour market theory to
ductivity, which can be ascribed to high and ris- explain differences in earnings not necessarily
ing wages. These high wages also result in more related to skills or qualifications is discussed
labour-saving and productive equipment being in section 9.3.5, and to explain discrimination
used. This, in turn, generates improved advance- against certain groups in section 10.3.3.
ment and earning opportunities for the remain- Hofmeyr (1998) points out that South Africa
ing workers, creating a self-reinforcing process experienced an extreme form of institutionalised
of progress and development in the primary segmentation of the labour market because of
market, although at the expense of employment apartheid. He contends that this disappeared
creation (McConnell et al. 2006: 471). with the labour market reforms of the 1980s,
The workers who are trained are trained but has been replaced by a form far more typ-
mainly for the “internal” market, and they can ical of some advanced industrial economies.
often be utilised only by that specific employ- This later form of segmentation is between the
er and by close competitors. This means that unionised and non-unionised parts of the formal
employers rely mainly on the internal market, sector, and between the formal and informal
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
years; the mobilisation campaigns of workers to determine wages, for example representation
and students for special tasks; state control over at the decision-making levels in the company,
education; and state determination and manipu- merit awards, productivity or production-linked
lation of wages. Trade unions were controlled pay, or profitability-linked remuneration.
by the Communist Party and could exercise only
such freedom as the party permitted (Marshall et
al. 1980: 160).
SUMMARY
The most important methods of deter-
mining wages are contracts of employ-
4.2.7 Other methods of wage ment, collective bargaining, government
determination regulation and methods that link wages
Various methods of worker participation and to productivity or profitability.
worker incentive payment systems can be used
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
300
250
Index of current wages
Index 1996 = 100
200
150
Consumer Price Index
100
50
0
Mar 02
Sep 02
Mar 03
Sep 03
Mar 04
Sep 04
Mar 05
Sep 05
Mar 06
Sep06
Mar 07
Sep 07
Mar 08
Sep 08
Mar 09
Sep 09
Mar 10
Sep 10
Mar 11
Sep 11
Mar 12
Sep 12
Mar 13
Sep 13
Year
igure 4.1 Indices of current wages and inflation
ource: SA Reserve Bank, Data series 7013L and 7170N
150
140
130
Index 1996 = 100
120
110
100
90
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
M
Year
igure 4.2 Index of real wages
SA Reserve Bank, Data series 7013D
ource:
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
The increase in real wages over the period 2000– worker had grown to 250% of the 1970 level.
2010 amounts to about 1.8% per annum. How- At the same time, unemployment among these
ever, as will be indicated in section 6.3, labour lower skills levels increased rapidly.
productivity has also increased at a relative-
ly high rate since the latter part of the 1990s,
which more than compensated for the increase • Average real wages have increased
SUMMARY
in real wages. relatively sharply in most sectors of
Table 4.1 shows current wage levels in vari- the South African economy in recent
ous sectors in August 2011. As stated above, years.
the survey was only introduced in 2005, so that
• The real wages of unskilled workers
unfortunately a comparison of changes over time
have increased much more rapidly
cannot be made. What is clear from the table,
than those of skilled workers.
however, are the relative earnings in various sec-
tors. Earnings in mining, manufacturing, finance • Earnings in the informal sector are
and real estate, and community, social and much lower than in the formal sector
business services are more or less in line with and the gap is increasing over time.
the average of all non-agricultural sectors. The
earnings in construction and in the wholesale
and retail trade sectors are, however, far below
the average. Electricity is far above the average 4.3.2 Non-wage labour costs
(especially because of the high percentage of In South Africa, employer-provided entitlements
skilled workers in this sector). The earnings in to cover contingency risks are relatively high
the transport and communication sector are also compared to other countries at about the same
significantly above the average. development level. Neither the state nor rural
Lewis (as quoted by Mazumdar & Van kinship support systems have played a major
Seventer 2002: 1089) makes the point that the role because of the legacies of apartheid (ILO
real wages of unskilled workers increased quite Review 1996: 214).
sharply between 1970 and 1999, relative to According to a survey undertaken in the
the increase in real earnings of the skilled. The Greater Johannesburg Metropolitan Area in
real remuneration of highly skilled and skilled 1999, non-wage costs formed about 25% of
workers in 1999 respectively formed 90% and wage costs (Bhorat & Lundall 2004: 1035).
110% of their 1970 levels. In contrast, the real In this survey, non-wage costs refer to worker
remuneration of an unskilled or semi-skilled benefits such as overtime pay, housing allowan-
Table 4.1 Average monthly earnings in non-agricultural sectors at current prices, August 2011
Manufacturing 11 569 89
Construction 9 579 74
Trade 8 443 65
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
ces, transport allowances and contributions to to occupation, employer sector, age and working
unemployment insurance, pension funds and hours. Data on additional earnings, the value of
medical insurance funds. fringe benefits and the income package are also
Non-wage labour costs in the USA and Euro- provided.
pean countries form between 30 and 40% of Graduates in the public sector seem to be
total labour costs (Clarke 1985: 406). The rela- earning less (about three-quarters) than their
tively high ratio means that total remuneration, counterparts in the private sector, although the
to an increasing extent, does not reflect the gap appears to be narrowing. The remunera-
worker’s productivity or even supply-and-de- tion of white male graduates in the public sector
mand conditions. It increases the fixed-cost com- is about half that of white male self-employed
ponent of total labour costs and also the differ- graduates.
ence between the employee’s take-home pay and Self-employed graduates appear to earn more
the employee’s cost to the employer. than those in the private sector. However, the
However, it cannot be denied that bene- self-employed graduates have an average of 20
fit funds contribute to substantial long-term years’ work experience compared with 12 years
social gains for workers and protection against for graduates in the private sector.
unstable economic circumstances, dangerous These figures are slightly misleading, since
working conditions, high medical costs and many employees in the public sector are in rela-
other eventualities. In addition, with the excep- tively lower paid professions such as teaching,
tion of unemployment insurance and insurance nursing and other supplementary medical pro-
for occupational injuries and diseases, there is fessions.
no overarching social security or social insurance
system in South Africa, although a basic income 4.3.4 Share of employee remuneration
grant has been proposed by some union and
in national income
community interests (see section 8.7.6).
South Africa’s national income and production
accounts measure the total share of employ-
4.3.3 The income of graduates
ee remuneration in the national product. These
according to the HSRC
data indicate that remuneration of employees
Since 1971, the HSRC has undertaken surveys to comprises between 49 and 57% of gross nation-
monitor the income structure of graduates (web- al product, with a tendency to decline over time
site: www.hsrc.ac.za or www.graduates.org.za). (see Figure 4.3). This contrasts with the net
These data are gathered by postal survey among operating surplus, which in effect is the profits
graduates, and the income is presented according of enterprises, which generally show an increase
70
Employee compensation
60
50
40
30
20
Net operating surplus
10
0
75
78
81
84
87
90
93
96
99
02
05
08
11
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
71
C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
(South African Reserve Bank, South Africa’s total remuneration of all workers together. If
National Accounts 1946–1990, and Quarterly there has been a general decline in employment
Bulletin). or even a relatively small increase (as was the
However, these data do not necessarily relate case for many years), the share of employee
directly to the average wages of individual work- remuneration will tend to decline, even though
ers. The remuneration of employees measures wage levels may have increased substantially.
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
Wage levels are usually adjusted upwards dur- increased quite substantially since 1996, at a rate
r
ing inflationary times to keep up with increas- of about 1.5% per annum.
es in the cost of living. Price increases therefore The inflation phenomenon is a very complex
result in wage increases. At the same time, an one, and a simplistic approach, for example
increase in wages might also cause prices to rise to blame unions for inflation, is certainly not
because wages are an important cost element in helpful. In a country such as South Africa the
determining prices. Even if unionised sectors do influence on inflation of factors such as import-
not comprise the majority of workers, wage and ed inflation, an earnings spiral caused by skilled
therefore cost increases might be transmitted to labour shortages, the high degree of economic
other sectors (the spillover effect). concentration and restrictive business practices
Wages and price levels are, however, influ- (i.e. reduced competitive forces), in addition to
enced by a multitude of other factors. Wages, for union influences, cannot be ignored. It should
instance, are not only influenced by prices but be mentioned, however, that countries such as
also by educational levels, discrimination, produc- Ireland, the Netherlands and Australia were
tivity, legislation and many other factors. Prices able to reduce inflation significantly and at the
are influenced by, for instance, the exchange rate, same time substantially increase employment by
monopoly conditions, prices set by public enter- wage moderating policies, as indicated in section
prises, high government expenditure and high 7.6.2.
growth in money supply. Exogenous factors, such Countries with high inflation have used vari-
as crop failures and increases in oil prices, can ous measures to reduce inflation while minimis-
also increase price levels. It is therefore not pos- ing the social effects of very restrictive monetary
policies. One such mechanism is incomes policies
sible to fully isolate the influence of a single vari-
(see accompanying box).
able such as the money wage level on price levels.
The extent of the influence of money wage
levels on price levels is determined, first, by the Policy issue: Incomes policies
proportion that the wage bill forms of the total
costs of an enterprise and, second, by produc- From time to time various countries have
tivity trends. If wage increases exceed productiv- implemented incomes policies to reduce
ity increases, production costs will rise, and this inflation without generating unacceptable
might eventually lead to increased prices. How- levels of unemployment. Income policies
ever, as already stated, there is also an interrela- are defined as policies by which the govern-
tionship between wages and productivity. ment tries directly or indirectly to control or
McConnell et al. (2006: 359) come to the fol- influence wage and price levels by specifying
lowing general conclusions regarding wages and standards which should apply when wages
inflation: or prices are changed (Barker & Holtzhau-
• Over the long term, expansionary fiscal or sen 1996). There are three categories of
monetary policies or supply shocks appear to incomes policies:
be a significant factor in determining the rate • The first category is wage and price
of inflation. increase guidelines, where compliance
• Unions do not appear to be the basic cause of with such guidelines is mainly voluntary.
inflation. • The second category is mandatory wage
• Unions do appear to perpetuate existing infla- and price controls. This category of
tion and increase the difficulty of reducing policies was attempted in South Africa
inflation once it has begun. between 1975 and 1977, but was per-
ceived to be ineffective (Mohr & Rogers
As stated earlier, nominal wages in South Afri- 1991: 419). There appears to be substan-
ca are increasing much more rapidly than infla- tial consensus that both guideline and
tion, which means that workers are enjoying control policies were a failure in the USA.
sharp increases in real wages. The increases in • The final category is incentive-based
real wages since 1990 are shown in Figure 4.2, incomes policies, which entail giving an
where it is evident that, overall, real wages have
Í
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
incentive to unions and employers not tegrate if the exchange rate depreciates
to demand or pay higher wages. For sharply, leading to high imported inflation.
instance, a tax surcharge can be applied International experience has shown that it
to the corporate profits of enterprises that is useless to try to freeze the price of a cur-
grant pay increases above a certain level. rency, especially of a developing country. If
a country depreciates its currency, the prices
Despite the possible advantage that incomes
of all imports increase, and the higher input
policies may reduce inflationary expect-
ations over the short term, they suffer the costs inevitably cause prices to rise.
major disadvantage of not necessarily The prospect of a voluntary incomes
addressing the most important sources of policy was raised by the government’s
inflation but only its symptoms. However, Growth, Employment and Redistribu-
if they are used as part of a wide-ranging tion policy (GEAR). This policy calls for a
package of measures to end extremely high national social agreement to ensure, among
inflation, they can contribute to the success other things, that wage and salary increas-
of such measures, as in Brazil, Argentina es do not rise above productivity growth
and Israel in 1985 and 1986 (Mohr & Rog- (Republic of South Africa (RSA) 1996: 20).
ers 1991: 419).
Such measures were voluntarily introduced
A further disadvantage of such policies
with very positive results in countries such
is their distributional aspect. Because their
as the Netherlands and Ireland (see section
aim is to “freeze” prices and wages, income
7.6.2).
inequalities remain constant and cannot be
addressed (Marshall et al. 1980: 174). It is
also not feasible to exclude lower income
groups from the incomes policy as the policy
will then disintegrate rapidly. High wage increases do not appear to be
SUMMARY
At the same time, such policies distort the initial cause of inflation, but they do
resource allocation as prices cannot adjust seem to perpetuate existing inflation and
to reflect relative scarcities (Van Tonder increase the difficulty of reducing infla-
1982: 143). The policy may also disin- tion once it has begun.
4.5 WAGE DIFFERENTIALS
A competitive labour market is characterised ( A ) D I S C RI M I N A TI O N
by wage or pay differentials, i.e. differences in Differences in the average or mean wages of
wage rates between industries, different classes
workers of different races or genders do not
of employees in the same industry or between
necessarily indicate discrimination by employers,
geographic areas. Wage differentials can also
because they may be due to differences in occu-
refer to differences in wages paid for similar
work, in which case it is likely to be discrimina- pation, education, experience and similar fac-
tory (Barker & Holtzhausen 1996). Fallon and tors. However, such factors can point to before-
Lucas (1998) state that non-productive factors the-market discrimination, for example where
such as discrimination, union membership and African workers occupy less skilled positions
employment status (i.e. being employed or not) because of poorer educational standards.
have resulted in larger differentials occurring in A better indicator of employer discrimination
South Africa than in other countries. would be differences in wage levels in the same
There are many reasons for such differentials, occupation, after allowing for differences in edu-
and a few are highlighted below. cation or experience. This is discussed in more
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
detail in section 10.4.4, where it is shown that (C ) I N TERS EC T O RA L D I FFEREN T I A L S
there is still a large measure of wage discrimin- Table 4.1 shows the sharp differences in the
ation in South Africa that cannot be ascribed earnings of different sectors. This is partly relat-
to education, occupation, level of skill or some ed to differences in the skills structures of work-
other non-discriminatory factor. ers and partly to the rate of unionisation in the
various sectors. In addition, Fallon and Lucas
The workers spend (1998) have found that bargaining council activ-
what they get and ities have also led to increased wage differen-
the capitalists get tials, i.e. higher wages in sectors with bargaining
councils compared to those without (this issue
what they spend. is discussed in more detail in section 5.6). The
M. Kalecki authors of the ILO Review (1996: 187) state
that although there is some similarity to the pat-
( B ) E DUCATIONAL DIFFERENTIALS tern found in other countries, the extent of the
differential between agriculture and other sectors
The level of schooling is an important cause in South Africa is very high.
of large wage differentials. Bhorat (2000a: 24)
found that the most important factor determin-
(D ) TH E D E G REE O F U N I O N I S A TI O N
ing higher earnings is education, especially mat-
ric or tertiary education. Bhorat (2001a) shows It is argued in section 5.4.1 that unions have
that the median wage for those with a matric is caused wages to peak at between 10 and 30%
close to 70% of those with a degree. However, above those in non-unionised situations, and
the median wage of people whose highest edu- that they have caused a higher differential in
cation is Grade 8 to 11 is only 35% of the wage South Africa than in other countries.
earned by a person with a tertiary education. He
concludes that the most important element in an (E ) S I ZE O F T H E E N TERPRI S E
employment equity strategy would be to equalise According to a survey undertaken in the Great-
access to and the quality of educational provi- er Johannesburg Metropolitan Area in 1999, on
sion. average large firms pay more than small firms
However, educational level is not the only across all occupational categories. The premium
education-related factor of importance. Bhorat for being in a large firm seems to be in the order
(2001a) also shows that there are at least two of 15–25% (Bhorat & Lundall 2004: 10–31).
other important factors. The first is that there Smaller enterprises are usually more labour
appears to be a disparity (either actual or per- intensive than larger ones and they tend to com-
ceived) in the quality of a tertiary qualification pete more on the basis of labour costs. Therefore
from historically white and black universities, wages tend to be lower in smaller enterprises.
which is probably mainly as a result of differ- This would normally not be so if a bargaining
ent resource allocations to the universities. The council were involved. This means that small
second important factor is that a tertiary degree enterprises might lose their competitive advan-
is a heterogeneous product. Some diplomas and tage vis-à-vis larger enterprises.
degrees are in higher demand than others, for An important reason for the higher pay in lar-
instance a person with an engineering degree will ger firms is that larger firms are probably union-
probably earn a higher salary than a person with ised, whereas it is often difficult for unions to
a humanities degree. organise workers in smaller enterprises.
The authors of the ILO Review (1996: 188– Another reason for this differential is the
190) warn that raising the general education- efficiency wage hypothesis (see section 6.4.3).
al level among disadvantaged groups will not Because higher wages may result in increased
necessarily reduce inequalities. If schooling is effort, reduced shirking and lower monitor-
used as a screening or discriminating device by ing costs, larger firms are willing to pay high-
employers, a general increase in schooling lev- er wages in line with their greater ability to pay
els will simply result in the screening levels being such wages. Smaller firms may have the same
raised. priorities, but their opportunities to gain the
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
benefits of efficiency wages are restrained by 2011: 24). In the UK, the New Economics Foun-
their lower ability to pay higher wages. Further- dation has stated that the average CEO earns
more, workers in larger firms may indirectly 100 times more than a teacher (Labour Research
share in the higher profits of larger companies Service 2011: 25).
by being paid higher wages. There are a number of factors that should be
taken in account when interpreting this informa-
tion. The first is that until recently the typical
( F ) A GE OR EXPERIENCE
executive’s package was made up almost entire-
Employees with more experience are usually paid ly of cash and a few benefits. Today it is likely
higher wages. In some cases this may amount to to be split among basic salary, annual incentive
older workers being paid higher wages. In some (e.g. performance bonuses) and long-term incen-
cases employees receive a salary increment based tives (e.g. share options). A substantial portion
on years of service. of a senior executive’s pay packet is made up of
variable components, i.e. components that are,
( G ) WORKING ENVIRONMENT theoretically at least, at risk and dependent on
the performances of the employee and the enter-
Circumstances such as night work, unpleasant prise. This is very seldom the case with produc-
physical working conditions and hazardous tion workers, as most of their remuneration is
work can justify higher wage rates. guaranteed pay.
Another factor that should be taken into
( H ) OCCUPATIONAL DIFFERENTIALS account is the skills profile of workers in dif-
ferent countries. Production plants in European
There is a large difference between the wage countries and Japan are usually highly mech-
level of the average production worker and anised and very capital intensive. These plants
that of the chief executive officer of the enter- have a very small proportion of production
prise. This is sometimes referred to as the wage workers and such workers are usually high-
gap. The Employment Equity Act refers to it ly skilled operatives using very sophisticated
as income differentials. The Labour Market machinery. This means that their productivity
Commission believes that income differentials is also very high, with commensurate pay pack-
between the highest and the lowest paid workers ages. South Africa is at the opposite end of the
in South Africa are high, both by developed and spectrum, with many workplaces still being very
developing country standards (Labour Market labour intensive, in spite of increases in capital
Commission 1996: 71). intensity in recent years. This is particularly the
In a survey of 38 very large companies, the case in the resource-based industries.
Labour Research Service has estimated that the Demand and supply factors can also not be dis-
average CEO remuneration (including salary, regarded. In South Africa there is an oversupply
benefits and bonus) is 255 times the average of workers at the lower skills levels, whereas
low-wage worker. The average executive direc- people with the necessary skills and abilities to
tor earns 154 times what the average low-wage occupy executive, managerial and other senior
worker earns. However, PE Corporate Services positions are in very short supply. Many of these
have determined that the average CEO earns skills are tradable internationally and therefore
52 times more than junior workers in his or her very mobile. Leading enterprises can retain their
company, and that there has been a decline in competitive edge only by attracting and retaining
the wage gap in recent years (www.pecs.co.za). the best leadership and managerial skills, which
Whatever the true state of affairs, the fact of means high remuneration packages.
the matter is that the wage gap in South Africa The authors of the ILO Review (1996: 206–
is large, but this is by no means a South Afri- 207) found that although senior executives
can phenomenon – the general secretary of UNI receive respectably high salaries by international
Global Union, which claims to represent 15 mil- standards, some other senior employee posts are
lion workers worldwide, has indicated that chief relatively underpaid. Furthermore, the compen-
executives in the USA earn 319 times more than sation levels of workers in manufacturing enter-
the average American, up from 30 or 40 times prises are not low by the standards of developing
more in the 1970s (Labour Research Service countries.
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
The Employment Equity Act compels an to upward pressure on the total wage bill, and
employer to reduce so-called “disproportionate this will damage competitiveness.
income differentials”. The Employment Con- Companies might also reduce the wage gap
ditions Commission must investigate propor- by getting rid of the lowest paid employees, for
tionate norms and benchmarks, and may make example by mechanisation or outsourcing. This
recommendations to the Minister in this regard. is likely to increase unemployment and lead to
This provision, if applied rigorously, could have more insecure forms of employment.
negative consequences for the economy – the Bhorat (2000a: 26) emphasises that a simplis-
wage gap between the highest and lowest cat- tic legislative approach to reducing the wage gap
egories of workers has arisen, among other would be “foolhardy”. The wage gap has arisen
reasons, because of the double impact of skills due to a fairly intricate interplay of factors, and a
shortages and an oversupply of unskilled labour. blunt instrument to reduce the gap could prove to
To address only the symptoms rather than the be “both extremely disruptive to incentives in the
causes of these imbalances in the labour market labour market, as well as resulting in highly ineffi-
will have various unintended consequences. cient outcomes” (e.g. an exodus of skills from the
First, if an artificial ceiling is placed on the domestic market, thereby aggravating the skills
earnings of highly skilled workers, there is likely shortage). Wage differentials can only be reduced
to be a skills flight from the country, especial- by addressing the root causes (e.g. by improving
ly of those skills that are internationally very education and training, as well as productivity)
mobile. This brain drain will be aggravated by and not by simply addressing the symptoms.
the fact that share option schemes and profit
sharing for senior executives might become less
popular, because they are likely to increase rath- • Apart from discrimination, there are
er than reduce the income differential (especial- many reasons for wage differentials
ly if the enterprise is financially successful). As between workers, among others, dif-
indicated in section 2.7.1, such a skills flight is ferences in skills levels, occupations,
sectors, experience and level of uni-
SUMMARY
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
What are ignored in this analysis, however, found that “rising real product wages have had
are developments with regard to productivity, a substantial dampening effect on the demand
which, through its impact on unit labour cost, for black workers”. Econometric analyses have
will obviously also influence the net impact of a indicated that a 10% increase in the real product
wage increase on employment. wage would eventually lead to a 7.1% decrease
The outcome of a wage reduction is not neces- in African employment. However, employment
sarily the mirror image of a wage increase, as changes take a significant time to adjust to the
wage changes can have an asymmetrical effect. effects of wage changes, and this period can, in
This simply means that a wage increase might fact, be several years. More specifically, after
adversely affect job prospects by reducing the nearly three years only slightly more than half of
number of jobs available, whereas a wage reduc- the adjustment to a wage change will have taken
tion might not necessarily improve job prospects place. This is an important fact, and makes
by increasing the number of jobs (ILO Review research work in this regard more complicated.
1996: 204). A reduction in wage rates can lead Mazumdar and Van Seventer (2002: 1082)
to smaller declines or larger increases in employ- found that during the 1970s the gains in manu-
ment, depending on the circumstances. facturing output could be attributed almost
In the case of South Africa, the Labour Mar- equally to an employment increase and a wage
ket Commission (1996: 51) stated that the level increase. This changed quite substantially in
of unskilled workers’ wages cannot be omitted the second half of the 1990s when, in spite of a
from any discussion seriously concerned with relatively small increase in output, the real wage
mass unemployment among this segment of the increase “bumped up to a whopping 3.9%”
labour force. The Commission referred to two (per annum) and had to be balanced by a fall
studies, one by the World Bank and one pre- in employment (quite sharply so, at a decline of
pared for the Commission by Bowles and Heintz, 3% per annum). This is very similar to trends
both of which found that a 10% increase in real in the European Economic Community (EEC)
wages correlates with a 7% decline in employ- where the outcome of labour market trends was
ment levels. The authors of the ILO Review very much in favour of real wage growth at the
(1996: 204) remain sceptical, but they choose cost of employment.
their words very carefully: “the available stud- The deteriorating wage–employment trade-
ies have not demonstrated either that real wages off in recent years also applies to small business.
have been rigid or that they have had a strong Mazumdar and Van Seventer (2004: 113) found
{sic} negative effect on employment.” that the largest part of the increase in output of
Other studies reach similar conclusions. An small firms in the 1993–1996 period occurred
econometric analysis of South African data for in real wage growth rather than employment
1974–1987 by Lawrence and Van der West- growth. However, because of sizeable output
huizen (1990: 324) shows that “an increase of increases, employment also increased, but at
nominal wages of say 10% would lead to a fall a lower rate than before. This is in stark con-
in employment levels of around 3%”. In addi- trast to the period 1972–1993, where the wage
tion, the wage increase would also lead to a loss growth was relatively low, thus allowing strong
of foreign exchange as it would result in a 4% employment growth. They speculate that insti-
drop in exports. tutional factors may have impacted dispropor-
Two researchers from the World Bank, Fallon tionately on the small business sector after 1994.
and De Silva (1994: 138), assessed the implica- The firming of legislation regarding the imple-
tions of a 5% real wage increase in 1995 owing mentation of bargaining council agreements may
to union pressure, with no real wage declines have been such a contributing factor (see section
after that. They found that such a scenario 5.6).
would increase the number of persons with- Mazumdar and Van Seventer (2002: 1089)
out jobs by as much as 3% in most years from state that one of the most probable causes of the
1994–1997. Inflation would be higher by about greater tilt in recent years towards wage increas-
ten percentage points, and exports and GDP real es at the cost of employment is trade unions and/
growth lower. or government policies that might be pushing up
In a World Bank study done for the Labour wages at the cost of employment. Another pos-
Market Commission, Fallon and Lucas (1998) sible reason may be that the increased cost of
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A
WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
dismissals or lay-offs induced employers to pay to note that unemployment is not necessarily
higher wages to improve productivity. “caused” by high wage levels. As indicated in
Fedderke and Mariotti (2002: 861) have sim- Chapter 8, unemployment is the result of a com-
ilarly found that real wages are likely to be plex interaction of various factors, and it cannot
important in determining employment trends in be addressed by a simplistic approach. In any
South Africa’s labour markets. More specifically, event, reducing wages is politically not feasible.
where the growth rate in labour remuneration has Nevertheless, slower increases in wages would
outstripped growth rates in labour productivity, have fewer negative consequences for employ-
there is a tendency for labour inputs to decline. ment than wage increases significantly above the
Furthermore, the large employment sectors rate of inflation, which seems to have become
of the economy that have experienced strong the norm in several sectors.
declines in employment also show strong nega-
tive correlations between real labour remunera-
tion and employment. These sectors are agricul- • Labour cost increases that are not
ture, household domestic services, gold mining, associated with equivalent productiv-
SUMMARY
transport, and building construction. These ity increases will reduce the demand
were also the very sectors that showed negative for labour to a level that is lower than
growth rates in employment. would otherwise have been the case.
However, Banerjee et al. (2006: 32) come to a • In the case of South Africa, it seems as
different conclusion when they say that there is if a 10% increase in wages may lead to
no evidence that the increase in unemployment a 7% decline in employment, but will
in South Africa was driven by wage growth. In take some years to take full effect.
fact, the collapse of employment in the mining
and agriculture sectors during the 1990s and the
high turnover rates we observe in the micro-data
would mute the power of wage-push by damp- 4.6.2 The impact of high
ening union demands. unemployment on wages
Although most research points to a wage– As indicated by the theoretical discussions,
employment trade-off, it does not follow unemployment will lead to competition for jobs
that lower wages will necessarily “solve” the among unemployed people. This will result in
unemployment problem. As discussed in Chapter wages declining, which in turn will both increase
3, what happens to employment depends very the demand for workers and reduce the supply
much on the elasticity of the demand for labour. of workers. In other words, if high unemploy-
If the demand for labour is very inelastic, that ment levels cause wages to fall, unemployment
demand is not very “sensitive” to wages, and will reduce and eventually be eliminated. This
wages might have to drop substantially before will happen in perfectly competitive labour mar-
increasing the demand for labour significantly. kets, but the reality is that markets are imperfect
It can be argued that a drop in wages will also as a result of a number of factors, in particular
have an impact on the total income of work- artificial wage determination as a result of the
ers. Although a decline in wages will increase impact of the government, unions, monopoly
employment, the increase in income as a result of employers and bargaining councils.
the increase in the number of workers may still Fallon and Lucas (1998) found that the labour
be smaller than the decline in the total income markets for skilled workers in South Africa clear
of all workers, in which case workers as a group well, but the same cannot be said of the markets
will be worse off. Therefore, if wages fall pro- for unskilled workers. Using the wages of Afri-
portionately more than employment increases, cans and whites as representative of unskilled
total wage income will be reduced. This reduc- and skilled wages respectively, they found that
tion in wages will increase profits, which may “unskilled wages have been much less respon-
not necessarily be channelled into increased sive to unemployment levels than those of the
investment. This could impact negatively on skilled”. The positions of skilled Africans and
economic growth if the negative impact on con- unskilled Africans are different in that there is
sumption spending is large enough. clear evidence that the markets for skilled Afri-
This having been said, it is also important cans do in fact clear. Another finding was that
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
African wages do not adjust to changes in the (1991). The following general remarks, however,
inflation rate as quickly as those of whites, sug- suffice to illustrate the fallacy of this argument.
gesting greater rigidities in wage setting. If wages are increased, the higher wage bill has
to be financed in some way. If it is financed by
passing the costs on to consumers in the form
Unskilled wages have been much less of higher prices, the consequent higher infla-
S UM M AR Y
responsive to unemployment levels and tion rate will reduce real wages and workers
inflation than skilled wages, which sug- will be no better off; in fact, they may be worse
gests greater rigidities in wage setting off because inflation has negative redistributive
among unskilled workers. effects and feeds on itself. If employers dip into
their profits (if any) to finance the wage bill, sur-
pluses available for reinvestment will be reduced,
4.6.3 Will high wages increase and this will affect economic growth negatively.
economic growth? If the employer attempts to avoid a higher wage
bill by reducing employment or by replacing
There is an argument that if wages are increased workers with machinery, employment will be
on a wide enough scale, consumption and even- reduced. Total spending power is therefore not
tually economic growth will increase because necessarily increased.
workers will have more spending power. The
higher economic growth will, so the argument Nobody kin talk as
goes, lead to an increase in employment. interestin’ as th’feller
However, if it were this easy to increase that’s not hampered by
employment, no country in the world would
facts or information.
experience unemployment. For a thorough cri-
tique of these populist theories, consult Moll Kin Hubbard
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
only the social benefits of those in employment,
while ignoring both the costs to the economy This report was a requirement of the BCEA.
and the social costs to those without employ- The report considered international evidence
ment. and found that virtually all European coun-
A legislated reduction in working hours will, tries have experienced a decrease in working
in most instances where hours are reduced, hours since the early 1980s. However, the
increase the unit cost of labour and production evidence suggests that reductions in working
costs in general, because of the impact on fixed
hours can only be achieved when certain pre-
labour cost, variable labour cost and capital
conditions are met. Among these is the need
cost. The fixed cost of labour (e.g. leave pay,
office space, protective clothing, recruitment for an equitable income distribution so that
costs, costs associated with education and train- the reductions do not cause employees to
ing, and severance pay), as well as capital costs, work extra overtime or find other ways of
do not change in relation to hours of work. circumventing the reductions. In addition, all
Therefore, if employees work fewer hours, the the major European agreements on working
fixed costs associated with their employment are time reduction have involved some conces-
spread over fewer hours, i.e. the hourly fixed sions from unions in respect of flexibility and
costs increase. lower wage increases. Where working time
With regard to the variable cost of labour
reductions and pay increases have been nego-
(i.e. labour costs associated with the number of
tiated as a total package, it has been possible
hours worked), the impact of the reduced hours
will depend on what happens to the hourly cost to offset the increase in costs arising from the
of labour. If workers are paid by the hour, the working time reduction with lower pay rises.
hourly cost of labour remains constant, regard- The three main types of flexibility arrange-
less of hours worked. The hourly variable cost ments are the averaging of hours over a long-
of labour for the employer will therefore remain er time period, the extension of operating
constant if hours are reduced, and the employ- hours, and the reduction of costs in exchange
ees’ total take-home pay will be reduced because for flexibility.
of the reduced hours. The report states that without effective
If workers are paid on a weekly or monthly
enforcement and monitoring, actual work-
basis, and the weekly or monthly rates remain
ing hours for full-time employees might
unchanged, reduced hours will increase the
hourly cost of labour. The take-home pay of increase rather than decrease with working
employees will remain constant, but because time reductions, as workers increase their
reduced hours increase production costs and overtime hours. This translates into a form
therefore inflation, and reduce employment, the of wage increase, as overtime is usually paid
real disposable income of households will gen- at a premium rate. However, there are no
erally decline (see the survey of 11 studies by gains in terms of operational efficiency and
the Commission of the European Communities, no social benefit in terms of reduced work-
quoted by Barker 1995: 5657). ing hours.
At the time, Cosatu was advocating a further
With regard to the relationship between
reduction in working hours to a 40-hour work-
working time and employment, the investi-
ing week, and the government commissioned an
investigation into the matter (see accompanying gation found that positive effects are most
box). evident when the reduction in working
hours is not associated with increases in
unit costs, nor with bottlenecks in respect
of skilled labour, reductions in operating
Policy issue: The debate about a
hours, significant fixed costs per employee,
40-hour working week
high wage differentials or low wage levels.
The Department of Labour commissioned a A reduction in working hours might also
report (2000b) on a 40-hour working week. improve health and safety by reducing stress
Í Í
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
Impact of reduced working hours on employ-
ment. There are those who believe that reduced A reduction in working hours will
working hours will increase labour absorp- increase the hourly cost of production
SUMMARY
tion, among them Cosatu (1998: 21). It argues and unit production costs unless there is
that existing work will be shared among more a commensurate increase in productivity.
employees. This is the classic “lump of labour” The net effect of a reduction in working
argument. Its fundamental flaw is, however, hours is likely to be a lower demand for
that the number of jobs available is regarded labour than would otherwise have been
as fixed, and can simply be divided up in dif- the case.
ferent ways. In particular, it ignores the impact
of reduced working hours on production costs.
Reduced hours of work will, in most instances,
When making wage recommendations the
increase production costs and this is likely to
Employment Conditions Commission has to
have a negative effect on the demand for labour
take into account the ability of employers to
– there is thus no fixed number (or “lump”) of
carry on their undertakings successfully, the cost
jobs available.
of living, and the operation of small and new
In contrast, there is good evidence that
enterprises. The Employment Conditions Com-
employment will either reduce or at most remain
mission should also consider the likely impact of
constant if working hours are reduced (see
any proposed condition of employment on cur-
the survey of 28 studies on this topic by Bark-
rent employment or the creation of employment.
er 1995: 5557). Roche, Fynes and Morrissey
Having considered a recommendation, the Min-
(1996: 148) state: “Although calculating the
ister may make a sectoral determination.
employment effects of a reduction in standard
Although sectoral determinations have had a
working time is a problematic exercise, the inter-
significant impact on some sectors, for instance
national experience appears to have been dis-
the agricultural sector and domestic work, the
appointing, with some commentators suggesting
minimum wages set by such determinations
the possibility of a negative effect.”
are generally relatively low compared to actual
The one exception to the general finding that
wages in the particular sector. In this sense, they
employment will remain constant or decline is
do not appear to have had a significant impact
the public sector, where it has been found that a
on the cost of labour. The impact of minimum
reduction in hours often increases employment
wages on among, other things the employment
there (Aberg 1986, quoted by Barker 1995: 57).
of farm workers, is dealt with in section 5.7.
Because of the increase in employment and the
generally negative effect on the economy (and
therefore on tax receipts), a reduction in the 4.7.2 Labour Relations Act
hours of work in the public sector is likely to The Labour Relations Act (LRA) firstly pro-
result in a deterioration in government finances. vides for bargaining councils and the extension
With regard to the effect of a reduction in of bargaining council agreements to all parties
working hours on other macroeconomic vari- in a particular sector. Bargaining councils have
ables, a number of studies have found that it been much criticised, not only in respect of their
generally leads to higher inflation (see sources impact on the cost of labour, but also for intro-
quoted by Barker 1995: 55–57). Because a ducing rigidities in the labour market. These
reduction in working hours reduces competitive- criticisms as well as some counter-arguments are
ness, it also has a negative effect on the balance discussed in section 5.6.
of payments. As discussed in section 5.3, the LRA also act-
ively promotes unionisation and, according to
some authors, does not properly apply the prin-
M I N I MUM WAGES
ciples of positive labour relations, i.e. voluntar-
The BCEA provides for the establishment of ism for all parties, equality before the law for
the Employment Conditions Commission. This all parties, and non-competitive universal human
body makes recommendations to the Minister of rights. Although unions are essential for vari-
Labour in respect of minimum wages and other ous reasons, they do cause wages to be higher
conditions of employment. than in non-unionised situations – international
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
SUMMARY
significant impact that unions have on the in the LRA are likely to increase the cost
our market in this country. of labour, as will the provisions that have
he LRA also increases the cost of labour in encouraged and protected the growth
ious other indirect ways, for instance by mak- towards strong unionism in the country.
ing dismissals and retrenchments more difficult However, the potential positive effect of
and expensive. This is discussed in more detail in unions should not be ignored.
section 6.6.1.
Wages are
determined by the
bitter struggle S
between capitalist
and worker. A B
Wage rate
Karl Marx
W2
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
level of W2. Reading down from points A and demand will increase the demand for labour, and
B, quantity supplied has increased to L3 and will move the demand curve to the right. This
quantity demanded has reduced to L2. The over- will cause an excess demand for labour, which
supply of labour is the distance between points will increase the wage rate and employment.
B and A, i.e. L3–L2. A number of people look-
ing for work will be prepared to accept a job at
a lower wage, and at a lower wage employers S1
will also be willing to take on more workers. D1
This reduces both wages and the oversupply of S2
labour, until equilibrium is eventually reached at E1 E3
Wage rate
point E. W1
Similarly, a lower wage rate than W1 will
mean an undersupply (excess demand) of work- E2
ers and employers will bid wages up to the equi- W2
librium or market-clearing level.
D2
S H I F TS IN SUPPLY AND DEMAND
C U R V ES
Let us assume that an exogenous (external) fac-
tor, for example higher immigration, moves the L1 L3 L2
labour supply curve from S1 to S2 in Figure 4.5. Number of workers
There will thus be an oversupply of labour to
the extent of L2–L1 at wage level W1. Work- Figure 4.5 New equilibrium level between
ers will bid down wages and the quantity sup- supply and demand
plied of labour will decrease. Because of lower
wages, employers will employ more work-
ers, i.e. the quantity demanded for labour will In a perfectly competitive labour mar-
SUMMARY
increase. Eventually a new equilibrium level will ket, markets will move towards equilib-
be reached where quantity supplied and quantity rium through the wage mechanism, and
demanded are equal, i.e. at point E2. Wages will equilibrium is defined as the point at
be at level W2 and employment at level L3. which quantity supplied equals quantity
Similarly, the demand curve can also move to demanded.
the right or left. A seasonal increase in consumer
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
Wage rate
that no single employer is large enough to influ-
ence the market wage), the monopsonist enter- E
prise drives wages up if it expands employment. W1
The monopsonist thus faces the market supply
of labour. The monopsonist will have to entice
every next worker into the labour market by MRP
paying a higher wage than the previous wage,
because the reservation wage of that worker is
higher than that of the previous worker (Hamer-
mesh & Rees 1988: 140). This is reflected by the L1
same market curve that was discussed in Chap- Number of workers
ter 2 (see curve S in Figure 4.5).
For the sake of simplicity, we continue to Figure 4.6 The perfectly discriminating
assume that all workers have equal skills. As far monopsonist
as the wage levels are concerned, the monopson-
ist can do one of two things. Firstly, the monop- N O N - D I S C R I M I N A T I N G M O N O PS O N I S T
sonist can decide to pay all workers the same
As discussed above, a non-discriminating
wage, which means he would have to increase
monopsonist is an employer who pays all his
the wages of all current workers to the level
workers the same for the same job, even if he
at which he employed the last worker (in this
was able to recruit some at a lower wage rate.
case the monopsonist is non-discriminating).
The cost of employing an additional worker
Alternatively, the monopsonist can discriminate
becomes quite expensive for the non-discrimin-
between employees, and simply pay them their
ating monopsonist. First, the monopsonist has
reservation wages, which means each next work-
to pay the additional worker a higher wage to
er will get more than the previous worker (the
attract him or her. Second, as the monopsonist
monopsonist is “perfectly” discriminating). The
employer is also a non-discriminatory employer,
latter case is the simplest and will be dealt with
he will, in addition, have to increase the wages
first.
of all his other workers to that same level. The
enterprise’s total cost of employing one addi-
T H E DISCRIMINATING MONOPSONIST tional worker (the marginal cost) will therefore
In Figure 4.6, the marginal cost (MC) of the be the wage of the additional worker plus the
discriminating monopsonist will be equal to cost of increasing the wages of existing workers.
the supply curve of labour – the employer sim- The marginal cost of employing that additional
ply pays the worker his or her reservation wage worker will therefore be higher than the wage
and can hire different workers at different wage of the particular worker. The wage of this work-
rates. The marginal revenue product (MRP) of er is also the wage of all the workers, which is
the monopsonist is also indicated in the figure the average wage. If the marginal cost of the last
and, as outlined in the previous chapter, equi- worker is higher than his wage, then the margin-
librium will be where the marginal revenue al cost will also be higher than the average cost
obtained by employing another worker is equal of all the workers.
to the marginal cost of employing that worker This is reflected in Figure 4.7, where MC indi-
(the wage of the worker) – therefore where MRP cates the marginal cost curve and AC the aver-
= MC. This is indicated by point E. Only the last age cost curve. The MC curve lies above the
worker will earn this wage, and all other work- AC curve to indicate the higher marginal cost
ers will earn a lower wage. involved in employing additional workers.
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WAG E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R 4
profit by employing more labour. However, if
MC he employs more than L1 workers, the marginal
cost of the last worker will be higher than the
marginal product. The employer will then reduce
AC (= Supply)
the number of workers to reduce costs until the
marginal cost of a worker is equal to the margin-
Wage rate
W1 E
al revenue produced by that worker.
Q If an employer employs L1 workers, he will
W3 pay the wage of W2 to all his workers. However,
if it were a perfectly competitive market, equilib-
W2 rium would have been be at point Q, i.e. where
D (= MRP) supply and demand intersect, in which case
wages would be higher at W3 and not W2, and
employment higher at L3 and not L1. It is clear
that in a monopsony market both wages and
L1 L3 employment could be lower than they would be
Number of workers in a perfectly competitive market (Hamermesh
& Rees 1988: 142).
Figure 4.7 The non-discriminating monopsonist
To maximise profits, the monopsonist enterprise In a monopsony market, i.e. where there
must ensure that its marginal cost is equal to is only one employer or where there
SUMMARY
its marginal product (MRP). In Figure 4.7 this is collusion between employers to fix
means that it will employ L1 workers. Profits wages at a certain level, equilibrium
will be maximised because if the monopsonist might be reached at a point where both
employs fewer than L1 workers, the margin- wages and employment are lower than
al product produced by the employment of an they would have been be in a perfectly
additional worker will be greater than the mar- competitive market.
ginal cost and the employer can make more
Key concepts
bargaining power money wage levels
dual labour market monopsony
equilibrium or market-clearing level perfectly competitive labour market
incomes policies primary and secondary labour markets
internal labour market real wage levels
labour market segmentation wage differentials
For students
1. Broadly describe the most important meth- 3. Why might wages and employment be lower
ods of wage determination in South Africa. in a monopsony than in a perfectly competi-
tive labour market? Explain this with the
2. Use demand and supply graphics to explain
assistance of a graph.
what impact an increase in migrant workers
might have on wage rates and on the supply 4. Discuss the theory of labour market seg-
of and demand for labour. mentation (also known as the dual or inter-
nal labour market theory).
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C H A P T E R 4 W A G E S A N D T H E C O S T O F L A B O U R
5. Would you describe parts of the South Afri- 10. Discuss the impact high wage costs might
can labour market as a dual labour market, have on inflation, and an incomes policy as
and if so, why? a possible measure to reduce inflation with-
out generating unemployment.
6. Discuss the reasons for wage differentials in
the South African labour market, and pos- 11. What is the likely impact of wage increases
sible measures to reduce these differentials. on employment? Discuss the results of stud-
ies relating to South Africa in this regard.
7. Discuss the provisions in the Employment
Equity Act to reduce income differentials. 12. What is the likely effect of labour legislation
in this country on the cost of labour?
8. Describe the most notable developments
regarding earnings in South Africa over the 13. It has been argued that a reduction in the
last few years, including sectoral develop- working week will increase employment
ments. because available work can be spread
among more people. Discuss the validity of
9. Discuss the various ways of measuring infla-
this statement, with particular reference to
tion in South Africa.
the impact of working hours on production
costs.
Suggested reading*
Bhorat, H. 2000a. Presidential Commission to Investigate
Wage premia and wage differentials in the South
Labour Market Policy. 1996.
African labour market. Submission to the
Restructuring the South African labour market.
Employment Equity Commission. Pretoria:
Pretoria: Department of Labour.
Department of Labour.
Standing, G., Sender, J. & Weeks, J. 1996.
Borjas, G.J. 2000.
Restructuring the labour market: the South African
Labor economics. New York: McGraw-Hill Higher
challenge. Geneva: International Labour
Education.
Organisation (referred to as ILO Review).
Ehrenberg, R.G. & Smith, R.S. 1985.
Modern labor economics. London: Scott Foresman.
McConnell, C.R., Brue, S.L. & Macpherson, D.A.
2006.
Contemporary labor economics. New York: * The bibliography contains the full list of
McGraw-Hill. references.
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OUTLINE OF THIS CHAPTER
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Collective bargaining and the labour
market
5.3 The union movement
5.4
5.5
The impact of unions
The influence of strike action
Unions,
5.6
5.7
Bargaining councils
Minimum wages
collective
5.8 Minimum subsistence levels bargaining
and minimum
wages
5.1 INTRODUCTION
Chapter 4 discusses the determination of wages Although the role of unions in preventing the
in a more or less perfectly competitive labour exploitation of workers is generally accepted,
market. It shows that in this market wages are there is discomfort in some quarters about
determined through the interaction of demand unions becoming too strong. It is feared that
and supply, and would, theoretically at least, strong unions might cause wide differentials
be determined at levels that will eliminate between the wages of unionised and non-union-
unemployment. Some imperfections are raised in ised sectors, and increase unemployment. At the
that chapter, for instance the impact of labour same time, there is much debate about whether
laws on the cost of labour and monopsony unions promote or inhibit productivity and flex-
labour markets. ibility in the workplace.
This chapter takes the discussion of labour These are the issues that are discussed in
market imperfections further. One of the most this chapter. The first section is dedicated to
important factors that impact on the free oper- an analysis of collective bargaining. The union
ation of market forces is labour unions. They movement and the impact of unions on wages
negotiate wages and conditions of employment and on productivity are then discussed. This is
with one or more employers. The outcome of followed by a discussion of strike action and its
such collective bargaining usually determines particular consequences.
minimum wages in an enterprise or even in a The discussion then shifts to bargaining coun-
whole sector. However, where unions are absent cils, which are both important forums for cen-
or not strong enough to ensure proper collective tralised bargaining and a source of much con-
bargaining, the government might intervene to troversy in South Africa. The pros and cons of
set minimum wages for vulnerable workers. these councils are outlined. Among the functions
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A
C H A P T E R 5 U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E B A R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M W A G E S
of bargaining councils is the determining of min- minimum wages are considered. Wages, and
imum wages, which are then extended to apply minimum wages in particular, are often related
to a whole sector. Other ways in which min- to minimum subsistence levels, and this concept
imum wages are determined in South Africa are is also discussed in the final part of this chapter.
mentioned, and the arguments for and against
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U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E BA R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M WAG E S 5
• The unemployment position and the effect price increase will sharply reduce the demand
of the outcome of collective bargaining for that product and the employer will be
on employment do not always seem to be more resistant to wage demands. For instance,
important considerations in collective bar- consumers tend to be very price sensitive (i.e.
gaining in South Africa. This contrasts with the demand is elastic) if there is intense com-
the approach in many other countries, where petition between producers, which means that
employment considerations appear to be much any individual producer will attempt to keep
more prominent. Reasons for this may be that wage and cost increases to a minimum. This is
the unemployment problem in this country discussed in more detail in section 3.7.3.
is already so severe that it seems an accepted
• In monopolistic conditions employers will also
fact of life, or that the employment effects
grant wage increases more readily because
often lag so far behind the wage settlements they can usually recover higher costs aris-
that the parties to the settlement (in particu- ing from wage increases by increasing the
lar the union, but also the employer) do not prices of their products (Ehrenberg & Smith
recognise or acknowledge the link between 1985: 382). This is discussed fully in section
wages and employment (Marshall et al. 3.7.6. In a competitive market, an enterprise
1980: 353). Furthermore, unions often argue might price itself out of the market if the price
that employees need to receive high wages of the product is increased because of high
when unemployment is high because they have wage increases. For the same reason, in a rela-
to support the unemployed. The effect of wage tively open economy, imported products can
increases on employment is considered in sec- compete with local products and this reduces
tion 5.4.1. the local employers’ ability or willingness to
• Demand conditions, profitability and pro- grant wage increases.
ductivity also have an important influence on • The export orientation of both employers and
collective bargaining. In buoyant market con- unions has a significant influence on collective
ditions or when labour productivity is increas- bargaining. If both employers and unions are
ing, the employer will more readily grant very conscious of the importance of exports
wage increases. In recessionary conditions, and aim to keep local products highly com-
an employer might be more willing to face a petitive in international markets, market
strike than give a substantial wage increase. forces will play a bigger role and bring more
Strikes during such periods might even reduce economic realism to collective bargaining than
the need for retrenchment or shorter working otherwise.
hours. Strike activity during recessions pres-
surises employers less than during boom per- • The employer’s capacity to deal with a strike
iods and is therefore less prevalent than during directly affects collective bargaining. If pro-
boom periods or seasonal peaks. duction can, for instance, be easily varied or
stopped, or sufficient inventories have been
Collective bargaining built up to provide for uninterrupted market-
without the right to ing during the strike, the employer will be less
willing to grant high wage increases. Similarly,
strike becomes
if the employer does not have a large compon-
collective begging. ent of highly specialised workers but can make
Anonymous use of temporary workers during a strike, the
employer might decide to take his or her chan-
• The elasticity of demand for the employer’s ces with a strike (Marshall et al. 1980: 327).
product is also an important consideration. • The standard of living of the workers is also
If the demand is inelastic, i.e. the demand an important consideration. Relatively low
does not vary much with price increases, the standards might influence the union to fight
employer will grant wage increases more read- harder for a high wage increase and might also
ily and will pass the cost increases on to the make the employer more sympathetic in this
consumer through higher prices. If the demand regard. The same applies if the inflation rate is
is very elastic, any wage increase leading to a relatively high.
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C H A P T E R 5 U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E B A R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M W A G E S
SUMMARY
The outcome of collective bargaining is determined by the bargaining power of the parties
involved, market forces and the economic environment.
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C H A P T E R 5 U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E B A R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M W A G E S
globalisation, technological change and, in One of the ways in which unions have
some cases, worker preferences. Practices responded to this challenge is to extend their
such as subcontracting, outsourcing and the membership drives to non-traditional con-
hiring of temporary and part-time workers, stituents. These may be grouped into several
long considered as atypical employment, are distinct but overlapping categories: (i) new
becoming more common, especially at the entrants at the higher end of labour mar-
lower end of the labour market. The net out- kets, including professional and white-collar
come is an increased segmentation of labour workers; (ii) casual workers, who are either
markets, with one group of workers having part-time or temporary; (iii) home-based
very insecure jobs on the one hand and, on workers and those in the informal sector;
the other hand, (often unionised) workers and (iv) women workers.
having more secure employment in the pri-
Trade unions are ideally placed to lead an
mary labour market (see section 4.2.3).
initiative for a social minimum wage, con-
In this regard, Webster (2006: 7) has found sisting of the right to income security and
that Cosatu members are better educated and other entitlements such as education, health,
more skilled than the average worker. More shelter and a safe environment.
than 90% of Cosatu members are in the
(f) Small business. Technological changes have
“core” of the labour market. Even though
made it possible to reshape production
Cosatu affiliates have attempted to make
through new forms of industrial organisa-
inroads into organising non-core workers,
tion. This has often resulted in a number
they have largely not been successful in orga-
of smaller enterprises undertaking produc-
nising them (Naledi 2006a: 15). It is thus
tion or other activities that large compan-
probably not surprising that a survey showed
ies might previously have undertaken them-
that only 10% of Cosatu member belong to
selves.
a union to improve their job security (Nal-
edi 2006b: 25). The importance of organis- The larger number of production units
ing non-core workers was again raised as an makes it more difficult for unions to
important priority (Naledi 2006a: 33). organise workers and to bargain collective-
ly. Often there is a more personal relation-
A politically important task for unions is
ship between workers and employers, and
thus to build distributive institutions to
unions have greater difficulty in recruiting
defend the interests of workers at the lower
members. This is one of the reasons for
end of the market, particularly the vast
unions striving to achieve multi-employ-
reservoir of workers in the informal sec-
er agreements on minimum standards, for
tor. Ideally, this could be attained through
instance through bargaining councils in
macro-level framework agreements encom-
South Africa (see section 5.6).
passing minimum standards of employment,
minimum wages, portable benefits including (g) Geographic dispersion of production.
health care, and safety nets which workers Technological changes have also resulted in
are entitled to irrespective of the location production being geographically dispersed
of employment. The question is whether even outside the boundaries of urban labour
unions can empower themselves to ensure markets. In addition, production or other
a secure income, decent working conditions activities have been outsourced to other
and social justice for all, and not focus on regions or even other countries. The geo-
their members only. Such empowerment graphic dispersion within a country makes
is a precondition for unions to emerge as it more difficult for unions to gain access to
credible partners ensuring social cohesion. every workplace. However, a bigger threat
Webster (2006: 6) calls this role of unions is the ease with which employers can move
“social unionism”. In this regard unions can production to other countries. This often
also play an exceedingly important role to gives employers more leverage in negotia-
ensure democratic principles in countries tions – if the union does not agree to moder-
(see preceding box – Policy issue: Unions as ate wage increases, the employer will move
important protectors of democratic values). production out of the country.
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U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E BA R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M WAG E S 5
(h) Skills composition. The skills composition issues: gender work in unions continues to
of the workforce is changing and work- be unsupported, under-resourced and mar-
ers are increasingly being differentiated by ginalised (Naledi 2006a: 51).
their competence. At the higher end of the (j) Structural adjustments. The shift in focus
scale, workers tend to be better educated, from the manufacturing sector, which nor-
career minded, individualistic and less mally has a relatively high union density,
motivated by class interests and solidarity. to the services sector, which is less union-
These workers often have incentivised pay ised, has contributed to the decline in union
arrangements and they generally have less density. There is also a shift towards the
need for trade unions. Owing to techno- information economy, which has no trad-
logical developments and consumer prefer- ition of supporting collective bargaining,
ences, employers are also often more intent which also accelerates the decline in union
on the development of human resources membership. Initially, the growth of union
than before. This encourages the trend membership in the public sector compen-
towards a more skilled workforce. This is sated for this decline, but recently there
also reflected in the membership of Cosatu, has been a reshaping of the public sector
which has seen growing numbers of mem- in many countries, which has reduced the
bers with higher skill and education levels overall union density (European Foundation
(Naledi 2006a: 28). for the Improvement of Living and Working
On the other hand, there is a discernible Conditions 2010: 57).
concentration of workers (mainly women or
migrants) at the lower end in service indus-
tries or occupations. This trend has resulted
SUMMARY
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C H A P T E R 5 U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E B A R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M W A G E S
Austria, Bulgaria, Denmark, Hungary, Latvia, other countries that have shown sharp declines
Lithuania and Malta. While trade union density in union membership figures.
is still decreasing in the central and eastern Euro- The membership of registered unions
pean countries, the rate of decline has slowed increased quite sharply in the period 1980–2000,
considerably in most cases when compared with from 782 000 in 1980 to 3 million, which repre-
the previous period 1993–2003. sents an annual increase of nearly 6%. The Inter-
In spite of the declines in union density in national Labour Office described the increase as
Sweden and Denmark, the union density in these the highest of 92 countries that it surveyed in its
countries remains at about 70%. Other coun- annual study of the world’s labour markets (ILO
tries with equally high union density figures are 1997). This can be ascribed to a number of fac-
Finland, Belgium and Norway. Countries such tors, including the heightened awareness of pol-
as the UK, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, itical and worker rights and the registration of
Germany and several central and eastern Euro- unions that were previously not registered. Many
pean countries have union density figures of unions were not allowed to register before the
below 30%. Wiehahn reforms of labour policy in the early
Unions in South Africa are still relative- 1980s, while others initially refused to register,
ly strong. According to information from the as this was seen as cooption into the “system”.
Annual Report of the Department of Labour As indicated in Figure 5.1, the number of
(2005: 17), as well as the LFS, there were about unions increased sharply after 1995. This was
3 million union members in 2005. This repre- probably as a result of changes to the LRA, which
sents a union density of just less than 40%. made union registration easier. In 2002, there
This union density is based on union density as were further changes to the LRA aimed at elimin-
a percentage of employees in formal employ- ating consultancies fronting as trade unions. This
ment, excluding the agricultural sector, domestic made union registration more difficult and there-
workers and self-employed persons. This is high after the number of unions started to decline.
by international standards and very high by the Union membership, on the other hand,
standards of developing countries (ILO Review increased almost continuously up to 2002. This
1996: 155). As will be pointed out below, union can be ascribed partly to unions being registered
membership in South Africa has been increasing more easily and also to intensive union recruit-
for a number of years, in contrast with many ment drives, especially in the civil service. How-
4500 600
4000
500
3500
Union membership (’000)
Number of unions
3000 400
Membership
2500
300
2000
1500 200
Unions
1000
100
500
0 0
80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04
Year
Figure 5.1 Registered trade unions and their membership
Sources: National Manpower Commission, Annual Reports; Department of Labour, Annual Reports; Department of Labour 2005a
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U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E BA R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M WAG E S 5
ever, this changed from about 2002, and there unite all union federations in the country into
has been a clear downward trend in union mem- one federation), and international worker soli-
bership since then. Over the long term, one can darity. Cosatu adopted the Freedom Charter
expect trade union membership in most organised and formed an alliance with the ANC and the
sectors of the economy to stagnate or even to start South African Communist Party to ensure “a
to decline. This is because trade union density in democratic, non-racial society” in South Afri-
some industries is reaching maturity and because ca. Cosatu is committed to a socialist econom-
the political dispensation in the country is grad- ic system.
ually starting to normalise. This decline is in line • The Federation of Unions of South Africa
with trends throughout the world. (Fedusa) was formed in 1997 by the merger
Trade unions in South Africa are probably of the Federation of South African Labour
no longer seen as a vehicle for liberation from Unions (Fedsal) and the Federation of Organi-
oppression, and even though they remain strong- sations Representing Civil Employees (Force).
ly politicised, they will probably start concen- Fedusa consists of nearly 19 affiliated trade
trating more on workplace and socioeconomic unions with a claimed membership base of
issues in future. about 515 000 (website: www.fedusa.org.za).
Fedusa is founded on the principles of party
L A R G EST UNION FEDERATIONS political independence (it is therefore not
Three trade union federations comprise the bulk aligned to any political party), equal oppor-
of union membership in South Africa. They play tunities and non-discrimination, a democratic
a significant role in the formulation of policy. labour environment, professionalism, disci-
There are also a number of smaller labour move- plined action, and support for balanced eco-
ments that play a lesser role, although certainly nomic policies. At the time of writing, Fedusa
not irrelevant. The most important union move- and Nactu (see below) had just agreed to start
ments in the country are the following (Barker the process to revive the South African Con-
& Holtzhausen 1996): federation of Trade Unions (SACOTU).
• The Congress of South African Trade Unions • The National Council of Trade Unions
(Cosatu) claims to have approximately 1.8 (Nactu) has about 15 affiliates (website: www.
million paid-up members and 33 affiliates nactu.org.za). It believes in non-affiliation to
(2002) (see accompanying box) (website: political parties, non-racialism and autonomy
www.cosatu.org.za). It was founded in 1985 of affiliates.
and is the largest labour federation in South • Although not a federation, another important
Africa. Even by international standards it union movement is Solidarity (website www.
has been among the fastest-growing unions solidaritysa.co.za). It claims a membership of
in the world. It is founded on the principles 150 000. In 2006 Solidarity affiliated with
of non-racialism and non-sexism; one indus- the Confederation of South African Workers’
try, one union; worker control of the union; Unions (Consawu). This membership enables
paid-up membership to ensure self-sufficien- the trade union to take part in the labour
cy; one country, one federation (i.e. to try to debate both nationally and internationally.
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C H A P T E R 5 U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E B A R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M W A G E S
SUMMARY
• Unions in South Africa are very powerful and members of registered unions form about 40% of
the formal employment. This is high by international standards and very high by the standards
of developing countries.
• The principal bodies representing organised labour in South Africa are three labour federations:
Cosatu, Fedusa and Nactu.
Against this background, the impact of unions on the cost and productivity of labour is discussed in
the next few sections.
Wu Wu
Wage rate
Wage rate
Wt
W W
Ws
Nu N Employment N Nn Employment
(a) Unionised sector (b) Non-unionised sector
98 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E BA R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M WAG E S 5
Let us now further assume that the union most productive workers and, in time, the firms
in the unionised half (Figure 5.2(a)) succeeds will benefit. Such workplaces might thus acquire
in increasing wages to Wu. The real union/ better skilled workforces, and there might be a
non-union wage gap is thus WuW. However, higher wage paid in union firms because of the
the wage increase results in employment in the higher skills available rather than the presence of
unionised half of the market being reduced from the union.
N to Nu workers. This will leave NNu work-
ers unemployed. They now migrate and look for IM P A C T O F TH E ELA S T I C I TY O F
work in the non-unionised half of the market DEMAND
(assuming the supply of labour stays constant).
Instead of N workers working in the non-union- The extent to which unions impact on employ-
ised half (Figure 5.2 (b)), the supply of workers ment by increasing the cost of labour depends on
will be N + (NNu) = Nn. This will force wages the elasticity of the demand for labour, i.e. the
down to Ws in the non-unionised part. In the sensitivity of the labour demand to wage changes.
unionised part wages will be at level Wu. This is illustrated in Figure 5.3. Two labour
Instead of the union/non-union wage gap of demand curves are presented – Del, which is
WuW, it now seems as if the union has caused relatively elastic, and Din, which is relatively
a wage gap of WuWs between the unionised inelastic. The supply of labour is S, which results
and non-unionised sectors. However, this is the in an equilibrium wage of W and employment of
measured gap, which has been caused by surplus L. If the union increases the wage to Wu, then
labour in the unionised sector migrating to the the impact on employment will differ depending
non-unionised sector. The measured differential on whether the labour demand curve is elastic or
of WuWs is much larger than the actual differ- inelastic. If demand is elastic (Del), employment
ential of WuW. It therefore overstates the impact will decline relatively sharply to Lel. However, if
of the union. the demand for labour is inelastic (Din), employ-
As outlined by McConnell et al. (2006: 335), ment will show a smaller decline to Lin.
this impact of the unionised sector on the
non-unionised sector is called the spillover effect.
The spillover effect refers to the decline in non- S
union wages caused by displaced union work-
ers supplying their services in the non-unionised
labour market – they will “spill over” to the
Wage rate
µ BACK TO CONTENTS 99
C H A P T E R 5 U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E B A R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M W A G E S
unions may at times be inclined to resist influences, in particular the substitution effect,
the introduction of technological advances. the threat effect or the superior worker effect.
Such new technologies increase the possibil- Other factors such as inequalities in education,
ities of labour being substituted by capital. variable demand conditions, imperfect know-
ledge, monopsony conditions and productivity
(b) The elasticity of labour demand will be
improvements may also play a role.
higher if the demand for the output is more
To try to determine the influence of unions on
sensitive (i.e. more elastic) to price chan-
wages, researchers usually use two methods of
ges. A wage increase can increase the price
empirical studies.
of the output, and if the demand for that
output declines significantly because of the • Different enterprises within an industry.
increased price, the demand for labour will These studies concentrate on a single industry
also decline significantly. Unions thus very and compare wages for different enterprises
often resist imported products that may under varying degrees of unionisation in that
compete with the products they produce industry. The shortcoming of this approach,
domestically, because the availability of the however, is that unionised and non-unionised
alternative goods will result in the demand enterprises influence each other, as indicated
for the products being more elastic to price above.
changes. The demand for luxury goods is
also usually more elastic than the demand After considering various empirical studies,
for basic necessities because consumers can Marshall et al. (1980: 372) conclude that the
more easily postpone their purchases or craft unions (those for specific occupations)
even desist from purchasing luxury products are capable of securing relatively large wage
subject to high price increases. increases because they have control over the
labour supply. In this instance the wage dif-
(c) The elasticity of labour demand will be ferential because of unions is about 25%. In
higher if labour cost constitutes a large pro- industrial union situations, the wage advan-
portion of the total cost of the product. If tage seems to be much less marked.
the share of labour cost is high, an increase
in wages will lead to a proportionately big- • Inter-industry. This type of study compares
ger increase in the price of the product, different industries with varying degrees of
which will encourage consumers to cut back unionisation to determine the impact unions
on their purchases. This will have a greater have on wages. The shortcoming of this
impact on the demand for labour. approach is that it is very difficult to find
industries with varying degrees of unionisa-
(d) The elasticity of the demand for labour will tion but where other conditions, such as the
be higher if the supply elasticity of other skills level of the workforce, the occupational
factors of production is higher. For instance, groups, the labour supply and the market con-
if the price of capital increases as a firm ditions for the product, are the same. It would
demands more capital to replace the more not be sensible, for instance, to compare the
expensive labour, then the supply of cap- agricultural and manufacturing sectors.
ital is inelastic and it is not quite as prof-
itable to substitute capital for labour. If a This type of study estimates that the average
company outsources certain functions in
percentage difference between unionised and
order to obtain labour at a lower cost, the
non-unionised wages was about 20% in the
unions will try to ensure that the contract-
period 1938–1960 in the USA (Marshall et al.
ors are paid the prevailing rate, for instance
1980: 374). The differences were most notable
by ensuring that they are also covered by a
in recessionary periods, during which unions
bargaining council agreement.
caused downward rigidity in wages, where-
as in non-unionised industries wages tended to
R E S EARCH RES ULTS ON THE WAGE decline. The union wage advantage was eroded
A D V ANTAGE OF U NIONS
during times of inflation and buoyant economic
As can be gathered from the above, it is difficult conditions because all employers then competed
to isolate the influence of a union from other for workers by offering higher wages.
I N T E RNATIONAL EVIDENCE
Hamermesh and Rees (1988: 298) conclud- Wages may have an impact on levels of
ed that unions have caused wages to peak at unionisation
between 10 and 30% higher than in non-union- It should be kept in mind that the extent of
ised situations. Another study by Blanchflower unionisation does not only influence wage
(reported in Business Day, 27 May 1997), indi-
increases – successes with increasing wages
cated an average union wage premium of 10.7%
also influence the extent of unionisation.
from 1983–1995 in the UK and 15% in the USA.
Hamermesh and Rees (1988) emphasise, There might be a correlation between highly
however, that results are inconclusive because unionised enterprises and high wage increas-
productivity is probably higher in unionised es, but this does not necessarily indicate a
enterprises since, over the long term, unionised causal relationship: wages might increase
enterprises can compete with non-unionised sharply, but not simply because of a high
enterprises only if productivity is higher. How- degree of unionisation. In fact, it may be
ever, in many cases the increases in productiv- that more employees join the union because
ity might have been gained through reduced of the union’s successes, which means that
employment. This issue is discussed in section high wage increases have resulted in an
6.2.1.
enterprise being highly unionised, rather
McConnell et al. (2006: 338) refer to stud-
than the other way round. Van Heerden
ies that found a much lower wage advantage of
unions. In 2003, for instance, the wage advan- and Van Tonder (1987: 38), for instance,
tage was only 13%. In the 1970s, the advantage have found that among whites, coloureds
was higher, peaking at 20% in 1976, with some and Asians the rate of growth of unions can
other researchers finding a wage advantage of be explained by the increase in real wages
between 20 and 30% in the 1970s. This large as well as union density (i.e. the higher the
wage advantage can be ascribed to two factors: density, the lower is trade union growth).
the high inflation caused by the oil price shocks
resulted in high union wage increases, whereas
the high unemployment resulted in low wage
IM P A C T O N I N F L A TI O N
increases in the non-union sectors.
These findings are in the main confirmed in As outlined in Chapter 4, economists are gen-
a review of more than a thousand studies of erally divided on the role of wages in causing,
the impact of unions and collective bargaining perpetuating or merely transmitting inflation.
by the World Bank (2003). Union members This will equally apply to the impact of unions
on average get significantly higher wages than on inflation – once inflation begins, it becomes
workers not affiliated to a trade union. The nearly impossible to determine whether the high-
wage markup can be as high as 15% in the USA, er wages caused by unions are pushing prices
with most other industrial countries having a upwards or whether wages are being pulled
markup of between 5 and 10%. In South Africa, upwards by price increases. However, what does
the World Bank found a relatively high markup seem clear is that unions appear to perpetuate
for union members, as is discussed below. existing inflation and increase the difficulty of
reducing inflation once it has begun.
Demand on strike picket’s
placard: “4% of nothing is SOU T H A FRI C A N E V I D EN C E
nothing ... We want 12%”.
It seems that unions have caused a higher wage
Anonymous differential in this country than in other coun-
tries, and there are a number of relevant research ation and discipline) might have resulted in
results in this regard. workers finding themselves in the various
Most of the studies arrive at more or similar unionised or non-unionised segments of the
results (see, for example, Hofmeyr 1993; Moll labour market.
1993; Hofmeyr 1998; Fallon & Lucas 1998; f) In recent years, unions in the public sec-
Armstrong & Steenkamp 2008). After control- tor have been considerably more effective
ling for observable variables such as industry, at increasing the wages of their members
personal characteristics and region, the research in the public sector than was the case for
results can be summarised as follows: their members in the private sector. Bhorat
a) Union pressure resulted in a relatively sharp et al. (2009: 53) found a wage premium for
increase in the wages of lower-skilled Afri- unionised workers in the public sector not
cans relative to non-union workers. belonging to a bargaining council of 23%.
The premium associated with belonging to
b) The reason that wages in sectors such as a bargaining council should be added to the
manufacturing and mining increased more union wage premium, and the researchers
rapidly than in domestic service and agricul- estimated that “a joint premium of as high
ture can to a significant extent be ascribed as 51 percent may be present through these
to the higher union density in the former institutions of the labour market”.
sectors.
g) Unions also tended to compress wages
c) The union wage premium (i.e. the per- across skills levels by securing higher min-
centage by which the wages of the average imum wages for the unskilled. This resulted
unionised workers exceeds that of the aver- in the union wage premium for unskilled
age non-unionised worker) has been esti- workers being slightly higher than for semi-
mated at anything between 14 and 46%, skilled workers. It seems as if the union
for instance between 35 and 42% in 1995 wage premium for higher skilled unionised
(Hofmeyr 1998), between 14 and 46% workers decreased over time, suggesting
over the period 1995–2005 (Armstrong & that productivity increased more than wages
Steenkamp 2008); in the region of 24% (Banerjee 2006: 32).
in 1985 (Moll 1993); and between 25 and
35% in the period 1980–1993 (Fallon & However, the total share of employee remunera-
Lucas 1998). tion in the national product seems to have been
d) Even though the union wage premium var- declining for several years now, in spite of sharp-
ied from year to year, there seems to have ly increasing wages in many unionised sectors.
been an almost doubling of the premium This is probably related to declining employment
between 1995 and 2005. In 1995, the pre- levels (see Chapter 4).
mium appeared to be just below 20%,
whereas in 2005, it was between 30 and
40% (see Armstrong & Steenkamp 2008; • International evidence shows that the
Banerjee 2006) and seems to have peaked in
wages of unionised employees have
2002. However, Bhorat et al. (2009: 47), in
on average been between 10 and 30%
considering unionised workers not belong-
higher than those of non-unionised
ing to a bargaining council, found that the
employees.
union wage premium might have declined
SUMMARY
slightly over the same period. • Unions have generally caused higher
wage differentials between unionised
e) Other factors might or might not have
and non-unionised workers in South
played a role in explaining this differential.
Africa than is the case in other coun-
Armstong and Steenkamp (2008: 30) found
tries.
that the wage gap in 2002 was not driven by
differences in the characteristics of workers, • The wage differential seems to have
but that this might have started to change increased over time, and is higher for
towards 2005. Hofmeyr (1998) argues that workers in the public sector than in
non-observable characteristics such as deci- the private sector.
sion making and other factors (e.g. motiv-
ive bargaining, the World Bank (2003) found that by the World Bank (2003) confirms this conten-
in firms where industrial relations are of a “high” tion – union membership reduces wage differ-
quality (in terms of a low number of unsolved ences between skilled and unskilled workers and
grievances, low strike activity, etc.) the presence between men and women.
of unions tends to increase productivity levels. In a country such as South Africa, bargaining
One difficulty in measuring the influence of councils also allow unions to seek standard
a union is that unionisation is higher in larger wages for given occupational classes within
plants and in more mature enterprises. These the same industry, thereby promoting equality
plants and enterprises are likely to experience among firms with different productivity and
slower productivity growth for reasons unrelat- profitability profiles within the industry.
ed to the presence of trade unions. In South Hofmeyr (1993) has found that from 1985
Africa, some wage negotiations since 1991 show onwards there was a sharp increase in the wages
that both management and unions accept the of those with lower skills levels. In fact, wage
importance of productivity improvements. In rates rose in inverse proportion to skills level,
some instances, such as the mining industry in and this reduced inequalities. Hofmeyr (1993)
1997, wage increases have been linked directly concludes on the basis of available evidence
to productivity. that union pressure was the major factor driving
What is clear is that the industrial relations African wage levels after 1985. Hofmeyr’s find-
climate is critical in determining whether unioni- ings are substantially confirmed by Moll (1993).
sation is accompanied by higher or lower pro- The South African Reserve Bank (2002: 3)
ductivity. If industrial relations are good, with states that the wage compression policies of
management and unions working together to trade unions have resulted in lower inequality in
produce a “bigger cake”, productivity is likely the unionised sectors than in the non-unionised
to be higher under unionism. In an atmosphere sectors.
of conflict, productivity is likely to be lower in This is confirmed by the findings of Arm-
unionised enterprises. strong and Steenkamp (2008: 35). They found
that the advantage of belonging to a union was
greatest for workers at the lower end of the wage
distribution. Union membership may therefore
SUMMARY
ket, as discussed in earlier chapters. wage inequality within a firm and also
Unions promote equality by insisting on high- among firms in a particular sector. How-
er wage increases for lower-skilled workers, ever, they increase inequalities between
thereby reducing the gap between skilled and unionised and non-unionised firms, and
unskilled workers. between unionised workers and the
A review of more than a thousand studies on unemployed.
the impact of unions and collective bargaining
cost to the economy, this cost should the mining industry strike. The number of work
not be exaggerated, particularly as the days lost as a result of the strike is quite appar-
right to strike is an integral part of col- ent. This shows that the strike had a significant
lective bargaining, with such bargaining impact on the mining industry. The second high
reducing the need for government inter- level of strikes took place in 2000, when a large
vention. number of workers were involved. However, not
many work days were lost, which is an indica-
tion that the strikes were of relatively short dur-
ation. In 1998, for instance, many more work
5.5.1 The influence of industrial days were lost than in 2000. Even though fewer
action in South Africa workers were involved, the strikes were thus of a
It is common knowledge that strike activity in relatively longer duration.
South Africa increased considerably in the 1980s The loss of work days through strike activity
and especially in the second half of that decade, is usually regarded in a very negative light by the
as shown in Figure 5.4. Compared to previous average person in the street, who regards strikes
years, it appears that industrial action in South as a severe cost to the South African economy.
Africa increased to a new, higher plateau after Even though the cost of strike activity to the
the Wiehahn reforms to labour legislation in the economy cannot be denied, the right to strike
early 1980s, and especially after the formation does play an important role in voice regula-
of Cosatu in 1985. tion, i.e. employers and employees determining,
6010 1200
5010 1000
4010 800
Workers involved ’000
Labour days lost ’000
3010 600
2010 400
1010 200
Labour days
Workers
10 0
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Year
R12 500 per month but the ultimate settle- Strike activity in South Africa reached
ment was a R1 000 per month increase. high points in the mid-1980s and in 2000,
Taking into account the adjustments to but seems to have tapered off since then.
existing benefits the increase came to However, it is still much higher than in
10.9%. Reports of widespread violence earlier years.
5.6 BARGAINING COUNCILS
5.6.1 Background to bargaining
councils
Bargaining councils are permanent collective and other conditions of employment and to
bargaining institutions established on a volun- resolve disputes (Barker & Holtzhausen 1996).
tary basis by employer and employee organisa- The union and employer organisations that form
tions in a specific industry to negotiate wages the council have to be sufficiently representative
to form a council. What constitutes sufficiently the private sector bargaining council system on
representative is not specified in the LRA, but in the one hand and the rapid rise of this system of
respect of the unions it is usually the percentage bargaining in the public sector. This is confirmed
of employees in the sector that are union mem- by Godfrey, Maree and Theron (2006).
bers, and in respect of employers the percentage Although it is true that the coverage of bar-
of employees in the sector employed by them. gaining councils is not extensive, it seems to be
Bargaining council agreements can also be especially high in sectors with a high proportion
made applicable (the so-called extension of of mid- to lower skilled workers, who often have
agreements) by the Minister of Labour to parties permanent employment contracts. These are also
that were not party to the agreement, but that the sectors where permanent jobs for those with
fall within the council’s jurisdiction. The Min- poor educational levels could most likely have
ister is obliged to do so if the employer parties been created. Further research is also required
employ, and the union parties have as members, about the overall economic impact of bargaining
the majority of employees within the scope of councils in the tradable sectors, i.e. those sec-
the council. If this is not the case, the Minister tors that have to compete with international
may still extend the agreement if the parties are competitors, that is, where competing products
“sufficiently representative”, and if he is satisfied can easily be imported, or where South Afri-
that failure to extend the agreement may under- can products are struggling to compete on the
mine collective bargaining at sectoral level. This international markets, or where services are pro-
particular provision in the LRA is highly contro- vided that are an important input to exporting
versial, as will be pointed out below. companies. Apart from the clothing sector, this
could include sectors such as motor components,
C O V ERAGE OF BA RGAINING COUNCILS chemical, metal and engineering, leather, road
There are about 60 councils in South Africa and freight and Transnet (the latter two would relate
about one million workers are covered by bar- to transport costs).
gaining council agreements. However, this cov-
ers only the private sector, and the bargaining 5.6.2 Importance of bargaining
councils in the public sector (central government councils
and local authorities) should also be included.
The Public Service Co-ordinating Bargaining (a) Probably the most important reason for bar-
Council (PSCBC), for instance, covers another gaining councils is that minimum conditions
one million workers. There are a further 200 000 of employment are set by the parties them-
workers in the bargaining council covering the selves without government intervention.
local authorities. The number of employees Bargaining councils are probably the only
within the jurisdiction of bargaining councils reasonably effective mechanism to ensure
increased substantially after the inclusion of the that atypical employees, in particular, are
public sector under the scope of the LRA and the also covered by collectively agreed wages
consequent registration of the public sector bar- and conditions of employment. This is
gaining council in 1997. because it is especially difficult for unions to
Bhorat et al. (2009: 27) have found that while organise atypical employees (see Chapter 6),
the institutionalised collective bargaining system with the result that the normal mechanism
covered substantially more formal sector work- of collective bargaining between an employ-
ers in 2005 (30%) compared to 1995 (15%), er and a group of employees to set wages
this still meant that less than a third of the for- and conditions of employment does not
mally employed were covered by bargaining apply to atypical employees. The determin-
councils. Notwithstanding this the overall rise ation of minimum wages and minimum con-
in the number of workers covered by bargaining ditions of employment across an industry
council agreements between 1995 and 2005 was could eliminate exploitation by employers,
driven almost entirely by the introduction of and is an important advantage of bargaining
public sector councils. Thus, bargaining council councils. This is discussed more fully as part
coverage in the first decade of democracy was of the discussion on minimum wages in sec-
characterised by an erosion of coverage within tion 5.7.
to the detriment of non-participative employers with lower and less persistent unemployment,
(especially small employers), consumers and job lower earnings inequality, and fewer and shorter
seekers. As discussed below, the impact could be strikes.
potentially severe in a sector that is subject to If the labour costs of all employers increase in
intensive foreign competition (the so-called trad- tandem, the possibility of all enterprises passing
able sectors), or where the wage rates are set by on the increased cost to the consumer is much
the larger, formal employers, and do not allow greater. This form of indirect price fixing is in
scope for the smaller or less formal employers to the interests of employer parties to the council.
grow and expand. Because wages are standardised throughout the
It is thus not surprising that the type of mes- industry, it might happen that employers, in the
ocentralised wage bargaining system found in interests of labour peace, agree to higher wages
bargaining councils does not perform well in than they would have done in the absence of
terms of employment, economic growth and a bargaining council. As all employers have to
price stability. Significantly, the authors of the pay the same wages, and all can pass the higher
ILO Review (1996: 194) point out that because costs on to the consumer, the incentive to resist
of their macroeconomic properties for influ- wage demands is reduced. The setting of a rela-
encing employment, unemployment, econom- tively high minimum wage could price workers
ic growth and inflation, highly centralised and out of employment and unemployment would
highly decentralised bargaining systems perform consequently increase (ILO Review, 1996: 153,
much better than intermediary systems such as 194–195).
bargaining councils. This refers to the so-called The International Panel on Growth appointed
“U-shaped relationship” between a country’s by the South African government refers to the
economic performance and its level of collective existence of wage rigidities that bind more at the
bargaining, meaning that both highly centralised bottom of the pay scale (Hausmann 2008). The
and decentralised bargaining give better econom- Panel states that increases in the cost of labour
ic outcomes than systems such as the bargaining can only in some cases be passed on to the con-
councils (Calmfors & Driffel 1988). The OECD sumer. This is where all competitors must pay
similarly states (2010: 11) that high levels of the increased wages, which is the case if the
coordination – either through greater centralisa- activity is non-tradable (i.e. not traded on inter-
tion or greater decentralisation – are associated national markets). However, in tradable activ-
with better employment outcomes by avoiding ities, such as manufacturing, foreign competitors
inflationary wage demands, reducing the real face a different labour code and the producer
costs of disinflation and increasing the scope for cannot as easily pass increases on.
interest rate reductions. Currently, South Africa The distinction between the tradable and
is characterised by an intermediate level of wage non-tradable sectors is a central pillar of the
coordination, which is found elsewhere to be Panel’s approach. Their recommendation is
associated with poor employment outcomes. It that jobs should be created in the tradable sec-
also seems as if decentralised but highly coordin- tor, because this sector can create the kinds of
ated bargaining has a positive effect on eco- jobs that use more of the human resources that
nomic performance (Auer 2000: 54). The ILO the country has in abundance (i.e. unskilled and
questions whether the system of sectionalism semi-skilled workers). Furthermore, the country
contained in bargaining councils is appropriate needs to earn more foreign exchange in order to
in South Africa (ILO Review 1996: 16). sustain economic growth over the long term.
However, the World Bank (2003) has found For 1995, Butcher and Rouse (2001, quoted
another interesting outcome: where trade unions in CDE 2001) provide an estimate of the effect
are weak, decentralised bargaining may be the of unions on non-unionised workers in sectors
most economically efficient form of collective with industrial councils in the order of 10%,
bargaining, but where trade unions are strong, while they estimate the union-wage premium at
centralised bargaining is a better level of bar- about 20%.
gaining measured against the criterion of eco- Another important factor not always taken
nomic performance. In this instance, the World into account in the context of bargaining coun-
Bank also refers to highly coordinated collective cils is their impact on the likelihood of young or
bargaining, which then tends to be associated inexperienced workers finding employment. The
111
C H A P T E R 5 U N I O N S , C O L L E C T I V E B A R G A I N I N G A N D M I N I M U M W A G E S
employers simply do not apply for exemption. and productivity bargaining can really only
Apart from the fact that many small employ- take place at enterprise or shop-floor level, but
ers do not have the wherewithal to apply for then without any direct link to wages. Even
exemption because the procedures could be very though productivity is usually bargained in the
cumbersome and time-consuming, employers workplace and not in the bargaining council,
often have to submit proof that the majority any employer would know that very few trade-
of employees support the proposed exemption, offs to achieve higher productivity are possible
which is unrealistic (see, for example, clause if wage negotiations are not conducted in the
31(7)(g) of the NBC Main Agreement). workplace as well. Unions are less involved in
Furthermore, the system of exemption often factors that influence the sustainability of an
caters only for unexpected, temporary calamities individual company because they do not negoti-
and not for the long-term difficulties a company ate directly with that company.
might have in competing on international mar- Sector-level bargaining has also allowed
kets – exemptions are only granted for a tem- employers to abdicate responsibility for their
porary period (usually one year at a time) and an relationship to employees and their productivity
extension of the exemption is not always easy. levels by blaming the sector-wide deliberations
Under these circumstances, it is not surprising over which they have little influence (Yude-
that many employers experiencing difficulties do lowitz, as quoted in Business Day, 26 August
not apply for exemption. 2010, p 15). Godfrey et al. (2007: iv) refer to the
The authors of the ILO Review (1996: 150, fact that there is a perceived serious decline in
180) list a number of criticisms against the plant-level bargaining within the jurisdiction of
councils. This suggests that little or no produc-
system of exemptions. More fundamentally,
tivity bargaining is taking place.
it could be argued that there would be few, if
any, exemptions if simpler, less onerous “frame-
work” agreements were to be concluded at sec-
toral level. • The strongest criticism against bar-
Van Niekerk (2007: 45) also highlights the gaining councils is that agreements
shortcomings of the exemption system. He has are extended to non-parties. This elim-
proposed that there should be a single national, inates competition among employers
independent body to deal with applications for on the basis of labour costs, can lead
SUMMARY
exemptions in bargaining councils, and that this to tacit collusion and may be to the
body should consist of experts who are know- disadvantage of the non-participating
ledgeable of the small business environment. employer, consumer and job-seeker.
• There is significant evidence that
highly centralised or highly decen-
5.6.6 The link between wages and
tralised bargaining systems produce
productivity far better outcomes in terms of
A further disadvantage of bargaining councils employment and inflation than South
is that the link between wages and productiv- Africa’s intermediate system of bar-
ity becomes tenuous. Wages and productivity gaining councils.
cannot be effectively linked at industry level,
5.7 MINIMUM WAGES
Bargaining councils are one mechanism used in mechanisms to be created by the state in those
South Africa to ensure that a minimum wage industries in which wages cannot be regulated
applies in the sector covered by the bargaining effectively by collective bargaining and where
council. This is in line with international instru- wages are exceptionally low. Conventions 26
ments of the ILO, which provide for the setting (1928), 99 (1951) and 131 (1970) of the ILO
of wages through collective bargaining, and for deal with the implementation of mechanisms
If a minimum wage is introduced, it distorts the whether the minimum wage mechanism is
price of labour compared to capital and results intended to ensure only a bare minimum for
in workers being replaced by capital equipment. the poorly paid and unorganised or whether its
In addition, productive investment becomes less role is to ensure a “fair” wage for a greater pro-
profitable and enterprises may close down or portion of workers. Shaheed (1994: 910) states
new enterprises not start up. These factors will that “if a large proportion of workers received
result in more unemployment, and society at increases in money wages from the general min-
large will not benefit from the introduction of imum, it is believed that subsequent inflation
minimum wages. would lead to no improvement in real wages,
Particularly in periods of economic contrac- and/or that unemployment would be adversely
tion and declining demand, a minimum wage affected”. These harmful effects will be avoided
may imply that, with no possibility of wages if the minimum wages directly affect only a rela-
declining, employees will have less chance of tively small proportion of the workforce.
keeping their jobs. They will be dismissed and The final condition, i.e. the effect on
swell the ranks of the unemployed. In fact, work- unemployment, is obviously influenced in part
ers who lose their jobs owing to minimum wages by the first two conditions. However, it also
in the protected sectors of the economy may depends on the elasticity of the demand for
move to unprotected sectors (e.g. the informal labour, i.e. whether the demand for labour is
sector) and further depress wages or earnings very sensitive or responsive to wage changes.
there. Thus, for the economy as a whole, wage This is illustrated in Figure 5.5, which indicates
dispersion and inequality increase. This principle different demand elasticities.
is also discussed in the context of the impact of The line Del represents a relatively elastic
unions (section 5.4.1). Even within the formal (responsive) demand for labour. If a minimum
economy the market mechanism is distorted as wage is introduced at the level of Wm, then
wage differentials between skilled and unskilled unemployment to the extent of L1L2 will result.
workers are reduced, and the incentive for edu- However, if the demand for labour is relatively
cation and training and promotion is thereby inelastic (such as at Din), unemployment to the
also reduced. extent of only L3L2 will result.
It is necessary to consider these arguments Shaheed (1994: 11) refers to an international
more carefully. workshop that examined various studies relat-
For minimum wages to have these harm- ing to the impact of minimum wages on general
ful effects on the economy they would have to employment and “the general consensus seemed
comply with the following conditions (compare to be that the minimum wage has at best a mod-
Shaheed 1994: 8): est or no impact on employment”.
However, empirical studies also show that
• To exceed the wage levels the market gener- labour demand is much more elastic for dis-
ates, or to increase all or most wage levels in advantaged groups such as youths, Africans
the formal sector. and women than for other workers. This means
• To apply to a large proportion of the work- that even though they probably are most in need
force. of protection, they will be worst affected by a
• To increase unemployment. minimum wage. Various studies in this regard
are discussed in the NMC Report on Minimum
As regards the first condition, it is not unusual Wages (1983: 79). Fearn (1981: 120) sums up
to find that developing countries accorded min- various findings in respect of the USA and con-
imum wages too ambitious a role in the post- cludes that it seems that an increase of 10% in
colonial euphoria. However, in most countries the minimum wage there reduced employment
governments soon reduced real minimum wages among all young people by between 1 and 4%.
to more realistic levels, with the result that their There are thus a number of arguments in
effect on wage levels was relatively modest favour of and against minimum wages. How-
(Shaheed 1994: 8). ever, what does seem critical is the purpose of
Regarding the second condition, the propor- setting minimum wages, which will again affect
tion of the workforce covered varies from one the level at which the minimum wages are set.
country to the next. The coverage depends on The Labour Market Commission (1996: 65)
S
Wage rate
Wm
W1
S = Supply of labour
Del = Elastic demand
Del for labour
Din = Inelastic demand
Din for labour
L1 L3 L2
Number of workers
Figure 5.5 Minimum wages and the demand for labour with different demand elasticities
found that there was surprisingly little research minimum wage. Using both the broad and the
about the potential impact of a minimum wage narrow definition of domestic worker employ-
in South Africa, and that recent studies sug- ment, employment levels fell by 5.5% or 7.6%
gest that the evidence against minimum wages respectively. Female domestic workers have
is “surprisingly fragile”, even in less developed been on the receiving end of this decline as their
countries. The Commission concluded that min- employment declined by about 10%. Interesting-
imum wages should be set at a realistic level, ly, male employment increased by about 14%,
should not attempt to regulate the conditions of albeit off a low base, but the reasons for this are
too large a percentage of the workforce, should unclear.
not be seen as the ultimate solution to poverty in Overall, Hertz found that the real wages,
South Africa, and should not be used as a substi- average monthly earnings and total earnings of
tute for collective bargaining. all employed domestic workers have risen since
Saget (2001) uses the ratio of the minimum the minimum wage came into effect. The over-
wage to the average wage as an indication of
all estimated elasticities suggest that the regula-
the impact of minimum wages. In her study
tions should have reduced poverty somewhat for
she found that this ratio varied considerably
domestic workers, although this last conclusion
between countries and within countries over
is the least robust of the findings in the light of
time. According to her, the level of minimum
the loss of some jobs.
wages has had an insignificant effect on the level
of employment. She also considered the impact In a study on the impact of minimum wages
of minimum wages on poverty and found that on farm workers, Conradie (2005) considered
minimum wages in developing countries do not labour trends on wine and grape farms in the
affect the poorest part of the population, but Western Cape. She found that technological
rather the upper levels of the low-income popu- advancement far overshadowed labour laws as
lation. However, a minimum wage may have the most important reason for job losses. She
positive results in poverty alleviation by improv- found that productivity increased sharply, which
ing the living conditions of workers and their was the major reason why there were no large-
families, in spite of it not impacting directly on scale job losses as a result of higher minimum
the poorest people. wages. However, she also found that labour laws
In South Africa, on the basis of the LFSs, (including the Extension of Security of Tenure
Hertz (2005) has found that the employment of Act) had the following unintended consequences
domestic workers fell after the introduction of a that need to be taken into account:
• The number of permanent jobs has been (b) Sectoral determinations. In those sectors
reduced by half since 1994 – for the house- where proper collective bargaining does
holds involved, the increase in wages does not not take place, the Employment Conditions
compensate for the loss of jobs and benefits. Commission can be requested by the Min-
ister of Labour to investigate conditions in
• The wages of the lowest paid workers did
the industry and to make a recommendation
increase substantially, but that of higher paid
in respect of wages and other conditions of
workers increased far less. To some extent,
employment. The Employment Conditions
there was an inclination for the minimum
Commission advises the Minister on the
wage to become the maximum wage. This
making of sectoral determinations and any
reduced the incentive to improve productivity.
other matter concerning the BCEA (Basic
• Basic benefits such as health care and subsidies Conditions of Employment Act). Three
related to housing costs were reduced to com- members of the Commission are appoint-
pensate for the higher cash wages. However, ed by the Minister on the basis of their
these reductions were not sufficient to neutral- knowledge of the conditions of vulnerable
ise the wage increases. and non-organised workers. The Minister
appoints a further two members nominated
by organised labour and business in Nedlac.
Evidence shows that the negative effect When making recommendations on wages, the
of minimum wages on the economy will Employment Conditions Commission has to take
SUMMARY
be negligible provided that they are set into account the ability of employers to carry on
at realistic economic levels, affect only a their undertakings successfully, the cost of living
relatively small percentage of the work- and the operation of small and new enterprises.
force, are not used to combat poverty, The Commission should also take into account
and are not substituted for collective bar- the likely impact of any proposed condition of
gaining. employment on current employment or the cre-
ation of employment. After having considered
the recommendation, the Minister may make a
sectoral determination.
5.7.3 Minimum wage-setting Statistics South Africa and the Department of
Labour have published a report that analyses the
mechanisms in South Africa
mean and minimum wages in South Africa (Sta-
Minimum wages in South Africa are determined tistics South Africa 2000). The report found that
by a dual system. there are significant differences in the legislated
minimum hourly wages of unskilled workers
(a) Bargaining councils. In those sectors where
across industries. The report also found, firstly,
there is adequate collective bargaining
that the minimum wages legislated through bar-
between unions and employers, bargaining
gaining council agreements are in all cases far
councils normally determine wages and
higher than those set through sectoral determin-
other conditions of employment through
ations, with the average difference being about
negotiation. Agreements within bargaining
50%. Furthermore, as far as sectoral determin-
councils are reached without government
ations are concerned, the lowest minimum is in
involvement. However, the government
transport with the rate being only 53% of the
gives statutory force to the agreement by
minimum wage in the sector with the highest
promulgating it in the Government Gazette.
minimum wage, i.e. finance. The same differ-
If the parties to the bargaining council are
ences are evident in bargaining council agree-
sufficiently representative, the agreements
ments, with the trade sector paying the lowest
can be extended to apply to all employers
minimum wage and manufacturing the highest.
and employees in the specific sector.
The report also found, as is to be expected, that
Section 5.6 should be consulted for a more the regulated minimum wages are significantly
detailed discussion on bargaining councils. lower than the mean reported earnings.
Minimum wages in South Africa are determined by a dual system. In those sectors where there is
adequate collective bargaining, bargaining councils normally determine minimum wages through
negotiation. In other sectors, minimum wages are often set by the Minister of Labour on the rec-
ommendation of the Employment Conditions Commission (through sectoral determinations).
% increase p.a.
Feb-92 Feb-96 Mar-01 Mar-02
1996–2002
Bloemfontein 634 913 1 327 1 474 8.3%
Cape Peninsula 738 1 032 1 526 1 679 8.4%
Durban 787 1 091 1 646 1 850 9.2%
Johannesburg 698 974 1 438 1 575 8.3%
Port Elizabeth 683 1 005 1 448 1 603 8.1%
Weighted average 25 centres 708 1 010 1 535 1 703 9.1%
11% (1996–
Average monthly wages: Africans 2 042 3 224 5 427 6 9941
2001)
Ratio of MLL: Average African
1:2.88 1:3.19 1:3.54 1:4.111
wages
*The minimum monthly financial requirements of an average African family
1 All population groups
Sources: Martins & Maritz 2002; Statistics South Africa.
Key concepts
bargaining councils Nactu
bargaining power sectoral determinations
bilateral monopoly social wage
Cosatu spillover effect
Employment Conditions Commission supplementary living level
Fedusa minimum wages superior worker effect
minimum living level tacit collusion
minimum subsistence level threat effect
For students
1. What would you say is the future of union- 6. Some elements of the South African labour
ism in this country, and what challenges are market could be described as a bilateral
unions facing? monopoly. Discuss this statement.
2. It is often argued that unions cause wages 7. Discuss the economic and social advantages
to increase more than would be the case in and disadvantages of bargaining councils.
non-unionised situations. Discuss how this
8. Much criticism has been levelled against the
is or should be measured, and give some of
extension of bargaining council agreements.
the general conclusions in this regard, both
In your opinion is this criticism justified?
internationally and in South Africa.
Give reasons for your answer.
3. Discuss the possible positive and negative
9. Discuss the arguments for and against the
influences of unions on flexibility and pro-
determination of minimum wages.
ductivity.
10. There is an argument that minimum wages
4. Although strikes and other industrial activ-
interfere with the efficient operation of the
ities are a cost to the economy, this cost
market to the detriment of the economy.
should not be exaggerated. Discuss.
Discuss the validity of this argument.
5. Collective bargaining essentially determines
11. Discuss South Africa’s dual system of min-
wages through the bargaining power of the
imum wage determination.
employer and the union. However, market
forces also influence the outcome of collect-
ive bargaining. Discuss the role of market
forces.
Suggested reading*
Madden, L. 2005. Shaheed, Z. 1994.
Bargaining councils: Which way Gulliver? South Does South Africa need minimum wages as part of
African Labour Bulletin, Vol 29: 1, March. a system of labour standards? Paper presented
at an NMC workshop on minimum wages.
Presidential Commission to Investigate Labour
Pretoria.
Market Policy. 1996.
Restructuring the South African labour market. Standing, G., Sender, J. & Weeks, J. 1996.
Pretoria: Department of Labour. Restructuring the labour market: the South African
challenge. Geneva: International Labour working poor? South African Labour Bulletin,
Organisation (referred to as ILO Review). Vol 29: 6, December 2005/January 2006.
Webster, E. 2006. * The bibliography contains the full list of
Cosatu at the crossroads: serving the core or the references.
6.1 Introduction
6.2 The importance and measurement of
productivity
6.3 Productivity in South Africa
6.4 Considering productivity and wages
together: unit labour cost Productivity
6.5
6.6
Some factors influencing productivity
The importance and types of labour
and labour
6.7
market flexibility
General considerations regarding market
flexibility
flexibility
6.1 INTRODUCTION
Wages cannot be discussed without reference to the functioning and outcome of labour market
productivity – it is the joint outcome of wages processes. This issue is the subject of heated
and productivity that determines whether South debate in South Africa, to such an extent that
Africa is globally competitive. The joint impact the ruling party, the ANC, released a discussion
of wages and productivity is measured by a con- document in this regard (ANC 2005). Various
cept known as unit labour costs. research studies refer either to how inflexible the
The importance and measurement of produc- country’s labour laws are, or that they are no
tivity, productivity issues in South Africa and more inflexible than those of other developed
factors that influence productivity are therefore countries. Flexibility is discussed particularly
examined in this chapter, as well as develop- in the context of the critical imperative to cre-
ments with regard to unit labour costs. The ate jobs in the country, and therefore the per-
following chapter will consider international ceptions of the owners of businesses cannot be
developments with regard to unit labour costs. ignored – they are after all the major job creators
Productivity and flexibility are very close- in the economy. However, perceptions are not
ly linked – a company can usually increase always an accurate reflection of the true state of
productivity if it is able to increase flexibility. affairs, and the issue of flexibility thus needs to
Labour market flexibility is often regarded as be addressed both at the level of fact and at the
an important policy instrument for improving level of perception.
Productivity =
units of production Productivity is normally regarded as the
quantity of output
SUMMARY
e.g. relationship between the quantity of
quantity of input units of capital or
output and the quantity of input, but it is
labour or both more appropriate to regard the concept
holistically, i.e. also to have regard for
sold output, consumer satisfaction, qual-
If, for instance, output increases with unchanged ity and value added.
inputs, productivity increases. Similarly, produc-
tivity will be higher if output remains unchanged
with reduced capital or labour inputs.
There are various forms of productivity: SHO R T C O M I N G S O F P R O D U C T I V I TY
D A TA
• Labour productivity is defined as the num-
ber of units of output obtained from a unit of Apart from the shortcomings of the productivity
labour input (i.e. production divided by num- concept, the following shortcomings exist with
ber of workers). regard to productivity data:
• Capital productivity is the number of units of • Most productivity studies tend to focus on
output per unit of capital input. labour productivity, but on closer inspection
• Multifactor productivity or total factor pro- “labour productivity” appears to be a mis-
ductivity takes account of both labour and nomer. In the first instance, it creates the
capital inputs, and is the number of units of impression that labour (i.e. workers) is fully
output obtained from the combined inputs of responsible for labour productivity. This is
labour and capital. only partly true. As will be pointed out below,
most of the factors that govern productivity
The traditional approach to defining produc- can largely be influenced by management, thus
tivity suffers from two shortcomings. First, it labour productivity is as much the responsib-
takes no account of the quality of the product ility of management as of workers. Even deci-
produced or service provided. By concentrating sions made at sectoral or national levels can
only on quantities, quality may suffer, and this have a direct bearing on labour productivity.
may affect the market share of the company and In situations where workers have very lim-
reduce profits. This leads to the second short- ited influence over decision-making at plant
coming of the traditional approach, namely, that or other levels, it is difficult for them to have
productivity cannot be defined without reference more than a partial effect on productivity.
to the consumer. Productivity should thus com-
pare sold outputs with inputs. • Labour productivity can increase without
As a result of these shortcomings, the mod- workers having any role in it. Labour pro-
ern approach is increasingly to see productivity ductivity can, for instance, increase if more
at the workplace as a holistic concept, where capital equipment is utilised (production can
account is taken of quality, quantities of inputs be increased by the utilisation of more capital
and outputs, consumer satisfaction, etc. A useful equipment, whereas the number of workers
approach is to concentrate on value added, i.e. may remain the same or even be less). Labour
the value that labour and capital add to the total productivity will then increase at the expense
output of the enterprise for the satisfaction of of capital productivity. It can be argued that in
the consumer. This is measured by subtracting these circumstances the employer (who made
the total cost of inputs from the total value of the investment in capital equipment), and not
sold outputs. the worker, should receive the benefit of the
labour productivity increase. On the other
It is true hard work hand, it can also be argued that as the workers
never killed anybody, carry more responsibility and their skills levels
increase as a result of the capital equipment
but I figured why
they use, they should also share in the benefits
take the chance.
of the increase in labour productivity. Overall,
Ronald Reagan however, there may be no increase in total fac-
SUMMARY
ity, because labour productivity often
• Similarly, labour productivity can also
increases at the expense of capital pro-
decrease as a result of factors not under the
ductivity. For instance, if production
control of workers. This will happen, for
processes are suddenly mechanised,
instance, if there is a cyclical downswing in the
capital will replace labour, resulting in
economy (less production, same workforce),
an increase in labour productivity and a
or if there are interruptions in the production decline in capital productivity.
process due to a lack of raw materials or poor
equipment. Workers should not be expected to
carry the burden of such productivity decreas-
es alone.
• Another problem with the concept of produc- P R O D U C T I V I TY A N D E M P L O YM EN T
tivity that should by now be apparent is that it A general misconception regarding productiv-
is a very elastic concept – it changes with the ity is that it necessarily leads to a reduction in
business cycle. During an economic upswing, employment, as such arguments ignore society’s
output may increase faster than employment, desire for additional output and the fact that
and this will be reflected in improved labour rising productivity increases incomes and aggre-
productivity. During a downswing, output gate demand (see McConnell et al. 2006: 521).
will decline more rapidly than employment Increases in productivity enable society to
(employers try to stabilise their workforce or achieve higher levels of output and, as a result,
are discouraged by legislation from retrench- of employment and of living standards (see box
ing), which results in poor labour productivity in section 6.2). The Labour Market Commis-
data even though the workers may not be less sion (1996: 75) states that there is no causal link
“productive”. The same is true for capital pro- between increased productivity and job losses
ductivity. – as long as output increases more rapidly than
productivity, employment levels will be main-
• As stated earlier, the quality of output is not tained or increased.
always taken into account when productivity However, these arguments apply to the econ-
is measured. A better quality product may, omy as a whole and it cannot be denied that
for instance, be produced without increas- improvements in labour productivity have in
ing its price, and this will imply a productiv- some instances led to labour redundancies at
ity improvement, but will not be reflected in the level of the individual enterprise. Under such
the data. Improvements in the quality of out- conditions it is understandable that the workers
put while maintaining unchanged inputs are or unions involved do not view favourably argu-
obviously an improvement in productivity, but ments that the country as a whole benefits from
normal productivity instruments will under- improvements in productivity. If these miscon-
state productivity growth. ceptions and suspicions regarding improvements
in productivity are to be allayed, employers and
• Any measurement of productivity should
the government will need to give much greater
reflect the combined influence of a number consideration to the following two aspects:
of factors, including changes in technology,
capital investment, utilisation of production • The benefits of productivity improvements
capacity, management skills, the quality of should be shared more equitably with work-
labour, economies of scale and the structure ers. All stakeholders should gain from produc-
of the economy. Because of the methodologic- tivity improvements.
al shortcomings in measuring labour produc- • Workers who are negatively affected by pro-
tivity as such, it is important to give attention ductivity improvements should, as far as
not only to labour productivity, but at the possible, be accommodated elsewhere, for
same time also to capital and multifactor pro- instance by being retrained and assigned to
ductivity. other jobs.
140
130
125 M
Multifactor
Index 1996 = 100
productivity
pr
120
115
105
100
95
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Year
reductions in the labour force. The economy driving force of the economy during the 1990s,
continued to experience a sharp increase in cap- whereas increases in factor inputs (especially cap-
ital intensity during this period, which enabled ital) were the main drivers in earlier years. His
employers to reduce their workforce and main- findings can be summarised thus:
tain production. This changed only after 2000,
of which
when both labour productivity and employment Growth in Labour Capital Technology/
increases were achieved at the same time. real GDP inputs inputs productivity
Table 6.1 shows that capital productivity
has increased at an average rate of 2.46% per 1970s 3.21 1.17 2.54 –0.49
annum since 1996 compared to a decline in the 1980s 2.20 0.62 1.24 0.34
six years before that. What is significant is that 1990s 0.94 –0.58 0.44 1.07
for the first time capital productivity broke the
downward trend that had developed during the Manufacturing is the one exception to this gen-
previous two decades by starting to improve in eral trend – in manufacturing, output growth
the middle of the 1990s. This probably indi- was increasingly driven by increased capital
cates that producers started to utilise capital inputs, whereas total factor productivity actually
more effectively in the economy, without blindly dragged growth down (a negative contribution).
replacing labour with capital irrespective of pro- In an International Monetary Fund working
ductivity considerations. However, the increase paper, Eyraud (2009: 5) found that labour pro-
in capital productivity still lags behind that of ductivity growth contributes much less to eco-
labour productivity, which suggests that the nomic growth in South Africa than in a panel
replacement of labour by capital has not ceased, of comparable countries, pointing out that had
as indicated in section 3.4 (see also Edwards & “labor productivity in South Africa grown at
Golub 2003: 677). the same rate as in panel countries, all else being
Overall, there was an encouraging increase in equal, its average annual GDP growth would
multifactor productivity in the 1990s, after very have been 3 percentage points higher – sustained
low increases up to 1995. over a decade, that would make a substantial
Fedderke (2002) calculated to what extent difference in living standards”.
total factor productivity as opposed to capital Table 6.1 also compares productivity increas-
and labour inputs contributed to growth in real es with increases in real earnings. Labour pro-
GDP from 1970 onwards. He found that the ductivity increased more rapidly than real earn-
1970s and 1980s saw growth that was mostly ings after the mid-1980s. However, the position
determined by the growth in capital inputs and of earnings at current prices is quite different:
to a lesser extent labour inputs, with very little current earnings increased much more rapidly
contribution by higher productivity. In the 1990s than productivity. From an economic point of
the growth in labour inputs contributed negative- view, this has a negative impact on South Afri-
ly (with formal sector employment declining) and ca’s so-called “unit labour cost” (which takes
the contribution of capital inputs also declined. account of both wages and productivity develop-
Instead, the greatest contributor to GDP growth ments) and its international competitiveness.
during this period was the contribution by pro- This is further discussed in the next section and
ductivity. Efficiency gains thus became the main in section 7.3.2.
Labour productivity in South Africa has improved quite significantly in recent years. This may be
related to the substitution of capital for labour and probably accounts for developments prior to
1995, as indicated by low or negative increases in capital productivity. However, after 1996 both
capital and labour productivity increased.
129
A
C H A P T E R 6 P R O D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y
Unit labour cost takes account of changes in es in manufacturing during the latter part of the
remuneration costs as well as labour produc- 1990s grew at a lower rate and labour productiv-
tivity. Unit labour cost is the cost of labour to ity increased at a slightly more rapid rate than in
produce one unit of output. It is also referred earlier years. This resulted in far lower increas-
to as remuneration cost per unit produced. The es in unit labour costs, which might increase
change in unit labour cost is obtained by div- South Africa’s competitiveness relative to other
iding the change in average remuneration per countries. However, it is difficult to reach a firm
worker by the change in labour productivity: conclusion because changes in employment data
during those years impact on productivity data.
Change in unit labour cost = (Unit labour cost in South Africa is compared to
Change in average remuneration per worker that of other countries in section 7.3.2.)
However, it might not be totally relevant to
Change in labour productivity
compare nominal (or money) wage increases with
An increase in unit labour cost implies that the labour productivity. One should make allowances
remuneration of workers is increasing more for inflation, because workers cannot be expected
rapidly than labour productivity, and this will to bear the brunt of inflationary pressures alone
have a negative effect on the cost of production – wage increases should in some way make up
and therefore on competitiveness. for inflation, especially if inflation originates
Figure 6.2 shows the relationship between from external sources such as sharp declines in
wage increases and changes in labour produc- the exchange rate. Figure 6.3 consequently com-
tivity in manufacturing and how this impacts pares both current and real wage increases, i.e.
on unit labour cost. Nominal wages increased after allowing for inflation, with productivity
at a higher rate than productivity in every year, increases from 1996 to 2005. It is clear from this
resulting in a relatively sharp increase in unit graph that current wage increases were far higher
labour costs. What might become significant if than productivity increases, but that productivity
the current trend continues is that wage increas- increased at higher rates than real wages.
20.0
15.0 Earnings
5.0
Productivity
0.0
1985
5
1986
6
1987
7
1988
8
1989
9
1990
90
1991
91
1992
92
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
–5.0
Year
Figure 6.2 Changes in earnings, productivity and unit labour cost in manufacturing
Changes in the definition of employment would have impacted on productivity data after 2000
National Productivity Institute 2005
Source:
200
180
Index 1996 = 100
160
140
*
120
100
Current wages
80 Productivity
Real wages
60
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
p
p
Se
Se
Se
Se
Se
Se
Se
Se
Se
Se
Year
Figure 6.3
* Series not Index of wages
comparable from 3rdand productivity
quarter 2002
* Series not comparable from 3rd quarter 2002
Source: SA Reserve Bank, Data series 7013L, 7013D and 7032N
131
C H A P T E R 6 P R O D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y
Mining 8.6
Manufacturing 5.6
Electricity 8.6
Construction 0.9
Finance 8.0
Total 5.6
assumption that there should be some relation- lent increase in productivity is called the effi-
ship between high productivity increases and ciency wage hypothesis.
high wage increases – if workers can increase There are various reasons why this might be
their productivity, they should benefit through the outcome:
higher remuneration. However, it is possible
that this can work the other way – under certain • Higher wages might enable (or induce) the
circumstances a wage increase can lead to an employer to recruit employees more careful-
equivalent productivity increase. This is called ly, which means better job matching, and the
the efficiency wage hypothesis. employer might also be induced to employ
Most discussions on wages and productivity better quality workers.
explicitly or implicitly assume that wage increas- • A higher wage might make employers more
es should be linked to productivity increases.
willing to invest more in their workers, for
However, higher wage rates (e.g. as a result of
example through training and development, in
collective bargaining) can conceivably also lead
order to increase their productivity and make
to higher productivity (Ehrenberg & Smith,
the wage increases affordable.
1985: 400; McConnell et al. 2006: 232). A dir-
ect comparison between wage and productivity • Workers’ morale might improve due to their
data is even more difficult – how do you sep- higher wages, and their rate of absenteeism
arate cause and effect? Productivity increases might be lower because their opportunity cost
are not always the origin of improvements in of not working (i.e. the wages they lose when
remuneration levels – high wage increases could not working) is higher.
in fact result in job-replacing mechanisation,
which often means higher productivity. So pro- • Workers’ nutritional and health levels might
ductivity, wage increases and job losses are inter- improve, positively affecting their physic-
twined in various ways. al vigour and mental alertness, and therefore
The theory that higher wages can, under cer- increasing their productivity (McConnell et al.
tain circumstances, result in at least an equiva- 2006: 233).
SUMMARY
higher wage costs to the consumer. The extent without concomitant increases in
to which this might happen will depend in part productivity. However, when one
on the monopolistic power of the employer considers real wages, the increase in
(i.e. on the extent of competition prevalent in labour productivity in recent years has
the marketplace) and on the sensitivity of con- exceeded the real wage increases.
sumer demand to price increases (the elasticity • Wage increases can conceivably lead
of demand – see section 3.7.3). to higher productivity due to factors
such as improved recruitment, train-
There is therefore a possibility that labour pro- ing, higher morale and better nutri-
ductivity will increase as a result of a wage tion. This is called the efficiency wage
increase. However, what is important is not hypothesis. However, the increase in
whether productivity increases, but whether it productivity will not necessarily be
increases by more than the wage increase, i.e. sufficient to compensate fully for the
whether the productivity improvement fully higher labour costs.
compensates for the labour cost increase. If this
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C H A P T E R 6 P R O D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y
For an excellent discussion of the flexibility lation towards the design of labour legislation
debate, see Gladstone, Wheeler, Rojot, Eyraud with economic policy goals in mind.
and Ben-Israel (1992).
Labour market flexibility refers to the extent
to which an enterprise can alter various aspects Policy issue: ANC Discussion Document
of its work and workforce to meet the demands on flexibility
of the business, for example the size of the work-
In 2005 the ANC released a Discussion
force, the content of jobs, working time, etc.
The argument is that labour market rigidities Document that relates to flexibility, but
prevent enterprises from being as productive as after a brief flurry of media reporting, all
they might have been because enterprises are reference to the study ceased. The purpose
unable to adjust to technological transforma- of the document was to consider meth-
tion, changing economic circumstances, external ods of revitalising small and medium-sized
shocks (e.g. an oil price rise), and more intense enterprises (ANC 2005) and it refers to the
international competition. The labour mar- “unintended consequences” of the LRA and
ket therefore does not operate as efficiently as the BCEA for small businesses. Some of
it should and productivity outcomes are poor. these unintended consequences include the
Employers are also said to be loath to employ “hassle factor” associated with employing
labour on a permanent basis because of its high
labour, higher costs to companies, the use
cost. They therefore switch to capital-intensive
of short-term contracts, the proliferation of
technology, or lose market share. The end result
is reduced employment. It has been shown that labour brokers and the increasing reliance
in OECD countries with flexible labour laws, on the informal sector to absorb those who
the employment rate is 2 to 2.5% higher than are unable to find gainful employment in
in other OECD countries (see sources quoted by the formal sector as a consequence of min-
World Bank 2006: 26). imum wages (Institute for Futures Research
Flexibility and labour rights are very closely 2005: 3). The policy document then raises
interrelated. In South Africa, the protection of the the possibility of a dual labour market (see
rights of labour has been an important element section 4.2.3) to accommodate more flex-
of the democratic order since 1994, and some ibility. The following are raised as possible
labour rights are enshrined in the Constitution of elements of such a policy:
South Africa, for instance the rights to fair labour
practices, freedom of association and collective • Allowing younger people a more flexible
bargaining (section 23 of the Constitution of the set of arrangements with regard to min-
Republic of South Africa). Moreover, the protec- imum wages, limits on overtime and dis-
tion of labour rights is in line with South Africa’s missal requirements
obligations as part of the international commun- • Allowing industrial development zones
ity. As such, these rights are sacrosanct and any where labour laws will be more flexible
debate about the appropriateness or otherwise of
• Allowing more flexibility in labour-inten-
such rights is superfluous.
sive sectors, such as tourism, textile and
The debate about labour market flexibility
clothing, the household and agricultural
should not take place as binary policy alterna-
sectors
tives, i.e. a stark choice between flexibility and
regulation. This is conceptually and empirically • Having more flexible labour laws for
wrong (Bhorat & Cheadle 2009: 39). The issue companies that employ fewer than 200
is much more complex and this is not always people as opposed to the current cap of
recognised by the protagonists of either of the 50
two extreme positions. Deakin and Wilkinson
(as quoted by Benjamin & Theron 2007: 51)
Four types of flexibility have been identified by
in this context refer to the sterile opposition of
the ILO (Ozaki 1999: 5):
rights and efficiency. The alternative to this ster-
ile opposition, these authors suggest, is for eco- • Contracts of employment flexibility. This refers
nomic insights to shift policy away from deregu- first of all to the employer’s ability to termin-
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P RO D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y 6
ate contracts of employment, and whether the in the LRA preventing unfair dismissals and dis-
employer is restricted in terms of his or her hir- couraging retrenchments, can be described as an
ing decisions. Secondly, it refers to the ability important social advance.
of the employer to have recourse to so-called However, job security is far from cost free (Le
“atypical employment contracts”, for example Roux 1994: 119–120). Not only do legal and
part-time work, temporary work, seasonal other processes incur high costs, but job secur-
employment and fixed-term contracts. ity regulations are blamed for the reluctance of
• Wage flexibility. This is affected by, for employers to engage new workers on indefin-
instance, the imposition of a minimum ite-period contracts. In addition, employers may
wage, and the extent to which wages can be substitute labour with capital or utilise subcon-
linked to performance. Bargaining structures tractors, casual and temporary workers, or they
also impact on wage flexibility, for example may employ workers on fixed-term contracts
whether bargaining takes place at a centralised only. In the end, unemployment may simply be
or decentralised level. increased.
• Working time flexibility. This relates to nor- Britain has invented
mal or overtime working time, or working
a new missile. It’s called
weekends or at night.
the civil servant – it doesn’t
• Work organisation flexibility. This is deter- work and it can’t be fired.
mined by the extent to which new forms of
work organisation are introduced, for instance General Sir Walter Walker
through the multi-skilling and multi-tasking of
workers, and the extent to which teamwork is Job security for those workers already in
encouraged. employment may thus be to the detriment of
labour intensity and therefore to the disadvan-
Some of the most important elements of flex- tage of workers trying to enter the labour mar-
ibility in the workplace are now discussed in the ket for the first time (see sources quoted by Le
context of these different types of flexibility. Roux 1994).
On the other hand, greater job security may
encourage employers to invest more in workers
Labour market flexibility refers to the
in terms of training, and workers may develop
SUMMARY
extent to which different elements of the a greater loyalty towards the enterprise. It may
labour market can adjust to changing also encourage more selective recruitment by the
circumstances and is said to be an employer and thus ensure better job matching,
important element of the battle against which increases productivity. It should result
unemployment. in workers being less resistant to technological
change, as the possibility of job losses as a result
of such changes is much reduced. In fact, work-
ers who have greater job security will be more
6.6.1 Flexibility in contracts of amenable to operational changes. All these fac-
employment: job security and tors should improve productivity.
hiring decisions Apart from anecdotal evidence, there is little
clear-cut information to prove either the nega-
The ability of an enterprise to adjust the size of
tive or the positive effect of high job security.
its workforce to changes in the demand for the
The ILO (Ozaki 1999: 15) also states that even
product (i.e. the ability to hire or fire) and to use
where legislation was relaxed, not all employ-
various types of employment contract, such as
ers seemed to be taking advantage of the new
short-term contracts and subcontracting, is also
possibilities of flexibility in employment. This is
referred to as external or numerical flexibility.
because employers often realise the advantages
of job security for themselves, as outlined above.
( A ) J O B S ECURITY
This conclusion is confirmed by other ILO
The increase in job security in South Africa since research, which considered a number of factors
the advent of democracy, through the measures that may impact on the employment intensity
137
C H A P T E R 6 P R O D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y
of economic growth. The conclusion is the fol- Niekerk (2006) suggests that the requirements of
lowing: “There was, however, one noteworthy procedural fairness have contributed more than
surprise in the study: stricter employment pro- any other factor to perceptions that the South
tection was not found to be significantly relat- African labour law is inflexible. The Tokiso
ed to the employment intensity of growth” (ILO Report on Dispute Resolution (Tokiso Dispute
2005b). Settlement 2005) found that 78% of those cases
Many countries have nevertheless relaxed job in which findings are made against employers
security regulations, for example by extending incorporate an element of procedural unfairness.
the authorised probationary period, moving The study concludes that the most likely inter-
away from government approval for retrench- pretation of these figures is an intense focus on
ments and making temporary employment con- the minutiae of procedure that currently besets
tracts possible (Gladstone et al. 1992: 24). Other allegations of unfair dismissal. Bhorat (2009: 33)
possibilities are broadening the scope of exclu- considers a number of research reports and also
sions from unfair dismissal legislation and eas- comes to the conclusion that there is an overly
ing or abolishing administrative controls such strict interpretation of the requirement for pro-
as trade union consultation requirements (Ozaki cedural fairness by employers, labour consult-
1999: 14). Germany has been described as the ants and lawyers, the CCMA and the Labour
“top reformer in 2004” (World Bank 2006). Court. This was never the intention of the legis-
New businesses can now issue four-year term lation.
contracts for employees, and small businesses Apart from fairly extensive procedures with
(with fewer than 10 employees) are excluded regard to individual dismissals, there are also
from onerous rules on dismissals. various procedures relating to retrenchments.
In 2005 Australia, for instance, excluded Such procedures in effect introduce a morator-
employees working for small and medium-sized ium of 60 days on retrenchments. On the one
undertakings (with fewer than 100 employees) hand, time limits can, in principle, serve a use-
from unfair dismissal protection to encour- ful purpose by promoting certainty and the
age such businesses to “take a chance about finalisation of disputes, and can also ensure that
employing new people”. However, termination employers are absolutely sure about the need for
for a discriminatory reason remained prohibited. retrenchment before they dispatch workers into
For larger businesses, i.e. with more than 100 the practically inevitable abyss of unemploy-
employees, an employee will have had to have ment. The moratorium also assists parties in the
been employed for more than six months before consultation process. On the other hand, such
he or she can lodge an unfair dismissal applica- moratoriums do not help to bring about more
tion (see section 7.6.2 and www.workchoices. certainty and finality with regard to the retrench-
gov.au and www.australianbusiness.com.au). ment process, and any eventual decisions taken
Even in countries that have had high job secur- by the employer can be overturned by judicial
ity in the past, this was often balanced by other processes.
factors. Japan, for example, had a system of life- There are also other mechanisms to pro-
long employment before the recent economic tect the job security of employees, for instance
woes resulted in decreased job security. This was a right to strike about retrenchment. This does
balanced by a high degree of internal flexibility not apply to employees in enterprises with fewer
– workers were well trained and, in addition, than 50 employees. Excluding small business is a
were rotated within the enterprise as a rule every step in the right direction, but the cut-off point
three to five years. Such rotation was not always is probably too low. In addition, the size of a
upwards or even sideways, and could result in retrenchment that can trigger the right to strike
less favourable conditions of employment. This (i.e. a retrenchment of between 5 and 10% of
led to the multi-skilling of workers, and ensured the workforce in any one year) is so small that,
that they were adaptable to changing circum- practically speaking, there will often be very
stances (Hanami 1991). little distinction between a small-scale retrench-
There is fairly extensive protection of employ- ment and a large-scale retrenchment. The ration-
ees against unfair dismissals in South Africa in ale for covering only large-scale retrenchments
terms of the LRA, both with regard to proced- by such provisions is that these retrenchments
ure and reasons for dismissal. However, Van can have severe and substantial socioeconomic
o
P RO D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y 6
consequences. However, this motivation does • International labour standards do not require
not apply when retrenchments are relatively a formal hearing prior to dismissal – this
small. relates to the fact that the law does not pre-
It is crucial for enterprises to be able to vent an overly strict interpretation by the
adjust quickly, though fairly, to changing mar- CCMA of the dismissal requirements in the
ket demands and thus remain competitive, both legislation (as referred to above)
locally and globally. An inability to do this • International practice recognises the desirabil-
will have a negative impact on an enterprise’s ity and legitimacy of excluding small business
competitiveness and will put other jobs at risk. (e.g. those employing fewer than 20 employ-
Furthermore, if enterprises can restructure only ees) from the ambit of consultation and infor-
with difficulty and after relatively long time mation obligations relating to retrenchments
delays, it will serve as a further disincentive to
• The unrestricted access to the CCMA should
job creation. At the same time, excessive free-
be addressed by making cost orders the norm
dom to hire and fire will not be in the interests
rather than the exception, and there should be
of either the employee or the employer. a requirement to pay a filing fee
Bhorat and Cheadle (2009: 39) have found,
within the global distribution of labour legis-
lation, that there was an increase in hiring and
firing rigidity between 1997 and 2006, but a • Job security is an important social
decline in the cost of hiring and firing. (The cost advance, but is far from cost free, as
of hiring and firing includes all the social security it often incurs costs and may make
SUMMARY
and health costs associated with hiring a work- employers reluctant to engage new
er, whereas the firing costs include costs such as workers.
severance pay and those associated with notice • The rules on hiring and firing in South
period. The cost and rigidity associated with Africa are said to be too procedurally
employment equity legislation are not included.) complicated and overly prescriptive,
Their conclusion is that in the case of legislative which was never the intention of the
provision for firing workers, South Africa pos- legislation.
sesses a “particularly high level of regulation”
(2009: 15). The South African labour market,
in an international context, appears to have
(B ) R E S T R I C T I O N S O N H I RI N G
become more regulated over the last decade as
far as hiring and firing rigidity is concerned. If an employer’s ability to recruit and appoint
Van Niekerk (2007: 43–45) also makes the the best person for the job is inhibited, it will
point that many of the flexibilities that are have a negative impact not only on flexibility,
inherent in the relevant international standards but also on the search for excellence. There are
were never considered for incorporation in the several examples of restrictions on hiring in
appropriate legislation in South Africa, and that South African legislation, for example the pro-
this is particularly so in relation to work secur- vision for closed-shop agreements, in terms of
ity rights. Even though the model underpinning which employers can hire only persons belong-
South African labour legislation is sound, he ing to one or more specified unions.
refers to the following potential flexibilities that Another restriction is the duty on employers
should be considered: to implement affirmative action measures to give
preference in hiring and promotion to so-called
• The possibility of limiting the application of “disadvantaged groups” in terms of the Employ-
laws by reference to the number of employ- ment Equity Act (see Summary box in section
ees engaged in the enterprise, particularly the 10.7.3). On the other hand, the Act might, over
exclusion from unfair dismissal laws of small the longer term, lead to the better utilisation of
enterprises, as contemplated by Convention human resources, which will increase productiv-
158 of the ILO ity. This positive effect is likely in the light of
• The exclusion of workers serving a qualifying the many years of discrimination and under-
period of employment from certain forms of utilisation of an important part of the country’s
employment protection human resources.
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C H A P T E R 6 P R O D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y
lower wages, and because contingents are paid • More flexibility of product markets and hence
only for the actual work required by the enter- increasing demands for flexibility by employ-
prise. The authors of the ILO Review (1996) ers
state that reduced costs seem to be the most • Increasing employment rates of women (who
important reason for the increased use of such require a more flexible work pattern)
labour. • Deregulation of the labour market
• In the past, employers often resorted to labour • A new mix of education and work
broking services in order to sidestep burden- • New lifestyle requirements of employees
some labour regulations, but changes to the
LRA and the BCEA have made this more dif- DISADVANTAGES OF ATYPICAL
ficult. Research conducted for the Department E M P L O YM EN T
of Labour suggests that labour legislation has
been the impetus for externalisation, both in Even though the utilisation of atypical employ-
that the avoidance of labour legislation pro- ees has a number of advantages, the increase in
vides a motive to externalise and the legislative atypical employment also has several disadvan-
provisions regarding temporary employment tages:
services provide the opportunity (Department • Research in South Africa seems to indi-
of Labour 2004: par 3.4). cate that the increasing use of non-standard
• Atypical employment allows the employer employment is eroding labour standards in
more flexibility in the utilisation of labour, the following manner (Department of Labour
especially if there are fluctuating levels in the 2004: par 6):
demand for labour, and to avoid the hassle –
Wages. The wages of temporary workers
factor often associated with employing work- employed by a temporary employment ser-
ers, especially those who are highly unionised. vice (TES) have been found to be lower than
• It can mean more freedom and flexibility for other employees. However, where a TES is
the workers. Parents with children at school not involved, this does not seem to be the
may, for instance, prefer to have some free- case.
dom to perform certain tasks with regard –
Conditions of employment. In theory all
to their children without having to ask the part-time and temporary workers are pro-
employer for time off. tected by most provisions of the BCEA, but
this does not always apply in practice.
In a study done for the Department of Labour
(Department of Labour 2004: par 4), it was –
Health and safety. In mining, the mine is
found that the determinants of the trend towards responsible for the health and safety of all
non-standard employment are in part econom- workers on the mine, but in other sectors,
ic, as a consequence of trade liberalisation and workers placed by a TES have to work
other factors creating an increasingly competi- under conditions determined by the client.
tive environment for firms. In part they are –
Training. There might be little incentive
also ideological, influenced by doctrines such to train temporary workers. Training and
as flexibility, lean production, focusing on the human resources development might thus
“core business” and the like. However, research be neglected, and equal opportunity goals
in this regard, especially if commissioned by might not to be met.
the Department of Labour, might not always
–
Social security. There is evidence that TESs
be valid. Such research needs to determine the
do not register all the workers with bar-
motivations of employers, and employers might
have a natural reticence to disclose certain gaining council social security funds in order
motives for externalisation to researchers from to save costs. If they are able to, employers
the Department of Labour, such as to cut wage are less likely to have such employees cov-
costs or evade labour legislation. ered by retirement provision and health care
Another international study identified five because of their temporary nature.
driving forces behind more flexible forms of –
E mployment security. The temporary
employment (Maree 2003): employee is in a more precarious position
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P RO D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y 6
with regard to unfair dismissals and the
BCEA notice periods. • TESs should not be used by clients to
employ temporary workers on an indefin-
–
Trade union rights and collective bar-
ite basis.
gaining. Even though such employees enjoy
the same rights in theory, in practice it is • There should be a regulatory body for
very difficult for a union to organise work- TESs.
ers whose workplace and hours of work are • Employees should also be able to exercise
frequently changed. rights against the employer controlling
the workplace.
• For the employer, atypical employment can
also be dysfunctional. Heavily flexible work- • There should be a Code of Conduct on
places lose their ability to attract, bind and atypical employment.
retain skilled workers. Long-term, secure
Cosatu is strongly opposed to one specif-
employment relations are reportedly seen “as
ic type of atypical employment, namely,
a necessary condition to develop sustainable
competitive advantages based on the tacit and employment by labour brokers, i.e. where
intangible knowledge embedded in the heads workers work (mostly on temporary con-
and hands of the workforce” (Dickens, as tracts) for one person, but are in the
quoted by Maree 2003: 2). employment of another person, the labour
broker. Cosatu argued that it was not
Because of these contradicting advantages and opposed to temporary employment, but that
disadvantages of atypical employment for differ- the practice of labour broking amounted to
ent stakeholders, policy makers face an import- slavery, and the federation wanted labour
ant policy dilemma (see accompanying box). brokers to be banned. The government’s
response at that time was to limit tempor-
ary employment to six months; thereafter
the worker would be a permanent work-
Policy issue: What to do about the
er, unless there were justifiable reasons for
increasing use of atypical employees?
a longer period. Furthermore, a policy of
Research undertaken for the Department equal pay was introduced, where employers
of Labour concludes that policy makers in had to ensure that the conditions of employ-
South Africa probably face the same kind of ment of permanent workers and those on
strategic choice that the European Union is temporary contracts were the same.
facing. On the one hand, there is the defence Although it is important to address
of standard employment at all costs, and the abuse of atypical employment, where
on the other hand, adaptation to address employers employ workers for lengthy per-
the challenges of unemployment and inter- iods of part-time employment in order to
national competitiveness (Department of reduce wages and employment security,
Labour 2004: par 3.3). This is related to the undue restrictions on atypical employment
relative priority given to the constitutional could make the labour market operate less
right to fair labour practices as opposed to effectively.
the constitutional right to work.
The priority area for policy intervention
should be labour broking because it has
In most parts of the world, including
clearly played a major part in accelerating
SUMMARY
Í
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C H A P T E R 6 P R O D U C T I V I T Y A N D L A B O U R M A R K E T F L E X I B I L I T Y
who have not been part of the negotiations. As a result of the influence of trade unions
The ILO points out elsewhere (Ozaki and minimum wage regulation, wages
1999: 147) that “there has been a clear trend are usually rigid downwards and flexible
over the past decade towards decentralizing upwards. Bargaining councils and min-
wage bargaining, although sectoral and central imum wages increase wage inflexibility.
wage bargaining continue to play an import-
SUMMARY
The Basic Conditions of Employment Act
working hours on productivity (BCEA) is a blend of flexibility and inflex-
In section 4.7.1, the impact of reduced ibility as far as the flexibility of working
hours is concerned.
working hours on the cost of labour is dis-
cussed. However, one of the major argu-
ments when working hours were reduced
from 48 to 45 per week in South Africa was 6.6.5 Work organisation flexibility
whether it would have a positive or negative
The extent to which workers or conditions of
impact on the number of jobs available and
employment within an enterprise can adjust to
the impact on productivity. changing circumstances is also called internal or
As far as jobs are concerned, there are functional flexibility. Rules and agreements relat-
those who believe that reduced working ing to the workplace, conditions of employment
hours increase labour absorption. This is and the skills level of the workforce can affect
because, so the argument goes, existing this. Other measures that can inhibit internal
work is shared among more employees. flexibility have their origins in legislation (e.g.
As pointed out, this is the classic “lump of the prohibition in the mining industry to work-
labour” argument, and its fundamental flaw ing on certain days), bargaining council or col-
is that it regards the number of jobs avail- lective agreements on work rules, union rules and
work practices. The authors of the ILO Review
able as fixed, which can simply be divided in
(1996: 7) also refer to work-process flexibility,
different ways. In actual fact, reduced hours
which means that workers can be shifted between
of work will, in most instances, increase tasks relatively easily and working practices can
production costs, which is likely to have a similarly be changed easily and at low cost.
negative effect on the demand for labour. Bargaining councils established in terms of
This is discussed in section 4.7.1. the LRA might also have a negative impact on
Reduced hours of work might increase work organisation flexibility. There has been a
the productivity of individual workers tendency in the past to apply agreements rigid-
because workers are less fatigued. How- ly, subject only to inefficient and cumbersome
ever, a review of research on this topic (see exemption mechanisms. As discussed in section
sources quoted by Barker 1995: 55) general- 5.6, the authors of the ILO Review (1996: 148–
149, 194–196) question the system of bargaining
ly indicates that if there has been an increase
council agreements, including the exemptions
in productivity, such an increase will make
from such agreements. The link between wages
up less than half the reduction in produc- and productivity improvements is also severed
tion caused by the reduced hours and will by bargaining councils. Attempts to increase
therefore not compensate for the increased flexibility and productivity at enterprise level
production costs. This is confirmed by the will be very difficult for as long as wages are
Labour Market Commission (1996: 91). determined elsewhere.
It has been found that an increase in
productivity is more likely if the reduction 6.6.6 A skilled workforce
in hours is the outcome of collective bar-
New patterns of work often require flexible and
gaining in the workplace, but is much less
highly skilled workers. Workers are required, for
likely if the reduction is imposed through instance, to function without direct supervision
legislative decree. This is because the process and to be able to correct small interruptions in
of bargaining enables employers and unions the production process on their own initiative.
to make quid pro quo exchanges whereby a These new patterns, as well as job descriptions
reduction in hours is directly exchanged for that have become much broader and with less
increased flexibility or productivity in the strict demarcation between occupations, neces-
workplace (see Barker 1995). sitate the multi-skilling of workers. Highly cap-
ital-intensive production techniques and equip-
Bhorat and Cheadle (2009: 39), in considering flexible than those applicable in most OECD
World Bank data as well as some other research countries, specifically with regard to severance
findings, found that in most measures of labour pay, notice periods, probation periods, fairness
regulation South Africa is not extraordinarily criteria, reinstatement and temporary employ-
over-regulated or under-regulated. However, as ment. However, he adds that this does not
stated above, when comparing 1997 and 2006, deny that there are significant problems in rela-
there is an increase in rigidity in terms of hir- tion to the implementation of dismissal laws in
ing and firing but a decline in the cost of hiring this country, particularly in relation to dispute
and firing. According to these authors, South resolution structures and procedures. As stated
Africa has relatively low levels of regulation above, he argues that inappropriate procedures
with regard to individual employment relations, in particular may be the biggest cause of percep-
which is counterpoised by relatively higher levels tions of labour market inflexibility.
of regulation when it comes to collective rights.
In the case of legislative provision for firing
workers, South Africa possesses a particularly • An international comparison of labour
high level of regulation. They also refer to the laws is difficult because factors such
fact that union labour power in South Africa is as the cumulative effect of policies,
“extremely high” (Bhorat & Cheadle 2009: 10). a change in the level of regulation,
The World Economic Forum (WEF) (2005),
SUMMARY the level of unionisation and the skills
for instance, found that South Africa ranks level of the population will be import-
115th (out of 117 countries) in relation to the ant to determine the relative impact
ease of hiring and firing practices, 106th in rela- of labour laws on flexibility.
tion to flexibility of wage determination and
• Various studies on labour market
104th with regard to labour–employer relations
flexibility reach divergent conclusions
(indicating a confrontational relationship). On
with regard to whether the South
several other economic measures, this country is
African labour market is more or less
ranked quite positively. The WEF determines the
flexible than other countries.
competitiveness position of a country according
to 290 criteria of hard data as well as a survey of
the opinions of executives in different countries.
The survey is given a weighting of one-third in
6.7.3 Balancing the social costs and
the final result.
economic benefits of labour
The International Monetary Fund (IMF)
(2005: 20) also referred to the difficulties with market flexibility
regard to hiring and firing, but found in an Apart from the supposed or real effects of
empirical study that, compared to 75 other labour market rigidities on unemployment, there
industrial and emerging market countries, South is the danger that a distinct lack of flexibility
Africa was not more rigid than the average for might result in an increased differential between
these countries when measured by (i) existence the solid core of workers and those on the per-
of minimum wages; (ii) level of employment iphery, i.e. it might result in increased labour
protection and benefits; and (iii) trade union market duality (OECD 1986: 15). The solid core
density. However, the IMF could not consider of workers will be the privileged élite (usual-
the difficulties with regard to hiring and dismiss- ly urban union members) who are employed
al procedures in the study owing to “measure- permanently and who enjoy the full spectrum of
ment difficulties”. labour rights, while those on the periphery will
Finally, by comparing the South African unfair be non-unionised and little protected workers
dismissal regime with OECD data (2004: Chap- (e.g. in the informal sector) or the unemployed.
ter 2), Van Niekerk (2006) calls into question A delicate balance is therefore required
the conclusions reached in the World Bank and between protecting worker rights and ensuring
other studies. Benchmarking South African adequate labour market flexibility. Very sensi-
labour legislation against indices utilised in the tive issues are involved: not only basic human
OECD study, he concludes that South African and worker rights, but also the survival of enter-
unfair dismissal laws are not significantly less prises and the well-being of the economy. As
Key concepts
labour market flexibility productivity
internal or functional flexibility labour productivity
external or numerical flexibility capital productivity
job security total factor productivity
atypical or contingent employment unit labour cost
averaging remuneration cost per unit produced
compressed work week efficiency wages
voice regulation workplace forums
efficiency wage hypothesis
For students
1. How is productivity measured and what are
4. Wage costs cannot be regarded in isola-
some of the shortcomings of this method of tion as labour productivity must also be
measurement? considered. What instrument is used to
determine the combined influence of these
2. Why is productivity improvement import-
variables, and what have been the recent
ant?
developments in this regard in South Africa?
3. Discuss the relationship and interaction
5. Use the efficiency wage hypothesis to discuss
between labour productivity, capital pro-
the statement: “Under certain circumstances
ductivity and the replacement of labour by
a wage increase could lead to an increase in
capital in South Africa.
productivity.”
Suggested reading*
Barker, F.S. 1999. Industrial Democracy Review, Vol. 6, No. 1,
On South African labour policies. The South African FebruaryApril.
Journal of Economics, Vol. 67, No. 1, March.
National Productivity Institute (Productivity
Bhorat, H. & Cheadle, H. 2009. SA). 2005.
Labour reform in South Africa: Measuring Productivity Statistics 2005. Pretoria: National
regulation and a synthesis of policy suggestions. Productivity Institute.
Development Policy Research Unit. Working
National Productivity Institute (Productivity
Paper 09/139. South Africa: University of Cape
SA). 2002.
Town
Productivity, economic efficiency and equity. A
Fallon, P. & Lucas, R. 1998. Nedlac occasional paper 1/2002. Johannesburg:
South African labor markets: adjustment and National Economic Development and Labour
inequalities. Washington, DC: World Bank. Council.
Gailen, A. 1991. Ozaki, M. (Ed.). 1999.
Flexible work patterns why, how, when and where? Negotiating flexibility: the role of the social partners
Bulletin of Comparative Labour Relations. and the state. Geneva: International Labour
Bulletin 22. Organisation.
Macun, I. 1997. * The bibliography contains the full list of
Restructuring and flexibility in manufacturing. references.
7.5
labour market
The impact of trade liberalisation on the
Globalisation
7.6
South African labour market
Addressing the challenges of globalisa-
and the labour
7.7
tion
Deeper insight: Why do countries trade?
market
7.1 INTRODUCTION
New technological advances have led to a rapid and immigration. The imports of final, and to
increase in globalisation since the 1980s and a lesser extent intermediary, goods is the more
especially the 1990s. These advances include, important and faster-expanding channel, in large
for instance, greatly reduced transport, tele- part because immigration remains very restricted
communications and computation costs, which in many countries.
have helped to overcome the natural barriers of Countries are also becoming more closely
space and time that separate national markets connected as trade barriers are dismantled and
(El Toukhy 1998). Globalisation has also been import tariffs reduced. This puts workers in one
spurred on by large developing countries choos- country in competition with workers in another
ing to improve their investment climates in order country and increases the danger of a “levelling
to attract overseas investors and to open up to down” in wages and working conditions. The
foreign trade. flow of money and goods between countries has
Globalisation refers to the widening and deep- also increased substantially. Numerous multi-
ening of international trade, finance, information national corporations have annual sales totalling
and culture (e.g. movies) in a single integrated more than the GDP of many countries, including
world market (El Toukhy 1998). According to South Africa.
another description, globalisation is characterised, In pursuit of a more outward-looking econ-
in particular, by an intensification of cross-border omy, South Africa introduced a far-reaching
trade and increased financial and foreign direct trade liberalisation programme in the 1990s,
investment flows promoted by rapid liberalisation especially after the democratic elections in 1994.
and advances in information technology (Daouas The country reduced its average import tariffs
2001). It thus refers to the increasing integration on manufactured goods from 14% in 1994 to
of economies around the world. 5.6% in 1998 (ILO, as quoted by Bezuidenhout
Globalisation has an important effect on 2000: 1) to encourage export-led growth and to
the labour market. Research points to a sharp reap the benefits that globalisation provided for
increase in the effective global pool of labour many countries. This formed an important ele-
(International Monetary Fund 2007). This ment of the government’s economic policies to
global pool of labour is accessed (especial- create an environment conducive to economic
ly by advanced economies) through imports growth.
In some cases the liberalisation programme sidering the effective rate of protection (ERP).
even exceeded the requirements of the General They quote studies that maintain that even
Agreement on Trade and Tariffs (GATT) and though the average ERP has fallen in line with
the World Trade Organisation (WTO) nego- the fall in nominal tariffs, it still remains fair-
tiations. These included tariffs being simplified ly high, particularly in manufacturing where it
and reduced and other trade-related measures averaged about 24.3% in 2003. Despite signifi-
to abolish practices that contravene WTO rules, cant declines, ERP appears to remain quite high
such as local content requirements and export for the tobacco, textiles, clothing, footwear and
incentives. furniture sectors.
It should be mentioned from the outset that Various theories have been developed to
the government has been criticised sharply for explain international trade, but as these are
reducing tariffs more rapidly than required by mostly aimed at the economics-orientated stu-
our international obligations (see, for instance, dent or reader, they are discussed at the end of
the discussion in Nattrass 1998b: 2). This the chapter. Attention is first given to the open-
would, it has been said, contribute to a contrac- ness and competitiveness of the South African
tion in employment because of the structural economy. The impact of globalisation is then
adjustments required to compete with the prod- discussed, with specific reference to the labour
ucts of other countries, both within and outside market. Many countries, including South Afri-
South Africa. This issue is discussed later in this ca, face the question of how the challenges of
chapter. globalisation should be addressed. Some case
However, as pointed out by Bhorat et al. studies and a few other approaches in this regard
(2010: 6) there is disagreement about the degree are outlined. The chapter concludes with a dis-
to which trade has been liberalised when con- cussion of the theories on international trade.
SUMMARY
an impact on the country’s ability to attract or a large part of total domestic production.
retain skills in high demand the world over. Sec- Foreign capital is also important because
tion 2.7.1 shows that in the past South Africa South Africa does not save enough to
could depend on a net immigration gain to com- finance the required level of investment.
plement its skills. However, this has turned into There is an outflow of skilled labour and
a net loss over the last couple of decades, which an influx of legal and illegal unskilled
means that the country is losing skills that have labour.
been developed at great cost to society.
South Africa
250 UK
US
Japan
Netherlands
Index 1990 = 100
200
150
100
50
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Year
Figure 7.1 Unit labour cost in manufacturing in various countries, in national currency
National Productivity Institute 2005
Source:
factor on economic growth. One such possible income per capita are systematically and import-
factor, as is pointed out below (section 7.4.3), antly related to openness.
is institutional quality, for instance the effective- However, the research has also found that
ness of government. Good institutional quality institutional quality is another important deter-
may have a positive impact on both openness minant of the differences in income per cap-
and economic performance. There may also be ita between countries. Institutional quality is
other factors that correlate with both economic defined broadly as factors such as the rule of
growth and openness, for instance education and law, the effectiveness of government and so
skills development. Heavy investments in human forth. If this institutional quality is better, it is
capital may promote both growth and great- likely that per capita income will also be higher.
er openness, but not because greater openness It may be that institutional quality and openness
caused more growth. are also related. This may happen if, as part of
Feedback loop. An increase in income or eco- improving institutional quality, the country has
nomic growth will increase disposable income, implemented a package of beneficial reforms
and this may result in an increase in trade. This such as opening up the economy to achieve
will create the impression that there is a correla- objectives such as higher efficiency, technologic-
tion between growth and openness, whereas the al development, etc. It would then be difficult to
direction of causality will actually have been in separate the impact of openness from the impact
the opposite direction. Several studies incorpor- of institutional quality on income per capita.
ate controls for this “feedback loop”.
Population size. As is pointed out below, if
C H A N G E S O V ER T I M E W I TH I N
different countries are compared without taking P A RTI C U L A R C O U N T R I ES
into account the size of their populations, then
the results are quite different from when account This type of research examines the relation-
is taken of population size. To determine wheth- ship between changes in openness and changes
er “mankind” is benefiting from trade liberalisa- in income per capita over time within coun-
tion, it is more appropriate to determine if the tries. The advantage of this approach is that the
world population as a whole is benefiting, rather impact of institutional quality on the research
than individual countries. results is reduced – institutional quality within
Measuring consumption. A final measurement a country normally changes only very gradually,
problem raised by The Economist (13 March which will more effectively isolate the impact of
2004) is that different methods of measuring openness.
consumption show consistently different results. The general conclusion from the research
To measure the impact of globalisation on living studies is that changes in trade volumes are
standards, it is necessary to determine what hap- important determinants of changes in economic
pens to consumption patterns. However, nation- growth. Dollar and Kraay (see Berg & Krueger
al accounts data tend nearly always to give a 2002) estimate that, if the share of trade in GDP
much more optimistic view of trends in poverty increases from 20 to 40% over ten years, it will
than do household survey data. According to increase real GDP per capita by 10%.
The Economist, much of the “frequently acri- China and India are probably the most well-
monious debate” about the impact of globalisa- known examples of countries that have bene-
tion revolves around this technical issue and also fited hugely from opening up their markets. At
explains why some studies show a rapid decline the beginning of the 1980s these countries were
in poverty across the world over the last few among the poorest in the world. Once they
decades and others show little, if any, decline. opened up their markets – both externally and
internally – their per capita incomes increased
7.4.3 Impact on economic growth sharply. Between 1980 and 2000, India’s real
and income per capita GDP per capita more than doubled, whereas
China experienced a rise in real income per head
C R O S S-COUNTRY COMPARISONS
of well over 400% during this period (Wolf, as
Berg and Krueger (2002) refer to various quoted by the CDE 2005b: 15). They are no
research studies that have found that the huge longer among the world’s poorest countries, and
differences between countries in the level of have reduced poverty dramatically.
The developments in these two huge countries, tries. This means that developing countries can-
which together account for a third of the world not fully exploit their competitive advantage.
population, have certainly skewed the results. Developing countries have since the beginning
The massive increase in economic growth in of the 21st century begun to stand together to
China and India means that even if inequality address this injustice (Wolf, as quoted by the
within each country in the world is increasing, CDE 2005b: 18).
and even if inequality between the richest and
poorest countries in the world is increasing, I N E Q U A LI T I ES W I TH I N C O U N TRI E S
global inequality, as measured across all the
world’s individuals, is not necessarily increasing. When it comes to research about inequality with-
Because these two countries, both of which have in countries, the results are inconclusive. Some
a high proportion of poor people and which also studies have found that inequality has increased
form a very large part of the world population, as a result of trade liberalisation, and others that
are growing so rapidly, the sharp increase in it has reduced or not changed substantially (see
the average incomes in these two countries will sources quoted by Kohler & Bruce-Brand 2001).
result in inequality as measured across all indi- In some countries, such as the Philippines and
viduals in the world actually falling. Malaysia, inequality has in fact declined. In
The success of India and China can probably Latin America, trade liberalisation has further
be ascribed directly to their commitment to widened wage inequalities, although this is prob-
move towards a market economy, one in which ably due to earlier extreme inequalities in edu-
private property rights, free enterprise and com- cational attainment (World Bank, as quoted by
petition increasingly have taken the place of the Institute for Futures Research 2002a). Also,
state ownership, planning and protection. They in China inequalities have increased, but this
chose, however haltingly, the path of econom- may also have been due to other factors such as
ic liberalisation and international integration a general liberalisation of the economy, neglect
(Wolf, as quoted by the Business Day, 1 Septem- of the rural areas and so forth (Dollar & Kraay
ber 2004). 2001).
Even though globalisation can and has Dollar and Kraay (2001) researched a total of
greatly benefited numerous developing coun- 100 developing and developed countries. They
tries, the fact remains that there are still many looked at changes in trade and in inequality meas-
poverty-stricken countries. However, many of ured over periods of at least five years in order
these seem to have failed because, as the World to capture the medium to long-run relationship
Commission on the Social Aspects of Globalisa- between trade and inequality. Their conclusion
tion puts it (2003: 55), they are “dysfunctional is that there is little evidence of a systematic ten-
states torn apart by civil strife, authoritarian dency for inequality within countries to either
governments of various hues, and states with increase or decrease with increased trade.
democratic governments but severe inadequacies However, the ILO (2005a) found that the
in terms of policies and institutions required to impact of globalisation was not always positive
support a well-functioning market economy”. for all workers. It states that the positive impact
Many African countries, furthermore, do not is biased towards the high-skilled occupations
have the prerequisites to be able to trade success- and has less impact on the unskilled.
fully, such as a well-developed transport infra- Whether this is purely the result of globalisa-
structure, functioning ports, functioning finan- tion or only due to technological change is open
cial and credit markets, and skilled workers (see for debate. There are many potential reasons
Bhorat, Mail & Guardian, 4–10 July 2003). for those already in low-skilled jobs not bene-
At the same time, these countries also face fiting much. The ILO (2005a) speculates that
further obstacles – in particular their current even though low-skilled wages may not have
unfavourable trade position vis-à-vis developed increased, the initial impact of globalisation and
countries. Developed countries protect their growth may have resulted in more jobs being cre-
labour-intensive industries, especially their agri- ated; in other words, rather than wages increas-
culture, against competition from developing ing, previously unemployed or underemployed
countries. In particular, subsidies to European people will have obtained jobs in the formal
farmers undercut imports from developing coun- labour market. According to this hypothesis, for-
the income of the poorest tends to grow one-for- social protection is therefore very important for
one with average income, although in some cases the renewed welfare of affected workers. A good
the poverty stricken may do better, and in other education system that provides opportunities for
cases worse. all is critical for success in the globalising world.
The number of poverty-stricken people may Dollar and Kraay (2001) say the following:
thus decline at the same time as inequalities
The experiences of the post-1980 globalizers
increase; this will happen if there is a general
show that the process (of globalisation) can
increase in incomes but the incomes of the rich
increase more than those of the poor. have great benefits, contributing to rising
This seems to have been the case in China incomes and falling poverty and enabling
and India. In both these countries there has some of the poorest countries in the world
been a massive increase in incomes as a result to catch up with richer countries. The real
of globalisation. This has significantly reduced losers from globalization are those devel-
poverty, even though inequalities have increased. oping countries that have not been able to
Because the populations of these countries form seize the opportunities to participate in this
such a large part of the world population, it process.
affects average trends in the world.
Dollar and Kraay (2001) have found that the The latter remark applies in particular to sub-Sa-
combination of increases in growth and little haran Africa, which for the most part has not
systematic change in inequality in the global- seen any benefits of globalisation.
isers has considerably boosted efforts to reduce
poverty. In Malaysia, for example, the average
income of the poorest fifth of the population ~ Developing countries that have
grew at a robust 5.4% annually. Even in China, been globalising (the majority of the
where inequality did increase sharply and the world population) have benefited
income growth rate of the poorest fifth lagged significantly from trade liberalisa-
behind average income growth, incomes of the tion in terms of per capita income.
poorest fifth still grew at 3.8% annually. Non-globalising countries are trading
less today than before, and have
Protectionism is the sacrifice experienced low growth in per capita
of the consumer to the producer, GDP.
– of the end to the means.
~ The impact of trade liberalisation
Frédéric Bastiat on inequalities within countries is
SUMMARY
165
C H A P T E R 7 G L O B A L I S AT I O N A N D T H E L A B O U R M A R K E T
away from unskilled labour, this is not necessar- ~ Trade liberalisation has shifted pro-
ily due to trade liberalisation, but may be due duction in favour of capital- and
to other factors such as changes in domestic skills-intensive sectors to the detri-
demand, technology or relative wages. Edwards ment of labour-intensive ones, and
(2001: 13) also refers to the adverse effect of thereby had a negative impact on the
labour regulation making adjustment more dif- employment of unskilled labour.
ficult, with the result that adverse demand or
other shocks show up in the form of unemploy- ~ The employment losses in
export-orientated sectors have been
ment rather than in other forms of labour mar-
relatively greater than in import-com-
ket adjustment.
peting ones, at least in the initial years
after trade liberalisation.
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G L O B A L I S AT I O N A N D T H E L A B O U R M A R K E T 7
market protection, trade liberalisation reduces flexible forms of work. High direct and indirect
that space dramatically. Reforming countries labour costs have meant that European employ-
thus face a dilemma if they are to avoid the ers have been unable or unwilling to expand
possible negative employment consequences of employment, whereas wages in the USA have
globalisation: either the labour market must be been sufficiently flexible to “clear” the labour
made more flexible by reducing non-wage labour market, i.e. to keep unemployment to a min-
costs and/or allowing wages to fall, or produc- imum.
tivity must rise dramatically if enterprises are to The European Commission (1997: 10–12)
remain competitive. The latter, however, takes has highlighted the increasing burden of tax on
time and may even involve job losses over the labour in member states, and the negative effect
short and medium term. Greater openness makes this has had on employment. Social security
the economy increasingly subject to global com- contributions, for instance, now represent more
petitive forces. Competition on the basis of than 20% of total labour costs. This has sub-
labour costs seems to have become increasing- stantially increased the indirect cost of labour,
ly prevalent in international trade, which means while the opposite has happened to the indirect
that appropriate labour policies play a critical cost of other factors of production, such as cap-
role in a country’s ability to adjust to and face ital, energy and natural resources. Some mem-
international competition. ber states have reduced the starting wages and
social security contributions of young workers to
There is nothing Japan really encourage their recruitment.
wants to buy from foreign However, the lower wages in the USA
countries except, possibly, occurred at the lower end of the skills spec-
neckties with unusual designs. trum, with the result that wage differentials,
and consequently inequality, increased signifi-
Yoshihiro Inayama cantly (Wood 1994: 460–462). Furthermore, the
real wages of unskilled workers often actually
declined, resulting in a growing phenomenon of
(A) M
ORE JOBS OR BETTER JOBS: THE the working poor (Buckberg & Thomas 1995).
U SA VERSUS EUROPE
In Europe, there was practically no increase in
If the experience of other countries is anything inequality.
to go by, countries face a choice in address- The growing inequality in the USA and
ing the challenges of globalisation – either increasing European unemployment have gener-
to allow greater wage flexibility, which will ated much controversy. For instance, it has been
increase inequalities, or to protect the wages argued (Wolf 1997) that Europe has been able
of the unskilled, which will increase unskilled to generate remunerative employment for the
unemployment. At the risk of oversimplifying male breadwinner and that most unemployment
through generalisation, the USA and Europe are is found among what Wolf calls “outsiders”, i.e.
examples of countries that opted for opposing women, the young and older workers. Further-
policy choices. more, wage flexibility alone is not sufficient to
In the five years to 1997 some 12 million jobs create more jobs, although it seems to be a neces-
were created in the USA, while there was almost sary condition for this (The Economist 1996).
no net increase in jobs in continental Europe It is also said that even though the newly creat-
over the same period. In 1997, unemployment ed jobs in the USA may not be quality jobs, the
fell to a 24-year low in the USA, while it reached wages paid in these jobs are mostly higher than
a post-war high in Germany, for example. the average wage and allow people to acquire
Most observers agree that the fundamental skills and experience.
reason for this has been more flexible labour Some observers state that the reason for the
markets in the USA, and wage flexibility in par- USA’s performance does not lie with wage flex-
ticular, as opposed to highly regulated labour ibility, but with less rigid regulations governing
markets in Europe. The European Commission output-related matters such as working hours,
(1997: 38) maintains that social security systems planning and zoning, combined with the more
and taxation policies in European Union mem- effective channelling of capital to start-up enter-
ber states have not yet been fully adapted to prises (Baker 1997).
health, education, job creation and social secur- The parties agreed to various trade-offs.
ity issues. Labour agreed to a form of wage restraint with
The ILO (Auer 2000: 89) selects only three wage increases equal to or less than inflation.
factors to explain the relative success in the Increases were also to be linked to productiv-
labour markets in both Ireland and the Nether- ity improvements with the approach that there
lands. These are macroeconomic policy, social would be a “change for pay rather than pay for
dialogue and labour market policy (including change”. This simply meant that labour agreed
labour market reforms). to changes in work practices, which could in
With regard to the first, macroeconom- turn lead to productivity and wage increases,
ic policy, Auer refers to price, interest and rather than employers granting the unions wage
exchange rate stability, as well as to providing increases to “buy” changes in work practices.
fiscal stimuli to the economy against a general In exchange, employers and the government
background of fiscal consolidation. agreed to reduce weekly working hours from 40
The government agreed to create an enabling to 39. Employers also agreed to become more
environment for job creation by, among other competitive and create jobs. The social partner-
things, bringing government expenditure under ship approach since the mid-1980s also resulted
control. This, together with financial support in industrial peace, which together with other
from the European Union, allowed for tax policy initiatives attracted foreign multinationals
reductions, which were also traded in wage into Ireland.
negotiations for wage moderation on the part of The third factor is the introduction of labour
trade unions. One-third of the increase in Irish market reforms aimed at making the labour mar-
real after-tax wages since 1987 has therefore ket more flexible (Tille & Yi, as quoted by Stry-
come in the form of tax reductions, especially dom 2003: 5). This included passive, income-re-
employment taxes (Barry 1999: 4). In addition, placement schemes as well as active labour
the Irish government cut corporate taxes to a market policies such as labour market train-
mere 12.5% compared with 30% or more in ing, adjustment flexibility for enterprises and
European Union and OECD countries. improved delivery of employment services. The
Another important factor that contributed to ILO (Auer 2000: 54) as well as Barry (1999: 3)
Ireland’s success story is that the economy was emphasise the importance of the centralisation
substantially opened up and the protectionist of wage bargaining at national level for the suc-
barriers dismantled. Dependence on primary cess of both Ireland and the Netherlands. Three
product exports (agricultural products) was bargaining models seem to produce positive
reduced, partly by opening up the economy and outcomes, i.e. highly decentralised bargaining,
partly by policy initiatives. Ireland also chan- highly centralised bargaining, and moderately
nelled substantial resources into education, by decentralised but highly coordinated bargaining
among other things providing free secondary (Calmfors & Driffill 1988; sources quoted by
education to everyone. Tille and Yi (as quoted Auer 2000: 54). Negative outcomes seem to be
by Strydom 2003: 12) maintain that Ireland’s produced by a position in between, which is the
economic boom was directly related to invest- model in South Africa (see section 5.6).
ment in people. About 80% of the population Labour productivity increases in Ireland in the
have an upper secondary level of education. The 1990s were nothing short of astounding – at the
increase in the supply of skilled people through same time the capital to labour ratio was declin-
reforms in education was probably one of the ing (in contrast to sharp increases in South Afri-
most important reasons for the sharp increase in ca) and labour productivity and the total factor
FDI in Ireland. productivity were increasing very rapidly. This
The second factor, social dialogue, has facili- has resulted in Ireland currently being the richest
tated wage moderation, and has also assisted country in the European Union after Luxemburg
with reforms of social security, the labour mar- in terms of per capita GDP.
ket and labour market policy. Auer refers to the However, there has also been some criticism
fact that these reforms have not always been of the “Irish model”. Allen (Business Report 25
easy for the partners, especially trade unions, May 2005), for instance, argues that the coun-
to accept because they were not always in the try’s success was not the result of a social part-
short-term interests of their members. nership, but a particular set of circumstances
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G L O B A L I S AT I O N A N D T H E L A B O U R M A R K E T 7
that would be difficult to repeat. For instance, union structures, the social welfare system, skills
US companies needed a platform inside the development and significant wage moderation
European Union to gain access to that market, (Kyloh 1989).
and Ireland offered an English-speaking, highly It is important to note that most of these chan-
educated workforce that was relatively cheap. ges were initially implemented with the implicit
The counter-argument is that although access to or explicit support of the trade unions in terms
the European Union might have been a unique of a 1983 accord between the government and
factor, many other factors such as the high- the unions (the Prices and Incomes Accord).
ly educated workforce, labour at low cost, low Initially, the system of wage determination was
corporate taxes and the elimination of industrial radically centralised. This allowed the Accord to
strife were very much part of the strategy for be given force by the Arbitration Commission
building the economy. (later called the Industrial Relations Commis-
It is true that the Irish success story also has a sion) by fully indexing wages to inflation. Two
darker side – real wages lagged behind and the years later, however, wage increases below the
economy has more inequalities than many other rate of inflation were granted and the outcome
European countries. The environment has also of the Accord was a significant fall in real wages
become less union friendly, and there is currently – by anything between 2 and 10% (Bramble &
an absence of legislative compulsion to recognise Kuhn 1999: 9). In 1988, another requirement
unions. was added, in terms of which wage increases
The strongest criticism against the success of would be granted in exchange for productivity
the Irish model is that the global recession that increases.
started in 2008 had a massive negative impact In 1991, these changes had the eventual effect
on Ireland. The high economic growth rates up of all parties supporting enterprise bargaining
to that stage had resulted in increasing inflation, rather than the awards system of the Indus-
and this led to a property price bubble. The Irish trial Relations Commission. This resulted in a
economy was skewed towards the construction significant liberalisation of the labour market,
industry, and the high property prices were among others by encouraging even individual
financed by the banks. The result was that when contracts of employment. In 2005, the Minister
the property bubble burst, the banks were at for Employment and Workplace Relations again
the forefront in experiencing the impact of the referred to the significant legislative reform of
recession, resulting in the government having to the system, which had the objective “to make
step in to support the banks. Ireland was con- the primary focus of the system [as] agreement
sequently the first EU country to enter a reces- making at the workplace” (www.mediacentre.
sion. At the time of writing, the Irish economy dewr. gov.au).
had not yet showed firm signs of escaping from The advantage of enterprise bargaining and
the recession that commenced in 2008. More- workplace agreements (i.e. contracts between
over, unemployment is relatively high at a rate an employer and a single employee) is that they
of 14%. provide for much more specific linkages between
productivity and pay. The government argues
that the outcome of these agreements has been
(D) F
REEING UP THE LABOUR MARKET:
positive for all stakeholders, with the average
A US TRALIA
weekly pay for workers covered by a work-
In the 1980s the Australian government intro- place agreement being about 35% higher than
duced a wide-ranging set of policies to help for workers on collective agreements. However,
foster the internationalisation of that econ- not all analysts are as positive about the impact
omy. This related in particular to liberalising of the changes to the Australian labour policies
the economy by substantially reducing protec- on workers (see, for instance, Bramble & Kuhn
tionist measures, abolishing exchange control, 1999).
and introducing significant tax reforms and a Further significant labour policy changes were
more liberal foreign investment policy (Kyloh implemented in 2005, this time without the sup-
1989: 116). However, far-reaching labour mar- port of the unions. The 2005 changes included
ket reforms were also implemented, for instance making agreements much simpler by elimin-
with regard to wage-setting mechanisms, trade ating overly prescriptive provisions; allowing
171
C H A P T E R 7 G L O B A L I S AT I O N A N D T H E L A B O U R M A R K E T
SUMMARY
than 100 employees) from unfair dismissal (as in Europe).
laws, and requiring employees in enterprises ~ However, two countries, Ireland and
with more than 100 employees to have been the Netherlands, achieved relative
employed for six months before they can enjoy success with their policies by giving
protection against unfair dismissals (see various attention to macroeconomic policy,
documents on www.workchoices.gov.au and social dialogue and labour market
www.australianbusiness.com.au). policy, particularly wage moderation
These policy changes were intended to fur- and active labour market policies.
ther enhance the ability of the Australian econ-
omy to adjust rapidly to international compe-
tition. Australia has created nearly one million
new, permanent, full-time jobs since 1996, and 7.6.3 Economic growth and
the unemployment rate in 2005 dropped to a development: Nepad
30-year low of 5%. Labour productivity has It goes without saying that all countries want
been increasing at an average of 2% per annum to improve their economic growth performance
since the early 1990s. Industrial unrest has been in order to address the challenges of globalisa-
greatly reduced – from 171 working days lost on tion. In Africa, a new economic initiative was
average per 1000 employees in the 1980s to the launched to improve economic performance. It
current level of less than 20. is called Nepad.
There were further significant changes in 2010, The New Partnership for Africa’s Develop-
with the introduction of the National Employ- ment (Nepad) is a framework that sets out cer-
ment Standards, the Fair Work Act, a national tain conditions that will ensure the socioeconom-
minimum wage order and the modern awards ic development of Africa. It was endorsed by
system (see www.fwa.gov.au). The National the participating heads of state in 2001 (www.
Employment Standards introduced minimum nepad.org).
standards in respect of employment conditions By 2015, Nepad hopes to demonstrate growth
such as working hours, leave, notice periods, rates averaging at least 7% across the entire con-
severance pay and the like. These apply to all tinent. It seeks to set African countries on a road
employees and cannot be displaced, even if an to sustainable development and targets areas of
enterprise agreement includes terms that have debt relief, poverty reduction, the provision of
substantially the same effect. In fact, enterprise health care and the reduction of mortality rates.
agreements are subject to approval, and provision It aims to promote the role of women in all
is no longer made for individual agreements. activities.
Importantly, Nepad has the support of the
eight largest economies in the world and of the
European Union. What is crucial to note is the
~ Countries undergoing trade liberalisa- objective to materially shift the nature of inter-
tion must be particularly concerned national support. In the past there has been
about their labour market policies, plenty of intellectual and verbal support for the
because the reduction of high tariff regeneration of the African continent, but finan-
SUMMARY
barriers will eliminate the space pre- cial support has been limited. Now, the objective
viously available for both profitable is to create an environment that will be condu-
investment and high labour market cive for such financial assistance as well.
standards. Nepad contains some preconditions for
~ Countries seem to face a choice sustainable development. The first, which is
in addressing the challenges of “Peace, Security, Democracy and Political Gov-
globalisation either to allow greater ernance”, emphasises political stability, institu-
wage flexibility, which will increase tional reform and capacity building, as well as
good governance. These are all seen as critical
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G L O B A L I S AT I O N A N D T H E L A B O U R M A R K E T 7
to assuring investor confidence. The peer review tic savings ratios are insufficient to drive the
mechanism will be critical to ensure that indi- required capital investment to achieve the
vidual leaders are encouraged to conform and Nepad target of 7% annualised GDP growth.
adhere to Nepad’s governance principles. How-
ever, developments with regard to human rights • The “Market Access Initiative” seeks the
abuses in Zimbabwe and South Africa’s failure diversification of eco
to unequivocally condemn such abuses will not al linkages and the re
be conducive to meeting this precondition and straints. It stresses the
may very well damage the objectives of the pro- urity of tenure, good
gramme as far as South Africa is concerned. partnerships and reiter
Secondly, as part of “Economic and Corpor- analysis by task teams
and competitive areas
ate Governance”, Nepad recognises that the pri-
in order to achieve s
vate sector is a critical element in leading eco-
access is to ensure th
nomic growth, the latter also providing capital
Africa are reciprocate
for governmental projects for poverty alleviation
and multilateral and
and national upliftment. The Nepad framework
giving African countr
document recognises the need to “organise dia-
developed markets an
logue between the government and the private
of resources in the for
sector to develop a shared vision of economic
cing.
development strategy and remove constraints on
private sector development”. Good public finan- • Finally, the “Human
cial management is also referred to under this Initiative” examines
precondition. poverty reduction, e
Policy and regulatory frameworks must facili- brain drain and health
tate and enhance rather than hinder this growth, the problems faced by
recognising the need for real returns for both
domestic and foreign investors. This, in turn,
should contribute to the lowering of risks for
investors. It is recognised throughout the Nepad Nepad is a framew
framework that the risk profile of doing business tain conditions tha
SUMMARY
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C H A P T E R 7 G L O B A L I S AT I O N A N D T H E L A B O U R M A R K E T
The price of labour is in turn determined by • A further argument in favour of a social clause
a range of factors. Fundamental among these is that low labour standards violate the human
is the extent to which the government protects rights of workers in developing countries. The
basic labour rights such as freedom of associ- international community has a duty to ensure
ation and the right to bargain collectively. In decent labour standards and should pressurise
some countries these and other labour standards countries that ignore decent labour standards
do not enjoy significant protection in law, with by using international trade policy, and in par-
the result that these countries compete unfairly ticular trade sanctions.
on the basis of very low labour costs.
Over the past few years there has consequently • Countries whose comparative advantage lies
been an intense debate on how these countries in low labour costs will only be able to com-
can be compelled to ensure basic labour stan- pete in the long run by continuously depress-
dards. One such mechanism is the linking of ing labour standards at the cost of a long-
international trade with minimum labour stan- er-term loss of productive efficiency and job
dards. A so-called “social clause” has been pro- quality (Feys 1999: 1459).
posed, i.e. the inclusion of provisions in bilateral
or multilateral trade agreements by which trade However, there is also much opposition to such
is conditional on the respective countries ensur- a social clause, and not necessarily from coun-
ing that acceptable labour standards and basic tries or parties intrinsically opposed to the pro-
worker rights are maintained in their countries tection of basic labour standards. The following
(Barker & Holtzhausen 1996). A social clause in are arguments against the social clause:
any agreement on trade will therefore tie trade
• The opponents of a social clause argue that
to acceptable labour standards and workers’
international trade is not the root cause of
rights in both countries.
poor labour standards. In fact, the oppos-
Arguments in favour of the social clause
ite seems to be the case – international trade
include the following:
has strongly encouraged growth and poverty
• The advocates of a social clause argue that it reduction (Dollar & Kraay 2001). To use
will promote fair competition between export- trade policy to improve labour standards is
ers of the relevant countries, and that without simply dealing with the symptoms of a prob-
it conditions of work all over the world may lem.
very well deteriorate. Labour costs form an
• The social clause is used as a smokescreen for
important element of the total cost of produc-
raising protectionist trade barriers, because
tion, with the result that international com-
it is designed to increase the costs associated
petitiveness to an important extent depends
with the most important source of compara-
on the labour costs in one country relative
tive advantage in developing countries – cheap
to those of another. If one country applies
labour (Kohler & Bruce-Brand 2001).
relatively high labour standards and ensures
favourable conditions of employment, while • The social clause will not achieve its object-
another country applies practically no labour ive as it is more likely to hurt people from
standards, even to the extent of allowing developing countries than improve their living
slavery or child labour, the first country will standards. Such countries cannot improve the
obviously be in a disadvantageous position working standards of their workers merely by
with regard to international trade. deciding to pay higher wages or by providing
better working conditions. Low wages and
• In addition, unfair international competition
poor working conditions are a reflection of
will increase the pressures for increased pro-
low productivity, not an independent source
tectionism, which will not be in the long-term
of comparative advantage (Golub 1997: 21).
interests of the world as a whole. The charge
In order to improve working conditions, coun-
is that some developing countries are engaged
tries must first produce and earn more, and
in “social dumping”, i.e. competing unfair-
ly by denying their workers basic rights and the best way to spur growth is to reduce rather
decent conditions. This forces down wages than increase trade barriers.
and conditions of employment and threatens • Another reason why the social clause may
living standards. aggravate poor socioeconomic conditions in
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C H A P T E R 1 1 S O C I A L D I A L O G U E A N D C O D E T E R M I N AT I O N
caused big business, time and time again, to private sector has had to adapt its lobbying
concede to organised labour on SA’s indus- strategies to a new democratic environment,
trial relations framework, instituting a rigid and its response has been slow and uncertain in
system that prices the unemployed out of many areas. A number of mainly left-of-centre
the job market. It is an approach to policy organisations have been much quicker off the
mark and are having an impact on the legislator.
making that attempts to minimise potential-
These groups are often funded with international
ly damaging conflict, and this had been of
money.
great value. It may be, however, that there
are some issues important enough to risk a
scrap over (Handley 2002).
• Nedlac was formed early in 1995 to
facilitate cooperation and seek con-
She points out that in spite of concentrating
sensus between organised business,
its efforts on labour policy, most of business
organised labour, the development
SUMMARY
appears unhappy with the outcome.
constituency and the government on
While the government has, since the elections
economic, labour and development
in 1994, radically shifted its macroeconomic poli-
policy issues.
cies, and has adopted a macroeconomic policy
that has pleased business, Handley argues that • Even though Nedlac is much
this has been mainly because of the influence of maligned, it does remain the only real-
“that amorphous entity the market”. The busi- istic alternative to build consensus on
ness community does not seem to have had much policy issues among major stakehold-
influence in formulating economic policy. ers in the country.
The CDE (1999: 23) has also found that the
SUMMARY
negotiations on labour legislation. Its objective sisting of individuals from the business
was to develop a shared vision to address cur- and labour constituencies. The objective
rent unemployment, job losses and lack of job of the MLC is to develop a shared analy-
creation, together with alleviating the current sis of the crisis of unemployment and
levels of poverty and inequality. poverty in the country and to pursue
The MLC and the outcome of the labour potential solutions with the government
law negotiations were also sharply criticised in and Nedlac.
labour circles. Jansen (2001) for instance criticis-
es the MLC processes on the following grounds:
• Compromising trade union independence. By Information deteriorates
agreeing to a joint vision about the econom- upward through bureaucracies.
ic future of the country, he accuses the trade Rule of defactualization
union representatives of having taken on
Arthur Bloch
board the agenda of “monopoly capital”. The
MLC vision refers to capital and labour act-
ing together to make South Africa the leading 11.4.2 Other bodies with a more
emerging market and the destination of first focused role
choice for both domestic and foreign invest-
• The National Skills Authority (NSA) was
ment. Jansen argues that this can be achieved
established in 1999 to advise the Minister of
only by lowering wages, shedding jobs and
Labour on policies and strategies related to
allowing working conditions to deteriorate
skills development and to report to him on
in order to be able to compete with countries
progress made in their implementation. The
such as China, Indonesia and Vietnam, which,
24 members of the NSA represent organised
according to him, is the capitalist agenda.
labour, organised business, the community,
• Damaging trade union unity. The MLC agree- government, education and training provid-
ment on the labour law amendments entrench- ers, experts on employment services, and
es a two-tiered labour market in legislation. SAQA (website: www.saqa.org.za) (see section
It provides for distinctly different rights and 9.6.1).
remuneration for workers, depending on
• The Unemployment Insurance Board advis-
numerical thresholds, in the areas of retrench-
es the Minister on matters concerning the
ments, payment for Sunday work and workers
Unemployment Insurance Act, hears and
on probation.
determines appeals regarding unemploy-
• Ignoring principles of trade union democracy. ment insurance from benefit committees, and
Because the MLC consists of “members” and considers applications for the payment of
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C H A P T E R 1 1 S O C I A L D I A L O G U E A N D C O D E T E R M I N AT I O N
unemployment benefits for periods in excess and other matters incidental to the LRA. The
of the prescribed period (see section 8.7.5). CCMA will conciliate most disputes and will
Benefit committees operate in all the provinces also arbitrate certain types of dispute if they
and consist of equal numbers of employer and remain unresolved. It also has other functions,
union members. for example to assist with the setting up of
workplace forums, conduct ballots and facili-
• The Compensation Board for Occupational
tate retrenchment consultations. This body
Injuries and Diseases advises the Minister of
is governed by a tripartite body and operates
Labour on matters related to the compensa-
with funds allocated by Parliament. The gov-
tion of injured employees. It must also be con-
erning body consists of ten members (chair
sulted on the maximum and minimum com-
and three representatives each from the state,
pensation for temporary and total disability,
organised business and organised labour).
as well as increases in benefits (website: www.
wcomp.gov.za). • The LRA also makes provision for the estab-
lishment of an Essential Services Committee
• The Advisory Council for Occupation-
under the auspices of the CCMA. It deter-
al Health and Safety advises the Minister of
mines whether a service is an essential service
Labour on matters relating to occupational
or a maintenance service, and deals with relat-
safety and health in terms of the Occupational
ed disputes, hence it has an effect on the right
Health and Safety Act. It consists of 20 mem-
of employees in such services to strike, as well
bers, among others six representatives each
as the right of employers to appoint replace-
from business and labour.
ment labour. Labour, business and govern-
• The Mines Health and Safety Council was ment representatives serve on this committee.
established in terms of the Mines Health and
• Certain disputes (usually of major import),
Safety Act. It has a number of standing com-
if not resolved by the CCMA in conciliation,
mittees dealing with safety research, mining
may be referred to the Labour Court. Cases
regulations and mining occupational health.
can be taken on appeal to the Labour Appeal
• The Employment Equity Act makes provision Court. Rules to regulate the conduct of pro-
for the Commission for Employment Equity ceedings in the Court are made by a multipart-
(CEE). It advises the Minister on issues related ite Rules Board.
to employment equity, relevant codes of con-
• The Employment Conditions Commission
duct and regulations. It may also do research
(ECC) is involved in setting minimum wages
and make awards recognising the achieve-
for unorganised sectors, and is discussed in
ments of employers in furthering the purpose
section 5.7.
of the Act. It consists of a chair and eight other
members representing the state, organised
The principal participants in all the bodies
business, organised labour and organisations
referred to above, with the exception of the
representing community interests, although
Labour Court and the Labour Appeal Court, are
these are sometimes found to be labour repre-
business, labour and government. Other con-
sentatives in another guise.
stituencies or individual experts are also some-
• The Commission for Conciliation, Mediation times involved to a greater or lesser extent, for
and Arbitration (CCMA) (website: www. example education authorities, the providers of
ccma.org.za) was formed in terms of the LRA education and training, experts on health and
to deal with disputes in the world of work safety matters, attorneys and advocates, etc.
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S O C I A L D I A L O G U E A N D C O D E T E R M I N AT I O N 11
conflict can be reduced to the minimum through highly centralised with large industrial unions;
regular consultation, joint decision making and the other has codetermination playing the princi-
compromises by both parties – this is a more col- pal role. The German model of codetermination
laborative approach. consists of two parts (see Müller-Jentsch 2004;
However, a more sophisticated view recognis- Halbach, Paland, Schwedes & Wlotzke 1991):
es that the relationship between collective bar-
(a) At the production unit level, workers elect
gaining and participatory structures is not a
a works council, which has its legal basis
simple one (see, for instance, Klerck 2000). Four
in the Labour-Management Relations Act
different models have been identified in this
originally enacted in 1952 and extensively
regard: amended in 1972. Works councils are meant
• Participative structures that are regarded as to be established at every enterprise with
an alternative to collective bargaining and are five or more employees. They are elected by
often used by employers to avoid negotiations all the employees and have a range of legal
with unions. rights that force employers to consult or to
reach consensus with the works council on
• Participative structures that are marginal to col-
numerous matters affecting labour in the
lective bargaining – most of the activities and
enterprise.
developments are determined through collective
bargaining, and there is little commitment to (b) The workforce in medium-sized or large
voluntary participation in other structures, and companies can influence company policy
low levels of trust between the parties. through their representatives on supervisory
boards. All labour members on supervisory
• Participative structures that compete with col-
boards are elected by direct ballot or, in
lective bargaining, for instance where union
some cases, by delegates. Workers in com-
shop stewards are opposed to such structures
panies with more than 2000 workers have
because of the role that non-union members
a 50% representation on the supervisory
might be playing in such structures or where
boards, but the chairperson of the board,
management attempts to displace issues from
who is normally an employer representative,
collective bargaining to such “common inter-
has a second, casting vote. In companies
est” forums in the hope that the commer-
with between 500 and 2000 workers, work-
cial interests of the enterprise can become an
ers have a 30% representation. This codeter-
important focus. mination in supervisory boards extends to
• Participative structures that are regarded as all company activities. Thus the supervisory
an adjunct to collective bargaining – the two board, for instance, appoints the members of
approaches complement each other rather the management board. It may also revoke
than compete with each other. Integrative and their appointment, demand information
distributive processes are each recognised as on all company matters, and have the last
playing an important role for both parties, and word on important business decisions, for
are pursued in different, separated forums. example with regard to major investments or
rationalisation measures.
One of the most successful and also well-known
forms of linking collective bargaining and par- In large enterprises, the two pillars of codeter-
ticipative structures is found in Germany, in the mination, that of the enterprise and that of the
form of its dual structure of workplace forums production unit, have a complementary relation-
and supervisory structures. These are discussed ship. Codetermination at enterprise level con-
first, after which South Africa’s attempts to tributes to transparency and to an orientation
introduce similar structures in its legislation will seeking the long-term sustainability of the enter-
be discussed. prise, while the works council is increasingly
recognised as a positive contribution to the pro-
duction process, as a source of trust, and even as
11.5.1 Codetermination in Germany
a sort of social-political co-manager.
Germany has a dualistic labour relations system: The political implementation goes back to the
one part consists of collective bargaining that is measures decided upon by the Allies, particular-
279
C H A P T E R 1 1 S O C I A L D I A L O G U E A N D C O D E T E R M I N AT I O N
ly the British, with a view to breaking up and (1) The works councils represent all employees
reconstituting the formerly highly concentrated (not only union members).
coal and steel sector of the German economy (2) They are bound by a peace obligation (they
after the Second World War. About 25 years cannot call a strike).
later, in 1976, codetermination was extended,
(3) They have a problem-solving approach rath-
with some modifications, to the rest of the econ-
er than a distributive bargaining role.
omy as part of the social-liberal reform pro-
gramme. (4) They do not engage in wage conflicts.
Published opinion concerning codetermination
is beginning to veer in a negative direction. For As a result, works councils have probably
decades it was considered a success story, but become the most stable institutions in the Ger-
now it is beginning to be questioned. Along with man labour relations system.
area-wide wage agreements, supplementary wage Available research literature also shows that
costs and protection against wrongful dismissal, in past decades the German economy has had
it is allegedly responsible for Germany’s current a positive experience with codetermination (see
economic weakness. In addition, it is said to be Müller-Jentsch 2004). Empirical studies of a
an obstacle to the harmonisation of corporate law possible negative effect of codetermination in
in the European Union. With every new step to the enterprise on profits or on the price of shares
extend codetermination, business has formulated do, however, yield ambiguous results (stud-
massive criticism of the legal arrangements relat- ies pointing to negative effects are contradicted
ed to it. One of the main thrusts of the criticism by other studies tending to show the opposite).
concerns the limitations imposed on the rights Nevertheless, there is considerable evidence that
of business to dispose freely of the assets of the codetermination does tend to slow down the
enterprise (Müller-Jentsch 2004). decision-making process. But there is a positive
However, practice and research results do not side to this: although the decisions are reached
seem to support this criticism. Employers have more slowly, they are more stable, because they
certainly also benefited from codetermination – provoke less resistance from the employees.
the great crises in mining, in the steel industry, Experience shows that the employees’ represent-
the periods of recession in the motor car indus- atives on supervisory boards tend to resist the
try, the profound restructuring in any number temptation to orient their decisions to short-term
of large enterprises would have involved much income considerations at the cost of the long-
greater conflict and would have been much less term existence of the enterprise.
consistent with social welfare had it not been Above and beyond the questions related to the
for the moderating influences exercised by the economic efficiency of codetermination, there
institutions of codetermination and the atmos- are the social and political aspects. These include
phere of trust that they promote (Müller-Jentsch issues such as social recognition and democratic
2004). culture, with employees being recognised in their
Recent surveys carried out among business role as participants in the economy and in the
leaders and managers also show that only a min- production unit. Participation is thus not only
ority advocates a cutting back or the abolition of the right of a citizen in the political sphere, but
the codetermination institutions. also a right that can be claimed within the enter-
The fact that the German economy has prise. The enterprise is not considered simply as
become static of late is in part due to the trade a private institution with a profit motive, but
unions that have remained too inflexible in an rather as a production cooperative which has a
age where flexibility has become essential (see range of stakeholders. This is in contrast to the
Maree 2003). The works councils, on the other Anglo-Saxon “shareholders’ model”.
hand, have come to play an important role in the
improvement of enterprise performance and the
11.5.2 Workplace forums in South
codetermination system has become what can be
Africa
described as a system of regulated flexibility. The
situation has been reached where works councils The LRA introduced a new concept, the
are the least controversial institution of labour workplace forum, in an attempt to facilitate
relations in Germany. This is due to four factors: a movement away from distributive collect-
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S O C I A L D I A L O G U E A N D C O D E T E R M I N AT I O N 11
ive bargaining towards integrative bargaining that a majority union initiates the establishment
(Bezuidenhout 2000: 22). It was hoped that of a forum. The Labour Market Commission
these forums would provide for codetermination (1996: 86–87) has expressed its concern on this
at the workplace and that bargaining over wages issue. While the Act intended to prevent unions
and conditions would gravitate towards the from being bypassed, it has resulted in the
centre. The LRA envisaged a transformation of forums being union based, which will probably
adversarial industrial relations at the workplace reintroduce hostility in these forums.
into a regime of codetermination, where unions There is also the question of whether the dis-
would actively take part in efforts to improve tinction between collective bargaining and the
productivity through their involvement in work- organisation of work is not simply artificial
place forums. (i.e. whether wage bargaining and productiv-
The broad objectives of workplace forums ity enhancement can, in fact, be institutionally
were to promote the interests of all employees, separated), especially if unions initiate work-
irrespective of union membership, to enhance place forums. The forums might also result in
efficiency in the workplace, and to consult and factionalism between unions and other groups
participate in joint decision making with the of employees, or between employees them-
employer. Workplace forums were designed selves, because the whole workforce must elect
to perform functions that collective bargaining representatives to the forum. Furthermore, the
could not easily achieve, which was the joint employer is obliged to provide resources for the
solution of problems and the resolution of con- forum, which might result in these forums hav-
flicts over production. ing more resources than collective bargaining
The workplace forums are intended to encour- forums, and possibly undermining the union
age joint problem solving and participation on (ILO Review 1996: 178).
matters related to productivity and production. Klerck (2000: 12) refers to the concern in
Essentially these forums are structures for meet- union circles that workplace forums could
ings between elected representatives of work- undermine the alternative of militant unionism
ers and the employers, with the intention of that has been quite successful in South Africa.
“increasing efficiency in the workplace” (section Because of the extensive requirements regarding
79 of the LRA). For this purpose the workplace consultation, joint decision making and disclo-
forum is entitled to sure of information, the concern for employers
is that the forums could inhibit and delay deci-
• be consulted on a number of workplace issues sion-making processes, which might negatively
(e.g. the introduction of new technology, job affect productivity.
grading, changes in the organisation of work, It is probably thus not surprising that since
education and training, partial or total plant the LRA was adopted only a very limited num-
closures, mergers and transfers of ownership, ber of workplace forums have been established.
retrenchments and job grading) Their net effect is thus indeterminable. Instead
• participate in joint decision making on a lim- of establishing such forums, there is evidence of
ited number of identified issues (e.g. disciplin- a trend towards lean production based on the
ary codes, affirmative action and changes to casualisation of work and attempts to bypass
social benefit schemes). unions, instead of involving them in restructur-
ing initiatives.
Workplace forums are not entitled to negotiate
wages and conditions of employment, which are
SUMMARY
281
A
C H A P T E R 1 1 S O C I A L D I A L O G U E A N D C O D E T E R M I N AT I O N
is in this sense that the ILO will affect the South context of the world of work. The ILO
African labour market. There were numerous adopts conventions and recommenda-
conventions in the past that had a bearing on the tions, which can be regarded as inter-
labour market and it is probable that the ILO will national standards on labour matters.
adopt similar conventions in future. A country subscribes to conventions
The ILO has about 170 member states and through ratification.
employs approximately 2000 people in its Sec-
Key concepts
corporatism Millennium Labour Council
state corporatism codetermination
bargained corporatism workplace forums
Nedlac International Labour Organisation
For students
1. Discuss corporatism as a model for involv- 3. Discuss the structure, functions and effect-
ing stakeholders in decision making. iveness of the National Economic Develop-
ment and Labour Council (Nedlac).
2. Discuss the merits and demerits of involving
tripartite consensus-seeking bodies in policy 4. Discuss the pros and cons of workplace
formulation on labour matters. forums in the context of the codetermina-
tion model used in Germany.
ggested reading*
lmfors, L. & Driffel, J. 1988. Handley, A. 2002.
gaining structure, corporatism and Business and economic policy: South Africa and
macroeconomic performance. Economic Policy. three other African cases. Johannesburg: South
April. Africa Foundation.
tre for Development and Enterprise. 1999. Parsons, R. 2001.
icy-making in a new democracy: South Africa’s Steps towards social dialogue and the development
challenges for the 21st century (abridged). of Nedlac in a democratic South Africa 1979–
Johannesburg: Centre for Development and 2001. The South African Journal of Economic
Enterprise. History. Vol. 16, Nos 1 & 2, September.
partment of Labour. Annual.
nual Report. Pretoria: Government Printer.
edman, S. 2000.
partite policy negotiations in South Africa.
Stalemate or productive compromise? Indicator * The bibliography contains the full list of
SA. Vol. 17, No. 1. references.
283
INDEX
2 µ BACK TO CONTENTS
INDEX
285
INDEX
equal pay for work of equal value 260–261 labour market 1–6, 90–91, 134, 135–151, 153–
South African labour market, in 248–254 178, 201
addressing 255–259 characteristics 2–6
educational level 248–249 collective bargaining 90–91
employment/unemployment 249–250 definition 2
income/wage 252–254 discrimination 243–266
occupational 250–252 theories of 244–248
inflation 72–74 types 244
definition 72 flexibility * 134, 135–151, 201
informal employment 52 collective bargaining 147–148
international comparison 148–150
informal sector 51–54
social costs/economic benefits 150–151
definition 51–52
types 135–147
importance of 52–54
functions of 3
measurement of 51–52
globalisation, and 153–178
in-service training 234–236 impact of 159–166
learnerships 235 graphic analysis of 4–5
skills development levy 235 inequalities 243–266
international competitiveness 155–158 South African, in 248–254
International Labour Organisation (ILO) see perfectly competitive 3–4
ILO productivity 201
invisible underemployment 187 Labour Relations Act (LRA) see LRA
definition 187 labour supply see supply of labour
Ireland 169–171 law of diminishing marginal product 54–56
isocost curve 59 definition 55
isoquant curve 59 learnerships 232–233, 235
legislation/government policy
J discrimination 247–248
JIPSA 234 inequalities, addressing 258–259
job security 137–139 LFPR 13–16
Joint Initiative on Priority Skills Acquisition definition 13
(JIPSA) see JIPSA female 14–16
male 16
L LFS 39–42, 52
labour cost 129–133, 156–158 literacy 223
international comparisons 156–158 long-run demand for labour 57–58
labour force 10–16, 223–225 LRA 83–84, 278, 280–281
EAP 10
educational level 223–224 M
female 12, 44–45, 192 marginal product of labour
occupational structure 224–225 definition 54
participation rate 13–16 marginal revenue product (MRP)
female 14–16 definition 56
male 16 market supply of labour 34–35
skills 225 measurement of employment 38–40
South African 11–13 population census 38
age, by 12–13 surveys 38–40
female 12 business 38
labour force participation rate (LFPR) see LFPR comparing 40
Labour Force Survey (LFS) see LFS household 39
labour intensity 48–49 migrant 25–26, 28–30
labour legislation 50 benefits and costs 25–26
negative impact of 50 definition 28