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Instructionsfor MassPressureCharts
This excelprogramis extremelyeasyto use.It hasthreetabsat the bonotnof the sheet
(1) Mass PressureChart,(2) ChartData and (3) o/oChange
Data Dou'30.
What you do is simply click on the letter abovethe dateyou want. This will highlight the
entirecolumn.Next click your mouseaffow on the word "Edit" at the top left hand side
of the worksheet(Next to the word "File"). Now click the word copy and the column that
was highlightedwill have a dasheddottedline going aroundall the cells. Showingyou
that the informationhasbeencopiedby Excel.
Now click on the Chart Datatab and move your mouseaffow to cell C1. Click on this
cell so thata dark boarderappearsaroundit showingyou that it is active.Now hit "Edit"
agarnand select"Paste". If you want to make a compositeof more yearsjust go back to
the %ChangeData sheetand copy anotheryear.Then pasteit in cell Dl. Next would be
E1 the F1, etc.You canmakea compositeof up to 14 differentyearsor out to cell P1.
If you wantedto make a compositeof the years 198I, 1941and l92I you would have
simply copiedtheseextratwo yearsand pastedthem in cells D I and E I . It doesnot
mafferwhat order you do it in either.
If you want to make your own decenialcharts,just copy and paste dataat every ten year
incrementfrom theo/ochangedatasheetto the Chart datasheet.For the year 2001, You
w o u l dc o p yt h ey e a r s1 9 9 1 ,1 9 8 I , 1 9 7 1 , 1 9 6 11,9 5 1 ,1, 9 4 I , 1 9 3 1 , 1 9 2 11,9 1 1 ,1 9 0 1 e
, tc.
Into cells C1 throughL1 respectively.Now just click on the Mass Pressurecharttab and
you havethe result.
When you go back to the o/oChange data sheet,if the cells still have the dasheddotted line
aroundthem showingyou that the informationhasbeencopied,hit the Esc (escape)key
to remove the dotted line before doing anothercopy & pasteinto the Chart datasheet.
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PriceForecast
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Each year,W.D. Gann would draw up a stick figure forecastof the stockmarket
would provide commentary that would provide an outline of what he expectedthe market
to do. Gann said that the future was just a repetition of the past and one neededonly the
right beginning to predict the future. In latter years, Gann provided somethinghe called
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of the coursewherehe is outlining the variousMajor cyclesthat you shouldbe awareof.
I do not know for certainexactlywhat the Mass Pressurechart is. Although I havemy
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the last 10,20,60 and 8O-yearcycles.As an example,when I madea forecastfor the year
highs and lows cameout in theseyearsand then went on to make a compositeof all these
yearsas a singlechart.This chartbelow is what you get. By the w&y, do not expectthese
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The market first topped on March lzth as indicatedin the compositechart. The bearish
forecastinto early May only lasteduntil mid April before stocksregaineda bullish up-
trend. This tells us that the market is strongeror more bullish than the composite.The
High for the year came on August 6thbefore bearishcycles startedto weigh on the
market,which lines up with the forecast.There was also a secondhigh on October 10th
and a panic type break on October 22"d.The market had the strong bounce back as
around Thanksgiving when the up-trend accelerated.The market did sell off again
providing the buyng opportunity indicatedfor the winter solsticeon December2!", 22"d.
Overall, the forecastpredicted the generalmood of the market with uncanny accuracy.
Even though the forecast chart doesnot match the actual chart swing for swing the main
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Gann'scontainedbecauseI only had monthly data for the year 1869as opposedto the
daily data.
Actual vs forecast
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1997was a fairly easy yearto forecast.We were alreadyin a Bull Market and it
was a pretty safebet that we would repeatprimarily like the Bull marketsof 1987 and
1937. The fact that the market recoveredso well after the Asian currencypanic is another
indication that the bull market will continuein 1998.Gann's basic rules for ascertaining
the type of year the stock market will have on page F-6 of his "Forecasting"coursesay's
that years ending in 8 are typically bull market years. This is another supporting factor for
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help for the bull market. From this informationalone,I would expecta major high for
stockson 4122198
and a major low on 9lll98. This will be one of the largercorrectionsin
seethat they will not indicatethis strongdown move. What is actuallyhappeningis that
a Mars' low to high move. Mars will be negativefor the next 60ointo 9lll98 and Safurn
Both Venus and Mars startan up-movehearbut thereare also otherlargercyclesin play
will be down for 5-years,which indicatesthe importanceof the year 2003 again.
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informationtogetherthat would be truly valuableto the "Holy Grail" seeker.To prove
my sincerity,and alsothe value of this work, I will provide you with extremelyvaluable
The main attractionwith Gann is forecasting!The idea that the future can be
understandhis conceptof time. Gann saidthat "Time ProvesAll Things" and that "Every
"The thing that hath been,it is that which shallbe; and that which is done is that
reaction.He has said" By a study of the past,I have discoveredwhat cyclesrepeatin the
future." The problem that most studentsof Gann run into is that they get caughtup in
trying to predictprice. Gann alwayssaidthat betweenthe two, Time was much more
importantthan price. Knowing when to tradeis the key to Gann.I will now provide you
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ForecastingMonthly Moves
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Capricornand Venusis at 1-degree26'minutesif Gemini. Looking in an ephemeris,
30th2000 for anotherpotentialturning point. At the time of this writing, March 15'h2000,
the Venus forecastis yet to be fulfilled so watch the market aroundthis day! I hope that
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SpecialStock Market Cvcle Report
O January2002
Risk Disclosure
Sincewe live in a societythat hasto warn peoplethat Fire Logs are flammableand coffeeis servedhot, I
must provide you with a risk disclosurestatement.The purposeof this materialis to provide you with two
powerful cyclesthat I have discoveredto be valuablein the financialmarkets.Thereis no guaranteethat
thesecycleswill continueto work in the future,i.e. "Pastperformanceis not indicativeof future results".
You shouldunderstandthat thereis considerablerisk of loss in the StockMarkets,FuturesMarketsand
Option markets.Neither I, nor anyoneelseinvolved in the productionof this material,will be liable for any
loss,damageor liability directly or indirectly causedby the usageof this material.The datausedin this
The examplesand projections
materialis believedto be from reliablesourcesbut can not be guaranteed.
containedin this reportare not to be taken as "investmentadvice".Ultimately, you are responsiblefor all of
your investmentdecisions.If you are unwilling to acceptthis responsibility,then you shouldnot investin
the financial marketsat all.
Thereis a long-termcycle in the U.S. Equity Marketsof approximately17-18years.You will find that this
information alone is worth more than the meagercost of this report. Anyone that takestime and observes
the history of the stock averageswill certainlyseethis trend.The problemis that most peoplewill never
look but that is to your advantage!The Bible plainly statesthat there is "an appointedtime for everything,
3:1. The Stockmarketis no exceptionto this
and a time for every affair underthe heavens"-Ecclesiastes
rule! From the StockMarket Low in 19i 1, the Dow JonesIndustrialaveragesadvancedin "Super Bull
Market' fashion to the famous market top (and crash)of 1929.The Dow JonesIndustrial Average reached
a price of around386 in Septemberof 1929.From 1929to 1947,the marketwas in a 18-year"Super Bear
Market" cycle. This is when the countryexperiencedthe "Great Depression".The Equity marketsmade
their extremelow in July of 1932,which will prove to be importantwhen I discussthe 42-yearcycle. It is
also importantto point out that the Dow JonesIndustrialAveragenever reachedit's high of 386 during this
entire 18-year"SuperBear" cycle.From 1947to 1965,the Stockmarketwas once againin "Super Bull
Market" mode and the Dow JonesIndustrialAvg. broke a 1000for the very l " time. From 1965,we
enteredanother 18-year"Super Bear Market" cycle, which would last until late I 982. Again, it is important
to point out that the Stockmarketaveragesbasicallycould not exceedthe preceding"SuperBull Market"
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The 42-Year CYcle
As briefly mentioned in the discussion of the 18-year cycle, major market lows tend to occur 42-43 years
apart.The basic pattern of the 42-year cycle is different than the 18-year cycle. In the 18-year cycle, we had
an even amount of up time compared with the down time, i.e. 18 years up and 18 years down. The 42'yeat
cycle is a bit different. It exhibits what cycle analysistslike to call right ffanslation. This simply meansthat
the cycle spendsan unequal amount of time going up than it does going down, which is probably the
"effect" of the combination of several other cycles. The basic pattern for the 42-year cycle in the Dow
JonesIndustrial Average is to advancefor 39-years and to decline verv hard for 3-years. One of the
potential reasonsthat the 1929 crashwas so severewas the phasingof the 18 and 42year cycles. They both
peaked in 1929 and startedtheir down cycles leading into the worst stock market correction in our history
(about a90Yodtop), which was also a major contributing factor to the "Great Depression".The Basic 42-
year cycle shapeis presentedin the following graph:
cycle
42-year
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The Januarv effect- I have heard many of the "experts" make mention of the Januaryeffect. Basically
there is a historical tendencyfor the market to rise in the month of January.I even rememberreading an
article in the Wall StreetJournal or InvestorsBusinessDaily that talked about some guy who had made a
fortune selling put options on the last trading day in Decemberso he could buy them back cheaperin
Januaryand make a profit. Peoplewho buy put options are betting the market is going down. He was
sellingthem, so he was expectingthe marketsto go up. If he was right, the optionswould become
u'orthlessand he would keep all the money he receivedfrom sellingthem. Anyway, this personmade
somethinglike $300,000doing this over the courseof 1994to 1998reinvestingall his profits eachyear. I
know for a fact that if he kept doing this samestrategy,that he had to financially destroyhimself in the
years 2000, 2001 and 2002.Now, Januarydoes have some predictive value for thosethat know how to read
the signs.Basically,if the last week in Januarycloseslower than the first week, thereis a tendencythat the
whole year is likely to finish lower. If the last week closeshigherthan the first week,thereis a tendenc)z
that the whole year will finish higher.Examples:The last week of January2000 closedlower than the first
week and the marketfinishedthat year lower. The last week of January2001 closedlower than the first
week and again the market endedthat year lower. The last week of January2002 closed lower than the first
week and it remainsto be seenif this particularyear will end lower. This is just a very basictool that can
be usedeachyear to get a feel for what the marketmisht do for the remaining 11-months.
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SpecialWheatCycleReport
SpecialWheat Cycle RePort
Introduction
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ut se1c.(ccplql,(qr Jo spuusnoqluodn spuesnoglere eJeql 'lenezlroll 'pellolur .&e1s.(ur
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From a quick study of the chartson the precedingpage,it is quite obviousthat
import highs and lows are separatedby a period of 7.44-years.The high pricesin this
cycle interval are very pronounced,which shouldbe extremelyuseful informationfor
wheatproducersin this countryand aroundthe world. Simply adding7.44-yearsto the
high price of cashwheat reachedin late April of 1996projectsa potentialhigh to be
reachedaboutJuly of 2003. Similarly, u significantlow price shouldbe reachedaround
mid-June 2007if this cycle continuesto repeatas it hasdone in the past.This type of
informationprovidesthe wheat farmerwith the foreknowledgeof when to expecthigh
pricesin his crop. This would thereforealso allow him to preparefor the anticipatedprice
declineby eitherhedgingin the futuresor optionsmarketsor possiblyevenproducing
somethingelseprotectinghimself from the event.Becausewheat farmersare always
naturallylong the wheatmarket as a resultof actuallyhaving the physicalwheat to sell, a
hedgestrategythat involvesselling out of the money call optionsand using the premium
receivedto purchaseput optionsmay be worth your investigation.This strategyis also
known as a "cost free hedge".
thingsmore interesting,giving you an idea of how much funher this type of analysiscan
be taken,I will provide you with four additionalcycles.Re-examiningthe cashwheat
9.7-years,5.36-yearsand 3.65-
weekly chart,thereappearsto be rhyhms of 19.3-years,
yearsin length.The chart on the following pagewill show thesecyclesalongwith the
7.44-yearcycle and the coffespondingcashwheat chart.In addition,the summationwave
of all five cycleswill be displayedin "red" on top of the wheatprice data.Furthermore,I
will provide you with the last bottom madein eachcycle so that you may projectthem
into the future yourself to anticipatethe highs and lows of this market.
Cvcle Last Bottom
19.3-year May 1987
9.7-year December 1998
7.44-year February2000
5.36-year December 1998
3.65-year September2001
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Once againI have made every attempt to make this information affordable so that
it reachesthosethat need it most. I hope that it has provoked new thoughtsand ideasyou
mayhave about our seeminglyrandomexistence.If you are a studentof W.D. Gann, I
hope that thesereportshave aided you in your searchfor knowledge.I believe that what I
have presentedin this material is certainly relatedto W.D. Gann's "Master Time
Factor". Over the last 10 years,I havepersonallyspentwell over $30,000in obtaining
knowledge aboutthe financial markets.Most of the information was not worth the price I
paid for it. This cycle work hasbeen an extremelyvaluableroadmapfor both my long
term and intermediateterm investmentdecisions,which in my opinion makesthis small
little report worth severaltimes the small sum of money it took you to obtain it! You
',(1e1eu41n 'asod-rnd
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pu? elqelulu€ue;u s3o1 eJrcleqt aldoedru8./y\ ol s€qteqt ,tarcos € ur e^rl eA\eculs
arnsolrslo {slu
SincerelyYours,
Daniel T. Ferrera
'O'1!\
srsvJfluo'{ TYnNINVS5NNIVO
I XrONrddY
'W'.D.
Gann's Annual Forecasts
During his career,W.D. Gannmadeannualforecastsavailableto the public for a variety
of markets,including the StockMarket averages,grainsand cotton.Theseforecastssold
for $100duringthe greatdepression
in the 1930's,which would be equalto payingover
a $1000in today'smoney. Gannalwayskept the basisof this forecastingtechnique
veiled in secrecy,primarily due to the simplicity of the method.After all, if the general
public knew how theseforecastswere produced,they probablywould not havebeen
willing to pay suchhigh pricesfor them. The basisof the methodis in my opinion almost
exactlythe techniquedescribedin ProfessorWeston'sbook "ForecastingThe New York
StockMarket" alsoknown as the GeometricalSystemof Forecasting.If you make a
studyof Gann's ForecastingCourseand seriouslycompareit to Weston's,I think you
will find them amazinglysimilar. For example,both Gann and Westonbelievedthat the
prior 10-yearand2}-year intervalsor cycleswere the key to anticipatingwhat the market
would do in the presentyear.Although Westonusedmonthly data,and Gannuseddaily
data,you will find that their respectiveforecastsfor Ig29 arebasicallyidenticalin terms
of the generaltrend of the market.I have statedbeforethat the future is but a repetitionof
the past;therefore,to makeup a forecastof the future,you must refer to the previous
cycles.Gannwrote in his "Master ForecastingCourse"that: "The previous 10-yearcycle
and the 2}-year cycle havethe most effect in the future,but in completing a forecast,it is
bestto have 30-yearspastrecordto checkup, as importantchangesoccur at the end of
3O-yearcycles".ProfessorWestonbasicallyillustratedthe samething and specifically
statedthat he believedthe phenomenonwas causedby the angulardistancesbetweenthe
planetsJupiterand Saturn.When you compareProfessorWeston's 1929forecastwith
Gann's,you will seethat ProfessorWestonsimply averagedout the years1878,1889,
1898,1909,and 1919.Gannutilizedthe years1869,1909,lglg. Now the main
differencein the two beingthat Westonusedthe years1878and 1898.ProfessorWeston
explainedin his work that due to the varying speedsof Jupiter,Saturnand the apparent
retrogrademotion as viewed from the Earth, thatat certainperiods,somecalendaryears
will repeatas both the endingof a prior cycle and the startof a new cycle while other
yearsare skippedover entirely.Now, sinceGannwas very much into numerologyas well
as astrology,he most likely eliminatedthe yearsendingin "8" to make his forecast.The
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The 3O-yearcycle is very importantbecauseit is one-halfof the 60-yearcycle or GreatCycle and contains
three 10-yearcycles.In making up an annualforecastof a stock,you shouldalwaysmake a comparison
with the record30 yearsback.
2O-YEARCYCLE:
One of the most importantTime Cyclesis the 2}-year cycle or 240 months.Most stocksand the averages
work closerto this cycle than to any other.Refer to analysisof "20-yearForecastingChart" given later.
15- Y E A RC YC L E:
1O - Y E A RC YC L E:
The next importantmajor cycle is the 10-yearcycle. which is one-halfof the 2}-year cycle and one-sixthof
the 6-yearcycle. It is also very importantbecauseit is 120 monthsor one-thirdof a circle. Fluctuationsof
the samenatureoccur which produceextremehigh or low every 10 years.Stockscome out remarkably
closeon eacheven 10-yearcycle.
7-YEAR CYCLE:
This cycle is 84 months.You shouldwatch 7 yearsfrom any importanttop and bottom.42 monthsor one-
half of this cycle is very important.You will find many culminationsaroundthe 42""month. 2 1 monthsor
% of this cycle is also important.The fact that somestocksmake top or bottom 10 to 11 monthsfrom the
previoustop or bottom is due to the fact that this period is one-eighthof the 7-yearcycle.
There is an 84-yearCycle, which is 12 times the 7-yearCycle. that is very importantto watch.One-halfof
this cycle is 42 years- 1/+is 2 1 years,and 1/8 is I0 t/zyears.This is one of the reasonsfor the period of
nearly I 1 yearsbetweenthe bottom of August, I92I and the bottom of July. 1932.A variationof this kind
often occursat the end of a GreatCycle or 60 years.Bottomsand tops often come out on the angleof 135
degreesor aroundthe 135tnmonth or 11 l/+-!eerperiod from any importanttop or bottom.
S-YEAR CYCLE:
This cycle is very importantbecauseit is one-halfof the 10-yearcycle andYoof the 2}-year cycle. The
smallestcompetecycle or work-out in a marketis 5 years.
MINOR CYCLES:
The minor cyclesare 3 yearsand 6 years.The smallestcycle is one year,which often showsa changein the
10thor 1lthmonth.
R u l e l - A b u l l c a m p a i g n g e n e r a l l y r u n s 5 y e a r s - 2 y e a r s . ulpy,e a r d o w n , a n d 2 y e a r s u p , c o m p l e t i n g a 5 -
year cycle.The end of a 5-yearcampaigncomesin the 59tnor 60tnmonths.Always watch for the changein
the 59tnmonth.
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In a bearmarket,the minor trend may run up 3 to 4 months,then reverseand follow the main trend,altho,
as a generalrule, stocksnever rally more than 2 months in a bear market; then stafi to break in the 3'd
month and follow the main trend down.
The weekly movementgivesthe next importantminor changein trend,which may tum out to be a major
changein trend.
In a bull market,a stockwill often run down 2 to 3 weeks,and possibly4, then reverseand follow the main
trend again.As a rule, the trend will tum up in the middle of the third week and closehigher at the end of
the third week,the stock only moving 3 weeksagainstthe main trend.In somecasesthe changein trend
will not occur until the fourth week; then the reversalwill come and the stockclosehieherat the end of the
forth week.
In rapid marketswith big volume, a move will often run 6 to 7 weeksbeforea minor reversalin trend,and
i n s o m e c a s e sl i,k e l g 2 g , t h e s e f a s t m o v e s l a1s3t t o l 5 w e e k so r t / + o f a y e a r . T h e s e a r e c u l m i n a t i o n m o v e s
up or down.
As thereare 7 daysin a week and seventimes sevenequals49 daysor 7 weeks,this often marks an
important turning point. Thereforeyou should watch for top or bottom aroundthe 49thto 52ndday, altho at
times a changewill starton the 42"dto 45'hday. becausea period of 45 daysis 1/8 of ayear.Also watch for
culminationat the end of 90 to 98 days.
After a markethas declined7 weeks,it may have2 or 3 shortweekson the sideand then tum up, which
agreeswith the monthly rule for a changein the third month.
Always watch the annualtrend of a stock and considerwhetherit is in a bull or bearyear.In a bull year,
with the monthly chart showingup, thereare many times that a stockwill react2 or 3 weeks,then rest 3 or
4 weeks,and then go into new territory and advance6 to 7 weeksmore.
After a stock makestop and reacts2 to 3 weeks, it may then have a rally of 2 to 3 weeks without getting
abovethe first top, then hold in a tradingrangefor severalweekswithout crossingthe highesttop or
breakingthe lowest week of that range.In casesof this kind, you can buy nearthe low point or sell nearthe
high point of that rangeand protectwith a stop lossorder 1 to 3 points away.However,a betterplan would
be to wait until the stock showsa definitetrend beforebuying or selling;then buy the stockwhen it crosses
the highestpoint or sell when it breaksthe lowestpoint of that tradingrange.
FORECASTINGDAILY MOVES
The daily movementgivesthe first minor changeand conformsto the samerules as the weekly and
monthly cycles,altho it is only a minor part of them.
In fast marketstherewill be a2-day move in the oppositedirectionto the main trend and on the third day
the upward or downward coursewill be resumedin harmony with the main trend.
A daily movementmay reversetrend and only run 7 to 10 days;then follow the main trend again.
Those minor moves occur in accordance with tops and bottoms of individual stocks.
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No. 2 or the secondyear,is a yearof a minor bull market,or a rally in a bearmarketwill startat sometime.
See 1902, 1912, 1922, 1932.
No. 3 startsa bear year, but the rally from the 2ndyearmay run to March or April before culmination, or a
declinefrom the 2"d yearmay run down and make bottom in Februaryor March, like 1933.Look up 1903,
r9r3,1923.
No. 4 or the 4thyear,is a bearyear,but endsthe bear cycle and lays the foundationfor a bull market.
Compare1904,1914.
No. 5 or the 5thyear,is the year of Ascension,and a very strongyearfor a bull market.See1905,1915,
1925,1935.
No. 6 is a bull year,in which a bull campaignwhich startedin the 4'hyearendsin the Fall of the year and a
f as tdec lin es ta rtsS
. e e1 8 9 6 ,1 9 0 6 ,1 9 1 6 ,1926.
No. 9 the highestdigit and the 9'hyear,is the strongestof all for the bull markets.Final bull campaigns
culminatein this year after extremeadvancesand pricesstartto decline.Bear marketsusually startin
September to Novemberat the end of the 9'nyearand a sharpdeclinetakesplace.See 1869,1879,1889,
1899, I 909, I9l9 , and 1929 - the year of the greatestadvances,culminatingin the fall of the year,followed
by a sharpdecline.
No. 10 is a bearyear.A rally often runs until March and April; then a severedeclineruns to Novemberand
December,when a new cyclebeginsand anotherrally starts.See1910,1920,1930.
The 1O-yearcycle continuesto repeatover and over,but the greatestadvancesand declinesoccur at the end
of the 2}-year and 30-yearcycles,and againat the end of the 5O-yearand 60-yearcycles,and againat the
end of the 50-yearand 60-yearcycles,which are strongerthan the others.
TIME is the most importantfactor of all and not until sufficienttime hasexpireddoesany big move, up or
down, start.The Time factor will overbalanceboth Spaceand Volume. When Time is up, spacemovement
will startand big volume will begin, eitherup or down. At the end of any big movement- with monthly,
weekly or daily - Time must be allowed for accumulationor distribution.
Considereachindividual stockand determineits trend from its position accordingto distancein time from
bot t omt o t o p . E a c hs to c k sw o rk so u t i ts 1 , 2,3,5,7,I0, 15,20,30,50,and60-yearcycl esfrom i ts ow n
baseor bottomsand tops,regardlessof the movementsof other stocks,eventhosein the samegroup.
Therefore,judge eachstock individually and keepup weekly and monthly chartson them.
Never decidethat the main trend haschangedone way or the otherwithout consultingthe anglesfrom top
to bottom and without consideringthe positionof the marketand cycle of eachindividual stock.
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By placing the monthly high and low pricesfor eachof those2)-year periodsaboveeachother,it is easyto
seehow the cyclesrepeat.The year of the cyclesare markedfrom " 1" to "20." Studythe chartand note
what happenedin the 8tnand 9tnyear of eachcycle - that extremehigh priceshave alwaysbeenreached.
For example:
1929FORECAST:
According to my discoveryof the 60-yearcycle, I figured that 1929would repeatlike 1869, 1909,and
1919.Looking back 20 years,we find that top was reachedin August, 1909,and 60 yearsbefore,top was
reachedin July, 1869.If you will readmy Annual Forecastfor 1929,you will seethat I had figured the top
must come not later than the end of August and statedthat a "Black Friday" would come in September.
Following strictly the 1869top, the top would have come in July, 1929,and somestocksdid maketop at
that time. Following the 1909top, we could expecttop in August,and the actualhigh of the averagesand
many individual stockswas reachedon September3,1929. Going back to 1919,we find that the Averages
made first top in July and a big declinefollowed, but extremehigh was madein the early part of
November.
From all of thesetops- 1869,1909,and 1919- sharpdeclinesfollowedin the fall of the year,just as they
did in 1929.Thereforeyou seehow easyit was to follow this greatadvanceand determinewhen it would
culminate.There is no otherway, outsideof using the 20 and 60-yearcycle that we could have forecastthis
greatbull campaignand its culminationso closelyin 1929.
VS. 1929-33:
1869-73
After the 1869top, stockscontinuedto declineand reachedlow in November, 1873.Seehow many other
bottoms were reachedaroundthis time in other cycles.After the big decline from 1929, nottcethat in
October,1933the last low was reachedon the Dow-JonesAverages;then followed an advanceto new high
levels,crossingthe top of July, 1933.
1935F O R E C A ST :
Figuring out the Forecastfor 1935,we seeon this 2}-year Chart that we are runningagainst1855, 1875,
1895,1915;therefore, we look to seewhat happenedin thoseyears.We find that in 1895the high was
reachedin September,in 1915the high of the year was reachedin December.
W efi ndthat
i nthe 5' hzoneorthe1O-yearcycl es.
T hen,look b a c k a t 1 8 6 5 ,1 8 8 5 ,1 9 0 5 ,a n d 1925,theyears
in 1865the high was reachedin October;in 1905the high was in October;in 1925the high was in
November.
Then, we would havea good guide in making up the Forecastfor 1935and would know what monthsto
watch for top and a changein trend.My Annual Forecastfor 1935,which was madeup in October,1934,
top for November15-16,1935.
indicatedtop for October28 and a secondary
There are other ways of using the Chart to advantage.One method of determiningthe trend is to compare
the yearsof previouscyclesin the samezone.For example:After the Dow-Jones30 IndustrialAverages
crossed108 in Muy, 1935they were abovethe averug.high price of all the previousyearsin the 15th-year
zone.Therefore,the market indicatedhigher prices and showedthat there would be a bull campaign.
1936F O R EC AS T :
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ale.repotu
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out four yearsfrom the 1932 low and 6 yearsfrom April, 1930high, all of which are indicationsof
important changesin trend.
We know that presidentialnominationswill take placein July, thereforethis is a month to watch for
uncertaintiesand declines,unlesssharpdeclineshavecome beforethat time. The endingof the cycle from
1896in August is quite importantand regardlessof how high or low stocksare,thereare likely to be some
sharpdeclinesbeforethe end of August.Again, in the last half of September,uncertainconditionsand
possibilityof sharpdeclinesare indicated.This may mark the last low and an electionrally may startif
thereare indicationsof a changein Administrationby the electionof a Republicanpresident,which, I
believe,at this writing, will happen.
September,October, and November are all important becausethesemonths are 7 yearsfrom the top in
September,1929andT yearsfrom the panicky declinein Octoberand November, 1929.I would expecta
rally to takeplace after the electionin November,which would last anywayuntil the early part of
December.If conditionsshow signsof improvementand if peopleare satisfiedwith the man elected,then
the advancewill probablycontinueinto December,with high pricesaroundthe end of the year.
INDIVIDUAL STOCKS:
I havetold you beforethat you shouldnot dependupon the Averagesto forecastthe trend of individual
stocks.TheseAveragesgive you the generaltrend,and while many stockswill follow this averagetrend,
you shouldfigure out eachstock individually and let its positionon geometricalanglesand time periods
determinethe differentmonthsin the year when the stock is likely to make many tops and bottoms.
Take any individual stock and make up a chart like the Master ForecastingChart, carrying it across10
yearsor 20 years,and seehow its tops and bottomscome out. I havemadeup a chart of the 1O-yearcycles
on U. S. Steeland also a chart of the 2)-year cycles,and am alwaysglad to furnishthesechartsto students
of my Courseon Forecastingso that they may studythe individual stocksand be convincedthat the theory
will work on an individual stock evenbetterthan it will work on the Averages.
No man can studythe Master2)-year ForecastingChart and the cycleswithout being convincedthat the
time cyclesdo repeatat regularintervalsand that it is possibleto forecastfuture marketmovements.By
studyingResistanceLevels,GeometricalAngles,and Volume of Salesin connectionwith the Cycles,you
can determinewhen the trend is changingat the end of campaigns.
It is importantto go over the monthly chart of Industrialor Railroadaveragesor any individual stockand
look up the months when fast advancesand fast declineshave occurredand figure the number of months
from any important top and bottom.
Watch how bottoms and tops come out on the important GeometricalAngles or proportionateparts of the
circle of 360 degrees,which are:
ttUq *9o I2J 3/+ t68 3/q 2t3 3/+ 2{7 1/z 2Q21/z
561/+ 3261/+
zz 1/z x6o ror L/4*LSS *r8o *zz; zg8 3/+ *3oo gB7 Vz
38 3/q 67 1/z rL2 7/z 146 1/+ tgt 1/+ 236 1/+ "z7o ]of, 3/a 348 3/+
*12o *3r5 *36o
"45 78 s/+ r57 r/z 2o2 Uz "z4o z8t Vq
(*very important)
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1924- May - The last low as made,from which a fast advancestartedone of the greatestbull campaigns
in history,endingin 1929.This was 54 monthsfrom the 1919top, 33 monthsfrom I 921 low, 113 months
from 1914low, and 333 monthsfrom 1896low.
1926- March - A big decline,with somestocksdeclining 100 points.This was 23 monthsfrom May,1924
low,29 monthsfrom 1923low,55 monthsfrom 1921low, 135monthsfrom 1914low, and 355 months
from 1896low. August- Stocksreachedthe highestprice up to that time, the Dow-JonesIndustrial
Averagessellingat 166.This was 27 monthsfrom May , 1924low, 34 monthsfrom October,1923low, 60
monthsfrom 1921bottom,225 monthsfrom 1907,and 360 monthsor 30 yearsfrom 1896iow. Then a 20
point declinefollowed to October,which was 2 monthsin a new 30-yearcycle from the bottom of 1896.
1929- May to September- One of the fastestmoves,advancingnearly 100 points on Averages.Final high
in September.This was:
Note the strongtime angleson the Monthly Chart running out in Octoberand November,
, h i c h a r e3 2 , 4 0 , 4 5 , 6 7y r , 7 5 ,1 2 0 ,1 8 0 .
1 9 2 9w
1930- April - Last top beforeanotherbig decline.This was 49 monthsfrom March, 1926low, 71 months
from 1924low, and 78 monthsfrom 1923 low. May - A sharpdecline.This was 270 monthsfrom 1907
low and 45 monthsin the secondcycle from 1896low. Then therewere fast declinesto 1931.
1931 - September- A declineof 46 points on the Dow-JonesAverages.This was 24 monthsfrom the 1929
top, 95 and 86 monthsfrom I 923 and 1924lows, 121 monthsor the beginningof a new 10 year cycle from
the 1921low, 201 monthsfrom 1914low, and 61 monthsin the new cycle from 1896.
1932- July 8th- Extremelow of the bear campaignwas reached.This was 71 monthsfrom in the new
cyclefrom 1896low. 131monthsfrom 1921low, 105 and 96 monthsfrom 1923 and 1924lows,27 months
from April, 1930 top, and34 months from the 1929 top. August and September- A sharp,fast advancein
stocks.This was 35 and 36 monthsfrom 1929 top,28 and 29 monthsfrom April, 1930 top,72 and73
monthsin the new cycle from 1896low, and I 32 to 133monthsfrom 1921low.
Sutlectput'02 Jo erenbS
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The years 1934 and 1935,endingin May, were on 142 and 143,and 1936comesout on the 45 degreeangle
at the grand-centerin the 8'nZone and at the half-way point of the 2nosquare,going to Yzof the total square,
which indicatedgreatactivity.
You can usethis Squareof 20 for time periodson individual stocksand for price resistancelevels.
If you will studythe weeks,months,as well as the years,and apply them to theseimportantpoints and
angles,you will seehow they have determinedthe importanttops and bottomsin the past campaigns.
xoorrno TYuEftEo
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ETnoqs
General Outlook for 1929
This year occursin a cycle, which showsthe endingof the bull marketand the beginningof a prolonged
bear campaign.The presentbull marketcampaignhas lastedlongerthan any previouscampaignin the
history of this country. The fact that it hasrun longerand priceshave advancedto suchabnormalheights
meansthat when the declinesetsin, it must be in proportionto the advance.The year 1929will witness
somesharp,severepanicky declinesin many high priced stocks,
But suchgroupsof stocksas the oils, sugars,rubbersand someof the agriculturalstocks,whichhave been
depressedand declinedwhile other stocksadvanced,will recordmuch higherpricesin 1929.New and
popularindustrieswill continueto prosper,suchas,radio, airplane,chemicaland electricalconcerns.This
is the electricalage.Peopletake quickly to new inventions,especiallythosewhich provide for the
convenienceand comfort of living. This will increasethe earningsof concernsmanufacturingnew
cleotrical appliances.
Many stockswill be distributedand will work lower while the stocksin strongposition work higher.With
sucha varied list of stocksrepresentingso many industriesin differentpartsof the country,it is not
reasonableto supposethat they would follow the sametrend by any means.
More and more businessis gettinginto the lines of massproduction,mergersand consolidation.The big
companiesare get-tingthe businesswhile the smallercompaniesfind it harderto get businessenoughto
return a fair amount on their capital stock.
During the year 1928,the public hasenteredthe stockmar-keton the largestscaleever known in history.
Foreignershave bought our stocksmore than at any time since or prior to the outbreakof the World War.
The Americanpublic is no longer making safeinvestmentsin stocks.They havethe gamblingfever and are
buying everythingregardlessof price, simply buying on hopethat stockswill continueto go up. This is a
dangeroussituationand has alwaysresultedin a big decline.Therewill be no exceptionin this case.
The man who makesmoney buying stocksin 1929will have to usegreaterdiscriminationthan ever before
in selectingthe right stocksto buy. When once stockshave reachedfinal top and start on the way down,
they will continueto work lower and rallieswill get smaller.Thosewho hold on and hopewill havebig
losses.The marketswill move over a very wide rangeand sharp,severede-clineswill be followed by quick
rallies.It will be necessarymost of the time for a traderto be very nimble and changepositionquickly in
order to take advantageof the opportunitiesas they develop in an active market.
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lose confidenceand all startto sell, it requiresno stretchof imaginationto picturewhat will happen.When
the time cycle is up, neitherRepublican,Democrat,nor our good PresidentHoover can stemthe tide. It is a
natural 1aw.Action equalsreactionin the oppositedirection.We seeit in the ebb and flow of the tide and
we know that from the full bloom of summerfollows the deadleavesof winter. Gamblersdo not think;
they alwaysgambleon hope and that is why they lose.Investorsand tradersmust pauseand think, look and
listen,and get out of stocksbeforethe greatdelugecomes.
FOREIGN COMPETITION: Germanyis rapidly coming back and competitionfor tradewill be keener
in the coming year.Many of the other foreign countriesare making desperateeffortsto regaintheir pre -
war tradeand will makeprogressalong theselines,which will hurt our business.
From the low level in August |g2l,to the high level in November 1928,the 20 IndustrialStocksrecorded
an advanceof about230 points,the greatestadvancein history.The fact that theseAveragesadvanced
nearly 100pointsduring 1928is unparalleled in history.This yearis like 1906,1916,and 1919,when such
violent fluctuationswere witnessedand largevolume of tradingtook place,only to be followed the year
after by a panicky decline.
The minimum betweenextremehigh and extremelow during 1929 for the 30 Industrialstockswill not be
lessthan 50 points and the maximum fluctuationmay be as much as 90 to 100points.This meansthat
many of the high-pricedstockswill fluctuate150to 200 points betweenextremehigh and extremelow
prices.The lower priced stockswill move in a narrowerrangeand will not make as much as the minimum
betweenextremehish and low.
Most of the Dow Jones'30 IndustrialStockswill follow Curve #1 very closely.The high point for most of
thesestockswill be reachedaroundJanuary12th.After that time, pricesshouldgraduallywork lower and
the trend should be down until around March 28th to 29th, when bottom will be reachedfor anotherbull
campaign.Many stockswill reachbottom aroundMarch 14thto 15thand remainin a narrowtrading range
until the bull campaignstartsin April. When the advancegets under way, some stockswill reachtop for the
year in Muy, others in June and some of the others,which are behind the market, will reach final high in
August as shownby Curve #1 and Curve #2. A largemajority of stockswill not go any higherthan the
highs reachedin the month of July. After July and early August, the main trend will be down and some
sharpdeclineswill take place,pricesworking lower and reachingfirst bottom aroundSeptembet27thto
28th. From this level follows a fat - sized rally and a trading market running into the early part of
November.After that, the big bear campaignwill get underway and stockscontinueto work lower,
reachingextremelow level for the year aroundDecember23rdto 24th.
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The stocksgiven in the list below are the ones,which havebeendistributedand are the bestto sell short
aroundthe datesindicatedfor the top on Curve #1. Thesestockswill have the greatestdecline,especiallyin
the early part of the year and againfrom August to Decemberwhen a big bear campaignis indicated.
The fluctuationsbetweenextremehigh and extremelow during 1929are not likely to be lessthan 20 points
and the averagemay be as high as 30 to 35 points,which meansthat many high - priced stockswill
fluctuate50 to 75 pointsbetweenextremehigh and low.
The Rails as a rule follow the forecasttrend betterthan the Industrialsbecausethey representonly one
group of stockswhile the Industrialsrepresentfifteen or twenty differentgroups.The Dow Jones'20
RailroadStock Averagesare representative of the railroadgroup and most of the railroadswill follow
Curve #1 very closely,thereforeit is not necessaryto give Curve #2 this year.
Railroad Curve #1, you will notice on page#2, runs down from January2nd and bottom is indicated
aroundthe 5th to 7th. Top for the month of Januaryis indicated aroundthe 15th and after this date the main
trend is down, pricesworking lower and reachingfirst bottom aroundMarch 9th to 11thand secondbottom
aroundMarch 28th to 29th. Accumulationshouldtake placearoundthis time and a bull campaignshould
start.First top is indicatedaroundMay 3rd to 4th; then a decline,followed by an advancewith secondtop,
possiblya little higher,aroundJune3rd. Then anotherdeclineand irregularmarket,reachinglow level
aroundJune28th and29th.After that priceswill work higheruntil aroundJuly 15th;then declineto the
22nd, followed by an advanceto aroundAugust Sthto 9th, when final top on rails shouldbe made for
anotherbig decline.After this top, priceswill work lower from every rally. A big declineis indicatedfor
September;anothersharpdeclinein October,reachingbottom aroundthe 23rd to 24th; then a rally running
to aroundNovember21stto 2nd followed by a declineto December24th. when the 20 Rails will reachthe
lowestprice of the year.
The following Rails are in the strongestposition and shouldhave the greatestadvancesat the times when
the bull campaignsare indicated:
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important date for change.
May 3rd to 4th - watch stocksthat make top around this date; 9th to I lth anotherimportant date when
somestockswill make bottom and other stockswill make top. 22nd to 23rd and29th to 31st- very
important datesfor changein trend; watch for stocksthat will make top aroundthis date.
June lst to 2nd - quite important;7th to lOth anotherimportantchange;21st to 23rd a more important
change.
July 3rd to 5th - very importantfor changein trend;9th to 1Othalso quite important;21stto 24th more
important.
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24th importantfor top; 27th and 28th importantfor bottom of a big break.
October2nd; 8th to 9th; 18thto 20th very important.- watch stocksw'hichstartto declineand go with
them; 26thto 28th minor importance.
November 1Othto 22nd- a very importantperiod for wide fluctuations.Airplanes.radio and some
electricalstocksmay have sharpadvances.Other importantdatesfor changesare l st to 2nd, 17thto 19th,
and24thto 25th.
December1stto 2nd important;16thto 17thof minor importance: 23rd to 24th greateractivity and of
major importance.
The abovedatesare not only importantfor changesin trend and times when bottomsand tops shouldbe
reached,but on thesedatesimportantnews is indicatedand somewill be of a sudden,unexpectednature,at
times favorableand at othertimes unfavorable,but causingstocksto be activeand fluctuate,making tops
and bottoms and changingtrend.
Watch the action of stocksaroundthe dateswhen the Forecastshowsthat tops or bottomsare indicatedand
when they hesitatefor a few daysand fail to make new high or low levels,you shouldget out and reverse
position.Keep up chartsand follow the rules in my book, Truth of the Stock Tape,and you will be ableto
follow the Forecastto better advantageand make more profit.
Do not expectthe Averagesor individual stocksto advanceor declineas many points as shownon the
graphor ProjectedTrend.This is only a guide to show you when big swingsand activity are indicated.For
example:- IndustrialCurve #1 beginsat "O" on January2nd and runs down 1o"7" on January5th to 7th, a
declineof 7 points on Averages.Somehigh - priced stocksmay decline 10 to 20 points at this time while
other low and medium - priced stockswill declineonly 2 to 5 points.While somestockswhich are late
movers and in very strongposition will follow Curve #2 andmove up during Januaryat the sametime that
high - priced leadersdecline,the main thing is that Curve #1 showsa sharpadvancefrom January5th to
7th up to January 12th and Curve #2 showsup trend all the month of January.Thereforeyou should watch
for a declineand buy the strongstocksaroundJanuary5th to 7th: then watch for top January12thto 15th,
sell out and go shortof the stocks,which are in our short salelist. Then on January30th, if therehasbeena
big declineas shownby Curve #2, you shouldcover shortsand buy for a rally and if stocksadvanceto
February13thto 15th,watch for top, sell out longs and go shortbecauseCurve #1 indicatesa big decline
the last half of Februaryand during March.
The big buying opportunitywill come in March. Around March 1Othto 11th and 28th to 29th,you should
buy the best stocksto hold for the spring bull campaigninto late May. Both Curve #1 and #2 tndtcatea big
declinefrom July and August to December,thereforefrom July and August you shouldplay the short side
and wait for ralliesto sell shortratherthan buy on breaksbecausethe main trend will be down and you
should never buck the trend but go with it.
Rememberyou must buy and sell at the right time regardlessof prices.No matterhow high stocksare, if
they are going higher,you shouldbuy. It makesno differencehow low they are: if the trend is down and
they are going lower, you must sell short and go with the trend.Take a loss quickly if you seethat the
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RAILROAD STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundthe 15th;extremelow aroundthe 5th
to 7th and 30th. Minor moves- January2nd top, when declineshouldstart;5th to 7th bottom for quite a
rally; 15thtop of strongrally, when anotherdeclineshouldstart;21st bottom of decline;24th top of rally.
From this top a big declineshouldtake placereachinglow for the month aroundthe 30th.
Datesto watch for changein trend: - the datesmarked "XX" are the most important and indicate a major
changein trend.You shouldwatch for importantchangesaroundthesedates.The datesmarked"X" only
indicateminor changesin trend,which will only last for a few days.- January5th - 7th XX, 1lth - l2thX,
25th - 26thXX,3 l st X.
FEBRUARY
Businesswill fall off and we will hear somediscouragingreports.The FederalReserveBank will make
somechangeor threatento curb speculation.Therewill be talk of new bankinglaws, which may be adverse
to speculation.The generallist of high - priced stockswill declinethis month,altho the marketwill be
mixed. Sugars,rubbersand late moverswill have someadvances.The railroad,airplane,radio and electric
stockswill rally from every decline.Around the 12thto 13th of the month someof the oils, rubbersand
sugarswill be quite strong.The generallist of old time leaders;however,will work lower from every little
rally.
INDUSTRIAL STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundthe 13thto 14thand extremelow
aroundthe 28th. Minor moves: 1stto 4th advance;then follows a declineto the 8th, when bottom shouldbe
reachedfor anotherquick rally; 13thto 14thtop, sell out and go short.Expectheavy liquidationand a
sharp,severedeclinereachingbottom aroundthe 28th for a moderaterally.
RAILROAD STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundthe 15thand extremelow aroundthe
28th. Minor moves- lst to 5th advanceand make top for a moderatedecline;9th bottom of decline;expect
quick rally in somerails, reachinghigh aroundthe 15th,followed by a sharpdeclinemaking bottom around
the 28th.
Datesto watch for chansein trend: - 9th to 12thXX; 19thto 20th XX; 23rd to 24thx,28th X.
MARCH
Mr. Hoover will take the office of Presidentof the United Statesthis month and in the early part of the
month therewill be a demonstrationin stocksand quite an advance,but it will not hold and a sharp,severe
declinewill take place in many stocksbeforethe end of the month. Sometroubleis likely to come up in
connectionwith Spainor Mexico, which will upsetthe market.Airplane stockswill be quite strongduring
the datesindicatedfor advancesto take place.The oils, sugarsand chemicalswill hold up betterthan other
socks.Tractionstockswill be strongand thereis likely to be somedevelopmentin connectionwith the
subwayfare,which will causean advancein New York tractionstocks.The steels,motors,rails and
electricalissueswill breakdurins the earlv and latterpart of the month'
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RAILROAD STOCKS indicate extremehigh for the month around the 3rd to 4th; extremelow aroundthe
1lth to 13th,althoughsomeissueswill go to extremehigh aroundthe end of the month.Minor moves;- 1st
to 3rd strongmarket,making top around3rd to 4th. Then follows a decline,making bottom aroundthe 1lth
to 13th,followed by an advancemaking first top aroundthe 25th for a moderatereactionto the 28th; then
rally to the end of month.
Datesto watchfor chansein trend:- 3rd to 4th X: 9th to 1OthXX: 22ndto 23rd X: 29th to 31stXX.
JUNE
A sharpdeclineand heavy liquidationin many stocksis indicatedfor this month.Therewill be war in
foreign countriesor war rumors.Strikesat home as well as abroad.Crop newswill be unfavorable.Storms
or earthquakes on the southernborder and in Mexico will do damageand help to unsettlethe market.The
outlook for the summerbusinesswill be very much mixed. One of the major cyclesand time factorsruns
out this month and a very importantchangein trend is indicated.High priced stockswill haverapid
declinesand many stockswill make extremehigh for the year. The tin. oils and agriculturalstocksand also
the chemicalswill breakbadly after reachingtop in the early part of the month.Motors will also decline
sharply.
INDUSTRIAL STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundJune l st; extremelow aroundthe
22ndto 24th. Minor moves:- 1stto 2nd advanceand make top for a big decline; 1Othto 1lth bottom of
sharpdecline;then follows a moderaterally reachingtop aroundthe 17th,followed by hear,yliquidation
and sharpdeclinemaking bottom 22nd to 24th. From the 24th to the end of the month many stockswill
havequite a rally.
RAILROAD STOCKS indicateextremehieh for the month aroundthe 3rd: extremelow aroundthe 1Oth
to 1lth and 28th to 29th.
The rails will not move in a very wide rangethis month, excepta few of the very high - priced issues.
Minor moves:- lst to 3rd advance;4th to 1Oth- 1lth sharpdecline;then follows a moderaterally, reaching
top aroundthe 2lst to 22nd followed by liquida-tionand lower prices,making bottom for the month 28th to
29th.
Datesto watch for changein trend: - June lst to 2nd XX; 7th to 1OthX; 21st to 23rdXX;'28th X.
JULY
Another advancewill take placethis month and many stockswill have sharpralliesand reachthe final high
for the year.The airplanecompanieswill prosperand their stockswill advance.Electricaland chemical
stockswill also recordsharpadvances.Poolswill rush up stocksas fast as they can to unload.The late
moverswill be broughtinto line while distributionis tak-ing placein the old time leaders.Sugarsand
rubbersshould have some sharpadvances.A very important major time factor ends at this time and
indicatesthe startingof a big prolongedbear campaign.Rememberthat the last high for the year well occur
in many stocks.A greatdelugeand panicky declinewill follow the top at this time, resultingin a "Black
Friday" in September.There are likely to be somelabor troublesand strikesin the west and south,which
will interferewith the businessoutlook.
INDUSTRIAL STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundthe 20th; extremelow aroundthe
9th to 10th. Minor moves lst to 3rd strongmarket,making top for a quick decline;9th to 1Othbottom of
sharpdecline;then follows a rapid advance,making top on the 20th; declinereachingbottom on the 22nd;
fol-lowed by a strong market to the end of the month.
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RAILROAD STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundthe 1Othto 1lth; extremelow 23rd -
24th. Minor moves:- 1stto 4th declineand makebottom for a moderaterally; 1Othto 11thtop of rally;
then follows a heary wave of liquidationand lower pricesmaking bottom aroundthe 23rd to 24th,
followed by a moderateadvanceto the end of the month.
Datesto watch for changein trend:- 2nd to 4th XX; Sth to 9th X; 18thto 20th XX; 26th to 28th X.
NOVEMBER
The oils, chemicalsand rubberswill have a final advancethis month and make top for anotherdecline.
Businessconditionswill be growing more unfavorable.Thereare likely to be earthquakes in Mexico or
California.This will disturbthe stockmarketand depressbusiness.This is the month for war news from
foreign countriesand some greatleaderabroadwill show his power. The latterpart of the month is very
unfavorableand somesharpdeclineswill take place. But the airplane,radio and electricalcompaniesand
someof the rails will have an advancearoundthe 1Othto 22nd.
INDUSTRIAL STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundthe 2nd to 4th; extremelow around
the 23rd to 25th. Minor moves:- follows heavy sellingand a sharpdecline,reachingbottom aroundthe
11th to 12th,but only for a moderaterally; 18th to 19th top of advance.From this level therewill be
anothersharp,severedeclinecarryingpricesdown to low levelsaroundthe 23rd to 25th. Then follows a
moderaterally to the end of the month.
RAILROAD STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month around,the 21stto 22nd; extremelow around
the 27th to 28th.Minormoves;- lst to 2nd top of moderaterally; then follows a decline,reachingbottom
aroundthe 9th to I lth; then a quick rally, mak-ing top aroundthe 2 1stto 22nd followed by heavy
liquidation and a sharpdecline, making bottom around the 27th to 28th.
Datesto watch for changein trend:- 1stto 2nd XX; 11th to 13thX; I 7th to 19thXX; 24th to 26thX.
DE CE M B E R
Our businessin someof the foreign countrieswill increase.Speculationwill shift from stocksto
commodities.The U. S. Governmentis threatenedwith greatopposition,if not dangerof war. General
businessoutlook will grow very much more unfavorablePanickydeclinesin stockswill take place.
INDUSTRIAL STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundthe 2nd; extremelow aroundthe
23rd to 24th. Minor moves:- 1stto 2nd advance;then follows a sharp,severedeclineand heavy liquidation
with only small rallies indicatedlastingone to two days,reachingextremelow aroundthe 23rd to 24th;
then follows a quick rally reachingtop on the 28th followed by declineto the 31st.
RAILROAD STOCKS indicateextremehigh for the month aroundthe 2nd; extremelow aroundthe 23rd
to 24th. Minor moves:- l st to 2nd advance;3rd to 1Othsharpdecline,making bottom for only a moderate
rally; 15thtop of rally; then heavy liquidationand a declinerunning to 24th; then follows a rally to the end
of the month.
Datesto watch for changein trend: - lst to 2nd XX; 16thto 17thX; 23rd to 24thXX 28th X.
In vou LIKEDTHISCounsn. you woulD ENJoy:
WTTnE,LS
WITHIN WHEELS
Tnn Anr or FoREcesrrxcFrxexcrer Menxrr CvcrEs
Bv D,arrilnr T. FERRERA
In this course,Dan breaks down the 16 primary cyclesof the Dow JonesAverages,
and combinesthem in Excel spreadsheets to createa compositewave which very
closelyreproducesthe last 100 years of market activity (seechart below). He
explainsall cyclelengths,somepossiblecorrelations,but most importantly projects
them 100 years into the future with the DTF Barometer to give a clear vision of the
next 100 years of the Dow JonesAverages.
TABLE OF CONTENTS:
00'0s?seJIJd'JOlaruoJufl
CJ(r uol1cefordreaf 00I oqr puu 6slruqrpuu suor]Blnrlura1c{cIIE qll,lr s}aaqspgard5
Ierxf IIB rnl^r HIou oJ sepnlrul 'sruurSul(r ry suBqJ snororunNl.d0tz ,7007
1994
I
I
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1 9 816g g " 1
1958 19 6 6 1g / 0 1g / 8
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1954 4 gBB
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19 6 2 19 6 8
a€m 1g i 5 1g B 2
o c{ Lo 0 F tr t\ o N Ln o - rl o o N \o m - o (! o r\ Jr o o (tJ L0 o N Lo N o o {3 o ol I l\ Q
D u t o ru r E t r t r - ; a ; N
ql N N n f l c l ( r lq t t i t n J l t O L 0 l ! L 0L 0 N t i t \ m m 6 @ E A E A
F 0 F o o o ct o o o o o o o tt o' 6) or o o o o o o o o D o o o o or o $ o o o' |f)
!- !- !- i'
r " | )c nut ( o L J t9 rt tLo (!(o \o qtl LI] (0(o t oLI) r,0 Ln L0 ttt Lo L0(.o Lf) rf q LoLo Lo lrrt ql{l
E i i i f f q E i i i i q q q f i i i E q q i qL ni < - -q E q q i i E- - i \ E E f io Ni
F F o l.\ L0 frl F F o) F- |.(jfl - - o t' \o n F F o N m o t o ft o N o o F F
will certainly want to know when these "once in a lifetime" opportunities come for
stock investing.This report also mentionsthe more frequent short term cyclesof
economicactivity that can act as a guidepostto the outcomesforecastedby the
master long term cycles.If you invest in the market with any long-term funds you
will need to know the information in this report. It's presentedas a fairly basic
analysisthat will serveas a steppingstoneto more sophisticatedcycle analysisbut
for the averageinvestor if you don't know thesebasicfundamental cyclesyou will
be at a significantdisadvantagein the investmentarena.For the rather modestcost
of this report, I feel it is an investment in the future well worth making.
Michael S. Jenkins, Stock Cycles Forecast
"Mr. Ferrera has put together a very unique stock market report that clearly shows
two dominant long term cyclepatterns that have predicted every major Bull & Bear
Market Trend for the past century. He then projects this pattern 100 years into the
future. I would highly recommendthis report to anyonethat investsin the US Stock
Markets?t Bonnie Lee Hill, Dallas, Texas
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EINIIISNII f JT{IIJS Of,Uf,VS
lntroduction P-2
Navigating With the Square of Nine P-7
Bible Interpretations Relatedto W. D. Gann P-l1
What Gann Said About the Squareof Nine P-15
Six Squaresof Nine P-16
Squareof Nine Time Applications P-19
Price Targets For Support & Resistance P-23
Using A Square of Nine Table P-25
Time As a Price & Price as a Time P-28
Gann Angle Projection P-30
Square of Nine Time Techniques,A Different Look at History P-33
Analyzing Markets P-39
Nine RulesFor The Squareof Nine P-40
PBRToITCNUMBERCYCLES P-42
Price as a Time Period P-45
Price Levels For Support & Resistance P-47
Converting Astronomical Longitude to Price P-49
ANornrR ASTRoNoMICALTECHNIQUE P-55
Fibonacci Ratios P-60
Conclusion P-62
W. D. Gann Calculators P-63
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