Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Written by
Prof. Dr. Hermann Kraxenberger, MBA
2.1.1. Definitions
The object of Supply Chain Management (SCM) is the supply chain which represents,
according to Christopher, ‘a network of organisations that are involved, through upstream
and downstream linkages, in the different processes and activities that produce value in the
form of products and services in the hands of the ultimate customer’.1
As Figure 2-1 shows, a network usually does not only focus on flows within a single chain,
but usually will have to deal with divergent and convergent flows within a complex network
resulting from many different customer orders to be handled in parallel.2 In order to reduce
complexity, an organisation may concentrate only on a portion of the overall supply chain.
1
Christopher (1998): p. 15
2
See Stadtler (2003): p. 7
Supply Chain Management Page: 4
For example, an organization may focus its supply chain activities from the downstream
direction of the customer to the upstream direction of the component or raw material supplier.
Material flow
Information flow
Financial flow
As Supply Chain Management evolved from logistic theories, some authors don’t distinguish
between Logistics and Supply Chain Management and define Supply Chain Management as
‘a set of approaches utilized to efficiently integrate suppliers, manufacturers, warehouses,
and stores so that merchandise is produced and distributed at the right quantities, to the right
locations, and at the right time, in order to minimize system wide costs while satisfying
service level requirements.’3
Many definitions on the concept of Supply Chain Management have been provided in the
literature and it seems there are only slight variations of the definitions. The major difference
in definitions is the level of integration between supplier, manufacturer, logistics provider and
customer. Some older definitions which evolved from logistics clearly set the integration cut
at the company border and focus on the intra-organisational flow orientation, whereas newer
definitions focus on the inter-organisational optimization. One of these older definitions is
provided by Werner, who defines Supply Chain Management as the integrated company
3
See Simchi-Levi et alii (2003): p. 1-2
Supply Chain Management Page: 5
activities of delivering, disposal and recycling including the financial and information flow.’4 All
newer definitions imply that a supply chain consists of separate organisations which are
linked by material, information and financial flows. These organisations are normally firms
that produce parts, components and end products, logistic service providers and the
(ultimate) customer himself.
The overall objective of Supply Chain Management is to increase competitiveness. Individual
companies are not responsible for the competitiveness of its products or services in the eyes
of the customer but the supply chain with its network of organisations defines the level of
competitiveness. Obviously, this organisational structure requires a win-win situation for all
participants in the supply chain in the long run while in the short run it may not be the case
for all entities. Important key measurements for competitiveness are quality, cost and time
performance indicators. There are two broad means for improving competitiveness of a
supply chain. The first is a closer integration of the organisations involved and the second is
a better coordination of material, information and financial flows.5
4
Werner (2001): p. 5
5
See Lee (1998): p. 1
Supply Chain Management Page: 6
be scrutinized and duplicate activities can be reduced to a single activity. Process orientation
thus often incorporates a redesign followed by a standardization of the new process.
For executing customer orders, the availability of materials, personnel, machinery and tools
has to be planned. Although production and distribution planning as well as purchasing have
been in use of several decades, these functions mostly have been isolated and limited in
scope. Coordination plans of several sites and several legally separated organizations
represent a new challenge which is taken up by an Advanced Planning Systems (APS).
6
Figure 2-2: House of Supply Chain Management
6
See Stadtler (2003): p. 10
7
See Christopher (1998): p. 39
Supply Chain Management Page: 7
Transactional elements are all activities which contribute to order fulfilment in the eyes of a
customer. Availability of products from stock may be one option. If a product or service has to
be made on demand, order cycle times play an important role. During delivery times a
customer may be provided with information on the current status and location of an order.
Delivery of goods can include several additional services, like an introduction into the use of
a product or its maintenance.
Post-transactional elements concern the service provided once the order is fulfilled. This
includes elements like repairing or exchanging defective parts and maintenance, dealing with
customer complaints and product warranties.
For measuring customer service and for setting targets, key performance indicators are used
in practice, like e.g. the maximum order lead-time, the portion of orders delivered within x
days, the portion of orders without rejects or the fill rate.8 (For details see chapter 2.2.3.)
2.1.2.2. Integration
Integration refers according to Stadtler to the special building blocks that cause firms to
collaborate in the long-term in the generation of product or service with the aim of improving
competitiveness of a supply chain as a whole.9
Integration consists of 3 building blocks:
1. Choice of partners
2. Inter-organizational collaboration
3. Leadership
8
See Silver et alii (1998), p. 41
9
See Stadtler (2003), p. 12
Supply Chain Management Page: 8
The choice of partners starts with analyzing the activities associated with generating a
product or service for a certain market segment. Firstly, activities will be assigned to existing
members of a supply chain, if these relate to their core competencies. Secondly, activities
relating to standard products and services widely available on the market and with no
potential of differentiation in the eyes of the ultimate customer will be bought from outside the
supply chain. Thirdly, for all remaining activities, a partner to join the supply chain has to be
looked fro in the curse of a make-or-buy decision procedure.10
Selection criteria should not be based solely on costs, but on the future potential of a partner
to support the competitiveness of the supply chain. A suitable organizational culture and a
commitment to contribute to the aims of the supply chain will be of great importance. A
possible partner may bring in specialized know-how regarding a production process or
development competence. For global supply chains, additional criteria have to be considered
like taxes, exchange rates, etc.
10
See Schneider and Bauer (1994): p. 67 - 89
11
See Burns and Stalker (1961): p. 121
12
See Rockhold (1998): p. 12
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2.1.2.3. Coordination
The second main component of SCM is the coordination of information, material and financial
flows.
Coordination comprises according to Stadtler three building blocks:13
1. Information technology
2. Process orientation
3. Advanced planning
Process orientation aims at coordinating all the activities involved in customer order
fulfilment in the most efficient way. It starts with an analysis of the existing supply chain, the
current allocation of activities to its members. Key performance indicators can reveal
weaknesses, bottlenecks and waste within a supply chain, especially at the interface
between its members. A comparison with best practices may support this effort. As a result,
some activities will be subject to improvement efforts, while some others may be reallocated.
13
See Stadler (2003): p. 14
Supply Chain Management Page: 10
tasks. Advanced Planning Systems (APS) do not substitute but supplement existing
Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) Systems. APS are taking over planning tasks while an
ERP system is required as a transaction and execution system for orders.14 APS are
intended to remedy the defects of ERP systems through a closer integration of planning
modules, adequate modelling of bottleneck capacities, a hierarchical planning concept and
the use of latest algorithmic developments of heuristics and optimizer functions. Since
planning is executed in a computer’s core storage, plans may be updated easily and
continuously (e.g. in case of demand changes). Advanced planning allows to realize
bottlenecks in advance and to make the best use of them. Alternative modes of operations
may be evaluated, thus reducing costs and improving profits. Different scenarios of future
developments can be planned for to identify a robust next step for the upcoming planning
interval. Furthermore, it is no longer necessary to provide lead-time estimates as an input for
planning. This should enable companies using APS to reduce planned lead-times drastically
compared with those resulting from an ERP system.
14
See Drexl et alii (1994): p. 145
15
See Oliver, Weber (1992): p. 63-75
16
See Porter (1999): p. 12
17
See Werner (2001): p. 4
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18
See Alderson (1957)
19
See Bowersox (1969): p. 63-70
20
See Forrester (1958)
21
See Hax and Meal (1975)
22
See Busch et alii (2004): pp. 8
Supply Chain Management Page: 12
cost advantages can be created by a strategic optimization of the whole supply network. For
instance, global and hierarchical supply chain planning or synergies in production,
procurement and transports can bring significant cost reductions.
SCM generates time advantages in two functional areas. First, the time to market of new
products can be dramatically reduced by integrating suppliers and customers. Second, the
order fulfilment time can be improved by a process-oriented and hierarchically coordinated
planning in the area of procurement, production and logistics.
A further objective of SCM is achieving quality advantages. Especially trust among all
participants in the supply chain enables a more intense cooperation.
Figure 2-3 shows the weighted objectives of SCM within a survey of fortune 1000
companies.23
Cost
100%
80%
Time to market Profit
60%
40%
20%
Product quality 0% Market share
Growth
The above figures highlight the outstanding importance of Supply Chain Management as
means for cost and profit optimization and for improving customer service levels.
Figure 2-4 displays the perceived benefit of Supply Chain Management that justifies
investments of up to 10.4% in the consumer goods manufacturers and up to 29.4% in the
retailing industry of total investments.24
23
See Busch et alii (2003): p. 10
24
See Baumgarten (2002): p. 15-16
Supply Chain Management Page: 13
Demand planning
6
5
Production 4 Marketing
3
2
1
Procurement 0 Product development
Transportation
25
Figure 2-4: Perceived benefit of investments in SCM
Figure 2-4 also shows that the main perceived benefit from SCM can be linked to two main
reasons, namely improvements in inventory management and Demand planning. In addition,
the overall optimization of the supply chain offers synergistic potentials in procurement,
production, distribution and Sales. These synergies can provoke, for instance in the retail
industry, a saving potential of 2.5%-3.5% of the turnover according to Philippson et alii.26
25
See Busch et alii (2003): p. 10
26
See Philippson et alii (1999): p. 5
27
See Fisher (1997): p. 105-116
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Lee provides a comprehensive list of demand characteristics that lead to the classification of
functional and innovative products.28
functional innovative
low demand uncertainties high demand uncertainties
more predictable demand difficult to forecast
stable demand variable demand
long product life short selling season
low inventory cost high inventory cost
low profit margins high profit margins
low product variety high product variety
higher volume per SK low volumes per SKU
low stock out cost high stockout cost
low obsolescence high obsolescence
Table 2-1: Demand characteristics
The ability to produce large volumes of individually customized products and deliver them at
close to mass production prices is called mass customization.29 The concept of mass
customization is especially attractive for innovative products that are produced in large
quantities. This can ensure high profit margins while having low supply chain costs.
28
See Lee (2002): p. 105-119
29
See Simchi-Levi et alii (2003): p. 116
30
See Lee (2002): p. 105-116
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stable evolving
less breakdowns vulnerable to breakdowns
stable and higher yields variable and lower yields
less quality problems potential quality problems
more supply sources limited supply sources
reliable suppliers unreliable suppliers
less process changes more process changes
less capacity constraint potential capacity constraint
easier to changeover difficult to changeover
exible in exible
dependable lead time variable lead time
Table 2-2: Supply characteristics
In some supply chains, the process uncertainty which relates to the production of the product
itself is so important that it is quoted as the third uncertainty in a supply chain. In the above
overview, provided by Lee, this risk is subsumed under less breakdowns and less process
changes. 31
31
See for instance Chopra / Meindl (2004): p. 29-43
32
The bullwhip effect describes the increasing amplification of orders occurring within a supply chain
the more one moves upstream. See for instance Simchi-Levi et alii (2003): p. 101-110
33
See Lee (2002): p. 105-116
Supply Chain Management Page: 16
DEMAND UNCERTAINTIES
Low High
(functional products) (innovative products)
SUPPLY UNCERTAINTIES
Risk-hedging Agile
High Supply chain Supply chain
(evolving process)
Figure 2-5: Supply chain strategies for different product and process types
(1) Efficient supply chains utilize strategies aimed at creating cost efficiencies in the
supply chain. Cost efficiencies can be achieved by minimizing non value added
activities, deploying scale economics and optimization techniques and establishing
systems for demand, inventory and capacity exchange.
(2) Risk-Hedging supply chains utilize strategies that hedge the risks in the supply
chain by pooling and sharing resources in a supply chain so that the risks in supply
disruption can also be shared.
(3) Responsive supply chains utilize strategies aimed at being responsive and flexible
to the changing and diverse needs of the customers, such as mass customization and
build to order techniques.
(4) Agile supply chains utilize strategies that support being responsive and flexible to
customer needs, while the risk of supply shortages or disruptions are hedged by
pooling inventory or capacity resources. The applied strategies are similar to the ones
in the risk-hedging and responsive supply chains.
Supply Chain Management Page: 17
JIT
QR QR
CR
VMI VMI
ECR
CPFR
Supply Chain
34
See Christopher (1998): p. 192
35
See Werner (2001): p. 55-57
Supply Chain Management Page: 19
the customer and the supplier are agreeing on minimum and maximum stock levels in the
storage location. All other parameters like frequency and amount of the replenishment run
can be freely defined by the supplier. VMI calls for a high degree of trust between the supply
chain partners and the correct factual treatment of shared planning data.36
36
See Busch et alii (2003): p. 14
37
See Seifert (2003): p. 3-5
Supply Chain Management Page: 20
activities between supply chain partners which positively contributes to inventory synergies
and lower costs of the total logistical system.38
38
See Seifert (2003): p. 11-26
39
See ebenda (2003): p. 30
40
See Bolstorff / Rosenbaum (2003): p. 2
Supply Chain Management Page: 21
(e.g. order entries through paid invoice …), physical material transactions (e.g. supplies,
products …) market interactions (e.g. demand fulfilment …) and post-delivery customer
service (as of SCOR 4.0) are supported. Sales and marketing as well as product
development and research are not addressed within the SCOR model. 41
The SCOR model differentiates between five standard processes in SCM which can be
defined as the following:42
Plan: Processes that balance aggregate demand and supply to develop a course of
action which best meets sourcing, production and delivery requirements
Source: Processes that procure goods and services to meet planned or actual
demand.
Make: Processes that transform product to a finished state to meet planned or actual
demand.
Deliver: Processes that provide finished goods and services to meet planned or
actual demand, typically including order management, transportation management
and distribution management.
Return: Processes associated with returning or receiving returned products for any
reason. These processes extend into post-delivery customer support.
The standard processes are divided into three hierarchical levels: 5 process types, 22
process categories and process elements. Level One defines the number of supply chains
and how their performances are measured. It consists of five elementary process types:
source, make, deliver and return, coordinated by the process type plan. Level Two defines
the configuration of planning, execution and enabling processes in material flow, using
standard categories like make-to-stock, make-to-order and engineer-to-order. The five
process types of level one are divided into 22 process categories, including five enable
process categories for each process type. Level Three defines the process elements used to
transact sales orders, purchase orders, work orders, return authorizations, replenishment
and forecast. Detailed metrics and best practices for these elements are part of the SCOR
model. Furthermore, most elements provide an input stream (information and material) and /
or an output stream. The process elements are decomposed on the fourth level. Companies
implement their specific management practices at this level. Figure 2-7 provides an overview
of the levels and the schematics of the SCOR model.43
41
See Meyr et alii (2003): p. 46
42
See Bothe / Nissen (2003): p. 29 Formatted: English (U.K.)
43
See Bolstorff / Rosenbaum (2003): p. 2-6
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44
Figure 2-7: Levels and schematic of the SCOR model
The SCOR model supports performance measurement on each level. Level One metrics
provide an overview of the supply chain to evaluate management. Level Two and Three
include more specific and detailed metrics corresponding to process categories and
elements. The metrics are systematically divided into the five categories reliability, flexibility,
responsiveness, cost and assets. Reliability as well as flexibility and responsiveness are
external (customer driven), whereas cost and assets are internal points of view.45
44
See Supply Chain Council (2004)
45
See Meyr et alii (2003): p. 50-53
Supply Chain Management Page: 23
47
Table 2-3: Functional attributes of a supply chain typology
46
See Rohde (2004): p. 54
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1. Procurement type: relates to the number and type of products to be procured, the latter
one ranging from standard products to highly specific products requiring special product
know-how or production process know-how. The following attribute depicts the sourcing type,
better know by its properties: single sourcing, double sourcing and multiple sourcing.
Sourcing contracts with suppliers are usually valid in the medium-term (e.g. the product’s life
cycle). The flexibility of suppliers with respect to the amounts to be supplied may be
important. Amounts may either be fixed; have a lower or upper bound due to given contracts
with suppliers or may be freely available. Lead time and reliability of suppliers are closely
related. The lead time of a supplier defines the average time interval between ordering a
specific material and its arrival. The shorter lead times are, the more reliable the promised
arrival dates are. The life cycles of components or materials have direct impact on the risk of
obsolescence of inventories. The shorter the life cycles are, the more often one has to care
about substituting old materials with newer ones.
2. Production type: is formed by many attributes. The two most important attributes are the
organization of the production process and the repetition of operations. Process organization
and flow lines represent well-know properties of the production process. Process
organization requires that all resources capable of performing a special task are located in
the same are. Usually a product has to pass through several shops until it is finished. A flow
shop exists if all products pass the shops in the same order. A flow line exists in case
resources are arranged next to each other corresponding to the sequence of operations
required by the products to be manufactured on it. Usually capacities within a flow line are
synchronized and intermediate inventories are not possible.
The attribute repetition of operations has three broad properties, mass production, batch
production and making one-of-a-kind products. In mass production the same product is
generated constantly over a long period of time. In batch production several units of a given
operation are grouped together to form a batch and are executed one after the other. Several
batches are loaded on a resource sequentially. At the start of a batch a setup is required,
incurring some setup costs or setup time. When making one-of-a-kind products which are
specific to a customer order, special care is needed to schedule many operations for a single
order.48
The influence of setup costs and setup times is specified by the attribute changeover
characteristics. If setup costs or times even vary with respect to sequence of the batches,
sequence dependent changeover costs are given. If production capacity is a serious
47
See Meyr et alii (2004): p. 56
48
See Silver et alii (1998): pp. 36
Supply Chain Management Page: 25
problem, the attribute bottleneck in production tries to characterize the reason. In a multi-
stage production system, the bottleneck machines may be stationary and known, or shifting
depending on the mix of the demand. One way to increase capacity is to provide more
working time. The capability and lead times to adapt working time to changing demand
pattern are described by the attribute working time flexibility.49
3. Distribution type: consists of the distribution structure, the pattern of delivery, the
deployment of transportation means, and possible loading restrictions. The distribution
structure describes the network of links between the factory and the customers. A one-stage
distribution structure exists if there are only direct links between a factory and its customers.
In case the distribution network has one intermediate layer (e.g. central warehouse or
regional warehouse) a two stage distribution structure is given.
The pattern of delivery is either cyclic or dynamic. In a cyclic pattern, goods are transported
at fixed intervals of time. A dynamic pattern is given if delivery is made depending on
demand for transportation. As regards the deployment of transportations means one can
distinguish the deployment of vehicles on routes and a given transportation capacity on
individual links in the distribution network. Loading restrictions like the requirement of a full
truck load may form a further requirement. 50
4. Sales type: depends largely on the relation to its customers. One extreme may be a
downstream entity in the supply chain while the other extreme may be a pure market relation
with many competitors. This attribute is closely related to the availability of future demands.
These may be known or have to be forecasted. The existence of reliable demand forecast is
best described by the length of the forecast horizon. Besides the general availability of
demand information, the shape of the demand curve is of interest. Demand for a specific
product may, for example, be quite static, sporadic, or seasonal.
The typical length and the current stage of a product’s life cycle significantly influences
appropriate marketing, production planning and financial strategies. As regards the products
to be sold one should discriminate the number of product types offered and the degree of
customisation. The latter one may range from standard products to highly specific products.
In the light of mass customization some way in the middle becomes more and more
important: constituting customer-specific products from a variety of product options and
alternatives being offered. The attribute bill-of-materials (BOM) shows the way that raw
49
See Schneeweiss (1999): pp. 10
50
See Meyr et alii (2004): p. 57
Supply Chain Management Page: 26
materials and components are composed or decomposed in order to generate the final
products.51
Structural attributes of a supply chain are grouped according to table 2-4 into two categories:
1. Topography of a supply chain
2. Integration and coordination
52
Table 2-4: Structural attributes of a supply chain typology
51
See Meyr et alii (2004): pp. 58
52
See Meyr et alii (2004): p. 56
53
The decoupling point is the first stage or location in the material flow where a further processing step
or a change in the location of a product will only be executed with respect to a customer order.
Supply Chain Management Page: 27
2. Integration and coordination: concerns the attributes legal position, balance of power,
direction of coordination and type of information exchanged.
The legal separation of entities, a so-called inter-organizational supply chain, makes the
central coordination of flows much more difficult than an internal supply chain. Also the
balance of power within an inter-organization supply chain plays a vital role for decision
making. A dominant member in the supply chain can act as a focal firm.
As regards information flows, several attributes may be considered. The direction of
coordination defines the vertical and horizontal degree to which information is shared in a
supply chain network. Vertical information flows comply with hierarchical planning. Horizontal
flows between two entities ensure information sharing of local information (e.g. to overcome
the effects of a breakdown of a machine). Also the type of information exchange between
members influences planning. For example some entities may not reveal their manufacturing
costs but are willing to provide information about available capacities.
54
See Sürie and Wagner (2004): pp. 36
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Production lot-sizing stock Setup frequency Reduced setup time and cost
Transportation lot-sizing
Shipment quantity Reduced transportation costs
stock
Inventory in transit Transportation time Reduced transportation costs
Reduced costs for overtime and for
Seasonal stock Demand peaks, tight capacity
investments
Lead time, producton planning Increased utilization, reduced
Work-in-process
and control investments in additional capacity
Demand and lead time Increased service level, reduced costs
Safety stock
uncertainty, process uncertainties for emergency shipments and lost
55
Table 2-5: Stock components, determinants, and benefits
55
See Sürie and Wager (2004): p. 38
56
See Sürie and Wagner (2004): p. 38
Supply Chain Management Page: 29
Inventory
qp
CS = qp/2
Time
Figure 2-8: Stock components, determinants, and benefits
Inventory in transit
While the transportation lot-sizing stock is held at the start and end stock points of a
transportation link, there exists also inventory that is currently transported in-between. This
57
See Sürie and Wagner (2004): p. 39
Supply Chain Management Page: 30
stock component only depends on the transportation time and the demand because on
average the inventory ‘held on the trucks’ equals the demand which occurs during the
transportation time. The inventory in transit is independent of the transportation frequency
and the therefore also independent of the transportation lot-size. The inventory in transit can
be reduced at the expense of increasing transportation costs, if the transportation time is
reduced by faster transportation mode (e.g. plane instead of truck transport).58
The average inventory in transit TI is calculated by multiplying the average transportation
time by the average demand. For instance, if the transportation time is two days and the
average amount to be transported is 50 pieces per day, then TI is equal to 100 pieces.
140 60
120 50
100 Capacity
40
80 Pre-production
30 Seasonal Stock
60 Demand
20
40
20 10
0 0
Nov
Jan
Jun
Jul
Aug
May
Apr
Feb
Sep
Oct
Mar
Dec
May
Mar
Apr
Nov
Aug
Jul
Oct
Dec
Jan
Feb
Jun
Sep
58
See Chopra and Meindl (2004): pp. 252
59
See Silver et alii (1998): pp. 334
Supply Chain Management Page: 31
Safety stock
Safety stock has to protect against uncertainty which may arise from internal processes like
production lead time, from unknown customer demand and from uncertain supplier lead
times. This implies that the main drivers for the safety stock level are production and
transport disruptions, forecasting errors, and lead time variations. The benefit of safety stock
is that it allows quick customer service and avoids lost sales, emergency shipments, and the
loss of goodwill. Furthermore, safety stock for raw materials enables smoother flow of goods
in the production process and avoids disruptions due to stock-outs at the raw material level.
Besides the uncertainty mentioned above, the main driver for safety stock is the length of the
lead time (transportation, production or procurement), which is necessary to replenish the
stock.62
60
See Sürie and Wagner (2004): pp. 40
61
See Silver et alii (1998): pp. 340
62
See Sürie and Wagner (2004): pp. 42
Supply Chain Management Page: 32
Service
Assets Speed
Figure 2-10: Dimensions of performance metrics of supply chains
63
See Hausman (2003): pp. 33
64
See Hausman (2003): p. 64
Supply Chain Management Page: 33
Service Metrics: service metrics measure how well a supply chain serves its customers.
Since it is generally difficult to quantify costs of stock-outs or late deliveries, targets are set
on customer levels.
Customer service metrics are different for the two different environments build-to-stock and
build-to-order. Build-to-stock items are items that should be immediately available for
purchase for the customer (e.g., office supply products), while for build-to-order the customer
is willing to wait for his order fulfilment a certain time.
• costs of back-ordered/lost sales are the costs of back-ordered and lost sales in a period.
• number of back orders are the number of back orders in a period.
• aging of back orders is the time it takes to fill a back order.
Assets (Inventory Metrics): these metrics measure the inventory involvement throughout
the supply chain.
• time supply or inventory turns. Time supply accounts for the time the supply chain can
surf and relates to the inventory flow. Inventory turns are the cost of goods sold per
inventory value.
From a supply chain perspective, it is important to see these metrics in combination with the
achieved service level the supply chain provides.
Speed Metrics: these are metrics related to timeliness, speed, responsiveness, and
flexibility.
• cycle (flow) time at a node is the total time it takes to fulfil an order.
• supply chain cycle time is the total time it would take to fulfil a new order if all upstream
and in-house inventory levels were zero.
• cash conversion cycle is the duration between paying for raw material or components and
getting paid by the customers. An estimate of the cash flow conversion cycle is the sum
of inventory and accounts receivable minus the accounts payable (measured in days of
supply).
• ”upside” flexibility is a measure of flexibility for demand that is higher than forecasted,
which is particularly interesting in high-tech industry. ”Upside” flexibility refers to the
requirement for a supplier to be prepared to deliver an additional percentage within
specified time windows.
• quoted customer response time (in build-to-order environment) already mentioned above
Supply Chain Management Page: 35
As supply chain networks are complex, not every detail has to be considered in a plan and
during a planning process. Therefore it is necessary to abstract from reality and use a
simplified copy, a so called model, for the structure of a plan. For planning purposes a model
is always an optimization model which contains an objective function that has to be
optimized. Such an objective function could, for instance, be the optimization of capacity
usage in certain locations to minimize asset costs.
Plans are in reality always linked to a planning horizon. When reaching the end of the
planning horizon, at the latest, a new plan has to be made that reflects the current status of
the supply chain towards the end of the planning horizon. Planning tasks are usually
classified according to the length of the planning horizon and the importance of the
decision.66 Anthony in 1965 first classified into three different planning levels:67
Long-term planning: covers typically all planning activities that are strategic
decisions and create the presupposition for the development of a supply chain in the
future. These decisions concern the design and structure of a supply chain and have
long-term effects, noticeable for several years. A typical long-term planning activity for
a cigarette manufacturer could be to define which production centre will be loaded
with which volume and with which product assortment for the next 3 to 5 years.
65
See Domschke and Scholl (2003), p. 30
66
See Fleischmann et alii (2003): p. 71
67
See Anthony (1965)
Supply Chain Management Page: 36
As the future is hardly predictable, a plan will always deviate from the reality. As a result,
plans and their deviation have to be controlled and revised in case the discrepancy is too
large. Planning on a rolling horizon basis is an implementation of this plan-control-revision
interaction. The planning horizon (e.g. one year) is divided into periods (e.g. months). At the
beginning of January a plan is made that covers 12 single months from January until
December. However, only the first period, the so-called frozen period, is actually put into
practice. At the beginning of the second period (February), a new plan is created that
considers the actual development of the first period and updates the forecast for the next 12
months. The new planning horizon overlaps and updates the previous one, so that planning
information becomes more accurate in the shorter time horizon and adds a new month at the
end of the planning cycle.68 Figure 2-11 shows an example of a 12-months-rolling forecast.
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
100 80 90 70 60 70 85 90 100 100 110 120
Frozen
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
105 90 80 70 70 80 80 80 100 110 110 130
Frozen + 1 planning month
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
105 90 80 70 70 80 80 80 100 110 110 130
Frozen + 1 planning month
68
See Fleischmann et alii (2003): p. 73
Supply Chain Management Page: 37
long-term
Aggregation
mid-term
short-term
information flows
71
Figure 2-12: Hierarchy of planning tasks
69
See ebenda (2003): p. 73
70
See Fleischmann et alii (2003): p. 74
71
Meyr (2004): p. 41
Supply Chain Management Page: 38
The increasing degree of detail is achieved by disaggregating data and results when going
down in the hierarchy. Aggregation concerns products: aggregated into groups, resources:
aggregated into capacity groups and time: aggregated into longer periods. The modules are
linked by vertical and horizontal information flows. The result of a higher planning module
sets restrictions for the subordinate plans, and the results of the latter yield feedback
information on performances (e.g. utilization) to the higher level.72
APS try to ‘computerize’ planning tasks. This might incur some problems for many human
planners because they may be afraid of being substituted by machines. This fear is based
upon three major advantages of APS: they visualize information, reduce planning time, and
allow an easy application of optimization methods. However, modelling is always a picture of
reality and therefore human knowledge and experience is required to bridge the gap between
model and reality. Planning systems remain decision support systems and even in event-
oriented planning modes it is the human planner who decides whether a plan has to be
revised.73
72
See Fleischmann et alii (2003): p. 73
73
See Schneeweiss (1999): p. 32
74
See Rohde et alii (2003): p. 76
Supply Chain Management Page: 39
75
Figure 2-13: The supply chain planning matrix
75
See Meyr (2004): p. 73
76
See Fleischmann et alii (2003): p. 76-79
Supply Chain Management Page: 40
the underlying cost structure. The objective is to minimize the long-term costs for
transportation, inventory, handling and investments in assets.
Cooperations:
Whole supply chain networks and not just companies are competing against each other.
Therefore planning and evaluation of collaboration concepts gain importance and lead to
further reduction of costs (e.g. procurement or logistics cost reduction by strategic
cooperation within the supply chain). Concepts delivering significant improvements in the
supply chain performance through cooperation are CPFR, VMI or JIT. (See also chapter 2.5).
Distribution Planning:
Mid-term distribution planning consists of the planning of transports and determination of the
necessary stock levels. A feasible plan fulfils the estimated demand and considers the
available transportation and storage capacities while minimizing the relevant costs. Inventory
77
See Fleischmann et alii (2003): p. 79-80
Supply Chain Management Page: 41
holding and transportation costs are elements of the objective function. The planning horizon
consists of weekly or monthly buckets including aggregated capacities.
Personnel planning:
Personnel planning calculates the necessary personnel requirements involved in each
production stage to fulfil a certain production schedule. This planning step includes the
specific know-how of personnel groups and their availability according to the labour
contracts. Often the planning includes additional part time labour forces who are employed
on a short term basis in order to have flexible capacity to cover seasonal fluctuations.
78
See Fleischmann et alii (2003): p. 80-82
Supply Chain Management Page: 42
promise (ATP) quantity. If a customer requests a product, the sales person checks online the
inventory and changes, in case the query can be fulfilled from the ATP stock, the requested
amount of stock from ATP stock into committed stock. The capable-to-promise (CTP)
approach is an extension of the traditional ATP task in where the salesperson is empowered
to create new production orders.
Ordering Materials:
The amount of material might already have been committed by the mid-term contracting, so
that the short-term task is to generate sales orders for the supplier and reschedule the order
dates in a cost efficient way in order to optimize inventory and transportation costs.
Supply Chain Management Page: 43
79
See Fleischmann et alii (2004): p. 81-82
Advanced Planning Systems Page: 44
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