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Jobs of Tomorrow
Large Language Models
and Jobs – A Business Toolkit
WHITE PAPER
DECEMBER 2023
Images: Getty Images
Contents
Foreword 3
Executive summary 4
Introduction 5
1.1
Responsible business strategies 8
2.1
Responsible business strategies 10
3.1
Responsible business strategies 12
Conclusion 13
Contributors 14
Endnotes 15
Disclaimer
This document is published by the
World Economic Forum as a contribution
to a project, insight area or interaction.
The findings, interpretations and
conclusions expressed herein are a result
of a collaborative process facilitated and
endorsed by the World Economic Forum
but whose results do not necessarily
represent the views of the World Economic
Forum, nor the entirety of its Members,
Partners or other stakeholders.
Foreword
Mary Kate Morley Ryan Elselot Hasselaar
Talent and Organization/ Head of Mission, Work,
Human Potential Managing Wages and Job Creation,
Director, Accenture World Economic Forum
Generative artificial intelligence (AI) and, in particular, initiative in curating strategies and practices that
large language models (LLMs), underpinned by facilitate LLMs to work for businesses, employees
advancements in machine learning and natural and society as a whole.
language processing, represent a paradigm
shift in how we interact with information and, by This paper is a direct follow-up on the previous
extension, how we work. These technologies can edition of the Jobs of Tomorrow series, Jobs of
create original content, generate insights from Tomorrow: Large Language Models and Jobs,
large amounts of data, translate languages with which took a structured approach to understanding
near-human accuracy and potentially even make the direct impact of LLMs on specific jobs. That
complex decisions. The versatility and efficiency of paper provided a structured analysis of the potential
these technologies, including new LLM-powered impact of LLMs on jobs, enabling stakeholders –
human-machine interfaces such as intelligent business leaders, policy-makers, workers and the
agents, could have profound implications for jobs broader public – to make more informed decisions.
and the future of work. In addition, the structured approach proposed in that
paper also provided a case study for future waves of
While the application of LLMs could lead to technological advancement across sectors.
significant productivity gains and the creation
of new types of jobs, there is also a risk that We are deeply grateful to the Centre for the New
they could displace existing roles, exacerbating Economy and Society partners and constituents for
socioeconomic disparities and creating a sense of their leadership of the jobs agenda, as well as for the
job insecurity among the global workforce. As such, partnership of the Accenture team, whose members
integrating AI into our workplaces is a balancing served as core collaborators on this paper. The
act between seizing opportunities and managing insights of this paper will be instrumental for the
potential disruptions. Jobs Consortium, a global coalition of ministers and
chief executive officers that promotes a better future
This paper is intended to serve as a toolkit for of work, through boosting labour market foresight,
businesses to provide guidance on strategies driving job creation and improving job quality while
to maximize the potential of employees as they enabling job transitions and will serve as a key tool
adapt, learn and grow with these technologies in for the Good Work Alliance, a global, cross-industry
their professional careers. This paper also serves group of businesses committed to prioritizing good
as a call to action for business leaders to take the work in an evolving jobs landscape.
The explosive popularity and accessibility of Jobs emphasizing face-to-face interaction are
generative artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, likely to be less affected. Businesses are urged to
such as GitHub’s Copilot, Midjourney and ChatGPT, adopt proactive and responsible approaches to
have produced AI’s first true inflexion point in manage this transformation, addressing concerns
public adoption, demonstrating the technology’s like job change and job displacement risk, job
transformative potential. While there are myriad quality and skilling. Structured analysis, planning
possible use cases for generative AI, including and proactive preparation are required of business
image, video, written language and music creation, leaders to ensure that LLMs and other technological
large language models (LLMs) have an outsized advancements lead to an improved future of work
potential to impact the greatest number of jobs in with new opportunities for workers.
the near future.
This paper serves as a toolkit for businesses,
The Future of Jobs Report 2023 states that global providing practical strategies to navigate the
business leaders believe that 23% of global jobs changing job landscape in three primary areas of
are expected to transform within the next five years consideration: 1) job change and job displacement
due to rapid technological advances, particularly in risk, 2) job quality, and 3) learning and skilling.
generative AI technologies. Especially, LLM’s have Each of these considerations is addressed through
the potential for both automating and augmenting business practices guided by three fundamental
tasks across various occupations. The Jobs of approaches: 1) promoting worker awareness, 2)
Tomorrow: Large Language Models and Jobs white facilitating organizational change, and 3) shifting
paper, published by the World Economic Forum workplace norms and culture. The result is a
and Accenture earlier in 2023, found that 40% business strategy matrix for effectively leading
of working hours could be transformed, affecting the workforce transition through the large-scale
roles from specialized fields requiring advanced deployment of LLMs.
degrees to those focused on routine procedures.
Technology is rapidly transforming the labour point, demonstrating the technology’s transformative
market. The Future of Jobs Report 2023 found potential. One week into its November 2022 launch,
that global business leaders expect 23% of current ChatGPT, OpenAI’s trained language model,
jobs to transform within the next five years.1 This reached one million users. By January, ChatGPT
transformation is driven by key trends like technology had reached one hundred million monthly active
adoption, the green transition and the global users, making it the fastest-growing consumer
macroeconomic outlook. In particular, technology application in history at the time.3
adoption is driving change in labour markets: 82%
of business leaders expect increased adoption of Generative transformer models have the ability to
new technologies to drive business transformation, impact all classes of creative work, possessing
while 37% of business leaders anticipate that new the capability to generate novel images, videos,
technologies will be a net job creator, and 21% music, sounds and written language. While there are
believe that they will be a net job displacer. myriad possible use cases for generative AI, large
language models (LLMs) and their unique language-
Throughout 2023, specifically, generative artificial generating capabilities have an outsized potential
intelligence (AI) has developed at a rapid pace in to impact the greatest number of jobs in the near
terms of capabilities and adoption, and that pace future. LLMs, such as those powering ChatGPT,
shows no signs of slowing down. In fact, three have demonstrated this rapid development and
out of every four companies across the globe have the potential to impact many jobs and workers
are expected to adopt technologies that include across industries. In September 2023, to increase
generative AI in the next 3 to 5 years, and 98% understanding of how LLMs could impact jobs,
of global executives agree AI foundation models the World Economic Forum, in collaboration with
will play an important role in their organizations’ Accenture, published the Jobs of Tomorrow:
strategies in that same time period.2 GitHub’s Large Language Models and Jobs white paper.
Copilot, Midjourney and ChatGPT are a case in It provides a structured analysis of the potential
Worker awareness 1 D
eploy proactive forecasting and 4 Ensure inclusive design of AI and 7 R
oll out broad LLM literacy
communicate expectations LLM applications programmes alongside AI-
specific jobs
Organizational 2 S
et up and make use of internal 5 Implement transparent 8 A
pply a skill-first approach
change job markets governance structures for LLM organization wide
deployment
Concerns have arisen that the latest wave of for augmentation by LLMs, meaning these
generative AI technologies, specifically LLMs, could technologies will assist in task execution and boost
lead to the automation of job tasks and, ultimately, individual productivity. Additionally, the paper found
job loss. While labour market predictions are never there is potential to generate new employment
100% certain, recent World Economic Forum opportunities by creating roles that oversee,
research took a structured approach and found that complement and enhance AI’s capabilities.
the adoption of LLMs could automate some tasks
and augment others.5 The Future of Jobs Report 2023 echoes many
of these findings, indicating that many of the
The World Economic Forum’s Jobs of Tomorrow: jobs with high potential for automation by LLMs
Large Language Models and Jobs white paper were also expected by business leaders to
Job tasks found that job tasks with the highest potential undergo employment decline within the next
emphasizing for automation by LLMs tend to be those that five years, such as bank tellers and related
abstract reasoning use language in a routine and repetitive manner. clerks, data entry clerks, and administrative
and problem- While LLMs will impact tasks – rather than jobs and executive secretaries. Jobs with higher
solving skills as a whole – jobs emphasizing these types of potential for augmentation are expected
have the highest language tasks could see a decline, with some to grow, such as AI and machine learning
potential for workers aware of this potential. For example, over specialists, data analysts and scientists, and
the course of Q3 of 2023, global searches for database and network professionals.
augmentation by
“Is my job safe?” doubled, indicating the public’s
LLMs, meaning increasing concern about whether LLMs would Nevertheless, labour market predictions are
these technologies automate their jobs.6 However, LLMs and other never completely certain and will likely evolve with
will assist in task generative AI technologies offer potential for the development of LLMs. Businesses must be
execution and job growth as well. The same paper found that proactively engaged in addressing the concerns of
boost individual job tasks emphasizing abstract reasoning and their workers while preparing them to adapt to the
productivity. problem-solving skills have the highest potential transition to come.
1.1
Responsible business strategies
– In 2019, Singapore launched its National AI Create a company culture that values and rewards
Strategy, which includes additional skilling and flexibility in job roles, encouraging employees
education programmes to support workers – to embrace diverse work experiences and
particularly relevant as a 2018 report by Cisco interdisciplinary skill development, which could
and Oxford Economics found that Singapore reduce the anxiety around job displacement and
had the most relative exposure of six ASEAN promote a resilient workforce.
countries to potential job displacement effects
of AI, with 7 in 10 workers in Singapore – By cultivating a culture that values workforce
saying AI will impact their jobs.9 Furthering agility, employees become more adaptable
this commitment to skilling and workforce and resilient, better equipped to transition
resilience, the Infocom Media Development into new roles as LLMs impact job markets.
Authority (IMDA), for example, recently Creating such a company culture involves a
committed to reskilling 18,000 Singaporeans deliberate approach that starts with leadership
in AI and adjacent skills through these skilling commitment and the clear articulation of a
programmes.10 These efforts have borne fruit new vision and values. It involves engaging
– since the introduction of the programme employees, aligning hiring and reward systems
in 2015, 1 in 4 eligible Singaporeans has to these values, and reinforcing them through
participated in SkillsFuture Singapore across consistent policies and communication.
many industries, participating companies and
education programmes.11 – A good example is “side project time”, or “the
20% concept”, popularized by Google but which
is also currently used by firms like Atlassian15 and
Organizational change – Rakuten.16 These programmes have enabled
employees to focus on personal projects not
set up and make use of directly tied to a job task during their time at
internal job markets work. Side projects enable employees to explore
personal interests and build transferable skills
Create a dynamic internal job marketplace that helps outside their job specialization, helping retention,
employees transition into roles as technology and improving morale and encouraging creativity.17 It
business conditions change. also enables companies to boost their innovative
potential – something large companies struggle
– Developing internal job markets enables with.18 The output from these programmes can
employees to understand the opportunities be significant: Gmail and AdSense both arose
available to them within the firm and provides a from past side projects at Google.19
Concerns have also arisen that LLMs and other evidence that LLMs have impacted worker’s well-
generative AI technologies could erode job quality, being.20 Yet, worker anxiety has increased. A 2023
potentially making jobs and workplaces less fulfilling survey by the American Psychological Association
and less inclusive and fair. Additionally, increasing found that 38% of workers are worried about the
concerns about bias in LLMs highlight the risk of impact of AI on their jobs; roughly half of those with
inherent systemic discrimination in these models, these concerns say that work negatively affects
which could exacerbate existing inequalities. Despite their mental health, compared to only 29% of those
these concerns, emerging data show that LLMS and without concerns.21
AI technologies also have the potential to improve
job quality. As discussed in Jobs of Tomorrow: Large Another critical concern is that LLMs could induce
Language Models and Jobs, the use of LLMs could bias in responses that lead to decision-making,
automate the more routine and repetitive tasks on highlighting the importance of adhering to the Good
the job, which could otherwise disengage workers, Work Framework’s objective of driving diversity,
while making room for more creative, problem- equity and inclusion. For instance, persistent
solving and independent decision-making tasks patterns of racial and ethnic discrimination could
LLMs could on the job, boosting worker fulfilment. The World be reflected in hiring datasets, which could skew
automate the Economic Forum’s Good Work Framework offers algorithms used to sort and filter job candidates in
more routine and a robust definition of job quality and a strategic the application screening process.22 In the same
repetitive tasks template to maintain and improve the quality of work vein, most LLMs are trained on English texts, which
on the job, which in rapidly evolving labour markets. It outlines key could lead LLMs to produce overwhelmingly Anglo-
could otherwise objectives to create a better future of work, including centric responses.23 Furthermore, the burdens
disengage workers, promoting fair wages and responsible technology of adapting LLM-induced changes in jobs could
while making room use, providing flexibility and protection for all disproportionately fall on particular population groups
workers, ensuring health and well-being, driving who may be over or underrepresented in affected
for more creative,
diversity, equity and inclusion, and creating a culture occupations, such as women and ethnic minorities.24
problem solving of continuous learning and employability.
and independent Businesses must move proactively and with
decision-making Of particular relevance when incorporating LLMs urgency to address these concerns, particularly
tasks on the job, and other AI technologies on the job is the around job quality, agency and inclusivity, if they are
boosting worker framework’s objective of maintaining the health and to establish the trust needed to unlock the positive
fulfilment. total well-being of workers. There is not yet strong potential of LLMs.
With the ascent of LLMs and other AI systems, technology literacy, curiosity and lifelong learning,
it has become imperative for organizations to resiliency, flexibility and agility, which three out of
embrace a culture of continuous learning and skill four firms predict will rise in importance. AI and
development. Additionally, many workers have big data skills rank as the number three priority
doubts surrounding their current skill levels. The in company training strategies between 2023
Accenture Future of Work Study 2022 showed that and 2027 – and are the number one priority for
only 31% of workers are confident that their skills will companies with over 50,000 employees. The need
be relevant in five years.35 Over 50% of employees for AI skills is also evident directly in employment
believe LLM skills specifically will be essential to their data. Employer demand for LLM and other
role, according to a global study done by the staffing generative AI skills is growing. AI skills are rare
agency Randstad.36 and in high demand, creating a new marketplace
for highly paid talent while widening reskilling
Employers have also expressed similar concerns: opportunities across adjacent skillsets.38 Across 15
according to the Future of Jobs Report 2023, advanced economies, AI hiring is up by about 60%
business leaders estimate that 44% of workers’ since 2016. In an analysis of job postings in 2022,
skills will be disrupted in the next five years. jobs requiring AI skills reached 2.05% of postings in
Businesses estimate that six in 10 workers will the United States.39
Business leaders require training before 2027, yet only half of
estimate that 44% workers are seen to have access to adequate By focusing on the development of skills, from core
of workers’ skills training opportunities today.37 Training will naturally digital literacy to deep AI expertise, organizations have
will be disrupted in need to focus on the skills predicted to grow the an opportunity to fill critical talent gaps while improving
the next five years. most, namely analytical skills, creative thinking, the overall working experience of their people.
Allison Horn
Talent and Organization/Human Potential Managing
Director
Christine Nanan
Principal Director, Accenture Strategy
Kathleen O’Reilly
Global Lead, Accenture Communications, Media
and Technology
Leila Yosef
Senior Principal, Accenture Research
Acknowledgements