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Feasibility

Studies
Assoc. Prof. İrem UÇAL SARI
Istanbul Technical University

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Syllabus
Date Week Topic
21.09.2022 1 General Introduction
28.09.2022 2 Recognizing Opportunities and Generating Ideas
5.10.2022 3 Pre-feasibility Study and Feasibility Study
12.10.2022 4 Market Feasibility
19.10.2022 5 Project presentations (Idea Generation and Selection)
26.10.2022 6 Project presentations (Idea Generation and Selection)
02.11.2022 7 Technical Feasibility
09.11.2022 8 Financial Feasibility
16.11.2022 9 Midterm Exam
23.11.2022 10 Project Presentations
30.11.2022 11 Project Presentations
07.12.2022 12 Project Presentations
14.12.2022 13 Selection of the project alternatives using MCDM Methods
21.12.2022 14 Best Term Project Determination. In class application

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PREFEASIBILITY STUDY

• The applicability of the investment idea is


questioned
• Demand?
• Technical requirements?
• Financial requirements?
• It is not precise and does not contain details.

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Pre-Feasibility Study
• an early-stage analysis of potential projects.

• conducted by a small team

• designed to give company stakeholders the


basic information they need
• to green-light the project
or
• choose between potential investments.

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Pre-Feasibility Study

• These studies typically yield information


considered important to the decision-
making process.
• an overview of
• a project’s logistics,
• capital requirements,
• key challenges, etc.

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Pre-Feasibility Study
• Pre-feasibility studies act as one of the first
explorations of a potential investment,
following a preliminary resource report.

• Companies use these studies to collect


information before investing money and
time in a detailed feasibility study.

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Pre-Feasibility Study
• Takes into account factors that may impact
or interfere with the final project such as
community issues, geographic obstacles,
permit challenges…

• If the pre-feasibility study results in a


positive base-case scenario, the company
will likely move on to the next stage: a
feasibility study.
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Pre-feasibility Study

Pre-feasibility Study Feasibility Study

✓ Objective: To determine whether the


✓ Objective: To determine the true
project idea needs further
profit of the project and work on
investigation (whether a feasibility
details.
study is required or not and what
aspects of the project are critical to
its viability.)

❖ Scope: An overview of the project ❖ Scope: Maximum coverage of the


proposal is furnished. Complete project proposal as the decision is
details not presented. based on economic feasibility-like
technical and financial feasibility,
commercial viability, organizational
support, etc.

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Pre-feasibility Study
Pre-feasibility Study Feasibility Study

➢ Type of Research: All types of


➢ Type of Research: Most
research methodologies are
information is obtained from
followed: Primary sources including
secondary sources and informal
formal and informal networks are
surveys.
used to gather complete information

❖ Information expected from the ❖ Information expected from the


report: Location and site, Market, report: Location, Technology,
Plant capacity, Materials, Project Capacity, Investment required,
Engineering and Technology and production costs, sales return on
Equipment, Manpower, Overheads, investment, dept-equity ratio,
implementation, Financial analysis, projected cash flows, cost-benefit
Project financing, Investment, analysis, pre-operative expenses,
Production costs, Commercial sources of funds, justification of
profitability. assumptions and solutions obtained,
complete implementation schedule
with necessary charts and milestones.
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Pre-feasibility Study

Pre-feasibility Study Feasibility Study

✓ Time Spent: Short duration ✓ Time Spent: Long-term 1 to 2 tears


ranging from 3 to 6 months. depending on the nature and
complexity of projects as complete
information needs to be gathered.

➢ Cost involvement: Minimal ➢ Cost involvement: Generally in the


range of 1.5 to 3% of project value
for small and medium projects and
0.5-1.5% for large projects.

❖ Accuracy of information gathered: ❖ Accuracy of information gathered:


about 60% to 70% generally Information needs to be very
accurate (90% to 95%) as decisions
are based on this report.

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Pre-feasibility Study

Comprises several stages:

➢ Opportunity Studies: Identification of


investment opportunities
➢ Analysis of project alternatives
➢ Preliminary project selection
➢ Project Preparation (Pre-feasibility and
feasibility studies)
➢ Project Appraisal
➢ Investment Decisions (Appraisal Report)
➢ Support or functional studies
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❖ The identification of investment
opportunities

❖ The main instrument used to quantify the


parameters, information, and data required

Opportunity to develop a project idea into a proposal.


Studies ❖ Rather sketchy in nature and rely more on
aggregate estimates than on detailed
analysis.

❖ Cost data are usually taken from


comparable existing projects.

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❖ Natural resources with potential for
processing and manufacture
❖ The existing agricultural pattern that serves
as a basis for agro-based industries
❖ Future demand for certain customer goods
Opportunity that have growth potential as a result of
studies increased population or purchasing power
should or for newly developed goods.
analyze: ❖ Imports, in order to identify areas for
import substitution
❖ Environmental impact
❖ Manufacturing sectors successful in other
countries with similar economic
backgrounds and levels of development,
capital, labor and natural resources
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❖ Possible extension of existing lines of
manufacturing by backward or forward
integration
❖ Possibilities for diversification
❖ Possible extensions of existing industrial
Opportunity capacity
studies ❖ The general investment climate
should
❖ Industrial policies
analyze:
❖ Availability and cost of production factors
❖ Export possibilities

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In the Pre-feasibility Study
before assigning larger funds for a feasibility study

➢ All possible project alternatives have been examined;


➢ Any aspects of the project are critical to its feasibility
and necessitate in-depth investigation through functional
or support studies such as market surveys, laboratory
tests, or pilot-plant tests are determined;
➢ The project idea, on the basis of the available
information, should be considered either non-viable or
attractive enough for a particular investor or investor
group;
➢ The standards and regulations that may prevent the
realization of the project are controlled.
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Pre-feasibility Study: First Screen Evaluation
Pre-feasibility Study: First Screen Evaluation
Pre-feasibility Study: First Screen Evaluation
Pre-feasibility Study: First Screen Evaluation
Pre-feasibility Case Study:
Green Housing

Greening the Ethiopian housing sector


Project through a package of regulatory and
Description
institutional reforms that incentivize the
delivery of affordable, green housing

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Case Study: Green Housing
• The housing market currently responds to the demand for
more affordable housing through the rapid building of low-
cost and poor-quality housing, not taking into account trends
of broader urban and industrial development and the impacts
on climate resilience and energy intensity of residential
buildings and streets.
Market
• Without intervention, this can lead to:
Failure
• Urban infrastructure that locks Ethiopia into a pathway
of unsustainable
• development in the long-term (50 years+);
• Deterioration of urban environmental and public health
(lack of basic services in slums; pollution of land, air,
and water); and
• Poor quality, unsustainable housing choices which
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impact growth potential due to failure to attract labor.
Case Study: Green Housing
• Increase resilience of the built environment, reducing
environmental risk and GHG emissions from housing

• Strengthen institutions and improve coordination with


Strategic private sector to meet housing targets
Intent
• Reform policy and regulatory environment to provide
incentives for developing alternative green building
materials and techniques that are both culturally
acceptable and support employment in a green
construction sector.
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Case Study: Green Housing
• Institutions: Align CRGE, urban, housing, and
construction strategies; build
• knowledge base and capacity of city and regional
governments on housing issues
Proposed
• Incentive mechanisms: Review and update housing
interventions
policy objectives; urban
• planning and building codes/regulations.
• Investment: Investment in a green building design
competition to deliver up to 2,000 greenhouses in two
sites to demonstrate alternative building techniques and
materials and incentivize innovation and
entrepreneurship.
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Case Study: Green Housing
• Additional, decent, affordable housing that is
climate resilient and supports industrial
Expected development
Benefits • Reduced CO2e in housing build and operation
• Green Job creation in construction and related
sectors

• Estimated CAPEX: $US10 million


Investment costs
• Estimated OPEX: n/a

Implementation
timescale • Medium (2-5 years)
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Case Study: Green Housing

Implementing • Ministry of Urban Development and Housing


Organizations • Ministry of Construction

Potential source
• Green Climate Fund, Private sector, DFIs
of finance

• Development Terms of Reference for the


design competition. Develop a road map for
Recommended
policy and regulatory reform.
next steps
• Review guidelines on industrial park
expansion in consultation with city authorities.
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Role of Feasibility Analysis
in Developing Successful
Business Ideas

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Forms of Feasibility Analysis

1
Product/Service Feasibility (Pre-
feasibility/Market Feasibility)

2 Industry/Target Market Feasibility

3 Organizational / Technical Feasibility

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Outline for a Comprehensive Feasibility
Analysis
Part 1: Product/Service Feasibility
A. Product/service desirability
B. Product/service demand

Part 2: Industry/Target Market Feasibility


A. Industry attractiveness
B. Target market attractiveness
Part 3: Organizational Feasibility
A. Management prowess
B. Resource sufficiency
Part 4: Financial Feasibility
A. Total start-up cash needed
B. Financial performance of similar businesses
C. Overall financial attractiveness of the proposed venture
Overall Assessment
Product/Service Feasibility Analysis
Purpose
• Is an assessment of the overall appeal of the product
or service being proposed.
• Before a prospective firm rushes a new product or
service into development, it should be sure that the
product or service is what prospective customers want.
• Components of product/service feasibility analysis
• Product/Service Desirability
• Product/Service Demand

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Product/Service Feasibility Analysis
• Product/Service Desirability (1/2)
– Determine the basic appeal of the product or service.
• Does it make sense? Is it reasonable? Is it something consumers
will get excited about?
• Does it take advantage of an environmental trend, solve a problem,
or take advantage of a gap in the marketplace?
• Is this a good time to introduce the product or service to the market?
• Are there any fatal flaws in the product or service’s basic design or
concept?

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Product/Service Feasibility Analysis
• Product/Service Desirability (2/2)
– Administer a Concept Test
▪ A concept statement should be developed.
▪ A concept statement is a one-page description of a product or
service idea that is distributed to people who are asked to provide
feedback on the potential of the idea.
▪ The feedback will hopefully provide the entrepreneur:
– A sense of the viability of the product or service idea.
– Suggestions for how the idea can be strengthened or “tweaked”
before proceeding further.

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Product/Service Feasibility Analysis
• Product/Service Demand
• Step 1: Talking Face-to-Face with Potential
Customers
• Step 2: Using Online Tools
• Step 3: Library, Internet and Gumshoe Research

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Industry/Target Market Feasibility
Analysis (1 of 2)
Purpose
• Is an assessment of the overall appeal of the industry and
the target market for the proposed business.
• An industry is a group of firms producing a similar product
or service.
• A firm’s target market is the limited portion of the industry
it plans to go after.

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Industry/Target Market Feasibility
Analysis (2 of 2)
Components of industry/target market feasibility analysis
• Industry Attractiveness
• Target Market Attractiveness

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Organizational Feasibility Analysis
Purpose
• Is conducted to determine whether a proposed business
has sufficient management expertise, organizational
competence, and resources to successfully launch a
business.
• Focuses on non-financial resources (financial resources
are considered later)

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Organizational Feasibility Analysis (2 of 2)
Components of organizational feasibility analysis
• Management Prowess
• Resource Sufficiency

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Management Prowess
• A proposed business should candidly evaluate the
prowess, or ability, of its management team to satisfy itself
that management has the requisite passion and expertise
to launch the venture.
• Two of the most important factors in this area are:
‒ The passion that the sole entrepreneur or the founding
team has for the business idea.
‒ The extent to which the sole entrepreneur or the
founding team understands the markets in which the
firm will participate.

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Resource Sufficiency
• This topic pertains to an assessment of whether an
entrepreneur has sufficient resources to launch the
proposed venture.
• To test resource sufficiency, a firm should list the 6 to 12
most critical nonfinancial resources that will be needed to
move the business idea forward successfully.
‒ If critical resources are not available in certain areas, it
may be impractical to proceed with the business idea.

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Financial Feasibility Analysis (1 of 2)
Purpose
• Is the final component of a comprehensive feasibility
analysis.
• A preliminary financial assessment is sufficient.

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Financial Feasibility Analysis (2 of 2)
Components of financial feasibility analysis
• Total Start-Up Cash Needed
• Financial Performance of Similar Businesses
• Overall Financial Attractiveness of the Proposed Venture

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