Denmark-ХИПЦ - Оценка на следната Предвидени

Date t (yt-yt^)^2
yt вредност - ln вредности - yt^

0 2.86
2000M01 2.8 1 2.80 2.86 0.00
2000M02 2.8 2 2.80 2.80 0.00
2000M03 2.9 3 2.90 2.80 0.01
2000M04 2.9 4 2.90 2.90 0.00
2000M05 2.9 5 2.90 2.90 0.00
2000M06 2.9 6 2.90 2.90 0.00
2000M07 2.8 7 2.80 2.90 0.01
2000M08 2.1 8 2.10 2.80 0.49
2000M09 2.8 9 2.80 2.10 0.49
2000M10 2.9 10 2.90 2.80 0.01
2000M11 2.8 11 2.80 2.90 0.01
2000M12 2.4 12 2.40 2.80 0.16
2001M01 2.4 13 2.40 2.40 0.00
2001M02 2.3 14 2.30 2.40 0.01
2001M03 2.2 15 2.20 2.30 0.01
2001M04 2.6 16 2.60 2.20 0.16
2001M05 2.7 17 2.70 2.60 0.01
2001M06 2.3 18 2.30 2.70 0.16
2001M07 2.3 19 2.30 2.30 0.00
2001M08 2.5 20 2.50 2.30 0.04
2001M09 2.2 21 2.20 2.50 0.09
2001M10 1.9 22 1.90 2.20 0.09
2001M11 1.8 23 1.80 1.90 0.01
2001M12 2 24 2.00 1.80 0.04
2002M01 2.3 25 2.30 2.00 0.09
2002M02 2.4 26 2.40 2.30 0.01
2002M03 2.5 27 2.50 2.40 0.01
2002M04 2.4 28 2.40 2.50 0.01
2002M05 2 29 2.00 2.40 0.16
2002M06 2.1 30 2.10 2.00 0.01
2002M07 2.1 31 2.10 2.10 0.00
2002M08 2.4 32 2.40 2.10 0.09
2002M09 2.4 33 2.40 2.40 0.00
2002M10 2.6 34 2.60 2.40 0.04
2002M11 2.8 35 2.80 2.60 0.04
2002M12 2.6 36 2.60 2.80 0.04
2003M01 2.6 37 2.60 2.60 0.00
2003M02 2.7 38 2.70 2.60 0.01
2003M03 3 39 3.00 2.70 0.09
2003M04 2.3 40 2.30 3.00 0.49
2003M05 2.1 41 2.10 2.30 0.04
2003M06 2 42 2.00 2.10 0.01
2003M07 1.7 43 1.70 2.00 0.09
2003M08 1.6 44 1.60 1.70 0.01
2003M09 1.7 45 1.70 1.60 0.01
2003M10 1.2 46 1.20 1.70 0.25
2003M11 1.3 47 1.30 1.20 0.01
2003M12 1.2 48 1.20 1.30 0.01
2004M01 1 49 1.00 1.20 0.04
2004M02 0.7 50 0.70 1.00 0.09
2004M03 0.4 51 0.40 0.70 0.09
2004M04 0.6 52 0.60 0.40 0.04
2004M05 1.1 53 1.10 0.60 0.25
2004M06 1 54 1.00 1.10 0.01
2004M07 1.2 55 1.20 1.00 0.04
2004M08 0.8 56 0.80 1.20 0.16
2004M09 0.8 57 0.80 0.80 0.00
2004M10 1.6 58 1.60 0.80 0.64
2004M11 1.1 59 1.10 1.60 0.25
2004M12 1 60 1.00 1.10 0.01
2005M01 0.8 61 0.80 1.00 0.04
2005M02 1.1 62 1.10 0.80 0.09
2005M03 1.3 63 1.30 1.10 0.04
2005M04 1.7 64 1.70 1.30 0.16
2005M05 1.3 65 1.30 1.70 0.16
2005M06 1.7 66 1.70 1.30 0.16
2005M07 1.9 67 1.90 1.70 0.04
2005M08 2.3 68 2.30 1.90 0.16
2005M09 2.5 69 2.50 2.30 0.04
2005M10 1.9 70 1.90 2.50 0.36
2005M11 1.9 71 1.90 1.90 0.00
2005M12 2.3 72 2.30 1.90 0.16
2006M01 2 73 2.00 2.30 0.09
2006M02 2.1 74 2.10 2.00 0.01
2006M03 1.8 75 1.80 2.10 0.09
2006M04 1.9 76 1.90 1.80 0.01
2006M05 2 77 2.00 1.90 0.01
2006M06 2.1 78 2.10 2.00 0.01
2006M07 2 79 2.00 2.10 0.01
2006M08 2 80 2.00 2.00 0.00
2006M09 1.4 81 1.40 2.00 0.36
2006M10 1.4 82 1.40 1.40 0.00
2006M11 1.8 83 1.80 1.40 0.16
2006M12 1.6 84 1.60 1.80 0.04
2007M01 1.8 85 1.80 1.60 0.04
2007M02 1.9 86 1.90 1.80 0.01
2007M03 2 87 2.00 1.90 0.01
2007M04 1.6 88 1.60 2.00 0.16
2007M05 1.7 89 1.70 1.60 0.01
2007M06 1.3 90 1.30 1.70 0.16
2007M07 1 91 1.00 1.30 0.09
2007M08 0.8 92 0.80 1.00 0.04
2007M09 1.1 93 1.10 0.80 0.09
2007M10 1.7 94 1.70 1.10 0.36
2007M11 2.5 95 2.50 1.70 0.64
2007M12 2.4 96 2.40 2.50 0.01
2008M01 3.1 97 3.10 2.40 0.49
2008M02 3.2 98 3.20 3.10 0.01
2008M03 3.3 99 3.30 3.20 0.01
2008M04 3.4 100 3.40 3.30 0.01
2008M05 3.6 101 3.60 3.40 0.04
2008M06 4.2 102 4.20 3.60 0.36
2008M07 4.3 103 4.30 4.20 0.01
2008M08 4.8 104 4.80 4.30 0.25
2008M09 4.5 105 4.50 4.80 0.09
2008M10 3.8 106 3.80 4.50 0.49
2008M11 2.8 107 2.80 3.80 1.00
2008M12 2.5 108 2.50 2.80 0.09
2009M01 1.7 109 1.70 2.50 0.64
2009M02 1.7 110 1.70 1.70 0.00
2009M03 1.5 111 1.50 1.70 0.04
2009M04 1.1 112 1.10 1.50 0.16
2009M05 1 113 1.00 1.10 0.01
2009M06 0.9 114 0.90 1.00 0.01
2009M07 0.7 115 0.70 0.90 0.04
2009M08 0.8 116 0.80 0.70 0.01
2009M09 0.4 117 0.40 0.80 0.16
2009M10 0.8 118 0.80 0.40 0.16
2009M11 1 119 1.00 0.80 0.04
2009M12 1.1 120 1.10 1.00 0.01
2010M01 1.9 121 1.90 1.10 0.64
2010M02 1.9 122 1.90 1.90 0.00
2010M03 2.1 123 2.10 1.90 0.04
2010M04 2.4 124 2.40 2.10 0.09
2010M05 2.1 125 2.10 2.40 0.09
2010M06 1.6 126 1.60 2.10 0.25
2010M07 2.2 127 2.20 1.60 0.36
2010M08 2.3 128 2.30 2.20 0.01
2010M09 2.6 129 2.60 2.30 0.09
2010M10 2.3 130 2.30 2.60 0.09
2010M11 2.4 131 2.40 2.30 0.01
2010M12 2.8 132 2.80 2.40 0.16
2011M01 2.6 133 2.60 2.80 0.04
2011M02 2.6 134 2.60 2.60 0.00
2011M03 2.6 135 2.60 2.60 0.00
2011M04 2.9 136 2.90 2.60 0.09
2011M05 3 137 3.00 2.90 0.01
2011M06 3 138 3.00 3.00 0.00
2011M07 2.9 139 2.90 3.00 0.01
2011M08 2.4 140 2.40 2.90 0.25
2011M09 2.3 141 2.30 2.40 0.01
2011M10 2.7 142 2.70 2.30 0.16
2011M11 2.5 143 2.50 2.70 0.04
2011M12 2.4 144 2.40 2.50 0.01
2012M01 2.7 145 2.70 2.40 0.09
2012M02 2.7 146 2.70 2.70 0.00
2012M03 2.7 147 2.70 2.70 0.00
2012M04 2.2 148 2.20 2.70 0.25
2012M05 2.1 149 2.10 2.20 0.01
2012M06 2.2 150 2.20 2.10 0.01
2012M07 2.2 151 2.20 2.20 0.00
2012M08 2.6 152 2.60 2.20 0.16
2012M09 2.6 153 2.60 2.60 0.00
2012M10 2.3 154 2.30 2.60 0.09
2012M11 2.3 155 2.30 2.30 0.00
2012M12 1.9 156 1.90 2.30 0.16
2013M01 0.9 157 0.90 1.90 1.00
2013M02 1.1 158 1.10 0.90 0.04
2013M03 0.7 159 0.70 1.10 0.16
2013M04 0.5 160 0.50 0.70 0.04
2013M05 0.7 161 0.70 0.50 0.04
2013M06 0.6 162 0.60 0.70 0.01
2013M07 0.4 163 0.40 0.60 0.04
2013M08 0.1 164 0.10 0.40 0.09
2013M09 0.1 165 0.10 0.10 0.00
2013M10 0.4 166 0.40 0.10 0.09
2013M11 0.2 167 0.20 0.40 0.04
2013M12 0.5 168 0.50 0.20 0.09
2014M01 0.8 169 0.80 0.50 0.09
2014M02 0.3 170 0.30 0.80 0.25
2014M03 0.2 171 0.20 0.30 0.01
2014M04 0.5 172 0.50 0.20 0.09
2014M05 0.3 173 0.30 0.50 0.04
2014M06 0.4 174 0.40 0.30 0.01
2014M07 0.5 175 0.50 0.40 0.01
2014M08 0.3 176 0.30 0.50 0.04
2014M09 0.3 177 0.30 0.30 0.00
2014M10 0.2 178 0.20 0.30 0.01
2014M11 0.3 179 0.30 0.20 0.01
2014M12 0.1 180 0.10 0.30 0.04
2015M01 -0.3 181 -0.30 0.10 0.16
2015M02 -0.1 182 -0.10 -0.30 0.04
2015M03 0.3 183 0.30 -0.10 0.16
2015M04 0.4 184 0.40 0.30 0.01
2015M05 0.4 185 0.40 0.40 0.00
2015M06 0.4 186 0.40 0.40 0.00
2015M07 0.5 187 0.50 0.40 0.01
2015M08 0.3 188 0.30 0.50 0.04
2015M09 0.3 189 0.30 0.30 0.00
2015M10 0.1 190 0.10 0.30 0.04
2015M11 0.1 191 0.10 0.10 0.00
2015M12 0.3 192 0.30 0.10 0.04
2016M01 0.4 193 0.40 0.30 0.01
2016M02 0.1 194 0.10 0.40 0.09
2016M03 -0.3 195 -0.30 0.10 0.16
2016M04 -0.3 196 -0.30 -0.30 0.00
2016M05 -0.1 197 -0.10 -0.30 0.04
2016M06 0.1 198 0.10 -0.10 0.04
2016M07 0.1 199 0.10 0.10 0.00
2016M08 0 200 0.00 0.10 0.01
2016M09 -0.3 201 -0.30 0.00 0.09
2016M10 0.1 202 0.10 -0.30 0.16
2016M11 0.1 203 0.10 0.10 0.00
2016M12 0.3 204 0.30 0.10 0.04
2017M01 0.7 205 0.70 0.30 0.16
2017M02 0.9 206 0.90 0.70 0.04
2017M03 0.9 207 0.90 0.90 0.00
2017M04 1 208 1.00 0.90 0.01
2017M05 0.7 209 0.70 1.00 0.09
2017M06 0.4 210 0.40 0.70 0.09
2017M07 1.5 211 1.50 0.40 1.21
2017M08 1.5 212 1.50 1.50 0.00
2017M09 1.6 213 1.60 1.50 0.01
2017M10 1.4 214 1.40 1.60 0.04
2017M11 1.3 215 1.30 1.40 0.01
2017M12 0.8 216 0.80 1.30 0.25
2018M01 0.6 217 0.60 0.80 0.04
2018M02 0.5 218 0.50 0.60 0.01
2018M03 0.4 219 0.40 0.50 0.01
2018M04 0.7 220 0.70 0.40 0.09
2018M05 1 221 1.00 0.70 0.09
2018M06 1.1 222 1.10 1.00 0.01
2018M07 0.9 223 0.90 1.10 0.04
2018M08 0.8 224 0.80 0.90 0.01
2018M09 0.5 225 0.50 0.80 0.09
2018M10 0.7 226 0.70 0.50 0.04
2018M11 0.7 227 0.70 0.70 0.00
2018M12 0.7 228 0.70 0.70 0.00
2019M01 1.2 229 1.20 0.70 0.25
2019M02 1.1 230 1.10 1.20 0.01
2019M03 1.2 231 1.20 1.10 0.01
2019M04 0.9 232 0.90 1.20 0.09
2019M05 0.7 233 0.70 0.90 0.04
2019M06 0.5 234 0.50 0.70 0.04
2019M07 0.4 235 0.40 0.50 0.01
2019M08 0.5 236 0.50 0.40 0.01
2019M09 0.4 237 0.40 0.50 0.01
2019M10 0.6 238 0.60 0.40 0.04
2019M11 0.6 239 0.60 0.60 0.00
2019M12 0.8 240 0.80 0.60 0.04
2020M01 0.8 241 0.80 0.80 0.00
2020M02 0.7 242 0.70 0.80 0.01
2020M03 0.3 243 0.30 0.70 0.16
2020M04 -0.1 244 -0.10 0.30 0.16
2020M05 -0.2 245 -0.20 -0.10 0.01
2020M06 0.2 246 0.20 -0.20 0.16
2020M07 0.4 247 0.40 0.20 0.04
2020M08 0.4 248 0.40 0.40 0.00
2020M09 0.5 249 0.50 0.40 0.01
2020M10 0.3 250 0.30 0.50 0.04
2020M11 0.4 251 0.40 0.30 0.01
2020M12 0.4 252 0.40 0.40 0.00
2021M07 1.7 253 1.70 0.40 1.69
2021M08 1.8 254 1.80 1.70 0.01
2021M09 2.4 255 2.40 1.80 0.36
2021M10 3.2 256 3.20 2.40 0.64
2021M11 3.8 257 3.80 3.20 0.36
2021M12 3.4 258 3.40 3.80 0.16
2022M01 4.9 259 4.90 3.40 2.25
2022M02 5.3 260 5.30 4.90 0.16
2022M03 6 261 6.00 5.30 0.49
2022M04 6.00 29.10
Алфа 1 0

0
2000M012002M052004M092007M012009M052011M092014M012016M052018M092021M07
-1

Denmark-ХИПЦ - yt Предвидени вредности - yt^

Forecasts
Period Forecast Lower Upper
Oct-21 6.05337 5.45943 6.64731
Nov-21 6.05337 5.45943 6.64731
Dec-21 6.05337 5.45943 6.64731
Моделот предвидува дека стапката на ифлација во Denmark за месец април 2022 година ќе изнесува 6.0%
022 година ќе изнесува 6.0%
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.136568280807574
R Square 0.0186508953227363
Adjusted R Square 0.0110435379221374
Standard Error 0.827358927322726
Observations 131

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 1.678239 1.678239 2.451692
Residual 129 88.30344 0.684523
Total 130 89.98168

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value

Intercept - b0 - иницијална оценка
на средната вредност
2.2288 0.145405 15.32851 7.653E-31
X Variable 1 -b1 - иницијална
оценка на стапката на раст -0.0030 0.001912 -1.565788 0.119848
Significance F
0.119848

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%

1.941156 2.516531 1.941156 2.516531

-0.006775 0.000789 -0.006775 0.000789

 Оценка на Оценка на
Denmark - Предвидени
Date t средната стапката на (yt-yt^)^2
yt вредности - yt^
вредност - ln раст - bn
0 2.2 -0.003
2000M01 2.8 1 2.8 -0.003 2.23 0.33
2000M02 2.8 2 2.8 -0.003 2.80 0.00
2000M03 2.9 3 2.9 -0.003 2.80 0.01 7
2000M04 2.9 4 2.9 -0.003 2.90 0.00
6
2000M05 2.9 5 2.9 -0.003 2.90 0.00
2000M06 2.9 6 2.9 -0.003 2.90 0.00 5
2000M07 2.8 7 2.8 -0.003 2.90 0.01
2000M08 2.1 8 2.1 -0.003 2.80 0.49 4

2000M09 2.8 9 2.8 -0.003 2.10 0.49 3

2000M10 2.9 10 2.9 -0.003 2.80 0.01
2000M11 2.8 11 2.8 -0.003 2.90 0.01 2
2000M12 2.4 12 2.4 -0.003 2.80 0.16 1
2001M01 2.4 13 2.4 -0.003 2.40 0.00
2001M02 2.3 14 2.3 -0.003 2.40 0.01 0
1 12 23 34 45 56
2001M03 2.2 15 2.2 -0.003 2.30 0.01
-1
2001M04 2.6 16 2.6 -0.003 2.20 0.16
2001M05 2.7 17 2.7 -0.003 2.60 0.01
2001M06 2.3 18 2.3 -0.003 2.70 0.16
2001M07 2.3 19 2.3 -0.003 2.30 0.00
2001M08 2.5 20 2.5 -0.003 2.30 0.04
2001M09 2.2 21 2.2 -0.003 2.50 0.09
2001M10 1.9 22 1.9 -0.003 2.20 0.09
2001M11 1.8 23 1.8 -0.003 1.90 0.01
2001M12 2 24 2.0 -0.003 1.80 0.04
2002M01 2.3 25 2.3 -0.003 2.00 0.09
2002M02 2.4 26 2.4 -0.003 2.30 0.01
2002M03 2.5 27 2.5 -0.003 2.40 0.01
2002M04 2.4 28 2.4 -0.003 2.50 0.01
2002M05 2 29 2.0 -0.003 2.40 0.16
2002M06 2.1 30 2.1 -0.003 2.00 0.01
2002M07 2.1 31 2.1 -0.003 2.10 0.00
2002M08 2.4 32 2.4 -0.003 2.10 0.09
2002M09 2.4 33 2.4 -0.003 2.40 0.00
2002M10 2.6 34 2.6 -0.003 2.40 0.04
2002M11 2.8 35 2.8 -0.003 2.60 0.04
2002M12 2.6 36 2.6 -0.003 2.80 0.04
2003M01 2.6 37 2.6 -0.003 2.60 0.00
2003M02 2.7 38 2.7 -0.003 2.60 0.01
2003M03 3 39 3.0 -0.003 2.70 0.09
2003M04 2.3 40 2.3 -0.003 3.00 0.49
2003M05 2.1 41 2.1 -0.003 2.30 0.04
2003M06 2 42 2.0 -0.003 2.10 0.01
2003M07 1.7 43 1.7 -0.003 2.00 0.09
2003M08 1.6 44 1.6 -0.003 1.70 0.01
2003M09 1.7 45 1.7 -0.003 1.60 0.01
2003M10 1.2 46 1.2 -0.003 1.70 0.25
2003M11 1.3 47 1.3 -0.003 1.20 0.01
2003M12 1.2 48 1.2 -0.003 1.30 0.01
2004M01 1 49 1.0 -0.003 1.20 0.04
2004M02 0.7 50 0.7 -0.003 1.00 0.09
2004M03 0.4 51 0.4 -0.003 0.70 0.09
2004M04 0.6 52 0.6 -0.003 0.40 0.04
2004M05 1.1 53 1.1 -0.003 0.60 0.25
2004M06 1 54 1.0 -0.003 1.10 0.01
2004M07 1.2 55 1.2 -0.003 1.00 0.04
2004M08 0.8 56 0.8 -0.003 1.20 0.16
2004M09 0.8 57 0.8 -0.003 0.80 0.00
2004M10 1.6 58 1.6 -0.003 0.80 0.64
2004M11 1.1 59 1.1 -0.003 1.60 0.25
2004M12 1 60 1.0 -0.003 1.10 0.01
2005M01 0.8 61 0.8 -0.003 1.00 0.04
2005M02 1.1 62 1.1 -0.003 0.80 0.09
2005M03 1.3 63 1.3 -0.003 1.10 0.04
2005M04 1.7 64 1.7 -0.003 1.30 0.16
2005M05 1.3 65 1.3 -0.003 1.70 0.16
2005M06 1.7 66 1.7 -0.003 1.30 0.16
2005M07 1.9 67 1.9 -0.003 1.70 0.04
2005M08 2.3 68 2.3 -0.003 1.90 0.16
2005M09 2.5 69 2.5 -0.003 2.30 0.04
2005M10 1.9 70 1.9 -0.003 2.50 0.36
2005M11 1.9 71 1.9 -0.003 1.90 0.00
2005M12 2.3 72 2.3 -0.003 1.90 0.16
2006M01 2 73 2.0 -0.003 2.30 0.09
2006M02 2.1 74 2.1 -0.003 2.00 0.01
2006M03 1.8 75 1.8 -0.003 2.10 0.09
2006M04 1.9 76 1.9 -0.003 1.80 0.01
2006M05 2 77 2.0 -0.003 1.90 0.01
2006M06 2.1 78 2.1 -0.003 2.00 0.01
2006M07 2 79 2.0 -0.003 2.10 0.01
2006M08 2 80 2.0 -0.003 2.00 0.00
2006M09 1.4 81 1.4 -0.003 2.00 0.36
2006M10 1.4 82 1.4 -0.003 1.40 0.00
2006M11 1.8 83 1.8 -0.003 1.40 0.16
2006M12 1.6 84 1.6 -0.003 1.80 0.04
2007M01 1.8 85 1.8 -0.003 1.60 0.04
2007M02 1.9 86 1.9 -0.003 1.80 0.01
2007M03 2 87 2.0 -0.003 1.90 0.01
2007M04 1.6 88 1.6 -0.003 2.00 0.16
2007M05 1.7 89 1.7 -0.003 1.60 0.01
2007M06 1.3 90 1.3 -0.003 1.70 0.16
2007M07 1 91 1.0 -0.003 1.30 0.09
2007M08 0.8 92 0.8 -0.003 1.00 0.04
2007M09 1.1 93 1.1 -0.003 0.80 0.09
2007M10 1.7 94 1.7 -0.003 1.10 0.36
2007M11 2.5 95 2.5 -0.003 1.70 0.64
2007M12 2.4 96 2.4 -0.003 2.50 0.01
2008M01 3.1 97 3.1 -0.003 2.40 0.49
2008M02 3.2 98 3.2 -0.003 3.10 0.01
2008M03 3.3 99 3.3 -0.003 3.20 0.01
2008M04 3.4 100 3.4 -0.003 3.30 0.01
2008M05 3.6 101 3.6 -0.003 3.40 0.04
2008M06 4.2 102 4.2 -0.003 3.60 0.36
2008M07 4.3 103 4.3 -0.003 4.20 0.01
2008M08 4.8 104 4.8 -0.003 4.30 0.25
2008M09 4.5 105 4.5 -0.003 4.80 0.09
2008M10 3.8 106 3.8 -0.003 4.50 0.49
2008M11 2.8 107 2.8 -0.003 3.80 0.99
2008M12 2.5 108 2.5 -0.003 2.80 0.09
2009M01 1.7 109 1.7 -0.003 2.50 0.64
2009M02 1.7 110 1.7 -0.003 1.70 0.00
2009M03 1.5 111 1.5 -0.003 1.70 0.04
2009M04 1.1 112 1.1 -0.003 1.50 0.16
2009M05 1 113 1.0 -0.003 1.10 0.01
2009M06 0.9 114 0.9 -0.003 1.00 0.01
2009M07 0.7 115 0.7 -0.003 0.90 0.04
2009M08 0.8 116 0.8 -0.003 0.70 0.01
2009M09 0.4 117 0.4 -0.003 0.80 0.16
2009M10 0.8 118 0.8 -0.003 0.40 0.16
2009M11 1 119 1.0 -0.003 0.80 0.04
2009M12 1.1 120 1.1 -0.003 1.00 0.01
2010M01 1.9 121 1.9 -0.003 1.10 0.64
2010M02 1.9 122 1.9 -0.003 1.90 0.00
2010M03 2.1 123 2.1 -0.003 1.90 0.04
2010M04 2.4 124 2.4 -0.003 2.10 0.09
2010M05 2.1 125 2.1 -0.003 2.40 0.09
2010M06 1.6 126 1.6 -0.003 2.10 0.25
2010M07 2.2 127 2.2 -0.003 1.60 0.36
2010M08 2.3 128 2.3 -0.003 2.20 0.01
2010M09 2.6 129 2.6 -0.003 2.30 0.09
2010M10 2.3 130 2.3 -0.003 2.60 0.09
2010M11 2.4 131 2.4 -0.003 2.30 0.01
2010M12 2.8 132 2.8 -0.003 2.40 0.16
2011M01 2.6 133 2.6 -0.003 2.80 0.04
2011M02 2.6 134 2.6 -0.003 2.60 0.00
2011M03 2.6 135 2.6 -0.003 2.60 0.00
2011M04 2.9 136 2.9 -0.003 2.60 0.09
2011M05 3 137 3.0 -0.003 2.90 0.01
2011M06 3 138 3.0 -0.003 3.00 0.00
2011M07 2.9 139 2.9 -0.003 3.00 0.01
2011M08 2.4 140 2.4 -0.003 2.90 0.25
2011M09 2.3 141 2.3 -0.003 2.40 0.01
2011M10 2.7 142 2.7 -0.003 2.30 0.16
2011M11 2.5 143 2.5 -0.003 2.70 0.04
2011M12 2.4 144 2.4 -0.003 2.50 0.01
2012M01 2.7 145 2.7 -0.003 2.40 0.09
2012M02 2.7 146 2.7 -0.003 2.70 0.00
2012M03 2.7 147 2.7 -0.003 2.70 0.00
2012M04 2.2 148 2.2 -0.003 2.70 0.25
2012M05 2.1 149 2.1 -0.003 2.20 0.01
2012M06 2.2 150 2.2 -0.003 2.10 0.01
2012M07 2.2 151 2.2 -0.003 2.20 0.00
2012M08 2.6 152 2.6 -0.003 2.20 0.16
2012M09 2.6 153 2.6 -0.003 2.60 0.00
2012M10 2.3 154 2.3 -0.003 2.60 0.09
2012M11 2.3 155 2.3 -0.003 2.30 0.00
2012M12 1.9 156 1.9 -0.003 2.30 0.16
2013M01 0.9 157 0.9 -0.003 1.90 0.99
2013M02 1.1 158 1.1 -0.003 0.90 0.04
2013M03 0.7 159 0.7 -0.003 1.10 0.16
2013M04 0.5 160 0.5 -0.003 0.70 0.04
2013M05 0.7 161 0.7 -0.003 0.50 0.04
2013M06 0.6 162 0.6 -0.003 0.70 0.01
2013M07 0.4 163 0.4 -0.003 0.60 0.04
2013M08 0.1 164 0.1 -0.003 0.40 0.09
2013M09 0.1 165 0.1 -0.003 0.10 0.00
2013M10 0.4 166 0.4 -0.003 0.10 0.09
2013M11 0.2 167 0.2 -0.003 0.40 0.04
2013M12 0.5 168 0.5 -0.003 0.20 0.09
2014M01 0.8 169 0.8 -0.003 0.50 0.09
2014M02 0.3 170 0.3 -0.003 0.80 0.25
2014M03 0.2 171 0.2 -0.003 0.30 0.01
2014M04 0.5 172 0.5 -0.003 0.20 0.09
2014M05 0.3 173 0.3 -0.003 0.50 0.04
2014M06 0.4 174 0.4 -0.003 0.30 0.01
2014M07 0.5 175 0.5 -0.003 0.40 0.01
2014M08 0.3 176 0.3 -0.003 0.50 0.04
2014M09 0.3 177 0.3 -0.003 0.30 0.00
2014M10 0.2 178 0.2 -0.003 0.30 0.01
2014M11 0.3 179 0.3 -0.003 0.20 0.01
2014M12 0.1 180 0.1 -0.003 0.30 0.04
2015M01 -0.3 181 -0.3 -0.003 0.10 0.16
2015M02 -0.1 182 -0.1 -0.003 -0.30 0.04
2015M03 0.3 183 0.3 -0.003 -0.10 0.16
2015M04 0.4 184 0.4 -0.003 0.30 0.01
2015M05 0.4 185 0.4 -0.003 0.40 0.00
2015M06 0.4 186 0.4 -0.003 0.40 0.00
2015M07 0.5 187 0.5 -0.003 0.40 0.01
2015M08 0.3 188 0.3 -0.003 0.50 0.04
2015M09 0.3 189 0.3 -0.003 0.30 0.00
2015M10 0.1 190 0.1 -0.003 0.30 0.04
2015M11 0.1 191 0.1 -0.003 0.10 0.00
2015M12 0.3 192 0.3 -0.003 0.10 0.04
2016M01 0.4 193 0.4 -0.003 0.30 0.01
2016M02 0.1 194 0.1 -0.003 0.40 0.09
2016M03 -0.3 195 -0.3 -0.003 0.10 0.16
2016M04 -0.3 196 -0.3 -0.003 -0.30 0.00
2016M05 -0.1 197 -0.1 -0.003 -0.30 0.04
2016M06 0.1 198 0.1 -0.003 -0.10 0.04
2016M07 0.1 199 0.1 -0.003 0.10 0.00
2016M08 0 200 0.0 -0.003 0.10 0.01
2016M09 -0.3 201 -0.3 -0.003 0.00 0.09
2016M10 0.1 202 0.1 -0.003 -0.30 0.16
2016M11 0.1 203 0.1 -0.003 0.10 0.00
2016M12 0.3 204 0.3 -0.003 0.10 0.04
2017M01 0.7 205 0.7 -0.003 0.30 0.16
2017M02 0.9 206 0.9 -0.003 0.70 0.04
2017M03 0.9 207 0.9 -0.003 0.90 0.00
2017M04 1 208 1.0 -0.003 0.90 0.01
2017M05 0.7 209 0.7 -0.003 1.00 0.09
2017M06 0.4 210 0.4 -0.003 0.70 0.09
2017M07 1.5 211 1.5 -0.003 0.40 1.22
2017M08 1.5 212 1.5 -0.003 1.50 0.00
2017M09 1.6 213 1.6 -0.003 1.50 0.01
2017M10 1.4 214 1.4 -0.003 1.60 0.04
2017M11 1.3 215 1.3 -0.003 1.40 0.01
2017M12 0.8 216 0.8 -0.003 1.30 0.25
2018M01 0.6 217 0.6 -0.003 0.80 0.04
2018M02 0.5 218 0.5 -0.003 0.60 0.01
2018M03 0.4 219 0.4 -0.003 0.50 0.01
2018M04 0.7 220 0.7 -0.003 0.40 0.09
2018M05 1 221 1.0 -0.003 0.70 0.09
2018M06 1.1 222 1.1 -0.003 1.00 0.01
2018M07 0.9 223 0.9 -0.003 1.10 0.04
2018M08 0.8 224 0.8 -0.003 0.90 0.01
2018M09 0.5 225 0.5 -0.003 0.80 0.09
2018M10 0.7 226 0.7 -0.003 0.50 0.04
2018M11 0.7 227 0.7 -0.003 0.70 0.00
2018M12 0.7 228 0.7 -0.003 0.70 0.00
2019M01 1.2 229 1.2 -0.003 0.70 0.25
2019M02 1.1 230 1.1 -0.003 1.20 0.01
2019M03 1.2 231 1.2 -0.003 1.10 0.01
2019M04 0.9 232 0.9 -0.003 1.20 0.09
2019M05 0.7 233 0.7 -0.003 0.90 0.04
2019M06 0.5 234 0.5 -0.003 0.70 0.04
2019M07 0.4 235 0.4 -0.003 0.50 0.01
2019M08 0.5 236 0.5 -0.003 0.40 0.01
2019M09 0.4 237 0.4 -0.003 0.50 0.01
2019M10 0.6 238 0.6 -0.003 0.40 0.04
2019M11 0.6 239 0.6 -0.003 0.60 0.00
2019M12 0.8 240 0.8 -0.003 0.60 0.04
2020M01 0.8 241 0.8 -0.003 0.80 0.00
2020M02 0.7 242 0.7 -0.003 0.80 0.01
2020M03 0.3 243 0.3 -0.003 0.70 0.16
2020M04 -0.1 244 -0.1 -0.003 0.30 0.16
2020M05 -0.2 245 -0.2 -0.003 -0.10 0.01
2020M06 0.2 246 0.2 -0.003 -0.20 0.16
2020M07 0.4 247 0.4 -0.003 0.20 0.04
2020M08 0.4 248 0.4 -0.003 0.40 0.00
2020M09 0.5 249 0.5 -0.003 0.40 0.01
2020M10 0.3 250 0.3 -0.003 0.50 0.04
2020M11 0.4 251 0.4 -0.003 0.30 0.01
2020M12 0.4 252 0.4 -0.003 0.40 0.00
2021M07 1.7 253 1.7 -0.003 0.40 1.70
2021M08 1.8 254 1.8 -0.003 1.70 0.01
2021M09 2.4 255 2.4 -0.003 1.80 0.36
2021M10 3.2 256 3.2 -0.003 2.40 0.64
2021M11 3.8 257 3.8 -0.003 3.20 0.36
2021M12 3.4 258 3.4 -0.003 3.80 0.16
2022M01 4.9 259 4.9 -0.003 3.40 2.26
2022M02 5.3 260 5.3 -0.003 4.90 0.16
2022M03 6 261 6.0 -0.003 5.30 0.49
2022M04 1 6.00 29.5
2022M05 2 5.99
2022M06 3 5.99
 алфа 1 0 гама 0 1

0
1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100111122133144155166177188199210221232243254265
-1

Denmark - yt Предвидени вредности - yt^

Forecasts
Period Forecast Lower Upper
Oct-21 5.42505 4.27704 6.57305
Nov-21 5.94139 4.76947 7.11332
Dec-21 6.45774 5.26005 7.65542