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OPINION Assessing cardiovascular disease: looking
beyond cholesterol
Malcolm Kendrick
Purpose of review
The low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol level is a weak predictor of developing cardiovascular (CV)
disease and can only explain a small proportion of CV risk. It is not used to determine CV risk on either the
atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) calculator in the United States, or the Qrisk3 in the UK.
A study in JAMA in 2022 suggested that ‘the absolute benefits of statins are modest and may not be
strongly mediated through the degree of LDL reduction’. Perhaps it is time to look beyond cholesterol to a
different causal model -- the ‘thrombogenic’ model of ASCVD.
Recent findings
The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2) pandemic demonstrated that infectious
agents damage the endothelium and the glycocalyx -- the glycoprotein layer protecting underlying
endothelial cells. There are numerous other conditions leading to this kind of damage, which can trigger
thrombus formation, causing strokes and myocardial infarctions.
Although these are acute events, they highlight a mechanism for the development of ASCVD which centres
on endothelial damage and thrombus formation as both the primary causal mechanism for acute events,
and the driver behind progression towards atherosclerotic plaque development.
Summary
The cholesterol hypothesis, that a raised LDL is directly causal for ASCVD, does not adequately explain
cardiovascular risk in individuals, or populations. An alternative ‘thrombogenic’ hypothesis is proposed as
a more valid causal model.
Keywords
atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, glycocalyx, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, lipoprotein (a),
thrombogenic
The ‘low density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol ASVCD, the absolute reduction in risk is small [4 ].
hypothesis’ is widely accepted as the best model Additionally, several agents that significantly lower
explaining how atherosclerotic cardiovascular dis- LDL demonstrated no benefit on ASCVD, including
ease (ASCVD) develops. It states that a raised LDL cholesterol ester transfer protein inhibitors such as
level causes thickenings within arterial walls which torcetrapib and evacetrapib. Evacetrapib reduced
gradually develop into larger plaques. LDL by 37% and increased high-density lipoprotein
More vulnerable plaques may then ‘rupture’, (HDL) by 120% but had no effect on CV risk [5].
triggering the final thrombotic event, fully occlud-
ing an artery, leading to events such as myocardial
infarction (MI) and strokes. Mid-Cheshire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust. Leighton Hospital,
However, the association between a raised LDL Crewe, Cheshire, UK
level and the development of ASCVD is weak. Indeed, Correspondence to Malcolm Kendrick, MbChB, Mid Cheshire Hospitals
NHS Foundation Trust, Macclesfield, Cheshire, CW1 4QJ, UK.
many studies have found no association or even an
Tel: +44 7714 427642; e-mail: malcolmken@doctors.org.uk
inverse association, particularly in the older popula-
& Curr Opin Endocrinol Diabetes Obes 2022, 29:427–433
tion, where most deaths from ASCVD occur [1 ].
DOI:10.1097/MED.0000000000000761
The inability of LDL to accurately predict risk
highlighted by the fact that the two most widely This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative
Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0
used calculators for ASCVD, in the United States and (CCBY-NC-ND), where it is permissible to download and share the
UK, do not use LDL levels to establish the risk of a work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any
future cardiovascular (CV) event [2,3]. way or used commercially without permission from the journal.
1752-296X Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. www.co-endocrinology.com
Obesity and nutrition
KEY POINTS
Low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol is a weak
predictor of cardiovascular risk
(2) Formation of larger/more difficult to lyse Unlike sepsis, where the glycocalyx broken
thrombi down by an external agent, with severe acute respi-
(3) Interference with repair processes ratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2), the
damage occurs within endothelial cells. Endothelial
cells in the lungs, and the vasculature, have a high
GLYCOCALYX AND ENDOTHELIAL concentration of Angiotensin Converting Enzyme 2
DAMAGE receptors, and SARS-CoV2 hijacks this receptor to
gain entry before multiplying and ‘bursting out’. So,
All blood vessels are lined with endothelial cells the cells are damaged from ‘within’, rather than in
which are, in turn, covered by a ‘gel’ layer, the sepsis, from ‘without’. The end result is similar.
glycocalyx, which is where nitric oxide (NO) is It is now also known that there is also consid-
synthesised, along with many other anticoagulant erable overlap between SARS-CoV2 infection and
factors (see Fig. 2). Kawasaki’s disease. In both conditions there is a
The glycocalyx acts as the protective layer nec- form of widespread vasculitis, with the glycoca-
essary to maintain vascular endothelial cell func- lyx/endothelium seriously compromised. With
tion, and homeostasis. It is also important to protect SARS-CoV2 the presence of virions within cells pro-
the underlying endothelial cells from direct physical vides an additional target for ‘attack’ by the immune
damage [8]. system, increasing the damage [11].
It has been increasingly recognised that in many It seems that the process Kawasaki’s is very
acute illnesses the glycocalyx is thinned and weak- similar, although an infectious agent has not been
ened. This, in turn, increases the risk of acute car- identified. In Kawasaki’s, ASCVD can develop rap-
&&
diovascular events [9 ]. idly, and in the years following the acute episode the
For example, destruction of the glycocalyx/endo- risk of a CV event can be increased by >50-fold [12].
thelium is critical in sepsis, where it is a major con- The acute problems, seen shortly after an initial
tributor to the underlying pathophysiology. The triggering event, highlight the role that the healthy
destruction of the glycocalyx is primarily due to exo- glycocalyx plays in preventing thrombus formation.
toxins released by bacteria in the bloodstream. This, in However, it is also hypothesised to be critical in
turn, is followed by widespread thrombus formation, the longer-term progression and development of
&
known as disseminated intravascular coagulation [10]. ASCVD [13 ].
In Sars-Cov2 infection the glycocalyx/endothe- Looking at longer term conditions, one impor-
lium is also attacked and weakened, and this is the tant factor known to cause chronic damage to the
trigger for the blood clots that are commonly seen with glycocalyx is a raised blood glucose level [14].
&&
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection [9 ]. Interestingly, patients with type II diabetes are at
FIGURE 2. The glycocalyx. This graphic shows the structure of the glycocalyx, which protrudes from endothelial cells in all
blood vessels and creates a protective and anticoagulant ‘gel’ layer. It is constructed from combined molecules of glucose and
various proteins.
1752-296X Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. www.co-endocrinology.com 429
Obesity and nutrition
an increased risk of ASCVD, sepsis, and other infec- formation of the initial platelet plug, fibrinogen is
tion diseases. Possibly due to a damaged glycocalyx the raw material of the final ‘fibrin’ clot, and Lp(a) is
allowing infectious agents to enter cells more critical in thrombus breakdown or lysis.
easily [15].
Here, we have a possible ‘positive reinforcement
loop’, increasing both infection risk and thrombus Von Willebrand factor
formation, which may also be why patients with vWF is a glycoprotein required for the formation of
type II diabetes are more susceptible to severe SARS- haemostatic ‘plugs’ and arterial thrombi. It binds to
CoV2 infections. platelets, factor VIII, and collagen in the underlying
Other chronic conditions known to damage the artery wall.
glycocalyx and increase the risk of CVD include: A meta-analysis of patients admitted to hospital
with major adverse CV events found that they had
(1) Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) [16] significantly higher vWF levels. The difference in CV
(2) Smoking [17] risk versus those with normal levels of vWF was very
(3) Hypertension [18] nearly 50% [24].
(4) Antiphospholipid syndrome [19]
Fibrinogen
With antiphospholipid syndrome (APS), the Fibrinogen has a key role in the final act of thrombus
immune system attacks the endothelial cell formation. After the platelet/erythrocyte plug has
membrane itself, creating widespread vascular formed, strands of fibrinogen link to form fibrin,
damage. Many patients with SLE have APS, and it is which wraps around the plug, binding it. This is the
this subset of patients at greatest risk of ASCVD [20]. final step in the clotting ‘cascade’.
It is not within the scope of this article to A Scottish study of risk factors for coronary heart
describe all conditions, or agents that can damage disease showed that high levels of fibrinogen were
the endothelium/glycocalyx. However, an increas- associated with a greatly increased CV risk, for both
ing body of evidence suggests that any factor, or men and women [25].
disease, with this effect, increases the risk of ASCVD In a more recent meta-analysis, the increased
&&
[21 ]. risk was independent of other CVD risk factors
including lipid levels, and antithrombotic and other
medications, such as aspirin. It is of interest that the
FORMATION OF LARGER/MORE risk of ASCVD was much greater in patients with
DIFFICULT TO LYSE THROMBI type II diabetes, who have higher levels of other pro-
&
Once the endothelium has been damaged this trig- coagulant factors [26 ]’’.
gers thrombus formation. One of the key mecha-
nisms here is that an undamaged and healthy
endothelium expresses tissue factor pathway inhib- Lipoprotein(a)
itor (TFPI). TPFI limits the actions of tissue factor The issue of Lp(a) is complex, but important. Lp(a) is
(TF), which is perhaps the single most potent pro- identical to LDL, apart from the attachment of an
coagulant factor. additional protein, known as apolipoprotein(a) (apo
Thus, when TFPI production falls, TF is released (a)).
&
to drive thrombus formation [22 ]. In addition to This apparently small difference is highly sig-
this mechanism, the glycocalyx is where NO, a nificant, because apo(a) is virtually identical in
highly potent anticoagulant, is synthesised (indeed, structure to plasminogen. The key difference is that
there are a host of anticoagulant actions which apo(a) has different folding structure (kringle) at one
require a healthy glycocalyx to function). This end. It is this ‘folding’ difference that turns apo(a)
means that, when damage occurs, the endothelium into, effectively, ‘antiplasminogen’.
shifts towards a prothrombotic state [23]. Plasminogen is incorporated into all thrombi as
It would not be possible to review all the factors they form. It is inactive until it is converted to
involved in thrombus formation and breakdown, as plasmin by tissue plasminogen activator (TPa),
this is a highly complex process. So it may be most which is an enzyme synthesised by endothelial cells.
useful to look at three important players: von Wil- Once TPa has triggered this conversion plasmin
lebrand factor (vWF), fibrinogen, and Lp(a) to lyses strands of fibrin, essential for the breakdown
review their impact on thrombi. of thrombi.
These three factors operate in very different However, if there is a higher concentration of Lp
stages of coagulation. vWF has a key role in (a)/apo(a) within thrombi, this blocks the action of
TPa on plasminogen, resulting in a thrombus that is However, if the repair systems are impaired,
highly resilient [27]. or the damage is simply too extensive, plaque for-
Lp(a) also binds to TFPI. Thus, Lp(a) can stim- mation/growth will occur. This is probably why, as
ulate clot formation and make it more difficult to people become older, and the repair systems become
remove the resultant thrombi. A raised Lp(a) is less robust, a risk factor such as smoking becomes
&&
associated with a tripling of CVD risk [28 ]. more significant [34].
Why does Lp(a) have this function? Linus Paul- The conjecture that reduced repair is as impor-
ing first hypothesised that, because humans cannot tant as damage is supported by the fact that low EPC
synthesise vitamin C, which plays a key role in the levels are an initial sign of endothelial dysfunction
&
production of collagen, a lack of vitamin C will lead and represent one of the early signs of ASCVD [35 ].
to a breakdown and ‘cracks’ in blood vessel walls. Of course, EPCs do not represent the only repair
Lp(a), which is almost exclusively found in ani- system(s). But it is clear that protection against
mals that cannot synthesise vitamin C, binds very ASCVD requires a positive balance between repair
strongly to the endothelium. and the underlying arte- and damage. This can perhaps be most clearly seen
rial wall, creating thrombi that are particularly ‘tough’. when we look at agents, which have been designed
This reduces blood loss, allowing the animal to survive to block endothelial cell growth and repair, simul-
until sufficient vitamin C can be consumed [29]. taneously reducing NO synthesis.
However, this protective role is a double-edged These are vascular endothelial growth factor
sword. As Lp(a) can also drive the formation of (VEGF)-inhibitors. VEGF is a hormone which drives
thrombi which are more difficult to lyse. This, in endothelial cell proliferation, survival, and migra-
turn, results in accelerated plaque formation. tion [36]. It also stimulates the production of EPCs
Whist this review has only looked in more detail in the bone marrow.
at three of the pro-coagulant factors/conditions, all VEGF-inhibitors are used in cancer treatments to
of which can significantly increase CV risk, there are prevent endothelial growth and thus angiogenesis,
many others including type II diabetes, Cushing as new blood vessels to deliver the blood supply
disease, APS and raised factor VIII [30]. required for growth in many tumours.
It is no surprise, therefore, that the adverse effects
of VEGF-inhibitors centre around vascular damage,
Haemophilia including haemorrhage, retinal detachment, venous
To briefly examine this area from a different per- thrombosis, strokes, MI and heart failure [37].
spective, it is worth looking at people with haemo- At one time, the increased cardiovascular risks
philia. A recent study found that the relative risk of associated with bevacizumab, the first widely used
CV events in haemophilia was around one third of VEGF-inhibitor, nearly led to its withdrawal from
predicted risk. The authors concluded that ‘haemo- the market. This highlights the critical importance
philia protects against CVD’ [31]. of repair in the triad of endothelial damage, clot
formation, impaired repair.
1752-296X Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. www.co-endocrinology.com 431
Obesity and nutrition
22. Neubauer K, Zieger B. Endothelial cells and coagulation. Cell Tissue Res 30. Khandelwal D, Mathur V, Vyas A. Elevated factor VIII levels and arterial stroke:
& 2022; 387:391–398. a review of literature with a case report. Egypt J Neurol Psychiatr Neurosurg
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glycocalyx in modulating coagulation, and how damage can lead to a cascade 31. Van Der Valk P, Makris M, Fischer K. Reduced cardiovascular morbidity in
of pro-coagulant activity. From platelet activation/aggregation and the role of von patients with hemophilia: results of a 5-year multinational prospective study.
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authors state: ‘Vascular ECs (endothelial cells) form a dynamic lining at the 32. Hahad O, Arnold N, Jurgen H. Cigarette smoking is related to endothelial
interface between tissue and blood. They maintain blood fluidity and protect & dysfunction of resistance, but not conduit arteries in the general population—
against injury of the vessel wall through delicate regulation of platelet activity, results from the gutenberg health study. Front Cardiovasc Med 2021;
blood coagulation, and thrombolysis.’ It provides a very good overview of the 8:674622.
processes. As this paper states ‘Cigarette smoking is one of the most complex and least
23. Potje S, Tiano Dal-Cin P, Paulo M. The role of glycocalyx and caveolae in understood cardiovascular risk factors.’ This is the first paper to study smoking
vascular homeostasis and diseases. Front Physiol 2021; 11:620840. exposure and cessation and assess makers of endothelial function. The key points
24. Fan M, Wang X, Peng. Prognostic value of plasma von Willebrand factor in the discussion were that ‘In the setting of smoking–induced endothelial
levels in major adverse cardiovascular events: a systematic review and meta- dysfunction factors conferring smoking–dependent endothelial damage and
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25. Tunstall-Pedoe H, Woodward M, Tavendale R. Comparison of the prediction to cigarette smoke and its constituents mainly toxic species such as free radicals
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26. Surma S, Banach M. Fibrinogen and atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases— ing–induced abnormalities in NO production result in increased adherence of
& review of the literature and clinical studies. Int J Mol Sci 2022; 23:193. platelets and macrophages to the vessel wall which provokes the progression of a
This is an important meta-analysis of fibrinogen/coagulation factors. ‘The results of procoagulant and inflammatory environment.’ In short smoking causes endothelial
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why they have shown some benefit in the treatment of COVID-19 lial progenitor cells by preventing replicative senescence. Int J Mol Sci 2021;
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&& disease risk without a family history of heart disease. J Am Heart Assoc This paper provides an important overview of the key role that endothelial
2021; 10:e017470. progenitor cells (EPCs) have in repairing the endothelium and protecting against
Prior to the launch of statins, a great deal of research was being done on future ASCVD. It suggests that the senescence of these cells in ageing may have
lipoprotein (a) and its association with ASCVD. There was then a prolonged an important causal role in increasing the risk of ASCVD in the elderly, and the
hiatus, when very little research was done. This recent paper highlights, once slowing the decline in EPCs may have an important therapeutic role. ‘Taken
again, the importance of Lipoprotein (a) (Lp(a)) as a risk factor. It also opens up the together, these findings are the proof of concept that EPC senescence may be
question as to whether it is LDL-C that the lipoprotein that is causal in ASCVD, or counteracted by appropriate treatments aimed at slowing down the decline in EPC
lipoprotein (a). Both are normally included in the overall measurement of LDL-C, in function during aging and that treatments stimulating EPCs in elderly people may
the LDL-C and Lp(a) are exactly the same molecule, other than the addition of the have clinical implications for the aging population.’
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