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A Comparison Study of Fuzzy-Based Multiple-Criteriadecision-Making Methodstoevaluatinggreen Conceptalternativesinanew Productdevelopmentenvironment
A Comparison Study of Fuzzy-Based Multiple-Criteriadecision-Making Methodstoevaluatinggreen Conceptalternativesinanew Productdevelopmentenvironment
https://www.emerald.com/insight/1756-378X.htm
IJICC
14,3 A comparison study of fuzzy-based
multiple-criteria decision-making
methods to evaluating green
412 concept alternatives in a new
Received 2 March 2021
Revised 25 March 2021
product development environment
Accepted 26 March 2021
Zeki Ayag
Kadir Has University, Istanbul, Turkey
Abstract
Purpose – In this paper, the four popular multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods in fuzzy
environment are utilized to reflect the vagueness and uncertainty on the judgments of decision-makers (DMs),
because the crisp pairwise comparison in these conventional MCDM methods seems to be insufficient and
imprecise to capture the right judgments of DMs. Of these methods, as Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process
(F-AHP) is used to calculate criteria weights, the other methods; Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by
Similarity to Ideal Solution (F-TOPSIS), Fuzzy Grey relational analysis (F-GRA) and Fuzzy Preference Ranking
Organization METhod for Enrichment of Evaluations (F- PROMETHEE II) are used to rank alternatives in the
three different ways for a comparative study.
Design/methodology/approach – The demand for green products has dramatically increased because the
importance and public awareness of the preservation of natural environment was taken into consideration
much more in the last two decades. As a result of this, especially manufacturing companies have been forced to
design more green products, resulting in a problem of how they incorporate environmental issues into their
design and evaluate concept options. The need for the practical decision-making tools to address this problem
is rapidly evolving since the problem turns into an MCDM problem in the presence of a set of green concept
alternatives and criteria.
Findings – The incorporation of fuzzy set theory into these methods is discussed on a real-life case study, and
a comparative analysis is done by using its numerical results in which the three fuzzy-based methods reveal the
same outcomes (or rankings), while F-GRA requires less computational steps. Moreover, more detailed
analyses on the numerical results of the case study are completed on the normalization methods, distance
metrics, aggregation functions, defuzzification methods and other issues.
Research limitations/implications – The designing and manufacturing environmental-friendly products
in a product design process has been a vital issue for many companies which take care of reflecting
environmental issues into their product design and meeting standards of recent green guidelines. These
companies have utilized these guidelines by following special procedures at the design phase. Along the design
process consisting of various steps, the environmental issues have been considered an important factor in the
end-of-life of products since it can reduce the impact on the nature. In the stage of developing a new product
with the aim of environmental-friendly design, the green thinking should be incorporated as early as possible in
the process.
Practical implications – The case study was inspired from the previous work of the author, which was
realized in a hot runner systems manufacturer, used in injection molding systems in a Canada. In a new product
development process, the back- and front-ends of development efforts mainly determine the following criteria:
cost, risk, quality and green used in this paper. The case study showed that the three fuzzy MCDM methods
come to the same ranking outcomes. F-GRA has a better time complexity compared to the other two methods
and uses a smaller number of computational steps. Moreover, a comparative analysis of the three F-MCDM
methods; F-PROMETHEE II, F-TOPSIS and F-GRA used in ranking for green concept alternatives using the
numerical results of the case study. For the case study; as seen in table 20, the three F-MCDM methods
produced the numerical results on the rankings of the green concept alternatives as follows; {Concept A-
Concept C–Concept B–Concept D}.
International Journal of Intelligent Social implications – Inclusion of environmental-related criteria into concept selection problem has been
Computing and Cybernetics
Vol. 14 No. 3, 2021 gaining increasing importance in the last decade. Therefore, to facilitate necessary calculations in applying
pp. 412-438 each method especially with its fuzzy extension, it can be developed a knowledge-based (KB) or an expert
© Emerald Publishing Limited
1756-378X
system (ES) to help the DMs make the required calculations of each method, and interpret its results with
DOI 10.1108/IJICC-03-2021-0040 detailed analysis.
Originality/value – The objective of the research was to propose a F-AHP based F-MCDM approach to green F-MCDM
concept selection problem through F-PROMETHEE II, F-TOPSIS and F-GRA methods. As the F-AHP is used
to weight evaluation criteria, the other methods are respectively used for ranking the concept alternatives and methods to
determine the best concept alternative. evaluating
Keywords New product development, Green concept selection, Multiple-criteria decision making, Fuzzy logic, green concepts
AHP, TOPSIS, GRA, PROMETHEE II
Paper type Research paper
413
1. Introduction
Designing green products as a result of increasing public awareness about the preservation
of natural environment has become a critical concern for companies, incorporating
environmental issues in their product design in order to meet recent green guidelines. For
companies to follow these guidelines in their new product development environment, special
procedures must be carried out. The bill-of-material or content of a product is an important
factor at its end-of-life since it can reduce the impact on the environment. At the design stage
of a new product, the aim of design, i.e. green thinking must be incorporated as early as
possible in the product development process. At the design process, there are several factors
to be taken into consideration. For example, material selection for different components will
be part of the final product. On the other hand, for the product assembly, the used method and
assembly sequences are the other two critical factors that should be taken into consideration
in the design process (Chu et al., 2009). Furthermore, today’s companies give more attention to
environment-friendly technologies and design applications to minimize waste, and in turn,
transform waste into a profitable product (Zhang et al., 1997; Srivastava, 2007).
Environmentally conscious design and manufacturing is a proactive approach toward
minimizing the impact of products on the environment during all stages of a new product
development (NPD); that is, the sequence of steps or activities which an enterprise employs to
conceive, design and commercialize a product (Ulrich and Eppinger, 2000). This process has
the following activities with environmental issues from raw materials, production,
transportation and distribution to re-use, remanufacturing and recycling to final disposal
(Zhang et al., 1997): (1) identifying customer needs, (2) establishing target specifications,
(3) concept generation, (4) concept selection, (5) concept testing, (6) setting final specifications,
(7) project planning, (8) economic analysis, (9) benchmarking of competitive products,
(10) modeling and (11) prototyping.
Among these activities, the concept selection is a process of evaluating a set of concept
alternatives in terms of the criteria (i. e. quality level and unit cost) to find out the best option
(Ayag, 2005a, b). It is also critical because the selected concept plays an important role at
the phase of generating a set of the design alternatives. On the other hand, it is pointed out in
literature that around 70% of the unit cost of a product is committed at this phase (Duffy et al.,
1993). After this, the development process will lead to a more detailed solution. Therefore, the
concept selection is shortly defined to evaluate a set of design alternatives in a new product
environment and a critical element to improve design productivity. In addition, during the
development process, a company’s product engineers (or designers) must consider an
increased number of design options to meet the needs of customers. The activity of judging
and selecting from a set of competing design options is referred to as evaluation. As the
number of design options to evaluate increases and the time available decreases, designers or
product engineers need more help with evaluating the possible concept alternatives and
determining the most satisfying one. So, the evaluation process can be defined as a multiple-
criteria decision making (MCDM) problem as there are a set of alternatives which should be
evaluated in terms of evaluation criteria, and a decision-maker(s) (DM) will need at least one of
the MCDM methods in current literature. Therefore, in this paper, the four popular MCDM
IJICC methods are chosen for the evaluation design alternatives, such as analytic hierarchy process
14,3 (AHP) invented by Saaty (1981); TOPSIS (the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity
to Ideal Solution) originally developed by Hwang and Yoon (1981); GRA (Grey relational
analysis) first invented by Deng (1982); and PROMETHEE II (Preference Ranking
Organization METhod for Enrichment of Evaluations) by Jean-Pierre Brans (Brans
et al., 1986).
On the other hand, these conventional MCDM methods use a crisp scale to reach the best
414 satisfying alternative. As result of this, some shortcomings are observed as follows: it causes
an unbalanced scale of the judgments of a DM; does not model uncertainty by mapping of
DM’s judgment to a number; and the subjective judgment of a DM has great influence on the
ranking. Due to the vagueness and uncertainty on the judgments of a DM, the crisp
comparison in these conventional methods seems to be insufficient and imprecise to capture
the right judgments of DMs. That is why, in this study, fuzzy logic is utilized to make up for
this deficiency in the conventional methods.
Shortly, the objective of this paper is to propose a fuzzy AHP (F-AHP) based approach to
the green concept evaluation problem through Fuzzy PROMETHEE II (F-PROMETHEE II),
Fuzzy TOPSIS (F-TOPSIS) and Fuzzy GRA (F-GRA) methods. Of these methods, as F-AHP is
used to calculate criteria weights, the others, F-TOPSIS, F-GRA and F- PROMETHEE II are
used to rank alternatives in three different ways for a comparative study. The integration of
fuzzy set theory into the three methods is discussed on a real-life case study; and a
comparative analysis is done by using its numerical results in which the F-AHP based three
F-MCDM methods reveal the same rankings, while F-GRA requires fewer computational
steps. Moreover, more detailed analyses on the numerical results of the case study are
completed on the following issues: normalization methods, distance metrics, aggregation
functions, defuzzification methods and others.
The remaining part of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2 presents a brief review
of the MCDM methods and their fuzzy extensions, used in green concept selection and other
types of MCDM problems. Section 3 presents an introduction to fuzzy set theory and its
incorporation into four popular MCDM methods: AHP, TOPSIS, GRA and PROMETHEE II.
In Section 4, a real-life case study is presented inspired by a study previously done by Ayag
(2016). Section 5 presents a detailed comparative analysis using the numerical results of the
case study in which the F-AHP based three F-MCDM methods are used; and Section 6
presents conclusions, research limitations and directions for future work.
2. Literature review
This section covers a concise review of literature on the related topic as follows: To the best of
our knowledge, a number of studies on concept evaluation have been done in various fields
using the MCDM methods with/out their fuzzy extensions; some of them are given as follows:
Thurston and Carnahan (1992) utilized fuzzy logic and utility analysis in early design
evaluation in terms of a group of criteria. Carnahan et al. (1994) also used fuzzy logic
integrated with an MCDM method to rank alternatives based on evaluation criteria.
Buyukozkan et al. (2004) used fuzzy integrated ANP to prioritize design requirements by
taking into consideration the degree of the interdependence between the customer needs and
design requirements. Kwong et al. (2007) proposed an approach through the quality function
deployment (QFD) by considering the fuzzy relation measures between customer
requirements and engineering characteristics to determine the weights of engineering
characteristics. Hu and Zhang (2007) utilized the AHP method to determine the HoQ (House of
Quality) parameters, and the method of fuzzy clustering dynamic sort to classify customer
requirements for product design features. Buyukozkan et al. (2007) proposed a fuzzy QFD to
fuse multiple preference styles to respond to customer needs in a product development
process. Chen and Weng (2006) developed a fuzzy-based Gaussian process (GP) model to
evaluate engineering design alternatives by considering business competition by specifying F-MCDM
the pre-emptive priorities between goals and the minimum meeting levels of design methods to
requirements. Huang and Gu (2006) developed a reasoning scheme to infer the relationships
between the requirements and information, and the feedback control mechanism by
evaluating
analyzing the conflicting or cooperative relationships among the process requirements. green concepts
Karsak (2004) proposed the QFD with the aim of developing new and modifying existing
products to improve the level of customer satisfaction by integrating the business functions
of an organization. Vinodh et al. (2010) proposed a fuzzy ANP for concept evaluation in total 415
agile design systems. Ng and Chuah (2014) used the AHP and evidential reasoning (ER)
approaches in the environmental performance evaluation and prioritization of different
design options with a case study. Kahraman et al. (2007) developed a systematic decision
process for finding more rational new product ideas using both, a fuzzy heuristic multi-
attributive utility theory (MAUT) for the identification of non-dominated new product
candidates and a hierarchical F-TOPSIS method for the selection of the best design option.
Lin et al. (2008) proposed a framework using the AHP and TOPSIS methods to help designers
to determine customer requirements and design characteristics and achieve an effective
evaluation of the ultimate design solution. Chan (2008) used the GRA method for the product
end-of-life decisions of manufacturing companies. Vinodh and Girubha (2012) developed an
approach using the PROMETHEE method to solve the sustainable concept selection problem
that is vital for manufacturing organizations. Vinodh et al. (2014) also used the AHP and
PROMETHEE for agile concept selection problem. Later, Vinodh et al. (2015) also proposed
an integrated grey system rough set theory to evaluate agile concept options for the
automotive sector. On the other hand, Le Teno and Mareschal (1998) proposed an interval
version of PROMETHEE I in order to deal with interval criteria and evaluated the
environmental quality of building products’ design through life cycle assessment.
Geldermann et al. (2000) also used the PROMETHEE method with trapezoidal fuzzy
numbers for specification of fuzzy preferences, scores and weights.
On the other hand, to the best of our knowledge, there are a limited number of studies on
the comparisons of the MCDM methods for concept selection problem, some of which are
summarized here as follows: Lakshmi and Venkatesan (2014) did a comparison study to
determine the effects of various normalization methods on the results of the TOPSIS method
and found out the best method in terms of time and space complexity. Naaz et al. (2011)
analyzed the effect of five different defuzzification methods in a fuzzy-based load balancing
problem and compared their results to determine the best method. Zavadskas et al. (2006)
used the TOPSIS with vector and linear normalization methods for the ranking accuracy in
construction management problem and compared them to each other. Honkala et al. (2007)
compared existing MCDM methods for concept selection, to identify possible differences in
the methods, and to give recommendations for their use in concept selection under variable
situations. The comparison primarily showed parallel results between compared methods,
but certain noticeable differences also occurred. These differences are pointed out and
clarified, and five suggestions for the general use of MCDM methods were made. Velasquez
and Hester (2013) performed a literature review of common MCDM methods and examined
their advantages and disadvantages. They also explained how their common applications
relate to their relative strengths and weaknesses in order to provide a clear guide for how
MCDM methods should be used for particular problems.
Also, there are many works on the fuzzy based hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets; and
some of them recently published are summarized as follows: Lin et al. (2020a) proposed a
TODIM-based MCDM approach with hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets, and applied for the
evaluation and ranking of several satellite launching centers in order to illustrate the validity
and applicability of the proposed method. Lin et al. (2020b) developed a model for site
selection of car sharing station under picture fuzzy environment using MULTIMOORA.
IJICC Can and Demirok (2019) used an integrated fuzzy MCDM approach for universal usability
14,3 evaluation. Li et al. (2020) presented a novel approach to emergency risk assessment using
failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) with extended MULTIMOORA method under
interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy environment. Chen et al. (2019) developed a grey
clustering evaluation based on AHP and interval grey number. Wang et al. (2019) proposed an
MCDM approach based on improved cosine similarity measure with interval neutrosophic
sets. Lin et al. (2020) presented an approach to evaluate Internet of things (IoT) platforms
416 using integrated probabilistic linguistic MCDM method. Xiuqin et al. (2021) developed a
probabilistic uncertain linguistic TODIM method based on the generalized Choquet integral
and its application. Qiyas et al. (2020) present an approach for emergency problem selection
issue using the concept of Yager operators with the picture fuzzy set environment.
To the best of our knowledge, in current literature, there is a research gap on the
exploration of different MCDM methods for green concept evaluation; therefore, in this paper,
a F-AHP based methodology through the three popular MCDM methods in fuzzy
environment, F-TOPSIS, F-GRA and F-PROMETHEE II are presented for a comparative
work using the numerical results of a case study in terms of the normalization methods,
distance metrics, aggregation functions, defuzzification methods, time complexity and other
issues, as F-AHP is only used for weighting evaluation criteria.
Solving fuzzy eigenvalue, normalizing the related matrices, and calculation, λmax for each matrix
CR ≥ 10%
No (re-make pair wise comparisons)
Index fuzzy numbers in the fuzzy matrix Calculate the fuzzy normalized and fuzzy weighted
Normalize the fuzzy decision matrix
normalized decision matrix
Calculate aggregated preference indices Calculate the positive and negative ideal solutions Find the reference vector for each alternative
Calculate the separation measures Find the relational coefficients and weighted
Calculate outranking flow indices
distances to reference points for each alternative
Calculate the relative closeness to the positive-ideal solution
Ranking the green concept alternatives Order the alternatives by the average weighted
Rank the preference order distances and select the highest graded alternative
green concepts
methods to
Figure 1.
evaluating
problem
green concept selection
of F-AHP based
Comparative analysis
IJICC commonly used MCDM methods in literature and has been widely used for different kinds of
14,3 MCDM problems (Ayag and Ozdemir, 2007). For weighting the evaluation criteria for green
concept selection problem using F-AHP, triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs), ~1 to ~9, are utilized
to make the required pairwise comparisons of the selection process to capture the vagueness
of a DM as seen in Table 1.
A fuzzy number is a special fuzzy set F ¼ fðx; μF ðxÞÞ; x ∈ Rg, where x takes it values on
the real line; R: − ∞ < x < þ∞ and μF ðxÞ is a continuous mapping from R to the closed
418 interval [0, 1]. A TFN denoted as M~ ¼ ðl; m; uÞ , where l ≤ m ≤ u, has the following triangular
type of membership function:
8
>
> x<l
>
> 0
>
>
>
< x l=
μF ðxÞ ¼ m 1 l ≤x≤m
>
> u x=u m m ≤ x ≤ u
>
>
>
>
>
:0 x>u
The TFNs are used to improve the traditional the nine-point scaling scheme of Saaty’s to take
the imprecision and vagueness of DM judgments into consideration. In this scale, the five
TFNs (~1, ~3 ,~5 ,~7 ,~9) are defined with their membership function. All evaluation criteria and
alternatives are linguistically depicted by Figure 2. The shape and position of linguistic
elements are chosen to illustrate the fuzzy extension of the method.
Later, the DM is asked to compare the elements at a given level on a pairwise basis to
estimate their relative importance in relation to the element at the immediate proceeding level.
In traditional AHP of Saaty, the required pairwise comparisons, also as seen in Table 1, are
done by using a nine-point ratio scale (Saaty, 1989). Unfortunately, although this scale has the
advantages of simplicity and easiness, it is not enough to reflect the uncertainty associated
with the mapping of DM’s judgment to a number. Therefore, the fuzzy logic is integrated to
the conventional AHP to overcome this difficulty, called F-AHP. Next, the steps of this method
are concisely given:
Step 1. Comparing the performance scores: the TFNs are used to indicate the relative
strength of each pair of elements in the same hierarchy.
Numerical Judgment or
rating preference Remarks TFNs
1 Equally important Two attributes contribute equally to the attribute at the (1, 1, 2)
higher decision level
3 Moderately more Experience and judgment slightly favor one attribute over (2, 3, 4)
important another
5 Strongly more Experience and judgment strongly favor one attribute (4, 5, 6)
important over another
Table 1. 7 Very strongly more Experience and judgment strongly favor one attribute (6, 7, 8)
Nine-point important over another; its dominance has been demonstrated in
fundamental scale used practice
in pairwise 9 Extremely more Experience and judgment extremely favor one attribute (8, 9, 10)
comparisons important over another; the evidence favoring one attribute over
(Saaty, 1989) another is of the highest possible order of affirmation
μM (x) F-MCDM
Equally
~
Moderately
~
Strongly
~
Very strongly
~
Extremely
~
methods to
1.0
1 3 5 7 9 evaluating
green concepts
419
0.5
Figure 2.
Fuzzy membership
function for linguistic
values for evaluation
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
criteria
Intensity of importance
~ ðaij Þ is
Step 2. Constructing the fuzzy comparison matrix: the fuzzy judgment matrix A
constructed via pairwise comparison using TFNs as given below;
2 3
1 af 12 :: :: af 1n
6 af 7
6 21 1 :: :: af 2n 7
~ 6
A ¼ 6 :: :: :: :: :: 7 7
4 :: :: :: :: :: 5
af
n1 afn2 :: :: 1
−1 −1 −1 −1 −1
where, aeαij ¼ 1, if i is equal j, and aeαij ¼~1, ~3, ~5, ~7, ~9 or ~1 , ~3 , ~5 , ~7 , ~9 , if i is not equal j
Step 3. Solving fuzzy eigenvalue: A fuzzy eigenvalue, ~λ is a fuzzy number solution to
~ x ¼ ~λ~x
A~ (Eq. 1)
where nxn is the fuzzy matrix containing fuzzy numbers aeij and ~x is a non-zero nx1, fuzzy
vector containing fuzzy number ~xi. To perform fuzzy multiplications and additions by
using the interval arithmetic and α − cut, the equation A~ ~ x5~λ~x is equivalent to
α α α α α α α α α α
ai1l x1l ; ai1u x1u ⊕ ::::: ⊕ ainl xnl ; ainu xnu ¼ λxil ; λxiu
where
:
~ ¼ ½~aij ; xet ¼ ðxe1 ; ::::; xen Þ;
A
α h: i α
~a ¼ aαijl ; aαiju ; ~xαi ¼ xαil ; xαiu ; ~λ ¼ λαl ; λαu (Eq. 2)
ij
The eigenvector is calculated by fixing the μ value and identifying the maximal eigenvalue.
Then, the matrix is normalized, and the priority weights of the concept alternatives are
determined.
Step 4. Consistency analysis: To make sure that the result is based on the consistent on the
judgments of the DM, first λmax calculated by Eq. (1), then the consistency index (CI) is
calculated for the matrix by Eq. (4). The deviations from the consistency are expressed by
the CI, the measure of inconsistency.
λmax n
CI ¼ (Eq. 4)
n1
Later, the consistency ratio (CR) is calculated by Eq. (5) by dividing the value of CI by the
value from the Table of Random Consistency Index (RI), the average index for randomly
generated weights based on the matrix size (Saaty, 1981).
CI
CR ¼ (Eq. 5)
RI
For consistency of a matrix, the value of CR should be less than 0.10; and it means that the
pairwise comparisons of the DM are consistent and acceptable, otherwise not.
421
Figure 3.
Fuzzy membership
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 function for linguistic
values for alternatives
Intensity of importance
from the positive-ideal solution and the farthest distance from the negative-ideal solution.
Although its concept is rational and easy to use, and the number of computational steps are
uncomplicated, the inherent difficulty of assigning reliable subjective preferences to the
criteria is noteworthy as a well-known classical MCDM method. It has received much interest
from researchers and practitioners, and the global interest in the method has exponentially
grown (Behzadian et al., 2010). The approach uses weighted Euclidean distances to ensure a
meaningful interpretation of the comparison result. Next, the steps of the TOPSIS method are
given (Triantaphyllou 2000);
Step 1. Construct the fuzzy and fuzzy normalized fuzzy decision matrices: First, the
following fuzzy decision matrix ðX ~ Þ using the TFNs based on Table 2 and Figure 3 is
constructed, where m and n indicate alternatives and criteria, as ~xij indicates the
jugdments of the DM (i 5 1, 2, 3,. . ., n; j 5 1, 2, 3,. . ., m).
2 3
~x11 ~x12 ~x13 : : ~x1n
6 ~x21 ~x22 ~x23 : : ~x2n 7
6 7
6 : 7
~ ¼6 :
X
: : : : 7
6 : : : : : : 7
6 7
4 : : : : : : 5
~xm1 ~xm2 ~xm3 : : ~xmn
Step 4. Calculate the separation measures: The n-dimensional Euclidean distance method is
used to measure the separation distances of each concept alternative from the positive-
ideal solution and the negative-ideal solution. Thus, the distances are obtained using the
following equations:
vffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
uX
u n
di* ¼ t ð~vij ~vj* Þ for i ¼ 1; 2; 3; :::m
2
(Eq. 9)
j¼1
where di* is the distance of each alternative from the positive-ideal solution.
vffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
uX
u n
di− ¼ t ð~vij ~vj Þ2 for i ¼ 1; 2; 3; :::m (Eq. 10)
j¼1
where di− is the distance of each alternative from the negative-ideal solution.
Step 5. Calculate the relative closeness to the ideal solution: The relative closeness of an
~ * is defined as follows:
~ i with respect to the ideal solution A
alternative A
di−
Closeness index: CIi ¼ (Eq. 11)
di* þ di−
where
uj* ¼ maxi fuij g∀ii ¼ 1; 2; . . . ; m (Eq. 13)
Step 3. Determine the vector of reference series; the reference number for each criterion is
found as in the following equation:
~ 0 ¼ ½~r 01 ; ~r 02 ; ::::; ~r 0n ¼ maxð~r ij Þ i ¼ 1; 2; . . . ; n
R (Eq. 14)
Step 4. Find the distance matrix; the distance δij between the reference value and each
comparison value is calculated using the equations:
rffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
~ ~ 1
dðA; BÞ ¼ ðl1 l2 Þ2 þ ðm1 m2 Þ2 þ ðu1 u2 Þ2 (Eq. 15)
3
where the distance between A ~ and B ~ is calculated using TFNs.
The grey relational coefficient (ξij) is also calculated as in the following equation.
δmin þ ρδmax
ξij ¼ ; δmax ¼ maxðδij Þ; δmin
δij þ ρδmax (Eq. 16)
¼ minðδij Þ and ρ resolving coefficient ρe½0; 1
Pn
where wj is the weight of the jth criterion, and j¼1 wj ¼ 1.
Finally, the alternatives are ranked in accordance with the value of ξij. The higher the
grade, the better the alternatives would be.
F-PROMETHEE II for ranking: In literature, it is reported that the PROMETHEE II has
been used with success to solve various MCDM problems (Samanlioglu and Ayag, 2016). It is
based on a comparison pair per pair of possible decisions along each criterion. Possible
decisions are evaluated according to different criteria, which have to be maximized or
minimized. It also requires two additional types of information for each criterion; a weight and
a preference function. The preference function characterizes the difference for a criterion
IJICC between the evaluations obtained by two possible decisions into a preference degree in the
14,3 interval of [0, 1]. To facilitate the definition of these functions, six basic preference functions
were proposed by Figueira et al. (2004). Next, the four steps of F-PROMETHEE II are
presented (Samanlioglu and Aya g, 2016).
Step 1. Construct a fuzzy decision-making Pmatrix together with the results of the F-AHP
method; W ¼ ðw1 ; w2 ; w3 ; :::; wn Þ, where wi ¼ 1 (i ¼ 1; 2; . . . :; nÞ , and a typical m by n
424 fuzzy decision matrix is shown as below:
ðw1 . . . wj . . . wn Þ
ðbc1 . . . bcj . . . bcn Þ
b1
A 2 3
: 1 rf12 :: :: rf
1n
: 6 rf 1 :: :: rf 7
6 21 2n 7
bi 6 :: :: :: :: :: 7
A 6 7
: 4 :: :: :: :: :: 5
: rf
m1 rfm2 :: :: 1
bm
A
Here, cbj ∈ Cb is a fuzzy positive criterion. The criterion is a maximum criterion if the DM
prefers more value for it. Otherwise, it is a minimum. A bi ∈ A c is fuzzy alternative. Ac
* is
b
the fuzzy alternative from A. rbij ∈ br is the utility value. wj ∈ W is the weight of cbj.
Step 2. Index fuzzy numbers in the fuzzy decision matrix: the fuzzy number in the fuzzy
matrix is defuzzified with centroid defuzzification approach (Wang, 2009) to the crisp
number by Eq. (18);
ðl; m; uÞ ¼ ðl þ m þ uÞ=3 (Eq. 18)
In other words, the above process converts a fuzzy decision matrix into a crisp decision
matrix as follows:
ðw1 . . . wj . . . wn Þ
ðc1 . . . cj . . . cn Þ
A1 2 3
: 1 r12 :: :: r1n
: 6 r21 1 :: :: r2n 7
6 7
Ai 6 :: :: :: :: :: 7
6 7
: 4 :: :: :: :: :: 5
: rm1 rm2 :: :: 1
Am
where cj ∈ C is the positive criterion, Ai ∈ A is the alternative, A* is the ideal alternative from
A, rij ∈ r is the utility value, wj ∈ W is the weight of cj. The cap removal from the notations is
crisp value.
Step 3. Calculate aggregated preference indices: Pj ðAi ; Ak Þ ¼ Pj ðdðAi ; Ak ÞÞ ¼ Pj ðrij − rkj Þ
is a preference function showing how much Ai prefers to Ak with respect to cj. Brans et al.
(1986) defined the six types of generalized functions and also pointed out that the Gaussian
criterion rather than the others was mostly preferred by users for practical applications
especially in the case of continuing data. As the evaluation criteria contain continuing
data, the Gaussian criterion preference function was chosen here for the evaluation
process given below:
8 9
>
< 0 >
d≤0 =
F-MCDM
PðdÞ ¼ ; (Eq. 19) methods to
> d > 0>
2
: 1 e−2s2
d
; evaluating
green concepts
if the criterion is a maximum and 8 9
>
< 0 d≥0 >
=
PðdÞ ¼ (Eq. 20) 425
> d < 0>
2
: 1 e−2s2
d
;
Step 4. Calculate outranking flow. Each alternative Ai faces (m-1) other alternatives in A.
In order to rank the alternatives, the outranking flows are defined as follows:
The positive outranking flow is of the form:
X
m
∅þ ðAi Þ ¼ π ðAi ; Ak Þ (Eq. 22)
k¼1
The positive outranking flow expresses how an alternative Ai outranks all the others. Higher
∅þ ðAi Þ gives a better alternative. On the other hand, the negative outranking flow expresses
how an alternative Ai is outranked by all the others. The lower ∅− ðAi Þ gives a better
alternative. The higher ∅ðAi Þ specifies the final better alternative.
4. Case study
In the previous section, a comparative approach, a F-AHP-based three F-MCDM methods has
been presented to evaluate a set of green conceptual design alternatives in terms of the
evaluation criteria in an NPD environment. In this section, a case study is presented for
potential readers or practitioners to clearly explain how the comparative approach works on a
real-life case. For this purpose, the case study is constructed inspired by a study previously
done in a hot runner system manufacturer in Canada (Ayag, 2014). This case study has four
different concepts, namely Concept A, B, C and D, respectively, together with the four-
evaluation criteria given in Table 3, three of which were determined by utilizing the previous
study. The last one, green criterion was newly-added by taking the principles of Design for
Environment (DfE) into consideration in order to obtain environmental-friendly products,
which are so vital and expected by most mold-manufacturers in today’s business world.
IJICC 4.1 Determining weights of the criteria through F-AHP
14,3 First, by following the steps in Section 3.1 (see also Figure 1), to weight the four-evaluation
criteria; cost, risk, quality and green, the details of which are given in Table 3, the TFNs (~1, ~3, ~5,
~7, ~9) are used to express the preference in the pairwise comparisons using Table 1 and
Figure 2, and the fuzzy pair-wise comparison matrix (A) ~ for the relative importance of the
criteria is constructed given in Table 4.
Second, the lower and upper limits of the fuzzy numbers in the fuzzy matrix (A), ~ with
426 respect to α, the confidence level are defined by applying Eq. (2) as follows:
~1α ¼ ½1; 3 2α; ~3α ¼ ½1 þ 2α; 5 2α; ~3−1 ¼ 1 1
α ; ; ~5α ¼ ½3 þ 2α; 7 2α;
5 2α 1 þ 2α
~5−1 ¼ 1 1 ~ ~−1 1 1
α ; ; 7α ¼ ½5 þ 2α; 9 2α; 7α ¼ ; ;
7 2α 3 þ 2α 9 2α 5 þ 2α
~9α ¼ ½7 þ 2α; 11 2α; ~9−1 ¼ 1 1
α ;
11 2α 7 þ 2α
Then, the values of α ¼ 0:5 and μ ¼ 0:5 were determined using the interval of [0–1] by the
DM, who works as a design engineer at the company. They are substituted, where μ indicates
the coefficient of optimism, above expression into the fuzzy comparison matrix, and the
α − cuts fuzzy comparison matrix is obtained by Eq. (3) as presented in Table 5.
Later, the eigenvalue of the matrix A is calculated by solving the characteristic equation
of A, detðA − λI Þ ¼ 0 and found out all λ values for A (λ1 ; λ2 ; λ3). Next, the largest eigenvalue
Cost 1 ~3 ~9 ~9
Table 4. Risk 3f
−1 1 ~3 ~7
Fuzzy comparison Quality 9f
−1 f
3−1 1 ~1
matrix of the criteria
using TFNs Green f
9−1 7f
−1 1f
−1 1
Criteria
Alternatives Cost Risk Quality Green
Table 7.
Concept A G MP MP MG Fuzzy decision matrix,
Concept B F F P VG ~
X for green
Concept C MP VG MG G alternatives in terms of
Concept D P MP F MP each criterion
Criteria
Alternatives Cost Risk Quality Green
Concept A (0.57, 0.65, 0.73) (0.15, 0.26, 0.37) (0.17, 0.30, 0.43) (0.30, 0.40, 0.49)
Concept B (0.33, 0.41, 0.49) (0.29, 0.37, 0.44) (0.09, 0.17, 0.26) (0.49, 0.55, 0.61) Table 8.
Concept C (0.16, 0.28, 0.41) (0.59, 0.66, 0.73) (0.43, 0.56, 0.69) (0.43, 0.49, 0.55) Fuzzy normalized
Concept D (0.08, 0.16, 0.24) (0.15, 0.26, 0.37) (0.35, 0.43, 0.52) ~ for F-TOPSIS
(0.12, 0.21, 0.30) matrix, R
IJICC Next, the positive and negative-ideal solution values for each criterion are calculated by
14,3 Eq. (7) and Eq. (8), and marked them as seen in Table 9. These values in the set form are as
follows:
~ ¼ fð0:35; 0:40; 0:44Þ; ð0:15; 0:17; 0:19Þ; ð0:03; 0:04; 0:05Þ; ð0:03; 0:03; 0:03Þg
A*
~ − ¼ fð0:05 0:10; 0:15Þ; ð0:04; 0:07; 0:10Þ; ð0:01; 0:01; 0:02Þ; ð0:01; 0:01; 0:02Þg
A
428
Then, the separation measures di* and di− by Eq. (9) and Eq. (10), and the relative closeness CIi
to the ideal solution by Eq. (11) are calculated and shown in Table 10. As seen in the table, the
green concept alternative, Concept A with the highest CIi value is found as the best alternative
among the others.
Finally, the ranking is found as {Concept A-Concept C – Concept B – Concept D}
F-GRA for ranking: The weight column vector (W) and the fuzzy decision matrix (X) ~ in
Table 7 are used, and later the normalized fuzzy decision matrix (R) ~ in Table 11 by Eq. (12)
and Eq. (13).
7:0 8:0 9:0
uþ f
1 ¼ maxi f9:0; 6:0; 5:0; 3:0g ¼ 9:0; r 11 ¼ ; ; ¼ ð0:78; 0:89; 1:00Þ
9:0 9:0 9:0
Next, the reference series for green concept alternatives are determined by Eq. (14) as follows:
Re0 ¼ ½ð0:78; 0:89; 1:00Þ; ð0:20; 0:35; 0:50Þ; ð0:25; 0:44; 0:63Þ; ð0:50; 0:65; 0:80Þ
Criteria
Alternatives Cost Risk Quality Green
Concept A (0.35*, 0.40*, 0.44*) (0.04, 0.07, 0.10) (0.01, 0.02, 0.03) (0.02, 0.02, 0.03)
Concept B (0.20, 0.25, 0.30) (0.08, 0.10, 0.12) (0.01–, 0.01–, 0.02–) (0.03*, 0.03*, 0.03*)
Table 9. Concept C (0.10, 0.17, 0.25) (0.15*, 0.17*, 0.19*) (0.03*, 0.04*, 0.05*) (0.02, 0.03, 0.03)
Fuzzy weighted Concept D (0.05–, 0.10–, 0.15–) (0.04–, 0.07–, 0.10–) (0.03, 0.03, 0.04) (0.01–, 0.01–, 0.02–)
~
normalized matrix, V Note(s): *Indicates the positive-ideal solution and – indicates the negative-ideal solution for related criterion
Criteria
Alternatives Cost Risk Quality Green
Table 11. Concept A (0.78, 0.89, 1.00) (0.20, 0.35, 0.50) (0.25, 0.44, 0.63) (0.50, 0.65, 0.80)
Fuzzy normalized Concept B (0.44, 0.56, 0.67) (0.40, 0.50, 0.60) (0.13, 0.25, 0.38) (0.80, 0.90, 1.00)
~ for
matrix, matrix, R Concept C (0.22, 0.39, 0.56) (0.80, 0.90, 1.00) (0.63, 0.81, 1.00) (0.70, 0.80, 0.90)
F-GRA Concept D (0.11, 0.22, 0.33) (0.20, 0.35, 0.50) (0.50, 0.63, 0.75) (0.20, 0.35, 0.50)
The distance matrix (δij) from the reference value to each comparison value is also calculated F-MCDM
by Eq. (15) and shown in Table 12. An example on how a distance is calculated is also methods to
formalized for δ11 below:
rffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi evaluating
1 2 2 2 green concepts
δ11 ¼ ð0:78 0:78Þ þ ð0:89 0:89Þ þ ð1:00 1:00Þ ¼ 0:00
3
By using distance matrix (δij), the values of δmin and δmax are found as 0.00 and 0.67. Later, the 429
matrix for the grey relational coefficient (ξij) is also calculated by Eq. (16) and shown in
Table 13.
Finally, by using criteria weights (W) and the matrix (ξij), the grey relational grades (γ i) are
calculated by Eq. (17) for all the alternatives and are given in Table 14. More explanation of
this computation is given below:
γ 1 ¼ ð1:00 * 0:607Þ þ ð0:38 * 0:263Þ þ ð0:47 * 0:077Þ þ ð0:57 * 0:053Þ ¼ 0:773
As seen in the table, the ranking is found as {Concept A-Concept C – Concept B – Concept D}.
F-PROMETHEE II for ranking: First, the vector of criteria weights (W) and fuzzy decision
matrix (X)~ using the TFNs from Table 7 are given to the alternatives with respect to all the
criteria; cost, risk, quality and green as shown in Table 15. Moreover, the values of s in the table
indicate a maximum as each criterion is maximum with the value of s being equal to 5. For
example, if the alternatives Concept A, Concept B, Concept C and Concept D are evaluated in
Criteria
Alternatives Cost Risk Quality Green
Criteria
Alternatives Cost Risk Quality Green
Criteria
Alternatives Grade (γ i ) Ranking
Table 14.
Concept A 0.773 1 Final weights for the
Concept B 0.506 3 green concept
Concept C 0.624 2 alternatives through
Concept D 0.371 4 F-GRA
IJICC terms of the criterion Cost, using the TFNs, the fuzzy values {(7.0, 8.0, 9.0), (4.0, 5.0, 6.0), (2.0,
14,3 3.5, 5.0), (1.0, 2.0, 3.0)} are respectively obtained.
Later, the fuzzy decision matrix is converted into the crisp decision matrix by Eq. (18) as
shown in Table 16. With respect to the crisp decision matrix in Table 16, the aggregated
preference matrix for P1 (Concept A, Concept B) is shown in Table 17.
The Gaussian criterion function is chosen for all the criteria where the parameter s for each
criterion is the value of 5. To show the calculation steps of how the values in Table 17 are
430 obtained, the following example can be given as follows: If the alternative Concept A is
compared with the alternative Concept B, the related the values x1 ; y1 for P1 (Concept A,
Concept B) are calculated using the data in Table 16 by Eq. (20) and Eq. (21) given below:
–3:0002
X
4
x1 ¼ 8:00 5:00 ¼ 3:00; y1 ¼ 1 eð−ðx1 Þ=ð2*s Þ ¼ 1 e
2 2 2þ52
¼ 0:1647; z ¼ w1 *y1
i¼1
¼ 0:10338
In addition, the z value is found after determining all the values of xi ; yi for Pi (i ¼ 1; 2; 3; 4Þ as
the number of the concept alternatives. The results of all the elements are given in Table 18.
s 5 5 5 5
Table 15. Weight 0.607 0.263 0.077 0.053
Fuzzy decision matrix Concept A (7.0, 8.0, 9.0) (2.0, 3.5, 5.0) (2.0, 3.5, 5.0) (5.0, 6.5, 8.0)
for the green concept Concept B (4.0, 5.0, 6.0) (4.0, 5.0, 6.0) (1.0, 2.0, 3.0) (8.0, 9.0, 10.0)
selection for Concept C (2.0, 3.5, 5.0) (8.0, 9.0, 10.0) (5.0, 6.5, 8.0) (7.0, 8.0, 9.0)
F-PROMETHEE II Concept D (1.0, 2.0, 3.0) (2.0, 3.5, 5.0) (4.0, 5.0, 6.0) (2.0, 3.5, 5.0)
s 5 5 5 5
Weight 0.607 0.263 0.077 0.053
Concept A 8.000 3.500 3.500 6.500
Table 16. Concept B 5.000 5.000 2.000 9.000
Decision-making Concept C 3.500 9.000 6.500 8.000
matrix after indexing Concept D 2.000 3.500 5.000 3.500
F-PROMETHEE II
Alternatives F-TOPSIS (CIi Þ F-GRA (γ i) ∅ðAi Þ
Table 20.
Concept A 0.702 (1) 0.773 (1) 0.46148 (1) Comparison of the
Concept B 0.434 (3) 0.506 (3) 0.03255 (3) numerical results of the
Concept C 0.501 (2) 0.624 (2) 0.16929 (2) three F-MCDM
Concept D 0.044 (4) 0.371 (4) 0.59822 (4) methods
IJICC Although, in literature, several normalization methods have been introduced, here
14,3 both of them, linear and vector normalization methods were used for F-GRA and
F-TOPSIS to determine whether any of these methods affect the ranking of the green
alternatives. The results are presented in Table 21.
As seen in the table, the ranking changes in both the F-GRA and the F-TOPSIS with linear
and vector normalization methods. In this case, it can be said that under the conditions for this
432 case study, selecting the normalization method is critical of ranking at these methods.
(2) Distance metrics: It is a numerical description of how far apart two points are from
each other. This metrics is used by the MCDM methods to determine how far a
solution is from optimality. The TOPSIS uses the distance of a solution from positive
and negative ideal solutions, as the GRA uses only the distance from an ideal solution.
The TOPSIS and GRA methods use the Euclidean distance metric, the results are
shown in Table 20 by Eq. (15). Moreover, the TOPSIS has been used with other
distance metrics, especially with city-block (Manhattan) distance metrics (Banaeian
et al., 2018). On the other hand, in this study, the effect of different distance metrics
with both methods are investigated; and the results are given in Table 22. As seen in
the table, although the CI values in the F-TOPSIS are not similar, and the same results
are obtained in the F-GRA under different distance metrics Euclidean and City-block
(Manhattan), the rankings do not change in either of the methods.
(3) Aggregation functions: There are different aggregation functions used by MCDM
methods to represent the reference points (Banaeian et al., 2018). These functions for
F-AHP, F-PROMETHEE II, F-TOPSIS and F-GRA are seen in Eq. (3, 11, 17, 21). The
TOPSIS does not consider the relative importance of distances from the best to worst
solutions, as a main drawback of the method.
(4) Defuzzification methods: MCDM methods use different defuzzification methods to mainly
convert a fuzzy number to a crisp value. In this study, for the F-PROMETHEE II method,
two different methods, the weighted defuzzification method (ðl; m; uÞ ¼ ðl þ 2m þ uÞ=4)
and centroid defuzzification method (ðl; m; uÞ ¼ ðl þ m þ uÞ=3) by Eq. (18) are used to
see whether a defuzzification method plays an important role on the final ranking. The
results are given in Table 23.
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