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667 2023
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This Report provides guidance on the development and maintenance of pre-
project technical cost estimates for upstream oil and gas industry asset
decommissioning, with particular emphasis on estimates for asset retirement
obligations.
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REPORT SEPTEMBER
667 2023
Revision history
Contents
Introduction 6
4
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Glossary 50
Table of abbreviations 50
Definition of terms 51
References 57
5
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Introduction
Background
IOGP believes that industry-wide standardization is a valuable and attainable goal. The IOGP
Decommissioning Committee identified variations in the development of estimates supporting
Asset Retirement Obligations (ARO) provisions across the oil and gas industry. These guidelines
are intended to improve consistency in the development of all pre-project estimates for upstream
assets decommissioning, and to allow lessons to be shared across companies and regions.
Purpose
The purpose of this document is to provide guidance on the development of pre-project cost estimates
for upstream oil and gas assets decommissioning, with particular reference to those that support the
determination of ARO provisions. These guidelines define the development of consistent and appropriate
pre-project estimates for decommissioning that are fit for purpose, transparent, and credible.
This Report contains recommended approaches based on the experience of IOGP Member
Companies. It provides recommendations, not requirements or regulations.
Scope
The scope of this document is limited to the provision of guidelines for the development of pre-
project cost estimates for upstream oil and gas asset decommissioning, with particular reference to
those supporting ARO provisions.
‘Pre-project’ refers to an asset’s life from establishment until a project team is formed to manage
and execute asset decommissioning.
These guidelines are intended to be broadly applicable to upstream offshore and onshore assets
in all geographical locations. This guidance may also be applied to decommissioning estimates for
midstream and downstream assets; however, these asset types are not directly referenced.
For the most common asset types, asset archetypes are provided as appendices. These work
through the selection of estimating approach and provide examples.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
At a high level, the pre-project estimate should generally include costs for:
• Project management
• Asset operation from cessation of production onwards (post-COP running costs)
• Permanent plugging and abandonment (P&A) of all wells
• Permanent isolation and cleaning of all assets as required
• Where an asset is to be removed, all work required to prepare for removal. Where it is
to be left in situ, any required preparation work
• Removal and transport of materials to a disposal site
• Recycling and disposal of removed materials
• Site remediation
• Post-project monitoring as required
It is important that the pre-project cost estimate is credible. This can be defined by the
following characteristics:
• Based on a suitably detailed and accurate understanding of the inventory
• Presumes an end-state that is supported by regulation and industry good-practice
• Includes assumptions based on reasonable precedents
• Recognizes the uncertainty inherent in the estimate
• Has pragmatically adopted estimating approaches that provide an accuracy level
that is suitable for the intended purpose
• Is supported by key stakeholders
Other terms equivalent to ‘credible estimate’ in this context include ‘best estimate’,
‘most likely estimate’, or ‘P50 estimate’.
7
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
See
Establish the end state. Section 2.4
See
Document the basis of the estimate, including all assumptions. Section 2.8
See
Once developed, the estimate should be periodically reviewed and updated. Section 2.9
Figure 1: The process of developing a pre-project estimate for upstream asset decommissioning
8
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
9
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
10
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
This information is informs the assumptions and helps identify sources of information
to be used in preparing the pre-project decommissioning estimate.
The level of detail of the inventory is a pragmatic decision as discussed in Section 2.1.
Section 3 of this guideline considers appropriate granularity of inventory for different facility
types in more detail.
2.2.2.1 Background
It is important that what is to be achieved, how it will be achieved, and what it will cost,
is organized in a consistent manner. This is done by adopting a defined work breakdown
structure (WBS), designed to divide the work into discrete chunks, understood and
estimated separately. Use of a defined WBS supports consistency and helps ensure that the
approach to developing the estimate is comprehensive and controllable.
The adoption of a common work breakdown structure (WBS) framework aids consistency
and assists with communication internally, with regulators, co-venturers and other
stakeholders, and financially interested parties, such as auditors and host governments.
It also enables effective learning and facilitates benchmarking.
A good decommissioning WBS will have the following characteristics:
• Offers a logical and straightforward breakdown.
• Distinctive start and end points to each WBS element.
• Enables all regulatory reporting requirements to be met.
• Reflects likely/typical contractual arrangements.
• Has a good level of cross industry acceptance.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
The decommissioning sector of the oil and gas industry is not new. One WBS has become
established in several countries and companies. This is the Offshore Energy UK (OEUK)
’11 box model’1 also adopted by Offshore Norge2 and used by several IOGP Members
throughout their decommissioning profiles.
The IOGP ARO Expert Group have concluded that this WBS, shown in Figure 2, is suitable
for use across the upstream industry and recommend its adoption when preparing pre-
project estimates for decommissioning.
The WBS is outlined here with full detail of each element provided in Section 3. The
following should be noted:
• This WBS is intended as guidance. Operators are free to deviate from the WBS where
project or business needs require.
• This is a high level WBS and does not provide the complete structure necessary for
project management, planning, and cost control. Operators’ own execution WBS or
ISO190083 should be used in conjunction with this WBS.
• Whilst the categories of the WBS are in some ways sequential, they are not intended
to represent a sequential process and may be concurrent or not required in some
projects or regulatory regimes.
• The WBS is clearly focussed on offshore assets, predominately fixed platforms and
subsea, however the same categories can be applied to floating facilities (see Section
2.2.2.3) and onshore (see Section 2.2.2.4).
1
OGUK, Decommissioning Work Breakdown Structure Guidelines, October 2019, https://oeuk.org.uk/product/decommissioning-work-
breakdown-structure-guidelines/
2
Offshore Norge, Decommissioning Work Breakdown Structure Handbook, https://offshorenorge.no/globalassets/dokumenter/drift/
plugging-av-bronner/wbs-handbook-v1.pdf
3
International Standards Organisation ISO19008 Standard cost coding system for oil and gas production and processing facilities
https://www.iso.org/standard/63708.html
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
No situation has been identified where the ‘11 box model’ would prevent the required level
of detail being reported. However, as stated in Section 2.2.2.1, operators may deviate from
the WBS where needed.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
2.2.2.6 Applying the WBS where it differs from contracting strategies or project
execution
There are situations where established contracting strategies differ from the recommended
approach defined by the WBS. For example:
• Topsides and substructure removal may be executed under one contract.
• EPRD (engineering, procurement, removal, disposal) contracts may be awarded.
• Activities that may be part of one WBS element may take place as part of another
scope of work for practical reasons such as, isolation and cleaning, which may be
undertaken by the asset operations team alongside post-CoP operations work and
may be difficult to distinguish.
When undertaking a pre-project estimate, the above would typically be regarded as immaterial.
One of the purposes of adopting a consistent WBS is to ensure that all activities are
accounted for and that they are included in the same place between estimates and
between companies. At the pre-project estimate stage, following this principle is more
important than accurately reflecting a contracting strategy or practical execution issue that,
at this stage, can only be an assumption.
Projects with contracting strategies or with execution practicalities that do not align with
the WBS will cause problems when collecting reference data for future estimates or
benchmarking. It is hoped that the adoption of a consistent WBS across the industry will
encourage projects to impose reporting requirements on contractors that align with the WBS.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Where regulation clearly defines the required end state, or a derogation from regulation
can be reasonably expected, this should form the basis of the estimate.
In locations where regulations are less clearly defined, credible assumptions should
be made to establish the end state by following precedent and industry good practice.
In this circumstance:
• The most likely end state should be assumed.
• All major assumptions should be documented.
• A plan of engagement with regulators and stakeholders is a good practice to
understand and support the development of regulations.
Expected events and anticipated changes may sometimes be included in the end state
assumptions. These could be legislative changes or technical developments. Where such
assumptions are made:
• All assumptions should be objective and have reasonable grounds.
• All assumptions should be documented.
• Action plans should be in place to realize all opportunities and mitigate risks.
• The risk of the assumption not proving correct should be recognized.
• For estimates supporting ARO, the approach to recognizing expected events and
anticipated changes must be supported by the applicable accounting standard (as
referenced in Section 1.3) and by the company’s financial auditor.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Often, the approach to achieving the required end state will be clear and established by
precedent. In these cases, the estimate can follow the pattern of similar projects and derive
costs and durations from past experience.
In general, only technical solutions currently available, or that can be reasonably expected
to be available, should be adopted as approaches to achieving the required end state.
The asset inventory and the approach to achieving the end state form the technical
quantification of the decommissioning scope for input into the cost estimating process.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
A very detailed estimate will take time, effort, and cost to establish and maintain yet may
offer no more certainty than a simpler estimate. However, an estimate that is not built
upon credible scenarios and lacks rigour or sufficient technical basis:
• may not stand up to scrutiny from co-venturers, auditors, or regulators
• may offer insufficient certainty for its purpose
• may result in under or over provisioning with ensuing financial implications
• does not form a foundation for learning and improvement
Where a number of broadly similar items are to be estimated, it will generally be sufficient
to regard these as essentially identical and estimate the same costs for each. For more
complex or uncommon assets, greater technical definition and effort may be required for
the same accuracy.
Details of suitable approaches to estimating for each WBS element are detailed in Section 3.
Simple, standard, and asset-specific estimating approaches are outlined for each element
of the WBS in Section 3.
• Simple approach: for a simple asset such as, a high number of onshore wells or simple
offshore installations such as wellhead platforms, estimating approaches including
capacity factoring, parametric models, judgment, or analogy would be typical.
• Standard approach: for most assets, the broad characteristics of a study or feasibility
estimate are appropriate. Methodologies such as equipment factoring, or parametric
models, are recommended.
4
AACE International Recommended Practice No. 18R‐97, Cost Estimate Classification System – as applied in Engineering,
Procurement, and Construction for the Process Industries, August 2020 https://web.aacei.org/docs/default-source/toc/toc_18r-97.
pdf?sfvrsn=4
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
While project execution is still many years off, and the CoP date may be uncertain, the
effect of cost phasing is of limited materiality. However, when estimating for ARO, the effect
can be more significant due to the impact on the discounting process when establishing
ARO provisions.
Rather than develop a sophisticated cost phasing model, it is generally adequate to assume that:
• wells P&A costs are incurred early in the decommissioning project.
• all other costs will be incurred at the mid-point of the project.
There are situations where actual decommissioning occurs long after the end of the
petroleum contract, and where ARO estimates are used to determine contractual
decommissioning funding (such as, escrow account payments). In such situations,
an appropriate approach should be agreed with the regulator, for example, assuming
decommissioning at the end of the contract, or at the end of asset life, but spread pro rata
over the contract’s duration.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Since contingency is an allowance for costs that statistics show will materialize due to yet
undefined risk, it is difficult to justify that an estimate that does not include contingency
(or allowance for risk) is based on reasonable grounds. The exception is where large
data sets of historical analogues exist (such as, platform well operations). Pre-project
decommissioning estimates typically include contingency amounts ranging between 0%
and 30%. The basis for the contingency should be clearly documented.
Complex methods can be used to determine allowances and contingency, but these are not
generally appropriate for pre-project estimates. The inclusion of contingency is not intended
to provide a “not to exceed” amount The purpose of its inclusion is to enable a credible
estimate. It is not intended to allow for major changes in the estimate basis (such as, a
regulator requiring a full jacket removal where a partial jacket removal had been assumed).
Whilst specific allowances and contingency are generally included to allow for adverse
risks, favourable opportunities should be identified and included when appropriate. Where
reductions are proposed (such as, a campaign approach is assumed to avoid mobilization
cost) they should be specific and have a credible chance of occurrence.
Where an estimate has been prepared to support ARO it should align with the accounting
principles detailed in Section 1.3, and be supported by applicable financial auditors.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Quantified estimate
1 Project management
Allowances
Quantified estimate
2 Post-CoP running costs
Allowances
Quantified estimate
21
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
5
AACE International Recommended Practice 34R-05, Basis of Estimate, October 2021 https://web.aacei.org/resources/recommended-
practices
22
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
• Re-evaluation to reflect any change in the expected condition of the asset at CoP that
may affect decommissioning scope or methodology. This may arise from a change in
assumed CoP date, or from faster or slower changes in the asset condition relative to
what was predicted
• Review of all assumptions to ensure they remain valid
• Review of all risks and opportunities
There may be no change other than escalation of the estimate to a new basis date, but each
of these maintenance items should be considered at each review.
Reviewing the assumptions not only improves the estimate over time, but also provides a
clear record for the auditors that the owners have researched the market to justify their
ARO provisions.
This means that asset divestment does not automatically signify that there is no
requirement for an estimate supporting ARO or an ARO provision. All remaining liabilities
should be reflected in the estimate supporting ARO.
Similarly, when an asset is acquired, the estimate supporting ARO should only reflect those
aspects of the decommissioning scope for which the new owner is responsible.
Companies with retained liabilities should maintain communication with the current
operators of assets to ensure they are aware of any changes in the asset that may affect
these liabilities.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Although the WBS is offshore derived and the terminology is offshore focussed, it is also
applicable onshore and this is detailed throughout this section and in Section 3.13.
Evaluating your situation against the descriptions for each factor will provide guidance
on the approach that may be appropriate for your decommissioning estimate.
For each WBS category, the remainder of Section 3 provides full detail of each approach.
An overview of each of the approaches can also be found in Appendix A.1.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Complexity of approach
Such as, multiple onshore wells, Typical asset Such as, complex processing
simple WHPs platform, GBS
Major operator, asset is only a small portion Large asset that makes up a large portion of
of overall decommissioning liabilities an operator’s decommissioning liabilities
Established, experienced, and local Established, reasonably local supply Limited or no local supply chain
supply chain chain, with some decom experience with decom experience
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Project management costs directly associated with the programme of wells plugging and
abandonment (P&A) are typically inseparable from the activities recorded in the wells P&A
WBS element.
Simple approach
A simple allowance based on the experience of past projects.
Standard approach
The owner’s project management costs can be expressed as a percentage of total project
expenditure, based on the experience of similar facilities or from studies. The percentage
used will differ from that of a typical facilities CAPEX project and will vary depending on the
facility to be decommissioned and its location.
26
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Asset-specific approaches
In the absence of past project experience, aspects that differ from experience, or where
a more rigorous estimate is required, it may be necessary to model a bottom-up project
management (PM) team, activities, and durations, to be priced from market rates, for use
in the estimate.
Included costs:
• The asset operations and support team (onshore and offshore, as applicable)
• Fuel and other consumables
• Activities necessary to judge and maintain the integrity and operability of assets to
meet regulatory and project requirements
• Logistics and accommodation
It is possible for facilities to be left in an isolated and unmanned state for some time prior
to their removal. All costs for monitoring and maintaining the asset during this time should
be included in the post-CoP running costs.
27
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
• Once native production has ceased, it may be necessary for parts of an installation
to remain operational to support other infrastructure. These costs would typically be
excluded from post-CoP running costs and assigned as OPEX for the supported assets.
Simple approach
A simple allowance based on benchmark costs derived from past projects or studies, and
the planned duration of the decommissioning project.
Standard approach
Post-CoP running costs can be derived from final year OPEX, and a high-level percentage
applied to these, to reflect reduced personnel and consumables required to maintain the
necessary level of operation after CoP. These annual costs can then be applied to the
expected duration the asset will be operating in this state.
Asset-specific approach
Post-CoP running costs can be derived from final year OPEX and are defined according to the
personnel and consumables required to maintain the necessary level of operation after CoP.
There are three distinct phases to the post-CoP period, each with different running costs.
Whilst it may not be necessary to recognize these in the ‘simple’ or ‘standard’ approaches,
they should be recognized when adopting the ‘asset specific’ approach.
• ‘Live’: when the facility is ‘live’ (connected to a source of hydrocarbons), post-CoP
running costs typically remain about 80%-90% of final year OPEX.
• ‘De-energized: when no bulk hydrocarbons are present, running costs can be
assumed to reduce. Estimates for this period will typically apply a percentage
reduction over time. The basis of this reduction should be clearly stated.
• ‘Cold’ (if applicable): shut down and de-energized, with remote monitoring or periodic
visits, no permanent personnel and only essential maintenance. The estimate here
will largely be the cost of the remote monitoring team, helicopters and/or vessels
along with personnel for the periodic visits, and any necessary power supply or other
requirements.
Key to the estimate for the post-CoP running costs will be the duration of each of these
three states. Where possible, these durations should be derived from experience of similar
activities. The basis for the durations and any assumptions made should be clearly recorded.
The difference between standard and asset-specific approaches is the level of rigour
applied to establishing the reductions to final year OPEX, applied to each of the above
phases of the post CoP period, and to the time these costs are applied.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Expect the inventory of onshore wells to be much larger than offshore, although they are
less likely to be complex and, the cost to plug and abandon each well will be lower. For
onshore wells it is both necessary and practical to use broad well categories in pre-project
estimates for decommissioning.
Offshore, where the number of wells is lower and the cost implications more significant,
it is recommended that more attention is paid to the characteristics of each well and a
greater number of more detailed categories are developed.
An offshore worked example of each of the estimating approaches is provided in Appendix A.3.
6
OEUK Decommissioning Insight 2022, section 3.2 https://oeuk.org.uk/product/oeuk-decommissioning-insight-2022/
29
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Simple approach
An estimate for well decommissioning can be derived from a simple well count and an all-
in benchmark cost per well from experience of similar projects or from studies.
Even at this level, it is appropriate to consider the types of well to be decommissioned and
whether they are equivalent. For example, if there are both platform and subsea wells, then
different costs per well for each category should be used.
Standard approach
A more detailed approach is to use benchmark durations from past well decommissioning
campaigns or studies and build a programme for the well inventory of this project. Market
rates for the rigs/equipment required can then be obtained and an estimate developed. An
allowance for other costs related to the well decommissioning must be added, as detailed
above. This allowance can be derived from benchmark costs from past projects.
Asset-specific approach
OEUK propose a system for the categorization of wells according to the location and
complexity of three phases of abandonment7. This approach is summarized below and
is suitable for pre-project estimates for decommissioning where a detailed and rigorous
estimate is required.
The three phases of wells P&A are then considered as these reflect the work scope,
the equipment required, and the timing of the different phases of work. These are:
1) Reservoir abandonment
2) Intermediate abandonment
3) Wellhead and conductor removal
For each phase, the complexity of the activities is considered, according to the following
classifications:
No work required – A phase or phases of work may already have been completed.
Simple rig-less abandonment – Using wireline, pumping, cranes, jacks. Subsea will use
light well intervention vessel and be riser-less.
Complex rig-less abandonment – Using Coil Tubing Unit (CTU), Hydraulic Workover Unit
(HWU), wireline, pumping, crane, jacks. Subsea will use heavy duty well intervention vessel
with riser.
7
OEUK Guidelines on Well Abandonment Cost Estimation, Issue 2, July 2015 http://oeuk.org.uk/product/guidelines-on-well-
abandonment-cost-estimation-issue-2/
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Complex rig-based abandonment – May have poor access and poor cement requiring
retrieval of tubing and casing, as well as milling and cement repairs.
For each well location/phase/complexity category, durations and spread rates can be
estimated. These estimates should be based on either past activities or a deterministic
modelling of the work required. To these estimates must be added campaign one-off costs.
Where benchmark values are required, these could reference decommissioning projects but
also brownfield upgrade projects, well tiebacks, and regular turn-around (TAR) activities.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Simple approach
A simple allowance based on benchmark costs or studies for similar onshore plant,
topsides, subsea systems, or pipelines in a similar location.
For topsides and onshore plant, this should be calculated on a cost per tonne basis.
For subsea systems, the number of wells and length of flowlines/risers should be used.
For pipelines, a cost per kilometre is appropriate.
At the simplest level, there may be one estimate value for all WBS elements directly related
to the decommissioning of the asset, i.e., elements 4, 5, 6 and 7.
Standard approach
Benchmark durations should be established for the work based on benchmarks from
reference projects or studies.
Topsides and onshore plant: The duration should be calculated on an hours/days per tonne
basis, factored from the isolation and cleaning of similar projects. It is important that the
benchmarks selected represent a facility of equivalent complexity, condition, and location
so that realistic durations are derived.
Subsea: Isolation should be calculated based on duration per well, whilst cleaning should
be derived from a duration per kilometre of flowline/riser. Both durations should be
obtained from analysing reference subsea isolation and cleaning projects or studies.
Offshore and onshore pipelines: The duration should be based on pipeline length and be
calculated from reference pipeline isolation and cleaning projects or studies.
All-in cost per hour/day should then be derived from reference projects or market
intelligence and applied to the durations to form the estimate. If a cost per day/hour is not
available, a spread rate for the resources required should be calculated.
Where handling of hazardous waste such as NORM, mercury, or asbestos is required, this
should be recognized on a cost per tonne basis.
Asset-specific approach
The most detailed recommended approach follows the standard approach above but tailors
durations and rates with more details in mind, including:
• The detailed inventory including topsides or onshore plant functionality and number
of wells should be used to tailor the durations and rates, either through selection of
reference projects or through factoring.
• The available space for personnel on board (POB) has a major influence on the time
needed to liquidate any activities.
• The presence of NORM, mercury, or asbestos, or facilities that have been processing
heavy or waxy oils require additional effort to clean and flush the facility and this
should be reflected in the durations.
• When deriving costs from past projects, if possible, the labour per tonne of topsides
should be analysed separately from the chemical requirements, rather than looking at
the overall cost per tonne.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
• A learning curve can be incorporated into the durations. To be justifiable, this should
be for repeat activities, such as flushing multiple pipelines or the isolation of multiple
subsea wells.
• Some isolation and cleaning activity may be undertaken prior to CoP, reducing the
work to be included in the decommissioning estimate. If this is assumed, it should be
clearly stated.
This WBS element should exclude activities directly related to enabling the topsides
removal, such as structural strengthening or reinstatement of lifting points. These should
be included in the topsides removal WBS element in Section 3.6.
It is unlikely that this WBS element will be required in an onshore decommissioning project.
If equivalent preparation is needed for onshore plant, this should be included with all other
deconstruct activities in the ‘topsides and substructure onshore disposal’ WBS category
(see Section 3.8).
Simple approach
A lump sum derived from benchmarking similar reference projects or studies.
At the simplest level, there may be one estimate value for all WBS elements directly related
to the asset decommissioning of the asset, i.e., elements 4, 5, 6, and 7.
Standard approach
Allowances for all significant activities required, derived from benchmarking activities on
reference projects or from studies.
Asset-specific approach
High level, bottom-up duration estimates for all significant activities, along with a spread
rate for the required resources.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Modifications included here differ from those in the topsides preparation WBS element (see
Section 3.5). That WBS element should include activities and costs associated with enabling
the facility to remain in-situ in an isolated state until removal, rather than those directly
connected to topsides removal, such as structural strengthening or reinstating lifting points.
It may be necessary to make assumptions about the future availability of vessels or lifting
equipment, and disposal locations. These should be clearly stated, reasonable, and
fully documented.
34
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
The level of effort to carefully consider these factors for every facility individually is
beyond the expectations of most pre-project estimates for decommissioning. Pragmatism
is appropriate.
Simple approach
Lump sum based on benchmark data from reference projects or studies for removal costs.
At the simplest level, there may be one estimate for all WBS elements directly related to
the decommissioning of the asset, i.e., elements 4, 5, 6, and 7.
Standard approach
A benchmark cost per tonne from similar regional reference projects or from detailed
studies for removal. The removal approach (single lift, module reverse install, piece small)
should be considered when selecting appropriate reference projects.
Asset-specific approach
Duration estimates for all significant activities, along with market rates for the required
resources, including consideration of:
• Number and weight of lifts
• Duration per lift
• Required spreads and rates
• Transportation time to disposal location
• Season and weather conditions variability
• Phasing of operations
• Learning curve efficiency factor across the campaign
Activities associated with disconnecting and towing a floating facility should be included
in this WBS element.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
If a substructure is to be left in situ or reefed, then any needed works should be included here.
If the substructure removal includes any risers or conductors, these should be included
in the inventory and weights.
Disconnection and recovery of risers and umbilicals associated with a floating facility
should be included in the subsea infrastructure WBS element (see Section 3.9.)
It may be necessary to make assumptions about the future availability of vessels and
disposal locations. These should be clearly stated, reasonable, and fully documented.
Simple approach
Lump sum for removal costs based on benchmark data from reference projects or studies.
At the simplest level, there may be one estimate value for all WBS elements directly related
to the decommissioning of the asset, i.e., elements 4, 5, 6, and 7.
Standard approach
A benchmark cost per tonne for substructure removal from similar regional reference
projects or studies. Scope and approach should be considered when selecting appropriate
reference projects.
Asset-specific approach
Duration estimates for all significant activities, along with market rates for required
resources, including the consideration of:
36
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
All permits should be included, along with requirements for handling and disposing of
hazardous materials.
37
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
It may be necessary to make assumptions about the future availability of disposal locations.
These should be clear, reasonable, and fully documented.
The treatment of costs recouped from recycling or reuse of materials differs among
operators. Some offset these against disposal costs; others disregard them. This is unlikely
to be material to the pre-project estimate for decommissioning. The approach taken should
be clearly documented.
Simple approach
Lump sum based on benchmark data for disposal costs from reference projects or studies.
Topsides and substructure should be estimated separately.
Standard approach
A benchmark cost per tonne for disposal from similar regional reference projects or
detailed studies. Scope, location, and approach should be considered when selecting
reference projects. Topsides and substructure should be estimated separately.
Asset-specific approach
Typically, a weight-based estimate, as outlined in the standard approach, is suitable for
disposing of facilities such as topsides and substructures. The scope detail used when
developing the rate is the main area where further rigour can be applied to the pre-project
estimate for decommissioning.
Removal and recovery of risers associated with the subsea or pipeline system should
be included here. When considered part of fixed platform substructure, they should be
included there (Section 3.7).
All cleaning, flushing, and pigging of the infrastructure should be included in the WBS
element ‘facilities and pipelines permanent isolation and cleaning’ (Section 3.4).
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
This element should also comprise disposing of recovered materials, including vessels, sea
fastening, trucks (for onshore), transport to disposal, load-in at that location, and disposal
costs (recycling and associated water management). There may be limited local availability
of facilities suitable for disposing of complex subsea elements.
Removal of onshore pipelines should be covered here, along with all dedicated facilities if
they are not part of another plant. This could consist of items such as boosting stations,
roads, power generation and so on. Buried and unburied pipelines should be distinguished.
Where onshore pipeline facilities are part of another plant, decommissioning should be
considered as part of that facility.
Removal of well sites/well pads should be captured with Wells P&A (Section 3.3).
The effort to carefully consider these factors for every asset individually is beyond the
expectations of an estimate supporting ARO. A pragmatic approach is appropriate.
Simple approach
Lump sum based on benchmark data for similar reference projects or studies. The broad
characteristics of the reference projects as listed above should be considered, with factors
applied to better align with the scope.
Standard approach
For pipelines, flowlines, and risers, benchmark duration can be surmised based on lengths for
disconnection, removal, trenching, or burial. Appropriate market rates can then be applied.
For other materials, duration per tonne of inventory should be derived from similar projects
or studies. Appropriate marine spread rates can then be applied.
39
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Market rates for the required spreads can then be applied to the calculated duration.
Offshore, this may include debris removal around structures and pipeline corridors and
overtrawl surveys.
Onshore, these activities may be difficult to separate from facilities removal. Given varying
site remediation requirements, it is important that facility removal and subsequent site
remediation are considered separately.
40
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Simple approach
Offshore: a lump sum based on benchmark costs from similar reference projects or studies.
Onshore: restoration/reclamation and remediation should be estimated separately.
• Restoration/reclamation: based on benchmark costs for restoration/reclamation
activities on similar reference projects or studies.
• Remediation: scope is likely to be ill-defined. An allowance should be made based
on a typical project. The basis of this allowance should be reasonable and well
documented. If remediation is understood to be a significant exercise, a more detailed
estimating approach should be used.
Standard approach
Offshore: an allowance of days based on indications from similar reference projects or
studies, along with market rates for the offshore vessel spread required. An allowance
should be included for transporting recovered materials.
Onshore: restoration/reclamation and remediation should be estimated separately.
• Restoration/reclamation: an allowance of days based on similar reference projects
or studies, typically on a days vs site area basis. This can be combined with market
rates for the required resources (personnel, materials, and equipment). An allowance
should be included for transporting recovered materials.
• Remediation: this scope is unlikely to be well defined. Periodic interim assessments
of expected end-of-life site conditions can be conducted and used to inform the
estimate allowance. The basis of the allowance should be reasonable and well
documented. As the facility nears end-of-life, the remediation scope will become
more predictable. If it is to be significant then the ‘asset-specific’ approach of
estimating should be adopted.
Asset-specific approach
Offshore: it is unlikely that the site remediation scope will be sufficiently material for
this estimate definition to be required. However, a detailed duration-based estimate can
be developed based on survey information and activities required. Market rates for the
required vessel spread can then be applied. Phasing of activities in campaigns and learning
curve efficiencies for repeat activities may also be considered and factors applied to
account for these.
41
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
The estimate should be developed based on the durations required for each key activity,
along with needed equipment, personnel, and materials. This should be derived from past
project experience or studies. Market rates can then be applied. Allowances should be
included for minor activities.
Whatever is included in the estimate, and any assumptions made, should be clearly stated.
The estimate is not expected to include provisions for indefinite monitoring. It is therefore
recommended that the estimate for a single monitoring exercise is documented, along with
the assumed frequency and length of time for which monitoring is included in the estimate.
42
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
• Permanent isolation and cleaning of facilities and pipelines: as described in Section 3.4.
• Topsides preparation: as described in Section 3.5.
• Topsides removal: most floating facility topsides will not be removed and instead will
be towed away still on top of the substructure. In situations where the topsides are to
be removed (such as spars), activities and costs should be included here as described
in Section 3.6.
• Substructure removal: should include disconnecting and towing the floating
facility, and follow approaches described in Section 3.7. Also include here are any
modifications required to install/re-instate towing points or to return a vessel to class,
if required.
• Topsides and substructure onshore disposal: if the floating facility is not to be sold or
reused elsewhere, activities and costs associated with disposal should be included in
this WBS element, as described in Section 3.8.
• Subsea infrastructure: as described in Section 3.9.
• Site remediation: as described in Section 3.10.
• Post decommissioning monitoring: as described in Section 3.11.
8
There may be varying approaches to onshore asset demolition and removal. By including all activities in one WBS element, differing
methodologies can be compared. The exception is site remediation, which should be included in element 10.
9
It may be difficult to separate these activities from those undertaken in WBS element 8.
43
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Table A1: Pre-project decommissioning asset estimating- examples of different approaches for
each WBS category
44
WBS Simple Standard Asset-specific
1 Project management Single cost Percentage of total project cost no. of FTE x FTE cost x project duration
45
• End state: reefing/derogation/reuse/
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Single removal
7 Substructure removal substructure removal time x substructure removal spread rate
cost
Post decommissioning
11 Cost estimate for single monitoring exercise x number of exercises assumed
monitoring
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Attributes: Method/resources:
• Type prod (oil/gas) • Final year OPEX
• Age/condition • P&A/prep duration
• POB • P&A method (rig, mobile rig, rigless)
• Fixed/floating • Hub strategy with subsea
• Subsea • POB during decom
• Well count • Hot/cold stack duration
• Region (regulations) • Phased OPEX
• Water depth • Learning
• Pre/post CoP split % reduction
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
• 4 simple wells
• Platform based
Asset: • Existing rig
• Gulf of Mexico
• 3 barriers
Attributes: Method/resources:
• Simple/complex wells • Platform rig
• Barrier strategy • MODU
• Platform/subsea wells • Jackup
• EA • Rigless
• TA • LWIV
• PA • Phased campaign
• Region (regulations) • Learning
• Water depth • Pre/post CoP split % reduction
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
• 8 leg deck
• 5 modules @ 250 tonnes/each
• 2000 tonnes structure
Asset:
• Lift points need reinstating
• Gulf of Mexico (GoM)
• Summer campaign
Simple
• Benchmark cost: $8 million Cost estimate $8 million
approach
Attributes: Method/resources:
• Single lift • Heavy lift vessel $/day
• Modular • Cargo barge
• Piece small • Tug
• Condition • Grillage
• Lifting points required • Labour crews
% reduction
• Reinforcement required • Phased campaign
• Access prep pre mob • Learning
• Weather risk • NPT/weather % increment
• Region (regulations)
• Water depth
48
Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
• 3 infield pipelines
• 8” x 5000m fusion bonded epoxy coated carbon steel pipe
• Water depth 100m
Asset: • 2 buried, 1 unburied
• Riser to riser end connection
• Buried pipelines to be left in-situ, surface pipeline to be removed
• Gulf of Mexico
Attributes: Method/resources:
• In-situ/buried/removed • Vessels required $/day
• Coating material • Cargo barge & tugs
• Installed method • Jetting/dredging
• Trawl protection • Phased campaign
• Seafloor composition • Learning
% reduction
• Diameter, wall • NPT/weather
thickness and length • In-situ/buried/removed
• Cathodic protection • Recycle or reuse % increment
• Crossings
• Region (regulations)
• Water depth
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Glossary
Table of abbreviations
AACE Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering
ARO Asset retirement obligation
ASC Accounting standards codification
CAPEX Capital expenditure
CoP Cessation of production
DSV Dive support vessel
FPSO Floating production, storage, and offloading vessel
FPU Floating production unit
FSU Floating storage unit
FTE Full time equivalents
GBS Gravity based structure
HLV Heavy lift vessel
IAS International accounting standards
IFRS International financial reporting standards, developed by the IASB
LSA Low specific activity. A form of radioactive accumulation similar to NORM.
LWIV Light well intervention vessel
MODU Mobile offshore drilling unit
NORM Normally occurring radioactive material
NPT Non-productive time
OEUK United Kingdom Offshore Energies Association
OPEX Operating expenditure
P&A Plugging and abandonment of wells
POB Personnel on board. The number of available beds to accommodate
personnel on an offshore facility.
TLP Tension leg platform
WBS Work breakdown structure
WHP Well-head platform
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Definition of terms
11 box model
A term used for the decommissioning WBS developed by OEUK10 and adopted in this guideline.
Relates to the 11 WBS elements defined.
Allowance
An allowance is an amount included in an estimate to allow for defined but less predictable or less
material costs. Where it is not practical or pragmatic to quantify a scope item to be estimated, a
monetary or percentage allowance can be included instead.
Examples include:
• An allowance for weather downtime in a vessel days estimate. The actual days of weather
downtime cannot be defined, so a percentage based on typical experience is included.
• An allowance for remediation/decontamination of an onshore site. Until the end of asset life,
the full extent of required work is unknown. An allowance is therefore included to recognise
the scope and acknowledge inherent uncertainty.
• Smaller elements that are immaterial to the overall estimate may not justify the effort to
define the scope sufficiently to allow an estimate to be produced. In these circumstances, an
allowance will be included instead, generally based on experience of the proportion of overall
project costs that this scope element typically represents.
Appurtenance
Items attached to a fixed platform substructure.
Asset
A general term used in this guideline to refer to the subject of the decommissioning estimate.
Asset-specific approach
In this guideline, this refers to the most detailed approach outlined for pre-project estimates for
decommissioning and is recommended when additional rigour is required to justify the estimate.
Adoption will depend on the purpose of the estimate and the characteristics of the asset. This
additional effort is particularly recommended for challenging scopes or where asset divestments or
acquisitions are being evaluated.
Asset retirement
See decommissioning.
10
OGUK, Decommissioning Work Breakdown Structure Guidelines, October 2019, https://oeuk.org.uk/product/decommissioning-work-
breakdown-structure-guidelines/
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
ARO also designates a test performed under the Sarbanes-Oxley regulation for companies listed in
the USA. It assesses the robustness of ARO provisions.
Bottom-up
An estimating approach where activities are modelled and estimated based on detailed quantities,
rates, and norms.
Cold
A cold asset is shut down and de-energized, with remote monitoring or periodic visits, no
permanent personnel and only essential maintenance.
Contingency
“Contingency” reflects provision for risks which experience suggests typically materialize as a
project progresses and impact the “real world” cost outcome.
• Contingency is typically applied as a percentage that is varied as a function of available
estimate definition level. A single percentage can be applied to the whole estimate or different
percentages can be allocated to specific elements of the WBS, according to the definition and
risk profile of each. An early estimate with limited definition should attract higher contingency
than a well-defined estimate based on reference to a recently completed close analogue.
• Where limited historical data exists, technology, or a supplier is unproven, or regulatory driven
scope risk is high, this should be reflected in increased contingency.
Credible estimate
When used to describe the pre-project estimate for decommissioning, ‘credible’ indicates that the
estimate:
• is based on a suitably detailed and accurate understanding of the inventory.
• presumes an end-state that is supported by regulation and industry good-practice.
• includes assumptions that are based on reasonable precedents.
• recognises the estimate’s inherent uncertainty
• has pragmatically adopted estimating approaches that provide an accuracy level that is
suitable for the intended purpose.
• is supported by key stakeholders.
Other terms equivalent to ‘credible estimate’ in this context include ‘best estimate’, ‘most likely
estimate’, or ‘P50’ estimate.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Decommissioning
Asset retirement activities to remove an asset from active status that take place at the end of an
asset’s life. This may involve removal and disposal (and all activities required to enable this) or
anything required for a facility to remain in situ.
De-energized
A description of the state of an asset once it has been disconnected from sources of hydrocarbons
and has no bulk hydrocarbons present.
Disposal
Re-use, recycling, or disposal of materials from decommissioned assets. May require specialist
handling and decontamination.
End-state
The required state of the asset at the end of decommissioning such as, complete removal, left in
situ, reefed, trenched and so on.
Flowlines
Pipes carrying un-stabilized produced hydrocarbons from the well to the processing facility or
carrying injection fluids or gases from the facility to the injection well. They can be offshore or
onshore. Offshore (and outside of a topside) the term refers only to the section of the line on the
seabed. The section connecting the seabed flowline to the surface facility is referred to as a ‘riser’.
Infrastructure
The facilities supporting the operations of a field. This may include a hydrocarbon transportation
network and export facilities. Onshore, it can also include dedicated roads, power generation or
network, accommodation camps, and so on.
Inventory
The complete list of asset elements that will be present at the end of life, to be used as the basis
for the estimate. This could include the number of wells, the length of pipelines, number and size
of processing facilities and so on. The required level of detail of the inventory required depend on
its purpose: more detailed estimates require more detailed inventories. Only elements installed or
actively being installed should be included. Planned elements only become inventory once installed.
Live
A live asset is one connected to a source of hydrocarbons.
LSA
Low specific activity (LSA) scale containing radium-226 (226Ra) and its radioactive decay products
can naturally accumulate inside facilities used to process hydrocarbons11. Similar to NORM,
specialist handling is required during decommissioning if LSA is present.
Metocean
Metocean conditions refer to the combined wind, wave, and climate conditions in an offshore location.
11
https://www.hse.gov.uk/waste/radioactive-contamination.htm
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
NORM
Naturally occurring radioactive material. NORM typically contains uranium-238 (238U) and
thorium-232 (232Th) and their associated radioactive decay products12. May be brought from the
reservoir alongside produced hydrocarbons and accumulate in production facilities. Specialist
handling is required during decommissioning if NORM is present.
Phasing
Phasing is how the work is arranged over time.
Piece small
A method for removing an offshore installation, typically a topsides, by chopping it into smaller
chunks to be removed individually.
Pipelines
Pipes exporting stabilized, produced hydrocarbons. They can be offshore or onshore. Offshore, the
term only refers to the section of the line on the seabed. The section connecting the seabed pipeline
to the surface facility is referred to as a ‘riser’.
Pre-project
In the context of a pre-project estimate for decommissioning, pre-project refers to an estimate
carried out during the period from sanction of the asset development project to the establishment of
a project team to decommission the asset.
The decommissioning consideration included in the project economics when initial asset
development is sanctioned.
Project management
Operator’s core project management team. Also includes overhead costs such as insurance,
tendering, paid studies, and assurance activities.
Provisions
See Asset Retirement Obligations (ARO).
Reclamation
See restoration.
Restoration
Also sometimes referred to as reclamation, the process of returning a disturbed site to its former,
or otherwise agreed, state and land use.
12
https://www.hse.gov.uk/waste/radioactive-contamination.htm
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Remediation
For WBS element named ‘site remediation’, remediation refers to the removal of debris from a site,
transportation and disposal of all removed materials, site decontamination as required along with
restoration of a disturbed site to its former or otherwise agreed condition.
Remediation can also refer specifically to the removal or neutralization of substances, waste, or
hazardous material to prevent adverse effects on the environment. This is regarded as distinct from
reclamation/restoration.
Reverse installation
Removal of an asset following the reverse procedure of installation. Typically, this refers to a
modular installation being removed module by module.
Rig-less
Wells P&A activities carried out without needing a drilling rig.
Risers
Risers connect seabed flowlines and pipelines to surface facilities.
Simple approach
In this guideline, this refers to the simplest approach detailed for estimating each WBS element.
Typically, this is a simple allowance based on benchmark costs derived from past projects or
studies.
Single lift
A methodology for removal of a topsides or substructure in a single lift using a specialist heavy lift
vessel.
Site remediation
See Remediation.
Spread
The total equipment requirement to execute a task. Offshore this would refer to all the vessels
required, including support vessels, tugs, and barges in addition to the main construction vessel.
Onshore, it similarly refers to the full suite of equipment and vehicles required.
Standard approach
In this guideline, this refers to the most common approach recommended when developing a pre-
project estimate for decommissioning.
Substructure
The part of an offshore facility that supports the topsides such as, jacket, GBS, monopod, ship-
shaped hull, tension leg platform (TLP), semi-submersible hull, or spar.
Tieback
A tieback connects an oil or gas discovery to an existing production facility. The discovery and the
facility may have different owners and/or operators.
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
Topsides
The part of an offshore facility on top of the supporting substructure, typically consisting of
operational elements such as wellheads, processing facilities, utilities, and accommodation.
In the WBS adopted in these guidelines, categories labelled ‘topsides’ may be applied to onshore
plant and facilities (see WBS element descriptions in Section 3).
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Guidelines for upstream pre-project decommissioning estimates
References
AACE International Recommended Practice No. 18R-97, Cost Estimate Classification System –
as applied in Engineering, Procurement, and Construction for the Process Industries, August 2020
https://web.aacei.org/docs/default-source/toc/toc_18r-97.pdf?sfvrsn=4
ASC 410-20 Asset Retirement and Environmental Obligations: Asset Retirement Obligations
https://asc.fasb.org/1943274/2147481663
Health & Safety Executive (UK) Guidance: Radioactive contamination in scrap in metal recycling
https://www.hse.gov.uk/waste/radioactive-contamination.htm
ISO 19008:2016, Standard cost coding system for oil and gas production and processing facilities
https://www.iso.org/standard/63708.html
IFRS, IAS 37 Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets, 2023, https://www.ifrs.org/
issued-standards/list-of-standards/ias-37-provisions-contingent-liabilities-and-contingent-assets/
57
This Report provides guidance
on the development and
maintenance of pre-project
technical cost estimates for
upstream oil and gas industry
asset decommissioning, with
particular emphasis on estimates
for asset retirement obligations.
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