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a SEM approach
Ritika and Nawal Kishor
School of Management Studies, Indira Gandhi National Open University,
New Delhi, India Received 2 May 2020
Revised 5 September 2020
Accepted 23 October 2020
Abstract
Purpose – This paper attempts to identify the biases in decision-making of individual investors. The paper
aims to develop and validate a higher-order behavioral biases scale.
Design/methodology/approach – Scale development is done by identifying the relevant items of the scale
through existing literature and then, adding new items for some biases. In phase 1, using a structured
questionnaire, data was collected from 274 investors who invest in financial markets. The major dimensions of
the scale have been pruned by using exploratory factor analysis administered on data collected in phase 1.
Higher-order CFA is used to analyze the data and to validate the scale on another set of data (collected in phase
2) containing 576 investors.
Findings – The study reveals that the scale for measuring behavioral biases has many dimensions. It has two
second-order factors and 13 zero-order constructs. Two second-order constructs have been modeled on the
basis of cause of errors in investment decision-making, that is, biases caused due to cognition, biases caused
due to emotions.
Originality/value – Behavioral biases are yet to receive a due attention, especially, in the Indian context. The
present research is focusing on providing an empirically tested scale to test the behavioral biases. Some of the
biases, which have been analyzed using secondary data in previous studies, have been tested with the help of
statements in this study.
Keywords Behavioral biases, Scale development, Investment decision, Behavioral finance
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
The traditional finance paradigm works on the assumption that both investors and markets are
fully rational (Kumar and Goyal, 2015). They consider all available information while taking
investment decisions. But it has been observed in practice, that, while taking financial decisions,
investors deviate from being fully rational (Tourani-Rad and Kirkby, 2005; Nigam et al., 2018).
They make their judgments on the basis of personal beliefs, preferences or past events. When
faced with uncertainty, investors take decisions based on irrationality, inconsistency and
incompetence (Kahneman and Tversky, 1982; Stracca, 2004; Barros, 2010). So, the new block of
finance, known as behavioral finance, started manifesting itself in the 1990s in various journals,
newspapers and business publications. This field of finance derives its roots from psychology,
sociology and finance. Behavioral finance attempts to interpret the investor behavior in a better
way by describing the manner in which psychological errors impact the decision-making
process of the investors. Daniel et al. (1998) posit that investment decisions taken by investors
are not always rational. Instead the decisions are influenced by various cognitive “how
investors think” and emotional “how investors feel” factors coined as behavioral biases.
According to behavioral finance, behavioral biases are the psychological errors that arise
from sentiment-driven behavior and lead to irrational behavior of the investors. Majority of
The authors feel grateful to editor and the anonymous reviewers for providing valuable suggestions to Review of Behavioral Finance
improve the quality of article. The authors reiterate their overwhelming thanks and gratitude to the © Emerald Publishing Limited
1940-5979
respondents for providing their valuable responses. DOI 10.1108/RBF-05-2020-0087
RBF the research undertaken in the field of behavioral finance is done using the data from trading
records of investors (Barber and Odean, 2001; Chen et al., 2007). But primary data is a better
indicator of behavior of investors as compared to secondary data (Lin, 2011). Also, the area of
behavioral finance lacks a generally accepted and validated scale for measuring behavioral
biases of individual investors.
So, this study aims to fill this gap by using primary data and focusing specifically on the
behavioral biases of individual investors as they play a significant role in India (Ramadorai,
2013). The purpose of the study is to develop and validate a scale to measure behavioral
biases of individual investors.
3. Methodology
3.1 Instrument design and refinement
The focus of this study is on behavioral biases of individual investors investing in financial
markets, so an extensive literature review was performed to get the pool of items to describe
the behavioral biases. Existing studies provided 31 items related to various behavioral biases
of individual investors, which were modified and used for this study (Menkhoff et al., 2006;
Glaser and Weber, 2007; Kaustia and Perttula, 2012; Prosad et al., 2015; Shusha and Touny,
2016, Chandra et al., 2017; Rasheed et al., 2018; Raut et al., 2018; Baker et al., 2019; Mushinada
and Veluri, 2019; Jain et al., 2019). Almost all of these studies measured only four to five biases.
Only a few studies focused on seven to eight behavioral biases. Measuring different
behavioral biases of the investor is important as each of the bias can have a serious impact on
investor behavior. So, for some biases where indicators were not sufficient as per existing
studies, new indicators were added and for other biases that have not been covered by the
earlier studies based on primary data (confirmation bias, self-control bias, conservatism bias
and status quo bias), all the new items were added to make a construct.
Like the existing studies related to biases, namely “Confirmation bias,” “Self-control bias,”
“Conservatism bias” and “Status Quo bias,” were either based on secondary data or the data
was collected through experiments conducted on investors (Shefrin and Thaler, 1988;
Samuelson and Zeckhauser, 1988; Barberis et al., 1998; Luo, 2012; Costa et al., 2017; Zahera
and Bansal, 2018). So, new items for these factors were added in this study so as to obtain a
self-reported view of the behavioral biases of individual investors. In order to fulfill the
objectives of this study, 23 new items were added to elicit investors’ response toward various
behavioral biases so as to cover all the major biases. This list was shared with five behavioral
finance experts so as to get a refined and consolidated scale. Their suggestions were
incorporated and the questionnaire including 54 items was designed. Table 1 presents the Development
items of the scale and their sources. of behavioral
3.2 Data collection and methods used biases scale
The sampling frame of this study constituted individual investors of Delhi investing in
financial markets. In order to evaluate the reliability and internal consistency of the scale, a
pilot study was conducted with 50 respondents. Since, the list of individual investors of Delhi
was not available and people want to keep the information about their financial investment
confidential, the data was collected only from the respondents who wished to participate in
the study. So, judgmental sampling technique was considered appropriate for the study
(Wood and Zaichkowsky, 2004). The criteria for choosing the sample required the respondent
to be a resident of Delhi, responsible for making financial investment decisions in the family
and having investments in more than three investment products. The data was collected in
two phases. In phase 1, 350 individual investors were contacted in person during the period
from July 2019 to September 2019 and asked about their interest to cooperate for the study. If
they gave their explicit consent, the questionnaire was filled as a schedule by taking
responses from the respondents in the form of a field survey. The data was collected from 315
respondents and after checking for validation, 274 responses were considered useful for
conducting exploratory factor analysis (EFA). The second phase of the study was conducted
on the refined questionnaire during the period from October 2019 to February 2020. Data
from 600 investors was collected, out of which 576 useable responses were used for
conducting confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). Statistical Package for the Social Science
(SPSS) 20 and Amos 20 software have been used to compile and analyze the data. The study
uses structural equation modeling (SEM) to analyze the unidimensionality of the factors and
to find out the reasons behind cognitive and emotional biases. The reason behind using SEM
here is because it utilizes confirmatory tools to validate a new hypothesized model (Gefen
et al., 2011). SEM constructs a path diagram to show how behavioral biases comprise
cognitive and emotional biases.
4. Results
4.1 Respondent profile
Table 2 shows the characteristics of respondents of phase 1 and phase 2. Participants in
phase 1 of the survey consisted of a majority of males (72.3%) and minority of females
(27.7%). The age group comprising most of the sample was 20–35 years (54.7%) and 35–50
years (21.9%), followed by 50–65 years (14.6%) and more than 65 years of age (8.8%). Almost
60% of the respondents were married and 40% were unmarried. Around half (51.1%) of the
respondents were having a postgraduate degree, 23.4% were having finance-related
education (CA, CFA, CMA etc.), 18.3% were graduates and the rest were having below
graduation as qualification (7.3%). While almost 40% of the respondents were permanent
employees, 30% were retired persons, 22.6% respondents were having their own business or
self-employment and the remaining were financial experts (6.6%). 32.9% of respondents self-
reported their annual income to lie in the category of less than Rs. 5 Lakhs, 30.7%
respondents lie in the income category of Rs. 5–10 lakhs p.a., around 20% have Rs. 10–15
lakhs p.a. income and the remaining reported of having an annual income of more than Rs. 20
lakhs. Around 38% of the respondents were having an investment experience of (5–15) years,
followed by 28.5% respondents of less than five years of investment experience.
Sample in phase 2 comprised mostly of young respondents (20–35 years), followed by
respondents in the age of 35–50 years (22.9%), age of 50–65 years (7.6%) and the remaining
were senior citizens (more than 65 years of age). Almost three-fourth of the respondents were
males and the remaining were females. Almost 55% of the respondents in the sample were
married and rest were unmarried. Most of the respondents (67% approx.) had completed their
RBF Factor Final items of the scale Literature support
Availability bias The information from my close friends and relatives is a Menkhoff et al. (2006), Shusha
reliable reference for my investment decisions and Touny (2016)
While considering the track record of an investment, I put more Item added through this
weight on its recent performance study
Advertisements are the main source of information for my Menkhoff et al. (2006)
investment decisions
I consider the recent records of a security before investing Jain et al. (2019)
I ignore the past records of an investment before trading Raut et al. (2018)
Herding bias I follow social blogs/forums before purchasing/selling a Baker et al. (2019)
security
I follow others in all my investment decisions Baker et al. (2019)
When I lose money on an investment, I feel less disappointed if Prosad et al. (2015)
other investors also experienced the same loss
I prefer to invest in the assets that other investors are buying Shusha and Touny (2016)
I change my opinion regarding investment in a security after Jain et al. (2019)
hearing conflicting views from analysts
Regret-aversion bias I changed my investment decisions in light of the wrong Item added through this
decisions I had made earlier study
I avoid investing in profitable assets if I had incurred losses in Baker et al. (2019)
similar investments in the past
Holding loss-making investments for longer time is more Baker et al. (2019)
painful than disposing profitable investments early
I became risk-seeking because I have made profits in the past Prosad et al. (2015)
I became risk-averse because I have incurred losses in the past Khan et al. (2017)
I regret when I miss an opportunity of getting good returns Baker et al. (2019)
Overconfidence bias I cannot predict future prices of my investments better than Glaser and Weber (2007)
others. *
I always feel optimistic about the future returns of my Baker et al. (2019)
investments
I am confident of my ability to make investment decisions Prosad et al. (2015)
better than others
I have complete knowledge of various types of investments Jain et al. (2019)
Ambiguity-aversion bias I do not invest when I am not very sure of the returns Item added through this
study
I accept higher returns in case of the investments with higher Chandra et al. (2017)
levels of risk
I prefer investments with secured return Item added through this
study
Anchoring and I usually rely on past experience in the market for my next Jain et al. (2019)
adjustment bias investment
Current price of the security helps me to forecast its future price Shusha and Touny (2016)
I fix a target price for buying and selling the security in Item added through this
advance study
The purchase price of a security is a not big factor to be Baker et al. (2019)
considered while selling it. *
Confirmation bias I am not selective in collecting information about the Item added through this
investments made by me. * study
I value positive information more than negative information Item added through this
regarding my investment choices study
When an investment is not going well, I seek information that Item added through this
confirms I made the right decision study
I ignore the information that does not match my thoughts Item added through this
regarding the future of my investment decision study
Self-control bias It is very difficult for me to keep up my saving goals Item added through this
study
I easily stick to difficult saving objectives once I decide. * Item added through this
study
I lack the self-discipline required to fulfill my long-term saving Item added through this
objectives study
I am able to achieve my saving and investment goals. * Item added through this
study
Table 1.
Items of the scale (continued )
Factor Final items of the scale Literature support
Development
of behavioral
Loss-aversion bias I do not avoid an investment when I fear the loss Baker et al. (2019)
I never sell an investment at a loss with an expectation that it Chandra et al. (2017)
biases scale
will eventually improve
Loss of Rs 1,000 is more painful than happiness of Rs 1,000 Item added through this
profit study
I avoid taking decisions with the fear of incurring losses Item added through this
study
Representativeness bias All my investment decisions are based on trend analysis of Jain et al. (2019)
some of my similar investments earlier
Before selecting an agent/broker, I do not analyze his/her track Item added through this
record study
I make investment decisions based upon my assessment of Baker et al. (2019)
performance of previous investments of similar kind
Conservatism bias I do not easily change my decisions about investments once Item added through this
they are made study
I stick on to old information as future is uncertain Item added through this
study
I keep updating my facts and evidences while investing. * Item added through this
study
Self-attribution bias I am not likely to have a better outcome by making my Rasheed et al. (2018)
investment decision myself. *
Losses incurred in my investment were due to bad luck rather Mushinada and Veluri (2019)
than my poor judgment
I made profits in my investment due to my successful Kaustia and Perttula (2012),
investment strategies Prosad et al. (2015)
Mental accounting bias I do not consider returns from income and capital appreciation Ahmad et al. (2017)
separately. *
I earmark the investments purpose wisely and maintain them Baker et al. (2019)
separately
I categorize my investments into various purposes such as Item added through this
leisure, children’s education and so on study
Status quo bias I like to sell or modify inherited investments. * Item added through this
study
I keep holding the investments because they are familiar to me Item added through this
study
I think about changing my portfolio, but many times I do not Item added through this
change it study
Note(s): Items having (*) on them are negative in sense and were reverse coded for the analysis Table 1.
postgraduation and almost 15% of the respondents were having finance-related education
(CA, CFA, CMA, etc.). Almost 44% of the respondents are having permanent jobs, followed by
one-third of the sample of retired people, self-employed people (20.1%) and financial experts
(5.6%) respectively. Half of the sample respondents were having less than five years of
experience in investing.
In both phases, the sample consisted of a majority of males. It is due to the reason that
Indian society is a male-dominated society and most of the investment decisions in Indian
families are taken by males (Baker et al., 2019). All the aforementioned statistics show that the
sample is a heterogeneous one. Due to this heterogeneity, it becomes interesting to
understand various factors that contribute to the cognitive and emotional biases of the
sample investors.
test of sphericity (Sig 5 0.00) showed that the assumptions of EFA were satisfied. The data
was normal and sample size was adequate (Hair et al., 2006).
In order to verify the items contained in a factor, EFA was used as a part of the study. To
extract the factors for the study, principal component analysis with varimax rotation was
used. Two standards used for extracting the factors were factor loadings and eigenvalue of
the variables, both of which must be more than 0.50 and 1, respectively (Roesch and
Rowley, 2005).
Eigenvalue of all the factors was more than 1, but five items (three items of the construct,
“ambiguity aversion bias” and one item each of “loss aversion bias” and “regret aversion
bias”) were dropped due to small value of factor loading (Table 3). The items were reduced to
49 and EFA reported in extraction of 13 dimensions, which were named according to the
group of items. The 13 dimensions were the behavioral biases, namely “conservatism,”
“confirmation,” “representativeness,” “anchoring and adjustment,” “mental accounting,”
“availability,” “herding,” “self-attribution,” “loss aversion,” “overconfidence,” “self-control,”
“status quo” and “regret aversion.” The dimension, namely “ambiguity aversion bias” was
dropped. Table 3 shows the factor loadings of the final items of the scale. Further, the total Development
cumulative variance explained by all factors was approximately 80% much above the floor- of behavioral
level explanation based on variable–factor ratio (Table 3) (Costello and Osborne, 2005).
biases scale
4.3 Confirmatory factor analysis and model fit
After identifying 13 factors through output of EFA, the obtained factor structure needs to be
confirmed. The hypothesized factor structure according to the refined behavioral biases scale
(BBS) consisting of 49 items was tested for first-order confirmatory factor analysis (1st CFA)
using the data collected from phase 2. CFA on the propounded model was performed using
SEM. Model fit was evaluated using values of CMIN/df, comparative fit index (CFI), goodness
of fit index (GFI), adjusted goodness of fit index (AGFI), p-value and root mean square error of
approximation (RMSEA). Indices of model fit were calculated to determine the fitness of the
measurement model, “Behavioral Biases Scale” comprising of 13 zero-order constructs. The
results of the evaluation of the measurement model showed that the assessed values lie within
the prescribed accepted levels. The CMIN/df (2.181) lies within the prescribed limits
indicating a good fit. The indicators of absolute fit of GFI (0.850) and the RMSEA (0.064) of the
model showed a good fit. The indicators of incremental fit of AGFI (0.806) and CFI values
(0.906) also pointed out a good fit (Table 5). Thus, the results of first-order CFA showed that
the model is a good fit and suitable for further analysis.
(continued ) Table 3.
RBF Variance
Factor explained Cumulative
Factor Final items of the scale Codes loadings Eigenvalue (%) variance (%)
Loss-aversion bias I never sell an investment LA3 0.77 1.95 3.68 66.58
at a loss with an
expectation that it will
eventually improve
Loss of Rs 1,000 is more LA2 0.769
painful than happiness of
Rs 1,000 profit
I avoid taking decisions LA4 0.747
with the fear of incurring
losses
Representativeness All my investment R3 0.871 1.848 3.49 70.07
bias decisions are based on
trend analysis of some of
my similar investments
earlier
Before selecting an agent/ R2 0.849
broker, I do not analyze
his/her track record
I make investment R1 0.777
decisions based upon my
assessment of
performance of previous
investments of similar
kind
Conservatism bias I don’t easily change my CS1 0.917 1.595 3.01 73.08
decisions about
investments once they are
made
I stick on to old CS2 0.914
information as future is
uncertain
I keep updating my facts CS3 0.877
and evidences while NEW
investing. *
Self-attribution bias I am not likely to have a SA1 0.858 1.464 2.76 75.84
better outcome by making NEW
my investment decision
myself. *
Losses incurred in my SA3 0.82
investment were due to
bad luck rather than my
poor judgment
I made profits in my SA2 0.778
investment due to my
successful investment
strategies
Mental accounting I do not consider returns MA3 0.835 1.371 2.59 78.43
bias from income and capital NEW
appreciation separately. *
I earmark the investments MA2 0.742
purpose wisely and
maintain them separately
I categorize my MA1 0.717
investments into various
purposes such as leisure,
children’s education and
so on
Table 3. (continued )
Variance
Development
Factor explained Cumulative of behavioral
Factor Final items of the scale Codes loadings Eigenvalue (%) variance (%)
biases scale
Status quo bias I like to sell or modify SQ2 0.852 1.252 2.36 80.79
inherited investments. * NEW
I keep holding the SQ3 0.735
investments because they
are familiar to me
I think about changing SQ1 0.696
my portfolio, but many
times I do not change it
Note(s): Items having (*) on them are negative in sense and were reverse coded for the analysis Table 3.
Third-order
Second-order models model
Recommended First-order Cognitive Emotional Behavioral
Indices value model biases biases biases
values of their AVE respectively (Table 4). So, results show that the measurement model used
in the study is valid in respect of discriminant validity (Hair et al., 2006).
5. Discussion
Investors do not reflect complete rationality while making investment decisions. The results
of the present study confirmed this belief. Financial behavior of investors is affected by their
mental abilities to process complete information available to them. Their preference toward
choosing various investment avenues and securities depends on their prior beliefs, past
experiences and the trend of the market. Investors rather than analyzing the existing
information, take help from friends, colleagues and brokers. Investors admit being swayed by
emotions and goals at the time of taking investment decisions. Understanding various
behavioral biases is necessary to control these biases and improve investment outcome. The
Development
of behavioral
biases scale
segregation of BBS into cognitive and emotional biases is suitable as different measures are
required to adjust for and control these biases. Since, illogical reasoning is the main reason
behind cognitive biases, they can be corrected by better information, proper advice and
educating investors about these biases, but emotional biases are hard to rectify. Till now, the
effort to improve investment performance has been attributed to improve financial literacy,
but now the financial advisors as well as the investors need to understand that they must
train themselves to stop getting affected by their emotions. Fear of losing money and
resistance to accept investment mistakes need to be kept aside for getting good investment
returns. Investment targets and strategies must be modified according to latest news about
various securities. Clinging on to loss-making investments or any returns target will not
RBF
Figure 2.
Second-order construct
– emotional biases
Note(s): LA = Loss Aversion bias, SQ = Status Quo bias, O = Overconfidence bias,
SC = Self Control bias, RA = Regret Aversion bias, EB = Emotional Biases
make the situation better, would rather deteriorate the available returns. Investors need to
understand whether to scale up or move down the efficient frontier to match their risk and
return preferences with their behavioral propensities. Many investors use the services of
financial advisors for taking investment decisions. In order to provide customized financial
Development
of behavioral
biases scale
advice to various clients, the financial advisors need to understand investors’ investment
behavior. Also, on recognition of the nature (emotional or cognition) of the client, financial
advisors dealing with emotional clients will be able to handle biased behavior in a better way.
RBF 6. Implications
Implications for theory: Academically, this study makes a significant contribution in the field
of behavioral finance by providing an instrument for the measurement of various behavioral
biases. The scale has augmented the understanding of investment decision-making by
focusing on biases of individual investors. The scale will prove to be of immense help to the
researchers in this field by providing them an opportunity to analyze many behavioral biases
on which there exist less studies in the literature.
Implications for practice: The scale formulated in this study is a comprehensive one to
assess various biases and attribute it to the causes of those biases. Using this scale, the
financial advisors can assess the behavioral biases present in their clients and provide them
the required customized feedback for minimizing their biases, thus helping them to enhance
their investment outcomes. The paper also holds significance because, the awareness of the
biases is essential to ensure the minimization of biases. The scale can also be used to assess
the effectiveness of various financial awareness and education classes designed to minimize
the behavioral biases of investors. The scale will also prove beneficial to policymakers as they
would understand the biased behavior of investors during periods of market stress, crisis and
others.
7. Conclusion
This study made a new attempt to develop and validate a higher-order hierarchical structure
of behavioral biases. The findings proved that the scale developed to measure behavioral
finance has multiple dimensions. BBS is a higher-order scale consisting of two second-order
factors. The paper studied 13 biases under two main causes of behavioral biases. The first
second-order dimension “Cognitive Biases” consisted of eight subdimensions or biases,
namely “representativeness bias,” “confirmation bias” and “conservatism bias,” “self-
attribution bias,” “anchoring bias,” “mental accounting,” “availability bias” and “herding
bias.” Another second-order dimension “Emotional Biases” consisted of five biases, namely
“regret aversion bias,” “loss aversion bias,” “status quo bias,” “self-control bias” and
“overconfidence bias.” The findings are in accordance with the concepts proposed by the
researchers of behavioral finance and psychology (Pompian and Wood, 2006; Oechssler et al.,
2009; Sahi et al., 2013; Zahera and Bansal, 2018), arguing that the financial behavior of
investors is affected by flaws caused due to their irrational thinking and emotions. The
present study confirmed that it is not only thinking and calculation abilities that have an
impact on the decision-making of investors, but their emotions have a larger impact on the
investment decisions that they take (Mellers et al., 1999; Slovic et al., 2002). Availability bias
manifested itself as a strong indicator of cognitive biases. It shows that people want to avoid
the hassles and pain associated with investment decisions. So, they take the shortcut of
analyzing the information on the basis of its ease of being recalled. Regret-aversion bias
showed a strong correlation with emotional biases, indicating that people compromise their
investment returns in order to save themselves from the regret of making bad investment
decisions. The feeling of regret is so strong that they sometimes remain at their status
quo and at other times, they become risk-seeking or risk lovers due to past investment
experiences.
Further reading
Ricciardi, V. (2008), “The psychology of risk: the behavioral finance perspective”, in Fabozzi, F.J. (Ed.),
Handbook of Finance: Investment Management and Financial Management, John Wiley and
Sons, New Jersey, NJ, Vol. 2, pp. 85-111.
Corresponding author
Ritika can be contacted at: ritikaaneja.aneja@gmail.com
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