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ABSTRACT
Objective: This study aims to systematically review the existing literature published
over the past 42 years on behavioral biases in investment decision-making. Therefore,
the current study concentrates on two biases: overconfidence and herding bias of
individual and institutional investors.
Methods: This study used a systematic literature review (SLR) and 109 selected
articles for review published between 1980 and 2022. Most importantly, this study
conducted a content analysis of behavioral biases in investment decision-making.
Result and Conclusion: The volume of research on behavioral bias has increased over
the past two decades. The existing literature shows limited research on institutional
investors’ overconfidence bias, limited studies on individual herding behavior,
ineffective direct measures of overconfidence, the majority of research showed that
institutional investors are more inclined to herd than individual investors, and the
maximum number of studies showed that individual investors are more susceptible to
overconfidence bias than institutional investors.
Implications of the research: This study highlights the influence of behavioral biases
in investment decision-making and suggests a future research agenda for future
researchers, as well as helpful to investment advisors enabling them to manage biases
and select purposeful stocks for their clientele.
a Research Scholar, Department of Commerce, School of Social Sciences and Languages, Vellore Institute of
Technology, Vellore, Tamilnadu, India, E-mail: infant.sebastianpaul@vit.ac.in,
Orcid: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8271-9339
b PhD in Commerce, Department of Commerce, School of Social Sciences and Languages, Vellore Institute of
Miami| v.11, n. 4| pages: 01-25| e0904 |2023. JOURNAL OF LAW AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
Received: 08/05/2023
Accepted: 03/08/2023
DOI: https://doi.org/10.55908/sdgs.v11i4.904
RESUMO
Objetivo: Este estudo tem como objetivo rever sistematicamente a literatura existente
publicada ao longo dos últimos 42 anos sobre vieses comportamentais na tomada de decisões
de investimento. Portanto, o presente estudo concentra-se em dois vieses: excesso de
confiança e viés de rebanho de investidores individuais e institucionais.
Métodos: Este estudo utilizou uma revisão sistemática da literatura (SLR) e 109 artigos
selecionados para revisão publicados entre 1980 e 2022. Mais importante ainda, este estudo
realizou uma análise de conteúdo de vieses comportamentais na tomada de decisões de
investimento.
1 INTRODUCTION
Traditional finance supported rationality in the decision-making process,
justifying decisions based on available information (Fama, 1970). Traditional finance
2
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
theories and principles include the Arbitrage Pricing Process of Modigliani and Millar,
the Markowitz Principle of Portfolio Management, the Capital Asset Pricing Model given
by Sharpe, Linter, and Black, and the Option Pricing theory of Black, Scholes, and Merton
(Kumar & Goyal, 2015). These approaches validate the concept of rationality in
investment decision-making, assuming investors to be rational decision-makers (Jain et
al., 2022).
After the energy crisis of the 1970s, the empirical study (Kahneman & Tversky,
1979) results were inconsistent with the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) and
Expected Utility Theory (EUT). Kahneman and Tversky (1979) developed the renowned
concept of prospect theory, which is an alternative to EUT in explaining decision-making
under uncertain circumstances. The introduction of this theory instigated a swift and
profound transformation in the domain of traditional finance, leading to the emergence of
the behavioral finance field by combining the behavioral and psychological aspects of
economic and financial decision-making. The traditional concepts of the efficient market
hypothesis and expected utility theory capitulated on behavioral finance for inadequate
explanations of various irrational decisions. Thus, behavioral finance suggests that
behavioral biases are the reason for the irrationality of investment decision-making.
So far, various studies have been conducted to empirically investigate behavioral
biases in investment decisions (Bakar & Yi, 2016; Baker et al., 2019; Bhatia et al., 2020).
However, little effort has been made to systematically review these studies. This study
covers the period from 1980 to 2022 and this study focuses on the behavioral biases of
individual and institutional investors in investment decision-making. Here, we consider
two common biases: overconfidence and herding. Specifically, proper review procedures
have not been effectively followed, including identifying keywords, searching for
keywords, and using inclusion and exclusion criteria. In the traditional literature review,
there are several issues with openness and bias (Ibrahim et al., 2023).
Thus, this study employed a systematic literature review and content analysis to
answer the research questions. A systematic literature review entails identifying
keywords, searching for keywords, and determining the appropriate literature by stating
the inclusion and exclusion criteria (Kumar et al., 2020). Additionally, content analysis
has been used to provide the findings of previous research studies. The research questions
of this study are as follows:
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
• What are the key trends in publication over the past four decades in the
area of behavioral biases?
• What type of data most frequently used?
• Which country have more publication?
• Which studies have received the most citations?
• What are the effects of behavioral biases on both individual and
institutional investors' investment decisions?
• What are the predominant knowledge gaps and key ideas for further
research?
The outline of the review article is organised as follows. An overview of the
literature is followed by presenting and describing the material and methodology,
reporting the results and discussion, and concluding with a summary of the future research
agenda.
2 LITERATURE REVIEW
This section deals with the theoretical background of behavioral biases in
investors’ investment decision-making. “How do investors behave? Why do investors
behave in a specific manner? To answer these questions, a new concept of behavioral
finance emerged in the fields of economics and finance in the 1980s” (Kumar & Goyal,
2015). “Behavioral finance studies the psychological aspects of financial decision-
making and explains the irrationality of investors in investment decision-making” (Kumar
& Goyal, 2015). Kahneman and Tversky (1979) developed prospect theory and specified
that investors’ decision-making is based on possible gains and losses rather than on final
outcomes. This situation is driven by cognitive biases that affect the judgment of these
gains and losses (Kumar & Goyal, 2015). Different behavioral biases impact investors’
investment decisions, and we have reviewed two biases in the following sections.
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
trade too much. Moreover, significant empirical studies have been reviewed for this
study, for example, (Barber & Odean, 2000, 2001; Gervais & Odean, 2001; Odean, 1998).
3 METHODS
This study follows a systematic literature review, which is conducted based on
defined protocols that search across various databases using a predetermined search
strategy, which improves the quality of the work conducted by making it more
transparent, scientific, and comprehensive (Pittway, 2008). A comprehensive systematic
literature review reduces the possibility of including irrelevant studies but also improves
the reliability of the research (Tang, 2019).
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
This study focuses on restrictive words rather than a broader keyword search,
which further contributes to a better understanding of the specific literature search and
draws conclusions about what we know and do not know about a given question or topic.
The present study followed the suggestions of Chen et al. (2017) and Singh and Walia
(2002) to guarantee thorough coverage of the extant literature. Thus, keywords are
divided into two categories. The first set of keywords related to behavioral biases such as
"overconfidence", "herding" and "herding behavior". The second set of keywords
comprises the various components related to individual and institutional investors, such
as "investors", "institutional investors", "measures of overconfidence", "trading activity",
"gender differences in trading activity", "institutional investor herding", "individual
investor herding", "institutional herding", "individual herding" and "market
conditions". With the use of Boolean operators, authors merged each search term from
the first category with each search term from the second category to perform the search
queries. In addition to the combination search method indicated above, the study also
executed independent searches using keywords from two categories. This study included
only papers whose titles, abstracts, and keywords contained the above search terms. No
time restrictions were imposed by the authors. The search was conducted at one point
(December 2022) to prevent any potential bias caused by the ongoing update of the
Scopus database. (Jain et al., 2022). During the initial search, 175 research articles were
retrieved. Subsequently, the following inclusion and exclusion criteria were adopted to
select the research papers.
• Peer-reviewed English-language research papers are considered. This
study did not include any studies relevant to other languages (Saggese et al.,
2016).
• This study includes articles and book chapters and excludes conference
paper, erratum, and note.
• Articles published between 1980 and 2022.
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
study. After skimming through the full reading of research studies, a base of 45 papers
was shortlisted (Jain et al., 2022). However, there is a possibility that some papers
pertinent to the study's topic may not be included (Jain et al., 2022). To achieve this, the
snowball technique was adopted (Eduardsen & Marinova, 2020). Additionally, 64
research works from Google Scholar were included by referring to the forward and
backward citations. Figure 1 depicts the methodological process in detail.
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
50
40
30
54
20 38
10
17
0
1980-2002 2003-2012 2013 - 2022
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
Indonesia 2 1.83
Italy 1 0.92
Japan 2 1.83
Korea 1 0.92
Malaysia 3 2.75
Pakistan 1 0.92
Portugal 3 2.75
Russia 1 0.92
Saudi Arabia 1 0.92
Spain 2 1.83
Taiwan 14 12.84
Thailand 1 0.92
Turkey 1 0.92
UK 4 3.67
USA 28 25.69
Vietnam 1 0.92
Multiple countries 16 14.68
Not mentioned 1 0.92
Grand total 109 100.00
Source: Prepared by the authors (2023)
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
10
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
overconfidently than male investors when the market provides positive news, which is
inconsistent with the findings of Kumar and Goyal (2016).
There is no evidence of differences in gender and trading activity (Biais et al., 2005; Cueva
et al., 2019; Deaves et al., 2009; Fellner-Röhling & Krügel, 2014). These findings are
inconsistent with those of Barber and Odean (2001) and Kumar and Goyal (2016).
Variable asymmetric information has been studied previously (Biais et al., 2005; Cueva et
al., 2019; Deaves et al., 2009; Fellner-Röhling & Krügel, 2014). Interestingly, Yang and
Zhu (2016) used symmetric information and found that overconfidence and gender have no
impact on trading volume.
Source: Prepared by the authors (2023)
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
Effect of institutional Walter and Moritz Weber (2006) found that German mutual fund managers engaged in
herding on the stock herding and positive feedback trading. Gutierrez and Kelley (2008) found that institutional
price investors suffer from buying and continue to gain returns from selling. Moreover, buying herd
destabilizes the prices. Whereas, selling herd stabilizes it. Lu et al. (2012) examined the price
impact of foreign institutional investors’ herding and found that investors are more likely to
have large-size stocks. As a result, there is a subsequent increase in the stock price.
13
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
Institutional herding Chang and Dong (2006) found that institutional herding and firm profitability are both
and idiosyncratic positively related to idiosyncratic volatility.
volatility
Herding behavior of Chang (2010) analyzed the herding of qualified foreign institutional investors (QFIIs) and
foreign institutional concluded that they increase /decrease their holdings in particular sectors. Bowe and Domuta
investors and (2004) studied both foreign and domestic investors in the Jakarta stock exchange and found
domestic investors evidence for herding before, during, and after the Asian crisis of 1997. Fang et al. (2017)
revealed that investigative herding is the major cause of herding among FIIs in the Taiwan
stock market. Tayde and Nageswara Rao (2011) found that FIIs were involved in herding as
well as positive feedback trading in the Indian stock market. Garg and Mitra (2015) revealed
that in the Indian stock market, FIIs participate in inadvertent herding, resulting in short-term
volatility. Similarly, studies on the Indian stock market have also been conducted (Choudhary
et al., 2019; Garg et al., 2016; Madaan & Shrivastava, 2020).
Herding based on Holmes et al. (2013) found that institutional herding is influenced intentionally. Gavriilidis et
intentional and al. (2013) found that institutional herding behavior in the Spanish market is intended for both
spurious the market and the sector. Guo et al. (2020) showed that spuriousness has an impact on
institutional herding.
Mutual fund herding Hung et al. (2010) revealed that mutual funds in the Taiwan stock market exhibit herding.
Caglayan et al. (2021) found that mutual fund herding considerably reduces return co-
movement in Chinese equities. revealed that Wang et al. (2021) documented that herding is
evident in all types of funds other than income funds, and that non-fundamental factors
primarily influence herding behavior. Hudson et al. (2020) examined the role of investor
sentiment that affects institutional investor herding, and found that they tend to herd based on
market portfolio, size, and value factors.
Institutional herding Bohl et al. (2014) analyzed short-selling restrictions impact on herding behavior and found
and short selling that restrictions have no impact on herding behavior. Moreover, it showed a higher
dispersion of returns across market.
Institutional herding Lin et al. (2013) found that institutional investors show herding rationally based on superior
and Information information.
Herding and robust Lu et al. (2022) empirically tested the relationship between herding behavior and robust return
return efficiency efficiency (RRE) and found that fund managers' herding behavior benefits the RRE of their
(RRE) funds.
Source: Prepared by the authors (2023)
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
Table XIII Empirical results on the herding of institutional versus individual investors
Impacts Empirical results
Herding of institutional Nofsinger and Sias (1999) documented that institutional investors’ herding affects the stock
versus individual investors prices more than individual investors. Dennis et al. (2002) found that institutional investors
tend to follow herd behavior more than individual investors do when large market prices
swing. Similarly, Hsieh (2013) found that compared to individual investors, institutional
investors are more inclined to herd. Li et al. (2017) trading volume-based indicator was used
to analyzed the variations in herding between individual and institutional investors and
observed that less-informed individuals invest their money in a variety of stocks, whereas
better-informed institutional investors trade more selectively.
Source: Prepared by the authors (2023)
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
than in the primary data. Majority of the research was conducted in the United States of
America, followed by Taiwan and China. Daniel et al. (1998) and Grinblatt et al. (1995) have
produced the most cited articles in overconfidence and herding consequently. Most importantly,
behavioral biases in both individual and institutional investors’ investment decisions are
predominantly influenced, and thus, investment advisors should focus on this bias so that
individual investors can minimize their losses while making investment decisions.
This study identified various research gaps for future research to work on. Most studies
focus on institutional investors’ herding, but few cover individual investors’ herding (Chen &
Zheng, 2022; Vo & Phan, 2019b). Studies examining the overconfidence bias among individual
investors are the most frequent. However, overconfidence bias towards institutional investors
has received very little attention from researchers (Menkhoff et al., 2013). Researchers have
focused only on direct measures of overconfidence. However, direct measures of
overconfidence have a lower effect on financial decision-making than indirect measures (Grežo,
2020). Therefore, indirect measures may be useful in addressing this behavior. The majority of
studies revealed that compared to individual investors, institutional investors are more inclined
to herd (Dennis et al., 2002; Hsieh, 2013). On the other hand, the majority of research articles
concluded that, in comparison to institutional investors, individual investors are more probable
to be impacted by overconfidence bias (Chuang & Susmel, 2011; Liu et al., 2016; Khan et al.,
2019; Li et al., 2020). However, only these studies show that both individual and institutional
investors exhibit overconfidence (Lai et al., 2013; Lin & Chiang, 2015).
To sum up, the primary objective of this systematic review is to contribute to the body
of knowledge on behavioral bias and investment decisions. Significant academic research
conducted over the years was carefully scrutinized, selected, and evaluated. The analysis
compiled data on relevant studies to identify trends in publication, type of data used, collection
of sample data based on country, most cited papers, and content analysis employed.
First, the authors of this study opted for Scopus database to enrich scholars with an
overview of recent investigations as a base for further research. Second, this review is limited
to articles published in English language. Third, this study included articles and book chapters
but did not consider other scholarly outputs such as conference papers, erratum, and notes.
Fourth, this investigation is limited to only two behavioral biases. Despite its limitations, the
findings of this study highlight the importance of systematic review in improving our
understanding of behavioral biases and investment decisions. Future reviews can work on other
behavioural biases in investment decision-making.
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Paul, H. I. S., Sundaram, N. (2023). Behavioral Biases and their Influence on Investment
Decision-Making: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Agenda
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