Professional Documents
Culture Documents
- Refunding: if a company issues bond with high 2. Dynamic behavior of bond prices
coupon rate when market interest rates are high - Discount: a bond is selling at a discount if the
and interest rates later fall, firm may retire the price is less than face value
high-coupon debt and issue new bonds at lower - Par: a bond is selling at par if price is equal to face
coupon rate to reduce interest payment vale
- Convertible bonds give bondholder the option to - Premium: a bond is selling at a premium of the
exchange bond for shares of the firm’s common price is greater than face value
stock (at conversion date) 3. Bond pricing between coupon rate:
- Puttable bonds give bondholder the option to 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑜𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 = 𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 + 𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑟𝑢𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡
retire or extend the bond
𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑟𝑢𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡
- Floating rate bonds have an adjustable coupon rate 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠 𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡
5. Preferred stock: = 𝑥
2 𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠 𝑠𝑒𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠
- Shares characteristics of fixed income and equity III. Bond yields
Like fixed income 1. Why is discount rate r called “YTM”:
o Payments are typically fixed - YTM is discount rate that sets the present value of
o Preferred dividends are paid before the promised bond payments equal to the current
common market price of bond
Like equity: - Interest rate is interpreted as a measure of average
o Dividends are paid in perpetuity rate of return that will be earned on a bond of it is
o Nonpayment doesn’t mean bought now and held until maturity
bankruptcy - YTM of a bond is the internal rate of return IRR
o No tax break earned by an investor who buys the bond today at
6. International bonds:
the market price, assuming that the bond will be 𝐸(𝑃1 ): expected ending price
held until maturity 𝐸(𝐷1 ): expected coupon during period one
- Assumption: all coupons are reinvested at an - Holding period returns when yields change
interest rate equal to yield-to-maturity No change → HPR = yield at bond purchase
2. Zero coupon bond: date
𝐹𝑉 Rising yields → yield increase cause a loss
𝑃=
(1 + 𝑌𝑇𝑀𝑛 )𝑛
→ HPR < initial yield
- Yield to maturity of n-year zero coupon bond is
Falling yields → yield decrease cause a price
𝐹𝑉 1
𝑌𝑇𝑀𝑛 = ( )𝑛 − 1 gain → HPR > initial yield
𝑃
3. Coupon bonds: VI. Default risk on bond pricing
- YTM is single discount rate that equates the 1. Protection against default
present value of the bond’s remaining cash flows - Sinking funds: issuer is required to buy back x%
to its current price of bonds in market before maturity
- Dividend restrictions: force firm to retain earnings
rather than paying them out to shareholders
- Collateral: bondholders receive proceeds from
liquidation of particular asset if firm defaults
- Yield to maturity of a coupon bond - Subordination of future debt: restrict additional
1 1 𝐹𝑉 borrowing
𝑃 = 𝐶𝑃𝑁 × (1 − )+
𝑦 (1 + 𝑦) 𝑁 (1 + 𝑦)𝑁 2. YTM and default risk
IV. Bond prices and yield - Capital market requires different yields from
- Prices and yields (required rates of return) have an issuers with different credit ratings
inverse relationship - Yield spread measures the extra yield that capital
- Bond price curve is convex markets demands from issuers with high credit
- Longer maturity, more sensitive bond’s price to risk
changes in market interest rates - Credit spread = default spread: difference between
- Lower coupon, more sensitive bond price yield on corporate bonds and treasury yields
V. Bond prices over time - Spread is highly cyclical and can increase in times
- Holding all other things constant, a bond’s yield to of a financial crises
maturity will not change over time 3. Credit default swaps CDS
- Holding all other things constant, price of discount - Credit default swaps CDS acts like an insurance
or premium bond will move toward par value over policy on default risk of corporate bond or loan
time - CDS buyer pays annual premiums
- If bond’s yield to maturity hasn’t changed, IRR of - CDS issuer agrees to buy bond in default at face
an investment in bond equals its yield to maturity value or pay difference between par and market
even if you sell the bond early values to CDs buyer
1. Compare YTM and HPR:
Premium bonds (Price > Par): Coupon rate > Current
YTM HPR
yield > Yield to maturity
+ YTM is bond’s + HPR is the realized
internal rate of return rate of return over Discount bonds (Price < Par): Coupon rate < Current
and corresponds to the particular investment yield < Yield to maturity
average expected period
return if bond is held + HPR depends on Par value bonds (Price = Par): Coupon rate = Current
to maturity bond’s price at the yield = Yield to maturity
+ YTM assumes that end of holding period,
all coupons can be an unknown future Key terms:
reinvested at YTM value
Debt securities: Bonds; also called fixed-income
rate
securities.
2. Risk and risk premiums
- Rate of return: single period Bond: A security issued by a borrower that obligates
𝐸(𝑃1 ) − 𝑃0 + 𝐸(𝐷1 ) the issuer to make specified payments to the holder
𝐻𝑃𝑅 =
𝑃0 over a specific period
𝐻𝑃𝑅: holding period return
𝑃0 : beginning price
Par value: The face value of the bond. The payment I. Yield curve
to the bondholder on the bond’s maturity date. - Yield curve is a graph that displays relationship
between YTM and time to maturity
Face value: The maturity value of a bond.
Inverted yield curve: downward sloping, short
Coupon rate: A bond’s interest payments per dollar rate > long rate
of par value Normal yield curve: upward sloping
- Information on expected future short term rates
Bond indenture: The contract between the issuer and can be implied from yield curve
the bondholder 1. Bond pricing:
Zero-coupon bond: A bond paying no coupons that - Yields on different maturity bonds aren’t all equal
sells at a discount and provides only payment of face - Each bond can be considered as portfolio of stand-
value at maturity. alone zero-coupon bonds
- Value of bond should be sum of values of its parts
Callable bond: A bond that the issuer may repurchase - Bond stripping and bond reconstitution offer
at a given call price in some specified period opportunities for arbitrage
Convertible bond: A bond with an option allowing 2. Two types of yield curves:
the bondholder to exchange the bond for a specified Pure yield curve zero On the run yield curve
number of shares of common stock in the firm. (higher coupon curve
price because bondholder owns bond) + pure yield curve uses + on-the-run yield curve
stripped or zero coupon uses recently issued
Floating rate bonds: A bond whose interest rate is
yields coupon bonds selling at
reset periodically according to a specified market rate. + pure yield curve may or near par
Yield to maturity YTM: A measure of the average differ significantly from + financial press
rate of return that will be earned on a bond if held to the on-the-run yield typically publishes on
curve of coupon bonds the run yield curves
maturity
Current yield: A bond’s annual coupon payment
II. Yield curve and future interest rates
divided by its price. Differs from yield to maturity
1. Future interest rates:
Premium bonds: A bond selling above par value. - Yield curve under uncertainty
Bond yield YTM is the internal rate of return
Discount bond: A bond selling below par value.
of a bond
Realized compound return: Compound rate of return Spot rate = zero coupon rate: rate prevails
assuming that coupon payments are reinvested until today for given maturity. Spot rate is
maturity geometric average of its component short
rates
Horizon analysis: Forecasting the realized compound Short rate: short term interest rate for given
yield over various holding periods or investment maturity at different points in time
horizons.
Forward rate: interest rate between two future
Reinvestment rate risk: The uncertainty surrounding time points as inferred by current term
the cumulative future value of reinvested bond coupon structure
payments - Compare short rate and yield curve slope
+ when next year’s + when next year’s
Junk bond: A bond rated Ba or lower by Moody’s or short rate, 𝑟2 > 𝑟1 , short rate, 𝑟2 < 𝑟1 ,
BB or lower by Standard & Poor’s, or an unrated yield curve slopes up yield curve slopes
bond. Also called a speculative-grade bond + may indicate rates down
rise + may indicate rates
Original issue discount bond: A bond issued with a fa;;
low coupon rate that sells at a discount from par value. 2. Forward rates:
Puttable bond: A bond that the holder may choose (1 + 𝑦𝑛 )𝑛
(1 + 𝑓𝑛 ) =
either to exchange for par value at some date or to (1 + 𝑦𝑛−1 )𝑛−1
extend for a given number of years. 𝑓𝑛 : one-year forward rate for period n
𝑦𝑛 : yield for a security with maturity of n
Lecture 5: The term structure of interest rate
- Forward interest rate is forecast of future short opportunities for arbitrage can occur if law of one price is
rate violated)
III. Interest rates uncertainty and forward
Pure yield curve: The relationship between yield to
rates
maturity and time to maturity for zero-coupon bonds.
- Investor require risk premium to hold longer term
bond On the run yield curve: Relationship between yield to
- Liquidity premium compensates short term maturity and time to maturity for newly issued bonds
investors for uncertainty about future prices selling at or near par value.
IV. Theories of term structure
1. Expectations hypothesis theory Spot rate: The current interest rate appropriate for
- Observed long-term rate is a function of today’s discounting a cash flow of some given maturity.
short term rate and expected future short term Short rate: A one-period interest rate
rates
- 𝑓𝑛 = 𝐸(𝑟𝑛 ) and liquidity premiums are zero Forward interest rate: Rate of interest for a future period
- Function holds if that would equate the total return of a long-term bond with
Investors are risk neutral that of a strategy of rolling over shorter-term bonds.
Investors don’t prefer short term bonds Liquidity premium: Forward rate minus expected future
2. Liquidity preference theory short interest rate
- Long-term bonds are more risky when 𝑓𝑛 > 𝐸(𝑟𝑛 )
- Excess of 𝑓𝑛 over 𝐸(𝑟𝑛 ) is liquidity premium Expectations hypothesis: Theory that
- Yield curve has upward bias built into long term forward interest rates are unbiased estimates of expected
rates because of liquidity premium future interest rates
V. Interpreting term structure Liquidity preference theory: Theory that investors
- The yield curve reflects expectations of future demand a risk premium on long-term bonds. Implies that
interest rates
the forward
- The forecasts are clouded by liquidity premiums
- An upward sloping curve could indicate: Lecture 6: Future markets
Rates are expected to rise
I. Futures contract:
Investors require large liquidity premiums to
1. Basics of futures contracts:
- The yield curve is a good predictor of the business
- Futures price is paid at contract maturity
cycle
- Require daily setting up of contracts gains or
Long term rates tend to rise in anticipation of losses
economic expansion - Long position commits to purchase commodity on
Inverted yield curve may indicate that interest rates are delivery date = buy contract
expected to fall and signal a recession Profit to long = spot price at maturity –
original futures price
Key terms: Profit from price increase
Term structure of interest rate: The pattern of interest - Short position commits to deliver commodity on
rates appropriate for discounting cash flows of various delivery date = sell contract
maturities. The relation between yield to maturity and time Profit to short = original futures price – spot
to maturity. price at maturity
Profit from price decrease
Yield curve: A measure of the average rate of o Spot price: actual market price of
return that will be earned on a bond if held to maturity commodity at time of delivery
Bond stripping: Selling bond cash flows (either coupon
or
principal payments) as stand-alone zero-coupon securities
Bond reconstitution: Combining zero-coupon stripped
securities to re-create the original cash flows of a coupon
bond. (bond stripping and bond reconstitution offer
2. Forward contract: when contract begins trading, open interest is
- Agreement to buy or sell an asset for a forward zero
price at a certain time time passes, open interest increase as more
Each party must lock in ultimate delivery contract entered
price 2. Margin account and marking to market:
Protect each party from future price - Marking to market: process by which profits or
fluctuations losses accrue to traders
No money changes hands until delivery date At initial execution of trade, each trader
Party that agrees to sell has what is termed a establishes margin account
short position Contracts written on assets with more volatile
Party that agrees to buy has what is termed a prices require higher margin
long position Margin account fall below a critical value:
- Forward contract is traded OTC maintenance margin
3. Compare forwards and futures contracts: Margin account:
o More volatile price, higher margins
forwards futures o Ensure trader satisfy obligation of
+ private contract + exchange traded
futures contracts
between 2 parties
+ non-standard contract + standard contract Convergence property: futures price and spot
+ 1 specified delivery + range of delivery dates price must converge at maturity
date Margin call: when maintenance margin is
+ settled at end of + settled daily reached, broker will ask for additional margin
contract funds
+ delivery or final cash + contract closed out III. Futures Markets strategies:
settlement occurs prior to maturity 1. Hedging and speculation:
+ some credit risk + no credit risks - Hedge uses future contract to protect against price
movement
4. Existing contracts: - Speculator uses futures contract to profit from
- Futures and forward contracts are traded in four movement in futures price
categories: Speculator believe price increase, they take
Agricultural commodities long position for expected profits and take
Metals and minerals short position for decreasing expected profit
- Speculators: seek to profit from price movement
Foreign currencies
Short – believe price fall
Financial futures
II. Trading mechanics: Long – believe price rise
1. Clearinghouse and open interest: - Arbitrageurs: seek to profit from arbitrage
- Clearinghouse becomes seller of contract for long opportunities
position and buyer of contract for short position Short – future overvalued
- Clearinghouse becomes an intermediary Long – future undervalued
- Clearinghouse’s position nets to zero - Hedgers: seek protection from price movement
Traders liquidate position easily Short – protect against a fall in selling price
Reversing trade Long – protect against rise in purchase price
2. Basis risk and hedging:
- Basis is difference between futures price and spot
price
On maturity, basis is zero.
Convergence property implies 𝐹𝑇 − 𝑃𝑇 = 0
3. Long hedge for purchasing of asset: